This is a 10* BATTLE OF THE BEST on the OVER Liberty/Aces.

Both teams come in hot. It wouldn't be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either side to win.

The Aces play with revenge after a 99-61 humbling beatdown loss at New York back in early August as 4.5-point favorites, but Las Vegas has nearly 75% of the public money on it.

Instead of trying to navigate this game and choose a side, I feel the value for sure instead betting the total, and while the last one did go UNDER the number, I say this rematch points to a high-scoring "shootout." 

Note that Las Vegas has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent.

The stage is set for a faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONF GAME OF THE WEEK on the Dream.

I think this is a great "situational" play.

Atlanta is 15-14 and now third in the East ater dropping three of its last four. Most recently the Dream fell 68-67 at Seattle as five-point favorites.

But with a super tough game at Las Vegas tomorrow night, Atlanta simply can't afford to "look past" the 11-18 Sparks.

LA has snapped a three-game slide by winning two in a row as an underdog, but after six straight ATS covers, I believe the home side is now a tiny bit overvalued by the bookmakers now.

The Sparks have a seven-game break after this, and I believe the home side gets caught "looking ahead." 

This one simply means more to ATLANTA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONF GOW on the Fever.

I like the way this one sets up for the home side from a situational stand-point. 

Indiana is just 7-22. It's not a good team, but this is a good spot. Off three straight SU losses, and six straight ATS losses, the value has now swung to the Fever, who are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row.

Indiana plays with revenge as well after a 90-83 loss at Minnesota as a 2.5-point dog back in July. That's also significant to note, as the Fever are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent.

Minnesota broke a two-game slide with an 88-79 win at Chicago to move to 14-15, but with four straight games vs. Western Conference opponents after this (Seattle twice, followed by Dallas twice), I say the visitors also get caught "looking ahead." 

As stated off the top, a great situational play in my opinion.

Grab the points, the play is INDIANA.  

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONF TOW on the OVER Sparks/Fever.

Here's a great situational play. Indiana has now seen the total go UNDER in six straight after its 82-73 loss at Atlanta last time out, its sixth loss in its last seven games. 

That fact though has only helped in driving this O/U line here on Saturday a few points lower than it normally would/should be though. The Fever play with revenge after an 81-68 loss at LA on July 27th. 

While the total went UNDER in that one, the rematch sets up to be a bit more wide-open in my opinion. 

LA just snapped a three-game slide with a 91-83 win at Washington, and there's every reason to believe that the Sparks can bring that same offensive energy to this one as well.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EAST-CONF TOY on the OVER Fever/Dream.

These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect a much higher-scoring one here finally.

Indiana has lost four of its last five. It's seen the total go UNDER in five straight after an 88-72 loss at home to Connecticut in its last outing. Note though that the Fever have seen the total go OVER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. 

Atlanta has lost three of its last four and it's now seen the total go UNDER In three straight after a 91-71 loss to Phoenix last time out.

These are two teams in dire need of a victory, and I expect this competitiveness to translate into offensive production on the court. 

The last time they played, ATL beat Indiana 100-94, and the total sailed well over the posted number, and I expect a similar final combined score and wide-open competitive battle here as well.

Not much defense being played here today in ATL, so expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* COAST-TO-COAST EXPRESS on the Liberty.

This is a great "situational" play on New York. The Liberty are No. 1 in the East, but they've failed to cover the spread in three straight, despite going 2-1 SU.

Note though that New York is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more straight ATS losses in a row.

The Liberty also play with revenge after falling 88-83 at home to Minnesota just last week as 13.5-point favs, which is also significant to note, as New York is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. 

Minnesota's three-game win streak was snapped in a 79-69 loss at Connecticut last time out and I say it's going to stumble here as well.

Lay the points, the play is NEW YORK.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOM on the UNDER Lynx/Sun.

