50* NFL VEGAS INSIDER

New York Giants +5.5

This is the definition of a "pros" vs. "joes" game. Everyone is going to back the undefeated Panthers here and the short number. In fact 2 out of every 3 tickets are on them. But the line has dropped nearly 3 points since the opener. ALL of my sources are on the Gmen here. We have seen it over and over again, this Giants team can be anyone. When they are rolling, no one and I mean no one can stop them. They surely have the talent to take out this team and have the benefit of playing at home. Would not be shocked one bit to see the Giants hand Carolina their first loss of the season.

40* or 50*...Checking a few things first

New Mexico +10

50*

Cleveland Browns -3

50* One & Only NFL UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Pittsburgh Steelers +4

Right off the bat, the Steelers are the better team. They also have the huge advantage playing this game off the bye week. The Steelers are healthy and most importantly, Big Ben will be ready. This team has one of, if not, the best offenses in the entire league. At any time, they can explode for a huge play with exceptional speed at the key positions. 

The Seahawks are not the same Seahawks we are used to. Their wins have come against weak competition. They beat the Lions, 49ers (twice), Bears (no Cutler), Cowboys (no Romo). I expect them to have some serious problems facing these Steelers. A team that is similar to the Steelers is the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals have speed, a great passing offense, and a solid defense. Look what Arizona did to Seattle and let's not forget, Pittsburgh beat these Cardinals with LANDRY JONES! No Marshawn today which is going to hurt this already anemic offense for Seattle. 

Added trends: Seattle is 0-6-1 ATS following a straight up win and they are 0-5-1 ATS facing a team with a winning record. They are also 2-5 ATS their last 7 home games and the Steelers are 5-1 ATS their last 6 road games.

50* One & Only NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Vanderbilt +7

Everything points to the Commodores here. Current play, the situation, stats, trends, public perception, you name it. Texas A&M should not be laying a TD to anyone in the SEC, especially on the road. To make matters worse for A&M, they have LSU on deck so obvious lookahead here. Vanderbilt has a ferocious defense and they proved it against the Gators. This is their last home game of the season so no doubt they'll be up for this one.

This is only the Aggies third road game of the season, so they are not battle tested, and they have not looked great at all as the visiting team. After the Alabama game, this team has gone right into the toilet. Texas A&M has lost 5 straight games against the spread and are a miserable 5-16 ATS their last 21 games against the SEC. No doubt this team has their line's inflated constantly.

Vanderbilt is the opposite. They have been outstanding ATS in the SEC. They have covered 6 of their last 7 and have won 5 of their last 6 home games against the number. It's very tough to score on this Vandy defense and when points are at a premium, it's almost a given to take the points with the HOME and better defensive team. Getting a touchdown here is a gift and I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go down to the wire with Vandy having a great chance at the outright.

50* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Arkansas -3.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are on fire right now and I don't think anyone wants to face off against them. They are 5-1 ATS their last 6 games and are an undefeated 5-0 against the SEC. They get to play Mississippi State in a very advantageous situation. The Bulldogs come off getting destroyed by Alabama. Teams typically don't respond well after the Tide beatdown. They put everything they got into a game like that and if you get crushed, a let down is inevitable. Mississippi State has been awful covering the number recently after getting beat down. The Bulldogs are just 3-8 their last 11 games after losing by 20+ points and are 1-6 following a 10+ point loss at home. Look for the Razorbacks to continue to cruise Saturday. 

50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Washington State +10.5

40* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

North Carolina (UNC) -3

This line is very telling on who should win this game. Pittsburgh, who is ranked 23rd in the country, not only is a dog, but they are a HOME underdog. That means on a neutral field, UNC would be a touchdown favorite. This line also opened at -1.5 and jumped quickly to -3 with over 60% of the bets be written on Pitt. All three of of my closest sources all love the Tar Heels here and for good reason. The Tar Heels have covered 4 of their last 5 games in Pittsburgh and have also covered 4 of their last 5 following a spread loss. Pittsburgh has covered just 1 of their last 6 home games. 

40* NFL VEGAS INSIDER

St. Louis Rams -5.5

50* NFL UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Houston Texas +5

This line is an overreaction to Miami's domination of Tennessee last week. A great spot to back teams is when a coach gets fired and their interim coach takes over for the first time. Emotions are high and teams step up their game big time. It happens all the time in every sport. But now it's time to snap back to reality. This is a flat spot for the Dolphins. They should not be laying more than 4 points at home, where they have been awful against the spread. The Dolphins have lost 5 straight ATS on their field. Miami is one of the worst teams defending the run and this should allow Arian Foster and the Texans to really open up their offensive playbook. With the current spread at 5, Miami basically has to win by a touchdown. That's a lot to ask out of a team that has a lot of pressure on them with their coach making his first home start to perform well in front of an eager crowd.

Side note: Let's not forget that Miami has the Super Bowl Champs, New England Patriots, on deck Thursday Night.

50* NCAA MAX BET

Florida Atlantic -6

I'll make this short and sweet. UTEP is AWFUL. Their defense is terrible, allowing 48 a game. They have not covered a spread in 8 games and are injured to the max. UTEP has zero home field advantage and if you look closer at this game, FAU (a team with a worse record) is 6 point ROAD chalk. They are also 17-4-1 ATS their last 22 games on the road. That tells me all I need to know. FAU has a ton of speed and should run UTEP off the field.

