Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

I have the Falcons winning this one, it will be a close game but the edge for me rests with Atlanta, the recent wins for the Ravens were against poor opposition and all does not seem harmonious in the Ravens camp.

Falcons -2.5

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

I have the Bears strong favorites today, they are on a five-game winning run and the Giants will be very down after the loss to the Eagles, that will have had an impact on confidence.

Bears -4

Stakes 2pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

It is Denver all day long for me, the Bengals have been poor in recent games and their season is in freefall right now, the Broncos are getting better and this game is a case of two teams going in opposite directions.

Broncos -4

Stakes 1pt

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, be assured that this pick has been fully analysed and comes with maximum confidence.

I cannot see anything other than a Panthers win, they are a frustrating team and inconsistent but the Bucs seem only to be able to beat the poor sides at this time and I cannot see them living with the Panthers today

Panthers -3

Stakes 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Saints to record their 11th straight win and also cover the spread at Dallas today.

I feel there is more chance of the Saints halting the likes of Ezekiel Elliott than there is of the Cowboys stopping Drew Brees.

The Saints has the top-ranked rush defence, whereas the Cowboys will be under immense strain against the free throwing Brees and that is where the difference is for me.

The Saints offense will be more effective against the Cowboys defence than what the Cowboys offense will be against the Saints defence.

Take the Saints -7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Colts are on a four-game winning streak and I fully expect them to make that five wins in a row today in front of their own fans.

They have faced fairly average opponents but they can do no more than beat what is in front of them and they have done it in style, they are scoring regularly, confidence is high, they have momentum and massive incentive to continue winning.

The Dolphins are very hit and miss, they have won just twice in their last seven games and their defence has generally been leaking like a sieve.

The spread is fairly high but with the way the Colts are scoring and the Dolphins concede when they are losing then I am confident the Cots will cover the spread.

Take the Colts -8.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Eagles took an absolute mauling at the hands of the Saints and you can be absolutely certain they will want to put that right and the Giants are the perfect opponents for that.

The Eagles will be up for this game, as will the Giants but the loss against the Saints and the manner of it needs to be put into the history basket and a win over the Giants will do just that.

The Giants do come into this game on the back of a two-game winning run but that just masks their vulnerabilities and the Eagles still retain enough to beat them and beat them by at least 5 points.

Take the Eagles -4.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams in a bad situation for sure, both have won just one game in their last eight but the Bucs just come across as the more dangerous team between these two, their offense is certainly stronger and that will be the difference for me today.

The Bucs defence is poor but they are not facing prolific scorers today and the 49ers defence is hardly watertight and they are facing a stronger offense.

Weighing up the differences between these two comes down to which defence will do better and which offense will do better and in both cases, I come down on the side of the Bucs and on top of all that they have home advantage.

Bucs -2 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When you look at the respective situations for these two teams you could be forgiven for thinking that there is not much between them and on the face of it there is not, they are both 3-7 after all, however, that for me is misleading.

The Jags, in my opinion, are the better team, significantly better, this Bills side is very poor and how they have managed three wins this season I do not know, by the same token I am surprised that the Jags have managed just three wins.

I know that the Bills have home advantage but that has hardly served them well this season and I am confident that the Jags will be good enough today to get the win and cover the spread. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have the Bengals winning this by at least 7 points and so to get them +1 is like an early Christmas gift.

I know the Bengals have stuttered recently and that the Browns won last time out over the Falcons but I still have the Bengals as the far better team.

The Bengals know that if they are to have any chance of making the playoffs they simply cannot lose this game and while the Browns continue to be competitive they do not have the same incentive and remain a poor side overall.

If the Bengals play to their level today they will win and that is exactly what I expect them to do in front of their home fans.

Take the Bengals +1

Stake - 3pts

Due to time constraints, there is no written analysis today, however, this pick has been fully analysed and researched and carries maximum confidence.

I am taking the Redskins to be within 7 points of the Cowboys today.

The Redskins have stuttered slightly recently and the Cowboys are starting to find some rhythm but I just do not see Dallas being 7 points better than Washington.

Take Redskins +7

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A big part of this game is about the respective QB situation for both teams and will help define how this game turns out.

The difference for me is that San Francisco was forced into changing their QB and it worked out for them against the Raiders, New York continues to refuse to remove Eli Manning and they keep on losing, it is as simple as that.

Manning is having a shocking season, he seems unable to consistently connect with his offense and there is no reason why today will be any difference.

Nick Mullens plays his second game for the 49ers tonight following his tremendous start against the Raiders and there is every reason to believe that he will be in high confidence and raring to go and there is every chance, certainly more than there is with Manning right now, that he will produce another stellar performance.

San Francisco has home advantage and they look the more positive side now that they have changed the QB and that for me that gives them a significant advantage over New York.

Take San Francisco -3 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am taking the Packers to bounce back from their defeat to New England and record a handsome win over the Dolphins.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Rams are deserved favourites and will probably win but I feel a 10 point spread over the improving Seahawks.

There were just two points between these two earlier in the season and since then I believe the Seahawks have got stronger the Rams vulnerabilities exposed somewhat.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Saints are on a roll and should have enough in the tank to beat the Bengals and cover the spread.

Over the last five games New Orleans beat the Rams by 10, the Vikings by 10, the Redskins by 24 and the Giants by 15, only the Ravens managed to stay with them getting to within 1 point.

The Bengals have had mixed results and have been competitive but I cannot see their defence containing this New Orleans offense and a heavy defeat looks likely.

Take the Saints -6 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this one is far too low and the Falcons really should beat the Browns by double digits.

The Falcons have found their form, they are now on a three-game winning streak, they thrashed the Redskins last time out and the momentum they are developing will take some stopping.

The Browns are slowly going backwards, they are now on a four-game losing streak, they lost three of those games by 16. 15 and 24 points and I see no signs that they will be able to reverse their current form.

Take the Falcons -5.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread on this one for the Patriots is too low in my opinion.

New England are in their rhythm now, they have won six on the bounce, they have won five of those games by 16, 19, 7, 14 and 25 points, only the Chiefs have stayed close and the Titans are no Chiefs.

The Titans beat a poor Dallas to snap a three-game losing streak which included a loss to the Bills and that defeat of the Cowboys is just a temporary mask of their frailties.

As long as the Patriots maintain their high standards they will win this game and by at least 7 points.

Patriots -7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

If there is a game that Ryan Fitzpatrick can find his mojo again it is against the Bucs.

Tampa Bay are terrible in defence, they have conceded 34 points on average per game this season and their offense is not helping and even though the Redskins are struggling with their own offense at this time they really should be able to get some joy facing this Bucs defence.

For me, this game will come down to which offense has the better game and which offense can penetrate their opponent's defence the better and on both of those it is the Redskins for me.

Take the Redskins +3.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is almost impossible to make a case for the Bills, this is a team that has scored a high of 13 points in their last six games, they have an average of just 13.7 points a game and there is no reason to believe that will dramatically change on the road against the Jets.

The Jets are in a rut right now, they have lost three on the bounce and have hardly been competitive but they have a great opportunity to snap their current losing streak against one of the poorest teams in football right now.

With home advantage and simply being the better team, I am confident the Jets will win this one and beat the awful Bills by double digits.

It should also be noted that the Jets are without Darmold for this one and after last week that may well be a bonus.

Jets -7.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect the Cowboys to go all out this evening and to beat the Titans and cover the spread.

For starters, the Cowboys win at home, they have a perfect 3-0 record to date and the Titans are poor on the road as their 1-3 record shows and with these two teams being fairly evenly matched then having home advantage against a team weak on the road is a significant advantage.

The Titans are also in a bit of a rut right now, they have lost three straight and this season have found scoring a big issue, their stats are quite poor averaging just 15 points a game, whereas the Cowboys have averaged 20 points per game.

Then there is defence, the Titans have conceded an average of 18 points per game whereas the Cowboys have conceded 17.5 on average per game, so both in offense and defence the Cowboys have the better record and if you look over the last three games the difference is even starker.

The Titans are in a bad spot right now, they are struggling in offense and are on the road where they are poor, the Cowboys are in much better shape, they are much stronger on offense and have a huge advantage playing at home and therefore I am going with the Cowboys -4.5. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

A lot is being made of the matchup between Brady and Rodgers in this one but what is being ignored is the simple fact that the Patriots are the better team and by quite a bit.

No doubt Rodgers and Brady will do their bit to justify the hype of this game but the truth is that Green Bay is far more of a one-man team than what the Patriots are, just look at the results over the season for confirmation of that fact.

I know that Green Bay ran the Rams very close last week and it was an excellent performance but they are not playing like that week in week out and the reason for that is they cannot maintain that sort of performance on a regular basis, the Patriots can and do.

With home advantage, which is significant and the better all round team, I am going with the Patriots to win this one by double digits and easily cover the spread of -5 and ask yourself this, if this game had not been hyped up about the matchup between Rodgers and Brady would the Patriots really be available at -5?

Easy decision, Patriots -5

Stake - 4pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Huge game and one I cannot wait to watch and I am backing the Saints to inflict the first defeat on the Rams this season.

Both teams are red hot right now but in recent games, the Rams have looked vulnerable and have not been registering wins as convincingly as they had in recent weeks, they have had narrow wins over Green Bay, Denver and Seattle and have a fair share of luck, their defence is starting to look suspect and I do not see them going unbeaten all season long, but it will take a special team to beat them and the Saints certainly fit that criteria.

New Orleans look formidable right now and the manner of their wins has been more convincing than that of the Rams recently, they have home advantage and will not be overawed at facing the Rams, they enter this game full of confidence and will relish this game today.

With a 2 points start it has to be the Saints on the spread.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I just cannot see anything other than a comprehensive Chicago win today.

The Bills know how to give up points and against this Bears defence, I cannot see them getting too many points themselves.

The Bills will be playing Nathan Peterman as the quarterback today and let's be honest, he loves to throw interceptions and with the Bears defence ripping their way towards him non stop I just do not have any confidence in him doing anything today.

Bears -10

Stake - 12pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Redskins giving up just 2 points is a gift in my book.

I have Washington 7 point favourites for this one and I fully expect them to make this their fourth winning game in a row.

I know that the Falcons have registered back to back wins themselves but both were hard-fought wins against teams in decline and they conceded 20 and 29 points respectively in those games and overall their defence is just not up to it this season.

I see the Redskins offense getting a lot of joy out of the Falcons defence today and a clear win for Washington is the only logical outcome I can see happening.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing the Vikings to get back to winning ways against the visiting Lions.

Minnesota was disappointing against New Orleans last week and they know that, they will be looking to bounce back today and I am confident they will do so.

The Lions also lost last week and having watched both games the manner of the Detroit loss was worrying, they lacked spark and vision, they looked like a team that knew they were beaten and that was against the mediocre Seahawks.

The Vikings can be frustrating but if they get the basics right today they will beat a Lions team that is starting to look very average to me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I was tempted to back the Steelers outright in this one but am happy to take a cautious approach and back them +2.

The difference for me in this game is that I cannot see the Ravens offense being nearly as effective against the Steelers defence as I can see the Steelers offense being against the Ravens defence.

Baltimore has just too many issues in offense and their defence is struggling to protect Flacco who is not at his best anyway.

All things considered, it is a Steelers win for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Chiefs all day long for me and by double digits.

Kansas a very good team and in great shape, not something that one can say about the Browns who clearly have issues off the field.

The Chiefs score for fun and QB Mahomes has knocked in four TD's per game for the last three games and against this poor Browns defence, the chances are he will extend that to four games.

The Chiefs defence is suspect but they are not up against an offense in form today and should be able to keep the points down.

Kansas -7.5 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Patriots to get a comprehensive win and cover the spread.