THese teams just played a couple of days ago and Minnesota scored the 87-83 upset road win as a 12-point dog. The Sun look to rebound and respond here, but note that Connecticut has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

Minnesota has now seen the total go OVER the number in four straight after back-to-back upset road victories, including an 83-88 win at New York as a 13.5-point dog in its previous outing.

Can anyone say letdown spot?

Look for the Sun to be much more aggressive defensively in the rematch. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Las Vegas.

With nearly 70% of the public money on the Wings here, I'm going the opposite way and expecting the Aces to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish.

These teams have played twice this year, and Dallas 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS after winning 80-78 at home as a 9.5-point dog back on July 7th.

Note though that the Aces are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. 

Dallas has a couple days off after this before a much "easier" game at Seattle, and I think it also gets caught "looking ahead." 

All things considered, I feel this line should in fact be a lot larger.

Grab the points, the play is the ACES.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONF TOW on the OVER Mercury/Dream.

Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting those trends to end in what I anticipate will be a wide-open offensive non-conference affair between two teams pushing hard for the victory.

Phoenix is just 6-16 and No. 5 in the West, while Atlanta is 12-10 and coming off B2B SU/ATS losses to Connecticut. 

Atlanta has now seen the total go UNDER in six straight, while Phoenix has seen it go UNDER in three straight.

Note though that the Mercury have seen the total go OVER in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row.

I don't see a lot of defense being played here, so the play is indeed on the OVER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Fever/Liberty.

Here's a great situational play. New York is 15-5 and No. 2 in the East after winning five of its last six SU. Over that span though it's gone 0-5 ATS, and it's seen the total go OVER the number in three straight.

Note though that the Liberty have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

These teams played in Indiana last week, and the Liberty managed the 95-87 OT win as 10.5-point favorites. While that total went OVER the number as well, everything points to a much more defensive battle this time around. 

All of these high-scoring games that each side has been involved in lately has also helped in pushing this O/U line a bit higher than it really should be.

This number is indeed a little high, so the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Sky.

At 8-13, the Chicago Sky are unable to "look past" anyone. That's definitely the case here coming in on a four-game losing SU/ATS streak, the Sky have a prime opportunity here to get back into the winner's circle.

With a home game vs. league-leading Las Vegas, this game takes on added importance for the Sky. Seattle is just 4-17 and it's off a 79-63 loss to Las Vegas. The Storm have won two straight ATS, but with a date at New York up next, I think Seattle gets caught looking ahead and throws in the white towel early against this relentless Sky attack that I anticipate.

Lay the point, the play is CHICAGO.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on the Storm.

Here is a great situational play, as Seattle plays with double revenge in this one after two earlier SU/ATS losses (and note that the Storm are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.)

Las Vegas is 19-2 and not only No. 1 in the West, but easily No. 1 in the league. A big All Star Weekend hangover is about to occur though in my opinion, with the Storm coming in as the more organized and focused side.

Outright win?! I'm definitely not calling for that. But the overall situation, combined with the trends and numbers I listed above, all collide here and point to this contest being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

Grab the points, the play is SEATTLE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Fever/Mystics.

These teams return to action in the second half and I believe we're in store for a really defensive affair. 

Washington saw the total go "over" the number in three straight before the break (including in a 96-88 win here at home vs. Indiana as a 1-point dog), which is significant to note here, as the Mystics have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four after paying to three or more straight "overs" in a row. 

And note that Indiana has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. 

This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SIDE SPECIAL on the Fever.

The Fever play with revenge here after falling 90-73 at New York back on May 21st. Indiana has now lost seven straight after a slim 77-76 setback to Dallas last time out. 

The Liberty get caught looking past their lowly opponent today to time off and to a big representation at the All Star Weekend festivities. 

Note that Indiana is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. 

New York takes the foot off the gas in the fourth quarter and while I'm stopping short in calling for an outright upset, I say this one is super competitive until the final moments.

So grab as many points as you can, the play is INDIANA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Chicago Sky.

I'm primarily a situational handicapper, and this one sets up beautifully for Chicago in a few different ways from my point of view.

