MIKE'S MONDAY NIGHT CARDNIALS/RAMS TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Rams two regular-season meetings saw 57 points and 53 points respectively, but I think we'll see a much tighter and lower-scoring affair when they clash in the Wildcard Round Monday night. Arizona's offense has regressed throughout the season, and both head coach Kliff Kingsbury and QB Kyler Murray will be making their postseason debuts. They gave up 38 points to Seattle in Week 18, but under is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. As for the Rams, they have an elite defense but much like the Cards, their offense is on a downward trend. Under is 17-5 in Rams last 22 games as a home favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S STEELERS/CHIEFS WILD CARD ROUND TOTAL TOP PLAY

The Pittsburgh Steelers won four of their last six games, but they sure did not do so with their offense as Big Ben has looked off all season and even more so down the stretch. The Steelers' defense has kept them in the games, and they have been particularly good against the pass. The Chiefs do not pose much of a threat on the ground, and I think KC quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be under a lot of pressure. 

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* GEORGIA/BAMA CFB CHAMPIONSHIP GAME TOTAL

Georgia's defense looked unbeatable during the regular season, but Bama still managed to score 41 points on the Bulldogs in the SEC Championship Game. 

Bama head coach Nick Saban is familiar with the Bulldogs defensive schemes as Georgia head coach Kirby Smart was Saban's defensive coordinator at Alabama for several years. I think the Bulldogs will put up their fair share of points as well though, and I like the over. 

Over is 4-0-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 Bowl Championship games. Over is 10-4-1 in Crimson Tide last 15 games in January. Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

10* play on OVER. 

TITANS/TEXANS TOTAL

The Tennessee Titans put up 34 points against Miami in their last game, and I don't think they'll have any trouble moving the ball against Houston in Week 18. The Texans were held to seven points at San Francisco in their last game, but they scored 41 points against the Chargers in their last home game. 

Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games as a road favorite and 11-3 in Titans last 14 road games. Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games as a home underdog. Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

8* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Jacksonville Jaguars gave up 50 points to the Patriots last week, but now they'll face a Colts team that has averaged only 23 points per game through its last three games. Jags QB and No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence has had a rough rookie year, and Colts' defense has played at a very high level down the stretch, giving up 0, 17, 16 and 23 points through its last four games.  

Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games overall. Under is 12-3 in Jaguars last 15 games as an underdog. Under is 11-4 in Jaguars last 15 games overall.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S SUNDAY NIGHT VIKINGS/PACKERS TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Minnesota Vikings' quarterback Kirk Cousins will not take the field after testing positive for COVID-19 and star wideout Adam Thielen was placed on injured reserve Wednesday with a left ankle injury. To have a chance to stay in the game, the Vikes' defense will have to be at its very best and I think they'll rise to the occasion. It is expected to be very cold weather at Lambeau, and I think points will come at a premium for both teams. 

8* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S BUCS/ JETS MONEYMAKER (TOTAL)

There is a good chance that the New York Jets will come out flat here, coming off their second win of the season. It is a big, big difference between taking on Jacksonville as a favorite compared to coming into a game as a double-digit dog to the reigning Super Bowl champions. Jets are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. The Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS as double-digit favorites dating back to the start of the 2020 season. 

I also like the under as I don't see the Jets putting up a lot of points against a Bucs defense that has given up a grand total of 15 points over the last two weeks. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY TAXSLAYER GATOR BOWL TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

I think the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl matchup between No. 17 Wake Forest Demon Deacons and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights will be a high-scoring affair. 

Rutgers can play freely and without pressure after replacing the No. 23 Texas A&M who had to pull out due to a combination of season-ending injuries and COVID within the program. Rutgers lost its last game 40-16 to Maryland, and here it'll face a Wake Forest team that was second in the ACC with 41.2 points scored per game. Dual-threat quarterback Sam Hartman threw for 36 touchdowns and added 11 scores on the ground. 

Defensively Wake Forest was not sharp down the stretch giving up 42 points or more in four of its last five games. 

10* play on OVER. 

IOWA STATE/CLEMSON CHEEZ-IT BOWL BOOKIE BU$TER

Both the Clemson Tigers and the Iowa State Cyclones rank top 10 nationally for total defense, but I think the bookmakers have set the total for this game too low. 

Clemson scored 30 points or more in each of its last five games, with only one of those games going under the total. Iowa State closed out the regular season with a 48-14 win against TCU and they are 6-3 to the over through their last nine games. 

8* play on OVER. 

NFL BIG BET - MIKE'S NFL WEEK 16 TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a 19-13 win against Tennessee. I think their defense will show up once again here against a Kansas City offense that has been fairly inconsistent this season. Under is 6-1-1 in Steelers' last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game and 8-3-1 in Steelers' last 12 games following a straight-up win.

In their last two games, the Chiefs have put up 49 points against the Raiders and 34 points against the Chargers (last score a touchdown in OT). The Steelers' defense is a lot better, especially against the pass, and the Chiefs are not much of a threat on the ground. Defensively, the Chiefs have gotten better throughout the season, and Pittsburgh is not winning games with its offense. 

10* play on UNDER. 

NINERS @ TITANS TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to back an angry Tennessee Titans team to snap back from a loss to Pittsburgh. They've now dropped three of their last four games and need to start picking up wins to stay clear at the top of the AFC South. 

The Niners are also in need of Ws, coming into this game with the sixth-best record in the NFC, but they might be a bit gassed out after winning two in a row and five of their past six. 

In addition to the Titans to cover the spread, I also like the under as they most likely will have to ride their defense to success. 

Under is 6-2 in Titans last 8 home games. Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* CHIEFS @ CHARGERS T.N.F. TOTAL MONEYMAKER

The Kansas City Chiefs are riding a six-game winning streak, fueled by a defense that has held opponents to 10.8 points per game during that stretch. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs have not been all that hot, a 48-9 win against the Raiders at Arrowhead last time out excluded. 

The Chargers' defense has also played reasonably well in recent weeks, and they're particularly strong against the pass. Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes has a 27-to-12 touchdown-to-interception ratio on the season, and I think he's in for a tough one here against a divisional opponent that knows him well. 

Under is 6-2 in Chiefs' last 8 games overall. Under is 11-3 in Chargers last 14 games as a home underdog. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Under is 13-8 this season in games with a total of 50 points or more and the road team favored (3-1 to the under in divisional games). 

10* play on UNDER. 

RAMS @ CARDIALS TOTAL

The Arizona Cardinals won 37-20 in LA on October 3, but I expect a much better performance from the Rams in this one. Los Angeles quarterback Matthew Stafford was 26-of-38 for 295 yards and three TDs in a win against the Jaguars last week while Kyler Murray is still finding his footing following a three-game absence because of an ankle injury.

The Rams have been money against the spread in recent years, going 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. 

In addition the Rams covering the spread, I also like the over. Over is 9-1 in Rams last 10 games as an underdog.

8* play on OVER. 

BEARS @ PACKERS SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL MONEYMAKER

The Green Bay Packers won 24-14 when these two teams clashed at Green Bay on October 17. Now we got a cold December game at Lambeau, and I fully expect this to be another low-scoring affair. The Bears are averaging only 298.8 total yards of offense (30th) and 16.8 points per game (30th). Under is 16-5 in Bears last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 7-1 in Packers last 8 games in December.

