CFB 125 DIME GAME

The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bears are 29-12 ATS in their last 41 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Even without Russell, Baylor is still a talented team and probably better than Kansas State in terms of raw talent. That's why I'm taking the Baylor Bears at home here. Kansas State still has issues offensively and nothing comes easy for the Wildcats despite how well coached they are. Expect Baylor to rely on its ground game and grind out a victory on senior day. Also, Baylor doesn't lose often at home. I'll take the Bears here. 

GOLD GAME 100 DIME GAME

HIGH ROLLER 100 DIME GAME

Look for Iowa's defense to feed off of the energy of the home crowd under the lights. I like Josey Jewell to play the role of enforcer early on against Michigan's tight ends. His physicality and nose for the football are going to be the difference for Iowa on defense. When Iowa has the ball, the Hawkeyes' best chance is to play keep-away with a straight-ahead, methodical rushing attack that opens things up for Beathard on play-action. This is one of those games where if Michigan can't jump out early, the Wolverines may be in for an old-school Big Ten slugfest in front of the loudest crowd they've faced in quite some time. Look for a couple of Wilton Speight interceptions to be the deciding factor in the biggest upset of the 2016 college football season. 

INSIDE MOVE 100 DIME GAME

USC's season turned when Helton inserted redshirt freshman Sam Darnold as his starting quarterback in the fourth game. That was a 31-27 loss to the Utes, who scored in the final minute, but the Trojans have ripped off five in a row since then, winning four by at least 21 points. I like the momentum on USC, and expect this game to be won by a field gold.

CFB 100 DIME GAME

The Cornhuskers normally would get the edge at home. They’ve beaten several foes in Lincoln this season, including Oregon when we thought the Ducks were going to be good. The thing is, Armstrong Jr. was knocked out for more than 15 minutes and had to be cut out of his pads Saturday night. Sure, he was cleared and came back to the sideline but you have to imagine the concussion protocol is going to take a long hard look here. Can Mike Riley afford to put him on the field after that scary incident? Fyfe didn’t impress against the Buckeyes but there aren’t many quarterbacks that would have much success in that situation. Minnesota has a power run game and a stout defense. I like their chances to go into Lincoln and come out with a victory, especially if Armstrong is out of action.

CFB 60 DIME GAME

CFB 60 DIME GAME

HIGH ROLLER 100 DIME GAME

GOLD GAME 100 DIME

Both teams have matchups that decidedly favor their squad. The most obvious are advantages on the offensive side, so expect a classic, high-scoring MACtion affair.

Bowling Green quarterback James Morgan has a bright future ahead of him, and it gets a lot brighter if the Falcons can pull off this upset. The more experienced Akron should be able to score enough points on the struggling Bowling Green defense to keep the Falcons at bay, however.

According to my analysis, I have Akron winning 42-38

CDB 100 DIME GAME

The Cal Bears have proven adept at dragging teams into shootouts. Realistically, that's the only way the Golden Bears score this landscape-altering upset.

Davis Webb is one of the best quarterbacks in the Pac-12, if not the nation, and having his full array of receivers available will test the talented Washington defense. Cal will put up points, but Washington is more than capable of responding.

The two-headed backfield of Myles Gaskin and Lavon Coleman will run wild on the Bear rush defense, opening things up for Jake Browning to make some Heisman-highlight plays. His arm may not be needed too often, but it's one more weapon for Huskies head coach Chris Petersen to call on.

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 75 DIME MEGA MOVE GOW

Cal is still pretty much the same team it was in 2015. The Bears give up a lot of points, but they also score a lot of points. No, seriously, the only game they’ve played in which the opposing team didn’t score at least 30 points was against Utah (Utes won 28-23). In every other game Cal has scored at least 40 points (50 or more three times) and has given up 31 or more. To that end, USC will be prepared for that version of the Golden Bears.

I expect this game to be a lot closer. Both teams will put up some major points, and I like USC to pull the victory 49-38. Just to many points to be laying for USC.