The Sky play with revenge here after a 96-72 road loss at Connecticut as 6.5-point dogs back on June 25th.

That's significant to note though, as Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. 

Chicago had won three straight SU/ATS before back-to-back SU/ATS home losses to ATL most recently. I say the hungry Sky will, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments.

The outright is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with CHICAGO.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOW on the Storm.

I played on the Storm in their 80-76 loss at New York last time out. Seattle was a 15.5 point dog in that one.

New York almost got "caught looking ahead" in that one, and with the All-Star break on deck next for Washington, I think the Mystics will get caught looking past their lowly opponent here.

I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but once again the conditions are right for Seattle to be extremely competitive, especially considering that the Storm have another tough game tomorrow night at Atlanta to close out their first half.

Washington has been playing poorly, just 1-3 in its last four and the Storm play with the added incentive of revenge after the Mystics took both games in Seattle back on June 9th and 11th (and note that Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last seven in trying ot avenge two or more straight losses vs. an opponent.)

A great situational play. Grab the points, the play is SEATTLE.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONF GOY on the Fever.

Dallas comes in off a huge 80-78 win at home over Las Vegas (the Aces now fall to 16-2) as a 9.5-point underdog, and after that epic victory, I'm expecting an immediate return to mediocrity here. 

Dallas is now 9-9 and second in the Western Conference, but with a match at Minnesota up next (who is also 9-9 and actually tied with the Wings for second place), there's no question that this also sets up as a "look ahead" spot for the visitors.

Letdown + look-ahead = TRAP GAME.

Indiana is just 5-13 and it's lost six straight. But that fact has only helped in skewing this line today, flipping the value to this now undervalued home dog.

When these teams last played in Minnesota last year, the Lynx won by a score of 95-91 in OT as 13-point favorites. I expect a similar final outcome here as well.

Grab the points, the play is INDIANA.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the Storm.

New York is first in the East. It's 12-4. It's off back-to-back wins, including an 81-66 win at Seattle on July 2nd, followed by a 99-95 victory at home here to Phoenix.

The Storm have responded well in this spot for bettors though, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.

I think the Liberty finally get caught a little flat-footed here and I look for the STORM to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EAST-COAST TOTAL EXPRESS on the UNDER Dream/Sky.

Atlanta has won three straight, and it's seen the total go OVER the number in six straight. Despite it going OVER in its 90-79 upset win at LA last time out, note that ATL has still seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

Chicago has won three straight, and seen the total go OVER in two in a row. This is the opener of a home-and-home set between the clubs, and everything points to more of a defensive affair, than a wide-open "shootout" here in the first one.

This is a great situational play on the total. The play is the UNDER.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest.)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the UNDER Storm/Sun.

These teams played last month in the PNW and Connecticut won by a score of 85-79, the total went OVER the number of 160.5 in that one.

While that total did go OVER, I'm anticipating more of a defensive affair this time around.

The Sun have lost two straight after a 102-84 setback at Las Vegas last time out. Connecticut has now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, but that's significant for us to take note of, as Connecticut has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.

Seattle has lost three straight. It's off a listless 81-66 setback to New York at home. The Storm however have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row.

The overall situation, combined with these numbers/trends does indeed make the UNDER the correct call in this matchup as far as the total is concerned.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* EXPRESS on the UNDER Dream/Sparks.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening.

In fact, Atlanta just beat LA 112-84 at home and the Dream have now seen the total go OVER the number in four straight. Note that LA though has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. 

The Sparks have now lost three straight, which is also significant to note here, as LA has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after three or more SU losses in a row.

The overall situation (having just played against each other), combined with the above strong/relevant O/U ATS stats does indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOOD-BATH on the UNDER Liberty/Storm.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games, but I expect those trends to end this evening, as the numbers and the overall situation point to much more of a defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting.

The Liberty have seen the total go OVER in four straight after their 98-81 blowout loss to Las Vegas last time out. Despite that high-scoring setback though, note that New York has still seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. 