8* play on UNDER. 

RAVENS @ BROWNS TOTAL

The Cleveland Browns have alternated wins and losses through their last six games. They lost their lat game (at Baltimore mind you!), and I like the Browns to bounce back with a win coming off a loss yet again. They've had an extra week to rest and prepare coming out of their bye week while Baltimore was in a dogfight with the Steelers last week. 

Additionally, Cleveland's defense has been excellent at home, holding opponents to 256.5 yards of total offense and 4.9 yards per play. 

A well-rested Cleveland team off its bye in a revenge spot against a beat up and tired Ravens team? Yeah, I'll bite. 

In addition to Cleveland winning and covering the spread, I also like the under. The Ravens are 5-1 to the under in their road games this season. Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games as a favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S NFC MAJOR WAGER TOTAL

The Atlanta Falcons have averaged only 10.3 points per game over their last four games. They have virtually no running game, and now Matt Ryan is asked to toss the ball around in a cold and possibly windy Bank of America Stadium. The Carolina Panthers are holding opponents to 291 yards per game (2nd), but they're lacking on the other side of the ball averaging just 19.7 points per game. They've lost three of their last four games, putting up a total of only 20 points in the three losses.

These two teams combined for 32 points when they clashed in Atlanta on October 31. Under is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S NAVY VS ARMY COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOTAL 

The military academy games are almost always low-scoring affairs due to their inclination to run the ball rather than throw it, and recent meetings between Army and Navy have been no different. Each of the last 10 meetings has gone under the total, and last season's matchup saw only 15 points scored, with Navy generating 162 yards of total offense and Navy only 117 yards of total offense. 

8* play on UNDER. 

PATRIOTS @ BILLS TOTAL
The Buffalo Bills have traded wins and losses over their last six games. They're coming off a 31-6 triumph at New Orleans which means obviously means that they are due for a loss here against the Patriots Monday night! Joking aside, this is a bad time to face a New England team that is playing its best football since Brady left, coming off six straight wins SU and ATS. Additionally, The Patriots are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings in Buffalo.
I don't see many points being scored though, so I'm also recommending a bet on the under. Under is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 games as an underdog.
8* play on UNDER.  

RAVENS @ STEELERS TOTAL

The Baltimore Ravens are coming off back-to-back wins SU and ATS, but I think they're asked to cover too many points here in this matchup with AFC North rivals Pittsburgh. 

The Steelers are a fantastic 17-4-2 ATS in their last 23 games as a home underdog, and I expect them to show up here after getting humiliated at Cincinnati last week. The Ravens have struggled with consistency, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

In addition to Pittsburgh covering the spread, I think this will be a low-scoring affair. Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-3 in Steelers last 10 games as a home underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

HOUSTON/CINCINNATI TOTAL

I like the underdog No. 21 Houston here in the American Athletic Conference championship game on Saturday. No. 4 Cincinnati is an undefeated 12-0 on the season while Houston has one loss, but note that the Cougars have won 11 straight since a 38-21 loss to Texas Tech in íts season opener. The stats are very similar for both teams on both sides of the ball, and I don't think the Cougars are getting enough respect here. 

In addition to Houston covering the spread, I also like the over as both quarterbacks are capable of coming up with big plays. Over is 11-3-1 in Cougars last 15 games as a road underdog. 

8* play on OVER. 

GEORGIA/BAMA TOTAL

The Georgia Bulldogs will be looking to defend their No. 1 ranking with a win here in the Southeastern Conference championship game against Alabama on Saturday. The No. 3 Crimson Tide have one loss on the season, and it could easily have been a couple more. It was only last week they were in big, big trouble against Auburn, while Georgia shut out Georgia Tech in its last game. I expect Georgia to get the job done in a relatively high-scoring affair. 

Over is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings. Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games as a favorite.

8* play on OVER. 

RAMS @ PACKERS SIDE

The Los Angeles Rams have had an extra week to heal up and regroup from back-to-back blowout losses. In their last game, the Rams took a 31-10 loss at San Francisco. They are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.

Packers' star QB Aaron Rodgers is reportedly in 'a lot of pain' after suffering a toe injury in last Sunday's 34-31 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. "It's going to be another painful week next week," Rodgers said. "And then hopefully feel better over the bye." Here Rodgers will face a Rams defense that ranks third in the NFL with 2.9 sacks per game. 

Edit: Aaron Rodgers did not practice Friday, making him a nonparticipant all week. I think the Rams' defense will make it extremely difficult for Packers to move the ball. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON NFL BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL 

The Carolina Panthers have the No. 2 scoring defense in the NFL and they rank No. 1 against the pass. Miami ranks 31st in the league with only 77.4 rushing yards per game, so I doubt the home team will put up many points in this one. As for the Dolphins' defense, it has been playing well over the last three weeks, allowing only 9, 10, and 17 points. 

Under is 7-1 in the Panthers' last 8 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-2 in the Dolphins' last 7 games as a home underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* WEEK 12 TOTAL

The Pats defense has been excellent in recent weeks, with 6, 7, and 0 points allowed through their last three games. They now own the best scoring defense in the NFL with only 16.1 points allowed per game. 

Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in November, and here they'll host a dinged up Tennessee team that will be without its biggest threat in injured running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are averaging only 253.3 passing yards per game and they put up only 13 points in a home loss to Houston last week.

10* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S BILLS @ SAINTS THANKSGIVING EVE *BEST BET*

The Saint are unlikely to have much success moving the ball with Trevor Siemian at QB and running back Alvin Kamara at best dinged up, and most likely not even playing. The Bills have not been at their best lately, but they had allowed only 37 points over their last three games before giving up 41 to Indianapolis last time out. New Orleans' defense has given up 27, 27, 23, and 40 points through its last four games, but the Bills' offense has been inconsistent. 

Under is 5-1-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 8-0-1 in Saints last 9 Thursday games.

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER LATE ARIZONA STATE VS OREGON STATE TOTAL BAILOUT - 10:30 PM ET START

The Oregon State Beavers have found their offense, scoring 34+ points in three of their last four games and they've put up 475 yards of total offense in each of the last two. The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a 35-30 triumph at Washington. 

The Sun Devils won the season finale 46-33 last year, the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings overall and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oregon State. Over is 11-2 in Sun Devils last 13 games as a road favorite. Over is 5-1 in Beavers last 6 games as a home underdog.

8* play on OVER. 

CFB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S 10* TOTAL BEST BET

The New Mexico Lobos rank dead last in the nation with only 13.6 points per game. The Lobos have found their ground game, averaging just under 190 rushing yards per game over their last three games, but they still struggle to get scores. While New Mexico might have some success moving the ball on the ground, they'll take a lot of time off the clock which will help the under. On the defensive side of the ball, the Lobos have been totally fine, ranking 44th against the pass and 45th against the run. 

Each of Boise State's last five games has gone under the total, and they have allowed an average of only 17.4 points per game during that stretch. 

10* play on UNDER. 

