Dont like Miami at all here in this spot coming off a huge Monday win over the Patriots.  Now they are on a short travel week against another division rival.  The Bills still have a chance for the playoffs so you can expect a big effort. 

Just don't think the Ravens should be laying this much to anyone on the road.  This team gave it all they had last week against the Steelers.  This Browns team should have won last week having a 21-7 lead going into the 4th against Green Bay and they blew the lead and failed to cover giving up a TD in OT  

Two teams here I think going in different directions if you watch the game.  The Cardinals are playing with a lot of hear right now beating 2 playoff teams in the last 3 weeks only losing to the Rams.  The Redskins have completely thrown in the towel for the season and have so many injuries right now I think they lose out right

Let's take the Colts here tonight as we see one of the oddest things in the NFL.  The Broncos were home dogs last week to the Jets and now are favored on the road?  This is a case that you very very rarely see.  So out of sure principle you have to take the home dog.  The Colts last two home games were against playoff teams and they lost to Pitt by 3 and the Titans by 4.  

I'm not a believer in this Titans team at despite their record.  They beat the Texans and Colts the last two games who are two of the worst teams in the league.  People are forgetting that this Cards team two weeks ago beat the Jags 

GOLD'S FIVE STAR LOCK

This is the spot here to back the Rams as they are coming off a loss @ Minnesota that ended up being a blowout.  The Saints are red hot right now but the teams they have been playing aren’t exactly world beaters.  The betting public loves offense but give me the home team and their good defense 

The Titans shouldn’t be laying more than a FG on the road.  I need to see more from this team before I am a believer.  The Colts while they may not be racking up the wins they are still a competitive team especially at Home.

The line just had been inflated big time as they Eagles continis to blow teams out. I don’t think that will happen here as there is no motivation for them to do so.  Also the Bears play a style that generally keeps them in the ball game.  

Cant lay this big of number with the Chiefs as they have looked really bad the last month.  Is this team capable of blowing the Bills out sure they are, but I need to see it first.  I think we get an extra motivated Bills team here with Tyrod returning at QB. 

The Bengals saved their season last week with a win at Denver.  Now there is no doubt we will get a motivated team to show up against a division rival.  The Browns after last week losing another game in the 4th, they are running out of steam here. 

I'm not putting much stock into last weeks game as the Giants beat the Chiefs.  The Chiefs clearly aren't the same team as they were the first month of the season.  I think that has the Giants over valued plus the Chiefs had some very costly turnovers.  I also think Washington is the most underrated team in the NFL now.  People forget just a couple games ago they went into a healthy Seattle team and won on their turf.  Their recent losses including last week where they dominated the Saints for 85% of that game and blew it late.  I think they rally here and destroy the Giants 

The Vikings just don't get much love and all they do is simply win and have won 6 straight.  They have covered 5 straight now.  I really don't have much faith in this Lions team as they have beat the Packers without Rodgers, the Browns which they could have easily lost, and the Bears last week as that was another coin flip game as well. Vikings defense is nasty and will contain Stafford and company here

Jumped on this line early for obvious reasons and love it.  I think the Eagles are the best team in football and they will be ready for a huge Sunday night showdown.  

The Cowboys I think are falling a part because of their injuries and suspension.  I know odds makers say Zeke is only worth one point but he is clearly worth a lot more to that offense if you watched them last week.  

Wentz in his 2nd year his making a strong case for MVP honors.  He can further cement that with a huge performance on the biggest stage.  Eagles also have a very good defense that can hold Dak in check.

I know the Raiders have been disappointing this season given the fact what they did last year.  I just like this spot for them.

Oakland is coming off their bye week which I think is huge this time of the season especially given the struggles they have had.  I also like that it is being played on a neutral field, but the Raiders are familiar with this place in Mexico City while this is new ground for Brady and the Patriots.

The Patriots are playing well sitting at 7-2 but the recent teams that have beat you can honestly look at them and say 0 of them are making the playoffs.  I also don't trust their defense against Carr with time to prepare

It's almost an automatic fade for me when a team blows the doors off another.  I think we are seeing a huge over reaction here on the Saints.  

