MLB Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
08-06-17 | Rangers v. Twins -141 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Jose Berrios is 5-1 with a 2.61 ERA in six home starts for the Twins. The righty has allowed six runs and 15 hits in his last three starts. Berrios has not faced this Rangers team who is hitting .229 in day games. The Texas lineup is very inconsistent and may struggle with the right-handed starter. Nick Martinez is a terrible pitcher. He's 3-4 with a 5.35 ERA in 12 starts for the Rangers. Martinez gave up seven runs and eight hits to the Mariners in just over five innings last time out. Minnesota is hitting around .260 at home and is trying to gain any sort of momentum after a hot start. The Rangers bullpen is terrible with 20 losses and 16 blown saves. I like the home team in this one. |
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07-26-17 | Orioles v. Rays -132 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Alex Cobb is in great form having allowed four runs and 13 hits in his last three starts. The righty has a 2.75 ERA at home this season. He's faced the Orioles twice at their place allowing 10 runs and 14 hits in just over 11 innings. Cobb is a different pitcher at home so I don't mind those numbers. Baltimore's offense is in good form right now but I'm not that worried about them especially since it's getaway day and there's potential for some guys to sit. Ubaldo Jimenez has allowed 12 runs and 21 hits over his last two starts. He was shelled by the Rays at their place last month giving up nine runs in just over two innings of work. Tampa Bay is hitting .252 in day games and while they are struggling, I still like their potential. I think Tampa can get the win in this one. |
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07-25-17 | Brewers v. Nationals -121 | 8-0 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Edwin Jackson is making his second start for the Nationals this season. He beat the Angels in Anaheim last time out holding them to two runs and three hits over seven innings. Milwaukee has lost six of their last seven and are not doing much offensively scoring just 3.1 runs per game over that span. Washington's bullpen got an improvement from Ryan Madson and Sean Doolittle. Zach Davies is 11-4 with a 4.76 ERA in 20 starts for Milwaukee. He has not lost a road start this season, but the Nats offense is a juggernaut. They are hitting .276 this season while averaging 5.6 runs per game. The Brewers bullpen has 25 losses and 15 blown saves. I think Washington continues to add to the Brew Crew's slump right now. |
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07-22-17 | Blue Jays +115 v. Indians | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Marcus Stroman is 5-2 with a 3.61 ERA in nine road starts. The righty has allowed six runs and 16 hits over his last three starts. He beat the Tribe at home back in May giving up six hits in six innings. Cleveland's offense has been scuffling big time and the Indians have a losing record at home. Toronto's bullpen has an ERA around three on the road. Danny Salazar is making his first start in almost two months. He's 3-5 with a 5.50 ERA in 10 starts this season. He gave up five runs and five hits in just over two innings to the Blue Jays. Toronto's offense is underperforming this season. I still like their potential though. To me, the price is right to back the better pitcher and arguably the better offense. |
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07-18-17 | Nationals +123 v. Angels | 4-3 | Win | 123 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
The Nats hit the road to begin a brief series in Anaheim against the Angels. Edwin Jackson gets the start for Washington as he tries to impress his new team. The Angels are hitting .197 in their last seven games as they try to bounce back with Mike Trout in the lineup. The Nats bullpen was addressed with the recent acquisitions of Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson. Jesse Chavez is 5-9 with a 4.86 ERA in 18 starts. He's charged with slowing down a smoking hot Nats lineup that gets to add another bat due to the DH. They're averaging nearly six runs per game away from home. The Angels bullpen isn't that great with 11 losses and 12 blown saves as a team. Any chance I can get to take the Nats, I will especially when their opposing SP isn't that good. |
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07-18-17 | Rangers v. Orioles -125 | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Orioles snapped a three game losing streak on Monday and now turn to Dylan Bundy. He's 8-8 with a 4.33 ERA in 18 starts for Baltimore. Bundy held the Rangers to one hit and one walk over seven innings last year. Texas is 20-27 on the road and is hitting around .220 away from home. Baltimore's bullpen is one of their strengths with a 12-4 record at home. Tyson Ross is 2-1 with a 5.33 ERA in five starts. He's had some walk issues with nine of them in his last 16 innings and change. Baltimore is hitting around .260 in their last eight games and are 26-19 at home. The Rangers bullpen has an ERA over six on the road with 19 losses and 16 blown saves overall. I think Baltimore starts a win streak on Tuesday. |
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07-09-17 | Mets +121 v. Cardinals | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
Lance Lynn has struggled in his last two home starts. He's given up 11 runs and 12 hits to the Marlins and Pirates in St. Louis. Lynn is facing a Mets team averaging over five runs per game on the road. The Cardinals bullpen has 16 losses and 10 blown saves. Steven Matz has allowed just three runs and 13 hits in his last three starts. The southpaw has not lost in four road outings this season. St. Louis is hitting .236 against left-handed starters this season. The Mets pen is terrible and scares me, but Matz is going deeper in games meaning they don't come into play as much. I think the road team is a good play in this one. |
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07-09-17 | Astros +108 v. Blue Jays | 19-1 | Win | 108 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
Houston is 32-11 on the road where they are averaging less then seven runs per game. Entering Saturday, they were hitting .346 over their last seven games and it's a rare time to get them at a cheap price. JA Happ is 1-3 with a 4.15 ERA in five home starts. Toronto's bullpen has 12 losses and 11 blown saves. Brad Peacock has not lost in four road starts. He's also won three straight outings giving up five runs and 13 hits over that span. Toronto is averaging around four runs per game at home. Their offense has been inconsistent all year long. Houston's bullpen has just four losses and four blown saves on the road. As I said above, I'll back the Astros at this price most any time I can. |
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07-06-17 | Diamondbacks +139 v. Dodgers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
Robbie Ray is 4-1 with a 1.32 ERA in seven road starts for Arizona. The southpaw has 60 strikeouts in just over 47 innings away from home. He saw the Dodgers twice in the span of five days back in April giving up seven runs and 12 hits in just over 11 innings. He's 4-3 with a 3.30 ERA and a WHIP of 1.217 in 10 career starts against LA. There aren't too many numbers that don't show how good the offense is for the Dodgers. Arizona's bullpen has just two losses and three blown saves on the road. Rich Hill is 3-3 with a 4.03 ERA in six home starts. The lefty is 1-4 with a 5.09 ERA in seven career starts against the Snakes. He gave up two runs and five hits in three innings at home against Arizona back in April. This will be the third straight lefty for them to face this series and the offense is putting up good numbers against them. Really, this is just a play because of the price. |
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07-05-17 | Royals +117 v. Mariners | 9-6 | Win | 117 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Royals try for the sweep of the Mariners in Seattle on Wednesday. Jason Vargas is 12-3 with a 2.22 ERA in 16 starts for KC. He's allowed just six runs and 18 hits in his last three starts and is 5-2 on the road. Vargas will face a Seattle team that entered Tuesday hitting just .224 in their last seven games. Ariel Miranda is in good form as of late, but he's got a 3.82 ERA in 17 starts. KC is hitting .248 against left-handed starters and around .300 in their last eight contests overall. Seattle's bullpen has 13 losses and 12 blown saves so no late leads are safe. I'll back the hot team on the road in this one. |
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07-02-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -136 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
German Marquez gets his fourth look at Arizona on Sunday. Marquez is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in 18 innings against them. The Diamondbacks average over six runs per game at home and are putting up nearly that much in divisional games. Colorado's bullpen isn't that great outside of Greg Holland. Taijuan Walker is 6-3 with a 3.50 ERA in 12 starts. He has a higher ERA at home in five starts. Walker has split his two starts against the Rockies in 2017 although those two games came at Coors Field. He held the Rockies to six runs and 13 hits in just over 11 innings. The Colorado offense is struggling right now and is a little banged up as well. Arizona's bullpen has just seven losses and seven blown saves. I think the home team is worth a look here. |
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07-02-17 | Indians +103 v. Tigers | 11-8 | Win | 103 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
Mike Clevinger has been a respectable pitcher for Cleveland. He's 3-1 with a 2.80 ERA in five road starts for the Tribe. Detroit is coming off a doubleheader and may rest a few guys for this early matchup on Sunday. Cleveland's bullpen is one of the best in the league so they will shorten the game should they get a late lead. Justin Verlander has a 4.47 ERA in 16 starts. He's 20-22 with a 4.60 ERA in 50 career starts against Cleveland. He had one good start against Cleveland and one bad one already this season. The Cleveland offense needs a jump start and could find one here. Detroit's bullpen is pretty bad and their better arms were used on Saturday. I think the Indians can win on Sunday. |
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06-28-17 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -136 | 4-3 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Arizona picked up a nice comeback victory at home last night and will be on the card once again today. The Diamondbacks have won four straight and 10 of their last 12. Zack Godley is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and a WHIP of 0.829 at home which traditionally is a tough place to play. St. Louis is hitting .243 in their last seven games and has never seen the youngster. Arizona's bullpen has just four losses and three blown saves at home this season. Adam Wainwright is 2-4 with a 9.48 ERA in seven road outings. He'll face an Arizona team 30-10 at home and hitting .295 over their last seven contests. The Cardinals bullpen has been a train wreck with 16 losses and 10 blown saves. I think the home team picks up the win on Wednesday. |
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06-28-17 | Rays v. Pirates -121 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
