25* Play on Texas A&M (-7). This selection isn't "on" Texas A&M so much as it is "against" Tennessee, who continues to press their luck. Last week it was a Hail Mary on the final play of the game to get past Georgia (missing their top offensive weapon), but we fully expect their luck to finally run out this week on the road against the Aggies. Texas A&M is easily the best passing team Tennessee will have faced to this point, and the Vols secondary has not put up very good numbers against rush-heavy offenses. Add in the obvious look-ahead spot with Alabama looming on deck (Texas A&M has a bye before playing the Crimson Tide), and this is an horrible motivational spot for the Volunteers. Linesmakers rightfully had Texas A&M as a clear favorite early in the week, but then the line shifted as Tennessee RB Jalen Hurd is now listed as doubtful. Aggies expose Tennessee for the average team they really are and win this one by a landslide! 25* CFB "Clash of the Titans" Play on Texas A&M.

20* Play on TCU (-28.5). We successfully faded both of these teams last weekend, with Kansas losing by 36 points on Thursday night against a high-octane Tech Tech offense, and TCU making a strong fourth-quarter rally but still coming up six points short against Oklahoma. While we didn't like TCU's chances of holding down an angry Oklahoma team last Saturday, we love the spot they are in this week, and look for them to hand Kansas yet another blowout defeat. TCU has scored a minimum of 33 points in every game played so far, and will not take the field angry (much as Oklahoma did against them last week) after suffering their second loss of the season. Kansas hasn't shown the ability to do anything defensively against a credible opponent, and gave up nearly 550 yards through the air last week vs. the Red Raiders. TCU's passing game can do as they please, and with nothing to take away their focus on their immediate schedule they come close to covering this number at half time and cruise to an easy win and cover! 20* CFB "High Noon Showdown" Play on TCU.

20* Play on San Francisco (+3.5). Arizona QB Carson Palmer didn't make the trip to San Francisco, which means the Cardinals will have Drew Stanton under center Thursday night. Cards couldn't have started any worse this year - not only losing Palmer for this game but also off to a poor 1-3 start with all three losses coming in the role of the favorite. We like the progress we've seen from San Francisco so far under new head coach Chip Kelly, and while their passing game still leaves much to be desired they are finding some success on the ground and with their short passing game. The loss of Palmer makes this Arizona team heavily dependent on the run, and we saw what San Francisco did against that type of offense in their 28-0 shutout win against the Rams on opening night. Cards lost 33-18 as five-point chalk in their lone road game this season, and without Palmer we expect the 49ers to hand Arizona their fourth outright upset loss this year! 20* NFL Thursday Night Thunder Play on San Francisco.

20* Play on Pittsburgh (-4.5). Steelers have to be pleased with their 2-1 start to the season while missing the services of RB Le'Veon Bell, even if that one defeat came in a lopsided beat down last week at Philadelphia. Steelers need to run the ball in order to be effective on offense, as their passing game really works from play-action. Steelers finished with just 29 yards rushing last week, but with Bell back in the lineup after serving a three-game suspension we expect the Pittsburgh offense to get back on track this week. Chiefs are also 2-1 but have been rather pedestrian on offense statistically, being held to 83 yards rushing or less twice and also 221 yards passing or less twice. Don't believe KC will force 8 turnovers like they did last week - they'll need to score in order to keep up with this Pittsburgh offense which will finally see Big Ben, Antonio Brown, and Le'Veon Bell all on the field at the same time. Given the fact KC couldn't reach 300 total yards in their lone road game this year - a 7-point loss at Houston - we don't think the Chiefs have enough to stay close Sunday night. 20* NFL Sunday Night Game of the Month Play on Pittsburgh.

25* Play on Oklahoma (-3.5). Sooners could not make a statement early this year against a stacked non-conference schedule, losing against Houston and Ohio State and they now find themselves entering the month of October with a losing record. But we don't believe either of those two losses should be cause for concern - this is still a premier team and in our opinion the best team in the Big 12 Conference. Linesmakers are begging for action on TCU in this game, installing the #21 Horned Frogs as an underdog despite playing an unranked opponent and playing the role of host. We're not biting, and instead we'll look for Oklahoma to win this game by a surprising margin. TCU is 3-1, losing against Arkansas and having all three wins against inferior competition (was favored by more than 20 points in all three victories). Sooners had an extra week of rest to prepare for this game and will treat it like the "make-or-break" game that it is. TCU's defense has a number of issues that have been masked by a weak non-conference schedule, but they get exposed this Saturday! 25* CFB Trap Game of the Year Play on Oklahoma.

20* Play on Florida State (-10.5). We backed the Seminoles last week in their blowout win and cover against South Florida, taking advantage of the huge overreaction by the linesmakers to FSU's infamous loss against Louisville. Vegas still isn't convinced FSU is a good team, and we'll back the Seminoles to cover another soft line this Saturday against North Carolina. Tar Heels can't stop anyone on the ground, allowing a minimum of 182 yards rushing in all four games and twice allowing over 280. FSU more than capable of controlling this game from the outset without having to put the ball in the air, and we expect a huge rushing effort from the favorite in another blowout win and cover! 20* CFB "Blowout Demolition" Play on Florida State.

20* Play on Georgia (+3). Tennessee has been playing with fire all season long, and remain highly ranked despite some needing a number of fortunate bounces to go their way to keep their perfect record. Vols should have lost outright at home against Appalachian State to start the year (won in overtime) and also struggled against Ohio U. Those results can be directly attributed to lack of focus and motivation, and they find themselves in a horrible motivational spot this Saturday not only playing their first true road game of the season, but also coming off a "feel-good" win against a Florida team that has had their number for over a decade. Georgia will be looking to come out strong after last week's embarrassing lopsided loss, and matches up well here with their strong running game. Bulldogs weakness is in their secondary, but we don't like Tennessee's passing game and don't believe the Vols can capitalize on that weakness. Georgia wins this one outright, but we'll take the points as insurance! 20* CFB Underdog of the Month Play on Georgia.

20* Play on Texas Tech (-28.5). Kansas fans stormed the field after the Jayhawks beat FCS Rhode Island in their season-opener, but since then it's been "typical" Jayhawks football with an outright favored loss at home against Ohio U (by 16 points) and then a 36-point blowout at Memphis. No reason to think Kansas can stay competitive on the road tonight against a Red Raiders squad that has scored 55+ points in all three games - especially with this game taking place at Texas Tech. Kansas just 2-10 ATS as an underdog and were nowhere close to covering a big 20-point spot their last time out, and a rested Texas Tech team with no look-ahead spot in play wins this one in a blowout! 20* CFB Thursday Night Thunder Play on Texas Tech.

20* Play on New Orleans (-3). Saints won and covered both meetings between these teams last season, with New Orleans finishing with over 300 yards passing in both contests. After last week's offensive dud, we expect the Saints to get back on track with a huge offensive effort on their home field and win this game going away. We took the underdog in both of our previous MNF games (SF in Week 1, PHI last week) but like the favorite to win here. Saints are far better than they showed last week and we like backing good offensive teams at home after a poor road showing the week before. Atlanta did win last week but still looks like they lack confidence in the red zone - which was their undoing last year. Additionally, Falcons running game has not been nearly as good last year and in a battle of passing games, we'll take Breeze at home against anyone. 20* NFL Monday Night Showdown Play on New Orleans.

20* Play on Pittsburgh (-3.5). We backed the Eagles in both of their SU and ATS wins so far, as rookie QB Carson Wentz was able to shine against two of the weakest defenses the NFL has to offer (two worst secondaries in the league in our opinion). Much different task this week, however, and we expect the rookie to taste defeat for the first time this year. Steelers have looked solid on both sides of the ball so far, even while RB Bell still serves his three-game suspension. Pittsburgh shut down a very good Cincinnati team last week and has not allowed either the Redskins or Bengals to rush for more than 55 yards. Wentz had a productive running game behind him but the Steelers will force Wentz to beat them through the air this week. Big Ben and the offense will put up points on the scoreboard - not convinced Wentz can do the same in this spot. 20* NFL "Vegas Inferno" Play on Pittsburgh.

25* Play on Miami (-10). We are only in Week 3 and the Cleveland Browns are already on their third starting quarterback of the season. Browns have a chance to be historically bad this year - already having one of the worst defenses in the league and now missing their first-round draft pick while starting rookie QB Cody Kessler on the road. Kessler did not look good in the preseason and never looked comfortable in this offense - taking seven sacks in limited action (all against backup defenses) while finishing with 4.5 or fewer yards per pass attempt in three of those four preseason games. Browns offense wasn't all that great to begin with, although they did show some signs of life last week with McCown at the helm. Dolphins are desperate for a win and should absolutely dominate on both sides of the ball. Wouldn't be surprised to see a shutout here as the Dolphins easily cover this big number! 25* NFL Blowout of the Year Play on Miami.

20* Play on Michigan State (-4). Both Wisconsin and Michigan State come into this Big Ten opener after already securing signature non-conference victories. And while the Badgers two-point home win against LSU was impressive, Michigan State completely dominated Notre Dame on the road for the better part of three quarters - then playing against the clock in the final quarter and holding on for an eight-point win. Spartans can stop Wisconsin's rushing attack which renders their offense useless. Badgers scored just 16 points in their win against LSU, but will need much more than that to upset the Spartans. MSU better on both sides of the ball, and with home field advantage they take this one by double-digits! 20* CFB Big Ten Game of the Month Play on Michigan State.

20* Play on Florida State (-5). South Florida has done well in the role of big favorite - winning and covering all three of their games this season while putting up 45+ points in all three victories. But those lopsided wins against inferior competition (USF favored by double-digits in all three matchups) only gives us better line value this Saturday backing a Florida State team that was outright embarrassed last week vs. Louisville. FSU was never good enough to be ranked #2 in the country, but they are certainly better than last week's 43-point blowout makes them out to be. FSU will be able to run at will here, and the motivational edge by the visitor looking to make up for last week's disaster combined with this very low line results in an easy cover by the Seminoles! 20* CFB "Blowout Demolition" Play on Florida State.

20* Play on Philadelphia (+3). Bears did not look good last week putting up only 73 yards rushing and another 185 yards through the air in a 9-point loss at Houston. Now they face a confident Eagles team as rookie QB Carson Wentz looked good against an awful Browns defense. Wentz has another great matchup against one of the worst secondaries in all of football. We are not as high on Wentz as some are, but these first two weeks of the season couldn't be better matchups for him. Eagles scored 29 points last week and could match that again here while the Bears don't have enough offensive firepower to keep up.Bears 0-6 against the spread at home vs. conference opponents, and that trend continues as the Eagles take this one with ease! 20* NFL Monday Night Football Game of the Month on Philadelphia.

20* Play on Green Bay (-1.5). As of this writing, it appears that Sam Bradford will be under center for the Vikings. That can only help a Minnesota offense that did not play well last week - putting up only 300 yards of total offense. Vikings were bailed out by their defense, who scored two touchdowns themselves which was the difference in their 11-point win. Much different opponent for Minnesota this week, as they take on a Green Bay team with a legit rush-and-pass option and the return of WR Jordy Nelson is a big improvement from last year. Don't trust Vikings ability to run the ball against a Packers defense that only allowed 48 rushing yards last week, and Bradford isn't going to be completely comfortable in this offense yet. Basically picking the outright winner with this small line, and we expect Green Bay to win rather easily! 20* NFL "Sunday Night Showdown" Play on Green Bay.

25* Play on Baltimore (-6). Browns weren't going to be a good team anyway this season, but having QB RG3 injured in the first game of the season will have a big effect on the motivation for this team over the next few weeks. We actually think McCown is a better fit for this team, but in all honesty it doesn't make that much of a difference. Ravens will be able to control the clock and field position with their ground game and simply wear down the Browns. Baltimore has won and covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 trips to Cleveland, and this year is no different. Ravens in a blowout! 25* NFL "King's Ransom" Play on Baltimore.

20* Play on Texas (-7). These teams entered this season with completely different expectations. This was the "make-or-break" season for Texas head coach Charlie Strong, and he delivered so far with an upset win against Notre Dame and followed that up with a 36-point blowout against UTEP - avoiding the obvious letdown situation. Cal lost a ton of their starters on both sides of the ball and are in a full-blown rebuilding year. Not only is QB Jared Goff gone to the NFL, but Cal also lost their top six receivers from a year ago. Golden Bears put up big passing numbers the last two weeks against inferior competition, and they lost outright (covered as a 5.5-point underdog) at San Diego State last week. Longhorns have a balanced offense, but honestly they can run the ball on 100% of their plays and win this game comfortably. Cal has given up nearly 600 yards rushing against a pair of non-Power Conference teams (and not triple-option teams either) and will absolutely worn out by the second half in this game. Longhorns have a legit chance to score on nearly every possession, and while Cal will make some plays through the air, their defense doesn't keep them in the game. 20* CFB "Late Night Bailout" Play on Texas.

25* Play on Ohio State (-1). Ohio State has been very kind to us this year, giving us a pair of easy ATS covers the first two weeks of the season in blowout victories against Bowling Green (covered the spread by 40 points) and last week vs. Tulsa (covered by 17 points). Now the Buckeyes face some "real" competition playing a true road game at Oklahoma. Sooners crushed an overmatched Louisiana Monroe squad last week but dropped their season-opener outright against Houston. That loss was very telling, as former OSU offensive coordinator Tom Herman is running the show in Houston, and the Sooners defense gave up over 400 yards. Now they face a similar offense with far more talented athletes in the key positions. Buckeyes defense hasn't been talked about much, but they have allowed zero touchdowns this year while scoring three themselves. Their secondary is attacking the passing lanes forcing turnovers while their rush defense has been stout. Oklahoma will break the century mark on the ground here, but won't do much through the air without making mistakes along the way. Remember, Buckeyes have not lost a true road game since Urban Meyer took over the head coaching duties. OSU is the better team, and they prove it with a signature win this Saturday night! 25* CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year Play on Ohio State.

25* Play on Michigan State (+8). We faded Notre Dame in their outright season-opening loss against Texas, and we'll fade them again this week as they host a well-rested Michigan State team. Irish very may well win this game outright, although we give the Spartans a coin-flip's chance of winning this game as well and a very good chance of covering this inflated number. MSU was off last week so they have had two full weeks to prepare for this matchup. Notre Dame was not able to contain the Texas ground game and on the other side of the ball their passing game has fallen a few notches from seasons past. That sets up very nicely for the visitors, as Michigan State's power rushing attack should find a ton of success this Saturday, and while MSU's secondary is just average - they are extremely good at stopping the run. If Notre Dmae wins this game - and that's a big "if" - we don't think it will be by more than a touchdown. MSU keeps this game close and may even steal an outright upset victory! 25* CFB "Clash of the Titans" Play on Michigan State.

20* Play on Oklahoma State (-4.5). Wrong place, wrong time for Pittsburgh, who visits Oklahoma State after the Cowboys had a victory wrongly taken away from them last Saturday. Everyone has seen the final play Central Michigan came up with to steal the win, but the manner in which it happened will only have Oklahoma State more focused and looking to take out their aggression this week. We don't put much stock into both teams season-opening victories against cupcake opponents, but the fact that Penn State was able to put up a ton of yardage through the air means the Cowboys should have a field day throwing the ball here. Pittsburgh can not match the Cowboys passing attack, and we're not sure they'll have much success on the ground. Panthers just 9-23 ATS on the road after a two-game home stand, and in their road opener their offense sputters as Oklahoma State shows no mercy in a rout! 20* CFB "Blowout Demolition" Play on Oklahoma State.

20* Play on Alabama (-11). Ole' Miss was impressive in the first half of their opening-season tilt against Florida State, but has fallen apart ever since. Rebels couldn't hold on to the ball and let FSU come all the way back to win by a comfortable 11-point margin (as a four-point favorite), and Ole' Miss followed up that game with a pedestrian 25-point win against Wofford. Ole' Miss was favored by 44 points in that game but only scored 38 points total. Now the Rebels take on the top-ranked team in the country and we don't think they'll be able to stay competitive. Alabama shut down USC's offense allowing just six points scored total, and with Kent State on deck there's nothing to take their focus away from this game Saturday. Rebels gave up almost 600 yards of total offense against the Seminoles, but Alabama won't have to come anywhere close to that to cover this number with ease. 'Bama in a rout! 25* CFB "SEC Game of the Month" Play on Alabama.

25* Play on Houston (-7.5). A pair of 2-0 teams meet up on Thursday night, and while Houston has already earned a signature win by defeating Oklahoma, they are not yet getting enough respect from the linesmakers. This will be Houston's first true road game of the season, but we aren't expecting much from the Bearcats tonight - even on their home field. Perhaps it was Cincinnati's outright road win against the Big Ten's Purdue that has this line as low as it is. Bearcats won that game 18 points, but they allowed over 400 yards passing in that game and the main reason for that lopsided score was a 5-0 advantage in turnovers. Houston hasn't allowed 100 yards rushing yet this season (OU put up 70 yards, Lamar held to 15) and the Bearcats without a credible rushing threat is an offense that is in trouble. We were impressed with Houston's ability to avoid the letdown after that big Oklahoma win and that shows us they will not be rattled in a road game setting tonight. Bearcats defense gets a huge step up in class here while Houston is already confident after that big opening-season victory. We would be surprised if Houston wins this game by anything less than two touchdowns! 25* CFB "Black Reign" Play on Houston.

20* Play on San Francisco (+2.5). We do like what the Rams are doing - building their cornerstones on offense with stud RB Todd Gurley and drafting QB Jared Goff. That being said, there isn't much else on the Rams offense, and this is a tough spot for LA in Chip Kelly's regular season debut with the 49ers. We don't expect much more than a heavy dose of rushing by Gurley and the Rams, and that is not a difficult offense to stop at the NFL level. Remember, last year when San Francisco was awful, they were still able to beat an Adrian Pederson-led, rush-heavy Vikings offense in the season opener. 49ers problems are almost entirely on the offensive side of the ball, and so Chip Kelly was brought in to turn things around. We love the prospects of RB Carlos Hyde in this offensive system, and while Blaine Gabbert got a bad rap in Jacksonville, he really didn't have much help at all around him. 49ers don't have much of a receiving corps, but Kelly's offensive schemes will still allow for plays to be made. Don't like LA's chance of putting up many points here, and we value SF's home field advantage enough for them to win this game outright. 20* NFL Monday Night Showdown Play on San Francisco.

20* Play on Atlanta (-2.5). Falcons jumped out to a perfect 5-0 record last year and were 6-1 when Tampa Bay came to town, but then their season fell apart. Bucs won that game in overtime to start an extended six-game losing skid for the Falcons (also lost in the final minutes at Tampa Bay during that stretch). Atlanta has made red zone scoring and turnovers a priority during this past offseason, and expect Atlanta to start hot again this year much like they did last season. The Matt Ryan to Julio Jones combination is one of the best in all of football, and we don't expect Tampa to be able to slow that combination down much here. Atlanta put up a combined 650 yards passing in last year's two matchups compared to just 395 yards passing combined for Tampa Bay. Remember, this is a Bucs team that won just six games last season (four wins against everyone not named Atlanta) and allowed 26 ppg in the process. Atlanta seemed to beat themselves last year more than being outplayed by their opponent. With this being the first game of the year, there is no "funk" or "slump" for the Falcons to have to play their way out of. Huge edge offensively and on their home field the Falcons make easy work of the Bucs! 20* NFL "Vegas Inferno" Play on Atlanta.