This Redskins team is better than their record.  Look at their last 4 losses they were against the Vikings, Eagles, Chiefs and Cowboys when they were at full strength.  those are 4 of the top 10 teams in the league easily.  

I also think the Saints have had a pretty easy schedule up to this point beating Green Bay without Rodgers, the Bears, Tampa, Buffalo and Detriot.  Can we really say right now that any of these are playoff teams?

Redskins keep this close and might win it outright

Can you believe the day has come that the Jaguars are even favored on the road let alone more than a touch down?  I cant believe it either!  

Browns haven't won a game and the betting public wants nothing to do with them.  However, last week against Detroit they should have won that game outright let alone cover the 2 touchdowns they were getting it was a real bad beat.  

I know the Jags are 6-3 but wins over the Chargers Bengals and Colts their last 3 doesn't really cut it.  I'm not actually sure their QB is that much better than Kizer.  

Browns have a defense to hold Bortles in check pretty easily

Really surprised at all this steam move here on the Texans.  I don't think we will find a motivated Texans team anymore losing 3 straight and 4 of 5 sitting at 3-6 with no hopes of the playoffs now.  

The Cardinals still have the hope I think and I like them here getting the extra time coming off a Thursday night game.  Arizona has the better defense and they can get back to .500 here at 5-5 which will put them still in the playoff picture.  

I will take the desperate team

I think it's safe to say that the Dolphins season is on the line here tonight as they sit at 4-4 coming off back to back losses.  The thing here is that both teams have good defenses and just average offenses.  So the fact that Carolina has to win by double digits with a below average offense I have to take Miami here.  This is going to come down to the turnover battle.  If the Dolphins take care of it they cover this game easily as there won't be too many points scored

Loving the Falcons here in this game.  They are simply due for a breakout performance after having 3 straight road game.  They should have won last week if it wasn't for Julio dropping an easy TD catch.  Cowboys are without Zeke here which will mean a long day for Dak

The Lions shouldn't be laying double digits to anyone in the NFL.  The reason this line is this high is because they are coming off Monday night win over Grenn Bay and covered easy I dont think this game will be as easy

The Bengals have a lot wrong with them right now and I want no part of them.  They have been out gained by over 600 yards in the last 3 games combined.  This Titans team has all the motivation here looking for a playoff berth

Redskins just 1-5 ATS L6 home games.

Redskins 1-5 ATS L6 games following a SU win

Vikings 23-8 ATS L31 games following a SU win

I'm not a believer in this Lions team what so ever as they benefited early in the season from the the turnovers.  Now that those are starting to equal out they aren't winning games.  Green Bay has owned this series at home as Stafford has never won there.  I think with them coming off the bye and their season on the line I think they win SU

The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and have gave plenty of time for back up Stanton to get more familiar.   I would say he didn't really need much time because he does know the system and should be more than comfortable.  The Cardinals season is on the line here this week as they sit at 3-4 and can't afford to give up ground off their bye week.  I think the trade the 49ers made this week could easily be a distraction as Bethard the starting QB hasn't looked good and now probably has less confidence more than ever.  

I love the Seahawks here this week and even though they have some injuries on their defense it shouldn't affect them to much because the Redskins are worse.  I'm not going into detail on all of them but Washington has key injuries up and down the lineup especially on the OL which is never a good sign play @ Seattle.  I think the Cousins is in for a long day and the Seahawks take care of business early 

I was ahead of the line move here as now the Falcons are favored by 2 in most spots.  This Panthers team just isnt the same and they just traded away their best offensive player in Benjamin to the Bills.  Carolina really didn't have a running game so far and now I doubt they have much of a passing game.  I think last week with the Falcons winning a close one gave them some confidence back 

I'm not a big believer in this Falcons team at all and think they are getting a lot of respect because most remember the blowout on Thursday against the Dolphins.  I tend to fade those teams next time out because they are over valued.  The Falcons really don't have any deep threats here and the Titans are good against the run.  Another main key here is that the Titans are coming off their bye week and they won back to back games before that.  So they should be riding high here

To me the Rams simply aren't getting enough respect here as being one of the better teams especially in the NFC.  I think they are the real deal and will have no problem shutting down a Giants offense averaging 16 points per game.  