SAINTS @ TITANS TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to fade a Tennessee team that has been a bit too hot lately for it to be sustainable. The Titans have won five in a row SU and ATS, the last four as underdogs, including a 28-16 triumph as a touchdown dog at LA Rams on Sunday night. They prevailed without star running back Derrick Henry who will miss this game as well, and I think the Titans will find it a lot harder to move the ball in this one. 

The Saints look primed to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Atlanta last week, and I would not be surprised if they win this one outright. 

Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 home games.

8* play on UNDER.

LIONS @ STEELERS TOTAL

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing on a short week after just barely scrambling past Chicago on Monday night football, winning by only two points as a 7-points favorite. They have a tendency of playing down to their competition, and I think the bookmakers are giving the home team way too much respect in this one. 

The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite and of their five wins on the season, only one was by more than seven points. Here they'll face a well-rested Detroit team coming out of its bye week, and while the Lions are a winless 0-8 on the season, note that they've covered the spread in 50% of their games. 

In their last game, the Lions took a 44-6 beating by Philly home in Detroit, but they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has been placed on the reserve/Covid-19 list and he is ruled out for this game. I really don't see Pittsburgh putting a lot of points on the board, and in addition to Detroit covering the spread, I also like the under.

8* play on UNDER.

FALCONS @ SAINTS TOTAL

The Saints will start Trevor Siemian under center as Jameis Winston must undergo season-ending surgery to fix a torn ACL. It's not a massive blow with the team averaging only 180.9 yards per game, but I think it will have an impact as Atlanta can really focus on stopping the run. Atlanta gave up only 19 points against Carolina last week but managed only 13 points and 213 yards of total offense themselves. 

Under is 29-11 in Falcons last 40 games in November. Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games in November. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY ARMY @ AIR FORCE NCAAF GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

I don't think the bookmakers can make the total for this Academy matchup low enough. These two teams are No. 1 and No. 2 in the nation at running the ball, but also No. 7 and No. 13 at stopping the run as their defense gets plenty of practice. We should see both teams getting stopped at midfield plenty and the clock will keep running. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS TOTAL

The Chargers are fresh off their bye week, but I still think the Pats will give them all they can handle in a low-scoring affair here at SoFi Stadium Sunday afternoon. 

Patriots head coach Bill Belichick will almost certainly try and keep the Chargers' explosive offense off the field by running the football, and NE should have good success with that approach as no team in the NFL allows more rushing yards per carry than the Chargers. 

The under is 6-1 in Patriots' last 7 games as an underdog, New England is allowing only 20.0 points per game (6th), and both teams are outside of the top 10 for pace. Additionally, we can note that the under is 5-1 in Chargers' last 6 games overall and 5-2 in Chargers' last 7 games following a bye week.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT -  MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

The Seahawks will be playing on a short week after losing 13-10 to New Orleans on Monday Night Football. Each of their last five games has gone under the total, and I don't see them putting up a big number here with Geno Smith under center. As for the Jags, they average only 19.3 points per game (27th) so even though the Seahawks defense is subpar, Jacksonville simply does not have the talent to take advantage. 

Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 8-3 in Seahawks last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on UNDER. 

BENGALS @ JETS TOTAL

The Jets are averaging only 272.3 yards of total offense per game and an NFL-worst 13.3 points per game. Here they'll face a Bengals defense that has the no. 5 scoring defense in the NFL and just held the Ravens to 17 points last week. Under is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 9-2 in Jets last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.

8* play on UNDER. 

PURDUE @ NEBRASKA TOTAL

Purdue is allowing only 16.3 points per game (9th) and 160.4 passing yards per game (5th). The Boilermakers are 6-1 to the under on the season, and I think they can contain this Nebraska offense to stay within the number and keep the final score under the posted total. Offensively, the Boilermakers can throw the football but they rarely have much success running the rock.

In their last game, the Boilermakers took a 30-13 home loss to Wisconsin but they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home and 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. The Cornhuskers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 home games.

8* play on UNDER. 

RUTGERS @ ILLINOIS TOTAL

Illinois is averaging only 18.0 points per game and the Hoosiers are 6-1-1 to the under on the season. Rutgers has been held to under 14 points in four straight games, a 21-7 loss at Northwestern last time out included. 

8* play on UNDER. 

MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

Michigan has the 10th best total defense in the nation and the 2nd best scoring defense with only 14.3 points allowed per game. Michigan State was held to 241 yards of total offense in a 20-15 win at Indiana in its last game. I fully expect to see a defensive grind between these two arch-rivals. 

10* play on UNDER. 

BEARS @ BUCS TOTAL

The Chicago Bears are 5-1 to the under on the season and they average an NFL-worst 246.2 yards of total offense per game. Their defense has been holding up though, and I think they'll be able to keep Tom Brady and the rest of the Buccaneers in check. Brady will be without two reliable weapons in tight end Rob Gronkowski (ribs) and wide receiver Antonio Brown (ankle). The Bucs are a big favorite (rightly so), and I think they'll pull away early and then keep the Bears at arms' length while controlling the clock.

8* play on UNDER. 

JETS @ PATRIOTS TOTAL

The Jets are averaging an NFL-worst 13.4 points per game while the Pats have the no. 9 scoring defense with 21.2 points per game allowed. Eight of the last 11 meetings have gone under the total, and the Pats lack offensive firepower as well. New England gave up 550+ yards and 35 points to Dallas last week, but under is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. I expect this to be a defensive grind. 

8* play on UNDER. 

CHIEFS @ TITANS TOTAL

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

In addition to the Titans covering the spread, I don't think the bookmakers can make the number for the total big enough. 

Over is 8-1 in Titans last 9 games as an underdog. Over is 26-9-1 in Titans last 36 games overall. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

8* play on OVER. 

NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - GEORGIA TECH/VIRGINIA GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 526 yards per game, which ranks fifth in the nation, and QB Brennan Armstrong leads the nation with 2,824 passing yards. Despite their impressive offensive output, they're 6-1 to the under, but I expect to see a high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Tech Saturday night. 

The Yellow Jackets have allowed a total of 79 points over their last two games, so I don't think Virginia will have any trouble to put points on the board, but as Georgia Tech is coming off its bye I expect them to put up its fair share of points as well and push the tempo when holding the ball. 

The Cavaliers shut out Duke last week, but over is 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

10* play on OVER. 

UMASS @ FLORIDA STATE TOTAL

Florida State is 4-2 to the under on the season. The Seminoles are averaging only 26.7 points per game and their 68.0 plays per game rank 88th in the nation. The Minutemen average even fewer with 63.8 plays per game, which ranks 123rd of 130 teams. UMass has played three straight unders and they held UConn to 13 points when they snapped a 16-game losing streak two weeks ago.

8* play on UNDER. 

