My 10* Sweet 16 Game of the Year is on Oregon at 9:45 ET.

The Pac-12 has been the 2021 NCAA tournament's best conference, by far. Five schools got Big Dance invites and FOUR made the Sweet 16. Pac 12 tourney winner Oregon St won again on Saturday and has become just the second No. 12 seed to reach the Elite 8 since seeding began back in 1979. UCLA (an 11-seed) has a tough matchup with No. 2 Alabama but at least TWO Pac 12 schools will advance to the Elite 8 as sixth-seeded USC (24-7) and seventh-seeded Oregon (21-6) will meet in a Sweet 16 game in the West Region on Saturday night in Indianapolis, The teams met just once in the regular season (another game didn't get played due to COVID-19 issues within the Ducks program) with the Trojans dominating 72-58 back on Feb 22 in Los Angeles. That was Oregon's only loss in its final 11 regular-season games, as the Ducks won the Pac 12's regular season title with a 14-4 record (USC was 15-5).

Dana Altman spent 16 seasons at Creighton and took the school to seven NCAA tourneys in his last 12 years at the school. He came to Oregon for the 2010-11 season and won the CBI championship in his first season. He's now in his 11th season in Eugene having won 20-plus games in each of his first 10, averaging 25.9 wins per year. Oregon had played in SIX of the last eight NCAA tourneys and it would have been seven if last season's year was not cut short (Ducks were 24-7). Oregon's back in the "Big Dance" again this season, advancing past the first round when VCU dropped out due to COVID-19 positive tests but then routed second-seeded Iowa 95-80 (shot 55.9% and assisted on 25 of 38 baskets). 

The 6-6 Eugene Omoruyi, who sat out last year as a transfer from Rutgers is averaging 16.7 & 5.3. The 6-6 Figueroa transferred from St John's and adds 12.6 & 6.2 and the 6-6 Eric Williams (10.3 & 6.0) transferred from Duquesne. That trio gives Oregon a strong frontcourt, even with 6-11 center N'Faly Dante (8.2 & 5.8) suffering a torn ACL in mid-December (out for the season). 6-8 guard Duarte (17.0 & 4,6) was voted the Pac-12's player of the year and is now joined in the backcourt by PG Will Richardson, who is back from a left thumb injury suffered in the preseason. He's averaged 11.7-3.5-3.9 PPG in 15 games. Only Williams didn't score in double digits against Iowa, with Duarte leading the way with 23 points. Figueroa has been Oregon's best postseason player (three games), averaging 18.7 & 4.7, with  Omoruyi adding 15.3 & 5.0.

Andy Enfield led Florida Gulf Coast to a 26-11 season in his second at the school, making a Sweet 16 appearance. That gave him the chance to "move on up" to USC but his first two seasons were HUGE disappointments (11-21 and 12-20). However, the Trojans won 21-plus games in FOUR of the last five seasons, including a 22-9 mark last season before the shut down. USC saw its top-five scorers leave after the 2020 season but here the Trojans are in the Sweet 16 with a 24-6 record. Enfield recruited a "super frosh" in 7-0 freshman Evan Mobley plus brought in SIX transfers. All Evan Mobley has done is average 16.5 & 8.8. He joined his brother Isaiah (a 6-10 sophomore), who has added 9.5 & 7.7. Peterson is a 6-8 swingman from Rice who averages 9.8 & 5.0 plus guards Eaddy (Santa Clara) and White, a grad transfer from Utah Valley St round out the starting-five. Eaddy averages 13.5 PPG and White 7.3. Guard Anderson (6.1) and the 6-9 Goodwin (6.0 & 3.6) contribute off the bench. Evan Mobley is averaging 19.8 & 10.5 and his brother Isaiah 12.8 & 6.3 in USC's four postseason games, while Eaddy (11.3-4.5-5.3) and Peterson (10.3 & 5.) have surely done their share.

I respect Enfield but Altman has just so much more experience. USC is playing in its first Sweet 16 since 2007, while Oregon has now reached the Sweet 16 in FOUR of the past five tournaments. In this battle of top-tier Pac 12 opponents, its Oregon which goes from 'Sweet' to 'Elite." Take any points available.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Alabama at 7:15 ET.

Mick Cronin coached at Cincinnati for 13 seasons, leading the Bearcats to the "Big Dance" in each of his last nine years, while averaging 26.1 wins per season in that span. His first year as UCLA's head coach ended 19-12 when the season was shut down last March). UCLA made its 50th NCAA tournament (owns 11 NCAA titles but all but one came back in the John Wooden era with 10 wins in a 12-year span from 1964 to 1975. UCLA played in the First Four rallied from a 14-point deficit to eke past Michigan State to enter the field of 64 as an 11th-seed.  The Bruins then beat BYU (No. 6 seed) 73-62 and easily took down No. 14 seed Abilene Christian (off its upset of No. 3 Texas) 67-47.

Nate Oats was 96-43 at Buffalo, leading the Bulls to three NCAA tourneys in his four years, including going 27-9 and 32-4 in his last two seasons. He was hired to revive the Alabama program but the Crimson Tide went just 16-16 last season. However, Alabama finished No. 5 in the AP's final regular season poll, after winning the SEC's regular-season title and the SEC tournament crown for the first time since 1991. Alabama is in its first Sweet 16 since 2004 and is one victory away from equaling the Crimson Tide's most successful NCAA Tournament run-ever (that 2004 squad is currently the lone team in school history to reach the Elite Eight).

UCLA's 6-9 guard Chris Smith averaged 12.6 points and 6.4 rebounds in UCLA's first eight games but was lost for the season with a knee injury. More recently, the 6-10 Jalen Hill (6.1 & 5.5) has not played since Jan 30 (personal reasons). However, the Bruins still have FIVE players averaging in double digits. PG Campbell (10.1 & 5.4 APG) misses Smith but is still surrounded by "big guards" like the 6-6 Zuzang (15.1 & 4.1), the 6-6 Jaquez (12.1 & 6.1) and the 6-6 Bernard (10.4 & 5.0). Without Hill, it's just the 6-9 Riley (10.0 & 5.4) up front. UCLA's guard trio of Zuzang (23.3), Jaquez (16.7) and Bernard (11.0 & 6.7) have had quite a three-game NCAA tourney run.

Alabama also has an excellent guard trio in Shackelford (14.3 & 3.8), Quinerly (12.7) and Petty (12.5 & 5.2). Up front, 6-8 senior Jones (11.3-6.5-3,3) was named SEC p-o-y and Defensive p.o.y. plus 6-10 senior Bruner adds 5.7 & 4.0. Guards Primo (8.2 & 3.4) and Ellis (5.3 & 3.9) plus the 6-9 Reese (5.5 & 3.1) add depth. Quinerly (14.4-3.2-4.4) in the SEC and NCAA tourneys, followed by Shackelford (13.4) and Jones (13.4 & 8.6).

After the Bruins allowed 44 first-half points against Michigan State, they held MSU to 33 points, before winning in OT. They've then held BYU and Abilene Christian to 62 and 47 points, respectively. Making the Bruins' tourney run more surprising, is that they lost FOUR straight games to Pac-12 foes prior to barely making it into the 68-team field. UCLA entered the NCAA tourney 3-111 ATS and is now 3-0 SU & ATS. My bet says the Bruins 'run out of steam' against this formidable Alabama team.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on Florida St at 5:00 ET.

NINE Big Ten teams made the 68-team NCAA Tournament field but only 22-4 Michigan (one four, No. 1 seeds) is left. The Wolverines have advanced with wins over Texas Southern (82-66) and LSU (86-78), despite not having the services of 6-7 senior Isaiah Livers (13.1 & 6.0), who has missed the last three games with a stress fracture in his right foot that occurred in a Big Ten tournament quarterfinal win over Maryland on March 12. Waiting for Michigan is 18-6 Florida St (No. 4 seed), which has advanced with wins over UNC-Greensboro (64-54) and Colorado (71-53). 

FSU's leading scorer MJ Walker (12.3) has had ankle issues in the first two games, averaging just 8.8 PPG. However, the Seminoles are plenty deep. The 6-8 Gray (12.0 & 6.5),  6-9 freshman Barnes (10.4-4.1-4.1)and guard Polite (10.2 & 4.5) join Walker in double digits. The 7-1 Koprivica (9.2 & 5.7), guards Calhoun (5.5) and Evans (5.2) plus the 6-9 Osborne (5.7 & 4.5) give head coach Leonard Hamilton plenty of options. Polite (12.3) has led the team in the postseason and Koprivica (11.5 & 7.5) is playing the best ball of his season. Gray (10.5 & 4.8) and Barnes (10.5-3.5-3.3) have been steady as usual.

Michigan's 7-1 freshman Dickinson (14.2 & 7.5) has made an immediate impact from Game 1 plus four guards give Michigan a strong perimeter group. That group includes Wagner (12.8 & 6.3), Brooks (9.7-3.2-3.0), Smith (9.3 & 5.4 APG) and Brown (7.9). Without Livers out in the postseason, Brooks (15.0-4.5-4.0), Dickinson (13.8 & 6.5), Smith (12.8 & 7.5 APG) and Wagner (12.0 & 6.5) are all averaging 12-plus points. Also, the 6-8 Johns (4.5 & 2.2 in the regular season) has upped his performance in four postseason games, averaging 8.0 & 3.8.

Michigan's Juwan Howard's first season as head coach saw his team open 7-0, then go 6-9 over its next 15 games. A six-game win streak followed but Michigan lost three of four before the shutdown (19-11 finish). His 'sophomore' year has been impressive, even with the program being shut down due to COVID protocols from Jan 23 through Feb 13. As for Florida St head coach Leonard Hamilton, he has built a championship-caliber program in Tallahassee, one that has produced the THIRD most victories among ACC schools, behind only Duke and Virginia since 2016. The Seminoles were 26-5 and poised to make a Final Four run before the postseason was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic last year. Could this year "be the year?" A win here puts them ONE win away from the Final Four. That's my bet.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* NIT Game of the Year is on Memphis at 12:00 ET.

Ben Howland made a name for himself in a four-year run at Pitt in which his 2002 and 2003 teams made Sweet 16 appearances. He moved to UV+CLA for the 2003-4 season and in his third season at Westwood, began a run of three straight Final Four appearances. However, despite a .685 winning percentage in 10 years at UCLA (four Pac-12 conference titles and those three consecutive Final Fours), he developed a reputation for coaching a boring brand of basketball. He was fired and caught on at Miss St. His teams had won 20-plus games the previous three seasons at Starkville but this year's team finished 8-10 in the SEC and 15-14 overall, after losing to Alabama in the SEC tourney. However, the Bulldogs have won three straight in the NIT over a No. 1 seed (St Louis), a No. 2 seed (Richmond) and a No. 4 seed (La Tech) to reach Sunday's championship game. Waiting for Miss St will be another No. 1 seed, Memphis (19-8).

Penny Hardaway returned to coach his alma mater for the 2018-19 season going 22-14 in his 'rookie' season. The Tigers were 21-10 when last season was shut down and this year's team finished third in the AAC behind Wichita St and Houston, both of whom earned NCAA bids. Houston beat Memphis just 76-74 in the AAC and note that Cougars have advanced to the NCAA's Elite 8. Penny was an offensive start in college and the NBA but he is a 'defense-first' head coach, as Memphis ended the regular season allowing 62.3 PPG (19th) on 38.4% shooting (4th), including 26.8% on threes (2nd). Its defensive play hasn't let up in five tourney games (two in the ACC and three in the NIT). More in a bit. 

Howland lost his four best players from last season in the 6-10 Reggie Perry (17.4 & 10.1), plus guards Tyson Carter (13.9), Robert Woodard (11.4 & 6.5) and Nick Weatherspoon (11.6-3.5-4.1). Leading the way for the Bulldogs this season have been guards Molinar (17.0) and Stewart (16.4-3.3-3.1) with the only other player averaging more than 6.0 PPG is the 6-10 Smith (12.6 & 8.5). However, Smith was hurt in the St Louis game (NIT 1st Round) and hasn't played since. He is tending to an undefined ailment and it is unknown if he will suit up for the NIT championship game. Miss St was fine without him vs La Tech, shooting 55.8% as a team, including 10-of 20 on threes. Molinar had 25 and Stewart 23 in yesterday's game, while 6-9 freshman Fountain (5.3 & 2.9 on the season) added 15 points and six rebounds.

 Memphis lost center James Wiseman after just three games last season and PF Achiuwa (15.8 & 10.8) after the season (both are now in the NBA as 1st round picks). 6-7 Va Tech transfer Nolley, leads the Tigers in scoring (13.3 & 4.1) and he's joined in the starting lineup by the 6-9 Williams (11.7-5.9-3.6, guards Ellis (9.7) and Quinones (9.6 & 5.4) plus 6-10 center Cisse (6,6 & 6.3). Coming off the bench is the 6-7 Jeffries (9.7 & 5.1). Nolley had 27 points in Saturday's win, Williams added 21 & 19 and Quinones had 18 points. Memphis shot 55.7% as a team, including 14 of 27 on threes. 

Both teams are off terrific offensive games but I'm backing Memphis because of its defense. I note the Tigers' regular season number above plus in five tourney games, Memphis allowed Houston to score 76 but has held its other four opponents to 61,3 PPG. Memphis State was the name of the school when Penny Hardaway was a star player there in the early 1990s but in 1994 the school changed its name to the University of Memphis. However, Hardaway has had his players wearing "Memphis State" on their jerseys for the past couple of weeks and it seems to be working. Paraphrasing Spike Lee, "It must be the jerseys!" 

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Oral Roberts at 7:25 ET.

Paul Mills came to Oral Roberts four years ago and in his first three seasons his Golden Eagles were hardly 'golden,' going 39-56. However, Oral Roberts won the Summit League Tournament as the No. 4 seed and then upset second-seed Ohio St 75-72 on Friday. It marked just the NINTH time a 15th seed had knocked off a No. 2 seed and the first since Middle Tennessee's victory over Michigan State in 2016. Oral Roberts then beat seventh-seeded Florida 81-78, becoming only the second No. 15 seed to advance to the Sweet 16.

Waiting for Oral Roberts is Arkansas, a No. 3 seed. Eric Musselman had a forgettable three-year stint as Golden State's head coach (108-138 / zero playoff appearances) but he had quite a run coaching Nevada, capturing the CBI title in his first season, then winning 28, 29 and 29 games making the "Big Dance' in each of his final three seasons. He was 20-12 last season (1st at Arkansas) and this year Arkansas comes in 24-6, after beating Colgate 85-68 and edging Texas Tech 68-66.

ORU is led by guard Abmas, who not only leads ORU in scoring but his 24.5 PPG leads the entire nation. "Mr Inside" to Abmas' "Mr Outside" is the 6-8 Obanor (19.0 & 9.6), Abmas scored 29 vs Ohio St and then 26 vs Florida, while Obanor has posted games of 30 and 11 and 28 & 11. One could argue that the duo has been the tourney's best 1-2 'punch' in the tourney so far. Guard RJ Glasper (11.0) was ORU's best backcourt player but he was lost for the season back in early Feb. Thompson (8.6 & 3.6) and Jurgens (5.7) are the best the team has in support of Abmas, without Glasper.

Arkansas features four double-digit scorers in 6-6 freshman Moody (17.1 & 5.8) plus guards Notae (13.1) and Tate (11.5-3.8-43.8). The 6-9 Smith (13.9 & 7.1) is a graduate transfer from Indiana and is the team's top frontcourt player. Guards Davis *7.8) and Sills (7.8) have both been regular contributors. Jaylin Williams, a 6-foot-10 forward, started in Arkansas' win over Texas Tech, marking the first time he was in the starting lineup with Moody and Davis this season. Williams scored only one point, but collected 10 rebounds as he started in place of 7-3 center Connor Vanover (6.3 & 4.5), as Musselman went with a smaller, quicker lineup. Smith led Arkansas with 20 points while Moody and Davis each had 15 points. Smith has averaged 24.5 & 9.5 and Davis 13.5 & 6.90 in the Razorbacks' two NCAA wins.

This is game between two high-scoring teams, as Arkansas averaged 83.3 PPG and ORU 82.0 PPG in the regular season. In fact, the schools are not strangers, as Arkansas won 87-76 at home back on Dec 20. Let me note that Oral Roberts was able to stay within 11 points at Arkansas, so why can't the Golden Eagles do say again here on a neutral floor? Confidence us running high for ORU after wins over Ohio St and Florida, so just maybe the Golden Eagles can become the first-ever 15-seed to each the Elite 8. I'm taking the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner of the Month is on Baylor at 5:15 ET.

Baylor opened the season No. 2 behind Gonzaga and remained there in opening 18-0. The Bears lost their first game of the season 71-58 at Kansas on Feb 27, playing just their SECOND game since Feb 2. Baylor would finish the regular season 21-1 (13-1 in the Big 12), winning their first-ever Big 12 regular-season title and first league championship since they won the SWC regular season in 1950. Baylor lost to Okla St in the Big 12 semis but has certainly shown it was more than deserving of a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, routing Hartford 79-55 and then handled ninth-seeded Wisconsin 76-63, as its suffocating defense forced 14 turnovers against a methodical Wisconsin offense.

Baylor's challenge will be more daunting against fifth-seeded Villanova in the Sweet 16. The Wildcats' season was disrupted by COVID and were shocked in the Big East tourney in a one-point loss to Georgetown (Hoyas were a six-point underdog). Despite losing co-Big East Player of the Year Collin Gillespie (14.0-3.3-4.6 to a torn MCL, Villanova (18-6) has responded with two strong performances in the NCAA Tournament. The Wildcats downed Winthrop 73-63 and then 84-61 over North Texas.

The 6-9 Robinson-Earl (16.0 & 8.3) leads in scoring and the 6-7 Samuels (11.9 & 6.5) have both "come up big" in Villanova's two wins. Robinson-Earl has averaged 20.0-8.5-6.0 and Samuels (13.0 & 8.0). There is little doubt that 'Nova misses Gillespie, as Arcidiacono has started for Gillespie and in two games, has points. Regular backcourt starters Moore (12.8 -4.1-3.0) and Daniels (9,9) have averaged 15.0 and 10.5 PPG, respectively in 'Nova's two tourney wins.

Baylor lost 6-9 center Gillespie (9.6 & 9.0) from last year's team but the strength of Baylor's team this season is centered around its guards. Butler (16.9-3.3-4.8) is the best of Baylor's guards but don't look past Teague (16.1 & 4.1), Mitchell (14.1 & 5.4 APG), Flagler (8.7) or Mayer (8.3). The 6-5 Vital (5.7 & 6.7) plays like a power forward and is considered one of the best defensive players in the nation. Tchatchoua is a 6-8 transfer from UNLV and he's averaged 6.4 & 5.1 plus the 6-10 Thamba adds 3.6 & 4.0. Butler had a poor first game and Teague a poor second game. Mitchell's been the most steady, averaging 14.0 PPG on 11 of 19 shooting.

Villanova head coach Jay Wright has won two national championships and holds a 30-12 overall mark in the NCAA Tournament with this program. However, I'm backing Scott Drew's Baylor team. He took over a devastated Baylor program in the 2003-04 season and since 2007-08, has turned the Bears into one of the best programs in the country. Baylor won the NIT in 2013 and had made eight NCAA tourney appearances (26-4 last season would have made nine) entering this season. This his his ninth NCAA appearance with the Bears and marks Baylor's fifth Sweet 16 appearance in the last 12 years. Yes, Villanova owns two solid wins but remember Winthrop plays in the Big South and North Texas in the Sun Belt. Baylor's 2-0 ATS in its two wins but has yet to play its "A-game." That comes here!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Daytime Dominator is on Memphis at 12:00 ET.

The Memphis Tigers and the Colorado State Rams and meet Saturday in NIT semifinal action from Comerica Center in Frisco, Tx. The Tigers advanced with a 59-56 win Thursday over Boise St, while Colorado St turned a three-point halftime deficit into a 65-61 win over NC State. Penny Hardaway returned to coach his alma mater for the 2018-18 season going 22-14 in his 'rookie' season. The Tigers were 21-10 when last season was shut down and this year's team is now 18-8. Niko Medved spent four years at Furman and one at Drake, and had an overall record of 79-87 when Colorado St tabbed him as its next head coach. He went 12-20 in his first season but turned things around by going 20-12 last season. CSU lost the 6-11 Carvacho (12.9 & 10.8) but four starters returned and the Rams enter this game at 20-6.

Memphis lost center James Wiseman after just three games last season and PF Achiuwa (15.8 & 10.8) after the season (both are now in the NBA as 1st round picks). Memphis finished 3rd in the AAC's (11-4) regular season and after beating UCF, took Houston to the wire before losing 69-67 in the AAC tourney. Memphis has added two wins in the NIT over Dayton and Boise St. 6-7 Va Tech transfer Nolley, leads the Tigers in scoring (12.7 & 4.0) and he's joined in the starting lineup by the 6-9 Williams (11.2-5.7-3.4, guards Ellis (9.9) and Quinones (9.3 & 5.5) plus 6-10 center Cisse (6,7 & 6.3). Coming off the bench is the 6-7 Jeffries (9.7 & 5.0).

PG Stevens led all CSU scorers last season and is averaging 15.2-4.4-5.4 this season, right behind fellow guard Roddy (16.1), who is also the team's leading rebounder (9.5). Guard Moore (10.7) is the team's third double-digit scorer, while the 6-6 Thistlewood (9.4 & 3.8), 6-10 freshman Moors (6.1 & 3.7) and the 6-9 Thomas (5.8 & 4.3) are the best frontcourt players

Colorado State has been consistent all season and the team hasn’t lost consecutive games all year. However, Memphis has been on a pointspread tear, with Thursday's ATS loss being only the team's SECOND in its 15 games. Memphis ended the regular season allowing 62.3 PPG (19th) on 38.4% shooting (4th), including 26.8% on threes (2nd) and its defensive play hasn't let up in four tourney games (two in the ACC and two in the NIT). Memphis allowed Houston to score 76 pints in a two-point loss (note: Cougars are a No. 2 seed and own a 26-3 record), while holding their other three opponents to just 59.3 PPG. Colorado St is a solid team but the Rams are NOT the Cougars! Memphis is headed to the NIT championship game with a double-digit win.

Good luck...Larry

My NIT 10* 2nd Rnd Game of the Year is on Memphis at 9:00 ET.

The 19-8 Boise State Broncos and the 17-8 Memphis Tigers square off in the NIT at UNT Coliseum (Denton, Tx) on Thursday night. Boise's Leon Rice is in his 11th season with the Broncos and has produced EIGHT seasons of 20-plus wins through his first 10 seasons, meaning a "W" here makes it NINE sessions of 20-plus wins. Penny Hardaway returned to coach his alma mater for the 2018-18 season going 22-14 in his 'rookie' season. The Tigers were 21-10 when last season was shut down and this year's team is 17-8.

The Broncos opened 13-1 (9-0 in MWC) but lost their final three regular season games and then their first game in the MWC tourney. Boise St lost its 2nd-leading scorer and 2nd-leading rebounder in the 6-7 Abu Kigab (11.8 & 5.4) to a shoulder injury plus guard Rice (5.9) as well. However, eked out an 85-84 win over SMU to reach the NIT quarterfinals. 6-9 guard Alston (17.3) has led Boise in scoring all season and was joined in double figure scoring by the other four starters vs SMU. The 6-10 Armus (8.0 & 7.9) had 18 points and 10 rebounds, while guards Akot (8.7) had 17-6-9 and Shaver (10.6 & 4,5) had 13 points. Guard Doutrive (8.8) had 10 points.

Memphis lost center James Wiseman after just three games last season and PF Achiuwa (15.8 & 10.8) after the season (both are now in the NBA as 1st round picks). Memphis finished 3rd in the AAC's (11-4) regular season and after beating UCF, took Houston to the wire before losing 69-67. Memphis opened the NIT with a 71-60 win over Dayton. 6-7 Va Tech transfer Nolley, leads the Tigers in scoring (12.9 & 4.0) and he's joined in the starting lineup by the 6-9 Williams (11.3 & 5.8), guards Ellis (9.9) and Quinones (9.2 & 5.4) plus 6-10 center Cisse (7.0 & 6.5). Coming off the bench is the 6-7 Jeffries (9.6 & 5.0). Nolley (21 & 6) was great vs Dayton plus Quinones scored all 15 of his points in the second half, as Memphis outscored the Flyers 44-32! Quinones also had 10 rebounds, while Williams added 12 points with Jeffries coming up with 10 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists off the bench.

Penny was an exciting offensive player in college and in the NBA but he's a defense-first head coach. He EXPECTS his team to be one of the nation's top defensive teams. Memphis enters having allowed 62.3 PPG (19th) on 38.4% shooting (4th), including 26.8% on threes (2nd). Memphis enters this game 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games, which is 93% ATS. That's good enough for me.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on Colorado St at 7:00 ET.

The 14-10 NC State Wolfpack and the 19-6 Colorado State Rams meet Thursday at the Comerica Center (Frisco, Tx) in a quarterfinal matchup. NC State beat Davidson 75-61 in its first game of the tourney, while Colorado edged Buffalo 75-73.

Kevin Keatts took over at NC State for Mark Gottfried beginning in the 2017-18 season, after leading UNC-Wilmington to 25-8 and 29-6 records in his final two seasons (both teams earned NCAA tourney bids). He won 21, 24 and 20 games his first three seasons in Raleigh but the current season has been a struggle. NC State lost leading scorer Bryce (13.3 & 6.3) plus PG Johnson (12.8-4.4-6.8) from last year's team and lost Devon Daniels (16.5-5.2-3.3) for the season after 12 games. Niko Medved spent four years at Furman and one at Drake, and had an overall record of 79-87 when Colorado St tabbed him as its next head coach. He went 12-20 in his first season but turned things around by going 20-12 last season. CSU lost the 6-11 Carvacho (12.9 & 10.8) but four starters returned.

Without Daniels, four NC St guards have chipped in modest totals by averaging between 5.3 and 7.9 PPG. A trio of frontcourt players have carried most of the 'load,' in the 6-7 Hellems (12.8 & 5.1), the 6-10 Funderburk (12.6 & 5.5) and the 6-11 Bates (9.7 & 5.9). Against Davidson, Funderburk had 21 & 7, Bates 14 & 8 and Hellems 13 & 4. PG Stevens led all CSU scorers last season and comes in averaging 15.0-4.6-5.5 this season, right behind fellow guard Roddy (15.1). Guard Moore (10.5) is the team's third double-digit scorer, while the 6-6 Thistlewood (9.9 & 3.9). and 6-10 freshman Moors (6.1 & 3.7) are the best frontcourt players. FOUR of the aforementioned players scored in double digits in the win over Buffalo (Moors being the exception), with Roddy leading the way with 17 points.

The Wolfpack won their last FIVE regular season games, before losing to Syracuse (now a Sweet 16 team) in the ACC tourney. However, other than an upset win at UVa (which lost its first NCAA tourney game vs Ohio), the other four wins came against 6-10 Pitts (twice), 3-15 Wake Forest and 7-11 Notre Dame (records reflect ACC regular season ones). It's NC State's frontcourt vs CSU's perimeter game and I'm siding with the Rams, who EARNED their No. 1 NIT seed with well-balanced attack all season.

Good luck...Larry

My CBI 10* 2nd Rnd Game of the Year is on Bellarmine at 8:00 ET.

The 2021 College Basketball Invitational is taking place over three days at the Ocean Center in Daytona Beach, Florida. Eight mid-major squads were chosen for the event, which began with the quarterfinal round on Monday. The field has been downsized from the 16-squad format the CBI last used in 2019, when the championship was a three-game series. This year, the final will be a one-off showdown on Wednesday, between the programs that win on back-to-back days in the quarterfinal and semifinal rounds. For some reason that made little sense, the two schools with the best record in the field, 16-7 Coastal Carolina and 15-6 Bryant, were matched against each other in the first round. Coastal won 93-82 and will play 12-14 Stetson on Tuesday, which edged Bowling Green 53-52. The other semifinal game will be 13-12 Pepperdine against 14-7 Bellarmine. The Waves beat Longwood 80-66, while Bellarmine advanced with a 77-67 win over Army.

The Waves have been led all season by senior PG Ross (18.0-3.9-77) and 6-8 junior Edwards (17.1 & 6.8). That duo starred on Monday, as Edwards scored 22 points, while Ross scored 14 points plus handed out 13 assists. A nice surprise came in the form of 6-9 center Obioha (just 5.1 & 4.3 on the season) adding 13 points and 11 rebounds. However, Longwood was hardly a test, entering the game at 12-16 (now 12-17) on the season.

Bellarmine is transitioning into Division I and played its first season in the Atlantic Sun in 2020-21. The Knights are led by 6-7 guard Bradshaw, who leads the team in scoring (16.1) and rebounding (7.1). He is joined by three more double digit scorers. That group includes guards Penn (13.0-3.6-3.6) and Fleming (12.2) plus 6-7 forward Claycomb (10.0 & 3.5). The team's fifth starter is guard Pfriem (6.5 & 3.5). Bradshaw had an outstanding game vs Army, scoring 3 points while adding 11 rebounds. Fleming added 17 points and Penn 13.

Lorenzo Romar began his coaching career at Pepperdine in the late 90s but left for St Louis and then Washington. He led the Huskies to six NCAA berths in his first nine seasons but then NONE in his final six (was fired after a 9-22 season). He's back at Pepperdine but like in his first stint, has been basically a .500 coach. Meanwhile, Bellarmine head coach Scott Davidson is in his 16th season at the school. After going 40-43 in his first three seasons, he led the Knights to 11 consecutive seasons of 23-plus wins before the current season. His 2011 squad won 33 games and captured the Division II national championship plus Davidson led the Knights to three more Final Fours, with seasons of 29, 31 and 32 wins.

I had Bellarmine last night noting that Davidson knows all about postseason tourney games and Bellarmine is NOT in over its head with this CBI field. I will 'jump all over them' again tonight, as the Knights are getting a 'TD' worth of points and they just might be the better team. We'll find out!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Bailout Blowout is on Alabama at 8:45 ET.

Alabama finished No. 5 in the AP's final regular season poll, after winning the SEC's regular-season title and then capturing the tournament crown for the first time since 1991. Alabama's No. 2 seed matched the best in program history. Alabama got tested by Rick Pitino's 15th-seeded Iona team, trailing six times throughout the game but avoided the upset with an 11-0 run that was enough to win 68-55. The 25-6 Crimson Tide now look to advance to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2004 on Monday when they play a 17-13 Maryland team (No. 10 seed), fresh off an impressive defensive showing in the first round. Maryland limited the UConn Huskies to 32.3 percent shooting in a 63-54 win over on Saturday. It was the 11th time this season the Terps held an opponent to under 60 points.

Mark Turgeon coached Wichita St for seven years, before leading Texas A&M to four straight NCAA tournaments in four years going 97-40. He joined Maryland when it was still in the ACC but its move to the Big Ten has been good for the basketball program, as over the previous six seasons the Terps have won 20-plus games in five seasons (exception was a 19-win season), making four NCAA tourneys (would have been five, as Maryland was 24-7 when the season was shut down last year). Maryland got at-large bid this season despite a mediocre 16-13 overall record (9-11 in the ACC). Maryland has nice depth at the guard position, led by Ayala (15.2 & 4.2) and Wiggins (14.0 & 5.8) plus that duo is joined by Morsell (8.9 & 4.1) and Hart (7.1). The 6-7 Scott (10.9 & 6.1) and the 6-8 Hamilton (6.5 & 2.2) are the best frontcourt contributors. Ayala (23) and Wiggins (14) led the way vs UConn.

Alabama head coach Nate Oats was 96-43 at Buffalo, leading the Bulls to three NCAA tourneys in his four years, including going 27-9 and 32-4 in his last two seasons. 'Bama was just 16-15 last season and guard Lewis (18.5-4.8-5.2) left after one year for the NBA but the other four starters returned. A trio of guards all average double digits. That trio is Shackelford (14.1), Quinerly (12.6) and Petty (12.2 & 5.1). Up front, 6-8 senior Jones (11.5 & 6.5) was named SEC p-o-y and Defensive p.o.y. plus 6-10 senior Bruner adds 6.0 & 4.2. Both Shackelford and Petty scored just 10 points vs Iona (Petty was an awful 3 of 13 from the floor) but Jones "came up big," scoring 20 points (six rebounds).

