MLB Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
08-26-17 | Royals v. Indians -150 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-150). |
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08-25-17 | Royals v. Indians -118 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-118). |
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08-21-17 | Diamondbacks -127 v. Mets | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
20* Play on Arizona (-127). |
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08-04-17 | Yankees +112 v. Indians | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
20* Play on NY Yankees (+112). |
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07-28-17 | Cubs v. Brewers +131 | 1-2 | Win | 131 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
20* Play on Milwaukee (+131). |
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07-21-17 | Astros -143 v. Orioles | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
20* Play on Houston (-143). |
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07-14-17 | Indians -138 v. A's | 0-5 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-138). |
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07-14-17 | Yankees v. Red Sox -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
20* Play on Boston (-135). |
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06-30-17 | Braves +142 v. A's | 3-1 | Win | 142 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
20* Play on Atlanta (+142). |
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06-23-17 | Angels v. Red Sox -164 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
20* Play on Boston (-164). |
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06-23-17 | Twins v. Indians -173 | 5-0 | Loss | -173 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-173). |
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06-16-17 | Indians -146 v. Twins | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-146). |
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06-16-17 | Nationals -140 v. Mets | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
20* Play on Washington (-140). |
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04-09-17 | Giants -155 v. Padres | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
20* Play on San Francisco (-155). |
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04-07-17 | Dodgers -138 v. Rockies | 1-2 | Loss | -138 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
20* Play on LA Dodgers (-138). |
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04-05-17 | Indians -109 v. Rangers | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-109). |
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04-04-17 | Indians -155 v. Rangers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-155). |
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04-03-17 | Indians -114 v. Rangers | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-114). |
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08-11-16 | Rockies v. Rangers -137 | 12-9 | Loss | -137 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
20* Play on Texas (-137). These teams are heading in opposite directions right now and we look for the Rangers to stay red hot and finish off a four-game, home-and-home sweep of Colorado this afternoon. Rangers took the first two games in Colorado then won 5-4 at home yesterday for their fifth victory in a row overall. Rockies have now dropped four straight and six of their last seven, and are once again on the wrong side of a pitching mismatch. We can forgive Rockies starter Chad Bettis for having an inflated earned run average north of 5.00 since he pitches in hitter-friendly Colorado, but his 4.95 ERA on the road suggests the ballpark isn't the only reason hitters are finding success against him. Rangers starter Lucas Harrell has come on strong of late, allowing just 4 ER's total in his last three starts (all Rangers victories) which is good for a 2.30 ERA in that span. Rockies offense struggles on the road hitting just .239 as a team while the Rangers bat at a .281 clip here at home. Offense and pitching heavily siding with the home team here, and with the added momentum edge we look for the Rangers to take control of this one early! 20* MLB "Early Equation" Play on Texas. |
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08-09-16 | Tigers v. Mariners -109 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
20* Play on Seattle (-109). Mariners beat Detroit 3-0 yesterday in a good pitching matchup for Seattle's fourth win in a row. We'll back the Mariners to keep their winning streak alive tonight in a much different type of pitching matchup, as both teams send spot-starters to the hill. Tigers send Daniel Morris to the mound for the fourth time this season and his first start since the Fourth of July. Norris hasn't been very effective, however, owning a 5.35 season ERA and failing to go more than 5 innings in all three of his outings. In his lone road start, Norris gave up two earned runs on three hits and a walk covering just two innings at Cleveland. Much different on the other side of the diamond as Seattle's Wade LeBlanc has a chance to earn a spot in the regular rotation. LeBlanc has been consistent in his five starts this season, and has won all four of his team starts here at home along with a solid 2.88 ERA and a WHIP under 1.000. Seattle has also quietly crept back into the playoff picture with their solid play of late, so motivation and momentum side with the home team. Much more faith in LeBlanc in this spot and we look for Seattle to take an early lead and hold on for the win! 20* MLB "Late Night Bailout" Play on Seattle. |