CARDINALS @ BROWNS TOTAL

The Cardinals are coming off a 17-10 win against San Francisco. I expect to see another low-scoring affair involving Arizona as they visit Cleveland in Week 6. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is dealing with a shoulder issue while the Browns will as usual focus on running the ball, which will keep the clock moving. Under is 10-1 in Cardinals last 11 road games. Under is 7-3 in Browns last 10 games as a favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

PACKERS @ BEARS TOTAL

The Bears are 4-1 to the under on the season, much because of an offense that averages only 240 yards of total offense (32nd) and 16.8 points per game (30th). On the defensive side of the ball, the Bears have been a lot better and they held Vegas to nine points last week. The Packers have seen each of their last two games stay under the total and under is 6-2 in Packers last 8 games as a road favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

TEXANS @ COLTS TOTAL

Houston is averaging only 17.8 points per game (29th) and 282.6 yards of total offense (29th). They have put up a grand total of 31 points through their last three games. Indianapolis is coming into the game as a double-digit favorite. I think they'll run away with the game early and then keep the Texans at a distance while eating a lot of clock. 

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Vikings have put a total of only 26 points on the board through their last two games. Last week, they scored only 19 points against a Detroit team who up until then had one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Now they'll face a Carolina team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive metrics. Carolina has seen only one of its first five games of the season go over the total, and it has the third-best scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points per game. 

Both teams hope to get their star running backs (Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook) back from injuries, but I think we'll see few visits to the end zone regardless. 

Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

BILLS @ CHIEFS SUNDAY NIGHT PRIMETIME SHOWDOWN

Two of the NFL's best offenses will clash at Arrowhead when Kansas City hosts Buffalo on Sunday. I think the oddsmakers have set the total a tad too high though. 

Buffalo ranks no. 1 for several defensive metrics like total defense, passing defense, and scoring defense. Additionally, no other team has more takeaways than the Bills' 10. Buffalo shut out Houston last week, and I would not be surprised if we see KC's offense comes out a bit flat after putting up 42 points at Philadelphia last week. 

8* play on UNDER. 

BRONCOS @ STEELERS TOTAL

The Steelers are averaging only 302 yards of total offense and 16.8 points per game. Denver has the second-best scoring defense in the league, and while it has admittedly mostly faced subpar offenses, It held Baltimore to 23 points last week. Denver is banged up on the offensive side of the ball, including quarterback Teddy Bridgewater who was knocked out of the second half last week after taking a hit to the helmet. 

Under is 13-3 in Broncos last 16 games as a road favorite. Under is 23-9-1 in Steelers last 33 games as an underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

EAGLES @ PANTHERS TOTAL

The Panthers are 3-1 to the under on the season, and they are allowing only 252 yards of total offense per game (3rd) and 16.5 points per game (3rd). Sure, the only good offense they faced was Dallas last week when they gave up 36 points, but the Eagles are not the Cowboys.

Carolina star running back Christian McCaffrey is doubtful (strained hamstring) and quarterback Sam Darnold is not a guy who can carry this offense without backup. 

Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 home games.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

Miami is averaging only 252 yards of total offense per game (31st) and 15.5 points per game. The Dolphins managed only 203 yards of offense with their backup QB in a loss to Indianapolis last week and this figures to be another tough matchup for a Phins offense. 

Tampa Bay has given up a fair amount of points, but it had faced some high-octane offenses for the first three weeks prior to holding the Pats to 17 points and sub 300 yards in Week 4. The Bucs are such big favorites that they should have no reason to drive up the score. 

10* play on UNDER. 

PENN STATE @ IOWA TOTAL

Both Penn State and Iowa are 4-1 to the under on the season. The Hawkeyes rank no. 7 for total defense and they have the second-best scoring defense in the nation. Last week, they put a 51-14 beating on Maryland, but I don't see tem putting up a big number against a Penn State defense that shut out Indiana last week. Under is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 18-7-1 in Hawkeyes last 26 games as a home favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

WVU @ BAYLOR BIG 12 UNDER

Many oddsmakers are taking a clear stance for this contest, dropping the spread to under a field goal, which would suggest sharp money is coming in on the visitors. I'm happy to take the 3 points while available but would grab WVU at any number as I think they have a great chance of winning this one outright. 

Baylor (4-1) managed only 280 yards of offense in a 24-14 loss at Oklahoma State last week. The Bears are dangerous on the ground, but here they'll run into a West Virginia defense that is allowing only 87.8 rushing yards per game (11th) and 2.8 yards per carry (13th). 

The 2-3 Mountaineers could just as easily be 5-0. Even in last week's last-minute loss to Texas Tech, they outgained the Red Raiders by 78 yards while putting up 424 yards of total offense. 

In addition to WVU covering the spread, I also like the under. Under is 10-2 in Mountaineers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 12-3-1 in Mountaineers last 16 games as a road underdog. 

8* play on UNDER. 

NCAAF MAJOR WAGER - GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Buckeyes are coming off a 52-13 win at Rutgers. Over is 21-6-1 in Buckeyes last 28 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, and they should have no trouble with this Maryland team that put up just 14 points and 271 yards of total offense in a loss to Iowa last week. The Terps defense had been decent prior to that outing, and under is 7-1 in Terrapins last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

PITT @ GEORGIA TECH TOTAL

Pittsburgh is 3-1 SU and ATS and 4-0 to the over on the season, but I think Pitt will fail to cover the spread in a relatively low-scoring affair against Georgia Tech here in Week 5. 

The Yellow Jackets are coming off an impressive 45-22 upset win as a 14-point underdog to North Carolina. I doubt Georgia Tech wants to get into a shootout with Pitt though, so it'll focus on running the ball rather than throwing which will keep the clock moving. It averages a solid 199.5 rushing yards per game (38th) which could create trouble for Pitt. 

The Yellow Jackets slowed down Clemson on the road in a 14-8 loss two weeks ago, and I think they'll keep this one close. 

8* play on Georgia Tech. 

EAGLES @ COWBOYS TOTAL TOP PLAY (10*)

The Eagles have opened the season with a couple of low-scoring affairs, but I think we'll see both teams help running up the score when they visit Dallas Monday night. The Cowboys are averaging 435 yards of total offense per game (2nd), but their defense has been questionable at best, giving up 419.5 yards per game. I expect both offenses to show up in this primetime matchup. 

The Eagles took a 17-11 loss to San Francisco last week. Over is 15-6 in Eagles last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 20-9 in Eagles last 29 games as a road underdog and 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games as a home favorite.

10* play on OVER. 

BUCS @ RAMS TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Bucs are averaging a league-leading 39.5 points per game and the Rams rank fifth with 30.5 ppg, but I think the total for this game is set too high. Tampa Bay has been able to run up the score against Dallas and Atlanta, but this Rams defense is something different than they've faced so far. QB Tom Brady will be under heavy pressure by Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey and the Bucs' running game has not been much of a threat. 

8* play on UNDER. 

PANTHERS @ TEXANS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Panthers' defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL for several stats like points allowed and yards allowed per play. Offensively, Carolina has kept running back Christian McCaffrey busy, but he played in only three games last season because of injuries so playing on short rest could prove difficult. 

As for Houston's offense, QB Tyrod Taylor has suffered a rib injury and rookie Davis Mills, who started just 11 games in his final two seasons at Stanford, will replace. I expect this to be an even lower scoring affair than the total the books have posted. 

8* play on UNDER. 

COWBOYS @ CHARGERS OVER

The Cowboys lost their season opener at defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay to a last-second field goal, but there was a lot to like about how they played. At least on the offensive side of the ball, with Dak Prescott completing 42-of-58 passes for 403 yards and three touchdown passes against one INT. 