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIME GAME

CDB 109 DIME GAME

CRB 100 DIME GAME

This is a must-win game for Miami to keep its Coastal Division title hopes alive, while Virginia Tech needs a victory to stay ahead of North Carolina. On paper, the two teams are relatively even and feature outstanding quarterbacks. However, the Hokies have played a tougher schedule, and the homefield advantage in Lane Stadium should be a factor. Expect a close game, with Evans and Ford connecting on a few key plays in the second half, while the defense gets just enough pressure on Kaaya to seal the victory. According to my analysis, I have Virginia Tech winning 30-27.

100 DIME GOLD GOY

Mississippi State isn’t playing well, but it’s still an SEC team with SEC talent. BYU is playing too well right now – Michigan State is still a Big Ten team with Big Ten talent. Watch out for the Bulldogs to fight a bit and keep this closer than some Cougar fans might like, but the Hill-Williams combination will be too good at home.

The Bulldogs defense struggled big time in the loss to Auburn last week. The Bulldogs are a very strong defensive team but you would not know it in their performance against Auburn, conceding 204 yards on the ground, and stopping the run is something they have had good results with. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are now allowing an average of 26.2 points per game, ranking them 60th overall.

I have BYU winning 31-28. Take the 7 points for today's winner.

CFB 75 DIME MEGA MOVE GOY

Fresno State has allowed 272.0 rushing yards per game this season, which ranks last in the Mountain West and 126th (out of 128 FBS teams) nationally. 

San Diego State’s defense has recorded eight interceptions in just five games. The Aztecs also have at least one sack in each game for a total of 12. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a 119.26 passer rating against this defense, which leads the conference.

The Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games however, are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

According to my analysis, I have San Diego St winning 42-13

HIGH ROLLER 150 DIME GOY

 the Ohio State defense has only given up two touchdowns and three field goals. All of the other points that the opposing teams have scored have come from an interception returned for a touchdown in the season opener, and a kickoff returned for a touchdown. Indiana comes into this game averaging 29 points per game, with Ohio State leading the nation in scoring defense (9.3 ppg). I'm expecting a blowout win here. I have Ohio St winning 49-10

BOOKIE BLOWOUT 100 Dime GOY

The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. TCU is not the same with Boykin gone. Oklahoma is coming off a bye week, and they are coming in fresh and prepared. According to my algorithms, I have the Sooners winning 34-17.

NO LOMIT 150 DIME GAME

100 DIME MEGA MOVE GOY

BYU has a hard-hitting defense and an offense that is feeling confident after significant improvement a week ago. Toledo is looking to make a statement that it is a player on the national scene.

BYU is in desperation mode to get a win. The Cougar fan base has made peace with the growing pains because they’ve faced Power Five teams through the first four games and have been competitive down to the wire in each of those contests. If the Cougars fall to a MAC team at home, the natives in Provo could become restless on the 2016 team.

The Cougars find a way to get their second win of the season, and the first home win for Kalani Sitake as BYU’s headman.

According to my analysis, I have BYU winning 21-16

CFB 100 DIMES STRIP CLUB GOY

The Cardinals get it done on the road here. The Cardinal are the tougher team in the trenches and will quiet the crowd early by running the ball a lot. Washington's defense keeps them in it right to the end but for 2nd straight week Stanford pulls out close win late. The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last Friday Games. According to my analysis, I have the Cardinals winning 24-17

CFB 100 DIME HIGH ROLLER GOM

Houston has a powerful offense and a stifling defense. Connecticut‘s offense has not been productive with quarterback Bryant Shirreffs throwing for just two touchdowns in four games, so the Huskies are in big trouble against a defense which has allowed only an average of 10.5 points through four games. Also the Houston offense has been outstanding, and while the Connecticut defense has good, they have not seen an offense as powerful as the Cougars. Houston was able to defeat a decent Cincinnati team by 24 points. Houston is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games after totaling more than 280 passing yards in their previous game, and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

According to my analysis, I have Houston winning 49-13

CFB 100 DIME INSIDE MOVE GOY

The Cardinal serve as the Bruins' proverbial glass ceiling, the one barrier preventing them from a chance at true greatness in what has largely been a successful run under head coach Jim Mora.   UCLA's sprinkling in of elements reminiscent of Stanford fits Mora's NFL background. It also suits Rosen and powerful running back Soso Jamabo. For the first time in the five seasons Stanford head coach David Shaw and Mora have shared the conference, UCLA looks to fight fire with fire, as it were. A defensive front seven that includes Eddie Vanderdoes and Jayon Brown has the athleticism to keep up with the Stanford run game, and the Bruins' deep secondary will make passing difficult for the inexperienced Burns.   However, UCLA may find scoring opportunities scarce. With Christian McCaffrey's explosiveness on both offense and special teams, the Bruins may be closer to Stanford than they have been in a while, but they have some ground still to cover in order to reach the Cardinal in the Pac-12 chase. 