Both teams are coming off their bye week, but we know only one time has something to play for here.  The Rams have won 4 of their last 5 games with the only loss being to Seattle in a game they actually dominated and should have won.  They will be focused here and get the job done 

This is just a lot of points for the Bills to be laying here in a prime time divisional game.  I think the Jets are a lot better than their record actually they could have easily beat the Patriots 3 games back which was a bad call at the end in that game.  2 games back they lost to Miami as they held a 14 point lead going into the 4th.  Last week they were unfortunate against the Falcons and could have easily won that game also.  I think the Bills blowout last week over the Raiders is being very overrated here.   

I have no choice but to back the Chiefs here in this situation as they have lost back to back games creating some value here.  Also I really like Andy Reid coming off extra time to prepare as he might be the best coach in the league with extra time.  

I want no part of this Denver team as they struggle big time on offense getting shut out @ SD their last game and laid a complete egg against the Giants.  I think they are a mess right now and the Chiefs defense in Arrowhead on prime time game you have to love

I added this play now because of what took place Friday with the Texans football team and their owner.  He made a mistake and misspoke, but it caught big attention and their stud Hopkins didn't practice because of this.  I think this is a huge distraction here now even though the Texans were coming off their bye week.  Seattle hasn't been that impressive this year but their defense at home with a rookie QB is a different animal.  

I'm banking on the Falcons turning it around and starting with this game right here.  Everyone thought this Jets team would be a lot worse than the Browns and now that they have covered and even won some games the line has dropped a ton.  I like the Falcons to respond here in what I would consider a must win game because their next 3 games are @Carolina vs Dallas and @ Seattle.  I think they get their offense back on track here as we saw the Dolphins last week be able to move up and down the field on them

The value here is simply to great to pass up with San Francisco.  Sure the 49ers didn't look great against Dallas last week but remember they were only 6 point underdogs.  And yes I realize they aren't at home now but it's not like they have much of a home field advantage anyways.  You always have to look to fade teams coming off an impressive National televised game especially on a short week.  Eagles only care about winning this game not blowing them out 

I really expect this line to keep on climbing and go above 10 as we get closer to Sunday.  There is no way the Bears can play like they have the last two weeks and walk away with a win especially at New Orleans.  Their offense will have to show some life here if they want any chance.  Saints look vastly improved right now and I they will be able to score while the Bears playing catch up will be  disaster 

I know this game is being played in London and quite frankly anything can happen.  The fact it is being played there is giving us a great line though because this Browns team is just pathetic.  They are starting Kizer again and with that great Vikings defense I expect them to pounce all over him.  The Browns will be lucky to reach double digits and I expect a couple gifts coming their way as well.  

Let's go ahead and grab the Dolphins here as I expect this line to come down.  This team is playing with a ton of confidence right now and are catching a very bad and banged up Ravens team.  The Ravens at this moment shouldn't be laying more than a FG at home to any team outside of the usual handful.  

This to me seems like an over reaction to Rodgers being out.  I know Hundley didn't look good when he came in, but you have to remember when you dont count on playing and then boom all of the sudden you are in it's a very tough situation.  I also don't trust Drew Brees outside on the grass either.  I'm not sold on the Saints defense here to be favored.  I also don't think the public will want anything to do with the Packers here either

The Ravens right now are a complete mess plain and simple.  They had two special teams touch down last weekend and still lost the game at home to the Bears.  They have a mountain of inuries and a lot are to key players.  In fact, they still have some questionable for the game.  This Vikings team is the real deal as they rank in the top 10 in both total defense and offense.  Ravens have trouble scoring anyways and believe they will here as well.

Like the Dolphins here to get revenge on the Jets as the first time around the Dolphins were favored by 5.5 and lost SU.  However, during that time was when this Dolphins team was experiencing Hurricane Irma and they had some terrible travel.  Now they are settled in and you can see how good this defense is.  I'm not buying the Jets here because they have had the benefit of catching teams at the right time.  

Going to ride with the Rams here in this London game.  This Rams team is for real and I don't think they are being priced accordingly because no one thought they would be this good.  The Rams are clearly better on both sides of the ball here.  With the decline that we have seen from Carson Palmer this year I think their defense will be a huge issue for him.  

Love the Steelers here as the betting public is going to run and grab the Chiefs again as they have covered every game so far this season.

The Steelers will easily be the more motivated team especially after last weeks results where Big Ben thorough 5 interceptions.  I think he responds in a great way.  The Steelers have improved a lot on the defensive side of the football this season.  

The Chiefs have a lot of key inuries right now with Kelce being out who is a bigger loss because he is Smith's blanket.  I think the Steelers can create some big plays as the Chiefs secondary is banged up.  They can get the running game going as well with Houston their best LB being questionable.  

I know the Cardinals haven't looked pretty by any means this year.  A large part of that is due to the fact they lost their best player in Johnson in game 1 @ Detroit.  Earlier this week they made a huge trade to get Adrian Peterson.  While I know the impact won't be right away and can be over blown.  I don't think the Bucs deserved to be favored here based on what we have seen from them either.  The Cardinals still have a very good defense and their division is still up for grabs I see them taking care of business on their home field 

This might be the wrong side but I last week was a fluke for the Jags.  We are all aware of what took place as they had 3 pick sixes against the Steelers and ultimately won the game because of that.  

The Rams out played the Seahawks last week and should have walked away with an easy win even despite having committed 5 turnover for the game.  

I remind you just two weeks ago this Jags team lost to the Jets.  Do we really know what we are getting from them and should they be favored by 3 over a team that has proven themselves this year? 

No choice but to take the Vikings here in a division rivalry here catching more than field goal.  Packers will be the public side no doubt about it especially after last week with them coming back from behind against the Cowboys.  The Vikings have a great defense here and I think can keep Rodgers in check for the most part.  I also don't think Jordy Nelson is 100% and that is Rodgers go to guy.  I know the Vikings are missing some players but  I still think their offense is more than capable because the Packers defense is bad to say the least

Got this line early here and now is up to 13 and probably will go higher.  This one is pretty simple for me.  Miami on offense has looked maybe worst of any team in the NFL.  They flat out struggle to score.  That spells a recipe for disaster when facing a high octane offense like the Falcons who are coming off their bye week and will be fresh.  Falcons will get up early here and Miami can't play catch up

I think we might be seeing a little bit of overreaction here with the Panthers being 3.5 point favorites.  They are coming off two back to back road wins which one included the Patriots, but I'm not sold on anything I've seen from New England so far.

Wentz and the Eagles to me are the real deal this year.  Mind you they went on the road to Kansas City and were only 4 point dogs in that game and that is the best team in football.  I know the Eagles secondary can be exposed but Funchees isn't healthy.  I believe this is the best team the Panthers have faced so far so we will see how they handle it

I really like the Cowboys here after all this is a rematch from last year in the playoffs and the Packers got the best of them.  I won last week going against the Cowboys and taking the Rams +7 as they won SU.  Now that is creating some good value with Dallas here to respond as Dak will torch the Packers IMO.  I think this will be an exciting game to watch, but the difference will come down the line and the Cowboys are better in the trenches here on both sides.  

This line should obviously be a lot higher than what it is, but we are getting a massive discount because of Carr being out.  I must admit I was very impressed with what EJ Manuel did last week @ Denver vs a great defense in a very tough situation.  I think that gives him great confidence going forward to this week.  The Ravens offense has pretty much been non existent this season only averaging 4.5 yards per play and 270 total for the game.   

I will back the Giants here as it's a do or die situation for them here.  Neither team has won a game yet but I think the Chargers are in big trouble here as they have had 3 straight home games and they have failed to show up.  Now they have to travel west for an early kick here and I think they are done for and will give up here.

This is one of those classic lines they like to set as a 3-1 team going on the road against a 1-3 team and the 1-3 team at home is favored.  Bills in a very tough spot coming off of beating the Falcons last week.  They were lucky to do so because of the turnover battle as they won that 3-0.  

This is a huge game for the Bengals as I call it a must win given the fact they just won their first game last week and will be heading into their bye week after this game and will want some momentum.  The Bengals have a very solid defense as well and the offense finally came alive last week.

I'm not buying into the Jets right now at all.  Let's look at who they have beat and their situation then.  They caught the Dolphins in a great spot as Miami spent nearly two weeks in LA then had to travel across country.  Last week I had the Jets over the Jags as the Jags were in a bad spot coming back from London.  In no way do they deserved to be favored.  I think the Browns will rally here and get their first win of the season.  They also get their first pick in Garrett on field for his first game which will provide a boost to the defense.

I'm really not sold on this Raiders team right now.  I do wish they would have played closer to the Redskins last Sunday night though.  I won't be holding the Broncos loss last week @ Buffalo against them at all here.  They were in a very difficult position coming off blowing out the Cowboys prior to that.  

The Broncos have one of the best defenses in the league and they can really control the game here against the Raiders pass happy offense.  The Raiders defense is also one I think is very overrated.  Look for the Broncos to establish the run here and control the ball 

Talk about one of the strangest lines of the week.  I will buy in here as there is no doubt some sharp and big money is moving this line.  

Yes, the Chargers have struggled and the betting public wants nothing to do with them as they have yet to cover a game.  The situation here isn't great for the Eagles as they are coming off a hard fought division win in OT vs the Giants.  

If it wasn't for Rivers last week throwing 3 first half interceptions the game vs the Chiefs would have been totally different.   The Chargers are desperate and need a win they will play hard with their season on the line 

I still dont have much faith in this Cowboys team this year.  First, this is simply a brutal spot for Dallas coming off a short week playing Monday night while the Rams have had extra days off as they played on Thursday.  The Cowboys also don't have much of a home field advantage as one might seem because a lot of visitors always come to the games.  The Rams just look so much better especially on offense and should be able t generate some big plays as the Cowboys secondary is hurting big time right now.  

Grabbed this line early as I think the Vikings are one of the best teams in the NFC and easily have one of the best home field advantages in the NFL.

I'm still not a believer in the Lions team their two wins that did look good at that time now look awful as they beat the Cardinals and Giants.  They are also getting credit for last week as they took the Falcons down to the wire.  

When it comes down to this game quite frankly I need to see it before I believe it.  With that, I mean the Jags will be favored on the road for the first time in 44 games!  They aren't use to being in this position.  People are over reacting here because they destroyed the Ravens last week in London.  

The Jets are clearly not a great team but they are better than what odds makers are giving them credit for.  There was so much talk about how this could be the worst team ever in NFL history.  The Jets do have a very solid defense and I believe they will show up here and make it hard on Bortles 

GOLD'S THURSDAY NIGHT NFL GAME OF THE MONTH!

Love the value we are getting here with the Packers at home in a bounce back game.  Yes, the Packers looked horrible against the win less Bengals but winning in OT can serve as a huge momentum boost.  The Bears also went into OT in a huge upset victory over the Steelers.  The betting public will no doubt take note of both those performances and lean toward the Bears.  The Bears defense on the road looked awful @ Tampa in week 2 and I think that will be a trend here fade them on road look to back at home. 

The Packers here should have no problem with the Bengals who haven't scored a TD this year so far.  Dalton has looked absolutely horrible and I dont why that would change here.  Yes, the Packers are banged up no don't but they still have Rodgers here.  The Packers are also a team that play so much better at home than they do on the road.  I expect a big bounce back here after the Packers got embarrassed Sunday night. 

Another game here where we are catching value with a division rival.  The Chargers are 0-2 to start the season and most are writing them off right now, but they could easily be 2-0 with a couple field goals.  The Chiefs will certainly draw their attention here and the Chargers need this more than ever.  I trust Rivers to get the job done here. 

Let's go ahead and lay the points here with the Titans as the whole public will be all over Wilson and the Seahawks.  Let's face the facts here that the Seahawks have looked awful especially on offense with the worst OL in the league right now.  The Titans are still huge sleepers here this year.  Their defense is solid and I think they can control the game here.  Their loss to the Raiders in week 1 I won't hold against them as they look like a top 5 team in the NFL

Just think this is a total over reaction here as Miami just played their first game of the season @ San Diego in a game they could have easily lost.  They were also on the road a lot during that stretch because of the Hurricane.  Last weeks results doesn't mean the Dolphins should be nearly a full TD favorite on the road to division rivals.  This will be the Jets first home game and they will be ready

Lets take another desperate team here in the Saints who struggled last week vs the Patriots and in week 1 against the Vikings.  I think those two teams when healthy are two of the best in their conference and the Saints in a division game don't deserve to be 6 point dogs.  The Panthers havent proved anything on offense right now so the Saints shouldn't much of an issue on defense either

GOLD'S MONDAY NIGHT LOCK OF THE MONTH

The Broncos won't be a team that most look to back this season.  The Cowboys on the other hand will be one everyone looks to back coming off last year where they won the betting public a lot of money.  Now that they covered last week vs their rival I think they are in for a real test @ Denver here vs a extremely tough defense 

I realize this is a huge line here but the Jets are the worst team in the league facing maybe the best offense in the league.  The Raiders will have no problem scoring here and while their defense isn't anything special they won't have an issue as the Jets offense is pretty bad

The Browns made a good showing last week vs the Steelers in a back door cover last in the game.  I think the rookie QB Kizer has a real test ahead of him here with the Ravens defesne being one of the best in the league.  This line should be around double digits 

I think we are seeing a huge over reaction here with thise game based on last weeks results.  Yes, the Chiefs looked great on national tv in a huge win over the Patriots. Well, I wasn't very impressed with the Pats defense and Wentz was one of the most impressive QB's in week 1.  For a team that generally doesn't score a lot of points giving 6 is a ton

Both of these teams just looked awful Week 1.  I do expect both to bounce back but I think the Texans will bigger here as I expect more of Watson than Savage.  Also Watt left the game hurting the texans defense.  Quite simply the Bengals aren't good enough to be laying this amount of points to hardly anyone.  I think this line really comes down closer to kick

We have a big division game here set the double header on Monday night.  There is no doubt the Broncos defense is legit but can their offense do anything?  Rivers is still a quality QB that gets the job on a regular basis.  It has always been the def that has let them down.  I think the Chargers are a sneaky team this year and getting 3.5 is a gift here tonight

Really like the value here with the Niners as they aren't getting enough credit.  The general public is over reacting here with the Panthers and Mccaffrey.  With the big names the Panthers have is creating this line way to high it should be closer to a PK

This game will clearly be a smart money vs public joe money.  We all know what the Falcons did last season and how it ended for them.  The Super Bowl hangover curse is real and I believe will play in a big effect this season for them.  The Bears aren't as bad as what people are making them out to be.  Numbers wise they had a lot better season than their record indicated.  This number won't be here long to grab the 7

The line has already moved in the Cardinals favor and expect to to keep climbing.  I'm not very high on this Lions team coming into this season.  I just simply think the Cardinals are the better team all around the board here.  Last year was a down year but all signs indicate they are ready to make a run.  Injuries played a big part in why they struggled last season.  

Are the Browns really going to be that bad?  I truly don't think so and now is the time to buy on them as I believe they will cover a lot of games early in the year based on false perceptio alone.  Sure the Steelers have all the weapons here but Bell situ is interesting and not sure if he is 100% ready.  Browns have a great OL and enough play makers to keep it close here