The spread is a bit high but then we are talking about two teams at the end of the spectrum, the Patriots are a very good team and genuine Superbowl contenders, the Bills are useless and very susceptible to a severe beating, something that has occurred more than once this season.

All things considered and based on form and stats this will be an easy win for the Patriots by at least two TD's, probably more.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I expect the Rams to win this one, they are the best team in football right now but I also expect the Packers to keep it fairly close.

The Rams were not so dominant in two of their last three wins beating Denver by just three points and the Seahawks by only two points, now, those games were on the road but it does show that the Rams cannot expect to blow teams out of the water week in week out.

If there is a quarterback that can cause the Rams problems it is Rodgers, he will know were the Rams are vulnerable, in the secondary as an example and will try and take advantage.

The Rams will most likely win but I am backing the Packers to keep it within seven points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two teams that have had terrible seasons but of these two by far the worst is Oakland, it has just been awful for them and to make matters worse they will enter this game with their offense decimated even more with the loss of Marshawn Lynch (injured) and Amari Cooper (traded).

The thing about the Colts is that even when they lose they still score big, the same cannot be said about the Raiders who appear like a team content with their season and are happy to just use this season to build draft picks.

It is a Colts win for me today and probably by double digits and so -3 is easy for me to take.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread is quite big in this one but if there is a team that can beat the Broncos by double digits Kansas City is certainly one.

Kansas have home advantage and their home wins this season have been by 35,16 and 11 points, when they are at home they win and win well.

Denver did win comprehensively against the Falcons last week by 35 points but the Falcons were very poor in that game and prior to that game the Broncos had lost four straight and their previous two road games were losses by 18 and 13 points.

Kansas for me and by double digits.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bengals slipped up in their last two games and will be looking to bounce back quickly with a win in front of their home fans, those losses were against top quality opposition for sure but they were still disappointing results and nothing less than a win will do today.

The Bucs ended a three-game losing streak with an overtime win over the Browns and that tells you their level, they did start the season well but since their opening two games, it has more or less been backwards all the way and the win over the Browns just masks their deficiencies.

With home advantage and simply the better team I am going with the Bengals to bounce back and beat the Bucs and cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I cannot see anything other than a Redskins win today in New York.

The Giants are poor this season, they are 1-6 for a reason, they are just not that good, Manning is having an awful season and cannot be relied upon, they have lost all their home games this season and I cannot see that being any different today.

The Redskins are on a two-game winning streak, they are 4-2 and have definite playoff hopes and this is the exact sort of game they will have to win if they are to maintain those playoff hopes, put it this way, if they cannot beat this New York Giants side then they probably do not deserve to make the playoffs.

Take the Redskins -1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I fully expect the Steelers to win this one by double digits.

The Browns have been very unlucky this season but that has been said too often, the bottom line is they just do not have what it takes to see games out and they are facing a very different Steelers than they did in week one.

The Steelers are going for a third win in a row and cement their position at the top of the AFC North, they appear to have ironed out a lot of their issues and while they have not necessarily beaten top opposition recently they are playing a team in the same category as teams they have beaten and beaten well.

With home advantage and momentum I am confident that the Steelers will win this one by double digits.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Lions all day long for me in this one.

The Lions have won three of their last four including two at home against New England and Green Bay and their offense is finally starting to click.

The Seahawks are also on a bit of a roll, they have won three of their last four games but their opposition has not been the same quality that the Lions have faced and their road record is not as good as it actually appears, beating the Falcons is not the hardest task and their other winning road game was in London, not really a road game is it? The other two road games they lost.

All things considered, I am taking the Lions with home advantage and a vastly improved offense to overcome the Seahawks and cover the spread.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am backing the Eagles to win this game in London and cover the spread.

The Eagles threw away victory last week against the Panthers losing a 17 point lead going into the fourth quarter, they will be determined to put that right.

The Jaguars are on an awful run right now with three consecutive losses and bad losses at that, their confidence appears shot and their quarterback Blake Bortles is really in a rut, the signs do not look good for them to turn this around at this moment in time.

Putting the fourth quarter last week to one side Cason Wentz is getting better each week and I do not see what happened last week affecting him for this game but being benched will have affected Bortles and with the Jags offense already struggling I am not sure he is the man to rally them.

The Jags have won three in a row in London but I do not read too much into that and am happy to take the Eagles -3.5.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I really struggle to make any sort of case for the Giants and will be backing the Falcons to get the win and cover the spread.

The Giants are 1-5 for a reason, they are not that good, four of those losses have been by 5 points or more and confidence in Eli Manning is at a low and that is not just from the fans but also his teammates.

New York was hammered against the Eagles and the truth is that result was not a huge surprise, they seem unable to defend at the moment having conceded over 30 points in their last three games.

The Falcons have their own issues for sure, they have injuries, they have also been conceding points at will, however, their offense has at least put up some effort scoring over 30 points in four of their last five games.

The Falcons offense will relish playing this Giants defence and if they can tighten up defensively they will win this one comfortably.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Dallas absolutely mauled Jacksonville last week and will be looking to register two wins on the bounce for the first time this season and I am confident they will do just that.

The Cowboys have been inconsistent, they win, they lose, they win, they lose, that has to stop and on the back of such a comprehensive win last week they must be confident they can beat that win lose cycle.

The Redskins are exactly the same, winning then losing and they had a decent win over Carolina last week but that win was not nearly as impressive as the Dallas win and I see them struggling to contain the resurgent Dallas offense tonight.

Dallas -1 for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I just cannot see the 49ers being able to stop the Rams offense and expect them to lose by at least 10 tonight.

The Rams are formidable, they are the best team in the NFL right now and they are going up against a team that does not possess nearly a good enough defence.

The 49ers are on a four-game losing run and in each of those games they have allowed 28 points or more and none of those games was against an offense like what the Rams will field tonight, the Chiefs apart, and in that game, they conceded 38 points and lost by 11.