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08-09-16 | Padres v. Pirates -139 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
20* Play on Pittsburgh (-139). Pirates starter Chad Kuhl has already won all four of his team starts this season while listed as the underdog, bringing in a profit of 7.4 units. He has never been less than a +140 underdog, and twice took the mound as an underdog north of +200. Tonight, Kuhl will take the field as a favorite for the first time, and we expect another easy win for Pittsburgh. Kuhl has a season ERA of 4.19, but that is heavily influenced by one poor start - allowing 4 ER's in 2 1/3 innings of work. He rebounded nicely to that bad effort pitching six shutout innings in a 2-1 Pittsburgh victory against Max Scherzer and the Nationals as a big +225 underdog. Tonight, he'll face a weak San Diego lineup that is only hitting .243 on the season, .241 on the road, and .233 against right-handed starters. We also have to point out San Diego's poor record on the road, already 12 game under .500 and clearly they don't have much motivation to win now that the season is winding down. Bad spot for losing teams at the start of an extended road trip with all chances for a playoff run dashed. Padres starter Luis Perdomo hasn't impressed, owning a 5.49 ERA on the season, and San Diego doesn't have the type off offense to keep up with that poor pitching. Pirates take this one with ease! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on Pittsburgh. |
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07-31-16 | Royals v. Rangers -120 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
20* Play on Texas (-120). Royals slide continued yesterday losing 2-1 here in Texas and they are now in danger of being swept in this four-game series. Kansas City has now lost seven of their last eight games overall to dip five games under .500 on the season, and 11 games behind AL Central-leading Cleveland. Royals have really not played well at all on the road (17-35), and the three losses so far in this series has been indicative of their weak offense away from home. KC put up 2, 3, and 1 runs in those losses while never having more than seven base hits. That's been their issue on the road this year scoring just 3.2 rpg. Tonight's starter Dillon Gee needs offensive support as his high 6.43 ERA and dangerous 1.893 WHIP means first-place Texas will have a lot of base runners and chances to score. Don't believe KC's offense will suddenly break out of their slump tonight and we'll back the Rangers at a very reasonable price to finish off the sweep! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on Texas. |
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07-24-16 | Indians -133 v. Orioles | 3-5 | Loss | -133 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-133). Indians have lost the first two games of this series despite having the better pitching matchup (on paper), and we don't believe the Indians will be swept in a similar starting pitching matchup this afternoon. Corey Kluber gets the ball for the Indians, and his 9-8 record in no way reflects his dominance on the mound this year, owning a 3.63 ERA on the season. He's also been red hot recently allowing just one run over his last two starts combined covering 15 innings of work. Baltimore sends Vance Worley to the mound making just his fourth start of the season, and the first three haven't been anything great. He has allowed at least three earned runs in all three of those starts and has not been able to make it out of the fifth inning in two of those three games. Indians are a very good road team despite the results from the last two days, and starting pitching finally means something this afternoon as the Indians avoid the sweep! 20* AL Game of the Month Play on Cleveland. |
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07-22-16 | Indians -112 v. Orioles | 1-5 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-112). Marquee weekend series kicks off tonight in Baltimore as the AL-leading Indians take on the Orioles, who are just a half-game back of Boston in the AL East. Cleveland picked the right time to visit Baltimore as the Orioles pitching rotation is such that Cleveland won't face a single Orioles starting pitcher with more than two victories on the season. Starting pitching has been the main reason for Cleveland success, and a big reason they lead the majors with 30 road victories heading into this weekend. Tonight's pitching matchup is another lopsided matchup on paper, with Trevor Bauer going up against Dylan Bundy. Bundy has made just one start, and it wasn't pretty allowing five hits and three walks in just 3 1/3 innings against Tampa Bay. Three of those five hits were home runs, and Bundy was charged with four earned runs in the short outing while taking the loss. Bauer has a great 3.37 ERA on the season and even better 3.09 ERA covering seven road starts. With the Indians offense clicking on all cylinders (scored 18 runs the last two games) and the tremendous line value backing the superior pitcher with the road price, this is a great spot to back the Indians at a great line! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on Cleveland. |