40*

Missouri -2.5

40* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH

Wake Forest +10

NC State does not deserve to be a double digit favorite to anyone in the ACC. To make matters worse, they have huge game against Clemson on deck, so likely a lookahead spot here. The Demon Deacons have taken out the Wolfpack five straight times at home and they also have revenge from last year's beating on the road against NC State. Wake Forest matches up well against NC State and getting 10 points on the home team is a no brainer for me.

50* AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

New England Patriots -7

Some books still have 7.5 and I recommend buying the hook to the key number of 7. 

I'll start with this. What game do you think New England had circled when the schedule game out? Yeah, this one. You know Brady and company want to EMBARRASS the team (Colts) that made their offseason a living hell. What makes it even better for New England? They get to do it on primetime in Indianapolis. The Patriots will not let their foot off the gas and their going to make an example out of Indy. 

Our 70* play to begin the season was Patriots OVER 10 wins. The reasoning behind it was because of the entire deflate gate scandal. They'll be playing with an enormous chip on their shoulders. Do you remember the last time they were called cheaters? It was during Spygate and they went on to go undefeated that regular season. 

The Colts have not looked all that special to start this season. They have zero defense and absolutely no offensive line. Belichick knows how to attack your weaknesses and take away what you do best. Just look what they have done in previous meetings. They always destroy the Colts. We had our One & Only NFL GAME OF THE YEAR last season in the AFC Championship on the Patriots and I expect a very similar result on Sunday Night Football.

40* NFL VEGAS INSIDER

Cleveland Browns +5

40*

Vanderbilt +3

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH

Baylor -21

40* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK

Cincinnati Bengals -3

It's no secret. The Seattle Seahawks are not the same team on the road, without the 12th man. Seattle's defense has given up a ton of points on the road this season and their offense has been terrible. They managed only one touchdown against Detroit at home and just one offensive TD on the road against the joke Bears. Good luck trying to get points against a very solid defensive front of the Cincinnati Bengals.

The Bengals have been amazing at home this season and years prior. They continue to cover the number at home as the line-makers repeatedly undervalue this club. Cincinnati is 17-5-1 their last 23 home games and they have won against the spread in every game this season. Even though I'm not the biggest Andy Dalton fan, he has played like a man possessed to start the season and is much better than Wilson at the moment. Look for Cincinnati to stay undefeated on the season after this one.

50* NCAA SITUATIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR

Navy +14.5

This is the definition of a "sandwich" spot for the Fighting Irish. They come off a heartbreaking loss to ranked Clemson on the road and now have to play this game against Navy with their rivals, USC Trojans, on deck. 

It's usually a great bet to back triple option teams when they are getting a lot of points. They are constantly running and chewing a bunch of the clock up. It makes it harder for the opposing team to score in bunches with less time on the clock. This is Navy's game of the year and they have had fantastic success against Notre Dame. The Midshipmen have covered 9 of their last 10 games in Notre Dame and as a matter of fact, we had them last year heavy as they stayed inside the number.

Navy has been spread covering machines this season and I fully expect them to keep this one close throughout. Even if by some chance they go down 21 in the fourth quarter, the back door will be wide open as Notre Dame could pump the brakes, knowing they have a much more important game on deck. Look for Navy and the triple option to give ND all they can handle on Saturday.

40*

Kansas City Chiefs +4.5

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Arizona State +13

40* MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BEST BET

Kansas City Chiefs +7

I know this isn't a "true" bye week but it's really the next best thing. KC played Thursday night and now don't have to play until Monday night. Guess who is the best coach in the league off a bye...Yup, Andy Reid. He simply doesn't lose. Even better is that Reid has cashed 12 of his last 17 games when favored by a touchdown or more. Two of my closest sources are die hard Packers fans and they are expecting a Chiefs victory. Packers are riding high and could suffer a bit of a let down after their huge revenge win over the Seahawks last Sunday. Everyone is going to be all over the Packers in this one tonight. Going with the theme of the weekend as we made a killing betting dogs with another huge dog here tonight. Going to be honest here...only thing keeping this from being a 50* play is Aaron Rodgers. He's simply that good. But we can't ignore this spot and we'll gladly bet 4% on one hell of a situation.

40* NFL VEGAS INSIDER

Oakland Raiders +4.5

Getting this one out now because I expect this line to take a nose dive

50* NCAA MAX BET

Kentucky -2.5

This game basically is a fade of Missouri. The Tigers just look dreadful on the offensive side of the ball. Matty Mauk is struggling mightily, their O-line stinks, and their wide receivers drop balls if somehow Mauk gets it there. I also like taking un-ranked teams that are favored against ranked opponents. A simple rule is that vegas rankings are much more important than the AP Poll. We successfully faded Missouri when they played Arkansas State, as that line looked fishy as hell and I think we have another winner here and getting this below a FG is a steal.

40*

Bowling Green -3.5

50* NFL MAX BET

Green Bay Packers -3.5 (I recommend buying the hook)

When the schedule game out and the Packers saw they got the Seattle Seahawks at Lambeau, for their home opener, on primetime...you know this team was as hyped as can be. Talk about the perfect scenario to dish a little payback. A lot of people are going to look at this game and say "No way the Seattle Seahawks lose 2 in a row." I beg the differ. This is not the same Seahawks team we're used to. They lost their defensive coordinator, a couple corners, and one of, if not, the most important players on that defense, Kam Chancellor, is holding out and likely will not play this game either. Look what the Rams offense did to this team...Just wait and see what a pissed off Aaron Rodgers does.

The story of the Seahawks the last few seasons is that they are not as good on the road, and they proved that in Week 1. Do you know one of the worst places to play for a bad road team? You guessed it, the frozen tundra of Lambeau field and at night, no less. This place is going to go insane for this one and I have a feeling the Green Bay Packers are going to send a huge message to the NFC right now saying "We're the best and good luck trying to get passed us." Look for a convincing win for the Green Back Packers on Sunday night.

40* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH

Pittsburgh Steelers -6

This game is situational handicapping 101. We have the Pittsburgh Steelers coming off a loss in prime time, while the San Francisco 49ers come off a win in prime time. Public perception is going to be out of whack in this one. Another big key for this game is that the Steelers played Thursday night so they have a week and a half to prepare for their home opener and as an added bonus they didn't have to travel far at all, coming from New England. The 49ers, however, will be in for a bit of a let down as they are playing on a short week, having played Monday Night Football for their home opener. A good spot to bet in the NFL is when west coast teams travel to the east coast for 1:00 EST (10:00 PST) games. That's exactly what we have in this one. Let's not forget, Pittsburgh moved the ball really well in that game against the Pats and if it wasn't for two missed FG's, that game could have been a whole lot different. But good news for us is that they lost that game and it has given us great line value on the winningest NFL franchise in history. 

50* S.E.C. GAME OF THE YEAR

Alabama -5.5

Well guys, my long term guys and I know how this game ended last year. We were on the Tide and it looked like smooth sailing until Ole Miss scored 13 unanswered as Blake Sims and Christian Jones turnovers cost the Tide the game in the 4th quarter. Right there we have the revenge angle. We also get this game in Tuscaloosa. That's huge for the Tide as it's damn near impossible to beat this team at home. A lot of folks are down on Alabama this year as they lost a lost of starters but remember, this is ALABAMA...the team that always get the most 5 star recruits year in and year out.

Most people are going to see the huge performances that Mississippi has had the last 2 games, but let's face it, they were against some really bad squads. Not to mention, the Rebels did have 3 turnovers and let Fresno rush for over 160 yards. That's got to be alarming. A big key here is that everyone is starting to talk about Rebel QB Chad Kelly. He may have had some great numbers but this is a whole new ball game going to Alabama. I see this kid really struggling in a game of this magnitude with a berserk crowd.

Alabama is going to be out for blood and we have the best coach in the game on our side at home in this one, with revenge. Alabama basically had a week off last week and, for all intents and purposes, had two weeks to prepare for this one. The Crimson Tide man-handled Wisconsin, at a neutral site I might add, and I believe they are a better team than Ole Miss. Look for a convincing Bama win.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Louisiana Tech +10

50* NFL MAX BET

Green Bay Packers -5

Posting this Packers selection now as I believe this line will continue to climb and wouldn't be surprised if it reached 6.5/7. Get this one now before it goes to 6.

Games that I am also taking a long look at and will be posted closer to the season if they become official plays:

Miami Dolphins -2.5

Arizona Cardinals -2.5

New York Jets -3

Carolina Panthers/Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 43

Also like the Arizona Cardinals regular season win total OVER 8/8.5 wins for 5%

Taking a hard look at the New York Giants OVER 8 and New Orleans Saints UNDER 9

New England Patriots OVER 10 wins and/or to win the AFC East is a 7% wager. NOTICE: This was before the Tom Brady ruling...if you are just getting to it now, I would play for 4%

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Buffalo Bills +3

Bottomline here is that one of the favorites to win the AFC is only laying 3 to the Buffalo Bills...huge trap. The books are practically begging for Colts money and everyone is lining up to bet them. Currently 3 out of every 4 tickets written are on Indianapolis yet this line is staying put at -2.5 at some spots. Heavy sharp money is coming in on the dog here and we agree. The Bills have one of the best defenses in the league and they now have playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. This is a big game for Rex Ryan in front of this frenzied home crowd and I fully expect him to have his guys ready as they take down the Colts to open the season.

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Michigan State Spartans -3.5

This game should sound pretty basic as we do have the revenge angle here and this meeting between both of these two squads last year was close until the fourth...Michigan State was in this game until then..they even had the lead. This isn't the same Oregon team everyone is used to. This squad just gave up 40+ to an FCS school in EWU, which the Ducks QB just recently played for. That should tell you a lot, and that this Duck defense is in some serious trouble.

Teams that give Oregon problems are the physical, tough, dominant in the trenches squads and that's exactly what the Spartans are. I refuse to over think this one as Michigan State should have a great home crowd on hand and this isn't the same Oregon squad that we are used to seeing. The Mighty Spartans should dominate this game and I fully expect an easy victory from the boys from Michigan and this will cause a huge shake up in the AP poll standings next week.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Arkansas State +11

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Georgia -19.5

50* NCAA MAX BET

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10

This one is really simple for me. Notre Dame is returning practically their entire squad and the Irish's defense is primed to be one of the best in the country. Texas is going to have 5 freshman starting this ball game. The experience for these clubs is really going to show in this game, especially if Notre Dame gets out to an early lead, this crowd will go crazy and that's when the youth is really going to show for the Longhorns and they will fall apart. I expect Texas not to do much of anything on either side of the ball and this game should be a laugher. 

