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MLB Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
04-28-18	Reds +1.5 v. Twins		1-3	Loss	-145	5 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Cincinnati Reds +1.5. The Reds bats exploded for 15 runs in a Game 1 win at Minnesota last night. Cincinnati has now won three of five, and the Reds covered the runline in four of those five games. Sal Romano will toe the slab for Cinci, and he's been solid in his last two starts. Romano (1-2, 4.78) has allowed three earned runs on eight hits while striking out nine in 11 combined innings in a win over Atlanta and a loss to Milwaukee. The Twins hand the ball to Jake Odorizzi, who has failed to live up to expectations so far in his first season with Minnesota. The 28 year old has give up nine runs on 11 hits over 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts. What's even more concerning is that he gave up five home runs in those two games. The Twins have lost eight straight overall. Take CIN. GL, Jesse Schule
04-27-18	White Sox +1.5 v. Royals		7-4	Win	100	11 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Chicago White Sox. The White Sox picked up a win in the series opener in Kansas City last night, and they look good as a dog in Game 2. Danny Duffy will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he has struggled so far. Duffy (0-3, 5.26 ERA) was rocked for six runs on 10 hits over 4 2/3 innings in a loss at Detroit his last time out. He's 1-3 with a 7.77 ERA in his last four starts against the White Sox. Chicago will hand the ball to Reynaldo Lopez, who has been dealing in 2018. The 24 year old sports a 1.50 ERA in four starts, but the White Sox haven't given him any run support. That could change today, given that Chicago has hit .352 over a combined 179 at bats versus Duffy. Take CWS. GL, Jesse Schule
04-27-18	Braves +1.5 v. Phillies		3-7	Loss	-145	10 h 21 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves +1.5 The Braves will be an underdog on the road at Philly with their ace on the mound, and I'll take Atlanta plus the runs. Julio Teheran will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's coming off a solid performance. Teheran (1-1, 4.00 ERA) tossed seven scoreless innings, surrendering just four hits while striking out six in a home win over the Mets his last time out. He's 4-1 with a 3.45 ERA in his last five starts at Philly. The Phillies hand the ball to Aaron Nola, who is having a fine season in his own right. This will be the third time Nola will face Atlanta this season, and while he pitched well in the previous two meetings, the Phillies lost both games. Freddie Freeman was 3-for-4 with three doubles in Cincinnati yesterday, and he's hitting .316 lifetime versus Nola. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-27-18	Rangers +1.5 v. Blue Jays		6-4	Win	100	10 h 21 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Texas Rangers +1.5. The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five overall, and I like Texas plus the runs in Game 1 of this series in Toronto. Mike Minor will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and the lefty is having a solid season so far. Minor (1-1, 3.86 ERA) allowed one run on six hits, striking out six in 5 1/3 innings in a no decision versus Toronto his last time out. He allowed one run on two hits, striking out seven in six innings in a home win over Toronto earlier this season. The Jays will hand the ball to Marcus Stroman, who is still looking for his first win. The 26 year old was lit up for eight runs on five hits and four walks in 5 1/3 innings in a 9-1 loss to the Yankees his last time out. He allowed five runs on six hits and five walks in 4 2/3 innings in a loss at Texas earlier this season. Stroman allowed seven runs on seven hits in four innings in a loss in his only start against Texas last season. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule
04-26-18	Tigers +1.5 v. Pirates		0-1	Win	100	6 h 48 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Tigers +1.5. The Tigers and the Pirates split a double-header at PNC Park yesterday, and I like Detroit as a dog on the runline here in a matinee in Steel Town today. Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been better than his record would indicate. Fulmer (1-2, 3.47 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on eight hits over seven innings in a 3-2 win over Kansas City his last time out. He was lights out in his season debut, allowing one run on four hits in eight innings in a 1-0 home loss to the Pirates. The Pirates hand the ball to Ivan Nova, who was hammered in his only previous start in Steel Town. Nova (2-1, 4.20 ERA) allowed five runs on five hits over 5 1/3 innings in a home loss to Minnesota. Pittsburgh's lineup has hit just .143 over a combined 35 at bats versus Fulmer. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
04-25-18	Red Sox v. Blue Jays +1.5		4-3	Win	100	5 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5. The Jays took Game 1 of this series by a score of 4-3, and they look good as a home dog in Game 2. Aaron Sanchez will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's been pitching well so far. Sanchez (1-2, 3.86 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits over six innings in a 4-3 loss to the Yankees in the Bronx his last time out. He's 4-1 with a 3.98 ERA in 10 appearances versus Boston over the last three seasons. The Red Sox hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who is also pitching well. The left-hander allowed a pair of runs on three hits over six innings in a win over the Angels his last time out. He's 1-3 with a 5.67 ERA in his last seven starts versus Toronto. After starting the season like gangbusters, the Red Sox have scored a total of four runs during a three game losing streak. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
04-25-18	Padres +1.5 v. Rockies		2-5	Loss	-122	1 h 13 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Diego Padres +1.5 The Padres have won three of five games in Colorado this season, and they look good as a dog in the series finale at Coors Field today. Tyson Ross will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's coming off a real gem. Ross (2-1, 2.81 ERA) allowed a single run on a single hit, striking out 10 in 7 1/3 innings in a win over Arizona his last time out. He allowed three runs on five hits in six innings in a win over the Rockies in his season debut. The Rockies hand the ball to Jon Gray, who has been lit up lately. Gray (1-4, 7.09 ERA) allowed seven runs on eight hits and three walks over five innings in a home loss to the Cubs his last time out. His worst outing of the season so far came against San Diego, allowing seven runs on 10 hits in five innings in a home loss. \ The Rockies .227 team batting average ranks 26th in the majors. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule
04-22-18	Pirates +1.5 v. Phillies		2-3	Win	100	4 h 23 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5. The Pirates have lost three straight here in Philly, falling out of first place in the NL Central. I like Pittsburgh's chances of avoiding the sweep in the series finale this afternoon. Nick Pivetta will toe the slab for Philly, and he's been dealing so far this season. Pivetta (1-0, 2.49 ERA) allowed one run on five hits over five innings in a 5-1 win at Atlanta his last time out. While he's got great numbers, it's important to consider that his two previous home starts came against bottom feeders Cincinnati and Miami. The Pirates hand the ball to Trevor Williams, who is also off to a great start. Williams (3-1, 1.93 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits over six innings in a 2-0 home loss to Colorado his last time out. He's 2-0 with an 0.75 ERA in two starts on the road, wins at Chicago and Detroit. The Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 road games versus a right-handed starter. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
04-22-18	Twins +1.5 v. Rays		6-8	Loss	-170	2 h 56 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Twins +1.5. The Twins have lost the first two games of this series in Tampa, but they are still just a half a game out of first place in the AL Central. The Rays have a losing record at home, and are just 7-13 overall. I'll take Minnesota as the dog in the series finale at The Trop. Phil Hughes will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's a veteran of the AL East. Hughes makes his season debut, but word out of Minnesota is that he was impressive in his rehab starts. The 31 year old is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA in two starts versus Tampa since 2015. The Rays hand the ball to 24 year old Yonny Chirinos, who is coming off a rough outing. The right-hander was shelled for six runs on seven hits and three walks over 5 2/3 innings in a home loss to Texas his last time out. The Twins are 6-0 in Hughes' last 6 road starts. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule
04-21-18	Giants v. Angels -1.5	Top	3-4	Loss	-100	20 h 3 m	Show
10*
04-20-18	Royals +1.5 v. Tigers		3-2	Win	100	8 h 25 m	Show
This is a 7* play on the Kansas City Royals +1.5 (Game 2) The Royals have been stinking it up, coming into Detroit as losers of eight in a row. They have a favorable pitching matchup in the second game of the double-header, and I'll take KC plus the runs. Jakob Junis will toe the rubber for the Royals in Game 2, and he's been one of the few bright spots for Kansas City so far this season. The 25 year old is 2-1 with a 1.93 ERA, and one of those wins came against the Tigers. He tossed seven scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and striking out six in that game. This will be the fifth time he's pitched against the Tigers, and Detroit's lineup is batting just .190 against him over 42 at bats. The Tigers hand the ball to Daniel Norris, who is having trouble finding a spot in the rotation. He's 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA in two appearances, pitching a total of 6 1/3 innings out of the bullpen. The Royals have not been fooled by Norris, batting .302 over a combined 96 at bats. Take KC. GL, Jesse Schule
04-20-18	Twins +1.5 v. Rays		7-8	Win	100	8 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Twins +1.5. The Twins are an underdog in Tampa tonight, but the Ray's ace has struggled, and the Rays are already 11 games back in the AL East. I'll take the visitors plus the runs. Chris Archer will toe the rubber for the Rays, coming off a brutal beating in a home loss to Philly. He gave up seven runs on eight hits and two walks over just four innings in that game. He is off to a poor start with a record of 1-1, 7.84 ERA, and he was just 3-7 with a 4.27 ERA in his final 15 starts of last season. The Twins hand the ball to Lance Lynn, who is still looking for his first win. He tossed a gem in a no decision versus Houston his last time out, going five scoreless innings and striking out nine. The Rays haven't figured out Lynn, batting just .213 with 20 strikeouts in 61 at bats. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule
04-20-18	Indians v. Orioles +1.5		1-3	Win	100	8 h 19 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Baltimore Orioles +1.5. The Orioles return home after losing six straight on the road, but I like Baltimore as a home dog here against the Indians. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's been sharp despite his winless record. Bundy (0-2, 1.40 ERA) allowed three runs on seven hits, striking out six over 5 2/3 innings in a 3-1 loss at Boston his last time out. He's allowed just two runs on nine hits, striking out 17 in 14 innings in two home starts so far. The Indians will hand the ball to Trevor Bauer, who has been hit hard in previous meetings with Baltimore. Bauer (1-1, 2.25 ERA) allowed two runs on seven hits and two walks over seven innings in a 9-3 home win over the Tigers his last time out. He's 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA in his last two starts at Camden Yards. Manny Machado was 3-for-5 with two home runs last night, and he's 8-for-12 with three home runs lifetime versus Bauer. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-19-18	Blue Jays +1.5 v. Yankees		3-4	Win	100	6 h 24 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5. The Blue Jays are in second place in the AL East, 3.5 games ahead of the Yankees. They are a big underdog in Game 1 in the Bronx today, and I'll take Toronto plus the runs. C.C. Sabathia will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and the 37 year old is coming off the DL after missing time with hip soreness. He's allowed five runs on nine hits over nine innings, not factoring in a decision in a pair of losses in two starts. One of those was against the Blues Jays, and he allowed a pair of runs on five hits and two walks in five innings in a 5-3 loss. The Jays hand the ball to Aaron Sanchez, who doesn't mind pitching in day games. The 25 year old is 13-5 with a 2.89 ERA in 32 starts in day games over the last three seasons. He's also 1-1 with a 2.59 ERA in nine appearances versus the Yankees during that span. Giancarlo Stanton is just 2-for-35 (0.86) in New York. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
