Tom Grassi MLB Homerun

Texas at Seattle - Texas starting pitcher Perez Perez has not done great on the road. He posted a 5.78 ERA in 15 starts away from Globe Life Park. He takes the mound tonight against a Seattle team that is looking to bounce back from a tough loss. Seattle is 9-5 SU after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs. Taking a long term look the Rangers are 9-11 when playing at Seattle over the last 3 seasons. We see Seattle getting the win on the home field.

Play on Seattle Mariners

Tom Grassi MLB Home Run

Toronto vs Tampa Bay - Toronto is coming off two straight losses in which their 3,4 and 5 hitters went for a combined 0 for 26 at the plate. We don't see that happening again tonight and expect more offensive production out of that section of the line up. Toronto is 12-2 SU  in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses. Toronto's defense was been able to limit runs scored against Baltimore in their last series. When you combine that defense with their hitters shaking off their slump tonight we see them picking up the win.

Play on Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Double Dog

Toronto can’t wait until they get back home. They’ve been in Seattle and Chicago and have won only one of the six games. They’ll play these two against the Brewers before going home. Happ hopes to get the Jays a win tonight when he starts in Milwaukee. He’ll oppose a Milwaukee team that is on a roll winning four straight.

The Brewers will start Michael Fiers who will be making only his third start of the season. So far so good for Fiers as he is a perfect 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA.

The Blue Jays were a nice looking dog tonight and we look for them to send Fiers to the showers early tonight. Happ beat the Brewers once earlier this season and we look for him to do it again tonight.

Play on Toronto

MLB Double Dog

The Books opened the Marlins as -165 favorites and despite over 80% of the action coming in on Miami the line is now down to as low as -150 over at 5Dimes. We are going against the public action and looking to cash the Rangers.

The Rangers just finished a seven game home stand winning only twice and now head down to Miami for a 2-game series. They send Miles Mikolas out for his 9th start of the season.

The Marlins are at home finishing off a 9-game home stand which has been pretty good winning five of the seven games. Jarred Cosart gets the ball for Miami.

The Rangers are struggling this season but making Cosart and the Marlins a $-155 favorite is an overlay. His team start record is under .500 at home with Miami winning only 5 of his 11 home starts. Mikolas hasn’t pitched that great in his limited starts but he has shined on the road with a 2.92 ERA.

Don't side with the public and cash the Rangers at the Betting Window.

Play on Texas

Tom Grassi 20* Afternoon Discount Deal

The Books opened the Astros as -120 favorites and despite almost 60% of the action coming in on Houston, the line has moved all the way down to a -105 pick at most books. We are going with this line move and planning to cash the Twins to start off the Wednesday card.

The Twins are sitting a slightly better 53-65 season over the 50-70 Astros. The Twins opened up the series with a 4-2 win over the Astros then suffered a 10-4 loss last night.  We expect the Twins to finish this series off with a road win before heading back home to face KC in a four game series.

Kyle Gibson is on the mound for the Twins and is having a slightly below average season with a 4.13 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in all starts.  He is coming off a loss to Oakland where he gave up five earned runs in five innings and we expect him to have a bounce back start where he gives up very few runs. Gibson started once against Houston this season where he pitched seven innings without giving up a single run and the Twins beat the Astros 8-0 as small -120 home favorites.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Brett Oberholtzer.  The Astros have won in all of Oberholtzer’s last five starts where Brett earned two of the five winning decisions. Before that five game winning streak, the Astros only won two of his 11 starts.  He started off this season with six losing decisions and we expect him to suffer a horrible start this afternoon.

Take the Twins and start this Wednesday off with a winner!

Play on Minnesota

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Books opened up Seattle as -165 favorites and the public jumped all over them with over 70% of the action on the Mariners.  Despite all that action coming in on Seattle the line has bumped down to as low as -141 over at 5Dimes.  We are going against the public in this one and looking to cash the White Sox at the betting window.

The White Sox opened up the four game series against Seattle with back to back poor losses.  They lost the first matchup 13-3 as huge +175 road dogs and then came back in the second game with a 4-1 loss as slightly smaller +155 Dogs.  They shocked the public with a +175 winner in game three with Noesi on the mound, 2-1 final.  We expect them to even out the four game series tonight with a win. 

John Danks is on the mound the White Sox and he is coming off the worst start of the season, giving up nine runs to Texas in 4.7 innings and we expect a huge bounce back start after such an embarrassing performance.  Looking back to previous starts this season for Danks, anytime he gave up more than five runs in an outing, he came back with a winning start, besides one matchup which was against the Yankees where he pitched eight innings without giving up a single run and the bullpen blew the save. He has a terrible 9.18 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in his last three starts and is due for a strong performance.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Erasmo Ramirez who has a below average 4.35 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in all starts this season.  He is coming off a few solid starts, giving up very few runs.  We expect him to have a poor outing this afternoon and shock the public with a loss.

Go against the public and take the Sox with Dank on the mound.

Play on Chicago

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Signature Selection

The Books opened up the Giants as -120 favorites and despite of all the public action coming in on them (72%), the line has actually dropped down to a pick over BetUS.  We are going against the public in this one and looking to cash the Royals at the Betting Window!

The Giants got on a small winnign run after that terrible cold streak they were on. They won five of their last eight after losing six straight against the Dodgers and Pirates series.  They are coming off a loss to the Brewers and we expect that trend to continue as they are heading into a tough matcup. 

The Royals are coming into this matchup with some momentum.  They have won four straight and looking back a few weeks, they have won 12 of their last 15 matchups. That solid road trip they are coming off includes two very nice wins over the Oakland A’s.  They beat them in the first game of the series in a very strong pitching matchup 1-0 as huge +205 road dogs and then suffered a loss in the second game but came back in the third game of the series with another solid 4-2 win as +155 dogs.  They are back at Kauffman Stadium tonight and should have no problem cashing the win!

We cashed our Interleague Game of the Month on the Mariners back on Wednesday and plan to cash another Interleague Matchup again tonight with this Giants at Royals Matchup!

Play on the Kansas City Royals

Tom Grassi 25* MLB NL East Game of the Month

The Books opened the Phillies as small -110 home favorites which seems like a trap. The Phillies are dead last in the NL East with a 52-63 season record while the Mets sit right above them in the standings at 54-61.  We are backing the Mets in this matchup.

Looking at past results, the Mets are 18-6 against the Phillies over the last three seasons and this year they have beat them in 8 of 12 outings, which includes an almost perfect 5-1 record when playing at Citizens Bank Park.

Bartolo Colon is on the mound for the Mets and he has been having a so-so season.  He is coming off a very poor outing against the San Francisco Giants where he gave up six earned runs in just five innings and the Mets got shutout 9-0 as small home dogs.  We expect Colon to bounce back from that embarrassing outing with a strong start this evening. Colon has cashed back to back wins against the Phillies.  Both were huge wins; the most recent start they won 7-1 as small -135 home favorites and in his first start against them this season which was back in June, they won 11-2 as small -110 road favorites.  He gave up a combined three runs in 15 combined innings. 

On the other side of the pitching matchup is A.J. Burnett who has been struggling lately.  He is coming off two very poor starts and we don’t expect things to turn around just yet.  In his last start he barely made it through the second innings. In that matchup, the Phillies got shutout 11-0.  In his second most recent start he gave up seven earned runs in just five innings and they lost to the Mets 7-1, and in that matchup they were facing Colon.

The Phillies are coming off a strong series against the Astros where they swept the series.  Look for them to struggle as they are due for a loss.  The Mets on the other hand are coming off back to back losses against Washington after opening that series with a nice 6-1 win as +145 road dogs.

Play on the New York Mets

Tom Grassi 25* MLB Interleague Game of the Month

The Offshore Books opened the Atlanta Braves as -120 favorites and despite over 75% of the action coming in on the Braves, the line has bumped down a tick to -115 over at 5Dimes. We are going against the public action and taking Seattle with Young on the mound this evening.

The Atlanta Braves have been ice cold throughout this road trip.  They have lost all seven games so far, including back to back sweeps against the Dodgers and the Padres and it looks like Seattle is going to end this two game series with another win after last night’s 4-2 win as larger -160 favorites. 

Chris Young seems to be very undervalued in this home start.  He has been having a solid season with a 3.24 ERA and 1.144 WHIP in all starts this season and has a 2.21 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in all starts at Safeco Field.  He is coming off a poor start against Cleveland where he gave up four earned runs in just five innings but Seattle was still able to cash the close 6-5 win as +130 road dogs over the Indians.  In the start before that Cleveland matchup, Young pitched seven innings without giving up a single run and Seattle beat Baltimore 4-3.  We expect another strong home performance out of Young tonight.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Julio Teheran who is coming off a loss but it was a pretty strong start.  He only gave up two runs in eight innings against the Dodgers and they lost only 2-1 as huge +190 road dogs.  In his second most recent start, he earned the winning decision as he gave up only three earned runs in six innings and they won 5-3 over the Padres. Don’t expect another strong outing from Teheran as he struggles on the mound this evening.

