College Football Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
12-16-17 |
Marshall v. Colorado State -5.5 |
|
31-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
12-16-17 |
North Texas v. Troy -6.5 |
|
30-50 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
12-02-17 |
Ohio State v. Wisconsin +6 |
|
27-21 |
Push |
0 |
13 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
12-02-17 |
Fresno State v. Boise State -8.5 |
|
14-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
12-02-17 |
Georgia +3 v. Auburn |
|
28-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
11-25-17 |
Boise State v. Fresno State +7 |
|
17-28 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 49 m |
Show
|
I think we are going to see a pretty max effort here from Fresno St trying to beat Bosie St, but the case here is that the Bulldogs actually believe they can. The betting public will gladly lay the points with Boise simply because they are a house hold name now to the average fan in football. Fresno St brings a nasty defense to the table at home giving up just 2.9 yards per carry. I think Boise is on upset alert here
|
11-25-17 |
Duke +11.5 v. Wake Forest |
Top |
31-23 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 5 m |
Show
|
This Duke team is a lot better than they are getting credit for here. They had a stretch where they lost 3 games in a row and they were all by 7 points. Those are clearly coin flip games that didn't go their way but the markets react to that since they lost SU. This is also a role that Wake isn't familiar with as they have only been a double digit favorite once they season and that was against Utah St. Duke showed last week they still have some fight left in them with a great performance against Georgia Tech. I think we get another here and with Wake coming off a huge win for them beating NC St I think this is the right spot
|
11-25-17 |
Georgia v. Georgia Tech +11.5 |
|
38-7 |
Loss |
-110 |
39 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a nice in state rivalry but only one team generally show up in this game and that is Georgia Tech. They won out right last year in Athens, lost by 6 the year before and the two before that both went into OT. While Georgia can still control their own destiny here I think the Yellowjackets would love nothing more than to spoil their season. When playing Georgia Tech and their option attack you really need to be fully committed in stopping that or they will make you pay. I also think Tech last week was clearly looking ahead to this game
|
11-24-17 |
California v. UCLA -7 |
|
27-30 |
Loss |
-115 |
81 h 11 m |
Show
|
Really like UCLA here to finish the season strong and they need this game in order to make a bowl game. They just fired head coach Jim Mora Jr but I think they will be a good thing for this team. Last week put up over 500 total yards on USC and out gained them by 84 yards. Yes, the Bruins struggle on defense but Cal is terrible on offense averaging under 3 yards per play rushing. Cal is just 1-4 on the road this season and gave everything they had against their rival last week
|
11-24-17 |
Texas Tech v. Texas -10 |
|
27-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
78 h 25 m |
Show
|
Gotta like Texas here after we saw what they did @ West Virginia last week. Texas has won 3 of their last 4 games and could easily be 8-3 right now with two other games that came down to the final possession and they lost both. They also have a lot better defense that can maintain Tech and their air raid offense that does struggle on the road. It's also a night game which adds value with the home team
|
11-24-17 |
Iowa v. Nebraska +4 |
|
56-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 40 m |
Show
|
I'm actually shocked that Iowa is taking this much money. I really think both teams are very similar it's just that Iowa had a out of body experience and beat Ohio St which everyone remembers. This Huskers team didn't quit last week when they got down early to Penn St. That is always a good sign to look for at this point in the season. I also think since it's senior day Nebraska will show up plus they have the revenge angle here as well. Iowa has nothing to play for here period.
|
11-18-17 |
California +14 v. Stanford |
|
14-17 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 1 m |
Show
|
Everything in this game goes to the spot. This is a big rivalry game and I think Cal will show up here. Cal is coming off their bye week and will be ready here. Stanford is coming off their biggest win of the season in a upset win over Washington. Now they also have Notre Dame on deck so we know they will be looking ahead here.
|
11-18-17 |
Missouri -7.5 v. Vanderbilt |
|
45-17 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 56 m |
Show
|
Like Missouri here as a month ago this team was looking like they may only win a couple games. Well, now they are on fire covering 6 straight and winning 4 straight. Their offense has really clicked here and should against Vandy who I thought threw in the towel last week against Kentucky which isn't a good sign. Missouri also could make a bowl game here with their 6th win.
