NHL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
05-12-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 105 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Home ice has ruled in the Carolina/Boston series, and the Bruins' big three have benefitted from the final change. The Over has also ruled; the tendency with such defensively successful regular season teams is to lean towards the under, but it hasn't been that kind of a play-off series. Carolina has given up 5 goals in each of the Boston dates, and has historically seen the over more often that not when facing the Bruins in Boston. I do expect more than 2 goals from the Hurricanes today, however the Big Bad Bruins are down to the wire. Look for all-out effort from the pest and the rest, and take the over today. |
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05-11-22 | Penguins v. Rangers OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
It is do or die for the Rangers tonight. They play against an aging but immensely talented and experienced Penguins team, running out its third string goalie, Louis Domingue. It ought to be no contest in net with Shesterkin in net for the Rangers, but he has not been effective in his last two starts. Maybe that 83 save multiple overtime loss broke Shesterkin, but for now the Penguins appear to have his number. The Penguins are firing on all cylinders at the moment with over 40 shots in their last 2 games, and if you allow Crosby and Co. that many shots, bad things will happen. I have no faith in new cult hero Domingue’s abilities. The total is very average, and has gone over in every game in this series. Take the OVER again today. |
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05-10-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -140 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Sweet home Carolina! After losing both games in Boston, the Hurricanes are back at home, where they have been dominant all season. They are too good a defensive team to continue to allow 5 goals against. Carolina was very convincing in the first two game, holding the Bruins to just four goals, but will have to stymie Boston’s big three today. The Bruins could be down two key defensemen today; McAvoy is certainly out and Lindholm is questionable. Look for a big game in the net from Raanta or even possibly Andersen. I am wagering that the Hurricanes figure out Swayman, and win at home. |
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05-09-22 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Predators | Top | 5-3 | Win | 102 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
The Av’s have been a force to be reckoned with in round one, and can close it out tonight. The Predators, still without Saros, got one good game out of Ingram, but it was back to status quo in Game three. The Avalanche are just too much to for Nashville to handle at the moment. Kuemper could be back in net but Francouz closed out Game 3 well, and is available if needed. The Avs are destined for greater things this season, and with their very fine offense rolling as it is, should win easily. Take Colorado to win - 1 1/2.. |
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05-08-22 | Wild -105 v. Blues | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
The Wild face the Blues in St Louis, looking to extend their lead. Two key points will decide this game: 1. The Wild are healthy, while the Blues have 4 defensemen listed as out or questionable. 2. Goaltending. Fleury has all the play-off experience in the world, while Husso after a strong start, has faltered int he last two games with save % of .875 and .825. The Wild have broken through against the Blues, a team that has had their number for a while, both at home and on the road. Minnesota is playing good play-off style hockey and will win tonight! |
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05-07-22 | Flames v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
I can imagine that Calgary coach had some choice words for his team after the home loss. Kudos to the Stars to do what was needed to slow the pace and gain a much needed victory. It hasn't been the most exciting hockey, but a win is a win. Dallas has been very impressive at home, and looks to have a hot goal-tender. Offense is the issue for them. I expect the hard-driving Flames will find a way to win tonight but like the odds on the total much better. Look for Markstrom and Oettinger to keep the puck out of the net again and take the UNDER! |
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05-06-22 | Hurricanes +120 v. Bruins | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
The Bruins head home, down 2-0, and will be missing Lindholm on defense. They will switch goaltenders, hoping for a spark from Swayman. The Hurricanes have limited the Bruins to just 3 goals, which is not surprising as they are the top defensive team in the NHL. The Canes’ goaltender is a question mark at the moment, but both options played well in game 2. What is surprising is the Canes’ offense, scoring 10 goals on a usually stingy Bruins team. Can the Bruins find success on home ice? I don’t think so. Carolina was strong on the road all season, and have basically steamrolled the Bruins to date. Swayman has no experience in the playoffs. The big three Bruins forwards have not shone yet in this series. Carolina is an underdog, but I think they are still too much for an aging Bruins team to handle. Take Carolina to win. |
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05-05-22 | Predators v. Avalanche -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
The Preds are in a pickle early. They were rolled over by the Avalanche, and are without starting goalie Saros. They will need to play tighter and tougher today, The Av's are clipping along a top speed and are a tough opponent anywhere, but are nearly unbeatable at home. Nashville will need to find some quality goaltending and Rittich was not the answer in Game one. It likely won't be as easy, but I expect another fine performance from the Av's today. Colorado - 1 1/2. |
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05-04-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -107 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
BRUINS/'CANES: NHL BEST BET! |
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05-03-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
The Rangers have ruled the roost against the Penguins this season, and while Pittsburgh has all the play-off experience in the world, they don’t have Shesterkin, and they don’t have starting goalie Jarry either. DeSmith could be fine, but is untested in play-off action. New York is very good on home ice, and is much better on the PP. I am on Shesterkin (Mr. Big) and the Rangers today. |
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05-02-22 | Blues v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
Much as I am a fan of the Wild, meeting the Blues in the first round is not a good fit for them. The Wild have beaten everyone and anyone lately, and limited good teams to low goals-against, but bring in the Blues and defense goes out the window. The Wild have lost the last 5 meetings, dating back to last year. These are two very good offensive teams, 3rd and 5th in the league, and when they play, a high total has been almost a given. Husso will likely start for the Blues, and a little of the shine has rubbed off him as the season ground down. The Wild have two fine options in net. Goaltenders aside, I suspect that both teams will do what they do best, which is score goals. Don’t overlook overtime figuring prominently in this series. I’ll delay picking winners until I have seen at least one game, but I do like the total on Monday. Shop around, then take the over. |
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04-23-22 | Islanders v. Sabres OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
The Sabres can be counted on for goals, for and against. 9 of their last 10 games have gone over today’s total. Their scoring has been explosive. They are far over their season’s average of 2.8 goals a game, however their defense is 25th rated. The Islanders are known for defense and goal-tending, but 5 of their last 7 games have also have been on or over today’s total. The last game between these two teams resulted in 9 goals. The Sabres are hot, winning 4 of 5 games. They are a young team who are enjoying putting things together at this point in the season. Watch the Sabres drive today’s total up and over. |
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04-21-22 | Maple Leafs +108 v. Lightning | Top | 1-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
The Leafs are hot, the Lightning are not. Goal-tending has been an issue for the Leafs, but Campbell has been sharp lately, and the defense looks to have tightened up with their deadline addition. They still have that dominant and potent offense we have seen all season. The Lightning are struggling and goal-tending, usually a huge plus, has not been up to snuff recently. It is not as if this game doesn’t mean anything for Tampa; they could very well play themselves into a wild card spot with a loss. The Leafs pummeled the Lighting in April and Tampa has not won against a top team in 10 games. The Leafs are good on the road, and a small underdog today. The Lightning have given up 11 goals in 3 games, abnormal considering their opponents. The Leafs are not a team to engage in a goal-fest. Take Toronto to steal this one. |
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04-19-22 | Bruins v. Blues -122 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
The ‘not so bad” Bruins are just 2-4 in recent games, and have some key injuries at the wrong time of the season, including David Pasternak. Not coincidentally, the Bruins offense has been sputtering, scoring just 2 goals in each game of their last 4. Meanwhile, the Blues have been absolutely dominant, beating everyone in sight, and averaging a whopping 5 goals for in their last 10 games. The Blues have found their stride, and are a team no one wants to face in the play-offs. It is likely Swayman vs Husso in net. Advantage to the home team Blues. Take St Louis all the way today. |
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04-16-22 | Hurricanes v. Avalanche -127 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
The 9-1 Av’s are very good anywhere, but have only lost 5 games at home this season. They can and have been beating teams in a variety of ways, but what is perhaps most impressive for such an offensively focused team is that they have held 5 of their last 10 opponents to 2 goals or under. Clearly, Colorado is looking ahead and playing successful post season-style hockey early. Carolina has not looked sharp of late. They are just 5-5 L10, including losses to some low ranked opponents. Their defense has been mostly as good as usual, but there has been no consistency to their offense. This is not the way to approach the playoffs. The Av’s are getting solid goal-tending from Kuemper, and can score on anyone. While the Hurricanes have been a very solid road team this season, I don’t care for their chances against a super hot and focused Av’s side. Take Colorado to win. |