The Cardinals have the upper edge in both defense and offense. UCLA front 7 is one of the big issues, and I expect the Cardinals to get through the defense. According to my analysis, I have Stanford winning 17-10

CFB 100 DIME GOW

Penn State’s offense has been clicking so far this season, but it’s not playing well enough to keep up with Michigan on the road. This will be the first real tough atmosphere McSorley faces this season, but the Nittany Lion offense should be able to put up a couple scores. On the flip side, Penn State just has too many injuries to stop a Michigan offense that’s putting up 53 points per game through three wins this season. If Penn State can keep it close, that’ll be a positive for this young team. According to my analysis, I have Michigan winning 43-17

CFB 100 DIME GAME

The Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing their previous game and 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

California has to be thrilled that their offensive looks similar to 2015’s version after having to replace QB Jared Goff and their top six receivers. The Golden Bears look like they’ll once again be able to put up many points with David Webb’s and their spread offense. San Diego State was a perfect 9-0 in Mountain West play last season and with basically all their main pieces returning on both sides of the ball, this is a team that could easily go undefeated this season. California will probably be a popular pick this week as many people probably don’t realize how good this San Diego State team, however, as I think the Aztecs will do a decent job in slowing down the Golden Bears offense while being able to score at will against California’s defense, I think San Diego State gets a double-digit victory at home in this one. 

According to my analysis, I have San Diego St winning 28-13

CFB 100 DIME GAME

he Wolfpack didn’t have much of a quarterback controversy after all. Third-year sophomore Ryan Finley, who started three games at Boise State last season, played a very strong game in his first start after winning a training camp battle with sophomore Jalan McClendon, completing his first nine passes and leading four straight touchdown drives. He finished 17-of-21 passing for 174 yards and showed good poise, which is quite impressive considering he didn’t arrive on campus until the summer. Tight end Jaylen Samuels had three touchdowns, and senior running back Matt Dayes rushed for 138 yards and two scores. Perhaps the offense ran so smoothly because Finley worked with first-year Wolfpack offensive coordinator Eli Drinkwitz at Boise State.

The Wolfpack are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September, and 8-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. NC State is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. 

According to my analysis, I have the NC State winning 34-17

CFB 75 DIME GAME

CFB 75 DIME GAME

CFB 100 DIMES HIGH ROLLER GOM

OREGON -7

TCU will have to make a decision to either go with Bram or Foster for the QB position.  Both these QB have very limited play time. I expect this game to be a BLOWOUT! According to my analysis, I have Oregon winning 39-16

CFB 50 DIMES GAME

Wisconsin hasn't faced a powerful offense like USC. USC has 360 since firing their head coach Sark. Today we are laying the money on USC. According to my analysis, I have USC winning 24-17

COLLEGE BOWL 100 DIMES GOY

TODAY'S WINNER: MISSISSIPPI ST -5

The level of competition is something the bookmakers don't really factor. NC State has done well against weak opponents, and have struggled against Conference Opponents.  NC State is just 3-5 against ACC Opponents this year. Mississippi St is lead by quarterback Dak Prescott who has established himself as the greatest player ever to suit up for the Bulldogs.

Prescott, who has completed 291 of 435 pass attempts for 3,413 yards and 25 touchdowns with only four interceptions while also leading the 8-4 Bulldogs with 541 rushing yards and ten TDs on the ground, is the driving force behind a Mississippi State offense that has averaged 33.0 points and 451.4 yards of total offense in 2015.

The Key in this game is the NC State weak secondary. Mississippi St. will be able to get through, and exhaust the defense. According to my algorithms, I have Mississippi pulling the victory 38-20. 