Blake Snell is back in the majors for the Rays meaning Erasmo Ramirez moves to his middle relief role. The lefty pitched well in the minors as he retooled some things. Snell was 0-4 with a 4.93 ERA in eight major league starts with the last one in 5/13. Pittsburgh is hitting .244 at home and has shown inconsistent tendencies from the lineup. TB has 19 losses and 15 blown saves from their bullpen. Ivan Nova is 5-2 with a 2.53 ERA in seven home starts. He's been great with only 11 walks in 103 innings of work. Tampa Bay's offense is hitting .242 in interleague games. Pittsburgh's bullpen has just five losses and two blown saves. I think the home team is a good team to back in this one. |
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06-27-17 | Braves -103 v. Padres | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
Sean Newcomb is looking for his first win of the season as Atlanta plays at San Diego. Newcomb has given up five runs and 12 hits over 18.3 innings of work. San Diego is 7-13 vs. left-handed starters and is hitting .197 over their last seven games. It's an offense that's pretty putrid. Atlanta's bullpen scares me terribly, but I think they have the better offense. The Braves are hitting .270 on the road and averaging five runs per contest outside of Atlanta. Jhoulys Chacin is real tough at home with a 1.72 ERA in seven starts there. He lost to the Braves in Atlanta back in April giving up four runs and eight hits in five innings. The Padres bullpen has a 4.64 ERA and is one of the worst groups in baseball. |
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06-26-17 | Rockies +125 v. Giants | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Colorado isn't in the greatest of forms entering this one as they've lost five straight scoring just 15 runs over that span. Still, they've been crushing Jeff Samardzija. Over 18 innings and change this season, the righty has allowed 19 runs and 26 hits against the Rox. Colorado is hitting .276 against right-handed starters and have their good bullpen arms rested for this one. German Marquez is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in six road starts for Colorado. He'll face a Giants team that is 14-21 at home and is hitting .232 as a group. The Rockies have won 10 of their 11 games against San Fran including three of four in San Fran. |
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06-25-17 | Blue Jays v. Royals +102 | 8-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Kansas City is one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. They've won 10 of their last 12 games and are playing like the team we expected them to be. Jason Hammel is in good form right now having allowed four runs in his last three starts and just one walk. Toronto is 16-22 on the road and they are hitting around .226 in day games. KC's bullpen is getting better too. Francisco Liriano is 0-2 with an 8.53 ERA in five road starts. The southpaw has had control issues away from Toronto with 16 walks to 16 strikeouts. The Royals offense is starting to perk up. They are putting up around four runs per game and have the edge here. Toronto's bullpen has 11 losses and 11 blown saves. I'll back the hot team right now. |
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06-23-17 | Astros +103 v. Mariners | 3-13 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
Felix Hernandez is back for the Mariners who begin a series against the Astros. Hernandez is 2-2 with a 4.73 ERA in five starts with the last one coming back on April 25th. King Felix is 3-6 with a 4.25 ERA in 11 career starts against Houston and has already lost to them this season. The Astros are 27-8 on the road hitting around .290 in those games. Seattle's bullpen is very vulnerable and since we may see Felix only go five or six then that group comes into play. Joe Musgrove doesn't have great numbers, but he's capable of pitching well. The righty won in Seattle back in April and pitched well against them at home as well. Seattle is hot right now and is hitting the ball well, but they still don't scare me. Whenever I can get Houston for a reasonable price, I'll back them. |
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06-21-17 | Reds +127 v. Rays | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
The Reds and Rays wrap up their series bright and early on Wednesday. Tim Adleman gets the call for the Reds and he's given up three runs or less in each of his last five starts. Adleman held the Dodgers to just four earned runs over 11 innings against them giving me hope that he could do well against the Rays. Tampa is hitting just .242 in day games and have been a little inconsistent offensively. The Reds bullpen has been better this season with just seven losses and three blown saves on the road. Erasmo Ramirez has a 10.05 ERA over his last four starts. He really belongs in the 6th and 7th innings, but Tampa has moved him to the rotation. Cincy's offense is hitting around .263 against right-handed starters and .281 in day games. Tampa Bay's bullpen has 17 losses and 13 blown saves so late leads are no guarantee. I think there's some value with the road team in this one. |
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06-20-17 | Diamondbacks -102 v. Rockies | 3-4 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Zack Greinke is going for Arizona. He's 8-3 with a 3.00 ERA on the season. The ace has won two of his last three starts and should have probably gotten a better fate in the third if his fielding was better. Greinke beat the Rockies in Colorado last month giving up two runs and six hits in seven innings. Arizona's bullpen is 7-2 with a 3.07 ERA on the road. German Marquez has a 5.70 ERA in four home starts. He's struggled to go deep in games averaging around five innings per start. Marquez lost to Greinke at home last month giving up five runs in six innings. Arizona is hitting .306 in their last seven games. I hate fading the Rockies at home, but I will do so with a pitcher as good as Greinke. |
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06-18-17 | Yankees -103 v. A's | 3-4 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
I think we're getting one of the best teams in baseball at a good price on Sunday. Luis Cessa is making his first start of the season for New York. He went 3-6 with a 4.15 ERA in 10 starts in Triple-A. He had 47 strikeouts to just 22 walks in 65 innings. The A's are hitting around .237 against right-handed starters. It's an offense I don't really want to trust at all. The New York bullpen is good despite their odd numbers on the road. Jharel Cotton is 1-3 with a 7.76 ERA in five starts at home. He's already lost to the Yankees once this season back in May. He gave up three runs and two hits in just over five innings. New York's offense should be intact as they try to prevent the sweep. Oakland's bullpen has had it's issues in the past. To me, i'll take New York and hope they win a potential slugfest. |
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06-16-17 | Giants v. Rockies -104 | 8-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Antonio Senzatela has beaten the Giants in both of his outings this season. He's given up four runs and 11 hits in 14 innings. The righty isnt in the greatest form right now, but he's also faced the Cubs and Indians as of late. San Francisco is 12-24 on the road and are hitting just .240 as a team. The Rockies suffered their first blown save at home last night but they still won the contest. Jeff Samardzija has lost both his starts against Colorado. He was shelled in Coors Field back in April allowing seven runs and seven hits. Colorado is hitting .288 in their last seven games and is 18-13 at home. The Giants bullpen has nine losses and eight blown saves. I think the price is right to back the home team. |
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06-16-17 | Red Sox +107 v. Astros | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Astros have lost six of their last nine games entering this one against the Red Sox. Michael Fiers takes the mound and while he's in good form, he's also faced the Angels, Royals and Twins. Boston is hitting .324 in their last seven games. They have won five of their last seven. Drew Pomeranz is 6-4 with a 4.48 ERA in 12 starts. The southpaw has won two of his last three outings. Houston's offense is still in good form. Boston's bullpen is 12-5 with a 2.83 ERA and 19 saves in 23 chances. I think there's some value with Boston in this one. |
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06-14-17 | Orioles -125 v. White Sox | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
Miguel Gonzalez faces his former team for the third time in the last two years. He saw the Orioles in Baltimore last month giving up two runs and six hits in just over six innings in a 4-2 loss. The righty has allowed 13 runs and 22 hits in his last three starts. Baltimore's slumping a bit but this lineup is too good to stay down. Dylan Bundy is 6-5 with a 3.05 ERA in 13 starts for the O's. He's given up seven runs and 16 hits in his last three starts with HRs being a bit of an issue. Bundy beat the White Sox last month in a game where he allowed three runs and six hits in six innings. Chicago's lineup doesn't scare me very much. Entering Tuesday they were hitting just .245 against right-handed starters. To me, this is a good situation for Baltimore to get healthy on the road. |
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06-14-17 | Cubs -116 v. Mets | 4-9 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Mike Montgomery is making his second start of the season for the Cubs in New York. He went four innings last time out giving up two runs and three hits while striking out five Rockies. He's facing a Mets team that was hitting .223 before Tuesday's game against Jon Lester in games against left-handed starters. Chicago's bullpen has not blown a save on the road and has an ERA under 2.50 as a group. Matt Harvey gets the call for NYM. He's 2-1 with a 6.11 ERA in five home starts. Harvey is not going deep in games meaning a very vulnerable bullpen comes into play. Chicago is averaging over four runs per game and is trying to put together some good play. I believe in this lineup a lot more then New York's. I think the edge is with the road team and I'll take them at a good price. |
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06-13-17 | A's v. Marlins -122 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The Marlins welcome Oakland to town on Tuesday. Jose Urena has won two of his last three starts. The problem for him has been control, but luckily the A's arent very patient as a team. Urena beat the A's in Oakland back in May despite allowing six runs and four hits in five innings. Oakland is 9-23 on the road and is hitting .226 in night games. Miami's bullpen scares me, but they do have a 3.11 ERA at home. Jharel Cotton is 3-6 with a 5.21 ERA in 10 starts. He'll face a Marlins offense that is hitting .266 in their last seven games and is a lot more consistent then Oakland's. The A's bullpen has just one win and six blown saves on the road. I think Miami is a good bet at home against weaker opponents. |
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06-13-17 | Rockies +108 v. Pirates | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
Gerrit Cole has been absolutely horrible for the Pirates. He's allowed 18 runs and 29 hits over his last three starts spanning just 14 innings and change. The righty has a 4.83 ERA in 13 starts this season. Colorado is 24-12 on the road and is in good form offensively. They should be able to continue Cole's misery. Pittsburgh's bullpen has had the roles re-shuffled recently with Tony Watson taken out of the closer's role. Tyler Chatwood has won his last two starts winning at Chicago and San Diego. Over those two games he held them to two runs and eight hits in 14 innings. Pittsburgh's offense is clicking right now, but it's hard to trust over the long run. They are without Gregory Polanco and Starling Marte. Colorado's bullpen is trustable on the road especially with Greg Holland. I think Colorado wins on Tuesday. |