Seattle is a perfect 3-0 against Atlanta this season, including two road wins at the beginning of June.  They beat them 7-5 in the first meeting this season as +150 road underdogs and came back the following day with a 2-0 shutout win as +130 road dogs. Look for them to keep this perfect record going against the struggling Atlanta Braves. 

Play on Seattle

Tom Grassi 15* Favorite of the Week

The Books have the Detroit Tigers as small -125 Favorites in this matchup against the New York Yankees and we feel they are a bit undervalued.  We normally only play underdogs but there is too much value to pass up in this matchup. If you shop lines, you can find the best Odds over at 5Dimes.

The Tigers are coming off a loss to open up the series against the Yankees. They lost 2-1 as small -115 favorites and we expect them to bounce right back to even out the series. New York is coming off three straight wins and are due for a loss.

Taking a look at the pitching matchup, David Price is on the mound for the Tigers and he has been having a very solid season with a 3.16 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in all starts. He has also pitched very well on the road all season long with a 2.85 ERA and 0.965 WHIP in all road starts.  He is coming off a loss where he gave up three earned runs to the Brewers and the Tigers ended up with a shutout loss (5-0) as -165 home favorites.  Look for Price to bounce back with a solid performance in this matchup against the Yankees tonight!

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Hiroki Kuroda who has been having a so-so season. He is coming off a loss against Texas where he gave up three earned runs and the Yanks lost 3-2 as -135 favorites. He has only earned seven winning decisions while Price has earned 11. Kuroda has a below average 4.08 ERA in all home starts and we expect him to struggle tonight. He has a poor 10-20 team start record when the money line is between +125 and -125 and 14-24 in all night starts over the last two seasons.

Take the undervalued Tigers as small favorites tonight against the Yankees as they bounce back and even out the series!

Play on Detroit

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Double Dog

The Books opened the White Sox as -150 favorites which seemed to be a bit high for Chicago. There is about 77% of the action coming in on Chicago, and despite all that action the line has been moved down to as low as -140 at a few books. We are going with the sharps on this one as we expect the Rangers to cash this one at the betting window.

The Sox are coming off back to back poor matchups and we don’t see things turning around just yet as they start a new series against the Rangers tonight. The Rangers are coming off three straight losses as Cleveland Swept the series but we expect them to bounce back with a win to open up this series against the Sox.

Nick Martinez has been in a funk, coming off six straight losses but does have a pretty solid 3.91 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in all road starts. Look for him to finally come out with a strong start and get a little run support to help him cash the win.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Hector Noesi who is coming off a loss to Detroit where he gave up six runs in just six innings and they lost 7-2. Before that matchup he cashed back to back wins against the Twins and Astros but look for him to struggle tonight.

Go against the public and cash the Rangers at the Betting Window!

Play on Texas

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Double Dog

The Indians opened as -165 favorites and the line has jumped all the way to -215 over at 5Dimes.. The Public is all over Kluber and the Indians, who are coming off a three game sweep over Texas. We are going against the public as we expect Cincinnati to cash the win at the betting window.

Cincinnati is coming off a winning series over Miami where they won three of the four matchups. Both teams are tied at 56-55 for the season and we feel Kluber is a bit over-rated as he is due for a poor performance, coming off four wins and back to back starts where he didn’t give up a single run in nine innings. He has a 0.67 ERA andn 0.487 WHIP in his last three starts and is due for a bad start.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Alfred Simon who has been having a strong season but seems to be in a bit of a funk lately. He is coming into this matchup off three straight losses and looks to bounce back with a win in this matchup against the Cleveland Indians! Simon has a very solid 16-6 team start record so far this season and has cashed 11 of 13 starts when the Reds are coming off a win.

Go against the public and cash this huge underdog winner at the betting window!

Play on Cincinnati

Tom Grassi 20* Late Night Bailout

The books opened up Atlanta as -120 favorites and despite most of the action coming in on the Braves (77%), the line has moved down to -110 at most books and the Padres are listed at -105 at a few books.

The Padres are coming off a huge blowout win over the Braves to open up the new series.  They won 10-1 as small +110 Underdogs.  They have won three of their last four including another big blowout win over St Louis, 12-1 as small -115 favorites. 

Ervin Santana is on the mound for the Braves and has been pitching very well as of late but is due for a loss.  He is coming off a very strong performance just last week against the Padres where he pitched eight innings and didn’t give up a single run and the Braves won 2-0 as huge -205 home favorites.  He has a weak 4.00 ERA and 1.302 WHIP in all road starts this week and with him coming off three straight wins, we expect a lousy road start from him tonight.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Ian Kennedy who has beening a so-so season with a 3.66 ERA and 1.219 WHIP in all starts this season and is coming off a win against the Cubs where the Padres won 8-3 as small road favorites.  Before that matchup, he suffered back to back tough losses including that start where he didn’t give up a single run in eight innings and they ended up losing 1-0 due to zero run support.  Look for the Padres to back him up tonight and for San Diego to cash the win at the betting window!

Play on San Diego Padres

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Offshore Books opened the LA Angels as -120 favorites and despite more action coming in on the Angels, the line has moved to Baltimore being the small -105 favorite at most books.  We are taking the value with the Orioles at home tonight as we expect them to sweep the series after winning the first game 7-6 as +120 dogs, and the second game 4-3 as +125 dogs. 

Tyler Skaggs in on the mound tonight and we expect him to have a poor start after coming off three straight team wins, and having a strong start in his last outing against Detroit where he gave up only one earned run in almost six innings.  He has a so-so 4.49 ERA and 1.246 WHIP in all starts this season but don’t expect a very strong start against the Orioles.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Bud Norris who has been strong at home all season long.  He has an above average 3.02 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in all home starts and is coming off a poor outing against Seattle where he gave up four earned runs in just five innings and the Orioles lost 4-3 as small -105 road favorites.  He is coming off back to back road starts and we expect a strong outing from him to bounce back from that loss at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Tonight!

The Orioles are 4-1 against the LA Angels so far this season and should have no problem cashing the win at the betting window this evening to sweep the series.  They are 19-10 against AL West opponents this season and Norris has a 15-6 team start record when starting as a home dog of +100 to +125. With the line move pushing them to a small favorite at a few books we wanted to include his 26-13 team start record at home when the money line is between +125 and -125.

Go with the reverse line move on this one and cash the Orioles on Thursday night!

Play on Baltimore

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Late Night Bailout

The Offshore Books opened the Giants as large -160 favorites and despite over 65% of the action coming in on the Giants, the line has moved to as low as -149 over at 5Dimes.  We are taking the Pittsburgh Pirates in this late night matchup.

The Giants are on a four game losing streak after that loss to the Phillies and the three game sweep from the Dodgers.  We don’t expect that run to be broken just yet.  Pitt is coming off a win against the Rockies after back to back 8-1 losses against them. 

Madison Bumgarner is on the mound for the Giants and has a 3.19 ERA and 1.206 WHIP in all starts this season but has struggled at home with a 5.22 ERA and 1.534 WHIP in all home starts.  He has a very strong 2.21 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in his last three starts and is due for a loss after cashing three straight wins in his most recent starts. He didn’t give up a single run in eight innings in his last start which was against the Phillies and only gave up one run in six innings in his second most recent start against the Marlins.  Look for him to have a poor start this evening as he 0-5 TSR at home against NL Central opponents. 

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Vance Worley who has been having a solid season with a 2.79 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in all starts and has pitched pretty well on the road with a 3.37 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in all road starts.  He is coming off a win against the Dodgers where he gave up only one earned run in six innings and Pitt won the matchup 12-7.  We expect Worley to come out with a very strong start tonight.

Don’t side with the public and cash the Pirates at the Betting window.

Play on Pittsburgh

Tom Grassi 25* AL East Game of the Month

Let’s take a look at the Toronto Blue Jays were NY Yankees matchup. The Blues Jays send lefty Mark Buehrle to the mound and the Yankees counter with righty Hiroki Kuroda.

The Jays come to New York riding a three game winning streak. They beat Boston yesterday 8-0 behind an outstanding pitching performance by Marcus Stroman who went seven strong innings allowing only one hit. The bullpen finished up and didn’t surrender a hit.

Despite injuries to their pitching staff the Yankees have been playing good baseball. New York has won six of their seven games since the All Star Break. Their pitching has been outstanding as they have allowed an average of only 2 runs per game in those last seven games.