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04-12-22 | Sharks v. Predators -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 40 m | Show |
After losing 2 straight and still in a playoff race, the Predators will be in “must-win” mode against the Sharks. Nashville is a very good home team, and has beaten the Sharks twice, last time by an 8-0 score. The Sharks are one of the poorest road teams, and have struggled on offense all year, but their defense is also in tough shape in recent games. They have averaged four or more goals against in their last 7 games, losing all 7. Nashville needs a turn-around on offense after a couple of tough opponents, and this is the perfect opportunity. The Stars poor offense plus the recent flood of goals-against equals a Preds’ big win. Take the Predators – 1 ½. |
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04-09-22 | Panthers v. Predators OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
The Panthers have won 9 of 10 and it has not been because of their defense. They have shown why they are the league’s top ranked offense, scoring 34 goals in 6 games, well above their season’s average. They have also allowed some big numbers; eighteen goals against in just 4 games. The Preds are barely hanging on to a wild card spot, so this is a must-win. They have been averaging more than 4 goals for in their last 4 games, and have ridden their premier goalie very hard, resulting in a few dips in his usually strong play. Look for lots of shots on Saros, very wide open play, and plenty of goals from both sides. Definitely a play for the over. |
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04-08-22 | Wild v. Blues OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
The Lightning have lost 3 straight and 6 of 10, and have fallen to a wild card spot. More to the point, they have lost ugly, allowing 15 goals in three games. Vasilevskiy has been a standout for most of the season, but some fatigue may be showing. He has played a ton of hockey this season. The Lightning have seen more overs than unders latLEy. The Lightning may be a good home team, but the Bruins, Friday’s opponent, are formidable on the road. The Bruins are 7-3 and have been scoring in bunches in their last ten games. Now in the top three in their division, it would appear that they also have momentum on their side. They are an underdog on Friday, but I think they will be looking to bounce back off a regrettable loss to the Red Wings. A total of 6 is available. This game will go over. |
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04-08-22 | Bruins v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
The Lightning have lost 3 straight and 6 of 10, and have fallen to a wild card spot. More to the point, they have lost ugly, allowing 15 goals in three games. Vasilevskiy has been a standout for most of the season, but some fatigue may be showing. He has played a ton of hockey this season. The Lightning have seen more overs than unders latLEy. The Lightning may be a good home team, but the Bruins, Friday’s opponent, are formidable on the road. The Bruins are 7-3 and have been scoring in bunches in their last ten games. Now in the top three in their division, it would appear that they also have momentum on their side. They are an underdog on Friday, but I think they will be looking to bounce back off a regrettable loss to the Red Wings. A total of 6 is available. This game will go over. |
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04-06-22 | Flames -1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 4-2 | Win | 105 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
The Flames have been on a mini-slump lately, but turned it around with an important road win vs. the Kings, and a big game from both Gaudreau and Markstrom. The Ducks, after their first victory in ages, again showed poorly vs the Oilers last time out. Today won’t be any easier; the Flames are tough to play against at any time, and the Ducks, gutted at the trade deadline, show especially poorly vs top teams. Look for Calgary to open up on offense, and their second-ranked defense to stifle the Ducks, as they look to outdo the Oilers. The Flames are a very good road team, and this game is a great opportunity to kick start the team after losing 3 of 4. Take Calgary on the puck line -1 ½. |
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04-05-22 | Wild -112 v. Predators | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
The Wild lost to the Predators in March but since then they have been on a roll, winning 9 of 10 and holding opponents to under 2 goals average in those victories. This stretch included victories vs heavyweights, Carolina, Washington and Colorado. Their sole loss was to Pittsburgh in OT. They made very wise pickups at the trade deadline, and with two solid goal-tenders, are playing playoff-style hockey early. The Preds have been uneven lately, losing 3 of 5 and beating only a couple of B sides. They have been giving up too many goals, especially to good teams. Saros has played a ton this season, and his save percentage has started to slip lately. The Predators are barely hanging on to a wild card spot and will be motivated, but I am wagering on the Wild. They are playing the right way for success, and even home ice will not rescue Nashville. Take the Wild to win. |
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04-05-22 | Hurricanes v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
It comes as a surprise that the Sabres have a better record then the Hurricanes over the last 10 games. Buffalo has won or hung tough in their last 9 games, even against top teams, but this will be a difficult match-up for them today. The Sabres commonly give up 4 or 5 goals a night, and will face the best defense in the league this evening. The Hurricanes are well-rested, and looking to get back on track for the play-offs. Even through this sub-par stretch the Hurricanes have limited the opposition on offense. Look for the Canes to take advantage of a weak Sabres defense and run up the total. While I’ve had success with the Sabres on the puckline, today is all about the total. It would be a mistake to underestimate the Sabres’ scoring abilities at the moment. They have managed at least 3 goals against just about every top team lately. Look for today’s total to go over. |
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04-04-22 | Bruins -1.5 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Columbus suffers on defense and in the net, but their offense tended to keep them competitive. This hasn’t been the case lately; they’ve lost 6 in a row and are well under their season’s average 3.2 goals per game. Merzlikins has been a workhorse for the Jackets, but has been overworked and under-protected. Columbus is better at home but they face the Bruins today, who are a tough match-up in any location. The 8-2 Bruins have stifled most opponents lately, allowing just under 2 goals against in those 8 wins. They’ve also been flashing some offense, scoring 23 goals in their last 4 games. The Bruins are poised to move up from a wild card spot while Columbus is probably just wishing for an end to the bleeding. The Bruins won’t be doing Columbus any favors today. Take Boston on the puck-line – 1 ½. |
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04-03-22 | Wild +119 v. Capitals | Top | 5-1 | Win | 119 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
The Capitals come to this match-up well rested, but their play recent lately does not inspire confidence. They have lost 3 of 5, with most wins requiring OT. 9 of 10 games have gone over. They are playing at home, but have been far more successful on the road this season. Of concern is their goals against average, well above their season’s avg. of late. Minnesota is off an inspired victory against the Hurricanes, the same team that embarrassed the Caps in their last game. The Wild have continued in their ability to stifle offenses, allowing just 1 goal against the Canes. 7 of their last 8 games have gone under. They’ve won 8 of 9, but are still an underdog today. The odds suggest a Capitals bounce-back, but I am on the Wild, back to back or no. They are a team that is peaking at the right time, with better goal-tending and very disciplined play. Go Wild today! |
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04-03-22 | Panthers v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
The Panthers managed a huge come-back OT victory on Saturday, but still allowed 6 goals against, and are facing an early start in back to back games. As good as they have been this year, they are not as dominant on the road, managing just 4 victories in their last 8 road games. The Sabres have been my go-to team at the moment, winning more than they lose lately and beating some impressive teams in the process. With an extra day’s rest and a home advantage, I think this potentially fine young team has the brass to win or keep it close on Sunday. Take the Sabres on the puck line + 1 ½. |
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04-02-22 | Stars v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
Going by former match-ups, the Sharks should steal this game, but the Stars are on fire at the moment. With Dallas still in the picture for a wildcard spot, they should be the more inspired team on Saturday. The Stars have won 5 of 6, and other than the games vs. the Ducks, have faced stiff competition. They have been very sharp on the road, and have held opponents to under 3 goals against over this stretch. The Sharks have lost 3 of 4, and have struggled on offense all season. They have also lost 4 of their last 5 games at home. None the less, the Sharks’ role from here until season’s end is spoiler, and Dallas is a team that can really be affected. Every victory is absolutely critical for the Stars at this point. San Jose can still pull out a good effort, and here is an opportunity to show it. I am not sold on a victory for San Jose here, but I think the Sharks will keep this game close. The total is quite low. Take the Over. |
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04-01-22 | Predators v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
Buffalo has been winning more than losing lately and no one has defeated them by more than a goal in 7 games. 6 of those 7 games have gone into overtime. The Sabres have scored 21 goals in 6 games; not bad for a team that has averaged 2.7 goals a game for the season. They have also allowed 22 goals in that time, with the total going over frequently. The Preds, whose mixed play may have them on the outside looking in as far as play-offs go, have won 2 straight. The over has figured in 8 of 10 games. Other than in a pair of losses to Vegas and LA, the Preds have been a bit of a scoring machine, and should have success with the Sabres’ 26th rated defense. The Predators’ goals against average has been nothing to be proud of lately, and the usually dependable Saros has had some rough outings. I am not counting the Sabres out in this matchup. Look for a wide open game and take the over. |