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06-12-17 | Rockies +123 v. Pirates | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Kyle Freeland has not lost in six road starts this season. The southpaw is 7-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 12 starts overall. He's facing a Pittsburgh team that is 7-11 vs. left-handed starters hitting around .220 in those games. Colorado's bullpen has just three losses and three blown saves on the road so they are pretty good to depend on. Jameson Taillon is making his first start after being diagnosed with testicular cancer. He's got a 4.77 ERA in two home starts. Colorado has won seven of their last eight and is hitting over .300 over that span. They are 24-11 on the road and are no longer the stiffs they used to be away from home. Pittsburgh's bullpen has 11 losses and eight blown saves on the season. I think there's some value with the road team in this one. |
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06-10-17 | Twins +137 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 137 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Jose Berrios has not lost on the road in three starts. The righty is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and a WHIP of 0.850 in those outings. He's facing a very inconsistent Giants lineup that can't get much traction. Yes, Jeff Samrdzija is in good form and the Twins lose a bat because they are in an NL park but that didn't matter on Friday night. I don't really get the steam too much for the inconsistent home team. Just means, I'll take the value with the road guys. |
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06-08-17 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -138 | 3-15 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
This is the third time Pat Corbin has faced the Padres this season. The southpaw has allowed five runs and 13 hits in 13 innings against them. He had 17 strikeouts to just two walks as well. Corbin is a better pitcher at home where he's 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA. San Diego is hitting .207 in 15 games against left-handed starters this season. They are also hitting .197 in day games where they are 7-12 as a team. Their lineup doesn't scare me at all. Clayton Richard is seeing the Snakes for the fourth time this season. His worst start came on the road in Arizona where he allowed six runs and eight hits in just over three innings. The DBacks are hitting .257 against left-handed starters and are averaging over six runs per game at home. San Diego's bullpen doesn't scare me either. I think we're getting a good price with the home team in this one. |
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06-06-17 | Nationals -110 v. Dodgers | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show | |
Anytime I can get Max Scherzer at a good price, I'm going to do so. He's had a rough history against the Dodgers going 2-5 with a 3.53 ERA in 10 career starts against them. Scherzer is 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA in six road starts. He's won two straight holding San Fran and San Diego to two runs and eight hits, striking out 24 over almost 18 innings. LA is hitting .201 over their last seven games. Washington's bullpen scares me with an ERA over five. I'm not a Brandon McCarthy guy at all despite his solid numbers. I am a believer in the Nats offense who is hitting .292 in their last seven contests and is averaging almost six runs per contest. I'll take Washington at this price. |
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06-04-17 | Twins -114 v. Angels | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Jose Berrios has been great against non-Houston teams this season. The righty is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA in four starts. He's got 27 strikeouts to just eight walks in just over 26 innings. Berrios has never faced this Angels team that is 5-9 in day games and hitting .208 in those contests. They just aren't the same without Mike Trout and a bad Albert Pujols. Ricky Nolasco is 2-5 with a 4.47 ERA in 11 starts for the Angels. He's lost three straight starts with the last one coming at home against light hitting Atlanta. Minnesota's offense leaves home pretty well. The Twins are in good form offensively right now and have the edge almost everywhere in this matchup. Minnesota's bullpen has just one loss and no blown saves on the road. I think the road team gets the win. |
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06-03-17 | Twins -101 v. Angels | 2-7 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
The Twins crushed the Angels on Friday night and things are lining up for that to happen again on Saturday. The Angels are hitting .228 in their last seven games and .228 overall against right-handed starters. Ervin Santana is 4-0 with a 0.31 ERA in four road starts for Minnesota. He's given up just 13 hits in his last 23 innings of work. Minnesota's bullpen is a worry, but Santana is averaging seven innings per start. He'll be opposed by Matt Shoemaker who has a 5.21 ERA at home this season. He's coming off a losing effort at Miami in which he allowed four runs and seven hits. The Twins are hitting .280 in their last seven games and are averaging over five runs per game on the road where they are 16-5. The Angels bullpen has nine losses and 10 blown saves so a late lead may be struggled to be kept. I think this one is a slam dunk for the Twins. |
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06-02-17 | Rockies -114 v. Padres | 5-8 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
The Padres have won four straight and five of their last seven, but they are still a pretty bad team. They are hitting .213 at home and .223 in their last seven games. It's also their first crack at German Marquez who is 2-0 with a 1.06 ERA in three road games. He's allowed four runs and 19 hits over his last 16 innings and change. The righty needs to go a little deeper, but Colorado's bullpen is pretty good. Clayton Richard is 3-6 with a 4.33 ERA in 11 starts. Colorado is 19-9 on the road and 10-7 against left-handed starters. It's still a dicey proposition to count on them to hit on the road, but the Rockies offense is still one of the deepest in the league. San Diego's bullpen has 13 losses and 7 blown saves. The Rockies took two of three in San Diego last month. I think they win on Friday. |
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06-02-17 | Twins v. Angels -126 | 11-5 | Loss | -126 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
Kyle Gibson is instafade material for Minnesota. He's 1-4 with a 7.86 ERA and a WHIP of 1.937 in eight starts for the Twins. Luckily for him, he's facing an Angels lineup without Mike Trout. The group isn't as fierce, but I do believe in them at home. Minnesota's bullpen was beaten up by Houston and is highly mediocre. JC Ramirez has allowed just five runs in his last three starts, winning two straight outings. Minnesota has a very good road record, but I think they struggle in this one. Gibson is fade material right now so we'll do so. |
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05-31-17 | Phillies v. Marlins -135 | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
Dan Straily has been the Marlins best pitcher and he takes the mound Wednesday. Straily has won two straight starts and is 2-1 with a 2.46 ERA and a WHIP of 0.940 in six home starts. The Phillies lineup is in terrible form right now and is hitting around .200 in their last eight games. Miami's bullpen is a concern, but Straily should be able to go deep. Aaron Nola has lost his two starts coming off the DL. He's 2-2 with a 4.34 ERA in five outings overall. Miami's offense has come alive a bit hitting around .300 in their last eight games. I think they are a sleeping giant once they figure things out. Philly's bullpen is highly sketchy. To me, it's a little cheap to get a solid home team with their best pitcher going. |
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05-31-17 | Diamondbacks +101 v. Pirates | 6-5 | Win | 101 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
Zack Godley has been fantastic for the Diamondbacks this season. He's allowed just four runs and 14 hits in his last three starts and is cutting down on the walks. The righty is facing a Pirates offense that is without two big pieces in Polanco and Marte. Arizona's bullpen has been strong for us as of late and should continue to do so against a poor Pittsburgh lineup. Chad Kuhl is fade material lately as he's 1-3 with an 8.61 ERA in six home starts. The righty has allowed 11 runs and 19 hits in his last three starts. Arizona's offense can get into a nice roll, but I'm a bit concerned about the getaway day lineup they could put forth. I think the road team is worth a look in this one. |
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05-30-17 | Diamondbacks -107 v. Pirates | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
It's a rematch of the 5/14 matchup in Arizona that saw the Pirates win 6-4. Things have changed since then as the Buccos have lost Gregory Polanco to a lineup that was already struggling. Robbie Ray is 3-1 with a 0.81 ERA and a WHIP of 0.840 in five starts away from home. He allowed four runs and six hits in that first meeting. The Pirates are hitting .214 against left-handed starters and are scuffling offensively. Arizona's bullpen has just four losses and three blown saves. Ivan Nova has been very vulnerable as of late. He's given up 28 hits over his last 21 innings and change. He's striking out less batters and is starting to show some cracks. Arizona is hitting .264 against right-handed starters and .276 in night games. I think this one goes to the road team despite the loss on Tuesday. |
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05-29-17 | Braves +132 v. Angels | 6-3 | Win | 132 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
Mike Trout's status is up in the air after leaving Sunday's game with a thumb injury. He's due for an MRI on Monday meaning there's a chance he won't play. Julio Teheran loves pitching on the road where he's 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA and a WHIP of 1.066. Teheran has allowed just 12 runs and 15 hits in his last three starts although nine of those came against Toronto. He's facing an Angels team hitting around .228 against right-handed starters. Atlanta's bullpen is a concern, but I think the ace could go deep into the game. Ricky Nolasco has lost two straight starts. He's 2-4 with a 4.37 ERA in 10 starts. Atlanta did just lose a series in San Francisco and is a hard team to trust, but I think they could hit Nolasco. The Angels bullpen has eight losses and nine blown saves. Wait until closer to see if Trout plays and if he doesn't then take Atlanta. |
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05-28-17 | Cubs +159 v. Dodgers | 4-9 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
Jon Lester needs to fix his stats away from home as he takes on the Dodgers. The last three times he's faced LA, Lester has allowed three runs and 13 hits over 19 innings of work. The southpaw has 16 strikeouts to just three walks. LA is hitting .242 against left-handed starters and has had major issues with the better ones they've faced. Chicago's bullpen has not blown a save on the road yet this season. There's not a lot I can do to pick at Clayton Kershaw. He's been very good as usual this season. Kershaw did lose last year to the Cubs once, but he's got a 2.33 ERA against them overall. Chicago is 8-5 against left-handed starters scoring 5.8 runs per game against them. This is simply a play on a road team that is getting a lot of value especially when the home team struggles against lefties. |
