4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Royals +133

The Royals are simply playing too good a ball right now to pass up as a division home dog. Kansas City just went on the road and swept the Braves in a quick 2-game series. Royals are 9-3 in their last 12 games, which is quite the run for a team that still sits a hefty 25-games under .500. 

Mike Montgomery is going to get his second chance at a start in 2019. The first one didn't go well, but we know he's got the stuff to pitch at a high level from his days with the Cubs. Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 series openers and have won 4 straight at home. Take Kansas City! 

5* MLB - Heavy Hitter TOP PLAY on Padres +192

It's hard to blame the books for overpricing the Mets with an elite starter like Jacob deGrom on the mound, but the value continues to be on the opposing teams. New York is a mere 8-22 in deGrom's last 30 home starts, yet are a -200 favorite. 

Padres had no problem getting to New York's Noah Syndergaard on Wednesday and have scored 5 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. Mets offense is the complete opposite. The 2 runs NY scored in yesterday's loss marked the 4th time in the last 6 games that they scored 2 or fewer runs. 

Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs a right-handed starter. Mets 9-20 last 29 vs a marginal losing team (46% to 49% WP). Take San Diego! 

4* MLB - Late Night  BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Angels +182

This is just too good a price to pass up with the Angels right now. The Angels have won 8 of 11 since the All-Star break and Mike Trout is in one of the hottest stretches of his career with 11 home runs in his last 13 games. Angels have also won all 3 meetings so far in the series against cross-town rival Dodgers. 

I'm just willing to bet that Trout can career the Angels to a win here. Dodgers Ross Stripling has a 4.40 ERA in his last 3 starts and an ugly 5.06 ERA in 2 career starts vs the other LA team. Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 5 or more runs and have won 7 of their last 10 interleague games vs a team with a winning record. Take Angels! 

4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Yankees -105

New York won an absolute thriller on Tuesday, sneaking out a 14-12 win in 10 innings thanks to a highlight reel diving catch by Aaron Hicks to end the game with the bases loaded. That's one of those losses that stings a little more than others. I just think this is a great price to get New York when they got all the momentum in the series. 

Yankees are a team you can feel good about backing on the road. New York has a solid 27-18 road record in 2019 and are scoring 6.4 runs/game away from home. That offense comes in no point, as they are averaging 7.7 runs/game in their last 7, a stretch in which they have hit a staggering .313 as a team. 

As good as Jake Odorizzi has been for the Twins this season, he doesn't come into this one in great form. He's got a 6.08 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Yanks aren't the team to get right against. Take New York! 

5* MLB - NL No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +137

Love the value here with Cincinnati as a decently priced road dog at Milwaukee. Reds have already won the first two games of the series and it feels like the Brewers are in trouble. The pitching has not been good and they just lost Woodruff for 6 or more weeks. They will send out Jhoulys Chacin for this one and he's 3-10 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.529 WHIP. 

Reds are swinging a hot bat with 29 hits and 20 runs the last two days. Hard to see Chacin keeping them in check. Cincinnati will send out Lucas Sims for his second start of 2019. The first one was promising. While Sims allowed 4 runs, he struck out 9 and walked just 1 while pitching into the 8th inning. Take Cincinnati! 

4* MLB - Late Night DIAMOND DESTROYER on Cubs -103

Most are going to want to jump on the red-hot Giants at home with ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but I really like the Cubs in this spot. I think now is the time to jump on Chicago's Yu Darvish.

Guy has put together back-to-back dominant starts. In his first start back from the break he allowed 0 runs on 2 hits with 8 k's in 6 innings against the Pirates. Very next start he allowed 0 runs on 2 hits with 7 k's in 6 innings against the Reds. This is what the Cubs expected when the signed him. 

It's worth noting that the Giants squeaked out 5-4 win in Monday's series opener. That sets up a very profitable spot for the Cubs, as they are 41-14 over the last 3 seasons when revenging a 1-run loss. Take Chicago! 

5* MLB - NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Reds +128

I nailed my free pick on Cincinnati as a road dog over Milwaukee on Monday and will fire right back with the Reds as an even bigger dog in Game 2 of their 3-game series. I just think Cincinnati starter, Tanner Roark, is being way undervalued here. 

Roark has an ugly 7.16 ERA in his last 3 starts, but that's a direct result of one bad outing at Coors Field against the Rockies, where he gave up 7 runs on 13 hits in 4 2/3 innings. He bounced back in his next start and allowed just 2 runs in 5 innings vs a hot Cardinals team. He's allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 4 of his last 6 starts. 

Brewers will send out Zach Davies, who has a sensational 2.79 ERA in 20 starts overall and a 0.50 ERA in his last 3 outings. However, Davies has had his struggles against the Reds. He's faced them 12 times and has an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP at 1.340. That includes 2 starts this year, where he's allowed 8 runs on 10 hits and 5 walks in just 8 innings of work. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Blue Jays +164

This is just too good a price to pass up with Toronto at home. I also think there's some hidden value with the Blue Jays. The starting pitching matchup looks to heavily favor Cleveland with Trevor Bauer going up against Aaron Sanchez. Bauer has a 3.73 ERA in 22 starts and Sanchez has a 6.26 ERA in 21 starts. 

The thing is, Bauer is just 2-2 with an ugly 5.57 ERA and 1.577 WHIP in 7 career starts against Toronto. Sanchez on the other hand has seen his team win 3 of his 4 starts vs Cleveland and he has a strong 3.74 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in those 4 outings. Take Toronto! 

5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Rangers +116

Easy play here on Texas as an underdog against the Mariners. Looking back at it now, it's crazy to think that Seattle started out the season 13-2. They have won just 27 games since and are 33 games under .500 since that epic start.

They are in really bad form right now, as the Mariners are a mere 3-15 in their last 18 games. I know Texas is struggling, but this is the team to get right against. Note that Seattle has lost 24 of their last 31 at home vs a team with a winning record and 7 of their last 8 games against Texas. No way should the Rangers be a dog in this fight. Take Texas! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Yankees -105

Love the value here with New York against the Twins. While the Yankees lost on Sunday, they are 5-1 in their last 6. Minnesota is the opposite. They come in off a win, but have lost 5 of 7. 

Both teams are loaded on the offensive side of the ball with power bats and can score runs in a hurry. They key here is who will get the better pitching and it's hard to not say New York.

Yankees have the better bullpen and will send out veteran C.C. Sabathia, who has tormented the Twins in his career. Sabathia is 22-9 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 41 career starts. He's faced them once each of the last 3 seasons and has allowed a mere 3 earned runs on 14 hits in 18 innings of work. 

Yankees are a dominant 26-7 in their 33 games this season where they were listed as a favorite of -100 to -150. They are also a perfect 9-0 this season when coming off a loss by 4 or more runs (lost 8-4 on Sunday). Take New York! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Diamondbacks +138

Arizona is definitely worth a look here as a big home dog against the Brewers. Simply put, this is too good a price to pass up with a quality team like the Diamondbacks with a starter that is throwing extremely well. 

You might not have heard of hime yet, but Arizona south paw Alex Young has made 3 starts and won all 3 of them, posting a sensational 1.10 ERA and 0.551 WHIP in the process. He's allowed just 2 runs on 6 hits with 3 walks in 16 1/3 innings. 

Brewers have gone just 1-9 in their last 10 road games vs a left-handed starter, while the Dbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a right handed starter. Take Arizona! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on A's +134

The A's continue to show great value here on the road against the Twins. Oakland lost the opener at Minnesota on Thursday, but have won the last two as decently priced dog and I look for them to take the finale on Sunday. 

Oakland is on one of their ridiculous runs right now. A's 38-17 in their last 55 overall and are within striking distance (5.5 games) of the Astros in the AL West. Oakland has won 21 of their last 28 on the road. Today's starter, Daniel Mengden has won 5 straight road starts and the A's are a ridiculous 22-8 in his last 30 starts. Take Oakland! 