Now they'll face a high-octane offense led by Justin Herbert who threw for 337 yards and a touchdown pass in a 20-16 20-16 road victory over Washington in Week 1. Herbert could be in for a huge one as Dallas could be without two of its top pass rushers (DeMarcus Lawrence and Randy Gregory). 

I have little doubt that this will be a shootout, as Prescott keeps rolling and Herbert to face a softer defense than his Week 1 opponent. 

8* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Eagles opened the season with a 32-6 win against Atlanta. Falcons QB Matt Ryan was held to 164 passing yards on 21-of-35 passing and no touchdown passes. The Niners are coming off a shootout win at Detroit, a game where the teams were a combined 5-for-5 in the red zone. I expect a much better defensive performance from San Francisco in this one. 

Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in 49ers last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 22-8 in Eagles' last 30 home games. Under is 12-4 in Eagles last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on UNDER. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The No. 6 Clemson Tigers have allowed a total of only 13 points through their first two games of the season. Georgia Tech put up 45 points in a 28-point victory last week, but as a 20-point favorite against Kennesaw State. 

While Georgia Tech's defense has not really been tested yet, giving up only giving up 123.5 passing yards per game (8th) is impressive, and it's a better number than Clemson's 133.5 (13th) passing yards per game allowed. 

Under is 6-2-2 in Yellow Jackets last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

CINCINNATI @ INDIANA TOTAL

No. 8 Cincinnati has put up big numbers, but as massive favorites against Miami-Ohio and Murray State. This will be the Bearcats first real test of the season, and they'll face a Indiana defense that has allowed only 282.0 yards per game. 

8* play on UNDER. 

RAVENS @ RAIDERS TOTAL

The Baltimore Ravens have been easy money in the preseason for several years, and the same has been true for their season openers. Over the last four seasons, the Ravens have outscored opponents by 20, 44, 49 and 32 points respectively in their opening game. The Raiders have revamped their defense after ranking in the bottom-3 of the NFL in many statistical categories last season, but I think they'll need a couple of games to get all the new parts to fit together.

In addition to the Ravens winning and covering the spread, I also like the under. 

Under is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 road games. Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 games in Week 1. Under is 11-4 in Ravens last 15 vs. AFC.

8* play on UNDER. 

CHARGERS/WASHINGTON UNDER

Chargers' explosive offense led by reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year Justin Herbert against a Washington defense that gave up just 4.85 yards per play last season, No. 2 in the NFL. 

LA running back Austin Ekeler will either miss the game completely or be somewhat limited (hamstring injury), which means that Washington can put more focus on stopping Herbert. 

I'll take my chances with the Football Team at home, and I also like the under. 

8* play on UNDER. 

CFB TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

College Football games between two academy teams are usually low-scoring affairs, and I don't see why this matchup between the Air Force Falcons and the Navy Midshipmen would be any different. Both teams will run the ball which will keep the clock ticking, and while Navy struggled on the defensive side of the ball in its 49-7 loss to Marshall last week, Air Force does not pose the same threat. Air Force is loaded with talent and experience on defense, so the Mids won't put up many points. 

Under is 20-6 in Midshipmen last 26 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Under is 10-1 in Falcons last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games in September. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

LOUISVILLE VS OLE MISS  MONDAY NIGHT CFB BOOKIE BU$TER

Ole Miss ranked in the top-20 in the FBS in several different categories for offense last year, but I think the total is a bit inflated here in the Rebels season opener. Louisville ranked 49th in scoring defense and 39th in total defense last season, and while the Cardinals have lost some starters, I still think their defense will hold against a rusty Ole Miss offense. Both teams are returning their starting QBs, yet another reason for the books to give us a big number, and I think they've overadjusted.

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* BAMA @ MIAMI-FL BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL

The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming into the season opener against Miami-Florida as a sizeable favorite. That Bama will come out ahead is a foregone conclusion, but I think they'll win with their defense rather than their offense. Bryce Young is taking over at quarterback to replace Mac Jones, and with only three returning starters on offense, it might take a couple of games for their offense to click. Defensively though, Bama looks solid with seven starters back, led by linebackers Will Anderson Jr. and Christian Harris and cornerback Josh Job.

10* play on UNDER. 

NORTH CAROLINA @ VIRGINIA TECH BOOKIE BU$TER

These two teams met in October last year, a game the Tar Heels won 56-45. I think that result combined with North Carolina's returning QB, Heisman Trophy candidate Sam Howell, has made the bookmakers posting a way inflated total for this contest.

The Hokies have lost last year’s starters at quarterback and running back. The Tar Heels have lost two receivers (Dyami Brown and Dazz Newsome) and two running backs (Michael Carter and Javonte Williams) to the NFL Draft. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

The oddsmakers have the Kansas City Chiefs as a three-point favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl. I think the value is on the underdog. While the Chiefs have an edge offensively, the Bucs defense is one of the best in the league and going against Tom Brady in big games is rarely a winning proposition. We can also note that Tampa Bay has home field advantage, and even though there will be a limited amount of fans at the game, at least they are very familiar with the stadium. 

Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

In addition to the Bucs to cover the number, I also think they'll keep it relatively low-scoring and see value on the under. 

8* play on UNDER.

OHIO STATE VS ALABAMA CFP CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BEST OF THE BEST

The Alabama Crimson Tide limited Notre Dame to 14 points in their semi-finals matchup, but here they'll face a much more accomplished offense in Ohio State. 

The Buckeyes put up 49 points on Clemson, and QB Juston Fields completed 22-of-28 passes for 385 yards and six TDs against only one INT. Bama is an elite team, but it ranks only 76th in the nation against the pass. The Buckeyes are even worse at 103rd in the country, and they gave up 400 passing yards to Tigers' Trevor Lawrence in the win last week. I think we'll see both QBs air it out and drive up the score. 

This is a massive number, but the bookies just can't make it big enough IMO.

10* MAX BET on OVER. 

BROWNS @ STEELERS 8* NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL

These two teams clashed only a week ago, a must-win game for Cleveland who also ended up winning 24-22. The Steelers rested several starters, among them Ben Roethlisberger, center Maurkice Pouncey, linebacker T.J. Watt and defensive tackle Cam Heyward. They will be back for this contest. 

Cleveland is 9-7 to the over on the season, but I think this will be a relatively low-scoring affair. The Browns know they'll have to run the football as they're unlikely to have much success against the Steelers No. 3 pass defense, and I think both teams will chew a decent amount of clock during their drives. 

Both teams rank below league average for pace, and three of the last four head-to-head meetings have gone under the total. 

8* play on UNDER. 

BEARS @ SAINTS 8* TOTAL

New Orleans is clearly the superior football team in this matchup, but this is just too many points to give up in a playoff game. 

The Bears might look like they are stumbling into the playoffs after getting humiliated by Green Bay in the regular-season finale, but they had won three straight prior to that. Sure, they were beating up on mostly unmotivated teams (Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville), but so did the Saints as well as they closed out the reg season on a 2-0 run (against Minnesota and Carolina). 

These two teams clashed back in November, a game the Saints won 26-23 in overtime. We can also note that Chicago had Nick Foles at quarterback in that one, and they've looked much better of late with Mitch Trubisky back under center. 

Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite, and I see this being a one-score game. 

I also think it will be low-scoring. Under is 7-2 in Bears last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 12-5 in Bears last 17 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

8* play on UNDER.

WILD CARD ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR ~ RAMS @ SEAHAWKS 10* TOTAL

This is a low number, but note that NFL games with a total lower than 45 points went 37-17 (68.5%) to the under this season. 

As for these two teams, the Rams are 12-4 to the under on the season and they rank No. 1 for scoring defense and passing yards allowed while Seattle's defense has quietly been one of the best in the league over the last month. Through their last four games, the Seahawks have allowed, 3, 15, 9 and 23 points.

In the two regular season meetings between these two teams we saw 39 and 29 points scored. I expect this to be another low-scoring affair, especially as Rams' QB Jared Goff won't be 100% if he even suits up at all. 

10* game of the year top play on UNDER. 

*MAJOR WAGER ALERT* NFL TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR - REG SEASON 

The Cincinnati Bengals offense has come alive here at the end of the season, putting up a combined 64 points in back-to-back wins over Pittsburgh and Houston. Quarterback Brandon Allen threw for a career-high 371 yards and two touchdown in a 37-31 win at Houston last week. 

Their defense remains a liability though, and here they'll face a Ravens side that has averaged 37 ppg through a four-game winning streak. 

The Ravens need a win to have a shot at a playoff berth, so there's no question whether they will bring it or not while the Bengals would love nothing more than to play spoiler for their division-rival. 

10* play on OVER. 

Big game from the NFC West with division-leading 10-4 Seattle Seahawks hosting 2nd-placed 9-5 Los Angeles Rams.

The Rams were humiliated in a loss to the at that point winless NY Jets last week, quite possibly getting caught looking ahead for this game. Rams are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight-up loss and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. They are also  8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC West rivals.

The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. NFC West and have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four overall. Last week they put up just 250 yards of total offense in a 20-15 win over Washington, and here they'll face a Rams defense that ranks #1 in the NFL for total defense.

In addition to the Rams covering the spread, I also like this game to go under the total.

Under is 9-2 in Rams last 11 games overall. Under is 6-2 in Rams last 8 vs. NFC. Under is 6-0 in Seahawks last 6 games overall. Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last 5 vs. NFC.

8* play on UNDER.

VIKES @ SAINTS CHRISTMAS DAY NFL 10* TOP PLAY

The Saints' QB Drew Brees is less than 100% dealing with rib and lung injuries and he'll be without a major weapon in All-Pro receiver Michael Thomas who is on injured reserve. I think they (much like the Vikes) will run the ball a lot which will eat a lot of time off the clock. 

The Saints defense is elite and ranks fourth against the run, bad news for the Vikes who go as running back Dalvin Cook goes. 

Under is 6-2 in Vikings last 8 road games. Under is 7-2 in Saints last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

10* play on UNDER. 

HAWAII VS HOUSTON NEW MEXICO BOWL 8* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

Hawaii is a tough team to beat on the island. On the mainland, not so much, and the Rainbow Warriors can't be too excited about this traveling spot as they head to Frisco, Texas to take on the Houston Cougars in the New Mexico Bowl on Christmas Eve.

Note that Hawaii averaged 26.0 ppg on the season overall, but only 17.0 ppg on the road while allowing 28.0 ppg. Houston put up 38.0 ppg through its road games.

The Cougars have lost their last three bowl games, which I think will make the players all the more excited to claim this one. 

Under is 4-1 in Rainbow Warriors last 5 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.

In addition to Houston covering the spread, I also think we'll see this game go under the total. 

Under is 4-1 in Rainbow Warriors last 5 games as an underdog. Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY 8* BUCS @ FALCONS NFL TOTAL

The Atlanta Falcons have been held to 17 points or fewer in three of their last four games, all going under the total. They are 10-2 to the under in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and in this game, they'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team with an elite defense. Last time out, the Bucs held Minnesota to 14 points and fewer than 300 total yards. While Tampa Bay is capable of putting up big numbers, keep in mind that Atlanta's defense has improved a lot under interim coach Raheem Morris.

8* play on UNDER. 

PATRIOTS @ RAMS THURSDAY NIGHT NFL TOTAL

The New England Patriots are back in contention for a wild card after winning four of their last five games. Last week they put a 45-0 beating on the Chargers in Inglewood and wisely decided to stay on the West Coast for this Thursday night contest against the LA Rams. 

Still, playing on the road on a short week is never easy, and this will be a much tougher matchup against a Rams side that will be looking to avenge a 13-3 loss to the Pats in Super Bowl LIII. The Pats are not the dominant force they used to be, and I sense a possible letdown game after last week's rout.

Additionally, note that while the Patriots defense has stepped up its game in recent weeks, they're still mediocre at best on offense while the Rams rank top three in the NFL for both total offense and total defense. 

Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.

In addition to the Rams winning and covering the spread, I also like the under. 

Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall. Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games as an underdog. Under is 7-2 in Rams last 9 games overall. Under is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games as a home favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

FAU @ SOUTHERN MISS THURSDAY NIGHT 8* NCAAF BOOKIE BU$TER

The Florida Atlantic Owls are 6-1 to the under on the season and they own one of the best defensive units in the nation, allowing only 299.6 yards of total offense per game. 

Tonight they'll face a Southern Miss team that has put up a total of only 27 points through its last two games and each of the Golden Eagles' last four games has gone under the total. 

While the Owls are elite on the defensive side of the ball, they clearly lack an explosive offense and are averaging only 18.4 points per game. While this is a low number for a college football game, it's set this low for a reason and I still like the under in this matchup.

8* play on UNDER. 

WASHINGTON @ PITTSBURGH 8* NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers are averaging 28.8 points per game (6th) on the season, despite ranking only 21st for total offense. They tend to play down to their competition and have scored a total of only 46 points through their last two games, against the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars and a shorthanded Baltimore team.

Washington meanwhile is coming off a 41-16 win over Dallas, but such outings have been few and far between for this squad who averages only 21.9 ppg on the season. 

Both defenses rank in the top five of the NFL for total defense, and the Steelers are #1 for points allowed giving up only 17.1 ppg. 

Under is 7-1 in Football Team last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 37-14-1 in Steelers last 52 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

8* play on Washington Football Team. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL) - PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS 10* TOP PLAY

The Los Angeles Chargers have an impressive QB in Justin Herbert, but if we exclude a 34-28 win over the Jets on Nov 22, then the Chargers have put up an average of only 21.3 ppg over their last three games. Perhaps teams are starting to figure out how to stop the rookie, and I think Herbert and the rest of Chargers offense will face a tough test here against New England. 

Sure, the Pats offense is not what it used to be with Brady under center, but you better believe Belichick will make sure their defense is still serviceable. Note that they were outgained 298-179 in total yards by Arizona last week, but still managed to grind out a 20-17 victory. Over their last three games, the Patriots have now allowed an average of 20.3 ppg while their offense is putting up just 20.8 ppg on the season. 

The Chargers are 3-8 SU on the season, 2-3 at home. Under is 11-2 in Patriots last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 14-6 in Patriots last 20 vs. a team with a losing record overall. Under is 13-6 in Chargers last 19 home games. 