The Yankees own the Jays here in New York having won 16 straight home games over Toronto. To make matters worse for Toronto is that their starter Buehrle has an awful 2-16 team start record versus the Yankees. This season he has two starts against NY and allowed 6 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings of work.

Buehrle has a sparkling 2.86 ERA on the season with a 14-6 team start record. However, he’s struggled in his last three outings posting a 5.29 ERA.

Yankee starter Kuroda has pitched pretty well this season with a 3.88 ERA. However, the Yankees don’t give him much support and they are only 9-11 in his 20 starts. Kuroda has been solid against the Blue Jays in his career with a 6-3 team start record and 3.86 ERA. He’s faced Toronto once this season up in Canada and he allowed three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in a 5-3 NY win.

The Yankees are $-125 favorites tonight and despite their overwhelming past success against Toronto we’re backing the Blue Jays. Remember, betting trends always seem to revert back to 50-50 over time and we expect NY’s dominance over Toronto to come to and end.

We like betting underdogs and we like betting dogs with the pitching advantage. Buehrle hasn’t pitched very well of late but we look for him to get back on track tonight. You can’t trust Kuroda in this betting range as he has a 10-20 team start record pitching when the betting line is between $-125 to $+125.

Play on Toronto Blue Jays

TOM GRASSI 25* MLB AL CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH

The Books opened up the Cleveland Indians as -120 favorites and the public jumped all over them. There is just under 70% of the action on Cleveland and despite all that action, the line has dropped down to Cleveland being favored by -110. We feel that this is a bit of a trap and that KC has some under-rated value in this one.

Cleveland is sending Kluber out to the mound who has been having a solid season with a 2.95 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in all starts and even has pitched very well on the road with a 2.88 ERA and 1.296 WHIP but is coming off three straight wins and is due for a loss here tonight.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Danny Duffy who has also been having a solid season with a 2.71 ERA and 1.132 WHIP in all starts and pitches very well against his division with a 2.27 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in that situation. HE is surprisingly coming off three straight losses and unlike Kluber, he is due for a win.

The Indians were on a solid little run including those two underdog wins against Detorit (+155 and +175) but have struggled since, winning only one of their last four and we don’t see things turning around for Cleveland just yet. Kansas City is in almost the exact opposite situation since they were in a terrible funk but are coming off back to back wins over the White Sox and look to build off that momentum to finally get on a winning run.

Don’t side with the public and cash the Royals at the Betting Window.

Play on Kansas City

TOM GRASSI 20* EARLY AFTERNOON NL SMART MONEY

The Giants seem to be under-rated in this early afternoon matchup against the Phillies. The Books have the Phillies as small -115 favorites and it seems like a trap to get the public all over Philadelphia.

San Francisco is coming into this matchup with some momentum as they have won seven of their last nine and are coming off three straight wins. We expect a sweep in this four game series as the Giants should have no problem cashing the win at the betting window. The Phillies on the other hand are ice cold as they have won only one of their last eight matchups. 

Tim Hudson is on the mound for the Giants and has been having a solid season.  He has a 2.77 ERA and 1.070 WHIP In all starts and tends to pitch very well on the road with a 2.32 ERA and 1.012 WHIP in all road starts.  He is coming off a solid start against Miami where he only gave up one earned run in seven innings and they won 5-3.  Looking back to the previous start to that matchup against Miami, he gave up six runs in just five innings for one of his worst outings of the season.  We expect him to have another strong start this afternoon and cash the easy win.  He is not only 45-22 TSR in all games over the last two seasons but he is 101-55 TSR in all day games!

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Cole Hamels who has also been having a solid season with a 2.83 ERA and 1.163 WHIP but is coming off a few strong starts and is due for a bad performance.  He is also only 12-21 TSR when starting as a favorite over the last two season. 

We expect the public to fall into the small favorite trap and for us sharp betters to win another small MLB Dog! If you shop lines you can find the best odds over at BetOnline.

Play on San Francisco!

TOM GRASSI 20* EARLY AFTERNOON AL SMART MONEY

The Offshore Books opened up the Yankees as huge over-rated -200 favorites and a ton of public action is coming in on NY (73% of the action). Despite all that money coming in on the Yanks, the line has dropped down to them being favored as low as -173 at a few books.  If you shop lines you can find the best odds over at 5Dimes where we usually find the best large dog lines. 

The Rangers have been in a bit of a funk over the past month, winning only three of their last 21 matchups.  They opened up the four game series against the Yankees with a 4-2 win as decent +145 underdogs.  We expect them to finish off the series and road trip with a win before they head back home and face the Oakland A’s. 

Taking a look at pitching matchup, Colby Lewis is on the mound for the Rangers and he is coming off two poor starts including an absolutely terrible performance against the LA Angels where he gave up 11 earned runs in just 2.3 innings and they ended up losing 15-6 as small +120 underdogs.  Look for him to gain a bit of respect back after those back to back losses.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Brandon McCarthy who has an below average 4.63 ERA and 1.365 WHIP in all starts this season and a poor 5.04 ERA and 1.321 WHIP in all home starts.  He is coming off four straight team wins including three winning decisions and is due for a loss as he has a season best 1.96 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in his last three starts.  

Go against the public in this one and cash the Rangers as large underdogs at the Betting Window!

Play on Texas!

Tom Grassi 25* NL Central Game of the Month

The Offshore Books opened the Brewers as -160 favorites and most of the public money has come in on Milwuakee.  Despite over 60% of the action coming in on the Brewers, the odds have dropped to as low as -138 over at 5Dimes and we expect the public to be shocked as Cinci snaps their five game losing streak with a road win this afternoon. If you shop Lines you can find the best odds over at Bovada at +130.

The Brewers are leading the series 2-0 against the Reds. Watch as the Reds avoid the sweep with an afternoon road winner.  Leake is on the Mound for the Reds and is coming off back to back losses and is due for a strong performance.  He gave up four earned runs in back to back innings.  He gave up four in seven innings against the Yankees and they ended up losing that one 4-3 as +125 dogs and also gave up four in six innings to the Pittsburg Pirates, which they ended up losing 6-5 at -105 odds. Leake is 1-1 so far this season against the Reds with his last matchup being a blowout win (13-4 as +115 at Milwuakee) and the first was a tough 2-0 loss as -120 favorites where Leake only gave up two earned runs in eight innings but due to zero run support the Reds ended up losing the matchup.  Look for Mike Leake to bounce back after those back to back lousy starts with a strong afternoon win!

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Kyle Lohse who has been having a solid season with a 3.16 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in all starts and has pitched very well at home with a 2.43 ERA and 0.876 WHIP in all home starts.  Lohse is due for a loss after that epic start against the Washington Nationals where he only gave up one earned run in seven innings and the Brewers cashed the +160 win at the betting window just last week.  We don’t expect back to back performances like that as the Brewers are due for a bad outing. Lohse has started twice against the Reds this season and the Brewers lost both matchups.  Look for that trend to continue and Lohse struggling at the mound for a loss again today.

Cinci is 29-19 when playing against division opponents this season while the Brewers are only 17-29 in home day games and they have struggled throughout the month of July with a 5-12 record.

Don’t side with the public and cash the afternoon win with the Reds!

Play on Cinci!

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Signature Selection

The Offshore Books opened the Angels as -140 favorites and despite over 70% of the action coming in on LA, the line has dropped down to -130 at most books.  The Angels seem to be very over-valued in this matchup and the public is going to be shocked when Baltimore cashes the win at the betting window.  If you shop lines you can find the best odds over at 5Dimes.

Baltimore is coming off a losing series against Oakland where they lost the first game 5-4 as 150 dogs, came back and won the second with a solid 8-4 win as +145 road dogs but failed to win the series with a lousy 10-2 loss as once again big +140 road dogs.  We expct them to bounce back with a win to start this new road series against LA. 

The Angels have been playing some good baseball, winning seven of their last eight, but are due for a loss. Matt Shoemaker takes the mound for the Angels and has been having a so-so season with a 4.15 ERA and 1.327 WHIP in all starts this season.  We expect him to come back with a poor performance after cashing a win over Hosuton back at the beginning of July.  

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Bud Norris who is coming off an embarrassing start to Washington where he gave up five earned runs in just four innings and we expect him to bounce back with a solid start. Norris is a perfect 3-0 when starting against the Angles with a very solid ERA of 0.32 and WHIP of 0.964.

Baltimore is not only 28-21 in all road games this season but they are 27-17 after a loss and have cashed 13 of 16 after a big loss by six runs or more.  Go against the public and take the Orioles as small undervalued road dogs!

Play on Baltimore!

Tom Grassi 25* AL Underdog of the Month

The Books opened the Tampa Bay Rays as -165 favorites and despite about 70% of the action coming in on the Rays, the line has moved down to as low as -144 at 5Dimes. We are going against the public in this one and if you shop lines, you can find the best odds over at +139 at 5Dimes.

The Twins seem to be very under-valued in this home matchup against the Rays.  They are 44-51 on the season while the Rays have only one more win with a 45-53 record.  The Rays opened up the series with a 6-2 win as -120 road favorites in last night’s matchup but we expect the Twins to even out the series this evening.

David Price is on the mound for the Rays and has been having a strong season with a 3.29 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in all starts.  He is due for a bad start with a very strong 1.52 ERA and 0.972 WHIP in his last three starts and is coming off four straight wins. He has given up only five earned runs in a combined 32 innings pitched and we see him shocking the public with a lousy start tonight.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Phil Hughes who is coming off a back to back wins over Colorado and Seattle.  We expect him to keep the momentum going with a strong win tonight.  Hughes has a 10-5 TSR when starting as an underdog, 13-6 TSR this season, and a very solid 27-8 TSR at home after a team loss.

Don’t side with the public and cash an easy underdog winner with the Twins.

Play on Minnesota

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Signature Selection

The Books opened Seattle as -120 favorites and despite about 70% of the action coming in on the Mariners, the line has bumped down a bit to -114 over at Bovada.  The Public will be all over the Mariners tonight and we expect them to be shocked when the Mariners cash the win at the betting window. If you shop lines you can find the Twins at +107 over at 5Dimes.

Seattle opened up the series last night with a 2-0 shutout win over the Twins and we expect Minnesota to bounce back and even out the series tonight.  Phil Hughes is on the mound for the Twins and is coming off a few terrible starts and is due for a good outing.  He has a lousy 8.05 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in his last three starts and will try to gain some respect back after back to back losses. On a positive note, he has a 2.59 ERA and 1.168 WHIP in all road starts this season and has a solid 11-6 team start record in all games this season.  He is also 11-5 TSR when starting as a road underdog over the last two seasons. 

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Chris Young who has been having a solid season.  HE has a 3.11 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in all starts and an even better 2.19 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in all home starts but is due for a loss as he is coming off back to back winning decisions and the Mariners have won all of his last four starts. He only gave up two runs (in 7 innings) in his last start against the Astros and they won 5-2, and a combined two runs in the three previous starts to that Houston matchup which makes it a combined 4 earned runs in 25 innings. Look for him to come out tonight with a struggling performance. 

The Twins won two of the three games in the first series back in the middle of May and should have no problem evening out the series with a win later this evening! Don’t side with the public and side with the sharps.

Play on Minnesota

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Tampa Bay Rays have opened as small -120 favorites in tonight’s matchup against the Royals and it looks like a trap.  The line has slightly bumped up to -125 and you can find them as high as -130. We recommend playing the Royals tonight as they show some under-rated value as small road dogs as we expected them to be closer to a small -110 favorites in this matchup. 

The Royals are coming off back to back losses against Cleveland and are due for a strong performance. Taking a look at the other side of the matchup, the Rays are coming into this one off three straight wins over Detroit and we expect them to start off this new series with a struggling performance and causing the Royals to cash the win at the betting window. 

Shields is starting for the Royals and despite a lousy 6.16 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in his last three starts, he has pitched well on the road this season with a 3.89 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in all road starts.  He is coming off three straight team losses and he received a losing decision in his last start which was an embarrassing performance against the Twins where they lost 10-2 as -140 road favorites.  He gave up four earned runs in just five innings in that last start and has given up a combined 13 run in his last three starts for a combined 19 innings. We expect him to bounce back and look to gain a bit of respect back after that miserable start against the Twins last week. 

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Jake Odorizzi who has a solid 2.70 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in all home starts but we expect him to have a poor start this evening.  He is coming off a win against the Yankees where the Rays won 6-3 as small -110 favorites and he has only given up a combined four earned runs in his last three matchups for a combined 18 innings.  The Rays have won three of his last four starts and he is due for a bad performance with his season team start record of only 6-11.

Kansas City is 12-4 against the Rays over the last few seasons and we expect them to cash another win tonight!

Play on Kansas City

Tom Grassi 25* MLB NL West Game of the Month

We normally don’t recommend playing public plays such as the San Francisco Giants for today but the public does win sometimes and today we all should easily cash the Giants at the betting window.  

The Giants have been in somewhat of a funk lately. They are sitting second in the NL Central right above the Padres with their 47-38 season record while the Padres are third with their 38-47 record which is the exact opposite of the Giants.  The Giants are 25-15 on the road so far this season and are due for a winning matchup as they have won only one of their last eight matchups while the Padres on the other hand are due for a loss as they are coming off five straight wins including three shutouts.

The Padres opened up the series last night with a 2-0 shutout as +100 home dogs.  They swept the Cincinatti series and we expect them to have a very poor outing this evening. On the mound for the Padres is Despaigne who has only started twice this season and both starts were very strong.  He only gave up a combined one earned run in both outings and received winning decisions in both and one was against the Giants. In that shutout win over the Giants (6-0), Despaigne didn’t give up a single run in seven innings pitched and the padres cashed the +150 road win.  Don’t expect another shocking performance from Despaigne as he has started off the season with two very strong starts and will suffer a poor start tonight.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Tim Hudson who is having a strong season with a 2.59 ERA and 1.077 WHIP in all starts but along with the Giants has been in a funk.  He has received three straight losing decisions and is coming off a very poor start to the Cincinnati Reds where the Giants got shutout 4-0 as -125 home favorites. He started against San Diego three times so far this season and they lost two of three.  We expect that trend to even out tonight. Look for him to bounce back and make up for that embarrassing three game losing streak he has been on.

The Giants are 9-2 on the road when revenging a shutout loss and Hudson is 13-2 when starting against a division opponent.  The Padres are only 11-19 after back to back games with no errors committed and also 4-15 when coming off an upset win over a division opponent as a home dog. Look for San Fran to easily cash this win.

Play on San Francisco

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Afternoon Smart Money

The Books opened up the Dodgers as -120 favorites and they seem to be over-valued in this matchup.  The Dodgers are coming off two wins to open up the series at Colorado including a huge blowout win yesterday where they shutout the Rockies 9-0 as huge -215 favorites. Look for the Rockies to come back from that embarrassing outing with a shocking performance this afternoon.

The Colorado Rockies on the other hand are coming into this matchup off five straight losses and are due for a winner.  They have been in a bit of a funk and the only two games they have won over the last few weeks were when De LA Rosa has been on the mound.  

Dan Haren is on the mound for the Dodgers and he is coming off a very strong start against the Cleveland Indians where he didn’t give up a single earned run in seven innings and they won 1-0 over the Indians. Haren tends to give up some runs on the road as in his last start he gave up four earned runs in just four innings to the Kansas City Royals and he has a below average 4.18 ERA in all road starts.  Look for him to give up some runs today.

De La Rosa is coming into this matchup with some momentum. He is off two wins including that last +145 win over the Brewers last Sunday.  We expect him to have a strong start today and shock the public as the Rockies cash the win at the betting window!

Play on Colorado Rockies

Tom Grassi 25* MLB 4th of July Underdog Special

The Books opened up the Chicago White Sox as -170 favorites and despite about 70% of the action coming in on the Sox, the line has bumped down to as low as -155 over at 5Dimes.  We feel that Seattle is very undervalued in this matchup tonight and if you shop lines you can still find the Mariners at +147 over at BetOnline.

Both teams are coming off wins but Seattle moves into this matchup with a bit more momentum.  They are on a four game win streak and we see this streak continuing tonight with another win at the betting window.  The White Sox cashed a back on Wednesday to close out the Angels series and avoid the three game sweep.  It was a solid win from the Sox as they won by only one run (3-2), but were a +145 home dog. We don’t see them having back to back wins.

Taking a look at the pitching matchup, Roenis Elias is starting for Seattle and is coming off a very poor start against the Cleveland Indians. He gave up five earned runs in just six innings pitched and the Mariners got shutout 5-0 as -120 home favorites last week.  Other then that poor start, Elias has been having a solid season with a 3.87 ERA and 1.194 WHIP in all starts and he tends to pitch well on the road with a slightly better 3.29 ERA and 1.192 WHIP.  The two starts prior to that terrible shutout loss, he gave up only one run in a combined 14 innings pitched. We Expect him to come out strong after such an embarrassing outing.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Chris Sale who is coming off a win against Toronto.  He has a very solid 2.15 ERA and 0.715 at home this season but after giving up three or less runs in four straight starts we expect a poor performance from Sale.  Look for him to give up plenty of runs before the Sox pull him from the mound. 

Seattle is not only an almost perfect 7-1 when playing as a road underdog of +150 or more but they are 26-16 on the road this season and 20-11 against left-handed starters. Look for Seattle to shock the public with a big underdog win for the 4th of July! Go against the public in this one!