5* MLB - Division Underdog PLAY OF THE MONTH on Rangers +134

Love the value here with the Rangers on Sunday. Houston is overpriced here because of how good they are and the fact that they come in having won 4 straight while Texas has lost 6 in a row. 

They key here is the starting pitching matchup. Astros are sending out Rogelio Armenteros for his first big league start. Armenteros has been used 3 times out of the pen and doesn't figure to go deep here. 

As for Texas, they will send out Lance Lynn, who is having himself quite the season. Lynn has turned back the clock and posted a strong 12-5 record with a 3.87 ERA and 1.227 WHIP in 20 starts. He's also one of the few guys that have been able to tame this Astros lineup. Lynn has a 1.94 ERA in 8 career starts against Houston. He's faced them twice this year and allowed a mere 3 runs with 19 K's in 14 innings. Take Texas! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Brewers +129

I just think we are getting enough value here to take a shot with Milwaukee as a big road dog against the Diamondbacks. Brewers get a boost here with the return of Gio Gonzalez and he's 17-3 as a starter against the money line when he's working on 7 or more days of rest. 

Arizona getting love here from the books and the public because they will send out Zack Greinke, but he's just 1-3 with a 4.28 ERA in 7 career starts against the Brewers. On the flip side, Gonzalez is 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA in 8 starts against the Dbacks. Take Milwaukee! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on A's +132

I'll jump on the A's as a big road dog against the Twins. This is just too good a price to pass up with Oakland. Twins aren't playing well. They have lost 4 of 5. The A's on the other hand are 37-17 over their last 54 and have won 7 of their last 8. 

On top of that, Oakland will send out the red-hot Brett Anderson, who has a 1.74 ERA and 0.822 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Minnesota's Jose Berrios hasn't won a decision in 6 starts and has an ugly 4.67 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Berrios also has had a rough time against Oakland with a 6.32 ERA and 1.532 WHIP in 3 starts (all losses). 

A's are 20-7 in their last 27 on the road and have won 5 straight road games with Anderson on the mound. Take Oakland! 

5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY  on Tigers +116

The Blue Jays rolled the Tigers 12-1 on Friday, so I'm expecting a big effort here from Detroit at home. Toronto is also a team that you want to fade off a win, as they are just 15-36 in their last 51 off a win. Blue Jays are also prone to a bad showing after an offensive outburst. Toronto is 2-16 in their last 18 after scoring 10 or more runs. 

You also have to factor in who the Blue Jays have on the mound. Toronto will send out Trent Thornton, who is 3-7 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.542 WHIP in 20 starts. He didn't even complete 2 innings in his last start. Take Detroit! 

5* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE MONTH on Giants +173

This is just too good a price to pass up with San Francisco. The Giants were already riding a wave of momentum coming into this series, as they had won 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. They added to it on Thursday with a thrilling 3-2 win in 16 innings for their 6th win in a row. 

Mets are getting way too much love here because of Jacob deGrom n the mound, but San Francisco's Tyler Beede has been throwing lights out of late. Beede has won each of his last 2 starts and has a strong 2.84 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Mets are just 3-12 in their last 15 road games after a loss by 2 runs or less and 4-12 in deGrom's 16 night starts this season. Giants are 6-1 when Beede starts as an underdog. Take San Francisco! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on A's +118

Twins snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 6-3 win over the A's on Thursday, but my money is on Oakland to even things up with a win tonight. Despite the loss yesterday, A's have been absolutely rolling, as they had won 6 straight. Oakland is 7-3 in their last 10 during Game 2 of a series. 

Oakland has also enjoyed facing the AL Central. Even with yesterday's loss they are 42-11 in their last 53 vs the central division. That includes a perfect 5-0 run vs the AL Central with Chris Bassitt on the mound. Bassitt is also fresh off a great start, allowing just 4 hits over 6 shutout innings. Take Oakland! 

4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Tigers +149

I like the value here with Detroit as a big home dog against the Blue Jays. Toronto has no business being this big of a road favorite. The Blue Jays have lost 4 of 5 and are a miserable 18-32 on the road this season. 

As bad as things have been for Tigers starter Jordan Zimmermann, he's 2-1 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Blue Jays. Toronto has also dropped 17 of their last 22 series openers. Tigers just played 7 straight on the road and are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 at home after a road trip of 7 or more days. Take Detroit! 

5* MLB - AL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on A's +132

I'm shocked we are getting the A's at this kind of a price with how well Oakland has been playing. The A's just hit 6 homers in yesterday's 10-2 win over the Mariners, which capped off a perfect homestand. They have won 19 of their last 24 to move just 4.5-games back of the Astros for the top spot in the AL West. 

In their last 7 games the A's are outscoring their opponents 7.1-2.7 (+4.4 runs/game). Twins are definitely a contender, but they have been trending down some from their incredible start. The offense has struggled of late as they are averaging just 4.0 runs/game and hitting .240 as a team over their last 7 (avg 5.6 runs/game and hitting .270 on the season). 

A's will send out the red-hot Michael Fiers, who is 9-3 with a 3.45 ERA in 19 starts and has a 0.88 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also 6-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 11 starts vs the Twins. Take Oakland! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Marlins +109

I really like this spot and price with Miami at home against the Padres. Marlins will have the vastly underrated Caleb Smith on the mound. Smith is one of the top targets contenders are trying to acquire before the trade deadline. Miami has stated they aren't going to trade Smith, but he's got to want to pitch well incase it increases his chances of getting out of that crap franchise. 

Smith is 5-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in 14 starts. Strong numbers if that's all you were going off. However, the real key here is how well Smith has thrown the rock at Marlins Park. He's 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 6 home starts. 

Padres will counter with Dinelson Lamet, who didn't make his first start until July 4th and will be making only his 3rd start when he takes the mound today. First two have been pretty so-so, as Lament has allowed 7 runs on 8 hits and 4 walks in 10 innings (6.30 ERA). I'll take my chances the Marlins offense provides us enough here for the win. Take Miami! 

3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox +120

I like Chicago to snap their 5-game losing streak and get that elusive first win since returning from the All-Star break. This is a big time revenge spot for the White Sox, as they were utterly embarrassed in yesterday's 11-0 loss to KC, where the Royals jumped out to an early lead and just kept laying it on them. 

The numbers aren't great for Chicago's Ivan Nova, but he has pitched better on the road in 2019 and while the Royals offense was great on Tuesday, they are not a good offensive team. Also, even if Nova doesn't pitch great, there's a good chance the White Sox score a bunch here against Danny Duffy, who has a 5.28 ERA and 1.695 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Chicago! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Giants +163

This is just too good a price on the Giants. San Francisco has won the first 3 games of the series with Colorado, outscoring the Rockies 37-10 in the process. Giants are 5-1 since returning from the All-Star break and this is a team that went into the break playing their best baseball. SF has won 11 of their last 13. 

Rockies will have Jon Gray on the mound and while he's one of their better starters, he's just 1-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.513 WHIP in 8 career starts against the Giants. SF is 16-5 in their last 21 games vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or more and Gray's is right on the 1.30 mark. Giants have won 7 straight against a division opponent and will make it 8 in a row tonight. Take San Francisco! 

5* MLB - Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on Pirates +117

Pittsburgh snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 3-1 win over the Cardinals on Tuesday and I like them to build off that with another win on Wednesday. Pittsburgh will send out Chris Archer. The 2019 numbers aren't great for Archer, but he's got a strong history against St Louis, posting a 2.76 ERA in 3 starts. 

Pittsburgh is 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and St Louis is a mere 2-10 in their last 12 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less and 2-12 in their last 14 after a game with a combined score of 4 or less. Take Pittsburgh! 

5* MLB - Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Royals +117

Easy play here for me with Kansas City as a home dog against the White Sox. Royals have won 3 of 4 since returning from the All-Star break, while Chicago has lost 4 in a row. White Sox are having a miserable time scoring runs, as they have eclipsed 2 runs since the break. 

Royals will send out Glenn Sparkman. The overall numbers aren't great, as he's just 2-4 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 9 starts. However, the home/away splits have been pretty drastic. Sparkman has a 1.38 ERA and 0.885 WHIP in 4 home starts. 