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Boise State -11.5

40* NCAA on ESPN TOP PLAY

North Carolina (UNC) +2

50* SUPER BOWL MAX BET

Seattle Seahawks 

Let me start with this. DEFENSE wins Championships. It's the oldest rule in the book. The Patriots are getting a ton of love right now from the betting public and I'm not buying it. This looks eerily similar to last year's Super Bowl. Every one lined up to bet Denver and they got their butts kicked. Another serious problem for New England is the whole Deflategate story. This distraction is going to hurt the Patriots. I also don't believe the refs are going to take to kindly to the Pats either. The Seattle Seahawks are at their best as an underdog. They DOMINATE in this role. We actually cashed our NFL UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on this squad as they crushed Philadelphia a few weeks ago and they are damn near impossible to beat as an underdog. The most important thing for the Seahawks is to put a ton of pressure on Brady. He is not even a shell of the QB he is when you apply a ton of pressure on him. Remember the two Super Bowls he lost to the Giants? Yeah, they attacked him all night long. I have a feeling its going to be a loooooong day for Tom as Seattle repeats as Super Bowl champs.

PROPS: Some of these props may require to lay a bit of juice, but typically those are the ones that hit and provide a ton of value. The longshot props in the Super Bowl are just moneymakers for the books. Below are the props that we will be playing.

40* TOP PLAY PROP: Highest scoring half: 2nd Half + OT

UNDER 24 1st Half

Higher scoring quarter, 1st or 4th: 4th QUARTER

UNDER 9.5 1st Quarter

Will there be a scoreless quarter in the game: NO

How long will it take Idina Menzel to sing the National Anthem: UNDER 2 minutes 1 second

Will there be an onside kick attempt: YES

Tom Brady throw an INT: YES

Russell Wilson first pass attempt: COMPLETION

Russell Wilson pass attempts 27.5: UNDER

Luke Wilson 2.5 receptions: OVER

Marshawn Lynch score a TD: YES

Rob Gronkowski score a TD: YES

Longest FG in the game by both teams 44.5 yards: OVER

50* ONE & ONLY NFL GAME OF THE YEAR

New England Patriots -6

The Patriots impressed the hell out of me coming back from 14 down to the Baltimore Ravens. This team is the real deal. Belichick is, without a doubt, the best coach in the league. He will know how to slow down Andrew Luck. The Colt's QB has been playing well but is prone to making mistakes. He still is a young QB. Every time he has faced the Patriots, he has been totally BLOWN OUT. Remember last year's playoff matchup? Yeah, huge laugher. I expect the same result here with a ton of points. Tom Brady and the Patriots played all year to ensure their home field advantage for this game. This team is a force to be reckoned with in Gillette Stadium. The cool pick is Indianapolis for this game and there is actually more bets placed on the Colts. Whenever the public likes a dog, especially in a game of this magnitude, you ride the favorite. I like the Patriots to run through this team on both sides of the ball. The Colts now have the added distraction of the rape charges and this just adds even more to our case to take the Pats. We have the better coach, better team, better situation, home field, public perception, distractions, and line value going for us in this game. 

50* COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR

Ohio State +7

analysis soon

*PLEASE READ*

70* #1 BIGGEST PLAY OF THE SEASON

6 POINT TEASER: NEW ENGLAND -1 + DENVER -1 

If you simply refuse to play a teaser or can't, play 40* on Denver -7

The NFL wants this story book matchup of Tom Brady and Peyton Manning in the AFC Championship. Both New England and Denver are lights out at home. I trust New England to at least get the victory and I do expect Denver to cover the spread. The Broncos should tear up this Colts defense. Indianapolis has NO pass rush. Peyton Manning will eat you alive if you don't pressure him. The Colts have NO running game. Denver's defense can rush the passer and sit back and just worry about the pass. Manning knows he doesn't have that many years left and the Broncos know it too. Once Manning is gone, this team is done. This could be their last chance at a Super Bowl with Manning and I don't see any scenario where Denver doesn't win this game.

Side notes: New England is 16-1 straight up it's last 17 home games. The Broncos are 25-3 at home since Manning joined the Broncos including going 8-0 this season at home. Denver is also 16-3 ATS playing with 2+ weeks of rest.

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Seattle Seahawks -10.5

This is an extraordinary mismatch. Seattle is playing the best ball in the league and Carolina's success is smoke and mirrors. The Seahawks have given up 37 points in 6 games. SIX GAMES. That is incredible. If you just look at the way Carolina played against Arizona, this game shouldn't even be close. Arizona had 70 yards of offense and the worst punter in the world and barely covered that spread. If Arizona had any sort of QB, they win that ball game. Cam missed a ton of throws and the team made way too many mistakes, and that was a HOME game. Imagine how they are going to be against the best home field advantage in the game. Seattle should absolutely destroy this team. I don't expect Carolina to score above 13-14 points in this game. As long as Seattle's offense just has a decent day, they win this one going away.

50* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH

Detroit Lions +7.5

Make sure to get at least +7, I recommend buying the hook if your shop has + 6.5

I simply don't trust Dallas laying this type of number at home, ESPECIALLY in the post season. Yes, Dallas has been playing out of their minds but the playoffs are a totally different beast. Tony Romo has a funk about him that stinks in the big time. He has had a ton of success this year because of the NFL's leading rusher, Demarco Murray. The problem for Dallas is that they are facing the best defense against the run and add in the fact the Donkey Kong Suh is going to be playing this game is HUGE for Detroit. Dallas is just 1-14 as a favorite after being favored the previous week. What this means is that this team is greatly overvalued. The Cowboys are already a very public team so the number is inflated whenever they are a favorite to begin with. I know the struggles Matthew Stafford has had on the road but he is playing in a dome which is huge. I expect this game to be very close through out and getting a touchdown is a no brainer.

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Indianapolis Colts -3

analysis soon

50* MAX BET

Washington Huskies -5

Oklahoma State lost 5 straight before upsetting the Sooners the last game of the season. As it turns out Oklahoma was severely over-rated. The Cowboys are a bad team. They are 100th in the nation in points allowed and they are about to face one of the best coaches in college football and a terrific offense. Washington is better than their record. Lord knows how they lost the Arizona game when all they had to do was knee the clock and they walk off the field victorious. I feel that the Huskies will be well prepared for this game, especially since their coach is no joke. Oklahoma State has been getting destroyed in their games and I don't see how the Huskies don't destroy them tonight.

50* SUGAR BOWL SHOWDOWN

Alabama -9.5

In a nut shell, Nick Saban is damn near impossible to beat with a month to prepare. Alabama is, without a doubt, the best team in the nation. I believe that Ohio State is overvalued now from drubbing a mediocre Wisconsin team. Let's face it, the Badgers only have one player (Gordon) and their QB SUCKS! Ohio State loves to fall flat on their face in big games and they do it EVERY year in EVERY sport. Alabama routs this team and goes on to the National Title game.

BONUS 7 POINT NCAA TEASER: Alabama -2.5 & Oregon -2

50* COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR

Missouri -5

First, let me start with this. This is SEC vs. Big 10. The SEC is king and the Big 10 was a joke this season. Secondly, Minnesota's coach Jerry Kill, has never won a bowl game. Gary Pinkel, Missouri's coach, will have these kids well prepared after the butt kicking they took against Alabama. We did see that one coming though, because without a doubt Alabama is the best team in the land and they'll win the National title..hint hint. Missouri has played the much tougher schedule and I imagine them giving one hell of an effort here. All their players will be back and healthy for this game and they should destroy this Minnesota team who is just happy to be here. Missouri has an amazing defense and if they get their running game going, this may well be a blowout. Best of Luck and Happy Holidays!

50* UNDERDOG MAX BET

Michigan State +3

analysis coming

50* MAX BET

Arkansas Razorbacks -6

This is SEC vs BIG 12. Advantage Arkansas. The Razorbacks have really stepped up their game towards the end of the season with their running game and their defense. Arkansas should dominate in the trenches on the offensive and defensive side of the ball. Texas offense is just terrible and I expect the Razorbacks to win this one by double digits.

40*

Carolina Panthers +3

50*

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4

analysis soon

50* MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR

Denver Broncos -3

Bottom line. The Broncos have been favored in 26 straight games. They have covered 24 of them, ALL by a TD or more. Peyton Manning simply doesn't lose. Peyton is the prime-time king and Andy Dalton always is HORRIBLE on the National TV spotlight. The new Broncos offense that has turned into a run first offense, is going to have defenses completely on their toes in every game. They have been running the ball down people's throats. That's the last thing you want when facing Manning. He'll carve you up all night if you commit. The Bengals may be the "cool" underdog pick but don't fall for it. The Bronco's should win this game comfortably.

50*

Minnesota Vikings +7

analysis soon

40*

Dallas Cowboys +3.5

HUGE revenge spot here for the Cowboys who were embarrassed on Thanksgiving in their building. The Cowboys have been great on the road this year going 6-0 and they also have had extra time to prepare having played last Thursday. Look for an inspired effort here from the Boys and don't be surprised if they get the outright victory here.

50* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH

New York Jets -1.5

Before you freak out about laying points with the Jets, there is actually a team drastically worse than them. You guessed it, it's the Tennessee Titans. This team has quit on the season and they are a train wreck at home. This could be the worse any team as ever played in their own building in the history of the game. Tennessee is just 1-11 ATS their last 12 games at home. The Titans have one thing in mind and that's trying to get a Top 3 pick in the NFL draft and they have a good chance at that. The Titans have problems everywhere and they really struggle in the trenches. The Jets should have a field day running the ball and getting to the QB on defense. One last thing...this team lost to the REDSKINS! If you lose to them, you're a joke. Although New York only has 2 wins on the season, they have given a solid effort in most of their games and it doesn't look like they have quit just yet. The Jets should get their first win on the road this season.   

50*

Denver Broncos PICK

50*

Texas-San Antonio (UTSA) -4.5

50* MID-MAJOR GAME OF THE YEAR

Western Michigan -7

This team is AMAZING against the spread. They are UNDEFEATED in a TON of trends but here are a few really good ones: 8-0 ATS their last 8 conference games. 7-0 ATS their last 7 games following a straight up win and 9-0 ATS their last 9 following an ATS win. WMU is also 4-0 ATS their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. To top it all off they are an incredible 11-1 their last 12 games ATS overall. All trends aside, Western Michigan has a chance to play spoiler and knock out Northern Illinois from the top stop in the MAC West in front of their home fans. The spread of 7 tells me a whole lot and I think they stomp the Huskies today.

50* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH

Dallas Cowboys -3

Playing on the short week is tough but doing it on the road is a very difficult task. Philadelphia could be in some trouble here as Mark Sanchez is playing on the road in the National spotlight. We all know what happened last time on Thanksgiving. Yes, it was the butt fumble. DeMarco Murray should run all over these guys and they have the advantage here in the running game as LeSean McCoy has done nothing recently since the injury to Nick Foles. Thanksgiving and the Cowboys go together and for this reason I see the NFL and the refs practically handing every call to the home team here. Dallas should get the job done and take over first in the NFC East in front of their home crowd today.

40* DOUBLE DOG

Miami Dolphins +7.5

As explained in the AFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR write up, this should be a lower scoring game. With that being said, Miami should be able to keep this one close. They have the type of defense that can really frustrate Manning and they are still flying under the radar. They last played on Thursday Night Football, so Miami has had a while to prepare. This should be a much closer game than most expect. 

Money has come in on the visitors here and the line has dropped to +6.5. I would recommend buying the hook but this is still a top play at this number. 

40*

Washington Huskies -6

40*

Missouri Tigers +3.5

40* NCAA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK

Baylor -28.5

analysis soon

50* NCAA UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR

Louisville +3.5

Notre Dame is a mess. They had one of the worst coaching decisions EVER in their game against Northwestern and sure enough it cost them the game. They are a, what I like to call, dream killed team. They realize now they have no shot and they are going through the motions. I don't know if this team can recover. What makes it worse for Notre Dame is that they have USC on deck, their hated rival. Even worse news for the Irish is that Louisville gives up less than 100 yards a game on the ground. That is fantastic, especially when backing the underdog. Louisville showed they have a lot of heart against BC after they dominated them coming off that horrendous loss to FSU. In my opinion, Louisville is the better team and I think Louisville wins this game outright. (More on this game later)

50* 

San Francisco 49ers -4

analysis to come

40*

Kansas City Chiefs PICK

50* NFC GAME OF THE YEAR

New Orleans Saints -4

Let's face it. Sean Payton, Drew Brees, and the Saints don't lose at home. They are amazing against the number as well in the Superdome. This team looks as it has turned the corner and are now clicking as a unit. The Saints MO is that they can't win on the road and they have proved it again this year. The beginning of the year was heavy in road games and it made the Saints look like they weren't a good team. Now they are getting into the schedule where they have a lot of home games and they will take full advantage. The San Francisco 49ers are in trouble. It looks as if Harbaugh has lost the team and he is going to be out sooner right than later. This locker room is in trouble and that does play a big part in the NFL. They suffered another tough loss last week to the Rams as Kaepernick fumbled a game winning QB sneak as time expired. This only made matters worse for them. This noise in Louisiana is going to get on the nerves of the 49ers and when New Orleans starts to build a lead, I see the 49ers to start to turn on each other, fall apart, and that's when Drew Brees and company are just going to steamroll them. The Saints offense is incredible at home and San Francisco's offense is so bad that I don't see how the 49ers can even come close to matching points with them. This game could spiral out of control for San Fran as New Orleans cruises to the victory. 

50* MAX BET

Oregon -9.5

analysis soon

50* BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR

Kansas State +6.5

This is just way too many points to give one of the best coached teams in the nation. Bill Snyder is one hell of a coach and he is the master of getting his players ready for big games, especially on the road. Bill Snyder has covered 13 out of 14 when his team is a road dog and he has won 7 of them outright. Let's not forget that this team is oh so close to being undefeated as they completely coughed up the game against Auburn as they missed 3 fgs. TCU has struggled in the big games this year, especially against WVU, where they had no business winning that game. Kansas State knows that with a win here the Big 12 Title is within reach and even a playoff bid could be in order. I would not be surprised if K State won this game outright. 

40*

Texas +3.5

50* TNF GAME OF THE MONTH

Cincinnati Bengals -6

The Bengals are a force to be reckoned with at home. They haven't lost in 2 years there and I don't expect that to change tonight. The last time these two teams played in Cincinnati, the Bengals won by 3 touchdowns. Cleveland has been a big surprise in the NFL this year but all of their solid play has come at home. They are dreadful on the road. They are even worse in the first half. The Browns are 2-1 their last 3 games but look who they played. They got CRUSHED by Jacksonville and squeaked out wins against Oakland and Tampa Bay. Those are the 3 worst teams in football. Now they have to play on the road, on a short week, against a rival that is clearly a better opponent. This could get ugly. I expect Cincinnati to do some damage tonight and cruise to the victory in front of the hometown fans. 

50* VEGAS INSIDER

Jacksonville Jaguars +11

Big time flat spot here for the Bengals off the big win over the Ravens and they have to go through the gauntlet of the NFL teams after this game. The Jags defense is actually legit on defense and I expect them to say inside this number given the big number and terrible situation for the Bengals. 