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05-27-17 | Rays -106 v. Twins | 3-5 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Jake Odorizzi is someone I want to back this season especially at a short price. He has not lost in three road starts and has allowed just seven runs in his last 18 innings. The righty has pitched well in Minnesota giving up just two runs and five hits to them last year on the road. The Twins are 11-14 at home and are hitting .237 in day games. Tampa's bullpen has a 3.66 ERA on the road and just three blown saves. Adalberto Mejia is the picture of mediocrity. He's allowed 10 runs and 16 hits in four starts. Tampa Bay is averaging over four runs per game against left-handed starters and while they are in a lull right now, it's still a lineup worth backing. Minnesota's bullpen has a 4.43 ERA at home. Tampa has won five of their last eight in Minnesota in this series so I think they win again on Saturday. |
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05-26-17 | Diamondbacks +107 v. Brewers | 4-2 | Win | 107 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
Junior Guerra is making his second start of the season for Milwaukee. He threw on opening day allowing two runs in three innings at home to the Rockies. Guerra is alright as a starter, but coming off the DL, I expect him to struggle a bit. Arizona's hot right now hitting around .285 in their last eight games. Milwaukee's bullpen doesn't scare me with their ERA over four at home. Zack Godley is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in four starts for Arizona. He's been good this season with 20 K's to just 10 BB's. Milwaukee's offense is putting up good numbers at home yet they have a losing record there. I'm not a believer in too many hitters in their lineup outside of Thames and Braun and he's heading to the DL. I like the road team to get the win in this one. |
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05-26-17 | Angels v. Marlins -117 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
The west coast was unkind to the Marlins who went 2-4 against the A's and Dodgers. Now they return home to host the Angels who are spending the week in Florida. They went 2-2 against the Rays and are now 10-17 on the road. This is an offense that was hitting .229 against right-handed starters before Thursday. Dan Straily has a 1.95 ERA at home and a 2.04 ERA in his last three outings. He'll be opposed by Jesse Chavez who is 1-3 with a 4.81 ERA on the road. Miami's offense is putting up bad numbers, but feature way too many good players to be struggling this much. The Angels bullpen is very meh in my mind with eight losses and nine blown saves. I think the Fish win this one on Friday night. |
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05-22-17 | Angels v. Rays -112 | 3-2 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Rays are in very good form offensively. They have scored five runs or more in seven of their last nine games. JC Ramirez is charged with slowing them down. He's got a 5.75 ERA in three road starts. The Rays are hitting .263 against right-handed starters averaging five runs per game. The Angels bullpen has an ERA over four on the road. Jake Odorizzi is 3-2 with a 3.16 ERA and a WHIP of 0.892 in seven starts. The righty has allowed six runs and 14 hits in his last three starts. The offensive explosion Anaheim had on Sunday is not indicative of their offense as of late. They were hitting .221 on the road and have a 8-15 record. Tampa's pen has the edge and so does their offense. I like the home team in this one. |
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05-22-17 | Rockies +111 v. Phillies | 8-1 | Win | 111 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
The Rockies head to Philly for the first of four on Monday. They have won four of their first six so far on this current road trip scoring five runs or more in all but one game. Jerad Eickhoff will try to slow them down. He's 0-4 with a 4.53 ERA. The righty allowed three runs in six innings in Texas, but had allowed 14 runs in his previous 15 innings. Philly's bullpen has a 5.19 ERA at home and has been very shaky as a unit. Jeff Hoffman is making his second start of the season. He beat the Dodgers at home last time out 11 days ago giving up three runs and six hits in just over five innings. The Phillies are slumping big time as they struggle to get the big hits. They've lost seven straight series and are not in good form. Colorado's bullpen has just two losses and two blown saves. I think Colorado can win this one. |
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05-21-17 | Diamondbacks -118 v. Padres | 1-5 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Clayton Richard is facing Arizona for the third time this season. He split his other two games giving up seven runs and 17 hits over 10 innings of work. Arizona is hitting .264 vs. left-handed starters and is absolutely raking it right now overall. Entering Saturday night they were hitting .314 over their last seven games. San Diego's bullpen has an ERA over five as a group. Zack Godley is making his fourth start of the season. The righty held the Padres to two runs and four hits over five innings back on 4/26. He's pitched pretty well so far for Arizona and is going deeper in games. San Diego is hitting .188 in day games and don't have too many weapons to scare their opponents. I think Arizona gets the win on Sunday. |
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05-21-17 | Indians v. Astros -108 | 8-6 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
Danny Salazar is in bad form as of late. He's allowed 10 runs and 11 hits in his last two starts and is now 2-4 with a 5.66 ERA in eight starts. Salazar is putting a lot of runners on base. Houston is looking to get a win in this series and slow their losing streak down. They are 14-8 at home and still have one of the best lineups top to bottom. Joe Musgrove has won two straight starts. Cleveland has not faced him yet in his short career so it may take some time to get used to him. The Tribe lineup is scuffling a bit. Entering Saturday, they were hitting .226 over their last seven games. Houston's bullpen is no slouch either. I think the Astros prevent the home sweep and get the win on Sunday. |
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05-20-17 | Rockies +108 v. Reds | 8-12 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
Antonio Senzatela has been fantastic for Colorado. The rookie is 6-1 with a 3.31 ERA and a WHIP of 1.163 in eight starts for the Rockies. He has not lost in three road starts so far this season. The Reds haven't faced him yet and may struggle. Their offense is in bad form right now during this seven game losing streak. Tim Adleman is 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA in five starts for the Reds. He's allowed nine runs and 14 hits over his last 12 innings. The righty is facing a Rockies team that is averaging nearly five runs per game. It's one of the deepest lineups for a team that's 14-6 on the road. They've got an improved bullpen whereas Cincinnati's unit has had it's struggles. Colorado has won four of their last seven in Cincinnati. I think they can get the game on Saturday too. |
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05-19-17 | White Sox +102 v. Mariners | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
Jose Quintana has bounced back big time since a slow start to his 2017 campaign. Quintana is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA in his last four starts. He beat Seattle twice last year allowing just two earned runs and 11 hits over 13 plus innings. The Mariners offense is struggling mightily right now as Robinson Cano is on the DL. The White Sox bullpen has a massive edge in this one with just two losses and two blown saves. They are also 8-4 vs. left-handed starters hitting .291 against them. Ariel Miranda is 3-2 with a 4.79 ERA in eight starts for the M's. He's allowed 11 runs and 16 hits over his last three starts. Seattle's bullpen has been a huge mess with an ERA over five and 10 losses as a group. I think the White Sox get the win in this one. |
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05-18-17 | Yankees -116 v. Royals | 1-5 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
The Yankees go for the sweep of the Royals in KC on Thursday. Jordan Montgomery is 2-2 with a 4.19 ERA in six starts for the Yankees. He's coming off a seven strikeout effort against the Astros at home. The road hasn't been as bad for him with the win coming in Wrigley Field. Kansas City hits just .222 against left-handed starters. I think New York's good bullpen arms will be available too. Danny Duffy is pitching well, but getting no run support. The southpaw has allowed three runs in his last two starts, but KC has scored just three runs as well. The Yankees are smoking hot right now offensively so it's a group I want to back. KC's bullpen is no longer the strength of the team. My only concern is that New York sits a starter or two with the first two wins at hand. Still, I think they win on Thursday. |
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05-18-17 | Orioles -121 v. Tigers | 5-6 | Loss | -121 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Jordan Zimmermann is 3-2 with a 6.28 ERA for the Tigers. The righty has struggled to go deep in ballgames which means a very mediocre pen comes into play. Who knows if their closer Justin Wilson will be available for this one and that makes them even weaker. Zimmermann gave up six runs and four hits to the Orioles in one inning of work last year and has a 5.82 ERA overall against them. Baltimore should rev up the offensive engines for this one. Dylan Bundy is 5-1 with a 2.26 ERA in eight starts for the Orioles. He has a 2.49 ERA on the road and has not started against the Tigers. Miguel Cabrera's status is up in the air so that's something to watch for before the contest. If he's out, then the Tigers lineup loses a solid piece. To me, situationally this seems like a good time to back the road team. |
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05-17-17 | Yankees -120 v. Royals | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Jason Vargas has been a great story for the Royals this season. The southpaw is 5-1 with a 1.01 ERA and a WHIP of 0.918 in seven starts. Vargas is 0-5 with a 6.64 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees. New York is averaging 5.9 runs per game and is 6-2 against left-handed starters. The lineup has the huge advantage in this one and I'm just not a believer in the KC pitcher. The Royals bullpen is no longer a sure thing either. Michael Pineda has been very good with a 3.27 ERA and a WHIP of 0.992 in seven outings. He has 50 strikeouts to just six walks. Pineda lost to the Royals twice last year, but it's a worse lineup and a better Pineda. Kansas City's lineup has been hitting better, but they are still hard to trust over the long run. The Yankees bullpen is still good even with Aroldis Chapman on the disabled list. I think there's a good price with the road team. |
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05-17-17 | Mets v. Diamondbacks -120 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Matt Harvey is instant fade material eight now. He's allowed 17 runs and 20 hits in his last three starts with 13 walks in just over 14 innings. Arizona's offense is pretty awesome at home where they are averaging over six runs per game. Entering Tuesday night, they were hitting over .300 in their last seven games. I think they'll get theirs off the starter as well as a bullpen with an ERA over seven on the road. Pat Corbin has a 2.45 ERA in five home starts, winning three of them. Corbin has never beaten the Mets, but right now New York's lineup is in bad form. The Mets are hitting .213 against left-handed starters and .220 in day games. Arizona's bullpen has decent numbers and can be very shaky at times. Still, I think the lead will be big enough that it won't matter. Take the home team. |