NOVA HOMES LOAN BOWL 100 DIMES GOY

Nevada secondary has struggled against high powered spread offense teams. I don't expect Nevada's defense to keep up with the tempo of Colorado St. high powered balance offense.   Colorado St. average 196 yards per game on the ground and 221 per game through the air. Colorado St. has many options to execute the plays from both the air and ground. Colorado St. had a very tough scheduled this year. They have tough losses against quality teams such as Boise St, Colorado, Utah St, Minnesota, and SDSU! Nevada's most embarrassing loss was Wyoming this year. Nevada has issues with the play calling! Nevada's coach transferred to another university right before the bowl game! I expect this game to be a blowout! According to my analysis, I have Colorado St winning 34-14

CFB 100 DIMES ST. PETERSBURG BOWL GOY

Marshall’s explosive offense averaged 32.6 points per game, while their defense gave up 18.4 points per game. Connecticut scored 17.8 points per game, while giving up 19.8 points per contest. Marshall’s offense will be too much for the Huskies to handle, and although they will put up a valiant effort, it will not be enough to tame the Herd.

Marshall is led by true freshman quarterback Chase Litton, who threw for over 2,300 yards this season while tossing 22 scoring passes. Having him take over in the third game of the season is the very reason why Marshall was able to springboard to this 9-3 record. Joining Litton on offense is a committee of players. Marshall lost leading rusher Devon Johnson, so three other backs have emerged to rush for over 300 yards each. That group is led by Hyleck Foster. At receiver, they have two guys over 600 yards and two other targets over 300 yards receiving. Davonte  leads that group. Just like UConn, Marshall’s defense has had a great year as they have allowed only 18.4 PPG while forcing 27 turnovers. 

According to my analysis, I have Marshall winning 27-16.

HAWAII BOWL 100 DIMES GOY

San Diego State defense has been stellar, and has turned it over just 12 times all season long going giveaway-free in five of the final seven games. On the other side, the defense has come up with 31 takeaways with three or more in seven games. This year, SDSU is 8-0 when forcing two turnovers or more, while Cincinnati is 124th in the nation in turnover margin giving it up 30 times with two giveaways or more seven times. Expect the Aztecs to put the heat on.

Offensively, the Aztecs should be able to run wild on a Cincinnati defense that’s allowed 200 yards or more six times on the year and should get rumbled over for long, sustained drives. This should be a good fit for the SDSU style – run, control the clock, rely on the defense, win the turnover battle. That led to a Mountain West title, and it should work in Hawaii. 

Cincinnati can’t really stop the run, and now it’s about to get hit with the speed and quickness of Donnel Pumphrey, a 5-9, 180-pound 100-yard machine who might be off to the NFL a year early after this. He wasn’t used enough against Air Force, but he still averaged 5.6 yards per carry with 90 yards in the Mountain West title win. Before that, he cranked out 100 yards or more in nine of his previous ten games as the key part to the whole puzzle. He’s fast enough to hit the home run, and tough enough to handle the ball 30 times if he has to. In a game like this, he’s going to be fed the ball over and over and over again. 

According to my analysis, I have San Diego State winning 27-20. 

CFB 150 DIMES EXECUTIVE GOY

San Diego St defense has been consistent in holding opponents to just 16 points per game. Air Force defense has struggled against the bigger spread offense teams. SDSU passing and run game is solid, and they a big threat.  SDSU secondary will stop Air Force passing game. Air Force defense looked sloppy against New Mexico, and Boise State. This game doesn't matchup well for Air Force, and I like SDSU to win 37-17

CFB 100 DIMES BOOKIE BLOWOUT

Head Coach Herman is 49-4 in his last 4 seasons. In 2014, Herman was awarded the Broyles Award for the Nations top Assistant Coach for Ohio St.  Houston has won 7 of 10 games by more than 7 points. According to my analysis, I have Houston winning 34-21

CFB 100 DIMES BOOKIE BLOWOUT

The Badgers defense has been tough this year. The Gophers have relied on their run game, and their star running back is out. The Badgers have held their opponents to just 12 points per game. The Gophers have been lucky in turnovers, but it won't matter much in this game. The Gophers defense is allowing 25 points per game. Take Wisconsin -2.5 points.

200 DIMES BOOKIE BLOWOUT GOY

OHIO ST +2

The Bookmakers are not giving Ohio St. the respect they need after their tough loss against Michigan St. Michigan is a good team, but they are not as nearly talented like Ohio St. Ohio St. plays like a pro team, and they have the right weapons from offense to defense.  Ohio St. is 6-2 ATS in the series, but 6 of 10 games have been heavy favorites. One thing about this line, the bookmakers want you to bet Michigan because Ohio St. is just  3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. The problem with that angle, is that have never been a 2 point underdog. Ohio St. has been a heavy favorite this year, and all those angles don't mean anything. Michigan has a great defense according to the stats, but not as talented as Ohio St. Indiana put up 41 points against the Michigan defense.

Ohio St. secondary is tough, and this is where i see a issue for Michigan. Ohio St. has a track record in pulling turnovers, and sacks. Michigan will get frustrated, and they will lag in this game. 

According to my analysis, I have Ohio St. winning 34-17. Lay the money on Ohio St.

CFB 100 DIMES ELIMINATION GAME PARLAY

TCU Football is getting to much credit. They are a good team, but no in the same league as Baylor. Baylor spread offense is tough, and one of the best. TCU is known for their defense, but they struggle against the bigger teams. Baylor is 7-3 on the over, which is a indicator that spread is in our favor. Baylor plays tough on the road, averaging 52 points per game. Baylor is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

According to my analysis, I have Baylor winning 38-28.

CFB 75 DIMES HIGH ROLLER EXECUTIVE GAME

AKRON -10.5

The Akron Zips have been playing quality football this season, while the Kent State Golden Flashes have gave up in conference play. The Golden Flashes have lost their last 4 games in a row, and they’ve been outscored 120-31 in that span. Kent State has been getting beaten by in-state rivals. They’ve lost their last 3 games against other Ohio teams by 27 points or more. I think Akron‘s Thomas Woodson has a big day as the Zipscoast to an easy victory on Friday.

The Kent State Golden Flashes have been on a slump losing another game last week, falling 27-14 at home on Nov. 18 to Central Michigan. They have only scored just 31 points in their four-game losing streak. The Golden Flashes allowed the Chippewas to score 17 points in the first 14 minutes of the game, and they could never recover. Kent Statehad trouble holding onto the ball against Central Michigan, losing two fumbles. The Flashes will have to be perfect against the Zips to stand a chance in Akron.

The Akron Zips are 5-2 ATS in Conference games. According to my analysis, I have Akron winning 37-14

CFB 100 DIMES EXECUTIVE GOY

SAN DIEGO ST -13.5

After starting the season 1-3, San Diego State has now won six consecutive games.  Their defense has done well in the last 5 games.  After surrendering over 30 points in three consecutive games, they have limited opponents to just 17 points during the 5 game winning streak.  The offense has looked sharp, thanks in large part to Donnel Pumphrey who has 12 touchdowns on the season and over a thousand yards on the ground already this year.  He is saving his best for late in the season as he ran for 140 yards on 29 carries in the Aztecs’ rout of Wyoming. He had some help from Chase Price who ran for 152 yards and two touchdowns. Not many teams have two running threats like Pumphrey (1,171 yards) and Price (723 yards). 

Along with being the better team, San Diego State gets UNLV at a good time. San Diego St is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 game and 5-0 ATS after a straight up win. UNLV comes off a disheartening loss against a team that they could have beaten.  You also have to consider, that San Diego State had thoroughly pummeled the same Colorado State team 3 weeks ago.  San Diego State also comes off a bye and has two weeks to game plan for the Rebels.  

According to my algorithms, I have San Diego St. 34-13. 

CFB 50 DIMES GOLD GAME

CFB 100 DIMES BOOKIE BLOWOUT

SAN DIEGO ST. -23.5

The Wyoming Cowboys just took another hit their squad. Their starting QB is out, and they will rely on their freshman QB who is just a baby! I would of felt comfortable with Josh Allen who plays second string! But he is injured as well. San Diego State is coming off a bye, and they are fresh at home. San Diego has a elite run defense, and I do know, Wyoming will attempt to keep this game on the ground. The Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. According to my analysis, I have San Diego State winning this game by 30 or more points.