10* play on UNDER. 

COLTS @ TEXANS 8* NFL BOOKIE BOMBER TOTAL

The Indianapolis Colts took a 45-26 beating by Tennessee last week. The Titans did most of their damage on the ground though, and I think the Colts' defense will bounce back here against a much less dangerous opponent in the Houston Texans. 

While the Texans put up 41 points in a win over Detroit last week, in this matchup they'll face a Colts defense that ranks sixth for total defense, fifth against the pass, and seventh against the run. 

Houston has virtually no running game, and I expect the Colts to be able to slow down Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson effectively. Additionally, note that Houston wide receiver Will Fuller (53 receptions, 879 yards, and eight touchdowns) has been suspended for six games under NFL's PED policy. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SEAHAWKS @ EAGLES 8* MONDAY NIGHT NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Seattle Seahawks rank dead last for total defense over the season, but they've played rather well on the defensive side of the ball in recent weeks. On Nov 15 they held the Rams to 16 points and 277 yards of total offense and last time out they limited Arizona to 21 points and 380 yards of total offense. Here they'll take on a reeling Philadelphia team that has scored just 17 points in its last two games, losses to the Giants and the Browns. 

The Eagles rank 26th for total offense, but their defense is decent and they rank 6th in the NFL against the pass and second in sacks with 34.  

Under is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 9-4 in Seahawks last 13 games as a road favorite. Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall. Under is 20-7 in Eagles last 27 home games. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

8* play on UNDER. 

49ERS @ RAMS 8* NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER TOTAL

The Los Angeles Rams rank #1 for total defense allowing 291.9 yards per game and they are 7-3 to the under on the season. Last time out, the Rams gave up 24 points to Tampa Bay, but they limited the Bucs to an impressive 251 yards of total offense and picked off Tom Brady twice. 

Here they'll take on a reeling San Francisco team that has lost three straight and has put up a total of only 30 points through its last two games. Defensively the Niners can hold their own though, ranking 7th in the NFL for total defense allowing only 315.9 ypg for the season. 

Under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games as a home favorite.

In addition to the under, I also like the Rams to win by at least a touchdown. They'll be super motivated entering Sunday tied with Seattle at the top of the NFC West, and they'll be looking to avenge a 24-16 loss to the Niners at Levi's Stadium back in October.

8* play on UNDER. 

CHARGERS @ BILLS 8* NFL BOOKIE BOMBER TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to back a hyper-motivated Buffalo Bills side that is entering the week with a one-game lead over the Miami Dolphins at the top of the AFC East standings. They've had extra time to heal up and prepare as they are coming off their bye week, and they'll be looking to get back on track after taking a heartbreaking loss at Arizona on November 15 last time out. 

The Los Angeles Chargers meanwhile snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over the NY Jets last time out, but they still failed to cover the 10-point spread. They are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight-up win and 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall. With virtually no shot at making the playoffs and now traveling across the country, I don't think they can muster up the motivation to keep up with the Bills in this one.

Buffalo has put up 74 points through its last two games and they are 7-2-1 to the over on the season. The Chargers have averaged a healthy 29.7 points per game over their last seven contests with each of those seven games going over the total. 

8* play on OVER. 

EARLY PENN STATE @ MICHIGAN 8* NCAAF TOTAL BOOKIE BOMBER

This season is pretty much a write off for both the Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan Wolverines as the teams are heading into the weekend with a combined 2-8 record. 

Penn State is a winless 0-5 SU and ATS and has averaged only 24.6 points per game. Michigan is 2-3 SU (1-4 ATS) and averages 30.6 points per game. It won 48-42 at Rutgers last time out, but note that 13 of its points were scored in overtime. 

Sure, neither team is looking very good defensively either allowing 36.0 points per game, but I don't see either side reaching 30 points in this one. 

Michigan has at least shown signs of life and the home team has won each of the last four meetings in this series, which is why I like the Wolverines and the under in this contest. 

8* play on Michigan. 

EAGLES @ BROWNS 8* NFL BOOKIE BOMBER TOTAL

The 3-5-1 (3-6 ATS) Philadelphia Eagles took a 27-17 loss as a 5-point favorite against the New York Giants last week. On paper, it looked like a perfect spot for the Eagles as they were coming off a bye and facing a Giants team off a win against Washington, but this Eagles team has shown time and time again that it can not be trusted to show up when it should. 

The 6-3 (3-6 ATS) Cleveland Browns are coming off an ugly 10-7 win against Houston, but the bad weather was a big factor. Their defense has been solid in recent weeks, while offensively they rely on their running game which should thrive against the Eagles' 26th-ranked run defense. 

Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

In addition to Cleveland winning the game straight up and cover the spread, I think this will be a low-scoring affair. 

Under is 12-2 in Eagles last 14 games in November. Under is 4-1 in Browns last 5 games in November. Under is 11-4-1 in Browns last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

8* play on UNDER. 

VIRGINIA TECH @ PITTSBURGH BOOKIE BLA$TER TOTAL

The Pittsburgh Panthers look like a solid home dog in this matchup with Virginia Tech. The Hokies have lost back-to-back games and three of their last four. The Hokies have decent success running the football, but that might not be the case here against the #2 run defense in the nation. 

Pittsburgh snapped a four-game skid with a dominant 41-17 triumph at FSU two weeks ago, a game where QB Kenny Picket was back under center after missing a couple of games. Last week's scheduled game against Georgia Tech got postponed after an unknown number of Pitt players tested positive for Covid-19. Pitt did however have limited practice this week, and I think they'll come out well-rested and energized for this contest. 

In addition to Pittsburgh covering the spread, I expect this game to be of the low-scoring variety. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SUBSCRIBERS ONLY TOTAL

The Arkansas Razorbacks are coming off a 63-53 loss at Florida. I don't think this contest will see nearly as many points, with the Razorback looking for a better defensive performance and facing an LSU team that put up just 11 points in a loss at Auburn on Halloween in their last game. LSU's offense is likely to be rusty after the extended break, and we can note that the under is 4-0 in Razorbacks last 4 games as a home underdog.

Additionally, I also like Arkansas to win this one. Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Razorbacks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY SUN BELT BOOKIE BLA$TER TOTAL

The #15 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS on the season. 

The Chanticleers come into Week 12 well-rested as last week's scheduled matchup with Troy was postponed due to COVID-19 issues. They'll face an App State team that is 6-1 SU on the season, but only 1-6 ATS. 

Last time out, the Mountaineers won only 17-13 as an 18-point favorite over Georgia State. Senior QB Zac Thomas took a hit on the sideline at the end of a scramble and is considered a game-time decision for this contest. 

I don't see App State being able to keep pace with a Coastal Carolina team that has been dominant on both sides of the ball. 

Coastal Carolina is averaging 37.9 points per game, and I think the home team will run up the score allowing us to cash two tickets at once, both the side and the total. 

8* play on OVER. 