One way traffic for me and a comfortable Rams win.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have the Saints winning this one outright and so getting +3 on the spreads is too good an opportunity to pass on.

This is a clash between the Saints offense and the Ravens defence more than anything else and while the Ravens defence is as good as it gets at the moment I am confident that the Saints will get some joy this evening.

Drew Brees is playing extremely well, the whole Saints outfit is full of confidence and they are deservedly one of the Superbowl contenders.

The Ravens will be competitive of course, they have home advantage and are looking towards a playoff spot themselves but they are over-reliant on their defence and that will not be enough if their offense does not produce.

The Saints for me on the spreads.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Despite getting a couple of wins the Bills are a poor side and their offense, in particular, is awful and while the Colts are 1-5 and actually have a worse record than the Bills they are the better side and I expect that to show Sunday.

The Colts have been a little unlucky and are better than their record suggests and even though they are struggling to get a win their offense is superior to that of the Bills.

This game is all about the respective offenses for me and I just cannot see the Bills being competitive.

Take the Colts -7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Two inconsistent teams that on their day can match almost any other team and by the same token can also lose to any team, to say they both are frustrating is an understatement.

The difference in this game for me is that the Panthers are not a good road team this season losing to both Washington and Atlanta and I see a repeat of that today.

The Eagles have been slightly unlucky this season and with Wentz getting better and better I expect them to win this one by at least 6 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars were so poor last week it left me speechless and I have lost all confidence in them at this moment in time.

Houston, on the other hand, is on fire right now, they are going for their fourth straight win in a row and even though the Jaguars have the home advantage I am taking the Texans to win this one outright and so receiving 4 points on the spreads in simply a gift.

Take Houston +4

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Patriots have lost both their road games this season and not just lost them, been thoroughly outplayed, however, they are starting to get into their rhythm now and the idea that they will lose every road game is simply folly, they will not and even though the Bears have been having a good season themselves they will have to be at their very best if they are to stop the Patriots today.

I expect to see a vastly improved road performance from the Patriots and following their massive confidence-boosting win over the Chiefs I see them winning this one by at least 5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Browns are massively improved this season, they could easily be 5-1 and the loss last week against the Chargers is no disgrace considering the form that the Chargers are in.

The Bucs have gone backwards, they are now on a three-game losing streak after opening the season with two brilliant wins and confidence seems to be an issue.

I expect a close game and with the Browns receiving +3.5 they are the value pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is the early game of the day from London and I am going with the Chargers to register a comprehensive win over the stuttering Titans.

The Titans have gone bad over the last few weeks, they lost to the Bills, which they really should not have done and were then blown out by the Ravens, their quarterback Marcus Mariota cannot buy a TD having managed just two this season and as a whole the Titans have not scored an offensive touchdown in their last two games.

The Chargers, on the other hand, are flying, especially their quarterback Philips Rivers, they have won three on the bounce and they are improving each game they played and that started with their loss against the Rams and every game since then they have just got better and that is directly related to their confidence, which is also growing each game.

I just cannot see anything other than a Chargers win, they have the confidence, they have the momentum and they are in much better form.

Chargers -6.5 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Great game in prospect here and it could be a pivotal game for both teams.

A win for the Chiefs and their belief will go through the roof, a win for the Patriots and it will send a message to the rest of the teams that stories of their demise have been greatly exaggerated.

I expect this to be a tight game and both teams have positives, the Chiefs are unbeaten and the Patriots have shown that despite some uncharacteristic defeats that on their day they can still sweep teams away.

For me, I see these two teams like ships passing in the night, the Chiefs are going forward while the Patriots are starting to go backwards and that is how I see this game panning out tonight.

I am backing the Chiefs on the spreads, they are in the ascendency and I am confident they will prove to be too strong for Brady and the Patriots tonight.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars have blown a little hot and cold this season but when they are in the mood they are a match for most teams, they are certainly more effective overall than the Cowboys.

The Cowboys have only broken 20 points twice this season with a season-high of 26 points, they are struggling in offense and the Jaguars defence will relish taking on the Cowboys today.

I just do not see the Cowboys offense getting too much joy from the Jags defence but I do see the Jags offense getting the better of the Cowboys defence and that is where the difference will be tonight.

The Jaguars are my pick of the day.

Jaguars -3

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is tricky to predict games with the Bills this season, they either get a thrashing or they produce a fantastic defensive performance and get the win.

Today I am of the opinion that they will not be thrashed, they may not win but I certainly believe they will be within 10 points of the Texans.

The Texans have won both their games this season by close margins and of course they have lost as many times as the Bills.

There is no doubt that this Bills outfit is poor, they are lacking in offense and their quarterback Josh Allen has really struggled but when the Buffalo defence is on its game then they all of a sudden become competitive.

Houston will probably win but I am confident we will see an effective performance from the Bills today and this game will be a lot closer than most people think.

Bills +10.5

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Steelers are having a stuttering season to date whereas the Bengals are on fire and in front of their home fans and on target for a third win in a row I am going with the Bengals to get win number five.

The spreads are all over the place ranging from 0 to -2 on the Bengals, in better words this is one of those games where most people, including the sportsbooks, just do not know how this game will go, however, I am clear on how I see this game going, a Bengals win.

Pittsburgh did very well against Atlanta last week for sure, but that is how they have been so far this season, one week they win easily then another week they lose, they have not been consistent all season and that inconsistency is running right through the team.

The Bengals have been consistent, they have won four and lost one, they have shown grit and determination all season long and they are the exact sort of team to unsettle the Steelers and when the Steelers get their feathers ruffled the mistakes creep in.

This will probably be a tight game but I am confident that the Bengals will prove to be too strong for the Steelers.

Bengals -1

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I first analysed this game I had the Bears winning by 7 and so I am happy to take -4 on the spreads.