20* Play on Philadelphia (-3.5). This line has dropped dramatically with the trade of Eagles QB Sam Bradford, but we still feel the Eagles will win by a wide margin against a Browns team that has many issues on both sides of the ball. It seems like every year Cleveland starts their season with a new head coach at the helm as well as a new quarterback, and this year is no different with Hue Jackson roaming the sidelines and RG3 now under center. Browns offense was dreadful in the preseason, and while the Browns went the unusual route of playing their starters for most of the first half in the final warmup game, the team still struggled to get first downs and score points. On the other side of the ball, Cleveland struggled mightily against the run and their secondary also has many question marks. Carson Wentz will be the quarterback for Philadelphia and he is healthy after missing most of the preseason. This is the perfect game for Wentz to "get his feet wet", as his running game should have no problem racking up yardage which will only open up holes in the secondary. Eagles take control of this one from the beginning and cruise to a lopsided win and cover! 20* NFL Favorite of the Month Play on Philadelphia.

20* Play on Green Bay (-4.5). Packers sorely missed WR Jordy Nelson, who was out for the year after a preseason injury. Nelson hasn't seen much action this August, either, but word out of Green Bay is that Nelson is ready to go and will be the obvious main threat of the Packers offense. Nelson's loss last year hurt Green Bay's offense, and these Week 1 lines are typically based on last year's success or failure. Jacksonville is still one of the worst teams in the league, and their defense was rebuilt in the offseason so there will still be some things to work out. Rogers can pick apart the Jags all day long, and starting the year with a statement offensively is exactly what the Packers are aiming to do - symbolic of their return to dominance in the NFC. Even in a "down year" for the Pack, Green Bay still finished with six wins away from home (including playoffs) and were a money-earning 7-3 ATS. Jags no match for the Packers on either side of the ball, and we fully expect Green Bay to win this one in a blowout! 20* NFL "Blowout Demolition" Play on Green Bay..

20* Play on Ohio State (-28.5). Buckeyes delivered a 40-point cover for us last week in their 77-10 lopsided win against an overmatched Bowling Green squad, and we look for the Buckeyes to win by another huge margin again this Saturday. We figured the Buckeyes offense would get better even with the loss of some key stars, and now without a QB controversy the Buckeyes offense looked unbeatable in racking up 417 passing yards and another 359 on the ground. This is a different spot for OSU compared to last week, with the obvious lookahead to Oklahoma next week looming large. But Tulsa isn't equipped to take advantage of that motivational disadvantage, and given their history of huge blowout losses against superior competition, we look for this one to get out of hand quickly. When the Golden Hurricane lose, they lose big, falling by double-digits in each of their last ten losses overall (six last year and four the year prior). Ohio State's defense only allowed three points against what we expect to be an overall decent BG offense (one touchdown was scored last week on an INT return), and with an overmatched team playing on the road in front of 100,000+ we don't expect much scoring from Tulsa this Saturday. Don't look for another 67-point win, but the Buckeyes still cover this number with plenty of room to spare! 20* CFB Blowout of the Month Play on Ohio State.

25* Play on Carolina (-3). Aside from the two obvious factors in this game - Carolina's massive revenge spot from the Super Bowl and Denver losing QB Peyton Manning - the Panthers match up very well against this new-look Denver team. We are not playing those two factors, however, as we typically don't put too much stock in "revenge" in the NFL, however in certain cases it is justified and this is certainly one of them. And the loss of Manning was compounded with Brock Osweiler moving on, and more recently Mark Sanchez going to Dallas. That means Trevor Siemian will be the starting quarterback and he has not impressive in the Preseason tossing just one touchdown pass along with two interceptions (some of that time playing against second-string defenses). Siemian will be looking over his shoulder as Paxton Lynch figures to take the starting job at some point this season. Denver's defense is solid once again, but they don't have enough offensive firepower to keep up. Carolina is rightfully a road favorite here, and given the motivation on the visitor's sideline from the last meeting, Carolina dominates a weak Denver offenses and cruises to an easy win and cover! 25* Play on Carolina.

25* Play on Texas (+3.5). We are looking for good things from Texas this year, with head coach Charlie Strong taking his lumps early to institute his brand of football and this is the year that Strong has to deliver. Longhorns played better overall than their 5-7 record shows, and with 15 returning starters they are poised to make an impact. Notre Dame is almost always overvalued by the linesmakers due to their tradition and national appeal, and this game is no different. Irish lost seven starters on offense from last year and six more on the defensive side of the ball. Notre Dame was a perfect 6-0 on their home field but just 4-3 straight up on the road, allowing nearly as many points per game (28) than they scored (29). It's always hard to play on the road under the lights, but even more so when it's the first game of the season with a ton of new faces on the field. No motivational disadvantages for Texas on their upcoming schedule to take focus away from this game, and we look for a strong start from the Longhorns who will go deep into their playbook, and coast to the outright win! 25* CFB "Black Reign" Play on Texas.

20* Play on Auburn (+7.5). Way too many points to lay on the road for Deshaun Watson and the Clemson Tigers - especially against a solid rushing team and in a nighttime setting. We love the points and believe Auburn has an outside chance of winning this game outright. Watson enters the season as the favorite to win the Heisman, and in a bad conference we do expect him to put up some solid numbers if he stays healthy, but in this game and against a ball-control, clock-killing offense like Auburn, the home side should be able to keep him off the field and keep this game close throughout. Clemson's biggest losses from last year's squad are on the defensive side of the ball, losing two quality big men up front and much of their secondary. Auburn's power running game is a great matchup against this unproven defense, and that is where we believe Auburn will be able to hang close. Clemson will score - we don't have any doubt about that - but it's always tough to play on the road at night and it only takes one holding penalty or a sack to kill a drive. We don't completely buy in to all the hype surrounding Clemson this year, and we look for Auburn to at least have a chance of stealing this one outright! 20* CFB "Watch Party" Play on Auburn.

20* Play on Ohio State (-27.5). Both Bowling Green and Ohio State come into this year with similar story lines, having reached double-digits in victories last year while also losing a ton of players in the offseason. BG returns just five starters on offense and six starters on defense, and Ohio State will see just three returners on each side of the ball. The big difference, however, is that Ohio State is a legit contender to win the National Championship even in a "rebuilding" year, and the fact that quarterback JT Barrett is now the "man" without any quarterback controversy should see his numbers improve drastically. Buckeyes don't rebuild - they reload - and this is the perfect spot for head coach Urban Meyer's crew to build some confidence. Bowling Green will be a solid team this year, but not in their road opener with so many new faces and in front of 100,000+ fans. Meyer has a knack for running up the score and showing no mercy against inferior teams, and this Saturday's game will be no different. Lay the points with confidence! 20* CFB "Opening Kickoff" Play on Ohio State.

20* Play on Denver (+5.5). While the Carolina Panthers have been underrated by the linesmakers for the majority of the season, they are getting far too much respect in this game (thanks to a pair of blowout wins the last two games, but we'll get into that later) and we'll gladly take the points with the Denver Broncos playing in a great motivational spot as this will likely be quarterback Peyton Manning's final game. Panthers are laying 5.5 points against the Broncos on a true neutral field, which is the equivalent of being an 8.5-point favorite at home and a road favorite if this game were to be played in Denver. Broncos do have the type of offense that has proven to be tough against this Panthers defense - that being a pass-heavy team that doesn't really care if they establish the run or not. Remember, this is exactly the type of game plan that Atlanta used when they handed Carolina their only outright loss of the season, and similar to the games that lesser teams New Orleans and the New York Giants used when they nearly beat the Panthers outright (scoring 38 and 35 points in a pair of three-point losses but ATS covers). Carolina's big margin of victory two weeks ago against Arizona and their fast start against Seattle is the main cause for this line being as high as it is. But it's impossible to ignore the impact turnovers played in those two games (Seattle quickly made a comeback when they were able to hold on to the ball in the second half), with Arizona committing a ridiculous seven turnovers in the NFC Championship Game. Not many would argue that Peyton Manning is the best student in the game in terms of breaking down film and finding weaknesses in the defense. And while Manning admittedly doesn't have the arm as he had in recent years, he has had a number of weeks to rest up down the stretch and this game will be ideal in terms of weather - an overlooked factor as Manning has been known to be affected by the cold. We think the Broncos have an excellent chance at not only covering this generous number, but winning the game outright! 20* NFL Super Bowl Winner on Denver.

30* NFL Game of the Year on Arizona (+3). Fitting that Arizona and Carolina meet up with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line as the Cardinals and Panthers have easily been the two best and most consistent teams in the NFC all season. And while we very much like Carolina, we think this is a fantastic matchup for the Cardinals and we expect Arizona to not only win outright, but win big. We faded the Panthers in their only outright loss of the season at Atlanta, noting the Panthers defense is very susceptible to good passing offenses and while they have been winning games this year, they have done worse than most people realize against the better passing teams they have faced. This is especially true in the second half of the season, beating the Saints and Giants by slim three-point margins and then allowing 294, 309, and 325 points in their last three games. If not for an unbelievable first half against Seattle, Carolina might not even be here right now, as the Seahawks went pass-heavy in the second half and outscored the Panthers 24-0. Cardinals have one of the best passing attacks in the entire NFL, and the one thing in common in all three of their losses was turnovers. Arizona committed three turnovers in each of their three losses and two or fewer turnovers in 13 of their 14 victories. Arizona does not need to run in order to win, having three victories while being held to 82 or less yards rushing (including last week vs. Green Bay). Carolina's rush defense is superb, but we don't think Arizona will be committed to running the ball here when they know they can beat the Panthers secondary. On the other side of the ball, Arizona's rush defense is pretty good too, and their active secondary has forced two or more turnovers nine times this year. Panthers have been playing with fire many times down the stretch and have been able to escape almost every time, but against an elite Arizona pass offense we believe their luck runs out. Cardinals have been undervalued by the oddsmaker all season long away from home, going 7-1 straight up and a profitable 6-2 against the pointspread, and a perfect example of that undervalue is Arizona's ATS record in games with a line between +3 and -3. Accounting for different scenarios we have Arizona winning game game every time and we'll back the Cardinals as our 2015-16 NFL Game of the Year! 30* NFL Game of the Year Play on Arizona.