The Storm have seen the total go OVER in three straight after their 99-97 OT loss here at home to Minnesota, dropping both games against the Lynx. Note though that Seattle has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.

All signs point to a defensive battle in the PNW.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Sun/Aces.

Both teams are super solid on both ends of the court, but for this contest I'm anticiapting an all out defensive affair.

Las Vegas enters having won seven straight, going 6-1 ATS in that span. It's seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four.

Connecticut enters having won four of its last five, but it's off an 89-81 loss to New York as a 4.5-point underdog. The Sun have also seen the total go over the number in three of their last four.

These teams played in Connecticut on June 8th, and the Sun won 94-77, giving the Aces their only loss of the season. They were a 4.5-point underdog in that one. The total went OVER the number of 168.5 in that one.

But that's signifcant to note, as looking back sees the Aces having seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent.

Everything points to a much more defensive affair this time around. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Dream.

A great revenge spot here for Atlanta, which fell 109-86 at Washington as a five-point dog in its last outing. 

ATL has now lost three straight SU/ATS and that's important to note, as the Dream are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They're also 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent.

Washington is 9-5 and it's gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five. The Mystics though are interestingly just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five or more straight ATS victories in a row.

In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

The play is ATLANTA.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* BEST OF BEST on Phoenix.

Indiana is coming off consecutive losses at Las Vegas, but it's covered in three straight after previous winning 80-68 at Seattle. 

I think the Fever have a letdown here in Phoenix with their fourth straight away from friendly confines.

The Mercury have lost six, both SU and ATS. Note though that Phoenix is still 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after five or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. 

Indiana finally returns home after this to play Chicago in a few days, and I think it gets caught looking ahead.

The outright is clearly possible, but the official call is to grab the points and the MERCURY.

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* SIDE SPECIAL on the Sky.

After six striaght SU losses, and three straight ATS losses in a row, I expect the Sky to dig deep here and finally deliver at home in the opener of this two-game series here in Chicago.

Note that the Sky are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row.

LA is off two straight SU/ATS victories, but it struggles on the road. 

Look for Chicago to dig deep here as it finally gets off the schneid and back into the winner's circle.

Good luck, NP

This is a 10* WNBA TOW on the UNDER NY/Connecticut.

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect more of a defensive affair here on Tuesday night.

New York has won three straight. It's seen the total go over in two straight, incluiding in its 89-88 OT victory at home over Washington last time out. 

The Liberty are the No. 2 team in the East, and the Sun are the No. 1.

Connecticut has won four straight. It's seen the total go OVER in its last two, including in its 96-72 win over Chicago two nights ago.

Expect a playoff like atmosphere here though, and in this tightly contested contest, everything points to this total staying well UNDER the posted number once it's all said and done.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOTAL BLOWOUT on the OVER Washington/NY.

The Mystics are No. 3 in the East, while the Liberty are No. 2. I'm expecting an up-tempo pace here, which will ultimately help in driving this total OVER the posted number. Washignton has seen the total go UNDER in nine straight, but that fact has only helped in pushing this O/U line this evening a few points lower than it normally would/should be.

New York is coming off a commanding 110-80 win at ATL and there's no reason not to think that it can't keep that offensive momentum rolling here, especially with a date at No. 1 Connecticut up next.

(This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!)

Good luck, NP

This is an 8* TOTAL DOMINATION on the UNDER Indiana/Seattle.

Indiana is just 4-7. After two straight wins the Fever fell 100-94 to Atlanta last time out.

The Fever have seen the total go OVER in three of their last four, including two straight, but they'll look to slow things down here in the Pacific Northwest.

Note as well that Indiana has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU home loss in which it allowed 100 or more points in.

Seattle has been trading wins and losses over its last five games. It's just 3-8 and looking to rebound off an 85-79 home loss to Connecticut as an 8-point dog. The total snuck OVER the number of 160 in that one, but tonight's O/U line is now a few points higher than that, and it's now a little TOO high in my estimation.

Both teams really need a win here, and I expect that to translate into a more intense defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP