Indiana +  

Something doesn't mesh for the normal look at the game when you observe and compare laying 7.5 to 8 points and combined with the total is set low at 45.5. After-all, Indiana did put up 20 points last week against Michigan. And Minnesota hung 27 points on Michigan St last week. This will be a competitive game throughout. Indiana took Michigan St to overtime last year scoring 21. This will be a similar type contest. This Indiana team is a live dog so no surprise if they get the outright win. One reason for the added pointspread value is that the Spartans are 4-2 ATS and the oddsmakers jacked up the line for this Michigan State home game. There's no free lunches for the public. And the public has zero interest backing Indiana. 

New Mexico

Pittsburg +  

Ben R is not done contrary to what he was whining about after last weeks performance against Jacksonville. I guarantee that last week will not be part of his legacy. What he really needs after doing everything in his 13 year old career are new challenges. His season might be just above average but as a highly seasoned veteran, he would like nothing better than to blowout the undefeated Chiefs in front of the Arrowhead crowd. Now that's a challenge for a champion. Look for Antonio Brown and Ben to hook up while their awesome defense holds the Chiefs to a bad memory. Ben R has gone 5-1 and has thrown for 1433 yards with 13 TDs and just three INTs while posting a 118.7 QBR in his career against the Chiefs. Steelers roll and it won't be a shock.

Minnesota + 

Minnesota edged the Packers 17-14 at home in the first meeting last season and have the perfect defensive secondary to make Aaron Rodgers somewhat ineffective. While we remember that Green Bay grabbed a win against the Cowboys last week, the Packers defense did not play well in the win against Dallas, allowing 408 total yards, and the Cowboys were able to go 7 for 12 on third downs. The Vikings defense is awesome and will be there all game to play. The Vikings defense is a force, allowing 17 or fewer points in three straight games and defense wins these vastly important games. Furthermore, the Vikings running game was terrific last week led by Jerick McKinnon, and the Packers have shown they will give up yards on the ground, allowing an average of 121 rushing yards per game. Case Keenum may be a backup QB but the important roles are the Vikings defense and their run game. If put to the test, his touchdown to interception ratio is better than the ratio of the overall Packers defense verses the opponents rushing. This is more than a "live" dog, this is your outright winner. 

Minnesota 

It's a difficult thing to do as Michigan St upset Michigan in the Big House last week and now has to travel and play at Minnesota. This is after celebrating all week long. Coaches love wins but they hate that the following week's focus is on that upset and not on their next game. Points and yards should be at a premium in this game as both teams are very strong on the defensive side of the ball. The Gophers are allowing just 17 points per game and in a defensive slugfest, and getting more than a field goal, taking the points is the play. The Spartans do not score enough points to pull this off. This is a scheduling nightmare for MSU. 

LSU 

Two weeks ago, LSU did the unthinkable. They lost to Troy, at home, on their homecoming night and after paying Troy $1m to come the Baton Rouge to play them. They redeemed themselves on the road last week and knocked off Florida on the in the Swamp.  But they still owe their fans one big time win. It had better come tonight. Losing two in a row is not going to happen with home games. It will be against Auburn tonight. QB Danny Etling  has completed 71 of 118 passes for 1,046 yards with six touchdowns and one interception plus 103 rushing yards to lead LSU. Their defense is only surrendering 18 points per game. The Tigers look to make it two straight conference wins in this one as they deal with Auburn. Combine the low scoring with the points spread and this should be the easy cover even tho we will claim in advance a shocker upset win. 

Carolina

Chi Cubs -107

No pressure on Chicago as the defending Champions. Kendricks is their outstanding pitcher and will get this game set up for the bullpen to finish. Way to much pressure on the Nationals trying to move ahead playing at home. Gonzalez looked bad in game 2 but got bailed out with that five run 8th inning. The Cubs will not hand away their current championship trophy. 

Pinnacle---Arizona

Houston +

The Chiefs moved to 4-0 overall and also remained perfect against the spread when they won Monday night vs Washington in a miracle final four seconds of play. Today, Houston is on high alert for the entire contest and their defense will get in the final word. Offensively, Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson is making things look easy despite being a rookie quarterback in the NFL. Can we say five touchdowns last week against the Titans? The Chiefs new kicker Harrison Butker gets tested on the road and we're seeing more and more field goals missed. The conservative nature of Coach Reid and QB Alex Smith may draw him into this contest at pressure peaked time. 

Dallas -

There's probably someone out there that handicaps like the following: The Cowboys have alternated wins and losses this season and most recently fell to the Rams this past weekend so therefore a win is due today. Well let's hope he's right. The Green Bay Packers will have enjoyed a long week by the time they visit the Cowboys having played a week ago Thursday. Cowboys’ defensive lineman David Irving is returning this week after serving a four-game suspension. He is their most disruptive defensive player. In a 30-16 win over the Packers last October, Irving forced three fumbles and had a sack in just 19 snaps. He's back!! It remains to be seen if Packers RB Ty Montgomery's ribs are broken or if he can withstand the battering of the Cowboys front line if he can play. Either way, it's rare to see a quality Dallas team lose back to back games at home. This game is a statesman game for the league as they unlock the beast.

Cleveland 

The Browns get in the win column today with a convincing win for the Dawg Pound. Cleveland will seek their first win of the season when they host the New York Jets in an AFC clash Sunday afternoon. Let's not get too excited that the Jets won two in a row by defeating Miami and Jacksonville. Both played at home. Playing on the road is not as easy to pick up a win. Look for Duke Johnson Jr to be used more in this game while taking off some pressure of Browns QB DeShone Kizer and RB Isaiah Crowell. The Browns defense is up against a team they can handle as this should be a low scoring affair. 

LSU +   

You can bet the LSU coaches threw away any tape of last weeks game. The LSU Tigers are off a shocking home loss to Troy by a score of 24-21. All they can do is put on their biggest, boldest and best performance of their season and knock off Florida to set last week straight and extract revenge from last year. Maybe they were looking ahead to this week and overlooked Troy. You can bet this team will come to play their hearts out. Meanwhile, the Gators are off a 38-24 win over Vanderbilt here at home. The Gators won in Baton Rouge last year by a score of 16-10. LSU may be looking for a new coach at the end of the year, especially if the Tigers don’t turn things around soon. Luckily for LSU, the Gators have been very poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 98th in the nation. On defense, they have been rather average as they come in ranked 67th in total yards allowed so the Tigers have solid opportunities on both sides of the ball to shut down the Gators. Laying more than 4 points for Florida is a recipe for disaster.

Florida State +

An underdog at home? This is a makeup game due to effects of Hurricane Irma which caused it to be postponed. Florida St is an underdog at home and not ranked for the first time in six years. The key to this win is to completely shut down Miami with defense. On defense, FSU is giving up just 333.7 yards per game (33rd) and 126.3 rushing yards per game (36th). They are coming off a 26-19 win over Wake Forest on the road while looking good defensively. The Hurricanes have looked impressive since taking a two-week break due to the hurricane. They destroyed Toledo on Sept. 23 (52-30) and beat up on Duke last week, 31-6 on the road. Not exactly known as top tier football programs. Offensively, the Noles need to establish a strong running game. Junior running back Jacques Patrick (6-3, 231) is a big back and will get the workload. His job is to wear down the defense while winning the time of possession battle and keeping the Hurricane's offense of the field. Miami is allowing 135 rushing yards per game. Florida St gets a win here as neither team puts up 24 points.

Tampa Bay

Millionaires---Washington 

New York Jets 

Last Sunday had to be a huge surprise for many bettors. The Jets are coming off an upset win at home over Miami, 20-6, while Jacksonville totally destroyed Baltimore in London, 44-7. We did not play the early game in London but we did bet the Jets. The Jets showed up in a big way against Miami and the underdog risk takers were rewarded. Blake Bortles can be tamed. He throws to his tight end Marcedes Lewis to many times and has trouble stretching the field. The Jets passing defense is allowing just over 200ypg which is good in today's NFL. The thought here is that the Jags have lost their cohesiveness. They win game one on the road. They lose game two at home. Then they have last weeks blowout in London and now are on the road again while having to play a very unfamiliar role as a road favorite laying and then winning by more than three  three points. It's doubtful they even win, much less winning by margin. 

Houston 

You can bet Houston will not play like they did at home in their opening game this year against the Jags. That was a total embarrassment. This is the matchup they need. Houston has covered 6 of the last 7 in this series and is 5-1-1 ATS last 7 at home. QB DeShaun Watson looks like the real deal. He was totally poised on the road last week against New England. Watson spread the ball around, hitting DeAndre Hopkins seven times for 76 yards and Griffin for five receptions for 61 yards. Watson is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 528 yards with three TDs. But look for the main reason that Houston will win this game. They will stick it to DeMarco Murray and an injured Derrick Henry or anyone else that dares to run the ball at the Texans. That in itself will cause much havoc on Marcus Marietta's passing game. Match, Set, Point; game over!!

Texas Tech + 10.5

Look for a high scoring affair in this battle. It looks like more Oklahoma St "leaks" will be exposed today. Oklahoma St was shocked at home by TCU last week and now we watch the Cowboys slipped to No. 15 from No. 6. Texas Tech improved to 3-0 with a 27-24 win at Houston. Their biggest test will take place on Saturday from Lubbock, Tx. Last year, the Cowboys edged the Red Raiders at home, 45-44 in a shootout and look for the repeat. Last week, TT quarterback Nic Shimonek had an efficient game, going 29-of-45 for 321 yards with two TDs and one pick. Running back Justin Stockton had an excellent all-around game for the Red Raiders with 10 rushes for 102 yards and two catches for 22 yards, including a 20-yard touchdown reception. Texas Tech produced 521 yards and just one turnover. This team is the real deal. Also and more importantly, the win over Houston snapped the Cougars 16 game home winning streak. Playing today at home is just what is needed for Texas Tech to keep this game very close and possibly pick up a win over Oklahoma St. 

Michigan State -4

Let's face it. Iowa is not a road warrior. This game will not be that close. The Michigan State Spartans will host the Iowa Hawkeyes in a Big Ten battle.  The Hawkeyes lost a heartbreaker 21-19 to Penn State last week, and the Spartans are coming off a 38-18 home loss to Notre Dame. The damage was done last Saturday in Iowa's home game and now these young college kids have to regroup. The Hawkeyes were one play away from a 4-0 start, however Penn State scored the game-winning touchdown on fourth and goal as time expired to take it 21-19. There's no air left in Iowa's wind so to speak. Michigan State was sloppy against Notre Dame last week. They turned the ball over three times in the first half and surrendered 28 points. So much for that game as that killed the Spartans. MSU has a good QB that can throw the ball. The Spartans now feature three players with at least 100 receiving yards through three games. Lay the small number as Michigan St rolls.

Tennessee + 8

No revenge here as Tennessee looks to outperform Georgia again. The Bulldogs come in off a strong 31-3 home win over Mississippi State, while the Volunteers are off a hard-fought 17-13 win over Massachusetts. The Volunteers won last year’s meeting in Georgia by a score of 34-31. Pay no attention to what Tennessee did last week. Taking on Massachusetts can put some SEC teams to sleep as they feel they can just show up and get the win and most of them are right, but if they have a powerful SEC team on deck, then they could be caught looking ahead and that is exactly what happened to the Vols. The Georgia Bulldogs have been below average on offense so far this year as they come in ranked 82nd in the nation in total offense (389.2 ypg), 112th in passing (166.0 ypg), 30th in rushing (223.2 ypg) and 63rd in scoring at 31.0 ppg. Tennessee should be able to match scores at every opportunity. Look for this  final to be under 4 points either way. This is certainly one of those games that the underdog might by ahead on the pointspread the entire game. 

Washington St

Green Bay

Arizona+3

Washington + 3

Oakland makes that long trip from the west coast to the east coast for the Sunday Night prime time game. That travel has bothered them in previous years but the last two years, not so. Oakland cruised to a 2-0 start as they pounded the Jets 45-20 at home Sunday. Washington got into the win column as they edged the Rams 27-20 on the road Sunday. The Redskins won the all important week two game on the road against a good Rams team to avoid that 0-2 start. That was impressive. Oakland's defensive coordinators may have trouble game planning this Redskin team. Washington ran the ball 39 times for 229 yards in the game while throwing just 27 passes. That’s a major shift in offensive philosophy with the options the Redskins have in the passing game. They are 3rd in rushing which has to help establish the pass. I expect to see the ball thrown by Cousins to keep them guessing. He's completed 41 of 67 passes for 419 yards with two touchdowns. Washington still has more offensive weapons than most any two teams combined. Look for the Raiders defense to get behind and this game goes to a shootout. The Raiders have not turned the ball over yet and it's amazing how the game changes when that happens. We'll see how they react on the road in front of a huge crowd. Playing at home against the Jets in a blowout and playing on the road in Washington are two different dimensions. 

LA Chargers + 3

You can probably get a ticket for $7 for this game and still see more Chiefs fans. Stub Hub doesn't have a ring of home field advantage. Look for a very focused Chargers team today that knows how to lose a game but cover a pointspread. The Chiefs come in off a nice 27-20 win over Philadelphia at home, while the Chargers are off a tough 19-17 home loss to the Dolphins. The Chiefs won both meetings between these teams last year. Last year the Chargers were just 1-8 in games decided by seven points or less and 1-4 in games decided by three points or less and they after two games this year they lost by three and two points. Are the Chiefs that good one has to ask? The Chiefs have not played well on defense so far as they are 29th in the league in yards allowed, giving up 388.5 ypg and they allowed 406 total yards to the Eagles. They are also 27th against the pass, allowing 273 ypg (299 to Philly), but that shows that stats can lie as the Chiefs are still 2-0 on the year. The Chargers can finally get their first win of the year as they learn how to win a close game. Rivers has a passing game that can do damage against the secondary of the Chiefs and the Los Angeles defense looks far stronger than it was a year ago.

Buffalo +3

Can Tyron Taylor pull the upset and the Bills put on an inspirational showing for their fans to stay relevant at 2-1 for the season? The Broncos are coming off a convincing 42-17 home win over the Cowboys, and the Bills were edged 9-3 by the Panthers in their latest action. They need to continue with excellent defense and can wrap up a win. The Bills’ defense was the silver lining in the loss to the Panthers, conceding only 255 total yards and 178 passing yards. They also applied big pressure to Cam Newton, making a total of six sacks with Lorenzo Alexander coming up with one sack and two tackles for a loss. The Bills defense has looked terrific through two games. With two games of film, defense coordinators have seen Denver QB Trevor Siemian and the rushing antics of CJ Anderson. 85% of the public is on the Broncos and want some of that free money that the sportsbooks never seem to give out. The home team advantage is real and a huge defensive effort can stop Denver.

Air Force +  

A pair of Mountain West teams looked great last week and now attempt to beat each other. San Diego State survived a weather delay to rally in the final minute to stun #19 Stanford 20-17 Saturday night. Air Force was knocked off 29-13 on the road by #7 Michigan Saturday but looked very respectful. Air Force hung tough against Michigan’s defense but couldn’t come up with enough plays on either side of the ball to earn an upset win in the Big House. The Falcons were within a field goal late in the third quarter but fell short. Michigan kicked five field goals and scored on a 79-yard punt return and that was quite a feat all around to hold them as Air Force did. These two teams tonight tend to bring exciting action to the table as they are evenly matched. Winning on the road in this conference is never easy and winning and covering are another issue. A difficult one. The Air Force Falcons are 8th in rushing offense with 320.5 yards per contest. That's enough to control the clock and time of possession leaving San Diego breathless in the mile high air. 

Inner Circle--TCU +

A huge matchup within the Big 12 Conference this afternoon as two high powered offenses go at it. TCU comes in off a 56-36 win over SMU at home, while the Cowboys are off a 59-21 rout of the Pitt Panthers on the road. The TCU Horned Frogs are looking like they will be a tough out in the Big 12 this year but, (there's usually a but) their defense needs to step up their game. They have the talent. They have seven players back on the defensive side of the ball and have the top rated LB corps and top-rated secondary in the league. Time to take charge! The offense has back 10 starters this year and they have looked very good so far. They rolled up 619 yards against the SMU Mustangs. Passing wise, they are a difficult team to defend and cover. They have plenty of weapons as 10 players caught at least one pass that went at least 10 yards in the win over the Mustangs. All that is needed against Oklahoma States offense is to raise the level of defense a notch. They currently are ranked 15th in total yards allowed (265.0 ypg), 34th against the pass (172.7 ypg) and 19th vs the run (92.3 ypg), while allowing 14.3 ppg, which is 22nd in the nation. Getting double digit points are looking great in this kind of shootout type game. Oklahoma St is 53rd against the pass (203.3 ypg) and that may be their Achilles Hill today. 

Millionaires-Utah

Kansas City