The Bears are going for a fourth win on the bounce, their defence is getting stronger as each game passes, it took them a couple of games to get their rhythm but once they got into their groove they have been impressive, they dispatched the Bucs last time out and with the weeks rest they have enjoyed I see them coming out all guns blazing tonight.

The Dolphins are going backwards in my opinion, they have lost their last two games after going 3-0, they crumbled in the fourth quarter against the Bengals last week and that sort of collapse is hard to bounce back from, especially against a team like the Bears who are in a fearsome mood and full of confidence.

A Bears win for me and to cover the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Panthers irritate me, they are so inconsistent, they can be great one week and terrible the next, however, they are on a two-game winning streak, the win over the Giants and the manner of that win will have significantly boosted their morale and confidence and I expect that to show today.

The Redskins were swept aside by the Saints on Monday and even though that was an emotional historic game they should have put in a better performance, it was if they knew before the game started that they were destined to lose that game and that makes me question their mentality.

They have had a couple of good wins for sure, however, their losses have not been close, when they get beat it is fairly comfortable for their opposition and out of these two teams, it is the Panthers that have far more character and purpose.

Panthers on the spreads for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This game is being played in London and even though the Raiders are nominally the home team it is really a neutral game played in a neutral stadium with no team having the home field advantage.

This game will come down to who plays better on the day plain and simple.

I was tempted to go with the Raiders but I just cannot, the Seahawks are playing better football and the Raiders are lucky to be just 1-4 at this stage, it should be 0-5 and they are, on form, one of the weakest teams in the NFL right now.

The Seahawks, on paper, are not much better but their performance against the Rams last week was impressive even in defeat and if they reproduce that form they will win this game in a canter.

Oakland just seem to have something missing in almost every area, they just keep coming up short and against a rejuvenated Seahawks, who it must be remembered was going for a third straight win on the bounce before narrowly losing to the Rams, they will be punished every time they come up short.

Seahawks to cover the spread. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The starting point for me in this game is that the Eagles almost always beat the Giants, simple as that.

The last eight games between these two since 2014 has seen 7 wins for the Eagles and a single win for the Giants, that is telling.

The games have tended to be close with the odd exception but even all the close games have seen the Eagles win by more than 1 point.

Now, obviously circumstance and context need to be taken into consideration, the Eagles have not been good this season, they are on a two-game losing run and as things stand they will struggle to make the playoffs nevermind defend their title.

That said, the Eagles are knocking on the door, they have had close losses this season and are not that far away from getting back on track.

The Giants, on the other hand, are not making the playoffs, that you can take to the bank, they are not that good a team, they were unlucky against the Panthers for sure, but that and the win over Houston are as good as it has got and there is no guarantee that it will get any better.

For me the Eagles are the better team, they have the psychological edge over the Giants and in my opinion are the better team and if they click tonight they will win and it should not take too much for them to get their groove back.

The Giants will be motivated for sure, it is the Eagles after all that they are facing but they are a limited team with a few exceptions and I just cannot see them getting anything from this game.

Eagles -1 for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I had been waiting for the Texans to finally burst into life and they did last week when they registered their first win of the season over the Colts, albeit in overtime but it showed an improvement from recent unfortunate losses.

The Cowboys themselves needed a last-second field goal to overcome the Lions and will be boosted by that win as much as the Texans will have been with their win.

The difference for me between these two teams is that I believe there is more to come from the Texans than the Cowboys, it will be a tightish game, probably low scoring but the Texans in their own stadium have more to show and I am positive they will do tonight.

I expect the Texans to win this game by at least five points and really get their season into gear.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This is going to be a very close affair, neither team is living up to their billing and it is difficult to pick an outright winner, but what I am confident is that win or lose, the Vikings will be within 3 points for the Eagles.

The Vikings have been very hot and cold this season, their loss to the Bills was inexplicable, they are much better than that, their defence was supposed to be solid but that has been far from the case but they did run the Rams close last week and that was far closer to their ability than some of their previous results this season.

Same to some extent with the Eagles, they are 2-2 on the season and have to improve, today against the Vikings is a huge test for them and will tell us a lot about how their season will progress.

All things considered, we have two inconsistent teams that have a lot to prove, I expect a cagey affair with very little between them and therefore I am taking the Vikings on the spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

This to me is a mismatch, I expect nothing less than a comprehensive win for the Rams and have them beating the Seahawks by at least 10 points.

The Rams are 4-0 this season, they are firing on all cylinders, they have scored a minimum of 33 points in each of their games and the nearest any team has got to them is 7 points the Vikings last week, previous to that their winning margins were 12,34,20

Seattle has not broken 24 points in any game this season, they may well be on a two-game winning run but neither Arizona or Dallas can be compared to the Rams.

The only advantage fo Seattle is that they have home advantage but that is minor in my opinion, they will not be able to contain the Rams offense and I cannot see their offense penetrating the Rams defence too often.

Rams -7.5 for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

My patience with the Raiders has run out, they may well have beaten the Browns last week but they were very very lucky getting a controversial call that kept them in the game, they should be 0-4 and after a while you have to take the position that they are simply not as good as you hoped they would be.

The Chargers are 2-2 so far this season, they lost to the free-scoring Rams and Chiefs but made amends with wins over the Bills and 49ers and that is how I see the Chargers, a team that can beat mediocrity but lose to the better sides and unfortunately for the Raiders they are firmly in the mediocrity category.

The Raiders are just too inconsistent for me, they clearly miss Khalil Mack and are paying the price for trading him, the offense simply does not compliment Carr and I see them being outscored in this game by at least 5 points.

Take the Chargers -4.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jets got their season off to a flyer amassing 48 points in their first game but since then they have lost three on the bounce with a combined total of just 41 points, they have lost their way significantly and quarterback Darnold does not appear to have what it takes yet to drag them out of this slump.

The Broncos have hardly been the most consistent team either and are on a two-game losing streak but their performances have been better even in defeat and out of the Jets and the Broncos I have far more confidence that it is the Broncos that can bounce back from consecutive defeats than what I have in the Jets.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Considering where they came from the Browns continue to impress but they remain a very average side and questions have to be asked about their ability to see a game out.