Chigao is sending out Dylan Cease for his second big league start. Cease gave up 3 runs on 4 hits and 4 walks in just 5 innings of his first start and that was against a bad Tigers offense. Royals have scored 25 runs on 37 hits in the 4 games since the break. Take Kansas City! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Padres -118

Really like the value here with the Padres as a small road favorite against the Marlins on Tuesday. San Diego is going to be extremely motivated to get this series started off on the right foot after getting swept at home by Atlanta in the first series back from the All-Star break. 

Marlins are getting some love here with this line because of how well starter Jordan Yamamoto has pitched. The thing is, it's hard to win when you struggle to score and Miami has scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9, scoring just 2 runs in each of their last 2 games. 

Padres have won 5 of their last 6 on the road and it's worth noting that they were off Monday, as they are 16-7 in their last 23 when playing with a day of rest. Marlins just 5-14 in their last 19, including a 0-6 mark in their last 6 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dodgers -176

We cashed in a massive profit with a GOY play on LA Monday and will fire right back with the Dodgers on Tuesday. LA is hands down the best team in the NL. Just about every one of their starters is top notch and the offense is tied with the Rockies for most runs scored on the season. 

Dodgers will have Walker Buehler on the mound in this one and he's coming off a strong start against the Dbacks. Buehler allowed just 3 runs with 9 strikeouts in 7 innings. He'll be facing a Phillies lineup that has scored just 9 runs in 4 games since returning from the All-Star break. 

Philadelphia is a miserable 2-13 in their 15 games this season vs an NL starter with a WHIP of 1.150 or better. Phillies are also 1-10 in Velasquez last 11 starts vs a team that is outscoring opponents by 1+ run/game. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB - Vegas Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers +106

I like the value here with Milwaukee at basically a pick'em at home. Brewers will be extremely motivated to get this series with Atlanta started off with a win, as they have really struggled of late. 

I know Atlanta is playing well, but they are coming off a long trip from San Diego to Milwaukee and will have the struggling Max Fried on the mound. Fried was great to start the year, but his ERA is now 4.36 and his WHIP is 1.412. Fried has an even worse 5.62 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 at home vs a left-handed starter and 10-1 in their last 11 at home vs a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB - NL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE YEAR on Dodgers -160

Easy play here on the Dodgers in Monday's series opener against the Phillies. LA got rocked the first game back from the All-Star break, but responded by winning the final two over the weeked against the Red Sox, scoring 18 runs on 23 hits. 

Dodgers will have veteran ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound, who is 7-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 15 starts. He'll be facing a Phillies offense that managed just 7 runs in their series at home against Washington over the weekend. 

Phillies will also be sending out the struggling Zach Eflin, who has a 9.64 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Eflin has also not enjoyed facing the Dodgers, as he's 0-2 with a 9.18 ERA and 1.740 WHIP in 4 starts (0-4 team record). Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB - Money Line HEAVY HITTER on White Sox +184

Big time value here with Chicago as a massive road dog against the A's on Sunday. Oakland has won the first two of the series and are off a 13-2 blowout win on Saturday. This is the ideal letdown spot and no way should they be this big of a favorite with the likes of Brett Anderson on the mound. He's got a 4.54 ERA and an ugly 1.560 WHIP in 8 home starts. 

Note that the A's have come out flat often on Sunday. Oakland is just 5-12 in their last 17 games played on the final day of the week. That includes a 1-4 mark with Anderson on the mound. White Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 2 or fewer runs and 15-8 in their last 23 after losing 3 of their last 4. Take Chicago! 

5* MLB - AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers +142

Love this spot and price with Detroit as a road dog against division rival KC. Tigers will have veteran Jordan Zimmerman on the mound and he's owned the Royals in his career. Zimmerman is 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.987 WHIP in 8 starts versus Kansas City. 

Royals will send out Homer Bailey, who has a very mediocre 4.80 ERA and 1.411 WHIP in 18 starts. KC is just 1-4 in his last 5 when he starts Game 3 of a series. Royals are also a mere 6-21 in their last 27 following a win and have lost 24 of their last 33 games played on Sunday. Take Detroit! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Blue Jays +198

This is just too good a price to pass up with Toronto as a near +200 dog at New York. Blue Jays were an even bigger dog on Saturday (+235) and found a way to win. Yankees offense has scored just 5 runs in their first two games out of the break and will be up against one of Toronto's better starters in Marcus Stroman. 

Stroman has a mere 5-9 record, but owns a 3.18 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in his 18 starts. He also has a strong 2.76 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 7 road starts this season. Yankees will send out Tanaka and are just 2-7 in his last 9 home starts as a favorite of -175 to -250. Take Toronto! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Reds +114

Love the value here with Cincinnati as a road dog against the Rockies on Saturday. I just don't trust Colorado starter Kyle Freeland. I know the guy was great last year, finishing 4th in the Cy Young, but he's simply not the same guy in 2019. 

Freeland had a 10.17 ERA in 6 starts in May and was demoted to the minors, where he's spent 6 weeks trying to figure things out. For the most part the struggles continued. I would much rather take my chances with Reds starter Tanner Roark, who is 4-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 9 road starts this season. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB - AL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Astros -118

Love this spot and price with the Astros on Saturday, as Houston is going to be hungry for a win after coming out of the break with back-to-back losses to division rival Texas. The Astros lead in the AL West is down to just 6-games over the A's (7 in front of the Rangers). 

I know the Rangers will have Mike Minor on the mound and he's been unbelievable in 2019, but he's just 2-3 with a 4.37 ERA in 10 career starts against the Astros. Houston will counter with Wade Miley, who has a 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts and was sharp in his only previous outing against Texas this season, limiting the Rangers to 2 runs on 2 hits in 6 innings of a 4-2 win. 

Even after the first two losses in this series, Astros are still 39-14 in their last 53 vs a division foe. They are also 38-15 in their last 53 on the road vs a left-handed starter. Take Houston! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Brewers -117

We played and won on San Francisco as a big road dog in Friday's series opener at Milwaukee. In large part because of the value we were getting with the Giants. Now it's the Brewers who are showing big time value as a small home favorite in a big bounce back spot at home. 

Giants are getting love because they will have Madison Bumgarner on the mound, but he's struggled away from home. Bumgarner is just 2-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.340 WHIP in 8 road starts. Brewers will counter with Zach Davies, who is 7-2 with a strong 3.07 ERA in 18 starts. 

Going back to last year, Giants are 8-20 in Bumgarner's last 28 road starts. Brewers are 33-15 in their last 48 when revenging a home loss as a favorite. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE MONTH on White Sox +173

Easy play here on Chicago as a massive road dog against the A's on Friday. You might be thinking White Sox starter Ivan Nova is a guy you want to fade, given he's just 4-7 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 18 starts. 

However, Nova went into the break with a strong 3.57 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's also 2-0 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.273 WHIP in 4 starts vs the A's and Chicago is 5-1 this season when he starts as a dog of +150 or more. White Sox are also 4-1 in Nova's last 5 starts to open a series. Take Chicago! 

4* MLB -  Money Line NO-BRAINER on Giants +173

Absolutely love the value here with San Francisco as a massive road dog against the Brewers in the first game back from the All-Star break for both teams. These two went into the break headed in opposite directions. 

San Francisco was playing some of their best baseball, winning 6 of 7, which included a 3-game sweep at San Diego and taking 2 of 3 against St Louis at home. Brewers on the other hand have lost 5 of 6. 

Just hard to trust Milwaukee in this spot at this price, as they only send out Chase Anderson, who is just 3-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.288 WHIP in 12 starts. Anderson also owns a not so great 4.91 ERA in 8 starts vs San Fran. Giants are 7-3 in their last 10 series openers and the Brewers are 2-6 in their last 8 to open a series and 1-5 in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record. Take San Francisco! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Phillies +125

This is just too good a price to pass up on the Phillies at home. No question the Nationals were one of the hottest teams in the league going into the All-Star break, but Philadelphia is a rock-solid 27-17 at home this season.

As good as Washington has been playing, they are just 2-6 in their last 8 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Phillies will send out Nick Pivetta. While his numbers aren't great, Philadelphia has won each of his last 4 home starts and are 12-5 in his last 17 when he takes the mound in Game 1 of a series. Take Philadelphia! 

5* MLB - AL Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Astros -131

There might be some that are hesitant to back the Astros because they will be starting Framber Valdez, who is a mere 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in 4 starts. Valdez does have a a much more respectable 4.57 ERA on the season, as he has also made 14 relief appearances. Keep in mind this is also the same guy that had a sensational 2.19 ERA over 5 starts and 3 relief appearances last year. 

The price is simply too good to pass up. Houston is 70-32 as a road favorite of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons and are a dominant 20-8 this year as a favorite of -100 to -150 (home & away). Not to mention they are 26-7 vs other AL West teams this season. Take Houston! 

5* MLB - All-Star Game VEGAS INSIDER on American League -108

When you factor in just how dominant the AL has been in this All-Star Game, this is just too good a price to pass up. American League has won 6 straight and are 24-6-1 in the last 31 meetings. Not to say the NL roster doesn't have great players, I just think top to bottom the AL is hands down the better team. Take the American League! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pirates +105

Pittsburgh should have no problem here going into the All-Star break with a win at home against the Brewers. Milwaukee has not been playing well and likely need some time off to get back on track. Brewers have lost 4 of their last 5. After scoring just 2 runs on Saturday, Milwaukee has scored 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. 

Hard to see them snapping out of that funk against the red-hot arm of Pirates starter Joe Musgrave. He's got a 0.56 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 starts. While the Brewers are struggling to score, Pittsburgh comes in averaging 7.3 runs/game and are hitting .333 as a team over their last 7. 

Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 at home and 7-3 in their last 10 following a win. Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 or more runs and 1-4 in Anderson's last 5 road starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Phillies -103

Great spot and price here to jump on Philadelphia with ace Aaron Nola on the mound. Nola got off to a really disappointing start in 2019, but he seems to have figured things out headed into the All-Star break. Nola has a 0.39 ERA and 0.696 in his last 3 starts. 

That includes a recent start against these Mets, where he allowed just 1 hit over 7 scoreless innings. Phillies have won 6 of Nola's last 7 road starts. New York on the other hand is 2-8 in his last 10 vs a division foe and 1-8 in their last 9 vs a right-handed starter. Take Philadelphia! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Blue Jays -154

Really like Toronto to cash in a win here at home against the Orioles on Sunday. Blue Jays are going to be extra motivated to avoid another loss going into the break and being the first team to get swept by the Orioles this season. 

Toronto's offense was held in check the first two games of the series in large part to two great starting pitching efforts by Bundy and Cashner. Prior to scoring just 1 run the last 2 games the Blue Jays offense was rolling, scoring 6 or more runs in 8 straight games. 

I look for them to get back on track against Baltimore starter Asher Wojciechowski, who has not been good when given a chance at the big league level. His only other start of 2019 came on July 2nd at Tampa and he allowed 4 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks in 5 1/3 innings. Look for the Blue Jays to score early and often. Take Toronto!

5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Mariners +125

This is the ideal spot for Seattle to snap out of their funk and get a big win at home against division rival Oakland. Mariners will send out Marco Gonzales for this one and he's trending in the right direction with a 3.78 ERA in his last 3 starts. Even more important is Gonzales' strong track record against the A's, as he's 3-1 with a 3.81 ERA in 5 career starts. 

Oakland counters with Chris Bassitt, who has an ERA north of 4.00 in his last 3 starts and is 0-3 in 5 starts (1-4 team record) against the Mariners. Bassit faced Seattle back in June and gave up 4 runs on 5 hits and 4 walks in 5 2/3 innings of a 9-2 loss. Gonzalez was the opposing starter, and allowed just 1 earned run in 7 innings. 

Mariners are 17-8 in Gonzales' last 25 starts with a money line of -125 to +125. A's are 1-6 in Bassit's last 7 during Game 2 of a series and 0-6 in his last 6 starts on Saturday. Take Seattle! 

3* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies +145

Not only are we getting an excellent price here on the Phillies, this is an ideal spot to fade the reeling Mets. New York gave up 5 runs in the 9th inning to blow a gem by deGrom in Friday's 7-2 loss. The Mets are now 2-9 in their last 11. 

Mets offense has gone ice cold and will be up against Jake Arrieta, who despite his current form always seems to pitch well against the Mets. Arrieta has a 3.09 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 14 career starts vs New York. 

Phillies are a perfect 6-0 in Arrieta's last 6 after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. Mets are 1-7 in their last 8 off a loss and just 3-8 in Syndergaards last 11 starts vs a team that scored 5 or more last time out. Take Philadelphia! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Reds +115

The red-hot Cincinnati Reds are worth a look here as a home dog against the Indians. Cincinnati just took 3 of 4 at home against division rival Milwaukee and will be ready to roll against their in-state rivals. Reds pitching has been outstanding of late. Cincinnati Shutout the Brewers in the final 2 games of the series. 

Reds will turn to Anthony Desclafani for this one and he's got a strong 3.37 ERA in 6 home starts. Desclafani is also fresh off a great outing at home against the Cubs, allowing just 5 hits and 1 walk over 6 shutout innings. 

Indians will turn to Shane Bieber. He's off a strong outing as well, but the Indians are just 1-4 n his last 5 following a Quality Start. Reds are 9-2 in their last 11 at home and 5-1 in Desclafani's last 6 interleague starts. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Padres +177

San Diego is worth a shot at this price. Dodgers are way overvalued right now. LA has won 9 straight at home and just swept their short 2-game series against Arizona. The thing is, Dodgers could have easily lost both of those games. Both games they trailed 4-3 going into the bottom of the 9th and both times they found a way to win 5-4. 

With the All-Star break just a few days away, I also think LA could have a difficult time staying focused. I know Kershaw is going for the Dodgers, but the key here is Eric Lauer and his history of shutting down the LA offense. Lauer is 3-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 4 career starts vs the Dodgers. Take San Diego! 

5* MLB - AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays -121

As difficult as it may be to back Toronto with Aaron Sanchez on the mound, I like Sanchez to deliver the goods and for the Blue Jays to secure an easy win at home against division rival Baltimore. 

Orioles are simply the ideal team to fade on the road, no matter who is on the mound for the opposing team. Baltimore is 14-30 away from home this season, where they are getting outscored by 1.7 runs/game. 

Let's also not overlook how poor Baltimore starter Dylan Bundy has been of late. He's 0-3 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Orioles are just 4-12 in his 16 starts this season. O's have also dropped 12 straight when Bundy starts vs a team with a losing record. Take Toronto! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Pirates +107

Pittsburgh comes in off a loss to the Cubs Thursday, but 10-4 in their last 14 overall. I just love the value here with the Pirates as a home dog against division rival Milwaukee. 

While Pittsburgh is surging back into the thick of the NL Wild Card race (only 3 games back), the Brewers are going into the All-Star break in a bit of a funk. Milwaukee has lost 3 straight and were shutout in each of the last 2 games at Cincinnati. 

It can take a while of an offense to snap out of a slump like this. It will be that much tougher against Steven Brault, who not only has a 2.30 ERA in his last 3 starts, but owns a 2.92 ERA in 7 career starts against the Brewers. Take Pittsburgh! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Indians -117

Great value here with Cleveland as a small road favorite against the Royals. Indians are playing well headed into the All-Star break. They have already won the first two games in the series and are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. Royals have lost 3 straight and are just 1-6 in their last 7. 

Cleveland will send out Zach Plesac, who isn't a familiar name so he doesn't get the love as some of their other starters. However, he's got a 3.61 ERA and 1.110 WHIP in 7 starts. Royals counter with Homer Bailey and his 4.87 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 17 starts. Bailey also has a 5.03 ERA in 10 career starts against the Indians. Take Cleveland! 

