50*

Texas A&M -5.5

40*

Florida -19.5

We were actually on Florida and Arkansas last week. We lost both bets as Florida laid a total egg and Colorado State scored 25 unanswered on their way to an epic comeback. This has given us tremendous value. We have a double digit favorite coming off an outright loss and a double digit dog coming off an outright win. Florida will be dying to get on the field to lay a beatdown against a team playing their first true road game of the season. 

40*

Auburn -10

Most would argue that you should take the points with such a low total. I believe this shows that Auburn is the clear right side. Auburn has serious revenge from last season as they dominated the game but let it slip through their fingers. Most will still remember the beat down LSU put on Miami thinking that they are better. Auburn has aruguably a Top 3 defensive line in the enitre nation. I'm expecting Auburn to do whatever they want tonight.

50*

Miami-Ohio +1

40*

Middle Tennessee State +3

analysis will be posted after all picks are final.

BONUS FUTURES: Washington to win the National Championship + Win Pac-12.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

50*

Washington +2.5

analysis will be posted after all picks are final.

BONUS FUTURES: Washington to win the National Championship + Win Pac-12.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

50* College Bowl GAME OF THE YEAR

Louisiana State (LSU) -3

Everything points to the Bayou Bengals. Where do I even begin? First and foremost, if there is one team that is over-valued frequently, it is the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Let me throw this stat at you...Notre Dame is WINLESS (0-10) straight up facing a Top 20 team away from home, going just 3-7 against the spread. ND is also an atrocious 0-9 and 1-8 against the number in New Year's Day Bowl games. 

As for LSU, this team is rolling right now. After their embarrassing loss to Troy, they finished the season 6-1 SU and ATS, with their only set back coming to Alabama. A big part of this is their defense. They rank 11th in total yards, 22nd through the air, 21st on the ground, and 14th in points allowed per game. They should be able to shut down this one dimensional rushing attack of the Fighting Irish.

My favorite factor is that this is the Citrus Bowl where LSU is very familiar with this bowl game. This gives a huge edge to LSU. Notre Dame just might have to much fun at Disney World haha.

40* CFB UPSET SHOCKER

TCU +7.5

Everyone has already has Oklahoma locked in as Big 12 Champions and given them a birth into the College Football Playoff. That is NEVER a good thing. If there's one thing I know about the Oklahoma Sooners...they always find a way to lay an egg. They remind me of the Washington Redskins. 

Most of you know my handicapping style and its mainly playing contrarian and looking for those fishy lines. The OU powerhouse is only laying a TD to a TCU team that they already beat by 18 this season?! TCU has the defense to stay in this game and it would not shock me one bit to see the Horned Frogs (to use a March Madness term) bust some brackets. 

40*

Duke -2.5

This line just stinks to me. A 4-5 Duke team is laying a FG on the ROAD to a 7-2 Army team that is 5-0 at home?! If you look closer, you will see that Duke has had two weeks to prepare for this game. It's almost always been successful to back the triple option teams with one week to prepare but you fade them when the opponents have the extra time. 

50* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR

Boston College +3

This game couldn't set up any better for the Golden Eagles. First off, BC has had since October 27th to get ready for this game. Furthermore, this is Boston College's last home game of the season. Motivation will be at an all time high and the atmosphere should be electric. 

NC State comes into this game off of two tough conference losses to ND and Clemson after starting the season 6-1. This team had ACC Title aspirations. It's going to be tough to get up for this game after playing two of the biggest programs in the country, especially after that nail biter at home against the National Champs. I expect a let down here from the Wolfpack. 

Bottomline is that Boston College has been money making machines of late, cashing 6 straight games against the number. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at home against NC State.

40* TOP PLAY UPSET SHOCKER

Iowa State +7

This what I like to call the "dream crusher" theory. Oklahoma State is now out of the College Football Playoff hunt with a devastating loss to their arch rival last week. This also nearly evaporates any chance of Mason Rudolph winning the Heisman Trophy. I don't know if this team has the motivation to blowout Iowa State here.

Iowa State has one of the more underrated home field advantages in college sports. The Cyclones have proved that they can ball with anyone. They knocked off Oklahoma and TCU! Iowa State is also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Cyclones have the secondary to match up with the Cowboys. Grabbing the +7 in this game is a must.

50* CFB GAME OF THE MONTH

Alabama -21

I love the fact that Alabama was ranked #2. It's so obvious that this team is the best in the country and are the cream of the crop. Don't be fooled by the non-sense. I am REALLY hoping its a Georgia/Alabama SEC Championship and we will be BLASTING Bama minus the points. The disrespect of the #2 ranking is going to have this team playing with a huge chip on their shoulder. Add in the fact that Bama is coming off their bye week, where they are a perfect 4-0 ATS, I feel sorry for the LSU Tigers. I expect Nick Saban to open up a huge can of whoop ass on these boys. Typically when LSU plays Alabama, the spread is in the single digits. Now we have a 3 TD spread?! There's a reason for this guys. This Alabama defense is ferocious and it's nearly impossible to score in the double digits against these guys. What's even more impressive is their current play at home. In their home games this season, the Tide has scored 66, 45, and 41 three times. I expect this game to get ugly.

50* GT/Clemson MAX BET Parlay

Clemson -14

I know it's surprising for me to go against a triple option team but I believe this is the perfect spot to back the National Champs. We all know Clemson is coming off a loss but the key here is that they have had over two weeks to prepare, since they played on a Friday. I've always been a fan of backing the triple option teams when their opponents get them on a short week or just one week. However, I love to fade them when they go into their bowl game or teams have an extended period of time to prepare for them. The icing on the cake here is that it's Clemson and that fantastic defensive front.

How do you stop the triple option? Disrupt them right off the snap and Clemson has the big men on the DL to destroy the attack. The Tigers are also allowing only 13.6 points per game but just 7.5 at home. One of the toughest places in play in all of college football is Death Valley at night. I expect Clemson to just destroy GT by not allowing them to score and with GT having the rushing attack, it will take time off the clock and shortening the game, hence the under play as well.

40* NC State/Notre Dame BEST BET

NC State +7.5

We were on Notre Dame last week big but we'll be on NC State here for almost the same reasons. NC State (like Notre Dame last week) has two weeks to prepare for this game. Notre Dame played against their hated rival, USC, and put up the performance of the season. It's only natural for these guys to have a let down.

Even though FSU and Louisville are in down years, they were still ranked at the time NC State played them and the Wolfpack stepped up to the plate and took them out. This shows that this team does not back down and doesn't fear the big name program. I also love the fact that Notre Dame is just 6-14 ATS after a straight up win of 20 or more points. This shows that the Fighting Irish are usually over valued after a big win. Getting over the 7 is HUGE here and don't be surprised if this game comes right down to the wire.

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Kansas State -24

There are certain games I look forward to every year and this is one of them. You can almost blindly take Kansas State against their in-state rival, Kansas, and make a killing. KSU has covered the number in 17 of the last 22 meetings. The reason why we're going heavy this season is because KSU let Kansas get the backdoor cover last year. I am expecting KSU to lay a total beat down this time around because prior to that, KSU has won by an average of 33 points per game. I also like KSU here because they sit at 3-4 on the season. A dominating performance puts them back at 4-4 and still alive for a bowl bid.

40* USC/ND BEST BET

Notre Dame -3.5

Sorry for the late release but we have been waiting to see if we could get the 3 all week. We'll go ahead and play for 4% now.

There are three main factors for this selection. We have the obvious revenge angle for the Fighting Irish. The USC Trojans are DECIMATED by injuries right now, and Notre Dame has had the all important two weeks to prepare for this game. 

USC is 6-1 but they have been barely getting by week after week. Some of these final scores have been very misleading as the games were close throughout until the final few minutes. The problem with the Trojans is turnovers. They are FIFTH from the bottom in the FBS in turnovers! They have had at least two turnovers in each game this season. Guess which team is one of the best in the nation in turnover margin? Yup, its the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Like most games, turnovers play a huge part of who wins the game. I believe that a key turnover(s) will lead to the demise of the Trojans tonight. 

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Georgia Tech +6

I LOVE this play and to be quite honest, this would have been a GOY but the last two times we labeled a play "game of the year" they've been complete train wrecks. But that's just semantics and we'll play this game for 5%.

This is a situational dream for a sports bettor. We have Georgia Tech coming into this game with two weeks to prepare, while the Hurricanes come off a miracle win against their ARCH rival. A let down is almost inevitable for the U. It's extremely tough to prepare for this triple option that Georgia Tech runs in just one week, especially after you play the biggest game of your season. Another positive for Tech is that heavy rain is in the forecast. It's going to be hard to throw the ball in the bad weather. This gives GT a huge advantage as this will be a battle of the rushers and that's what the Yellow Jackets do, they beat you on the ground. 

It's gone under the radar but these Yellow Jackets have been money making machines. They have now covered the number in 8 straight contests. That's the kind of team I want my money on and I'm betting that they make it 9 in a row Saturday.

40* NCAA UPSET SHOCKER

Rutgers +3

The world is lining up right now to take Illinois and what's even more surprising is that this line has dropped from -3.5 PASSED the key number of 3 to 2.5 in some spots. That's some serious money on the dog. Rutgers also is in a terrific bounce back spot after getting blanked two weeks ago against Ohio State. I believe this game means more to Rutgers as they always have a very tough time winning games in conference play, so when they have a game that is winnable in the Big 10, they go all out.

50* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH

Vanderbilt +9

Yes, we did fade Vanderbilt last time out against Alabama and I knew that if the Tide "rolled" and Florida snuck by Kentucky this was going to be a TOP play on Vandy and it worked out perfectly.

The last two meetings between these two teams have been pure defensive dead locks. Last year Florida won 13-6 and the previous year Florida won 9-7. That's a combined 9 points. Now the Gators have to LAY that in this game?! One of the handicapping fundamentals of sports is you look towards taking the big points with a low total partly because if points are going to be really tough to come by, then it obviously makes it that much more difficult to cover the spread. 

Although Florida is a "winning" team at 2-1, this team is extremely lucky not to be 0-3. They were saved against Tennessee when their Hail Mary prayers were answered and they completed the miracle comeback against Kentucky last week, down 13 points. The Gators have been total money burner for backers lately. They have covered the number just twice in their last 11 home games and are 0-4 ATS at home against the Commodores. This number is only this high because of the beatdown Vanderbilt took last week. I look for a very inspired effort here from Vandy and this game should be tight throughout.

40* NCAA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK

Alabama -18.5

50* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH

Louisville +3.5

This line truly doesn't make any sense to me. Louisville was 2 point ROAD favorites last season and now they are 3.5 point HOME underdogs. Clemson got worse and Louisville got better. Obviously there's the huge revenge angle for the Cardinals. A lot has been made about this Clemson defense recording 11 sacks last week but that was against a joke of a QB. How do you beat this Clemson team? A running QB. Bottomline, Dabo Swinney is just 1-8 ATS when a road favorite of 7 or less. 

40* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK

Mississippi State +7.5

40* UCLA/Memphis TOP PLAY

Memphis +3.5

This has the makings of the public burial of the day. The UCLA Bruins are the most popular bet at nearly every shop I have spoken with this week. Everyone is lining up for some easy money. Not so fast my friend. Memphis has had two weeks to prepare for these Bruins (Memphis is a perfect 4-0 ATS following a bye week) and it's a dreadful spot for UCLA. This is going to be a 9 am start time for them. Also, the UCLA rush defense has been just awful to start the year, allowing nearly 7 yards per carry on the ground. UCLA is a miserable 0-7 ATS following a straight up win of 20+ points (shows that they are over valued the next week) and are 1-6 and 3-13 ATS in non conference play.

50* Auburn vs. Clemson MAX BET

Auburn +6

40* NCAA Friday GAME OF THE WEEK

Ohio +4

Week 2 of College Football is one of my favorite weeks because of the over reactions of Week 1. Purdue played Louisville down to the wire at home and surprised a lot of people by easily covering the near 4 TD spread. Now they have a short week and have to get up for lowly Ohio. 

What tells a huge story is this current spread. 3.5's have popped up at several spots and "typical" home field advantage is 3 points. Oddsmakers are saying Purdue is nearly the same team as a MID MAJOR! The public has jumped all over the Boilermakers looking for some easy cash. However, the sharp bettors and market movers are ALL over the road dog here. I wouldn't be surprised to see Ohio win this game outright.

50* MONDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH

Georgia Tech +3.5

50* NCAA Football MAX BET

Florida Atlantic +10.5

Lots of things to like here about the Owls. It's typically a great bet to back these "lesser known" schools as home underdogs when they are playing under the lights in primetime. It's rare for them to get these games, so they get a big boost from the fans. 

Another key here is the triple option of Navy. For starters, they are breaking in a new QB on the ROAD which is always tough. Also, triple option teams do have the advantage when teams only have a week to prepare for them. FAU has had the entire summer to prepare for this attack.

40* CFB VEGAS INSIDER

Auburn +3

50* One & Only CFB BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR

Clemson +3.5

Total disrepect to the Tigers here. Wrong team favored. I don't think Ohio State is all that. If you watched the Michigan game, you know that the Buckeyes should not be playing in this game tonight. I expect Watson to have a huge game. All this guy does is win and you know he's got a big chip on his shoulder from not winning the Heisman. Remember, Clemson almost took out Alabama in the National Championship but it took a trick on-side kick to change the "tide" of that game. Bottom line here is experience and in the trenches. In big games like this you typically want to back the more experienced team and who dominates the line of scrimmage. Check Clemson. I believe there is a good chance we see a rematch of last year's National Title game.

50* CFB GAME OF THE MONTH

Oklahoma State +3

Wrong team favored, in my opinion. A lot of what goes into handicapping bowl games is deciding what conferences are over-rated and under-valued. Well, I believe the Pac-12 is over-rated big time. Washington State looked awful against a sub-par Minnesota and Utah barely beat a weak Indiana club.

Colorado got exposed in the Pac-12 Championship game. The type of teams that gives Colorado fits are ones with offensive firepower and play-makers. That plays right into the hands of Oklahoma State. Another key advantage for the Cowboys is that this is their 11th straight bowl game and they will be extra motivated after a poor bowl showing last year. As for Colorado, these players are making their first bowl appearance. Jitters may cause them to make mistakes and blown assignments. Defensive Coordinator for the Buffaloes has left for Oregon and will not be there for the game. Just more proof that Oklahoma State is the right side here.

40*

Boston College +2

50*

Indiana -18.5

40*

Tulsa -22

50* CFB Big 12 GAME OF THE YEAR

West Virginia +3

Morgantown WV, under the lights, in Primetime. This place is going to go ballistic. HFA alone in this game should be worth 4 points minimum. So Oklahoma is a touchdown better than the Mountaineers? I don't think so. Without question, West Virginia has the best defense in the Big 12. They haven't allowed more than 21 points at home all year. They have allowed more than that (21) twice all season in all of their games.

This is typical Oklahoma and Bob Stoops. He ALWAYS finds a way to screw things up in big games and one mistake is all it will take for this ridiculous crowd to go crazy and for all the momentum to swing. Oklahoma plays ZERO defense and in games in the Big 12, its usually back and forth offensively, so who's defense can make that big play wins the game. Well, Oklahoma allowed 46 to TCU and 59 to TTU. WVU allowed 10 to TCU and 17 to TTU. Let me give that to you again. 27 combined points to TCU AND TEXAS TECH, where Oklahoma allowed 105! The Sooners also come off a blowout victory over Baylor and OU has lost 4 straight, against the number, after winning by 20+ points. Looks like they're in for a bit a letdown too.

We got the much better defense, the home field advantage, and we're GETTING points?! I'll take that all day.

40*

Charlotte +4.5

40*

South Florida -3

40*

40* CFB Top Play PARLAY

Mississippi (Ole Miss) +5

40* CFB VEGAS INSIDER

Wake Forest -7

The key here is Wake Forest having two weeks to prepare for the triple option attack of Army. Wake Forest has had great success defending the triple option. They held Tulane's to only 3 points to begin the season. WF has covered 8 of their last 11 following the bye week where Army has lost 7 of their last 29 facing a team coming off the extra week to prepare. Wake Forest hasn't lost to Army in nearly 30 years and have won 7 straight home meetings.

40* CFB Top Play PARLAY

Iowa State +7

40*

Colorado +1.5

Colorado is the only team left in the nation that is undefeated against the spread (7-0.) All my close sources have the Buffaloes winning this one outright. Stanford's offense is the 8th worst in the country and they only average 19 points. Stanford is banged up and their defense has been getting gashed at times. Colorado has the 2nd ranked Pac-12 offense and 14th ranked in the nation. 

40*

North Texas +18

4* CFB VEGAS INSIDER

Northern Illinois +2.5

Sources love the home dog here. Huge money has made this game drop from the key number of 3. CMU is 4-2 and Northern Illinois is 1-5 but this game is lined basically at pick? Nothern Illinois has had CMU's number, covering 7 of the last 9 meetings. 

4*

Idaho +5

5* Big 10 GAME OF THE MONTH

Iowa -13

It's no secret on why we are taking Iowa here. This team just got beat by FCS, North Dakota State, on their home turf. This team HAS to bounce back. Iowa has been stellar on the road, against the number, in recent years. Iowa is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games, which includes a perfect 10-0 as a road favorite. The Hawkeyes still have a monster defense that will make it very difficult for the Rutgers offense to have any success.

I have Rutgers as one of the worst teams in the nation. This team fell behind 21-0 to NEW MEXICO! (I do like an Iowa 1st Half bet also for this game.) The Scarlet Knights have always been the doormat for the stellar Big 10 teams to lay a beat down. I could honestly list all these games but go ahead and look up recent performances of Rutgers against OSU, MSU, PSU, Michigan, etc. They have been DESTROYED! Under 2 touchdowns is cheap here and as long as the Hawkeyes are at least half awake, they cruise.

4* CFB GAME OF THE WEEK

Utah -3

The key here is home field advantage. The home team has won the last 5 meetings against the spread. Also, Utah plays in the altitude which is a big time factor. Visiting college kids always have a tough time adjusting to the thin air and it always shows in the 2nd half. USC has had it's problems in the higher elevation (Colorado, Utah, Wyoming, etc.) and has covered just once in their last 5 games played in the altitude. The Trojans are just 7-20 ATS on the road as well.

USC has had a BRUTAL schedule and it has taken its toll. This team is starting to break down. Add in the fact that this offensive line is struggling and their starting a new QB...this could be a disaster. Utah's defensive front is fierce and ranks #2 in the Nation in sacks. 

I'd also like to add that this team chemistry has go to be shot right now for the Trojans with the reports swirling around a player punching a coach. Can't be good for morale.

5* Ohio State/Oklahoma MAX BET

Oklahoma +1.5

This line is a severe over-reaction. When "Games of the year" lines were posted back in July, the Oklahoma Sooners were touchdown favorites against the Ohio State Buckeyes. After two games into the young season, they are now 1.5/2 point underdogs. This is too big of an adjustment. This line has also made history as this is the first time in 16 years that the Oklahoma Sooners are underdogs at home. That should tell you something. Obviously this line has moved because of the loss they suffered against Houston in Week 1. Houston is a great team however. They also had the advantage of all off-season to prepare for Oklahoma so I will give the Sooners a pass on that one.

I will say this, Saturday's game is the season for the Sooners. If they lose this game, forget the playoffs. Oklahoma will move right back into the post-season picture with a win here. Now, I'm not going to say this game doesn't mean the same for Ohio State, but Ohio State can lose this game and they'll still be alright. If they lose but win out (including beating Michigan) and they'll be in the playoff.

Ohio State did crush Tulsa last week but they looked terrible in the first half. Dane Evans handed them 2 pick six touch downs in the final 5 minutes. The 2nd one was mind-blowing, where he or the coach decided to throw in a monsoon, instead of going into the half down 13-3. Now its 20-3, all their momentum was gone and they quit in the 2nd half. Before Evan's idiocracy, it was 6-3. Ohio State's offense only managed 6 points against Tulsa! Not having a lot of returning starters showed in that ball game for the Buckeyes. 

Bottomline is that this is the Sooners season. The players know it and maybe more importantly, the fans know it. Norman Oklahoma should be live and loud Saturday. Look for Oklahoma to keep their playoff hopes alive.

4* CFB Vegas Insider 

Appalachian State +3.5

5* CFB NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH

Tulsa +29

This number is inflated due to the drubbing Ohio State put on Bowling Green last week. We did have the Buckeyes in that one and I knew if they took care of business, we were going to fade them here. Ohio State has a HUGE game on deck against the Oklahoma Sooners. 

I like Tulsa because they can definitely put up some points. They have former Baylor OC calling the plays, so they can score with anyone in the country. 4+ touchdown is a lot to give a team with a high powered offense. The Golden Hurricane has been fantastic against the number as well. They have covered 5 straight non-conference games and are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. Look for Tulsa to keep it much closer than expected.

5* CFB UNDERDOG MAX BET

Massachusetts (UMass) +17 

Getting this one out now before it goes lower than 17. Make sure to get the 17.

What makes taking the points so special in this game is the fact that the total is set very low. At post this total was 41, but now has crept down to 39. Points are going to be tough to come by in this game and it's going to take a gigantic effort from an anemic BC offense, in a bad spot, to even score that many, let alone cover these points.

Boston College returns from Dublin without a week off for yet another road/neutral game. Terrible scheduling spot for them to prepare. The NFL finally woke up and gave the teams traveling to London a week off the following week, but not the NCAA. UMass played Florida to a 10-7 score through 3 quarters last week before losing 24-7. Florida is hands down a better team than Boston College and Massachusetts only lost by 17 IN Florida. If that game is any indication, then The Minutemen should easily stay inside this number Saturday.

5* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

South Alabama +31.5

Play for 4% at 28.5

4* FS1 TOP PLAY

Kansas State +16

It's always smart to back one of the best college coaches of all time, Bill Snyder, when he is catching points. He is 20-6 ATS his last 26 times as the underdog which includes 10 outright upsets. Frankly, this is too many points for a Stanford team to lay that has to replace their 4 year QB starter. They have said that they will be trying out two quarterbacks for this game, so this will hurt the rhythm of the offense and that's never a good thing when you have to win by 3 possessions to cover the spread. Bottomline here is that Bill Snyder has had the entire offseason to prepare for this game. This should be a grind it out type of game for both squads and we'll take the generous points every time in those match-ups.

50* New Year's Day MAX BET

Michigan -4

I'll make this one short and sweet. Michigan comes off a extremely embarrassing loss to their arch-rivals. They've had a very long time to think about that and I think they come out extra motivated to prove their worth. You know John Harbaugh will have these kids ready. I'm sure he wants to win his first bowl game for Big Blue BADLY! 

The Wolverines are just a much better team than Florida. They do both have great defenses but man, that Florida offense is just pathetic. It seems that if the Gators give up more than 14-17 points, they're toast. Hard not to see Michigan pulling away from this team in the 2nd half after the Florida defense gets tired legs.

50* One & Only BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR

Houston +7

Personally, I think Houston can win this game outright. A huge factor in handicapping Bowl games is motivation. You almost always want to back the team that is happy to be in a particular bowl that exceed expectations rather than a team that had higher aspirations that couldn't care less about a meaningless bowl. That's what we have here. Florida State wanted to be in the playoff not the Chick-Fil-A bowl. Everett Golson is also ruled out for this game and I expect a lot of FSU players to be tuned "out" also. 

Just look at the stats between these two clubs. Houston feast off turnovers and they lead the nation in margin. They no doubt will cause a few in this one, especially with the back up QB. Most know that FSU has a solid defense but what most don't is that Houston has a great one as well. They are right behind in defensive rankings. A HUGE stat for these teams is the all important 3rd down. The Cougars convert over half of their 3rd downs but the Seminoles covert just over a third of theirs. 

Bottomline here is that one team struggles in games played at a neutral site as the other excels. Houston has covered 6 of their last 8 as FSU hasn't covered in any of their last 5. Look for the Cougars to shock a lot of people here tonight.

40* NCAA TOP PLAY PARLAY

Southern California (USC) -3.5

50* NCAA TOP PLAY PARLAY

North Carolina (UNC) +3

I know this line is now at -3. We released this one early but it's still a great play up to -3. I liked UNC to win by more than an FG anyway when the line was at +3. 

This one is pretty simple for me. Baylor is ravaged with injuries and they are deflated. Their defense is not very good and I don't see them being highly motivated for this match up as they had National Championship aspirations. Bowl games are about motivation and we have a Tar Heel team that should be highly motivated after being robbed against Clemson. UNC has covered 4 straight after a spread loss and Baylor has covered just one game in their last 6. The Tar Heels are very good at on both sides of the ball with the "big play" and that should be the key for a UNC victory here.

40* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Indiana -2.5

40* or 50*...Checking a few things first

New Mexico +10

50* One & Only NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR

Vanderbilt +7

Everything points to the Commodores here. Current play, the situation, stats, trends, public perception, you name it. Texas A&M should not be laying a TD to anyone in the SEC, especially on the road. To make matters worse for A&M, they have LSU on deck so obvious lookahead here. Vanderbilt has a ferocious defense and they proved it against the Gators. This is their last home game of the season so no doubt they'll be up for this one.

This is only the Aggies third road game of the season, so they are not battle tested, and they have not looked great at all as the visiting team. After the Alabama game, this team has gone right into the toilet. Texas A&M has lost 5 straight games against the spread and are a miserable 5-16 ATS their last 21 games against the SEC. No doubt this team has their line's inflated constantly.

Vanderbilt is the opposite. They have been outstanding ATS in the SEC. They have covered 6 of their last 7 and have won 5 of their last 6 home games against the number. It's very tough to score on this Vandy defense and when points are at a premium, it's almost a given to take the points with the HOME and better defensive team. Getting a touchdown here is a gift and I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go down to the wire with Vandy having a great chance at the outright.

50* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Arkansas -3.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are on fire right now and I don't think anyone wants to face off against them. They are 5-1 ATS their last 6 games and are an undefeated 5-0 against the SEC. They get to play Mississippi State in a very advantageous situation. The Bulldogs come off getting destroyed by Alabama. Teams typically don't respond well after the Tide beatdown. They put everything they got into a game like that and if you get crushed, a let down is inevitable. Mississippi State has been awful covering the number recently after getting beat down. The Bulldogs are just 3-8 their last 11 games after losing by 20+ points and are 1-6 following a 10+ point loss at home. Look for the Razorbacks to continue to cruise Saturday. 

50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

Washington State +10.5

40* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

North Carolina (UNC) -3

This line is very telling on who should win this game. Pittsburgh, who is ranked 23rd in the country, not only is a dog, but they are a HOME underdog. That means on a neutral field, UNC would be a touchdown favorite. This line also opened at -1.5 and jumped quickly to -3 with over 60% of the bets be written on Pitt. All three of of my closest sources all love the Tar Heels here and for good reason. The Tar Heels have covered 4 of their last 5 games in Pittsburgh and have also covered 4 of their last 5 following a spread loss. Pittsburgh has covered just 1 of their last 6 home games. 

50* NCAA MAX BET

Florida Atlantic -6

I'll make this short and sweet. UTEP is AWFUL. Their defense is terrible, allowing 48 a game. They have not covered a spread in 8 games and are injured to the max. UTEP has zero home field advantage and if you look closer at this game, FAU (a team with a worse record) is 6 point ROAD chalk. They are also 17-4-1 ATS their last 22 games on the road. That tells me all I need to know. FAU has a ton of speed and should run UTEP off the field.

40*

Missouri -2.5

40* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH

Wake Forest +10

NC State does not deserve to be a double digit favorite to anyone in the ACC. To make matters worse, they have huge game against Clemson on deck, so likely a lookahead spot here. The Demon Deacons have taken out the Wolfpack five straight times at home and they also have revenge from last year's beating on the road against NC State. Wake Forest matches up well against NC State and getting 10 points on the home team is a no brainer for me.

40*

Vanderbilt +3

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH

Baylor -21

50* NCAA SITUATIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR

Navy +14.5

This is the definition of a "sandwich" spot for the Fighting Irish. They come off a heartbreaking loss to ranked Clemson on the road and now have to play this game against Navy with their rivals, USC Trojans, on deck. 

It's usually a great bet to back triple option teams when they are getting a lot of points. They are constantly running and chewing a bunch of the clock up. It makes it harder for the opposing team to score in bunches with less time on the clock. This is Navy's game of the year and they have had fantastic success against Notre Dame. The Midshipmen have covered 9 of their last 10 games in Notre Dame and as a matter of fact, we had them last year heavy as they stayed inside the number.

Navy has been spread covering machines this season and I fully expect them to keep this one close throughout. Even if by some chance they go down 21 in the fourth quarter, the back door will be wide open as Notre Dame could pump the brakes, knowing they have a much more important game on deck. Look for Navy and the triple option to give ND all they can handle on Saturday.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Arizona State +13

50* NCAA MAX BET

Kentucky -2.5

This game basically is a fade of Missouri. The Tigers just look dreadful on the offensive side of the ball. Matty Mauk is struggling mightily, their O-line stinks, and their wide receivers drop balls if somehow Mauk gets it there. I also like taking un-ranked teams that are favored against ranked opponents. A simple rule is that vegas rankings are much more important than the AP Poll. We successfully faded Missouri when they played Arkansas State, as that line looked fishy as hell and I think we have another winner here and getting this below a FG is a steal.

40*

Bowling Green -3.5

50* S.E.C. GAME OF THE YEAR

Alabama -5.5

Well guys, my long term guys and I know how this game ended last year. We were on the Tide and it looked like smooth sailing until Ole Miss scored 13 unanswered as Blake Sims and Christian Jones turnovers cost the Tide the game in the 4th quarter. Right there we have the revenge angle. We also get this game in Tuscaloosa. That's huge for the Tide as it's damn near impossible to beat this team at home. A lot of folks are down on Alabama this year as they lost a lost of starters but remember, this is ALABAMA...the team that always get the most 5 star recruits year in and year out.

Most people are going to see the huge performances that Mississippi has had the last 2 games, but let's face it, they were against some really bad squads. Not to mention, the Rebels did have 3 turnovers and let Fresno rush for over 160 yards. That's got to be alarming. A big key here is that everyone is starting to talk about Rebel QB Chad Kelly. He may have had some great numbers but this is a whole new ball game going to Alabama. I see this kid really struggling in a game of this magnitude with a berserk crowd.

Alabama is going to be out for blood and we have the best coach in the game on our side at home in this one, with revenge. Alabama basically had a week off last week and, for all intents and purposes, had two weeks to prepare for this one. The Crimson Tide man-handled Wisconsin, at a neutral site I might add, and I believe they are a better team than Ole Miss. Look for a convincing Bama win.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Louisiana Tech +10

50* NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Michigan State Spartans -3.5

This game should sound pretty basic as we do have the revenge angle here and this meeting between both of these two squads last year was close until the fourth...Michigan State was in this game until then..they even had the lead. This isn't the same Oregon team everyone is used to. This squad just gave up 40+ to an FCS school in EWU, which the Ducks QB just recently played for. That should tell you a lot, and that this Duck defense is in some serious trouble.

Teams that give Oregon problems are the physical, tough, dominant in the trenches squads and that's exactly what the Spartans are. I refuse to over think this one as Michigan State should have a great home crowd on hand and this isn't the same Oregon squad that we are used to seeing. The Mighty Spartans should dominate this game and I fully expect an easy victory from the boys from Michigan and this will cause a huge shake up in the AP poll standings next week.

40* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK

Arkansas State +11

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Georgia -19.5

50* NCAA MAX BET

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10

This one is really simple for me. Notre Dame is returning practically their entire squad and the Irish's defense is primed to be one of the best in the country. Texas is going to have 5 freshman starting this ball game. The experience for these clubs is really going to show in this game, especially if Notre Dame gets out to an early lead, this crowd will go crazy and that's when the youth is really going to show for the Longhorns and they will fall apart. I expect Texas not to do much of anything on either side of the ball and this game should be a laugher. 

40* NCAA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Boise State -11.5

40* NCAA on ESPN TOP PLAY

North Carolina (UNC) +2

50* COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR

Ohio State +7

analysis soon

50* MAX BET

Washington Huskies -5

Oklahoma State lost 5 straight before upsetting the Sooners the last game of the season. As it turns out Oklahoma was severely over-rated. The Cowboys are a bad team. They are 100th in the nation in points allowed and they are about to face one of the best coaches in college football and a terrific offense. Washington is better than their record. Lord knows how they lost the Arizona game when all they had to do was knee the clock and they walk off the field victorious. I feel that the Huskies will be well prepared for this game, especially since their coach is no joke. Oklahoma State has been getting destroyed in their games and I don't see how the Huskies don't destroy them tonight.

50* SUGAR BOWL SHOWDOWN

Alabama -9.5

In a nut shell, Nick Saban is damn near impossible to beat with a month to prepare. Alabama is, without a doubt, the best team in the nation. I believe that Ohio State is overvalued now from drubbing a mediocre Wisconsin team. Let's face it, the Badgers only have one player (Gordon) and their QB SUCKS! Ohio State loves to fall flat on their face in big games and they do it EVERY year in EVERY sport. Alabama routs this team and goes on to the National Title game.

BONUS 7 POINT NCAA TEASER: Alabama -2.5 & Oregon -2

50* COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR

Missouri -5

First, let me start with this. This is SEC vs. Big 10. The SEC is king and the Big 10 was a joke this season. Secondly, Minnesota's coach Jerry Kill, has never won a bowl game. Gary Pinkel, Missouri's coach, will have these kids well prepared after the butt kicking they took against Alabama. We did see that one coming though, because without a doubt Alabama is the best team in the land and they'll win the National title..hint hint. Missouri has played the much tougher schedule and I imagine them giving one hell of an effort here. All their players will be back and healthy for this game and they should destroy this Minnesota team who is just happy to be here. Missouri has an amazing defense and if they get their running game going, this may well be a blowout. Best of Luck and Happy Holidays!

50* UNDERDOG MAX BET

Michigan State +3

analysis coming

50* MAX BET

Arkansas Razorbacks -6

This is SEC vs BIG 12. Advantage Arkansas. The Razorbacks have really stepped up their game towards the end of the season with their running game and their defense. Arkansas should dominate in the trenches on the offensive and defensive side of the ball. Texas offense is just terrible and I expect the Razorbacks to win this one by double digits.

50*

Texas-San Antonio (UTSA) -4.5

50* MID-MAJOR GAME OF THE YEAR

Western Michigan -7

This team is AMAZING against the spread. They are UNDEFEATED in a TON of trends but here are a few really good ones: 8-0 ATS their last 8 conference games. 7-0 ATS their last 7 games following a straight up win and 9-0 ATS their last 9 following an ATS win. WMU is also 4-0 ATS their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. To top it all off they are an incredible 11-1 their last 12 games ATS overall. All trends aside, Western Michigan has a chance to play spoiler and knock out Northern Illinois from the top stop in the MAC West in front of their home fans. The spread of 7 tells me a whole lot and I think they stomp the Huskies today.

40*

Washington Huskies -6

40*

Missouri Tigers +3.5

40* NCAA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK

Baylor -28.5

analysis soon

50* NCAA UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR

Louisville +3.5

Notre Dame is a mess. They had one of the worst coaching decisions EVER in their game against Northwestern and sure enough it cost them the game. They are a, what I like to call, dream killed team. They realize now they have no shot and they are going through the motions. I don't know if this team can recover. What makes it worse for Notre Dame is that they have USC on deck, their hated rival. Even worse news for the Irish is that Louisville gives up less than 100 yards a game on the ground. That is fantastic, especially when backing the underdog. Louisville showed they have a lot of heart against BC after they dominated them coming off that horrendous loss to FSU. In my opinion, Louisville is the better team and I think Louisville wins this game outright. (More on this game later)

50* MAX BET

Oregon -9.5

analysis soon

50* BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR

Kansas State +6.5

This is just way too many points to give one of the best coached teams in the nation. Bill Snyder is one hell of a coach and he is the master of getting his players ready for big games, especially on the road. Bill Snyder has covered 13 out of 14 when his team is a road dog and he has won 7 of them outright. Let's not forget that this team is oh so close to being undefeated as they completely coughed up the game against Auburn as they missed 3 fgs. TCU has struggled in the big games this year, especially against WVU, where they had no business winning that game. Kansas State knows that with a win here the Big 12 Title is within reach and even a playoff bid could be in order. I would not be surprised if K State won this game outright. 

40*

Texas +3.5

40*

Hawaii +3

50* NCAA VEGAS INSIDER

Navy +15

analysis soon

40* PAC-12 GAME OF THE WEEK

Stanford +10

analysis soon

40* SEC SHOWDOWN

Auburn +3

analysis soon

40* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK

Baylor -35.5

Let me make this one easy for you. Kansas stinks and Baylor is coming off an upset loss on the road and has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game. Baylor has the type of offense needed to cover a big spread like this as they can score on 1 play per possession and they are always in the hurry up. Look for Baylor to total take out their frustrations on this miserable Jayhawks team.

50* NCAA UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH

West Virginia +6

analysis soon