"I'd give ourselves a C," Alabama star Herb Jones said. "We didn't come out, you know, defensively we didn't come out, I don't think we came out how we should have. We didn't make a lot of shots. But the effort was -- I give the effort an A." Head coach Oats added, "I thought our effort was great. Maybe we had some NCAA first-game jitters, I don't know what it was to be honest with you, but hopefully getting that first game out of the way and getting a win even though we didn't play well will help that." Maryland is clearly an excellent defensive team but the Terps shot 51.2% vs UConn and that won't happen here against an Alabama team allowing opponents to shoot just 40.9%. I say lay the points, as Alabama advances easily to the Sweet 16 where No. 11 UCLA awaits, Can you say Elite 8-bound?

Good luck...Larry

My 10* CBI 1st Rnd Game of the Year is on Bellarmine at 8:30 ET.

The 2021 College Basketball Invitational will take place over three days at the Ocean Center in Daytona Beach, Florida. Eight mid-major squads were chosen for the event, which will begin with the quarterfinal round on Monday. The field has been downsized from the 16-squad format the CBI last used in 2019, when the championship was a three-game series. This year, the final will be a one-off showdown on Wednesday, between the programs that win on back-to-back days in the quarterfinal and semifinal rounds. 

It's the 13-7 Bellarmine Knights vs the 12-9 Army Black Knights in Monday action from Daytona Beach. Bellarmine is transitioning into Division I and played its first season in the Atlantic Sun in 2020-21. Army plays in the Patriot League, joining that conference back in 1990. Bellarmine is led by 6-7 guard Bradshaw (15.4 & 6.9), who is joined by three more double digit scorers. That group includes guards Penn (13.0) and Fleming (11.9) plus 6-7 forward Claycomb (10.4 & 3.5). The Knights have size in the 6-10 DeVault and the 6-8 Thelen but neither player rebounds well with both contributing only 5.0 PPG. 

EIGHT Army players have participated in all 21 games and its top-five players include three seniors, a junior and one freshman. A trio of guards average in double digits, led by senior Grayson (12.7 & 5.3), junior Caldwell (12.6 & 4.6) and freshman Rucker (10.0). 6-8 senior King (11.8 & 4.8) makes four double digit scorers and 6-7 senior Finke (5.9 & 6.1) is the team's leading rebounder.

Army's the more veteran team but head coach Jimmy Allen hasn't had much success with this group. He was just 54-70 in his first four seasons, including last season's 15-15 club which was 10-8 in Patriot League play (note: just the SECOND time since 1990 that the Black Knights won double digit games in league play since 1990!). I mentioned earlier that Bellarmine is transitioning into Division I but head coach Scott Davidson is in his 16th season as the school's head coach. After going 40-43 in his first three seasons, he led the Knights to 11 consecutive seasons of 23-plus wins before the current season. His 2011 squad won 33 games and captured the Division II national championship plus Davidson led the Knights to three more Final Fours, with seasons of 29, 31 and 32 wins.

If you are looking for a 'Cinderella' team in this year's CBI, Bellarmine may be it! Davidson knows all about postseason tourney games and Bellarmine is NOT in over its head  with this CBI field.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* Situational Stunner is on Florida St at 7:45 ET.

4th-seeded Florida State (17-6) had to battle to get by North Carolina Greensboro on Saturday while 5th-seeded Colorado cruised to an easy win over Georgetown. The Seminoles needed to hold off a second-half surge by the Spartans, who cut a 12-point deficit to a point in the final five minutes before Florida St won by 10 points. In contrast, there was no drama for the Buffaloes, who led by as many as 32 in a 96-73 win over the Hoyas. Both teams are tournament tested, having reached the finals of their respective conference tournaments.

Tad Boyle is in his 11th season at Colorado and despite losing the 6-7 Tyler Bey (13.8 & 9.0) to the NBA (he played center for the Buffs), the good news was that PG Wright flirted with the NBA draft but returned to Boulder for his senior season. The Buffs reached the Pac 12 tourney game but were upset 70-68 by Oregon St (note: The Ducks own upset wins over Tennessee and Oklahoma St in this year's big Dance). As expected, PG Wright (15.5-4.4-5.8) is the team leader and is surrounded by veterans, such as the 6-7 Horne (11.1 & 5.8), the 6-8 Battey (10.0 & 5.3), the 6-7 Walker (7.9 & 4.4) and the 7-0 Walton (6.7 & 32.9) up front. Backcourt 'helpers' for Wright are Schwartz (9.2 & 4.0), Daniels (5.3 and Parquet (5.3). Wight had 12 points and 13 assists against the Hoyas, while Walker scored 24 points in 20 minutes off the bench and Schwartz added 18 points.

FSU entered this season losing three key players from last year's 26-5 team (more in a bit). PG Forrest (11.6-4.4-4.0), SG Vassell (12.7 & 5.1) and 6-7 swingman Williams (9.7 & 4.0), who were all chosen in the NBA draft. However, guard MJ Walker is back and leads with 12.5 PPG. He's surrounded by a talented and deep group. The 6-8 Gray (12.2 & 6.6) and 6-9 freshman Barnes (10.6-4.3-4.1) join Walker in double digits plus guard Polite (9.5 & 4.5) and the 7-1 Koprivica (9.4 & 6.0) aren't far behind. Guards Calhoun (5.6) and Evans (5.4) plus the 6-9 Osborne (5.4 & 4.5) give this team a deep bench. The Seminoles got a scare when leading scorer Walker limped off with an ankle injury in the second half. He went to the locker room but returned a few minutes later to help Florida State hang on. Walker had only four points against UNC Greensboro in 32 minutes but Gray (17 points), Koprivica (13 points / nine rebounds) and Anthony Polite (12 points) picked up the slack. Word is that Walker should be fine for Monday's game.

Colorado shot 60.7% against the Hoyas, including 16-25 on threes. NO way the Buffs replicate that against FSU (note: the Buffs' Walker was 9 of 10 from the floor). Meanwhile, I believe FSU's "close call" in the first round will have them highly-focused for this one. Florida St head coach Leonard Hamilton has built a championship-caliber program in Tallahassee, one that has produced the THIRD most victories among ACC schools, behind only Duke and Virginia since 2016. The Seminoles were 26-5 and poised to make a Final Four run before the postseason was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic last year. Could this year "be the year?" m A win here gets them halfway to the Final Four. That's my bet.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Oklahoma at 2:40 ET.

Gonzaga opened No. 1 in the AP's preseason poll and has yet to 'blink!' The top-ranked Bulldogs moved to 27-0 with their 98-55 over Norfolk State on Saturday. The team's next 'victim' is expected to be the eighth-seed Oklahoma Sooners, who recorded a 72-68 victory over Missouri in their first-round game to move to 16-10. The Bulldogs are five wins away from becoming the first undefeated national champion since Indiana in the 1975-76 season. Is it a forgone conclusion?

When Rick Pitino led Iona into this year's Big Dance it was noted that he became one of just THREE head coaches to lead five programs to the NCAA Tournament. Oklahoma's Lon Kruger is ONE of the other two (Kansas St, Florida, Illinois, UNLV and Oklahoma). He's participated in 17 NCAA Tournaments, including 2 Final Fours (1994 with Florida; 2016 with Oklahoma). Leading scorer Reaves (17.9-5.6-4.8) scored 23 points in the Sooners' first-round win over Missouri but received excellent support from the 6-9 Manek (11.2 & 5.0) who added 19 points and fellow guard Harkless (8.1 & 5.3), who added a double-double (16 points / 10 rebounds). However, Oklahoma will be without second-leading scorer De'Vion Harmon (12.9) for the second straight game due to a positive COVID-19 test.

Mark Few's accomplishments at Gonzaga are too many to list but as all know, he's still missing that one last piece, a national championship. This is likely his best team, led by 6-7 first-team All-American Kispert (19.3 & 4.9), as well as third-team All-Americans, the 6-10 Timme (18.4 & 7.1) and freshman guard Suggs (14.0-5.4-4.4). Guards Ayayi (11.9 & 7.0) and Nembhard (9.0 & 4.2 APG) plus the 6-8 Watson (7.5 & 3.5) round out the main contributors. Kispert led the way with 23 points in Gonzaga's first game, while Watson got a start and chipped in 17 points (7 of 7 from the floor).

Gonzaga won its 24th straight game by double digits against Norfolk St and its 31st consecutive game going back to the end of last season. Gonzaga averages 92.9 PPG on 55.3 % shooting, ranking 1st in both categories. Asking for Oklahoma to pull the upset is likely asking too much but note that BYU was tied with Gonzaga in the WCC tourney final with just four minutes to go (lost by 10). After all, the contest will be played at historic Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, where the 1954 Milan High School Indians won the Indiana High School Boys Basketball Tournament championship in 1954 (inspiration for the 1986 film Hoosiers) Do you believe in miracles?

Good luck...Larry

My NCAA 10* "Best of the Best" 2nd Round Game of the Year is on Oklahoma St at 9:40 ET.

Oregon State head coach Wayne Tinkle lost his son Tres (18.5 & 6.8) and center Kelley (11.1 PPG / 5.3 RPG / 3.5 BPG) from last year's team. Not much was expected from the Beavers and by late-February Oregon St was 11-11 (7-9 in Pac 12). However, the Beavers won three straight on the road (at Cal, Stanford and Utah), before losing their regular season finale to Oregon, which avenged an earlier loss at home to Oregon St. Oregon St then beat UCLA, Oregon and Colorado (all as underdogs) to win the Pac 12 tourney and advance to the NCAA tournament as a No. 12 seed. The Beavers' run is not yet over, as they fashioned a 70-56 upset over No. 5 Tennessee on Friday.

Mike Boynton took over in Stillwater when Brad Underwood left for Illinois and in his first three seasons, the Cowboys were an underwhelming 51-49. However, led by super-frosh Cade Cunningham, the Cowboys ended the regular season 18-7 and ranked 12th in the nation. The Cowboys beat then-No. 10 West Va and then-No. 2 Baylor in the Big 12 tourney, before losing to then-No. 13 Texas (91-86) in the title game. The 4th-seeded Cowboys struggled in their first round game with 13th-seeded Liberty (trailed by three at the half) but advanced with a 69-60 victory.

Oregon St is led by guard Thompson (15.3-3.8-3.9) and fellow guard Lucas (13.0) is the only other double digit scorer. That duo is joined in the starting lineup by fellow guard Reichle (7.7)) plus the 6-7 Alatishe (9.7 & 8.5) and the 7-1 Silva (5.7 & 2.5). As one can see, the 7-1 Silva is not much of a rebounder (2.5 per) but gets some help up front from the 6-10 Calloo (5.2) and the 6-8 Andela (6.4 & 4.5). Four of OSU's starters were in double digits against Tennessee, while the Beavers held the Vols to 33.3% shooting, including 5 of 26 on threes.

Most seem to think that Cunningham will be the NBA's No. 1 pick in the 2021 draft and he's averaged 20.0-6.3-3.5. However, he missed his first five shots and scored just ONE point in the first half as the Cowboys fell behind 30-27 on Friday. He finished with 15 points but was surely helped by fellow guard Anderson (12.0 & 4.1), who scored 21 points. The 6-5 Likekele (9.7-6.7-3.7) is back from a few missed games and is an important cog. He added 10-6-4 in Friday's win. Other key contributors are the 6-9 Boone (9.6 & 5.6), and the 6-7 Moncrieffe (9.1 & 5.3) plus guards Walker (8.1),and Williams (7.3).

Something tells me Ore St has played "over its head" and can the 7-1 Roman Silva (5.7 PPG) be expected to score a 16 points for the Beavers (8 of 8 from the floor), giving him a career high in points? Also, was it OSU's defense or Tennessee's poor shooting on Friday when the Vols shot 33.3%? In contrast, should we expect Cunningham to repeat his 3 of 14 shooting performance or for the Cowboys to again shoot 40.3% as a team, including 3 of 15 on threes? Ore St beat UCLA as a 5 1/2-point dog and then followed with wins over Oregon, Colorado and Tennessee (each time as 8 1/2-point underdogs). That run ends here, as I expect Cunningham to star and for the Cowboys to move on to the Sweet 16 with a double-digit win.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Oral Roberts at 7:45 ET.

Paul Mills came to Oral Roberts four years ago and in his first three seasons his Golden Eagles were hardly 'golden,' going 39-56. However, Oral Roberts won the Summit League Tournament as the No. 4 seed and then upset second-seed Ohio St 75-72 on Friday. It marked the NINTH time a 15th seed had knocked off a No. 2 seed and the first since Middle Tennessee's victory over Michigan State in 2016. Waiting for Oral Roberts at Indiana Farmers Coliseum will be No. 7 seed Florida. The Gators trailed by 10 in the first half against Va Tech and 44-36 with 15 minutes left but went on to win 75-70 in OT.

ORU is led by guard Abmas, who scored 29 vs Ohio St. He not only leads ORU in scoring but his 24.4 PPG leads the entire nation. "Mr Inside" to Abmas' "Mr Outside" is the 6-8 Obanor (18.6 & 9.5), who had 30 points and 11 rebounds vs the Buckeyes. Mike White took over in Gainesville after Billy Donovan took the job with OKC in the NBA and won 20-plus games his first four seasons. The team was 19-12 when last year's season was shut down and COVID issues has limited the Gators to just 24 games this season. 6-5 SF Johnson 14.0 & 7.1 LY) was the SEC's preseason P-O-Y but he was lost just FOUR games into this season.

Florida (15-9) beat Va Tech despite going into the game shorthanded and having the lineup further depleted when the team's third-leading scorer, Tyree Appleby (11.2), took an elbow to the face midway through the second half. His status for this game is unclear. White decided not to play Omar Payne (3.7 & 3.2) after the reserve forward was ejected from the SEC tournament quarterfinals for a flagrant-2 foul. Again, his status is unclear. Tre Mann (15.9-5.6-3.4) scored 14 points vs the Hokies, while the 6-11 Castleton (12.3 & 6.2) really stepped up (19 & 14). Guard Lewis (8.3) added 15 HUGE points.

Oral Roberts won its first NCAA Tournament game since 1974 on Friday and history tells us that the previous EIGHT No. 15 seeds that won their openers, just ONE of them won their second round game. However, I believe this Florida team is ripe for an upset. Taking more than a 'TD' is a bonus.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on West Va at 5:15 ET.

West Va's Bob Huggins is fresh off his 900th career victory, achieved with an 84-67 victory over 14th-seeded Morehead State on Friday. The 3rd-seed Mountaineers (now 19-9) take on 11th-seeded Syracuse (17-9) in this second round game from Bankers Life Fieldhouse (home of the Pacers). Huggins' coach counterpart will be none other than 

Jim Boeheim, who has officially won 981 games over his 45 seasons at Syracuse (note: 101 other victories have been vacated by the NCAA for violations). Syracuse is off an impressive 78-62 first round win over San Diego St, which entered that contest on a 14-game winning streak. 

Syracuse starts an 'Iron-5,' and that group's only real help comes from reserve guard Richmond (6.5 & 3.2 APG). Boeheim's son Buddy, leads the team at 17.7 PPG and comes back-to-back 30-point games. He scored a career-high 31 in a loss to Virginia in the ACC tourney and added 30 points (made 11 of 15 shots, including 7 of 10 from three-point range). Syracuse has a strong frontcourt, consisting of 6-5 SF Griffin (14.1 & 6.3), the 6-7 Guerrier (14.0 & 8.6) and the 6-10 Dolezaj (10.0 & 5.2), while PG Girard (9.5 & 3.3 APG) starts in the backcourt with Boeheim.

FOUR of five starters returned from last season's West Va team but the 6-9 Oscar Tshiebwe (11.2 & 9.2 last season / 8.5 & 7.8 thru 10 games) opted to transfer to Kentucky in mid-season, forcing a complete change of basketball philosophy for Huggins. The 6-10 Culver (14.5 & 9.7) is now the main focus inside, as Huggins now relies on his perimeter people. Guards McBride (16.0-3.9-4.8), Sherman (13.4) and McNeil, (11.9) have really stepped up. Joining Culver up front are a pair of 6-7 players, junior Matthews (7.6 & 3.9) and freshman Bridges (6.0 & 3.4).

Syracuse made a Final Four run as a 10th seed in 2016 and advanced to the Sweet 16 as an 11th seed in 2018. That famous 2-3 zone worked its 'magic' on SD St but I don't believe Huggins and his West Va team will fall victim to it here. Remember, Syracuse entered the Big Dance just 3-8 in games outside of the Carrier Dome this season, with its only victories coming against Boston College (2-11 in the ACC) and two wins over NC St after the Wolfpack lost their leading scorer Daniels. Meanwhile, West Va opened at No. 15 in the AP's preseason poll and has been ranked in EVERY poll this season, entering the Big Dance at No. 13. West Va is the ONLY team to stay within single digits this season vs Gonzaga, losing just 87-82. Boeheim's 2021 NCAA tourney 'run' ends after just ONE win.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Baylor at 2:40 ET. 

Wisconsin has had a terrific basketball program for decades and Greg Gard is in his sixth season at Madison, having had FOUR 20-win seasons in his first five. Wisconsin was ranked 7th in the AP's preseason poll and began the season with FIVE seniors starters. The Badgers were 13-4 (7-3 Big Ten) in late January but really stumbled down the stretch. They lost EIGHT of their final 12 games but didn't fall out of the top-25 until the March 8th poll (second-to-last). Wisconsin earned a No. 9 seed and routed No. 8  North Carolina 85-62 in the first round on Friday. The outcome marked the first loss in an NCAA Tournament opener for North Carolina head coach Roy Williams, who was a combined 29-0 in those games with Kansas and the Tar Heels.

Baylor's Scott Drew took over a devastated Baylor program in the 2003-04 season and since 2007-08, has turned the Bears into one of the best programs in the country. Baylor won the NIT in 2013 and had made eight NCAA tourney appearances (26-4 last season would have made nine) entering this season. Baylor lost 6-9 center Gillespie (9.6 & 9.0) from last year's team but the strength of Baylor's team this season is centered around its guards. Baylor opened 18-0 but lost 71-58 at Kansas on Feb 27, playing just its SECOND game since Feb 2. The Bears would finish the regular season 21-1 (13-1 in the Big 12), winning their first-ever Big 12 regular-season title and first league championship since they won the SWC regular season in 1950. Baylor lost to Okla St in the Big 12 semis but rolled in its NCAA opener, 79-55 over Hartford.

Baylor was impressive but its win came over a No. 16 seed. In comparison, Wisconsin routed North Carolina 85-62, reaching the 80-point mark for just the second time since Christmas. Wisconsin has FIVE seniors. Trice (13.9-3.4-4.0) and Davison (10.1) are the guards, while the 6-10 Potter (12.6 & 5.8), the 6-8 Ford (8.7 & 4.2) and the 6-11 Reuvers (8.2) have typically started up front. 6-5 freshman Davis (6.9 & 4.2) and 6-9 sophomore Wahl (5.2 & 4.3) have both been regular contributors. It was Davison (29) and Trice (21) who starred vs the Tar Heels.

Butler (17.0-3.3-4.9) is the best of  Baylor's guards the group but don't look past Teague (16.4 & 4.2), Mitchell (14.0 & 5.3 APG), Flagler (8.8) or Mayer (8.0) The 6-5 Vital (5.7 & 6.7) plays like a power forward and is considered one of the best defensive players in the nation. Tchatchoua is a 6-8 transfer from UNLV and he's averaged 6.5 & 5.3 plus the 6-10 Thamba adds 3.6 & 4.0. Teague, who was playing in his first NCAA tourney game for the Bears, led the way with 22 points on Friday but Butler struggled (13 points), going 5 of 16 from the floor, including 1 of 8 on threes.

I respect Wisconsin's five seniors and longtime success in the "Big Dance" but this season has the 'feel' of a very special one for Baylor and Scott Drew. Baylor was 18-0 (13-5 ATS) before COVID protocols disrupted its season but that's behind them now. How good has Drew been at Baylor? How about this. After only three 20-win seasons in its first 100 seasons of basketball, Baylor has reached 20 wins for the 12th time in the last 14 seasons. Wisconsin looked 'gassed' down the stretch and I'm not sure where Friday's effort came from. I'm laying the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Daytime Dominator is on Illinois at 12:10 ET.

Porter Moser is in his 10th season and Loyola-Chicago and few will forget his team's memorable Final 4 run in 2018. The Ramblers won 20 and 21 games the last two seasons  and with all FIVE starters back from last year's pandemic-shortened season, Loyola had high expectations this season. Drake opened 18-0 this season in the MVC grabbing the early headlines but Loyola caught and passed the Bulldogs, winning the MVC regular season title and then Arch Madness with a 75-65 victory over Drake. The No. 8-seeded Ramblers then bested 9th-seed Ga tech 70-61 in the first round. Loyola's reward? A date with the regions' No. 1 seed, Illinois (AP's No. 2 team). 

Brad Underwood's first two seasons at Illinois did not go well (14-18 and 12-21) but the Illini went 21-10 in 2019-20, before COVID shut down the season. Illinois opened No. 8 in the preseason poll but by mid-Jan, the Fighting Illini were a modest 9-5 (5-3 in the Big Ten). However, Illinois would end the regular season 20-6, including 16-4 in the Big Ten. It would then capture the Big Ten Tourney (No. 2 seed) for the first time since 2005 and  enter the "Big Dance" as the AP's No. 2 team and with one of the four, No. 1 seeds. The Illini made 'short work' of 16th-seeded Drexel on Friday, winning 78-49.

Loyola is led by 6-9 center Krutwig (14.9 & 6.7), five guards chipping in between 6.8 and 8.6 PPG plus the 6-7 Uguak (7.5 & 4.2) and the 6-8 Welch (5.0 & 2.0) lending Krutwig a hand up front. Krutwig had a modest 10 & 5 in the win over Ga Tech but FOUR of Loyola's starters scored in double digits. Leading the way were Williamson (8.6) with 21 points and Norris (8.4) with 18 points.

Illinois is led by All American guard Dosunmu (20.6-6.5-5.4) and 7-0 All-Big Ten center Cockburn (17.6 & 9.5). The backcourt features veterans like Frazier (10.4), Curbelo (9.1 & 4.1 APG) and Williams (5.6 & 5.4) plus freshman Miller adds 8.3 PPG. The 6-9 Bezhanishvili (5.2 & 2.8) rounds out the main contributors. Dosunmu had 17-11-6 and Cockburn 18 & 5 against Drexel, as Illinois shot 57.1% from the floor, while holding Drexel to 30.6%.

For history buffs, the last time these Illinois schools teams met in the postseason was the 1963 NCAA Tournament, when Loyola won on its way to capturing the school's lone national championship. Is this the season Illinois wins its first-ever NCAA championship? The Illini have been to five Final Fours but have never won it all. Many think this could be the year? Let's NOT look past this game. Yes, Loyola is 25-4 but its LONE game against a top-25 team this season came back on Dec 15 at then-No. 12 Wisconsin. The Ramblers lost that one 77-63 and that margin sounds about right to me in this one!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on BYU at 9:40 ET.

UCLA and Michigan St met Thursday in a First Four game that may just have been, from a status perspective, the best-ever game in First Four history. Michigan St led 44-33 at the half but UCLA 'flipped the script' in the second half, winning it 44-33. UCLA then won 86-80 in OT. The Bruins are in the Big Dance for the 50th time and own 11 national titles but 10 came in the Wooden era (1964-1975). Knocking Tom Izzo's team out of the tourney marked UCLA's first NCAA Tournament win since 2017. The 11th-seeded Bruins (18-9) now take on the 6th-seeded BYU Cougars, who come in at 20-6.

UCLA rallied from a 14-point deficit to eke past Michigan State, led by Jaime Jaquez (27 points) and Johnny Juzang (23)."Maybe Coach's luck was with us," UCLA head coach Mick Cronin said in reference to the legendary John Wooden. "The players really needed this. I'm really, really happy for the guys.". UCLA's 6-9 guard Chris Smith averaged 12.6 points and 6.4 rebounds in UCLA's first eight games but was lost for the season with a knee injury. More recently, the 6-10 Jalen Hill (6.1 & 5.5) has not played since Jan 30 (personal reasons). However, the Bruins still have FIVE players averaging in double digits. PG Campbell (10.3 & 5.6 APG) misses Smith but is still surrounded by "big guards" like the 6-6 Zuzang (14.5 & 4.1), the 6-6 Jaquez (12.3 & 6.0) and the 6-6 Bernard (10.4 & 4.9). Without Hill, it's just the 6-9 Riley (10.2 & 5.2) up front.

Mark Pope had an excellent first season at BYU (came from Utah Valley St), going 24-8 before the shutdown. However, gone from that team are PF Childs (22.2 & 9.0) plus guards Toolson (15.2-4.8-3.9) and Haws (14.0 & 5.8 APG). Despite those losses, BYU has gone 20-6 and one CAN'T ignore the fact that THREE of those losses came to No. 1 and unbeaten 26-0 Gonzaga. Seniors Barcello (15.9-4.7-4.5) and Averette (11.5 & 3.7 APG) are an excellent backcourt duo plus the 7-3 Haarms (Purdue graduate transfer) has chipped in 11.3 & 4.8 on the season. The 6-8 Lohner (7.0 & 7.0), the 6-11 Harward (6.2 & 4.3) and the 6-6 George (5.6 & 3.4) provide excellent depth up front, while guards Knell, Harding and Johnson combine to chip in 17.5 PPG from the perimeter. 

BYU gave Gonzaga a scare in the WCC championship game, making 10 of its first 16 shots to take a 26-19 lead. BYU continued to go right at the Zags, hitting 9 of 13 from beyond the arc to lead 53-41 at halftime. The game was tied at 73-all with about four minutes to go, before the Zags won by 10 points. Note that the Cougars are the last team to beat Gonzaga, 91-78 back on Feb 22, 2020. UCLA was VERY lucky to get past Michigan St and the Bruins enter this game on a 4-11 ATS run their last 15 (that's a 79% "go-against!").

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on UConn at 7:10 ET.

Mark Turgeon coached Wichita St for seven years, before leading Texas A&M to four straight NCAA tournaments in four years going 97-40. He joined Maryland when it was still in the ACC but its move to the Big Ten has been good for the basketball program, as over the previous six seasons the Terps have won 20-plus games in five seasons (exception was a 19-win season), making four NCAA tourneys (would have been five, as Maryland was 24-7 when the season was shut down last year). Maryland did get at-large bid this season (No. 10 seed), despite a mediocre 16-13 overall record (9-11 in the ACC).

UConn moved to the AAC for the 2013-14 season and made an improbable run to the Final Four and won a national championship. However, it has spent the last six seasons going just 110-90, with just two seasons of 20-plus wins and one NCAA tourney appearance. The Huskies have fallen out of the national 'picture' but a return to the Big East this season, along with the hiring of Dan Hurley as its head coach, had expectations running high in Storrs. Hurley spent six seasons at Rhode Island, winning 25 and 26 games in his final two years, ending with NCAA bids. However, he went 14 -19 and 16-17 in his first two seasons with UConn, before going 19-12 in last season's pandemic-shortened one. UConn earned a No. 7 seed by going 15-7 (11-6 in Big East play).

Maryland has nice depth at the guard position, led by Ayala (14.9 & 4.2) and Wiggins (14.0 & 5.9) plus joined by Morsell (9.0 & 4.0) and Hart (7.1 & 3.6). The 6-7 Scott (10.9 & 6.1) and the 6-8 Hamilton (6.8 & 2.4) are the best frontcourt contributors. Bouknight (19.0 & 5.7), Cole (12.3 & 4.4 APG) and Martin (10.7 & 7.3) give UConn a solid backcourt trio, while up front it's three 6-9 players, Whaley (8.1 & 6.1), Polley (7.6 & ) Whaley (9.3 & 6.4) and freshman Sanogo (7.5 & 4.5).

Bouknight's injury cost him a little over a month but he had a 40-point outing as one of his seven, 20-point games in the 14 he played. UConn was 11-3 in those games and I like them here in a "big way!" However, Alabama likely awaits in the Round of 32 and that may just be a 'bridge too far.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on USC at 4:30 ET.

Drake head coach Darian DeVries led the Bulldogs to 24 and 20-win seasons in his first two seasons at Drake but the Bulldogs entered this season as a middle-of-the-pack preseason pick in the MVC. However, Drake opened 18-0 but down the stretch lost TWO of three to MVC rival Loyola-Chicago, including 75-65 in the championship game (Arch Madness). The Bulldogs earned an at-large bid and met Wichita St in a First Four game with the winner advancing as an 11-seed. Drake rallied from 12 points down to edge Wichita St 53-52, snapping its11-game losing streak to Wichita State.

Drake moves on to take on 22-7 USC, which earned a No. 6 seed. Andy Enfield led Florida Gulf Coast to a 26-11 season in his second at the school, making a Sweet 16 appearance. That gave him the chance to "move on up" to USC but his first two seasons were HUGE disappointments (11-21 and 12-20). However, the Trojans won 21-plus games in FOUR of the last five seasons, including a 22-9 mark last season before the shut down. USC saw its top-five scorers leave after the 2020 season but finished 15-5 in this season's Pac 12 race, just behind No. 1 seed Oregon (14-4).

Drake has featured a seven-man rotation for most of this season, led by 6-6 forward Hemphill (14.1 & 6.3). Then there are guards Yesufu (12.1), Penn (11.2-3.3 5.5) and Wilkins (10.6) plus 6-6 forward Murphy (10.2 & 5.2). Guard Sturtz (8.4 & 5.6) and the 6-10 Brodie (7.3 & 7.2) round of the main contributors. All previous noted stats do not include the Wichita St game. Hemphill had been sidelined since Feb 10 with a foot injury and Penn was lost for the season in late-February, as Drake took on Wichita St. Hemphill did not start and played only 10 minutes (three points / four rebounds) plus Wilkins (10.6 PPG on the season) made just 1 of 8 shots scoring three points. Yesufu starred with 21 points, while big men Murphy (11 & 4) and Brodie (9 & 10) had solid games.

I noted that USC lost its top-five scorers from last season but Enfield recruited a "super frosh" in 7-0 freshman Evan Mobley plus brought in SIX transfers. All Evan Mobley did was average 16.8 & 8.6, earning Pac-12 P-O-Y and Defensive P-O-Y honors. He joined his brother Isaiah (a 6-10 sophomore), who has added 9.0 & 7.4. Peterson is a 6-8 swingman from Rice who averages 9.9 & 5.0 plus guards Eaddy (Santa Clara) and White, a grad transfer from Utah Valley St round out the starting-five. Eaddy averages 13.7 PPG and White 7.2. Guard Anderson (6.1) and the 6-9 Goodwin (5.9 & 3.7) contribute off the bench.

USC lost 72-70 in the Pac 12 tourney to Colorado (0-3 vs the Buffs this season) but get a VERY favorable first game in the "Big Dance." Could Enfield be back in the Sweet 16 team with USC, like with Florida Gulf Coast? First things FIRST. Lay the points here.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Iona at 4:00 ET.

Everyone knows The Rick Pitino Saga, who is taking his fifth school to the NCAA Tournament, having previously 'danced' with Boston University, Providence, Kentucky. I guess one's first (BU) always has a special place in one's heart but after all the turmoil Pitino has been through in the last few years, earning an NCAA bid with Iona in his first try, has to be "right up there!" However, Pitino draws a formidable foe in No. 5 Alabama (24-6), which won the SEC's regular-season title and then captured the tournament crown for the first time since 1991. Alabama's No. 2 seed matches the best in program history.

Iona had a 51-day hiatus due to COVID, which the school says sidelined them longer than any team in the country. Iona entered the MAAC tourney just 8-5 (6-3 in league play) but won FOUR games over five days to capture the league's automatic bid. The Gaels are led by an excellent duo of senior guards, Ross (18.4 & 3.8)) and Gist (13.3 & 3.87APG). 6-9 freshman Joseph (11.4 & 7.6), 6-5 JC transfer JeanLouis (8.2 & 5.6), freshman guard Myers (6.1) and 6-9 senior van Eyck (7.3 & 6.5) complete Iona's main contributors.

Alabama head coach Nate Oats was 96-43 at Buffalo, leading the Bulls to three NCAA tourneys in his four years, including going 27-9 and 32-4 in his last two seasons. 'Bama was just 16-15 last season and guard Lewis (18.5-4.8-5.2) left after one year for the NBA but the other four starters returned. A trio of guards all average double digits. That trio is Shackelford (14.2 & 3.8), Quinerly (12.7) and Petty (12.3 & 5.1). Up front, 6-8 senior Jones (11.2 & 6.5) was named SCE P-O-Y and Defensive P.O.Y. plus 6-10 senior Bruner adds 6.1 & 4.2.