20* Play on New England (-3). We backed the Pats last week in their seven-point win and one-point cover at home vs. the Chiefs. That margin of victory does not accurately portray New England's victory in our opinion, as the Patriots scored a touchdown on their opening drive and held the lead the entire way. In fact, after opening a 14-3 lead early in the second quarter, New England led by at least a touchdown for the rest of the game - allowing a late Kansas City score in garbage time when the outcome was hardly in doubt. We'll back the Patriots on the road to win again and advance to the Super Bowl, once again noting the huge edge in passing offense as they had last week. Peyton Manning did enough to get past a wounded Steelers team last week, but he was hardly the dominant quarterback he's been in the recent past finishing with just 215 yards passing. And Denver's defense - which has been tremendous all season long - showed once again that they can be beat through the air in allowing Big Ben to go for over 300 yards even while missing his top receiving threat. Oddsmakers have set a trap begging for action on the Broncos at home, but we're not biting and we look for a much more reliable New England offense to get the job done. Brady vs. Manning has been one of the best quarterback rivalries the NFL has ever seen, but time has caught up to the Denver quarterback and few would argue Brady is currently the better passer. Pats very good in recent years playing with in-season revenge and while the end of the regular season wasn't great statistically, they were more focused on getting healthy for the postseason (the right call in our opinion). Brady finally has most of his receiving weapons back on the field, and we look for New England to win this one by a surprising margin! 20* NFL "Watch Party" Play on New England.

25* Play on Pittsburgh (+7). While we do like the fact that Denver was able to rest QB Peyton Manning for this playoff run, we don't like the idea of backing Manning against a blitz-heavy defense in cold weather. With the temperatures expected to be in the 30's at kickoff, and given Manning's sub-par play in cold weather throughout his career (even when he was at the top of his game, which he clearly is not anymore), we love getting this many points with a solid Pittsburgh team. Steelers are dealing with injuries, but that is nothing new to this team as they have been dealing with injuries all season long and still found a way to make it this far. Not sure if Pittsburgh can win this game outright (although it wouldn't surprise us if the Steelers were able to come away with an outright victory), but we do look for this game to come down to the wire regardless of who wins and for the Steelers to cover this generous number. Denver's secondary was torched for 354 yards in the only in-season meeting between these teams and they can expect another dose of heavy passing plays this Sunday. Not fair to label Denver's offense as ineffective down the stretch as Manning wasn't playing in those games, but we don't believe the Broncos will all of a sudden become an unstoppable offense now that Manning is back under center. Pittsburgh has the type of pass offense that takes away Denver's strength defensively, which is taking risks and stopping the run. We look for this game to stay close throughout with the Steelers having a chance for an outright win late, and we'll back the Steelers at our highest 25* rating! 25* NFL "King's Ransom" Play on Pittsburgh.

20* Play on Arizona (-7). Packers offense came alive last week against a sub-par Washington defense, scoring 35 points which represents their best scoring output since the third week of the season. Green Bay hasn't really seemed right since the preseason after suffering a number of injuries (including the key loss of WR Jordy Nelson), and injuries to the Packers figure to be a big concern here as WR Adams and CB Shields are both listed as doubtful. Those injuries are even more significant considering the opponent. Arizona has proven to be one of the most formidable passing teams in the league this season, and will no doubt put up big offensive numbers after averaging 31 ppg and 288 passing yards per game on the season. Losing Shields in the secondary only boosts Arizona's matchups in the secondary, and we don't believe Green Bay will be able to do much on the ground against a Cardinals defense that has held four of their last six foes to under 75 yards rushing. That puts a ton of pressure on Packers QB Aaron Rogers, who has the name value as an elite QB but not the stats to back it up this year. Packers have been held to under 275 yards passing in each of their last six games, and while much of that blame can go to injuries in the receiving corps, it doesn't change the fact that Green Bay's passing game is not what it has been in recent years. Arizona just beat these Packers by a blowout 30-point margin a few weeks ago, and while we don't expect another 30+ point margin of victory we would be surprised of Arizona didn't take this game by double-digits! 20* NFL Saturday Night Showdown Play on Arizona.

20* Play on New England (-4.5). We give Kansas City all the credit in the world for making it this far - especially since they lost their main offensive weapon early in the season with RB Jamaal Charles going on the IR back in October. That being said, they face a very bad on-field matchup this week in New England in a contest that we feel the Patriots have a lopsided advantage in the passing game, and we are very comfortable laying the small number with New England expecting the Pats to win this one easily. While Kansas City has used defense and a time of possession type of offensive game plan with a heavy emphasis on their running game and short passes, that is not the formula for success against an elite New England offense. KC didn't get any help with the weather, as the forecast calls for temperatures well above freezing which will not hurt New England's passing game. Both Edelman and Gronkowski are expected to suit up and play for Brady, and we expect both to have significant contributions in the passing game. While Kansas City is very good at stopping the run, the loss of running backs Lewis and Blount turn an already pass-heavy New England offense into an even bigger pass-heavy offense this week, and the Chiefs have been hurt by the better passing teams they've faced this year. Home field advantage is big for NE, going 7-1 straight up here at home and outscoring foes by an average of 14 ppg. Chiefs do not have the type of offense that can get back into the game after falling behind, being held to under 180 yards passing in each of their last six games. Too much offense from the home side and the Chiefs can't run their way back into it! 20* NFL Saturday "Watch Party" Play on New England.

25* Play on Seattle (-4.5). On December 6th, Seattle came here to Minnesota and absolutely crushed the Vikings 38-7. And while that final score is certainly impressive, the box score shows how dominant Seattle really was in that game. Minnesota was held to just 31 yards rushing total (Peterson held to 18 yards on 8 carries) while quarterback Teddy Bridgewater finished with 118 yards passing with no touchdowns and one interception. When taking sacks into account, the Vikings were held to just 94 yards passing. With extremely cold temperatures in the forecast for Sunday's game, that will put a heavier emphasis on the running game for both teams, and we expect Seattle to take this one in a blowout once again. Despite being the road team, Seattle is the biggest favorite on the board this Wild Card weekend, and for good reason. We have noted before how we don't like Bridgewater in cold conditions - going all the way back to his college days at Louisville. Bridgewater is one of the most overrated quarterbacks in the NFL in our opinion, as Minnesota has been held to under 200 yards passing on ten occasions this season. You can get away with low passing numbers when the running game is working, but Seattle has proven they can take the Vikings rushing attack away, which leaves the Vikings with no viable offensive options. Seattle with a ton of momentum going 6-1 both straight up and against the spread heading into this game, and have won each of their last three road games by blowout margins of 30, 29, and 31 points. All signs point to a blowout here and we'll back Seattle at our highest 25* rating to win big! 25* NFL "Black Reign" Play on Seattle.

20* Play on Pittsburgh (-3). We waited to see exactly who was going to play and who was going to sit out before we released this selection, and with Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton not suiting up for this game, we are very comfortable laying the points on the road with the Pittsburgh Steelers to win this game with ease. Bengals have been held under 200 yards passing in all three games McCarron started down the stretch, and Pittsburgh's 33-20 win here in Cincinnati four weeks speaks volumes in terms of how the Steelers will approach this Wild Card matchup. Pittsburgh will be even more pass-heavy than usual on Saturday night, but that fits perfectly into the way Cincinnati defends, as they are susceptible against the pass but very good against the rush. Don't believe the Bengals have enough fire power with Dalton out to stay close or play catch-up in the second half of this game. Bengals have a history of coming up short in the month of January, going just 3-12 against the pointspread in January games long term. Steelers meanwhile have very good history against the Bengals, going 20-5 straight up and 19-6 ATS here in Cincinnati. Big Ben clearly has enough playoff experience and we tend to put a heavier emphasis on quarterback play come playoff time. A Roethlisberger vs. McCarron quarterback matchup can only be viewed as a big edge to the visitor, and we'll back the Steelers to win this one by a comfortable margin! 20* NFL "Watch Party" Play on Pittsburgh.

20* Play on San Francisco (+3.5). Much like our play last week on Atlanta when they upset Carolina, we don't expect this selection on San Francisco to be a popular choice. But we are calling for the 49ers to end their season with an upset victory in a pretty good matchup for the home side. St. Louis has virtually no passing threat whatsoever, instead relying on their running game to move the ball offensively. That style of offense has resulted in low numbers of 15 ppg scored on just 280 yards of total offense on average for the Rams in their road games this year. 49ers are underrated in terms of rush defense - especially here at home where they are only giving up 92 rushing yards per game on a low 3.3 yards per carry. Teams with bad records like the 49ers have their rushing numbers (against) skewed since teams tend to run out the clock in the fourth quarter. Rams have scored at least 21 points in each of their last three games, but their offensive statistics don't support that type of scoring and we don't believe they can sustain that type of production one more week. Another big factor to consider is the Rams massive letdown spot after shocking Seattle last week as a 10.5-point road underdog. That's the second time this year they've upset Seattle, and after the first one they came back on the road the next week to lose by two touchdowns against (at the time) a bad Washington team - scoring just 10 points on 213 yards of total offense. Rams are 0-6 ATS after a division win and also 0-6 ATS after a win by points or less. 49ers take this one outright! 20* NFL Underdog of the Month Play on San Francisco.