The Ravens have a brilliant record against the Browns and even though this is not the same Browns we have seen over the last few seasons they are not yet on the same level as the Ravens, not in my opinion anyway.

The Browns were unfortunate against the Raiders for sure but even in that game to concede 45 points is not good.

The Ravens have won their last two on the bounce, they showed great character against the Steelers and they will prove to be too strong against the Browns, especially their defence who I fear with ship a load of points against this Ravens offense.

Ravens to win and cover the spread comfortably. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Chiefs offense has been on fire but their defence is suspect and despite racking up a huge total over their last four games they have never quite run away with a game and as soon as they face a team who can contain their offense to some degree I can see them losing and one of the teams that can do that is the Jaguars.

The Jaguars have had a decent start themselves and apart from the forgettable loss to Tennesse they have been impressive, only the Patriots have got to 20 points against them this season and providing their defence does what I expect them to do today they will beat the Chiefs, of that I am certain.

If their defence does not stand tall then they will struggle I admit, but I am confident that they will contain the Chiefs today.

Take the Jaguars +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bills are woeful and apart from their stunning win over the Vikings they have been thoroughly thrashed and I simply have zero confidence in them reproducing their performance over the Vikings anytime soon, in fact, that win for the Bills had far more to do with how poor the Vikings were than how good the Bills were.

All the Titans games have been close but to assume that every game they play will be close would be folly, they will take a beating I am sure this season but they will also hand one out and the Bills are the perfect candidates for that beating.

I am happy with the spread, I am very confident that the Titans are good enough to overrun a very poor Bills outfit and win this one in comfort.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Miami finally got found out last week, they were thoroughly beaten by the Patriots and while that in itself is not a huge surprise, the manner of the loss in front of their home fans was and it confirmed to me that the early season form of Miami is a little deceiving.

The Bengals are also 3-1 for the season but their performance last week showed their character, they were coming back from a loss to the Panthers, they have scored over 30 points in each of their three wins, something the Dolphins have not managed at all this season, they simply are the stronger team in my opinion.

The Dolphins offense is not the most potent and I have far more confidence in the Bengals defence restricting the Dolphins offense then I do in the Dolphins defence stopping the Bengals offense.

All things considered, I cannot see anything other than a comfortable win for the Bengals in front of their own fans.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Kansas City is on fire, prior to yesterdays games they were the top scorers in the NFL, in Patrick Mahomes they have a young record-breaking quarterback who is playing with maximum confidence, they have battered every defence they have come up against so far and there is every reason to think that will continue, however, if they do have one vulnerability it is their own defence.

The Broncos came down with a bump last week against the Ravens after winning their opening two games and their wins over Oakland and Seattle were a bit scrappy and fortunate, they will be looking to Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman to hurt the Chiefs defence and hope that quarterback Case Keenum will cut down on the interceptions.

There are too many questions about both the Broncos defence and offense to be answered and there would need to be a dramatic change on too many levels for me to have any confidence in backing the Broncos.

Kansas also have some questions to answer, especially with their defence, however, their offense is so potent that it masks a lot of their defences deficiencies and unlike the Broncos they have much less to get right to be at their best.

All things considered, I am going with the Chiefs to win and to beat the Broncos by at least four clear points and cover the spread. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Games between these two tend to be close and that may well be the case today and under that scenario, the Ravens are definitely worth taking on the spreads at +3.

That said, I actually feel that the Ravens will win this one outright but it makes more sense to take the safety first route and do the spreads.

The offenses for both sides are potent for sure and their defences are strong but the Steelers have seemed a little shaky so far this season, they scraped by the Bucs when they should have won it easier, they tied with the Browns and were lucky to do so and overall even when they have had a positive result they have not been convincing.

The Ravens have looked more steady, they lost to the Bengals but were awesome against the Bills and clinical against the Broncos.

All things considered, it is the Ravens +3 for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am very surprised at how close the spread is between these two, I have the Saints as clear winners in this matchup and by as many as 10 points.

That may well seem extreme but the Giants are a poor side, they have almost no chance of getting close to the playoffs, they are a low scoring team and their defence is always vulnerable.

The same can be said about the Saints defence for sure but their offense is a lot more potent than the Giants and I cannot see the Giants defence keeping the Saints at bay.

For me, this is a one-sided match-up and I am all over the Saints on this one and they are my pick of the day. 

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raiders will know for sure they have serious issues if they fail to beat the Browns today.

I know the Browns finally got a win against the Jets and that they held the Steelers but let's not kid ourselves here they are a very poor team and are a long way from becoming competitive.

The Raiders have to some extent been unlucky but generally, they have been poor and this game represents the perfect opportunity for them to finally get a win and possibly give their season a boost.

 I expect the Browns to be competitive to a point but I cannot see anything but a Raiders win and by at least three points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Cardinals are winless so far but now that they will not start with Bradford and will be going with Josh Rosen at Quarterback I am confident we will see a very different offense to the seriously bad one we have seen so far.

The Seahawks have not been much better to be fair, they did win last week to get their first win of the season but they are hardly an inspiring outfit and are not exactly renowned for racking up the points.

I am not 100% confident in picking an outright winner between these two but with a 3.5 point start on the spreads, I am confident that the Cardinals will prove to be a winning pick.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Lions will have been lifted massively by their impressive win over the Patriots last week and I expect that to flow into this game against an uninspiring Cowboys.

I was actually tempted to back the Lions outright but have decided to go safety first and back them receiving 3 on the spread.

The Lions did have a poor start but the win last week showed what they can do and unless they revert back to their early season form I expect another disciplined performance from them today.

The Cowboys just do not inspire me, they play like a team that already knows they will not be making the playoffs and when a team is like that it generally pays to oppose them.

For me, this will be a tight low scoring game with the Lions just edging it.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Colts have been very unlucky in their losses this season and will feel especially aggrieved at losing to the Eagles last week.