Play on Seattle

Tom Grassi 15* MLB Favorite of the Week

The New York Yankees take on the Minnesota Twins tonight and the Yanks have been in a funk.  We expect Tanka to have another solid start and get New York out of this rut. 

The Yankees have lost their last 5 games and are due for a win.  The Twins cashed a few lucky wins against this week including a +130 10-2 win and +110 3-2 win over Texas. Look for them to come out with a stuggling performance against a thirsty Yankees team.

Tanaka is on the mound for the Yanks and he has been having a very strong season.  He has a 2.10 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in all starts this season. He is coming off two losses including that very poor outing by the Yankees where they got shutout 8-0 against Baltimore.  Tanka had decent starts in both matchups but couldn’t get any help from his bullpen or offense. Look for him to make up for those past two losing starts with an excellent start tonight.

Phil Hughes is starting for Houston and is having a decent season.  HE has a 4.75 ERA in all home starts but is 5.22 ERA and 1.403 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is coming off back to back starts where he gave up five earned runs, winning one and getting shutout in the other.  We expect Hughes to struggle tonight and let the Yankees end their five game losing streak.

The Yankees are 6-1 against Minnesota when playing at Target Field over the last three seasons and we see that trend continuing tonight.  The Yanks are 79-46 when playing as a favorite and 14-7 on the road with a low total of 7.5 or less.  Minnesota is 44-75 at home when coming off a loss and watch as they add another loss to that record this evening.

Play on the New York Yankees

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Books opened the LA Dodgers as -180 favorites and despite over 70% of the action coming in on the Dodgers, the line has moved down to LA being favored by only -140.  We expect the public to load up on the Dodgers as we cash this underdog at the betting window!

The Dodgers are sitting at a much better 48-37 season then the 39-43 Cleveland Indians but we think the Indians are a bit undervalued in this road matchup. Cleveland is due for a win as they are coming off back to back shutouts.  They ended last series with a 3-0 loss against Seattle and opened up the Series last night against the Dodgers and 1-0 loss as small -125 favorites which seemed to be a trap by the books. They have only won two of their last nine matchups and are due for a good performance.

The Dodgers on the other hand are coming into this matchup off three straight wins, two of the three being shutouts.  They closed out the series against the Cardinals with a 6-0 shutout win and they also beat them 9-1 in the previous matchup.  We expect Beckett to have a poor start tonight and for the Indians to even out the series.

Josh Beckett is on the mound for the Dodgers and is coming off two very strong starts.  He didn’t give up a single earned run in a combined 14 innings in those past two starts and we expect him to struggle tonight and give up a few runs.  He does have a very strong 2.29 ERA and 1.018 WHIP at home but every pitcher has lousy starts and that is exactly what you will see tonight. Becket is only 8-15 TSR over the last two seasons and 11-20 TSR when starting as a favorite.  

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Justin Masterson who is starting for the Indians.  He hasn’t been having the greatest season with a poor 5.03 ERA and 1.538 WHIP but after that terrible start against the Diamondbacks where he gave up five earned runs in just four innings, we expect him to try to gain a little respect back with a strong start in tonight’s game.

Go against the public and cash the Indians at the betting window.  If you shop lines you can find the best odds over at Bovada with Cleveland +130.

Play on Cleveland

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Books opened the Dodgers as -150 favorites and the public has jumped all over it.  There is over 70% of the Action on LA and despite all that public money the books have the Dodgers down to -138 at BetOnline. Best line is Cardinals +132 over at 5Dimes.

The Dodgers have been playing some solid baseball but after that close 1-0 win over the Cardinals yesterday to open up the series, we expect St Louis to even out the series with a win tonight. 

Martinez is starting for the Cardinals and has only started twice this season.  He received a winning decision in his last start which against the Phillies.  They won 5-3 as -150 home favorites and in his first start of the season he didn’t give up a single earned run and the they ended up beating the New York Mets 6-2 as big chalk -160 favorites. We expect another solid performance from Martinez tonight as he faces off against Ryu and the Dodgers.

Ryu is on the mound for LA and has been having a strong season.  He has a 3.06 ERA and 1.190 WHIP in all starts but tends to give up some runs Dodgers Stadium with a 5.29 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in all home starts.  He is coming off two very strong starts over San Diego and Colorado and is due for a bad performance.

The Cardinals are 30-23 when playing as underdogs of +100 to +150 over the last two seasons and 30-5 when revenging a loss to an opponent as a favorite.  They are 38-19 after a loss by two runs o less and 73-36 when coming off a loss. The Dodgers are not only 5-13 when coming off two or more consecutive wins this season but they are also 1-8 at home after back to back games where the bullpen didn’t give up any runs.

Go against the public in this one and cash the win at the betting window.

Play on St Louis Cardinals

Tom Grassi 25* MLB AL East Game of the Month

The Books opened the Red Sox as -115 favorites and despite about 62% of the action coming in on the Red Sox the Yankees are now small favorites at the betting window.

The Red Sox closed out the Seattle Series with a close 5-4 win after getting crushed in the first two games.  In the first game of the series against Seattle, they lost 12-3 and in the second they lost 8-2.  We expect them to struggle tonight against the Yanks after that lucky win.

The Yankees on the other hand are coming off a win over Toronto but prior to that they were in a bit of a funk and that win on Wednesday snapped their four game losing streak. Look for them to build off that road win over Toronto and keep the momentum moving through this series against the Red Sox.

Brandon Workman is starting for the Sox and has been having a solid season.  He has a 2.88 ERA and 1.020 WHIP in all starts and has pitched well on the road with a 3.24 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in all road starts.  But, he has only started five times so far this season, twice against Cleveland where the Sox lost both matchups, twice against Tampa Bay where they split, and once against Baltimore where the Sox won 1-0.  Look for him to struggle against the Yankees in this Friday night matchup.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Vidal Nuno who is on the mound for the Yankees.  He has been having a poor season and has only earned one winning decision but we expect him to have a solid matchup after two embarrassing starts.  In his last start which was against Baltimore, he gave up four earned runs in just six innings and the Yanks lost 6-1 as +100 home dogs and in the matchup prior to that terrible start, he gave up eight earned runs to Oakland and they lost 10-5 as +145 road dogs.  Look for him to bounce back from those two poor starts.

The Yankees are 5-2 so are this season against the Red Sox and have cashed three of four when playing at Yankee Stadium.  The Red Sox are only 17-24 when the money line is between -100 and -150 this season and they are 13-20 against division opponents. 

Get on the Yankees before the line moves up anymore as we expect it to rise a bit more before the first pitch!

Play on New York Yankees

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Afternoon Side Winner

The Angels were opened up as huge -200 favorites and despite about 75% of the action coming in on the Angels, the books have dropped the line all the way down to them being favored by only -165 over at 5Dimes.

The Twins swept the White Sox in a four game series but came back with two losing matchups to start this series against the Angels and are due for a strong performance.  We expect them to avoid the three game sweep tonight before they head over to Texas to finish off the six game road trip.

Weaver is starting for the Angels and is coming off a very solid start against Texas where he gave up only one run in eight innings pitched and the Angels ended up winning 3-2 as large -200 favorites. 

Looking back to the matchup prior to that excellent start, he gave up four earned runs in just six innings against the Cleveland Indians and they lost 4-3 as small -110 road favorites. Before that excellent start against the Rangers, Weaver gave up eight runs in only a combined 11 innings including that very poor start against Oakland where the Angels lost 7-1 as -135 home favorites.

The last time Weaver started against the Twins was back in 2013 where he gave up three earned runs in six innings and they lost the matchup 6-3 as large -160 favorites.  Look for a replay of that matchup as the public gets shocked and we cash a profitable win at the betting window.

Don’t side with the public and go grab the Twins at +160 over at BetOnline.

Play on Minnesota

Tom Grassi 25* MLB American League Game of the Month

The Books opened up the Los Angeles Angels as huge -195 favorites against the Minnesota Twins but despite about 70% of the action coming in on the Angels the line has moved down to as low as -165 over at Pinnacle. We are going against the public in this matchup and taking the Angels, and if you shop around you can find the best line over at 5Dimes with the Angels +160.

The Angels opened the series with a 8-6 win over the Twins as large -170 favorites but the Twins were looking pretty strong with a five run second inning to come back after giving up five to the Angels in the first.  The Angels scored two runs in the second to make it 7-5 and then the Twins could only bring in one final run in the fifth to make it a total of six runs for the night.  Look for another strong performance from the Twins and watch as the public is shocked as Minnesota cashes the +160 win at the betting window!

The Twins were on a nice little four game winning run moving into last nights matchup. They swept the series against the White Sox with four close wins but that run was ended last night in the first game of the new series.  The Angels on the other hand are coming into this matchup off four straight wins including that three game sweep over the Rangers and are due for a loss.