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05-16-17 | Red Sox +100 v. Cardinals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
Eduardo Rodriguez is 1-1 with a 2.88 ERA in six starts for Boston. He's pitched great, but has had issues going deep in ballgames. The southpaw has 40 strikeouts to just 15 walks in just over 34 innings. St. Louis is 3-3 vs. left-handed starters hitting .223 in those games. Boston's bullpen is 7-2 with a 2.97 ERA this season converting 11 of 14 save opportunities. Lance Lynn has been very good himself this season. The problem is that he's facing the better offense. The Red Sox are hitting .276 on the road averaging five runs per contest. They are 6-3 in interleague play. The Cardinals bullpen has a 4.00 ERA on the season. I like ERod and the Red Sox offense. |
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05-16-17 | Rockies +104 v. Twins | 7-3 | Win | 104 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Kyle Freeland is 3-2 with a 2.92 ERA in seven starts for the Rockies. The southpaw has a 1.65 ERA in three road starts this season. His problem has been control at times with 18 walks in 40 innings. Minnesota is 8-10 at home and is hitting .227 in their last seven games. The Twins are hitting .236 against left-handed starters. Colorado's bullpen is 6-1 with a 2.03 ERA on the road converting nine of 11 saves. Phil Hughes may be 4-1, but he has an ERA of 4.74 on the season. The Rockies are hitting .283 in their last seven games and are 11-5 on the road. Minnesota's bullpen has a 5.14 ERA at home and has converted just two of five save opportunities. I like Colorado in this one. |
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05-13-17 | A's -105 v. Rangers | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
A pair of pitchers looking for their first win are in action in Arlington. Nick Martinez is 0-2 with a 7.94 ERA in his last two starts and one of the reasons why is that right-handed hitters are hitting .310 off him. Martinez lost at home to the A's last year giving up five runs and six hits in four innings. Between the starter and the bullpen, it's going to be hard to keep Oakland off the scoreboard over nine innings. Oakland's offense is actually in decent form right now. Sonny Gray has allowed four runs in each of his first two starts. The velocity has been there, but he's still working his way back. Even in his bad year last year, the righty beat the Rangers in Arlington giving up three runs and five hits in six innings. The Rangers offense has struggled mightily this year as they continue to play without Adrian Beltre. Oakland has the bullpen edge. I think the road team gets this win. |
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05-12-17 | Orioles -105 v. Royals | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
Danny Duffy has just two wins on the season, but has had very poor run support. The southpaw has allowed 13 runs and 25 hits in his last three starts. Now he faces a hot Baltimore offense hitting .312 in their last seven games. Yes, they've had their issues with lefties, but I think there are a ton of weapons up and down the lineup. KC's bullpen has eight losses and four blown saves. Dylan Bundy got rained out in Washington so now he gets the Royals who are hitting like lightweights. They are hitting .224 at home and around .216 this season. Baltimore's bullpen gets a much needed day off. They are 10-4 with a 3.81 ERA as a group. I like the Orioles in this one. |
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05-11-17 | Astros +107 v. Yankees | 3-2 | Win | 107 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas Keuchel is a hard pitcher to fade especially this season. Keuchel is 5-0 with a 1.88 ERA and a WHIP of 0.854 in seven starts. The southpaw has 41 strikeouts to just 13 walks. He's 4-2 with a 1.41 ERA and a WHIP of 0.761 in six starts against the Yankees and has won his last two starts there. New York is putting up awesome offensive numbers, but they face the tough ace in this one. The Astros bullpen has an ERA below three on the road. Michael Pineda is in a groove right now especially at home where he's won all three starts. Still, there's always the potential for a blowup with the righty who has struggled with consistency at times. Pineda gave up six runs at home to the Astros last year, but won because New York pounded out 16 runs. The Astros are averaging around five runs per game offensively and are 9-5 on the road. There aren't too many weaknesses in that lineup. Houston has won four of their last seven in New York. I'll take Keuchel as around an underdog in this one. |
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05-09-17 | Mariners v. Phillies -104 | 10-9 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
The Phillies host the Mariners on Tuesday night. Jerad Eickhoff is still looking for his first win of the season and he's home where he's been very good. The righty has allowed three runs and five hits in 12 innings in Philly. He's facing a Seattle team that is 5-12 on the road hitting .229 as a unit. Eickhoff is backed by a bullpen that is 4-1 with a 4.09 ERA at home. Ariel Miranda has a 4.73 ERA on the road. The southpaw has had his ups and downs this season. Philly is hitting .275 at home where they are averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Seattle's bullpen is 6-7 with a 5.43 ERA. That number goes up to 6.48 on the road. I think Philly is the better team. |
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05-08-17 | Indians v. Blue Jays -111 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
The Jays return home to start a homestand on Monday night against Cleveland. Marcus Stroman is 2-2 with a 3.89 ERA in six starts for Toronto. He's got a 2.79 ERA and a WHIP of 1.035 in three starts last year against the Tribe. Cleveland is hitting .224 in night games and are still trying to improve overall. Toronto's bullpen is a bit of a mess, but maybe we'll see Stroman go deeper to bridge that gap. Trevor Bauer is fade material right now for the road team. He's allowed 11 runs and 13 hits in his last two starts and has a 7.67 ERA overall. Bauer has never beaten Toronto in four career starts. You may remember his outing against them last year in the postseason where he walked two and struck out one before leaving the game. The Jays took two of three in Tampa Bay and found their offense along the way. I think they are in better form right now. Cleveland's bullpen is spotless right now with no losses or blown saves. I think the Jays get the win on Monday. |
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05-06-17 | Giants v. Reds -130 | 2-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
As long as it's not Milwaukee, Amir Garrett is pitching well. Ten of Garrett's 16 runs allowed came in that one game. He bounced back with a no decision in a 4-3 win over Pittsburgh in which he held them to two runs and two hits in seven innings. Garrett has strikeout stuff and for the most part has kept the walks down. San Francisco is hitting just .240 in 15 games against left-handed starters as the offense continues to be a massive disappointment. Ty Blach gets his first road start of 2017. He's got mediocre stuff with just three strikeouts and three walks in 12 innings against the Padres and Dodgers. The Reds offense is in good form right now having scored four runs or more in three straight and seven of their last eight. Cincy's pen actually has better numbers then the Giants. I think they continue to add to SF's misery on Saturday. |
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05-05-17 | Cardinals v. Braves -114 | 10-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Mike Foltynewicz continues to look for his first win of the season. The righty is 0-3 with a 2.28 ERA in four starts for Atlanta. He's gone under in three straight starts striking out 18 while walking only six. Folty beat the Cards at their place last year allowing one run in six innings. Dexter Fowler and Stephen Piscotty both got hurt in Thursday's game and may not be available for this one. The Cards offense isn't that deep as it is so we'll see what they can do without two players potentially. Lance Lynn is facing a hot Braves offense that had scored 58 runs over an eight game span before Thursday night. Lynn has been in good form, but is always good for a potential blowup. The Cardinals bullpen has been terrible all year and has an ERA around six on the road. I think Atlanta gets the win at home on Friday. |
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05-05-17 | Blue Jays v. Rays -134 | 8-4 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Rays have won three of their last four entering a three game set against Toronto. Chris Archer gets his third crack at them after picking up two no decisions last month. Archer is 6-4 with a 3.06 ERA and a WHIP of 1.121 in 21 starts against them. He's allowed three runs and nine hits in 15 innings against Toronto this season. The Jays are hitting .231 against right-handed starters and are 5-11 on the road. Francisco Liriano is also getting his third look at his opponent. He's allowed six runs and seven hits in just over five innings. Last time he pitched in Tampa, he didn't make it out of the first inning. Tampa is 10-5 at home and scoring over five runs per game there. This is a lineup that is outperforming expectations. Toronto's bullpen is 4-7 with a 4.81 ERA and seven blown saves in 13 opportunities. Tampa took three of four against the Jays earlier this year. I think they win on Friday. |
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05-04-17 | Marlins +116 v. Rays | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Dan Straily takes the mound for the Marlins on the road as they take on the Rays. Straily has allowed five runs and eight hits in his last three starts striking out 24 while walking eight. He's never faced the Rays so there are a lot of players who don't have a history against him. Evan Longoria is still banged up so who knows if he'll be available for this one. Tampa's offense has cooled off a bit after a hot start to the year. Matt Andriese is a guy I'd like to fade when I can. He's 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in five starts for the Rays. The Marlins have the better lineup in this one and are hitting .256 against right-handed starters. The ability to add the DH has given them the chance to add one more player to the lineup. Tampa's bullpen doesn't scare me as Colome has been giving up runs as of late. I think there's some value with the road team. |
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05-04-17 | Pirates -101 v. Reds | 2-4 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
It was a rough Wednesday for Pittsburgh as they lost despite putting a ton of runners on base. Ivan Nova is 3-2 with a 1.50 ERA and a WHIP of 0.750 in five starts. The righty has 22 strikeouts to just one walk in 36 innings of work. One of his losses was to these Reds at home back on 4/12 in a game where he allowed four runs and eight hits in six innings. Cincy has a losing record at home and is hitting around .224 there. Pittsburgh didn't use their better arms out of the pen last night so they should be fresh. Tim Adleman is making his third start of the year. He's allowed eight runs and 12 hits in just over 11 innings of work. Pittsburgh's offense had one rough night, but had been in better form as of late. I still think the Reds bullpen can be beaten and I think the road team is a winner. |