|
11-18-17 |
Navy +18.5 v. Notre Dame |
|
17-24 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
Such a tough spot for Notre Dame here coming off a dream crushing loss @ Miami. It's going to be hard for ND to even get up for this game. I also don't think ND will prepare very hard for this option team. Navy on the other hand will be motivated and they can keep this close
|
11-18-17 |
Iowa State v. Baylor +9 |
|
23-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 43 m |
Show
|
This is the ultimate flat spot for Iowa St who has had a nice ride here this season making a lot of headlines, but I Baylor is still playing hard despite having a very bad year. Last weeks results was very misleading against Texas Tech as they out gained them by over a 100 yards but lost by double digits.
|
11-18-17 |
Mississippi State v. Arkansas +13.5 |
|
28-21 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 3 m |
Show
|
I think the early kick here really helps Arkansas. Miss St is coming off a a huge deflating loss as they actually lead the game in the 2nd half against Bama , but came up short. It's going to be hard for them to get up here as there is nothing to play now. I do think Arkansas will show up even though they have had a disappointing season.
|
11-18-17 |
UL-Monroe +36.5 v. Auburn |
|
14-42 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
11-11-17 |
TCU +7 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
20-38 |
Loss |
-115 |
59 h 7 m |
Show
|
Love TCU here catching a TD and this line should drop a lot as I expect the sharps to be all over this game. With Oklahoma beating their rival last week as an underdog you can expect the public to be all over them. TCU to me is by far the most balanced team in the Big 12 and they by far have the best defense and are facing the worst defense in the league. I think TCU wins this game outright but I love all the points I can get
|
11-11-17 |
Alabama v. Mississippi State +14 |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 8 m |
Show
|
Well this is Miss St game of the year here Saturday night. I think the Cowbells rise to the occasion simply because this Bama team right now is very banged up. It showed a lot last weekend as LSU who has a bad offense actually out gained them in the game. I know Miss St did struggle against Georgia and Auburn but both of those games were early in the season and on the road. They also had a new QB to start the season as well. Miss St will throw everything they have here at this game I think they keep it close
|
11-11-17 |
Purdue +4.5 v. Northwestern |
|
13-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
58 h 2 m |
Show
|
Let's take Purdue here as Northwestern luck simply runs out this weekend. We are talking about a NW team that has won 3 straight games in OT. They clearly could have lost all 3 but didn't and actually covered in all those. So the fact they are laying more than a FG given how close they play games you have to look at the much improved Purdue here.
|
11-11-17 |
Washington State v. Utah +1.5 |
|
33-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 34 m |
Show
|
Love Utah here in this game with their QB back in action. Here is another situation where Utah can make a bowl game with a win here. I think they get the job done. This is a classic sandwich spot for Washington St coming off a big win over Stanford last week and have their rival Washington on deck. Utah is an underrated place to play at and their defense can flat out get after you. Remember this Washington St team has lost @ Zona and @ Cal
|
11-11-17 |
Kentucky v. Vanderbilt -2.5 |
|
44-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
75 h 13 m |
Show
|
I see a extremely motivated Vandy team here to get their first SEC win, not only with they be hungry for that but also still have a chance to become bowl eligible. Kentucky is 6-3 but they have failed to cover in 5 straight games now. They also have a huge look ahead game with Georgia on deck. I also think a large part of Vand'ys struggles is because they have played te toughest SEC schedule you could ask for
|
11-11-17 |
Georgia v. Auburn +3 |
|
17-40 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 42 m |
Show
|
Most people are forgetting that Auburn still has a chance here at the playoffs as they sit 5-1 in the conference and their two remaining games are both home against Georgia this week and Bama. Auburn has a great running attack averaging 5 yards per rush and this will by far be the best team Georgia has played so far. Their rush defense will also be the best Georgia has seen as they only give up 2.8 yards per carry.
|
11-11-17 |
Nebraska v. Minnesota -2.5 |
|
21-54 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 8 m |
Show
|
I like this spot here for the Gophers. Minnesota brought in first year head coach PJ Fleck to shake things up and while the record isn't anything special this Gopher team doesn't have a ton of talent, but Fleck won't let them quit here and he would love to take them to a bowl game which in order to do so they need this one. The Cornhuskers are done after last week losing in OT to Northwestern. I doubt they are highly interested here as they have Penn St on deck next week. I know the Gophers aren't great on offense but the Huskers defense isn't anything special either so you give the advantage to the home team. Gophers also have a respectable defense and Nebraska still struggles with QB play in Lee.
|
11-11-17 |
Oklahoma State v. Iowa State +7 |
Top |
49-42 |
Push |
0 |
71 h 13 m |
Show
|
Love the Cyclones this week as they continue to get disrespect by the books. You cant fault them last week and they were in a terrible spot on the road at West Virginia, but actually fought back and should have won that game. I think most people are forgetting that Iowa St still has everything to play for here as they hold tie breakers over TCU and OU so with a win here they could move themseleves right back into the Big 12 title conversation.
