NBA Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
05-09-24 | Mavs +5 v. Thunder | Top | 119-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mavericks. The Mavericks lost their opener vs. LA in the first round, and then they bounced back to win the next two outright. Dallas has been great about making adjustments from game-to-game, and that's exactly what we're expecting here. The Thunder are in unchartered territory right now and I think they'll struggle to cover the spread in this one. Look for Luka and company to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. T.M. Prediction: 108-107 OKC. |
|||||||
05-03-24 | Clippers +8 v. Mavs | Top | 101-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clippers (WEST-CONF GOW) Yes, Dallas blew out LA 123-93 on the road in Game 5, but I think that the Clippers are too talented and too deep to go down without a fight here in Game 6. They're well coached as well. Also note that the Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Dallas has been inconsistent with its effort and its hard to imagine it looking past LA or anything like that, but the stage is definitely set for a much tighter affair than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. So I'm going to grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 105-104 Dallas. |
|||||||
04-27-24 | Cavs v. Magic -2 | Top | 89-112 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Magic. The bottom line here is that I think that the home court advantage will prove crucial in this series. That's so far been the case, with Cleveland winning big in each of the first two games, before Orlando answering in the 121-83 Game 3 victory. I often find that oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying "momentum" into a line, and that's the case here for sure, as I do indeed look for the Magic to build off their recent blowout performance. T.M. Prediction: 104-96 Orlando. |
|||||||
04-26-24 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | Top | 126-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns (MONEY-MAKER) Just not counting out Phoenix yet. This is the Suns most important game of the year so far and while they were a complete disaster in Minnesota over the first two games, I believe they can get their act together here now at home in Game 3 and not only win this game, but do so by a sizeable margin. This series very much has the same feeling to me as the Cavs/Magic series. Home court advantage clearly was big for Cleveland for Orlando after the Magic blew out the Cavs in Game 3, after dropping the first two on the road. Look for this series here out on the West Coast to take a similar path. T.M. Prediction: 109-98 Phoenix. |
|||||||
04-24-24 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Thunder | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pelicans. The Pelicans almost won Game 1 without Zion outright and I believe they have a legit shot to, at the very least, duplicate that performance and make this Game 2 another "nail biter" for the fans. The Thunder looked poor overall in my opinion, as the Pelicans shot horribly. I'd say that OKC's defensive numbers from Game 1 are skewed, and that it was the Pels just having a really poor shooting game, despite Williamson being sidelined. The Thunder have little experience at this level and I think they'll struggle to put New Orleans away in this series. Maybe no outright, but definitely it's going to be closer than what this spread is suggesting. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 OKC. |
|||||||
04-22-24 | Lakers +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. The Lakers had a three-point lead at half-time in Game 1, but then fell 114-103. LA has responded well in this spot for bettors though by going 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. a Western Conference opponent though. This has been a terrible matchup for LeBron and AD, but I think they'll be more efficent here, especially from range. Look for the sense of urgency in which the Lakers play with to be enough to earn the comfortable cover. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Denver. |
|||||||
04-21-24 | Pelicans v. Thunder -8 | Top | 92-94 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Thunder. No need to overthink or overanalyze this release in my opinion. The Pels did great to get by the Kings to advance without Zion Williamson, as New Orleans has gone 6-0 vs. Sacramento this season. But now I fully expect the Pels to come up short here in the opener of this contest vs. the fresh Thunder. OKC finished No. 1 and will look to make quick work of this series. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to take full advantage of this situation. T.M. Prediction: 116-99 OKC. |
|||||||
04-20-24 | 76ers +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 104-111 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 76ers. I think this is a bad matchup for the Knicks. Philly finished averaging 114.6 PPG, while allowing 111.5, while New York averaged 112.8 and conceded 108.2. New York just doesn't have an answer for Philly big man Joel Embiid. While I do think an outright is possible, I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-103 Philly. |
|||||||
04-19-24 | Bulls +2.5 v. Heat | Top | 91-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bulls (MONEY-MAKER) Just giving this one the "eye test" here. Chicago is playing without Zach Lavine, but has already made that adjustment. The Heat losing Jimmy Butler last time out is really signficant. Chicago is out to avenge a loss to the Heat in last year's Play in as well. While I clearly think an outright is possible, I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 106-100 Chicago. |
|||||||