40*

Hawaii +3

50* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Navy +15

analysis soon

40* PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK

Stanford +10

analysis soon

40* SEC SHOWDOWN

Auburn +3

analysis soon

40* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK

Baylor -35.5

Let me make this one easy for you. Kansas stinks and Baylor is coming off an upset loss on the road and has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game. Baylor has the type of offense needed to cover a big spread like this as they can score on 1 play per possession and they are always in the hurry up. Look for Baylor to total take out their frustrations on this miserable Jayhawks team.

50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

West Virginia +6

analysis soon

40* ROAD WARRIOR

Houston Texans -1

The Tennessee Titans are a mess. They just lost to the Washington Redskins for crying out loud. To make things even worse for the Titans, they haven't covered a home game in forever. They are 1-10 ATS their last 11 home games. Houston is 3-4 on the season but they are better than their record shows. They have been very competitive in their games, they just make a mistake that will cost them. What I think is different is that they have been playing tough opposition. By all means, Tennessee is not even close to that. Ryan Fitzpatrick also played for the Titans so I look for him to have a big game as well. Houston does enough here to walk away with the victory.

40* THE BIG UNDERDOG

Chicago Bears +7

analysis to come

40* SEC SHOWDOWN

LSU +4

It's no secret, LSU is UNSTOPPABLE at night in their bulding. They are 49-4 their last 53 games. The fans go nuts and its a different kind of atmosphere unlike anywhere else. The Tigers have also knocked off a TOP-10 ranked team each of the last 4 years. LSU is one of the best teams in the country in takeaways and they are one of the best on capitalizing on those turnovers. Bo Wallace is known as a turnover, mistake prone QB but he has surprisingly done better in that department this year. I believe his luck runs out here and he makes a few mistakes in this one. LSU is ALWAYS the favorite in this series and they still have done well in that mind state. Now LSU is playing as the home underdog. Les Miles gets this team ready for a huge upset, plays the "us against the world" card, and I believe LSU has a great chance at the outright.

40* PAC-12 GOW

Washington State +3

analysis to come

50* MAC GAME OF THE YEAR

Central Michigan -5.5

To put it nicely, Buffalo stinks. They haven't beaten anybody and they only beat up on FCS opponents. It seems this team has completely given up on the season. They can't stop the run and their most recent loss was at the hands of a very bad Eastern Michigan team. On the other hand, Central Michigan just lost to Ball State in a game they dominated and they just gave the game away. Look for a huge effort from this team off a bad loss. They are a veteran squad and they have a lot of older players that know how to bounce back. Let's not forget that this is a good CMU team. They recently destroyed MAC powerhouse, Northern Illinois, 34-17. This contest is a total mismatch and CMU should have no problem taking out this miserable Buffalo team.

40* BLOWOUT GOW

Boise State -6.5

Big revenge spot here for the Broncos has they got dominated last year by these BYU boys. BYU has suffered horribly since the loss of their QB and I expect Boise to totally dominate this game. BYU has now lost 3 straight and Boise State is a terrific home team with a big advantage with their blue field. The Cougars now have a negative differential in yards per point and yards per pass and they can't get into any kind rhythm. Boise gets their revenge with a blowout win at home. 

40* NFL THE BIG UNDERDOG

New York Giants +7

The Dallas Cowboys come off a HUGE upset win over Seattle IN Seattle, which is just incredible. The New York Giants, however, looked terrible on primetime against the Eagles. Public perception is going to have everyone running to the window to bet Dallas. Not so fast my friend. This is a big time let down spot for the Cowboys and historically, they are known for their big let downs. Also, the Cowboys are typically an auto-fade as a big favorite and you want to take them as dogs. Dallas is a whopping 7 point favorite. Not to mention this is a divisional rival, which these games are typically very tight and close games regardless. The Giants should be extra focused in this one and should definitely stay inside the number in this contest.

BONUS TEASER 6.5 points: Seattle (-0.5) & Green Bay (-0.5) 

50* AFC GAME OF THE YEAR

Kansas City Chiefs +4.5

Andy Reid is the KING of the bye week. He is 13-2 straight-up his last 15 games. He knows how to use the extra time to prepare and keep his players ready. The public loves San Diego right now but they really haven't beaten anyone. Their only solid win was Seattle, but that was at home. They beat Buffalo, Jacksonville, NYJ, and barely beat Oakland. None of those are good teams. The Chargers are beat up as well and to make it even worse, they have to travel to Denver for a huge showdown on Thursday Night Football against the mighty Broncos. KC plays with double revenge from last year and both games were decided by a field goal. Their most recent game was the last game of the season, where KC sat all their players and still should have won that game. This Chiefs team is a very solid team on the road against the number as they have covered 9 of their last 12. Don't be surprised if Kansas City wins this game outright and scrambles up the power rankings yet again.  

40* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK

Georgia Tech -1

We cashed with UNC last week as they faced Notre Dame coming into the game in a horrible scheduling spot. We look to fade them now as the public will likely jump all over them, seeing they took the mighty Fighting Irish to the wire, thinking they are a better team then they actually are. Georgia Tech owns UNC. They know how to beat them and definitely have played the tougher schedule and battled with some tough opponents. The Yellow Jackets come off a tough home loss so look for them to be extra focused and having them as a favorite in the contest on the road is a huge indicator that this is the right side as well.

50* Vegas Insider

Colorado State -5

analysis soon

50* UNDERDOG GOM

Kansas State +8

This Kansas State team is very well coached and I feel that they are underrated. They just missed upsetting Auburn and Jake Waters and Tyler Lockett are an unbelievable tandem that no body is talking about. K State is a solid road club, covering 11 of 16 road games and they are 6-1 against the number the last 7 times they have taking on the Sooners in Oklahoma. This line opened at 8.5 and has dropped to 7 at most places. This could take a dive to +6.5 which would be a VERY strong indicator of a live dog. I do expect it to possibly get there and like this team to have a great chance at the outright upset.  

40* SNF

New York Giants +3

40* TRAP GOM

Cleveland Browns -2

This line SCREAMS trap. The Browns favored against the mighty Steelers? Seems odd doesn't it? Turns out, it's not. Cleveland will be rocking for this game as they will look to get revenge from their comeback attempt that came oh so close Week 1. Pittsburgh doesn't seem to have it together right now and this isn't the Steelers defense that we all know. They can't tackle and their secondary is struggling big time. Bryan Hoyer is finding his confidence and evidence from last week, this team can rally and they do not give up. Cleveland get its done against their hated rival.

50* SHOCKER GOM

Texas A&M -3

I do feel that Ole Miss is going to suffer a huge let down here. Mississippi was going nuts after that victory. They probably are still high from that game. But reality is that its a WHOLE different story winning on the road in the SEC, than it is at home. Texas A&M is the home of the 12th man. The Aggies suffered the upset at the hands of Mississippi State last week and A&M should come out focused for an opportunity to get back in the thick of things for the playoff. All it takes for Ole Miss to look terrible is for Bo Wallace to turn into Bo Wallace. He has to have a perfect game in order for his team to be successful. If he becomes careless with the football, goodnight rebels.  

40* Big Underdog

North Carolina +17

HUGE sandwich spot here for the Fighting Irish. They come off a crazy come back victory against Stanford and on deck they have non other than the number 1 ranked team in the country, The Florida State Seminoles in primetime. I find it hard to believe that Notre Dame is paying attention to the Tar Heels. They will be going through the motions and UNC should have no problem staying inside 3 possessions in this contest.

50* Vegas Insider

New York Giants -4

analysis soon

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Alabama -6

Ole Miss to upset Alabama seems to be the "cool" upset pick this week. As Lee Corso says, "Not so fast, my friend." Alabama is the real deal. I've said it before and I'll say it again, this team is the class of the college football world. People seem to forget about this team since they're ranked number 3, but they are a very well coached bunch. Bad news for Mississippi is that the Crimson Tide come into this game with a week off and Nick Saban is virtually unbeatable after a bye week. Bo Wallace turns the ball over way too much and this Alabama defense is going to make him look very bad. Nick Saban is going to bait this kid into throwing plenty of balls into double coverage and a bunch of interceptions. We cashed with Alabama -14.5 when they played Florida and they DESTROYED them. The 21 point differential should've been more like 40 if it wasn't for all the turnovers. They tried giving the game to the Gators. My point is that this team is very good. Even if they cough up the ball, they are still capable of blowing you out. I expect a close game in the first half as the fans will be riled up, but eventually Alabama will be too much for the Rebels and the Crimson Tide will take this one by double digits.

40* PAC-12 GOW

Stanford -2.5

When laying points on the road, you want to make sure you are backing a team with a solid defense and it just so happens that The Cardinal has an AMAZING defense. Having a team ranked lower in the polls being favored over a team that's in the Top 10 definitely raises some eyebrows. I expect people to line up in bunches to bet the very public, Notre Dame team, especially since they are getting points at home. Notre Dame hasn't really played any one yet this year and this is their first real test. I expect them to get exposed in this one. The only thing that worries me about this Stanford squad is that they can struggle in the red zone. If they capitalize with their chances inside the 20, they win this game going away.

50* NFC GOM

New Orleans Saints -3

I really like this New Orleans Saints team. I know the story on this team is that they can't win, or aren't the same team on the road, but this game is in a dome in Dallas. Saints typically struggle outdoors and in the elements but excel indoors. I feel Dallas is in for a serious let-down. They recently just had the best comeback in franchise history last week against the Rams and now have won 2 straight games as underdogs. Back to reality now for Dallas. The Cowboys can't cover tight ends. Who's the one team that KILLS YOU with their tight ends? The New Orleans Saints. Jimmy Graham is an absolute beast. It's amazing how good this guy is especially since he's as tall as a building and he's going up against 5'11'' corners and slow linebackers. Nobody can stop him unless he gets doubled. If he gets doubled, then Drew Brees picks them apart down the field or dumps off to the running backs. I think New Orleans is just going to crush the Cowboys in primetime and we'll hear all about it from Jerry Jones on Monday.

50* MAX BET

New York Jets +2

The Lions have a history of big time let downs and they aren't the same team outdoors. We have a mix of public perception here as Detroit knocked off Green Bay and New York completely dominated Chicago but lost because of their miserable red zone offense on prime time for the world to see. I believe The Jets are going to ground and pound all day against The Lions and knock Matthew Stafford off his mark and I believe he's going to struggle in this game. Jets win outright.

50* PAC-12 MAX BET

Oregon State +9.5

analysis to come

40* Subscribers only

Nevada -4.5

The Wolfpack is just flat out better at every position.