20* Play on Buffalo (+3). The only justification for this line is New York "needing to win" this game, and thus the average sports bettor believes the Jets will play harder to secure their playoff spot. We never understood that rationale, as it not only implies that teams don't try hard to win in the rest of their games, and it also ignores any motivational factors of the opponent. Buffalo already beat the Jets on the road this season - holding New York to just 280 total yards - and if anything they would love nothing more to spoil a division rival's playoff chances. New York is in a bad motivational spot here - coming off their biggest win of the season when they beat the Patriots in overtime last week, and that sets up an obvious letdown situation this Sunday. We don't trust the Jets on the road, and going over their last four road games we find they have unimpressive three-point wins against a pair of bad NFC East teams (Giants, Cowboys) as well as outright losses as favorites against Houston and Oakland, with both of those defeats coming by at least a touchdown. Buffalo does not come off as a team that has given up despite being eliminated from playoff contention, and they have been especially good on the ground going for 240 and 236 yards the last two weeks. Buffalo wins this one outright! 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Buffalo.

20* Play on Atlanta (-5.5). We backed the Falcons last week in their outright win against the Panthers, and we'll back them again this Sunday in another big revenge spot - this time against the New Orleans Saints. Atlanta became the first team to knock off Carolina last Sunday, which can only be viewed as a confidence building victory for a team that has been a huge disappointment in the second half of the season. Falcons started the year with a fast 5-0 record, but then lost as a three-point favorite in New Orleans (despite out-gaining the Saints overall) and they never recovered. Normally, coming off a big win against the Panthers would have us looking to fade that team the following week, as that is a textbook "letdown" spot. However, we believe Atlanta has had this game circled for weeks as the Saints are the team that broke their momentum and thus ruined their season. Atlanta's passing game has worked out the kinks they had in their mid-season flop, and more importantly they have stopped turning the ball over which has really been the main cause for their dysfunction. New Orleans is being outscored by 11 ppg on the road this season (2-5 straight up) and are one of the worst defenses in the league allowing 31 points per game. No real motivation for the Saints this week - playing on the road with nothing on the line and we don't expect much fight if and when they fall behind early. Falcons have covered three straight on this field in this series, and they make it four in a row with a blowout win Sunday! 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Atlanta.

20* Play on Washington (+4). Absolutely no reason for Dallas to be favored in this game, missing both QB Tony Romo and WR Dez Bryant. We understand they are the home team but Dallas is just 1-5 SU and ATS at home this season and that lone SU victory came in their season-opener with a healthy roster. Washington has won three straight - all while being listed as the underdog - and we expect the streak to continue with another outright victory here. Redskins can't improve their playoff positioning, but are in desperate need to build confidence and momentum heading into the playoffs. Washington is unlike any other playoff team in the NFC - they don't have history (Green Bay, Seattle) or a great record (Carolina, Arizona) to fall back on once the playoffs start - they really do need to build confidence on this team that was under .500 just a few weeks ago. Cowboys scored just six points last week at Buffalo and barely reached 300 total yards offensively. No reason for Dallas to play any differently this week, and if anything we believe the Cowboys have already given up and are just waiting for the end of the season to finally come. Washington is the far better offensive club and should be motivated by this pointspread. Redskins take this one outright! 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Washington.

25* Play on Houston (-6.5). Texans have been one of the most underrated teams in the entire NFL in the second half of the season, and come into this home game against Jacksonville 6-2 both straight up and ATS in their last eight games - three of those victories coming outright while listed as underdogs. Houston can clinch a playoff spot with a win here at home (Colts can still reach the playoffs if about 8 NFL results fall their way), and we expect the Texans to come through with a blowout win and cover against a disinterested Jacksonville side. Houston gets a huge motivational boost with the return of QB Brian Hoyer, who is their best option at the position in our opinion. Almost as important as getting Hoyer back, Houston's running game has come alive lately with 120+ yards rushing in five of their last six games overall. That legit rushing threat combined with their stellar rush defense give Houston a great matchup advantage against most weaker and average NFL foes - which is why they've been so good the last two months. Jacksonville is just 2-6 on the road this year giving up 33 points per game. All the momentum, confidence, and motivation lies with the home side here, and this game will be played in front of a Houston crowd that is eagerly waiting to celebrate a playoff berth. All statistical and motivational evidence points to a blowout win by the home side, and we'll back Houston at our highest 25* rating to win and cover with ease! 25* NFL "King's Ransom" Play on Houston.

20* Play on Oregon (-7). TCU was already going to have problems competing against an elite offensive Oregon team as their star WR Josh Doctson was out, but with quarterback Trevone Boykin now missing this game as well we don't give the Horned Frogs any chance of keeping up with the Ducks on the scoreboard. When injuries were piling up TCU went just 2-2 in their last four games, but more importantly their scoring average fell significantly in that time, being held to under 30 points in all four of those contents (after scoring 40+ points in seven straight). Oregon has been just the opposite, with their offense getting stronger as the season wore on and they come into this game riding a six-game winning streak while putting up 38+ points in each of their last five. Neither side is particularly good defensively, which puts all the pressure on both teams offenses to carry their team to victory. And with TCU missing their top QB and top WR, they simply aren't equipped to hang around in this one. Ducks take it in a blowout! 20* CFB "Watch Party" Play on Oregon.

25* Play on Mississippi vs. Oklahoma State Over (68). Love the Over in this Sugar Bowl matchup featuring a pair of teams that are averaging over 40 points per game each. Ole Miss comes in scoring just over 40 ppg, and that came while playing against a very tough SEC schedule. Oklahoma State's schedule was not nearly as tough (in terms of quality defenses faced), but they are similar to the other offensive juggernauts in the Big 12 Conference where offense is everything and defense is an afterthought (similar to Texas Tech and Baylor). And with both teams employing pass-heavy play calling, we expect this game to sail over the total either late in the third quarter or early in the fourth. This game falls into several of our College Bowl Over systems, and in the same family of systems we used this postseason when we played over in the Duke vs. Indiana game (went over by 12 points) as well as the over in the Baylor vs. UNC game (went over by 13 points). And while we can't reveal the exact specifics of our system, we can tell you that it involves playing over the total on certain teams in games with high totals. Cowboys have gone over the total in five straight games despite three of those totals being higher than 75 points. Both offenses match up very well statistically and we expect an old fashioned shootout with a very high combined point margin! 25* CFB System Total of the Year on Mississippi vs. Oklahoma State Over.

20* Play on Iowa vs. Stanford Under (54.5). While we do like both defenses in this game, the main reason we are backing the Under in the Rose Bowl is due to expected play-calling. Both Iowa and Stanford are rush-heavy offenses and that will result in the clock continuously moving - leading to fewer total possessions. Stanford finished with just 13 pass attempts total in their Pac 12 Championship Game victory against USC - the fifth time this season they've had fewer than 20 pass attempts in a game. Iowa has an 8-5 rush-to-pass ratio on the season, and the majority of those pass attempts come out of play-action after already establishing the run. Defensively these teams are very good in terms of points allowed, and even average scoring numbers (defensively) would result in this Under play cashing by double-digits. Again, game pace and a heavy number of running plays is the key here, and we fully expect both sides to mirror each other offensively. This type of matchup tends to result in head coaches playing extremely conservative at the start, and while we do expect some points to be scored in the second half when the defenses start to wear out, it will be too little, too late as this one falls well short of the posted total. 20* CFB "Total Eclipse" Play on Iowa vs. Stanford Under.

20* Play on Michigan (-3.5). Florida Gators have been overrated for the better part of the season, and were finally exposed down the stretch with ugly wins against Vanderbilt and Florida Atlantic, followed by blowout losses against Florida State and Alabama to close the year. Gators defense is well above average, but their offense is flat out awful, and they were held to just 17 points combined in those two season-ending losses against the Seminoles and Crimson Tide. They face another very good defensive side on New Year's Day as Michigan comes in allowing just 17 points per game and have already pitched three shutouts this season. Wolverines have shown massive improvement since the start of the season - a direct result of coach Harbaugh's influence in his first season at Ann Arbor, and we expect even more improvement with the long preparation break in between this bowl game and the end of the regular season. Don't believe Florida will be able to score more than 10 points in this game (outside of any defensive scores) and we'll gladly lay this small number with the Wolverines. Michigan will have trouble running the ball early, but with an expected big edge in time of possession the Wolverines will be able to wear down the Florida defense and have a big second half. Gators confidence has been dwindling the entire second half of the season and once they fall behind we don't believe they'll be able to catch up! 20* CFB "Early Equation" Play on Michigan.

25* Play on Ohio State (-5.5). Buckeyes won't have a chance to repeat as National Champions but have earned a quality bowl berth and will face Notre Dame in the Fiesta Bowl. This is a kind location for the Buckeyes, who won a National Championship here against Miami FL back in the Jim Tressel era. We'll back the Buckeyes, who we still consider to be one of the top teams in the country and also the best team in the Big Ten (despite Michigan State representing the conference yesterday). Don't like Notre Dame's chances of slowing down Ohio State's offense, who has really only been contained once and that was in unfavorable weather conditions (at home vs. Michigan State). Fighting Irish had a good-looking schedule at the start of the year but ended up playing teams in down seasons (USC for example), and they lost against the two best opponents they faced (Stanford, Clemson). Ohio State's defense is one of the best in the country allowing 14 ppg and just over 300 total yards per game. Notre Dame won't be able to do anything on the ground and the Buckeyes secondary is skilled enough to play one-on-one, freeing up safeties and linebackers to get pressure on the quarterback. Notre Dame's rush defense has been susceptible (which Stanford was able to take advantage of) and plays into Ohio State's offensive game plan perfectly. This could be the biggest blowout on the board today and we'll back Ohio State at our highest 25* rating to cover this number with ease! 25* CFB "Black Reign" Play on Ohio State.

20* Play on Michigan State (+10). This is a very similar situation for Alabama, who was in this same spot last year in the CFP Semifinals. The Crimson Tide were a big favorite against the Big Ten Champion and nobody game OSU a chance of winning that game. We all know the Buckeyes crushed Alabama and went on to win the National Championship. Similar matchup for Alabama here, and while the Crimson Tide outright victory seems likely, a Michigan State upset wouldn't really be surprising to us. MSU came out of what we consider to be the best conference in College Football this year, and did so by playing outstanding defense and mistake-free offense. They completely shut down Ohio State's running game, which we consider to be better than Alabama's. Remember, the SEC has been down as a whole this season, with only Alabama being what we consider to be an elite team. This MSU rush defense will by far be the toughest challenge for Alabama's offense to date, and we are not sold on their passing game. On the other side of the ball, MSU will also have a tough time running the ball, but we are more than confident in Connor Cook's ability to beat Alabama through the air. That secondary is the lone weakness on Alabama's defense that the SEC hasn't been able to properly take advantage of (outside of Ole' Miss early on the year). Far too many points for Alabama to be laying against a quality conference champion and we'll back Michigan State looking for the Spartans to at least have a chance at an outright win late in the game! 20* CFB Playoffs "Watch Party" Play on Michigan State.

30* Play on Oklahoma (-3.5). We've been patiently waiting since the College Football pairings were announced to jump on the Sooners in this game, and we fully believe they will not only win and cover this small number, but win in a blowout. Clemson is deserving of their #1 ranking, but they are not at all the best team in the country. In fact, we rate them as the worst team of the Top Four. Clemson comes out an awful ACC Conference, and after successfully fading both North Carolina and NC State the last few days in blowout losses, we are now more certain than ever the Tigers are extremely overrated. It's very telling that the linesmaker has Oklahoma favored by this margin against the #1 team in the country, which lends credence to our ratings. Sooners run and pass very well and we're not convinced Clemson can stop either of those two attacks. Oklahoma has faced a much tougher schedule and is peaking at the right time - much like Ohio State did last year en route to a National Championship. Clemson's passing game is for real, but Oklahoma has seen much better passing teams in the Big 12 this year and beat them all with relative ease (Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech). Another big factor is Clemson's play away from home, where they have looked far from unbeatable. They barely got past Louisville by three points, and then again at South Carolina by five points. The same North Carolina team that was blown out by Baylor a few days ago played Clemson very tough in the ACC Championship Game, and honestly the Tar Heels were robbed by an awful offsides call at the end of the game when they recovered an onside kick and were set up to make a potential game-tying touchdown drive. All statistical evidence points to an Oklahoma blowout victory, and when factoring in strength of conference to those statistics we like the Sooners even more! 30* 2015-16 CFB Game of the Year Play on Oklahoma.

20* Play on USC (-3.5). Big Ten and Pac 12 square off in the Holiday Bowl with a couple of good (not great) teams in Wisconsin and USC. We are high on the Big Ten overall this year but not so much on Wisconsin, who's 9-3 record suggests a strong team but they had the great benefit of missing Big Ten powers Michigan, Michigan State,and Ohio State this year. In fact, with losses against Iowa and Northwestern, the Badgers don't own a single victory against a Big Ten team with an overall winning record. Badgers don't have the same type of dominant rushing game they had in recent years, and still lack a credible passing game with a low 229 passing yards per game average. That lack of a passing game negates USC's biggest weakness, which is their secondary, and we're not at all convinced the Badgers will be able to rush the ball on this USC defense. On the other side of the ball, USC's balanced offense should find success against an overrated Wisconsin defense that has been largely untested this season. Wisconsin is only allowing 13 ppg which is why this line is as low as it is, but that speaks more to the quality of competition they have faced this year. Trojans more than capable of exploding offensively having four games with 40 or more points scored. We have much more faith in USC's chances of reaching the end zone on a regular basis and believe Wisconsin is in real trouble if and when they fall behind. Finally, we find the Trojans at a near-perfect 11-1 against the spread following an outright loss, and we look for USC to win this game by a surprising margin! 20* CFB Wednesday "Watch Party" Play on USC.

25* Play on Mississippi State (-6). This is almost entirely a play "against" NC State more than it is "on" Mississippi State, as the Wolfpack have zero quality wins in our eyes and are one of the most unworthy bowl teams this season. After playing a non-conference schedule that would make Baylor envious (Troy, Eastern Kentucky, Old Dominion and South Alabama), they did absolutely nothing against the better teams in an awful ACC Conference this year. Their three conference victories came against Wake Forest, Boston College, and Syracuse - three teams that have a combined three conference victories this season. All five of their losses came by at least a touchdown, and the two good opponents they faced this year (Clemson and North Carolina) they gave up a combined 101 points to. Mississippi State has the type of balanced offense that will give NC State fits and quite honestly we expect this game to get out of hand quickly. We have been down on the SEC this year but the ACC has by far been the worst conference in football, and NC State showed they couldn't compete at that level. No way they can stay close to this Bulldogs offense and we expect this one to be decided in blowout fashion! 25* CFB Wednesday "King's Ransom" Play on Mississippi State.

20* Play on Auburn (-3). The Auburn Tigers have had a dreadful season, starting with a preseason ranking in the Top Ten but finished the year with a 6-6 overall record. And while Auburn has had more than their fair share of problems, we think they match up pretty well in this game against Memphis. Memphis has had a very good year with more than a few breaks go their way, however they stumbled down the stretch losing a ton of confidence and momentum with a three-game losing streak just prior to their final game of the season. Two of those three losses showed the way to beat Memphis, as both Navy and Temple ran all over them and not only scored points on the ground, but also kept the Memphis offense off the field. Auburn can duplicate that type of game plan and while they certainly didn't envision themselves in this bowl game at the start of the season, they do have motivation to play well here and avoid a losing season. This line appears to be somewhat of a trap, with the linesmaker fully expecting the bulk of the action to come in on the underdog. We're not biting, and instead look for Auburn's massive edge in the running game to slow this game down and grind out a tough-fought win and cover! 20* CFB Wednesday "Early Equation" Play on Auburn.

25* Play on LSU (-7). Texas Tech has had the luxury of playing in the Big 12 Conference, where offense is everything and defense is an afterthought. And they have succeeded in that environment, as their offense is built to "out-score" other teams. They have three victories this season where they have allowed 44 or more points. But we don't like the matchup of their "offense-only" style of play against a solid LSU team, even though the Tigers fell apart late in the season. LSU is a rush heavy offense that struggled when defenses were forcing them to throw the ball. They won't need to throw the ball in this game as Texas Tech is giving up 275 rushing yards per game on a whopping 6 yards per carry, and that comes in a pass-heavy conference. When the Red Raiders can't stop the run, their opponent is able to slow the pace down and have a huge edge in time of possession, and that's exactly what we expect to happen here. The best defense Texas Tech faced this season was Oklahoma, and the Sooners had no problem winning big in a 63-27 blowout. LSU is comparable to the Sooners defensively, and they will be able to at least contain Texas Tech in this matchup (although we concede Texas Tech will put up some points). We're not calling for a 36-point margin of victory here, but we would be shocked if the Tigers didn't win this game by double-digits and we'll back LSU at our highest 25* rating! 25* CFB "Black Reign" Play on LSU.

20* Play on Baylor (+3). Bears went from a 2.5-point favorite all the way to a medium-sized underdog in this Russell Athletic Bowl thanks to injuries - most notably the doubtful playing status of backup QB Jarrett Stidham. That means Chris Johnson will get the start under center for Baylor, and we have complete faith in the Baylor offense with Johnson running the show Johnson doesn't have great numbers this year, but he's really only had one game to himself that that was in horrid weather conditions (against TCU). The expected weather forecast for this game (mid-80's, only a 10% chance of rain) leads us to believe Johnson will be just find running this Baylor offense, and after laying an egg in their season finale against Texas (Johnson left that game after just four pass attempts) we expect Baylor to come out and play angry in this game. UNC was the second best team in a very bad conference, and while their offense is formidable their defense is going to get torched here. Tar Heels have not faced an offense like Baylor's (we view Baylor's offense to be better than even #1 Clemson) and to be honest we would be shocked if Baylor had to send their punt unit out more than once all game long. This is a bad matchup for North Carolina and the exact type of game Baylor likes - with both offenses being the deciding factor in the game. Against a different type of opponent we likely would have backed UNC, but not in this game and we look for Baylor to win this one outright by a comfortable margin! 20* CFB Bowl "Watch Party" Play on Baylor.

20* Play on Baylor vs. North Carolina Over (68.5). We have a few CFB Bowl "Over" systems active in this game, very similar to our "Secret System" winner on the Over in the Duke vs. Indiana game a few days ago. But aside from the systems, this game features a pair of dynamic offenses against weaker defenses - specifically weak pass defenses. Baylor will have Chris Johnson get the start at quarterback after losing their top two quarterbacks to injury earlier this season. Baylor is a "system offense", however, and their offense is far less dependent on a quarterback than most other teams. Johnson doesn't have great numbers, but that is due to the horrible weather in the one game he saw the bulk of the action in vs. TCU. Johnson will have far better weather conditions in this game (mid 80's, 10% chance of rain) and we don't have any reservations expecting Baylor's passing game to succeed behind Johnson against a UNC defense that has given up big passing yardage despite playing a schedule that really doesn't feature elite passing offenses. These two teams are two of the best offenses in the country, and even average scoring outputs by both teams (Baylor puts up 48 ppg, UNC puts up 41 ppg) would see this game go well over the posted total. This number is far too low and is based on Baylor's injuries, but we expect the Bears offense to be just fine and we expect this game to sail over the total with plenty of time to spare! 20* CFB "Total Eclipse" Play on Baylor vs. North Carolina Over.