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03-31-22 | Penguins v. Wild -110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
The Wild have turned a corner after their time on the outs, and are now showing what they are capable of. They have won 7 in a row and are limiting good teams to minimal goals. Defense had been the issue this season, but they are now playing a lower scoring play-off style hockey with great success. The Penguins have lost 3 of 4, and while the offense exploded for 11 goals against the Red Wings, the Penguins have had a tough time scoring goals against tough teams. Jarry has had some sub-par outings lately, and the defense hasn’t been quite as stifling as one might expect. While the Penguins are still playing good hockey, the Wild seem inspired, peaking at just the right time. This will be a tough match-up for both clubs, but I’m wagering on the Wild continuing their fine form and taking this game at home. Another big game from the Wild’s uber-hot Talbot? |
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03-31-22 | Penguins v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
The Wild are playing play-off style hockey very successfully and have allowed 2 goals or fewer in their last 7 games. This has come at the cost of the offense, with no huge goal-scoring outbursts, but with 7 wins in a row, who is going to argue. The Penguins did have a huge goal scoring outburst vs the Red Wings, but have had difficulty scoring on good teams. They have also lost 3 of 4, managing only 3 goals in 2 games vs. the Rangers. This game features the 4th ranked defense (Penguins) vs. a much improved one, with solid goal-tending on each side. The total is high given the match-up. Take the Under today. |
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03-30-22 | Rangers -137 v. Red Wings | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
The Rangers, playing for the second time in two nights, face the Red Wings in Detroit tonight. They have played well lately, but will likely not start Shesterkin, which does alter the picture somewhat. They have beaten the Penguins (twice), ‘Canes and Lightning in their last 6 games, with three of those victories on the road. Georgiev has not played well overall, but he did shut out Carolina just two starts ago. The Red Wings have lost 8 of 10, and their last game was another football-esqe total, allowing 11 goals against. They do play better at home, but have the worst defense in the league, and are horribly out-matched by the Rangers on special teams. The Rangers need this victory, and even a tired Rangers team should be able to handle Detroit. Take advantage of some reasonably favorable odds and take the Rangers to win. |
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03-30-22 | Jets v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
I like the Sabres right now and have been riding them successfully for a few games. Losing 4-0, they bounced back for a win last time out, and they’ve won or stayed close in their last 6 matches. Buffalo has been scoring goals in handfuls; 20 in their last 5 games. They have also allowed 19, making them an attractive “over” selection. The Jets are kinda, sorta, in the race for a wild card spot, and are finally playing closer to their potential. They’ve won 2 in a row and 7 of 10, and have scored 4 or more goals in 3 of 4 games, so should be able to pot a few vs the Sabres. The Jets are not the best road team and have been a very inconsistent team this season. They have some real fire-power, but sometimes just don’t seem to show up. Their usually stand-out goalie, Hellebuyck, has been inconsistent this year, and the Jets’ defense is just middle of the pack. A total of 6 is available, which is on the low side for these two teams. Look for a run and gun style meeting.Take the Over. |
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03-29-22 | Senators v. Predators OVER 6 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Talk about mood swings. The Preds’ last 6 games have all gone over, but they’ve alternated between high-scoring run and gun style victories with lop-sided losses. Not what you need for a team still entertaining play-off dreams. Facing the Senators, this should be a very winnable game, but considering Nashville's defense lately, nothing is certain. On the plus side, the Predators have been a very good home team this year. The Senators struggle on the road and are off a tough shoot-out loss to the Panthers. It has been a long season for a young team in a rebuild, but they are capable of some surprising offense at times and are healthier than they have been recently. Considering how they showed against Florida, I think they will hold their own against the mercurial Predators. The total is 6 today. This one will go over.. |
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03-28-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Kings -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
The Kings are in a playoff spot, but will need to play more consistently to maintain it. Playing the Kraken twice in a row at home will help. They traded for an extra defenceman and have Edler returning so have improved their defense, but otherwise stood pat. LA beat the Kraken by a pair of goals on Saturday, and a similar outcome can be expected today. This is a “must win” game for the Kings. The Kraken had a pair of wins against a pair of bottom feeders, but with all the deadline losses to an already poor team, will have trouble competing against any talented opponent. They struggle to score at the best of times, and have lost major pieces to both offense and defense. As the impact of those losses sinks in, it is unlikely that we see very much success for the Kraken from now until the season’s end. The Kings are heavily favored, but the price on the puckline is acceptable. This is a good opportunity for the Kings to show some offensive muscle. Look for the Kings to roll over the Kraken for a second time in two outings. Kings to win -1 ½. |
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03-28-22 | Sabres +145 v. Blackhawks | Top | 6-5 | Win | 145 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
The last time the Sabres played in a back to back situation, They knocked off the high-riding Flames 1-0. Tokarski, who plays in net sporadically but well when called upon, got the shut-out in that game. The Sabres are a potentially very good and energetic young team, largely unchanged at the deadline, and playing in a very good space at this time.. The Black Hawks surprised LA, and were leading against Vegas, but then things all came apart in the third period. Look for them to continue on a downward trend after all of the trade deadline changes sink in. The Black Hawks are flawed on defense and only Fleurie kept them respectable in many games. The Hawks also are not a particularly good home team, and have very little to play for for the rest of the season. I've been on the Sabres bandwagon lately, if not to win, then to keep games close. The Black Hawks are a considerable favorite on Monday. 2nd game in two nights on the road notwithstanding, the "Big Dawg" Sabres will steal this one. Sabres to win outright.. |
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03-27-22 | Lightning v. Islanders UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
The Lightning seem to have struck out lately as far as offense goes, and wins for that matter, averaging 2 goals scored or less in their last 4 games, and losing more than they have won in their last 10. Their defense is still on form, as they’ve allowed just 11 goals in 6 games. Don’t look for the offense to break out today against a tough Islanders side. The Isles lost last night allowing a very rare 6 goals against to the Bruins. Look for them to get back to their tight checking and low scoring style today. Sorokin is likely in net for the Isles today which is good news, but don’t expect much offense today. This is still the league’s 24th ranked offense. The Islanders have flashed a couple of overs lately, but that was against poor teams. The Lightning have seen a steady diet of unders. Look for a typical effort from these two defense-dominant teams, both featuring very good goal-tending. Take the under in this match-up. |
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03-26-22 | Ducks v. Sharks -135 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
The Ducks were essentially drawn and quartered at the trade deadline, and are one team who are playing like it. They have lost 8 straight, and are losing in a variety of fashions. It looks like they also could be short-handed tonight. They have not been a good road team, even when playing well. San Jose is no play-off threat, and has been inconsistent of late, but has had some impressive wins mixed in. Although the situation does not come up that frequently, the Sharks are a very good home favorite, winning eight in a row, and a solid road team when playing anyone. They have a poor history against the Ducks, and this is a perfect situation for pay-back. Take the favored Sharks in tonight’s match-up. |
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03-26-22 | Islanders v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
A pair of defense-first teams face off on Saturday, in a game that should feature top notch goal-tending as well. Both net-minder s for the Islanders are lights out lately, with the Bruins’ duo impressing as well. The Islanders are back to successfully playing their tight-checking and low-scoring style, and face a Bruins team who’ve won 6 of 7and limited the opposition to 2 goals or less in each victory. Of note, Bergeron is questionable for Saturday’s game. The Bruins are middle of the pack on offense but the Isles are low on the list at 24th. Both teams feature very strong Pks. Look for playoff style hockey, down and dirty in the trenches, and take the under. |
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03-25-22 | Blue Jackets v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
The Jets are off a loss, and will play their 2nd game in two nights. They gave up 5 goals to Ottawa, and will looking for a much different result on Friday. Winnipeg cannot afford to lose 2 in a row against poor teams, and hope for a wild card spot, so look for extra motivation. The over has been pretty consistent lately and against the Blue Jackets is a good bet. The Jackets have one of the worst defenses in the league, but can still light up the goal light with considerable frequency. They also have a history of high totals, so getting Friday's game at 6 is very positive. Look for lots of offense and take the over in this match-up. |
