MIKE'S DOLPHINS/BENGALS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

The Dolphins are 3-0 on the season after defeating Buffalo last week, but this looks like an extremely tough spot for the visitors. Not only are they on the road, but they'll be playing on a short week after an upset win in which their opponent held the ball for more than 40 minutes.

The Dolphins defense must be gassed, and the Bengals finally got their offense going in a 27-12 win at NY Jets in Week 3. 

10* PLAY ON CINCINNATI BENGALS. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* NINERS/BRONCOS ATS MAJOR WAGER

The Broncos have a lot of things to figure out, especially on offense where Russell Wilson not has been nearly the hit most expected and new HC Nathaniel Hackett has struggled with the playcalling. The Broncos have been held to 16 points in each of their first two games of the season, and now they'll face a stout San Francisco defense that has held opponents to an NFL-best 210 total yards per game. Sure, they've faced Chicago and Seattle, but still... 

Offensively, the Niners came alive in their 27-7 win over Seattle last week, and that was without star tight end George Kittle who could be back for this game. The Broncos are on fade alert until they show us a reason not to.

10* PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* BILLS/DOLPHINS TOTAL MAJOR WAGER

The Bills were dominant on both sides of the ball in their Monday night win over Indianapolis. They held the Colts to seven points, 12 first downs, and fewer than 200 yards of total offense.

Miami has looked good in its first two games, defeating New England and Baltimore. Tua Tagovailoa looks like he's about to have a breakout season, but this Bills defense is really, really good.

Under is 5-1 in Dolphins last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/BROWNS T.N.F. TOP PLAY

Something is not right with Cleveland who just barely won at Carolina in Week 1 and lost to the Jets in Week 2. Pittsburgh is coming off a weak outing against New England, but that was following an upset win at Cincinnati in Week 1. I expect the Steelers to show up again here against a divisional opponent. 

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* ATS MAJOR WAGER

We won with the Steelers as an underdog at Cincinnati in Week 1, but despite the win, note that they were outgained by 165 yards. Now they're a short home dog against a Pats team that was held to just one score (a touchdown) in a loss to Miami in their season opener. This line is a typical overreaction based on the results of the first game. I will most likely be backing Steelers as dogs again this season, but I'm gonna need more points than this. It's also worth noting that Pittsburgh LB T.J. Watt is expected to miss the next six weeks due to injury. 

Steelers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.

10* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - 10* NFL MAJOR WAGER TOTAL

The Giants ran the ball for 238 yards on 32 carries in their 21-20 win against Tennessee. Expect them to come into this game with the same game plan against a Panthers team that gave up 217 rushing yards to Cleveland in Week. The Giants will burn a lot of clock when holding the ball, and the same should be true for the Panthers if they rely on Christian McCaffrey to move the sticks. 

Under is 7-2 in Panthers last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 20-5-1 in Giants last 26 games overall.

10* PLAY ON UNDER. 

PERFECT 8-0 RUN - MIKE'S CHARGERS/CHIEFS T.N.F 10* TOP PLAY

The Chiefs are good but they are asked to cover too many points here as an overreaction to their blowout win in Arizona. The Chargers have a lot better defense than the Cardinals and Justin Herbert has as good of an arm as Patrick Mahomes. Chiefs are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Since the start of the 2020 season, the Chargers are 6-3 ATS as road underdogs. Chargers are 36-16-4 ATS in their last 56 games as a road underdog. Chargers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with KC. 

10* PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CHARGERS. 

NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* TOP PLAY

The Colts have a new QB in Matt Ryan, but the veteran has tons of experience and plenty of weapons around him. He'll settle in just fine and Jonathan Taylor is one of the top running backs in the league. The Texans are in rebuild mode, and they are inexperienced on both sides of the ball, but on defense in particular. The Colts to win seems like a no-brainer, but I'm not ready to lay this many points on the road and I like the over a lot better. 

10* PLAY ON OVER. 

NFL ATS GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S 10* MAJOR WAGER

Say what you want about Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin, but he knows how to rally the troops when coming into a game ss a an underdog. With the Steelers, Tomlin is 43-27-5 as an underdog, and the Bengals are in a prime letdown spot in their first game since losing the Super Bowl to the Rams. 

Last season, the Bengals swept the season series against Pittsburgh. Time for revenge, and the Steelers are actually in a better spot offensively now that Ben Roethlisberger has retired as he was a shadow of his former self last year. 

10* PLAY ON PITTSBURGH STEELERS. 

TOP-RATED 10* SUPER BOWL LVI BEST BET

Looking at the metrics, there is not much separating these two teams. 

Additionally, all the pressure is on the Rams playing at SoFi Stadium, and I'm not all that impressed by what we saw from them in the NFC Championship Game.

Ultimately, the Niners didn't have the QB to take advantage of the Rams' dodgy secondary, but now they'll face a Bengals team that is averaging an NFL-best 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Cincy QB Joe Burrow has averaged 280 passing yard per game through their three playoff games. 

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

The San Francisco 49ers have already upset Dallas and Green Bay here in the playoffs, and they're once again spotted points when facing the LA Rams in the Conference Championship. This will be the third meeting of the season, with San Fran looking to complete the three-game sweep after winning both at home and here in LA as 3.5-point underdogs during the regular season. The Niners' defense is playing at a very high level, and they clearly match up very well against the Rams who are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

TOP-RATED 10* BILLS/CHIEFS NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The first meeting of the season ended with a 38-20 Buffalo win. Both teams put 40+ points on the board in the Wildcard Round and I expect this to be a wild and high-scoring affair. Bills' defense is great, but KC started running the ball better down the stretch so the Bills' can not focus all their efforts on Mahomes. Over is 8-0 in Bills last 8 games as an underdog. Over is 6-0 in Chiefs last 6 games as a favorite. Over is 4-0 in Chiefs last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Bills last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

10* play on OVER. 

NFL BIG BET ALERT - 49ERS/PACKERS GAME OF THE WEEK

The San Francisco 49ers upset Dallas in the Wildcard Round, and I think their Divisional Round matchup with the Packers will go down to the wire. The run-heavy Niners should have good success against a Green Bay defense that is giving up 4.7 yards per rush (31st), which goes up to 5.6 rushing yards per attempt at home! The first meeting of the season ended with a 30-28 Packers win at San Francisco on September 26. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. 49ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games in January.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

MIKE'S MONDAY NIGHT CARDNIALS/RAMS TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Rams two regular-season meetings saw 57 points and 53 points respectively, but I think we'll see a much tighter and lower-scoring affair when they clash in the Wildcard Round Monday night. Arizona's offense has regressed throughout the season, and both head coach Kliff Kingsbury and QB Kyler Murray will be making their postseason debuts. They gave up 38 points to Seattle in Week 18, but under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. As for the Rams, they have an elite defense but much like the Cards, their offense is on a downward trend. Under is 17-5 in Rams last 22 games as a home favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/CHIEFS WILD CARD ROUND TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Pittsburgh Steelers won four of their last six games, but they sure did not do so with their offense as Big Ben has looked off all season and even more so down the stretch. The Steelers' defense has kept them in the games, and they have been particularly good against the pass. The Chiefs do not pose much of a threat on the ground, and I think KC quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be under a lot of pressure. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S WILD CARD ROUND BEST BET

The Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots split their two regular-season meetings. Buffalo won the last one in a blowout at Foxboro on December 26, but I expect this to be a much tighter game. The Patriots are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 meetings in Buffalo, and who would you rather have on the sidelines in a playoff game other than Bill Belichick? Surely, The Hoody will have a plan for how to stop Buffalo's explosive offense. The Pats rank 2nd in the NFL against the pass, and I expect them to keep Josh Allen in check. 