Minnesota’s 30 year old Yohan Pino is starting on the mound tonight after his major league debut on Thursday where he allowed only two runs and struck out seven in seven innings pitched.  We expect him to have another solid performance in this road start.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Garrett Richards who has been having a strong season with a 2.79 ERA and 1.110 WHIP in all starts.  He has a 0.95 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in his last three starts and he has earned a winning decision in three of those four and the one start where he didn’t receive a decision, the Angels beat the Braves 11-6.  He is due for a bad start and we expect it tonight.

Don’t side with the public and snag the Twins at +160 over at 5Dimes!

Play on Minnesota

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Customer Appreciation Play

The Dodgers are sitting second in the NL West with a 43-36 season record while the Royals are second in the AL Central with a 40-37 season record. The Dodgers are coming off a 2-0 shutout to even up the series after KC won the first one 5-3. 

The books opened this matchup with the Royals as -135 favorites and despite most of the public action coming in on the Dodgers (60% of the action), the line has moved up to as high as -145 at BetUS.  We expect the Royals to finish off the series with a win.

Taking a look at the pitching matchup, Dan Haren is on the mound for the Dodgers and James Shields is starting for KC.  Haren is having an average season with a 3.62 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in all starts and is coming off a team loss to San Diego where he gave up three earned runs in just five innings and the Dodgers lost to the Padres 6-5. 

Shields on the other hand is having a pretty solid season overall with a 3.70 ERA and 1.299 WHIP in all starts and has a very solid team start record of 11 wins and only 5 losses so far this season. Shields is coming off a very poor start, where he gave up five earned runs and they ended up losing to Seattle 7-5 as -140 favorites.  Look for him to bounce back with a very solid home start this evening!

The Dodgers Bullpen has a below average 4.47 ERA and 1.560 WHIP in all road games and they are in a bad situation tonight after the Bullpen had a strong performance last night as they 4-9 this season after back to back games where the Bullpen gave up no runs. If Haren doesn’t give up plenty of runs, look for the bullpen to give away the win.  They are also only 18-24 when coming off a win and Haren has a poor 24-33 Team Start Record after a win over the last two seasons. 

The Royals are 26-12 when the money line is between -100 to -150 this season and Shields is 21-8 TSR in that same situation.  Look for Shields to come out strong in this matchup and have a very good outing.

Play on Kansas City 

Tom Grassi 25* NL East Game of the Month

The Books opened the Phillies as -110 favorites and the public has fallen into the trap with over 60% of the action coming in on them.  Despite all that action on the Phillies, the line has actually moved to the Marlins being -110 favorites which seems to be the sharp side of this NL East matchup.

The Marlins have been in a bit of a funk lately but are still sitting ahead of the Phillies in the NL East standings.  The Marlins are third in the division with a 37-38 season record while the Phillies sit dead last with a 34-40 season record. 

Both teams are coming into this matchup off back to back losses. Miami lost the two last games of the series against the New York Mets including a 11-5 lost as -120 favorites yesterday and a 4-0 shutout loss as -115 favorites on Saturday.  The Phillies lost the last two games of the series against the Cardinals including a 5-3 loss on Sunday and 4-1 loss on Saturday. We expect that losing run to continue for the Phillies while the Marlins come out with a win at the betting window.

Eovaldi is on the mound for the Marlins and after starting the season on an average note, he has been in a funk.  He is coming off a loss to the Cubs where he gave up five earned runs in six innings and the three games prior to that start, Eovaldi didn’t receive a decision but the Marlins lost all three matchups. Taking a look at the stats, he is 3.95 ERA and 1.232 WHIP in all starts this season. He has been struggling as of late with a 6.87 ERA in his last three starts but when playing starting against his Division he has a 2.51 ERA and 0.943 WHIP.  Look for him to come out tonight with a strong start after that embarrassing 6-1 loss to the Cubs last Wednesday.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Roberto Hernandez who has also been having a below average season. He has only received three winning decisions and has suffered five losing decisions.  He is coming off a Win over the Atlanta Braves where he gave up a decent amount of runs, five in six innings, but the Phillies won 10-5 as +165 road dogs.  We don’t expect another big win from the Phillies.

Don’t side with the public and cash the Marlins at the betting window to start off the week!

Play on Miami

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money 

We took another pass yesterday with premium selections but released a Free Play on the Cleveland Indians since that was the only matchup we found any value. For today we are releasing another MLB Smart Money which is on Pittsburgh.

The Books opened up the Reds as -130 favorites and despite over 80% of the public money coming in on Cinci and Cueto the line has dropped down to -120 at most books, we expect Pitt to shock the public with a win at the betting window in this home matchup. If you shop around you can find the best moneyline over at Bovada where Pitt is +112.

Both teams are coming into this matchup with a day off. The Reds are coming off a very strong performance against the  Brewers, where they won 13-4 as small 115 road dogs but we don’t expect them to build any momentum, especially with that day off. The Bullpen had a solid night, not giving up a single run which puts Cinci in a bad spot, since they are 11-21 in that situation. 

Cueto is on the mound for the Reds and has been having an epic season.  He has a 1.85 ERA and 0.775 WHIP in all starts and has even been pitching very well away from home with a 2.09 ERA and 0.884 WHIP in all road starts.  He is coming off a shutout win over the Dodgers where he didn’t give up a single run in six innings pitched, but you can’t win them all and we expect a shockingly poor performance from him and a sloppy bullpen to give up a few extra runs and give away the win to Pitt.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Brandon Cumpton who is starting for Pitt.  He isn’t having the best season, and is coming off a few bad starts with a 9.64 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in his last three starts but we expect him to bounce back and gain some respect after a strong outing tonight.  Looking back, Cumpton has a 1.59 ERA and 0.824 WHIP when starting against Cinci and we see him and the Pirates coming out strong tonight after that close loss to Miami back on Sunday.

Go against the public players and take Pitt +112 over at Bovada.

Play on Pittsburgh

Tom Grassi 15* MLB UnderDog of the Week

The Books opened the Brewers as -160 favorites and despite over 70% of the action coming in on Milwaukee, the line has bumped down to -150 over at Pinnacle and -152 at BetOnline. The Public will be all over the Brewers since they have been having a much better season when the Twins.  The Brewers are 35-23 and the Twins are a few games under .500 with a 26-29 season record.  We going against the public in this one and if you shop lines, you can find the Twins at +145 over at 5Dimes where they seem to have some of the best MLB Underdog Lines.

The Twins came into last night off a solid 7-2 against the Yankees as +120 road dogs but ended up losing 6-2 as much larger +160 dogs in the first game of the new series against the Brewers. Look for them to bounce back and shock the public with another nice underdog road win. 

The Brewers are coming into this matchup winning five of their last six games but looking back that one loss was a 8-0 shutout to the Cubs as -140 home favorites.  Gallardo is starting for the Brewers and is having an average start to the 2014 season.  He is 3-3 and has a team start record of 6-5.  He seems to be a bit over valued in this matchup tonight as the Brewers were underdogs in 7 of those 11 starts.  In his last start, which was against Baltimore, he gave up only three earned runs in almost seven innings and the Brewers won the matchup 8-3 as -125 home favorites.  We don’t expect back to back wins from Gallardo.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Sam Deduno.  He has only five starts this season and the Twins only won two of those five, but we expect a strong performance after that tough loss to Texas in his last start.  He gave up four earned runs in just 5.3 inning and we expect him to bounce back with a solid performance. Last season, Deduno cashed a nice win against the Brewers. He gave up only one earned run in seven innings and the Twins beat the Brewers 4-1 as +120 underdogs. Look for a replay of last season’s win.

Over the last three seasons, the Twins have cashed 7 of 11 matchups against the Brewers and they are 4-2 SU against them when playing at Miller Park. Coming off that 6-2 loss puts the Twins in a solid situation since they are 11-5 SU when coming off a loss by four runs or more this season.

Don’t side with the public, and take the +145 Twins over at 5Dimes.

Play on Minnesota

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Miami Marlins are getting very little respect in this matchup against Tampa Bay.  The Rays are sitting at a 23-34 season while the Miami Marlins are right at .500 with a 28-28 season record.  It seems like a trap by the books with the Rays being the small favorite in this series opener. 

Tampa Bay is coming into this matchup ice cold, off six straight losses including a 4-0 shutout yesterday against Boston.  Alex Cobb is starting for the Rays and so far this season, he has had five starts.  The Rays only won two of those five starts and looking back to his last start which was against Toronto, he gave up six earned runs in only five innings.  He has a terrible 10.80 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in Night starts and 4.50 ERA when starting on the road. 

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Randy Wolf who has only started once so far this season and it turned out to be a rough night for Miami.  He gave up four earned runs in just five innings and they ended up losing 7-1 to Milwaukee as small +115 underdogs at the betting window. Look for him to come out with a strong performance tonight, to make up for that terrible first outing last week.

The Rays are 9-1 against Miami over the last three seasons but we see that trend fading tonight as the Miami Marlins get the win. Tampa Bay is only 13-21 SU when coming off a loss and 2-11 SU after getting shut out.  Miami on the other hand is  20-11 SU in all home games this season and should have no problem cashing another win at the Marlins Park!

Play on Miami

Tom Grassi 25* MLB Inter-league Game of the Month

The Books opened up the Cleveland Indians as very undervalued -125 favorites and the line has just bumped up slightly to -135 at a few books.  The Indians opened up the series against the Rockies with a solid win last night and we expect them to build off that win with another easy win tonight. 

The Indians were stuck in a bit of a funk in their last series which was against the Chicago White Sox.  They lost all three games and they closed out the four game series against Baltimore with a loss to make it four in a row up until yesterday’s win.

Franklin Morales is on the mound for the Rockies and he has not been having the best season.  He has a pretty lousy 5.75 ERA and 1.562 WHIP in all starts this season and 5.91 ERA in all road starts.  He is coming off a very poor start to the Atlanta Braves where he gave up five earned runs in just four innings and the Rockies ended up getting shutout 7-0.

Trevor Bauer is starting for the Indians and we expect a strong performance out of him tonight.  He is coming off a loss, giving up four runs in just four innings but does have a solid 3.86 ERA in all starts this season and 2.25 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in all home starts. 

Colorado is not only 33-67 SU when playing as a road underdog but they have only won 12 of 45 inter-league games over the last three seasons.  The Indians on the other hand are 46-20 SU when playing as a home favorite and 33-11 SU as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Cleveland is 67-42 in all home games over the last two seasons and are 45-22 SU playing at Progressive field after a win.

Play on Cleveland

Tom Grassi 25* National League Game of the Month

The 27-24 Colorado Rockies are not getting much respect against the 22-26 Phillies tonight.  To take the Phillies -120 seems like a trap by the books.  The Offshore Books have opened the Phillies as -115 favorites and the public has already pushed it to -125 over at BetUS.

The Rockies are coming off back to back terrible outings.  They opened up this series with an embarrassing loss yesterday to Philadelphia, getting shutout 9-0.  Back on Sunday they finished the series against the Braves with another poor performance that led to a 7-0 shutout loss. Look for them to bounce back with a nice win here tonight as they are due.

De La Rosa is on the mound for the Rockies and is coming off a very solid start against the San Diego Padres, not giving up a single run in seven innings and the Rockies cashed the 3-1 win.  He is coming into this matchup with some momentum, off five straight wins. He has a team start record of 14-4 when the money line is between +125 and -125 and a Perfect 17-0 when coming off a team loss.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Hamels who has a very poor team start record of 7-13 when coming off a win.  He hasn’t pitched very well at home yet this season, with a poor 6.11 ERA and 1.641 WHIP. We expect another poor outing for Hamels.

Don’t side with the public and look for the Rockies to cash an easy bounce back win over the Phillies.

Play on Colorado 

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Books opened the Cardinals as -165 home favorites but despite over 70% of the action coming in on the Cardinals, the line has moved towards the D-Backs with St Louis now -147 Betting Favorites at FiveDimes.  We have found the D-backs at +150 at BetUS and are going against the public action.

Wade Miley is on the mound for the D-backs and he is 3-4 with a 4.94 ERA but we see him having another strong road performance.  He has struggled with home starts this season (7.14 Home ERA) but is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in five starts away from Chase Field. He is coming off a tough start against the Dodgers on Friday where this left-hander gave up four runs and two homers in just six innings for a 7-0 home loss. We expect him to come out strong and bounce back from that poor start over the weekend.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Lynn who is 5-2 with a solid 3.67 ERA.  He allowed two runs in seven innings against the Braves which followed going 0-2 with an above average 4.24 ERA over his previous four outings. After that strong 5-2 Win over Atlanta on Friday, we see Lynn coming out with a poor performance.

The Public will be all over the Cardinals at anywhere from -145 to -170 but they will be shocked once again as the D-backs help us cash another Underdog Winner at the Betting Window. Get them in over at BetUS for the best line!

Play on Arizona

Tom Grassi 25* AL Central Game of the Month

The Books opened Detroit as -150 favorites and despite the public all over Verlander (over 80% of the action), the line has dropped down to -130 at a few books.  We expect a strong home performance from the Indians tonight at Progressive field.

Detroit leads the AL Central with a 27-13 record and the Indians are sitting at the bottom of the division with a 20-25 losing record.  With that said, the public will be all over the Tigers and Verlander tonight and we expect them to get let down with another winner from the Indians tonight. 

Cleveland opened up the series last night with a 5-4 win against Detroit and we see them building off that win with another one.  That win snapped their four game losing streak.

Justin Verlander takes the mound for the Tigers and is having a decent season but has a just average 4.33 ERA in all road starts this season.  In his last start he gave up five earned runs in just six innings but Detroit ended up winning 7-5 as -115 road favorites.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Trevor Bauer who has had only one start so far this season which was against San Diego.  He gave up only one earned run in six innings but took a loss as the Padres scored two runs and the Indians could only get one run on the board.  Look for Trevor Bauer to come out strong tonight in his second start of the season!

We are going against the public again tonight and we expect the Indians to make it two in a row against Detroit!

Play on the Cleveland Indians

Tom Grassi 25* American League Game of the Month

The Books opened the Blue Jays as -115 favorites but despite over 70% of the action coming in on the Blue Jays, the Rangers are now a very small favorite at a few books. We expect a strong performance from the Rangers tonight and to easily cash them at the betting window!

The Public will be all over Mark Buehrle as he looks to continue his strong start and become the first eight-game winner in the major leagues but we don’t see that happening.  Toronto is coming off a nice series opener against the Rangers, with a 2-0 shutout as +160 road dogs.  The Rangers are coming off three losses, including an embarrassing 8-0 shutout against the terrible Houston Astros and are due for a winner.

Robbie Ross is on the mound for the Rangers and is looking to gain some respect back after having three very poor starts to the 2014 season.  He gave up six runs in both of his first starts and the Rangers ended up losing 12-1 in both matchups.  In his most recent start which was against the Boston Red Sox, Ross gave up five earned runs in almost seven innings and the Rangers lost 5-2 which seemed to be slightly less embarrassing then both 12-1 losses.  Watch as Ross gets out of this funk tonight and leads the Rangers to a win to break their three game losing streak and to even out the series with the Blue Jays.

Toronto has suffered a struggling bullpen with a season ERA of 5.28 and 5.79 on the road.  Texas on the other hand has had a decent bullpen and we see them coming out and assisting Ross in the win tonight. Don’t side with the public on this one and bet the sharp money on the Rangers.

Play on Texas 

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Double Dog Play

The Miami Marlins look to be very undervalued in tonight’s road matchup against the LA Dodgers.  The Books opened up the Dodgers as -170 favorites and the public jumped all over them with about 73% of the action.  Despite all that money coming in on the Dodgers the line has bumped down to -160 at most books and we are siding with the sharps in this one.

Both teams are sitting at about the same season record with the Marlins at 20-19 SU and the Dodgers are one game ahead with a 21-19 SU season record.  The Dodgers opened up the series last night with a 6-5 win over the Marlins adding another loser to the Marlins four game losing streak.  We expect that losing streak to be broken tonight as Miami cashes a nice underdog ticket at the betting window.

Jacob Turner has only started three times so far this season and is making his fourth appearance tonight against the Dodgers.  In his second start of the season which was last Friday, Turner gave up six earned runs in just four innings but we expect him to come back with a revenge performance. He has only had one road start so far this season which was his last start. He pitched against the San Diego Padres and pitched six excellent innings giving up only one earned run and the Marlins ended up cashing the +145 win.  

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Josh Beckett who has a solid 2.80 ERA and 1.047 WHIP in all starts for the season but it seems like the Dodgers just can’t get the job done with him starting.  He has started in six matchups this season and the Dodgers have only won one of those seven. He is 0-2 against Miami and last Saturday, he started against the Marlins and gave up four earned runs in six innings and the Dodgers lost 6-3 as -115 favorites. Becket is not only 8-18 TSR when starting as a favorite but is 8-15 TSR in all home games over the last three seasons.

Look for Miami to get out of this funk they are in and end this losing streak with a nice underdog win.

Play on Miami

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Double Dog Play

The Books opened the Kansas City Royals as -165 favorites and despite about 58% of the money coming in on the Royals, the line has bumped down to -150 and even -145 at some books.  