25* Play on Cincinnati (+3). Both teams will have their backup quarterbacks starting in this pivotal game, and while we've backed Denver behind Osweiler before, we don't like this matchup against a Cincinnati team that is extremely difficult to run on. Osweiler had been able to manage the offense while relying on their running game, but now teams are forcing Denver to throw the ball and they haven't been able to step up to the challenge. The biggest evidence of this is Denver's second half offense, which has not scored a single point in three straight games (outscored 36-0 in the last three second halves). AJ McCarron gets the start in place of an injured Andy Dalton, and he looked good last week in an easy win and cover against the 49ers. Obvious, facing this Denver defense is a much tougher task for the Bengals, but we have much more faith in McCarron passing the ball than we do with Denver. Broncos have lost back-to-back games against Oakland (at home) and Pittsburgh (on the road) and their confidence is clearly evaporating. Bengals are very confident on the road going 6-1 straight up, with that lone loss coming by just three points against a very good Arizona team. In fact, the Bengals have covered the spread in all seven of their road games this season. Not applicable to judge these offenses based on season stats as the loss of Manning and Dalton make those season-long statistics moot. Denver is widely considered the best defense in the league, but Cincinnati is actually giving up fewer ppg defensively than the Broncos, and their biggest weakness (secondary) is an area where we're not sure Denver can take advantage of. Not only does Cincinnati cover this number, but we look for them to win this game outright! 25* NFL "Black Reign" Play on Cincinnati.

20* Play on Navy (-3). This is a true home game for Navy, who has gone 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS in home games this season. Pittsburgh has also done very well on the road this year, going 5-1 both SU and ATS in their six road games. We very much like Navy in this contest, however, noting the favorable on-field matchup on both sides of the ball, particularly in the running game. Navy's triple-option rushing attack has worked very well against everyone they've faced, and we expect similar success against the Panthers. Pitt did play on triple-option team this year, when they beat Georgia Tech by three points on the road back in mid-October. And while the Panthers were able to win that game against a down Georgia Tech team, the Yellow Jackets managed to put up 376 yards rushing (and another 106 yards through in the air) - out-gaining Pittsburgh by almost 100 total yards in that contest. On the other side of the ball, Navy's rush defense is very good, and we're not convinced Pitt is good enough to beat them through the air. Navy's two losses this team came against elite offenses in Notre Dame and Houston, and the Panthers are not close to that level of offense. Playing at home will be a boost to this Navy side, and they are playing with extreme confidence after already reaching double-digits in victories before this game kicks off. Pitt has done well away from home but this will be the toughest road opponent they will have faced this year, and we look for Navy to gain control of this one early and cruise to an easy win and cover! 20* CFB Bowl "Early Equation" Play on Navy.

25* Play on Arizona (-5.5). Packers have had their troubles in the second half of the season, and while they enter this game winners of three in a row, the stats tell a different story. Two of those wins came against Detroit and Oakland on the road, where their win against the Lions was thanks to a Haily Mary at the end of the game, and the Raiders actually out-rushed and out-passed the Packers in that game. Now Green Bay travels to Arizona to take on one of the best teams in the league and a very formidable Cardinals offense. Not convinced Packers will be able to "will" themselves to victory - they'll have to earn it on the field. Nobody has been able to put up any meaningful rushing numbers on the Cardinals defense this season, and the loss of WR Jordy Nelson in the preseason has left a big hole in the Packers receiving corps that has resulted in the Packers passing attack being far less effective this year than in previous seasons. Arizona is scoring 12 ppg more than they are allowing on the season, and we fully expect them to win this game with surprising ease. 25* NFL "King's Ransom" Play on Arizona.

20* Play on Atlanta (+7). Panthers are 14-0 and have already clinched their division as well as a first round bye. And while Carolina has literally been unbeatable this season, we think this is a perfect situation for their first outright loss. Panthers have been shaky in their last two road games - against teams with losing records - beating both the Saints and Giants by slim three-point margins. Add in the doubtful playing status of RB Jonathan Stewart to this road divisional rivalry game, and the chances of Atlanta not only covering this big spread but scoring an outright upset win is pretty good. Falcons have been playing far below their potential in the second half of the season, but they finally stopped the bleeding with a win last Sunday - ending a long six-game losing skid and an even longer nine-game ATS losing streak. They do have the type of passing offense that can score against the Panthers - something both the Giants and Saints were able to do when they nearly pulled upsets on their home fields. And while Carolina just shut out these Falcons 38-0 two weeks ago, that lopsided score will have the Falcons in a big revenge spot from that embarrassing loss. We know this won't be a popular play, but that just proves how much line value we are getting here, with the average sports bettor all over the undefeated Panthers this Sunday. 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Atlanta.

20* Play on Buffalo (-6). We've faded the Cowboys a number of times this season as their offense has been simply dreadful without QB Tony Romo under center, and we'll go back to the well one more time this Sunday as the Cowboys visit Buffalo. Bills offense gas been pretty consistent in the second half of the year, scoring at least 20 points in eight of their last nine games. We think 20 points again this week is more than enough to cover this number. Cowboys were held to 16 points last week - the fourth consecutive game Dallas failed to reach the 20-point plateau. Whatever confidence and Dallas had last week is now gone as their slim playoff hopes were evaporated, and reality has now set in on this four-win team. Turnovers have also been a big problem for Dallas this year - not a big surprise considering their quarterback issues, and this is exactly the type of motivational spot (on the road, eliminated from playoff contention, and near the end of the season) where focus begins to be an issue - leading to even more turnovers. Bills rushing offense matches up very favorably against a Cowboys team that gave up 230 yards on the ground in their previous road game (Green Bay), and we fully expect Buffalo to have a big edge in time of possession as a direct result. Bills dominate the ground game and pull away in the second half to an easy win and cover! 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Buffalo.

20* Play on Houston (-3.5). Even with Brian Hoyer out and Brandon Weeden getting the start for the Texans, we really like their chances of winning easily this Sunday on the road at Tennessee. Texans beat the Colts in Indy last week, so a win here coupled with a Colts loss will have Houston secure the division and a postseason berth. Weeden went 11-18 for 105 yards and a touchdown (no interceptions) after he came in late and won that game for Houston, which is a huge confidence boost for the quarterback who was cut from Dallas earlier this year. He'll face an extremely weak secondary this week, as Tennessee has been continuously torched through the air all season long, and this defense has zero confidence after allowing 30+ points in each of their last three games. Houston had no problem beating Tennessee in the first matchup this season, winning 20-6 at home (as a 3.5-point favorite) and setting a franchise record as they sacked Zach Mettenberger seven times in that victory. Titans only managed 211 yards of offense total in that game, and Mettenberger will get the start again in this game with Mariota still out. Tennessee actually has every motivation to lose this game, as they are currently slated for the #1 overall pick on the NFL draft as long as they lose their last two. Everything points to an easy Houston win, based on the stats from the first matchup and the differing motivational factors for both sides. Also, with Weeden under center we are getting great line value, and we'll lay the small price expecting Houston to win and cover easily! 20* NFL "3-Game Power Pack" Play on Houston.

20* Play on Washington vs. Philadelphia Over (48.5). Both of these teams control their destiny for an NFC East Division crown and a spot in the playoffs despite their records falling well short of the top teams in the conference, and with that playoff appearance on the line we fully expect both teams to come out and play extremely well. What we mean by that statement is that we expect both offenses to come out and play extremely well, as both teams feature defenses that have not been good this year - especially in their secondary, and both offenses feature on-field matchups that heavily favor these teams reaching the end zone numerous times. Washington is giving up over 30 ppg on the road, and while their road offensive numbers aren't great in terms of points scored, they face a Philly stop unit on Saturday night that has given up at least 28 points in four of their last five games. Redskins passing game has vastly improved in the second half of the season and we expect the passing game to be heavily featured in this matchup. Eagles offense has also dramatically improved of late, and the demotion of RB Murray has led to a more typical "Chip Kelly" offensive style that has picked up the pace in between downs and now features more screen plays. We have no idea who will win this game outright and we believe both teams have a pretty even chance of taking this game outright, however, we do believe no matter which team wins this game will fly over the total! 20* NFL "Total Eclipse" Play on Washington vs. Philadelphia Over.

20* Play on Indiana vs. Duke Over (71.5). While we can't reveal the exact specifics of our "Secret System", we can tell you that it involves playing over the total on certain teams in game with a high total. The linesmaker expects both Indiana and Duke to put up big offensive numbers and have set a high total over 70 points in this game. While that is certainly a high number compared to average totals in college football games, this number is not nearly high enough and we wouldn't be shocked to see a combined score of 90 points or higher. And while both teams employ very good offenses that also run at a fast tempo, it's the poor defenses involved that really make us like this play. Hoosiers finished the year with six consecutive Overs while Duke went over the total in five of their last six games overall. Blue Devils defensive numbers look much better than they should thanks to playing an incredibly weak schedule. The best team they faced by far was North Carolina, who put up 66 points on Duke. Indiana's defense is also very bad, and their weak secondary will definitely be in for a long day in this matchup. Hoosiers offense is very explosive, however, and has been getting better as the season has gone on, putting up 41, 47, and 54 points in their last three games. We would be surprised if both teams didn't reach at least 40 points each at a minimum, and expect this game to sail over the total early in the fourth quarter! 20* CFB "Secret System" Play on Indiana vs. Duke Over.