10* play on New England Patriots. 

NFL BIG BET - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

The Cleveland Browns are eliminated from postseason contention while the Cincinnati Bengals have clinched the AFC North. They can move up to the No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the AFC with a win and loses for the Titans and the Chiefs. They still need a win here to stay ahead of the Bills for the No. 3 seed. 

The Bengals are playing great football at the moment, and they have scored 75 points over the last two weeks combined. The Browns' offense has been a huge disappointment all season, and while they can run the ball, but Cincy is great at stopping the run. 

While there is a small chance of the Bengals resting their starters to heal up for the playoffs, I think they'll go for it.

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Jacksonville Jaguars gave up 50 points to the Patriots last week, but now they'll face a Colts team that has averaged only 23 points per game through its last three games. Jags QB and No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence has had a rough rookie year, and Colts' defense has played at a very high level down the stretch, giving up 0, 17, 16 and 23 points through its last four games.  

Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games overall. Under is 12-3 in Jaguars last 15 games as an underdog. Under is 11-4 in Jaguars last 15 games overall.

10* play on UNDER. 

MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S NFL WEEK 17 GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

This looks like a great spot to back the Washington Football Team to put up a fight following three straight losses. Washington was humiliated at Dallas last week. They've been severely crippled due to injuries and COVID-19 protocols in recent weeks, but Washington is expected to be a lot healthier for this week. 

The Eagles have won five of their last six, but they've been blessed with a favorable schedule combined with shorthanded opponents. 

This is Washington's season as a loss here would see them officially eliminated from playoff contention. I expect to see a desperate and finally healthy Washington team getting it done at home.

10* play on Washington Football Team. 

NFL BIG BET - MIKE'S NFL WEEK 16 TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a 19-13 win against Tennessee. I think their defense will show up once again here against a Kansas City offense that has been fairly inconsistent this season. Under is 6-1-1 in Steelers' last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 8-3-1 in Steelers' last 12 games following a straight-up win.

In their last two games, the Chiefs have put up 49 points against the Raiders and 34 points against the Chargers (last score a touchdown in OT). The Steelers' defense is a lot better, especially against the pass, and the Chiefs are not much of a threat on the ground. Defensively, the Chiefs have gotten better throughout the season, and Pittsburgh is not winning games with its offense. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Bears Monday night, but they still have a rest advantage over the Rams who battled Seattle the following day.

This game means a lot more for the desperate 7-7 Vikes than it does for the 10-4 Rams, and we can note that the Vikes are an incredible 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog.

Add in that the Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings, and we have a really strong case for Minnesota. 

10* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

TOP-RATED 10* VIKINGS @ BEARS NFL MONDAY NIGHT MONEYMAKER

The Minnesota Vikings will be looking to ride the momentum of a 26-28 Week 14 win against the Steelers, but I think they're in for a tough game here at Chicago Monday night. The Bears are way underrated by the betting market after covering the spread in only one of their last eight games, but we can note that the Bears are 6-2 in the last eight meetings with the Vikes who are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.

10* play on Chicago Bears. 

NFL BIG BET ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

Last week, the Buffalo Bills outscored Tampa Bay 17-3 in the fourth quarter to force overtime only to come up short in the extra period. Buffalo QB Josh Allen has thrown eight interceptions in the past six games, and here he'll face a Carolina defense that ranks no. 1 against the pass, giving up only 177.7 passing yards per game. 

Sure, the Panthers are not playing well right now, coming off three straight losses straight up and against the spread, but they are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog and at the moment, I don't think Buffalo should lay double-digits to a team like Carolina. 

10* play on Carolina Panthers. 

TOP-RATED 10* CHIEFS @ CHARGERS T.N.F. TOTAL MONEYMAKER

The Kansas City Chiefs are riding a six-game winning streak, fueled by a defense that has held opponents to 10.8 points per game during that stretch. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs have not been all that hot, a 48-9 win against the Raiders at Arrowhead last time out excluded. 

The Chargers' defense has also played reasonably well in recent weeks, and they're particularly strong against the pass. Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes has a 27-to-12 touchdown-to-interception ratio on the season, and I think he's in for a tough one here against a divisional opponent that knows him well. 

Under is 6-2 in Chiefs' last 8 games overall. Under is 11-3 in Chargers last 14 games as a home underdog. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 13-8 this season in games with a total of 50 points or more and the road team favored (3-1 to the under in divisional games). 

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER - MIKE'S GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Cleveland Browns have alternated wins and losses through their last six games. They lost their lat game (at Baltimore mind you!), and I like the Browns to bounce back with a win coming off a loss yet again. They've had an extra week to rest and prepare coming out of their bye week while Baltimore was in a dogfight with the Steelers last week. 

Additionally, Cleveland's defense has been excellent at home, holding opponents to 256.5 yards of total offense and 4.9 yards per play. 

A well-rested Cleveland team off its bye in a revenge spot against a beat up and tired Ravens team? Yeah, I'll bite. 

10* play on Cleveland Browns. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S NFC MAJOR WAGER TOTAL

The Atlanta Falcons have averaged only 10.3 points per game over their last four games. They have virtually no running game, and now Matt Ryan is asked to toss the ball around in a cold and possibly windy Bank of America Stadium. The Carolina Panthers are holding opponents to 291 yards per game (2nd), but they're lacking on the other side of the ball averaging just 19.7 points per game. They've lost three of their last four games, putting up a total of only 20 points in the three losses.

These two teams combined for 32 points when they clashed in Atlanta on October 31. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S STEELERS @ VIKINGS THURSDAY NIGHT TOP PLAY

The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a demoralizing and humiliating loss to the at that point winless Detroit Lions. Their season is now all but over, and not only did they lose the game to the Lions, but they also lost Adam Thielen to an ankle injury. Vikes QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to play at his absolute worst in primetime games, and the Steelers have historically been money as underdogs under Mike Tomlin. 

Steelers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog. Steelers are 35-16-3 ATS in their last 54 games as an underdog. Vikings are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK - MIKE'S RAVENS @ STEELERS BEST BET

The Baltimore Ravens are coming off back-to-back wins SU and ATS, but I think they're asked to cover too many points here in this matchup with AFC North rivals Pittsburgh. 

The Steelers are a fantastic 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog, and I expect them to show up here after getting humiliated at Cincinnati last week. The Ravens have struggled with consistency, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED NFC SIDE

The Los Angeles Rams have had an extra week to heal up and regroup from back-to-back blowout losses. In their last game, the Rams took a 31-10 loss at San Francisco. They are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.

Packers' star QB Aaron Rodgers is reportedly in 'a lot of pain' after suffering a toe injury in last Sunday's 34-31 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. "It's going to be another painful week next week," Rodgers said. "And then hopefully feel better over the bye." Here Rodgers will face a Rams defense that ranks third in the NFL with 2.9 sacks per game. 