|
11-08-17 |
Eastern Michigan -2 v. Central Michigan |
Top |
30-42 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
I think this is a super cheap price we are getting on Eastern Michigan tonight. So looking at it you ask yourself why is a 3-6 team favored on the road over a 5-4 team. Well EMU has played just a brutal schedule and have been very unlucky to say the least. They are though 7-2 ATS this season. Let's go back and look at their schedule with a 3 point loss @ Nothern Illinois, 3 point loss to Western Michigan, 1 point loss @Army, 5 point loss @ Toledo and 4 point loss @ Kentucky. This team has literally been in every game and only one of those were at home. They are a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road while Central is 0-3 ATS at home.
|
11-04-17 |
Arizona v. USC -7.5 |
|
35-49 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 48 m |
Show
|
It seems like now that Arizona is the flavor of the month and yes they are hot, but the lines hve adjusted big time toward them as they have won 4 straight games. So last week USC came into a game where they were just throttled the week before on national tv against Notre Dame. They were playing @ Arizona St who has been playing well and went into Tempe and just beat down the Sun Devils. That game shows me that haven't quit on this season and still are focused. The Trojans still have the PAC 12 title to play for and they seem to know that.
|
11-04-17 |
Southern Miss +7 v. Tennessee |
|
10-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
35 h 39 m |
Show
|
I really like this spot to fade Tennessee who lost a heart breaker @ Kentucky last week and I think that is the last straw. I dont expect much of an effort here as everyone knows Butch Jones is going to be fired. Playing Southern Miss they could care less about. Southern Miss on the other hand will be up or this game trying to make a statement against a SEC school. For me this game is all about motivation here and quite frankly the Vols have zero interest here
|
11-04-17 |
Texas +7 v. TCU |
|
7-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
121 h 48 m |
Show
|
All the Longhorns do is cover spreads. They are 7-1 ATS with 7 being in a row after they didnt cover week 1. Herman his Longhorns playing very good football, but they aren't getting respect because they don't many games. They dominated Baylor on the road last week and were short favorites. I also think people are forgetting that this Texas team went into Ames and beat Iowa St who is now one of the hottest teams in college football. I also think this is a good spot for Texas as they will be motivated while TCU had their undefeated season crushed last week to Iowa St.
|
11-04-17 |
Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State -3 |
Top |
62-52 |
Loss |
-115 |
118 h 45 m |
Show
|
Love Oklahoma St in this big time rivalry vs Oklahoma. The Cowboys have Mason Rudolph and James Washington a combo extremely dangerous against a bad Oklahoma secondary. The fact that Oklahoma has beaten them the last two years and they only have one loss as well is keeping this line lower than it should be. Oklahoma hasn't looked very good as of late and don't let last weeks results against Tech fool you either. Oklahoma St has a much better defense and has won a couple games scoring in the 20's or lower which is something they could never do in the past. Cowboys all day here!
|
11-04-17 |
South Carolina +23.5 v. Georgia |
Top |
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a rivalry game that is often over looked in this league. Georgia couldn't be any hotter right now coming off a huge win over Florida last week and now this is a classic sandwich spot as the Bulldogs have their biggest game on deck going to Auburn. I just think this number is way to big considering Missouri who is the worst team in the conference was 28 point dogs @ Georgia. All Georgia wants to do is simply win the game they don't need anymore blowouts to prove they are legit
|
11-04-17 |
Iowa State v. West Virginia -2.5 |
|
16-20 |
Win
|
100 |
117 h 14 m |
Show
|
I will admit here is I'm not a huge fan of this West Virginia defense, but given this spot it's a must play against Iowa St. The Cyclones are in a very difficult spot now this week after upsetting #4 TCU. They have all the sudden moved into the top 15 in the polls. I do like this Cyclone team, but now they aren't sneaking up on anyone. I do think West Virginia has something to play for and just wonder how much Iowa St has left in the tank.
|
11-04-17 |
Kansas State v. Texas Tech -3 |
|
42-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
42 h 53 m |
Show
|
Let's go with the Red Raiders here who have lost 3 straight games and will be hungry here to make a bowl sitting at 4 wins. I really dont trust this Kansas St team as their QB is very questionable and even if he does start he isn't 100%. Last week they were actually outplayed against Kansas and really should have lost that. Tech actually played Oklahoma a lot closer than what the final score indicates. They shouldn't have a problem here moving the ball up and down the field and only laying 3 is a nice short price
|
11-02-17 |
Navy v. Temple +8 |
|
26-34 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
Let's grab the points here with Temple as they are coming off their bye week and just played Army who runs similar offense to Navy here. So with that being said they have had plenty of time to prepare for this option attack. Also Navy QB is going to play, but clearly isn't 100% healthy.