CFB 100 DIMES EXECUTIVE GOM

CONFERENCE 200 DIMES GOY

MARSHALL +3

Marshall defense has limited opponents to just 16 points per game. Today they will face Middle Tennessee St who is surrendering 31 points per game. The line opened up at +2 Marshall with 65% of the public on this wager. The key in this game is the money line! The money line is closed in most books offshore. The bookmakers have shifted the line to +3 Marshall, trying to convince the public to put the money on a 3-5 team. Marshall is coming off a bye, and they are well rested and prepared. Marshall is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, and have beaten Middle Tennessee St. five straight games. According to my analysis, I have Marshall winning 35-23.

CFB 50 DIMES GOLD GAME

Tennessee gave a beaten to the Wildcats last year, 50-16 as Dobbs threw for 297 yards and three TDs. Kentucky quarterback Patrick Towles struggled with 168 yards and one INT. Kentucky recorded just 262 yards, while Kentucky wound up with 511 yards.

Last week, Kentucky struggled against Mississippi State, falling 42-16 to Dak Prescott and company. Prescott threw for three touchdowns with 348 yards and ran for 117 yards and three TDs in an unbelievable six touchdown performance. Towles struggled again with two interceptions, playing arguably his worst game of the season. He was replaced by Drew Barker, who threw for 42 yards and another pick. RB Stanley “Booom” Williams did rush for 95 yards on 18 carries to reach 1,000 yards this season.

Tennessee has a major weapons, especially on offense. They have more issues when it comes to fine tuning their defense., Tennessee surrendered 165 rushing yards and 248.3 passing yards per game. That’s just not good enough in an explosive SEC. Their defense did play very well against Alabama, limiting them to 117 rushing yards (including sacks), though Derrick Henry did rush for 143 yards and two scores. 

Tennessee is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games series. Lay the money on Tennessee -8.5 points.

CFB 50 DIMES GOLD GAME

CLEMSON -10 POINTS

Clemson has gave a beaten to every team with the exception of Louisville. Clemson has too many key weapons for the Wolfpack to compete with for four quarters.

 The Tigers’ offense is running on all cylinders, especially their ground game. NC State has a pretty good defense, but they haven’t seen an offensive attack like Clemson. 

Defensively, Clemson has the athletes to slow down the NC State rushing attack. Dayes would likely need a near 200-yard effort to pull off the upset.

Through seven games, Clemson is allowing an average of 14.3 points per game. The Tigers are also giving up 262.3 yards per game, which is the 4th least in college football. Clemson is coming into this game with major momentum, blowing out their last opponent 58-0, and being just a 8 point favorite to Miami. Lay the money on Clemson -10 points

CFB 50 DIMES GOLD GAME

San Diego St is averaging 27 points ppg, and limiting opponents to just 19 ppg. Today they will face Colorado St who is surrendering 27 ppg. San Diego is 5-0 ATS when the line is between 3.5-10 points. San Diego is playing great ball, and this line has great value.

CFB 50 DIMES GOLD GAME

Wisconsin defense has limited opponents to just 11 points this year, while Rutgers has surrendered 40 points on the road. The bookmakers have the total set at 51 points, and their is off balance in the spread. I expect a blowout of 28 points or more.

CFB 100 DIMES GOLD GOY

TODAY'S WINNER: PITTSBURGH +3

The Tar Heels have not faced any defense ranked as high this season. Pittsburgh plays a 4-3 defense, and is ranked 14th in the country. The Tar Heals are 6-1 this year, backed by ex Auburn coach calling the plays for defense. The Tar Heals are ranked 2nd in passing defense, but have only played teams, that like to run the ball. Pittsburgh has not thrown the ball more than 30 times in a game. They love the ground game, and have been successful at it.

Pittsburgh will beat North Carolina by rushing. They used this concept to take out South Carolina on Sept. 3; it's how Georgia Tech took a 21-0 lead on them Oct. 3. The feeling here is Pitt freshman running back Qadree Ollison will be able to gain yards on the 112th-ranked rushing defense, the Panthers' pass rush is far stronger, and Pitt is playing at home. 

According to my analysis, I have Pittsburgh winning 24-20. Lay the money on Pittsburgh +3 points

EXECUTIVE 200 DIMES GOY

This game money, especially when you can read between the lines. The public is 62% on the game, and the line up 1/2 point. Texas is 2-4 for the year, while Kansas St is 3-3. Kansas St is dealing with a lot of injuries, and they are coming 3 hard losses in a row. 