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05-03-17 | Pirates -122 v. Reds | 2-7 | Loss | -122 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
Jameson Taillon continues to be fantastic for the Pirates. He's 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts for Pittsburgh. The righty has been awesome on the road with two wins in three outings and a 0.47 ERA overall. Yes, he's given up 17 hits in 19 innings, but he's been able to get around them. Taillon held the Reds to two runs and four hits in six innings at home back on 4/11. He's facing Rookie Davis who lasted only four innings in that game giving up one run and two hits while walking four. Davis is in awful form with a 11.17 ERA in three starts. He's coming off getting rocked by Milwaukee in a game where they allowed eight runs and 11 hits. These are two offenses that are very streaky. I think the edge in a lot of the head to head matchups goes to the road team so I'm taking Taillon to continue his hot pitching. |
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05-02-17 | Rockies -108 v. Padres | 2-6 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 14 m | Show | |
Tyler Chatwood has pitched a lot better on the road this season. He has allowed just four runs and nine hits over 15 innings away from Coors Field. Now the righty gets to face San Diego whom he lost to at home earlier last month. Chatwood is 4-1 with a 4.12 ERA and a WHIP of 1.312 in eight career starts against them. San Diego is hitting .221 at home and .227 in divisional games. The Rockies bullpen is 5-1 with a 2.28 ERA and a WHIP of 0.930 on the road converting eight of nine save opportunities. Trevor Cahill is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in four starts for the Pads. The sinkerballer has been beaten up in two of his last three starts. Colorado is 9-4 on the road and is averaging 4.6 runs per contest overall. The Rox offense has done enough to win so far. San Diego's bullpen has a 5.65 ERA at home and has five losses on the season. The Padres just don't scare me right now so I'll take the better pitcher and offense on the road. |
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05-01-17 | Mets v. Braves -113 | 7-5 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Julio Teheran faces the Mets for the third time this season. He's 8-3 with a 1.95 ERA and a WHIP of 1.017 in 16 starts against New York. In 12.3 innings this season, the righty has allowed two runs and eight hits. He'll face a New York lineup that is hitting .222 in night games and is without Yoenis Cespedes, Wilmer Flores and Lucas Duda. Robert Gsellman is 0-2 with a 8.27 ERA and a WHIP of 1.742 in four starts. He gave up six runs and 10 hits in four innings against Atlanta last time out. Atlanta's offense is in real good form right now and is hitting .264 at home this season. This is just their eighth home game in 2017 as they've had a heavy road slate. Atlanta has actually won three of their five meetings with New York already this season. |
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04-30-17 | Cubs +101 v. Red Sox | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Cubs go for a series victory on Sunday Night Baseball behind Kyle Hendricks. He finally pitched well in Pittsburgh holding them to four hits and two walks over six innings. Boston's lineup continues to underperform this season. Entering Saturday they were hitting .231 over their last seven contests. Chicago's bullpen has not blown a save on the road yet this year. I'm not an Eduardo Rodriguez guy despite him pitching well so far. He has struggled to go deep meaning an up and down pen comes into play. Chicago is hitting .280 in six games against left-handed starters and have an awesome lineup with the DH in play. I like their offense in this one and want to back Hendricks at an affordable price. |
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04-30-17 | Mets v. Nationals +109 | 5-23 | Win | 109 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Noah Syndergaard is making the start on Sunday after dealing with some mild right biceps discomfort which scratched him from Thursday. The righty refused an MRI saying that there's nothing wrong with him. Thor has been fantastic with 30 strikeouts without walking anyone. He has a 2-3 record in eight career starts against Washington. The Nats are averaging over six runs per game and are atop the MLB in a ton of categories offensively. Joe Ross is making his first home start of the year after getting roughed up in Colorado. Ross hasn't been that great, but he's also a better pitcher at home. The righty beat the Mets at home last year despite allowing 10 hits in six innings. The lineup has seen some success in DC, but can it be sustainable without Yoenis Cespedes, Wilmer Flores and Lucas Duda. They are hitting .177 in day games and aren't very good as a group. I think there's some value with the home team. |
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04-30-17 | Orioles v. Yankees -111 | 7-4 | Loss | -111 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Jordan Montgomery has pitched well for the Yankees in his rookie season. The tall lefty has allowed eight runs and 19 hits in just over 16 innings of work. Montgomery has 16 strikeouts to just six walks. Baltimore is hitting .234 against left-handed starters this season. They've lost four of their last six games as the offense has been inconsistent. Wade Miley has had his issues with control at times with 13 of his 14 walks coming in two outings. Miley is 0-3 with a 4.96 ERA and a WHIP of 1.478 in eight career starts against New York. The Yanks are 10-1 at home and 4-0 vs. left-handed starters. The lineup continues to surpass expectations averaging over six runs per contest in several situations. They also have the bullpen edge with Aroldis Chapman and Dellin Betances being fresh. I think they can get the sweep on Sunday. |
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04-29-17 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -125 | 7-6 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Zack Greinke is hot right now having allowed just four runs and 15 hits at home in three starts. This is a drastic improvement over his poor numbers there last year. Greinke is 7-4 with a 4.14 ERA in 19 career starts against the Rockies. Colorado is winning on the road despite the fact they have a poor batting average and are averaging less then four runs per game. He'll be opposed by Tyler Anderson who is 1-3 with a 7.10 ERA in five starts. The southpaw had a 6.30 ERA and a WHIP of 2.100 in two starts against the Snakes last year. Arizona is hitting over .300 at home where they average over seven runs per game. That's an offense I want to back whenever I can. Colorado's bullpen has been surprisingly good. I think the home team has some value in this one. |
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04-26-17 | Rays v. Orioles -140 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Orioles are sending their ace to the mound in Dylan Bundy. The righty has a 1.37 ERA and a WHIP of 0.987 in four starts this season. In two outings at home he has allowed just one run and 10 hits over 14 innings. Tampa Bay's offense has not made their trips on the road as they were hitting .217 away from home entering Tuesday night. Baltimore's bullpen continues to be strong even without Zach Britton who is still working his way back. Alex Cobb has allowed 13 runs and 26 hits over his last three starts. He's been shelled his last two outings against the Red Sox and Astros. Baltimore's offense is in a bit of a lull right now, but I believe they can turn it around. Tampa's bullpen is a mess now that Erasmo Ramirez is in the rotation. I think this is a good price for the home team. |
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04-25-17 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -143 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
It's a rematch of San Diego's 4-1 win on April 20th as the scene shifts to Chase Field. Pat Corbin gave up just three runs and five hits in six innings in that one. San Diego is hitting .213 against left-handed starters and their lineup just isn't very strong. Arizona's bullpen continues to be perfect with no losses and no blown saves. They hit a lot better at home where they are averaging over seven runs per contest. Clayton Richard gave up one run, but nine hits at home in that 4/20 game. He's had his issues on the road especially in Chase Field where he has a 5.20 ERA. San Diego's bullpen has an ERA around six. I'll take the home team with a lot of advantages in this one. |
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04-25-17 | Astros -119 v. Indians | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
Dallas Keuchel looks like the Cy Young he was once again. The southpaw is 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and a WHIP of 0.786 in 28 innings. Keuchel has allowed just three earned runs. He has never lost to the Indians beating them twice in 2015. The Tribe are hitting .209 against left-handed starters in eight games against them. Houston's bullpen is 4-0 with a 2.15 ERA on the road. Josh Tomlin is 1-2 with an 11.67 ERA in three starts for Cleveland. He was shelled by Arizona and Chicago while picking up a win against Minnesota. Houston's lineup is hitting .289 on the road and is 10-1 against right-handed starters. I think they smack Tomlin around and pick up a win on Tuesday. |
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04-24-17 | Reds -105 v. Brewers | 7-11 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Amir Garrett has been great for the Reds even in his only loss of the season. The southpaw already has wins in Pittsburgh and St. Louis holding them to two runs and seven hits. Garrett is facing a Milwaukee team hitting .222 at home where they are 3-8. The Reds bullpen is 2-0 with a 1.48 ERA on the road. Matt Garza is making his first start of 2017 on Monday. He's 4-5 with a 4.84 ERA in 14 career starts against the Reds. Last year he allowed nine runs and 14 hits in two starts against them. Cincy is hitting .272 on the road and is averaging nearly five runs per game overall. Cincy has won 11 of their last 19 in Milwaukee. I think that trend continues on Monday. |
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04-23-17 | Nationals -144 v. Mets | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Mets are hurtin right now for offense. New York is hitting .189 at home and .172 in their last seven games. Yoenis Cespedes most likely will not play while Lucas Duda and Wilmer Flores sit on the DL. They get to face Max Scherzer who is 2-1 with a 1.37 ERA and a WHIP of 0.864. He's been fantastic all year long especially on the road where he's won both his outings. Scherzer has a 1.88 ERA in 10 career starts against New York and has held them to just two earned runs in his last two outings on the road against them. Zack Wheeler, meanwhile, is having a tough year. He's allowed nine runs and 14 hits in just over 14 innings of work. The righty is facing a Washington lineup that is averaging around five runs per game. The Mets bullpen has a whopping six losses as a group and four blown saves. To me, the Nats take care of business in this one. |
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04-23-17 | Mariners v. A's -119 | 11-1 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Andrew Triggs has gone three starts without allowing an earned run. He'll put that streak to the test against Seattle on Sunday. The Mariners are 1-9 on the road where they are hitting .195. This is a group that can't get it going offensively and could struggle against the righty that has been real good with his control and striking out just enough hitters. It'll be the first time a lot of Mariners hitters see him too. Yovani Gallardo is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in three starts for the Mariners. He's allowed a whopping 24 hits in 16 innings of work. Gallardo is 0-5 with a 5.29 ERA in six career outings against the A's. Oakland is hitting .271 in their last seven games and .262 in the day time. They have the bullpen edge in this one so I'll take the home team. |