10* play on Los Angeles Rams. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* WEEK 12 TOTAL

The Pats defense has been excellent in recent weeks, with 6, 7, and 0 points allowed through their last three games. They now own the best scoring defense in the NFL with only 16.1 points allowed per game. 

Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in November, and here they'll host a dinged up Tennessee team that will be without its biggest threat in injured running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are averaging only 253.3 passing yards per game and they put up only 13 points in a home loss to Houston last week.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S BILLS @ SAINTS THANKSGIVING EVE *BEST BET*

The Saint are unlikely to have much success moving the ball with Trevor Siemian at QB and running back Alvin Kamara at best dinged up, and most likely not even playing. The Bills have not been at their best lately, but they had allowed only 37 points over their last three games before giving up 41 to Indianapolis last time out. New Orleans' defense has given up 27, 27, 23, and 40 points through its last four games, but the Bills' offense has been inconsistent. 

Under is 5-1-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 8-0-1 in Saints last 9 Thursday games.

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH

Great spot to back the Seahawks after coming out completely flat in a shutout loss at Green Bay last week. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog.

The Cardinals are not the same team without injured star QB Kyler Murray, and while he returned to practice Wednesday, I don't think the Cards will risk him here with their bye on deck. 

10* play on Seattle Seahawks. 

TOP-RATED 10* RAMS @ NINERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Niners can ill afford to drop this game against the Rams as a loss here would make their road to the playoffs all but impossible. "I definitely think there's a big hunger to win," San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan said Thursday. "I think there's a huge sense of urgency. ... There's a different type of disappointment, a different type of frustration. But the hunger, the energy, that's all still there."

San Francisco's 3-5 record does not look good on paper, but they have played a really tough schedule and I think they'll be the hungrier team in this one. Niners' quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has passed for more than 300 yards in back-to-back games, and the Rams can be hit through the air, giving up 249 passing yards per game (17th). 

The 49ers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 Monday games. The 49ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog. The rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

TOP-RATED 10* SEAHAWKS @ PACKERS NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Seahawks are coming out of their bye week, and they are expected to get Russell Wilson back under center after missing more than a month with a fractured middle finger.

The Packers on the other hand spent a lot of energy in a hard-fought loss at Kansas City last week with backup QB Jordan Love. Rodgers was absent for the loss while in the league's COVID-19 protocol after testing positive, and even if Rodgers is back for this game, he would be reinstated until Saturday at the earliest and as such having spent quite some time in quarantine. 

Seahawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog. Seahawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.

10* play on Seattle Seahawks. 

TOP-RATED 10* TTIANS @ RAMS SUNDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN

The Tennessee Titans are traveling to Los Angeles riding a four-game winning streak, and they have won six of their last seven straight up and against the spread. For this game they'll be without NFL's leading rusher Derrick Henry, but I still think the Titans can keep this one relatively close. The Rams have won four in a row, but they have failed to cover the spread as big favorites in their last two games. 

Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Rams are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Titans are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT -  MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

The Seahawks will be playing on a short week after losing 13-10 to New Orleans on Monday Night Football. Each of their last five games has gone under the total, and I don't see them putting up a big number here with Geno Smith under center. As for the Jags, they average only 19.3 points per game (27th) so even though the Seahawks defense is subpar, Jacksonville simply does not have the talent to take advantage. 

Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 8-3 in Seahawks last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Bears are averaging an NFL-worst 255.4 yards of total offense per game, and this looks look a bad matchup against a San Francisco team that ranks no. 6 in total defense and no. 5 against the pass. Offensively, the Niners are getting slightly healthier again and QB Jimmy Garoppolo should be sharper than he was in last week's 30-18 loss to Indianapolis. 

The Niners are a winless 0-4 in their last four games, but they've played a rather tough schedule and they should be able to get the job done against Chicago. Additionally, we can note that Bears head coach Matt Nagy is on the Covid-19 list, so special teams Chris Tabor will serve as head coach and outside linebacker Kahlil Mack has been ruled out due to a foot injury. 

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

TOP-RATED 10* BILLS @ TITANS MONDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN

I think the Tennessee Titans will keep this Monday night matchup reasonably close. 

Sure Buffalo is elite on both sides of the ball, but the Titans are among the best at running the ball, which means they can keep the Bills offense off the field while also keeping the clock moving to shorten the game, limiting the Bills' chances of pulling away. Additionally, Titans' QB Ryan Tannehill's weapons are getting healthier, and I think the Titans will put up a fair amount of points. 

We can also note that Buffalo has been fairly "lucky" with their opponents averaging 2.0 fumbles per game, and these things tend to even out.

Lastly, this is a potential flat spot for Buffalo after blowing the doors off the Chiefs on the road at Kansas City Sunday night in Week 5, and Titans' coach Mike Vrabel is 13-5 (72%) ATS as a dog of three points or more. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

TOP-RATED 10* COWBOYS @ PATRIOTS GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Cowboys are off to a hot start, covering the spread in each of their five games and winning four straight up since losing to the reigning Super Bowl champions Tampa Bay in their season opener. I think they're overvalued here though, facing a Patriots team that lost by only two points to the Bucs here at Gillette Stadium a couple of weeks ago. Bill Belichick is money as an underdog (Pats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog) while the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. We can also note that the Cowboys are on the road following three straight road games, which historically is a tough spot. 

10* play on New England Patriots. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Vikings have put a total of only 26 points on the board through their last two games. Last week, they scored only 19 points against a Detroit team who up until then had one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Now they'll face a Carolina team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive metrics. Carolina has seen only one of its first five games of the season go over the total, and it has the third-best scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points per game. 

Both teams hope to get their star running backs (Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook) back from injuries, but I think we'll see few visits to the end zone regardless. 

Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

COLTS @ RAVENS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL *TOP PLAY*

The Ravens are coming off a 23-7 win against Denver. They held the Broncos to only 254 yards of total offense, and they sacked the Denver QBs five times. Now they'll face a Colts team with a banged up offensive line, and I think it's fair to assume Colts' quarterback Carson Wentz will be blitzed relentlessly.  

As for the Ravens, they don't do not only run the ball often, they also do it well, averaging 5.2 yards per attempt (4th). Indianapolis held Miami to only 35 rushing yards on 16 attempts last week, but note that the Colts are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and they've been better defending the pass than the run throughout the season. 

Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Ravens are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Monday games.

10* play on Baltimore Ravens. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

Miami is averaging only 252 yards of total offense per game (31st) and 15.5 points per game. The Dolphins managed only 203 yards of offense with their backup QB in a loss to Indianapolis last week and this figures to be another tough matchup for a Phins offense. 

Tampa Bay has given up a fair amount of points, but it had faced some high-octane offenses for the first three weeks prior to holding the Pats to 17 points and sub 300 yards in Week 4. The Bucs are such big favorites that they should have no reason to drive up the score. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - RAMS @ SEAHAWKS TNF GAME OF THE WEEK

This looks like a great spot to back the Rams to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Arizona while we also fade Seattle who avoided a  three-game losing streak with an upset win at San Francisco. Additionally, the Seahawks have a ton of injuries which will make playing on a short week rather difficult. 

Seattle has the worst total defense in the league giving up 444.5 ypg, and the worst run defense, The Rams rank fourth in the league in passing (298.3 ypg) and sixth in scoring (28.8 ppg), and QB Matt Stafford just bounce back after having a season-low passer rating of 89.5 against the Cardinals. 