04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 76ers. With Joel Embiid back in the line-up, the 76ers enter the playoffs as the hottest team in the league after eight straights wins. I really love both of these coaches and understand that experience that Miami brings to the table. But this Philly defense is 100% capable of slowing down Jimmy Butler, and without their star being able to create space for himself, this Miami offense is going to be limited on the road in this diffcult venue. I smell a blowout in Philadelphia this evening! T.M. Prediction: 110-98 Philly. |
|||||||
04-06-24 | Hawks v. Nuggets -11.5 | Top | 110-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets. I'm not expecting any upsets here, as this one sets up well for Denver to blowout the visiting Hawks in my opinion. Atlanta is off the 109-95 loss at Dallas, but with three whole nights off after this before a home game vs. Miami, I believe the visitors will get caught flat-footed here in the thin air of Denver. The Nuggets won't be lacking motivation here after falling 102-100 at the Clippers as 3.5-point favorites last time out. Look for Denver, who has two nights off after this, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 121-100 Denver. |
|||||||
03-30-24 | Celtics -6 v. Pelicans | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. After back-to-back losses to ATL, I like Boston to push the pace here and get back on track in this challenging matchup. Conversely, after winning three of their last four, including a 107-100 win over Milwaukee here last time out, I suspect a letdown here from the Pels. They lost 118-112 in Boston back on January 29th, and this is just a poor matchup for New Orleans. And that's especially true considering how "locked in" I believe the visiting side will be today. So lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 123-100 Boston. |
|||||||
03-29-24 | Mavs v. Kings -1 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings. Dallas has won five straight SU and gone 4-1 ATS over that span. That includes a 132-96 win here at Sacramento three nights ago. Note that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or less points in. This is an important little three-game home stretch for Sacramento right near the end of the regular season and I believe it'll regroup here and avenge that setback. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Sacramento. |
|||||||
03-28-24 | Celtics -16 v. Hawks | Top | 122-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. Boston is 57-15 while Atlanta is 32-39. The Celtics play with revenge after a 120-118 loss to the Hawks last time out, and note that the C's are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an oppponent. The Hawks will likely be in the "play in," but the Hawks have several injuries which makes Boston the correct call here. The revenge factor is the difference for me. T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Boston. |
|||||||
03-27-24 | Suns +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns. Phoenix is 41-30, including 19-16 on the road. Denver is 51-21, including 29-6 at home. The Nuggets have won four straight, but they fell 117-107 in OT to the Suns on March 5th, and I think they'll have their hands full here too at home. Phoenix had its three-game win streak snapped in a 104-102 loss at San Antonio, two nights after beating the Spurs 131-106 on the road and clearly getting caught "looking ahead" to this matchup. Phoenix is hungry to improve here and I suspect a very competitive affair in this one. So grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Denver. |
|||||||
03-25-24 | Hornets v. Cavs -11.5 | Top | 92-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cavaliers. After three straight losses, including a humbling 121-84 loss at Miami just last night, I like the Cavaliers to finally bounce back here at home in this favorable matchup and to take out their frustrations on the lowly Hornets. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more SU/ATS setbacks in a row. This is the opener of a home and home set between the clubs, so look for Cleveland to send the early message. T.M. Prediction: 115-90 Cleveland. |
|||||||
03-24-24 | Cavs +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 84-121 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cavaliers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Cleveland is in fact 21-13 on the road, while Miami is just 17-16 at home this season. The Cavs are off B2B SU/ATS losses, so will clearly be motivated. And they also play with the added-incentive of "revenge" after falling 107-104 as 3-point favs at home to the Heat earlier in the week, and note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a fav. vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 103-102 Cleveland. |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Kings v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards (NON-CONF GOM) The Wizards are in full on tank mode, but there are still plenty of spots where it makes sense to wager on them and grab up all the points, and this is one of those spots in my opinion. The Kings are coming off two straight victories, but after beating Toronto 123-89 last night, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Note that the Kings are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road win in which they held their opponent to 89 or fewer points in. The Kings have a much more high-profile game at Orlando after this and I think they get caught looking ahead. T.M. Prediction: 119-116 Sacramento. |
|||||||