|
10-28-17 |
USC v. Arizona State +3 |
|
48-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
128 h 49 m |
Show
|
So USC despite being 1-7 ATS on the year is still favored here. Arizona St is making the case for one of the biggest surprises along with Iowa St especially if they win this game. The markets just simply havent adjusted enough here as I think ASU should be favored. I also think it's a hard situation for USC to bounce back here as they were just destroyed last week vs Notre Dame which ND was my play of the week! I think ASU pulls the so called upset
|
10-28-17 |
Duke +16 v. Virginia Tech |
|
3-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
78 h 12 m |
Show
|
Now is the time to back Duke here as the line has been very inflated due to the fact that Va Tech is coming off a blowout win and Duke has lost 4 straight games. How much is this line inflated now well, Duke was less than a TD dog at home vs Miami and now getting 16 here. Their most recent 3 losses have all came by 7 points so a combined total of 21 the last 3 weeks. It's also worth noting that Tech has a huge look ahead game with undefeated Miami next week.
|
10-28-17 |
Nebraska v. Purdue -5 |
|
25-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
76 h 11 m |
Show
|
Last week was one of the worst misleading scores you can find as Purdue lost the game outrigt against Rutgers but out gained them by 257 yards. Rutgers only had 8 first downs all game. Nebraska is a team even though coming off their bye week I think they are throwing in the towel for the season.
|
10-28-17 |
Mississippi State v. Texas A&M |
|
35-14 |
Win
|
100 |
124 h 11 m |
Show
|
Got a really good line here with Miss St who I think is jsut the better team on both sides of the ball here. I realize the Aggies are coming off their bye week but they are just 5-16 ATS coming off their bye last 21 games. The Bulldogs only two losses are @ Auburn and @ Georgia. So you can't fault them for that. The Aggies defense is no good and I don't think they can contain the Bulldogs here
|
10-28-17 |
Vanderbilt v. South Carolina -7 |
|
27-34 |
Push |
0 |
73 h 50 m |
Show
|
So we have two teams here coming off the bye but I think two teams heading in opposite directions. I don't think odds makers have adjusted enough here for Vandy as they are just 2-5 ATS. Vandy has lost 4 straight and hasn't covered in either one of those games. During those 4 games they have been outgained by over 1,100 yards. South Carolina can become bowl eligible here with a win and I don't think they will have a problem covering the TD
|
10-28-17 |
TCU -6 v. Iowa State |
|
7-14 |
Loss |
-115 |
121 h 43 m |
Show
|
Let's lay the number here with TCU as I think this is a legit team to make the playoffs. This line two weeks ago would have been 17 at least. Now that the Cyclones have had some success they are getting a little to much respect. Just to put into perspective Iowa St was 5 point dogs against Texas at home coming off a bye. Now they are only 6 point dogs to a lot better team. I think now is the time to sell Iowa St
|
10-28-17 |
Penn State v. Ohio State -6 |
Top |
38-39 |
Loss |
-110 |
74 h 26 m |
Show
|
Let's take a look here at Ohio St laying what might look like a big number. First, the questino we have to ask is how good is that Michigan team? Well I had Penn St last week because I wasn't very high on Michigan and turned out to be right. So to me that win doesn't look as good as what others might think. Now, Ohio St is a team that has this game circled here as they know they can't lose anymore if they want to make the playoffs. Granted the competition hasn't been the greatest here lately for them, but they are still taking care of business when it comes to the spreads.
|
10-21-17 |
West Virginia -9 v. Baylor |
|
38-36 |
Loss |
-105 |
31 h 23 m |
Show
|
Odds makers have made a big mistake here I believe with West Virginia. They have a ton of momentum coming from behind last week against Texas Tech and will have absolutely no problem moving the ball against one of worst defenses in the country. I think Baylor plain and simple has now thrown in the towel for the season after getting destroyed 59-16 last week vs Oklahoma St
|
10-21-17 |
USC v. Notre Dame -3 |
Top |
14-49 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 39 m |
Show
|
Love Notre Dame here as their QB is expecting to play here in this game. They are coming off their bye week while USC is coming off a hard fought win over Utah in which it was a game they were favored by 2 touchdowns and barely won. USC has some serious hole in their defense and are missing some key players on offense. USC is getting a lot of respect because of their 6-1 record, but they are just 1-6 ATS. Notre Dame would be undefeated if it wasn't for Georgia beating them by just one point. This Notre Dame team is for real
|
10-21-17 |
Michigan v. Penn State -9.5 |
|
13-42 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a big time revenge game here for Penn St as they lost by 39 at Michigan last year. That was in large part due to the fact that Penn St was playing with walk ons everywhere because of all their injuries. This Penn St team is legit this year and with them coming off their bye week I expect them to pour it on a Michigan team who just doesn't look very good this season. They have played a pretty weak schedule and have looked bad against teams like Cincy and Air Force on their home field.
|
10-21-17 |
Central Florida -7 v. Navy |
|
31-21 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 30 m |
Show
|
Don't think odds makers have caught up with how good this UCF team is as they have covered every game so far this season. I like them here in this match up and a large part of that is because their coach Scott Frost is all to familiar with the option back in his days at Nebraska. UCF is so explosive here on offense and with the style that Navy plays strictly running the ball I think they will have to play catch up and it won't be pretty for them
|
10-21-17 |
Oklahoma State v. Texas +7 |
|
13-10 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 60 m |
Show
|
Herman has this Texas team playing with a lot of heart right now. I liked what I saw last week from them as they got down early and could have folded like years past, but chose to claw their way back into the game. Herman is an amazing 13-0 ATS as a dog in his career. That doesn't happen by accident. The jury is still out on Oklahoma St as we don't really know how good they are. Let's take the points here
|
10-14-17 |
Boise State v. San Diego State -7 |
|
31-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
54 h 25 m |
Show
|
I think we are seeing a very real San Diego St team. They have won on the road @ Arizona St followed that up with a upset win over Stanford and then in a difficult spot won @ Air Force. I think Boise is getting a lot respect because of their name here and the fact they blew out BYU which now looks like one of the worst Division 1 teams. Boise St just isnt the same team as they have been. SDSU blew out UNLV last week as 10.5 point favorites and this seems like a team that they haven't adjusted to that much.
|
10-14-17 |
New Mexico +2 v. Fresno State |
|
0-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
34 h 14 m |
Show
|
The wrong team is favored here in this spot. New Mexico comes in riding high after their bye week and before that it included two underdog SU wins against Tulsa and Air Force who they destroyed. Fresno St to me is a fake team right now. Let's look at last week they played maybe the worst division 1 team in San Jose St only beat them 27-10 despite having +4 turnovers. Since they did push that total odds makers are still giving them credit. To me there is no doubt New Mexico is the better team.
|
10-14-17 |
Texas A&M v. Florida -2.5 |
|
19-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
32 h 37 m |
Show
|
I'm going to give Florida some respect here as I think they are due for a nice bounce back performance this week. They were right in the game vs LSU to the very end and could have easily won. I think the Aggies poured their heart out which I had them last week vs Bama catching all those points. I do like Mond the QB but will he be up for a challenge on the road.
|
10-14-17 |
BYU v. Mississippi State -22.5 |
|
10-35 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 57 m |
Show
|
Well after what we have seen from BYU this season I think they will throw in the towel now. They are coming off back to back rivalry games vs Utah St and Boise St in which they lost both and now have to travel to Miss St and play a pissed off Bulldog team coming off a bye. This BYU team is only averaging 11 ppg. The Bulldogs have a solid defense and I'm not going to fault them for losing to Georgia and Auburn. I dont see BYU is going to score in this game will be lucky to get over 10 points. Miss St will be hungry as I mentioned coming off back to back losses and off a bye. They will keep the first string in here longer than expected
|
10-14-17 |
Texas Tech v. West Virginia -3 |
|
35-46 |
Win
|
100 |
87 h 38 m |
Show
|
This line here really makes you think twice about it. The opener was 6.5 and immediately dropped to 3. I fully expect this line to go up closer to kick. Playing in Morgantown is easily one of the most underrated toughest place to play in the country. I really like what we have seen from WVU and their transfer QB in Grier who has provided a lot spark with the offense. Texas Tech is getting a lot of credit here because they haven't lost yet, but we have seen this story a lot with Tech as they tend to fade off as the season goes along. Both teams do struggle a little on defense but I will give the edge to the home team here to get a few more stops and cover by more than a field goal
|
10-13-17 |
Clemson v. Syracuse +23.5 |
|
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is just one of those games that Clemson even though they are much better, it's a Friday night @ Cuse and I doubt their interest level is to high. Clemson QB is expected to play but he is banged up and isn't 100%. Cuse is a team that actually has improved a lot especially on offense. I totally expect them to move the ball here on Clemson. They key for covering in this game is simple. It's taking care of the ball and not giving Clemson great field position. I think they do that and are catching Clemson at the right time here
|
10-07-17 |
Alabama v. Texas A&M +27 |
|
27-19 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 55 m |
Show
|
The betting public will no doubt be all over Alabama here as they ave covered back to back games. I think now is the time to fade away. While the Aggies aren't world beaters themselves they have now found a QB they trust here in Mond who has been very impressive. The one thing what the Aggies do very well is stop the run and believe they can force Bama into some longer 3rd down conversions which is key. I think this Aggies team is playing with a lot of confidence now. Let's also remember the fact they blew that huge lead vs UCLA in their opening game or else they would be undefeated.
