20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-113)

The Atlanta Braves have a lot to play for right now as they are 1.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for first place in the NL East.  They are rested having yesterday off, while the Nationals played yesterday and will be playing their 6th game in 5 days.  The Braves have a big advantage on the mound over the lowly Nationals tonight.

Max Fried has been dominant for a couple months now.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts.  Fried has gone 4-1 with a 1.76 ERA in those seven starts, allowing just 9 earned runs in 46 innings.  He is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last two starts against the Nationals this season, allowing just 2 earned runs in 12 innings.

Paulo Espino is 4-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 14 starts for the Nationals, including 1-0 with a 5.21 ERA in five home starts.  Espino faced the Braves once this season on August 15th, allowing 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings.

The Braves are 39-13 in Fried's last 52 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher, outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 17-42 in their last 59 games overall, including 6-20 in their last 26 road games.  Atlanta is 25-10 in the last 35 meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Run Line ANNIHILATOR on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-107)

The Tampa Bay Rays are 15-3 in their last 18 games overall with 14 wins by two runs or more.  The Minnesota Twins are 0-4 in their last four games with all four losses by two runs or more.  It should be more of the same Sunday.

The Rays have the advantage on the mound behind Louis Patino, who is 3-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in six home starts this season.  Griffin Jax is 2-3 with a 6.37 ERA and 1.366 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Twins.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Minnesota is 1-10 in its last 11 road games after scoring four runs or less in four straight games.  The Rays are 47-19 in their last 66 Sunday games.  Tampa Bay is 51-15 in its last 66 games following a win.  The Ryas are 66-19 in their last 85 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Roll with the Rays on the Run line Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last seven games overall as they make their push for the postseason.  One of the teams they are chasing is the A's, who they are trying to sweep today.  They have scored 11 and 10 runs in the first two games of this series, so they are clearly swinging the bats well.

Now the Blue Jays won't even need that much run support to cover this Run Line.  That's because one of the best starters in baseball goes today for them.  Robbie Ray has amazingly allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in 27 consecutive starts.  Ray has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts, and 3 earned runs or fewer in 16 of his last 17 starts.

Cole Irvin has allowed 3 earned runs or more in each of his last four starts.  The Blue Jays will tag him today.  Oakland is 0-7 this season after a game where the bullpen gave up 5 earned runs or more.  It is coming back to lose by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-105)

The Atlanta Braves come in highly motivated for a victory after getting swept by the Dodgers last series with their three losses coming by a combined four runs.  They just got done playing the Dodgers, Giants and Yankees the last three series and now take a big step down in competition against the Rockies and should dominate Game 1 of this series.

The Braves have a big advantage on the mound that should have them winning by two runs or more.  Touki Toussant has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in four starts away from home.

Chi Chi Gonzalez hasn't been good anywhere.  He is 2-5 with a 6.15 ERA in 16 starts for the Rockies this season, including 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA in his last three while allowing 14 earned runs in 12 innings.

The Braves are 18-4 after losing four of their last five games coming in over the last three seasons.  They are coming back to win by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  Atlanta is 41-14 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last three seasons, winning by 2.3 runs per game.  Roll with the Braves on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-126)

The Baltimore Orioles are 3-23 in their last 26 games overall with a whopping 21 losses by two runs or more.  That's a big reason I'm willing to lay this juice on the Run Line on the Toronto Blue Jays, who need a big finish to make the postseason and won't be taking the Orioles lightly.  They'll come back highly motivated after an upset loss to the Orioles yesterday.

The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Steven Matz, who is 10-7 with a 3.81 ERA in 23 starts this season.  Matz has been very good of late, going 1-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in his last three starts.

Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade in all of baseball.  He is 6-14 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.508 WHIP in 26 starts this season.  Harvey is also 0-2 with an 8.56 ERA in three starts against the Blue Jays this season, allowing 13 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.

Baltimore is 2-29 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or rose this season.  It is getting outscored by an average of 4.0 runs per game in this spot in these 31 games.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-147)

The Baltimore Orioles are 2-23 in their last 25 games overall with a whopping 21 losses by two runs or more.  That's a big reason I'm willing to lay this juice on the Run Line on the Toronto Blue Jays, who need a big finish to make the postseason and won't be taking the Orioles lightly.

The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning by two runs or more.  Hyun-Jin Ryu is 12-7 with a 3.88 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in 25 starts this season.  He has never lost to the Orioles, going 4-0 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.173 WHIP in six career starts against them.  That includes 3-0 in 2021 alone with the Blue Jays winning those games by 8, 8 and 3 runs.

Keegan Akin is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-8 with a 7.86 ERA and 1.842 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 0-5 with a 9.73 ERA and 2.163 WHIP in seven road starts.  Akin is 0-1 with a 7.72 ERA and 1.630 WHIP in three career starts against the Blue Jays as well.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 12-4 loss to Toronto in his lone start against them in 2021.

Baltimore is 1-29 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season, losing by 4.1 runs per game on average.  Ryu's teams are 55-17 in his 72 career starts against teams with losing records, and they are winning by 2.8 runs per game.  Toronto is 14-1 vs. a starting pitcher with worse than a 20% winning percentage and winning by 4.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-155)

The Baltimore Orioles are 2-22 in their last 24 games overall with a whopping 20 losses by two runs or more.  That's a big reason I'm willing to lay this juice on the Run Line with the Toronto Blue Jays, who need a big finish to make the postseason and won't be taking the Orioles lightly.

Robbie Ray is one of my favorite starters to back this season.  Ray is 9-5 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 13 home starts.  He has a whopping 192 K's in 152 1/3 innings this season.

Amazingly, Ray has allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in 26 consecutive starts, including 3 or fewer in 23 of those.  He'll be opposed by Chris Ellis, who will be making just his second start of the season after allowing 3 earned runs in 3 innings against the Angels in his first start on August 25th.

The Orioles are 11-40 in their last 51 road games.  The Blue Jays are 83-39 in their last 122 home meetings.  Toronto is 37-17 in the last 54 meetings overall.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-109)

The Cincinnati Reds have a big advantage on the mound today over the Miami Marlins that should have them winning this game by two runs or more to cover this Run Line.

Tyler Mahle is 10-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in 26 starts for the Reds this season.  Mahle has been at his best on the road, going 7-1 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.996 WHIP in 14 starts away from home.  He has also posted a 3.27 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two career starts against Miami.

Jesus Lazardo has been a dumpster fire this season for the Marlins.  He is 3-6 with a 7.51 ERA and 1.847 WHIP In 11 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 9.94 ERA and 2.368 WHIP in his last three starts.

The Reds are 30-12 in their last 42 games as favorites.  Cincinnati is 20-7 in its last 27 during Game 3 of a series.  Miami is 1-8 in its last nine vs. a team with a winning record.  The Marlins are 19-40 in their last 59 games as underdogs.  Cincinnati is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings.  Roll with the Reds on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-140)

The Chicago Cubs are a dumpster fire right now.  They are just 14-41 in their last 55 games overall and just allowed 17 runs to the Chicago White Sox yesterday.  The White Sox are now 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Cubs recently while winning all four games by two runs or more.  It should be more of the same today.

The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today with Cy Young contender Lance Lynn, who is 10-3 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.048 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 6-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 14 home starts.  Lynn held the Cubs to one earned run in 6 innings of an 8-6 victory on August 6th in his lone start against them this season.

Alec Mills is 3-6 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.378 WHIP in 13 starts this season for the Cubs.  Mills just allowed 6 earned runs and 11 hits in 4 innings of a 9-1 loss to the lowly Kansas City Royals in his last start.  He will get rocked by a hot White Sox offense that has now scored 27 combined runs in their last two games.

Lynn's teams are 47-16 in his 63 career home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  They are winning by 1.7 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Cubs are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games.  The White Sox are 59-27 in their last 86 home games.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-105)

Death, taxes and Adam Wainwright owns the Pittsburgh Pirates.  Wainwright is 6-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last six starts against the Pirates, allowing just 4 earned runs in 42 innings.  He has allowed just one earned run in 23 innings across three starts against the Pirates in 2021 alone.

It's no fluke as Wainwright has had a career resurrection this season, going 12-7 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 25 starts, including 2-1 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.652 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Steven Brault, who is 1-3 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.413 WHIP in eight career starts against the Cardinals.

St. Louis is 7-0 in Wainwright's last seven starts against the Pirates with all seven wins coming by two runs or more.  The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight road games.  St. Louis is 42-19 in the last 61 meetings, including 22-4 in the last 26 meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-140)

The Tampa Bay Rays are 8-1 in their last nine games overall with all eight wins coming by two runs or more.  They have scored 7 or more runs in seven of those nine games and are hitting the cover off the ball right now.

Now they take on a Baltimore Orioles team that they have owned this season.  Indeed, the Rays are 15-1 against the Orioles in 2021 with 13 of those wins coming by two runs or more.  They take on a struggling Orioles team that is 2-19 in their last 21 games overall with 18 of those losses coming by two runs or more.

The Rays have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Shane McClanahan, who is 8-4 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  McClanahan owns the Orioles, going 3-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in three starts against them in 2021 with the Rays winning those games by 5, 9 and 6 runs.

Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade in all of baseball.  He is 6-13 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.544 WHIP In 25 starts this season, including 2-8 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.626 WHIP in 12 home starts.  Harvey is 0-2 with a 15.62 ERA and 2.208 WHIP in two starts against the Rays in 2021, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 1/3 innings.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-140)

The Boston Red Sox have scored 25 combined runs in their last three games.  They will give Chris Sale plenty of run support tonight, and he's not going to need much.  Sale dominated in the minors leading up to his return from the IL and that has carrier over.

Indeed, Sale is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his two starts while allowing just 2 earned runs with 13 K's in 10 innings.  Now he'll shut down the Minnesota Twins.  Sale is 1-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last three starts against the Twins, allowing just 3 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings with 30 K's.

John Gant is 4-7 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in 15 starts this season while averaging just 4.5 innings per start.  Gant has really struggled of late, going 0-3 with a 7.72 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 10 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings.