03-20-24 | Bucks v. Celtics -10.5 | 119-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. I base my picks on many different factors. This particular one is based on the revenge factor. The Celtics are playing well right now as they enter having won six straight. They lost 135-102 at Milwaukee in January, and note that the C's are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 105 or fewer points in. T.M. Prediction: 120-107 Boston. |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Rockets v. Wizards +9.5 | Top | 137-114 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards. I think Houston will likely win this game outright, but it won't even come close to covering the spread. Yes, the Wizards are terrible, but Houston, despite winning five in a row, is still just 9-24 on the road. The Rockets return home for three straight after this, so this is a natural "letdown" spot vs. the lowly Wizards. Who do in fact play with revenge after a 135-119 loss at Houston just last week. Look for Washington to be much more competitive here here on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Houston. |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Suns +6 v. Celtics | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns. I really do see this one coming right down to the wire. Phoenix is a respectable 17-13 on the road. The Suns have won three of their last four, including a 117-111 win at Cleveland last time out. The only loss in that time came against the Celtics at home just last week, falling 117-107, and note that the Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a straight-up and against-the-spread home loss as a dog versus an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Boston. |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Lakers -2 v. Kings | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. No need to overthink this one. The Lakers are playing their best basketball of the year right now arguably. They catch the Kings off a satisfying home win over the Bucks just last night. LA's only loss in its last four games game against Sacramento at home last week, and note that the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 124-116 LA. |
|||||||
03-12-24 | Celtics v. Jazz +6.5 | Top | 123-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz. While only 28-36 overall, the Jazz are a much more respectable 19-12 at home thi syear. The Celtics are 50-14 overall and 21-11 on the road, but I say they get caught looking ahead to their home game vs. the Suns next, as this is the finale of their road-trip. The Jazz play with revenge after a 126-97 loss at Boston in early January. They're off B2B losses, but I expect Utah to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door in this revenge-scenario. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 117-115 Boston. |
|||||||
03-10-24 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -14.5 | Top | 93-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder. No reason not to believe we'll see a complete blowout here. Memphis is off the 99-92 home loss to Atlanta, but it fell 116-97 to the Thunder here back in mid-December, and I'm expecting a similar final outcome here as well. The Thunder have won B2B games and with three "winnable" home contests here, starting with this one, I do expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 OKC. |
|||||||
03-09-24 | Spurs v. Warriors -10 | Top | 126-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors. The Warriors are off the 125-122 home loss to the Bulls as 8.5-point favorites, one night after hammering the Bucks 125-90. With Spurs' star "Wemby" expected to be sidelined for this one though, look for Golden State to bounce back here in this favorable spot, as note that the Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their L9 off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Everything points to a blowout here for sure in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: Golden State 127-100. |
|||||||
03-08-24 | Bucks v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. I think it's "all hands on deck" for the Lake Show tonight! The Bucks are a mediocre 16-15 SU on the road this year, while the Lakers are an above average 23-11 at home. The Bucks JUST had their big win streak snapped in a 125-90 loss at Golden State. They've played without star Giannis the last couple games and if he DOES suit up tonight, I think he'll be a "non-factor" as he continues to work through his injury. The Lakers have been trading wins/losses over their last four games and off a listless 130-120 setback to the Kings here last time out, I think this pattern continues. Grab the points though. T.M. Prediction: 122-110 Lakers. |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Warriors v. Celtics -10.5 | Top | 88-140 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. The Warriors have injuries and other issues with their line-up hence the large line. Golden State has won three straight SU/ATS on the road, all as a fav, but note that the Warriors are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS road wins in a row. Golden State gets caught "looking ahead" as well to a few nights off, before three straight at home starting with the Bucks. Boston plays with revenge as well after a 132-126 OT loss at Golden State in December. Look for the Celtics, who have won ten straight, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 130-100 Boston. |
|||||||
03-02-24 | Jazz +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz. The Jazz have lost the first two games of their road trip, but they catch the Heat at a good time here. Utah actually beat Miami at home at the start of the season. I'm not predicting an outright win here or anything for the visitors, but it does set up well for the underdog. The Heat return home after going 5-1 on their road trip. They went 6-0 ATS. They lost their final game at Denver. First game back at home = letdown spot! Let's take advantage, I'm grabbing the points in this one and rolling with the Jazz. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Miami. |
|||||||