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04-22-17 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +105 | 5-11 | Win | 105 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Robbie Ray gets another crack at the Dodgers on Saturday. The southpaw held the Dodgers to two runs and three hits in six innings striking out 10. Ray is 3-3 with a 2.80 ERA and a WHIP of 1.134 in nine career outings against LA. The Dodgers are hitting .237 against left-handed starters going 3-6 in those games. I'm still not ready to back them in games against lefties. Kenta Maeda has not gone past six innings yet this year. He gave up four runs and four hits in four innings to the Snakes last time out. Arizona is hitting over .300 at home and have been very good there scoring nearly seven runs per contest. LA has very good numbers out of the bullpen so that's a concern, but I like Arizona at home. I think they get the win on Saturday. |
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04-22-17 | Yankees v. Pirates +101 | 11-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
The Pirates got game one in their series with the Yankees. Many of New York's hitters are getting their first look at Jameson Taillon who has allowed just three runs in 20 innings striking out 16 while walking seven. New York's lineup once again will be without a DH so that'll take a little bit of a hit for them. With such a young team, the Yanks can go through some ebbs and flows. The same can be said for their starter Michael Pineda who has pitched well in two starts at home, but was rocked in Tampa Bay. Pittsburgh's lineup isn't great, but there are still pieces to like. The Buccos are 5-3 in day games and have their solid bullpen arms available. This figures to be a low scoring affair so we'll take the home team with the young stud in Taillon. |
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04-21-17 | Yankees v. Pirates +101 | 3-6 | Win | 101 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
I'll fully admit it, but this is a hunch play for several reasons. One, CC Sabathia can't continue to pitch this well. He's given up just four runs and 12 hits in 18.3 innings of work. The hefty lefty has 11 strikeouts to just seven walks over that span. The Pirates are hitting .246 at home and are hoping for a better effort after losing 2-1 in each of their three games in St. Louis. Yes, the lineup is weaker without Starling Marte, but there's still some talent there. Tyler Glasnow is slowly improving from his disastrous start to 2017. He's got very good stuff as evidenced by the 7 strikeouts in Wrigley last time out. The Yankees were very comfy at home and their young lineup mashed their way to a fantastic homestand. Now they hit the road in an NL park where they lose the DH. I just feel like the young team comes down from the high of a recent hot stretch and loses on Friday. |
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04-19-17 | Diamondbacks -117 v. Padres | 0-1 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
San Diego hosts Arizona for game two of their three game series. Zack Greinke hopes to bounce back after getting roughed up in LA. Greinke is 8-1 with a 2.02 ERA and a WHIP of 0.869 in 16 career starts against the Pads. The righty has had success against Wil Myers (3-23) and Yangervis Solarte (3-19). To me, this San Diego lineup isn't that scary once you get past Margot and Myers. They've put up awful numbers as of late. Arizona's bullpen has been solid in terms of no losses and no blown saves. Jhoulys Chacin has allowed 13 runs and 19 hits in 15 innings. Chacin hasn't faced Arizona since 2013 so there aren't too many numbers for us to go off of. Arizona's lineup has more power and depth then the home team. I also don't like the Pads pen either. I think with the price coming down, it's almost worth it now to have Greinke and the Snakes on the road. |
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04-17-17 | Rangers v. A's -130 | 7-0 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
The A's try to snap a three game losing streak as they host the Rangers. Jharel Cotton is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA in two starts. Cotton has allowed five runs and 10 hits striking out 10 while walking five. The righty beat the Rangers last year holding them to one run and three hits over seven innings. Texas is hitting .239 against right-handed starters and .227 for the season. Oakland's bullpen is 0-3 with a 4.31 ERA, but I still like their back end more. AJ Griffin has a win, but hasn't been that great on the mound. He's also struggled to go deep meaning an awful bullpen comes into play. Griffin allowed four runs and four hits in just over three innings to the A's back on April 7th. Oakland is hitting .253 against right-handed starters. The Rangers pen is 1-5 with a 6.99 ERA to go with four blown saves. I like the home team. |
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04-17-17 | Marlins +131 v. Mariners | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
Interleague play brings the Marlins to Seattle. Ariel Miranda gets his first start against someone other then Houston. The southpaw allowed six runs and 12 hits over two outings against the Astros. He's an alright pitcher with decent stuff. The problems for Seattle come when the starter leaves and their bullpen comes into play. They have an ERA over seven as a unit. The Marlins are hitting .274 on the road and .280 in two games against left-handed starters. I don't love Tom Koehler, but he's pitched well so far giving up four runs and nine hits in 11 innings. Koehler gets a Seattle team that is 3-7 against right-handed starters hitting .223 in those games. The Marlins pen blew it's fourth save of the season, but also picked up it's fourth win. I think the road team is a good price on Monday. |
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04-17-17 | Pirates +125 v. Cardinals | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
I generally like to fade the team on Sunday Night Baseball especially when they have to travel. The Cardinals are struggling terribly this season to get much offense going. They entered Sunday night hitting .210 as a team and .216 against right-handed starters. Ivan Nova is 1-1 on the season for the Buccos and is making his first road outing. Nova has never started against St. Louis and only three Cardinals hitters have seen him before so that's to his advantage. Opposing Nova is Lance Lynn who is looking for his first win of the season. Lynn has allowed eight runs and 10 hits in just over 10 innings. Pittsburgh is coming off a sweep of the Cubs in Chicago after a four game losing streak. Their lineup is putting up poor numbers too, but they are a confident team right now. The Cards have a horrendous bullpen that has an ERA near seven. I think the road team is a good play in this one. |
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04-16-17 | Padres v. Braves -122 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
Bartolo Colon and the Braves wrap up their home series with the Padres on Sunday. Colon is coming off a rough outing in Miami against the Marlins where he allowed six runs and seven hits in four innings. The righty has given up just nine hits in 10 innings so far this season. Last year he won in San Diego with the Padres and is facing the weakest lineup he's seen all year. Trevor Cahill is 0-3 with an 8.40 ERA in three career starts against the Braves although they came in 2012 and 2013. He lost his first start back on the 5th in LA against the Dodgers. Cahill missed his last start due to a lower back strain. Atlanta's offense isn't great, but I like the middle with Freeman and Phillips. I think the Pads are getting way too much respect with this line considering the pitching matchup and the fact that it's in Atlanta. |
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04-16-17 | Orioles +113 v. Blue Jays | 11-4 | Win | 113 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
It's a rematch of the April 5th game between Dylan Bundy and JA Happ although the scene shifts to Toronto where the Jays finally got their second win of the season. Bundy pitched magnificently in that one allowing one run and four hits in seven innings while striking out eight. He's a key to the Orioles future because their rotation has the chance to be good if the youngsters pitch well. Bundy was alright in Boston last time out, but the O's lost 8-1. Toronto has ugly offensive numbers with most of them hovering around a batting average of .200 on the season. The loss of Edwin Encarnacion in the offseason along with the injury to Josh Donaldson has been a problem. JA Happ has lost both of his starts this season giving up seven runs and 14 hits. Pardon me if I don't want to believe too much in his year last year where he was fantastic. Happ is a middle of the road lefty. Baltimore has had their issues with southpaws, but that lineup is deeper and capable of snapping out of it on Sunday. The pen edge goes to the road team with O'Day and Britton. I think Baltimore wins on Sunday. |
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04-15-17 | Cardinals +103 v. Yankees | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
CC Sabathia is pitching with smoke and mirrors right now. The veteran has allowed nine hits and six walks in 11 innings yet only three runs. Sabathia gets his first home start against a Cardinals team that is struggling out of the gate. They aren't getting enough offense, but the potential is there for them to get it back. Sabathia is being opposed by Carlos Martinez who couldn't follow up a great opening day start against the Cubs. Martinez was shelled by the Reds to the tune of six runs and six hits in five innings. He'll face a Yankees team who continues to hit despite a lineup that has had Jacoby Ellsbury at cleanup. New York's bullpen has been great, but will Dellin Betances and Aroldis Chapman pitch again on Saturday after going the past few days. Also, who will sit in a day game after a night game. Neither team exactly has a ton of depth so that will be a factor in this one. Still, I like Martinez more then I do Sabathia so I'll take the road team. |
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04-14-17 | Rays v. Red Sox -121 | 10-5 | Loss | -121 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
Chris Archer heads to his house of horrors facing the Red Sox. Archer is 1-11 with a 5.38 ERA and a WHIP of 1.649 in 16 career starts against Boston. He's pitching better this season, but getting the Red Sox this cheap at home is hard to pass up. This team averages five runs per game at home where they are hitting .291. That number goes up to .306 in night games. Tampa's bullpen outside of Erasmo Ramirez and Colome is pretty awful. Rick Porcello hasn't been great this year but has 13 K's to two walks in two starts He got touched up by the Tigers last time out allowing 11 hits in six innings. Porcello has two straight wins over the Rays and is 10-4 with a 3.03 ERA against them in 17 starts. Tampa hit .186 in their series in New York and are having massive issues in the field. Boston's bullpen isn't great, but I'll take it at home backed by the better offense. |
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04-14-17 | Cardinals +130 v. Yankees | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