5* MLB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +120

Cincinnati is worth a look here as a home dog. Reds have won 4 of 6 and have scored 5 or more in 4 of those games. No way should they be a dog here at home with the likes of Luis Castillo on the mound. Castillo is one of the best starters in the game. He's 7-3 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in 17 starts. He's got a 2.08 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 9 home starts. 

Milwaukee will send out Brandon Woodruff, who has a 4.29 ERA in 7 road starts and an ugly 8.68 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Reds. Brewers are just 1-5 in their lat 6 on the road and 1-4 in their last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Reds are 8-2 in their last 10 at home vs a team with a winning record and 10-4 in Castillo's last 14 at home in this spot. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB - Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Marlins +179

As tough as it can be to back Miami, this is just too good a price to pass up with the Marlins on the 4th of July. It's all about who Miami has on the mound. Elieser Hernandez has been really strong in his 4 starts, posting a 3.63 ERA and 0.985 WHIP. 

I also think it's important to note that this is not the same pathetic Marlins' offense that we saw the first couple months of the season. Miami is averaging 4.9 runs/game over their last 7 and will be up against a starter they can attack in Anibal Sanchez., who is just 4-6 in 15 starts. Sanchez owns a 1.326 WHIP on the season and Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 vs a starter with a WHIP more than 1.30. Take Miami! 

4* MLB - Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK on Royals +149

Kansas City is worth a look here as a big home dog against division rival Cleveland. The Indians have no business being this big a favorite with how poorly Mike Clevinger was in his first start back from the IL. Clevinger failed to get out of the 2nd inning at Baltimore, as he was pulled after giving up 7 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks. 

I just think it's going to take a few starts before he's back to anywhere close to his typical form. Royals will counter with one of their stronger starters in Danny Duffy, who is coming off back to back strong starts. Duffy first held the Twins to just 3 runs in 8 innings and then limited the Blue Jays to just 3 runs in 6 1/3 on the road. Take Kansas City! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on White Sox -130

Easy play here on the White Sox at home against the Tigers. Detroit is an easy fade, especially on the road. Tigers are having a miserable time scoring runs. They have scored a mere 11 runs in their last 5 games and that's with 7 of them coming in 1 game. Every other game they scored exactly 1 run. 

You might think this would be a good spot for them against a guy making his first ever big league start. However, Dylan Cease is one of Chicago's top prospects and definitely has the goods to keep this Detroit offense in check. 

White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 vs a left-handed starter and Detroit will be sending out struggling southpaw Daniel Norris, who is a mere 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in 14 starts. Take Chicago! 

5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Mariners +125

Huge value here with Seattle as a relatively big home dog against the Cardinals. Mariners come in having lost 4 straight, but no way should St Louis be getting this much love. Cardinals are just 1-5 in their last 6 and will send out the struggling Jack Flaherty, who has a awful 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 6.68 ERA and 1.663 WHIP in 7 road starts this season. 

Cardinals have lost 8 of Flaherty's last 11 road starts and are just 1-5 in his last 6 interleague outings. Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 at home.

Solid system in play here on Seattle. Home teams that are hitting .190 or worse over their last 5 games and are facing another cold-hitting team that is hitting .230 or worse over their last 20 are 43-17 (72%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Take Seattle! 

3* MLB - Vegas Undervalued UNDERDOG on A's +112

Easy play here on the A's as a home dog against the Twins. Oakland has really been playing well the last month. The A's come in having won 10 of their last 13 and are I don't see them slowing down the final week before the All-Star break. 

Minnesota is a top tier team, but they aren't exactly playing great right now. Twins have lost 6 of their last 11 and just lost a series on the road to the White Sox. Minnesota is getting love here with Jake Odorizzi on the mound, but he's got a 6.46 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in his last 3 starts and the Twins have lost 9 of his last 12 road starts vs a team with a winning record. 

A's will counter with Daniel Mengden, who returned to the rotation in style with 6 shutout innings at St Louis. A's have won 6 of his last 7 starts and are 7-3 in his last 10 at home. Take Oakland! 

5* MLB - NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Reds +104

Easy play here on the Reds at home in Monday's series opener against the Brewers. Cincinnati just took 2 of 3 at home against the Cubs over the weekend and scored 14 runs in the process. Brewers also won their series at home over the weekend against Pittsburgh, but they managed just 7 run in those 3 games. 

It continued Milwaukee's struggles at the plate. Brewers have scored 4 or fewer runs now in 6 straight games. Won't be easy getting back on track against Reds' starter Tyler Mahle, who has a strong 3.29 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 5 home starts. Mahle also owns a 2.53 ERA in 2 career starts (both last year) against the Brewers. 

Milwaukee is sending out Adrian Houser, who has made 3 starts and it hasn't been pretty. Houser owns a 9.00 ERA and 2.500 WHIP, as he's given up 8 runs on 15 hits and 5 walks in a mere 8 innings of work. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Cardinals +109

Easy play here on the Cardinals as a road dog against the Padres. St Louis will send out Miles Mikolas, who is trending in the right direction. Mikolas has a mere 4.33 ERA in 16 starts overall, but has a strong 3.37 ERA in his last 3 and is coming off two really strong outings. 

St Louis has gone 12-3 in Mikolas' last 15 starts after a team loss in his last start. Cardinals are also  a strong 14-6 in Mikolas' last 20 road starts and 10-3 in their last 13 during game 3 of a series. Take St Louis! 

3* MLB - Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Reds +117

Really like the value here with Cincinnati as a home dog against division rival Chicago. Cubs are simply getting too much respect here with Jon Lester on the mound, as he has really struggled on the road. Lester has an ugly 5.82 ERA and 1.441 WHIP in 6 road starts. 

Reds counter with Anthony DeSclafani who struggled last time out at Milwaukee, but the start before held the Astros to just 1 run in 5 1/3 inning at home. Cincinnati as a team is 5-1 in their last 6 at home and have won 7 of their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take Cincinnati!

5* MLB - Vegas Insider Top Play on Royals +117

Kansas City is worth a look here as a road dog against the Blue Jays on Sunday. Royals are going to be highly motivated here after losing the first two game of the series. I also think it's worth a shot here to fade Toronto starter Aaron Sanchez at this price. 

Sanchez is a mere 3-10 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.702 WHIP in 17 starts overall. He's 0-3 with an awful 15.75 ERA and 2.667 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Sanchez allowed at least 7 runs in all 3 of those outings. Take Kansas City!

5* MLB - Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Cardinals +121

Absolutely love the value here with St Louis as a decently priced road dog against the Padres on Saturday. San Diego won the series opener 3-1 on Friday, but that was a big flat spot for St Louis in their first game on the west coast after a long homestand. 

I look for a much more focused and energized Cardinals team on Saturday and they got just the guy on the mound to get them out of their funk. Dakota Hudson is 6-3 with a 3.39 ERA in 15 starts. He's trending even better with a 2.25 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in his last 3. Guy has made 8 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs and went at least 6 innings. 

Padres will counter with Chris Paddack, who seems to be hitting a bit of a slump after a great start to 2019. Paddack has an ugly 6.28 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's averaging over strikeout/9 innings, yet only recorded 1 K in his last outing at Pittsburgh. 

Padres have lost each of his last 4 starts and the Cardinals are a perfect 7-0 in Hudson's last 7 starts. Take St Louis! 

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Cubs +110

This is just too good a price to pass up with Chicago. The Cubs will be extra motivated off a loss on Friday and I like them to deliver the good on Saturday. Reds will have their ace Luis Castillo on the mound, but he's coming off a poor start at Milwaukee and has a staggering 11 walks in his last 2 starts. Castillo has faced the Cubs 7 times and only twice has he been able to complete at least 6 innings. 

Quintana is off a horrible start, but got some extra rest and the Cubs are 6-1 in his last 7 when he's throwing on 6 days of rest.

Adding to this is a great system. Road teams with a money line of +125 to -125 with a decent bullpen are 38-14 (73%) against the money line when facing an NL starter with an ERA of 2.70 or better. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB - Early Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Yankees -132

I really like the value here with the Yankees in Saturday's anticipated clash with rival Boston in a short two-game series overseas in London. New York is on quite a roll right now. Yankees have won 3 straight and are 11-1 in their last 12. They have a commanding 7-game lead in the AL East. 

Key here is the starting pitching matchup, which I feel heavily favors the Yankees with Masahiro Tanaka going up against Rick Porcello. Tanaka is trending in the right direction with a 2.49 ERA and 0.877 WHIP. In his last 2 starts he's allowed just 2 runs in 15 innings and that was against two really good teams in the Rays and Astros. Porcello is off an awful start at home against the Blue Jays, allowing 5 runs on 8 hits and 4 walks in 6 innings. Take New York! 

3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Brewers -137

Brewers should have no problem securing a win at home against division rival Pittsburgh on Friday. Milwaukee has own the Pirates this season with a 6-1 record overall and 3-0 mark at home. 

Also hard to not like your chances with the Brewers high-powered offense against the struggling Chris Archer. Archer has a 6.75 ERA and 1.562 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also a miserable 0-3 with a 8.41 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 5 road starts. 

Pittsburgh is just 3-8 in Archer's last 11 starts vs a team with a winning record and 2-8 in his last 10 on the road. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB - Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Mets -124

Easy play here on the Mets as a small home favorite with ace and reigning Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom on the mound. It's exactly who New York needs on the mound to put an end to their 5-game losing streak. Big thing to note is all 5 losses were on the road. Mets are a strong 20-14 at home this season and have won 12 of their 16 at home vs a right-handed starter. 

deGrom had his struggles early on, but is back in form. He's got a 2.53 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also owned the Braves with a ridiculous 1.88 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 19 career starts vs Atlanta. Take New York! 

5* MLB - AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on A's +145

Love the value here with Oakland as a big road dog against the Angels. A's have really been playing well of late. Oakland just swept a short 2-game series at St Louis and are now 7-2 in their last 9 games. Angels are off a couple of wins against Cincinnati, but that's nothing to get excited about. 

A's are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a dominant 12-4 in their last 16 series openers. I know LA has a strong starter in Canning going, but A's are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs an AL starter with a WHIP less than 1.200. Take Oakland! 

4* MLB - Money Line NO-BRAINER on Brewers -170

I got no problem laying big juice with Milwaukee at home in Thursday's series finale against the Mariners. Seattle has won the first two games of the series, which means we are going to get a highly motivated and focused Milwaukee team in this one. 

This is also the prime spot for Houston's offense to get back on track. Seattle's Mike Leake is fresh off a miserable outing at home against the Orioles, where he allowed 8 runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings. 

Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 when playing at home with double revenge over the last two seasons. Mariners are 1-6 in Leake's last 7 road starts and 1-7 in his last 8 on the road vs a team with a winning record. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets +135

Absolutely love the value here with the Mets as a decently priced road dog against the Phillies. Philadelphia has won the first two of the series, but it has them way overvalued in this one. Phillies will send out Nick Pivetta, who has an awful 5.84 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 6 home starts. Pivetta also owns a 6.23 ERA and 1.648 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Mets. 

New York will counter with Jason Vargas, who has a strong 3.20 ERA in 12 starts this season. Even more important is how well Vargas has pitched against the Phillies. He's made 4 career starts against them and has a 2.57 era and 1.143 WHIP. Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 after losing the first 2 games of a series. Philadelphia is 2-8 in Pivetta's last 10 starts vs a division opponent. Take New York! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Rockies -136

Easy play here on the Rockies as a small road favorite against the Giants. Colorado is hands down the better team in this matchup and they have the better starter going in this one. 

Rockies will send out German Marquez, who is 7-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 17 starts.  A lot of people see an ERA over 4.00 and assume he's not been very good. A big reason for that is he's basically starting half his games at Coors Field.

Marquez has a 3.02 ERA and 0.794 WHIP in 8 road starts. Last time out he started at Dodgers and limited LA to 1 earned run on 5 hits in 8 innings. Giants will turn to Jeff Samardzija, who has a 6.61 ERA and 1.837 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Colorado! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks +130

Arizona is worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Dodgers. No question who the better team is, but no way should LA be favored on the road with a guy making his first ever big league start. 

Even with yesterday's win the Dodgers are just 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs a team with a losing record. Dbacks will send out a rookie of their own in Taylor Clarke, whose overall numbers aren't great. However, Clarke pitched well at home against these same Dodgers earlier this month, giving up just 2 earned runs in 5 innings. Take Arizona! 

5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Cardinals -127

Love the value here with St Louis as a relatively small home favorite against the A's. Cardinals are 7-4 in their last 11 and come in having scored 4 or more in 4 straight games. 

St Louis will send out Jack Flaherty to start this one. If you just look at Flaherty's overall numbers you might miss the value here, as he's just 4-4 with a 4.24 ERA in 15 starts. Flaherty is simply a different pitcher at home compared to on the road, as he's got a 2.49 ERA and sensational 0.830 WHIP with 53 strikeouts in 47 innings over 8 home starts. 

St Louis is a perfect 10-0 this season at home vs great power teams that are averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game, while A's are 3-13 in their last 16 vs an NL team that is scoring 4.5 or more runs/game. Take St Louis! 

3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Cubs +108

This is just too good a price to pass up with Chicago at home. Cubs won the series opener 8-3 on Monday and are now 28-14 at Wrigley Field this season. Atlanta has been playing well, but are now playing their 5th straight on the road. 

I also think Braves' starter Max Fried is a little overvalued right now. Fried had a 2.30 ERA at the end of April. It was up to 3.19 after a sluggish May and is up to 4.03 after a miserable month of June, where he's posted a 6.53 ERA in 4 starts. 

Cubs will have Adbert Alzolay on the mound and there's a ton of excitement surrounding one of the clubs top prospects. He pitched great in 4 innings of relief in his first big league action. He came in the 5th inning and didn't allow a hit until serving up a solo homer in the 9th. I look for him to pitch well. Take Chicago! 

3* MLB - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Tigers +130

Solid value here with the Tigers as a home dog against the Rangers. Texas is just 14-21 on the road compared to 28-15 at home. Rangers are being forced here to turn "Opener" Jesse Chavez into a legit starter here. While Chavez has been great in his previous role, it doesn't mean he will perform well here. 

Texas has dropped 13 of their last 19 series openers and are a miserable 1-6 in their last 7 after a day off. 

Adding to this is a great system in play on Detroit. Home underdogs that are a poor power team (0.9 or less HR's/game) and facing a pitcher that hasn't started in 7 or more days are 52-37 (58.4%) over the last 5 seasons. Take Detroit! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Giants +125

San Francisco is worth a look here as a small home dog against division rival Colorado. It's one thing to try and bounce back from a tough loss, it's whole different animal trying to recover from what the Rockies just experienced over the weekend. 

Colorado was swept in a 3-game series at Los Angeles, where a Dodgers rookie player ended the game on a walk-off homer. Giants took 2 of 3 at Arizona and in that series they won their 6th straight series opener. Take San Francisco! 

5* MLB - NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Dodgers -133

Easy play here on the Dodgers as a small road favorite. LA comes in having won 6 straight and are off a 3-game sweep against the Rockies, where they won all 3 games in walk-off fashion. Arizona is 1-6 in their last 7 and while they won yesterday at SF, they scored just 3 runs in the process.

Offense just isn't clicking right now and it's hard to see them snapping out of that funk against Clayton Kershaw, who is 7-1 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Diamondbacks will have their ace on the mound in Zack Greinke, but he's coming off a start at home where he gave up 5 runs to the Rockies. Greinke also allowed 7 runs on 7 hits in 3 2/3 innings in his only start vs LA this season. 

Dodgers are 56-13 in Kershaw's last 69 starts vs a division opponent and 43-16 in his last 59 during game 1 of a series. Take Los Angeles! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Giants +131

Easy play here on San Francisco. The Giants have won the first two games of the series, which both came after the call-up of Alex Dickerson, who has come out of nowhere to carry the San Francisco offense. Dickerson has gone 5 for 9, hitting for the cycle in the process. Giants have scored 18 runs in the two wins. 

Diamondbacks have lost 6 straight, as they were swept at home in their previous series by the Rockies. Arizona has struggled to get their offense going and I look for that to continue against the Giants Shaun Anderson. He's been solid of late, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight and 6 of his 7 starts overall. Take San Francisco!

5* MLB - Vegas HEAVY HITTER Top Play on Dodgers -208

I got zero problem laying the big juice with Los Angeles on the road against the Rockies. LA is the best team in the NL and have Kenta Maeda starting at home, where he is 5-1 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.757 WHIP in 6 starts. 

Maeda has also owned Colorado in his career. He's faced them 9 times as a starter and owns a sensational 2.56 ERA and 1.044 WHIP. Chances are Maeda will hold form, but even if he's not at his best he should get plenty of runs support. Rockies are countering with Antonio Senzatela, who has a ERA over 5.00 in 13 starts and a 7.20 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his only start against the Dodgers. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Padres -142

I'm confident the Padres will avoid the sweep in the series finale at Pittsburgh. San Diego's offense has been held in check the first two games of the series, but are poised to breakout here with Steven Brault on the mound for the Pirates. 

San Diego will counter with Joey Lucchesi, who is one of the more underrated starters in the league. Lucchesi just keeps getting better. He's got a 3.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He was dominant in his most recent out against the Brewers, holding Milwaukee to a mere 3 hits over 7 shutout innings. 

Pirates are just 2-8 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and are just 3-8 in their last 11 off a win. Take San Diego! 

4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Rangers -181

I got no problem laying the big juice here with Texas at home agains the White Sox. Rangers are one of the more underrated teams in the league. Texas will be eager to get back on the field after last night's loss to Chicago and they are in a prime spot to get the win. 

Rangers will send out veteran Lance Lynn, who has been throwing like an ace of late. Lynn enters with a 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He's been throwing like this for a while now, as he's pitched at least 6 innings in 10 straight starts and has gone 8 straight giving up 3 or fewer runs. Take Texas! 

3* MLB Money Line DESTROYER on Yankees -154

Easy play here on the Yankees at home against the Astros Saturday. New York handed Houston their sixth straight loss with a 4-1 win on Friday. New York has now won 7 straight and I'm confident the make it 8 in a row. 

Yankees have a clear edge on the mound with Masahiro Tanaka against the likes of Wade Miley. Tanaka has a strong 3.23 ERA in 15 starts, but owns an even stronger 2.83 ERA an 1.081 WHIP in 9 home starts. Miley has a solid 3.30 ERA in 15 starts, but is just 2-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in 8 road starts. Take New York!

5* MLB - NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Braves +115

Love the value here with Atlanta as a small road dog against the Nationals. Washington has won 5 straight, but will send out Anibal Sanchez. He's just 3-6 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.355 WHIP in 13 starts. Braves are a solid 21-13 in their last 34 on the road after losing 2 of their previous 3. They are also a dominant 9-1 in their last 10 off a 1-run loss. 

Braves will have Mike Foltynewiczs will start for Atlanta and he's pitched well against the Nationals in his career and Atlanta is a 6-1 in his last 7 starts vs a division opponent. Take Atlanta!

3* MLB - Money Line MASSACRE on Twins -145

Minnesota is worth a look here on the road against the Royals. This feels like quite the bargain, as we get one of the best teams in baseball at less than -150 against one of the worst teams in the league. 

Doesn't hurt the Twins will have Martin Perez on the mound, who despite some recent struggles, still comes in at 6-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 12 stats. Perez has a strong 3.08 ERA in 4 career starts against the Royals. 

KC will send out Jake Junis, who has a not so great 5.34 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in 15 starts. Junis also owns a 5.68 ERA in 8 road starts and a 4.55 ERA and 1.807 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Twins. Take Minnesota! 

3* MLB - Vegas ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Angels -108

I like the Angels to win the series opener Friday night in St Louis. It's hard to believe, but this will mark the first time that Albert Pujols will play a game in St Louis since he was a member of the Cardinals way back in 2011. This isn't just another series for LA, especially the opener. They want this to be a memorable return. 

It helps St Louis will have the struggling Michael Wacha on the mound. Wacha is off another poor outing, as he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits in 4 innings at the Mets. Wacha now has a 5.40 ERA and 1.658 WHIP in 11 starts. He's been downright awful at home, posting a 8.23 ERA and 2.033 WHIP in 4 home starts. Take Los Angeles! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Astros +145

Really like the value here with Houston as a big road dog against the Yankees. Astros are due for a win to say the least, as they come in having lost 5 straight. New York on the other hand is due for a loss after winning 6 straight. 

That's not all. Yankees starter, James Paxton, has a 7.42 ERA and 1.874 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Last time he started at home, he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits in 2 2/3 innings. Astros will send out Brad Peacock, who has a strong 3.77 ERA and 1.144 WHIP in 13 starts. 

Astros are 8-3 in Peacock's last 11 road starts vs a team with a winning record and are 37-14 in their last 51 road games vs a left-handed starter. Take Houston! 

5* MLB - AL Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays +140

Love the Blue Jays here as a home dog against the Angels. I won on the Angels each of the last two days, but now is the time to shift gears and take the other side. Toronto is going to be extremely motivated here to avoid getting swept in this 4-game series with LA. 

Big flat spot for LA. Angels won 11-6 on Wednesday and Toronto is 12-5 in their last 17 home games after allowing 9 or more runs. LA is also a mere 2-10 in their last 12 vs a starter that is winless after 5 or more starts. Clayton Richard is 0-3 with a 7.52 ERA in 5 starts. However, Richard was outstanding last year against the Angels, giving up just 2 runs on 4 hits in 8 innings. Take Toronto! 

4* MLB - Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER on Rangers +120

Texas is showing big time value here as a home dog to the Indians. Cleveland is coming off a couple of high-scoring wins and are overvalued because of it. No way should the Rangers be a dog at home with the likes of Mike Minor on the mound. 

Minor has a 2.63 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 15 starts. He's got a 2.25 ERA over his last 3 starts and a 2.18 ERA in 7 home starts. It's been hit or miss for Indians starter Shane Bieber. He was sharp last time out against a bad Detroit lineup, but prior to that he gave up 5 runs in 1 2/3 innings at home to New York. 

Indians are a mere 4-19 in their last 23 vs an AL starter with an ERA of 2.90 or better. Take Texas! 

3* MLB - Late Night ANNIHILATOR on Rockies +133

I love the value here with Colorado. I get the Diamondbacks will have ace Zack Greinke on the mound, but he's facing a Rockies offense, most notably Charlie Blackmon, that's hitting the cover off the ball. Blackmon can tie MLB history with a sixth straight game with 3 or more hits. That's now 56 runs in their last 5 games for Colorado. 

I also think it helps the Rockies to have already faced Greinke twice this season. The more you see a pitcher the more comfortable you are going to be. Rockies have gone 20-8 in their last 28 after a win where they held a division foe to 1 or fewer runs. Take Colorado! 

3* MLB - Money Line DESTROYER on Braves -147

Atlanta is worth a play at this price on their home field. Mets won yesterday's matchup by a score of 10-2, but they also had the reigning Cy Young on the mound in deGrom. Prior to that the Braves had gone 10-1 in their previous 11 games. They had also scored 5 or more runs in 9 straight prior to Tuesday. 

Look for Atlanta's offense to return to form. New York will have Steven Matz on the mound and he's got a 5.79 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 7 road starts. Atlanta will have Max Fried on the mound. He's struggled a bit of late, but has been consistently strong at home (3.54 ERA and 1.106 WHIP). Take Atlanta! 

5* MLB - Early Bird VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Astros -166

I'm confident the Astros will secure a road win at Cincinnati. Houston enters having lost 3 straight, but they are going to get a huge boost here with the return of Jose Altuve. Anytime you add a MVP-type player back into your lineup, it provides a spark to the other players. 