03-01-24 | Blazers +1.5 v. Grizzlies | 122-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Blazers and the points. While I clearly believe the outright win is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Portland has lost nine straight, but it plays with revenge here after a 112-100 loss to the Grizz back in November and note that the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. This is the first of two straight between the clubs, but this one favors the visitors; grab the points, the play is Portland! T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Portland. |
|||||||
02-15-24 | Wolves -9 v. Blazers | Top | 128-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIN - ATS I like the Minnesota Timberwolves to win this game against the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday, February 15th. After beating the Blazers by 12 just the other day, the TWolves look to win by even more tonight. Minnesota have now won three straight games and are feeling it again. Portland have lost five in a row. Although Portland kept the last game close throughout, I don't believe that they'll have much luck today. Minnesota was on a back to back and now have had a days rest. Hammer Minnesota tonight. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 TWolves. Line: -9.0 Line Parameter: play until -10.5.. |
|||||||
02-10-24 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHI - ATS I like the Philadelphia 76ers to win this game against the Washington Wizards on Saturday, February 10th. Entering this game off four losses in a row, this line is very low. Yes, the Wizards competed against the Celtics last night in a very close game. But, this is a Wizards team that still aren't very good. Philly hammered them by 45 points back in December. I'm expecting another dominating performance from the 76ers to get back in the winning column as they do not want to slip any further in the standings. T.M. Prediction: 129-105 76ers. Line: -4.0 Line Parameter: play until -5.5.. |
|||||||
02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers -6.5 | Top | 128-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: POR - ATS I like the Portland Trail Blazers to win this game against the Detroit Pistons on Thursday, February 8th. with two bad teams, it's hard to pick a winner sometimes. Having said that, I don't believe that the Blazers are that bad. Yes, their record is pretty sub-par. But, they've got talent on their roster. Detroit just lost Burks and Bogdanovic in a trade with the Knicks. It's going to be a struggle for a team that's already struggling. On the back-end of a back to back, I don't see Detroit competing much tonight. Give me Portland against the spread. T.M. Prediction: 119-104 Trail Blazers. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Clippers v. Heat +4.5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday, February 4th. According to many, the Clippers are the favorites to win the championship this season. But, I believe that they still have their problems that they need to resolve before the playoffs start. Winning on the road hasn't been necessarily easy for them this season. Off back to back wins, I've got the Heat upsetting the Clippers on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 111-105 Heat. Line: +4.5 Line Parameter: play until +2.0.. |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Wolves -4 v. Nets | 96-94 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: MIN - ATS I like the Minnesota Timberwolves to win this game against the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday, January 25th. Even though I believe that the Timberwolves are over-performing this season, they are the much better team in this matchup. The Nets have lost back to back games now and just don't have the ability that some of these other teams have. Minnesota is one year older and that's made them that much stronger with the likes on Anthony Edwards becoming a superstar. Expect a big time win from a Timberwolves team that is looking very strong. T.M. Prediction: 116-102 TWolves. Line: -4.0 Line Parameter: play until -5.0.. |
|||||||
01-24-24 | Hawks v. Warriors -6.5 | 112-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: GSW - ATS I like the Golden State Warriors to win this game against the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday, January 24th. Even off back to back losses, the Warriors are quite easily the favorite here. Both teams has disappointed up until this point in the season and need to start winning some games to make a comenback. I believe that the Warriors still have at least one year left with these guys and they will turn it around. It all starts tonight against a team that is very sub-par right now. At home, hammer Golden State. T.M. Prediction: 122-107 GS. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.0.. |
|||||||
01-17-24 | Nets v. Blazers +6.5 | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: POR - ATS I like the Portland Trail Blazers to win this game against the Brooklyn Nets on Wednesday January 17th. Having lost four straight games by a combined score of more than 30 each game, people have started to call Portland one of the worst teams in this league. Now, they may be currently fighting a slump, but they've got talent on this team. Ayton is officially back and Portland is ready to make a comeback. Brooklyn has sucked on the road this year. I've got Portland covering this number at home. T.M. Prediction: 114-106 Blazers. Line: +6.5 Line Parameter: play until +5.0.. |
|||||||
01-15-24 | Magic +7.5 v. Knicks | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: ORL - ATS I like the Orlando Magic to win this game against the New York Knicks on Monday, January 15th. Even though the Magic have struggled lately, they still sit just one seed lower than the Knicks right now. Orlando does have Franz Wagner out, which doesn't help. Having said that, Brunson won't be at 100% if he's able to play for the Knicks. I believe the ORL is good enough to win this game outright, just as they did on December 29th. Give me the Magic plus the points. T.M. Prediction: 119-114 Magic. Line: +7.5 Line Parameter: play until +6.0.. |