Michael Wacha won his first start beating the Reds by holding them to one run and three hits in six innings. Wacha has not been seen by too many of the Yankees in the lineup so I think that's an advantage there. New York is piecemealing a lineup together with Brett Gardner hurt and Gary Sanchez on the DL. Masahiro Tanaka is struggling for the home team. He's allowed 10 runs and 14 hits in just over seven innings of work against the Orioles and the Rays. I'm concerned about the Cardinals having no one who has seen them, but I like the lineup that they can put forth. The Cards lineup is struggling to put up good numbers, but I think they can get to NYY. Aroldis Chapman may not be available due to it being his third day getting action so that's intriguing as well. I think there's some good value with the road team. |
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04-13-17 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -116 | 2-1 | Loss | -116 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Francisco Liriano is coming off a horrendous outing at Tampa Bay where he didn't even get out of the first inning. Liriano walked four and allowed three hits while getting only one out. Now he faces a Baltimore team that has had issues with southpaws in the past. Last year he struck out 10 O's in just over six innings in a 3-2 no decision. In three games against lefties, the Orioles are hitting .172 as a team. Toronto's bullpen may not have a win yet, but they haven't had too many leads to deal with. Kevin Gausman has been very mediocre for Baltimore. He has allowed six runs and 13 hits in 10 innings to the Yankees and Blue Jays. Gausman has seven walks as well and hasn't been that comfortable on the mound. Gausman is 2-3 with a 4.43 ERA in eight starts against Toronto. The Jays offense has been struggling, but they are way too good to stay this way. Toronto has won 13 of their last 20 at home in this series. I think they start improving on Thursday. |
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04-13-17 | Pirates v. Red Sox -142 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
The Pirates fly into Boston for one game on Thursday to replay their rainout. Eduardo Rodriguez gets the call and he is coming off a very meh effort against the Tigers. The southpaw gave up four runs and five hits in five innings to the Tigers. The Pirates offense has had their issues in general and with lefties already this season. They lost their first two games of the year in Boston and haven't beaten anyone other then Atlanta. Chad Kuhl had six walks in five innings at home against those Braves. He's taking a step up in competition with the Red Sox. Pittsburgh's bullpen will be needed as Kuhl hasn't quite learned how to go deep into games. Anytime I can get a reasonable price at home with Boston, I'm going to take it especially against an opponent that can't match up. |
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04-12-17 | Rays v. Yankees -108 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
There's a lot to like about Jordan Montgomery who gets the call for New York. The tall lefty sported a 3.20 ERA in 19.2 Spring Training innings. He even faced these Rays striking out eight in just over four innings. Montgomery has four different pitches and doesn't have an issue with peppering the strike zone. Tampa Bay is hitting .249 as a team and may struggle with a Yankees bullpen that has been great. New York has allowed just four runs in 24 bullpen innings. Blake Snell used to be on my list to back, but I can't do so until he figures out the control issues. Snell allowed five runs and four hits in just over six innings against the Jays. The southpaw lost in New York last September and has a WHIP of 1.556 against them overall. The Yankees are hitting .262 as a team and are getting good contributions from several bats. They'll need it without Gary Sanchez around. New York has won 14 of their last 20 at home in this series. I think they do so again on Wednesday. |
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04-11-17 | Braves v. Marlins -130 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Marlins finally come home after a 3-3 road trip through Washington and New York. Atlanta, meanwhile, hits their third city after taking on the Mets and Pirates. Bartolo Colon pitched well in a no decision for the Braves against New York holding them to one run and two hits in six innings. Miami beat up the righty back in September last year to the tune of seven runs and eight hits in just over two innings. Justin Bour (6-16), Dee Gordon (10-29), JT Realmuto (9-21), Ichiro (30-109) and Christian Yelich (11-33) all hit the vet hard. Offense hasn't been the issue for the Marlins who are hitting .274 as a team while averaging 4.5 runs. Atlanta's bullpen has a 5.79 ERA this season and 10 walks to go with 10 strikeouts. Dan Straily had a rough debut against the Nats. He allowed five runs and six hits in just over three innings in DC. Atlanta has won just one of their first six games and are averaging just three runs per contest. The Marlins have the hitting and pitching edge so I'll take the home team at a cheaper price. |
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04-11-17 | Orioles +105 v. Red Sox | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Dylan Bundy was fantastic in his opening start against the Jays. The righty struck out eight while walking none in seven innings. Bundy has had a rough history with the Red Sox, but Boston's a bit beat up by the flu. They figure to get the band back together with Hanley Ramirez and Xander Bogaerts on Tuesday, but they've had problems at times with clutch hits. I really like Baltimore's bullpen who is 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA this season. Darren O'Day and Zach Britton are a very good back end to the pen. Drew Pomeranz is coming off the disabled list to make this start against a team who smacked him for five runs and four hits in two innings last September. I like the depth of Baltimore's lineup despite the ugly batting average to start things out. Boston's bullpen has good numbers, but has been a roller coaster. The Orioles have won 10 of their last 19 in Boston against the Red Sox. I think they can win on Tuesday. |
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04-08-17 | Blue Jays v. Rays -127 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Chris Archer got the win in his first start and is already off to a better start then last year. He threw seven solid innings against the Yankees and now gets a Toronto team that he's had success against. Archer has a 3.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.146 in 19 career starts against the Jays. Over his last three starts against them, he has allowed just six runs and 10 hits. Jose Bautista (8-42), Josh Donaldson (3-26), Russell Martin (3-19), Kevin Pillar (6-28), Justin Smoak (6-24) and Troy Tulowitzki (2-11) all have had their issues with Archer. Toronto's lineup has it's up and downs, but they are scuffling a bit in certain areas. The Tampa pen is a concern, but hopefully Archer goes deep enough to mitigate that weakness. Aaron Sanchez had an up and down Spring with two rough outings and a blister that caused this start to be pushed back. Sanchez has pitched well against the Rays giving up one run in two outings against them last year. This Rays team is actually hitting better then we thought they would. They've scored four or more three times already this season. The Jays bullpen is a question mark. I like Archer to get another win on Saturday. |
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04-08-17 | Yankees v. Orioles -113 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
Kevin Gausman is on the mound against the Yankees whom he's had a lot of success against. The righty is 4-2 with a 1.70 ERA and a WHIP of 1.029 in 11 starts against New York. He has three straight wins against them allowing two runs and 17 hits with 20 strikeouts to just three walks. Gausman has good numbers against Starlin Castro (3-14), Jacoby Ellsbury (6-31), Aaron Hicks (3-14) and Aaron Judge (0-4). He was up and down in his first start, but is more comfortable traditionally at home. Masahiro Tanaka got shelled in his last start giving up seven runs and eight hits on the road to the Rays. Baltimore's lineup has yet to break out, but they have the bats to do so. Both teams have very good bullpens and I'd expect in a close low scoring game that they'll be in use. Still, I like the home team more behind the better starter right now. |
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04-07-17 | Yankees +106 v. Orioles | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
Ubaldo Jimenez gets the call for the O's as they host the Yankees. Jimenez posted a 5.94 ERA in five spring starts giving up 12 runs 17 hits and 11 walks in 16.2 innings of work. The righty has a 6.05 ERA in 11 career starts against New York. Jacoby Ellsbury (7-16) and Matt Holliday (4-12) hit the Orioles starter hard. The Yanks are going to be a hot and cold team, but I think they can get going against the veteran. Luis Severino had a rough finish to his year last year, but New York is hoping he's grown up a bit. The righty finished the Spring well and is showing the potential that the team expected from him. Severino had 20 strikeouts to just six walks so maybe his control issues are gone. Baltimore has two wins over the Jays despite scoring just six runs and accumulating just 14 hits. I like New York's bullpen with a day off to cover more ground if they need to in this one. There's some value with the road team as Jimenez is almost instafade material. |
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04-05-17 | Blue Jays v. Orioles +106 | 1-3 | Win | 106 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Dylan Bundy gets his first start against the Blue Jays on Wednesday. JA Happ is 4-3 with a 3.56 ERA in 11 career starts against the Orioles. He had a really good Spring and is coming off a really good year for the Jays, but I just don't believe in him or his stuff. Pedro Alvarez (6-12) and Manny Machado (6-21) hit the southpaw hard. Toronto's bullpen will be decent but they are without closer Roberto Osuna at least until next week. Bundy struggled in the Spring, but has very good stuff. Toronto hitters are a combined 0-for-9 against the righty who I think we are getting a good price on because of his struggles. He's backed by a fantastic bullpen who is coming off the day off so they all should be fresh. Baltimore took game one of the series and I think they take game two against the Jays. |
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04-04-17 | Yankees v. Rays +104 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
CC Sabathia is back for another season as the Yanks try to bounce back from their game one loss. Sabathia is 14-14 with a 3.83 ERA in 41 career starts against Tampa. The lefty didn't have a great spring and I question how effective his stuff will be. Evan Longoria (29-72), Kevin Kiermaier (4-5), Derek Norris (3-9) and Steven Souza Jr (5-11) all hit the vet hard. Tampa's offense is going to struggle at times, but maybe they pick up some momentum from game one where they got 13 hits. I wonder about how quickly Girardi goes to his good bullpen arms if Sabathia gets a lead into the 6th. Jake Odorizzi finished last year hot and pitched well in spring training. In his last three starts against New York, he's allowed five runs and 12 hits picking up two wins. The righty is getting a young Yankees lineup that will have their ups and downs all year long. Jacoby Ellsbury (7-31), Brett Gardner (5-24), Chase Headley (3-19) and Aaron Hicks (2-8) have bad numbers against the righty. Tampa's pen is alright, but with the day off, they can load up their "A" arms for this one on Tuesday. I think the home team moves to 2-0. |