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03-25-22 | Capitals v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Watching the Sabres play, I've been impressed at the potential this team has, and it may well be that they are starting to realize some of it right now. They've won 3 straight, and 5 of 7, beating some big names in the process. Although saddled with the 26th rated defense for the season, they have given up only 8 goals in those 5 wins. Meanwhile, the Capitals have lost 2 straight, and 5 of 6 of their previous games were decided by a single goal. They are a very good road team, but aren't quite getting the goal-tending they were, and there are some significant injuries to consider. They may very well play well enough to win, but I expect this youthful and exciting Sabres team to keep it close, as they did with the Penguins. Take the Sabres + 1 1/2. |
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03-24-22 | Blackhawks v. Kings -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
The Black Hawks won last night, but don't look for any kind of streak developing after losing big time at the trade deadline. Fleury has kept them in many a game this season. The goal-tending situation will be one to watch, starting today. L.A. has played unevely lately, but will be bolsterd by a huge win against the Preds. Their defense, badly depleted by injuries, received a boost with a key return and acquisition. The Kings' offense broke out against the Predators. Here is a second opportunity for some big numbers. The Black Hawks are on a back-to-back, have struggled against the Kings in the past, and will likely be a very demoralized team. This is a must win for the Kings. Take L.A. to win -1 1/2. |
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03-23-22 | Penguins v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
The Sabres at 6-3 are a bit of a conundrum at the moment, beating some tough opponents one game, then not even showing up in the odd match. None the less, this is a young team with real potential. On the nights when they do show up, the Sabres have been very successful at limiting goals against. They face the Penguins, who won in convincing fashion last night, but are in a back-to-back situation tonight. With Jarry playing last night, the Sabres may catch a small break, as De Smith is expected in net. The Penguins have won 3 straight, and have been very tough to play against, allowing 2 goals or less in 5 of 6 games. They are not the youngest team, so may lose a step tonight, but are still a heavy favorite, possibly too high a favorite for my liking. I think the Sabres, who stood pat at the trade deadline, have a good opportunity tonight, and will bet them on the puck line. Take the Sabres + 1 ½. |
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03-23-22 | Devils v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
The Leafs upgraded their defense, but not their goaltending, so keeping the puck out of the net is still a big issue. 3rd time was not a charm for rookie net-minder Kallgren, and he will very likely be in the net on Wednesday. The Leafs are the 3rd ranked offense in the league, but are just 5-5 in their last 10 games, and have seen the total go over in 7 of them. New Jersey, hot off a huge win vs. the Rangers, is playing in back to back games and on the road on Wednesday. The Devils also have serious defense and goalie issues, but have a young, dynamic, Hughes-led offense that can put the puck in the net. They have had very little luck on the road lately, losing 6 straight, and the last three by identical 6-3 scores, but don't look for them to be shut-out. Take this one to go over. |
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03-22-22 | Senators v. Islanders -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
The Islanders stood pat at the trade deadline, and have been playing a solid and predictably defensive style of play lately. They take on a confused Senators team, who they handled successfully in February. The Isles have given up just 5 goals in 3 games, and have shown more offense than expected, considering their 2.7 goals-for avg. this season. They are healthy (how often can one say that about a team!), and have won 4 straight games at home. The Senators added 4 players and lost 3, so it is a good thing there are names on their jerseys. They have been playing particularly poorly of late, losing 4 of 5, and have been outscored 21 -11. The Islanders are a large and legitimate favorite on Tuesday. Not even considering their poor play, there is a lot of trade deadline dust to settle before this Senators team will play cohesively. Missing Chabot doesn’t help either. Take the Islanders on the puck line. |
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03-20-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -1.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
Carolina has lost 3 games straight on the road, and has averaged just 2.5 goals-for a game in their last 10. Much is expected of this team, and it is about time they turned things around offensively. Andersen won’t have been happy losing to the Leafs, so look for a better performance from him tonight. The ‘Canes are a dominant team at home, with an extra day of rest, and have the best defense in the league. While the Rangers also rate highly on defense, much of that comes on the back of their star goalie Shesterkin, who will not start tonight. The Rangers are not as good on the road, and with Georgiev in net, and in a back to back situation, they will struggle against the Hurricanes. The odds-makers agree with me, as the Canes are a tall favorite. Here is a dawg that will have it’s day today. Take the Hurricanes to win -1 ½. |
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03-20-22 | Stars v. Capitals -153 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -153 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
The Capitals have re-found their form, and frequently the back of the net, winning 7 of their last 8 with a 4.5 goals-for avg. They wiped the floor with Dallas last time out, winning with a shutout. The Capitals are relatively safe for a wild card spot, but can’t waste any opportunity to move up. The Stars were just bounced out of a wild card spot, and will have to up their game if they want to regain it. They’ve lost 4 of 5 games, scoring 2 or under goals in three of those losses. Oettinger played in Saturday’s loss to the Islanders, so the Stars will be forced to play a recent call-up in net on Sunday. They are a poor road team and will face a very good home team in a back to back situation. The Capitals are favored but not as much as one would expect. Take the Capitals to win outright. |
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03-19-22 | Devils v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
The Oilers are hot and the Devils are not. There has been very little hospitality for the Devils on their western swing, as they have lost the first two games by identical 6-3 scores. Is it goalie issues or trouble on defense? It is not uncommon for New Jersey to struggle on the road; they are a very ugly 8-20 to date. Now facing the Oilers, it will be interesting to see this very young team’s response. They are not without skill on offense, scoring 3 each against the Canucks and Flames, but that 27th rated defense is a real poke in the eye. The Oilers have won 4 straight in Edmonton, and are going for the home-town sweep on Saturday. They beat a couple of contenders, then beat up on a pair of under-achievers, scoring 13 goals in those two games. The Oilers’ defense is not that much better than the Devils’. A case in point: Saturday’s starter Koskinen gave up 5 goals against Detroit in his last outing. It is very likely that the Oilers will outlast the Devils on Saturday, and they are a big favorite. I expect lots of offense on both sides. Take the Over in this match-up. |
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03-19-22 | Blackhawks v. Wild -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
The breakup of the Black Hawks has begun, as they've lost a real fan favorite and spark plug to the Lightning. We have also likely seen the last of Fleury, who has kept things close for the Hawks in net. Look for Lankinen to start today. The Wild are still in a play-off spot, but need to gain some consistency or that could change quickly. This is a great situational game for a much needed win against a demoralized Black Hawks team, who are poor on the road at the best of times. Talbot looks to have improved lately, and the Hawks don't have much in the way of offense anyway. The Wild have an explosive offense, and today will be the day when it expresses itself. Look for the Wild to 'kick 'em while they are down" and win this one going away. Take the Wild - 1 1/2 today. |
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03-17-22 | Panthers -135 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -135 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
Off a poor effort against the Jets, the Golden Knights have dug themselves a big hole in the play off picture, and Thursday’s game will not likely start to remedy the situation. They’ve lost 5 straight, have a very long injury list with some key players on it, and are not playing inspired hockey. With Lehner out, their goal-tending has been questionable, allowing 18 goals in 3 games. And while the Panthers can struggle on the road, Vegas has excelled neither at home nor on the road recently. Florida has the league’s best offense, and has been holding the opposition to less than three goals lately. They are first in the tough Atlantic division, and if they want to stay there, a game vs the present Vegas team is a must win. Bobrovsky is likely ready for Thursday, which is good news for the Panthers. There is just too much wrong with the Golden Knights right now for any real chance at knocking off the high-flying Panthers. Take Florida to win going away. |
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03-16-22 | Devils v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
After enduring a flood of goals courtesy of the Canucks, the Devils head directly into the flames (Calgary style) in a 3 games/4 nights situation. Both Devils goal-tenders were shelled on Tuesday, getting little support from that 26th rated defense. The Flames have given up just three goals in their last 3 games when Markstrom was in net, so don't bet on much offense from a young and tired Devils club. Calgary is averaging just about 4 goals-for a game lately, and the majority of their considerable wins are by two or more. Calagary is a huge favorite, and rightly so, howver the odds on the puck line are very palatable. Take the Flames -1 1/2. |