Texas has 2 backdoor covers with Cal and Oklahoma St. Texas was explosive in both games, and should of got blown out. The bookies where wrong about Texas, and should pay more attention to how they execute plays. Texas QB Jerrod Heard can play in and out of the pocket, and is not afraid to run the ball. Heard was successful against Oklahoma's defense, and should of beat Oklahoma St. 

Kansas St defense is weak, and surrendered 107 points in their last 2 games. They got blown out by Oklahoma, and their offense struggled with no points on the board. The true value is Texas at home. They are 7-3 ATS after a bye week at home, and 4-1 ATS when favorite 3.5-10 points. 

According to my analysis, I have Texas winning 34-20

VEGAS TIPSHEET 10 STAR GAME

Arizona St. is 6-1 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 points. Utah is 1-4 ATS when favorits 3.5 - 10 points. Arizona St has beaten Utah twice straight up in the past. The smart money is on Arizona St.

CFB 75 DIMES

CFB 100 DIMES PLATINUM GOY

Despite five straight wins to open the 2013 season, Missouri is still viewed as a weak opponent (first impressions, as they say, are everything). From the looks of things, Saturday’s contest is shaping up to play to all of Missouri's strengths and very few of its weaknesses. The Bulldogs’ skill position players are hurting, and the Tigers are excellent at creating turnovers. Georgia’s defense has given up a very un-Bulldog-like 32.2 points per game on average this year, and Missouri is scoring 46.6. All of these numbers scream “upset!” but can the Tigers actually pull it off? Georgia didn't look that promising against Tennessee, and their defense wasn't shining against LSU. Missouri's offense is tough, and well balanced. Missouri is 11-3 ATS on the road, and 17-5 ATS when playing on grass! This game will be within 3 points.

CFB 75 DIMES GAME

TODAY'S WINNER: ALABAMA -4

A&M hasn’t always been spectacular in a Johnny Manziel sort of way, but it’s been winning games through the air. As questionable as the Alabama secondary has been, it gave up 341 yards to Ole Miss and Chad Kelly, mainly because the Rebels got the dumbest of dumb luck big pass plays, and got another big pass off a quirky 2013 Auburn-like pass play. That’s not to make excuses – it all counts – but Kelly didn’t rip the Crimson Tideapart 

Alabama made Georgia’s Greyson Lambert look like, well, Greyson Lambert, and it did a great job against Arkansas QB Brandon Allen, who had been carrying the offense throughout the first half of the season. No, Wisconsin isn’t Green Bay throwing the ball, but Joel Stave and the Badger passing game have been solid so far. Alabama has faced decent quarterbacks and, for the most part, has survived. 

To win, Texas A&M has to run the ball, and that’s not going to happen against this NFL-caliber defensive front seven. 

According to my analysis, I have Alabama winning 31-17

CFB 75 DIMES GAME

TODAY'S WINNER: BAYLOR -21

West Virginia defense has been put in some tough spots because of the turnovers, the unit has not performed up to expectations, either. Through the first 3 games of the season, the Mountaineers were No.1 in the nation in points allowed per game at 7.67. In the last two games, the defense has allowed 77 points, or 36.5 points per game. With 10 starters returning from 2014, West Virginia was expected to have one of the best units in the nation, but that certainly has not been the case.

It’s the same old story with Baylor. With the best offense in the country, can the defense make enough plays if the offense struggles? Through the team’s first six games, the Bears’ offense is averaging 64.2 points, 725 yards and 357.6 rushing yards per game. While those numbers are certainly impressive, Baylor’s toughest opponent to this point has been Texas Tech who has a 3-2 record.

Baylor should not have any problems with the struggling Mountaineers. West Virginia has lost its best defensive player for the season in Karl Joseph and that should allow Seth Russell to have a field throwing the ball. The Mountaineers also struggle away from home which also gives the Bears another advantage. In fact, the 21-point spread might be too small, as I expect Baylor to get revenge on West Virginia on Saturday afternoon.

According to my algorithms, I have Baylor winning by 30 points.