The Texans have also had their fair share of bad luck and they must be shaking their heads at losing the first three games of their season.

The problem for the Texans is that they start slow and keep giving up penalties and turnovers unnecessarily and it will take a significant turnaround from them to overcome all those issues in one single game.

Despite losing last week the Colts should take some belief from that loss to the Eagles, they lead for most of the game and know that if they play the same way this week with a little more concentration they will win.

I am taking the Colts +1

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Dolphins are 3-0 while the Patriots are 1-2 and in all fairness that is a fair reflection of where the teams are at after three games.

The Patriots lost for the second time in a row after the loss to the Lions last week and they never ever looked like they would get anything from that game, they are a shadow of the team they were last season and until there is an improvement it is hard to back them with any confidence.

Of course, New England are at home and they have the players that can turn their season around but they are facing a Dolphins outfit with maximum confidence and even if they do manage to win I do not see them winning by more than six points.

All things considered, I am backing the Dolphins +6.5 points.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars all day long for me.

I have the Jags winning this by at least 10 points and am happy to take them -7.

The Jaguars did let themselves down badly against the Titans last week but they showed against the Patriots what they are really capable of and they remain genuine Superbowl contenders, you can expect them to bounce back significantly this week.

The Jets are not contenders for the Superbowl, that you can take to the bank, they have lost their last two on the bounce including to the Browns, I mean, who loses to the Browns? OK, that is cruel, the Browns are massively improved and it was just a matter of time before they won but we are still talking about one of the poorest sides out there.

The Jags should win this one with ease.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of a starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Titans have put in two fantastic performances over their two games but I feel that the Eagles is just one team too far for them.

The Eagles have Wentz back and he shook the cobwebs off last week, I expect him to seriously get back into his groove today and be very effective.

The Titans have been a surprise so far and they can thank their defence for that, their performance against the Jaguars was impressive but if Wentz clicks today, as I expect him to, they will be under the hammer a lot.

Take the Wentz inspired Eagles to win by at least 3 today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on the interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Based on last week it should be a given that the Rams will hammer the Vikings and easily cover the spread but I see last week in isolation when it comes to the Vikings, they are so much better than the debacle on display against the Bills and I expect so much more from them this week.

The Rams are of course on fire, they are thrashing whoever they face, they are one formidable outfit and only a few teams are capable of taking them on and I believe that the Vikings are one of those teams, not the Viking team from last week but the Viking team I know that is capable of matching the Rams.

The Rams will be weakened defensively this week and while they will still be strong it does mean there will be some vulnerabilities and they did concede 23 points last week, so it is not impenetrable.

The Rams will probably win but I do not see them covering the spread, the Vikings will perform much better this week and the Rams will be weakened defensively and if the Vikings get their act together in defence they will contain the frightening Rams offense to some degree.

Take the Vikings +7

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Tampa for the win for me.

Pittsburgh are in a mess and have yet to register a win in their opening two games, whereas the Bucs are 2-0 and have a quarterback in excellent form.

I just cannot see enough of an improvement coming from the Steelers to get the win, their confidence is low and that is in stark contrast to Tampa who are flying on all levels right now.

Take Tampa +1

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am going with the Patriots to bounce back from their humbling at the hands of the Jaguars and record a nice win against the Lions today.

The Lions have lost both their opening games and while they were close to the 49ers last week they were thoroughly trounced against the Jets and up against a New England side looking to bounce back I fear they could be on the end of another big beating today.

Taking the Patriots -6.5 is a no-brainer for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Basically what we have here is an Arizona Cardinals offense that is not firing and a Chicago Bears defence that is formidable.

I just cannot see the Cardinals getting any joy from their offense today, not against this Bears defence and that leads me to the simple conclusion that the Bears will win, the only question for me was will they cover the spread and the answer was yes.

Take the Bears -5.5

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Rams are something special and are genuine SuperBowl contenders and I have them winning this one by at least 10 points.

They have won both their opening games easily beating the spread both times and I see absolutely o reason why they will not do the same against the Chargers.

A case sort of can be made for the Chargers but the truth is that the Rams are simply a far better team and that will show today.

Rams -7 for me

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

It is hard to see anything other than an Eagles win but I do not see them winning by 7 or more points.

A lot will be made about the return of Wentz for the Eagles and if he is on his A game then maybe I would have gone with the Eagles -7 but I am not that sure about his sharpness and the Colts defence was impressive last week.

Eagles will probably win but not by 7 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Bengals are on a roll and even with injuries starting to stack up I see them running the inconsistent Panthers team very close today and would not be at all surprised if they end up winning the game outright.

The spread is +3 for the Bengals and that for me is a gift and one I am more than happy to accept.

Take the Bengals +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Jaguars are very impressive and they showed last week that they are the real deal and they are more than deserved favourites for this game, however, I cannot see them winning by 10 points.

The Titans beat the spread easily last week and have been underestimated and while I fully expect the Jaguars to be convincing winners, 10 points is a stretch for me.

Take the Titans +10

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

When I first analysed this game the Falcons came out on top for me by 5 points and so the spread being available at -1.5 is a given for me.

The Saints were heavy favourites against the Browns and were lucky to win the game while the Falcons dispatched Carolina with some comfort.

Unless the Saints improve significantly then it is a Falcons win for me. 

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Raiders have been slightly unlucky so far this season and were very unfortunate last week to lose to Denver and I expect more from them this week.

The Dolphins have been punching above their weight in my opinion and it is just a matter of time before they are found wanting and for me that will be this game.

Take the Raiders +3

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

The Raiders were a slight disappointment last week and Derek Carr is far better than what he showed in the loss to the Rams, I expect him to bounce back today and even though the Broncos are rightfully favourites and will most likely win, I think a 7 point spread is too high

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I cannot see anything other than a 49ers win and the only question for me was do I believe that they will beat the Lions by 6 points or more and the answer is yes, I actually think they will beat them by at least 10 points and so this pick is a solid one for me.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I am very confident that the Chargers will beat the Bills in some comfort and cover the 7 point spread.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

For a whole host of reasons this game looks like it will be very tight and even on the outrights I leaned towards the Titans and so getting a 3.5 start they are a must back pick for me.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

It is the Jets for me, I was very impressed by Darnold last week, especially after a horrendous start, he showed maturity and some inexperience but came through with flying colors and he will get better with every game. The Dolphins will be competitive but I do not feel they have enough in the tank to be within 3 points of the Jets

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

Vikings all day long for me in this one even if Rodgers takes the field for the Packers, The Vikings are one of the teams I see having a great season whereas the Packers seem over-reliant on Rodgers and I expect that to show today.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I know the stats back the Steelers but my confidence in them has taken a knock and while they may scrape the win today I do not see them covering the spread, I expect the Chiefs to be a lot closer to them than most people think and would not be surprised if they did actually win this game outright.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Written analysis is minimal today due to time constraints, however, this pick has been fully researched and carries my fullest confidence.

I have to admit I was impressed by the Browns last week and I fully expect them to have a better season than most people think, they were unlucky to not record a win in a very long time last week and while they are probably not going to beat the Saints to make them 10 point underdogs is an insult.

The Browns +10 is my pick of the week.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Both teams had a great start to their regular seasons but it is the Ravens that I am backing to continue winning.

The Ravens are dismissing any notion of revenge in this game but they did that last week and look at the drubbing they gave the Bills, they are a team on a mission to right what went wrong last season and they will be determined to inflict a beating on the Bengals.

The Bengals upset the odds last week and come into this game full of confidence, they have home advantage and will be hopeful of beating the Ravens but I just cannot see their defence holding off the Ravens consistently and while their offense was effective last week they will not have it so easy against the Ravens defence who were very good against the Bills.

Ravens for me, they are a team driven and will be too much for the Bengals to handle.

Stake - 1pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I think the Jets are being underestimated here and a big reason for that is their decision to go with Sam Darnold as their starter.

The Jets appear to have immense confidence in the 21-year-old and I am prepared to give them the benefit of the doubt until such a time that it goes pear-shaped.

The Lions are justified favourites but by 7 points? I am doubtful.

I am expecting big things from Darnold and I am of the opinion that this game will be a lot closer than most people think.

Jets +7 for me.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I am fully on the Packers to beat the Bears and cover the spread.

There have been some significant changes with the Bears but I am doubtful that it is enough to close the gap between these two teams, especially with Rodgers facing them.

The Bears will be looking to Khalil Mack to prove his worth and he will be a titan in defence I am sure, but their offence is nothing special and if the Bears defence do not contain the Packers offence this could be a rout.

The Packers are a far better side when Rodgers plays and that will be the case tonight.

A lot is taken on faith at this stage but it is justified faith and I am going with Rodgers and the Packers to grab a comfortable win tonight.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

Redskins all day long for me in this one.

The difference in this one for me is the quarterbacks, I rate the Redskins Alex Smith he was excellent for the Kansas City Chiefs and I fully expect him to bring his full game for the Redskins.

Sam Bradford just does not do it for me and I am of the opinion that the Cardinals will realise that sooner rather than later, I know he has had injury issues but I just do not see him on the same level as Smith.

I expect a comprehensive win for the Redskins despite the spread.

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

There is hope in Cleveland that this season will be a turning point for them and to some degree, that hope is justified with them coming from such a low point, I mean, it is not like they can actually be any worse than they have over the last two seasons.

The Browns have had a huge shakeup in their playing roster there are no doubts about that and they may well get some wins this season but my confidence in them is at rock bottom and until I see hard evidence that this set up is better than what we have seen in the last two seasons I simply cannot back them.

The question for me was not whether the Steelers would win but by how many and the spread should be higher, the reason that it is not is because of the belief that the Browns will be better this season and also because of the internal issue surrounding the Steelers.

All these factors and the fact that the Browns are at home have driven the spread down which plays into my hands because even with all these factors coming into play I see have the Steelers to win by at least 5 points.

Stake - 1pt

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I like the look of the Bengals in this one and am happy to take them +2 to get their campaign off to a winning start.

I am not sure about Andrew Luck for the Colts, he may have had a decent pre-season but until I see him to a consistent job in the regular season I will withhold judgement on him, you just cannot ignore his injury record.

The Bengals defense could be their biggest asset this season and this game opener could be the perfect opportunity for them to shine, especially against a quarterback with question marks over him.

The Bengals for me in a close game.

Stake - 2pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

I have backed the Eagles a lot this season and backed them to get to the Superbowl and I will not abandon them now.

New England, of course, are formidable and in Tom Brady, they have a living legend who is still very capable of brilliance but the Eagles are aware of this and I fully expect them to attempt to keep Brady on the sidelines for as long as possible throughout the game.

The Patriots may well win this but I believe it will be very close, I do not see them running away with it and I expect the Eagles to right there come the end of the game.

I would have prefered +6 but missed the boat on that line but am still happy to take +4.5

I will even go a little on an outright Eagles win but for this pick, it is Eagles +4.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The Vikings are very lucky to here, last week was simply unbelievable and truth be told they disappointed me, I had them to win and cover the spread and they did just that but even I accept that was very fortunate.

The Eagles are doing just fine with Nick Foles, they were underestimated last week and they have been again, mistakenly in my opinion.

I am happy to take the Eagles +3.5

Stake - 3pts

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.

Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.

Selection

The spread should be much higher and even though Tom Brady has a cut hand I do not see it making much difference to the outcome of this game.

I would have backed the Patriots giving up 14 points against the Jaguars, to be honest, and so giving up just 7 points is a gift.

The Patriots are simply a better team by a long way and I do not see the Jags being able to contain them for 4 quarters.

This will be one-way traffic in favour of New England

New England -7

Stake - 4pts