|||||||
01-12-24 | Warriors +3.5 v. Bulls | 140-131 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors - ML I like the Golden State Warriors to win this game against the Chicago Bulls on Friday, January 12th. Even though Draymond Green has been rules out once again, the Warriors are in need of a win. They are the best team of the past decade and they just got booed by their fans in back to back games. Now, as underdogs against a team with a losing record, that's straight up disrespectful. I expect a massive performance from Steph Curry and Klay Thompson on Friday. Hammer GSW. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Warriors. Line: +3.5 Line Parameter: play until +2.0.. |
|||||||
01-10-24 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 111-124 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver - ATS I like the Denver Nuggets to win this game against the Utah Jazz on Wednesday, January 10th. Even though they've won back to back games, Utah just isn't good enough to win this game against a top Nuggets team. Denver is back on track after beating the Pistons in their last game and should be able to go on another long winning streak now. Utah is just 7-12 ATS over their last 19 games after scoring 130+ in their last game. I've got Denver turning it up a notch on Wednesday, especially with the one extra day of rest. Hammer the Nuggets. T.M. Prediction: 123-106 Nuggets. **biggest northwest division bet of the season Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. |
|||||||
01-01-24 | Pistons +8.5 v. Rockets | 113-136 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pistons (ATS) I'm not predicting an outright win here or anything, but I do expect the hungry visiting side to sneak in under the radar and, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Detroit is now 3-29 after its 129-127 win at home over the Raptors. The Rockets are ripe for the picking now after three straight losses. Houston has done well for bettors this season, but with the majority of the public money on the Rockets, I'm going to go contrarian here. Detroit probably won't win a second straight, but all signs point this one "coming down to the wire." T.M. Prediction: 116-113 Houston. |
|||||||
12-18-23 | Wolves v. Heat +1 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIA - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday, December 18th. Although the TWolves have been the best team in the West and maybe even in the NBA so far this season, I still aren't fully convinced that they'll stay like this. Yes, they've got the talent, but I still believe that Anthony Edwards is one more season away from becoming one of the best. He's extremely good, but not quite at the level of some of these superstars quite yet. Miami gets back Herro and Bam this game and should be pretty much back to full strength. They've got depth and they've got the length to guard the TWolves. I'll grab the Heat at home here. T.M. Prediction: 118-109 Heat. Line: +1.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.5 (can play ML..) |
|||||||
12-15-23 | Hawks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta - ATS I like the Atlanta Hawks to win this game against the Toronto Raptors on Friday, December 15th. While these teams both played on Wednesday and the Raptors took the victory, I expect a rebound game for the Hawks. Atlanta is still a fairly good team even with the poor record. The've lost five straight games now and need this one to gain confidence. Expect them to get it done. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Hawks. Line: +2.5 Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..) |
|||||||
12-13-23 | Grizzlies +6 v. Rockets | 104-117 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Memphis - money line I like the Memphis Grizzlies to win this game against the Houston Rockets on Wednesday, December 13th. With the highly anticipated return of Ja Morant coming in just a few games, the Grizzlies will want to string a few wins together to gain some confidence before his arrival. Memphis has been dealing with injuries all year and this could be a throw away year for them. But, they still have the skills to beat most teams in the league if they are on point. Expect them to cover this spread easily and push to win outright on Wednesday. T.M. Prediction: 113-108 Grizzlies. Line: +6.0 Line Parameter: play until +6.0.. |
|||||||
12-12-23 | Nuggets -7 v. Bulls | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DEN - ATS I like the Denver Nuggets to win this game against the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday, December 12th. Denver has shown signs of struggle over the past week or so. However, they still have one of the best starting lineups in the association and I believe that they could be in for another strong playoff run this year. Chicago has not been good whatsoever and they've got guys injured all over. Don't be surprised if this game gets out of hand early. Even on the second game of a back to back, hammer Denver. T.M. Prediction: 116-101 Nuggets. Line: -7.0 Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. |
|||||||
12-02-23 | Wolves v. Hornets +6 | 123-117 | Push | 0 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: CHA - ATS I like the Charlotte Hornets to win this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday, December 2nd. Currently sitting atop of the Western Conference, the TWolves are the team to beat right now. However, I believe that they are a bit overrated at the moment. Three of their wins came within three points, and five of them came within six points. They've lost three games on the road already and Charlotte is coming off a big win against the Nets. I think an upset is brewing here in this one. T.M. Prediction: 113-107 Hornets. Line: +6.0 Line Parameter: play until +5.5.. |
|||||||
11-27-23 | Blazers +12.5 v. Pacers | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: POR - ATS I like the Portland Trail Blazers to cover the spread against the Indiana Pacers on Monday, November 27th. Even though Portland has struggled this season, they still have talent. Indiana has been very in and out lately and could very well be in for another bad game. Yes, they've got a very explosive offense this season, but their defense is horrendous. Expect POR to cover the big spread today. T.M. Prediction: 128-123 Pacers. Line: +12.5 Line Parameter: play until +11.5.. |
|||||||
11-21-23 | Cavs +7.5 v. 76ers | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: CLE - ATS I like the Cleveland Cavaliers to win this game against the Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday, November 21st. Even without Donovan Mitchell, I think that the Cavs have a good chance in winning this game. I don't believe that the 76ers will keep this pace up and I do think that the Cavs will start to pick it up. A win here would go a long way for this Cavs team that's already lost a tournament game. Take them plus the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-108 Cavs. Line: +7.5 Line Parameter: play until +6.5.. |
|||||||
11-19-23 | Rockets v. Lakers -5 | 104-105 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LAL - ATS I like the Los Angeles Lakers to win this game against the Houston Rockets on Sunday, November 19th. LA already got blown out by this team earlier this season. It's a great revenge spot as they are the more talented team and should be ready to go having won their last game against Portland. Houston is still very young and I believe are slowly starting to fade. I'm going with the Lakers at home in this one. T.M. Prediction: 118-103 Lakers. Line: -5.0 Line Parameter: play until -6.0.. |
|||||||
11-17-23 | Kings -6.5 v. Spurs | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: SAC - ATS I like the Sacramento Kings to win this game against the San Antonio Spurs on Friday, November 17th. Without Tre Jones & Devin Vassell, I don't see San Antonio keeping up with the pace of Sacramento. Both teams like to push the ball and play quickly, but it's going to be tough for this young spurs team without two of their best guards. Having won four straight, give me SAC here today. T.M. Prediction: 131-108 Kings. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.0.. |
|||||||
11-15-23 | Wolves v. Suns -5.5 | 115-133 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: PHX - ATS I like the Phoenix Suns to win this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday, November 15th. After winning a tight game against the Warriors last night, I think the TWolves might be a bit tired coming in especially having that been an “in-season tournament” game. Phoenix might also be getting Booker back today so that'll be a huge boost for a team that's been struggling early on this year. At home, give me Phoenix to cover this spread. T.M. Prediction: 117-105 Suns. Line: -5.5 Line Parameter: play until -6.0.. |
|||||||
11-08-23 | Raptors +5.5 v. Mavs | 127-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: TOR - ATS I like the Toronto Raptors to win this game against the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday, November 8th. Dallas has been very good to start this season but I believe that they'll fall off a bit. This Raptors team isn't as strong as they have been in previous years, but they still have talent. I'm expecting Dallas to be caught looking ahead to their in-season tournament matchup against the Clippers on Friday and for the Raptors to steal one here on the road. Look for Siakam and Scottie to have big games. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 Raptors. Line: +5.5 Line Parameter: play until +5.0.. |
|||||||
10-30-23 | Celtics v. Wizards +10.5 | Top | 126-107 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards - ATS I like the Washington Wizards to cover the spread in this game against the Boston Celtics on Monday, October 30th. Coming in off a big win against the Grizzlies to start their year 1-1, the Wizards are ready to explode against the best team they've seen yet. Boston might be 2-0, but they haven't really looked all that sharp. The C's failed to cover the spread against Miami and failed to cover as well in their first game. Jordan Poole was a huge addition for this Wizards team that is already improving. This line is way too high for a Wizards team that is currently looking very strong. I wouldn't be surprised at all if they pulled off the upset here in this one. T.M. Prediction: 116-115 Celtics. Line: +10.5 Line Parameter: play until +9.5.. |
|||||||
10-25-23 | Wolves v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors - ATS I like the Toronto Raptors to win this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday, October 25th. Coming into the new season, everyone has high hopes. Toronto lost one of their key players in Fred VanVleet over this offseason. However, they are still a very complete team and I expect Scottie Barnes to make another huge leap this season and for Pascal to continue his excellence. Toronto is much more complete than the TWolves. Although Minnesota might have more fire power, they can be very in and out at times. Minnesota has also struggled against Toronto in the past. Since 1996, Toronto is 23-4 against MIN on their home court. With Toronto's deep squad and with this game being played in Canada, I've got the Raptors to begin their season 1-0. T.M. Prediction: 114-103 Raptors. Line: +1.5 Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) |
|||||||
06-12-23 | Heat +9 v. Nuggets | Top | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Although I've taken the Nuggets in back to back games (won both,) I've got the Heat forcing a Game 6 back in Miami here in this one. Jimmy Butler will not go down just yet. He's gotten the Heat this far, and now it's time for him to unleash his greatness once again. We are still awaiting the news of Tyler Herro and if he's available to play, but even without him, the Heat should be able to at least bring this one down to the wire. Jimmy Buckets. Remember the name. T.M. Prediction: 116-111 Heat. Line: +9.5 Line Parameter: play at 5% until +7.5, 4% until +6.5.. |
|||||||
05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Boston Celtics on Saturday. After winning the first three games of this series, the Heat find themselves in a bit of a whole. The C's have taken back to back games and Heat fans are getting nervous. However, prior to losing in Game 4, the Heat hadn't lost at home in the playoffs. They've got a guy in the name of Jimmy Butler who is going to do whatever he possibly can for his team to get back to another final. This game will be played like a Game 7. Both teams will play with the urgency and fight to win this must win game. The Miami crowd should help the Heat move on here today as we've never seen a 3-0 comeback in the history of the NBA. T.M. Prediction: 111-104 Heat. Line: +3.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) |
|||||||
05-18-23 | Lakers +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Los Angeles Lakers - ATS I like the Los Angeles Lakers to win this game against the Denver Nuggets on Friday. As Game 1 moved along, the Lakers were starting to figure out how to defend these Nuggets. Full respect to Denver, but I believe that LAL is going to come ready to play tonight in Game 2. Dating back to the regular season, the Lakers are a perfect 6-0 in their last six games after a loss. Expect yet another bounce back game from the 2020 champs. T.M. Prediction: 127-120 Lakers. Line: +5.5 Line Parameter: play until +3.5.. |
|||||||
05-12-23 | Warriors +2.5 v. Lakers | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors - ATS I like the Golden State Warriors to win this game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. The Warriors stayed alive after their Game 5 win back in the Bay Area. Now, this is a huge test, facing elimination in according to many, the GOAT's house. However, these guys have been here before and they want revenge on the guy that came back from a 3-1 deficit in the finals against this very team. Winner of this game practically wins the series. I've got GSW. T.M. Prediction: 119-113 Warriors. Line: +2.5 Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers | Top | 97-127 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: GSW - ATS I like the Golden State Warriors to win this game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. In Game 2, the Warriors should the Lakers what they really can do. Even with Looney feeling under the weather, they were able to crush LAL from start to finish. I'm not expecting them to be nearly as dominant, but I do expect them to go up 2-1 in this very intriguing series. T.M. Prediction: 121-111 Warriors. Line: +3.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) |
|||||||
05-06-23 | Knicks +4 v. Heat | 86-105 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks - ATS I like the New York Knicks to win this game against the Miami Heat on Saturday. New York looked a lot better in Game 2, with the likes of Julius Randle back in the lineup. I know Jimmy Butler has been phenomenal in these playoffs so far, but let's not forget how bad this team was at scoring coming into these playoffs. NYK is here to play this year and want to go as far as they can for that city. A win here would make everyone go crazy back in the Big Apple. Expect a hard fought gritty battle here, with Julius and the Knicks coming out victorious. T.M. Prediction: 108-101 Knicks. Line: +4.0 Line Parameter: play until +2.5.. |
|||||||
05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NYK - ATS I like the New York Knicks to win this game against the Miami Heat on Tuesday. After losing Game 1 on their own court, the Knicks really need to win Game 2. This is basically a Game 7 for them. Even with the pressure, I believe that they will find a way to get the job done. Randle should be back, and they'll be at full strength for this game. Jimmy Butler suffered a minor injury late in Gm 1, which might restrict him a tad for this one. That should give NYK a boost just seeing him not at 100%. Give me the Knicks to even the series back up at one a piece. T.M. Prediction: 109-97 Knicks. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.5.. |
|||||||
05-01-23 | Suns +4.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 87-97 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Phoenix Suns - ATS I like the Phoenix Suns to win this game against the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Phoenix looked very sharp to open up Game 1, but fell short in the end as their second quarter was just not it. Today, I expect a different story as KD and the rest of the stacked Suns starting lineup look for revenge in Game 2. The Suns may not have the depth that the Nuggets do anymore, but they have enough fire power to get by them here in this one. This is a huge game in the series. Expect a Suns mini upset. I'll gladly grab the extra points along with it. T.M. Prediction: 115-104 Suns. Line: +4.5 Line Parameter: play until +2.5 (can play ML at anything better than +135..) |
|||||||
04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors - ATS I like the Golden State Warriors to win this game against the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Although the Warriors have been bad all season long on the road, they showed what they are capable of in that Game 5 win in Sac. I'm expecting them to have Draymond back in the starting lineup today, as this is by far the biggest game of the season for both teams. The Warriors have the experience, and they have the best shooter in NBA history. I'll gladly take them as an underdog in an elimination game every single time. T.M. Prediction: 121-113 Warriors. Line: +1.5 Line Parameter: play until -0.5 (can play ML..) |
|||||||
04-25-23 | Hawks +13.5 v. Celtics | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks - ATS I like the Atlanta Hawks to win this game against the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Facing elimination, Trae Young is going to need to show up if he wants his team to have a chance at winning this series. I know that Dejounte Murray is out, as he's suspended for this game, but I believe that the Hawks have enough talent to keep this one close. Expect a Trae masterclass en route to an easy cover, and possible upset. T.M. Prediction: 116-110 Celtics. Line: +13.5 Line Parameter: play until +12.0.. |
|||||||
04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Boston Celtics - ATS I like the Boston Celtics to win this game against the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Off Game 3's mini upset, I see the Celtics retaking the momentum heading back to Boston. It's been a very interesting series so far, with the home team winning every game. But, Boston is just too good and I don't see them not winning this game here on Sunday. Expect a double-digit win. T.M. Prediction: 119-103 Celtics. Line: -6.0 Line Parameter: play until -6.5.. |
|||||||
04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +1.5 | Top | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies - ATS I like the Memphis Grizzlies to win this game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. I'm sorry but why is the 7 seed favored on the road in Game 2 against the 2 seed. Yes, I know that Ja is hurting and questionable. Yes, I know the other team has Lebron and AD. But C'mon. I expect Morant to play in this game after the results of his hand came back. But, even if he is limited, this is a Memphis team that has been very good without him and can handle their own. This line is just to good to pass up. Hammer the Grizzlies. T.M. Prediction: 116-109 Grizzlies. Line: +1.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.5 (can play ML..) |
|||||||
04-18-23 | Hawks +10.5 v. Celtics | 106-119 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks - ML I like the Atlanta Hawks to cover the spread in this game against the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Even though the Celtics looked awfully good in Game 1, the Hawks were able to climb back and make the score respectable. However, they still weren't able to cover the spread in that game. In Game 2, I expect the Hawks to respond and play much better on both sides of the ball. Nobody wants to go down 2-0, especially the 7 seed. Expect a Hawks cover and maybe even upset win here in this one. T.M. Prediction: 113-111 Celtics. Line: +11.0 Line Parameter: play until +10.0.. |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | Top | 123-126 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State Warriors - ATS I like the Golden State Warriors to win this game against the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. The playoffs are back and we've got a great matchup in the Western Conference here with this one. To me, this is the most intriguing matchup of them all. The Kings have been incredible this season and nobody thought they could pull it off, especially not winning the Pacific Division. Golden State enters the playoffs as the defending champs though. There's something to be said about winning the year before. They always have that desire to go back to back and I don't see why they couldn't win it again this year. Andrew Wiggins may or may not be in the lineup for Game 1. If he does play, that will provide a huge boost to a team that is already playing great basketball. Even without him, I think the Warriors' experience will help them will this first game of the series. Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are back and ready to show the world once again that they are the best. The Warriors haven't been good all season on the road, but in the playoffs, expect a different and hungry Warriors basketball team. T.M. Prediction: 123-112 GSW. Line: +1.0 Line Parameter: play until -3.5 (can play ML until -180..) |
|||||||
04-15-23 | Knicks +5.5 v. Cavs | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New York Knicks - ATS I like the New York Knicks to win this game against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday. Although I'm going back on forth between who I believe is going to win this series, I expect the Knicks to win Game one of this series. NYK has won both of the past two meetings, including a game here in Cleveland in late March. The Knicks match up well with the Cavs and that is why they won the season series. Randle is questionable, but I'm expecting the big man to play in this one. If he doesn't I still like the Knicks to cover this spread. However, grab this line while you can as the line may shift if Randle is confirmed. T.M. Prediction: 109-103 Knicks. Line: +5.5 Line Parameter: play until +3.5.. |
|||||||
04-05-23 | Wizards v. Hawks -10 | Top | 116-134 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks - ATS I like the Atlanta Hawks to win this game against the Washington Wizards on Wednesday. As the season winds down, more players become either injured or tired. The Wizards have tired out and are dealing with many injuries right now. I'm expecting all three of Porzingis, Kuzma and Beal to sit once again today just like they did yesterday. The Hawks are still battling to try and seal the eight seed for the play-in tournament. Having to win two games in a row is so much harder than just having to win one of two. I expect the Hawks to come out blazing hot, and pick up just where they left off last nights game against the Bulls. T.M. Prediction: 123-101 Hawks. Line: -10.5 Line Parameter: play until -12.5.. |