|
10-07-17 |
Kansas State v. Texas -4 |
Top |
34-40 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 50 m |
Show
|
Give me the Longhorns here as they have improved so much from the opening week in which they lost to Maryland. Texas has really buckled down on defense especially against the run. They also took a very good USC @ USC down to the wire and should have won that game. I really think this Kansas St team is very overrated as they had to easy cup cake wins to start the season. The best team they have played was Vanderbilt and they lost that game 14-7. TEXAS BLOWS THEM OUT!
|
10-07-17 |
Miami-FL -2.5 v. Florida State |
|
24-20 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 11 m |
Show
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I know this is public play, but I really like what I have seen from the Hurricanes this season. Miami is team that is on the rise. I watched Florida St last week vs Wake and just am not impressed with their QB Blackmon. Maybe, it's not all his fault but Miami should have no problem in the trenches here as FSU line is pretty weak. I think this will be one of those games we look back in a month and see how easy it truly was.
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10-07-17 |
Illinois v. Iowa -17 |
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16-45 |
Win
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100 |
22 h 36 m |
Show
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I think the Hawkeyes look to get things going on offense before heading into the bye week. They shouldn't have a problem here as they are facing the worst team in the Big 10 in Illinois. This is an Illinois team that let Nebraska run all over them at home last Friday night and we all know how bad the Cornhuskers have looked this season. Illinois is nearly getting out gained by almost 200 yards per game which is a recipe for disaster here. Iowa will own the trenches here and ultimately blow them out
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10-07-17 |
Penn State v. Northwestern +14.5 |
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31-7 |
Loss |
-115 |
22 h 32 m |
Show
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This game will be the classic Pro's vs Joes. The Joes will no doubt be all over Penn St here as they have gone 4-1 ATS this season. The only time they didn't cover was two weeks ago on the road @ Iowa City. So we have another Big Ten road game and they are heavily favored again but with a huge look ahead game with Michigan on deck. Northwestern should be playing with a lot of confidence after last week vs Wisconsin as they were right in that game down to the wire.
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10-05-17 |
Louisville v. NC State +4.5 |
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25-39 |
Win
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100 |
23 h 10 m |
Show
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Give me the Wolfpack here against an overrated Louisville team. NC ST only loss came week 1 against South Carolina, but that was a very misleading score as they dominated the game in every way except the final score. Two weeks ago they did go on the road @ Florida St and come away with a win. Yes, I realize FSU is banged up but they were still double digit underdogs in that game. We will see a huge effort here tonight in a hostile environment.
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09-30-17 |
Colorado v. UCLA -7 |
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23-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
78 h 22 m |
Show
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This is the classic buy low sell high game. This UCLA team is now not a public favorite after losing @ Memphis in a very difficult spot and were just throttled at Stanford last week. Despite losing both games they actually out gained their opponent in each. I think last week we saw the true colors of Colorado having to face a good team for the first time. Washington didn't even bring their A game but still managed to win by 27. Bruins lay the number here on the Buffs as they won't be able to keep up here on offense
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09-30-17 |
Miami-OH +21.5 v. Notre Dame |
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17-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 4 m |
Show
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I like this spot here for Miami Oh catching Notre Dame of back to back road wins and covers. However, last was a little misleading for the Irish as they were out gained by the Spartans big time. The early pick six really did Michigan St in. This Miami Oh team is the 2nd best in the MAC IMO right now. They are only giving up 19 points per game while I know they haven't played great competition I like them to keep this closer than what most will believe
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09-30-17 |
Connecticut v. SMU -17 |
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28-49 |
Win
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100 |
72 h 45 m |
Show
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First, I realize this will no doubt be a public play here but this UConn team is just flat out terrible. They haven't covered a spread yet and just lost to one of the worst teams in the country in East Carolina. SMU on the other hand is red hot as they have covered in all 4 games. Their offense is extremely dangerous as they have scored 58,54,36,44. No way can UConn keep pace with that as they aren't built that way.
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09-30-17 |
Florida State -7 v. Wake Forest |
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26-19 |
Push |
0 |
51 h 29 m |
Show
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While everyone now is writing off Florida St for the season I think the line is the right time to buy back in. FSU will be a very angry team and I still believe they are a top 25 team. Let's not forgot about the huge talent gap here between these two schools as well. Sure, Wake is 4-0 but their schedule has been cup cake city and this line from just two weeks has dropped two touchdowns. We know where the value lies here.
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09-30-17 |
Syracuse +14 v. NC State |
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25-33 |
Win
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100 |
39 h 33 m |
Show
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No choice her but to take the underdog in Cuse here. I think NC ST is getting way to much love for beating Florida St as a 11 point underdog. Meanwhle, I think the Cuse game @ LSU is being over looked as they gave the Tigers all they wanted last week. Cuse lost by 9 as 21 point underdogs. Let's not forgot that NC St has been terrible in this role as a favorite so far. They are 0-3 ATS as a favorite. They also have a huge on deck look ahead here with Louisville coming to town next week
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09-30-17 |
Northwestern +14.5 v. Wisconsin |
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24-33 |
Win
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100 |
68 h 47 m |
Show
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Most people here are remembering the Northwestern @ Duke game in which the were favored then got destroyed. At this time that loss doesn't look so bad. It's worth noting that both teams are coming off bye weeks as well. I just don't think you can make Wisconsin that big of favorite here as they really haven't had to play anyone yet. Maybe they do blow Northwestern out but I will gladly pay to see it
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09-29-17 |
Nebraska -6.5 v. Illinois |
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28-6 |
Win
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100 |
81 h 18 m |
Show
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We all know how bad Nebraska has looked this season and now that they are 1-3 ATS the betting public wants no part of them. However, this is a huge discount here as Illinois to me is the worst team in the Big 10. This Illinois team almost gave up 700 total yards to South Florida. Nebraska has actually dominated the previous two games in the box scores, but nothing to show for it on the spread end. They get the job done pretty here
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09-28-17 |
Texas v. Iowa State +6.5 |
Top |
17-7 |
Loss |
-120 |
23 h 15 m |
Show
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09-23-17 |
UCLA v. Stanford -7.5 |
Top |
34-58 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 24 m |
Show
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Love Stanford here Saturday night against the Bruins and they have owned this series winning 9 straight and covering 8 of those games. The betting public won't have anything to do with Stanford here as they have lost 2 straight games and were upset by San Diego St last week. The key here is that UCLA is extremely over rated and get a lot of love because of their QB Josh Rosen. However, the Bruins defense is pretty pathetic to say the least and Stanford will control this game from start to finish
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09-23-17 |
Washington -10.5 v. Colorado |
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37-10 |
Win
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100 |
101 h 47 m |
Show
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Washington just doesn't get much love from the average fans or the oddsmakers. They made the college football playoff last year and are barely double digit favorites against a Colorado team that lost a ton from last year. Yes, Colorado is off to a good start, but the level of competition they are about to face here is huge. The Huskies have a great defense and I believe will shut them down. These two team met last year in the PAC championship game and Washington destroyed them then and will do it again Saturday
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09-23-17 |
TCU +12 v. Oklahoma State |
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44-31 |
Win
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100 |
97 h 1 m |
Show
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I did miss a better line here, but still like the value here with TCU who isn't getting enough respect. I really like what they have already done on the road this season going into Arkansas and beating them down as they controlled that game. With Oklahoma St's high powered offense and covering every spread so far they are getting a ton of public which Vegas realizes and has definitely inflated this line
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09-23-17 |
New Mexico v. Tulsa -10.5 |
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16-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 24 m |
Show
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Make no mistake about it that this Tulsa team is very very talented. I suspect they will hang a number here on New Mexico this weekend. Tulsa is coming off a tough loss @ Toledo one of the better MAC teams if not the best as 7 points underdogs and had a shot to win that game. They now New Mexico coming off two back to back tough games vs rivals in Boise St and New Mexico St. They will also be without their starting QB here which is a huge concern because they need all the points to keep up with Tulsa here
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09-23-17 |
Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -7.5 |
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17-35 |
Win
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100 |
94 h 41 m |
Show
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Really hard spot here for Pitt after they are coming off getting beat up by Penn St two weeks ago and then were embarrassed by Oklahoma St last week. I think this is a very difficult spot here for them to bounce back against a option team. Tech has also had a week off here to prepare which is a huge factor here. The Panthers really struggle on defense this year giving up 7.7 yards per play.
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09-23-17 |
UMass +28.5 v. Tennessee |
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13-17 |
Win
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100 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
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I could really see Tennessee sleeping walking through this game with an early start here. They are coming off such a deflating loss against their rival Florida losing by a hail mary pass as time expired. This is the classic sandwich spot with another rival in Georgia coming to town next week. You know they are looking ahead to that one. UMass isn't as bad their record indicates.
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09-16-17 |
Clemson v. Louisville +3.5 |
Top |
47-21 |
Loss |
-115 |
45 h 54 m |
Show
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GOLD'S FIVE STAR LOCK! Love Louisville to get revenge from last year as they dropped a heart breaker in death valley. Clemson went on to win the national title lost some big players on defense but also lsot their stud Watson at QB. Now since they have looked good for 2 weeks they are favored here in this spot? I think this is a huge over reaction. Louisville has the reigning Heisman winner in Jackson and this Louisville team isn't getting respect because of their final score out comes but they have actually dominated if you look at the box score.
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09-16-17 |
Oregon -13.5 v. Wyoming |
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49-13 |
Win
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100 |
93 h 18 m |
Show
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I just think that Wyoming is in over their head here for this game. The athletes aren't there to compete with this style of play. If you watched Oregon last week they were up 42-14. They totally dominated the Huskers racking up a total of 566 yards. Wyoming had a lot of hype and a large part of that was because of their QB Allen. I just don't think this team has enough talent around him. Oregon seems like they have returned to their old style of putting up huge numbers. I think they easily get to 40+ and hold of Wyoming here
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09-16-17 |
Kent State v. Marshall -14.5 |
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0-21 |
Win
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100 |
102 h 44 m |
Show
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This is one of those games that will be under looked here. Kent St might end up proving to be one of the top 10 worst teams in the country. They were huge favorites last week over Howard and only won by 7, but were outgained in that game by 53 yards. Kent St is giving up 7.5 yards per play. Marshall will have no problem moving the ball. They will also have no problem stopping the one dimensional offense in Kent St also.
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09-16-17 |
Tennessee v. Florida -4 |
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20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 24 m |
Show
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Hard to pass up the Gators here coming off a bye week plus they will be eager to bounce back here after losing week 1 to Michigan. They will also want revenge for the heart break they suffered last year @ Tennessee. The Gators defense is elite and will hold the Vols offense in check. Even though the announcement hasn't been made I think the suspended Florida players will be reinstated here as well. They are better in every category
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09-16-17 |
SMU +19.5 v. TCU |
|
36-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
99 h 38 m |
Show
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SMU is very much an improved team this year and this just feels like way to many points given the situation. TCU looked very impressive last week in a win @ Arkansas. That has this line being inflated here. This is a little rivalry game, but I think SMU will give it all they have while TCU is in the perfect sandwich spot having @ Oklahoma St on deck. While I know TCU hasn't beat any world beaters you still have to take into fact they have crushed both opponents and covered both games.
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09-16-17 |
Oklahoma State v. Pittsburgh +14.5 |
|
59-21 |
Loss |
-120 |
37 h 53 m |
Show
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This line will go down as I expect big money to back Pitt here especially from what we saw from them last week vs Penn St as that final score was very misleading as Pitt actually out gained them for the game. They had a huge advantage in 10 first downs as well, it was just the turnovers that cost them. I think Pitt will look to control the ball and the clock here which will frustrate the Pokes as they are a run and gun offense. Keep them off the field and they can't score.
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09-16-17 |
UCLA v. Memphis +3.5 |
|
45-48 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 11 m |
Show
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This is one of those lines that you look at and automatically think hmmm something is weird. Well there are a lot of negatives here against UCLA. Yes, they have the stud QB in Rosen which the whole public knows about. Now this is an early kick off time which will 9 AM for the UCLA kids. That is a lot more difficult than the average person thinks. Second, their defense is terrible if you watched the first game vs Texas AM who has proven to be a bottom feeder in the SEC. Last they have a huge look ahead game here also.
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