It doesn't hurt that Houston will also have the edge on the mound. Astros send out the surging Gerrit Cole, who has a solid but not great 3.67 ERA in 15 starts. However, Cole has been elite here of late. Last two starts he's given up a mere 3 earned runs on 7 hits with 24 strikeouts in 13 innings. 

Tyler Mahle will start for the Reds and he's headed in the other direction. Mahle has a 5.65 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Houston! 

3* MLB - Vegas Money Line MASSACRE on Diamondbacks -135

I really like Arizona in Tuesday's series opener against the Rockies. Colorado is coming off quite the 4-game series at home against the Padres. The two teams combined for a ridiculous 92 runs in those 4 games, the most in a 4-game series in 90 years. No need to debate it, Rockies' players have already stated how draining that series was. 

A flat Colorado team that no longer has the thin air of Coors Field to help them could struggle to get their offense going against Arizona's Merrill Kelly. In his last 3 starts, Kelly has looked like a Cy Young candidate, posting a 0.81 ERA and 0.627 WHIP. 

Rockies will counter with Antonio Senzatela, who has a mere 5.48 ERA and 1.625 WHIP in 12 starts. Senzatela is also fresh off a bad outing at home against the Cubs, allowing 8 runs on 8 hits in 4 innings of work. Take Arizona! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Twins +110

I'll gladly back Minnesota as a home dog against the Red Sox. No way should the Twins be a home dog. Minnesota has the best record in the league at 47-24 and are 23-12 at home this season. 

Boston is getting love with David Price on the mound, but he's coming off a dreadful outing at home against the Rangers. Price gave up 6 runs on 5 hits, recording just 4 outs before getting pulled. 

As for Twins starter Michael Pineda, he's got a strong 3.78 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Pineda has allowed 3 or fewer hits in 2 of his last 3 starts. Twins are 21-6 in their last 27 off a loss and 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 2 or fewer runs. Take Minnesota! 

5* MLB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Angels -107

Easy play here on the Angels as a small favorite at Toronto. Los Angeles is a team to watch out for right now. Angels just got back Justin Upton and not that long ago Ohtani was added to the mix. Upton homered in his first at-bat back and Ohtani has been red-hot of late. I look for that offense to be able to get to Blue Jays starter Marcus Stroman. 

Not only do I see the Angels putting up a big number, Toronto's offense is one of the worst in the league. Especially at home. Blue Jays are only averaging 3.7 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team on their home field this season. Tyler Skaggs of LA hasn't been great, but Toronto is just 17-43 in their last 16 vs a left-handed starter and are 3-7 in Stroman's last 10 home starts. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB - Vegas Money Line HEAVY HITTER on Brewers +115

Absolutely love the value here with Milwaukee as an underdog against the Padres. Brewers avoided getting swept at San Francisco with a 5-3 win on Sunday. Milwaukee is getting no lover here because of how bad starter Jhoulys Chacin has been in 2019. The key here is Chacin's is healthy coming off the IL and is a guy that we know can perform at a high level. 

Padres put on an offensive show with the Rockies at Coors Field over the weekend (two combined for 92 runs in 4 games). I know they are returning home after a road trip and that should be a positive, but I think it's a big flat spot off that series with Colorado. Let's also not forget that San Diego has struggled at home this season. Take Milwaukee! 

5* MLB - Interleague PLAY OF THE WEEK on Reds -110

I got no problem backing the Reds as a small home favorite against the Astros. Not very often you see Houston as a dog, especially against a team with a losing record. That speaks volumes to the respect the books have for Cincinnati starter Luis Castillo and rightfully so. 

Castillo is 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.090 WHIP over 14 starts and has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 7 home starts. He's definitely catching a break in this one, as Houston is minus 3 of their best players in Altuve, Correa and Springer (all on IL). 

Also got to love the Reds coming into this game off a big offensive performance, as they scored 11 runs in yesterday's 8-run win over the Rangers. Astros starter, Wade Miley, has a mediocre 4.50 ERA and 1.316 WHIP in 7 road starts. Take Cincinnati! 

5* MLB - Sunday Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Dodgers -162

The Dodgers are an easy play for me on Sunday Night Baseball against the Cubs. Chicago won on Saturday, barely squeaking out a 2-1 win. LA had won the first two in the series behind strong offensive showings.

Look for them to get back on track agains the struggling Jose Quintana. It's been a big struggle for Quintana when he's not starting at Wrigley Field. He's a mere 1-3 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.466 WHIP in 6 road starts. 

Dodgers counter with Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has to be your early Cy Young favorite. Ryu is 9-1 with a 1.36 ERA and 0.802 WHIP over 13 starts. He's a perfect 6-0 with a 1.01 ERA and 0.649 WHIP in 6 home starts. Take Los Angeles! 

4* MLB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Reds -156

Really like Cincinnati in this spot. Reds are going to be highly motivated to get a win after dropping the first two games in the series. They have just the guy on the mound to make sure they secure the win. 

Reds will turn to Sonny Gray, who comes in great form with a 3.24 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Gray has enjoyed every chance he gets at facing the Rangers. He's 8-3 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.132 WHIP over 13 starts. Reds are 10-4 in their last 14 off a loss and 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. Take Cincinnati! 

3* MLB - Undervalued DOG OF THE DAY on Tigers +144

I really like the value we are getting with Detroit as a home division dog against the Indians. Cleveland has won the first two games in the series, but it has them way overvalued in the finale. 

I also think there's a bit of an overreaction with Trevor Bauer's last start. Bauer allowed just 1 run in 7 2/3 innings at home against the Reds. However, he walked 5 guys in that outing and was 0-5 with a 5.52 ERA in his previous 7 starts. 

Tigers will have one of their top starters going in Spencer Turnbull. He's quietly sitting there with a 2.78 ERA over his 14 starts of 2019 and has a 2.12 ERA in his last 3 outings. Take Detroit! 

4* MLB - Vegas Money Line NO-BRAINER on Mets -137

I got no problem laying a little juice with the Mets at home against the Cardinals on Saturday. St Louis comes in having won 4 of 5, including the first two in this series, but it has them getting too much respect in a very favorable matchup for New York. 

St Louis will be turning to Michael Wacha, who has 4.95 ERA and 1.632 WHIP in 10 starts. Wacha just hasn't been himself in 2019 and has walked 31 guys in 52 2/3 innings. He was so bad early on he had to be removed from the rotation. 

Mets will counter with Noah Syndergaard, who after a slow start of his own has really come alive. Syndergaard has a 2.75 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Note Cards won 9-5 on Friday and are 0-7 this season in road games after a win by 4 or more runs. Take New York! 

5* MLB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE WEEK on Rangers +110

Easy play here on Texas as a road dog against the slumping Reds. Not sure what the books are seeing in Cincinnati in this one. Reds lost 7-1 in the series opener last night and are just 3-7 in their last 10 overall. 

Biggest problem for Cincinnati is the offense. Reds have scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of those 10 games. Hard to see them snapping out of their slump against the likes of the Rangers Mike Minor. In 14 starts so far in 2019, Minor has posted a 2.52 ERA and 1.175 WHIP and he's stayed true to form of late with a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 starts. 

Key here is the Rangers can score. Texas has put up 4 or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Red starter Tanner Roark has a not so great 4.50 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Texas! 

3* MLB - Sharp Money Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Giants -104

I think the books have made a huge mistake here with the line for Saturday's MLB action between the Giants and Brewers. Milwaukee is the better team and the Giants are not a public team, making them way undervalued in this spot. 

Brewers are a long way from home with a guy on the mound that was really bad in his last start. Jimmy Nelson missed more than a full season and in his first start back gave up 5 runs in 3 innings to the Marlins of all teams. Chances are he's going to take a minute to get into form. 

While he figures to get hit hard, San Fran will have veteran ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound to keep the Brewers offense in check. Bumgarner has underachieved to this point, but does have a strong 2.84 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take San Francisco!