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03-16-22 | Bruins -105 v. Wild | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Judging by their record, the Bruins are the rare team that seems impervious to fatigue in back to back match-ups. At 8-2 L10, they have hit their stride, and have also won 6 of 7 road games. The Bruins’ defense is a worthy top 5, and they have a fine young goal-tender in Swayman starting tonight. The Wild, in free fall at 3-6, are now in real danger of missing the playoffs. Their high-firing offense has been limited to just 2 goals in each of their last two starts, and they have been giving up close to 5 goals in their last 6 games. Talbot, tonight’s likely starter, has been ineffective lately. The Bruins are tough to play against in any situation, and I don’t think that the Wilds’ slump will end tonight. The Bruins, on the road, are available at very reasonable odds. Look for them to defy those odds, and steal this game. Take the Bruins to win. |
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03-15-22 | Red Wings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
Neither of these two teams are particularly solid on defense, but the Red Wings have been futile, allowing goals in bunches, at a rate of 5 goals per game in their last 5 matchups. They have lost 5 straight and are a very poor road team. Their away losses have consistently been by more than 2 goals. While the Oilers' offense has been relatively quiet by their standards, they did pot 4 against both Tampa Bay and the Capitals in their last 2 games. Two wins against tough teams may kickstart their offense and there is no better place to break out than against the Red Wings on the road. Defense and goaltending have been issues for the Oilers, and the Red Wings are not without some of their own muscle on offense. While the Oilers should be good for a win here, my best bet is on the total. Shop around on this one , and take the total to go over. |
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03-15-22 | Coyotes v. Canadiens OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Odd that two of the season's worst teams are 2 of the NHL's hottest teams in their last 10 games. Even more odd is the new-found offense both teams have discovered; the Canadiens are averaging 4 goals a game, and the Coyotes nearly 5 in their respective last five games. The Coyotes are playing on back to back games, and offense aside, these are still 2 of the NHL's worst defenses. A close and high score wouldn't surprise me, and the total is a fairly average 6. Take these new offensive powerhouses to go over today. |
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03-14-22 | Coyotes v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Considering the Coyotes have the league’s 3rd worst offense, they have put up some startling goals-for totals lately, with 25 counted in just 4 games. This includes a massive home win against Monday’s opponent, the Senators. The Coyotes are on a tear, winning 4 of 5 and 7 of 10. The Senators did win 2 in a row, but have struggled in a big way in their last 10 games. Forsberg, expected in net for the Senators, can be sharp in mostly losing causes, but gets little support. Today’s other netminder, Wedgewood, has struggled lately. These two teams’ last meeting ended on 13 goals. Looking at the Coyote’s stretch of offense, and past totals when the Senators face other bottom dwellers, today’s total of six sounds like a safe bet. Take the Over in this match-up. |
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03-13-22 | Flames v. Avalanche -155 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
The Flames play their second game in two nights, are on the road, and face a very tough opponents in the Avalanche. Their back-up goalie is likely to start. The games when Vladar plays tend to stick out as a/ losses, or b/ higher goals-against totals, c/ back to backs, or d/ all of the above. The Avs have not been sharp, losing 4 of 5, however they are back home where they are all but unbeatable. They lost in overtime to the Flames last meeting, but are better-rested and will be looking for revenge. This is one of the better opportunities for a Flames loss. Look for the Avs to step up and take this game. |
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03-13-22 | Hurricanes v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Carolina will play its third game in 4 days and its second in 2. They played the Penguins in a back to back situation last time and still came out ahead. Back up goalie Raanta will be in net. He has been terrific in his last two starts, helped out by NHL's best defense. The Penguins are favored, and would like to show better against the Canes, but the Hurricanes have had their number lately, beating them twice in the last month, and seem to be more or less impervious to fatigue. Home ice is no particular advantage to the Penguins; they've won more often on the road. The Hurricanes have been particularly tough to score against lately. They shut out the Avs, and have had their last 5 games go under. This game features 2 excellent defenses and a pair of very strong goal-tenders. I prefer the total in this match-up, and I am wagering on the game to stay under the total. |
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03-12-22 | Lightning -160 v. Oilers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The Lightning have struggled on this road-trip, losing a rare two games in a row. They are normally solid away from the Sunshine state, and while I am on about locations, the Oilers aren’t the best road team. The Lightning are a better team in all categories other than power-play, and have ruled the roost in previous matchups. The Oilers have been very inconsistent, winning just 4 of their last 10. Goal-tending is still an issue, as are injuries. The Lightning have struck out twice in a row, but thrice? Don’t count on it. Take Tampa Bay to win. |
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03-12-22 | Red Wings v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
Some of the Red Wings' scores have more resembled the NFL than the NHL lately. They've allowed 42 goals in 7 games. Ouch! The game against the Flames is a defensive mismatch, pitting the league's 31st defense against #2. The Flames have a dynamic offense to go with that stellar D, and a hot goalie in Markstrom to boot. They also have the discipline and a very outspoken coach to avoid any thought of taking the Red Wings for granted. Take the Flames on the puck line at -1 1/2. A rare 2 1/2 is available, but that would be tempting fate. |
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03-11-22 | Wild v. Blue Jackets OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
The Blue Jackets were smoked by the Islanders yesterday, and are right back into it vs the Wild on Friday. The Wild will also be in a back to back situation. The Blue Jackets gave up 6 and the Wild 5 goals against. These two teams are top 10 offensively, but both would have be considered defensively challenged. The Wild have won a pair after a prolonged dark stretch, and are normally a very good home team. They now have challengers for a playoff spot, so motivation should favor them. They will play their back up goalie tomorrow. The Jackets will star Merzlikins, who has had very little support this season. This is a perfect opportunity for the Wild to get that offense rolling. I don’t see Columbus being shut out twice in a row. Both teams have given up, on average, better than 4 goals against lately. Here is another match-up destined for the over. |
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03-10-22 | Blue Jackets v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Columbus doesn't really "do" unders. The Blue Jackets haven't won very often recently, but they sure can put the puck in the net. They unfortunately can't keep it out with any frequency either. Their last 4 games have all ended over 6.5, and all have been close, with overtime figuring prominently. With a 9th rated defense and a 27th rated defense, the Islanders are rightly known as a "defense first" team, but that hasn't been the case lately, with just 2 of 8 going under the total. They also have a poor track record in their last 10, and are not a strong home team. They have flashed a bit of offense lately, and a game against Columbus offers a fine opportunity for some more. I am more than a little surprised at the odds for Thursday's match-up. Any time there is a 5.5 total involving Columbus, I am on the over, and you should be too. |
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03-08-22 | Senators v. Blues -1.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
The Senators have a lamentable record lately, particularly on the road, They haven’t mustered much in the way of offense against better teams, and were roughed up by the Blues in their last meeting. Forsberg has been a solid net-minder in a losing cause, but has faced 40 or more shots in three straight games. It won’t get any easier against the Blues’ very dynamic offense. The Blues have been on the road for an extended period of time, but are finally back in St Louis tonight. They are a much more successful home team, and after losing a rare three straight away games, will be fired up against a very beatable opponent. They are a fine team on both offense and defense, but haven’t shown much in the way of scoring on this mini-slump. This will be the perfect opportunity for a big breakout. Take the Blues to win on the puck line. |
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03-08-22 | Panthers v. Penguins -110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
The Panthers have played a lot of hockey in the last few days, and are not quite as successful on the road. They have the top offense in the NHL, but are up against a rested Penguins team with the 4th best defense in the league. They have had a relatively easy schedule for the last couple of weeks, and are still only 3-3. After some significant long-term injuries this season, Pittsburgh now has all of the big guns in place. They've knocked off some high flying teams lately, and kept it close against the 'Canes in a 2nd game in 2 nights situation. Jarry had a three game blip, but has been terrific in his last two starts. The Penguins are no slouches at home or on offense, and are stingy both at 5 on 5 and on the PK. Considering the fatigue factor, I like Pittsburgh's chances. Take the Penguins to win. |
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03-07-22 | Maple Leafs v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
The Toronto Maple Leafs, once a shoe-in for the playoffs, are in big trouble defensively, Their goals-against have soared from a 2.9 seasonal average to over 5 per game in their last 4 games. Both goalies are struggling in net and they are missing a pair of defensemen. The Blue Jackets are in much the same boat with injuries, and also have the league’s 31st ranked defense. Both these teams can put the puck in the net with regularity. Their last meeting ended at 7 goals, and the total has figured prominently for both teams recently. Look for a free-wheeling game with plenty of offense, and not much in the way of puck-stopping. Take the total in this one to go over. |