NINERS @ SAINTS BOOKIE BOMBER TOTAL 

This contest features two teams in very different spots, with the San Francisco 49ers off a humiliating home loss to Green Bay on Thursday night while the New Orleans Saints put a 38-3 beating on the Bucs on Sunday night. I think this sets up a perfect buy low, sell high spot here, selling the Saints in a potential letdown spot while buying an angry and disappointed Niners side with extra time to prepare. Additionally, the 49ers are getting healthy after dealing with a ton of injuries over the last couple of weeks. 

49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

In addition to the Niners covering the spread, I also like the under. Note that both teams take 28+ seconds per snap on average which rank in the bottom 10 of the NFL. 

Under is 6-2-1 in 49ers last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

8* play on UNDER. 

PATRIOTS @ JETS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER

The New York Jets have scored a total of 29 points over their last four games while the New England Patriots have been held to a total of 49 points over their last four games. I really don't think the bookmakers can set the total low enough here. 

Under is 15-6 in Patriots last 21 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games in November. Under is 5-0 in Jets last 5 games as an underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

SUBSCRIBERS ONLY

The Buffalo Bills have failed to cover the spread in four straight games and their offense has cooled off significantly since a hot start to the year, averaging only 18.9 ppg over their last four games. 

While Seattle admittedly has a lot of issues defensively I don't see Buffalo being able to capitalize, and on the other side of the ball, the Seahawks have been cooking all season long and they own the best scoring offense in the NFL. 

Additionally, the Bills are coming off a hard-fought divisional win against the Patriots who pushed them to the limit while the Seahawks had a much easier week, convincingly handling the Niners.  

Seahawks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bills are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

In addition to Seattle winning and covering the spread, I also like this game to go over the total as the Seahawks should rack up plenty of points. 

8* play on OVER. 

MARYLAND @ PENN STATE 8* NCAAF TOTAL BOOKIE BA$HER

The Maryland Terrapins are dead last in the Big Ten in total defense and have surrendered 43 points and 44 points in their first two games of the season. Last time out, they rolled up 675 yards of total offense in a 45-44 OT win against Minnesota. I think we'll see another high-scoring contest involving Maryland as they square off with Penn State this Saturday. 

The Nittany Lions should be ready to roll after putting up just 325 yards of offense in a 38-25 loss to Ohio State last time out. They lost their season opener 36-35 in OT at Indiana, so getting back on track here is of utmost importance for the Lions. 

"If you aren't motivated off two losses, with our backs against the wall, if you are just going to fold and say, 'Alright, next year,' I don't want you here," said Penn State quarterback Sean Clifford. "I'm not going to pack it up, blame it on COVID. That's not how I operate. That's not how the people around me operate. We are going to get back on track."

8* play on OVER. 

ARIZONA STATE @ USC 8* NCAAF BOOKIE BOMBER

The USC Trojans host the Arizona State Sun Devils this Saturday which for the start of the 2020 Pac-12 Conference football season. The last three head-to-head meetings have gone over the total, including a 31-26 USC win with the total closing at 54 points last year. I expect a shootout with an even higher final score this time around. 

USC ranked No. 2 for total offense in the PAC in 2019 averaging 454 yards per game, and it returns several starters on offense, including QB Kedon Slovis (30:9 TD to INT ratio last year) and wide receivers Amon-Ra St. Brown and Tyler Vaughns. 

As for Arizona State, its offense should be improved from last year and returns dual-threat sophomore quarterback Jayden Daniels who averaged 8.7 passing yards per attempt and finished last year with an impressive 17:2 TD to INT ratio. The Sun Devils defense was among the best in the PAC 12 in 2019, but slowing down the Trojans powerhouse air raid offense won't be easy. 

Over is 4-1 in Sun Devils last 5 conference games. Over is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 conference games.

8* play on OVER. 

BALL STATE @ MIAMI-OH WEDNESDAY NIGHT NCAAF BOOKIE BU$TER

This is the season opener for both teams as the MAC kicks off this week, and I think the game has all the signs of a shootout.

The Ball State Cardinals' offense was among the best in the conference in 2019, averaging 34.8 ppg, but they struggled on the defensive side of the ball allowing allowed 31.4 ppg. Quarterback Drew Plitt returns under center as well as running back Caleb Huntley and two of the team's top three receivers. 

As for the Miami (Ohio) Redhawks, they return most of last year’s offense and sophomore QB Brett Gabbert should have a good year with some experience under his belt, and he couldn't ask for a much better start than facing the Cardinal's porous defense.

Ball State was 9-2-1 to the over of this total of 55 points last year won the 2019 head-to-head matchup with Miami (Ohio) 41-27. 

8* play on OVER. 

BUCS @ GIANTS - MONDAY NIGHT BOOKIE BU$TER

The New York Giants are 5-2 to the under on the season and they rank near the bottom of the league for most offensive metrics. They average only 17.4 points per game, and here they'll face one of the best defenses in the league as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are holding opponents to a league-best 291.3 yards per game while allowing only 20.3 points per game. 

The Giants have been decent on the defensive side of the football most of the season and have conceded a total of just 41 points over their last two games. 

I expect the Bucs to take an early lead and then control the clock and bleed time to get out of New York ASAP so they can prepare for next week's matchup with New Orleans. 

8* play on UNDER. 

SAINTS VS BEARS 8* NFL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Chicago Bears are 5-2 to the under on the season and Nick Foles has hardly been any better than Mitch Trubisky since taking over as starting quarterback. 

Still, the Bears are 5-2 SU have managed to rack up wins with a defense that has held opponents to 20 points per game, and I think they'll be able to slow down this otherwise high-scoring Saints side who are 6-0 to the over on the season. 

The Saints secondary is underwhelming, but I doubt the Bears can take advantage and it will be cold and windy at Soldier Field, far from ideal conditions for a shootout. 

8* play on UNDER-. 

STEELERS @ RAVENS 8* NFL BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Baltimore Ravens usually have decent success running the football, but here they'll run into the best defensive line in the NFL. The Steelers are holding opponents a league-best 286.3 yards a game and an average of 68.8 rushing yards per game. Just last week, they held the Titans' Derrick Henry to 75 yards on 20 attempts (3.75 rypa. I am confident this will be an ugly, physical AFC North battle. 

Under is 20-6-1 in Steelers last 27 games as an underdog. Under is 6-2 in Ravens last 8 games as a favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

FALCONS VS PANTHERS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOP PLAY

The Carolina Panthers (3-4) host the Atlanta Falcons (1-6) in a battle between NFC South teams Thursday night. I think we have several reasons to believe that the final score for this contest will go under the total.

Atlanta is allowing 29.6 points per game on the season, but it has held its opponent to 23 points in three straight games, including a 23-16 loss to Carolina in Week 5. 

The Falcons are a pass-heavy team, but the Panthers rank 10th in the NFL against the pass. 

Carolina has really struggled o move the ball on the ground in recent weeks, and here it'll face an Atlanta defense that ranks 6th in the NFL against the pass. The Panthers will have to rely on QB Teddy Bridgewater to move the sticks, but he can only do so much without a rushing threat to take some of the pressure off of him. 

The Panthers rank 25th in the NFL for points scored per game, averaging only 23.1 ppg, and with this being a Thursday night game, both teams have had less time than usual to come up with creative game-plans on offense. 

Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 Thursday games and 5-1 in their last 6 games in October.

10* play on UNDER 49.5 points.