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07-15-16 | Indians -147 v. Twins | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-147). The first series after the All-Star break is treated as the symbolic start of the second half of the season, and it serves as a great situation for judging motivation down the stretch. Cleveland exits the All-Star break 16 games over .500, holding a 6.5-game lead over Detroit in the AL Central, and an AL-best +81 in run differential. Minnesota is the exact opposite, owning an AL-worst 32-56 record and they are already an insurmountable 20 games back of Cleveland. Division play has been a big reason for Cleveland's success and Minnesota's woes, as the Indians are 26-11 while Minnesota is a dismal 6-21 vs. the AL Central. Massive pitching mismatch here as Cleveland starts Carlos Carrasco, who has won nine of his twelve team starts this season while having a low 2.47 ERA. Carrasco is even better on the road with a 1.81 ERA through six starts. On the other side, Ervin Santana has lost 13 of his 16 team starts, including seven of his nine home outings. Can't be much motivation in the home dugout being 20 games behind the AL Central Division leader, and we look for the Indians winning ways to continue tonight! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on Cleveland. |
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07-07-16 | Padres v. Dodgers -132 | 6-0 | Loss | -132 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
20* Play on LA Dodgers (-132). Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his first start in two years tonight when the LA Dodgers host the San Diego Padres. We are going to back Ryu to pitch well and earn the victory here, and this start couldn't have come against a better opponent. San Diego's offense is a bit better than it has been in recent seasons, but that isn't saying all that much and they enter this game hitting just .245 as a team. Ryu has had great success against the Padres, going 4-0 with a 0.84 ERA in five career starts - a much-needed boost of confidence considering the extended time away. Dodgers offense hasn't been all that great either this year, but they have started to turn things around going 5-2 in their last seven games - a stretch which saw LA hit .289 as a team. Expect a bit more motivation by the home side to back their pitcher who has fought hard to come all the way back, and we look for LA to take an early lead and cruise to a low-scoring victory! 20* MLB "Late Night Bailout" Play on LA Dodgers. |
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06-30-16 | Indians -111 v. Blue Jays | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
20* Play on Cleveland (-111). The Indians winning streak isn't going to last forever, but they are clearly red hot right now after completing their fourth consecutive sweep and they have now won 12 games in a row after last night's 3-0 shutout win against the Braves. Indians have built a commanding six-game lead in the AL Central and are showing no signs of slowing down. We are going to back the Indians to win at least one more tonight as they start a four-game set in Toronto, and the visiting Indians have a massive edge in starting pitching. Tribe starter Carlos Carrasco has won seven of his nine team starts this season, and while his 2.73 ERA on the season is obviously very good, he's even better on the road owning a 1.95 earned run average through five outings. Toronto starter R.A. Dickey has not done well at all here in Toronto, in fact he's lost all seven of his team starts here at home. Even worse, the Blue Jays are losing those seven games by an average of more than four runs per game! No reason to expect Cleveland's winning streak to end tonight with this pitching matchup, and with Cleveland being the visitor we are getting excellent line value. Tribe matches their longest winning streak in franchise history tonight! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on Cleveland. |
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06-23-16 | Diamondbacks -156 v. Rockies | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
20* Play on Arizona (-156). Great value backing Zach Greinke on the road tonight, and while the home team typically gets a decent boost from the linesmaker, that home field advantage doesn't make sense in this particular pitching matchup. Greinke has been his normal dominant self this season, going 10-3 with a 3.54 ERA, but he's been especially effective on the road sporting a perfect 5-0 record (6-0 team start record) while his ERA dips to 1.47 in those six road starts. On the other side, Rockies starter Eddie Butler has not done well in hitter-friendly Colorado, owning a 10.29 ERA (16 ER's in 14 IP) through three home starts. D'Backs also come into this series riding a wave of momentum going 5-1 to start this extended road trip. Everything points to an easy Arizona victory tonight, and we'll back them at a great price! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on Arizona. |
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06-01-16 | Yankees -106 v. Blue Jays | 0-7 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
20* Play on NY Yankees (-106). Great price backing Masahiro Tanaka tonight, who is a slight underdog in some places (Yankees are a virtual pick 'em in this game), and while we are getting the line value with the Yankees being the visitor in this matchup, that works in our favor as Tanaka has been far more effective on the road this season. While his 2.89 ERA and 0.964 WHIP overall this season is quite impressive, those numbers improve away from Yankees Stadium as Tanaka owns a 1.34 ERA and 0.832 WHIP in five road starts. New York's issues this season have been at the plate, hitting just .233 as a team this season, but here they face a Toronto team that also lacks offensive firepower, hitting just .239 as a team. With both offenses pretty much a wash, this game boils down to the pitching, where the Yankees have a distinct advantage with Tanaka on the mound. Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez is "average" here at home with a 4.87 ERA in four starts (2-2 team start record). It also needs to be pointed out that Tanaka has owned the Blue Jays in his career, allowing 2 ER's or less in six of his seven career starts against Toronto. Finally, Blue Jays area 0-7 this season at home when priced between +125 and -125. Yankees get another quality start by Tanaka tonight and score just enough to earn the "W"! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on NY Yankees. |
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04-23-16 | Dodgers -128 v. Rockies | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
20* Play on LA Dodgers (-128). Dodgers let one get away from them last night, as they took a one-run lead into the bottom of the seventh inning but Colorado scored one run immediately to tie the game at 5-5, then scored twice more in the eighth inning to pull out a 7-5 victory. The good news for LA is that they have Kenta Maeda going tonight, and all he's done in his first three starts of the season is to go 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA - allowing just one earned run over 19 combined innings. And while we admit it will be unlikely Maeda will be able to keep that pace here in a hitter-friendly ball park, we certainly like his chances of picking up another win while matched up against Tyler Chatwood, who was rocked for five runs on 11 hits (two home runs) in six innings in his lone home start this season (San Francisco). Rockies are giving up 8 runs per game at home so far this season, and while their offensive numbers are good, it's always tough to face a pitcher without having seen him before. Maeda shines once again as the Dodgers jump out early and cruise to the comfortable win! 20* MLB "Blowout Demolition" Play on LA Dodgers. |
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04-15-16 | White Sox -111 v. Rays | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
20* Play on Chicago White Sox (-111). We backed Chris Sale on the runline (-1.5 runs) in his previous start when the White Sox beat Cleveland by a 7-3 score, and we'll come right back with Sale and the White Sox again tonight - this time taking advantage of a very favorable price on the moneyline. Sale has already delivered two quality to starts to begin the new season, going seven innings while allowing three earned runs in each outing (Chicago won both games). Now he faces a struggling Tampa Bay team that has lost four of their last five games overall and are ice cold offensively, having exactly five base hits in four of those five contests. Tampa offense has never really come together yet, hitting just .210 as a team while scoring well under three runs per game. Not only is Chris Sale building momentum, but the entire White Sox team beings this series with momentum having won four straight games overall, and is off to a fast 6-1 start away from home this season. Tampa starter Jake Odorizzi was roughed up by Chicago in his lone career meeting, and with Sale on the mound he doesn't have much room for error here. Sale delivers another quality start as the White Sox winning streak continues! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on Chicago White Sox. |
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04-12-16 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -129 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
25* Play on LA Dodgers (-129). We backed the Dodgers behind Kenta Maeda in the Japanese import's first start of the season - an easy 7-0 blowout victory on the road at San Diego. We'll back Maeda again - this time at our top 25* rating - and don't believe we'll be able to back Maeda at these types of prices for much longer. Maeda went six strong innings in that start allowing five hits and no walks - good for a WHIP well under 1.000 - while also striking out four batters. Padres offense is one of the worst in baseball, and Maeda faces another weak lineup here as Arizona has failed to have more than eight base hits in five straight games. Pat Corbin was roughed up for four runs on eight hits (three home runs) against the Rockies (that game was played in Arizona - not the hitter-friendly Colorado ballpark), and he's taken the loss in each of his last three matchups vs. these Dodgers (two of those games took place last season). We are very high on Maeda and believe he will be a force to be reckoned with, especially with a solid offensive lineup behind him that is hitting .288 as a team and scoring six runs per game. Dodgers are 15-4 here at home vs the Diamondbacks, and will have a big crowd today with the Dodgers playing their home opener. We considered playing the Dodgers on the runline, but our top-rated 25* play is on the moneyline at a very reasonable price! 25* MLB "King's Ransom" Play on LA Dodgers. |
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04-11-16 | Royals +123 v. Astros | 2-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
20* Play on Kansas City (+123). Both the Royals and Astros have not been hitting well to start the season, with Kansas City hitting just .233 as a team while Houston is batting .240 overall. But at least the Royals are pitching well - something Houston has lacked thus far - and we'll back the Royals to win tonight in a favorable pitching matchup. Astros send Collin McHugh to the mound tonight looking to make up for his awful season debut where he gave up six runs (five earned) on three hits and two walks while recording just one out (1/3 of an inning pitched) against the Yankees. Not expecting that type of dismal effort again this time around, but we also don't look for McHugh to suddenly turn into Cy Young either. On the other side, Chris Young pitched well in a loss against the Mets - a game his offense gave him no help in KC's 2-0 shutout loss. Young does have great career numbers against Houston, however, owning a 5-1 career team start record while allowing 3 ER's or less in all five of those team victories. KC comes into this series with confidence and momentum after sweeping the Twins, and Houston is being overvalued by the linesmakers here having already lost three times as favorites so far this season. Chris Young owns a profitable 21-9 TSR when priced between -125 and +125 - a sure sign of being undervalued by the books - and more importantly a 9-2 TSR on the road. Young the better pitcher tonight and the Royals offense gives him enough support to pull off the upset! 20* MLB "Underdog Demolition" Play on Kansas City. |
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04-09-16 | Dodgers -134 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
20* Play on LA Dodgers (-134). After out-scoring the San Diego Padres 25-0 in their three-game sweep to open the season, the LA Dodgers have lost back-to-back games at San Francisco. We look for the Dodgers to turn things around now that they are at the top of their rotation, and love backing Clayton Kershaw at this price - even against another legit ace in Madison Bumgarner. Kershaw pitched seven scoreless innings in his season debut, allowing just one hit (and one walk) while striking out nine. It looks like Kershaw hasn't lost a thing since last season and we expect another solid effort today - especially considering his career dominance against the Giants. In 30 career starts vs. San Francisco, Kershaw owns a 1.55 ERA, and in his last two starts against them (both last season), he pitched a full nine innings while only giving up one earned run in those 18 combined innings or work. Bumgarner lost both of his last two starts against the Dodgers (both last season) and in fact lost 8-0 against Kershaw while priced as a +120 underdog - very similar to this game. More importantly, he did not look sharp in his season-opening win against Milwaukee, allowing three earned runs on five hits (two home runs) and five walks covering just five innings of work. SF put up 12 runs in the blowout victory, but Bumgarner won't be able to rely on his offense to bail him out this time. Better pitcher in better form at a very reasonable price! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on LA Dodgers. |
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04-07-16 | Astros v. Yankees -112 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
20* Play on NY Yankees (-112). Yankees lineup was shut down by Houston ace Keuchel on opening day (four base hits), but stormed back yesterday to put up 16 runs on 17 hits in their blowout victory. That sets up a rubber match for this afternoon, and we'll back New York in a favorable pitching matchup to take the series. Yankees send Nathan Eovaldi to the hill, and he has dominated the Astros in his career with a perfect 3-0 team start record and a 0.90 ERA covering 20 innings. Two of those three career matchups came last season, and in those three starts vs. Houston Eovaldi has twice delivered a shutout performance. Michael Fiers gets the ball for Houston, after playing in Milwaukee for his entire career so this will be his first stint in the American League. Tough spot for Fiers, who now faces a much tougher AL lineup (DH instead of pitcher) and he only went 5-9 in 21 starts with the Brewers last season. Fiers isn't so much a bad pitcher, but he isn't good enough to be #3 in a rotation and should be exposed here against a Yankees lineup that went off yesterday. To make matters worse, Fiers is a "slow-starter", going 0-3 in four starts last April with a high 5.79 ERA - his worst month of the season. Not expecting the Yankees to put up double-digits on the scoreboard again, but they do have a massive advantage on the pitchers mound and they take this one easily! 20* MLB "Early Equation" Play on NY Yankees. |
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04-06-16 | Dodgers -130 v. Padres | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
20* Play on LA Dodgers (-130). Can't get much worse for San Diego, as the Padres have yet to record a single run in two games against the Dodgers and have amassed a total of six base hits in those two games. It's to the point now where simply crossing the plate has become the short-term goal for the Padres - let alone winning their first game of the season. Don't believe San Diego will be shut out a third time tonight, but we don't expect them to win and we'll back the Dodgers with a favorable price to complete the three-game sweep. Japanese import Kenta Maeda gets the ball for the Dodgers, and he looked very good in spring training with a high strikeout-to-walk ratio, but more importantly it will be tough for opposing lineups to get to Maeda early without much film on him. San Diego starts Andrew Cashner, who has a decent ERA against the Dodgers in his career but is not good in the win/loss column, owning a 1-4 record (3-7 team start record), and if the last two days proved anything it's that he likely won't get much run support again tonight. Dodgers a solid 28-12 against the Padres the last three years including 14-7 here in San Diego, and their momentum continues with another easy victory tonight! 20* MLB "Vegas Inferno" Play on LA Dodgers. |
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