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03-06-22 | Rangers +106 v. Jets | Top | 4-1 | Win | 106 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
The Jet’s record against top teams isn’t very good and they have lost more games than they have won against anyone lately. Hellebuyck has been sub-par this season, and especially in his last three games. The Jets are a decent home team, but have been both uneven and a disappointment this year. The Rangers are probably a year or two from being a dominant force in the NHL, but they are still a fine young team, with good defense, and the very best goalie in the league in Shesterkin. They aren’t blowing anyone away with offense lately, but they have had past good success on the road against the Jets. While the odds-makers usually have their reasons, today’s odds in this game defy me. I will take the Rangers as an underdog over the Jets any day. So should you.. |
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03-06-22 | Kings v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -113 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
The Kings, on track for a play-off berth, are a very good road team and a strong favorite in this match-up in spite of an abysmal historical record against the Sabres in Buffalo. Quick will likely start but hasn’t performed to his long-time standard lately. Another elder statesman is in net for the Sabres. Anderson, at 40, may have seen better days as well. He will face a lot of shots vs the Kings’ sharpshooters, and with the 26th rated defense in front of him, won’t get much support. The Sabres’ offense has been showing a little better lately, and the Kings have not been stingy, giving up 11 goals in a pair of losses, and 3 in a win against Columbus on Friday. The total has been 6 goals or more in each team’s last 4 games. I am betting on the over to continue on Sunday, but do shop around... |
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03-05-22 | Bruins -200 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
The surprising Blue Jackets are at home, but on back-to-back games against a Bruins team with 6 wins in 7 games. Boston is very tough to play against, but especially on the road, with the third best defense and a very solid young goalie at the moment in Swayman. The last time the Jackets played in the second night in a row, they were shelled by the 'Canes, allowing 50 shots on goal. Columbus has one of the worst defences in the league at the best of times. Boston is a hot prospect since Marchand returned, and haS been generating plenty of offense. Against a tired Columbus team, off an overtime loss, I expect a decisive Bruins win. Take the Bruins this time out. |
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03-05-22 | Blackhawks v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
"Can't score,can't defend" sums up both the Blackhawks and the Flyers these days. Neither team impresses home or away, and both are playing back up goalies. Chicago has won two of three, and has good news on the injury front, with three players returning including the capitan Toews. Looking at other matches against poor defensive teams, the total has been over more than not. Look for more scoring than usual and take the over. |
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03-04-22 | Red Wings v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
The Lightning were embarrassed by the Penguins and will be out for blood against Detroit on Friday. Tampa Bay is a very good home team, and will seriously test the Red Wings' 30th rated defense. Tampa seems impervious to a drop-off in back-to-back situations, although with Elliot in net, they will likely give up a litttle extra on goals against. The over has figured prominently for both teams, but especially Detroit. It is hard to forget that NFL-worthy score against the Leafs. Detroit's offense is certainly better than their defense, averaging 4 goals-for per game over their last 7, win or lose. Friday's likely starter Nedeljovic has had some very poor outings, but he doesn't get much support. Detroit may be better rested, but i am looking for a rebound from the Lightning. By all rights, this game should go over.. |
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03-03-22 | Oilers -140 v. Blackhawks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
The Oilers are 2-2 on an extended road trip, but they have kept it close with the best teams in the league, and have won 7 of their last 10. Goalie Mike Smith has had some issues since returning from extended absences, but is a quality goalie who appears to be rounding into form. The Oilers can score with the best of them, and badly outmatch the Blackhawks on offense and special teams. The Blackhawks are 3-7, a poor home team, with significant injuries and nothing to play for. Their defense is sub-par and offense is 3rd worst in the league. Why then are the Oilers such a weak favorite on Thursday? While the Oilers haven’t played Chicago this year, they have lost 4 straight in Chicago and there are still question marks around Smith, I suppose. As the saying goes “that was then and this is now.” Give me the Oilers at these odds any day. |
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03-02-22 | Kings v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
The Kings were dethroned by the Bruins in their last game, but won the previous 5 prior to laying that egg, averaging 4 + goals scored. LA is a very good road team, with solid defense, but their goal-tending has been sub-par lately. The Stars are very strong at home, and have produced offensively well above their average when in the confines of their home arena. They have a middle-brow offense but do have a distinct advantage on the power play, and the Kings are not the most disciplined of teams. The winner is a toss-up, but I like the total in this match-up. The Stars are prone to low totals except in a “home favorite” situation, and lately the Kings’ games have trended over. Wednesday’s number is low. Take the over. |
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03-01-22 | Flames -115 v. Wild | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
The Wild are in an “away and home” series vs the Flames, with Calgary winning the first leg easily. Minnesota has been on the road for 4 straight games, losing 3 of them. Talbot is projected to be in the net, and has been struggling with three straight sub-par outings. The Flames are 9-1, and other than an oddity vs. the Canucks, are holding teams to an average of less than 2 goals a game. A very balanced team at present, the Flames have had good recent success vs the Wild in Minnesota, and are the better team in defense, goaltending and special teams. No slouches on offense, they have outscored many of their opponents by a wide margin. The Wild are struggling for the first time this season, winning just 4 of 10 games. The Flames are hard to bet against at the best of times, but especially as slight underdogs. Take the Flames to win today. |
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03-01-22 | Devils v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
The Devils are off a big win but play in back to back games on the road on Tuesday. It will likely be Gillies in net, a step down from Dawes. The Devils have stepped it up in offense lately. They've scored 36 goals in 7 games, and are up against the 31st ranked defense in Columbus. The Blue Jackets are one of the few teams with a worse defense than the Devils this season. Columbus can also flash a little offense, especially against the weaker teams. They have had some surprising victories lately and are a very good home team. The Devils have been doormats on the road, and very poor when playing on the 2nd game in two days. Given the situation, I expect another high total with offense shared by both teams. Take the over. |
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02-28-22 | Canucks v. Devils OVER 6 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
The Canucks are off an inspiring victory against the Rangers, but play in a back-to-back situation without Demko in net. Halak will start, and he has not played much or well lately. The Canucks offense has finally started to come alive, and is on a roll, averaging well over 5 goals a game in their last 5 starts. There is just the barest chance that they will make the playoffs. The Devils are at home, have an extra couple of days rest, and have absolutely owned the Canucks, winning 11 straight. They too are scoring at a good clip, potting 30 goals in their last 6 games. The Devils’ goaltending situation is a mess, and they are well down the list in choices. The likely starter is Gillies, who has struggled badly lately, with a 29th rated defense for support. The total is surprisingly low for this situation. Jump on this one early! |
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02-27-22 | Blues -1.5 v. Blackhawks | Top | 4-0 | Win | 150 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Blues/Blackhawks Wins have been few and far between for the Blackhawks lately. Fleury does his best, but has the 24th ranked defense in front of him. Don’t count on a ton of goals scored by the Hawks. They are in the bottom three in the league on offense, and most of their losses are lopsided. St Louis has won 5 of their last 6, including a decisive victory against the Black Hawks. They have a very respectable offense this year, and all of their victories have been by 2 or more goals recently. They give up well under three goals a game on average. Every game is important for the playoff-bound Blues, while the Blackhawks are likely already longing for the links with the way this season is going. The Blues are not the best road team, but Chicago is worse at home than on the road this year. The Blues are a strong favorite, but I am ok with the extra points in this match-up. Take the Blues - 1 ½. |
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02-26-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Penguins | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
The Penguins are off an embarrassing loss to the Devils. Jarry and the defense have not been solid since the break, with Pittsburgh losing three straight, giving up 14 goals and scoring just 5. Is this just a blip or a sign of a more serious swoon? The Rangers are 3-1 since the break, with Shesterkin absolutely lights-out. He is a rare goaltender who can be a game-changer. The Rangers have nudged the Penguins aside in the standings, and while they haven't been successful on the road against the Penguins in the past, they are a very good away team this season. The Penguins are a considerable favorite, but I am not convinced that they will return to form against a very fast and potent Rangers offense. I'll take the underdog Rangers, but will hedge my bet on the puck line. Rangers + 1 1/2. |
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02-25-22 | Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes OVER 6.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Blue Jackets/Hurricanes Friday’s match-up pits the NHL’s 2nd rated defense (‘Canes) against the 31st (Blue Jackets). Columbus’s goalie situation is such that 20 year old Jet Greaves, fresh from the AHL, will likely start in net. The Blue Jackets have won 7 of 8, scoring an average of 4.5 goals a game. They won convincingly on Thursday night against the Panthers, but are on a back to back on Friday. Columbus is under .500 on the road. The Hurricanes have won three straight, are dominant on home ice, healthy, and well rested. Defensively, they have given up a steady diet of 3 goals in 5 straight games. I like Carolina in this situation, but so do the odds-makers. Looking at the total, we have seen some remarkably high numbers in Blue Jackets games, finishing between 7 and 11 goals in their last five games. Losing D-man Werenski and playing a raw rookie in net won’t help. The Canes can put the puck in the net. This one could get wild. Take the Over.. |
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02-24-22 | Stars v. Predators -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
The Stars are off a win but are playing on the road and in back to back games. Dallas is much less of a threat on the road. Holtby will likely play in goal on Thursday. He has not played much or well lately, and will have a tired 16th rated defense in front of him. Nashville is off a big win, at home, and has had an extra day’s rest. They lost to the Stars in Dallas a week ago, so a little pay back is in order. Preds’ goalie Saros has had a terrific year, but stumbled for four games, allowing an uncharacteristic 15 goals. After a few days of rest, it is likely that we will see a return to form. The Predators have owned the Stars in recent meetings in Nashville. I am banking on a similar outcome. Take the Preds to win against a weary Stars team. |
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02-23-22 | Sabres v. Canadiens -107 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
No one likes to be swept, especially by the Sabres, and the Habs are playing at home, and with considerably more vigor since the coaching change. The Canadiens have won three straight, surprising some good teams, so what are the odds of four in a row? In this case it is a solid bet. The Sabres have lost 3 in a row and are a very poor road team. Take the Habs to come out gunning and spoil the Sabres’ series sweep. |
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02-22-22 | Sharks v. Ducks -142 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
Neither the Ducks nor the Sharks are playing well at present. It is time one of these teams woke up, and I am betting it will be the Ducks. They’re at home, with better goal-tending, very strong special teams, and some dynamic forwards. The Ducks struggle to defend, but the Sharks have had trouble generating much in the way of offense. Reimer is the only goalie in town at the moment and the Sharks are down three defensemen. Look for the Sharks’ struggles to continue on the road. Ducks to win. |
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02-21-22 | Jets v. Flames OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
The Jets are just .500 on the road, and have a significant injury list. This will be their 4th game in 5 nights, as they head to Calgary to face a sizzling Flames powerhouse. Calgary has now won 9 straight, averaging much less than 2 goals against per game and scoring better than 4. They are healthy, rested, and dominant at home. Wnnipeg has historically had their way with the Flames, but that success likely comes to an end on Monday. Goal tender Hellebuyck has not been as solid this year, and the Jets are just average on defense, and have been uneven in offensive production. An average total is available on Monday, mainly due to the Flames' ability to keep down the goals-against. Look for the Flames to take it to Winnipeg and the total to go over. |
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02-21-22 | Avalanche v. Bruins UNDER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 2 h 0 m | Show |
The Bruins are 4-6, and all of their wins were against the NHL’s loss-leaders. Marchand is still out, and they are scoring at a very low average rate of 1.5 goals a game lately. This won’t get them far against the Avs. Colorado is 8-2, and are playing a much more balanced brand of hockey, holding opponents to under 2 goals a game, while outscoring them by 2 or more goals in 7 of 8 of their last eight wins. The Av's newly acquired disciplined approach has lead to a surprising number of lower scoring games. Swayman should be in the net today. He has been the better of the Bruins’ net-minders, and has been particularly sharp in his last three starts. Meanwhile Kuemper has been more than steady for the Avalanche, and has seen his Save % climb to .920. The Avalanche and the under have ruled the roost in recent matchups between these two teams. Given the situation today, I'll wager that today's total will go under as well. |
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02-20-22 | Wild v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
The Oilers are at home vs. the Wild tonight. They have won 5 straight under a new coach, and in their last three games at least, seem to have re-found their scoring touch. To the negative side, they are beaten up, and playing in a back to back. The jury is still out on tonight’s expected goalie, Mike Smith, after a very long absence. The Wild are 1-2 in their last three games, and have given up over 5 goals a game in that period. While Healthier and better-rested, they are missing a key defense-man, and tonight’s expected net-minder, Talbot, has struggled of late. Both these teams are offense-driven, with below average defenses. The Wild’s recent propensity to give up goals is concerning. With the Oilers playing last night, some fatigue may be a factor, and it usually shows first on defense. I expect these to teams to do what they do best, which is put the puck in the net. Take tonight’s match-up to go over. |
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02-19-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
I’ve been burned by the Kraken a few times, but I’m on the Calgary bandwagon at the moment, and had great success. The Flames are the hottest team in the NHL at the moment, scoring at a 5+ pace over their last 8 games, and winning by multiple goals 8 of 10 times. In addition to a powerful and balanced attack, they also have the best defense in the league, and a very good goaltender in Jacob Markstrom. This hasn’t been the worst stretch that the Kraken has played , with 4 victories in 10 games, but it is hard to see them slowing that Calgary chuckwagon down. Grubauer has not played well since the break, and the offense will need more than their usual 2+ goals a game to have any success vs. the Flames. My biggest concern would be the Flames underestimating the Kraken, but with Darryl Sutter cracking the whip, that is unlikely to happen. Take the Flames to win on the puck line. |
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02-19-22 | Avalanche v. Sabres UNDER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 1 h 20 m | Show |
The Avs area known offensive force in the NHL, but seem to have tightened up their defense at this point in the season. Kuemper has been very strong in net recently, and the Avs have allowed just 5 goals in his last 5 starts, including two shutouts. The Sabres are 25th in offense, and have trouble scoring vs good teams. They managed just one goal against Colorado in their last meeting, and just a single vs the Senators in their last game.. Colorado is a huge favorite, even on the puck line, but has been so good on defense that the under has played 6 games in a row. The Avalanche have dominated the Sabres in Buffalo, and likely will tonight . Look for the Avs to win and with little output from the Sabres, the under to play again. |
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02-18-22 | Stars -145 v. Blackhawks | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
The Black Hawks were beaten up by Columbus, are beaten up by injury, and face a 7-3 Stars team, pumped after a big win against Colorado. Hawks are 30th in defense but will have Fleury back in net, which may help their cause somewhat. The Stars don't give away much to inferior teams, and have been much better on the road recently. The Stars are not yet out of the playoff picture, while the Hawks are just treading water. Off a loss, and on the wrong end of a back to back, I don't expect much out of the Black Hawks on Friday. Take the Stars to win. |
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02-17-22 | Blue Jackets +135 v. Blackhawks | Top | 7-4 | Win | 135 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
Columbus lost badly to the Flames on Tuesday, but who hasn't recently. The Jackets are still 6-2 in their last 8 games. They give up too many goals, but often outscore the opposition with a surprising offense, and have shocked some very good teams lately. The Black Hawks are not one of those good teams this year and are still missing their captain. Fleury can sometimes defy his age and hold them in a game, but he likely will not be playing on Thursday. The Black Hawks are 30th on offense, not much better on defense, and are going nowhere fast. For no reason I can determine, they are a considerable favorite against the Blue Jackets. It would surprise me if the underdog doesn't steal this one on the road. Take Columbus, at a very good value, to win. |
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02-17-22 | Blues -1.5 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Probably the most interesting question surrounding the Canadiens these days is “when will we see the return of the Hamburglar in net?” Likely not tonight, NHL trivia fans. The Habs, now minus Tyler Toffoli, and with a significant injury list, are in a sad state. It is very rare for a team to be last in the league in both offense and defense. The Blues are another matter. 5th and 7th in offense and defense respectively, they are in the mix for a playoff spot and cannot pass up an opportunity for a win here. Husso will likely start; a step up from Binnington these days. The Blues roughed up a couple of NHL bottom-dwellers in their last two meetings. Look for a third and similar outcome today. Take the Blues to win on the puck line. |
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02-16-22 | Ducks v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