Rams are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points. Rams are 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Seahawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

10* play on Los Angeles Rams. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

The Saints are 2-1 SU and ATS and the Giants 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS, but I think New Orleans is asked to cover way too many points in this one.

While the Saints are third in scoring defense allowing only 14.0 ppg, they are also second-to-last in passing offense coming into this contest averaging only 113.7 passing yards per game.

It will be tough for the Saints to get separation, and the Giants have played close games since their opening loss to Denver, losing the last two games on last-second field goals. 

Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog.

10* play on New York Giants. 

EAGLES @ COWBOYS TOTAL TOP PLAY (10*)

The Eagles have opened the season with a couple of low-scoring affairs, but I think we'll see both teams help running up the score when they visit Dallas Monday night. The Cowboys are averaging 435 yards of total offense per game (2nd), but their defense has been questionable at best, giving up 419.5 yards per game. I expect both offenses to show up in this primetime matchup. 

The Eagles took a 17-11 loss to San Francisco last week. Over is 15-6 in Eagles last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 20-9 in Eagles last 29 games as a road underdog and 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games as a home favorite.

10* play on OVER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Vikings are 0-2 on the season, but they could just as well have been 2-0. Also, both were on the road (at Arizona and Cincinnati) and each of the losses came on the last play of the game.

Offensively, the Vikes have looked very capable with 400+ yards of total offense per game, and running back Dalvin Cook should have plenty of success against a Seattle defense that has allowed 160+ rushing yards per game (31st). 

Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. Vikings are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

10* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

I think the Saints are getting way too much respect here after putting a 38-3 beating on the Packers in their season opener. Carolina did not look too shabby either as it opened the season with a solid 19-14 victory against the New York Jets. Sure, the Jets are one of the weakest teams in the NFL, but Carolina is at home for a second straight week while the Saints are on the road in a potential letdown spot. 

The Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and the underdog is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

10* play on Carolina Panthers. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Eagles opened the season with a 32-6 win against Atlanta. Falcons QB Matt Ryan was held to 164 passing yards on 21-of-35 passing and no touchdown passes. The Niners are coming off a shootout win at Detroit, a game where the teams were a combined 5-for-5 in the red zone. I expect a much better defensive performance from San Francisco in this one. 

Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in 49ers last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 22-8 in Eagles' last 30 home games. Under is 12-4 in Eagles last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED PACKERS @ SAINTS WEEK 1 NFL BOOKIE BREAKER

Aaron Rodgers is, despite a turbulent offseason, back under center for the Packers. They return very much the same core, unlike the Saints whose long-time QB Drew Brees has retired. On top of that, star-wide receiver Michael Thomas has been placed on the physically unable to perform list as he continues his recovery from foot surgery.

The Packers had the top-scoring offense in the league last season, and I think it will be too much for the Saints to keep up with.

10* play on Green Bay Packers.

CHIEFS VS BUCS SUPER BOWL LV *BEST OF THE BEST*

The oddsmakers have the Kansas City Chiefs as a three-point favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl. I think the value is on the underdog.

While the Chiefs have an edge offensively, the Bucs defense is one of the best in the league and going against Tom Brady in big games is rarely a winning proposition. We can also note that Tampa Bay has home field advantage, and even though there will be a limited amount of fans at the game, at least they are very familiar with the stadium. 

Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

TOP-RATED 10* AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OF THE YEAR

The Chiefs did not cover the double-digit spread against the Browns in their Divisional Round matchup, but I think they'll win and cover a much smaller number here against the Bills. 

As of this writing, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is in concussion protocol, but I fully expect him to be activated. "(Mahomes) took all the snaps and he feels good, so we're just going to follow this protocol as close as we possibly can," Chiefs coach Andy Reid told reporters Wednesday.

Looking at stats, it looks like the Bills can go toe to toe with KC offensively, but I hold the Chiefs as the more complete team. Also, it feels like they've been cruising along most of the season why pure stats do not tell the whole story about their performance. 

KC held nine opponents to 20 or fewer points, and even though Bills' QB Josh Allen has had a spectacular season, there is a risk of the pressure getting to the inexperienced signal caller in this one. 

These teams met in Buffalo earlier in the season, and Kansas City won 26-17. Take KC. (If you can buy down to -2.5, do it. This pick will be graded as -3). 

10* play on Kansas City. 

*BEST BET ALERT* BUCS @ PACKERS NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

The Bucs looked solid in their 30-20 win over the Saints in the Divisional Round, but I think the Packers will be too much to handle. 

The Bucs rank only 21st in the league agains the pass, and here they'll face MVP favorite Aaron Rodgers. I also think Green Bay's defense is not getting as much credit as it should, and note that even though TB put up 30 points on the board last week, they had only 300 something yards of total offense. 

10* play on Green Bay Packers. 

TOP-RATED 10* BUCS @ SAINTS NFL PLAY OF THE DAY

The New Orleans Saints have defeated their NFC South rivals twice this season, but I would not be surprised if Tom Brady and the Bucs come through now when it really matters. 

Tampa's offense is clicking and the team has averaged 35.8 ppg through a five-game winning streak and put up 30+ on a tough Washington defense last week. 

The Saints have one of the best running backs in the game in Alvin Kamara, but I think he'll struggle agains the Bucs top-ranked run defense. 

10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

RAVENS @ BILLS DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE MONTH

The Buffalo Bills win over the Colts in the Wild Card Round was not quite as dominant as their run they closed out the regular season on, but they got the job done in the end. 

I think they match up rather well with the Ravens who had some early trouble of their own with the Titans in their Wild Card Round game. 

The Bills offense is the hottest in the NFL, and while the Ravens can run the football, they rank dead last for passing yards per game which is not great when playing from behind, which I think they will here. 

10* play on Buffalo Bills. 

RAVENS @ TITANS 10* NFL. TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Baltimore Ravens closed out the regular season winning five straight games straight up and covering the number in each of their last six. Their hot run is a big reason why they are a favorite on the road at Tennessee, but I'm not buying it.

The Titans won 30-24 in OT at Baltimore back in November, and their offense is coming into the postseason firing on all cylinders. 

10* top play on Tennessee. 

WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR ~ WAS @ TB 10* SIDE

First of all, Washington's offense is admittedly absolutely trash as they rank 30th in the NFL for total offense with 317 yards per game, but their defense is truly elite. 

Here they'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that has had no trouble picking apart subpar defenses, but also struggled at times against tougher opponents. 

We can also note that Bucs veteran QB Tom Brady has been far from at his best in primetime games this season, and one of his weapons, star wideout Mike Evans, is questionable. 

The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite while the Football Team are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

10* game of the year top play on Washington. 

WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR ~ RAMS @ SEAHAWKS 10* TOTAL

This is a low number, but note that NFL games with a total lower than 45 points went 37-17 (68.5%) to the under this season. 

As for these two teams, the Rams are 12-4 to the under on the season and they rank No. 1 for scoring defense and passing yards allowed while Seattle's defense has quietly been one of the best in the league over the last month. Through their last four games, the Seahawks have allowed, 3, 15, 9 and 23 points.

In the two regular season meetings between these two teams we saw 39 and 29 points scored. I expect this to be another low-scoring affair, especially as Rams' QB Jared Goff won't be 100% if he even suits up at all. 

10* game of the year top play on UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE WEEK  - 10* MAJOR WAGER ATS TOP PLAY

The 14-1 Kansas City Chiefs have the division title and the No. 1 seed already locked up going into the final week. They have announced that they will rest QB Patrick Mahomes and other stars are likely to get the week off as well. 

The 6-9 LA Chargers are not going to the postseason, but they are heading into this contest on a three-game winning streak and rookie QB Justin Herbert keeps putting up impressive numbers.

Herbert passed for 311 yards and one touchdown in his NFL debut against the Chiefs in Week 2, a 23-20 OT loss. He should have good success against KC's backups. 

10* play on Los Angeles Chargers. 

*MAJOR WAGER ALERT* NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - REG SEASON 

The Cincinnati Bengals offense has come alive here at the end of the season, putting up a combined 64 points in back-to-back wins over Pittsburgh and Houston. Quarterback Brandon Allen threw for a career-high 371 yards and two touchdown in a 37-31 win at Houston last week. 

Their defense remains a liability though, and here they'll face a Ravens side that has averaged 37 ppg through a four-game winning streak. 

The Ravens need a win to have a shot at a playoff berth, so there's no question whether they will bring it or not while the Bengals would love nothing more than to play spoiler for their division-rival. 

10* play on OVER. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - CAR @ WAS 10* TOP PLAY 

The Washington Football Team saw a four-game winning streak come to an end last week. They still covered the spread in the 20-15 loss to Seattle, and I think they'll get back to their winning ways by beating Carolina as a favorite this week. While the Panthers are usually money as underdogs (especially on the road), they are also usually spotted more points than this. 

Washington's defense is truly elite and held Seattle to 20 points last week while Carolina put up only 16 points against at Green Bay. 

Panthers are 6-15 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on Washington. 

DOLPHINS @ RAIDERS 10* TOP PLAY ~ PRIMETIME SATURDAY

The Miami Dolphins are rolling, but this looks like a letdown spot following a satisfying 22-12 win over division-rival New England Patriots. They need to win out to ensure a playoff spot, but here the Dolphins are asked to fly across the country to face a Raiders side coming off a pair of disappointing home losses to the Colts and the Chargers, defeats that all but ruined Vegas' playoff aspirations.

The Raiders have had extra time to prepare since they played on Thursday last week, and I think they'll show up for this one. 

The Fins have been winning without playing all that great. Their turnover differential is insane in recent weeks, and regression has to be just around the corner. Look for the Raiders to play spoiler at home in a nationally televised primetime game. 

10* play on Las Vegas Raiders. 

VIKES @ SAINTS CHRISTMAS DAY NFL 10* TOP PLAY

The Saints' QB Drew Brees is less than 100% dealing with rib and lung injuries and he'll be without a major weapon in All-Pro receiver Michael Thomas who is on injured reserve. I think they (much like the Vikes) will run the ball a lot which will eat a lot of time off the clock. 

The Saints defense is elite and ranks fourth against the run, bad news for the Vikes who go as running back Dalvin Cook goes. 

Under is 6-2 in Vikings last 8 road games. Under is 7-2 in Saints last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

10* play on UNDER. 

STEELERS @ BENGALS 10* NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pittsburgh Steelers would clinch the AFC North title with a win, which I do think they'll finally get following back-to-back losses. 

Still, the Steelers are hardly rolling at the moment, and this looks like too many points to cover. While the Bengals are eliminated from playoff contention, note that they'll be looking to make up for a 36-10 loss to Pittsburgh on November 15. 

Cincy has had an extra week to prepare, coming off its bye following a 30-7 loss to Dallas on December 13. The Bengals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home and I think they'll show up for this one. 

10* play on Cincinnati Bengals. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - BEARS @ VIKES 10* TOP PLAY

The Chicago Bears are coming off a 36-7 rout of Houston, and all of a sudden they are getting just a field goal at Minnesota here in Week 15. The Bears had lost six straight prior to that win, and here they'll face the same Vikings team that beat the Bears 19-13 at Soldier Field on Nov. 16. 

The Vikes had won back-to-back games before coming up short at Tampa Bay last week, dropping just the second game in the last seven contests. Well, the Bears are no Bucs, and I like the Vikes to bounce back big here against their NFC North rival. 

Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Vikings are 38-13 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss. Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 15.

10* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - TEXANS @ BEARS 10* TOP PLAY

The Houston Texans look like a great bet against the Chicago Bears this Sunday. 

The Bears have dropped six straight games and rank 30th in the NFL for total offense, despite putting 30 points on the board against Detroit last week. 

Their defense is not the same stingy Bears D we have grown used to in recent years. This looks like a particularly bad matchup; since Week 8, they have allowed 7.7 yards per pass attempt (second-worst in the NFL) while Texans QB Deshaun Watson has thrown for 8.9 yards per attempt (best in the NFL) during that same time period. 

The Texans had covered the spread in three straight games won back-to-back straight up (against New England and Detroit) before coming up short both SU and ATS against the Colts last week.  

Texans are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

10* play on Houston Texans. 

PATRIOTS @ RAMS THURSDAY NIGHT NFL 10* TOP PLAY

The New England Patriots are back in contention for a wild card after winning four of their last five games. Last week they put a 45-0 beating on the Chargers in Inglewood and wisely decided to stay on the West Coast for this Thursday night contest against the LA Rams. 

Still, playing on the road on a short week is never easy, and this will be a much tougher matchup against a Rams side that will be looking to avenge a 13-3 loss to the Pats in Super Bowl LIII. The Pats are not the dominant force they used to be, and I sense a possible letdown game after last week's rout.

Additionally, note that while the Patriots defense has stepped up its game in recent weeks, they're still mediocre at best on offense while the Rams rank top three in the NFL for both total offense and total defense. 

Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.

10* play on Los Angeles Rams. 

BILLS @ NINERS 10* NFL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

This game will be played at a neutral site in Arizona, which will be the San Francisco 49ers home for the next five weeks due to COVID-19 regulations in Santa Clara County. 

The Niners still have hope of making the playoffs, and I think they will be determined to battle through the adversity starting with a win in this one. 

The Niners are getting healthier and were able to return wide receiver Deebo Samuel and running back Raheem Mostert from injuries last week. The result; a solid 23-20 win at division-leading LA Rams to improve to 5-6 on the season. Having Mostert available for this game will be huge as he should have good success running the ball on a Bills defense ranked 25th against the rush. 

The Bills have won four of their last five and covered the spread in three straight games, but I think they'll struggle against a Niners defense that quietly has been among the best in the NFL. 

Bills are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Bills are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 49ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 Monday games. 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS 10* TOP PLAY

The Los Angeles Chargers have an impressive QB in Justin Herbert, but if we exclude a 34-28 win over the Jets on Nov 22, then the Chargers have put up an average of only 21.3 ppg over their last three games. Perhaps teams are starting to figure out how to stop the rookie, and I think Herbert and the rest of Chargers offense will face a tough test here against New England. 

Sure, the Pats offense is not what it used to be with Brady under center, but you better believe Belichick will make sure their defense is still serviceable. Note that they were outgained 298-179 in total yards by Arizona last week, but still managed to grind out a 20-17 victory. Over their last three games, the Patriots have now allowed an average of 20.3 ppg while their offense is putting up just 20.8 ppg on the season. 

The Chargers are 3-8 SU on the season, 2-3 at home. Under is 11-2 in Patriots last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 14-6 in Patriots last 20 vs. a team with a losing record overall. Under is 13-6 in Chargers last 19 home games. 

10* play on UNDER. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL - CHIEFS @ BUCS MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games. I do like them to cover a very reasonable number here against a reeling Tampa Bay Buccaneers side that has lost two of its last three straight up. 

Bucs QB Tom Brady looked his age in a 27-24 loss the Rams Monday night, completing only 26-of-48 passes for 216 yards with two TDs and two INTs. 

The Chiefs have scored 33 points or more in four straight games, and while their defense has not been at the very best lately, I don't think the Bucs are not in a good spot to take advantage. 

Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Buccaneers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. 

EARLY TEXANS @ LIONS TURKEY DAY TOP PLAY

This looks like a great spot to back the Detroit Lions as a home underdog to Houston Texans. 

Detroit coach Matt Patricia should have his Lions fired up for this one after getting humiliated in a shutout road loss at Carolina last week. D’Andre Swift returned to practice on Tuesday after being sidelined with a concussion, and he should be able to feast on the Texans' league-worst run defense. 

Houston is coming off an upset win over a mediocre Patriots team. I think the betting market is giving the Texans too much respect here, and that combined with the Lions recent outing sets up a nice buy-low sell-high spot. 

Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. Texans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Texans are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.

10* play on Detroit Lions. 

RAMS @ BUCS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL 10* TOP PLAY

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coming off a 46-23 rout at Carolina. They are however only 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite and I think they're in for a tough game against the LA Rams on Monday Night Football. 

The Rams are coming off a solid 23-16 win over Seattle and they rank #1 in the NFL for total defense, holding opponents to an average of 296.4 yards per game. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

This game could very well go down to the last possession, and I'm well happy to take the Rams at this spread. 

10* play on Los Angeles Rams. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - CHIEFS @ RAIDERS MAX BET

The Las Vegas Raiders are heading into this contest riding a three-game winning streak, but I think they're about to come back down to earth this week as the reigning Super Bowl champs Kansas City Chiefs are coming to town. 

The Chiefs are coming out of their bye week and can't be too happy about their last outing, a lackluster 33-31 win over Carolina. Note that the Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. I expect Andy Reid to have a good gameplan and his team fired up for this one. 

The Raiders on the other hand are in a potential letdown spot after an impressive 37-12 win over Denver. Note that the Raiders are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win and Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

10* play on Kansas City Chiefs. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 10 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

This contest features two teams in very different spots, with the San Francisco 49ers off a humiliating home loss to Green Bay on Thursday night while the New Orleans Saints put a 38-3 beating on the Bucs on Sunday night. I think this sets up a perfect buy low, sell high spot here, selling the Saints in a potential letdown spot while buying an angry and disappointed Niners side with extra time to prepare. Additionally, the 49ers are getting healthy after dealing with a ton of injuries over the last couple of weeks. 

49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

COLTS @ TITANS THURSDAY NIGHT TOP PLAY

The Indianapolis Colts took a 24-10 loss to Baltimore in Week 9, their second loss of the season. I think they'll bounce back with a win here Thursday night, facing a Tennessee side who had lost back-to-back games before beating the Bears by a touchdown last time out. It was far from a dominant performance from the Titans though as they were held to 11 first downs and racked up only 228 yards of offense in the win. The Colts' defense is elite, ranking third in scoring defense (20.0 ppg) and first in yards allowed per game (290.0 ypg). 

Colts are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November. Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Tennessee.

10* play on Indianapolis Colts. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 9 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

The Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in four straight games and their offense has cooled off significantly since a hot start to the year, averaging only 18.9 ppg over their last four games. 

While Seattle admittedly has a lot of issues defensively I don't see Buffalo being able to capitalize, and on the other side of the ball, the Seahawks have been cooking all season long and they own the best scoring offense in the NFL. 

Additionally, the Bills are coming off a hard-fought divisional win against the Patriots who pushed them to the limit while the Seahawks had a much easier week, convincingly handling the Niners.  

Seahawks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bills are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on Seattle Seahawks. 

PACKERS @ 49ERS THURSDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BREAKER TOP PLAY

Both teams are coming off losses, but I like the Green Bay Packers to be the team to get back in the win column. 

The Packers took a 28-22 home loss to Minnesota last Sunday, an extremely disappointing loss for the Packers, but they should not have much trouble with a Niners side that will be without its starting quarterback (Jimmy Garoppolo, star running back (Raheem Mostert) and one of the league's best receivers in George Kittle. Defensively, they're missing DB Richard Sherman and DL Nick Bosa among others. 

Last week, San Francisco lost 37-27 at Seattle and I think the Packers offense will be able to run riot and put up a similar amount of points here Thursday night. 

Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Packers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. 49ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.

10* play on Green Bay Packers. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 8 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

The Green Bay Packers took a 28 point loss to Tampa Bay in Week 6, their lone loss of the season, but bounced back in a big way with a dominant 35-20 triumph at Houston last week. 

Here in Week 8, the Packers are back home at Lambeau Field following back-to-back road games, and I like them to come through with a blowout win over a Minnesota team that seemingly has waived the white flag for this season already, not even halfway through the schedule. 

Sure, the Vikes are coming off their bye week and it is a rivalry game, but they've shown very little to suggest they'll be able to put up a fight against a Packers team that has steamrolled several opponents and beat Minnesota by nine points on the road in Week 1. 

Minnesota ranks 28th in the NFL for total defense giving up 410+ yards per game while Green Bay ranks 2nd in the NFL for points scored. This is a mismatch all around. Take Green Bay to cover a touchdown. 

10* play on Green Bay Packers. 

FALCONS VS PANTHERS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOP PLAY

The Carolina Panthers (3-4) host the Atlanta Falcons (1-6) in a battle between NFC South teams Thursday night. I think we have several reasons to believe that the final score for this contest will go under the total.

Atlanta is allowing 29.6 points per game on the season, but it has held its opponent to 23 points in three straight games, including a 23-16 loss to Carolina in Week 5. 

The Falcons are a pass-heavy team, but the Panthers rank 10th in the NFL against the pass. 

Carolina has really struggled o move the ball on the ground in recent weeks, and here it'll face an Atlanta defense that ranks 6th in the NFL against the pass. The Panthers will have to rely on QB Teddy Bridgewater to move the sticks, but he can only do so much without a rushing threat to take some of the pressure off of him. 

The Panthers rank 25th in the NFL for points scored per game, averaging only 23.1 ppg, and with this being a Thursday night game, both teams have had less time than usual to come up with creative game-plans on offense. 

Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 Thursday games and 5-1 in their last 6 games in October.

10* play on UNDER 49.5 points. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - STEELERS @ TITANS 10* MAX BET

Two undefeated 5-0 teams will clash at Nissan Stadium in Nashville this Sunday when the Pittsburgh Steelers pay a visit to the Tennessee Titans. 

Their ATS records are quite different though, with the Steelers checking in at 4-1 ATS while the Titans are just 2-3 ATS. 

Tennessee has the hottest running back in the league in Derrick Henry, but here he'll run into a Steelers defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL against the run, allowing only 66.2 rypg. 

Sure, Tennessee's offense ranks 2nd in the league for total offense and points scored, but this will be the best defense it has seen all season.

10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - WEEK 6 MAJOR WAGER MAX BET

The Minnesota Vikings looked like the worst team in the league through the first two weeks of the season. They've bounced back nicely since, covering the spread in three straight games and arguably deserved to pick up their second win of the season when they took on the undefeated Seattle Seahawks last week. 

The Atlanta Falcons on the other hand is a hot mess, entering Week 6 with an 0-5 straight up record while going 1-4 ATS. Head coach Dan Quinn was fired after last week's 23-16 home loss to Carolina, but I'm not sure interim head coach Raheem Morris will have much impact on the team after only one week. 

Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins is inconsistent, but I don't see him having any trouble carving up an Atlanta defense that ranks 31st in the league for passing yards allowed and Delvin Cook is always a huge threat moving the ball on the ground. 

Atlanta has been held to 16 points in back-to-back games, and I have no problem whatsoever laying just over a field goal on the Vikes.  

10* play on Minnesota Vikings. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - CAR @ ATL MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

The winless Atlanta Falcons are an absolute mess, and now they'll be asked to playing on a short week after taking a 30-16 loss to Green Bay at Lambeau Field Monday night. 

The Carolina Panthers on the other hand must feel pretty good about themselves after answering an 0-2 start with back-to-back outright underdog wins against LA Chargers and Arizona. 

While the Falcons have one of the most explosive offenses in terms of player talent in the NFL, they rank near the bottom of the league for virtually all defensive categories. On top of that, they're banged up on both sides of the football. The Panthers meanwhile are a solid mid-table for most stats and outgained the Cardinals by 182 yards in last week's 31-21 win. 

The Hawks are experts on finding ways to lose, and I'm not even sure they should be favorites in this matchup. 

Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October. Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games in October. Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.

10* play on Carolina Panthers. 

BUCS VS BEARS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOP PLAY

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers gave up 31 points to the Chargers last Sunday, but they still own the 4th best total defense in the NFL giving up only 312 yards per game.

The Chicago Bears are coming off a loss to Indianapolis, despite the defense doing its job allowing only 19 points on 289 total yards. Nick Foles replaced Mitch Trubisky under center but was not much of an improvement completing 26-of-42 passes for 249 yards and one TD vs. one INT. 

On the season, Tampa Bay is allowing only 5.1 yards per play (4th) and Chicago 5.2 yards per play (7th). 

Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 home games and 13-3 in their last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

10* play on UNDER. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - WEEK 4 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

The Buffalo Bills are a perfect 3-0 SU on the season after defeating the Rams 35-32 last week. They rank fourth in the NFL for total yards offensively and QB Josh Allen is having a terrific year, entering Week 4 second in the NFL in passing yards (1,038), yards per attempt (9.1), passing touchdowns (10) and passer rating (124.8). 

The Raiders had opened the season with back-to-back wins before being "found out" in a 36-20 loss at New England in Week 3. They have conceded 24 points or more in each of their three games, and I don't see Bills having any trouble moving the ball against a Raiders defense that ranks 27th in total yards allowed at 406.0 per game. 

Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.

10* play on Buffalo Bills. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL) - WEEK 3 MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

These two teams have opened the season in completely different ways with the Arizona Cardinals 2-0 SU and ATS while the Detroit Lions are 0-2 SU and ATS. 

Does that mean that the Lions are due to win at least ATS in Week 3? I don't think so. 

Detroit's defense has been one of the worst in the league for the first two weeks giving up 425.5 yards per game (28th), and here they'll face an Arizona offense that has not skipped a beat ranking 6th in the NFL with 421 yards of offense per game. 

Of particular interest is Detroit's struggle to defend the run giving up a league-worst 204 rushing yards per game while Arizona has been extremely efficient moving the rock on the ground. 

Lions are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Cardinals are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on Arizona Cardinals. 

SAINTS @ RAIDERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOP PLAY

Two teams looking to build on season-opening wins will clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas Monday night. The host Las Vegas Raiders are coming off a 34-30 win at Carolina while New Orleans defeated Tampa Bay 34-23 at home in Week 1. 

The Saints may have put up 34 points, but they did not look all that great on offense. Quarterback Drew Brees had just 160 passing yards on 18-of-30 passing while six different players combined for 86 rushing yards.

New Orleans star receiver, Michael Thomas, will miss this game after being ruled because of an ankle injury which will be a huge miss for the visitors.

The Saints have an elite defense, but I expect to see a fired up Raiders team in its Las Vegas debut even without spectators in the stands. 

Raiders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday night games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.

10* play on Las Vegas Raiders. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - SUNDAY FOOTBALL MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

The Houston Texans couldn't keep it close with the Chiefs at Arrowhead in their season opener, losing 34-20. They'll run into another powerhouse in Week 2, and I expect a similar outcome. 

The Baltimore Ravens are coming off a dominant 38-6 win over AFC North rival Cleveland. Sure, we don't know if beating the Browns actually have any merit yet, but the Ravens' offense sure was on point with 275 passing yards and three TD passes from Lamar Jackson and 107 rushing yards for the team. Patrick Mahomes had three touchdown passes against Hoston in the season opener, and Jackson should have plenty of success as well. 

Lay the points with the Ravens without hesitation. 

10* play on Baltimore Ravens. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - BUCS @ SAINTS MAJOR WAGER TOP PLAY

The New Orleans Saints are just 2-7 SU (1-8 ATS) in Week 1 dating back to the 2011 season. 

I think they're in for another tough season opener here against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team with a new QB in Tom Brady at the helm and unretired tight end Rob Gronkowski, LeSean McCoy, and Leonard Fournette joining the ranks. They boasted the best rush defense in the NFL last season, and while they've consistently been one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL over the last two seasons, they've brought in reinforcements and should be better against the pass this year. 

Considering no fans in the Superdome, no preseason games, and the Saints' Week 1 record in recent season, I'm happy to take the road underdog in this contest. 

10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

SUPER BOWL LIV BEST BET

I like the San Francisco 49ers to take down the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl. 

KC has a scary good offense, but let's not forget that San Francisco ranked eighth in the NFL in scoring defense (19.4 ppg) during the regular season, and it gave up just 30 combined points against the Vikings and Packers. Additionally, the Chiefs do not have much of a Plan B (no running game) if the Niners figure out how to stop QB Patrick Mahomes. 

On the opposite side of the ball, the 49ers have the firepower to match the Chiefs' explosive offense. QB Jimmy G is no Showtime Mahomes, but San Fran's running game averaged the second-most rushing yards per game through the regular season (144.1) and the team averaged 235.5 rypg in their two playoff wins. Note that the Chiefs' run defense is just 25th in the league and they are 2-3 in games where they gave up 150 yards rushing or more this season.  

10* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP SIDE

The Green Bay Packers took a 37-8 beating at San Francisco in Week 12, but if anything that was a wake-up call for the team. The Packers are undefeated SU and 4-2 ATS in their six games since, including a solid 28-23 win over Seattle in the Divisional Round. 

I think this matchup will be a lot closer than the first meeting of the season. While the Niners are a formidable team and a well-deserved favorite, winning by more than a touchdown in the playoffs just ain't easy. 

The Packers have a veteran QB in Aaron Rodgers who knows this might be his last chance to win another ring, so he'll be ready to do just about anything to win this game. 

Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. 49ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS giving more than a touchdown this season. 

10* play on Green Bay Packers. 

GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL): MIKE'S CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP TOTAL *BEST BET*

The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a wild 51-31 win over Houston in the divisional round, but I think we'll see a much lower-scoring game when they take on the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Championship Game.

Tennessee's two playoff games have seen just 33 and 40 points respectively, and we can note that the under is 5-2 in the Chiefs' last seven games.

The Titans will rely on running back Derrick Henry to move the ball, and while he's likely to have decent success, it will also drain the clock and keep the ball out of KC QB Patrick Mahomes' hands.

While the Chiefs are capable of explosive plays as seen in last week's shootout, note that the Titans have held their last two opponents to 12 and 13 points, despite facing the Pats and the Ravens! 

10* play on UNDER. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SEAHAWKS @ PACKERS SIDE

The Seattle Seahawks have been dinged up all season long, and a tough Wild Card matchup against the Eagles did not make the team any healthier. Here they'll face a well-rested Green Bay Packers team, and I expect a blowout win for the home side in this one. 

Seattle has struggled to stop the run all season, and that doesn't bode well for this matchup. Green Bay's running back Aaron Jones led the entire NFL with his 19 touchdowns (16 rushing TDs) and I think he'll enjoy plenty of success in this one.

The Seahawks can't put all focus on stopping Jones though, as that would open up for veteran QB Aaron Rodgers who finished the regular season with a superb 26-to-4 TD/INT ratio. Rodgers is desperate for another Super Bowl ring, with the time running out. "I'm 36, I know what this is all about. This is an important opportunity for us. I feel like I got a lot of really good years left, but you never know. A lot of things happen from year to year. We've had some great teams that have been an injury away or a play away from being special, so I want to make the most of this opportunity."

Seattle QB Russell Wilson has bailed out the team with his magic on several occasions this season, but he'll face an extremely hostile environment on Lambeau Field on Sunday. We can also note that the Wilson can't really rely on the ground game to pick up the slack with the team missing its top three running backs and GB was fairly effective stopping the run down the stretch.  

The Seahawks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Lambeau and the Packers are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

10* play on Green Bay Packers. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED DIVISIONAL ROUND TOTAL

The San Francisco 49ers defense was dominant at the start of the season but got worn down and faded down the stretch. They will be fresh and healthy following a bye week and I expect to see a low-scoring contest in their divisional-round matchup with Minnesota. 

The Vikings held Drew Brees and the Saints to 20 points in their wild-card matchup last week and the team ranks 6th in the NFL for points allowed. The Niners defense ranks second in the NFL for points allowed and no team is better at stopping the pass with the team holding opponents to 169.2 passing yards per game. 

Additionally, Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to choke in big games and I don't trust Niners' signal-caller Jimmy Garoppolo to have a big game in his first postseason outing. 

Under is 8-3-1 in Vikings last 12 playoff games. Under is 17-8-1 in Vikings last 26 games as a road underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP RATED SEAHAWKS @ EAGLES BOOKIE BREAKER

The Philadelphia Eagles won the division with a weak 9-7 record, and I'm not impressed with what I've seen of them during the regular season.

They've been beaten up on both sides of the ball all season long and I'm not sure how much gas is left in the tank for this banged up Eagles team at this point. They'll face a Seattle side that is also far from 100% healthy, but it is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 road games and the Seahawks have covered four straight matchups at Philadelphia. 

The Eagles are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog, and the Seahawks have already beaten the Eagles on the road this season, winning 17-9 in Week 12. I think we'll see a similar final score here in this first-round playoff matchup. 

10* play on Seattle Seahawks. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED VIKES @ SAINTS TOTAL

This number has moved up several points since the opener, and I disagree completely with the move. 

The Minnesota Vikings have been held to 20 points or fewer in three of their last four games, and QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to do poorly in prime time games. While this technically isn't a prime time game, he'll no doubt know that all eyes will on this game. 

Additionally, star tailback Dalvin Cook has missed the past two with a shoulder injury and the New Orleans Saints rank fourth in the NFL for rushing yards allowed.  

As for the Saints offense, they've scored 34 points or more in four straight games, but Minnesota owns a stronger D than any of the teams they faced during that stretch.

10* play on UNDER. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TITANS @ PATS BEST BET

The New England Patriots stumbled over the finishing line of the regular season. They took a 27-24 loss to Miami last time out (where a win would've earned a first-round bye nonetheless!) and they're 1-4-1 ATS over their last six games. The Pats defense is still elite, but QB Tom Brady has finally starting to look his age. 

Here they'll face a Tennessee Titans team that has heated up remarkably since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starter for Mariota in Week 7 and the Titans are 5-2 ATS over their last seven. With the momentum completely on the visitors side I think they'll give the Pats all they can handle at Foxboro this Saturday. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 17 TOTAL

The Baltimore Ravens have already clinched the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs and are as a result expected to rest their starters. I don't see their backups moving the ball well against a Pittsburgh defense that is one of the best in the league, particularly with the Steelers highly motivated and still in the race for a wild-card spot.

As for the Steelers offense, it's been lackluster all season long and ranks 30th for total yards and 26th for points scored.

The Steelers have played seven straight unders and only three of their 15 games on the season have gone over the total. 

10* play on UNDER. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED FALCONS @ BUCS BOOKIE BREAKER

The Atlanta Falcons are coming off three straight wins and they've dropped just two of their last seven games. They're 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall and I like their chances of recording an upset at Tampa Bay in the season finale Sunday afternoon. 

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers saw a four-game winning streak come to an end with a 23-20 loss to Houston last time out. QB Jameis Winston threw four interceptions to put the total at 28 for the season, just three shy of his TD count. Atlanta's defense has been decent in recent weeks and Jacksonville QB Gardner Minshew was limited to 181 yards on 13-of-31 passing last week. 

Additionally, the Bucs are 0-2-1 ATS as a home favorite on the season and Atlanta should be fired up after losing a 35-22 home loss to the Bucs in Week 12. 

10* play on Atlanta Falcons. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): EARLY RAVENS @ BROWNS *TOP PLAY*

The Baltimore Ravens rolled up 430 total yards of offense when they steamrolled the NY Jets 42-21 last week and can clinch the top seed in the AFC with a win against the Browns this Sunday. Additionally, the Ravens will be looking to avenge one of their two losses on the season after falling 40-25 at Cleveland in Week 4. Baltimore has won 10 straight since while Cleveland is having yet another disappointing season, and most recently it has lost two of its last three. There's little to no chemistry in the locker room, and I don't see how they'll be able to hang around with a red hot and motivated Ravens side. 

Ravens are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Browns are 6-22-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

10* play on Baltimore Ravens. 

GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): TOP RATED SIDE FOR DECEMBER

I absolutely love the points on the LA Rams when they visit the San Francisco 49ers Saturday night. They're in a massive bounce-back spot after taking a 44-21 beating by Dallas last Sunday, and while their playoff chances are slim to none at this point I still expect them to show up here looking to revenge a loss to their division opponent earlier in the season. 

As for the Niners, they fell to the surging Atlanta Falcons last week and are now tied with Seattle at the top of the NFC West (currently losing the tiebreaker). They face the Seahawks in a matchup likely to decide the division next week, and I think that's where their focus is, particularly with a dinged up defense (SF was without five defensive starters against the Falcons). 

10* play on LA Rams.