Manchester United have improved greatly under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, they remain unbeaten since he took over, they have won every Premier League game on the road under him conceding just once and scoring nine times in the four away games since the former United legend took over from Jose Mourinho.

Fulham are a much better home team than they are on the road, 15 of their 17 points this season have come in front of their home fans and so it would be folly to dismiss them out of hand and it will be no walkover for United.

But we do need a bit of a reality check here, Fulham are poor, they are second bottom for a reason and they are playing a team that beat them 4-1 earlier in the season and that was under Mourinho who was hardly getting the best out of the players.

I do expect Fulham to be competitive today, they are at home and they have already shown that they will give most teams a run for their money when they are at home, however, when they play a top-six side, home or away, they get beaten, they have lost against Arsenal 5-1, Tottenham 2-1 at home and lost convincingly away from home against the top six, if they are to avoid relegation it will be because of results against lesser teams and not the top teams.

All things considered, I am backing United today, they will go top four with a win over Fulham (that can change later in the day) and as long as they play as they have been doing and there is no reason to think they will not then they will win and probably by a couple of goals.

Take United -0.75

There is not too much between these two teams but having watched both these teams on a regular basis this season I am going with Roma to sneak the win today.

Roma is a very strong home side, they have won four of their last five home games, drawing the other against third-placed Inter Milan and have won six, drawn three and lost just once at home all season.

Milan have won just three times from their ten away games in the league, although five of those were draws, they do struggle to get wins on the road that is clear but they are also hard to beat but against a team like Roma they will have to be absolutely focussed, if they are not then they will lose.

The way I have looked at this game is that Roma has home advantage, they have far better form at home than Milan away, they have better recent form, in fact, only Juventus have better recent form and I just believe they will have too much for Milan to handle for the entire 90 minutes.

Take Roma -0.25

Inter Milan are some way below Napoli and Juventus in Serie A but they are showing they are the best of the rest, they did lose last time away at Torino but that was their first league defeat in two months (against league leaders Juventus) and while they do draw too many games, they are fairly consistent and won seven in a row at home in the league before drawing their last home game against Sassuolo.

Bologna lost last time out at home to lowly Frosinone 4-0, a terrible result, they have won just twice all season long and are now on a 14 game run without a win in the league, on the road they have not won once and have five draws and six losses to their name, simply put, they are rubbish.

If Inter are in the mood they will win this game easily and I am confident they will be in the mood, the loss to Torino will have hurt them, they will be looking to bounce back and cement third spot in the league, they will be determined to maintain their push for Champions League football next season and will not allow a team like Bologna to derail that.

I just cannot make any case for Bologna and am backing Inter on the spreads with massive confidence.

Take Inter -1.25

Juventus are the best team in Italy by a country mile and if that is not bad enough for an opponent the last thing you want when facing Juve is to play them away and when they have suffered a rare defeat in a previous game.

Juve lost in the Italian Cup away to Atalanta midweek and it was no normal loss, they got stuffed 3-0 and that almost never happens to them, prior to that game Juventus had won five on the bounce and their record this season in Serie A is 19 wins and just two draws from their 21 games, that really is dominant.

At home, Juventus have won 10 and drawn one of their 11 home games in the league, so you can see the task ahead for Parma today.

Parma are not too bad away, they have won five and lost five away this season but they have fairly poor form right now with five losses, one draw and two wins in their last eight league games but for a promoted team they are not doing too bad considering.

That said, Parma are out of their depth today and they are facing a wounded but determined and angry Juventus who will want to make it clear to the rest of the league that the shock loss to Atalanta in the Cup was a one-off and will not be repeated.

Expect a dominant win today by Juventus.

Take Juventus -1.75

I fully expect a significant response from Chelsea today after losing their last match 4-0 away to Bournemouth.

That result was a bit freaky, though Bournemouth also beat Chelsea 3-0 last season, they seem to be a bit of a bogey team for the Blues, but that aside, that was not the Chelsea we are used to and that defeat and the manner of it will have given them the exact sort of kick up the backside that they needed.

Back in front of their home fans, where they have lost just once in their last 15 games in the Premier League, I fully expect them to win and win comfortably.

Only a miracle will prevent Huddersfield being relegated, they are a very poor team at this level, they have just one win away all season in the league, they are rock bottom in the standings with just 11 points, a massive 36 points behind Chelsea.

Because I expect a positive reaction from Chelsea and the state of Huddersfield I am very confident that Chelsea will win this game by at least two goals,

Take Chelsea -1.5

I am backing Millwall to win this game and cover the spread.

Millwall beat Everton 3-2 in the FA Cup last time out, a very impressive result against a Premier League team, that win will have boosted their morale massively, they are fairly average at home and did lose last time out against Balckburn in front of their own fans, but they do have a record of six wins, four draws and four losses from their 14 home games and that shows, considering their position in the table, that they are no walkovers at home and against the right opposition they have the advantage.

That right opposition is exactly what Rotherham are, they are fourth bottom and face a relegation struggle, they have not won once on the road this season in the Championship, they have managed just four draws and a massive ten losses from their 14 away games, as travelling teams go they are poor.

Considering that Millwall had a huge win against far a far superior team last week and will enter this game in high confidence playing a team that simply is awful away then it has to be a win for Millwall.

Take Millwall -0.75

I am going to give Tottenham one more chance to show that they can cope with the loss of some of their main stars and win this game against Watford today.

The loss in the FA Cup was disappointing, it was not expected that the manager would in effect put out his B team and leave some of the remaining best players out, it drew much ire from their fans and pundits alike who were not happy with that decision and it showed on the pitch the futility of that decision.

It will be a very different Tottenham team today, they do have home advantage, albeit with the most fans as opposed to actually being in their own stadium and will be very motivated to win for a whole variety of reasons, not least last nights result involving Man City.

Watford will be competitive and have beaten Tottenham at Wembley previously but as long as Tottenham play how they have been doing for most of the season they will win and win comfortably.

Take Tottenham -0.75

This Man Utd team is very different to the United team under Jose Mourinho, since Ole Gunnar Solskjaer took over they have won eight games in a row including hugely impressive away wins over both Tottenham and Arsenal, they put three goals past Arsenal, four past Fulham and Bournemouth and three past Huddersfield and I expect the same sort of scoreline against a poor Burnley side today.

United are playing much more freely, have more creativity and are more attack-minded than earlier in the season, they are full of confidence and believe they can beat anybody now, a far cry from under Mourinho, I expect them to come out all guns blazing and to beat Burnley comfortably.

Burnley have seen a little bit of improvement in recent weeks but away n the league they have won just twice all season and have been beaten heavily a few times, though of course, on occasions, they have defended well against the top teams and lost by just a single goal, but overall, when up against the better teams, they lose and lose easily.

All things considered, I see United continuing their rich vein of form and fully expect them to take care of Burnley today and to win by at least a couple of goals and to cover the spread.

Take Man Utd -1.5

West Ham United embarrassed themselves against Wimbledon in the FA Cup at the weekend and you can expect a vastly improved performance from them today, that result is certainly not a true reflection of their recent league performances and while you can't ignore it totally it really serves no purpose to use that game as a barometer for this game.

West Ham has lost their last two away games in the League, however, prior to that they won three on the bounce on the road and they did beat Arsenal 1-0 last time they were at home, in comparison to how they started the season they have improved significantly.

Wolves themselves had a poor away game in the FA Cup draw at Shrewsbury but even so, that was a better cup result than what West Ham produced and they will not be as shellshocked and determined to put things right as what West Ham will be.

Wolves did beat Leicester City 4-3 in their last league game, before that they lost two on the bounce and over their last eight home games they have lost five times, they are slightly regressing but overall, they are having a decent season.

I just feel that West Ham is playing better overall in the league right now, they have improved far more than Wolves over the last couple of months and they will be on the rebound today looking to make amends for the weekend humiliation.

I am taking West Ham on the spread with a 0.25 ball start simply because i feel there is more chance of a draw or West Ham than a Wolves win.

Take West Ham +0.25

By their standards, Real Madrid are struggling this season but they are still 12 points and nine positions above Espanyol and have won four of their last five games in all competitions and that single loss was a second leg game against Leganes that they led 3-0 from the first leg and basically put out their B side.

That said, three of those games in that sequence were cup games and you have to look a little deeper to see how Madrid really are doing.

Over their last ten league games, they have won seven and on the road, they have won three and drawn one of their last five and that draw was against Valencia, a team more capable than Espanyol.

So, not an altogether rosy picture but not a disastrous one either and certainly a better recent record than earlier in the season when they lost all three games in October and went five games without a win collecting just a draw, but that period is now behind them and slowly but surely they are getting more consistent and more clinical.

Espanyol are going through their rough patch right now, they have lost eight of their last nine league games, they have won just two of their last five homes games, however, those two wins were against teams lower than them in the league as of today, which in total contrast to Real Madrid is a lot worse than they were doing earlier in the season when they won their first five home games.

Basically, we have two teams that have reversed their earlier form and are now going in different directions, we have Espanyol struggling to get wins and Real Madrid are starting to get wins and add to that the fact that Real Madrid are simply the better team I am going with Real Madrid to get the away win today.

Take Real Madrid -0.75

A lot has been made about the absence of three of Tottenham's top scorers, Harry Kane, Son Heung-min and Dele Alli and of course that does make a difference but they are such a talented side with good depth in their squad that they are more than capable of coping.

They beat Fulham 2-1 away from home in the Premier League without Kane and Son and even though they lost 2-1 to Chelsea in the League Cup, they still put in a good performance, especially in the second half and were unfortunate to lose the 2 legged games on penalties and Chelsea are a top team.

Point is that while the loss of those players is an issue Tottenham have shown that they are still a formidable team and with Llorente scoring against Chelsea his confidence will have been boosted and if he plays today, as he is expected to do, I am positive that we will see a forward that Tottenham can rely on, plus they have the likes of Ericksen, Moura and Lamela all more than capable of finding the back of the net, this is not a team that finds scoring a problem, even without their first choice frontline.

Another factor is the away record of Tottenham, they have the best away record in the Premier League, better than even Man City and Liverpool, they held Barcelona in the Champions League away from home this season and even though this is a FA Cup game I do not see that making any difference from how they approach this game.

Palace, on their day, can spring a few surprises, they ran Liverpool very close last week only going down 4-3 and they were the away side, they beat Man City 3-2, a tremendous result and again they were away but overall, they have been poor this season, they are a huge 29 points behind Tottenham in the league, they have lost their last two games and in 12 home games this season they have won just three times and one of those wins was in the FA Cup against Grimsby 1-0, who are three divisions below them, hardly inspiring.

All things considered, it has to be Tottenham for the win, my only concerns are the loss of those three players mentioned earlier and that this is a cup game which is why I am going on the spread as opposed to an outright win.

Take Tottenham -0.25

Borussia Monchengladbach is having a good season, all things considered, they are third in the standing just three points behind Bayern Munich and have built up a formidable home record.

Augsburg, by contrast, is not having the best of seasons, though, in all fairness that was expected anyway, they are in a relegation dogfight and are not what you would describe as a good road team.

Monchengladbach has won their last 11 home games in the Bundesliga, they have conceded just five goals in the run and scored an impressive 31 times, they are absolutely dominant in front of their home fans and against a team fourth bottom, it is hard to see that run coming to an end today.

Augsburg has won two of their nine road games this season, drawn two and lost five, they have lost three of their last four away games and are just the single point above the relegation zone, they are in desperate trouble and I just cannot make a case for them to get anything from this game today.

Take Monchengladbach -0.75

This game is the 2nd leg of the English league cup semi-final, it is played at Chelsea and Tottenham have a 1-0 lead from the first leg.

Away goals do not count double in the event the game ends in a draw so, as an example, if Tottenham loses 2-1 they do not go through on the away goal rule.

If the aggregate scores are level after 90 minutes then the game will go straight to penalties, hopefully, that will give you some context about the game.

The bottom line is this, if Chelsea wants to go through to face Man City in the final then they have to win by at least two goals in the 90 minutes or win on penalties.

If Tottenham is to go through then they will have to either win the game, draw the game or win on penalties.

So, the question for me from a betting angle is will Chelsea win by two clear goals in the 90 minutes and the answer for me is no.

For me, there is far more chance of Tottenham winning or drawing or Chelsea winning by a single goal than Chelsea winning by two goals and for this pick to lose that is what will have to happen.

Tottenham are without their two first-choice strikers, Kane and Son as well as Dele Alli, this is not good news and will clearly hamper them, however, their squad depth is very good, they have players that can come in as they proved last weekend when they won away at Fulham.

Of course, losing those three players when you play a top team is a problem but Chelsea are not playing like a top team, they lost 2-0 away at Arsenal, which in itself is not terrible, Arsenal are a top team, but they never even got a single shot on target, their manager ripped into them after the game and they held crisis talks last Monday, they are not a club in a good position themselves and the one thing about Tottenham that does give them an advantage over Chelsea is that their team is very united.

Chelsea have the advantage, of course, they are at home, they are playing a team that is without three of their best players but that advantage is minimised because of the internal strife at Chelsea, the poor tactics constantly employed by their manager and the fact that Tottenham has the better squad.

This pick carries a significant safety net for me and that is the handicap, I simply do not see Chelsea winning by two goals, they may win the game by a single goal but that would see stakes returned and on balance I am far more confident that Tottenham will either win or draw than Chelsea winning by two goals and with safety net of stakes returned if Chelsea win by a single goal.

Take Tottenham +1

Two of the better Italian teams meet today in Naples and with home advantage and the better form I am backing Napoli to emerge with the win.

Napoli are second in Serie A, 12 points ahead of 5th placed Lazio, they enter this game on the back of 12 wins and 3 draws at home in the league, in fact, they have not lost at home since March 2018.

Lazio is quite decent on the road but two wins from their last six away games in Serie A shows where their vulnerability is and over the last seven meetings between these teams, both home and away, they have come away with six losses and just one draw.

Napoli are formidable at home, they are in great form and they are playing a team today that has been unable to beat them in quite a while now with mixed current form.

All things considered, I am backing Napoli to win today.

Napoli -0.5

A lot will be made of the fact that Harry Kane is injured and will not be playing for Tottenham today and his loss is huge but Tottenham has enough top-class players in their side that they can cope without him against today's sort of opponent.

Tottenham will also be without Son Heung Min, Kane's able sidekick and back up but they are a far superior side to Fulham and with players like Alli, Eriksen, Lamela and Moura all more than capable of scoring goals they still have enough firepower to overpower Fulham today.

Tottenham is the best away side in the Premier League, they have collected 30 points from a possible 36, they are third in the standings and a win today will keep their slim title hopes alive.

Fulham is second bottom, they have won just three times at home this season, they have just two wins in their last 19 league games and enter this game having lost their last three games on the bounce.

Despite being without their first two choice strikers I cannot see anything other than a convincing Tottenham win today

Tottenham -0.75

Real Madrid are not the team they were last season, but it would be foolish to dismiss them out of hand even though some of their recent results have been shocking.

As an example, they have lost twice in their last five home games and not to what one regards as top teams, Levante and Real Sociedad but those two results apart they have won six and drawn once (against Atletico Madrid) in their other seven home games.

Confidence is an issue right now and the club is in transformation but they still have an impressive squad and on their day they are more than capable of beating any team in world football.

Their opponents today Sevilla, are on the same points as Real Madrid and on the road have become draw specialists, drawing four of their last six away games, losing the other two, which tells you they have gone six away games in La Liga without a win.

I fully expect to see a better Real Madrid today, they do lift their game when they play the better teams and that does include Sevilla and in front of their home fans I see them winning by a couple of goals, Sevilla simply are not prolific on the road right now, they cannot buy a win and Madrid should prove to be to string over the 90 minutes.

Take Real Madrid - 0.75

Rotherham United are a poor team, I expect them to be relegated this season, they are currently fourth bottom of the Championship in England and I see them going in one direction and that is down.

Brentford are not doing too great this season, they are certainly better than their position in 17th indicates and to some extent, they are proving that with a run now of two wins and three draws in their last five league games, that follows an appalling run of just one win in 15 games.

Rotherham has just one win in their last 20 league games and they enter this game with four losses and just one win in their last five league games.

Brentford have turned the corner, their confidence has been restored, they are now playing far better than earlier in the season and when they are playing as they are right now they are a much better side than Rotherham,

Rotherham is in poor form by contrast and home advantage is not enough for them to get anything from this game.

All things considered, Brentford -0.5 is the pick.

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham bounced back from their loss last weekend to Arsenal with a 3-1 win midweek over Southampton and will enter this game with their confidence restored.

Tottenham remains on top of their game, when they lose it tends to be against the elite, they have a great away record, they will dominate this game and as per usual it all depends on them taking their chances.

Leicester are in decent form, they are now unbeaten in six in the Premier League but they have lost the four games they have played against the top six this season and are not at the level that Tottenham is.

If Tottenham converts their chances today they will win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chelsea may well have the home advantage but that will not be enough today against the best team in England and possibly Europe.

Chelsea have dropped in form, they lost midweek against Wolves and have won just once in their last four Premier League matches, they are not playing like a team on the same level as Man City because they are not on the same level.

Man City have already won away at Tottenham and Arsenal this campaign, they have won 13 and drawn 2 of their 15 games this season and there is no reason to think they will all of a sudden lose their form.

All things considered, I am taking Man City to win this one.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge difference between these two teams, Borussia Monchengladbach are third from the top and a win today takes them second, Hannover is third bottom a cool 14 points behind today's opponents and that is after just 11 games.

Add to that the respective home and away form of these two teams, Borussia have won all five home games this season and four of those have been by at least two goals.

Hannover have four away losses and two draws and remain winless on the road and three of those four losses were by at least two goals.

Hannover did win their last game at home but that pales in comparison to the recent form of Borussia who have won four of their last five games and those four wins have all been by over two goals including a 3-0 away win at Bayern Munich.

Home win for me and by at least two goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Wolves have hit a bit of a slump but they are still playing well and certainly, is the better of these two teams and with home advantage I fully expect them to get back to winning ways against a poor Huddersfield team.

Wolves have lost the last two games they have played at home but they showed immense character against Tottenham to come back from a 3-0 position to get to 2-3 and they will build on that and they showed that by then travelling to Arsenal and getting a 1-1 draw, a game they actually deserved to win.

Huddersfield has not won a single away game this season in the league, losing three and drawing two, they have stabilised the ship in the last two games in the league picking up a win and draw, but they were both home games and were against Fulham and West Ham, hardly world beaters.

I cannot see anything other than a Wolves win and I have more confidence in them winning by at least two goals than them not winning.

Take Wolves -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Liverpool have stuttered slightly but they remain one of the best teams in England and even though Watford are punching above their weight this season I cannot see them keeping the Reds at bay for the whole 90 minutes.

Watford will be competitive, they are at home and they did beat Spurs at Vicarage road, however, they are a limited side and they will spend the vast majority of this game on the back foot.

I expect Liverpool's superiority to tell here and for them to win, the question is by how many and I feel there is more chance of them winning by a couple of goals than by just a single goal and even if that happened, stakes would be returned.

Take Liverpool -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

West Ham may well have home advantage but that is about the only thing going for them today and even that will not be enough to stop the Man City steamroller.

This Man City side are brilliant, they are top of the league and it is very difficult to see them not winning the title, they are simply the best team in England, they look better than last season when they won the league by 19 points and it will take a special team to stop them and West Ham are no special team.

I just cannot make a case for West Ham at all, but I can easily make a case for City to win this game convincingly and anyone looking at their results this season and how they play will see that all things being as they have been this season that they will win and win by at least two or more goals.

Take Man City -1.75

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a clear Tottenham win today.

Tottenham are a far better team, they dominate most games, they will have been hugely lifted with their come from behind win against PSV in the Champions League midweek, they are fourth in the standings, they have won six of their seven away games this season and will be highly motivated to make it eight away wins from nine.

Palace have not won at home this season in the league, they have drawn three and lost two, they have lost four of their last five league games drawing the other and enter this game lacking in confidence with low morale.

Tottenham wins and to cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSV were very lucky to get away with a draw in the first game between these two and unless they get another big slice of luck they will get beat comfortably today.

Tottenham do have some injuries but they will welcome back Dele Alli in some part and have such talent in their squad that missing players like Dembele and Lloris will not impact them too much, they have home advantage even though it is at Wembley and the state of the pitch will not affect them any more than it would PSV.

PSV have as much to play for as Tottenham but they are not in the same bracket as Tottenham and all things being equal they will lose.

Take Tottenham -1.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams in very different form and I am backing Levante on the spreads to continue their fantastic form.

I know that Villarreal is at home and are considered a good team but their form and results do not back that up, they are playing poor football right now, they have lost three and drawn one of their last four league games and are fourth bottom.

Levante, on the other hand, are in brilliant form, they have won their last four La Liga games in a row and are in eight spot, a win today would take them above Real Madrid and just a single point behind second-placed Atletico Madrid, they beat Real Madrid recently in Madrid and are red hot right now.

For this pick to lose Villarreal would have to win by two goals and I do not see that happening and there is far more chance of either a Levante win or draw than anything else and that would make this a winning pick.

Back Levante +1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Tottenham to get an important and crucial away win against Wolves today.

Wolves were on a very good run but the wheels have come off slightly losing their last two games against Watford and Brighton and today they face one of the best teams in English football.

Tottenham have been grinding out wins in the Premier League, they did lose against league leaders Man City last week but so do most teams these days but against almost every other calibre of team in the Premier League, home or away, Tottenham win, they have won five of their six away games this season and enter this game on a three-game winning streak on the road.

Tottenham is the better side and if they play as they should do then they will win.

Take Tottenham -0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Massive game and I see Liverpool emerging the victors.

A lot has been made of Arsenal's 13 game unbeaten run but any analysis of that run will show that their opposition has been weak, very weak for the most part and that the Gunners have been very fortunate with their fixtures.

As an example, the highest placed team they have faced in the Premier League was 7th placed Watford and that was when Watford had hit a bad patch and was their fourth game without a win in a sequence of five winless games.

Arsenal have played cup games in that run and apart from the half decent away win over Sporting Lisbon they have faced teams that are barely known or in lower divisions, the point is this, they have simply not played a team anywhere near the calibre of Liverpool in that 13 games unbeaten run.

It should also be noted that when Arsenal have played a team in the same category as Liverpool, they lost, to Man City and Chelsea.

Liverpool are flying, they have won 8 and drawn 2 in the Premier League, they have beaten Tottenham away, drawn away to Chelsea and held Man City at home, they have beaten PSG in the Champions League and PSG are a world-class team, they have played better teams and shown that they are the real deal, Arsenal have not shown that at all.

All things considered, I am backing Liverpool to get the win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Napoli have frustrated me recently, however, this is one game that they will win and win comfortably.

The spread is high but at home Napoli are more than good enough to beat Empoli by at least two goals.

Empoli have drawn two and lost four of their six away games this season, they have lost just the once by two goals in that sequence but they are facing their toughest opponents to date on the road and there is simply no case to be made for them getting anything from this game, it is just a case of how many goals they will lose by.

Napoli have won four and drawn one at home and on two occasions won by at least two goals, the times they have not have been against good opponents with the worst placed of those teams being Roma who are eight in the standing.

Napoli are playing a side way down in 18th spot and when they play that calibre of team on their own ground they win and win well and that is exactly what I see happening tonight.

Take Napoli -1.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Napoli win today and by at least a couple of goals.

Roma was so poor at home against SPAL in their last league game that I was left speechless, their frontline is very average and while they are still a good team they are not in the same class as Napoli.

Napoli had a brilliant away result midweek against PSG and was unfortunate not to win that game and deserved more than a draw and PSG are a world class side, Napoli is second in Serie A and are Juventus only real viable title challengers and have been for a few years now.

Napoli beat Liverpool at home, they have won every single home game this season and in all competitions have not conceded at home in their last four games, this is a very good side.

Napoli -1 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Alaves is having a brilliant season, they are fourth at the time of writing this and could end up top of La Liga by the end of the day depending on results, they have beaten Real Madrid and enter this game on a two-game winning streak, they are unbeaten at home this season and are full of momentum right now.

Villarreal is fourth bottom, they have won just twice all season in La Liga, their overall form has been poor, they are winless in three games now and are there for the taking.

That said, Villarreal actually has a decent away record this season collecting seven of their nine points this season on the road but they are up against a team full of confidence and playing out of their skin and with home advantage, it has to be Alaves on the spread.

Take Alaves +0.25

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Man Utd to record a home win against an average Everton side.

I know United have had their issues but they are more than capable of beating Everton, especially at Old Trafford, they will be looking to bounce back from their midweek loss to Juventus in the Champions League and they are facing an Everton side that overall has a poor away record.

Take Man Utd -0.75

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and the first time in a decade that this game has had neither Ronaldo or Messi playing.

I am confident that Barcelona will prove the better team on the day, both teams have not been playing that well, especially Real Madrid but with home advantage and the better form, it has to be a win for Barcelona.

Barcelona -0.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Leipzig all day long on this one, they are in great form at the moment, they are on a seven-game unbeaten run and have won five of those games. They have also won their last three at home with an aggregate score of 11-2.

Schalke are fourth bottom, they have failed to win their last two competitive games and away in the league, they have three losses and one win, albeit that away win was their last away game.

The bottom line for me is that Leipzig have superior form and are on fire right now and a home win looks in the bag.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Cagliari has a good home record, whereas Chievo cannot buy a win on the road and therein lies the difference between these two teams.

Cagliari has held Milan and Sampdoria to draws at home and beaten Bologna, Chievo has lost three and drawn one away this season, the form of Cagliari is better and wit home advantage I cannot see anything other than a home win.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to oppose Arsenal today, they are on an 11 match winning streak in all competitions, they are simply on fire and beating everyone that is put in front of them home or away and Palace is not an elite team that is capable of stopping this Arsenal team.

Take Arsenal -0.75

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chelsea really should have enough to beat this Burnley side by a couple of goals.

Burnley have been woeful this season, they got hammered 5-0last week away at Man City and Chelsea are unbeaten all season long.

Take Chelsea -1.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Torino have hit a rich vein of form recently, they are now four games unbeaten and enter this game full of confidence.

Fiorentina have just one win in their last four games and their away record is pretty bad with three losses and one draw this season, though in all fairness their opponents have been difficult.

Torino have the form and the momentum and I am backing them to register a home win over a team struggling on the road.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Monaco finally got a result this week, albeit a draw away in the Champions League against Bruge, but it is not a loss and it will have done a lot for the morale of the Monaco players who have been really struggling this season.

Dijon is the perfect opponents for Monaco, they are in just as bad a shape as Monaco, their form is terrible and they are playing away.

Monaco are simply too good for this bad form to continue and the signs are that it will not continue and back in front of their home fans and under a new manager on the back of a decent midweek performance I am backing Monaco to get the win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Stuttgart are in awful form and I see that continuing today.

Hoffenheim are not exactly flying at the moment but they have better recent form than Stuttgart and do have home advantage and that is significant.

Stuttgart lost their last game to high flying Dortmund 4-0 at home while Hoffenheim won away at Nurnberg 3-1 and it is almost a certainty that Hoffenheim will enter this game in far better confidence.

All things considered, I am going with a home win and for Hoffenheim to cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Levante are in brilliant form right now, they have won their last three games on the bounce culminating in a 2-1 win away at Real Madrid.

Leganes are winless in their last two La Liga games and their away record this season is poor with four losses and a draw and that draw was at Valencia who basically draw with everybody.

Levante has the form and home advantage and against a team with a terrible away record this season I am backing the home team to get the win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Watford finally got back to winning ways with a good away win at Wolves and remember Wolves had been on fire this season, it was a good result.

Huddersfield remains winless and second bottom and even though they have tightened up defensively they remain a poor team that will be relegated.

Watford, back winning and with home advantage to win this.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSG are on fire, their only loss this season was away at Liverpool and they have a 100% record in France, they have world class players throughout and I just cannot see Napoli staying with them till the end.

Napoli are doing ok in Italy, they are in their customary second spot behind Juventus, they are on a three-game winning run in all competitions and will enter this game in good confidence but the brutal truth is that away to PSG is just one game too big for them, in fact, I struggle to think of any team in world football that will win at PSG.

I fully expect PSG to win this game by a couple of goals, they are just too good, their form is excellent and they are at home.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win game for Tottenham and I am confident that they will emerge the winners today.

PSV are great domestically, they have won 9 from 9 in the Dutch league, their only defeats this season have been in the Champions League.

Tottenham are playing well at the moment though nowhere near as good as they have been, they have been scraping wins and do have some injury issues, however, they are still a top side, they were very unlucky to lose against Inter Milan in their opening champions league game and while they did deserve to lose to Barcelona they were competitive and were undone by a beautiful performance from a single player, Lionel Messi.

The bottom line here is that Tottenham are a better team than PSV and as long as they play to their level they will win, I believe they will be determined and while PSV will be as well the fact is that quality will tell come the end of the game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and even though United have struggled at times this season they do tend to raise their game against top opposition as they showed at the weekend against Chelsea.

Juventus dominate Italian football and are an elite team, however, the Italian league is not as strong as the other top leagues in my opinion, this was shown last season when Juventus were fortuante to scrape past Tottenham in this competition.

Of course, Juventus are quality and one of the best teams in Europe but they are beatable and they are up against a team that is capable of matching them, as long as United are in the mood that is.

I fully expect Jose Mourinho to have his team primed for this game and to have a real go at Juventus and with home advantage, they are definitely the value pick on the spread.

Take United +0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

After Lyon beat Man City I thought they would really kick on but they have not, in fact, they have been a great disappointment and I see them losing this game against Hoffenheim today.

Hoffenheim did go through a sticky patch losing three straight at home but in fairness that was against Man City, Leipzig and Frankfurt and City and Leipzig are top teams in their respective leagues and Frankfurt are above Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga but disappointing results nonetheless.

Hoffenheim, however, has bounced back just in time for this game and do enter this clash with their confidence somewhat restored.

The same can be said of Lyon, they won their last game and that came after a 5-0 humbling at PSG but overall they have been poor over the last month, drawing at home to Shakhtar and Nantes prior to that PSG defeat.

Having watched both these teams this season and in recent weeks I have far more confidence that the home side will win, their defence looks more organised and that could easily be the difference tonight.

Take Hoffenheim -0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking Young Boys not to lose this game and cover the spread.

I was tempted to back the Swiss side outright but have decided to take the far less risky option of backing them +0.25.

Young Boys top the Swiss league, they lost their last home game against Luzerne but prior to that had gone 21 games unbeaten at home in the Super League, however, they were humbled by Man Utd 3-0 but that as a unique performance from United, they actually played well.

Recent Young Boys home results have included 7-1. 5-2. 4-0 wins and that is just within the last few weeks, the bottom line is that Young Boys are very solid at home.

Valencia just draw, that is basically all they do, they lost to Juventus in this competition and then went to Man Utd and drew, in La Liga they have drawn an incredible 7 of 9 games, they basically struggle to win games and in both the League and in Europe they have a single win to their name all season.

All things considered, I am taking Young Boys on the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Arsenal is on a nine-game unbeaten run in all competition, they are absolutely flying at the moment and a win tonight will see them go back into the top four.

The Gunners started the season off losing two games on the bounce against Man City and Chelsea, however, since then they have been irrepressible, the opposition may not have been the best but all they can do is beat what is put in front of them and Leicester City certainly fall into the category of team that Arsenal have been beating.

Leicester City has been fairly pedestrian this season and are now firmly a mid-table team, they are competitive to some degree and have had a couple of away wins but when it comes to the bigger teams these days, they lose and I see that happening this evening.

With the Arsenal frontline on fire, I am confident they will win this game by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huesca are rock bottom of La Liga, they have lost five of their last six league games, drawing the other one and that sequence includes an 8-2 drubbing at the hands of Barcelona, in fact, since their opening game of the season, which they won, they have picked up just two points from a possible 21, this is not a team in good form.

Espanyol are sixth and will go joint second with a win today, they have lost twice this season, to Real Madrid and league leaders Alaves which is no disgrace, however, their away form has not been good and has been their Achilles heel this season but they will not get many better opportunities to get their first away win of the season than today.

It is a clear win for Espanyol today for me, they are simply the better team, in better form and with a huge incentive.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Borussia Monchengladbach is well placed to collect all three points today at the expense of Mainz.

Monchengladbach enters this game in fifth place and can go second with the win so the incentive is certainly there, they have won all their home games in the league this season and their winning run at home now extends to six games.

Mainz is 10th and are on a four-game winless streak in the Bundesliga, they are also on a two-game losing run away from home, they are not in form and will definitely be up against it today.

All things considered, I am going for a home win and for Monchengladbach to win by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Everton to get the better of Crystal Palace today and register a home win.

Neither team is doing that great this season and at best both are inconsistent but Everton has shown me more and enter this game on a two-game winning run, whereas Palace enters this game having lost their last two Premier League games.

Palace is actually doing much better away than they are doing at home, they have collected six of their seven points this season from away games but that is where their inconsistency shows, they lose away to Watford and Bournemouth but win at Fulham and Huddersfield.

The same to some extent applies to Everton, especially when they lose at home to the likes of West Ham, however, they are improving and as I have already stated they are on a two-game winning run.

Based on what I have watched from these two this season and their current form I am going with an Everton win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Atalanta have been a huge disappointment for me this season, they are better than what they have shown and at some point they will bounce back to form and I feel that time is right now, they are fresh from an international break, that would have given them time energise and refocus and today's opponents are the exact sort of opponent that Atalanta can get a win over and really kick-start their season.

The Serie A table is a little misleading, Chievo are bottom but only because they have been punished, they would actually be second bottom on 5 points and not -1, however, that really does not matter that much, they are a poor team, they will probably be relegated, they have lost three of four games at home this season, drawing the other one and if Atalanta actually plays how I know they can then Chievo will lose today.

Take Atalanta -1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Monaco has had a horrendous start to the season which has resulted in their manager being kicked into touch, they now have a new boss in legend Thierry Henry and I fully expect a positive reaction to his appointment from the players.

The international break will also have done Monaco the world of good, it will have given them the chance to refocus and recharge their batteries.

Strasbourg do have home advantage and come into this game on the back of two straight home wins and on form, they should be the favourites to win this game but the circumstances are such that on this occasion form does not tell the whole story.

Strasbourg are doing ok but they are far from being one of the top teams in France, Monaco is despite their terrible form and if Monaco reacts under their new manager, as I expect them to do, then Monaco will win, they are simply the better team.

Monaco won this fixture 3-1 last season and I am confident that we will see a repeat of that win today.

Take Monaco on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Draw specialists Valencia know that they have to start winning games, they cannot keep on drawing and this game today against Leganes gives them a fantastic opportunity to get a win under their belts.

Valencia has drawn six of their eight La Liga games this season, they did actually win a game away at Real Sociedad but then went and drew their next game, though in all fairness that was at home to Barcelona, so not that bad really.

Valencia are a good side, they are below the elite level in Spain but they are a Champions League team and are not that far off the elite status, they just need to find a way to convert draws into wins.

Leganes are woeful on the road, they have lost all four of their road games this season in La Liga, one of those losses was against Real Madrid but the other three losses were not against any of the top teams, this is not a team to be feared when they are away.

Leganes do have a decent home record, they did beat Barcelona after all but they are a totally different side when they travel and if Valencia cannot get a win against this outfit then maybe they are destined to draw their way through the season.

All things considered, I am backing Valencia to get a home win today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

After a brilliant start to the season, Watford has come crashing back to reality, they have picked up just one point from their last four Premier League games and are now on a four-game winless streak.

Wolves, on the other hand, continue to impress, they have won four and drawn one of their last five league games and that draw was away to Man Utd, they have conceded just the one goal in those five games and again, that was in the draw against United.

This is a game that pits one team going forward and one team going backwards and I am backing the team going forward and with home advantage to get the win.

Take Wolves -0.75

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Bayer Leverkusen have let me down a couple of times already this season but I am convinced they are better than some of their recent results suggest, they were touted as potential title challengers prior to the season starting and while they have shown glimpses of their potential they have generally been a great let down.

That said, I am still confident that they will get their act together and this game today against Hannover presents them with a fantastic chance to kick-start their stuttering season.

Hannover are a poor team, they have lost their last three away games and collected just the single point all season from their travels, they are third bottom in the Bundesliga and even though they did beat Stuttgart in the last league game they remain a very limited side that is poor on the road.

This is a brilliant opportunity for Bayer Leverkusen to collect three points in front of their home fans and I have faith in them to do just that.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dortmund is in blistering form, they are top of the Bundesliga, they have won their last three Bundesliga games on the bounce including a 7-0 win over Nurnberg, they are unbeaten all season long and have also won both their Champions League games.

Stuttgart, on the other hand, are not doing so well, they are second bottom in the Bundesliga, they have just one win all season and while they are a lot better at home than they are away they are not in the same category as Dortmund on form.

Stuttgart have won one, drawn one and lost one at home but when they played Bayern Munich they were thrashed 3-0 and today they are playing a team on that level and it would not surprise me to see a similar result today.

Stuttgart did win this fixture last season, however, they lost 3-0 in Dortmund later in the season and that win last year was their only win in the last 15 meetings between these two sides going back eight years.

Dortmund to win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Roma to get a comfortable home win over SPAL today.

Roma, currently sixth in Serie A, is one of the better Italian sides, they will be looking to finish in a Champions League spot this season and at the moment are doing all the right things.

After drawing their opening two home games this season Roma have found their feet in their own stadium and won their last two home games 4-0 and 3-1 respectively, they are on a three-game winning streak scoring 9 goals in that sequence and conceding 3, they are clearly in form and with home advantage are all set to make it four league wins in a row, it should also be noted that they also won in the Europa League at home 5-0 and so it is actually four winning games on the bounce in all competitions.

SPAL is not good on the road, they did win their opening away game away at Bologna, but since then have lost three straight against Torino, Fiorentina and Sampdoria, they are on a four-game losing streak in the league conceding 9 and scoring just the 2 goals in those four games.

The bottom line here is that we have two teams at different ends of the spectrum, Roma, with home advantage, are on fire and have won their last four games on the bounce in all competitions, whereas SPAL has lost their last four on the bounce.

I am going with Roma to win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The international break will have done Lyon the world of good, they had a disastrous final game before the international break losing 5-0 away at PSG, though in fairness that game was done in a manic 13-minute spell that saw Kylian Mbappe score four goals. They are much better than that result indicates, they beat Man City 2-1 in Manchester, they beat Marseille 4-2 and when they are in the mood they are a match for most teams, the international break will have given them time to refocus and get back to the sort of form that saw them get those impressive results.

Nimes is doing ok for a promoted side, they have ten points from their nine games in the league and are on target to retain their top-flight status if they continue to claim points, however, they are up against it in this game, they lost their last away league game 3-0 at Montpelier, they have not won for seven games now, though they have four draws in that sequence and 60% of their points came in the first two games of the season, since then it has been winless.

This is the perfect game for Lyon to have after the break, against a promoted team that cannot buy a win right now and with home advantage.

I expect Lyon to bounce back to form today and claim a comprehensive win over Nimes.

Take Lyon -1.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Club football is back in Germany after the International break and I am going with Eintracht Frankfurt to get the better of Fortuna Dusseldorf today.

Frankfurt sit 7th in the Bundesliga and are on a three-game winning run in competitive games, two wins in the league and one in the Europa League, they have improved at home since a bad start to the season and have now drawn against Leipzig, beaten Hannover 4-1 and Lazio 4-1 in their last three home games, they are on a roll and are highly motivated and confident.

Dusseldorf has won just once all season in the league, they are second bottom, they are on a three-game losing streak in the league and are finding life in the Bundesliga tough following promotion.

It is very difficult to make any case for Dusseldorf, they have had a break of course and that will have given them time to regroup but the fact is that they are a very limited side, they will be in the relegation fight at the end of the season.

Frankfurt has home advantage, they are on a winning streak and full of confidence, anything less than a good win today will be a surprise.

Take Frankfurt -0.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is a must-win game for Real Salt Lake or they risk letting in LA Galaxy into the final playoff spot.

As things stand right now  it is totally in the hands of Real Salt Lake if they make the playoffs, all they have to do is win their remaining two games, that is it, but if they drop any points it then is out of their hands and they will want to avoid that at all costs.

The Revolution have nothing to play for but that does not mean they will roll over, far from it and if anything their recent form is no worse than Real Salt Lake but they simply do not have the same motivation or incentive and they are also the away side.

Even though Real Salt Lake have slipped recently including losing their last home game 4-1 against Portland they still have an overall good record, that loss to Portland was their first at home in 15 games and only their second home loss in their last 24 games.

New England on the hand are woeful on the road, they have won just three times in their last 35 away games in the MLS, this is not a good team when travelling.

All things considered, home advantage, a good home record, massive motivation and incentive playing against a team with nothing to play and terrible on the road it can only be a Real Salt Lake win.

Take Real Salt Lake -0.75

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

DC United have finally got into a playoff spot and the last thing they will want to do is squander it against a team that has absolutely nothing to play for other than pride.

DC have won nine of their last 11 home games, they are on a three-game winning streak at home scoring eight and conceding just one.

Toronto has nothing to play for, they are the away side and when they have played away this season they have been poor, they are on a two-game losing sequence on the road losing both games 2-0 and have not won in their last five away games, they have lost five of their last seven MLS games and the two they did not lose were home wins, in better words they are not a team in form, especially away.

I see DC going full out tonight to cement their play-off place and against a team with nothing to play for and in front of their home fans, I am confident that DC will win by at least a couple of goals.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Neither team has had a great season and as the season heads towards the end game neither of these two teams has anything to play other than pride, they will not be making the playoffs and for many of the players it is countdown time, however, that does not mean that this game is a total dead rubber.

It does seem that the Rapids players have more or less given up, they have lost seven games in a row, they have scored just once in that sequence and conceded 22, that is bad, really bad.

Additionally, the Rapids have won just twice on the road in their last 35 MLS games, that is a desperate statistic.

The bottom line for me where the Rapids are concerned is that they are basically useless on the road and their current form is as bad as it gets, this is a team that just wants the season to come to an end in double quick time.

Minnesota did lose 5-1 away to Philadephia last week, however, they had won two and drawn one in their three MLS games before that collapse and overall their home form is rather good, they have won six of their last seven home games in the MLS losing just the once and they do at least give the impression that they want to win, especially in front of their home fans.

I simply cannot see the Rapids getting anything from this game, they basically cannot buy a goal on the road at the moment and they are playing a team that does at least care.

Home win all day for me and I am confident that United will be strong enough to cover the spread against a very poor away team.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to see anything other than a comfortable Seattle victory tonight.

Houston are woeful on the road, they have just four wins in the MLS from their last 33 away games, they have not won on the road in their last nine MLS games and that includes 7 direct losses and just 2 draws, this is one team that is utterly useless on the road.

Seattle at home is a little different, they have won 6 of their last 7 MLS home games and in the last 6 meetings between these two teams with Seattle at home since 2012 Houston have not scored once, not a single goal and the last time this fixture was played with Seattle at home they beat Houston 3-0.

There s simply no case to be made for the Dynamo and I am backing the Sounders not just to win this game but to win it comprehensively.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

The spread on this game is a bit high but the truth is that it is justified, while Lyon has played well this season and should be respected they are a class below PSG who are going for their ninth domestic league win in a row.

PSG are at home and in their last five home games in all competitions they have scored 20 and conceded 3 and beaten every opponent by at least two goals and I see a repeat of that today.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

I cannot see anything but a Leipzig win, they are at home in front of their home fans playing a team that lost their last away game 7-0, though that was probably a one off it still indicates that promoted Nurnberg will struggle on the road this season.

Leipzig is looking for their third consecutive Bundesliga home win and Nurnberg are not the team to stop them

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

Atalanta has been poor this season and are a far better side than results have shown so far, though they have had some positives at home and are up against a Sampdoria that have struggled on the road apart from one big win.

Atalanta has a great chance here to finally kick-start their season and I expect them to do just that.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Short written analysis today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully analysed and is backed up with full confidence.

Fiorentina is having a good season so far but no thanks to their away form which has been poor collecting just a single point, however, their opponents have been of high calibre and that has to be recognised.

Lazio have won their last two home games on the bounce and I am confident that they will continue that winning run in front of their home fans today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Yesterday news broke that Man Utd manager Jose Mourinho will be sacked after this game no matter the result and when you hear that the first thing you think is I am not touching that game but then today the Man Utd board come out and make it absolutely clear that the manager will not be sacked and that his job is secure and that puts this game back in play from a betting point of view and for very good reason.

Newcastle United are joint bottom in the Premier League, they have just two points from seven games, they are winless and unless something changes and changes soon they will be in a relegation dogfight come the end of the season. Their only points have come from 0-0 draws against Crystal Palace and Cardiff City, this is not a team in any sort of good form.

Now, Man Utd are in a mini-crisis for sure but lets get some perspective, they drew 0-0 at home to Valencia, they should have won and their performance was lacklustre for sure but it was still the Champions League and it was Valencia, they drew 1-1 at home to Wolves, again, they should have won but Wolves are playing very well at the moment, they lost to Derby at home in the league cup, no excuses, that was bad and they lost 3-1 away to West Ham, again, that was poor but they were away and West Ham had hit form for that game, in fact, they just came off a 3-1 away win at Everton, 0-0 draw with Chelsea and an 8-0 league cup win, that was the form West Ham were in.

So, yes, Man Utd's recent results have not been good but they go through these stages, they lost 3-0 to Tottenham at home then won their next three games.

My point is this, United are a good team, yes they are in crisis but they are playing one of the worst teams in the Premier League, a team in  more of a crisis than what United are, they are at home and if there was ever a game they needed at this time, it is this game.

Take Man Utd on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham lost at home midweek against Barcelona 4-2 and was second best throughout but they remained competitive until that last minute fourth goal went in and despite that loss, it shows the level that Tottenham is at, just below the very best in world football.

Cardiff, on the other hand, are poor, they are joint bottom on points in the Premier League, they have zero wins this season in the league and have lost two of their away games by at least two goals with the other game being a 0-0 draw against the only team worse than them in the league, Huddersfield Town.

Chelsea beat Cardiff 4-1, Man City beat them 5-0 and that tells you how they perform against a top-four team, they did lose 3-2 to Arsenal as well but that was at home and Arsenal are not the team they once were, point being that when Cardiff play a top team they lose heavily, especially away from home.

The loss to Barcelona will not affect the confidence of Tottenham, they bounce back easily and a loss to Barcelona will hardly make them question their own ability, if anything, they will think they did well and with some luck may have landed a draw.

Tottenham have a great opportunity here to get all three points and get a comfortable win against a very poor team.

Tottenham does have some crucial injuries but they had the same injuries against Barcelona and have the players that can easily step in.

Tottenham all day long to win and I am of the opinion they will win by at least two goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dortmund is on fire at the moment, they are beating everyone in their path and not just beating them, thrashing them. Let's look at their last three results, they beat Monaco 3-0 in the Champions League, they beat Bayer Leverkusen away 4-2 and Bayer Leverkusen were considered potential title challengers and they beat Nurnberg 7-0, yes 7-0. This is a team on a roll.

Augsburg did win their last game 4-1 against Freiburg but that was their first win in five games, they are a mid-table team and will try their hardest today for sure but they are away, they are playing the league leaders and they are playing a team that has scored 14 goals in just three games.

The only question for me today was, will Dortmund win by at least two goals and my answer is a categorical yes, they have the form, they have home field advantage and that is no small thing when you consider they play in front of 70000 people and they have the momentum.

Take Dortmund to win on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis on this pick today.

Take Toulouse on the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

PSV were torn apart by the brilliance of Lionel Messi in their first Champions League game of the season away to Barcelona, they can at least take comfort in the fact that they will not be facing a player of that calibre when Inter Milan visit the Phillips Stadion today.

PSV are top of the Dutch league with seven wins from seven and that loss to Barcelona is not a fair reflection of who they really are, they are a good side and a very different performance is expected from them against Inter Milan, they enter this game on the back of three straight wins scoring 9 goals and conceding no goals and that run includes a 3-0 win over Ajax who last night drew 1-1 away at Bayern Munich.

Inter Milan was very lucky to beat Tottenham in their opening Champions League game, they did not deserve to get anything from that game and only the naivety and complacency of Tottenham allowed the Italians to get two late goals and snatch an undeserved win. Inter are on a four-game unbeaten run but they are not in the same class as Barcelona and as Tottenham showed in Italy Inter are vulnerable and PSV have the players, as well as home field advantage, to hand the Italian side a defeat.

I am backing PSV on the spreads and the worse case scenario is an Inter win, a draw sees stakes returned and for me, the most likely outcome is a PSV win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Barcelona are not as formidable this season as they have been in previous seasons, they have not won in their last three domestic games and their last win was in the Champions League at home against PSV when they won 4-0 four games ago.

Tottenham are a top quality side, on their day they can beat anyone, they beat Real Madrid and Dortmund at home last season and they beat them comfortably, they were unlucky to be eliminated against Juventus and will kick themselves for not taking advantage of their superiority against the Italians. Tottenham are one of the best teams in England and are competitive with the best teams in Europe and anyone that watches them will know that they should have beaten Inter Milan in their opening game in the Champions League last time out.

Barcelona remains a world-class team, they have arguably the best player in the world in Lionel Messi, but they are beatable, especially away from home and in Tottenham, they are playing a team that is more than capable of beating them and they will know that.

Tottenham may be missing some key players but in Harry Kane, they have a world class striker and their whole team, just like Barcelona, is full of top quality players. Tottenham plays beautiful passing football and will not be dominated by Barcelona in the same way Barcelona dominates most teams.

I am backing Tottenham on the spread with a half ball start so a draw or win and this pick comes in and on balance I am far more confident that we will see a Tottenham win or draw than a Barcelona win.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lyon are a good thing here at great odds and a definite back to beat Shakhtar Donetsk today.

Shakhtar are doing remarkable well domestically, they are top of the Ukrainian league having won nine of their ten league games so far this season, however, they lost away to their biggest rivals Dynamo Kyiv and drew away at Hoffenheim in the Champions League. What this shows me is that the minute they face quality opposition they lose or draw and it is very debatable if Hoffenheim and Dynamo Kyiv are considered real quality.

Lyon showed what real quality is when they beat Man City in this competition last time out, that is a real achievement, very few teams ever go to City and win. Lyon have been a bit sketchy in Ligue 1 in France but the French league is a far stronger league than the Ukrainian league and they enter this game on the back of a four-match unbeaten run. Lyon have won nine of their last 11 league home games in Ligue 1 and the only reservation I have with them is that they have an appalling home record in the Champions League but they have a fantastic opportunity here to build on their win over Man City and I am certain they will not squander it.

All things considered, I am going for Lyon on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A lot has been made of the turmoil at United but I expect to see a very different United team tonight than what we saw against West Ham at the weekend.

This is the second time this season that there has been media hysteria over United, when Tottenham thrashed them 3-0 at Old Trafford everyone thought that manager Jose Mourinho days were numbered and that he had lost the team and so on, well, they then went on a three-game winning run, all away, including a 3-0 win at Young Boys in the Champions League. It really is a case of deja vu and just like last time United were supposedly in crisis, I expect them to come through it and they surely will with a nice win over Valencia tonight.

Valencia is hardly in great shape themselves, they registered their first league win of the season last weekend and sit 14th in La Liga after 7 games, they lost their opening Champions League match 2-0 to Juventus, on the face of that is not a disaster because it is Juventus but then you have take into consideration that Juventus were down to 10 men after Ronaldo got sent off and Valencia were the home team.

Basically, Valencia is having a worse season than United, they have just one win all season long domestically and in Europe and man for man are an inferior team to United.

United have home advantage, they have a world class manager and world-class players and while there is turmoil there, that cannot be ignored, they will be motivated for this game, it is Champions League after all and I cannot see anything other than a United win and probably by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing Sporting Kansas City to comfortably beat Real Salt Lake this evening.

Kansas has a very good home record, all things considered, they have won their last three home games without conceding a single goal in the MLS, they have lost just once in their last 13 home games and won seven of their last ten, by anyone's standards that is decent.

Compare that to the away record of Real Salt Lake who have registered just three wins in their last 19 away games and the last time they played Kansas at Kansas they lost 3-0.

I cannot see anything other than a home win here and the only question for me was how many goals would Kansas win by and I am of the opinion that they will win by at least two goals.

Take Sporting Kansas City -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When you first look at the names AC Milan and Sassuolo it is easy to draw the conclusion that Milan is a given, but that is not the case these days.

Sassuolo are third while AC Milan is 13th in the standings and the season may be just a few games old (6 games for Sassuolo, 5 for AC Milan) but it does give a clear indication of recent form for both teams.

Sassuolo has won all their home games this season including a 1-0 win over Inter Milan and they have lost just the once and that was against leaders Juventus.

AC Milan has drawn two and lost one of their three away games and overall have just the one win in five Serie A games so far this season.

So, it is clear that Sassuolo is the form team and with home advantage and the spread in their favour they are a must pick for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game for me hangs on Parma having home advantage and the appallingly bad away record of Empoli.

Empoli has won just three away games from their last 30, that is very poor, they have lost four of their last five with just one draw and so far this season have lost two and drawn one on the road, they are 4th bottom and will be facing a fight against relegation.

Parma are not exactly world beaters, far from it but they are steady at home, so far this season they have one win, one draw and one loss at home but that loss was a narrow 2-1 defeat at the hands of Juventus and they did beat Inter Milan on the road.

This is a great opportunity for Parma to grab all three points at the hands of a very poor away side.

I am backing them on the spreads so only an outright loss will see a loss of stakes, whereas a draw will see stakes returned.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Third-bottom Eintracht Frankfurt faces off against bottom side Hannover with both teams desperate for the win to kick-start their season.

Frankfurt has a clear edge over their opponents, they have beaten them the last five times they have met including 1-0 in this fixture last season.

Hannover has not won away in their last 15 Bundesliga road games, they have lost their last two away games and overall are very poor on the road.

Frankfurt have not done great at home so far this season but they have had to face Leipzig and Werder Bremen, two very difficult teams and managed just the one draw, however, their overall home record is quite solid, before this recent run of just one win in five at home they went ten games unbeaten at home registering seven wins, put it this way, their home record is far superior to Hannover's away record over the last 15 games in the Bundesliga.

Frankfurt on the spreads for me. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chievo are winless this season and are actually on minus points due to punishment from Serie A, they have lost four and drawn two games and only one of those draws were at home, they have failed to score in their last two home games and three of their last four games overall, though they did have an impressive 2-2 draw with Roma away.

Torino have drawn all three of their away games this season including draws at both Inter Milan and Atalanta, two teams far superior to Chievo. They have lost twice this season, to Napoli and Roma but they have had a very tough early season schedule and today's opponents are the easiest they have had to face to date.

Chievo are a poor side and will struggle against Relegation this season, Torino are a better side and will climb up the table and a win is well within their grasp today.

Take Torino on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have lost faith in Atalanta, they have cost me recently and are not the team they were last season, that is very evident from their performances so far this season.

Fiorentina has a mixed record but not at home, at home they are solid, they have won all three home games so far this season with a total of ten goals scored and just the one conceded, they carry on like that and their stadium will become a fortress.

Atalanta have the capability to be a top team but they just are not showing it consistently enough, they have not won in five away games now and even lost to SPAL 2-0, this is not a team to back on the road with any confidence.

Take Fiorentina to win on the spreads.

Stake - 12pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game this in Germany between two fairly matched teams but with home advantage, I am taking Bayer Leverkusen to win and at worse, not to lose this game.

Dortmund will go top today with a win and so the incentive is right there, they won 7-0 last time out in the Bundesliga and are in fine form but their away form in the league is not good, they have drawn both their away games this season and are now winless in their last 7 road games in the league stretching back to last season.

Bayer Leverkusen had a bad start this season but have bounced back into form nicely over the last couple of weeks, they are as much title contenders as what Dortmund are and enter this game with as much confidence as what their opponents do.

Considering Dortmund's poor away form and Bayer Leverkusen's recent form I am going with the home side on the spreads today.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game this between first and third in the Premier League.

You can ignore the midweek cup result between these two teams, it will have no bearing on this game other than a possible phycological effect but even that will be minimal.

Home advantage is significant for me here because there is little to choose between these two, Liverpool have won every single league game and are in magnificent form but Chelsea are also unbeaten and have won five of their six league games and drawn the other, again, very little between the pair.

If Liverpool are to be found out it will be on the road and most likely against one of the top six side in the Premier League and Chelsea certainly fit the bill, they have quality players and in Eden Hazard a world class player, they can match Liverpool man to man.

This will be a tight game for sure and because both sides are so evenly matched it is the smallest of advantages that will make a difference and that is with Chelsea as the home side.

Take Chelsea on the spreads.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tottenham got back to winning ways last weekend and it was on the road against Brighton, a team that is very hard to beat on their home ground.

Huddersfield are winless this season and sit bottom of the table with just two points from a possible 18, they are in a slump right now and it is hard to see that changing against a very good Tottenham side.

Tottenham have been unlucky in front of the goal but even so, with the talent they have, they should beat Huddersfield today and probably by at least a couple of goals.

Take Tottenham -1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with Werder Bremen to grab the win against a poor Stuttgart side.

Stuttgart are second bottom in the Bundesliga and have yet to register a win in five league games this season, their confidence is at rock bottom and it will be a dramatic shift in form if they were to win this one.

By contrast, Werder are in great shape, they have won both their road games this season and are unbeaten with three wins and two draws to their name so far.

I know that Stuttgart have home advantage but the respective home and away form of these teams shows that Werder have been performing much better and I am confident that will continue today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Leipzig are a good side who have had a stuttering start to this campaign but they have the potential to improve significantly and a win today in front of their home fans will certainly boost their faltering season.

Stuttgart are also a decent side, they only finished 2 points behind Leipzig last season and like Leipzig are having a mixed start to this season but apart from a burst at end of last season they are generally a poor away side, they have picked up just the single point from their opening two away games this season and I do not see any signs that their away form is set to get better any time soon.

Leipzig are unbeaten so far this season, whereas Stuttgart are winless and with home advantage, I am backing Leipzig to collect all three points today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Big game for both sides and I am going with Lyon to scrape the win.

Lyon will be full of themselves after beating Man City in the Champions League in midweek, that was a tremendous performance and will set them up perfectly for this game.

Lyon, generally speaking, is a very good home side, they did lose to Nice at home last time out but previously to that they had won 8 in a row over this season and last season and had beaten both Marseille and PSG at home last season.

Marseille will not be walkovers and this will be a very tight game but with home advantage and confidence at a very high level, it is Lyon for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing AC Milan to get the win today against Atalanta.

Both teams have had a stuttering start to the season but overall AC Milan are a much better home side than Atalanta are away, Milan beat Roma last time out on their own ground and overall there are signs that Milan is starting to return to a competitive state.

Atalanta is a decent team but they are vulnerable away from home and I see them struggling to get anything from this game against a team that is looking better than it has in a while.

Take Milan -0.25

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This looks like it could be a very exciting game and while the advantage is clearly with Arsenal I am of the opinion that it is a stretch to have them win by two goals.

Arsenal seems incapable of keeping a clean sheet and while that is the case they will struggle to win comfortably and will always be vulnerable to dropping points, they conceded 2 goals to a poor team in the Europa League (Vorskla) midweek and while they did win that game it is still a huge worry.

Everton was woeful against West Ham last week and I expect to see an improvement, I simply do not see them playing that bad again and at the very worse I see them losing by a maximum of 1 goal and a draw would not surprise me.

All things considered, I am backing Everton +1.25

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Roma win today.

They are the better team and even though Bologna has the home advantage I am of the opinion that will not be enough for them today.

Bologna have lost their last four home Serie A games this season and at end of last season and Roma have lost just once on the road since last December and that was against AC Milan last week.

Roma win for me all day long

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A bitter clash between two teams that despise each other and an intriguing game awaits us.

Chelsea has the form and the players to win this easily but that is not what happens in these sort of games.

Local derbies tend to throw form out of the window and when you consider that West Ham played very well away against Everton last week and have home advantage then it would be unwise to dismiss them out of hand.

This will be a passionate affair and anything can happen and the bottom line for me was, will Chelsea win by two goals and my answer is no, at best they will win by a single goal and there is a strong chance that this could end in a draw.

The safest pick is West Ham +1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huddersfield are a poor team in my opinion, they will be in the relegation dogfight come the end of the season and a defeat today at Leicester City will confirm my worst suspicions about them.

Leicester have been somewhat inconsistent this season but in front of their own fans, I fully expect them to pick up all three points.

Home win for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Sampdoria will enter this game in a very positive mood, they thrashed Napoli 3-0 last time out and will use that win to kick-start their season and nothing less than a win against lowly Frosinone will be acceptable. The idea that they can beat Napoli and then lose to Frosinone will be unthinkable to them and rightfully so, this is a massive opportunity for them to make a statement and they will not want to waste it.

Frosinone do have home advantage and will not be walkovers but they are a poor side really, they will battle against relegation this season, they are a promoted side that only managed to gain that promotion via the playoffs and a very long tough season awaits them.

All things being equal Sampdoria really should leave this game with all three points and I am convinced that will be the case.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Valencia have had a poor start to the season collecting just 2 points from a possible 9, that is not what they expected and know they must do better, they had hopes of competing for a champions league spot this season and they have done themselves no favours with the start they have endured.

Real Betis enter this game on a high following their 1-0 home win over local rivals Sevilla but they are a limited side, they know that the best they can hope for this season is a mid-table finish and despite the win over Sevilla will be found wanting more often than not.

Valencia are at home, they are better than their recent results and the international break will have given them a chance to take stock and get their act together, they know that they should be beating Real Betis and will enter this game in a very determined mood. Real Betis will start confidently but as the game progresses I expect them to fall back defensively and that Valencia will be dominant for the vast majority of the game.

Take Valencia to win by a couple of goals.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Under normal circumstances, I would go for a Man Utd win but these are not normal circumstances.

United have lost 2 of their opening 4 games this season, away to Brighton and at home to Tottenham conceding 3 goals in each of those losses, they did bounce back with a 2-0 away win against Burnley but huge question marks remain over manager Jose Mourinho and his players and Watford will provide sterner opposition than Burnley.

Watford have won all 4 of their games this season and last time out came from behind to beat Tottenham, their fans are manic and are really the 12th man.

Watford have all the confidence in the world right now, they feel they can beat anybody and will not be awed by United at all, if anything it will be United that is wary of playing Watford.

But, Man Utd are a top class team and Watford will have their hands full but with home advantage and confidence at a max, I am more confident that this game will result in either a Watford win or a draw.

Take Watford +0.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have been a little disappointed in Napoli this season, they made hard work beating AC Milan and were humbled 3-0 away at Sampdoria last time out, they are much better than their laboured performances have shown this season and it is just a matter of time before they click, get into their rhythm and show us all what they truly can do and with home advantage today and a shock to their system following that loss to Sampdoria I fully expect to see a determined and rejuvenated Napoli today.

Fiorentina have had a 100% start to the season registering 2 wins from 2 games but they are fairly limited and have yet to play top opposition, both their games so far have been at home and it was no surprise that they beat Chievo and Udinese, Napoli are a completely different proposition and I see them struggling to get anything at all from this game.

Napoli are more than capable of winning this game by a couple of goals and that is exactly what I see them doing.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

On paper you would have to back Arsenal, they have won their last two games while Newcastle have picked up just a single point in their opening four games but not everything is as clear as it looks on paper.

Arsenal's defence is very suspect, they were very fortunate against Cardiff City last time out and conceded twice against a team that had yet to score this season, they also made very hard work beating a very poor West Ham and did lose their opening two games, albeit that was against Man City and Chelsea. Point is that Arsenal is very vulnerable in defence and will concede in this game.

Newcastle may have lost 3 of their last 4 games but they were against elite opposition in Tottenham, Man City and Chelsea and in each of those games they scored and lost by a single goal, they were competitive to the end, though against Man City they were thoroughly outplayed.

This Arsenal side is not as good as the teams that have beaten Newcastle this season and with home advantage, Newcastle will feel they can get at least a point from this game and I am of that opinion as well.

Arsenal does not dominate teams anymore and because of that their defence is put under pressure and that hands teams like Newcastle the opportunity to take advantage.

A draw is a very real possibility and I am far more confident that this game will be either a home win or a draw than I am in an away win for Arsenal and that is why I am backing Newcastle +0.5.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both sides have had a stuttering start to their Bundesliga campaign but it is still early and both teams will soon settle into their rhythm.

Hannover are a poor away side, they have won just 3 road games in their last 25 away matches in the Bundesliga and you have to go all the way back to October last year for their last away win.

Leipzig finished 6th last season despite selling some of their better players, they have a half decent home record and beat Hannover 2-1 in this fixture last season and simply put, are the better team.

If Leipzig plays to their abilities they will win, they have home advantage and will see this game as the exact sort of game that can kick-start their season.

Take Leipzig to win

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

These are two of the most exciting teams in the Premier League and both are considered genuine title challengers and a win for either side will be a massive boost even this early in the season.

Tottenham came unstuck in their last Premier League game against Watford, they really should have won but ended up losing 2-1 and will be looking to bounce back from that away defeat.

Liverpool remains unbeaten and have yet to drop any points and are sitting pretty at the top of the table but the truth is that they have not yet played any of the top teams and are yet to be tested.

Tottenham will provide that test and with home advantage I cannot see them losing, I do think they will probably win this game, they have home advantage and would have been shaken by the shock loss at Watford, they showed their true capabilities with the way they dismantled Man Utd 3-0 at Old Trafford and if they reproduce that form, which I believe they will, then I cannot see Liverpool winning.

A draw or win will see a profit backing Tottenham on the spreads and the only way this pick can lose is if Liverpool wins, something I am not confident in despite the Reds impressive start to the season.

Stake - 1pt