20* Play on Washington State (-2.5). While both of these teams come into this game with identical 8-4 records, we view Washington State as a team on the rise and that record came in a much tougher Pac 12 Conference than Miami's ACC. Washington State has been a bad team for quite a while, but head coach Mike Leach has now had a few years at Washington State to implement his offense and things are looking bright for the Cougars. WSU has quality wins against Oregon, Arizona, and UCLA - all on the road - as well as Arizona State and home and nearly upset Stanford as well (lost by just two points). On the other side, the Hurricanes couldn't keep up with the quality foes they faced, and the top two teams in the conference completely destroyed Miami as the Hurricanes lost to Clemson and North Carolina by a combined 96 points! WSU's passing offense has put up big yardage on everyone they've faced, and while their running game is suspect this Miami rush defense hasn't stopped a single FBS team all year long. Not nearly as much confidence in Miami's offense as we have in WSU's, and in fact the Hurricanes are in a horrible motivational spot after losing their head coach. Mike Leach was named Coach of the Year in the Pac 12 and he finishes strong as the Cougars win this one going away! 20* CFB "Early Equation" Play on Washington State.

20* Play on Oakland (-5.5). While both of these teams don't have any hope for playoff contention, we do like the way Oakland has played this season, and they are still playing for a confidence-boosting .500 record. Raiders won by a comfortable eight-point margin the first time these teams met up - with that Oakland victory coming as a 3.5-point road underdog. This is only the second time all season Oakland will take their home field as the favorite, and we expect them to dominate this game from beginning to end. Raiders proved they are playing hard to the end in their outright win at Denver two weeks ago, and while San Diego was also victorious last week they have yet to win back-to-back games all season long. Chargers just 1-5 away from home this season being outscored by an average of 6 ppg in those road contests, and they have been wildly inconsistent on offense of late. In their last five games, they have either been held to just three points total (three times) or reached 30 (scored 30 points last week and 31 points vs. Jacksonville). Don't believe we'll see the "good" Chargers offense here noting Oakland hasn't allowed a 300-yard passing effort in six straight games, and the Chargers rush offense has been horrible all year long. Also, the Chargers are 0-3 both straight up and ATS after exploding for 30+ points in their previous game this season. Raiders have the big motivational edge, the obvious confidence after already beating them handily on the road earlier this season, and the matchup advantages on both sides of the ball. All adds up to an easy win and cover by the home side Thursday night! 20* NFL Thursday Night Thunder Play on Oakland.

20* Play on Western Michigan (-4.5). The Mid American Conference has looked good so far, with Ohio U staying within two points of Appalachian State (covered as a seven-point underdog), and outright underdog victories by both Akron (+7 vs. Utah State) and Toledo (beat #24 Temple by 15 points as a two-point underdog). (Note: this handicapping report was written prior to Wednesday's games.) We are going to back the MAC on Thursday afternoon at an early Noon ET kickoff as we love the value we are getting with a vastly underrated WMU squad. Broncos are 7-5 on the season, but a closer look at the schedule reveals they went through an incredibly tough road to get here. Two of those five losses came against Michigan State and Ohio State - two of the powers of the Big Ten (as well as nationally) and Western Michigan covered the spread in both of those games. The other three losses came against fellow bowl teams Georgia Southern, as well as the top two teams in the MAC - Bowling Green and Northern Illinois. Not one bad loss for Western Michigan in that list, and they do have confidence after upsetting 35-30 on the road to close the regular season. Middle Tennessee State played a far easier schedule, and while we admit their offense will do some damage in this game, we believe Western Michigan's offense will have a far easier time. Added benefit of watching fellow MAC squad Akron win their first-eve bowl game will have this team extra motivated as they, too, have never won a bowl game in their program's history. They did play in a bowl game last year, so they aren't "just happy to be here" as the saying goes. This time they win! 20* CFB Thursday "High Noon Showdown" Play on Western Michigan.

20* Play on Bowling Green (-7). Two completely different offensive styles clash on Wednesday night as triple-option Georgia Southern takes on up-tempo, spread attack Bowling Green in the GoDaddy.com Bowl. We love backing triple-option teams under the right circumstances, but this is not one of them and instead we'll lay the points with the Falcons. Georgia Southern will gain some yardage and find the endzone a few times here, but Bowling Green's main weakness defensively is the secondary and the Eagles offense isn't built to take advantage. On the other side of the ball, Bowling Green is averaging 43 points per game and has scored on everyone they've faced (minimum of 28 points scored this year). Even more impressive is how they have played away from home, going 7-1 straight up with road wins against Maryland and Purdue from the Big Ten, a 14-point win against a rush-heavy Western Michigan team, and a 20-point win vs. Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship Game. BG had a much tougher overall schedule than the Eagles and still are the better team statistically. Falcons have yet to show mercy at any point this year with eight double-digit victories, and we fully expect another double-digit win and cover on Wednesday night by the better team! 20* CFB Bowl "Watch Party" Play on Bowling Green.

20* Play on Boise State (-7.5). While we do like with Northern Illinois did in an underrated MAC Conference this season, the simple fact that the Huskies have not played well since quarterback Drew Hare was lost for the season with injury leads us to believe they won't be able to hang with a very good offensive Boise State team. Broncos are not near the same caliber of when this program was at it's peak a few years ago, but they are still putting up 38 points per game and their balanced offensive attack matches up very well against this Northern Illinois defense. Huskies lost their last two games of the season - an outright home loss vs. Ohio U as a big 11-point favorite and then a 20-point loss against Bowling Green on a neutral field in the MAC Championship Game. Huskies gave up well over 200 yards rushing in both of those losses and their secondary has really been their main weakness on either side of the ball all year long, so Boise State should be able to hit their scoring average of upper-30's in this contest. On the other side of the ball, UNI's offense has really fallen off since Hare went down, with the passing game losing much of it's credibility and defenses bringing up more players to stop the run as a result, which has obviously led to their running game being far less effective. Under different circumstances we may have looked to back the Huskies in this matchup, but with Hare still out we very much like the Broncos and their highly favorable offensive advantage. 20* CFB Bowl "Early Equation" Winner on Boise State.

25* Play on Pittsburgh (-6.5). Linesmakers have set a trap with this line and are begging for action the visitor, but we know better and we'll lay the points with Pittsburgh at home at our highest 25* rating. Steelers are battling for their playoff lives but are treated with much respect by the sportsbooks - in fact they are the second choice to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl behind New England despite not even being a playoff team based on current standings. That speaks volumes about where Pittsburgh stands with Big Ben back under center, and if last week's 13-point road win at playoff-bound Cincinnati was any indication, this team is poised for a big late-season push. Broncos offense was stymied in the second half and lost outright at home against Oakland last week, a huge loss in confidence for this team that is still missing QB Peyton Manning and the Broncos were unable to find the end zone for the duration of that game. Much tougher defense here and Oakland proved that if Denver can't run the ball, QB Brock Osweiler isn't going to lead the team down the field through the air. Pittsburgh has now covered the spread in each of their last December games and have all the motivation in the world here at home to win big and move into a playoff spot. 25* NFL "Clash of the Titans" Play on Pittsburgh.

20* Play on NY Jets vs. Dallas Under (41.5). We can't possibly back Dallas without Tony Romo and we don't like backing the Jets on the road where they offense becomes inconsistent, however, we do like the Under in this matchup. The betting public agrees, knocking this total down from the opening number and we'll go with the public here looking for both teams to be held to under 20 points each. Dallas is a mess offensively without Romo, and while the NFC East has been up for grabs since the start of the season, we believe the Cowboys latest defeat - a 28-7 whipping at Green Bay - took away any motivation that was left on this roster. Cowboys offense has scored less than 20 points in three straight games and now faces a Jets defense that is extremely good against the run and will force Dallas to beat them through the air - something the Cowboys can no longer accomplish without Romo under center. On the other side, the Cowboys secondary is underrated allowing just one 300-yard passing game against them all season long. Cowboys are 7-1 Under this season coming off an ATS loss, and we look for that streak to continue as this one stays well under the posted total. 20* NFL Saturday "Total Eclipse" Play on NY Jets vs. Dallas Under.

20* Play on Utah (-2.5). Utes have been kind to us this year both when we have backed them (Oregon) and faded them (USC), and we'll go ahead and back Utah on Saturday to get to ten wins on the season in the Las Vegas Bowl against BYU. Favorable on-field matchup for the Utes against a BYU team that lost their starting quarterback early in the season. Cougars have done well to win nine games themselves and their passing game hasn't dropped off much after losing starting quarterback Taysom Hill, but Hill's ability to rush the ball was a big loss for the BYU offense. No surprise that BYU lost both games against the better rush defenses they faced - getting shut out against Michigan and then falling to Missouri. Utah's rush defense is underrated and the statistical matchup between these two defenses does not portray an accurate picture since Utah faced a much better slate of competitors in the Pac 12. Utah lost momentum in the second half of the season after losing their first game of the season at USC (was ranked #3 in the country heading into that game) but the extra time off and a chance for a ten-win season will have this team properly motivated. We give Utah a sizeable edge on both sides of the ball (BYU does have the advantage in the passing game, however), and should dominate time of possession with their rushing attack. With their running game working, Utah will be able to use play-action to find success through the air as well. This line doesn't accurately depict how much better Utah is, and we fully expect the Utes to win this game with ease! 20* CFB Bowl "Watch Party" Play on Utah.