SUNDAY NIGHT CBB TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER

The Villanova Wildcats are 4-1 to the over while averaging a healthy 82.6 points per game, but I think the oddsmakers are giving us too high of a total here for Sunday's matchup with La Salle. I think the No. 7-ranked Wildcats will take this opportunity to focus on defense, especially following a sloppy performance in a loss at Purdue last time out. La Salle meanwhile will be looking to build on a solid defensive outing against Army in its last game, where it held the Black Knights to 58 points on 19-of-69 (31%) shooting. 

8* play on UNDER. 

RAMS @ PACKERS SIDE

The Los Angeles Rams have had an extra week to heal up and regroup from back-to-back blowout losses. In their last game, the Rams took a 31-10 loss at San Francisco. They are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.

Packers' star QB Aaron Rodgers is reportedly in 'a lot of pain' after suffering a toe injury in last Sunday's 34-31 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. "It's going to be another painful week next week," Rodgers said. "And then hopefully feel better over the bye." Here Rodgers will face a Rams defense that ranks third in the NFL with 2.9 sacks per game. 

Edit: Aaron Rodgers did not practice Friday, making him a nonparticipant all week. I think the Rams' defense will make it extremely difficult for Packers to move the ball. 

8* play on UNDER. 

WARRIORS @ CLIPPERS TOTAL

The Golden State Warriors are 17-2 SU and 14-4-1 against the spread on the season. They have the best scoring defense in the league with only 100.9 points allowed per game on average, and the Clippers are averaging only 106.0 points per game. The Clippers have lost three of their last five straight up, despite closing as favorites in each game. In their last game, the Clippers defeated Detroit 107-96 but they are only 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games as a road favorite. Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT - MIKE'S TOP-RATED 10* WEEK 12 TOTAL

The Pats defense has been excellent in recent weeks, with 6, 7, and 0 points allowed through their last three games. They now own the best scoring defense in the NFL with only 16.1 points allowed per game. 

Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in November, and here they'll host a dinged up Tennessee team that will be without its biggest threat in injured running back Derrick Henry. The Titans are averaging only 253.3 passing yards per game and they put up only 13 points in a home loss to Houston last week.

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON NFL BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL 

The Carolina Panthers have the No. 2 scoring defense in the NFL and they rank No. 1 against the pass. Miami ranks 31st in the league with only 77.4 rushing yards per game, so I doubt the home team will put up many points in this one. As for the Dolphins' defense, it has been playing well over the last three weeks, allowing only 9, 10, and 17 points. 

Under is 7-1 in the Panthers' last 8 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-2 in the Dolphins' last 7 games as a home underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

5* play on OVER. 

5* play on OVER. 

5* play on OVER. 

MIKE'S BILLS @ SAINTS THANKSGIVING EVE *BEST BET*

The Saint are unlikely to have much success moving the ball with Trevor Siemian at QB and running back Alvin Kamara at best dinged up, and most likely not even playing. The Bills have not been at their best lately, but they had allowed only 37 points over their last three games before giving up 41 to Indianapolis last time out. New Orleans' defense has given up 27, 27, 23, and 40 points through its last four games, but the Bills' offense has been inconsistent. 

Under is 5-1-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 8-0-1 in Saints last 9 Thursday games.

10* play on UNDER. 

HAWKS @ SPURS TOTAL

The Spurs are averaging 117.0 points per game home at AT&T Center, but also allowing 115.3 points per game. They're coming into this game on a slide, having lost five in a row straight up and they had failed to cover the spread in four straight prior to just barely covering the number in a loss to Phoenix last time out. The Hawks routed the Thunder last time out. They are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Over is 9-4 in Hawks last 13 games as a road favorite. Over is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 games as a home underdog.

8* play on OVER. 

PACERS @ BULLS TOTAL

The Chicago Bulls are allowing only 102.0 points per game home at United Center and under is 10-4 in Bulls last 14 games as a home favorite. The Pacers are averaging only 100.5 points per game as underdogs and the under is 5-0 in Pacers' last 5 games as an underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

THUNDERS @ HAWKS TOTAL

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 12-4 to the under on the seas, and they are averaging only 98.6 points per game, which drops to 95.3 ppg on the road. The Hawks are allowing only 104.1 ppg home at State Farm Arena. Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 home games and 14-6 in Hawks last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 65-28-1 in Thunder last 94 games as a road underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* HORNETS @ WIZARDS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY

Each of the last four head-to-head meetings has gone under the total, a 97-87 Hornets win at Charlotte last week included. 

I think the oddsmakers have set the total too high once again when the teams clash in Washington Monday night. The Wizards are a slow-paced team, entering this contest with the third-lowest pace factor (the number of possessions a team uses per game) in the NBA, and the under is 8-1 in Wizards' last 9 overall. 

Charlotte is playing at a faster pace, but note that the under is 14-6 in Hornets' last 20 games as a road underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

SUPER LATE ARIZONA STATE VS OREGON STATE TOTAL BAILOUT - 10:30 PM ET START

The Oregon State Beavers have found their offense, scoring 34+ points in three of their last four games and they've put up 475 yards of total offense in each of the last two. The Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a 35-30 triumph at Washington. 

The Sun Devils won the season finale 46-33 last year, the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings overall and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Oregon State. Over is 11-2 in Sun Devils last 13 games as a road favorite. Over is 5-1 in Beavers last 6 games as a home underdog.

8* play on OVER. 

JAZZ @ KINGS TOTAL

The Jazz are 10-5 to the under on the season and the Kings are 10-5-1 to the under. Under is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-1 in Kings last 8 home games.

8* play on UNDER. 

CFB GAME OF THE YEAR ALERT - MIKE'S 10* TOTAL BEST BET

The New Mexico Lobos rank dead last in the nation with only 13.6 points per game. The Lobos have found their ground game, averaging just under 190 rushing yards per game over their last three games, but they still struggle to get scores. While New Mexico might have some success moving the ball on the ground, they'll take a lot of time off the clock which will help the under. On the defensive side of the ball, the Lobos have been totally fine, ranking 44th against the pass and 45th against the run. 

Each of Boise State's last five games has gone under the total, and they have allowed an average of only 17.4 points per game during that stretch. 

10* play on UNDER. 

PELS @ PACERS TOTAL

The Pelicans are 12-4-1 to the under on the season and the Pacers are 11-6 to the under. The Pels will be playing on no rest after taking a 94-81 loss to the Clippers last night. Under is 7-1 in Pelicans last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. The Pacers will also be playing on no rest after taking a 121-118 loss at Charlotte last night. Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a straight up loss.

8* play on UNDER. 

THUNDER @ BUCKS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Oklahoma City Thunder are a combined 22-7 to the under on the season. The Thunder have been held to 96, 90 and 101 points through their last three games. Under is 16-5-1 in Bucks last 22 games as a home favorite. Under is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 games as an underdog. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.

8* play on UNDER. 

NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* TOTAL GAME OF THE WEEK

The Golden State Warriors will be playing the second leg of a back-to-back set after winning 104-89 at Cleveland last night. They are 10-4 to the under in their last 14 games playing on 0 days rest and under is 13-3 in Warriors last 16 games as a road favorite. The Detroit Pistons are averaging only 92.2 points per game. They are 24-15 to the under when their opponent plays on 0 rest, dating back to the start of last season, and under is 9-2-1 in Pistons last 12 games as a home underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Orlando Magic are averaging only 99.9 points per game (28th). They put up 111 points at Atlanta last time out, but here they'll face a tough Knicks team that held Indiana to 37% shooting from the field in a 92-84 win a couple of days ago. The Knicks are holding opponents to 43.0% shooting on the season (5th), and under is 4-0 in Knicks last 4 games as a favorite.

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings at Madison Square Garden.

10* play on UNDER. 

NBA MAJOR WAGER ALERT - EAST/WEST TOTAL GAME OF THE YEAR

The Golden State Warriors and the Brooklyn Nets boast some of the most prolific scorers in the league, but these are also two teams that can turn it up on the defensive end. 

The Warriors have the best defensive rating (number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) in the league and Brooklyn has the fourth-best rating. 

I think the betting market got this total all wrong. 

Under is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 overall. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 7-1-1 in Nets last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

We saw only 190 points when theese two teams clashed here at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse a couple of days ago. The total for that game closed at 202 points, and I don't think the bookmakers have adjusted enough. 

Up until this point of the season, only one contest has closed with a total of 200 points or lower. That was back on November 10 when Cleveland hosted Washington, a game the Cavs lost 97-93. 

The Cavs boast the second-best scoring defense in the league, and they are in the bottom 10 for pace with only 99.3 possessions per game while Boston is right there as well with 99.1 possessions per game.

10* play on UNDER. 

TEXAS STATE @ VANDERBILT NCAAB TOTAL BOOKIE BU$TER

Texas State is 2-0 to the over on the season, but the Bobcats put up only 59 points in a loss to LSU last time out. Vanderbilt opened the season with a 91-72 win over Alabama State, but I doubt they can run up the score like that here against a Texas State team that usually plays at a slow tempo. Under is 5-2 in Bobcats last 7 games as an underdog. Under is 4-0 in Bobcats last 4 Sunday games. Under is 13-5-1 in Commodores last 19 Sunday games.

8* play on UNDER. 

SAINTS @ TITANS TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to fade a Tennessee team that has been a bit too hot lately for it to be sustainable. The Titans have won five in a row SU and ATS, the last four as underdogs, including a 28-16 triumph as a touchdown dog at LA Rams on Sunday night. They prevailed without star running back Derrick Henry who will miss this game as well, and I think the Titans will find it a lot harder to move the ball in this one. 

The Saints look primed to snap back from a disappointing home loss to Atlanta last week, and I would not be surprised if they win this one outright. 

Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games as a road underdog. Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 home games.

8* play on UNDER.

LIONS @ STEELERS TOTAL

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing on a short week after just barely scrambling past Chicago on Monday night football, winning by only two points as a 7-points favorite. They have a tendency of playing down to their competition, and I think the bookmakers are giving the home team way too much respect in this one. 

The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite and of their five wins on the season, only one was by more than seven points. Here they'll face a well-rested Detroit team coming out of its bye week, and while the Lions are a winless 0-8 on the season, note that they've covered the spread in 50% of their games. 

In their last game, the Lions took a 44-6 beating by Philly home in Detroit, but they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has been placed on the reserve/Covid-19 list and he is ruled out for this game. I really don't see Pittsburgh putting a lot of points on the board, and in addition to Detroit covering the spread, I also like the under.

8* play on UNDER.

OREGON STATE @ IOWA STATE TOTAL

Iowa State opened the year with an 84-73 triumph over Kennesaw State. The Cyclones shot 53% from the field, but also allowed the Owls to shoot 43% and to take 36 free throws. Oregon St. opened the season with a 73-64 win against Portland State. They shot 26 free throws, and I think they'll make plenty of trips to the charity stripe for easy points here if they keep attacking the paint. Over is 13-6 in Cyclones last 19 games as a home underdog.

8* play on OVER. 

SIU-EDWARDSVILLE @ CHICAGO STATE TOTAL

SIU Edwardsville opened the season with an 88-77 loss at Marquette, and it's quite impressive of them to put up that many points despite shooting 2-for-14 (14%) from behind the arc. They should have better success here against a Chicago St. team that allowed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies to shoot 13-for-32 from three-point land in a 77-72 victory on Tuesday. I expect to see both teams having success shooting the ball here. 

8* play on OVER. 

ALBILENE CHRISTIAN @ TEXAS A&M TOTAL

Abilene Christian took a 70-56 loss at Utah in its season opener while Texas A&M held North Florida to 34% shooting from the field in a 64-46 Aggies win on Wednesday. I think the Wildcats will struggle big time to get points in this one, and I think the bookmakers have set the total too high. 

8* play on UNDER. 

ILLINOIS STATE @ EASTERN MICHIGAN TOTAL

Eastern Michigan lost but covered the spread as a 24-point dog at Indiana in their season opener. The game closed with a total of 144.5, but the two teams ended up combining for only 128 points in a 68-62 Hoosiers win. Illinois State opened the season with a 68-63 win against UNC Wilmington, with the total closing at 147.5 points. I expect this to be another low-scoring affair. 

8* play on UNDER. 

NORTHERN COLORADO @ HAWAII TOTAL

Northern Colorado defeated Pacific on Wednesday, and I like them to take down Hawaii as well here the following night. The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a blowout win against Hawaii-Hilo, but this will be a much tougher test.

While the game takes place at Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, the home court advantage for Hawaii is reduced as this is where the Bears played the Tigers yesterday as part of the Outrigger Hotels Rainbow Classic. 

Northern Colorado is returning 83.5% of its minutes from last season while Hawaii is returning only 45% and losing three key players. 

In addition to Northern Colorado winning and covering the spread, I also like the over as we might see some sloppy defense with both teams playing on no rest. 

8* play on OVER

IUPUI @ EVANSVILLE CBB TOTAL

Neither IUPUI nor Evansville broke 50 points in their season opener, and I think it'll take a couple of games more for them to find their shooting. 

8* play on UNDER. 

AIR FORCE @ SOUTH DAKOTA TOTAL

Air Force is returning only 51.9% of its starting minutes from last season while South Dakota is returning 81.6% of its minutes. Air Force in particular is likely to need some time to find its rhythm when on the ball but I also think the Falcons can lock down on the defensive end. 

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* BLAZERS @ CLIPPERS LATE NIGHT TOTAL - 10:05 PM ET START

The Clippers and the Blazers clashed twice in October, which the teams recording one lopsided win each. What was true for both contests was that the teams barely combined for 200 points, and yet we're seeing a total in the 220s here for the third head-to-head of the season. While both teams have the potential to explode and put 120+ points on the board, I think this will be yet another low-scoring affair between two familiar foes. 

Under is 5-2 in Clippers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. Under is 7-3 in Blazers' games with a total of 215 or higher this season. 

10* play on UNDER. 

FALCONS @ SAINTS TOTAL

The Saints will start Trevor Siemian under center as Jameis Winston must undergo season-ending surgery to fix a torn ACL. It's not a massive blow with the team averaging only 180.9 yards per game, but I think it will have an impact as Atlanta can really focus on stopping the run. Atlanta gave up only 19 points against Carolina last week but managed only 13 points and 213 yards of total offense themselves. 

Under is 29-11 in Falcons last 40 games in November. Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games in November. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New Orleans.

8* play on UNDER. 

SUPER EARLY ARMY @ AIR FORCE NCAAF GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

I don't think the bookmakers can make the total for this Academy matchup low enough. These two teams are No. 1 and No. 2 in the nation at running the ball, but also No. 7 and No. 13 at stopping the run as their defense gets plenty of practice. We should see both teams getting stopped at midfield plenty and the clock will keep running. Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

LATE NIGHT ROCKETS @ LAKERS NBA BAILOUT

The total closed at 224.5 points when the Lakers and the Rockets clashed in LA just a couple of days ago. The teams ended up combining for only 180 points, and while the total for this game is significantly lower than for the lats game, I don't think the market has adjusted enough. The Rockets are 6-0 to the under on the season as they're playing surprisingly good defense while lacking talent on the offensive end. 

8* play on UNDER. 

KINGS @ JAZZ TOTAL

The Jazz are 5-1 SU and ATS on the season but I think they are asked to cover too many points in this matchup with the Kings Tuesday night. This is a potential flat spot for Utah who is coming off a 107-95 win at reigning NBA champions Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Sacramento on the other hand will be looking to snap back from a loss at Dallas. The Kings are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.

In addition to Sacramento covering the spread, I also like the under. Under is 19-6-1 in Kings last 26 road games. Under is 9-1 in Kings last 10 games as a road underdog. Under is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

8* play on UNDER. 

MONDAY NIGHT NBA BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL

The Knicks have the second-best scoring average in the NBA at 117.0 points per game, but here they'll face a tough and slow team in Toronto. In fact, neither team is likely to drive up the tempo with the Raptors averaging only 93.4 possessions per game (19th) and the Knicks even fewer at 92.7 possessions per game (23rd). The Knicks have an offensive efficiency rating that is due to regress, and I expect to see this one stay under the total. 

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT -  MIKE'S GAME OF THE MONTH (TOTAL)

The Seahawks will be playing on a short week after losing 13-10 to New Orleans on Monday Night Football. Each of their last five games has gone under the total, and I don't see them putting up a big number here with Geno Smith under center. As for the Jags, they average only 19.3 points per game (27th) so even though the Seahawks defense is subpar, Jacksonville simply does not have the talent to take advantage. 

Under is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 8-3 in Seahawks last 11 games as a favorite. Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on UNDER. 

PATRIOTS @ CHARGERS TOTAL

The Chargers are fresh off their bye week, but I still think the Pats will give them all they can handle in a low-scoring affair here at SoFi Stadium Sunday afternoon. 

Patriots head coach Bill Belichick will almost certainly try and keep the Chargers' explosive offense off the field by running the football, and NE should have good success with that approach as no team in the NFL allows more rushing yards per carry than the Chargers. 

The under is 6-1 in Patriots' last 7 games as an underdog, New England is allowing only 20.0 points per game (6th), and both teams are outside of the top 10 for pace. Additionally, we can note that the under is 5-1 in Chargers' last 6 games overall and 5-2 in Chargers' last 7 games following a bye week.

8* play on UNDER. 

BENGALS @ JETS TOTAL

The Jets are averaging only 272.3 yards of total offense per game and an NFL-worst 13.3 points per game. Here they'll face a Bengals defense that has the no. 5 scoring defense in the NFL and just held the Ravens to 17 points last week. Under is 7-2 in Bengals last 9 games as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 9-2 in Jets last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.

8* play on UNDER. 

CELTICS @ WIZARDS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY

These two teams battled it out in Boston just a couple of days ago, a game the Wizards won 116-107. That game went under by the hook, and I think we'll see an even lower scoring affair here as the teams have had a chance to get familiar with each other. The Wizards have allowed 104, 107 and 111 points over their last three games and under is 7-2 in Wizards last 9 games as a home favorite. Additionally, under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings

10* play on UNDER. 

PURDUE @ NEBRASKA TOTAL

Purdue is allowing only 16.3 points per game (9th) and 160.4 passing yards per game (5th). The Boilermakers are 6-1 to the under on the season, and I think they can contain this Nebraska offense to stay within the number and keep the final score under the posted total. Offensively, the Boilermakers can throw the football but they rarely have much success running the rock.

In their last game, the Boilermakers took a 30-13 home loss to Wisconsin but they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home and 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. The Cornhuskers are 9-19 ATS in their last 28 home games.

8* play on UNDER. 

MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

Michigan has the 10th best total defense in the nation and the 2nd best scoring defense with only 14.3 points allowed per game. Michigan State was held to 241 yards of total offense in a 20-15 win at Indiana in its last game. I fully expect to see a defensive grind between these two arch-rivals. 

10* play on UNDER. 

RUTGERS @ ILLINOIS TOTAL

Illinois is averaging only 18.0 points per game and the Hoosiers are 6-1-1 to the under on the season. Rutgers has been held to under 14 points in four straight games, a 21-7 loss at Northwestern last time out included. 

8* play on UNDER. 

KINGS @ PELS TOTAL

The Kings are 3-1 to the under and the Pels 4-1 to the under. New Orleans is averaging only 100.8 points per game and it has the third-worst offensive efficiency rating with 98.6 points per 100 possessions. Under is 17-5 in Kings last 22 road games. Under is 16-5 in Pelicans last 21 games as an underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

SOCCER MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S MLS GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

Orlando is 18-13 to the over 2.5 goals on the season and Columbus is 17-14 to the over. Orlando's games have seen an average of 2.9 goals over the season, the third-highest mark in MLS. We saw five goals when these two teams faced off last month, and this should be another high-scoring affair. 

10* play on OVER. 

LATE-NIGHT NUGGETS @ JAZZ NBA TOP PLAY BAILOUT

Both Utah (no. 2) and Denver (no. 8) rank top 10 for defensive efficiency and they are 23rd and 24th respectively for pace (the number of possessions a team uses per game). They are a combined 5-0 to the under on the season and Denver has the worst turnover ratio in the league. 

The Nuggets will be playing on no rest after taking a 99-87 home loss to Cleveland on Monday. I think they'll do everything they can to make this game as slow as possible. 

10* play on UNDER. 

BULLS @ RAPTORS NBA TOTAL BOOKIE BOMBER

The Raptors are 3-0 to the under on the season. They are averaging only 97.7 points per game while hitting just 26.4% of their three-point attempts. Both teams rank in the top six for defensive efficiency and the Raptors rank 27th for pace with 101.2 possessions per game. 

Under is 12-2 in Bulls last 14 overall. Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 road games. Under is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 home games.

8* play on UNDER. 

BEARS @ BUCS TOTAL

The Chicago Bears are 5-1 to the under on the season and they average an NFL-worst 246.2 yards of total offense per game. Their defense has been holding up though, and I think they'll be able to keep Tom Brady and the rest of the Buccaneers in check. Brady will be without two reliable weapons in tight end Rob Gronkowski (ribs) and wide receiver Antonio Brown (ankle). The Bucs are a big favorite (rightly so), and I think they'll pull away early and then keep the Bears at arms' length while controlling the clock.

8* play on UNDER. 

JETS @ PATRIOTS TOTAL

The Jets are averaging an NFL-worst 13.4 points per game while the Pats have the no. 9 scoring defense with 21.2 points per game allowed. Eight of the last 11 meetings have gone under the total, and the Pats lack offensive firepower as well. New England gave up 550+ yards and 35 points to Dallas last week, but under is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. I expect this to be a defensive grind. 

8* play on UNDER. 

CHIEFS @ TITANS TOTAL

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

In addition to the Titans covering the spread, I don't think the bookmakers can make the number for the total big enough. 

Over is 8-1 in Titans last 9 games as an underdog. Over is 26-9-1 in Titans last 36 games overall. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

8* play on OVER. 

NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - GEORGIA TECH/VIRGINIA GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 526 yards per game, which ranks fifth in the nation, and QB Brennan Armstrong leads the nation with 2,824 passing yards. Despite their impressive offensive output, they're 6-1 to the under, but I expect to see a high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Tech Saturday night. 

The Yellow Jackets have allowed a total of 79 points over their last two games, so I don't think Virginia will have any trouble to put points on the board, but as Georgia Tech is coming off its bye I expect them to put up its fair share of points as well and push the tempo when holding the ball. 

The Cavaliers shut out Duke last week, but over is 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

10* play on OVER. 

AVALANCE @ LIGHTNING BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL

Both the Lightning and the Avs have been among the worst defensive teams in the league with both sides allowing 4.3 goals per game. The over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings and I expect this to be another shootout between two defensively inept teams. 

8* play on OVER. 

UMASS @ FLORIDA STATE TOTAL

Florida State is 4-2 to the under on the season. The Seminoles are averaging only 26.7 points per game and their 68.0 plays per game rank 88th in the nation. The Minutemen average even fewer with 63.8 plays per game, which ranks 123rd of 130 teams. UMass has played three straight unders and they held UConn to 13 points when they snapped a 16-game losing streak two weeks ago.

8* play on UNDER. 

5* play on OVER. 

5* play on OVER. 

5* play on OVER. 

CARDINALS @ BROWNS TOTAL

The Cardinals are coming off a 17-10 win against San Francisco. I expect to see another low-scoring affair involving Arizona as they visit Cleveland in Week 6. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray is dealing with a shoulder issue while the Browns will as usual focus on running the ball, which will keep the clock moving. Under is 10-1 in Cardinals last 11 road games. Under is 7-3 in Browns last 10 games as a favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Vikings have put a total of only 26 points on the board through their last two games. Last week, they scored only 19 points against a Detroit team who up until then had one of the worst scoring defenses in the NFL. Now they'll face a Carolina team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive metrics. Carolina has seen only one of its first five games of the season go over the total, and it has the third-best scoring defense allowing only 17.4 points per game. 

Both teams hope to get their star running backs (Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook) back from injuries, but I think we'll see few visits to the end zone regardless. 

Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as a favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

PACKERS @ BEARS TOTAL

The Bears are 4-1 to the under on the season, much because of an offense that averages only 240 yards of total offense (32nd) and 16.8 points per game (30th). On the defensive side of the ball, the Bears have been a lot better and they held Vegas to nine points last week. The Packers have seen each of their last two games stay under the total and under is 6-2 in Packers last 8 games as a road favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

TEXANS @ COLTS TOTAL

Houston is averaging only 17.8 points per game (29th) and 282.6 yards of total offense (29th). They have put up a grand total of 31 points through their last three games. Indianapolis is coming into the game as a double-digit favorite. I think they'll run away with the game early and then keep the Texans at a distance while eating a lot of clock. 

8* play on UNDER. 

8* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* DODGERS @ GIANTS NLDS GAME 5 *BEST BET*

Giant's righty Logan Webb (11-3, 2.97 ERA) held the Dodgers to five hits and fanned 10 through 7 2/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win on October 8. Webb is 6-0 with a minuscule 1.96 ERA home at Oracle Park this season. Dodgers' left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96 ERA) held the Giants to one run in three hits with five ks through five innings in his last start. Urias is 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA on the road this season. I think runs will come at a premium for both teams, and I would not be surprised to see a 2-1 type final score for either team. 

10* play on UNDER. 

BILLS @ CHIEFS SUNDAY NIGHT PRIMETIME SHOWDOWN

Two of the NFL's best offenses will clash at Arrowhead when Kansas City hosts Buffalo on Sunday. I think the oddsmakers have set the total a tad too high though. 

Buffalo ranks no. 1 for several defensive metrics like total defense, passing defense, and scoring defense. Additionally, no other team has more takeaways than the Bills' 10. Buffalo shut out Houston last week, and I would not be surprised if we see KC's offense comes out a bit flat after putting up 42 points at Philadelphia last week. 

8* play on UNDER. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S 10* GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

Miami is averaging only 252 yards of total offense per game (31st) and 15.5 points per game. The Dolphins managed only 203 yards of offense with their backup QB in a loss to Indianapolis last week and this figures to be another tough matchup for a Phins offense. 

Tampa Bay has given up a fair amount of points, but it had faced some high-octane offenses for the first three weeks prior to holding the Pats to 17 points and sub 300 yards in Week 4. The Bucs are such big favorites that they should have no reason to drive up the score. 

10* play on UNDER. 

BRONCOS @ STEELERS TOTAL

The Steelers are averaging only 302 yards of total offense and 16.8 points per game. Denver has the second-best scoring defense in the league, and while it has admittedly mostly faced subpar offenses, It held Baltimore to 23 points last week. Denver is banged up on the offensive side of the ball, including quarterback Teddy Bridgewater who was knocked out of the second half last week after taking a hit to the helmet. 

Under is 13-3 in Broncos last 16 games as a road favorite. Under is 23-9-1 in Steelers last 33 games as an underdog.

8* play on UNDER. 

EAGLES @ PANTHERS TOTAL

The Panthers are 3-1 to the under on the season, and they are allowing only 252 yards of total offense per game (3rd) and 16.5 points per game (3rd). Sure, the only good offense they faced was Dallas last week when they gave up 36 points, but the Eagles are not the Cowboys.

Carolina star running back Christian McCaffrey is doubtful (strained hamstring) and quarterback Sam Darnold is not a guy who can carry this offense without backup. 

Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a favorite. Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 home games.

8* play on UNDER. 

PENN STATE @ IOWA TOTAL

Both Penn State and Iowa are 4-1 to the under on the season. The Hawkeyes rank no. 7 for total defense and they have the second-best scoring defense in the nation. Last week, they put a 51-14 beating on Maryland, but I don't see tem putting up a big number against a Penn State defense that shut out Indiana last week. Under is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Under is 18-7-1 in Hawkeyes last 26 games as a home favorite.

8* play on UNDER. 

NCAAF MAJOR WAGER - GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Buckeyes are coming off a 52-13 win at Rutgers. Over is 21-6-1 in Buckeyes last 28 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, and they should have no trouble with this Maryland team that put up just 14 points and 271 yards of total offense in a loss to Iowa last week. The Terps defense had been decent prior to that outing, and under is 7-1 in Terrapins last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog.

10* play on UNDER. 

WVU @ BAYLOR BIG 12 UNDER

Many oddsmakers are taking a clear stance for this contest, dropping the spread to under a field goal, which would suggest sharp money is coming in on the visitors. I'm happy to take the 3 points while available but would grab WVU at any number as I think they have a great chance of winning this one outright. 

Baylor (4-1) managed only 280 yards of offense in a 24-14 loss at Oklahoma State last week. The Bears are dangerous on the ground, but here they'll run into a West Virginia defense that is allowing only 87.8 rushing yards per game (11th) and 2.8 yards per carry (13th). 

The 2-3 Mountaineers could just as easily be 5-0. Even in last week's last-minute loss to Texas Tech, they outgained the Red Raiders by 78 yards while putting up 424 yards of total offense. 

In addition to WVU covering the spread, I also like the under. Under is 10-2 in Mountaineers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 12-3-1 in Mountaineers last 16 games as a road underdog. 

8* play on UNDER. 

MIKE'S 10* YANKEES @ RED SOX AL WILD CARD TOP PLAY

Both teams have potent lineups, but I expect runs to come at a premium for both the Yankees and the Red Sox here in the AL Wild Card game. Yankees' right-hander Gerrit Cole (16-8, 3.23 ERA) owns a 2.68 ERA in 13 career postseason starts while Boston right-hander Nathan Eovaldi (11-9, 3.75 ERA)  has posted a 1.61 ERA in six career postseason outings (two starts). 

Under is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings. Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at Fenway Park.

10* play on UNDER. 

PITT @ GEORGIA TECH TOTAL

Pittsburgh is 3-1 SU and ATS and 4-0 to the over on the season, but I think Pitt will fail to cover the spread in a relatively low-scoring affair against Georgia Tech here in Week 5. 

The Yellow Jackets are coming off an impressive 45-22 upset win as a 14-point underdog to North Carolina. I doubt Georgia Tech wants to get into a shootout with Pitt though, so it'll focus on running the ball rather than throwing which will keep the clock moving. It averages a solid 199.5 rushing yards per game (38th) which could create trouble for Pitt. 

The Yellow Jackets slowed down Clemson on the road in a 14-8 loss two weeks ago, and I think they'll keep this one close. 

8* play on Georgia Tech. 

5* play on OVER. 

3-PACK - A'S/MARINERS UNDER

Oakland righty Frankie Montas (13-9, 3.48 ERA) has posted a 2.60 ERA over his last three starts. Montas has 19 Ks against only 11 hits over 17 1/3 innings during that stretch. Seattle righty Logan Gilbert (6-5, 4.83 ERA) has posted a 3.44 ERA over his last three starts. Gilbert has 18 Ks against only 13 hits over 18 1/3 innings during that stretch. Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Seattle.

8* play on UNDER. 

3-PACK - YANKEES/JAYS UNDER

Yankees' left-hander Gerritt Cole (16-8, 3.08 ERA) has a 2.81 ERA in eight career starts against Toronto (2.74 ERA in four starts this season). Toronto righty Jose Berrios (12-9, 3.48 ERA) owns a 4.79 ERA in four career starts against the Bronx Bombers, but note his 3.50 ERA in 11 starts with Toronto since coming over from Minnesota. 

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Pirates are averaging an MLB-worst 3.91 runs per game. Cubs' right-hander Kyle Hendricks (14-7, 4.81 ERA) owns a 3.69 ERA in 23 career starts against the Pirates who counter with Roansy Contreras who will make his MLB debut. Contreras has compiled a 2.64 ERA while pitching for Double-A Altoona and Triple-A Indianapolis this season. The reeling Cubs have lost seven straight. Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Pittsburgh.

10* play on UNDER.

MLB GAME OF THE YEAR (AL TOTAL)

Oakland right-hander Chris Bassitt (12-4, 3.16 ERA) held Seattle to one hit with four Ks through three scoreless innings in his last start since a 36-day layoff due to a shattered cheekbone. Bassitt has posted a 2.70 ERA over his last three starts. Seattle left-hander Tyler Anderson (7-10, 4.48 ERA) will open in what will be a bullpen game for the home team. Oakland's bats have been cold lately, and I think the Mariners relievers can keep them in check. 

Under is 6-2-1 in Athletics last 9 games as a favorite. Under is 8-3-1 in Athletics last 12 overall. Under is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

EAGLES @ COWBOYS TOTAL TOP PLAY (10*)

The Eagles have opened the season with a couple of low-scoring affairs, but I think we'll see both teams help running up the score when they visit Dallas Monday night. The Cowboys are averaging 435 yards of total offense per game (2nd), but their defense has been questionable at best, giving up 419.5 yards per game. I expect both offenses to show up in this primetime matchup. 

The Eagles took a 17-11 loss to San Francisco last week. Over is 15-6 in Eagles last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 20-9 in Eagles last 29 games as a road underdog and 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games as a home favorite.

10* play on OVER. 

BUCS @ RAMS TOTAL BOOKIE BREAKER

The Bucs are averaging a league-leading 39.5 points per game and the Rams rank fifth with 30.5 ppg, but I think the total for this game is set too high. Tampa Bay has been able to run up the score against Dallas and Atlanta, but this Rams defense is something different than they've faced so far. QB Tom Brady will be under heavy pressure by Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey and the Bucs' running game has not been much of a threat. 

8* play on UNDER. 

PANTHERS @ TEXANS THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BU$TER

The Panthers' defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL for several stats like points allowed and yards allowed per play. Offensively, Carolina has kept running back Christian McCaffrey busy, but he played in only three games last season because of injuries so playing on short rest could prove difficult. 

As for Houston's offense, QB Tyrod Taylor has suffered a rib injury and rookie Davis Mills, who started just 11 games in his final two seasons at Stanford, will replace. I expect this to be an even lower scoring affair than the total the books have posted. 

8* play on UNDER. 

GIANTS @ PADRES TOTAL

Giants' right-hander Logan Webb (10-3, 2.79 ERA) has posted a 1.97 ERA over his last 17 starts, and he owns a 2.81 ERA in four career outings against San Diego. Padres' righty Yu Darvish (8-10, 4.13 ERA) is coming off seven shutout innings at St. Louis. He has a 3.19 ERA over 96 innings home at Petco Park in 2021. 

8* play on UNDER. 

CARDINALS @ BREWERS TOTAL

The red-hot Cardinals have won a season-high 11 games following a 10-2 triumph over Milwaukee on Wednesday. I like the price we get on them to complete the four-game sweep of this series with veteran righty Adam Wainwright (16-7, 2.89 ERA) on the mound. Wainwright is 19-12 with a 2.47 ERA in his career against the Brewers, and he is 9-1 with a 1.81 ERA in his last 12 starts overall. 

Milwaukee right-hander Adrian Houser (9-6, 3.43 ERA) has posted a 2.87 ERA over his last 17 outings (15 starts). Going against Houser isn't easy, but the Brewers bats are ice cold and we're getting a great price on the Cards to prevail in a low-scoring affair. 

8* play on UNDER. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - 10* IL TOTAL GAME OF THE MONTH

The Phillies have a .208 batting average over their last three games, and they've scored only five runs during that stretch. This looks like a good spot for Baltimore left-hander Keegan Akin (2-10, 6.93 ERA) to better his numbers, and he had a couple of solid starts prior to his last three outings. 

Baltimore has scored more than three runs in only one of their last eight games, and their .239 batting average for the season is one of the worst marks in baseball. Phillies' All-star right-hander Zack Wheeler (14-9, 2.83 ERA) is having a great year, and he has a 2.04 ERA in his three career starts against the Orioles.

Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

NATIONALS @ MARLINS TOTAL

The Marlins took a 7-1 loss to Washington on Tuesday. I like them to snap back here in the rubber match of this three-game series. Miami right-hander Elieser Hernandez (1-2, 3.80 ERA) has posted a 3.47 ERA at home this season and he held Washington to two runs in five innings on Aug. 26. Nationals righty Josiah Gray (0-2, 6.24 ERA) has allowed a total of 22 runs through his last four starts. The Nats have lost each of his last five starts. 

I also like the over as I expect the Marlins bats to come alive, coming off a very disappointing game. Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall. Over is 11-2-1 in Nationals last 14 during game 3 of a series. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

8* play on OVER. 

CARDINALS @ BREWERS TOTAL

Milwaukee right-hander Brandon Woodruff (9-9, 2.55 ERA) is having a fantastic year, and he's been at his best at home where he has posted a 2.37 ERA. St. Louis' righty Jake Woodford (2-3, 4.30 ERA) has made 23 appearances (five starts) this season. He has posted a 2.03 ERA and only nine hits allowed through 13 1/3 innings in his last three outings. The Brewers have struggled at the plate lately, and I think this will be a low-scoring affair.  

8* play on UNDER.

PIRATES @ REDS TOTAL

The Reds put up nine runs in Monday's triumph over Pittsburgh, but runs have otherwise been hard to come by lately. Pittsburgh right-hander Mitch Keller (4-11, 6.14 ERA) has a terrible track record against Cincinnati, but this could be a good spot better his numbers, especially as he has pitched reasonably well lately (3.38 ERA last three starts). Reds' right-hander Tyler Mahle (12-5, 3.59) has posted a 1.47 ERA in three starts against the Pirates this season. 

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

Marlins rookie left-hander Trevor Rogers (7-7, 2.71 ERA) has made three career starts against Washington, resulting in a 3.86 ERA. Nats' lefty Josh Rogers (1-0, 2.60 ERA) held the Marlins to one hit, one walk, and no runs while striking out six in five innings last week. The Marlins won the opener of this series 8-7 on Monday. Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-2-1 in Nationals last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Marlins' last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

10* play on UNDER.

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

Rays' righty Shane Baz may be making his MLB debut, but he's a top-prospect that has posted a 1.76 mark in 10 starts while holding opposing hitters to a .174 batting average in Triple-A this season. Also, Baz will be backed up by a Rays bullpen that is among the best in baseball. As for Toronto left-hander Robbie Ray (12-5, 2.64 ERA), the American League Cy Young Award candidate's numbers speak for themselves. In seven career outings against the Rays, Ray is 2-2 with an ERA of 2.45. 

Under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay.

10* play on UNDER. 

COWBOYS @ CHARGERS OVER

The Cowboys lost their season opener at defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay to a last-second field goal, but there was a lot to like about how they played. At least on the offensive side of the ball, with Dak Prescott completing 42-of-58 passes for 403 yards and three touchdown passes against one INT. 

Now they'll face a high-octane offense led by Justin Herbert who threw for 337 yards and a touchdown pass in a 20-16 20-16 road victory over Washington in Week 1. Herbert could be in for a huge one as Dallas could be without two of its top pass rushers (DeMarcus Lawrence and Randy Gregory). 

I have little doubt that this will be a shootout, as Prescott keeps rolling and Herbert to face a softer defense than his Week 1 opponent. 

8* play on OVER. 

TOP-RATED 10* NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Eagles opened the season with a 32-6 win against Atlanta. Falcons QB Matt Ryan was held to 164 passing yards on 21-of-35 passing and no touchdown passes. The Niners are coming off a shootout win at Detroit, a game where the teams were a combined 5-for-5 in the red zone. I expect a much better defensive performance from San Francisco in this one. 

Under is 5-0-1 in 49ers last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in 49ers last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 22-8 in Eagles' last 30 home games. Under is 12-4 in Eagles last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

10* play on UNDER. 

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - TOP-RATED 10* CFB TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The No. 6 Clemson Tigers have allowed a total of only 13 points through their first two games of the season. Georgia Tech put up 45 points in a 28-point victory last week, but as a 20-point favorite against Kennesaw State. 

While Georgia Tech's defense has not really been tested yet, giving up only giving up 123.5 passing yards per game (8th) is impressive, and it's a better number than Clemson's 133.5 (13th) passing yards per game allowed. 

Under is 6-2-2 in Yellow Jackets last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.

10* play on UNDER. 

CINCINNATI @ INDIANA TOTAL

No. 8 Cincinnati has put up big numbers, but as massive favorites against Miami-Ohio and Murray State. This will be the Bearcats first real test of the season, and they'll face a Indiana defense that has allowed only 282.0 yards per game. 

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Phillies are coming off a 17-8 rout of the Cubs while the Mets took an 11-4 loss to St. Louis last time out. I expect both teams' bats to cool off here with two tough pitchers on the mound. 

Mets' righty Taijuan Walker (7-9, 4.29 ERA) has posted a 3.55 ERA in 14 outings (three starts) at home and a 3.80 ERA in four starts against the Phillies this season. Philadelphia righty Zack Wheeler (13-9, 2.86 ERA) has held the Mets to seven runs with 31 Ks over 29 1/3 innings (2.15 ERA) this year. 

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

10* play on UNDER. 

ANGELS @ WHITE SOX TOTAL

Angels' right-hander Alex Cobb (7-3, 3.82 ERA) has posted a 10.70 ERA in his previous four career starts against the White Sox, but this looks like a good spot to better that number. The White Sox's bats have been very inconsistent lately, with the team scoring two runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. Additionally, Cobb has allowed only three runs through 24+ innings in his last four starts combined. The White Sox hand the ball to right-hander Reynaldo Lopez (3-2, 2.05 ERA) for his seventh start of the season. Lopez has allowed only three runs through 20 innings home at Guaranteed Rate Field. 

Under is 18-7 in Angels last 25 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-1-1 in White Sox last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Chicago.

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY - REDS @ PIRATES TOTAL

This looks like a great spot to fade the Pirates as they look to complete the three-game sweep. The Bucs are 0-10 this season when going for a sweep and 8-2 to the under. Desperation must be kicking in for the Reds who have lost four straight and seven of nine to fall out of a wild card spot. Reds' righty Tyler Mahle (11-5, 3.73 ERA) is 7-2 with a 1.97 ERA on the road and 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA against Pittsburgh this year. 

10* play on UNDER. 

MLB 3-PACK - BOS/SEA UNDER

Tuesday's matchup between the Red Sox and the Mariners had only four runs scored until the two teams added eight runs in the last two frames for a final 8-4 Red Sox win. I expect to see fewer runs in this one. Red Sox righty Tanner Houck (0-4, 3.54 ERA) is still in search of his first win of the season, but to little fault of his own. Houck has yet to allow more than three runs in a start, and he has an impressive 63/15 K/BB ratio over his 53 1/3 innings of work. Seattle lefty Marco Gonzales (8-5, 3.95 ERA) has posted a 3.50 ERA in his last three starts and he has a 3.60 ERA at home on the season. 

8* play on UNDER. 

TOP-RATED 10* MLB TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY

The Rays won Tuesday's matchup 2-0, and I think the finale of this three-game series will be another low-scoring affair. Ray's righty Michael Wacha (3-4, 5.37 ERA) has posted a 2.35 ERA through his last three starts, with only nine hits allowed and 19 Ks over 15 1/3 innings of work. Blue Jays' left-hander Robbie Ray (11-5, 2.69 ERA) has posted a 2.50 ERA over his last three starts, with 28 Ks against 13 hits over 18 innings of work. 

The under is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings. 

10* play on UNDER. 

8* play on OVER. 

8* play on OVER.