The Colorado Rockies have been in a bit of a funk, winning only one of their last four games including that 5-0 Shutout against the Cincinnati Reds with Morales on the mound.  They are sitting six games over .500 on the season with a 23-17 SU record while the Royals are one game under .500 with a 18-19 SU record.  The Royals on the other hand are coming off a nice +125 Win over the Seattle Mariners 9-7 to even out the four game series at 2-2.

Franklin Morales is on the mound again for the Rockies and looks to gain a bit of respect back after that shutout loss the Rockies suffered and he gave up four earned runs in the six innings pitched.  Watch as Morales has a solid performance to make up for a few sloppy starts he has had this season.  

On the other side of the pitching matchup is James Shield who has been having a pretty solid season with a 2.70 ERA and 1.125 Whip in all starts.  He is coming off a very strong outing against the San Diego Padres where he gave up not a single run in seven innings.  Looking back to the start prior to that excellent performance, he gave up seven earned runs in just six innings and we expect another poor performance like that one back on 5/2.  Shields hasn’t started against the Rockies since back in 2007 where he gave up five earned runs in just six innings and they ended up losing the matchup 12-2 as -120 favorites.  

Look for the Royals to struggle while the Rockies shock the public with a solid underdog win here tonight.

Play on Colorado

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Favorite of the Week

The Rangers look to open the new series against the Astros with a road win at Minute Maid Park. The Books are showing the Rangers very little respect as only -130 favorites against a struggling Houston Astros team.  The Astros are coming off a win to finish the series against Baltimore 5-2 as +170 dogs but will struggle in this matchup tonight.

The Astros have only won two of their last nine matchups and are sitting at a miserable  12-26 season while the Rangers are right at .500 with a 19-19 season record.  Houston is 6-13 so far at home and have lost every matchup after a win of +140 or more which puts them in a bad situation tonight coming off that +170 win yesterday.

The Rangers are coming off back to back losses and are due for a winner.  They are an epic 24-4 against the Astros over the last three seasons and 11-2 when playing at Minute Maid Park. 

Colby Lewis is starting for the Rangers and is coming off a terrible start to the Rockies where he gave up seven earned runs in just under four innings pitched.  Look for him to bounce back from that terrible outing with a solid start to help gain a little respect back and to also improve that terrible 6.12 season ERA. Looking back to past starts against the Astros, Lewis is 4-1 with an ERA of 1.90 and Whip of 0.727.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Brad Peacock who helped us cash our AL West Game of the Year on the +180 Astros over Seattle back on 5/2 but we don’t see him having that same type of outing tonight.  He has not yet earned a winning decision this season and we expect him to really struggle tonight, even against another team who just hasn’t been able to hit the ball.

Play on the Texas Rangers

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

The Books opened the Braves as -180 favorites and despite about 70% of the action coming in on Atlanta the line has moved down to the Braves being -165 home favorites. The Public will be loading up heavy on the Braves and will be shocked as the sharp betters cash the +155 Cubbies.

The Cubs are coming off back to back losses against Atlanta and have only won one game out of their last seven matchups. We did end up cashing that one win back on Thursday when they beat the White Sox 12-5 as +115 Dogs. We expect another shocking performance from them tonight as right hander Jackson takes the mound. 

Jackson is coming off a solid start against the Sox, giving up only one earned run in seven innings but the Cubbies just couldn’t get it done as they ended up losing 5-1.  On the other side of the pitching matchup is Aaron Harang who has a very solid 1.87 ERA and 1.208 WHIP at home this season but is in somewhat of a funk with a 6.48 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in his last three starts.  In his last start he gave up two earned runs in just six innings and they ended up losing to St Louis 3-4.  The start prior to that was against the Miami Marlins and he gave up a miserable nine earned runs in just under five innings and the Braves lost 3-9 as -110 favorites.

Look for the Cubs to get a close win tonight as they have suffered two close losses in their only two matchups against the Braves this season. Go against the Public and cash this winner at the betting window.

Play on Chicago Cubs

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Smart Money

With the Sox going for a sweep, Scott Carroll takes the bump against their cross town rivals. For the Cubs, Jake Arrieta starts, and is coming off a very good outing against the Cards on 5/3 in which he went 5.1 innings giving up 4 hits and no earned runs in a no decision.

Scott Carroll also has pitched well, even though he took a loss against the Indians on 5/3 giving up only 2 unearned runs. Chi White Sox are 23-30  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

As a +110 dog, look for the Cubbies to avoid a sweep, and get their bats going as well. Play on Chicago Cubs.

Play on Chicago Cubs

Tom Grassi 20* Underdog of the Week

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Trap Game of the Week

The Books opened the Tigers as -130 favorites and despite the public coming in heavy on Verlander (77% of the action), the books have bumped the line down to as low as -120 at some books.  This seems like a huge trap by the books and we plan to go against the public and cash the Royals at the betting window.

Detroit is coming into this matchup with some momentum, coming off four straight wins and they have won ten of their last 14 games.  We see that run coming to an end tonight as the Tigers are due for a loss. On the other side of the matchup, the Royals have been in a funk.  They are coming off three straight losses and look to finish off this three game series with a win after losing the first two matchups. 

Verlander is on the mound for the Tigers and has been having a strong season.  His first start of the season was against the Royals and the Tigers barely pulled off the win. They won 4-3 with Verlander giving up three earned runs in seven innings.

On the other side of the pitching matchup is Vargas, who has also off to a decent start to the season.  He has a very solid 2.40 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in all starts this season. He is coming off a tough start to Toronto where he gave up five earned runs in just six innings but they ended up beating the Blue Jays 10-7.  Look for him to bounce back with a very strong performance and give up very few runs. 

Detroit is only 21-33 on the road as a -100 to -125 favorite and Verlander has a team start record of only 11-17 when coming off a win over the last two seasons. Don’t side with the public and take the sharp side of this matchup with the Royals.

Play on Kansas City

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Signature Selection

The books opened the Rockies as -130 favorites and has only moved slightly up to about -135 or -140 depending on which offshore book you use.  We normally stay away from the favorites, since most of them seem to be trap plays, but Colorado shows some under-rated value in tonight’s game three of the four game series.

The Rockies lead the series 2-0, with a 7-4 game one win (-135 favorites) and 10-3 game two win (-130 favorites) last night. Look for them to build off that momentum and continue the series with another small favorite win.

Franklin Morales is starting for the Rockies tonight, and after opening up the season with back to back poor starts, he has won three straight moving into tonight’s game.  His last outing, he gave up four earned runs in just five innings, but the Rockies still won 8-5 against the D-backs as +120 road dogs.  Look for him to come back with another strong start giving up very few runs and pitching late into the sixth or seventh inning.

Colorado is not only perfect 2-0 against the Mets so far this season but they are 10-6 against them over the last three seasons including a 6-3 record when playing at  Coors Field. The Rockies are 33-12 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and we plan on this trend to continue tonight as we cash the Rockies as small home favorites.

Play on Colorado

Tom Grassi 25* AL West Game of the Year

Some heavy action coming in on the Seattle Mariners (80% of the money) as -200 favorites and despite all that action, the books have already dropped the line down to -190 at most books. 

The Public will be all over the Mariners as they are coming into this matchup with some momentum, coming off a 2-0 sweep against the Yankees as +160 dogs in the first game against Sabathia and +140 dogs on Thursday night.  They have won three straight and also five of their last six which followed there absolutely miserable eight game losing streak. 

The Astros on the other hand are off to a pretty bad start to the season but are due for a winner.  They started off with a winning series against the Yanks, but have only won nine games all season.  We did cash a nice win with a 20* Double Dog play back on April 10th with them as +185 favorites against Toronto and we plan to cash in on another Underdog Winner tonight with this huge 25* Selection! Houston is coming off back to back losses against Washington included their last matchup which was a 7-0 shutout.  Look for them to come out strong after such a terrible performance with a win, since they are due. 

The Square betters will be all over Felix Hernandez with his solid 2.40 ERA and 0.895 WHIP for the season but after starting off the season with three straight wins, the Mariners have not won a matchup yet when Hernandez started.  One of those two loses were against Houston back on April 21st, the Mariners lost 7-2 as huge -245 favorites and the sharps cashed in big.  His most recent start was against the Texas Rangers and they ended up losing 6-3 as once again, big -170 favorites!  Look for this trend to continue again tonight and the square betters get crushed.

Peacock is starting for the Astros and looks to finally get a win after two rough outings to start the season.  Both starts were against Oakland and he gave up two earned runs in five innings of the first matchup, and three earned runs in five runs in the most recent matchup but the Astros couldn’t get it done and lost both games.  Look for him to get out of this funk and get Houston a win.

So far this season, Houston is already up 2-1 against Seattle and we expect them to help us cash another big underdog this evening. Don’t side with the public and play the sharp side.

Play on the +180 Houston Astros

Tom Grassi 20* MLB Favorite of the Week

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