Alabama is a 'sexy' Final 4 pick and I won't argue but putting aside all the 'baggage,' Pitino can sure "coach 'em up!" I realize Alabama is the AP's 5th-ranked team (not a member of the MAAC) but in Iona's four tourney wins, the Gaels held their opponents to 53.8 PPG on 34.6% shooting. I'm taking the HUGE points!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Daytime Dominator is on Colorado at 12:15 ET.

Patrick Ewing put Georgetown basketball on the map in the 1980s when as a player he took the Hoyas to three national title games and one NCAA championship. Ewing returned to coach his alma mater four years ago and his first three seasons saw the Hoyas go just 49-46. Not much was expected this season either, as FOUR starters were lost from last year's team. The Hoyas were just 9-12 overall and at 7-9 in the Big East, entered the Big East tourney as its 8th seed. Four winds over four days later, the 13-12 Hoyas were conference champs. They took down then-No. 14 Villanova 72-71 in their second game plus capped their run by routing then-No. 17 Creighton 73-48 in the title game. Georgetown is a No. 12 seed in the "Big Dance" and opens against No. 5 seed Colorado.

Tad Boyle is in his 11th season at Colorado and despite losing the 6-7 Tyler Bey (13.8 & 9.0) to the NBA (he played center for the Buffs), the good news was that PG Wright flirted with the NBA draft but returned to Boulder for his senior season. The Buffs were 20-7 and their 14-6 Pac-12 record got them a No. 3 seed in the tourney. Colorado edged a poor Cal team and then beat USC 72-70 to reach the Pac 12 tourney game. However, the Buffs (-8.5) were upset 70-68 by Oregon St. This marks Boyle's first NCAA appearance, when Colorado had been to four NCAA tourneys in a five-year span.

Ewing features a six-man rotation led by guards Blair (15.8-3.8-3.7), Harris (8.0-3.4-3.2) and Cary (7.6) plus a frontcourt that features the 6-11 Wahab (12.4 & 8.0), the 6-9 Pickett (12.3 & 7.4) and the 6-7 Bile (10.2 & 5.1). Guards Blair (15.3) and Harris (11.8 & 4.8) plus big men Wahab (14.3 & 8.3) and Pickett (10.3 & 6.3) had excellent Big East tourneys. As expected, PG Wright (15.5-4.3-5.6) is the team leader and is surrounded by veterans, such as the 6-8 Battey (10.2 & 5.4), the 6-7 Walker (7.7 & 4.4) and the 7-0 Walton (6.6 & 3.0) up front. Backcourt 'helpers' for Wright are Schwartz (8.9 & 4.0), Daniels (5.4) and Parquet (5.2).

Only seven players log significant minutes for the Hoyas, while the Buffs can go 10-deep. Georgetown won a shorter rotation in the Big East tourney but this is Boyle's best team at Colorado. The Buffs came oh-so-close to winning the Pac-12 tourney and their No. 5 seed is the highest the program has earned in the modern era. Let's NOT forget that Georgetown was a 9-12 team before its 'miracle' run in the Big East tourney. Ewing's team 'falls back to earth' hard in this one.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Clemson at 9:20 ET.

Steve Pikiell spent 11 years at Stony Brook, winning 20-plus games in his final five seasons. He led the Seawolves to an NCAA berth in 2015-16 and a 26-7 record. His first three seasons at Rutgers saw the Scarlet Knights go just 15-18, 15-19 and 14-17. However, Rutgers was 20-11 last season before the year was shut down. Rutgers jumped out to a 6-0 start this season but was only 9-11 over its last 20, giving them a 15-11 record . The Scarlet Knights enter as a No. 10 seed, returning to the NCAAs for the first time in 30 years. "It's a chance to dance," Steve Pikiell said. "It's a good time to be a Scarlet Knight."

Clemson head coach Brad Brownell is in his 11th season and after a 9-1 start his Tigers were 16-7 on Selection Sunday. Clemson won SIX of its last eight games but lost to No. 13 seed Miami in its ACC tournament opener last week. However, despite that defeat, the Tigers earned a higher seed than ACC tournament champion Georgia Tech and received the third-highest seed among the league's seven NCAA Tournament teams. Clemson earned a No. 7 seed and is making its third NCAA Tournament appearance under Brownell. The last time the Tigers made the NCAA Tournament (2018), they advanced to the Sweet 16 before losing to Kansas.

Rutgers has a STRONG backcourt. Harper (15.4 & 5.9) was a third-team All-Big Ten pick and is complemented by Young (14.4 & 3.5 APG), Baker (10.1-3.2-3.1), Mathis (8.5) and Mulcahy (5.8). The 6-11 Johnson (8.3 & 8.7) has been solid all season inside plus 6-11 freshman Omoruyi (4.0 & 4.0) has returned from a knee injury but hasn't quite looked the same as prior to that injury.

Clemson is led by 6-6 senior forward Aamir Simms (a second-team All-ACC selection), who paced the Tigers this season in scoring (13.3), rebounding (6.2) and assists (2.7). He gets help up front from the 6-8 Tyson (7.4 & 4.3) and the 6-10 Baehere (4.4 & 3.2). Guards Honor (8.4), Trapp (7.0 & 5.4) and Hemenway (4.7) comprise Clemson's backcourt trio of contributors.

Clemson looks so-so on paper but note that the Tigers own wins over two teams that won conference championships, Alabama (AP No. 5 and a No. 2 seed) and Morehead State. which shocked Belmont in the OCV tourney title game. Also, Clemson bested Big Ten opponents Purdue (a No. 4 seed) and Maryland (a No. 10 seed). Clemson allows just 61.8 PPG (12th) and ends Rutgers first trip to the Big Dance in 30 years after ONE game!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on Purdue at 7:25 ET.

North Texas won the C-USA's regular season title last year at 14-4 but the Mean Green ended this year's regular season with THREE consecutive losses. They entered the tourney at 9-5 in league play, leaving them with the West's No. 3 seed but won FOUR games in four days to capture the tourney title and an NCAA automatic bid. The 17-9 Mean Green earned a No. 13 seed, the highest seed in program history, after capturing the Conference USA tournament title with a 61-57 victory in overtime against Western Kentucky. Purdue's Matt Painter is in his 16th season with the Boilermakers but his team was just 16-14 last season, coming off a four-year run of averaging 27.3 wins per season. However, after a modest 7-5 start this season, Purdue won 11 of its final 15 games and at 18-9, earned a No. 4 seed.

North Texas is making its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2010. PG Hamlet (15.0-3.3-4.5) and fellow guard Reese (10.8 & 4.5) join plus frontcourt players Simmons (10.3 & 6.2) and Bell (10.3 & 5.7) in double figures. Those four continued to lead the way in North Texas' four-game tourney run, as Hamlet (18.5-6.5-7.0) was named C-USA tournament MVP while Simmons (10.8 & 5.8) was named to the all-tournament team. Bell added 10.3 & 5.3) plus Reese 10.8 & 4.5.

Purdue had its five-game winning streak snapped with a hard-fought 87-78 overtime loss to Ohio State in the quarterfinals of the Big Ten tournament but this team has improved game-by-game over the season. The 6-10 Williams, a first-team All-Big Ten selection, leads Purdue in scoring (15.6) and rebounding (9.0). He's supported by a well-balanced group of FIVE others who chip in between 8.3 and 10.5 PPG. The group includes guards Ivey (10.5 & 3.4), Stefanovic (9.3), Hunter (8.8) and Newman (8.3 & 3.6), plus 7-3 freshman Edey (9.0 & 4.5). The 6-6 Gillis (5.1 & 3.9) and the 6-9 Wheeler (3.9 & 4.6) also help Williams up front. Williams was terrific with 26 points, 14 rebounds and five assists in the loss to Ohio St, while Ivey added 19 points

"When you have to win four games in four days and the last one is against a program like Western Kentucky who we have the utmost respect for as a team, as a staff and as a program with history, we knew it was going to be a fight," North Texas head coach Grant McCasland said. "We came here, despite losing three straight and having to win four games in four days, with the expectation we were going to win. So we're going to go to the NCAA Tournament with the expectation to win." That sounds great but North Texas got a bad 'draw' in Purdue. The Boilermakers are not exactly playing at home but playing at Lucas Oils Stadium, where the Big Ten tourney was just played, doesn't hurt. Purdue could have easily beaten Ohio St and this team has a deep 'well' of talent led by the outstanding Williams and coached by Painter, who led the Boilermakers to SIX straight NCAA tourneys. His last three tourney trips have led to two Sweet 16 appearances and an Elite 8 one. First things FIRST. Purdue wins this one "with room to spare!"

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Cleveland St at 7:15 ET.

No one should have been surprised by what Kelvin Sampson has done at Houston, after successful stops at Washington St, Oklahoma and Indiana. His first Houston team went 13-19 (2014-15) but FIVE straight 20-win seasons followed. The Cougars won 27 (2017-18) and 33 (2018-19) games, before going 23-8 in last season's pandemic shortened one. Houston took another step forward this season by winning the AAC tourney with a blowout 91-54 victory over Cincinnati, after losing the previous two seasons in the title game to the Bearcats. 24-3 Houston heads into the "Big Dance" ranked No. 6 in the nation while earning a No. 2 seed.

Waiting for the Cougars will be 19-7 Cleveland St, after its three-game run to the Horizon League tourney title. Cleveland St last made the "Big Dance" back in 2009 and the school's only other appearance was the 1986 team which famously upset Bobby Knight's Indiana team and reached the Sweet 16. How 'sweet' is this year's NCAA appearance for the Vikings, coming on the heels of FIVE straight losing seasons of nine, nine, 12, 10 and 11 wins? 

Cleveland State head coach Dennis Gates, a two-time Horizon League Coach of the Year honoree in as many seasons, led the Vikings into the Horizon League tournament as the top seed and capped it by defeating Oakland 80-69 in the championship game. Cleveland St features a solid group of four guards in the starting lineup, led by 6-5 senior Patton, who leads in scoring (14.9) and rebounding (8.0). Joining him in the starting lineup are fellow guards Hodge (10.5 & 3.7), Gomillion (10.5 & 5.2) and Beaudion (9.6 & 3.4 APG) plus the 6-9 Johnson (5.5 & 5.4). 6-8 senior Eichelberger averaged a modest 5.5 & 3.3 in 15 regular season games but averaged 10.0 PPG in the team's three tourney games.

Houston guards Grimes (18.0 & 6.0), Sasser (13.7) and Jarreau (11.0-5.5-4.4) are the 'big dogs,' while freshman Mark (8.1) adds depth. The best frontcourt player is the 6-7 Gorham (8.6 & 9.0). However, Houston wins with a defense allowing 57.6 PPG (1st) on 37.0% shooting (also 1st), including 27.4% on threes (4th). Grimes was the American Athletic Conference Co-Player of the Year, guard Jarreau (Defensive Player of the Year) and forward Gorham (Most Improved Player). 

However, in the NCAA Tournament upsets happen, and Sampson is aware that taking opportunities for granted is a dangerous endeavor. Cleveland State will always own a place in NCAA Tournament lore as a March Madness darling because of its magical run to the Sweet 16 in 1986. The Vikings became the first 14 seed to advance to the second weekend by upsetting the third-seeded Hoosiers before ousting St. Joseph's in the second round. Cleveland State then fell to Navy, and future NBA Hall of Fame center David Robinson, to end their memorable run.

"Win one for the Gipper" is one of the more famous sports quotes but how about "Win one for Kevin Mackey?" He coached Cleveland St in its magical 1986 tourney run and with some of his several low moments of his life having been made public, it's be nice to hear his name mentioned again, which it would be, if the Vikings pull an upset. That may be a 'bridge too far" but taking about three 'TDs' is not!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on North Carolina at 7:10 ET.

Wisconsin has had a terrific basketball program for decades and Greg Gard is in his sixth season at Madison, having had FOUR 20-win seasons in his first five. Wisconsin was ranked 7th in the AP's preseason poll and began the season with FIVE seniors starters. The Badgers were 13-4 (7-3 Big Ten) in late January but really stumbled down the stretch. They lost EIGHT of their final 12 games but didn't fall out of the top25 until the March 8th poll (second-to-last).

North Carolina's legendary head coach Roy Williams came off a 14-19 season last year in which North Carolina players lost 99 games to injury. The Tar Heels opened No. 16 in the AP's preseason poll but never lived up to their preseason ranking, falling out in Dec 28th's poll and never returned. North Carolina did play better down the stretch winning SIX of nine and will enter the "Big Dance" at 18-10 and with an 8-seed (Wisconsin is seeded 9th).

Wisconsin's FIVE seniors are guards Trice (13.7-3.4-4.0) and Davison (9.4 & 3.4) plus the 6-10 Potter (12.8 & 5.9), the 6-8 Ford (8.7 & 4.2) and the 6-11 Reuvers (8.2 & 3.2). 6-5 freshman Davis (7.0 & 4.1) and 6-9 sophomore Wahl (5.3 & 4.5) have both been regular contributors. North Carolina's strength is its depth. SEVEN players are making contributions. Up front it's the 6-10 Bacot (12.2 & 8.0), the 6-10 Brooks (10.2 & 6.8) and the 6-11 Sharpe (9.7 & 7.8), while the backcourt goes four-deep. The group includes Love (10.5 & 3.6 APG), Davis (8.6), Walton (8.2) and Black (5.3 & 5.0).

The Badgers enter the NCAAs having FOUR of their last five games but each of their four losses came to a nationally ranked opponent. The lone victory was a one-point decision against Penn State in last week's Big Ten tournament. That said, this Wisconsin team just hasn't looked good for about the last SIX weeks. Meanwhile, North Carolina had averaging 91.0 PPG in a three-game winning streak before running into Florida St. Wisconsin is one of only FIVE schools selected for the NCAA Tournament 21 times across a 22-year span but the Badgers stay in the 2021 tourney won't last past Friday.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Daytime Dominator is on Va Tech at 12:15 ET.

14-9 Florida earned a No. 7 seed and will take on 15-6 Virginia Tech (No. 10 seed) in the opening game of the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Friday in Indianapolis. Both Florida and Va Tech are in the "Big Dance" for the fourth consecutive time but the two schools are meeting for the first time since 1991. It marks Florida's 21st NCAA appearance (Gators won back-to-back national titles in 2006 and 2007) and the Hokies are 'dancing' for the 12th time.

Mike White took over in Gainesville after Billy Donovan took the job with OKC in the NBA and won 20-plus games his first four seasons. The team was 19-12 when last year's season was shut down and COVID issues have limited the Gators to just 23 games this season. 6-5 SF Johnson 14.0 & 7.1 LY) was the SEC's preseason P-O-Y was lost just FOUR games into this season. Of the six players averaging 20-plus minutes, FOUR are guards. Tre Mann (16.0-5.7-3.4) leads a backcourt that also features Appleby (11.4-3.0-3.3), Locke (10.4) and Lewis (7.9). The 65-11 Castleton (12.0 & 5.9) and the 6-7 Duruji (5.9 & 4.3). The Gators have dropped THREE of their last four games, losing to Missouri and twice to Tennessee. The lone win came in the SEC tourney when they beat Vandy, who at 3-13, finished last in the 14-team conference

Va Tech head coach Mike Young is in his second season with the school, after a record-setting 17-year tenure as the head coach at Wofford. Young built the Terriers into one of the Southern Conference's preeminent programs and a perennial NCAA Tournament participant. He guided Wofford to five NCAA Tournament berths over his last 10 seasons and five Southern Conference championships. The Hokies were just 16-16 overall in Young's first season at Blacksburg, losing almost two-thirds of their ACC games (7-13). However, despite fighting COVID-19 protocols, Va Tech was 15-5 and earned the ACC's third-seed (9-4) in the tourney. Landers Nolley was selected to the ACC All-Freshman Team in leading the Hokies in scoring (15.5 PPG) last season but after the season he announced he was transferring to Memphis. More bad news came when the 6-6 Horne (7.6 & 4.2) also transferred. Sophomore guard Tyrece Radford (10.2 & 6.2) was both the team's leading returning scorer AND rebounder! Radford has averaged 11.9 & 6.1 and the 6-9 Alleyne (10.3) has made excellent progress in his sophomore season. Two 6-7 transfers start up front. The 6-7 Keve Aluma (15.6 & 8.0) followed Young from Wofford and is Va Tech's best player this season, while 6-7 Delaware transfer Justyn Mutts (9.6 & 6.5) has been solid. Returning guards Cone (9.2) and Cottoor (8.4) have both been solid.

Virginia Tech had five games canceled over the final month of the regular season and ended up playing just TWICE in a 38-day span leading up to its 81-73 loss to North Carolina in the Atlantic Coast Conference quarterfinals on March 11. That said, the Hokies have a much better frontcourt than the Gators and while Mann will be the game's best guard, Va Tech's overall backcourt matches up well against Florida's. The Hokies have spent the last 13 weeks ranked in the AP's top-25 poll, while the Gators never ONCE cracked the top-25. That makes this game a toss-up? NOT!

Good luck...Larry

 My 10* First Four Game of the Year is on Michigan St at 9:57 ET.

The NCAA announced that the tournament would expand to 68 teams with four "Play-In Games" beginning with the 2011 tournament. The 2021 First Four will feature a matchup of two teams that historically speaking, are more accustomed to Final Fours than play-in games. 17-9 UCLA and 15-12 Michigan State will square off Thursday night in a battle for the East's No. 11 seed from Mackey Arena, the home to Purdue basketball. UCLA (in its 50th NCAA tournament) owns 11 NCAA titles but all but one came back in the John Wooden era (10 wins in a 12-year span from 1964 to 1975). Michigan State extended its streak to 23 straight NCAA Tournaments, the fourth-longest in NCAA history behind Kansas (31 from 1990-2021), North Carolina (27 from 1975-2001 and Duke (24, from 1996-2019). Michigan State (34th all-time appearance) has made 10 trips to the Final Four (first in 1957 and most recently in 2019), winning national titles in 1979 and 2000.

Mick Cronin coached at Cincinnati for 13 seasons, leading the Bearcats to the "Big Dance" in each of his last nine years, while averaging 26.1 wins per season in that span. His first year as UCLA's head coach ended 19-12, including a 12-6 Pac-12 record (season was shut down last March). This year's team enters 17-9, after losing their last four games. UCLA's 6-9 guard Chris Smith averaged 12.6 points and 6.4 rebounds in UCLA's first eight games but was lost for the season with a knee injury. More recently, the 6-10 Jalen Hill (6.1 & 5.5) has not played since Jan 30 (personal reasons). However, the Bruins still have FIVE players averaging in double digits. PG Campbell (10.5 & 5.6 APG) misses Smith but is still surrounded by "big guards" like the 6-6 Zuzang (14.0 & 4.1), the 6-6 Jaquez (11.7 & 6.0) and the 6-6 Bernard (10.4 & 4.8). Without Hill, it's just the 6-9 Riley (10.2 & 5.2) up front.

Tom Izzo took over at Michigan St to open the 1995-96 season and his first 23 23 straight NCAA appearance began in his third year at East Lansing. He's been to EIGHT Final Fours but has won just once, back in 2000. The Spartans spent much of the last month of the regular season sweating over their NCAA Tournament chances but in the end, 'snuck in!' The 6-6 Henry leads Michigan St in scoring (15.3), rebounding (5.7) and assists (3.5) and is joined in the frontcourt by the 6-9 Hauser (9.7 & 5.7), the 6-7 Brown (7.2 & 2.8) and the 6-7 Hall (4.8 & 4.1). The starting guards are Langford (9.6 & 3.4) and Watts (7.7).

UCLA stumbled terribly down the stretch, not just losing its last four games but going a pathetic 3-11 ATS over its 14 previous games. As for Michigan St, the Spartans were just 10-9 after a Feb 16 loss at Purdue, but would go 5-2 over its final seven regular-season games, including THREE wins over teams ranked in the top-five at the time. Yes, MSU lost to Maryland in the Big Ten tourney but compared to the way UCLA stumbled down the stretch, the Spartans look like Gonzaga! If one believes in omens, they could be note that the Bruins last won an NCAA tournament game in 2017 when they defeated Cincinnati, then coached by current UCLA coach Mick Cronin. Sounds cute but I'm NOT 'buying' this UCLA bunch. Izzo and the Spartans move on to face BYU.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Wichita St at 6:27 ET.

Both Drake and Wichita St were thrilled to get at-large berths in this year's NCAA tourney and will square off tonight from Mackey Arena (home to Purdue's Boilermakers) in one of four First Four contests (winner enters the 1st round as an 11-seed. Drake raced to a 18-0 start this season and finished 25-4, with TWO of its four losses coming to MVC rival Loyola-Chicago, which won the regular season and tourney titles this season (the Ramblers are 24-4 and ranked 17th in the AP's final regular season poll). Wichita State got the No. 1 seed for the American Athletic Conference tourney at 9-2, over highly-ranked Houston, which was 14-3. However, when the Shockers lost to Cincinnati in the semifinals of Arch Madness, they were squarely "on the bubble'" for Selection Sunday.

Drake head coach Darian DeVries led the Bulldogs to 24 and 20-win seasons in his first two seasons at Drake but the Bulldogs entered this season as a middle-of-the-pack preseason pick in the MVC. However, as noted, opened 18-0. Drake has featured a seven-man rotation for most of this season, led by 6-6 forward Hemphill (14.1 & 6.3). Then there are guards Yesufu (12.1), Penn (11.2-3.3 5.5) and Wilkins (10.6) plus 6-6 forward Murphy (10.2 & 5.2). Guard Sturtz (8.4 & 5.6) and the 6-10 Brodie (7.3 & 7.2) round of the main contributors. However, Hemphill has been sidelined since Feb 10 with a foot injury and Penn was lost for the season in late-February.

Wichita St's season was marred before it got started, as head coach Gregg Marshall resigned after multiple allegations of verbal and physical abuse spanning years on November 17, 2020. Marshall's success started at Winthrop (seven NCAA berths in nine years) and continued at Wichita St, winning the NIT title in 2011 then winning 30-plus games in three straight seasons, including a Final 4 appearance in 2013. Lead assistant Isaac Brown was named interim head coach and the Shockers were picked seventh in a preseason poll. Brown had to smooth over a contentious locker room frustrated by interactions involving Marshall and the uncertainty created by the offseason departure of six players. However, he's done just that. The Shockers are a deep team this season, led by a quartet of guards in Etienne (17.0), UConn transfer Gilbert (10.3-3.1-4.1) and Dennis (9.4 & 4.3) and Council (7.5 & 3.5). The top frontcourt performers are the 6-8 Udeze (9.8 & 4.7), the 6-6 Wade (6.8 & 5.6) and 6-7 JUCO transfer Jackson (5.3 & 4.3).

The word is the Drake's Hemphill will play in tonight's game but he hasn't played in any of the Bulldogs' last 10 games (anyone's guess as to his effectiveness)."When I first took the job, those (players) had come here to play for a Hall of Fame coach," Brown said. "I wasn't sure who was going to come back. We had a couple guys that talked about opting out. The first meeting, all I talked about was the staff and how we were going to give those guys 110 percent every day." The respect and affection Brown gained could be seen in two responses captured on video -- the first when players learned their coach signed his new five-year deal and the second when the Shockers erupted making the NCAA Tournament. The berth is the EIGHTH for Wichita State in the last nine NCAA tournaments. Drake is is the WRONG place at the WRONG time!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* NIT 1st Round Game of the Year is on Western Ky at 9:00 ET.

The 2021 NIT is down to just 16 teams, down from its usual number of 32. Much like the NCAA Tournament, the NIT will also be held in a single area as the event will be held in the cities of Frisco and Denton, Texas. The 20-7 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the 14-9 St Mary’s Gaels meet in an NIT first round matchup from the Comerica Center (Frisco) on Wednesday night.

Western Ky's head coach Rick Stansberry spent 14 seasons at Miss St going to 11 postseasons, including five NCAAs. He came to Western Ky back in the 2016-17 season and entered the current season off three consecutive 20-wins seasons (67-35 overall) and had all FIVE starters returning. 6-11 center Bassey (17.7 & 11.5) is a dominant force but his only help upfront is from 6-5 SF Williams (7.5 & 5.3). However, the Hilltoppers have excellent depth on the perimeter with Hollingsworth (13.6), Anderson (9.2 & 4.0), Rawls (8.0), Frampton (7.4) and PG McKnight (5.9-3.7-3.9). The Hilltoppers finished with an 11-3 mark in C-USA play to finish atop the C-USA East division. They beat UTSA and UAB in the conference tourney but lost the title game in OT to North Texas.

Randy Bennett has been head coach at St Mary's since the 2001-02 season and entered this season with a 440-1982 (.707) record. The Gaels posted their 13th season of 20-plus wins last year, as they were 26-8 when COVID shut things down. Would the Gaels have gotten an NCAA bid? Bennett and his various teams know all about NCAA snubs, as SIX times in the previous 12 seasons, his team had been denied an NCAA bid despite seasons of 28, 25, 23, 21, 29 and 30 wins. No Kidding! Gone from last season's team are guard Ford (21,9) and forward Fitts (16.5 & 7.1). The Gaels never got in a groove in a season marred by COVID postponements. Guards Johnson (13.5) and Kuhse (12.6-3.7-4.8) comprise a solid backcourt, while the 6-10 Tass (10.8 & 5.2) and the 6-7 Futu (8.4 & 5.1) are the team's best frontcourt contributors. St Mary's was 11-5 when the Gaels were forced to the sidelines, not playing a game from Jan 24 through Feb 12. The Gaels would finish on a 3-4 run, including a win and a loss in the WCC tourney.

Saint Mary’s is a small favorite here on name-recognition only. This year's team is nowhere near in the class of last season's 26-win one, with the loss of Jordan Ford and Malik Fitts from last year’s team. Western Ky is the better team and owns the best (most dominant) player on the court in Bassey. Points are nothing but a bonus, as Western Ky wins handedly!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* Conference Game of the Year (A-10 Tourney) is on St Bonaventure at 1:00 ET.

The VCU Rams returned just one starter from last season but is in the A-10 championship game with a 19-6 record (is the No. 2 seed at 10-4 during the regular season). In contrast, the St. Bonaventure Bonnies returned all five starters and earned the league's No. 1 seed with an 11-4 A-10 regular season record. Like VCU, St Bonny's has won two tourney games and enters this title-game matchup with a 15-4 overall record. The schools split two regular season matchups (each won at home) but this game will be played at the University of Dayton Arena in Ohio. The A-10 has an odd tourney format, as the semifinals were played a week ago Saturday (Mar 6), meaning both schools have had a full week off since they last played.

Mike Rhoades came to VCU  prior to the start of the 2017-218 season and a win here will get him and his team into their second NCAA tourney in his four-year tourney (2018-19 team won 28 games). SG Hyland was the team's lone returning starter and he's led the way all season averaging 19.4 & 4.7). The sophomore is joined by freshman PG Baldwin (6.8-3.2-4.4). The Rams get production from four frontcourt players, the 6-6 Williams (10.6 & 5.1), the 6-7 Watkins (7.4 & 2.7), the 6-8 Stockard (6.6 & 2.4) and the 6-9 Ward (6.5 & 5.2).

Mark Schmidt has been at St Bonny's since the 2007-08 season and a win here would mark just his THIRD trip to the "Big Dance " (made it in 2012 and 2018). Expectations were high for the Bonnies with those FIVE returning starters and that group has all averaged in double figures. The 6-10 Osunniyi (10.3 & 9.3) is joined by four guards. PG Lofton (14.2-3.5-5.5) leads the way, followed by Holmes (13.8 & 5.3), Addaway (12.4 & 6.1) and Welch (11.6 & 6.2). Note that other than PG Lofton, the other three guards all average between 5.3 and 6.2 PRPG (impressive!).

St Bonny's is the more balanced team and veteran team, as all five starters are juniors. In contrast, VCU's starting backcourt features a sophomore and freshman (its PG). I give an edge to the more experienced team off this one week layoff plus the LONE player for the Rams to average more than double digits in the team's two cA-10 tourney wins has been Hyland (21.0 PPG / 7.5 RPG). Meanwhile, all five of St Bonny's players have averaged in double digits in the tourney (just like the regular season), led in scoring by Addaway's 14.5 PPG, in rebounding by Osunniyi's 9.5 RPG and by the outstanding overall play of PG Lofton (11.5-7.5-5.5).

All things considered, the 'price' seems like a bargain!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Oddsmaker's Error is on Western Ky at 9:00 ET.

The 20-6 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the 16-9 North Texas Mean Green meet in the Conference USA championship game from the Ford Center (Evansville, In) on Saturday night. That Western Ky is here is no surprise, as the Hilltoppers returned all five starters from last year's 20-10 team but North Texas making it this far is a surprise. Yes, North Texas won the C-USA's regular season title last year at 14-4 but the Mean Green ended this year's regular season with THREE consecutive losses. They entered the tourney at 9-5 in league play, leaving them with the West's No. 3 seed. Western Ky owned the league's best record (11-3) and was the East's No. 1 seed.

Five players on North Texas have participated in all 25 games, a trio of guards and the 6-6 Bell (10.4 & 5.6) and the 6-10 Simmons (10.3 & 6.2). The guards are leading scorer Hamlet (14.8-3.3-4.5), Reese (11.0 & 4.3) and McBride (7.0). Western KY's 6-11 center Bassey (17.9 & 11.5) is a dominant force but his only help upfront is from 6-5 SF Williams (7.5 & 5.4). However, the Hilltoppers have excellent depth on the perimeter with Hollingsworth (13.9, Anderson (9.0 & 4.0), Rawls (7.9), Frampton (7.6) and McKnight (6.0-3.8-4.0).

Stepping up in three straight wins for North Texas has been Hamlet (18.0 PPG), plus frontcourt players Bell (11.7 & 4.0) and Simmons (10.3 & 6.0). However, Western Ky's Bassey has dominated in the Hilltoppers two tourney wins, averaging 21.5 & 8.0, while PG McKnight has really come through (11.0-5.0-6.0)! North Texas and Western Ky were scheduled to play Feb 20 and 22 at Denton, Tx but those games were postponed and never made up. The two schools now meet with the C-USA's automatic bid on the line (no at-large bid coming for the loser). North Texas is playing its FOURTH game in as many days and will now have to beat the league's best team during the regular season, one which owns the league's best play (Bassey) and owns 11 wins in its last 13 (one loss at now-No. 7 Houston in a non-conference game and a two-point loss to Old Dominion. Not sure why this game is basically a pick'em? With a salute to Jim McDaniels (star of Western Ky's 1971 Final 4 team), I'll take Western Ky!

Good luck...Larry

My CBB 10* Game of the Month is on Florida St at 8:30 ET.

Ga Tech head coach Josh Pastner is in his fifth season with the Yellow Jackets, after SEVEN years at Memphis. His first four seasons did not go well (just 65-67) and the Yellow Jackets opened this season 0-2, losing home games to Ga State and Mercer. However, the Yellow Jackets finished the regular season 15-8, including 11-6 in the ACC. Think that's NOT a big deal. The Yellow Jackets were more than three games above .500 in ACC play for the first time in 25 years (March 3, 1996)!! "We've now learned how to win," Pastner said. The Yellow Jackets have recorded a winning record in ACC regular-season play in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 1989 and 1990."That's 30 years," Pastner added. "That's a great accomplishment for this program, for this team." The Yellow Jackets (No. 4 seed) got a bye into the quarterfinals, where they drew 13th-seeded Miami, off an upset of Clemson. Ga Tech was unimpressive in a 70-66 win but the Yellow Jackets were then able to advance to the ACC championship game when top-seeded UVA dropped out of the tourney on Friday (COVID strikes again!).

Waiting for Ga Tech will be No. 15 Florida St (ACC's No. 2 seed). Florida State was supposed to play Duke in Thursday's quarterfinals but Duke dropped out due to a positive test in the team's program. FSU advanced to take on red-hot UNC, which entered Friday's game averaging 91.0 PPG over a three-game winning streak. Florida State squandered a 13-point lead, then rallied from five down midway through the second half to grind out a 69-66 win. Anthony Polite hit the go-ahead three-pointer with 2:06 left and the 7-1 Koprivica had career highs of 17 points and 11 rebounds for his second career double-double.

Ga Tech lacks depth but has a solid five-man rotation. Returning PG Alvarado (15.4-3.5-4.2) and SG Devoe (14.9-4.4-3.3) have been excellent plus returning 6-9 big man Wright leads in scoring (17.5) and rebounding (8.0). 6-7 USC transfer Usher (11.3 & 4.2) helps out up front plus VMI transfer Parham (6.8) adds to the team's backcourt depth. The 6-7 Moore (4.6 & 3.1) is the lone reserve making any real contributions.

FSU entered this season losing three key players from last year's 26-5 team (more in a bit). PG Forrest (11.6-4.4-4.0), SG Vassell (12.7 & 5.1) and 6-7 swingman Williams (9.7 & 4.0), who were all chosen in the NBA draft. However, guard MJ Walker is back and leads with 12.9 PPG. He's surrounded by a talented and deep group. The 6-8 Gray (12.1 & 6.8) and 6-9 freshman Barnes (10.5-4.3-4.3) join Walker in double digits plus guard Polite (9.4 & 4.4) and the 7-1 Koprivica (9.2 & 5.7) aren't far behind. Guards Calhoun (6.0) and Evans (5.8) plus the 6-9 Osborne (5.6 & 4.5) give this team a deep bench.

Is Ga Tech and Pastner really ready for "primetime?" The Yellow Jackets have reached the ACC title game by beating only a Miami-Fla team that ended the regular season 4-15 in ACC play and 10-17, overall. AND, that "W" came by just FOUR points! Meanwhile. FSU just held a red-hot North Carolina team (averaging 91 PPG its last three) to 66 points on 33.8% shooting on Friday. As for the Seminoles, Florida St head coach Leonard Hamilton has built a championship-caliber program in Tallahassee, one that had produced the THIRD most victories among ACC schools heading into the current season, behind only Duke and Virginia since 2016. The Seminoles were 26-5 and poised to make a Final Four run before the postseason was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic last year. Could this year "be the year?" FSU couldn't ask for a better title-game matchup. 

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on Texas at 6:00 ET.

The top two seeds are out of contention in the Big 12 Conference tournament. Top-seed Baylor (No.2 in the AP) was upset last night 83-74 by No. 12 Oklahoma St (No. 5 seed), while No. 11 Kansas (No. 2 seed) dropped out of the tourney due to COVID protocols before its game with No. 13 Texas (No. 3 seed). Cade Cunningham, who many (most) expect to be the NBA's No. 1 pick in the 2021 Draft, ignited a second-half comeback to KO Baylor. Cunningham (19.8 & 6.5) scored 25 points, his sixth game this season with at least 25. As he has been all season, Avery Anderson (11.8 & 4.0) was a strong wing man with 20 points. Those are the ONLY two double digit scorers for the Cowboys but Cunningham and Co. enter this contest having won EIGHT of their last nine games.

Shaka Smart has not led Texas to the kind of success the Longhorn faithful had hoped for and in fact, Texas was in the tournament semifinals for the first time since 2014. The Longhorns were scheduled to meet Kansas for a time this season but the red-hot Jayhawks (winners of EIGHT of nine) but the Jayhawks were forced to withdraw. Would the Longhorns have beaten the Jayhawks for a THIRD straight time? We'll never know. What we do know is that Texas owns an excellent backcourt trio in Andrew Jones (14.7 & 4.7), Ramey (13.0-3.3-4.0) and Coleman (12.7-3.6-4.2) plus a more than solid frontcourt with the 6-9 Brown (10.0 & 6.6), the 6-10 Sims (8.7 & 6.8) and the 6-11 Kai Jones (8.6 & 4.9).

Texas has needed to win just ONE game to reach this year's Big 12 championship game, so just maybe, this is Shaka's time to finally earn a MUCH-needed "big win" as Texas' head coach. Trust me, Texas winning the NIT title in 2019 DOESN'T count! History reveals that at 0-6, the Longhorns have lost more Big 12 championship games than any other team and are taking aim at becoming the first team from the state of Texas to win the event since the league began in 1996-97. The time and place is NOW. Catching Oklahoma St off its upset of Baylor doesn't hurt.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Revenge Rout is on San Diego St at 6:00 ET.

The MWC championship game features San Diego St and Utah St for a THIRD consecutive season. Craig Smith came from South Dakota St prior to the 2018-19 season and his team went 28-7 and 26-8 the last two years, beating San Diego St 64-57 in 2019 and 59-56 last year in the title game. San Diego St went 14-3 during the regular season to claim the no. 1 seed, despite losing both games to Utah St (in Logan back on Jan 14 and 16). Utah St captured the No. 2 seed at 15-4 and both schools have advanced to Saturday's championship game with two wins. SD St is 22-4 overall (ranked 19th in the AP poll) and Utah St is 20-7 (unranked but must be confident with its recent history against the Aztecs).

The 7-0 Queta leads Utah St in scoring (14.8) and rebounding (10.0) and is joined up front by the 6-7 bean (11.2 & 7.2). Guards Anthony (10.2-4.8-3.0), Worster (9.4-3.7-3.6) and Miller (9.0) complete an 'Iron-Five' that all play 27-plus minutes per game. SDSU has five seniors among its top-six contributors, with the 6-10 Mensah (8.2 & 6.0) being the exception (he's a junior). The 6-6 forward Mitchell (15.4 & 5.5) and guard Schakel (14.5 & 4.4) are the lone double digit scorers but guards Gomez (8.8) and Pullman (7.1-3.0-3.5) plus the 6-9 Tomaic (4.6 & 3.4) all contribute.

Smith's done a great job at Utah St but has a ways to go to match SDSU's Brian Dutcher. Dutcher has more than 30 years of coaching experience, including 18 seasons as an assistant to Steve Fisher, first at Michigan and then at San Diego St. Dutcher joined then-interim coach Fisher in 1989 when Michigan won the national championship. Dutcher was named San Diego State's "head coach in waiting" in 2011. Following Fisher's decision to retire, Dutcher was formally named as his replacement on April 11, 2017. The Aztecs won 22 and 21 games in his first two seasons but last season, the team opened 26-0 with impressive road/neutral site wins over BYU, Creighton, Iowa, and Utah State. SD State finished 30-2 and ranked No. 6 when the season shut down.

Of course, last year ended with another loss to Utah St plus as noted, the Aggies swept the two-game season series over a three-day stretch at home in January, winning 57-45 and 64-59. However, San Diego St has won 13 in a row since then and I won't pass up Dutcher and the Aztecs in this HUGE "revenge" situation!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Memphis at 5:30 ET.

No one should have been surprised by what Kelvin Sampson has done at Houston, after successful stops at Washington St, Oklahoma and Indiana. His first Houston team went 13-19 (2014-15) but FIVE straight 20-win seasons followed. The Cougars won 27 (2017-18) and 33 (2018-19) games, before going 23-8 in last season's pandemic shortened one. Houston is currently 22-3 (No. 7 in the nation) as it takes on Memphis in the semifinals of the AAC tourney. The Tigers are the No. 3 seed and come in 16-7 after getting past UCF 70-62 on Friday.

Memphis lost center James Wiseman after just three games last season and PF Achiuwa (15.8 & 10.8) after the season (both are now in the NBA as 1st round picks). 6-7 Va Tech transfer Nolley, leads the Tigers in scoring (13.0) and he's joined in the starting lineup by the 6-9 Williams (10.9 & 6.1), guards Ellis (9.4) and Quinones (9.2 & 5.3) plus 6-10 center Cisse (7.0 & 6.6). Coming off the bench is the 6-7 Jeffries (9.6 & 5.2). Penny was an exciting offensive player in college and in the NBA but he's a defense-first head coach. He EXPECTS his team to be one of the nation's top defensive teams. Memphis enters having allowed 62.3 PPG (19th) on 38.4% shooting (4th), including 26.8% on threes (2nd).

Houston guards Grimes (17.7 & 6.1), Sasser (13.5) and Jarreau (10.1-5.5-4.3) are the 'big dogs,' while freshman Mark (8.3) adds depth. The best frontcourt player is the 6-7 Gorham (8.3 & 9.3). Houston also wins with defense, as Sampson's team is allowing only 57.6 PPG, ranking second-best in the nation. The Cougars are holding opponents to 37.0% shooting (1st), including 27.4% on threes (4th)

Houston has been the AAC's best team all season but wound up with the No. 2 seed  (14-3), as Wichita St (11-2) nabbed the top-seed. Will the Cougars feel as if they have something to prove by winning this tourney? Maybe, but Houston is already an NCAA at-large 'lock.' That's NOT the case for Memphis. With two outstanding defensive teams, a low-scoring game is likely, making the points attractive. What's more, the Tigers enter having gone 11-3 over their last 14 games with those three losses coming by three points at Houston (as a 10-point dog), two points at SMU and by ONE point at Tulsa. Taking a 'TD' or more is REALLY attractive and an outright upset (like with Okla St last night), would be no surprise.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" CBB Conference Game of the Year (Pac 12 tourney) is on USC at 11:30 ET.

Andy Enfield led Florida Gulf Coast to a 26-11 season in his second at the school, making a Sweet 16 appearance. That gave him the chance to "move on up" to USC but his first two seasons were HUGE disappointments (11-21 and 12-20). However, the Trojans have won 21-plus games in FOUR of the last five seasons, including a 22-9 mark last season before the shut down. USC saw its top-five scorers leave after the 2020 season but finished 15-5 in this season's Pac 12 race, just behind No. 1 seed Oregon (14-4). Tad Boyle is in his 11th season at Colorado and despite losing the 6-7 Tyler Bey (13.8 & 9.0) to the NBA (he played center for the Buffs), the good news was that PG Wright flirted with the NBA draft but returned to Boulder for his senior season. The Buffs finished right behind USC in the Pac 12's regular season at 14-3 (No. 3 seed). Neither team was sharp on Thursday, as USC needed two OTs to get past Utah (8-11 in the Pac 12), while Colorado edged Cal (3-17, a Pac 12 worst!) 61-58

Enfield recruited a "super frosh" in 7-0 freshman Evan Mobley plus brought in SIX transfers. Evan Mobley has been as "good as advertised," averaging 16.4 & 8.6. He joins his brother Isaiah (a 6-10 sophomore), who is adding 9.0 & 7.5. Peterson is a 6-8 swingman from Rice who averages 9.9 & 5.1 plus guards Eaddy (Santa Clara) and White, a grad transfer from Utah Valley St round out the starting-five. Eaddy averages 13.8 PPG and White 7.3. All FIVE starters scored in double digits vs Utah, while Anderson (6.2) added 10 points off the bench.

As expected, PG Wright (15.3-4.3-5.7) is the team leader and is surrounded by veterans, such as the 7-0 Dallas Walton (7.0 & 3.0), the 6-8 Evan Battey (9.9 & 5.3) and the 6-7 Walker (7.7 & 4.4) up front. Backcourt 'helpers' for Wright are Schwartz (8.8 & 4.3) and Parquet (5.5). Yes, Colorado got past Cal but it was an 'ugly' win, as the Buffs connected on just 38.5% of their shots, including 3 of 14 on threes.

The Buffs advanced because Cal just plain STINKS, shooting 38.3%, including 7 of 28 on threes. The Buffs can NOT expect the Trojans to shoot that poorly in this one. Let me remind all that USC's struggles last night were NOT on the offensive end, as SIX players scored in double figures while the Trojans shot 48.3% as a team. Also, the Trojans can't possibly forget that the Buffs beat them TWICE during the regular season. G-R-E-A-T spot for USC!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on Florida St at 8:30 ET.

North Carolina's legendary head coach Roy Williams is coming off a 14-19 season in which North Carolina players lost 99 games to injury. However, while the Tar Heels opened No. 16 in the AP's preseason poll, the Tar Heels have NOT lived up to their preseason ranking. North Carolina ended the regular season 16-9 overall, including 10-6 in the ACC. However, the Tar Heels followed its season-final rout of Duke (91-73) by crushing Notre Dame 101-59 on Wednesday and then used an impressive second-half performance in an 81-73 win over No, 22 Virginia Tech on Thursday. The Tar Heels are now 18-9 and are averaging 91 points per game over a three-game winning streak, a significant jump from their 74.2 PPG prior to that.

Florida St head coach Leonard Hamilton has built a championship-caliber program in Tallahassee, one that had produced the THIRD most victories among ACC schools heading into the current season, behind only Duke and Virginia since 2016. The Seminoles' 83-73 loss at Notre Dame last week coupled with a Virginia victory over Louisville dropped them to the No. 2 seed for the conference tournament. 15-5 Florida State is ranked 15th in the AP poll and was supposed to play Duke on Thursday but Duke dropped out of the ACC due to a positive test in the team's program.

North Carolina's strength is its depth. SEVEN players are making contributions. Up front it's the 6-10 Bacot (12.2 & 8.0), the 6-10 Brooks (10.4 & 6.8) and the 6-11 Sharpe (9.9 & 7.8), while the backcourt goes four-deep. The group includes Love (10.4 & 3.7 APG), Davis (8.6), Walton (8.1) and Black (5.7 & 5.0). Brooks sat out Wednesday night's game, marking only the second game he has missed across 132 North Carolina games played while he has been on the roster. However, he played 22 minutes last night. Bacot has led the way averaging 18.5 & 13.0 with help up front form Sharpe (12.0 & 7.5) and in the backcourt from Davis (16.5) and Love (11.0).

FSU entered this season losing three key players from last year. PG Forrest (11.6-4.4-4.0), SG Vassell (12.7 & 5.1) and 6-7 swingman Williams (9.7 & 4.0), who were all chosen in the NBA draft. However, guard MJ Walker is back and leads with 13.1 PPG. He's surrounded by a talented and deep group. The 6-8 Gray (12.4 & 6.9) and 6-9 freshman Barnes (10.4-4.3-4.3) join Walker in double digits plus guard Polite (9.6 & 4.2) and the 7-1 Koprivica (8.7 & 5.4) aren't far behind. Guards Evans and Cahoun each average 6.0 PPG plus the 6-9 Osborne checks in at 5.4 & 4.6.

The Tar Heels and Seminoles split their season series with the home team winning each game. However, FSU will surely have the team's loss at UNC on Feb 27 fresh in their minds, as the Seminoles had won NINE of 10 entering that game and along with FSU's season-ending loss to Notre Dame, cost them the ACC's No. 1 seed. UVa got the No. 1 seed but it was just revealed that the Cavs are out of the tourney, much like Duke (COVID strikes again). The winner here will now draw Ga Tech in Saturday's ACC championship game. The Seminoles were 26-5 and poised to make a Final Four run before the postseason was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic last year. Could this year "be the year?" No looking ahead guys! 

Good luck...Larry

 My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Oklahoma St at 6:30 ET.

Second-ranked Baylor (No. 1 seed in the Big 12 at 13-1) was pushed more than anticipated during its Big 12 tournament quarterfinal contest, 'escaping' with a 74-68 win over and over ninth-seeded Kansas State (4-14 in Big 12). The Bears will need a MUCH better effort against No. 12 Oklahoma St (No. 5 seed at 11-7 in the Big 12). The Cowboys got past No. 10 West Va (No. 4 seed in the Big 12) on Thursday 72-69, their SEVENTH win in their last eight games (lone loss was that game at Baylor).

Baylor's Scott Drew took over a devastated Baylor program in the 2003-04 season and since 2007-08, has turned the Bears into one of the best programs in the country. Baylor won the NIT in 2013 and has made eight NCAA tourney appearances (26-4 last season would have made nine). Baylor lost 6-9 center Gillespie (9.6 & 9.0) from last year's team but the strength of Baylor's team this season is centered around its guards. Butler's (17.2-3.3-4.9) the best of the group but don't look past Teague (16.1 & 4.1), Mitchell (14.2 & 5.5 APG), Flagler (8.9) or Mayer (8.1) The 6-5 Vital (5.8 & 6.5) plays like a power forward and is considered one of the best defensive players in the nation. Tchatchoua is a 6-8 transfer from UNLV and he's averaged 6.7 & 5.3 plus the 6-10 Thamba adds 3.5 & 4.0.

Mike Boynton took over in Stillwater when Brad Underwood left for Illinois and in his first three seasons, the Cowboys were an underwhelming 51-49. However, led by super-frosh Cade Cunningham, the Cowboys ended the regular season 18-7 and ranked 12th in the nation. The 6-8 Cade Cunningham (19.6-6.4-3.6) has been as good (if not better than advertised). He's joined in the starting lineup by guards Anderson (11.4 & 4.0), Walker (8.0),and Williams (7.8) plus another big guard in the 6-9 Boone (9.7 & 5.6). The 6-5 Likekele (9.8 & 7.0) and the 6-7 Moncrieffe (9.1 & 5.1) are big contributors off the bench.

Baylor won the two regular-season games with the Cowboys but in the most recent meeting won by 11 points at home on March 4. OSU features the likely No. 1 pick in the 2021 NBA draft in Cunningham and if the Cowboys could stay with 11 points of the Bears in Waco, why can't they make it "much closer" here in Kansas City? The simple answer is, "they can!' Take the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Seton Hall at 6:00 ET. 

The eighth-seeded Georgetown Hoyas (7-9 Big East) defeated Marquette 68-49 and then stunned top-seeded Villanova 72-71 in the quarterfinals on Thursday, when Dante Harris' two free throws with 4.7 seconds remaining pushed Georgetown into the semifinal round for the first time since 2015. Georgetown will take on 5th-seeded Seton Hall (10-9 Big East), which snapped a season-long four-game losing streak with a hard-fought 77-69 victory over fourth-seeded St. John's 77-69 in overtime.

Patrick Ewing is in his fourth season as Georgetown's head coach (49-46 entering this season) and even with the back-to-back wins, the Hoyas are just 11-12 on the season. The 7-0 Yutseven (15.5 & 9.8) graduated plus McClung (15.7) transferred to Texas Tech, where he's averaged PPG. Ewing features a six-man rotation led by guards Blair (16.0-3.7-3.9), Cary (7.8) and Harris (7.6) plus a frontcourt that features the 6-11 Wahab (12.6 & 7.9), teh 6-9 Pickett (12.4 & 7.6) and the 6-7 Bile (9.8 & 5.0). Harris led the way with 18 points against Villanova, while Wahab added 17, Blair had 14 and Pickett 12 for Georgetown.

Seton Hall's 6-11 Sandro Mamukelashvili shared Big East Player of the Year honors in a three-way split with Villanova's Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and Collin Gillespie but the Pirates ended the regular season with FOUR straight losses, as well as losses in SEVEN of their last 11. However, SEVEN Seton Hall players have participated in all 26 games this season, led by Mamukelashvili (17.9 & 7.5). He gets help up front from the 6-10 Samuel (5.3 & 3.3) and the 7-2 Obiagu (4.8 & 4.4). A quartet of guards are led by Rhoden (14.6 & 6.7) and Cale (11.9 & 3.7) plus PG Reynolds (7.87& 4.3 APG) and Molson (5.3). Seton Hall received balanced production in its win over St John's with Mamukelashvili scoring 20 points and adding 11 rebounds, while Rhoden chipped in a double-double of 19 points and a career-best 16 rebounds. Cale scored 16 points and grabbed eight rebounds, while Obiagu contributed seven points, seven blocked shots and five rebounds. 

HUGE "let down" spot here for Georgetown off the upset of Villanova, as the Hoyas hadn't won a single Big East tournament game since 2016 but now they're searching for their THIRD in a row. Think Georgetown will go 23 of 23 from the FT throw again? Seton Hall has appeared in the Big East tournament final four times in program history and with 'Nova out of the way, should reach the championship game for the FIFTH time. Seton Hall head coach Kevin Willard is a "good one" and said after the St Johns win,  "We can beat anybody. We feel like this is our second home. We definitely have that vibe." I'm 'vibing' right along with Kev!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Daytime Dominator is on Ohio St at 2:00 ET.

Chris Holtmann took over at Butler for Brad Stevens and went 70-31 win three seasons, each ending with an NCAA tourney berth. He took the Ohio St job beginning in 2017-18 and strung together three straight 20-win seasons but was denied a third straight NCAA bid when last season was shut down. Purdue's Matt Painter is in his 16th season with the Boilermakers but his team was just 16-14 last season, coming off a four-year run of averaging 27.3 wins per season. Both schools are already assured of an at-large bid to the "Big Dance" as they meet in this No. 4 (Purdue) vs No. 5 (Ohio St) game in the Big Ten tourney's quarterfinal round from Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Buckeyes defeated 13th seed Minnesota 79-75 on Thursday to end a four-game losing streak, while Purdue will be playing its first game of the tourney. Ohio St was 18-4 (and ranked 4th in the AP poll) before its four-game slide but somehow remained in the AP's top-10 (at No. 9) in Monday's poll. A four-point win over a 14-15 Minnesota team is hardly a 'buy' sign but then again, the Buckeyes have opened a small favorite. SG Washington (15.3) has been solid all season for Ohio St in the backcourt and after missing some time due to torn ligaments in his right hand, PG Walker (9.2 & 4.3 APG) is back and playing well. The frontcourt has five solid contributors led by the team's best player, the 6-7 Liddell (16.0 & 6.5). He's joined on the frontline by the 6-7 Sueing (10.7 & 5.5), the 6-8 Young (8.3 & 5.6), the 6-6 Aherns (6.3) and 6-8 freshman Key (5.5 & 3.6). 

The Boilermakers opened a modest 7-5 this season but Purdue has won 11 of its last 14 games. However, it still ranks just 20th in the AP poll (why so far behind Ohio St?).The 6-10 Williams leads Purdue in scoring (15.2) and rebounding (8.8). He's supported by a well-balanced group of FOUR others who chip in between 8.4 and 10.0 PPG. The group includes guards Ivey (10.0), Stefanovic (9.7), Hunter (9.0) and Newman (8.4). The 6-6 Gillis (5.2), the 7-3 Edey (4.9 & 4.5) and the 6-9 Wheeler (3.9 & 4.7) help Williams up front.

While I respect Purdue, Ohio St is still the better team and Purdue's own website notes that KenPom.com ranks the Boilermakers No. 328 out of 347 Division I teams in experience (1.04 years). Purdue won both games against the Buckeyes this season, 67-60 at home on Dec 16 and a 67-65 thriller in Columbus on Jan 19 when Ivey hit a jumper to break a 65-65 tie with five seconds left. "Those results were in the regular season, so this game means a little bit more," Ohio State forward Justice Sueing said. "We definitely want to make another statement and survive and advance." That's my bet!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Big 12 Conference Tourney Game of the Year is on Texas at 9:30 ET.

The Big 12 has SEVEN teams in the AP's current top-25 poll, including No. 13 Texas (17-7 / 11-6 Big 12) and No. 20 Texas Tech (17-9 / 9-8 Big 12). Texas is the No. 3 seed but 6th-seeded Texas Tech swept both regular season games. The Red Raiders have won SEVEN of the teams' past eight matchups but that comes on the heels of losing 40 of the previous 46 meetings going back to January 1998.

McClung is a transfer from Georgetown and leads the Red Raiders with 16.1 PPG. He's one of FIVE guards who are joined by the 6-7 Santos-Silva (8.5 & 6.4), Tech's lone frontcourt player of note. Joining McClung on the perimeter are Shannon (12.5 & 4.1), Edwards (10.2 & 4.7), McCullar (10.1) and Peavy (5.8). Texas counters with an excellent backcourt trio in Andrew Jones (14.9 & 4.8), Ramey (13.6-3.4-4.0) and Cole (12.4-3.6-4.2) but the Longhorns own a fairly sizable advantage up front. The 6-9 Brown (10.2 & 6.6z0. the 6-10 sims (8.7 & 6.6) and the 6-11 Kai Jones (8.5 & 4.1) clearly own an edge over Santos-Silva.

Both schools dealt with COVID issues as after a 10-1 start, Texas would go 4-6 plus lose four games to COVID. However, Texas ended the season with three straight ROAD wins to capture the No. 3 seed. As for Tech, the Red Raiders lost three games tp COVID plus went 0-3 in the games they got in from Feb 9 thru Feb 222. Tech then won THREE in a row before losing 88-73 at Baylor this past Sunday.

Shaka Smart and Chris Beard are both excellent coaches but I believe there is more pressure on Smart in this one, whose tenure at Texas has been underwhelming. Texas reached as high as No. 4 in the AP poll back in early January but never sustained the play that got them off to a 10-1 start. The cliche goes that "it's hard to beat a good team three times in one season." I'm not big on cliches but I am "BIG" on Texas in this one, as the Longhorns ARE the better team!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Revenge Rout is on Seton Hall at 3:00 ET.

The Big East tourney opened Wednesday from Madison Square Garden with Georgetown beating Marquette 68-49 and Butler edging Xavier 70-69. The quarterfinals are set for Thursday, including  fourth-seeded St. John's (16-10 / 10-9) facing off against fifth-seeded Seton Hall (12-12 / 10-9). St. John's and Seton Hall boast the Big East top's two scorers in Julian Champagnie (19.9 & 7.3) and Sandro Mamukelashvili (17.8 & 7.3), with the Red Storm earning the tiebreaker by beating the Pirates 81-71 at home this past Saturday. Both teams likely need to make some noise in the Big East tournament to see their NCAA Tournament aspirations become a reality.

Mamukelashvili shared Big East Player of the Year honors in a three-way split with Villanova's Jeremiah Robinson-Earl and Collin Gillespie but the Pirates ended the regular season with FOUR straight losses,

as well as losses in SEVEN of their last 11. SEVEN Seton Hall players have participated in all 25 games this season, led by the 6-11 Mamukelashvili (see above). He gets help up front from the 6-10 Samuel (5.6 & 3.4) and the 7-2 Obiagu (4.7 & 4.4). A quartet of guards are led by Rhoden (14.4 & 6.4) and Cale (11.8 & 3.5) plus PG Reynolds (7.8 & 4.3 APG) and Molson (5.3).

St. John's was picked ninth in the Big East preseason poll but ended the regular season with 10 wins in its last 14 contests, including a six-game winning streak from Jan 18 to Feb 6. The Red Storm slumped a little following the six-game win streak by losing three of four but overcame slow starts with consecutive home wins over Providence and Seton Hall, despite playing their last two games without standout freshman PG Posh Alexander (thumb), who led the Big East with 2.6 steals per game. However, Alexander (11.1-3.5-4.4) said he is feeling better and he will be able to play Thursday. St John's owns a deep backcourt with Williams (9.4), Dunn (9.1 & 4.0 APG), Cole (9.0) and Addae-Wusu (6.3). Joining Champagnie up front is the 6-10 Moore (9.2 & 4.8) and the 6-6 Earlington (6.6 & 4.0).

"It's a one-game season now," St. John's head coach Mike Anderson said Wednesday. "You look at Seton Hall's record over the course of the last two, three years in tournament play, it's been pretty good. So we know we're going to get the best version of Seton Hall. So we got to be at our best version as well." He's right about that, as Seton Hall's Kevin Willard noted by saying, "I'm always excited about the Big East tournament. We've been very successful there the last four years, five years, six years, seven years. I have a lot of confidence in this team; we're just not playing 40 minutes right now and that's really hurting us." Case in point was this past Saturday, when Seton Hall scored the game's first 18 points before getting outscored 53-33 after halftime. R-E-V-E-N-G-E!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Eye-Opener is on Michigan St at 11:30 a.m. ET.

The Big Ten has more ranked teams than any other conference and that adds to the suspense in this week's tournament which began last night with Minnesota beating Northwestern 51-46 and Penn St beating Nebraska 72-66. The league's top-four teams have a bye into Friday's quarterfinals with four games being contested on Thursday. The first game out of the gate is Michigan State (15-11 overall, 9-11 Big 12) vs Maryland (15-12, 9-11 Big 12). The Spartans are seeded No. 9 and Maryland No. 8, as the Terps won the lone meeting between the two schools 73-55 at Maryland on Feb 28.

Michigan St lost 75-65 at Purdue back on Feb 16 and sat 10-9, including 4-9 in the Big Ten. However, the Spartans rebound to go 5-2 down the stretch, including wins over then-No. 5 Illinois, then-No. 4 Ohio St and then-No. 2 Michigan. Izzo has led the Spartans to 22 consecutive NCAA appearances (no tourney last season) and his team's late surge likely has earned Michigan St an at-large berth. Mark Turgeon coached Wichita St for seven years, before leading Texas A&M to four straight NCAA tournaments in four years going 97-40. He joined Maryland when it was still in the ACC but its move to the Big Ten has been good for the basketball program, as over the last six seasons the Terps have won 20-plus games in five seasons (exception was a 19-win season), making four NCAA tourneys (would have been five, as Maryland was 24-7 when the season was shut down last year). Maryland's at-large situation is a little more sky than Michigan St, as the Terps 66-61 home loss to Penn St this past Sunday "didn't help.

The 6-6 Henry leads Michigan St in scoring (15.5), rebounding (5.5) and assists (3.5) and is joined in the frontcourt by the 6-9 Hauser (9.9 & 5.9) and the 6-7 Brown (7.4 & 2.9). The starting guards are Langford (9.8 & 3.4) and Watts (7.8). The Terps have a deep backcourt. Ayala (14.5 & 4.0) and Wiggins (14.0 & 5.8) lead the way, supported by Morsell (8.8 & 3.8) and Hart (7.5 & 3.6). Up front, it's the 6-7 Scott (11.2 & 6.4) and 6-8 BC transfer Hamilton (6.6 & 2.5).

The Terps won FIVE in a row from Feb 14-28 but then lost 60-55 at Northwestern (6-13 in the Big Ten) and then 66-61 at home to Penn St (7-12 in Big Ten). Maybe MSU has already 'punched its ticket' but Izzo's been around too long to let his team come into this game 'flat,' especially with that Feb 28 73-55 loss at Maryland fresh on MSU's mind. The Spartans shot just 33.3% in that game (8 of 28 on threes), while the Terps shot 48.8% (8 of 16 on threes). Michigan St gets the wins and moves to a Friday game with Michigan (uh-oh!).

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on North Carolina at 9:00 ET.

Notre Dame bounced back from a 14-win season two seasons ago to go 20-12 last year but lost PF Mooney, who averaged 16.2 & 12.7. Mike Brey is now in his 21st season at South Bend but after a 2-2 start to the current season, the Irish have been sub-.500 ever since (finished the regular season 10-14 / 7-11 in the ACC). North Carolina's legendary head coach Roy Williams is coming off a 14-19 season in which North Carolina players lost 99 games to injury. However, while the Tar Heels opened No. 16 in the AP's preseason poll, the Tar Heels have NOT lived up to their preseason ranking. North Carolina is 16-9 overall, including 10-6 in the ACC

Notre Dame (No. 11 seed) rallied from a 16-point second-half deficit to defeat 14th-seeded Wake Forest 80-77 on Trey Wertz's three-pointer at the buzzer on Tuesday. PG Hubb (14.6 & 6.0 APG) and SG Goodwin (12.1 & 5.2) are a solid backcourt duo plus the 6-10 Laszewski adds 13.3 PPG and leads in rebounding (7.4). Stanford transfer Ryan (10.1 & 4.5) and Wertz (8.6 play on the perimeter with Hubb and Goodwin, while 6-11 UConn transfer Durham (10.7 & 5.5) has been a solid complement up front to Laszewski.

Last year's super frosh Anthony lost time to injury last season (played 22 games) but averaged 18.5-5.7-4.0 for the Tar Heels but as expected was a "One and Done!" Also gone is senior guard Robinson and his 11.8 PPG for North Carolina. However, North Carolina's strength is its depth. SEVEN players are making contributions. Up front it's the 6-10 Bacot (11.7 & 7.6), the 6-10 Brooks (10.6 & 6.9) and the 6-11 Sharpe (9.7 & 7.8), while the backcourt goes four-deep. The group includes Love (10.4 & 3.8 APG), Walton (8.3), Davis (8.0) and Black (5.6 & 5.2).

North Carolina was just 5-4 entering Jan and opened 2021 with a 66-65 home win over Notre Dame. That led to an 11-5 finish that was capped by a crushing 91-73 romp over hated-Duke in Saturday night's regular-season finale (a week earlier, the Tar Heels had beaten Florida State, which was in first place at the time). I would NOT be surprised if the Tar Heels made a deep run in this year's ACC tourney, as North Carolina is 40-19 in ACC tournament games held in the Greensboro Coliseum. Notre Dame needed "the luck of the Irish" to escape vs Wake Forest but will have no such luck here. Lay the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" ACC Conference Tourney Game of the Year is on Duke at 6:30 ET.

Duke last missed the NCAA Tournament back in the 1994-95 season and many believe the Blue Devils (ACC's 10th-seed) would need to win the ACC tournament this week in Greensboro to make this year's NCAA field (note: No team has ever won five ACC tournament games in five days, the feat Duke hopes to accomplish). The Blue Devils  routed 15th-seeded 86-51 Boston College on Tuesday but now takes on seventh-seed Louisville (13-6) on Wednesday.  

Duke opened No. 9 in the AP's preseason poll but the team's Jan 12 loss at Va Tech saw 5-3 Duke (3-1 in the ACC) fall out of the AP poll and the Blue Devils haven't been back. Coach K lost his top-two players to the NBA, the 6-10 Carey (17.8 & 8.8) is with the Hornets and PG Jones (16.2-4.7-6.4) is with the Spurs. Coach K has seamlessly transitioned into the One-and-Done era and freshman guards Stewart (13.2) and Roach (8.7) have played well but 6-9 freshman Johnson (11.9 & 6.5) left the team to prepare for the NBA. 6-9 sophomore Hurt leads the team in scoring (18.2) and rebounding (6.3), while sophomore SF Moore (9.7 & 4.7) and senior guard Goldwire (6.0-3.0-4.0) are solid contributors. The 7-0 Williams (6.4 & 3.8) has been starting lately but averages less than 15 minutes.

Chris Mack took over at Xavier for the 2009-10 season when Sean Miller took the Arizona job. He led the Musketeers to eight NCAA tourneys in nine seasons before moving to Louisville. The Cards went 20-14 in his first season (NCAA bid) and were 24-7 in his second year, when the season was shut down in March (AP ranked them 14th in its final poll). Louisville swingman Jordan Nwora (18.0 & 7.7) is gone from last season's Louisville team but FOUR starters returned. However, it's Carlik Jones who leads the team in scoring, averaging 17.0-4.9-4.6. He's a graduate transfer from Radford and was last season's Big South Conference player of the year. He's joined by returning guard Johnson (12.6-5.5-3.3) in the backcourt. The 6-7 Williamson did little last season but averages 9.9 & 8.1 this season plus 6-9 redshirt freshman Withers is adding 10.3 & 7.9. True freshman guard Davis (7.8) and the 6-8 Slazinski (6.2).

Carlik Jones was an All-ACC first team selection and led the way for Louisville in winning BOTH games against Duke this season. He scored 24 points in a 70-65 win at Louisville on Jan 23 and then had 25 points in an 80-73 overtime victory Feb 27 in Durham. Is the third time a charm for Coach K and the Blue Devils in this one? Duke eased past BC, as no starter played more than 27 minutes, with Duke's bench adding 32 points. Louisville has already 'punched its ticket' to the Big Dance and while I'm NOT predicting that Duke is going to go on a five-game winning spree here in Greensboro, I DO like them in this "double-revenge" spot off two close regular season losses against the Cards.

Good luck...Larry 

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Siena at 5:00 ET.

COVID-19 limited the Iona Gaels to just 13 games during the regular season, Iona was 8-5 overall, including 6-3 in MAAC play (No. 9 seed). The Gaels met 8th-seeded Quinnipiac (9-12 / 7-10 MAAC) in Tuesday's opening round and routed the Bobcats 72-48. Iona advances on Wednesday to play the top-seeded Siena Saints, who didn't play their first game until Jan 3, going 12-4 in a schedule which included only league games. The schools did not meet during the regular season.

I had Iona in Tuesday's contest and noted that followers of college hoops are well aware of the success that Rick Pitino has had as a college basketball head coach but along with that, his "trials and tribulations" are equally well-known. Pitino resurfaced this season at Iona, a team led by an excellent duo of senior guards, Ross (20.1) and Gist (12.2 & 3.8 APG). 6-9 freshman Joseph (11.9 & 7.2), 6-5 JC transfer JeanLouis (8.0 & 5.9), freshman guard Myers (7.1) and 6-9 senior van Eyck (6.8 & 6.7) complete Iona's main contributors.

Shaheen Holloway played four years at Seton Hall (named to the school's Athletic Hall of Fame) and was an assistant under Kevin Willard at Iona and Seton Hall, before being hired as Siena's head coach prior to the 2018-19 season. His first team went 10-22 but he turned the program last year (18-9 / 14-6 MAAC) before the shutdown. As noted above, this year's team won the regular season title at 12-4. The team owns four double-digit scorers, led by 6-7 guard Camper, who leads in scoring (14.6) and rebounding (10.0). Fellow guards Pickett (12.8 & 6.2) and King (12.5) are joined by the 6-9 Stormo (10.6 & 5.7) and 6-7 freshman Golston (5.0 & 3.0) in the starting lineup. The 6-9 Young (6.3 & 3.4) contributes off the bench but guard Hopkins (7.8) has been sidelined with a lower leg injury and has missed the last five games.

Will Pitino bring some of his coaching 'magic' to the MAAC? The jury is still out. Iona's romp over Quinnipiac was fueled by the Bobcats shooting an abysmal 28.1 from the floor, including 7 of 26 on threes. Iona's top-two players (Ross and Gist) combined to shoot just 8 of 22 (36.4%) from the floor. That won't get the job done against a well-balanced Siena team allowing just 63.5 PPG (34th) plus shoots 45.9% from the floor on the offensive end.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on North Dakota St at 9:00 ET.

The Summit League Tournament is being held at The Pentagon in Sioux Falls, a neutral site. The Summit's top-two seeds, No.1 South Dakota St and No. 2 South Dakota were both eliminated in the semifinals. as No. 4 Oral Roberts beat South Dakota St 90-88 (on a tip-in at the buzzer) and No.3 North Dakota St edged South Dakota 79-75. The two schools met twice during the regular season Feb 5 and 6 at North Dakota St), splitting the pair.

Oral Roberts has been led all season by guard Abmas (24.3) and the 6-8 Obanor (18.0 & 9.5). Guard Glasper averaged 11.0 PPG but hasn't played since Feb 6. What's happened so far in two tourney games has been that Thompson (7.7 PPG) has averaged 19.0 & 4.0, Weaver (5.7 PPG) has averaged 15.0 & 4.5 and Jurgens (4.9 PPG) has averaged 12.0 & 5.0. Where have those efforts been all season? Abmas has averaged 20.0 & 6.5 APG in the tourney but Obanor has been 'off' (11.5 & 4.0), although he had the game-winning tip-in at the buzzer vs South Dakota St.

Kyan Brown is in his seventh season at North Dakota St and last year's team went 25-8. The scoring duo of Shahid (18.4) and Ward (16.9) moved on but a trio of seniors have stepped up this season. The 6-10 Kreuser (15.0 & 7.0) plus guards Griesel (11.7 & 6.3) and Eady (11.4 & 5.) have led all season. Also making contributions have been guard Cook (9.4), the 6-7 Harden-Hayes (9.2 & 5.4), and 6-10 freshman Nelson (6.4 & 3.6).

North Dakota St saw last season end due to the pandemic but after opening this season 0-5, the Bison have a chance to earn that automatic NCAA bid by winning the Summit League tourney. My bet says they do just that. 

Good luck...Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Bryant at 7:00 ET.

Due to complications caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, only the top four teams in the Northeast Conference were eligible to compete in the conference tournament in 2021. Wagner got the No. 1 seed (13-5) and Bryant the No. 2 seed (10-4), while 9-7 Sacred Heart earned the No. 3 seed over 9-7 Mount St Mary's due to a tiebreaker. The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers upset Wagner 66-60 last Saturday to advance to Tuesday's championship game at Chace Athletic Center to meet the Bryant Bulldogs, who beat Sacred Heart 85-55 (also last Saturday). Note: The Chace Athletic Center is Bryant's home court.

Mount St Mary's returned its top-two scorers from last season in guards Chung Qui and Gibbs. However, Gibbs placed his name in the NCAA's transfer portal Monday after just four games (was averaging 16.5 & 4.8). Chung Qui (14.9-4.0-5.5) is joined in the backcourt by Morse (10.8), while the 6-9 Opuku (9.9 & 7.0) and the 6-7 Jefferson (8.3 & 7.7) are the team's top frontcourt players.

Bryant's five starters (four guards) all average in double digits. Kiss (17.1-6.0-3.4), Green (16.7-4.0-3.9), Childs (14.1) and Pride (12.6 & 7.1) are the guards, while the 6-8 Elisias (10.6 & 8.0) rounds out the group. However, Bryant had to cancel its final two regular season games against Mount St. Mary's because of positive COVID-19 results within Bryant's Tier 1 personnel and subsequent contact tracing. Bryant's status for the postseason had initially been uncertain but established its intent to compete in the tournament after meeting Rhode Island Department of Health guidelines. Bryant competed in its semifinal game with just SEVEN players, one of whom was a walk-on. 

The Bulldogs sure rose to the challenge, despite Green and Childs not being able to play. Kiss had a line of 19-5-6, Pride 16 & 11 and Elisias 18 & 9.  Reserves Bans (13 & 4) and Hurtado (12-5-5) really came through. Not sure what the status is on Green and Childs but the Bulldogs are full of confidence and playing at home, where they are 10-0 on the season. Bryant averages 84.6 PPG (5th in the nation) and I don't believe Mt St Mary's (63.2 PPG ranks 332nd) can "keep up," especially coming off an upset on top-seeded Wagner on the road.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Iona at 5:00 ET.

Followers of college hoops are well aware of the success that Rick Pitino has had as a college basketball head coach but along with that, his "trials and tribulations" are equally well-known. Pitino resurfaced this season at Iona as COVID-19 has limited his Gaels to just 13 games. Iona is 8-5 overall, including 6-3 in MAAC play. Iona is the league's No. 9 seed and will meet the 8th-seeded Quinnipiac Bobcats who got in 21 games, going 2-12 overall (including 7-10 in league play). Seeding has been confusing for the conference tourneys this season.

The Gaels are led by an excellent duo of senior guards, Ross (20.5) and Gist (1.2 & 4.0 APG). 6-9 freshman Joseph (12.1 & 7.1), 6-5 JC transfer JeanLouis (8.1 & 5.5), 6-9 senior van Eyck (7.3 & 6.5) and freshman guard Myers (7.2) complete Iona's main contributors. Quinnipiac's head coach Baker Dunleavy (yes, Mike Dunleavy's son) was an assistant under Jay Wright at Villanova and is in his fourth season at Quinnipiac. Dunleavy lost his two best players from last season in PG Kelly (16.7 & 4.5 APG) and the 6-8 Marfo (10.2 & 13.3). This season's team relies on balance, with SEVEN players getting 21-plus minutes of "PT." The 6-6 Rigoni leads in scoring (12.0) and rebounding (6.3) and is joined up front by the 7-1 Pinkney (8.2 & 5.0). FIVE guards add between 6.9 and 10.5 PPG, led by Kortright (10.5 & 3.9), Chenery (10.0), and Lewis (8.6 & 4.3).

Quinnipiac won the only meeting against Iona this season (74-70 at home on Feb 17) but Pitino deserves a HUGE edge over Dunleavy on the sideline. The Gaels won three straight in late Dec (right before Christmas but then didn't play again until Feb 12. Iona has won SIX of its last eight games and has averaged 87.3 PPG in its last four wins. I'm not sure Quinnipiac can keep up, as the Bobcats are averaging a modest 68.4 PPG on the season. History tells us that the Gaels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games, while Quinnipiac checks in 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Will Pitino bring some of his coaching 'magic' to the MAAC?  My bet says he will, at least for this game.

Good luck...Larry

Appalachian State opened the year 12-5 but then lost five straight games around a handful of postponements and cancellations (lost six of its final seven). Four guards averaged are averaging in double digits; Forrest (13.0 & 3.4) Delph (19. & 4.4), Almonacy (12.1 & 4.1) and Williams (11.0 & 5.8). The team's lone frontcourt player of note is the 6-8 Lewis (8.7 & 5.3). In this tourney, Forrest is averaging 21.7 PPG, Almonacy (1.83 & 6.3 and Delph 16.3). However, Gregory has fallen to just 6.7 PPG while Lewis has been a non-factor.

'All five of Georgia State's starters are averaging in double digits. A trio of guards lead the way in Allen (15.2 & 4.2), Roberts (13.3-3.7-4.8) and Williams (12.7-3.4-4.2) plus the 6-8 Nsoseme (11.9 & 10.1) and the 6-10 Thomas (10.5 & 6.1) make for a very good frontcourt duo. In the Panthers' two tourney games, Allen is averaging 18.0-4-0-4.0, Roberts 12.5-5.0-4.0, Nsoseme 13.5 & 12.0 and Thomas 10.0 & 5.5.

Georgia St opened 8-2 but then lost back-to-back Games (Jan 22 & 23) at App St, before its next four games were lost to COVID protocols. The Panthers returned to the court on Feb 9 and lost to South Alabama but have since won EIGHT in a row, including beating the Mountaineers 85-71 in Atlanta. The SBC will NOT earn an at-large bid to the "Big Dance" so it's win or else for both of these teams. The Panthers own a backcourt that matches up well with the Mountaineers' plus the frontcourt duo of Nsoseme and Thomas should dominate the paint. Lay the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Cleveland St at 6:30 ET.

The Horizon Tourney opened at campus sites for the first two rounds but moves to Indianapolis for the semis and championship game. THREE of the league's top-four seeds remain, the exception being Wright St, which was the No. 2 seed. The Raiders had tied Cleveland St at 16-4 for the Horizon's best record but lost last Tuesday 94-92 in OT at home to the Milwaukee Panthers, who are the No. 8 seed. No. 1 seed Cleveland St is glad to be 'alive,' after needing three OTs to get past Purdue-Ft Wayne 108-104 last Tuesday. The two schools met twice in the regular season, splitting a pair of games on Cleveland State's home court.

Milwaukee had lost five straight before snapping that slide in its final regular season game but has now beaten IUPUI and Wright St to become the 'Cinderella' team of the Horizon Tourney. The Panthers are a guard-oriented team led by Gholston (17.1 & 5.3) and Lucas (15.2-4.7-5.8). That duo led the Panthers past Wright St with Gholston scoring 31 points (along with nine rebounds) and Lucas 25.

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Cleveland St a solid group of four guards in the starting lineup, led by 6-5 senior Patton, who leads in scoring (14/6) and rebound (7.8). Joining him in the starting lineup are fellow guards Hodge (10.3 & 3.4), Gomillion (10.0 & 5.0) and Beaudion (9.5 & 3.3 APG) plus the 6-9 Johnson (5.6 & 5.50. Patton had 30 points and 13 rebounds, while Gomillion added 22-13-6 in the team's triple OT win. However, where would the Vikings be without the 6-8 Eichelberger (6.4 & 3.7), who played 37 minutes off the bench to add 20-6-5?

Cleveland St is the MUCH better team and all Horizon schools know it's win the conference tourney or else, as far as an NCAA berth is concerned. The Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last six neutral site games and I see no reason to think that record will NOT fall to 0-7 after this one. Cleveland St last made the "Big Dance" back in 2009 and the school's only other appearance was the 1986 team which famously upset Bobby Knight's Indiana team and reached the Sweet 16. How 'sweet' would it be for the Vikings to make the NCAAs this season, after FIVE straight losing seasons of nine, nine, 12, 10 and 11 wins?

Good luck...Larry

My 10* Conf Tourney Game of the Year (Summit) is on North Dakota St at 9:45 ET.

Summit League Tournament is being held at The Pentagon in Sioux Falls, a neutral site. The Summit's top-two seeds, No.1 South Dakota St and South Dakota, advanced on Saturday with wins. The other four teams play Sunday, including No. 6 UMKC and No. 3 North Dakota State. The Roos and Bison met in back-to-back games in KC back on Jan 29 and 30, with each team winning once. UMKC comes in just 11-13 on the season, while North Dakota St, after a 2-6 non-conference start, went 11-5 in Summit League to earn the No. 3 seed and post a 13-11 over record.

Billy Donolon won 20-plus games in THREE of his six seasons at Wright St and is in his second year at UMLC. The Roos were 16-14 last season and this season have lost a number of contributing players during the year like guard Pennington (14.0), plus big men Lamar (11.4 & 6.0) and Roessink (7.6 & 4.0). Guard Nesbitt missed about a month (Jan-Feb) but is back (10.8 & 6.2) to join  fellow guard McKissic (17.5-3.6-3.3) and the 6-8 Allick (14.6 & 5.8) in double digits.

Kyan Brown is in his seventh season at North Dakota St and last year's team went 25-8. However, the scoring duo of Shahid (18.4) and Ward (16.9) have moved on. A trio of seniors have stepped up this season, the 6-10 Kreuser (14.8 & 6.9) plus guards Griesel (11.6 & 6.5) and Eady (11.1 & 5.5). Also making contributions have been the 6-7 Harden-Hayes (9.7 & 5.4), guard Cook (9.4 & 3.1) and 6-10 freshman Nelson (6.4 & 3.5).

It seems to be a given that South Dakota St and South Dakota will meet in the championship game but if there is a 'dark horse' in the Summit, it will be the Bison. North Dakota St ended the regular season with back-to-back games at home vs South Dakota St and at South Dakota, gaining a split in each series. Expect the Bison to win handily here and advance to a semifinal meeting with South Dakota. Lay the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Rivalry Rout is on Oregon at 8:00 ET.

Dana Altman spent 16 seasons at Creighton and took the school to seven NCAA tourneys in his last 12 years at the school. He came to Oregon for the 2010-11 season and won the CBI championship in his first season. He's now in his 11th season in Eugene having won 20-plus games in each of his first 10, averaging 25.9 wins per year. Oregon has played in SIX of the last eight NCAA tourneys and it would have been seven if last season's year was not cut short (Ducks were 24-7). The Ducks (18-5 /13-4 Pac-12) rallied from a halftime deficit against UCLA on Wednesday, scoring 45 second-half points of an 82-74 victory. The win moved Oregon into sole possession of first place and marked the Ducks' fourth straight win and NINTH in 10 games. Oregon can claim consecutive outright Pac-12 Conference championships for the first time with a road win Sunday against rival Oregon State in Corvallis.

Oregon State's Wayne Tinkle lost his son Tres (18.5 & 6.8) and center Kelley (11.1 PPG / 5.3 RPFG / 3.5 BPG) from last year's team but heads into this contest on a three-game winning streak with a 14-11 overall mark (10-9 in the Pac 12). All three of those wins, over Cal, Stanford and Utah, have come impressively on the road. However, Oregon State's recent surge followed a stretch where it lost FOUR out of five.

Altman lost key players from last season, most notably Pritchard (20.5-4.3-5.5) but also SG Mathis (8.5) and the 6-7 Juiston (7.9 & 6.3). The 6-6 Eugene Omoruyi, who sat out last year as a transfer from Rutgers is averaging 16.9 & 5.4. The 6-6 Figueroa transferred from St John's and adds 11.9 & 6.4 and the 6-6 Eric Williams (10.5 & 6.4) transferred from Duquesne. That trio gives Oregon a strong frontcourt, even with 6-11 center N'Faly Dante (8.2 & 5.8) suffering a torn ACL in mid-December (out for the season). 6-8 guard Duarte leads the team in scoring (17.7) and is now joined in the backcourt by PG Will Richardson, who is back from a left thumb injury suffered in the preseason. He's averaging 10.0 PPG in 11 games.

Oregon St is led by guard Thompson (15.5-3.4-40) and fellow guard Lucas (12.8) is the only other double digit scorer. That duo is joined in the starting lineup by fellow guard Reichle (7.2-3.3-3.1) plus the 6-7 Alatishe (9.2 & 8.4) and the 7-1 Silva (5.3 & 2.5). Alatishe transferred from Nicholls State and has been a big addition. Oregon State is hoping to build on the positive momentum from THREE straight road wins and can earn a season sweep of Oregon with a win here, something the Beavers last accomplished in the 2018-19 season.

As noted above, an Oregon win means the No. 1 seed in the Pac 12 tourney but if that's NOT enough motivation, the Ducks SURELY remember losing 75-64 in Eugene back on Jan 23. PG Will Richardson did not play in Oregon's first meeting with Oregon State, as he didn't make his season debut until Feb 4 He scored nine of his 15 points in the second half and sank 6 of 8 shots from the floor in the comeback win over UCLA and, as Altman credited for for "taking over" against the Bruins. It's not lost on anyone that the Ducks are 9-2 since Richardson's return. Can you say "Pac 12 champs?" Lay the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on Maryland at 7:00 ET.

Penn St was 21-10 last season but the Nittany Lions went through some turmoil right as practices started when head coach Pat Chambers resigned in late October following an investigation into inappropriate conduct. Penn State is playing this season with interim head coach Jim Ferry and the Nittany Lions play their final regular season game of the current season Sunday at Maryland. Penn St is overall, including in Big Ten play.

Mark Turgeon coached Wichita St for seven years, before leading Texas A&M to four straight NCAA tournaments in four years going 97-40. He joined Maryland when it was still in the ACC but its move to the Big Ten has been good for the basketball program, as over the last six seasons the Terps have won 20-plus games in five seasons (exception was a 19-win season), making four NCAA tourneys (would have been five, as Maryland was 24-7 when the season was shut down last year). Maryland, despite Wednesday's 60-55 loss at Northwestern, has made a nice late-season run to put itself in position to grab an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. The Terps are 15-11 overall, including 9-10 in the Big Ten.

Penn State enters off one of its best games of the season, an 84-65 beatdown of struggling Minnesota at home Wednesday night. The Nittany Lions opened up a 46-28 halftime lead but NO ONE can make much of anything these days of a win over Minnesota (Gophers are 3-12 their last 15 overall and 0-10 on the road this season). Penn St surely misses All-Big Ten forward Lamar Stevens (17.6 & 6.9). The Nittany Lions have two players averaging in double figures, guards Jones (15.5) and Brockington (13.0 & 4.6). However, the team's depth is decent. The 6-7 Seth Lundy (9.4 & 3.8) and the 6-9 Harrar (9.1 & 8.6) are solid frontcourt players, plus guards Dread (7.9), Sessoms (7.9) and Wheeler (6.4-4.4-3.6) add backcourt depth.

PG Cowan (16.3 & 4.7 APG) and big man Jalen Smith (15.5 & 10.5) are gone from last season's Maryland team but the Terps have a deep backcourt. Ayala (14.5 & 3.1) and Wiggins (13.9 & 5.7) lead the way, supported by Morsell (8.8 & 3.8) and Hart (7.7 & 3.6). Up front, it's the 6-7 Scott (11.3 & 6.7) and 6-8 BC transfer Hamilton (6.6 & 2.5). Maryland had won FIVE straight before stumbling at Northwestern, as 15 turnovers and 42 percent shooting 'killed' them. The Terps are playing with revenge from a 55-50 loss at Penn St on Feb 5 but more importantly, a win gets them to 10-10 in Big Ten play, which really improves Maryland's at-large hopes. However, a loss and the Big Ten tourney becomes a potential eliminator for the Terps' NCAA hopes. Lay the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Tourney Takedown is on Texas St at 9:00 ET.

All SBC tournament games will played at Pensacola Bay Center & the Hartsell Center at Pensacola State College between March 5–8.The Appalachian State Mountaineers (No. 4 seed East) will take on the Texas State Bobcats (No. 1 seed in West) in quarterfinal matchup from the Pensacola Bay Center on Saturday night. The schools didn't meet in the regular season. Texas St earned a bye into the quarterfinals, while App St is fresh off its opening round 67-60 win over Little Rock on Friday. 

The Mountaineers entered last night's game having lost SIX of 7 but led by Justin Forrest 24 points (matching a career-high). Forrest (11.7) joins three other guards in double digit scoring this season, along with leading scorer Delph (12.4),Gregory (11.6 & 5.3) and Almonacy (11.4 & 3.8), The team's lone frontcourt player of note is the 6-8 Lewis (8.9 & 5.6) but it hardly bodes well that he played 29 minutes last night, scoring two points and grabbing three rebounds.

Texas St last played Feb 27 and has to feel as if it has a great chance to win the tourney and earn an NCAA automatic bid. Guards Harrell (13.7-3.1-3.2), Asberry (13.2 & 4.0) and Adams (6.4 & 4.1) round out the main players in the backcourt, while the 6-8 Small (10.8 & 5.7), the 6-7 Sule (7.8 & 3.3) and Ceasar (5.0 & 2.6) are the frontcourt contributors. 

As noted above, Appalachian State had lost SIX of seven before last night's win but tonight faces a Texas St team that's won 12 of its last 14 games, including SEVEN in a row since losing Jan 29 and 30 to ULL by scores of 62-60 and 74-73. Let me go over that again. Texas State has 12 wins and two losses (by a combined THREE points!) in its last 14 games! Bye-Bye App St!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* play is on St John's at 7:00 ET.

Seton Hall (13-11 / 10-8 Big East) and St John's (15-10 / 9-9 Big East) conclude their respective regular seasons Saturday at Carnesecca Arena in Queens, NY, as both schools try to lock down a top-five seed and the accompanying bye into the quarterfinal round of next week's Big East tournament. Seton Hall dropped a 69-58 decision to UConn on Wednesday and finds itself in its second three-game losing skid of the season. Meanwhile, St John's improved to 10-3 at home this season with an 81-67 victory over Providence on Wednesday, as the Red Storm outscored the Friars 51-26 in the second half.

SEVEN Seton Hall players have participated in all 24 games this season, led by the 6-11 Mamukelashvili. He has five double-doubles this season and leads the Pirates in scoring (17.9) and rebounding (7.2). He gets help up front from the 6-10 Samuel (5.6 & 3.5) and the 7-2 Obiagu (4.5 & 4.3). A quartet of guards are led by Rhoden (14.6 & 6.3) and Cale (11.9 & 3.6) plus PG Reynolds (7.6 & 4.4 APFG) and Molson (5.5).

Swingman Julian Champagnie leads St. John's in scoring (19.8) and rebounding (7.3). He collected 16 and 10 Wednesday for his seventh double-double of the season. The not-so good news is that PG Alexander (11.1-3.5-4.4) is sidelined with a right thumb injury. Alexander averages club-best totals in assists (4.4) and steals (2.6). Rasheem Dunn (9.2 & 4.0 APG) stepped up with a season-high 21 points against Providence. The good news is that St John's owns a deep backcourt with Williams (9.3), Cole (9.0) and Addae-Wusu (6.4). Up front, it's the 6-10 Moore (9.6 & 5.0) and the 6-6 Earlington (6.4 & 3.9).

Back on Dec 11 in the Big East opener, the Pirates won 77-68 at Seton Hall, when Mamukelashvili scored a career-high 32 points. Champagnie scored 24 points for St. John's in one but in this "revenge" spot, look for Champagnie and the Red Storm to earn the 'CA$H!'

Good luck...Larry

My 10* LEGEND Play is on Sam Houston St at 6:00 ET.

Stephen F. Austin lost 63-61 at home to Abilene Christian on Wednesday, just the team's SECOND home loss since the start of last season (Lumberjacks are 24-2). The Lumberjacks travel to Huntsville, Tx on Saturday to take on Sam Houston St, which knows all about winning at home, as the Bearkats are a perfect 12-0 at the Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum. Both teams can score, as SF Austin averages 81.1 PPG (17th) on 52.3% shooting (2nd), while Sam Hou St averages 80.8 PPG (21st).

SF Austin owns a solid trio of guards in Johnson (15.7 & 4.4), Ware (13.4) and Kachelries (11.1 & 4.4 APG) plus a pair of 6-7 sophomores start up front in Kensmil (15.8 & 7.1) and Solomon (7.8 & 4.9). Sam Houston head coach Jason Hooten opened the season having lost four of five starters for the SECOND straight year. The team opened 15-6 last season but was just 18-13 when the season was shut down. Guard Nutall is the lone returning starter and he leads the team averaging 19.3 PPG (adds 5.4 RPG) and while fellow guard Lampley (15.0 & 3.9) is the only other double digit scorer, this year's team enters its final regular season game on quite a roll. The Bearkats were just 3-5 after a Dec 16 loss at Texas but take the court tonight having won 16 of their last 18 games! 

One of those losses was at Sf Austin back on Jan 31 (78-68) and while the Bearkats are looking for revenge from that defeat, that's NOT the most important aspect of this game. Nicholls St has completed its regular season at 14-2 in the Southland but Sam Houston St comes in 13-2 and with a win, can match Nicholls St's record. Better yet, since the Bearkats swept the season series over the Colonels, a win means Sam Houston St earns the No. 1 seed in the conference tourney. Revenge AND playing for the No. 1 seed in the tourney in a game at home where the Bearkats are 12-0. Good enough for me!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Oddsmaker's Error of the Month is on UCLA at 4:00 ET.

Andy Enfield led Florida Gulf Coast to a 26-11 season in his second at the school, making a Sweet 16 appearance. That gave him the chance to "move on up" to USC but his first two seasons were HUGE disappointments (11-21 and 12-20). However, the Trojans have won 21-plus games in FOUR of the last five seasons, including a 22-9 mark last season before the shut down. Mick Cronin coached at Cincinnati for 13 seasons, leading the Bearcats to the "Big Dance" in each of his last nine years, while averaging 26.1 wins per season in that span. His first year as UCLA's head coach ended 19-12, including a 12-6 Pac-12 record, good enough to get the No. 2 seed in the conference tournament. UCLA wouldn’t get their chance to win the tournament though as the Pac-12 tournament and subsequently the NCAA tournament were cancelled on the same day last March. The two LA rivals met tonight at Pauley Pavilion with the visiting Trojans at 14-5 in Pac 12 play and the Bruins at 13-5. The winner would be in position to 'steal' the Pac 12's regular season title from Oregon, IF the 13-4 Ducks lose Sunday at Oregon St. It's simple, the UCLA-USC winner would have more Pac-12 wins than Oregon (and a higher winning percentage), which would give them the No. 1 seed in next week's Pac-12 tournament. Considering Oregon St won 75-64 at Oregon earlier this year, the USC-UCLA winner will have a reasonable rooting interest in Sunday's game in Corvallis.

USC saw its top-five scorers leave after the 2020 season. Onyeka Okongwu left for the NBA, Elijah Weaver transferred to University of Dayton plus seniors Jonah Mathews, Nick Rakocevic, and Daniel Utomi all graduated. However, Enfield recruited a "super frosh" in 7-0 freshman Evan Mobley plus brought in SIX transfers. Evan Mobley has been as "good as advertised," averaging 16.2 & 8.5. He joins his brother Isaiah (a 6-10 sophomore), who is adding 9.1 & 7.7. Peterson is a 6-8 swingman from Rice who averages 9.8 & 5.1 while guards are Eaddy (Santa Clara) and White, a grad transfer from Utah Valley St. Eaddy is averaging 13.9 PPG and White 7.0. The 6-9 Goodwin, a grad transfer from Wofford adds 5.9 & 3.8 off the bench.

UCLA's 6-9 guard Chris Smith averaged 12.6 points and 6.4 rebounds in UCLA's first eight games but was lost for the season with a knee injury. More recently, the 6-10 Jalen Hill (6.1 & 5.5) has not played since Feb 6 (personal reasons). However, the Bruins still have FIVE players averaging in double digits. PG Campbell (10.6 & 5.7 APG) misses Smith but is still surrounded by "big guards" like the 6-6 Zuzang (14.2 & 4.3), the 6-6 Jaquez (11.8 & 6.0) and the 6-6 Bernard (10.0 & 4.5). Without Hill, it's just the 6-9 Riley (10.3 & 5.3) up front.

Both USC and UCLA have stumbled recently and have no one to blame but themselves if they fall short in the final regular season standings. USC had lost THREE of four before routing Stanford 79-42 at home on Wednesday, while UCLA's 82-74 Wednesday loss at Oregon was the team's second straight. Which team "shows up" better on Saturday? I think "revenge" works VERY well here between these two "classic" rivals. Back on Feb 6 at USC, the Trojans won 66-48, as the 48 points UCLA scored marked a season low (Bruins had just 20 points at the half!). UCLA shot just 33.9 percent in that loss, including just 15.8% on threes (3 of 19). The Bruins are shooting 46.2% on the season, including 36.9% on threes. Don't they HAVE to shoot better here in this HUGE game? What's more, UCLA is 11-0 SU at Pauley Pavilion this season, so why are the Bruins the small home dog?

Good luck...Larry

My 9* ACC Showdown is on Louisville at 4:00 ET.

No. 21 Virginia is 16-6 (12-4 in the ACC) and clinched a top-four seed and a double-bye in next week's ACC tournament with its victory over Miami on Monday night. Louisville (15-5 / 8-4 ACC in ACC)  has that same goal in mind when the Cardinals host the Cavaliers on Saturday in the regular-season conference finale for both teams.

Virginia halted a three-game losing streak with its 62-51 win over the Hurricanes on Senior Night in Charlottesville, Va., the final home game for Sam Hauser, Jay Huff, Tomas Woldetensae and Austin Katstra. The 6-8 Houser leads the team in scoring (15.5) plus adds 6.7 RPG, while the 7-1 leads in rebounding (7.1), while adding 13.3 PPG. Woldetensae (4.4) has had a disappointing senior season, while Katstra (0.6 PPG) is a non-factor. SG Murphy (10.8) and PG Clark (9.8 & 4.6 APG) get help on the perimeter from Morsell (4.7) and Beekman (4.7). However, UVA is known for its defense and that's the case once again this season, as the Cavaliers are allowing 60.2 PPG (8th in the nation).

Louisville swingman Jordan Nwora (18.0 & 7.7) is gone from last season's team but FOUR starters returned. However, it's Carlik Jones who leads the team in scoring, averaging 17.6-5.2-4.5. He's a graduate transfer from Radford and was last season's Big South Conference player of the year. He's joined by returning guard Johnson (12.5 & 5.7) in the backcourt. The 6-7 Williamson did little last season but averages 10.0 & 7.9 this season plus 6-9 redshirt freshman Withers is adding 10.1 & 8.0. True freshman guard Davis (7.9 & 3.3) and the 6-8 Slazinski (6.2 & 3.4) round out the main contributors.

Seeding for the ACC tournament will be determined by winning percentage. Louisville enters the weekend in the No. 4 slot with a .667 winning percentage, ranked between Virginia Tech (.692) and Georgia Tech (.625). With a potential double-bye and automatic quarterfinal berth at stake, there is a lot on the line Saturday for the Cards and they proved they can win "when needed" last Saturday at Duke, 80-73 in OT. Jones scored seven of his 25 points in OT, with Withers adding 16 points and nine rebounds and Samuell Williamson posting a double-double with 14 points and 12 boards. UVa has little to play for here and is looking forward to a few days of rest. A win here and Louisville gets those "few days of rest, as well. That's my bet.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* play is on Missouri at 3:00 ET.

The LSU Tigers are 15-8 (10-6 SEC) and the Missouri Tigers are 15-7 (8-7 SEC) as the SEC rivals square off Saturday in Columbia, Mo (only meeting this season). LSU is trying to secure a top-four seed and a double-bye in the league tournament next week. Meanwhile, Missouri will land somewhere between a No. 5 and No. 8 seed in the SEC event, depending on the outcome of games Saturday. Both schools are also looking to improve their seeding for the NCAA Tournament, hoping to avoid the Nos. 8-9 zone in that bracket and the potential of facing a No. 1 seed if they win their first game.

"We need another Quad 1 win," LSU head coach Will Wade said. "We need to try to improve our SEC tournament standing, improve our standing for the NCAA Tournament, all that stuff's important." The Tigers are not a deep team but have a pair of guards and frontcourt players who are top-notch. Thomas (22.8 & 3.4) and Smart (16.0-3.3-4.1) man the backcourt, while the 6-9 Watford (16.0 & 7.4) and the 6-7 Days (11.7 & 7.5) star up front.

In contrast, Missouri has SEVEN players contributing. Three double digit scorers roam the backcourt in Dru Smith (14.0-3.5-3.9), Pinson (14.0-2.9-3.0) and Mark Smith (10.1). Up front, the 6-10 Tilmon (12.9 & 7.6) leads the way, supported by the 6-7 Brown (7.5 & 5.9) and the 6-10 Mitchell Smith (4.8 & 5.0). What's the limit on the number of Smiths allowed on one team?

Missouri had lost FOUR of five games before snapping its late-season slump with a 72-70 victory at Florida this past Wednesday. Getting center Jeremiah Tilmon back in the starting lineup has steadied Missouri. He missed two games (Feb 13 vs Arkansas and Feb 16 vs. Georgia) while mourning the death of his grandmother and the team lost both games. However, in the three games since he returned, the Tigers are 2-1 with Tilmon scoring 39 points, pulling down 19 rebounds and blocking five shots. He MAKES a difference.

LSU is a dangerous team but is just 3-6 SU on the road, winning at Ole Miss (9-8 SEC), A&M (2-7) and Miss St (8-8). Missouri is not currently ranked but had spent 11 straight weeks in the top-25 before falling out in the Mar 1 poll (rose as high as No. 10 back on Feb 8). In a Tigers vs Tigers matchup, I'm siding with Missouri. "Show me!"

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Tourney Takedown (OVC) is on Morehead St at 10:30 ET.

Belmont is the overwhelming favorite to win the OVC tourney but the Eastern Kentucky Colonels and Morehead St Eagles meet tonight from the Ford Center (Evansville, In) and the winner will get its shot against Belmont in the championship game (I'm assuming Belmont gets past Jacksonville in tonight's other OVC semifinal game). The game will feature Eastern Kentucky's offense (82.9 PPG ranks 8th in the nation) up against Morehead State's defense (63.4 PPG allowed ranks 33rd). The two schools have met twice this season but those contests came back in December. Eastern Ky won 71-68 at home (Dec 7) and then lost 75-62 at Morehead St on Dec 14 (I'll get back to these games shortly). 

The Colonels are led freshman PG Green (15.3-3.4-5.1) and 6-9 junior King (15.2 & 6.3). Guard Guard Lewis (11.1 & 5.2) plus the 6-7 Moreno (10.1 & 4.8) also add double digits in points. Green scored 23 points, including clinching free throws with 12 seconds left, as Eastern Kentucky survived a last-gasp try from Austin Peay to edge the Governors 70-67 last night. Austin Peay was just 3 of 17 on three-pointers, allowing Eastern Ky to win despite scoring about 13 points under its season average.

The Eagles have SIX players averaging 25-plus minutes, while chipping in between 7.3 and 13.3 PPG. 6-10 freshman Broome leads in scoring (13.3) and rebounding (8.7) plus juniors guards Devon Cooper (11.7 & 5.1) and Potter (11.4 & 5.7) compromise a VERY good backcourt duo. Ta'lon Cooper (8.3 PPG) came off the bench to score 17 points to carry No. 2 seed Morehead State to a 61-54 win over Southeast Missouri on Wednesday night. Broome had 14 & 11 plus Devon Cooper added 12 points. Morehead St came up big defensively, allowing only 54 points on 35.7% shooting.

Looking back to those two regular season meetings, Eastern Ky averaged just 66.5 PPG against Morehead St, 16 points less than the team's season average. This has been a "breakout season" for Morehead St head coach Preston Spradlin, who went just 46-69 in his first four seasons at the school. He leads his team into this contest having won 17 of its last 18 games, losing only 73-58 at Belmont (note: The Eagles avenged that loss with an 89-82 home win over Belmont). I had a HUGE play on Eastern Ky last night (eked out a win) but will go against the Colonels in this one against the 'hottest' team in the OVC, which also owns an advantage of having played Wednesday, NOT last night like EKU.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on UC-Davis at 7:00 ET.

The class of the Big West this season is clearly UC-Santa Barbara, which is 1-4 overall, including 11-3 in league play. The Big West tourney will be played Mar 9-13 in Las Vegas but first there's the final weekend of regular season play. The 10-8 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (8-8 in Big West) and the 8-6 UC Davis Aggies (5-3 Big West) meet Friday at the Pavilion in Davis, Ca.  

Eran Ganot's Hawaii team is led by two returning players and two transfers. Guard Webster (12.4 & 3.4) and the 6-7 Jardine (11.6 & 5.6) are the top returning players but also note that the 7-0 Colina is averaging 6.0 & 5.4 at center (off the bench), after averaging 1.6 & 1.6 last season. The two key transfers are the 6-8 Jean-Marie (12.3 & 4.7) and guard Madut (10.9 & 4.3). 

Jim Les played and coached at Bradley (nine years) but is in his 10th season at UC-Davis. He won 20-plus games three times in a four-season span (2015-15 thru 2017-18) but the Aggies followed with 11-20 and 14-18 seasons the previous two years. This year's team has been greatly affected by COVID but seems to be coming together (more later). Les was a terrific guard at Bradley (MVC player of the year in 1986) and his current team has FOUR guards averaging in double digits. Manjon (15.9-29.3.4) and Pepper (14.7 & 5.1) are two of the Big West's best guards plus Squire (12.1-3.3-2.8) and Fuller (11.5 & 3.7) are no slouches. The 6-7 Koehler (11.5 & 5.5) and the 6-9 Anigwe (6.5 & 4.9) are the top frontcourt contributors.

Hawaii has been hovering around .500 for most of the year and has had trouble staying on the right side of the 'Mendoza line' UC-Davis did not play from Dec 5 through Jan 24 before of COVID protocols and when the Aggies returned, they lost FOUR of five. However, UC-Davis enters this contest on a FIVE-game winning streak and gets to finish its season at home with back-to-back home games with Hawaii. A 2-0 sweep could earn the Aggies the No. 2 seed in the upcoming Big West tourney. First things FIRST. Expect UC-Davis to win this one and the pointspread means a "W" is almost a guaranteed cover!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM of the Month is on Western Michigan at 7:00 ET.

The 2021 Mid-American Conference men's basketball tournament is scheduled to be held at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio, from March 11-13. Due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, only the top EIGHT teams qualify. Two schools that will NOT be headed to Cleveland are 5-12 Eastern Michigan (2-11 in the MAC) and 5-12 Western Michigan (4-11 in the MAC). Tonight's contest will conclude the current season for both schools. The Eastern Michigan Eagles were scheduled to host the Western Michigan Broncos back on Jan 19 but that game was postponed, meaning this will be the only meeting this season between the rivals.

Eastern Michigan head coach Rob Murphy is in his 10th season(two CIT appearances and one in the CBI but no NCCAA) at Ypsilanti but despite returning four starters, the Eagles will finish with the worst record of his tenure at Eastern Michigan. 6-8 senior Groce leads the team in scoring (15.3) and rebounding (6.6), while junior guard McBride (13.6) and senior guard Montero (12.5 & 5.5) give EMU a solid backcourt duo.

Steve Hawkins spent 17 seasons at Kalamazoo (seven division titles / two NCAA appearances) but was let go after last season's 13-19 finish (Broncos were just 8-24 the year before). His assistant, Thomas Kelley was promoted. Kelley played at Michigan State from 1995-99 and was a part of Izzo's first Final Four team as a fifth-year senior in 1998-99. Obviously, "Season One" has NOT gone well (see above). The Bronco's top-scorer is guard White (14.3), while the 6-9 Lee (12.9 & 7.1) and the 6-8 Wright (8.5 & 5.4) are the best frontcourt players.

Here's the rub. Western Michigan wraps up a very disappointing season with this home game vs Eastern Michigan but the Broncos can finish on an uptick, having won at Northern Illinois on Tuesday. The LAST thing Kelley wants in his first season is to lose at home (in the final game of the season) to rival Eastern Michigan, a team which comes in still looking for its first road win of the season. Bottom line is this. EMU was 4-4 back on Jan 14 but has lost seven games to COVID, while losing EIGHT of the nine games played in that span (win came over Northern Illinois which is 2-16, including 1-12 in the MAC). EMU is 0-8 on the road, losing by an average of 20.3 PPG (closest loss came by 11 points!).

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Conference Game of the Year (OVC) is on Eastern Kentucky at 10:30 ET.

Belmont (24-3 / 18-2 in the OVC) is the overwhelming favorite to win the OVC tourney but the Eastern Kentucky Colonels (21-6 / 15-5) could be a surprise team. The Colonels open tourney play against Austin Peay Governors (14-12 / 10-10 in the OVC) Thursday from the Ford Center (Evansville, In). The teams split their two meetings this season, with the road team coming away with the wins.

The Governors are led by the 6-5 Taylor (21.7 & 11.0) and the 6-8 Peake (10.6 & 5.2) in the frontcourt. FIVE guards chip in between 5.4 and 9.6 PPG, led by Adams (9.6), Gee (9.0- am]nd Paez (8.9). The Colonels are led by 6-9 junior King (15.2 & 6.3) and freshman PG Green (15.0-3.4-5.1). Guard Lewis (11.4 & 5.1) plus the 6-7 Moreno (10.4 & 4.7) also add double digits in points.

Speaking of points, Eastern Kentucky ranks 10th in the nation in averaging 82.9 PPG. Austin Peay comes in on a three-game slide, while Eastern Kentucky is playing its best ball of the season, winning SIX of its last seven (scored 80-plus points in all six wins, averaging 87.0 PPG). Eastern Kentucky head coach A.W. Hamilton had a legendary career as a high school coach at Hargrove Military Academy (Google, if interested) and after going 6-12 in OVC play his first year, went 12-6 last year. This year's team is 15-5 in league play and comes in "on a roll." Talk about "heading in the right direction." Want more? At 16-8-1 ATS on the season, Eastern Kentucky is one of the more profitable teams in the country. Cha-Ching!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Oklahoma St at 7:00 ET.

Following a long shutdown due to COVID-19, Baylor won 'ugly' against lowly Iowa State on Feb 23 and then suffered its first loss of the season on Saturday at Kansas, falling 71-58. Baylor fell to No. 3 in the new AP poll on Monday (had been No. 2 in EVERY previous poll) but on Tuesday night, the Bears (now 19-1 / 11-2 in the Big 12) looked every bit the part of a national title contender with a gritty 94-89 overtime win at No. 6 West Virginia. Oklahoma St entered the top-25 on Feb 8 at No. 23 for the first time since Feb of 2015. However, the Cowboys fell out of the next two polls, despite not losing. A new poll came out Monday and the Cowboys were ranked 17th. The Cowboys celebrated that night, beating "Bedlam" rival Oklahoma 79-75 in Stillwater (had won at Norman 94-90 in OT on Saturday.

Baylor's Scott Drew took over a devastated Baylor program in the 2003-04 season and since 2007-08, has turned the Bears into one of the best programs in the country. Baylor won the NIT in 2013 and has made eight NCAA tourney appearances (26-4 last season would have made nine). Baylor lost 6-9 center Gillespie (9.6 & 9.0) from last year's team but the strength of Baylor's team this season is centered around its guards. Butler's (16.9-3.2-5.0) the best of the group but don't look past Teague (14.6 & 4.2), Mitchell (13.8 & 5.6 APG), Flagler (10.2) or Mayer (8.1) The 6-5 Vital (5.9 & 6.0) plays like a power forward and is considered one of the best defensive players in the nation. Tchatchoua is a 6-8 transfer from UNLV and he's averaged 7.3 & 5,7 plus the 6-10 Thamba adds 4.0 & 4.4.

Mike Boynton took over in Stillwater when Brad Underwood left for Illinois and in his first three seasons, the Cowboys were an underwhelming 51-49. However, led by super-frosh Cade Cunningham, the Cowboys are 17-6 overall, including 10-6 in the Big 12. The 6-8 Cade Cunningham (19.5-6.3-3.5) has been as good (if not better than advertised). He's joined in the starting lineup by guards Anderson (10.3 & 4.0), Walker (8.9),and Williams (8,0) plus the 6-9 Boone (9.8 & 5.6). The 6-5 Likekele (9.8-6.9-3.7) and the 6-7 Moncrieffe (9.2 & 5.6) are big contributors off the bench.

Drew's run at Baylor has been HUGELY successful and the win at West Va gave the school its first regular season title since 1950 (SWC). The Bears outscored West Virginia 13-8 in overtime while holding the Mountaineers to one made field goal. Drew couldn't wait to celebrate after the victory and jumped on 6-5 senior guard Mark Vital's back before heading to the locker room. Congrats to Baylor but returning home after its HUGE win and laying double digits to an Oklahoma St team that has won FIVE in row (THREE over ranked teams) and owns the likely No. 1 pick in the 2021 NBA Draft seems like a 'bridge too far.' Take those big points!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Revenge Rout (Big South Conf Tourney) is on Campbell at 6:00 ET.

Winthrop (21-1 overall / 17-1 in conference play) is expected to win the Big South Tourney but just maybe the second-seeded Radford Highlanders (12-6) or the third-seeded  Campbell Fighting Camels (11-6) could pull an upset. Both schools won their tourney openers (Mar 1) and will meet for a third time this season Thursday from Dedmon Center (Radford's homecourt).

Campbell had the nation's leading scorer (Chris Clemons at 30.1 PPG) but after opening 9-3, finished 15-16. Clemons is gone but the Fighting Camels enter this game on an EIGHT-game winning streak. The 6-6 Henderson (15.6 & 4.6) plus guard Whitfield (14.6) are the team's top-two point-producers but guard Thompson (8.6) plus two sophomores, the 6-7 Lusane (8.1 & 5.6) and the 6-8 Carralero (7.3 & 3.3) have been regular contributors.

Radford was 21-11 last season, tying Winthrop at 15-3 for the Big South's best conference mark. However, the Highlanders lost all FIVE starters from last year's team. Radford has just ONE double digit scorer and that's PG Ali (10.2 & 3.9 APG) but in all, EIGHT players chip in between 4.6 and 10.2 PPG. The biggest contributors play in the frontcourt. That group includes the 6-8 Mangum (9.6 & 4.4), the 6-9 Djonkam (9.0 & 4.78), the 6-7 Jules (7.5 & 4.0) and the 6-7 Walker (6.9 & 7.6).

There is little doubt that Radford is 'itching' for a shot at Winthrop but my bet says that is trumped by Campbell's motivation to avenge back-to-back tight home losses to Radford back on Jan 19 (97-91 in OT) and Jan 20 (67-61). What has Campbell done since those back-to-back defeats? Just win EIGHT consecutive games, holding opponents to an average of just 59.4 PPG. "Double-Revenge" gets the CA$H in this one!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Under the Radar Rout is on SF Austin at 9:00 ET.

The Abilene Christian Wildcats and Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks meet Wednesday in Southland Conference action at the William R. Johnson Coliseum in Nacogdoches, Tx. It's a logjam atop the Southland with Nicholls St at 13-2 and Sam Houston St at 12-2 plus SF Austin and Abilene Christian both at 11-2. Joe Golding is in his 10th season at  Abilene Christian and his 2017-18 team went 27-7 for his lone NCAA appearance. Kyle Keller was hired as the head coach at Stephen F. Austin, replacing Brad Underwood. Following the discovery of an administrative error in declaring student-athletes eligible, on May 20, 2020, Stephen F. Austin reached an agreement with the NCAA to vacate hundreds of wins across multiple sports from 2013 to 2019, including all 117 men's basketball wins from the 2014–15 to 2018–19 seasons. With that behind the program, the Lumberjacks finished the 2019–20 season with a 28–3 (19–1 Southland) record and the regular season Southland title. However, due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Southland and NCAA tournaments were canceled.

Abilene Christian lost All-Southland guard Ricks (14.3) from last season's team and this year's team is led by a trio of double digit scorers. 7-0 center Kohl leads in scoring (12.1), while the 6-8 Pleasant leads in rebounding (5.5 per game) and adds 11.0 PPG. Guard Mason (10.6) is the third double digit scorer for a team that relies more on defense, as the Wildcats allow 60.9 PPG (9th) on 40.1% shooting (27th).

Keller has put together another strong season at SF Austin and SIX players are averaging 20-plus minutes. FOUR seniors average in double digits, led by the 6-7 Kensmil (15.7 & 7.3) plus guards Johnson (15.5 & 4,3), Ware (13.8) and Kachelries (11.0 & 4.5 APG). 6-7 sophomore Soloman (8.0 &n4.8) and junior guard Hawkins (6.8) round out the main contributors.

Abilene Christian DOMINATED in its home win (Jan 27) over S.F. Austin, 82-62! Holding the Lumberjacks to just 62 points  was an impressive accomplishment, as SF Austin is averaging 82.2 PPG (13th) on 52.6% shooting (2nd) on the season. S.F. Austin is not only playing with revenge but did I mention that the Lumberjacks are 26-1 SU at home since the start of last season!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Oregon at 9:00 ET.

It's the final week of the Pac 12's regular season and UCLA is trying to hang on and win the conference's regular-season title. UCLA is 17-6 overall with it's 13-4 Pac-12 record leaving the Bruins barely ahead of the 12-4 Oregon Ducks and the 13-5 USC Trojans. As fate would have it, UCLA plays at Oregon tonight and then will host the Trojans Saturday night at Pauley Pavilion. This storied UCLA program hasn't won a Pac 12 conference title since the 2012-13 season. The 17-5 Ducks have won EIGHT of their last nine games to close in on UCLA. This will be the first meeting between the Bruins and Ducks this season, although they have been scheduled to play on four previous dates, all postponed because of coronavirus concerns.

Mick Cronin made NINE consecutive NCAA Tourney appearances at Cincy, as his Bearcats posted a 235-78 (.751) record in that span. He moved to Westwood last season and his Bruins got better as the year progressed and were playing their best ball when the season was shut down. UCLA's 6-9 guard Chris Smith averaged 12.6 points and 6.4 rebounds in UCLA's first eight games but was lost for the season with a knee injury. More recently, the 6-10 Jalen Hill (6.1 & 5.5) has not played since Feb 6 (personal reasons). However, the Bruins still have FIVE players averaging between 9.4 and 14.6 PPG. PG Campbell (10.8 & 5.6 APG) misses Smith but is still surrounded by "big guards" like the 6-6 Zuzang (14.6 & 4.4), the 6-6 Jaquez (11.6 & 6.1) and the 6-6 Bernard (9.4 & 4,6). Without Hill, it's just the 6-9 Riley (10.3 & 5.3) up front.

Dana Altman spent 16 seasons at Creighton and took the school to seven NCAA tourneys in his last 12 years at the school. He came to Oregon for the 2010-11 season and won the CBI championship in his first season. He's now in his 11th season in Eugene having won 20-plus games in each of his first 10, averaging 25.9 wins per year. Oregon has played in SIX of the last eight NCAA tourneys and it would have been seven if last season's year was not cut short (Ducks were 24-7). The Ducks have won EIGHT of nine and have a chance to win the regular season title with two wins (close at Oregon St on Saturday). The 6-6 Eugene Omoruyi, who sat out last year as a transfer from Rutgers is averaging 17.0 & 5.4. The 6-6 Figueroa transferred from St John's and adds 11.6 & 6.6 and the 6-6 Eric Williams (10.7 & 6.3) transferred from Duquesne. That trio gives Oregon a strong frontcourt, even with 6-11 center N'Faly Dante (8.2 & 5.8) suffering a torn ACL in mid-December (out for the season). 6-8 guard Duarte (17.4 & 4.9) is now joined in the backcourt by PG Will Richardson, who is back from a left thumb injury suffered in the preseason. He's averaging 9.5 PPG in 10 games.

Both Cronin and Altman are proven winners but I'm siding with the homestanding Ducks. "It's just great to be in this position," Oregon's Altman said. "Through the two pauses (due to COVID-19 protocols earlier this year) and a couple bad losses at home, for them to be resilient and fight back like they have -- they didn't get down. They came back and did a tremendous job. So I want them to have fun; I want them to enjoy this week." I think Oregon will win here handily, especially since the Bruins have gone just 2-9 ATS (that's an 82% "go-against") since mid-January.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Revenge Game of the Year is on Villanova at 8:30 ET.

Creighton, Villanova and Seton Hall finished in a three-way tie for first place in the Big East last season. As the 2020-21 Big East regular season comes to a close this week, Seton Hall is far back at 10-7, with No. 10 Villanova at 10-3 and No. 14 Creighton at 13-5. Here's the rub. With teams playing an uneven amount of games, the Bluejays would capture the Big East regular season title over the Wildcats with a win here (have already beaten Villanova 86-70 back in Creighton on Feb 13) and a home win over Butler on Saturday. Both schools are coming off losses with Creighton losing 77-69 at Xavier on Saturday and Villanova  losing 73-61 at Butler on Sunday.

Creighton was ranked No. 11 in the AP's preseason poll (the highest in school history). Greg McDermott is now in his 11th season at Creighton and after tying for the Big East title last season and finishing 24-7, Creighton was picked to finish second behind Villanova in a preseason poll. Well here the Blue Jays are! Creighton owns an excellent guard trio in PG Zegarowski (14.9-3.9-4.6) plus Mahoney (13.9 & 4.5) and Ballock (10.5). 6-5 SF Jefferson (12.3 & 5.4) and the 6-7 Bishop (11.5 & 5.9) get help up front from 7-0 freshman Ryan Kalkbrenner (6.7 & 3.9).

Villanova's Jay Wright lost Saddiq Bey (16.1 & 4.7) to the NBA (was a first-round NBA draft pick) but four double digit scorers from last year's team returned. Villanova's preseason ranking of No. 3 was its highest since the 1995-96 season. Villanova is considered one of the most dangerous teams in the country for many reasons but offensive balance is at the top of the list. All FIVE starters average in double digits. The 6-9 Robinson-Earl (15.5 & 7.9) leads in scoring and rebounding and is joined up front by the 6-7 Samuels (11.1 & 6.3). That duo is joined in the starting lineup by a trio of double-digit scoring guards, PG Gillespie (14.4 & 4.7 APG), Moore (12.8 & 4.4) and Daniels (10.6). The 6-9 Swider comes off the bench to add 6.2 & 3.3.

'Nova can clinch the Big East regular season crown with a win here AND maybe a No. 2 seed in the "Big Dance," so motivation is hardly an issue. Obviously, Villanova will remember its 16-point loss at Creighton plus the Wildcats can't possibly forget Sunday's HUGELY disappointing loss Sunday at Butler. Villanova shot 2 of 27 on three-pointers, with 14 straight misses to end the game! This is a "big time" game and in the end, it's Villanova which will make the deciding plays.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Happy Hour "Best Bet" is on Syracuse at 5:00 ET.

Clemson was 9-1 and ranked 12th when it welcomed Virginia to Littlejohn Coliseum back on Jan 16. The Tigers were coming off an extended pause due to a positive COVID-19 test and subsequent contact tracing. The 11-day break clearly did not turn out well, as UVa routed Clemson 85-50. That was the first of three straight losses in which the Tigers averaged 58.7 PPG! However, the Tigers have rebounded by winning SIX of seven including FIVE in a row. 15-5 Clemson (9-5 in the ACC) travels to the Carrier Dome to take on a Syracuse team that has won four of six to reach 14-8 (8-7 in the ACC) but more notably, is 12-1 at home!

Clemson head coach Brad Brownell is in his 11th season with the Tigers and his team is poised to make the NCAA tourney for just the THIRD time this season. Clemson returned four starters from last season's team plus Fordham transfer Nick Honor became eligible. The Tigers are led by 6-8 senior forward Simms (13.6 & 6.2). He's joined in the starting lineup by the 6-8 Tyson (6.3 & 4.7) plus guards Honor (9.1), Trapp (7.0 & 5.6) and Hemenway (4.6). Dawes (8.5) and Newman (4.3) come off the bench in the backcourt and the 6-10 Baehre (4.5 & 4.4) in the frontcourt.

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Syracuse head coach Jim Boeheim knows all about appearing in the "Big Dance" but his team's at-large resume this season still needs some help. Syracuse has a solid starting-five, with only guard Richmond (6.9-3.1-3.3) contributing off the bench. The Orange own a strong starting frontline in SF Griffin (15.0 & 6.5), the 6-7 Guerrier (14.8 & 9.0) and the 6-10 Dolezag (10.7 & 5.2). SG Buddy Boeheim scored 26 points in Saturday's win over the Tar Heels and now leads the team in scoring (15.9) and is paired in the backcourt by PG Girard (9.7 & 3.1 APG). 

Both teams come in playing well and this late-season showdown has plenty of postseason repercussions. Syracuse can't help but remember suffering a 17-point loss at Clemson back on Feb 6 and the Orange will celebrate "Senior Night" on Wednesday. Syracuse has more 'firepower' than Clemson and a look back at that Clemson win at home on Feb 6 and we find that the Tigers shot 52.9% from the floor, 10 points HIGHER than the team's season FG percentage of 42.5. Syracuse gets a MUCH-needed win!

Good luck...Larry

My CBB 10* Game of the Month (Big Ten) is on Purdue at 9:00 ET.

Wisconsin has had a terrific basketball program for decades and Greg Gard is in his sixth season at Madison, having had FOUR 20-win seasons in his first five. The Badgers were 13-4 (7-3 Big Ten) in late January but are just 3-5 since, falling to 16-9 overall and 10-8 in the Big Ten. Wisconsin opened No. 7 in the preseason poll but was ranked 25th in Monday's latest poll (not sure why the Badgers are still ranked?). In contrast, Purdue's Matt Painter (in his 16th season with the Boilermakers) saw his team go just 16-14 last season, coming off a four-year run of averaging 27.3 wins per season. The Boilermaker's opened a modest 7-5 this season but Purdue has won NINE of its last 12 games. Purdue is now 16-8 (11-6 in the Big Ten) and is back in the top-25 as of Monday at No. 23.

Wisconsin is coming off a 74-69 loss at home to now-No. 4 Illinois on Saturday, even though the Fighting Illini were playing without star guard Ayo Dosunmu. Wisconsin starts FIVE seniors, guards Trice (14.1-3.5-9) and Davison (8.8 & 3.5) plus the 6-10 Potter (12.5 & 6.2), the 6-11 Reuvers (8.6 & 3.4) and the 6-8 Ford (8.6 & 4.2). 6-5 freshman Davis (7.1 & 4.4) and 6-9 sophomore Wahl (5.3 & 4.2) both contribute off the bench

The 6-10 Williams leads Purdue in scoring (15.8) and rebounding (9.0). He's supported by a well-balanced group of FIVE others who chip in between 8.0 and 10.0 PPG. The group includes guards Stefanovic (10.0), Hunter (9.8), Ivey (9.3 & 3.6) and Newman (8.8 & 3.5), plus the 7-3 Edey (8.0 & 4.3). 6-6 freshman Gillis is chipping in 5.4 & 4.0 off the bench.

Both teams play excellent D, as Wisconsin allows 63.2 PPG and Purdue 65.7. However, while the Badgers' season is 'crumbling,' the Boilermakers are making a credible run at gaining a No. 4 seed in next month's NCAA Tournament. Purdue is 9-1 SU at home this season, with that LONE loss coming against now-No. 2 Michigan. The Boilermakers are being really UNDERVALUED with this pointspread!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on Ga Tech at 8:00 ET.

Duke had a season-best four-game winning streak halted in Saturday night's 80-73 overtime home loss to Louisville and will head to Atlanta at 11-9 overall, including 9-7 in the ACC to take on Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are on a four-game winning streak for the second time this season and welcome the Blue Devils to McCamish Pavilion at 13-8 (9-6 in the ACC) after Saturday's 84-77 home win over Syracuse.

Duke opened No. 9 in the AP's preseason poll but the team's Jan 12 loss at Va Tech saw 5-3 Duke (3-1 in the ACC) fall out of the AP poll. The Blue Devils haven't been back but as noted, were on a four-game winning streak before Saturday's loss .Coach K lost his top-two players to the NBA, the 6-10 Carey (17.8 & 8.8) is with the Hornets and PG Jones (16.2-4.7-6.4) is with the Spurs. Coach K has seamlessly transitioned into the One-and-Done era and freshman guards Stewart (13.1 & 4.0) and Roach (9.3) have played well but 6-9 freshman Johnson (11.9 & 6.5) has left the team to prepare for the NBA. However, Duked was on a FOUR-game run without him. 6-9 sophomore Hurt leads the team in scoring (19.3) and rebounding (6.3), while sophomore SF Moore (9.4 & 4.6) and senior guard Goldwire (6.0-3.1-3.9) are solid contributors. The 7-0 Williams (4.7 & 3.8) and the 6-8 Brakefield (4.1 & 2.8) only average about 12 MPG but have helped at times.

Ga Tech lacks depth but has a solid five-man rotation. Returning PG Alvarado (16.0-3.5-4.2) and SG Devoe (14.7-4.3-3.2) have been excellent plus returning 6-9 big man Wright leads in scoring (17.5) and rebounding (8.0). 6-7 USC transfer Usher (10.9 & 4.2) helps out up front plus VMI transfer Parham (7.3) adds to the team's backcourt depth. The 6-7 Moore (4.6 & 3.0 is the lone reserve making any real contributions.

Ga Tech head coach Josh Pastner is in his fifth season with the Yellow Jackets, after SEVEN years at Memphis. His first four seasons have not gone well (just 65-67) and the Yellow Jackets opened this season 0-2, losing home games to Ga State and Mercer. However, the Yellow Jackets are 13-6 since and at 9-6 in conference play, are three games above .500 in ACC play for the first time in 25 years (March 3, 1996)!! "We've now learned how to win," Pastner said. The Yellow Jackets have clinched a winning record in ACC regular-season play in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 1989 and 1990."That's 30 years," Pastner added. "That's a great accomplishment for this program, for this team." Georgia Tech has won 13 of its last 14 conference home games, including a 7-1 record this year. Could Ga Tech go 'dancing' this season while Duke 'stays home?' VERY possible. 

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Rivalry Rout is on Oklahoma at 9:00 ET.

Oklahoma's Lon Kruger came to Norman for the 2011-12 season, after leading Kansas St,  Florida, Illinois and UNLV to NCAA appearances. The Sooners made the "Big Dance" in SIX of his first eight seasons before last year's team went 19-12 before the shut down. Oklahoma was unranked in the preseason but cracked the top-25 (at No. 24) on Feb 24. Then, on Feb 1, the Sooners jumped all the way to No. 9, as Oklahoma beat FOUR ranked teams during the month of January. Oklahoma was No. 7 in the most recent poll (Feb 22) but lost this past week 62-57 at Kansas St (just 7-19 / 3-14 in the Big 12) and then 94-90 (OT) at home to Oklahoma St.

Mike Boynton took over in Stillwater when Brad Underwood left for Illinois and in his first three seasons, the Cowboys were an underwhelming 51-49. However, led by super-frosh Cade Cunningham, Oklahoma entered the top-25 on Feb 8 at No. 23 for the first time since Feb of 2015. For some reason, Okla St fell out of the last two polls, despite not losing. A new poll comes out this afternoon and the Cowboys will SURELY re-enter the top-25, while the Sooners will drop significantly after an 0-2 week. That's the setting for these two "Bedlam" rivals to play for the second time in three days, this time in Stillwater.

Oklahoma's top scorer from last season is gone (forward Doolittle averaged 15.8 & 8.9). Starting guards Reaves (17.5-5.6-5.1), Harmon (13.0) and Gibson (10.4) average in double digits, while Harkless (7.2 & 4.9) and Williams (6.6 & 3.0) add depth in the backcourt off the bench. The 6-9 Manek (9.9 & 4.9) and 6-7 Hill (4.6 & 3.3) start up front with the 6-10 Kuath (6.1 & 4.5) coming off the bench.

Likely "one-and-done" 6-8 standout Cade Cunningham (19.8-6.3-3.5) has been as good (if not better than advertised). He's joined in the starting lineup by guards Anderson (10.2 & 4.1), Walker (9.0),and Williams (7.7) plus the 6-9 Boone (9.5 & 5.4). The 6-5 Likekele (9.8-6.9-3.7) and the 6-7 Moncrieffe (9.2 & 6.7) are big contributors off the bench.

Cunningham was "unstoppable" Saturday in Norman (a career-high 40 points with 11 rebounds) and will now look lead OSU to a sweep of the season series over OU. The winner will bolster its NCAA Tournament resume plus  the game also has plenty of repercussions in the Big 12 (teams are tied for fourth place in the conference). The two rivals have not played in back-to-back games since 1943 and I'm "all over" Oklahoma in this "payback" situation. "Boomer Sooner!"

Good luck...Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Syracuse at 7:00 ET.

North Carolina's legendary head coach Roy Williams is coming off a 14-19 season in which North Carolina players lost 99 games to injury. However, the Tar Heels opened No. 16 in the AP's preseason poll. However for most of this season, the Tar Heels have NOT lived up to their preseason ranking. That said, just maybe North Carolina has "turned a corner?" The Tar Heels' 78-70 Saturday over No. 11 Florida State was their first victory against a nationally ranked team since November 2019, snapping a 10-game losing streak against ranked opponents. 15-5 North Carolina (9-5 in ACC play) will play its final road game of the season tonight in Syracuse. Jim Boeheim's team is 13-8 (7-7 in ACC play, after losing 84-77 loss at Georgia Tech on Saturday.

Last year's super frosh Anthony lost time to injury last season (played 22 games) but averaged 18.5-5.7-4.0 for the Tar Heels but as expected was a "One and Done!" Also gone is senior guard Robinson and his 11.8 PPG for North Carolina. However, North Carolina's strength is its depth. EIGHT players are making contributions. Up front it's the 6-10 Bacot (11.2 & 7.4), the 6-10 Brooks (10.4 & 7.0) and the 6-11 Sharpe (10.0 & 8.0), while the backcourt goes five-deep. The group includes Love (10.1 & 3.7 APG), Davis (8.1), Walton (8.1), Black (5.8 & 5.3) and Platek (4.2). In contrast, Syracuse has a solid starting-five, with only guard Richmaond (6.9-3.1-3.0) contributing off the bench. The Orange own a strong starting frontline in SF Griffin (15.5 & 6.6), the 6-7 Guerrier (14.7 & 9.1) and the 6-10 Dolezag (10.8 & 5.2). SG Buddy Boeheim (15.3 PPG) is joined in the backcourt by PG Girard (10.0 & 3.3 APG). 

Saturday's win over FSU was notable in that it was the first time in UNC history that all four players to score in double figures in a game were freshmen. The group consisted of Walker Kessler (20 points), Kerwin Walton (13), R.J. Davis (12) and Caleb Love (12). I noted all but Kessler above and that's because even after his 'Herculean' effort vs the Seminoles (9 of 10 from the floor with 8 rebounds and 4 blocks) the 7-1 Kessler is averaging just 4.1 & 2.8 on the season. I 'smell' a let-down spot here for the Tar Heels and while Syracuse fell to 2-7 on the road after Saturday's loss, the Orange are 11-1 SU at home. What's more, Saturday's loss followed a Monday loss at Duke and Syracuse has yet to lose THREE in a row this season. Why start here? Take whatever points you can get with Syracuse, which hung with the Tar Heels all game back in January at Chapel Hill (lost by six).

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Conference Game of the Year (MAAC) is on Marist at 4:00 ET.

The Quinnipiac Bobcats and Marist Red Foxes meet Sunday in college basketball action at the McCann Arena and again tomorrow night, wrapping up regular season MAAC play for the two teams. The Bobcats are 8-9 overall (6-7 MAAC) and the Red Foxes are 10-8 (8-8 MAAC). Quinnipiac had lost SEVEN of nine but comes in on a three-game winning streak, Meanwhile, after a 6-1 start, Marist has lost SEVEN of 11.

Quinnipiac's head coach Baker Dunleavy (yes, Mike Dunleavy's son) was an assistant under Jay Wright at Villanova and is in his fourth season at Quinnipiac with modest results (51-40). Dunleavy lost his two best players from last season in PG Kelly (16.7 & 4.5 APG) and the 6-8 Marfo (10.2 & 13.3). This season's team relies on balance, with SEVEN players getting 21-plus minutes of "PT." The 6-6 Rigoni leads in scoring (12.6) and rebounding (6.7) and is joined up front by the 7-1 Pinkney (8.5 & 5.1). FIVE guards add between 6.9 and 10.8 PPG, led by Chenery (10.8 & 4.0), Kortright (9.5-4.2-3.7) and Lewis (8.5-4.2-3.3).

John Dunne spent 10 seasons at St Peter's (overall 153-225 record) and was just 19-42 in his first two seasons with Marist. However, despite losing senior guard Cubbage (11.0 PPG) after just four games, this year's team has played better. FIVE players have participated in all 18 games Starting guards Wright (10.9 & 3.4) and Byrd (8.2) are supported by Sullivan's 9.6 PPG and 3.2 APG off the bench. The 6-8 Jones (9.4 & 5.2) and the 6-7 Bell (7.6 & 4.5) are the team's top frontcourt players. Marist 'plays slow' and that's part of why the Red Foxes are allowing just 62.9 PPG (36th). However, give them credit for holding opponents to 40.1% shooting (30th).

There is little difference between these two teams but in this pandemic-interrupted season, Quinnipiac has played just two games away from home (4 road / two neutral), winning just ONCE, while losing five by an average of 11.2 points! Looking back a little further and you'll find that the Bobcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games! Why take a 'FG' or less? NOT me. Marist is the play.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Eye-Opener is on Cincinnati at 1:00 ET.

Penny Hardaway was known for his offense as a player but as head coach at his alma Mater, defense has been 'king' at Memphis. The 13-6 Tigers are 9-3 in AAC play due to their defense, which is allowing opponents to score just 62.0 PPG (13th) on 38.4% shooting (5th), including 26.6% on threes (3rd). The Tigers are in Cincinnati on Sunday, coming off a 61-46 win at home over Tulane, a game in which Memphis held the Green Wave to 25.9 percent shooting (a season low for one of its opponents). The disappointing 9-8 Bearcats (7-5 in the AAC) seem like the "perfect foil," as they are averaging a modest 69.2 PPG on 42.7% shooting, including 29.7% on threes (323rd). However, DON'T ignore the fact that Cincy comes in having won SIX of its last seven games.

Memphis lost center James Wiseman after just three games last season and PF Achiuwa (15.8 & 10.8) after the season (both are now in the NBA as 1st round picks). Va Tech transfer, the 6-7 Nolley (13.4 & 3.6), leads the Tigers in scoring. He's joined in the starting lineup by the 6-9 Williams (10.4 & 6.2), guard Quinones (9.2 & 4.8) and the 6-10 Cisse (7.0 & 7.1). Coming off the bench is the 6-7 Jefferson (9.8 & 5.5) plus guards Ellis (8.6) and Lomax (6.3-3.1-4.4).

John Brannen led Northern Kentucky to a 72-30 record in his final three seasons, leading the Norse to the "Big Dance" in two of those three years. He was hired at Cincy on April 14, 2019 when Mick Cronin left for UCLA. The Bearcats went 20-10 in last year's pandemic-shortened season but opened the current season missing guards Jarron Cumberland (15.5) and Jaevin Cumberland (8.8) plus forward Tre Scott (11.4 & 10.5). Guard Keith Williams leads the Bearcats in scoring with 14.4 PPG (4.0 RPG), while fellow guards Jeremiah Davenport (11.1 & 4.8) and David DeJulius (10.0-5.1-4.6) join him in double digits. Throw in Adams-Woods (7.9) and Cincy has a very good backcourt. The problem has been up front, where 7-1 returning center Chris Vogt (5.5 & 3.8) has been a big disappointment after averaging 11.1 & 5.7 last season. The 6-10 6-10 Ivanauskas (6.3 & 5.0) played just seven games (out for the season), leaving the 6-7 Eason (7.6 & 5.7) as the team's best frontcourt player.

However, as noted above, the Bearcats have won SIX of seven with their lone loss in that span coming at No. 12 Houston. Cincinnati shook off that 90-52 drubbing at Houston (Feb 21) by winning back-to-back games against Tulsa (71-69) and Tulane (91-71) this past week. The Bearcats enjoyed a rare blowout victory over the Green Wave, after FIVE of their first six conference victories were decided by three points or less. Brannen's an excellent coach and his team is MORE than capable of winning or at least taking this game to the wire. Home dog 'barks' LOUDLY in this one.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Kansas at 8:00 ET.

Baylor carries an 18-0 record (10-0 in the Big 12) into Saturday's matchup against No. 17 Kansas (17-8 / 11-6 Big 12) in Lawrence. Baylor has been No. 2 to 23-0 Gonzaga in EACH weekly AP poll but unlike the Bulldogs (11-10-2 ATS), the Bears are 13-5 ATS. However, the Bears ended a three-week stoppage created by developments related to COVID-19 as well as inclement weather in Texas on Feb 23 and barely escaped (at home!) against last-place Iowa St . Baylor overcame a 17-point deficit to win 77-72 (obviously, not an ATS win!).

Bill Self's Kansas team was ranked No. 1 in the final AP poll after last season's shutdown. Despite losing key players like PG Dotson (18.1-4.1-4.0) and the 6-10 Azubuike (13.7 & 10.5) this year's team opened No. 6 in the preseason poll. Kansas lost its season-opener to No. 1 Gonzaga (Gonzaga has yet to lose) but heading into its Jan 12 game at Oklahoma St, the Jayhawks were 10-2 and still ranked No. 6. However, Kansas lost FIVE of its next seven and on Feb 8, fell out of the top-25 to see its 231-week run as an AP top-25 team end. That said, I guess we shouldn't be shocked that the Jayhawks (with their history) had won FIVE in a row before losing to Texas earlier this week. Kansas is now 17-7 overall record (back in the AP-25 at No. 17), including 11-6 in the Big 12.

Baylor's Scott Drew took over a devastated Baylor program in the 2003-04 season and since 2007-08, has turned the Bears into one of the best programs in the country. Baylor won the NIT in 2013 and has made eight NCAA tourney appearances (26-4 last season would have made nine). Baylor lost 6-9 center Gillespie (9.6 & 9.0) from last year's team but the strength of Baylor's team this season is centered around its guards. Butler's (17.1-3.3-5.1) the best of the group but don't look past Teague (14.7 & 4.0), Mitchell (13.4 & 5.7 APG), Flagler (10.9). or Mayer (7.9 & 3.8) The 6-5 Vital (5.7 & 5.9) plays like a power forward and is considered one of the best defensive players in the nation. Tchatchoua is a 6-8 transfer from UNLV and he's averaged 7.8 & 6.4.

Kansas has FIVE players averaging 10-plus PPG. Guard Aybaji (13.8 & 3.5) leads the way, followed by the 6-10 McCormack (13.0 & 6.0) and the 6-7 Wilson (12.8 & 8.2 up front, plus guards Braun (10.3 & 5.1) and Garrett (10.0-4.43.7), who is considered the team's best perimeter defender. Balance has contributed to Kansas placing five scorers in double figures in each of its last two games and six times this season, as Self whittles his rotation.

Baylor remains perfect but the Bears were clearly "off their game" vs Iowa St after a long break (see above). Although Baylor will not come close to completing its conference schedule, it needs to win just one of its last four games to clinch its first Big 12 regular-season championship. The team's 18-0 start is its best in school history (began the 2011-12 campaign with 17 straight wins) and with a win here in Lawrence, Baylor can join Texas, a 75-72 overtime winner over Kansas on Tuesday, as teams to sweep the Jayhawks this season in a Big 12 home-and-home series. Note that only ONE conference rival had managed a season sweep in Bill Self's previous 17 seasons coaching Kansas. Baylor was never able to shake Kansas back in Waco on Jan 18 (8-point win), so I see no reason to NOT think that the Jayhawks take this game right to the wire here in Allen Fieldhouse. Kansas becomes the first Big 12 team to complete a full, regular season schedule of 18 games and why not celebrate with a B-A-N-G!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Revenge Rout is on Duke at 6:00 ET.

Chris Mack took over at Xavier for the 2009-10 season when Sean Miller took the Arizona job. He led the Musketeers to eight NCAA tourneys in nine seasons before moving to Louisville. The Cards went 20-14 in his first season (NCAA bid) and were 24-7 in his second year, when the season was shut down in March (AP ranked them 14th in its final poll). Louisville was 11-4 (6-3 in the ACC) on Feb 1 but then didn't play again until Feb 20.  The Cardinals returned from a coronavirus-related pause of nearly three weeks and got blown out 99-54 at North Carolina last Saturday. Louisville recovered by defeating Notre Dame 69-57 at home on Tuesday, despite playing without guard David Johnson because of illness.

Duke opened No. 9 in the AP's preseason poll but the team's Jan 12 loss at Va Tech saw 5-3 Duke (3-1 in the ACC) fall out of the AP poll. The Blue Devils haven't been back, as a three-game losing streak left them at 7-8 (5-6 in the ACC) as of Feb 9. However, FOUR straight ACC wins followed that slide )more details shortly) and the Blue Devils welcome Louisville to Cameron Indoor Stadium 11-8 (9-6 in the ACC).

Louisville swingman Jordan Nwora (18.0 & 7.7) is gone from last season's Louisville team but FOUR starters returned. However, it's Carlik Jones who leads the team in scoring, averaging 17.2-5.2-4.5. He's a graduate transfer from Radford and was last season's Big South Conference player of the year. He's joined by returning guard Johnson (12.7-5.9-3.4) in the backcourt. The 6-7 Williamson did little last season but averages 9.7 & 7.7 this season plus 6-9 redshirt freshman Withers is adding 9.8 & 7.9. True freshman guard Davis (9.2 & 3.4) and the 6-8 Slazinski (6.2 & 3.5) round out the main contributors.

Coach K lost his top-two players to the NBA, the 6-10 Carey (17.8 & 8.8) is with the Hornets and PG Jones (16.2-4.7-6.4) is with the Spurs. Coach K has seamlessly transitioned into the One-and-Done era and freshman guards Stewart (13.4 & 4.1) and Roach (9.3) have played well but 6-9 freshman Johnson (11.9 & 6.5) has left the team to prepare for the NBA. One could "good Riddance," as Duke has gone on a FOUR-game run without him. 6-9 sophomore Hurt leads the team in scoring (18.3) and rebounding (6.2), while sophomore SF Moore (9.2 & 4.4) and senior guard Goldwire (6.1-3.1-3.8) are solid contributors. The 7-0 Williams (4.6 & 3.7) and the 6-8 Brakefield (4.2 & 2.9) only average about 12 MPG but have helped at times.

"Over the last four games, we've emphasized defense and we've changed our ball screen defense which has helped us," Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski said. "The last three games, we've really played well on the defensive end of the court and it's made a difference in us winning and losing. We have to keep going." He's right on the money with that quote. After allowing 91 points (to UNC) and 93 (to ND) in back-to-back home games, Duke's won and covered at NC State and Wake plus at home to UVa and Syracuse. Duke has allowed just 62.3 PPG in its four-game surge and now looks to avenge a 70-65 loss at Louisville back on Jan 23, when the Blue Devils were a MUCH different team. Lay the points!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Signature" LEGEND Play is on North Carolina at 4:00 ET.

This has NOT been a vintage year for the ACC. The NCAA began seeding the entire field for the 1979 tourney and in every year but ONE (1990), the ACC has had at least one No. 1 or No. 2 seed. The 2021 tourney could make that TWO times since sending began. Then again, Florida State has taken care of business in recent games and that has put the Seminoles back on a clear path toward repeating as the ACC regular-season champions. Florida State was 26-5 and poised to make a Final Four run before the postseason was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic The 14-3 Seminoles (10-2 ACC) have risen to the top of the standings, with the help of Virginia's three-game losing streak. North Carolina's legendary head coach Roy Williams is coming off a 14-19 season in which North Carolina players lost 99 games to injury. However, the Tar Heels opened No. 16 in the AP's preseason poll. The Tar Heels have NOT lived up to their preseason ranking, as the Tar Heels are 14-5 on the season (only 8-5 in ACC play).

FSU began the season losing three key players from last year's team. PG Forrest (11.6-4.4-4.0), SG Vassell (12.7 & 5.1) and 6-7 swingman Williams (9.7 & 4.0), who were all chosen in the NBA draft. Guard MJ Walker returns and leads with 13.1 PPG and is surrounded by a talented and DEEP group. 6-9 freshman Barnes is listed as a guard and checks in averaging 10.1-3.9-4.4) and returning guard Polite just misses double digits (9.5 & 4.9). The 6-8 Gray (11.7 & 6.9), the 7-1 Koprivica (9.3 & 5.8) and the 6-9 Osborne (5.9 & 5.0)comprise a solid frontcourt. Walker has been in and out of the lineup lately (listed as questionable for this one) but head coach Hamilton has FOUR more guards averaging about 21 PPG!

Last year's super frosh Anthony lost time to injury last season (played 22 games) but averaged 18.5-5.7-4.0 for the Tar Heels but as expected was a "One and Done!" Also gone is senior guard Robinson and his 11.8 PPG for North Carolina. However, like FSU, North Carolina's strength is its depth. EIGHT players are making contributions. Up front it's the 6-10 Bacot (11.4 & 7.5), the 6-10 Brooks (10.7 & 7.1) and the 6-11 Sharpe (10.3 & 8.1), while the backcourt goes five-deep. The group includes Love (10.0), Davis (7.9), Walton (7.9), Black (5.8 & 5.3) and Platek (4.4).

Head coach Leonard Hamilton has built a championship-caliber program in Tallahassee, one that had produced the THIRD most victories among ACC schools heading into the current season. The Seminoles have reached the 10-win mark in regular-season league play for the third consecutive season but this will be their THIRD consecutive road game, while the Tar Heels are playing their FOURTH straight home game. North Carolina had won ALL eight home games before Wednesday night's 83-70 non-conference loss to Marquette (made 19 turnovers and shot 41.7% to Marquette's 51.8%)."We've had a couple of good wins and then we turn around and we think we're a lot better than we really are," Roy Williams said after the game. Great spot for a bounce back by the Tar Heels here, as the last FSU won in Chapel Hill was back in 2010. Don't call this North Carolina win an upset.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Weekend Wipeout is on Wisconsin at 2:00 ET.

Illinois opened No. 8 in the preseason poll but by mid-Jan, the Fighting Illini are a modest 9-5 (5-3 in the Big Ten). However, Illinois visit Madison having won EIGHT of nine (all in the Big ten and sit 17-6 (No. 5 in the latest AP poll), including 13-4 in the Big Ten (2nd to only 12-1 Michigan). Wisconsin has had a terrific basketball program for decades and Greg Gard is in his sixth season at Madison, having had FOUR 20-win seasons in his first five. The Badgers were 13-4 (7-3  Big Ten) in late January but are just 3-4 since, falling to 16-8 overall and 10-7 in the Big Ten (6th-place). Wisconsin opened No. 7 in the preseason poll but is currently just 23rd.

Illinois features one of the top guards in the nation in Dosunmu (21.0-6.3-4-5.3). However, Dosunmu suffered what the team calls a facial injury (reported to be a broken nose) on a hard foul in Tuesday's 81-72 loss at Michigan State. He sat out Thursday's 86-70 win over Nebraska in the team's final home contest. No official timetable has been set for Dosunmu's return. "I'll leave that all up to the doctors," said Illinois head coach Brad Underwood, who indicated there are additional factors regarding Dosunmu's return to the floor. 7-0 center Cockburn (17.7 & 10.0) has built on a successful freshman season and the backcourt features veterans like Frazier (10.6), Curbelo (7.7 & 4.3 APG) and Williams (5.0 & 5.4) plus freshman Miller adds 8.7 PPG. The 6-9 Bezhanishvili (5.7 & 2.7) rounds out the main contributors.

Wisconsin starts FIVE seniors, guards Trice (13.5-3.6-4.0) and Davison (9.3) plus the 6-10 Potter (12.4 & 6.2), the 6-8 Ford (8.8 & 4.2) and the 6-11 Reuvers (8.7 & 3.3). 6-5 freshman Davis (7.2 & 4.4) and 6-9 sophomore Wahl (5.4 & 4.2) both contribute off the bench. The Badgers are 11-4 at home but have lost three of their last four at Madison and will try to avoid losing three straight Big Ten games at home for the first time since the 2017-18 season.

These schools met back on Feb 6 in Champaign, when Dosunmu became the third player in Illinois history to record a triple-double with 21 points, 12 assists and 12 rebounds during the Illini's 75-60 rout of Wisconsin. The Badgers had no answer for Dosunmu in that one but he'll be on the sidelines for this one. History will be on Wisconsin's side in this one as Illinois' Feb 6 win over Wisconsin was just its SECOND in the last 17 meetings between the Big Ten rivals. Go Badgers!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Eye Opener is on Ga Tech at 12:00 ET.

A pair of ACC teams "on the bubble" will try to strengthen their case for the NCAA Tournament on Saturday afternoon when Syracuse visits Georgia Tech in Atlanta. 13-7 Syracuse (7-6 ACC) had its three-game winning streak broken in an 85-71 loss to Duke on Monday. Meanwhile, 12-8 Georgia Tech (8-6 ACC) helped its cause on Tuesday with a 69-53 victory at No. 16 Virginia Tech, giving the Yellow Jackets' THREE straight wins.

Jim Boeheim's Syracuse team has FIVE players in double digits, getting production off the bench from only guard Richmond (7.2) However, the Orange do own a very good starting-five (all are averaging 29 minutes-plus per game). SF Griffin is averaging 15.0 PPG and adds 6.7 RPG. The 6-7 Guerrier is averaging 14.8 PG plus leads in rebounding (9.3). The 6-10 Dolezag completes the frontcourt with 11.3 & 5.4. SG Buddy Boeheim has taken over as the team's leading scorer (15.5 PPG) and he's joined in the backcourt by PG Girard (10.0 & 3.3 APG).

Ga Tech head coach Josh Pastner is in his fifth season with the Yellow Jackets, after SEVEN years at Memphis. His first four seasons have not gone well (just 65-67) and the Yellow Jackets opened this season 0-2, losing home games to Ga State and Mercer. However, the Yellow Jackets are 12-6 since. Much like Syracuse, Ga Tech has a solid five-man rotation but the Yellow Jackets have little depth. Returning PG Alvarado (16.6-3.7-4.1) and SG Devoe (14.6-4.3-3.1) have been excellent plus returning 6-9 big man Wright leads in scoring (16.8) and rebounding (7.6). 6-7 USC transfer Usher (10.5 & 4.1) helps out up front plus VMI transfer Parham (7.5) adds to the team's backcourt depth.

"We want to make the dance," said Georgia Tech captain Jose Alvarado. "We want to go dancing." The Yellow Jackets certainly strengthened their case with Tuesday's win over the Hokies. It was their FOURTH win over a top-25 opponent this season, winning each game by double-digits and an average of 15.5 points. Georgia Tech's win at Va Tech was its first road win against a ranked team since the Yellow Jackets defeated No. 23 Miami back on Jan 28, 2015, breaking a streak of 21 straight losses! As for Syracuse, its road loss at Duke was "nothing new!" Syracuse has won on the ACC road against Boston College (3-13 / 1-9 ACC) and NC State, after it lost its best player in Daniels. In the Orange's other six road games, they've lost at Clemson, Pitt, North Carolina, UVa and Duke of the ACC plus at Rutgers (Big Ten) by an average of 15.0 PPG. Lay the modest points with Ga Tech, which enters having won NINE of its last 10 home games!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Purdue at 7:00 ET.

Purdue's Matt Painter is in his 16th season with the Boilermakers but his team was just 16-14 last season, coming off a four-year run of averaging 27.3 wins per season. The Boilermaker's opened a modest 7-5 this season but Purdue has won EIGHT of its last 11 games. Penn St was 21-10 last season but the Nittany Lions went through some turmoil right as practices started when head coach Pat Chambers resigned in late October following an investigation into inappropriate conduct. Penn State is playing this season with interim head coach Jim Ferry and the Nittany Lions welcome Purdue to State College with an 8-12 overall record (5-11 in the Big Ten).

The 6-10 Williams leads Purdue in scoring (16.0) and rebounding (9.1). He's supported by a well-balanced group of FIVE others who chip in between 8.0 and 9.8 PPG. The group includes guards Hunter (9.8 & 3.2 APG), Stefanovic (9.8), Newman (9.2) and Ivey (9.0 & 3.5) plus the 7-3 Edey (8.0 & 4.2). Penn St surely miss All-Big Ten forward Lamar Stevens (17.6 & 6.9) but the Nittany Lions have three players averaging in double figures; guards Jones (15.8) and Brockington (13.4 & 4.7) plus the 6-7 Seth Lundy (10.1 & 3.8). The 6-9 Harrar (9.0 & 8.8)  plus guards Sessoms (8.3), Dreda (8.0) and Wheeler (6.1-4.3-3.5) round out the main contributors.

It's true that four of Penn St's five Big Ten wins have come at home but the Nittany Lions enter having just ended a four-game losing streak by winning 86-83 at Nebraska. Is that a 'buy' sign? Hardly, as the Cornhuskers are 5-17 overall, including 1-14 in the Big Ten. Meanwhile, Purdue has won EIGHT of 11 and is making a run at gaining at least a No. 4 seed in next month's NCAA Tournament. Penn St is making just 41.0% of its FG attempts (311th) and allows opponents to make 47.0% of their FG attempts (321st).

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Revenge Rout is on Stanford at 9:00 ET.

Dana Altman spent 16 seasons at Creighton and took the school to seven NCAA tourneys in his last 12 years at the school. He came to Oregon for the 2010-11 season and won the CBI championship in his first season. He's now in his 11th season in Eugene having won 20-plus games in each of his first 10, averaging 25.9 wins per year. Oregon has played in SIX of the last eight NCAA tourneys and it would have been seven if last season's year was not cut short (Ducks were 24-7). Oregon is 14-5 overall (9-4 in the Pac 12). Stanford head coach Jerod Haase may be feeling some pressure, as he replaced Johnny Dawkins at Stanford, who earned the title "King of the NIT," leading the Cardinal to NIT titles in 2012 and 2015. However, no school gets much credit these days for an NIT championship. Haase is just 82-70 (.539) in his first four-plus years at Stanford without an NCAA bid and his lone NIT appearance ended in the second round. Stanford is 14-9 overall this season, including 10-7 in the Pac 12).

Oregon and Stanford met back on Jan 2 in Eugene where the Ducks notched a 73-56 blowout win. NCAA Tournament positioning could be at stake Thursday when Oregon visits Stanford for a critical Pac-12 matchup. Oregon is off a 72-58 loss Monday at USC, falling behind 15-0 at the start of the game. The Ducks had won FIVE straight going into USC game but still has work to do down the stretch. The 6-6 Eugene Omoruyi, who sat out last year as a transfer from Rutgers, the 6-6 Eric Williams who transferred from Duquesne and 6-6 Figueroa from St John's, give Oregon a strong frontcourt, even with 6-11 center N'Faly Dante (8.2 & 5.8) suffering a torn ACL in mid-December (out for the season). Omoruyi is averaging 16.8 & 5.3,17.2 PPG (adds 5.4 RPG), Williams is adding 11.2 & 6.5 and Figueroa 10.9 & 6.4.  6-8 guard Duarte (16.8 & 4.9) is now joined in the backcourt by PG Will Richardson, who is back from a left thumb injury suffered in the preseason. He's averaging 10.4-3.3-3.0 in seven games.

6-9 center Oscar da Silva leads Stanford in scoring (18.8) and rebounding (6.8) and has been a steadying presence amid a rash of injuries. He is the ONLY member of the Cardinal to play in all 23 games .6-8 forward Ziaire Williams was expected to be the star of the freshman class and is now back after missing some time, playing in each of the last four games. He's averaging 10.9 & 5.0. Two solid defensive guards returned in Davis and Wills. Both have missed time with injuries but BOTH are back. Davis is averaging 12.1-3.6-3.4 and Wills 7.7 & 3.6. Delaire, a 6-9 junior, has played 20 of 22 games and has been solid all season in averaging 12.9 & 4.0.

Oregon is in the middle of an eight-game stretch spanning just 18 days due to COVID-19-related hiatuses. The Ducks played poorly at USC and take on a Stanford team seeking another quality win for its at-large resume. The Cardinal are as healthy as they've been all season and are primed to hand Oregon a second straight loss, while avenging that Jan 2 loss.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Conference Crusher (Big Sky) is on Idaho St at 9:00 ET.

When Wayne Tinkle left to take the job at Oregon State University, Montana hired Travis as its head coach (May 31, 2014). DeCuire played at Montana and the PG was named All Big Sky in his junior and senior seasons. He led his alma mater to 26 wins in both the 2017-18 and 2018-19 seasons (NCAA berths) but the Grizzlies fell to 18-13 in last year's pandemic-shortened season and Montana is just 9-12 this season (5-9 in the Big Sky). Ryan Looney spent 15 seasons as a head coach in the lower divisions (330-132, .714) and in his final season at Point Loma (2018-19) the school was the runner-up in the Division II playoffs. His first season at Idaho St went poorly (8-22 / 4-16 in the Big Sky) but the Bengals welcome Montana to Holt Arena Thursday night 12-7 (7-3 in the Big Sky).

Montana has SEVEN players averaging between 7.4 and 11.7 PPG. The 6-8 Owens leads in scoring (11.7) and rebounding (5.7). He's joined up front by the 6-10 Steadman (9.9 & 5.4) and the 6-9 Bannen (8.4 & 5.3). The backcourt goes "four-deep" with Beasley (10.3), Whitney (10.0), Parker (8.3 & 4.8 APG) and Vazquez (7.4). Idaho St has seen SIX players participate in all 19 games (21-plus minutes). A trio of players average in double digits, led by guards Cook (14.6) and Ford (10.9) plus SF Parker (10.7 & 5.5). The 6-foot Ford leads the team in rebounding at 7.3 and fellow guard Smellie adds 9.2 PPG. 

Montana opened 0-4 but was back to 8-8 on Feb 4, before losing FOUR of five, including THREE in a row entering this contest. Idaho St also opened 0-4 but in stark contrast to Montana, has gone 12-3 since Dec 23. Not sure why Montana is the road favorite here, as the Grizzlies are 5-9 in Big Sky play while the Bengals are 7-3. I'm "all over" the home dog!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Utah at 8:00 ET.

Mick Cronin made NINE consecutive NCAA Tourney appearances at Cincy, as his Bearcats posted a 235-78 (.751) record in that span. He moved to Westwood last season and his Bruins got better as the year progressed and were playing their best ball when the season was shut down. The Bruins are 16-5 this season and at 12-3 in the Pac 12, are challenging USC (13-3) for the conference championship while on the bubble for an NCAA Tournament berth. Larry Krystkowiak led Montana to back-to-back NCAA berths in his two seasons at his alma mater and then took the Utah job to begin the 2011-12 season. He had losing seasons in his first two years but then led his team to an average of 23.4 wins per season over the next five with postseason berths in each one (3 NIT and 2 NCAA). However, the Utes opened this season off seasons of just 17 and 16 wins. Utah is just 9-10 overall so far and at 6-9, has plummeted toward the bottom of the Pac 12 standings and would need a March Madness miracle to earn an NCAA invite.

UCLA's 6-9 guard Chris Smith averaged 12.6 points and 6.4 rebounds in UCLA's first eight games but was lost for the season with a knee injury. More recently, the 6-10 Jalen Hill (6.1 & 5.5) has not played since Feb 6 (personal reasons). However, the Bruins still have FIVE players averaging between 9.1 and 13.8 PPG. PG Campbell (11.1 & 5.7 APG) misses Smith but is still surrounded by "big guards" like the 6-6 Jaquez (13.8 & 4.2), the 6-6 Juzang (11.9) and the 6-6 Bernard (9.1 & 4,6). Without Hill, it's just the 6-9 Riley (10.3 & 5.5) up front.

Utah lost Both Gach to Minnesota (transfer) but returned four starters. The 6-6 Allen led the team in scoring last season and leads in scoring (17.2) and rebounding (6.3) this season. Guard Alfonso Plummer (13.0) is the only other double digit scorer. Utah really misses the 6-8 Jantunen (8.5 & 4.1), who last played on Feb 11, but the 7-0 Carlson (8.9 & 4.6) and the 6-9 Battin (6.5 & 3.7) are solid players up front. Gach liked to play PG and his leaving opened that role up to Jones (4.9 & 4.1 APG) but he now has an arm injury. Freshman Larsson (7.8) was coming off the bench but now starts.

UCLA is the better team but remember, the Bruins were only able to eke out a 72-70 win over Utah at Pauley Pavilion back on New Year's Eve. The Bruins are 6-3 since Jan 16 but four of those wins have come by a combined margin of just 14 points, hence UCLA's 1-8 ATS mark in that span. Yes, a "W" will mean a cover for UCLA here but the team's overall 'shaky' play leads me to believe the Utes will get the SU win.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Conference Game of the Year (SEC) is on Arkansas at 9:00 ET.

Nate Oats went 96-43 in four years at Buffalo, winning 27 and 32 games in his final two seasons (won 1st round NCAA game each one) He took over at Alabama last season (16-15) but his team is 18-5 in the current season, including 13-1 in the SEC. The Crimson Tide are No. 6 in the latest AP poll (highest since being ranked No. 4 in the 2006-07 season) and their "breakthrough season" could hit another milestone this week with a chance to clinch at least a share of the conference's regular-season title for the first time in 19 years! Eric Musselman had a forgettable three-year stint as Golden State's head coach (108-138 / zero playoff appearances) but he had quite a run coaching Nevada, capturing the CBI title in his first season, then winning 28, 29 and 29 games making the "Big Dance in each of his final three seasons. He was 201-2 last season (1st at Arkansas) but  his Razorbacks are 17-5 (9-4 in the SEC), right behind Alabama in second place tied with LSU.

Alabama owns a terrific trio of guards in sophomore Shackelford (14.5 & 4.), senior Petty (13.0 & 5.1) and freshman Quinerly (11.7). 6-8 senior Jones (11.7 & 5.7) is the team's top frontcourt player. Arkansas also features four double-digit scorers in 6-6 freshman Moody (16.2 & 5.6) plus guards Notae (12.5) and Tate (11.1-3.6-4.3). The 6-9 Smith (11.8 & 6.4) is a graduate transfer from Indiana and is the team's top frontcourt player.

Back on Jan 16 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama routed Arkansas 90-59 but since then, Arkansas has won all SEVEN of its SEC games (6-1 ATS). Revenge works here!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Missouri at 9:00 ET.

Kermit Davis is in his third season at Ole Miss. His first team won 20 games but last season's team won just 15, going 6-12 in the SEC (12th of 14 teams). Davis was critical of his team saying that it couldn't close out games. "We had seven games in SEC play where we had leads but couldn't hold them." Ole Miss is 12-9 (7-7 SEC) as it visits Columbia, Mo tonight to take on the Missouri Tigers. Cuonzo Martin's were coming off back-to-back losing seasons of 15-17 and 15-16 but are 14-6 this season and Ranked No. 24, although they are only 7-7 in SEC play.

Ole Miss had a four-game winning streak snapped Saturday, losing a rematch to rival Miss St 66-56 at home in Oxford 66-56. The loss stalled the Rebels' late push for an at-large berth in the NCAA Tournament. "We just didn't have our best edge, and we didn't play like a team that was desperate chasing the (tournament) bubble tonight," head coach Kermit Davis said. PG Shuler (15.7 & 3.5 APG) leads the team in scoring, with just two others chipping in double digits. They are 6-8 Arizona graduate transfer Romello White (10.8 & 5.4) and junior guard Joiner (10.8).

Missouri's starting-five includes leading scorer Pinson (14.6-3.0-3.1), three Smiths (not related) and the 6-7 Brown (7.7 & 6.0). Guards Dru Smith (14.1-3.7-3.6), and Mark Smith (10.0) plus the 6-7 Mitchell Smith (4.3 & 5.) round to the Smith 'delegation.' 6-10 center Jeremiah Tilmon returned after missing two games due to a death in his family and scored 17 points on 5-for-5 shooting from the floor and 7-for-7 from the free-throw line. Tilman (13.1 & 7.6) will likely return to the starting lineup shortly, as is the team's best frontcourt player.

While Ole Miss was having its four-game winning streak snapped on Saturday, Missouri ended a three-game slide with a 93-78 rout at South Carolina. Here, the Tigers will look to avenge their worst loss of the season, as they fell 80-59 at Ole Miss back on Feb 10, getting outscored 38-22 in the second half. That's my bet!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Situational Stunner is on Louisville at 7:00 ET.

Notre Dame rolled into Syracuse averaging 81.4 points during their previous five games (only loss being a two-point setback at Georgia Tech two weeks ago when they blew a 17-point lead) and suffered a similar fate as it did back in Atlanta on Feb 6. The Fighting Irish led Syracuse 55-35 with 16:49 to go, in the game but managed just 12 points the rest of the way in a 75-67 loss. Notre Dame (9-11 / 6-8 in the ACC) visits Louisville (11-5 / 6-4 in the ACC), as the Cardinals are looking to 'shake off' a 99-54 rout at North Carolina on Saturday.

Notre Dame bounced back from a 14-win season two seasons ago to go 20-12 last year but lost PF Mooney, who averaged 16.2 & 12.7. Mike Brey is now in his 21st season at South Bend but this year's team has struggled, until its recent spurt. PG Hubb (13.7 & 6.2 APG) and SG Goodwin (12.5 & 5.3) are a solid backcourt duo plus the 6-10 Laszewski leads the team in scoring (15.0) and rebounding (7.8). Stanford transfer Ryan (10.1) and Wertz (7.8) play on the perimeter with Hubb and Goodwin, while 6-11 UConn transfer Durham (10.2 & 5.2) has been a solid complement up front to Laszewski.

Chris Mack took over at Xavier for the 2009-10 season when Sean Miller took the Arizona job. He led the Musketeers to eight NCAA tourneys in nine seasons before moving to Louisville. The Cards went 20-14 in his first season (NCAA bid) and were 24-7 in his second year, when the season was shut down in March (AP ranked them 14th in its final poll). Louisville swingman Jordan Nwora (18.0 & 7.7) is gone from last season's Louisville team but FOUR starters returned. However, it's Carlik Jones who leads the team in scoring, averaging 17.1-5.3-4.5. He's a graduate transfer from Radford and was last season's Big South Conference player of the year. He's joined by returning guard Johnson (12.7-5.9-3.4) in the backcourt. The 6-7 Williamson did little last season but averages 9.6 & 7.6 this season plus 6-9 redshirt freshman Withers is adding 9.8 & 7.6. True freshman guard Davis (7.9 & 3.4) and the 6-8 Slazinski (6.0 & 3.4).

Not sure how Notre Dame bounces back from its COMPLETE co;;apse at Syracuse, while the Cards should have an extra 'bounce in their step' in returning to their home arena, after allowing North Carolina to shoot 60.9% on Saturday, Louisville's first action in 19 days due to COVID-19 concerns within the program. Louisville shot just 32.8% at Chapel Hill, including 1 of 16 on threes. That WON'T repeat itself here! Lay the points.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Oddsmaker's Error is on Va Tech at 7:00 ET.

Ga Tech head coach Josh Pastner is in his fifth season with the Yellow Jackets, after SEVEN years at Memphis. His first four seasons have not gone well (just 65-67) and the Yellow Jackets sit 11-8 (7-6 in the ACC) with four games left in their regular season. Va Tech head coach Mike Young is in his second season with the school, after a record-setting 17-year tenure as the head coach at Wofford. The Terriers posted a 30-5 overall record in 2018-19, including a perfect 18-0 mark in Southern Conference play, and registered a convincing 84-68 win over Seton Hall in the first round of the 2019 NCAA Tournament. Young built the Terriers into one of the Southern Conference's preeminent programs and a perennial NCAA Tournament participant. He guided Wofford to five NCAA Tournament berths over his last 10 seasons and five Southern Conference championships. The Hokies were just 16-16 overall in Young's first season at Blacksburg, losing almost two-thirds of their ACC games (7-13), but are currently 14-4 (8-3 in the ACC) and ranked 16th in the nation.

Georgia Tech is hoping to earn a spot in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2010 but the Yellow Jackets will need a strong finish. Ga Tech has a solid five-man rotation but the Yellow Jackets have little depth. Returning PG Alvarado (16.7-3.7-4.2) and SG Devoe (13.7-4.4-3.1) have been excellent plus returning 6-9 big man Wright (16.3 & 7.5) present an excellent trio. 6-7 USC transfer Usher (10.7 & 4.3) helps out up front plus VMI transfer Parham (7.7) adds to the team's backcourt depth.

Landers Nolley was selected to the ACC All-Freshman Team in leading the Hokies in scoring (15.5 PPG) last season but after the season he announced he was transferring to Memphis. More bad news came when the 6-6 Horne (7.6 & 4.2) also transferred. Sophomore guard Tyrece Radford (10.2 & 6.2) was both the team's leading returning scorer AND rebounder! Radford is averaging 11.1 & 6.3 RPG and the 6-9 Alleyne (9.9) has made excellent progress in his sophomore season. Two 6-7 transfers start up front The 6-7 Keve Aluma (15.7 & 7.6) followed Young from Wofford and is Va Tech's best player this season, while 6-7 Delaware transfer Justyn Mutts (8.9 & 6.6) has been solid. Returning guards Cone (9.2), Cottoor (9.2) and Bede (4.4 & 3.0 APG) have all added valuable contributions.

Radford was suspended back in late January (no date of return, if any) and Cone is dealing with an ankle injury for Va Tech. Ga Tech is coming off an impressive win against Miami, leading 48-18 at halftime and winding up with a 27-point victory, its largest margin of victory in an ACC road game in program history. However, the Yellow jackets have won just TWO road games this game (the other was at a 5-15 Nebraska team. Also note that Miami is a funk, having lost SEVEN of eight. Winning at Va Tech is a 'horse of a different color!' Va Tech is 9-1 at home this season, losing only in a shocking 75-55 upset at the hands of Penn St back on Dec 8. Tech has won SEVEN straight at home since, including three wins over ranked teams, highlighted by an impressive 65-51 win over then-No. 8 UVa. The Hokies have had their last three games postponed because of COVID-19 issues (last played Feb 6) and hopefully, Cone's ankle has had time to heal. Even if he's a "no-go," the "PRICE is RIGHT" on Va Tech here at home. Ga Tech doesn't win away from home vs this class of opponent!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on USC at 9:00 ET.

Dana Altman spent 16 seasons at Creighton and took the school to seven NCAA tourneys in his last 12 years at the school. He came to Oregon for the 2010-11 season and won the CBI championship in his first season. He's now in his 11th season in Eugene having won 20-plus games in each of his first 10, averaging 25.9 wins per year. Oregon has played in SIX of the last eight NCAA tourneys and it would have been seven if last season's year was not cut short (Ducks were 24-7). Oregon is 14-4 overall (9-3 in the Pac 12)

as it visits Los Angeles to take on USC. Andy Enfield led Florida Gulf Coast to a 26-11 season in his second at the school, making a Sweet 16 appearance. That gave him the chance to "move on up" to USC but his first two seasons were HUGE disappointments (11-21 and 12-20). However, the Trojans have won 21-plus games in FOUR of the last five seasons, including a 22-9 mark last season. USC saw its top-five scorers leave after the 2020 season but despite seeing its seven-game winning streak snapped on Saturday against Arizona (lost 81-72), the Trojans are 18-4, including 12-3 in the Pac 12 (tied with UCLA for first place).

PG Payton Pritchard (20.5-4.3-5.5) was a HUGE loss for Oregon plus Altman also lost SG Mathis (8.5) and 6-7 SF Juiston (7.9 & 6.3). Coming to the rescue for Oregon this season have come three transfers. The 6-6 Eugene Omoruyi, who sat out last year as a transfer from Rutgers, the 6-6 Eric Williams who transferred from Duquesne and 6-6 Figueroa from St John's. Omoruyi leads the team with 17.2 PPG (adds 5.4 RPG), Williams is adding 11.0 & 6.1 and Figueroa 10.7 & 6.4. That's a strong frontcourt, even with the loss of 6-11 center N'Faly Dante (8.2 & 5.8), who suffered a torn ACL in mid-December. 6-8 guard Duarte (17.1 & 4.9) is now joined in the backcourt by PG  Will Richardson, who is back from a left thumb injury suffered in the preseason. He's averaging 11.3-3.3-3.3 in six games, the last five being Oregon wins!

Enfield recruited a "super frosh" in 7-0 freshman Evan Mobley plus brought in SIX transfers. Evan Mobley has lived up to the hype, averaging 17.1 & 8.8. He joins his brother Isaiah (a 6-10 sophomore), who has added 9.6 & 7.7. Peterson (9.1 & 4.7) is a 6-8 swingman from Rice and joins guards Eaddy (Santa Clara) and White, a grad transfer from Utah Valley St. Eaddy is averaging 13.8 PPG and White 7.2. Guard Goodwin (6.0 & 4.0) comes off the bench to give USC a solid six-man rotation.

USC had won 12 of 13 before losing to Arizona and it's "bounce-back" time here. This contest is the only matchup between Oregon and USC in the regular season, and it was rescheduled from Jan 30 due to COVID-19 protocols. The Ducks have three fewer wins than UCLA and USC but have the same amount of Pac 12 losses (three).This is a BIG game, as USC looks for at least a share of its first conference title since 1985. The 81 points USC allowed to Arizona on Saturday was the most the Trojans have allowed in regulation in 2020-21. The Trojans are allowing just 64.4 PPG on the season on 38.5% shooting, which ranks 4th-best in the nation. USC gets this all-important "W."

Good luck...Larry 

My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on Duke at 7:00 ET.

Syracuse rallied from 20 points down to defeat visiting Notre Dame 75-67 on Saturday, marking the Orange's biggest comeback since a victory over Rutgers in January 2005. Jim Boeheim's team has won SIX of its last eight games and is now 13-6 overall (7-5 in the ACC). Duke's Mike Krzyzewski took over at Duke for the 1980-81 season and did not make the NCAA tourney in his first three seasons. However, the only TWO times Duke has missed the "Big Dance" since then was in the 1994-95 season and last season, when Duke was 25-6 but COVID shut down the season. Back in that 94-95 season, coach K coached the first 12 games of the season (9-3) before leaving the team for back surgery and to recover from exhaustion. Pete Gaudet took over as interim head coach and compiled a record of 4–15 with a mark of 2–13 in conference play. Duke finished the season with a record of 13–18 overall and in ninth place in the ACC at 2–14. Duke was 7-8 through Feb 9 this season but has won three straight, on the road at NS State and Wake Forest, plus beating No. 7 UVA this past Saturday, 66-65. Duke is 10-8 (8-6 in the ACC)

Jim Boeheim's Syracuse team has FIVE players in double digits, getting production off the bench from only guard Richmond (6.7) However, the Orange do own a very good starting-five (all are averaging more than 30 minutes per game). SF Griffin is averaging 15.2 PPG and adds 6.6 RPG. The 6-7 Guerrier also averages 15.2 PG plus leads in rebounding (9.4) and adds 15.5 PPG. The 6-10 Dolezag completes the frontcourt with 11.2 & 5.4. SG Buddy Boeheim had a career-high 29 points in the win over Notre Dame and is also averaging 15.2 PPG. He's joined in the backcourt by PG Girard (10.5 & 3.5 APG).

Duke opened No. 9 in the AP's preseason poll but the team's Jan 12 loss at Va Tech saw 5-3 Duke (3-1 in the ACC) fall out of the AP poll on Monday. As noted above, Duke is currently 10-8, hardly worthy of top-25 consideration. Coach K lost his top-two players to the NBA, the 6-10 Carey (17.8 & 8.8) will play this season for the Hornets and PG Jones (16.2-4.7-6.4) was taken by the Spurs. Coach K has seamlessly transitioned into the One-and-Done era and freshman guards Stewart )12.9 & 4.1) and Roach (9.0) have played well but 6-9 freshman Johnson (11.9 & 6.5) has left the team to prepare for the NBA. One could "good Riddance," as Duke has gone on a three-game run without him. 6-9 sophomore Hurt leads the team in scoring (18.5) and rebounding (6.4), while sophomore SF Stevens (12.9 & 4.1) and senior guard Goldwire (6.3-3.1-3.8) round out Duke's main contributors.

"Over the last three games, we've emphasized defense and we've changed our ball screen defense which has helped us," Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski said. "The last three games, we've really played well on the defensive end of the court and it's made a difference in us winning and losing. We have to keep going." Here's the deal. Syracuse has won on the ACC road against Boston College (3-13 / 1-9 ACC) and NC State, after it lost its best player in Daniels. In the Orange's other five road games, they've lost at Clemson, Pitt, North Carolina and UVa of the ACC plus at Rutgers (Big Ten) by an average of 15.2 PPG. Lay the points with Duke.

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Conference crusher (Northeast) is on Merrimack at 4:00 ET.

Not many pay too much attention to the NEC, so here's something few, if any, will be aware of. Merrimack College was in its first season as a Division I member last season and was picked dead-last in the preseason poll. However, the Warriors would go 20-11 overall and 14-4 in conference play, becoming the first program ever to win an outright conference regular season title in its first season reclassifying to Division I. A show of hands for all who knew this?

COVID has taken its toll on the NEC this season and last night in Springfield , RI, the homestanding Bryant Bulldogs eked out a 60-58 win over the visiting Warriors. Michael Green had 16 points as Bryant won its seventh consecutive home game, holding off Merrimack 60-58 on Saturday. Bryant is now 11-5 overall and 7-4 in NEC play. Merrimack fell to 8-5 and the Warriors have ONLY played conference games this season.

Bryant is a high scoring team (86.4 PPG) with SIX players competing in all 16 games this season. A quartet of guards are led by Kiss (17.0-5.6-3.4) and PG Green (16.8-4.-4.2), who are joined by Childs (15.0) and Pride (13.1 & 7.1). The 6-8 Elisias plays center and just misses double digits (9.2 PPG) but leads the team in rebounding at 7.4 per game. For Merrimack, SEVEN players have competed in all 13 games, with FIVE averaging 28-plus minutes. The 6-8 Minor leads in scoring (12.6) and rebounding (9.1), while PG Watkins (12.2-4.0-4.2) is the only other player scoring in double digits. Guards Reid (9.8 & 5.2), Jensen (8.5) and Derring (7.8) round out the remaining top contributors.

I noted that Bryant is a high scoring team (see above) but it should NOT have gone unnoticed that the Bulldogs were held to 60 points on their homecourt by Merrick (season-low in points for a single game). Let me add that it shouldn't have been a surprise, as Merrimack opened the season just 1-3 but before Saturday's loss, had won SEVEN of eight, holding opponents to 59.6 PPG. Head coach Joe Gallo (NEC coach of the year last season) preaches defense and late this afternoon, gets a quick rematch with Bryant, this time in North Andover, Mass on the Warriors' homecourt (Hammel Court). Wagner leads the NEC at 9-4 with Bryant at 7-4 and Merrimack at 8-5. Some quick "payback" here by the Warriors moves them ahead of Bryant, 9-5 to 7-5. That's the bet!

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Pac 12 Game of the Year is on Washington at 10:00 ET.

California (8-16 overall, 3-14 Pac-12) and Washington (4-17, 3-13) play Saturday night in Seattle, with the loser taking over last-place in the Pac-12 heading into the last week of the regular season. Cal's Mark Fox had an excellent five-year run at Nevada (averaged 24.6 wins per season with three NCAA bids) but his nine-year stay at Georgia ended with just two NCAA tourneys in nine years (18.1 wins per season). He surfaced at Cal last season and the Bears were 14-18. Mike Hopkins was a longtime assistant to Jim Boeheim and he took over at Washington prior to the 2017-18 season, going 21-13 and 27-9. However, the team was just 5-17 before last season's shutdown and the current season has been a 'nightmare!'

Neither team has shown ANY ability to sustain success. Cal's Brady (18.9 & 4.5) is joined in the backcourt by Betley (9.8 & 3.5) and Foreman (8.4). A pair of 6-8 forwards contribute up front in Kelly (10.2 & 6.8) and Anticevich (9.3 & 4.6). The Huskies have a solid quartet of backcourt players in Green (14.8-3.0-3.5), Tsohonis (10.5), Bey (9.4) and Stevens (9.2) but the 6-9 Wight (5.7 & 4.2) and the 6-10 Roberts (5.3 & 5.8) have underachieved up front,

Here's the rub. Cal has won just ONCE in 11 away games, while Washington owns Pac12 home wins over Utah and Colorado plus "close calls" at home to Oregon and UCLA (both were three-point losses). In this 'Battle to stay out of the Basement.' I'm taking the Huskies.

Good luck...Larry

My 9* ACC Showdown is on North Carolina at 6:00 ET.

To say the least, it has NOT been a vintage year for the ACC. The NCAA began seeding the entire field for the 1979 tourney and in every year but ONE (1990), the ACC has had at least one No. 1 or No. 2 seed. The 2021 tourney could make that TWO times since sending began. Louisville (11-4 / 6-3 ACC) and North Carolina (13-7 / 7-5 ACC) will likely make the NCAA field but are certainly not 'locks' to get it. The schools meet tonight in Chapel Hill for the only scheduled meeting between the two teams this regular season.

Louisville will be playing just its second game of February, as the Cardinals have not played since posting a 74-58 victory over Georgia Tech back on Feb. 1. Their last four scheduled games were postponed because of COVID-19 issues in the program (even head coach Chris Mack was sidelined). Mack took over at Xavier for the 2009-10 season when Sean Miller took the Arizona job. He led the Musketeers to eight NCAA tourneys in nine seasons before moving to Louisville. The Cards went 20-14 in his first season (NCAA bid) and were 24-7 in his second year, when the season was shut down in March (AP ranked them 14th in its final poll). Louisville swingman Jordan Nwora (18.0 & 7.7) is gone from last season's Louisville team but FOUR starters returned. However, it's Carlik Jones who leads the team in scoring, averaging 17.4-5.6-4.9. He's a graduate transfer from Radford and was last season's Big South Conference player of the year. He joined by returning guard Johnson (13.1-6.1-3.4) in the backcourt. The 6-7 Williamson did little last season but averages 9.6 & 7.5 this season plus 6-9 redshirt freshman Withers is adding 10.1 & 7.6. True freshman guard Davis (8.2 & 3.5) and the 6-8 Slazinski (6.0 & 3.5) all contribute.

North Carolina's legendary head coach Roy Williams is coming off a 14-19 season in which North Carolina players lost 99 games to injury. However, the Tar Heels opened No. 16 in the AP's preseason poll. The Tar Heels have NOT lived up to their preseason ranking. Last year's super frosh Anthony lost time to injury last season (played 22 games) but averaged 18.5-5.7-4.0 and as expected was a "One and Done!" Also gone is senior guard Robinson and his 11.8 PPG for North Carolina. The Tar Heels' strength is their depth. Up front it's the 6-10 Bacot (11.7 & 7.6), the 6-10 Brooks (10.3 & 7.4) and the 6-11 Sharpe (9.8 & 7.8), while the backcourt goes five-deep. The group includes Love (10.5-2.6-3.6), Davis (7.9), Walton (7.4), Black (6.2 & 5.3) and Platek (4.6).

North Carolina draws a Louisville team that hasn't played in almost THREE weeks with some players possibly dealing with COVID issues. North Carolina remains unbeaten at home (7-0) and I'm willing to lay the points!

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Pittsburgh at 4:00 ET.

Florida St head coach Leonard Hamilton has built a championship-caliber program in Tallahassee, one that had produced the THIRD most victories among ACC schools heading into the current season, behind only Duke and Virginia since 2016. Florida State was 26-5 and poised to make a Final Four run before the postseason was curtailed due to the COVID-19 pandemic last March but entered this season losing three key players from a team.PG Forrest (11.6-4.4-4.0), SG Vassell (12.7 & 5.1) and 6-7 swingman Williams (9.7 & 4.0), who were all chosen in the NBA draft. However, guard MJ Walker is back and leads with 13.9 PPG and he's surrounded by a talented group. Pittsburgh's Jeff Capel is in his third season with Panthers and is off years of just 14 and 16 wins. Pitt comes in just 9-8 (5-7 in the ACC) and enters having SIX of its past seven games.

No. 16 Florida St is 12-3 (8-2 in the ACC), after an 81-60 rout of No. 7 Virginia, which gave another glimpse of how dangerous the Seminoles could be this March Joining Walker as the main contributors are the 6-8 Gray (11.4 & 6.5) and 6-9 freshman Barnes (10.2-3.7-4.3), who is listed as a guard. The 7-1 Koprivica (9.1 & 5.6) hadn't played since Jan 30 but returned from an ankle injury and finished with nine points against UVa. Returning guard Polite just misses double digits (9.6 & 4.2) plus the 6-9 Osborne adds 5.7 & 4.8. 

Pittsburgh is led by the 6-6 Justin Champagnie, who averages 18.7 & 11.5 (he'll be the best player on the floor). PG Johnson (14.1 & 5.9 APG) has two solid backcourt partners in Toney (14.4 & 5.9) and Horton (9.8). Here's the rub. Pitt has NOT played well recently but is capable. It's 3-1 SU its last four as a home underdog, winning outright over Syracuse, Duke and Va Tech. The Panthers are catching FSU off its HUGE win over UVa (24th straight home win over an ACC opponent) but note that with COVID-19 issues shuffling the Seminoles' schedule multiple times, they have played only THREE road games and gone 1-2. "Upset Alert!"

Good luck...Larry

My 9* Daytime Dominator is on Syracuse at 2:00 ET.

Syracuse is 12-6 (6-5 ACC) was looking for a third straight on Wednesday but its visit to Louisville was postponed hours before the opening tip. It was the fifth game this season Syracuse had postponed. 9-10 Notre Dame (6-7 in the ACC) will visit Syracuse Saturday and has closed within one game of .500 on the season by winning FOUR of its last five games.

Notre Dame bounced back from a 14-win season two seasons ago to go 20-12 last year but lost PF Mooney, who averaged 16.2 & 12.7. Mike Brey is now in his 21st season at South Bend but this year's team has struggled, until its recent spurt. PG Hubb (14.0 & 6.0 APG) and SG Goodwin (12.4 & 5.3) are a solid backcourt duo plus the 6-10 Laszewski leads the team in scoring (15.2) and rebounding (7.5). Stanford transfer Ryan (10.3 & 3.9) and Wertz (7.1) play on the perimeter with Hubb and Goodwin, while 6-11 UConn transfer Durham (10.2 & 5.3) has been a solid complement up front to Laszewski.

Much like Notre Dame, Jim Boeheim's Syracuse team has FIVE players in double digits, getting production off the bench from only guard Richmond (6.8) However, the Orange do own a very good starting-five (all are averaging more than 30 minutes per game). SF Griffin leads in scoring (15.9 PPG) and adds 6.8 RPG. The 6-7 Guerrier leads in rebounding (9.1) and adds 15.5 PPG. The 6-10 Dolezag completes the frontcourt with 10.8 & 5.4. The backcourt is SG Buddy Boeheim (14.3) and PG Girard (10.8 & 3.6 APG).

I realize that the Fighting Irish are averaging 81.4 points during their last five games (only loss being a two-point setback at Georgia Tech two weeks ago when they blew a 17-point lead), but I'm still on Syracuse in this one. The Orange are 10-1 SU at home and at this 'price,' a "W" almost ensures a cover. 

Good luck...Larry

My 10* "Best of the Best" Conference Game of the Year (MAC) is on Toledo at 9:00 ET.

Tod Kowalczyk (was the head coach at the University of Wisconsin-Green Bay from 2002–10, before accepting the head coaching position at Toledo on March 30 2010. This marks his 11th season at Toledo, having won 20 games or more four times (high of 27 in the 2013-14 season) and has captured four MAC-West titles. However, the Rockets have never won the MAC tourney under Kowalczyk, therefore they've never received an NCAA bid. This season, that may just change. Nate Oates came to Buffalo for the 2015-16 season and he led the Bulls to 27 wins and 32 wins in his final two seasons (advanced to the second round of the Big Dance each season) but then left for Alabama. The Tide went 16-15 last season but currently the Tide are 17-5 (SEC-best 12-1) and ranked 8th in the nation. Taking over for Oates was his assistant Jim Whitesell, who was head coach at Loyola-Chicago from 2004-11. The Bulls surprised last season going 20-12 before the shutdown but are just 9-6 (7-4 in the MAC).

Toledo is currently 17-6 and 12-3 in MAC play. There are no East/West divisions this season and the MAC tourney (in Cleveland) will feature just EIGHT teams. Toledo has the inside track for the No. 1 seed (Akron is 11-3 and Ken St 10-4) and head to Buffalo Friday night for the lone regular season meeting between the two teams. The Rockets average 80.7 PPG with all five starters in double digits. Toledo starts a trio of guards in Jackson (17.2-5.6-6.0), Littleson (13.6) and Rollins (13.3 & 5.6), while the 6-7 Shumate (12.5 & 4.4) and the 6-6 Millner (12.3 & 6.4) start up front. Guard Saunders (7.40 and the 6-8 Acunzo (6.1 & 3.4) are the top reserves.

Buffalo has seen two games canceled and four postponed this season (note: in contrast, Toledo has had just ONE game postponed) but comes in on a three-game winning streak in which the Bulls have won by 20, 24 and 32 points (more in a bit). The Bulls do NOT have Toledo's depth but do have a quality 'Core 4' in forwards Williams (17.9 & 7.4) and Mballo (14.8 & 9.8) plus guards Graves (15.0-5.7-3.7) and Segu (13.9). No other player averages more than 6.5 PPG but Buffalo can score with Toledo, averaging 82.2 PPG.

I noted Buffalo's three straight wins by impressive margins but will add here that those victories have come over 7-10 Ball St, 8-9 Miami-Ohio and 4-13 Western Michigan. I see this as Toledo's breakthrough season under Kowalczyk and that fact that this team has avoided the COVID issues that die]disrupted so many schools' seasons, is another "good sign" that I may just be right. 

Good luck...Larry