A very hot Flames team is now 9-1 but play in a back to back situation tonight. Calgary has scored 5+ goals in their last 4 games, and have added another goal- scorer to their line-up. The Ducks are pretty average on the road, but lost to the Kraken in their first game back from the break. Look for a little extra motivation from them tonight, as they are still in the run for a play-off position in the Pacific division and the Flames are a rival. Their offense is just middle of the pack, but they are still capable of just under three goals-for on average. The time is now for the Flames, as they push into first place in their division, and I don’t think the Ducks or the back to back situation will slow their offense down. The Total has been over 5 ½ in 9 of their last 10 games. While the Under has historically figured between these two teams, today’s total is too low in this situation. Take the Ducks/Flames game to go over tonight. |
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02-15-22 | Blue Jackets v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Columbus held the Habs to a single goal, but other than that, their goals against average has been ugly. Calgary has won 8 of 9, with three shutouts in that period. The Flames are back to playing disciplined & balanced hockey and pummeled the Blue Jackets in Columbus 6-0 last time they met. Columbus can put the puck in the net, but will struggle to do so against the 8th rated and improving Flames defense. Calgary goalie Markstrom has been very hot and can be a game-changer . Columbus is a very poor road team this year. The Flames are a serious favorite and the odds reflect that. Take the Flames to win on the puck line -1 1/2. |
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02-14-22 | Red Wings v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
The Wild have really taken it to the NHL's lesser lights recently, winning by lopsided margins. Detroit has won 4 of 6, and the over has figured prominently, both in goals scored in their wins and goals allowed in their losses. Minnesota ranks third in offense against a struggling 26th ranked Red Wings defense and has manhandled the Wings when playing in Minnesota. Detroit is an out and out poor road team this season, but has scored an average of 4+ goals in their last 5 games irregardless of the outcome. The Wild are a legitimate favorite here, but the odds are very high. I'm wagering on the over today. |
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02-12-22 | Islanders v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 140 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The Flames really are on fire, winning 6 straight, averaging more than 4 goals scored a game in February, and with 3 shutouts in their last 7 games. Meanwhile the Islanders will play their 3rd game in 4 days on the road, and while a good defensive team, generally struggle to put the puck in the net. The Isles have a very hard time against good teams this year. Calgary is a force right now, has had good success vs. the Isles this season, and are making a run for 1st in the Pacific division. The Flames are a large favorite, but a very good bet at -1 1/2. Take the Flames on the puck line. |
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02-10-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
The Avs host the Lightning minus MacKinnon, who was a big part of a Colorado win the last time these two powerhouses met. Colorado has been dominant at home, but they face a very fine road team in Tampa Bay. The Avs have the firepower, even without MacKinnon, but their defense can be suspect. The Lightning have much better balance and superior goaltending. Neither team has played in over a week, a long enough break to favor the offense. These two teams have a history of high-scoring games when they meet. The Under figured prominently for both teams just before the break, but look for the “A” game from both teams tonight and that means offense. This is the lowest total we have seen in ages for the Avs. Take this game to go over. |
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02-08-22 | Golden Knights -114 v. Oilers | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
After a long and very poor stretch, could the Oilers have turned things around? They won 5 of 6 leading up to the break, including victories against Nashville and Washington. Meanwhile the Golden Knights, who are a very good road team, have been up and down in their last games. One point of note. Lehner who has been a disappointment in net for the Knights, is slowly edging towards respectability. Mike Smith is back in goal for the Oilers. This has been a lost season for Smith. It is now more than a month since he has played, and it may take him a few games to find his form. Both teams can put the puck in the net, and both defenses have struggled. The Oilers’ defense are now ranked 22nd for the season. I am yet to be convinced that the Oilers have completely turned a corner, and Smith is very much a question mark for me at this point. Take the Golden Knights to steal this one. |
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02-02-22 | Wild -154 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
The Wild have been a steady bet lately, winning 8 of 9, including a pair against the Blackhawks in back to back outings just 10 days ago. They are rested but not completely healthy, and can make up a little ground on the Predators tonight. The Blackhawks are just 1-7 of late, and are now missing their captain to concussion. 'Hawks' goaltender Fleurie was awful against the Wild last time out and has had very mixed success lately. Talbot has been sharp since his return. The Blackhawks are playing like a team headed for breakup at the trade deadline, and likely won't muster up much in the way of motivation heading into the break., The Wild have historically struggled in Chicago, but that was then, and this is now. Take the Wild to win. |
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02-01-22 | Panthers v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 102 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
A very potent Panthers offense lit up the goal light 8 times last night and 22 times in their last 4 games. They are playing on back to back games, are not quite as dominant on the road, and will be without Bobrovsky in the net tonight. Meanwhile, the Rangers are just 3-3 in their last 6 games and even with Shesterkin in net are averaging over 3 goals a game against. It will be hard to slow the Panthers down, even on the road, and the Rangers are down a couple of starting D-men. Look for lots of offense from both sides. The total is very high, but a high score has been the norm when these two teams meet. Even with the total at 6.5 goals, I am still wagering on this gamel to go over. |
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01-30-22 | Wild -123 v. Islanders | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
The Islanders are consistent, winning against the league’s bottom-feeders, and struggling against the higher-ranked teams. The Wild would have to rank in the latter category. They are a solid road team, and winners of 7 of 8, including the Rangers last time out. Talbot has missed some time but has been sharp in his last two outings. Sorokin struggled last time out, but has also been very strong this season. The Islanders are back to their usual defensive selves, but the Wild sport a potent offense, third in the league. Take the Wild to overpower the low-scoring Islanders today. |
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01-28-22 | Capitals v. Stars -120 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
The Stars are back home after a lengthy road trip. Dallas won their last four straight, all on the road. Previous to this stretch, they were a miserable 4-12 as a road team this season, so they’ve been playing surprisingly well lately. At home, it is a different story; they are a dominant 14-4 to date. The Caps are 3-7 in their last 10 games and the list of teams they have beaten in this stretch is unimpressive. They have also struggled badly this season when playing out on the west coast. Neither projected goaltender has been especially sharp. Samsonov has only played twice in the last two weeks and lost both games. I favor the Stars in this match-up. Dominant at home, they catch a Washington team at a low point and on the road. Take the Stars to steal this one. |
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01-26-22 | Blackhawks v. Red Wings -108 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
The Blackhawks have lost 4 straight and are a very poor road team this year. The Red Wings, for such a low flyer, are a very good home team and surprisingly successful in the rare games they are favored. The Wings are better on offense and well rested, with solid goaltending considering their position in the league. The Blackhawks are going nowhere this season, are likely facing the breakup of a once very proud franchise as we approach the trade deadline. Look for the Red wings to stay true to form, winning at home and as a favorite. |
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01-25-22 | Panthers v. Jets +1.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -161 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
The Jets have been struggling, losers of 4 straight, however they have faced 4 very strong teams, and lost by a single goal in each case. The Panthers are a different team away from home, and have been on a western swing for 10 days now. This is a great opportunity for the Jets against a road-weary Panthers outfit, who were knocked off by the Kraken just two nights ago. The Jets struggle to put the puck in the net right now (two goals a game for three games running) and likely face a tough act in Bobrovsky tonight. A Winnipeg win is possible but another close loss is a more likely outcome. Take the Jets +1 ½. |
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01-24-22 | Blues v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
St Louis has been a sharp 7-2 in January, but Binnington has been in the net for both of losses. He seems to have lost his luster this year, and had not played regularly in January. In the Flames net, Markstrom has had his moments, but has been off more often than on lately. Wins have been rare for the Flames in January with both offense and defense struggling. Not so the Blues, but they are on the wrong side of a back to back. The total is average today, and doesn’t accurately reflect the performance of the net-minders at this moment. Expect some goal production from both teams and take the over. |
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01-23-22 | Blues -150 v. Canucks | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
The Canucks are very short-handed on offense tonight, missing the equivalent of a top line due to Covid, and it is very unclear as to who is available in net. The Blues are healthy, 5th in the league in offense, 7th in defense and are 5-1 in their last 6 games. Binnington is not as sharp as in past years, and the over has been consistent in their games. The Canucks don’t score much at the best of times, but have held 3 top teams to 1, 1, & 2 goals in their last three games. I am confident that the Blues will win tonight, but with the uncertainty around the Canucks’ goalie situation, the margin of that win is in question. Pay the price and take the Blues to win. |