The Twins are 11-28 in their last 39 games vs. a left-handed starters, including 1-6 in their last seven road games vs. southpaws.  Minnesota is 4-12 in its last 16 games following a win.  The Red Sox are 14-4 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115)

The Houston Astros have lost four out of five meetings with the Kansas City Royals over the past week.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory after dropping Game 1 of this series at home.

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.  Luis Garcia is 9-5 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-2 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.888 WHIP in 10 home starts.

He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 3-8 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 21 starts thsi season.  Singer has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 10.21 ERA and 2.431 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 30 base runners in 12 1/3 innings.

Plays on any team (Houston) - in the AL with a starting pitcher with a 3.50 ERA or better against an opponent with a starting pitcher that wins less than 30% of his starts are 60-12 (83.3%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-123)

The Houston Astros are hot at the plate right now in scoring a combined 36 runs in their last four games.  They rank 1st in all of baseball in runs per 9 innings, 1st in average and 2nd in OPS.  They are exactly the type of team you want to back on the Run Line with their ability to put up runs.

Ace Zack Greinke goes for the Astros tonight.  He is 11-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last three starts.  Greinke has posted a 2.68 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in six career starts against the Royals as well.

Daniel Lynch is 3-3 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.499 WHIP in eight starts for the Royals this season.  Lynch is 1-2 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in three road starts as well.  He is only averaging 4.8 innings per start and the Astros should get into the Royals shaky bullpen early in this one.

Greinke is 54-15 as a home favorite of -175 to -250 in his career with his teams winning by 2.2 runs per game on average.  The Royals are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.  The Astros are 140-68 in their last 208 home games.  Houston is 73-29 in its last 102 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-110)

The St. Louis Cardinals will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday after dropping the first two games of this series to the Pirates as -205 and -195 favorites.  Look for them to avoid the sweep and win this game by two runs or more this afternoon.

Ace Adam Wainwright has been revived this season, going 11-7 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 24 starts, including 6-5 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 15 home starts.  Wainwright owns the Pirates, going 5-0 with a 1.06 ERA in his last five starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs in 34 innings.

Steven Brault is 1-2 with a 5.70 ERA in seven career starts against the Cardinals.  St. Louis is 6-0 in Wainwright's last six starts against Pittsburgh with all six wins coming by two runs or more.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-119)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-16 in their last 16 games overall and have been outscored 141-42 in the process.  They have lost all 16 games by two runs or more and 15 of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have won seven straight and are 14-2 in their last 16 games overall.  They have won 11 of those games by two runs or more.  And now they once again have a big advantage on the mound over the Orioles today.

Drew Smyly is 8-3 with a 4.50 ERA in 21 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Matt Harvey, who is one of my favorite starters to fade.  Harvey is 6-12 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 2-7 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.640 WHIP in 11 home starts.

Atlanta is 10-0 in August road games this season and winning by 4.2 runs per game.  The Braves are 8-1 in Smyly's last nine road starts following a win.  Smyly is 14-0 in his last 14 starts vs. terrible speed teams that average 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game in the second half of the season.  His teams are winning by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-124)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are doing their best to chase down the San Francisco Giants in the NL West.  They have won seven straight and are 11-1 in their last 12 games overall with seven wins by two runs or more.  They should make easy work of the struggling New York Mets, who are 1-6 in their last seven games overall.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Walker Buehler, who is a Cy Young contender at 12-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Buehler held the Mets to one run in seven innings in his lone start against them this season on August 14th.

Carlos Carrasco has returned from the IL and is only a shell of his former self, clearly.  Carrasco is 0-1 with a 10.33 ERA and 1.853 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 1/3 innings.  One of those starts came against the Dodgers on August 15th when he allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 innings of a 14-4 defeat.

The Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Dodgers are 65-27 in their last 92 home games.  Los Angeles is 42-17 in the last 59 meetings.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-149)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-15 in their last 15 games overall and have been outscored 138-42 in the process.  They have lost all 15 games by two runs or more and 14 of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have won six straight and are 13-2 in their last 15 games overall.  They have won 10 of those games by two runs or more.  They have scored a total of 43 runs in their last five games for an average of 8.6 runs per game.

The Braves have a big advantage on the mound today over the Orioles.  Max Fried is 10-7 with a 3.86 ERA in 20 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last three outings.  He'll be opposed by Keegan Akin, who is 0-7 with a 9.29 ERA and 2.065 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.800 WHIP in his last three.

Atlanta is 9-0 in August road games this season and winning by 4.4 runs per game.  The Braves are 15-0 in Fried's last 15 August starts and winning by 4.4 runs per game.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-111)

The Houston Astros come in highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight overall, including the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals in upset fashion.  Look for them to bounce back with a win by two runs or more in Game 3 due to their advantage on the mound.

Ace Zack Greinke takes the ball for the Astros.  He is 11-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Greinke has been at his best on the road, going a perfect 6-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.887 WHIP in 11 starts away from home.  He has posted a 2.90 ERA and 1.226 WHIP in five career starts against Kansas City as well.

He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 3-8 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Singer has been at his worst at home, going 2-5 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.699 WHIP in 12 home starts.  He has been roughed up of late, going 0-2 with a 19.05 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 22 base runners in 5 2/3 innings.

Plays against home teams (Kansas City) - a poor hitting team with a .260 average or worse against a top level starting pitcher with a sub 3.60 ERA and a sub 1.300 WHIP in the American League, with a starting pitcher with a winning percentage less than 30% are 32-4 (88.9%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+100)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-12 in their last 12 games overall and have been outscored 113-36 in the process.  They have lost all 12 games by two runs or more and 11 of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Rays are built to have openers like Drew Rasmussen shut down the opponent in the early innings and their dominant bullpen take over in the middle innings.  That was the case yesterday in their 9-2 win over the Orioles.  And it should be more of the same today.

John Means is definitely Baltimore's best starter, but even he has struggled of late.  Means is 1-4 with a 6.06 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing 22 earned runs and 13 homers in 32 2/3 innings.  Means is 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA in three starts against the Rays in 2021 alone, allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings with the Orioles losing all three of his starts by two runs or more.

Tampa Bay is 12-1 against Baltimore this season with 10 wins by two runs or more.  The Orioles are 1-25 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season.  They are losing by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Tampa Bay is 27-6 in its last 33 home meetings with Baltimore.  Take the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)

The Toronto Blue Jays rank 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average, 1st in OPS and 1st in homers this season.  They have just the type of offense that you want to back on the Run Line.

The Washington Nationals are just 1-12 in their last 13 games overall and clearly packed it in at the trade deadline.  It won't get any easier for them with Erick Fedde on the mound.  Fedde is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.434 WHIP in 19 starts this season.

Alek Manoah has been the best starter for the Blue Jays this season right alongside Robbie Ray.  Manoah is 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 11 starts with 71 K's in 59 innings.  He'll shut down the Nationals tonight.

Washington is 0-8 in its last eight home games vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage of .440 or better and losing by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 4-18 as home dogs of +100 or higher this season.  The Blue Jays are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games.  The Nationals are 0-7 in their last seven home games.  Washington is 8-25 in its last 33 games overall.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-11 in their last 11 games overall and have been outscored 104-34 in the process.  They have lost all 11 games by two runs or more and 10 of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Rays come in highly motivated for a victory after losing two straight at Minnesota over the weekend.  Now they are back home after a nine-game road trip.  Collin McHugh takes the ball and has a 0.00 ERA and 0.450 WHIP in four starts this season spanning 6 2/3 innings.

Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade in all of baseball.  Harvey is 6-11 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  He has faced the Rays once in his career and that came back on May 18th of this season.  Harvey allowed 6 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of a 13-6 loss.

Tampa Bay is 11-1 against Baltimore this season with nine wins by two runs or more.  Baltimore is 7-34 vs. AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game this season.  It is losing by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Rays are 59-18 in their last 77 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Tampa Bay is 26-6 in its last 32 home meetings with Baltimore.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-150)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-10 in their last 10 games overall and have been outscored 98-32 in the process.  They have lost all 10 games by two runs or more and nine of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Boston Red Sox.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound today with Eduardo Rodriquez. He simply owns the Orioles, going 11-5 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 19 career starts against them. That includes 8-0 with a 2.11 ERA in his last nine starts against Baltimore as he has allowed just 13 earned runs in 55 1/3 innings.

The Red Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Rodriquez's last nine starts against the Orioles with eight wins by two runs or more. He'll be opposed by Keegan Akin, who is 0-6 with a 9.57 ERA and 2.045 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-4 with a 10.21 ERA and 2.148 WHIP in six road starts.

The Orioles are 11-42 in their last 53 games following a loss.  The Red Sox are 74-31 in their last 104 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%.  Boston is 44-19 in the last 63 meetings.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-160)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-9 in their last nine games overall and have been outscored 82-30 in the process.  They have lost all nine games by two runs or more and eight of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Boston Red Sox.

Fenway Park will be rocking today with the much-anticipated return of Chris Sale, who has dominated in the minors leading up to this start.  Sale is 8-2 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.004 WHIP in 14 career starts against the Orioles.

He'll be opposed by Jorge Lopez, who is 3-12 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 2-7 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.619 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Lopez is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA in two career starts against Boston, both of which have come in 2021.

The Orioles are 11-41 in their last 52 games following a loss.  The Red Sox are 73-31 in their last 103 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%.  Boston is 43-19 in the last 62 meetings.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall while outscoring opponents 78-39 in the process.  The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 1st in average and 1st in OPS this season.  They have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and that is showing of late.

Injuries have really hit the Angels hard with the losses of Trout, Rendon and Walsh.  They are now at a big disadvantage on the mound tonight with Dylan Bundy, who is 2-8 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.361 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in eight home starts.

Alek Manoah has been nothing short of spectacular for the Blue Jays.  He is 4-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.013 WHIP in 10 starts this season while allowing just 34 hits with 60 K's in 52 1/3 innings.  He will shut down the Angels tonight.

Toronto is 12-1 vs. a starting pitcher with a winning percentage of less than 20% over the last three seasons.  It is winning by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Angels are 30-62 in thier last 92 games vs. a starting pitcher with a 1.15 WHIP or lower.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-114)

The Chicago White Sox are 4-1 in their last five games overall while outscoring the opposition 35-14 in the process.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the Minnesota Twins today that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.

Lance Lynn is a Cy Young contender at 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in 20 starts this season for the White Sox.  He has never lost to the Twins, going 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in five career starts against them.  That includes 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in four starts in 2021, allowing just 4 earned runs in 24 innings to the Twins.

The White Sox should feast on Bailey Ober, who is 1-1 with a 4.99 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 5.34 ERA in six home starts.  Ober is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in four career starts against the White Sox as well.

The White Sox are 54-23 in their last 77 games as favorites.  Chicago is 57-25 in its last 82 vs. a team with a losing record.  The White Sox are 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.  The Twins are 1-9 in their last 10 games following a win.  Roll with the White Sox on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-120)

The Chicago White Sox just swept the Cubs over the weekend.  They won all three games by two runs or more and outscored the Cubs 21-9 in the series.  Now they will put it on the Minnesota Twins in Game 1 of this series tonight.

The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound behind Lucas Giolito, who is 8-8 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  Giolito is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in his two starts against the Twins this season, allowing just 4 earned runs in 14 innings.  And the Twins have lost some key guys to injury and trade that he won't have to face this time around.

Beau Burrows will be making his first start of the season for the Twins.  Burrows has posted an 8.62 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in the majors in his career.  He hasn't been much better at the Triple A level, posting a 5.32 ERA with 54 earned runs allowed in 91 1/3 innings.

The White Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Giolito's nine August road starts in his career and winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Chicago is 31-10 in its last 41 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and winning by 2.5 runs per game.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-114)

The Chicago Cubs are just 10-27 in their last 37 games overall.  They just traded away four of their best players in Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Javier Baez and Craig Kimbrel prior to the deadline to wave the white flag.  They have proceeded to go 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.  The Cubs are fade material the rest of the way.

The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today that should have them winning by two runs or more.  Dylan Cease is 8-6 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.256 WHIP In 22 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last three.

He'll be opposed by Kyle Davies, who is 6-8 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  Davies has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings.

The White Sox are 13-2 in Cease's 15 starts vs. a team with a losing record this season.  They are winning by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+103)

The Cincinnati Reds are rolling right now.  They just beat the Pirates 10-0 yesterday to improve to 8-2 in their last 10 games overall with seven of those wins coming by 3 runs or more.  It should be more of the same today against the Pirates, who are 1-5 in their last six games with all five losses by two runs or more.

The Reds have a big advantage on the mound today that should lead to them winning by two runs or more.  Vladamir Gutierrez has held his own this season, going 6-3 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 12 starts.  He is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA in his last two starts, allowing just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings.

Mitch Keller has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-8 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 13 starts.  Keller has never beaten the Reds, going 0-2 with a 9.37 ERA and 1.898 WHIP in four career starts against them.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 14-1 loss to the Reds in his lone start against them in 2021.

The Pirates are 25-68 in their last 93 road games.  Pittsburgh is 17-51 in its last 68 during Game 3 of a series.  Cincinnati is 10-1 in its last 11 home meetings with Pittsburgh.  The Reds are 7-0 in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Roll with the Reds on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-130)

The Chicago Cubs are just 10-26 in their last 36 games overall.  They just traded away four of their best players in Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Javier Baez and Craig Kimbrel prior to the deadline to wave the white flag.  They have proceeded to go 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.  The Cubs are fade material the rest of the way.

The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today that should have them winning by two runs or more.  Carlos Rodon is a Cy Young contender at 8-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.965 WHIP in 18 starts this season with a whopping 149 K's in 104 2/3 innings.

Adbert Alzolay is 4-11 with a 4.85 ERA in 19 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three.  Alzolay cannot be trusted because he serves up the long ball at a higher clip than any other starter in the league.  He has allowed 23 homers in 98 1/3 innings this season.

The White Sox are 51-22 in their last 73 games as favorites.  The White Sox are 54-24 in their last 78 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Oakland A's -1.5 (-120)

The Oakland A's are 5-2 in their last seven games overall with four wins by two runs or more.  Now they are rested and ready to go after having Thursday off and will put it on the Texas Rangers in Game 1 due to their advantage on the mound tonight.

The Rangers have lost three in a row to the Angels coming in after losing 5-0 yesterday, getting outscored 18-4 in the three defeats.  Mike Foltynewicz is 2-10 with a 6.00 ERA in 21 starts for the Rangers this season, 1-6 with an 8.38 ERA in nine road starts, and 0-2 with a 14.34 ERA in his last three starts.

Chris Bassitt is 11-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.058 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in nine home starts.  Bassitt has owned the Rangers of late, going 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last four starts against them while allowing just 3 earned runs in 27 innings.  The A's have won all four games by two runs or more.

Oakland is 21-5 in Bassitt's 26 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons, winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  Texas is 13-40 in road games this season.  The Rangers are 2-16 in road games vs. AL teams that allow 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season, losing by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  Texas is 0-15 vs. a starting pitcher with a winning percentage of better than 70% over the last three seasons, losing by 3.0 runs per game.  Bassitt is 11-0 vs. a team with a losing record this season, winning by 3.2 runs per game.  Bet the A's on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-109)

The Chicago White Sox are 35-12 against left-handed starters over the last two seasons and scoring 5.9 runs per game while winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  Now they should tee off on Kansas City left Daniel Lynch tonight.

Lynch is 1-3 with a 6.95 ERA and 1.681 WHIP in five starts this season with only 13 K's in 22 innings.  Lynch allowed 8 earned runs in just 2/3 of an inning in a 9-1 loss to the White Sox in his only career start against them this season.

Dallas Keuchel has been at his best at home, going 4-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 10 starts.  Keuchel owns the Royals, going 7-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.195 WHIP in 13 career starts against them.

The White Sox are 12-1 in home games after scoring two runs or less this season.  They are coming back to win by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-105)

The San Francisco Giants are 10-2 against the Arizona Diamondbacks this season.  But they are coming off a rare loss last night in this head-to-head series to Madison Bumgarner, who has pitched very well since returning from injury, so there's no shame in that loss.

Look for the Giants to bounce back in a blowout victory tonight behind Kevin Gausman.  The right-hander is 9-5 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-2 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Gausman owns the Diamondbacks, going 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in six career starts against them.

Gausman is 4-0 with a 1.44 ERA in his last four starts against Arizona, allowing just 4 earned runs in 25 innings.  He'll be opposed by Zac Gallen, who is 1-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.359 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Gallen is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA in his last three starts against San Francisco, allowing 11 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings.

Gallen is 1-10 at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 over the last three seasons, losing by 2.9 runs per game on average.  Arizona is 1-21 vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.05 WHIP or better this season, losing by 5.0 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-105)

The Toronto Blue Jays have the type of potent offense that makes them worth a bet on the Run Line.  They rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS.  They will give the Indians at beating today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Look for the Blue Jays to jump on Jean Carlos Mejia early and often in this one.  Mejia is still in search of his first victory this season.  He is 0-6 with an 8.55 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 10 starts, allowing 38 earned runs and 10 homers in 40 innings.

Steven Matz has held his own for the Blue Jays, going 8-6 with a 4.58 ERA in 18 starts, including 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA in his last three.  Matz has never lost to the Indians, going 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in three career starts against them.

The Indians are 5-11 in their last 16 road games.  Cleveland is 7-17 in its last 24 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Toronto is 5-1 in its last six games overall with all five wins coming by two runs or more.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-118)

The Chicago White Sox have owned left-handed pitching the past couple seasons.  They are 34-11 against left-handed starters over the last two years while winning by 2.5 runs per game on average.  They are scoring 6.0 runs per game on average in these games.

Now the White Sox should feast on lefty Kris Bubic, who is 2-3 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.550 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Bubic has really struggled on the road, going 1-3 with an 8.19 ERA and 1.660 WHIP in four starts away from home.

Dylan Cease has been dominant at home for the White Sox this season.  He is 4-2 with a 2.44 ERA and 1.156 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Cease has owned the Royals in 2021, allowing just 3 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings for a 1.65 ERA in three starts against them.  He is 2-1 with a 3.11 ERA in seven career starts against them.

Kansas City is 5-21 off three or more consecutive losses this season and losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Cease is 13-2 in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last three seasons with the White Sox winning by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-109)

The San Francisco Giants have scored 5 or more runs in four straight games coming in. They should stay hot at the plate tonight against the Arizona Diamondbacks and win this game by two runs or more due to their big advantage on the mound.

Anthony Desclafini is 10-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.041 WHIP In 21 starts this season. He has been at his best on the road, going 5-3 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 13 starts away from home. He is 4-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in eight career starts against the Diamondbacks as well.

Desclafini has held Arizona to just 3 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in winning each of his two starts against them in 2021 by 3 and 6 runs. He'll be opposed by Taylor Widener, who is 1-1 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-0 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.655 WHIP in two home starts.

Arizona is 3-17 as a home dog of +125 or more this season, losing by 3.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are 1-20 vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.05 WHIP or better this season, losing by 5.1 runs per game. Bet the Giants on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-139)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today over the Arizona Diamondbacks that should have them winning this game by two runs or more with ease. So we'll back them on the Run Line and save a ton of juice.

Julio Urias is 12-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 9-2 with a 3.28 ERA and 0.981 WHIP in 12 road starts. Urias has never lost to the Diamondbacks, going 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.696 WHIP in three career starts against them with the three wins coming by 9, 8 and 3 runs.

Caleb Smith is 1-7 with a 5.67 ERA in 11 starts for the Diamondbacks this season. He has really struggled of late, going 1-2 with a 10.53 ERA in his last three starts. One of those starts came against the Dodgers on July 10th when he allowed 9 earned runs in one inning of a 22-1 loss.

Arizona is 3-16 as a home underdog of +125 or more this season, losing by 3.4 runs per game in this spot. The Diamondbacks are 5-33 vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.250 WHIP or better this season, losing by 3.2 runs per game on average. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)

The Toronto Blue Jays have just the type of offense that I'm willing to back them on the Run Line.  They rank 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS in all of baseball this season.

The Blue Jays should feast on Kansas City's Mike Minor tonight.  Minor is 8-8 with a 5.32 ERA in 21 starts this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 5-1 loss to Toronto in his lone start against them in 2021.

Alek Manoah makes his return from injury here and looks to pick up right where he left off.  Manoah has gone 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in eight starts this season with 52 K's in 40 1/3 innings.  He has been at his best at home, going 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in three home starts.

Kansas City is 22-55 in its last 77 games with a total of 10 or higher.  The Royals are 20-47 in their last 67 games as road underdogs.  Kansas City is 18-38 in its last 56 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Toronto is 36-16 in its last 52 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Blue Jays are 42-17 in their last 59 home meetings with the Royals.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-108)

The Chicago White Sox are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall and will be highly motivated to get back on track here against the Cleveland Indians. I like their chances of winning this game by two runs or more due to their big advantage on the mound.

Lance Lynn is a Cy Young contender this season for the White Sox alongside Carlos Rodon. Lynn is 10-3 with a 1.91 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 18 starts this season. He has been at his best at home, going 6-2 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in 11 home starts.

Lynn is 4-2 with a 1.95 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in six career starts against the Indians as well. He'll be opposed by Jean Carlos Mejia, who is still in search of his first win this season. Mejia is 0-6 with an 8.58 ERA and 1.570 WHIP in nine starts while allowing 34 earned runs and 9 homers in 35 2/3 innings.

The White Sox are 16-2 in home games following a loss this season, outscoring opponents by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Roll with the White Sox on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-115)

The Chicago White Sox feast on left-handed pitching.  They have gone 34-10 against left-handed starters over the last two seasons.  They blew a lead in the 9th last night and will be highly motivated to bounce back with a win in Kansas City Thursday.

Now they should feast on left-hander Carlos Hernandez, who has had a rough go of it in the big leagues.  He is 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.674 WHIP in 43 innings in the majors.  That includes 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.649 WHIP in two starts in 2021.

Carlos Rodon is a Cy Young contender this season.  He has gone 8-4 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.924 WHIP in 17 starts with a whopping 145 K's in 100 2/3 innings.  He has been at his best on the road, going 5-1 with a 1.90 ERA in nine starts away from home.

Chicago is 24-8 in its last 32 games as a road favorite of -125 or more.  The White Sox are 47-17 in their last 64 games as favorites overall.  Chicago is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings, including 11-2 in the last 12 meetings in Kansas City.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-115)

The Chicago White Sox feast on left-handed pitching.  They have gone 34-9 against left-handed starters over the last two seasons, scoring 6.2 runs per game and winning by 2.8 runs per game on average.

Now they should feast on Kansas City lefty Kris Bubic, who is 2-3 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.624 WHIP in nine starts this season.  He has been roughed up of late in going 1-1 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.814 WHIP in his last three starts as well.  The Royals are 0-3 in Bubic's three career starts against the White Sox.

Lucas Giolito has been dominant for a couple months now.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts, including exactly one run in five of those.  Giolito is 8-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in 15 career starts against Kansas City.

Chicago is 24-7 in its last 31 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Giolito is 12-2 in road starts off a win over the last three years.  Giolito is 16-3 in road games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse over the last three seasons.  Chicago is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings, including 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Kansas City.  take the White Sox on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)

The Toronto Blue Jays are looking to gain some ground on the Boston Red Sox in the AL East.  After losing Game 1, I look for them to bounce back with a blowout victory in Game 2 tonight.  They have a big advantage on the mound that should lead to a win by two runs or more.

The Blue Jays are flexing their muscle in recent weeks with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  They have scored 5 or more runs in 13 of their last 19 games overall.  They are 15-8 in their last 23 games with 14 of those 15 wins coming by two runs or more.

Now ace Robbie Ray gets the ball for the Blue Jays tonight.  Ray is 8-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 18 starts with a whopping 138 K's in 107 1/3 innings.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in nine consecutive starts, going 6-2 with a 2.11 ERA in those nine starts while allowing just 13 earned runs in 55 1/3 innings with 78 K's.

Garrett Richards is 5-5 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in 18 starts this season for the Red Sox.  Richards is 3-4 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.761 WHIP in nine career starts against the Blue Jays as well.  He has faced Toronto three times already this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 34 base runners in 16 2/3 innings with only 10 K's.

Toronto is 8-0 in its last eight home games after allowing 12 runs or more.  It is coming back to win by a whopping 6.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Blue Jays are also 8-0 in their last eight home games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 12 runs or more, winning by 6.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-129)

The Toronto Blue Jays sit at 45-42 on the season with a lot to play for coming out of the All-Star Break. They should handle the Texas Rangers (35-55) in Game 1 this series tonight due to their advantage on the mound.

Robbie Ray is an elite starter in the big leagues for the Blue Jays. He is 7-4 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in 17 starts this season with 130 K's in 100 2/3 innings. Ray has now allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts.

Jordan Lyles is one of the worst starters in baseball for the Rangers. He is 5-5 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.472 WHIP in 17 starts this season. The Blue Jays have one of the best lineups in baseball and are scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this season.

Texas is 2-14 in road games after two or more consecutive losses this season. The Rangers are 19-54 in their last 73 road games overall. Toronto is a perfect 8-0 after scoring 3 runs or less in two straight games this season. Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-120)

The Chicago White Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall and have scored 4 or more runs in all 12 games and 5 or more runs in 11 of them.  They are hitting as well as anyone in baseball right now and should put another beat down on the Orioles after winning 12-1 Friday and 8-3 Saturday.

Dylan Cease is 7-4 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.299 WHIP in 17 starts this season for the White Sox.  He faced Baltimore on May 27th in his lone career start against them and held them to one earned run in 6 innings with 10 K's in a 5-1 victory for Chicago.  He'll be opposed by Spenser Watkins, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Orioles.

Chicago is 42-14 in its last 56 games as a favorite.  The Orioles are 12-41 in their last 52 games overall.  The White Sox are 7-0 in the last six meetings.  Baltimore is 0-15 in its last 15 games after a 5-game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse.   Take the White Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-130)

The Chicago White Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 games overall and have scored 4 or more runs in all 11 games and 5 or more runs in 10 of them.  They are hitting as well as anyone in baseball right now and should put another beat down on the Orioles similar to the 12-1 win yesterday.

Lucas Giolito is back to being his same dominant self by allowing 3 earned runs or less in nine of his last 12 starts.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in seven of those.  He held the Orioles to one run in 7 innings with 12 K's on May 30th in his last start against them.

He'll be opposed by Tom Eshelman, who is 0-1 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in four starts this season.  That includes 0-1 with a 9.25 ERA and 2.057 WHIP in his last three starts coming in.  It's safe to say the White Sox have a huge advantage on the mound tonight.

Chicago is 41-14 in its last 55 games as a favorite.  The Orioles are 12-40 in their last 52 games overall.  The White Sox are 6-0 in the last six meetings.  Baltimore is 0-14 in its last 14 games after a 5-game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse.  Giolito is 15-3 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with a .260 average or worse over the last three seasons.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-127)

Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade as he is one of the worst starters in baseball.  That has shown this season as he is 3-9 with a 7.34 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in 17 starts.  He is 0-7 with a 10.85 ERA in his last 10 starts while allowing 45 earned runs in 37 1/3 innings as well.

Hyun-Jin Ryu has been solid for the Blue Jays this season at 7-5 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.153 WHIP in 16 starts, including 4-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.039 WHIp in nine road starts.  He has never lost to the Orioles, going 3-0 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.137 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Harvey has allowed 7 earned runs and 18 base runners in 11 innings across two starts against the Blue Jays in 2021.  Baltimore is 3-16 in home games after losing two of its last three games this season, losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.

Toronto is 11-1 in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher with a 5.90 ERA or worse over the last three seasons.  It is winning by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  Ryu is 52-17 against the money line vs. a team with a losing record in his career with his teams winning by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Blue Jays Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-112)

The Atlanta Braves will be highly motivated to bounce back from their 11-1 loss to the Pirates in Game 1 of this series as nearly -200 favorites.  I expect them to win Game 2 by two runs or more due to their advantage on the mound.

Ian Anderson is 5-4 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 3-3 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in eight road starts.  He fired six shutout innings in a 20-1 win over the Pirates on May 21st in his only career starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Chad Kuhl, who is 2-5 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in 10 starts this season.

Atlanta is 29-11 after scoring two runs or less over the last two seasons, coming back to win by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  Pittsburgh is 4-18 vs. NL teams that score 4.5 or more runs per game this season, losing by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  Atlanta is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-111)

The Atlanta Braves are finally starting to play up to their potential.  They have gone 4-1 in their last five games while scoring a combined 35 runs during this stretch.  Now they are one more win away from getting to .500 on the season.

They should handle the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chase De Jong tonight.  The Pirates are 1-6 in their last seven games with all six losses by two runs or more to fall to 30-53 this season.  De Jong has struggled mightily at 0-3 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.570 WHIP in his six starts this season.

Max Fried is really coming around for the Braves.  He is 5-3 with a 2.79 ERA in his last nine starts while allowing just 16 earned runs in 51 2/3 innings.  He has allowed exactly one earned run in six of those nine starts.  Fried held the Pirates to one run in 7 innings of a 7-1 victory on May 23rd in his lone start against them this season.

Fried is 11-1 against the money line vs. NL Central opponents in his career.  The Braves are winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays have George Springer back healthy and one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  They have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall with seven wins by two runs or more.  They have scored 5 runs or more seven times during this stretch.

The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning by two runs or more again. Steven Matz is 7-3 with a 4.26 ERA in 13 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Justus Sheffield, who is 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.647 WHIP in 13 starts this season. 

Sheffield is 1-4 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.806 WHIP in six road starts this season, and 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.950 WHIP in his last three starts. He gave up 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings to the Blue Jays in his only career start against them.

Seattle is 20-94 in its last 114 games as an underdog of +200 or more and losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot. The Mariners are 12-32 in their last 44 games vs. a left-handed starter. Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-109)

The Toronto Blue Jays have George Springer back healthy and one of the most potent lineups in baseball. They have gone 7-1 in their last eight games overall with six wins by two runs or more. They have scored 5 runs or more six times during this stretch.

Robbie Ray is now 5-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.140 WHIP in 14 starts this season. He has been at his best at home, going 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in five home starts. Ray has posted a 3.18 ERA in four career starts against the Mariners as well.

Chris Flexen has been great at home for the Mariners this season, but it has been a different story on the road. Flexen has posted a 7.27 ERA and 1.692 WHIP in five starts on the highway this season.

The Mariners are 12-31 in their last 43 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 games after having an off day. Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-127)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last seven games overall and really starting to swing the bats now that George Springer is back healthy.  They take on a Baltimore Orioles team that is 2-15 in their last 17 games overall with 12 losses by two runs or more.

Ross Stripling is in a groove right now. He is 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 9 earned runs in 28 1/3 innings. And the competition has been stiff as he has faced the Yankees, Red Sox, Astros, Indians and Marlins in those five starts.

Jorge Lopez is 2-9 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.458 WHIP in 15 starts this season for the Orioles. Lopez has never beaten the Blue Jays, going 0-2 with a 13.49 ERA and 2.293 WHIP in three career starts against them. He has allowed 17 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in those three starts.

Baltimore is 3-20 vs. AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game this season. It is losing by over 3 runs per game in this spot. Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday.

20* AL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-143)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last six games overall and really starting to swing the bats now that George Springer is back healthy.  They take on a Baltimore Orioles team that is 2-14 in their last 16 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more.

The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound today that will lead to them winning by two runs or more.  Hyun-Jin Ryu is 6-4 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Ryu has never lost to the Orioles, going 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Keegan Akin still hasn't won this season as he is 0-3 with a 6.56 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in five starts.  That includes 0-3 with a 10.53 ERA and 2.121 WHIP in his last three, allowing 16 earned runs and 29 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.  Akin has posted a 4.91 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in two career starts against the Blue Jays as well.

Ryu is 51-17 as a start in his career against a team with a losing record.  His teams are winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Baltimore is 3-19 vs. AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game this season, losing by 3.1 runs per game.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Saturday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+105)

The Chicago White Sox are 33-6 vs. left-handed starters over the last two seasons.  They have been the best team in baseball against southpaws during this span.  And they come in highly motivated for a victory after losing five of their six road games during their six-game trip.

Now the White Sox are back home where they are 27-12 this season and winning by 1.5 runs per game.  They have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Carlos Rodon, who is a Cy Young candidate at 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 105 K's in 73 2/3 innings.

Rodon has never lost to the Mariners, going 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in four career starts against them.  His teams have gone 4-0 in those games with all four wins by two runs or more.  He'll be opposed by Yusei Kikuchi, who is 0-1 with an 11.05 ERA and 2.592 WHIP in two career starts against the White Sox, allowing 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 7 2/3 innings. 

Seattle is 19-82 in its last 101 games as a road underdog of +200 or more, losing by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  Against, Chicago is 33-6 vs. left-handed starters over the last two seasons and winning by 3.2 runs per game.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-136)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last five games overall and really starting to swing the bats now that George Springer is back healthy.  They take on a Baltimore Orioles team that is 1-14 in their last 15 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more.  That includes the 9-0 victory by the Blue Jays in Game 1 of this series yesterday.

Alek Manoah has held his own this season at 1-0 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in five starts.  He'll be opposed by Matt Harvey, who is one of my favorite starters to fade.  Harvey is 3-9 with a 7.80 ERA and 1.781 WHIP in 15 starts this season.  He is 0-6 with a 13.17 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing 40 earned runs in 27 1/3 innings.

Baltimore is 3-22 vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game this season, losing by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  The Orioles are 2-19 vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs per game this season, losing by 3.4 runs per game.  Baltimore is 0-14 in road games after four or more consecutive losses this season, losing by 3.4 runs per game.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-135)

The Houston Astros are putting up the best offensive numbers in baseball this season.  They are hitting .279 as a team and scoring 5.8 runs per game.  They have won 10 straight games coming in while scoring 6 or more runs in eight of those victories.

Now they will feast on Detroit starter Jose Urena, who is 0-2 with a 7.40 ERA and 1.849 WHIP in six home starts this season.  He has been absolutely shelled in his last two starts, allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 innings to the Angels and White Sox.

The Astros have a huge advantage on the mound tonight with Luis Garcia, who is 5-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 73 K's and only 48 hits allowed in 64 1/3 innings.  Garcia held the White Sox to one run in seven innings and the Blue Jays to one run in six innings in two recent starts, which are two of the better lineups in baseball.

Detroit is 11-40 in its last 51 home games vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 K's or more per start.  It is losing by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  Urena is 2-20 vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 1.0 or more runs per game in his career.  His teams are losing by 3.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-123)

The Houston Astros are putting up the best offensive numbers in baseball this season.  They are hitting .276 as a team and scoring 5.6 runs per game, including .284 and 5.8 in road games.  They have won nine straight games coming in while scoring 6 or more runs in seven of those victories.

Now they take on a Baltimore Orioles team that is just 1-12 in their last 13 games with nine losses by two runs or more.  They should feast on Tom Eshelman, who will be making just his second start of the season for the lowly Orioles.

Jose Urquidy has been a solid starter for the Astros this season at 5-3 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  He will shut down this weak Baltimore lineup that is scoring just 3.7 runs per game vs. right-handed starters this season.

Houston is 13-1 after allowing 4 runs or less in four straight games over the past two seasons.  It is winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Baltimore is 2-17 vs. AL teams that average 4.9 or more runs per game this season.  It is losing by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125)

The Houston Astros are putting up the best offensive numbers in baseball this season.  They are hitting .277 as a team and scoring 5.7 runs per game, including .285 and 5.9 in road games.  They have won eight straight games coming in while scoring 6 or more runs in seven of those victories.

Now they take on a Baltimore Orioles team that is just 1-11 in their last 12 games with eight losses by two runs or more.  And they should feast on Jorge Lopez, who is 2-8 with a 5.95 ERA and 1.492 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Lopez allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 1/3 innings of a 9-0 loss to the Astros in his only career start against them.

Zack Greinke has been solid this season at 7-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 15 starts.  Greinke has been at his best on the road, going 4-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.867 WHIP in seven starts away from home.

Baltimore is 0-11 after a five-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or higher this season.  It is losing by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  Houston is 12-1 after allowing 4 runs or less in four straight games over the last two seasons.  It is winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-119)

The Baltimore Orioles are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall with seven losses by two runs or more.  Chalk another one up today as the Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound over the Orioles.

Hyun-Jin Ryu is 5-4 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  Ryu is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in two starts against the Orioles over the past two seasons, allowing just 3 earned runs in 12 innings.

He'll be opposed by Matt Harvey, who is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Harvey is 3-8 with a 7.76 ERA and 1.724 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Worse yet, Harvey is 0-6 with a 14.09 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing 36 earned runs and 7 homers in 23 innings.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-127)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 15 straight games and are 2-29 in their last 31 games overall.  They have lost 20 of those 29 games by two runs or more.  And they will get blown out by the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight as well.

The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall with seven wins by two runs or more.  They have the advantage on the mound tonight in Walker Buehler, who has not gone 22 consecutive starts without suffering a defeat.  He has never lost to the Diamondbacks, going 2-0 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.922 WHIP in nine career starts against them.

Buehler is 6-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.936 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.97 ERA and 0.844 WHIP in five road starts.  He'll be opposed by Matt Peacock, who is 1-4 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.590 WHIP in six starts, including 0-3 with a 7.14 ERA and 2.469 WHIP in his last three.

Arizona is 1-15 as a dog of +175 to +250 this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game on average.  The Diamondbacks are 2-26 vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 or more K's per start this season.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-124)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 14 straight games and are 2-28 in their last 30 games overall.  They have lost 19 of those 28 games by two runs or more.  And they will get blown out by the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight as well.

The Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine games overall with six wins by two runs or more.  They have the advantage on the mound tonight with Trevor Bauer, who is 6-5 with a 2.64 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Bauer is 1-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 0.831 WHIP in three career starts against Arizona as well.

Caleb Smith is 0-2 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.443 WHIP in four starts for the Diamondbacks this season while averaging just 4.3 innings per start.  Smith is 1-1 with a 5.63 ERA in two career starts against the Dodgers as well.

Arizona is 2-25 vs. starting pitchers that average 5 or more K's per start this season and losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The Minnesota Twins have been huge money burners this season at 24-36 (-21.7 units) on the season.  They have a terrible pitching staff and aren't hitting the ball as well as they have the past few seasons.  I'll gladly fade them tonight considering the Yankees have big advantage on the mound.

Gerrit Cole has been on top of baseball when it comes to the best starting pitchers the last handful of years.  He is 6-3 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.872 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 104 K's in 75 2/3 innings.  Cole fired 7 shutout innings in his lone career starts against the Twins in an 11-0 victory.

Randy Dobnak is 1-2 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in three starts this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 20 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in losing each of his last two starts to the Royals and Orioles.  Dobnak gave up 4 earned runs in 2 innings in his lone career start against the Yankees in a 2-8 defeat.

Cole is 32-10 as a favorite of -125 to -175 with his teams winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Twins are 4-13 in their last 17 games as home underdogs.  The Yankees are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. AL Central opponents.  New York is 64-21 in the last 85 meetings, including 37-16 in the last 53 meetings in Minnesota.  Take the Yankees on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-116)

The Chicago White Sox are 28-3 against left-handed starters over the last two seasons and winning these games by 3.9 runs per game.  I'll back them on the Run Line today as they tee off on lefty Tarik Dkubal and the Detroit Tigers.

Skubal is 2-6 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-3 with a 7.31 ERA and 1.687 WHIP in four road starts.  He has made one career start against the White Sox and came away with an 18.00 ERA after allowing 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 2 innings.

Lucas Giolito has allowed one earned runs or less in five of his last six starts.  He has gone 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.810 WHIP in his last three starts with 28 K's in 21 innings.  He is backed to being the same dominant starter that he was a year ago.  

The White Sox are 24-6 in their last 30 meetings with the Tigers, including 16-3 in their last 19 meetings in Chicago.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-104)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-14 in their last 14 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more.  The Orioles are 2-21 in their last 23 games as well.  The Twins have turned the corner in going 8-3 in their last 11 games overall while scoring 6 runs or more in six of the eight wins.

The Twins have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should lead them to winning this game by two runs or more.  Michael Pineda is 3-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 0.985 WHIP in eight starts this season.

Pineda is 6-3 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.187 WHIP in 14 career starts against Baltimore.  He'll be opposed by Bruce Zimmerman, who is 1-3 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.684 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Orioles.

The Twins are 10-0 in their last 10 meetings with the Orioles and winning by 4 runs per game.  Take the Twins on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Early ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+102)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-13 in their last 13 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more.  The Orioles are 2-20 in their last 22 games as well.  Getting the Twins as underdogs on the Run Line today is a gift from oddsmakers.

The Twins have turned the corner in going 7-3 in their last 10 games overall while scoring 6 runs or more in six of the seven wins.  They should get to that number today against Jorge Lopez, who is 1-6 with a 5.80 ERA and 1.466 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 7.78 ERA and 1.729 WHIP in five home starts.

Lopez is 1-2 with a 6.08 ERA in five career starts against the Twins.  Jose Berrios has never lost to the Orioles, going 6-0 with a 3.27 ERA in seven career starts against them.  Berrios has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 0.940 WHIP in five road starts.

Baltimore is 1-11 in home games vs. right-handed starters this season, losing by 3.5 runs per game on average.  Roll with the Twins on the Run Line Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+112)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall with 11 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more.  They will be motivated to bounce back from a loss to the Giants in extra innings last night.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound behind Julio Urias, who is 7-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Urias is 1-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Giants as well.

He'll be opposed by Logan Webb, who is 3-3 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.419 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-3 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in five road starts.  Webb has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in three career starts against them.

The Dodgers are 42-14 in their last 56 home games.  Los Angeles is 61-28 in its last 89 games following a loss.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+113)

The Dodgers have put their slow start behind them and have been playing like the defending World Series champs for a few weeks now.  Indeed, the Dodgers are 13-2 in their last 15 games overall with 11 of those wins coming by two runs or more.

It should be more of the same here against the San Francisco Giants due to their advantage on the mound.  Walker Buehler is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in nine starts this season.  Buehler has never lost to the Giants, going 5-0 with a 2.57 ERA in six career starts against them.  The Dodgers are 6-0 in those games with five wins by 3 runs or more.

Anthony Desclafini is 1-6 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.553 WHIP in six career starts against the Dodgers.  He has lost each of his last four starts against the Dodgers all by 4 runs or more.  That includes one start in 2021 which was his last start where he allowed 10 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 5-11 defeat.

The Dodgers are 25-5 in their last 30 games following a win by two runs or less, winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+100)

The St. Louis Cardinals have a huge advantage on the mound tonight.  Jack Flaherty is one of the best starters in baseball.  He is 7-0 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.526 WHIP in three home starts.  He is also 7-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Pirates.

He'll be opposed by Trevor Cahill, who is 1-4 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.414 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-3 with a 7.58 ERA and 1.632 WHIP in four road starts.  Cahill has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-3 with a 5.80 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

Flaherty faced off against Cahill earlier this month on May 1st.  Flaherty allowed 3 runs in 6 innings of a 12-5 victory.  Cahill allowed 5 runs and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings to take the loss.

St. Louis is a perfect 8-0 at home this season with a total of 7 to 7.5.  They are winning by 3.5 runs per game on average int his spot.  Flaherty is 8-0 against the money line in all games this season with the Cardinals winning by 5.9 runs per game on average in his eight starts.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-117)

The Washington Nationals have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Arizona Diamondbacks that should lead to them winning this game by two runs or more.

Ace Max Scherzer gets the ball for the Nationals and he is 2-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.777 WHIP in seven starts this season with 61 K's in 46 1/3 innings. Scherzer has never lost to the Diamondbacks, going 7-0 with a 2.55 ERA and 0.866 WHIP in 10 career starts against them.

Riley Smith is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in four starts this season for Arizona. He'll be trying to lead a Diamondbacks team that is 2-8 in their last 10 games overall and having a problem scoring runs. Arizona has scored 4 or fewer runs in eight of those 10 games and 3 or fewer in seven of them. Roll with the Nationals on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Yankees -1.5 (-109)

The New York Yankees will be highly motivated for a win Sunday. They have lost four straight overall including the first two games of this series to the Tampa Bay Rays. They will be desperate to avoid the sweep.

The good news is that New York sends it lone reliable starter to the mound today in Gerrit Cole. Their ace has been dominant his entire career especially the past handful of seasons. Cole is 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in three starts this season. He'll shut down the Rays today and get his team back in the win column. Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-139)

The Dodgers have now scored 22 runs in the past 12 innings.  You could say they are feeling it at the plate.  I expect them to hang another big number on the Braves here in Game 4 to even this series at two games apiece.

Clayton Kershaw missed his scheduled Game 2 start with back spasms but is good to go for Game 4.  Kershaw is 8-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.816 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  He has never lost to the Braves, going 7-0 with a 1.49 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in 14 career starts against them.

The Dodgers are 37-10 after having lost two of their last three games over the past two seasons.  They are winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

25* MLB Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-114)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are in must-win mode tonight after falling down 2-0 in this series to the Atlanta Braves.  I fully expect them to get the job done in blowout fashion tonight.  They have gotten through Fried and Anderson, Atlanta’s two best starters, and now will have the advantage on the mound in Game 3.

Julio Urias is 3-0 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.204 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Dodgers.  He’ll be opposed by Kyle Wright, who is 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in nine starts this season.  The Dodgers went off late in Game 2 for 7 runs in the final three innings and will have some confidence at the plate heading into Game 3.

The Dodgers are 36-10 after having lost two of their last three games over the past two seasons and outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 47-19 in its last 66 games following a loss.  The Dodgers are 62-23 in their last 85 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+115)

The Chicago Cubs will bounce back in blowout fashion today after losing 5-1 to the Miami Marlins in Game 1 of this series.  They have a huge advantage on the mound in this one that’s going to lead to a victory by two runs or more.

Yu Darvish is 8-3 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.961 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Cubs with 93 K’s and only 14 walks and 5 homers allowed in 76 innings.  Darvish has been nothing short of dominant.

While Sixto Sanchez has one of the sweetest names in baseball, he’s no match for Darvish here.  Sanchez struggled down the stretch in going 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA in his final two starts, allowing 9 earned runs and 18 base runners in 7 innings in losses to the Braves and Nationals.

The Marlins are 34-71 in their last 105 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Cubs are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games as favorites.  Chicago is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings and 16-5 in the last 21 home meetings.  Take the Cubs on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-110)

The Houston Astros can clinch a playoff spot with a win Friday.  They got their bats going yesterday and won 12-4 to cash in for us.  And we’re back on them again today against the lowly Texas Rangers, who are 1-7 in their last eight games overall.

Jose Urquidy is the better starter in this matchup.  He is 1-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in four starts this season.  Urquidy owns the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.357 WHIP in two career starts against them, allowing just two earned runs and five base runners in 14 innings with 16 K’s.

Texas is 6-20 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season, losing by 2.5 runs per game.  The Rangers are 7-25 after batting .225 or worse over a 5-game span this season.  The Astros are 35-17 in the last 52 meetings.  Take the Astros on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-101)

The Tampa Bay Rays would clinch the AL East with a victory Wednesday.  They take on the New York Mets (25-30), who are all but eliminated from playoff contention because they would need to much help to get in even if they won out.

The Rays have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Tyler Glasnow, who is 4-1 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 83 K’s in 51 1/3 innings.  Glasnow has been at his best on the road, going 2-0 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in five starts away from home.

Michael Wacha is washed up and terrible.  He is 1-3 with a 7.50 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in six starts this season, including 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.900 WHIP in his last three.  Wacha has never beaten the Rays, going 0-2 with a 9.72 ERA and 2.281 WHIP in two career starts against them.

The Rays are 27-12 against right-handed starters this season.  Tampa Bay is 12-2 in its last 14 games following a loss.  The Rays are 18-6 in their last 24 road games.  The Mets are 6-16 in their last 22 games as underdogs.  New York is 24-53 in its last 77 games as a home underdog.  Roll with the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have now won five straight games by two runs or more.  They have gone 3-0 against the Rockies in this series with wins by 9, 6 and 5 runs.  It will be more of the same Sunday due to their advantage on the mound.

Tony Gonsolin has been virtually unhittable this season for the Dodgers.  He is 1-0 with a 0.88 ERA and 0.685 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing just three earned runs and 21 base runners in 30 2/3 innings.  He gave up just one earned run in six innings in his lone start against the Rockies in 2020.

Antonio Senzatela is having a decent season for the Rockies.  But he’s coming off a complete game against Oakland, and that will have taken a lot out of him.  Senzatella does not enjoy facing the Dodgers, going 2-3 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.702 WHIP in seven career starts against them.  He is 0-3 with an 8.66 ERA in his last three starts against the Dodgers, giving up 17 earned runs and seven homers in 17 2/3 innings.

The Dodgers are outscoring their opponents by 2.3 runs per game on the season.  They are 38-15 this season with 33 wins by two runs or more.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-129)

The Cleveland Indians righted the ship and put an end to their eight-game losing streak with a 10-3 win over the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 yesterday.  Rinse and repeat today as they win Game 2 by two runs or more against a Tigers team that is just 4-12 in their last 16 games overall with nine of those losses by two runs or more.

The Indians have a big advantage on the mound today with Zach Plesac, who is 3-2 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.780 WHIP in six starts this season.  Plesac has owned the Tigers, going 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in two career starts against them.

Michael Fulmer is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 0-2 with a 9.27 ERA and 2.149 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Fulmer is also 2-4 with a 7.46 ERA and 1.805 WHIP in 10 career starts against Cleveland.

The Indians are 43-9 in their last 52 meetings with the Tigers.  Cleveland is 54-22 in its last 76 vs. a team with a losing record.  Detroit is 24-66 in its last 90 home games.  The Tigers are 11-43 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Detroit is 1-15 in home games off two straight games where they stranded five or fewer runners on base over the last two seasons.  It is losing by 5.6 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-110)

The Cincinnati Reds have now won four straight games all by two runs or more.  They make it five in a row when they host the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates, who are 0-7 in their last seven games overall with six of those losses by two runs or more.

The Reds have a huge advantage on the mound today with Luis Castillo.  He got off to a shaky start this year, but he has really turned a corner in his last two starts.  Castillo is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last two starts, allowing just three earned runs in 15 innings.  

Castillo is also 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in his last four starts against the Pirates, allowing just six earned runs in 25 innings.  He’ll be opposed by J.T. Brubaker, who is 1-1 with a 6.40 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in six starts this season for the Pirates.

Pittsburgh is 6-24 in night games this season.  The Pirates are 2-16 on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season, losing by 3.1 runs per game.  Bet the Reds on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-110)

The Atlanta Braves have now scored four or more runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  They have cashed for us the past couple days, including yesterday as a +155 underdog as they put up eight runs on Max Scherzer and company.

I’m back on the Braves today on the Run Line due to their offense, not due to Touki Toussaint getting he ball for them.  He has a 6.11 ERA in four starts this season, but Baltimore starter Jorge Lopez has a 5.02 ERA in his three starts.

The key here is that Toussaint will get run support, while the Orioles probably won’t be able to muster much offense.  That has been the case recently as the Orioles are 0-5 in their last five games overall.  They scored a total of three runs in their 4-game sweep at the hands of the New York Yankees over the weekend.

The Braves are 11-1 as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 2.8 runs per game.  Take the Braves on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-102)

The Cleveland Indians will be highly motivated for a victory Thursday after dropping their last two games to the Royals over the past two days.  They won’t be losing three in a row here, and I have them winning by multiple runs tonight.

The Indians have a big advantage on the mound behind Aaron Civale, who is 3-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He’ll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 1-4 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.438 WHIP in eight starts this season.

Cleveland is 24-3 vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 runs per game or fewer over the last two seasons, winning by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-130)

The Yankees have lost their last two games to the Orioles in this series and will be highly motivated for a victory here Sunday as a result.  I expect them to get the job done in blowout fashion due to their advantage on the mound.

Masahiro Tanaka is 1-1 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in six starts this season, including 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.40 WHIP in two road starts.  Tanaka is also 5-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.230 WHIP in 15 career starts against Baltimore.

Asher Wojciechowski is 1-3 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.436 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-2 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four home starts.  Wojciechowski has never beaten the Yankees, going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in two career starts against them.

The Yankees are 21-4 against the Orioles over the past three seasons.  Baltimore is 4-26 after allowing three runs or less in two straight games over the last three seasons.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+100)

The Cleveland Indians have split the first two games of this series.  After dropping Game 1 by a final of 2-1, they bounced back with a 10-1 victory in Game 2.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate tonight and win this game by multiple runs over the lowly Kansas City Royals.

Triston McKenzie is a big reason why the Indians could afford to trade Mike Clevinger.  McKenzie is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in two starts this season with 13 K’s in 10 innings.  He isn’t getting the respect he deserves from oddsmakers.

Jake Junis is 0-0 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in three starts this season for the Royals.  Junis hates facing the Indians, going 3-6 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.  That includes 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his last two, allowing 10 earned runs and 20 base runners in 10 innings.

The Indians are 7-1 in their last eight games after scoring five or more runs in their previous game.  Cleveland is 11-2 in its last 13 road games.  The Indians are 39-12 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Royals are 28-74 in their last 102 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Cleveland is 47-23 in the last 70 meetings.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-109)

The Atlanta Braves have scored a combined 18 runs the past two days and are hot at the plate.  I’ll gladly back them on the Run Line again today against the hapless Boston Red Sox, who are already looking forward to next year.

Ian Anderson was great in his first start of the season, limiting the Yankees to one run and three base runners across 6 innings of a 5-1 victory on August 26th.  He is a nice young talent that will shut down the Red Sox today.

Ryan Weber has been rocked in every start this season.  He is 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA and 2.400 WHIP in three starts, allowing 11 earned runs, 24 base runners and 5 homers in 10 innings of work.

Atlanta is 17-2 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season, winning by 2.8 runs per game on average.  Take the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Atlanta Braves just hung 12 runs on the Phillies yesterday en route to victory and should stay hot at the plate today against the hapless Boston Red Sox.  While the Braves are in 1st place in the NL East and playing for something, the Red Sox are already looking forward to next year.

Boston sits at just 12-22 on the season behind atrocious pitching as opponents are hitting .288 against them and scoring 6.1 runs per game.  Boston starter Colton Brewer is 0-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.838 WHIP in three starts this season.

The Braves have a huge advantage on the mound in this one.  Max Fried has been dominant this season, going 5-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in seven starts.  The Braves are a perfect 7-0 in Fried’s seven starts this season and improve to 8-0 with a win by two runs or more tonight.  Take the Braves on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-126)

The Minnesota Twins have now lost four straight coming in.  It’s safe to say they’ll be highly motivated for a victory Sunday after getting swept in their double-header against the lowly Detroit Tigers yesterday.

Kenta Maeda has proven to be a great addition to the rotation this offseason after all the success he had with the Dodgers previously.  Maeda is 4-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.709 WHIP in six starts this season with 40 K’s and only three homers and seven walks allowed in 36 2/3 innings.

Casey Mize is a big prospect for the Tigers, but he has been a disappointment thus far.  Mize is 0-1 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.828 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 6 runs and 14 base runners in 7 2/3 innings.

Minnesota is 40-10 as a favorite of -175 to -250 over the last two seasons, winning by 2.6 runs per game on average in this spot.  Detroit is 12-41 as a home dog of +125 or more over the last two seasons, losing by 3.2 runs per game.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Wednesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-111)

I’m back on the Cleveland Indians today after getting lucky yesterday, cashing them in the 10th innings on the Run Line in a 6-3 victory over the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  I’m expecting them to win by multiple runs within nine innings tonight.

The Pirates are one of the worst teams in baseball at 4-15 on the season.  They are giving up 6.0 runs per game as they have a terrible staff, and they are hitting just .213 as a team offensively.  Starter Steven Brault is averaging just 2.3 innings per start, so the Indians will get into the Pirates’ bullpen early, which has a 5.62 ERA on the season and a 6.47 ERA at home.

Aaron Civale has been impressive for the Indians thus far.  He is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in four starts with 26 K’s and only 3 walks in 25 innings.  The Indians are now 9-3 in their last 12 games overall with eight of those wins coming by two runs or more.

The Indians are 39-12 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Cleveland is 56-23 in its last 79 games as a favorite.  Pittsburgh is 23-53 in its last 76 games as an underdog.  The Pirates are 11-41 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Pittsburgh is 1-11 in its last 12 Interleague games.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110)

The Cleveland Indians have won three straight to improve to 8-3 in their last 11 games overall.  Seven of those eight wins came by two runs or more, and I’ll back them on the Run Line here tonight against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates are one of the worst teams in baseball at 4-14 on the season.  Their pitching staff has been atrocious as they are giving up 6.0 runs per game, and they are only hitting .211 and scoring 4.1 runs per game offensively.

Carlos Carrasco will shut down the Pirates tonight.  Carrasco is back from cancer and 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.209 WHIP with 30 K’s in 22 1/3 innings over four starts this season.  He is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in one career start against Pittsburgh.

The Indians are 5-0 in their last five road games.  Cleveland is 5-1 in its last six games following an off day.  The Indians are 38-13 in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Cleveland is 55-23 in its last 78 games as a favorite.  The Pirates are 11-41 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-108)

The Detroit Tigers shockingly have a winning record (9-8) through 17 games despite being the worst team in baseball last year.  But they didn’t do much to improve their team, and they are now getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to this start.

Shane Bieber went 15-8 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 33 starts for the Indians last year.  He has picked up right where he left off, going 3-0 with a 1.63 ERA and 0.759 WHIP with 43 K’s in 27 2/3 innings thus far in 2020.

Spencer Turnbull is 5-19 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in his three seasons in the big leagues.  He is also getting too much respect after opening with a 2.00 ERA through three starts in 2020.  He’s not as good as his numbers would indicate.

Turnbull is 2-14 (-11.9 units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game over the last two seasons.  The Tigers are losing by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bieber is 9-0 (+9.1 units) vs. poor speed teams that average 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game over the last two years.  The Indians are winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Saturday.

15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-105)

The Philadelphia Phillies have lost each of their first two games in this series with Baltimore by one run each.  They will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 tonight to avoid the sweep, and I expect them to win by multiple runs.

Jake Arrieta is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.000 WHIP through two starts this season against two very good lineups in the Yankees and Braves.  Now Arrieta faces an Orioles team that he’s 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA and 0.878 WHIP against in two career starts.

Philadelphia is 4-1 in its last five games after losing the first two games of a series.  Take the Phillies on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-104)

The Minnesota Twins have lost three straight and will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday.  Look for them to get back in the win column in blowout fashion against the Kansas City Royals.

Ace Jose Berrios gets the ball for the Twins.  He is 3-2 with a 4.29 ERA in 13 career starts against the Royals.  Brady Singer is 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA in three starts this season for Kansas City.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-119)

The Minnesota Twins have picked up right where they left off last season when they set a MLB record with 307 homers and won the AL Central.  They are 7-2 this season and scoring 5.1 runs per game with 16 homers.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are one of the worst teams in baseball.  They sit at 2-7, hitting just .177 as a team and scoring 3.3 runs per game.  Their starting rotation is terrible, and their bullpen has a 4.04 ERA and 1.536 WHIP.  Minnesota’s rotation and bullpen have been solid.  The bullpen has a 2.77 ERA and 1.128 WHIP on the season.  

Derek Holland is 3-7 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.493 WHIP in 13 career starts against Minnesota.  Holland went 2-5 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.506 WHIP in 84 1/3 innings last year between the Giants and Cubs.  Take the Twins on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-110)

I’m back on the Reds today after their game with the Cubs got postponed yesterday.  Sonny Gray and Luis Castillo are two aces on one staff for the Reds.  I just backed Gray in victory, and now I’m on Castillo today.

Castillo went 15-8 with a 3.40 ERA, a 1.143 WHIP and 10.7 K/9 over 32 starts for the Reds in 2019.  In his first and only start of 2020, Castillo held the Tigers to just one run in six innings with 11 K’s to boot.  He will handle them again tonight as the Reds win in blowout fashion.

The Tigers are arguably the worst team in baseball but they are getting more respect than they deserve from oddsmakers after their surprising 4-3 start.  They are hitting just .205 as a team with one of the worst lineups in baseball.

Spencer Turnbull is 1-12 (-11 units) as a home underdogs of +100 or higher over the last two seasons.  The Tigers are losing by 4.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  Roll with the Reds on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-115)

It just shows how strong the top of the rotation is for the Cincinnati Reds that Luis Castillo didn’t get the Opening Day start.  That went to Sonny Gray, who shut down the Tigers in a 7-1 victory.  Rinse and repeat today for Castillo.

Castillo went 15-8 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.143 WHIP with 10.7 K/9 last season for the Reds.  He is supported by one of the most underrated lineups in baseball, which makes the Reds a real contender in the NL Central this year.

The Tigers were the worst team in baseball last year, and not much has changed in the offseason to change that.  Their lineup and starting rotation are atrocious.  That’s evident by having to send Ivan Nova out there as their No. 2 starter.  The 33-year-old posted a 4.72 ERA across 34 starts for the White Sox last season.  Bet the Reds on the Run Line Saturday.

20* Rays/Astros ALDS No-Brainer on Houston -1.5 (-120) 

The Houston Astros knew they had an ace in their sleeve with Gerrit Cole to pitch Game 5 if need be.  They took a shot with Justin Verlander on 3 days’ rest, and it didn’t work out.  Now that ace in their sleeve will deliver for them tonight at home in Game 5. 

Gerrit Cole is 17-0 over his last 23 starts with his last loss coming clear back on May 22nd.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 21 of those 23 starts.  Cole is deserving of the AL Cy Young as he is 21-5 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.886 WHIP in 34 starts this season with 341 K’s in 220 innings.  Cole pitched 7 2/3 shutout innings in Game 2 against the Rays with 15 K’s. 

Tyler Glasnow was opposite Justin Verlander in a 2-6 loss to the Astros in Game 1.  He allowed 2 runs and 7 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in the defeat.  He’s not ready for this big of a stage.  And the Astros have basically seen the entire Rays’ bullpen to this point, so they’ll know what to expect when Glasnow gets removed early. 

Cole is 46-11 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons.  The Astros are winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Te Rays are 0-5 in their last five divisional playoff road games.  Houston is 6-0 in its last six divisional playoff home games.  The Astros are 27-4 in Cole’s last 31 home starts.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. 

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-135) 

The St. Louis Cardinals are doing everything they can to hand the NL Central to the Brewers.  The Brewers do not want to take it, losing the last two days to the Brewers.  So the Cardinals are still in a great position despite losing four straight coming in.  They clinch the NL Central with a win Sunday over the Cubs. 

Now the Cardinals hand the ball to who I believe should win the NL Cy Young in Jack Flaherty.  Flaherty has posted a minuscule 0.97 ERA in five September Starts after posting a 0.71 ERA in August.  Opponents are only hitting .198, .145 and .122 against him over the last three months.  Flaherty is 2-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in eight career starts against Chicago, including 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA in his last two starts against them while allowing just one earned run in 15 innings. 

The Cardinals should get their bats going today against Derek Holland.  The left-hander is 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA in seven starts this season, 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in four road starts, and 0-2 with an 11.37 ERA in his last three starts. 

The Cubs are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.  The Cardinals are 41-17 in their last 58 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Sunday. 

15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-130) 

The Washington Nationals now hold just a one game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers for home-field advantage for the wild card game.  They can’t afford to relax despite winning the first four games of this series with the Phillies.  They go for the rare five-game sweep today, and I expect them to get it by multiple runs. 

The Nationals have a big edge on the mound tonight with Stephen Strasburg, who is 17-6 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in 32 starts this season.  He is 9-2 with a 3.33 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in 13 home starts, and 1-0 with a. 2.00 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in his last three starts.  Strasburg owns the Phillies, going 13-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 26 career starts against them. 

Jason Vargas finally picked up his first win for the Phillies since he was traded to them from the Mets prior to the deadline.  But Vargas has not been good, going 7-8 with a 4.18 ERA in 28 starts this season.  Vargas is 4-4 with a 4.82 ERA in 13 road starts, and 1-1 with a 5.68 ERA in his last three starts overall. 

Washington is 15-1 vs. an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.  It is winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Phillies are 0-5 in their last five road games.  The Nationals are 86-35 in Strasburg’s last 121 starts.  Washington is 10-2 in its last 12 vs. a left-handed starter.  Roll with the Nationals on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-125) 

The Oakland A’s have lost two in a row and are now just a half-game up on the Rays, who are just a half-game up on the Indians.  Only two of those three teams will make the wild card.  It’s important for the A’s to bounce back today and beat the Angels, who are missing Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, and I expect them to do it by multiple runs. 

Andrew Heaney has been roughed up in September, going 1-3 with a 9.31 ERA in four starts this month.  He has given up 12 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  Heaney has allowed 19 home runs in 90 innings pitched this season, including 5 in his last two starts.  Heaney allowed 5 runs in 6 innings in his lone start against the A’s this season. 

Frankie Montas makes his return from an 80-game ban due to PED’s.  Montas is 9-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 15 starts this season and was having an All-Star caliber year prior to the suspension.  He has worked back his stamina up to 100 pitches and is ready to help the team make the postseason.  Montas is 2-0 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in three career starts against the Angels. 

The Angels are 1-10 in home games off an upset win over a division opponent as an underdog over the last three seasons.  The A’s are 24-6 in their last 30 games following a loss.  The Angels are 17-37 in their last 54 games overall.  Oakland is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the A’s on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-129) 

The Oakland A’s are once again one of the most underrated teams in baseball this season.  However, despite the fact that they are 94-62 on the season, they haven’t clinched a playoff spot yet.  They are only 1.5 games up on the Rays and 2 games up on the Indians for the top wild card spot.  They can’t afford to take their foot off the gas. 

While the A’s are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall, the Angels have clearly packed it in, going 7-21 in their last 28 games overall.  They are playing without their two best players in Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani here down the stretch.  And now they are starting Dillon Peters, who is 2-3 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA and 2.118 WHIP in his last three starts. 

Homer Bailey has proven to be a huge acquisition for the A’s prior to the deadline.  He is 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing just 9 earned runs in 43 innings.  Bailey is coming off his best start of the season, pitching seven shutout innings against the Royals with a season-high 11 strikeouts. 

The A’s are 24-5 in their last 29 games following a loss.  Oakland is 57-26 in its last 83 games overall.  The Angels are 0-7 in their last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Los Angeles is 3-14 in its last 17 during Game 1 of a series.  The Angels are 16-37 in their last 53 games overall.  Roll with the A’s on the Run Line Tuesday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-115) 

The St. Louis Cardinals are coming up clutch late in the season a year after blowing the division in September last season.  The Cardinals have now won six straight to take a 3.5-game lead over the Brewers for first place in the NL Central.  They can’t afford to let up here. 

Now the Cardinals are facing an Arizona Diamondbacks team that has officially been eliminated from the postseason as of last night.  That realization will make it hard for them to even show up tonight.  And I expect Mike Leake, who is 12-11 with a 4.62 ERA in 31 starts this season, to get rocked. 

Jack Flaherty is making a strong push to win the Cy Young in the National League.  Flaherty is 6-3 with a 1.07 ERA in 14 starts since July 7.  He has 113 K’s against 21 walks in 92 1/3 innings in that span, limiting opponents to a .148 batting average.  He has only given up more than two runs once in those 14 starts. 

St. Louis is 54-14 in its last 68 games as a road favorite of -175 or more.  It is winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Cardinals are 7-0 in road games off two straight wins by two runs or less this season.  St. Louis is 46-22 in its last 68 games overall.  The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in their last six vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-140) 

The Minnesota Twins are four games up on the Cleveland Indians with six games remaining for the AL Central division title.  They can move closer to winning the division with a Game 1 win over the Detroit Tigers Tuesday.  I expect them to win this game by multiple runs tonight. 

Jake Odorizzi is 14-7 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 29 starts this season.  Odorizzi owns the Tigers, going 5-1 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.131 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.  He is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA in three starts against the Tigers in 2019. 

Spencer Turnbull is 3-15 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 0-10 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in 15 home starts.  Turnbull has never beaten the Twins, going 0-2 with a 6.64 ERA and 1.622 WHIP in four career starts against them.  The Tigers are 2-14 in Turnbull’s last 16 home starts.   

Turnbull is 1-11 as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.  The Tigers are losing by 4.7 runs per game in this spot.  The Twins are 5-0 in Odorizzi’s last five road starts.  Detroit is 0-8 in Turnbull’s last eight home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Twins are 7-0 in Odorizzi’s last seven starts against the Tigers.  These four trends combine for a 31-1 system backing Minnesota.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+103) 

The Washington Nationals are tied with the Milwaukee Brewers in the wild card.  It appears whoever finishes with a better record will get home-field advantage for the play-in game.  So they still have a ton to play for and should handle their business at home against the Philadelphia Phillies tonight. 

The Phillies are now six games back in the wild card with eight to go.  They are basically done for and have nothing to play for.  Zach Eflin is 9-12 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.338 WHIP in 26 starts this season for the Phillies.  I expect the Nationals to light him up. 

Pat Corbin is 13-7 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.163 WHIP in 31 starts this season, including 7-2 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in 14 home starts.  Corbin is also 4-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in eight career starts against the Phillies. 

Eflin is 2-13 against the money line vs. NL teams that score 4.5 arm ore runs per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.  HIs teams are losing by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Phillies are 1-6 in Eflin’s last seven road starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 3-13 in his last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record overall.  The Nationals are 9-1 in Corbin’s last 10 home starts.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Monday.