04-18-18	Royals +1.5 v. Blue Jays		5-15	Loss	-115	9 h 2 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the KC Royals +1.5. The Royals are brutal this year, coming into the series finale in Toronto as losers of seven straight. They blew a big lead in the second game of yesterday's double header, losing by a score of 5-4. I like their chances of avoiding a sweep here with a favorable pitching matchup this afternoon. J.A. Happ will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's pitched well in previous starts versus the Royals. He was 4-7 with a 3.36 ERA in 13 starts in Toronto last year, and 0-1 in two starts against Kansas City. The Royals hand the ball to Ian Kennedy, who has owned the Blue Jays. Kennedy (1-1, 1.00 ERA) allowed one run on seven hits in six innings in a home loss to the Angels his last time out. Prior to that he tossed six scoreless innings, allowing just four hits and fanning eight in a win at Cleveland. The Blue Jays are batting just .186 over a combined 86 at bats in previous meetings versus Kennedy. Take KC. GL, Jesse Schule
04-18-18	Orioles v. Tigers +1.5		5-6	Win	100	6 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Tigers +1.5. The Orioles come into Game 2 in Detroit as losers of six of their last seven overall, yet they are still a favorite on the road here on Wednesday. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for the O's, and he's been pretty pedestrian in three starts. His ERA is at 6.60, and he has always struggled early in the season. He's 2-3 with a 5.88 ERA in 15 appearances in the month of April since 2015. He was 1-2 with a 7.50 ERA in six starts last April. The Tigers hand the ball to Matt Boyd, who is off to a good start despite still looking for his first win. Boyd (0-1, 1.38 ERA) allowed just one run on three hits over seven innings in a 2-1 loss at Cleveland his last time out. The Orioles are really struggling at the plate, batting .215 (28th in the majors) so far this season. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
04-17-18	Astros v. Mariners +1.5		4-1	Loss	-100	9 h 49 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Seattle +1.5. I took the Mariners yesterday in Game 1 of this series versus Houston, and they managed to eke out a 2-1 win. That was against Astros ace Dallas Keuchel, and today they get a crack at a struggling Lance McCullers. The 24 year old was torched for eight runs on seven hits and six walks in just 3 2/3 innings in a loss to Minnesota his last time out. He's now walked 10 batters over 14 innings in three starts. The Mariners counter with Ariel Miranda, who has solid career numbers at Safeco. Good value here with Seattle as a home dog. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule
04-16-18	Astros v. Mariners +1.5		1-2	Win	100	12 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Mariners +1.5. The Mariners were on the wrong side of a pitcher's duel last night in the series finale versus Oakland, but they are still winners of four of their last five overall. They will be an underdog in Game 1 of a home series versus Houston, and I like Seattle plus the runs. James Paxton will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's still looking for his first win. The 29 year old was one of the best in the major last season, and he was 7-3 with a 2.45 ERA in 13 starts at Safeco. He was 2-1 with a 1.69 ERA in four starts versus Houston. The Astros hand the ball to Dallas Keuchel, who is winless in three starts. He's been roughed up in two starts on the road, giving up six runs on 13 hits and five walks over just 10 innings. He's 1-2 with a 5.29 ERA in his last three starts at Safeco. The Astros come to town as losers of four of their last five, and their lone win during that span came by a score of 3-2 versus Texas. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule
04-16-18	White Sox +1.5 v. A's		1-8	Loss	-160	12 h 0 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Chicago White Sox +1.5. The White Sox have lost six of their last seven, but Oakland has lost six of their last nine overall. Oakland is a sizeable favorite here in Game 1 at home, and I'll take Chicago plus the runs. Reynaldo Lopez will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's been dealing so far. The 24 year old right-hander has given up just two runs on four hits, striking out 11 in 13 innings in two starts. Oakland will hand the ball to Daniel Mengden, who has been hit hard in all three starts. He's been tagged for 10 runs on 12 hits over 11 innings in two home starts. He was 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three home starts last year. The White Sox have won eight of their last 11 at Oakland. Take CWS. GL, Jesse Schule
04-16-18	Rockies +1.5 v. Pirates		6-2	Win	100	9 h 1 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Rockies +1.5. The Rockies come into Pittsburgh as winners of four of their last five overall, taking three of four in a series at Washington. The Pirates are in first place in the NL Central, but I am a bit skeptical of their hot start. I'll take the Rockies plus the runs in Game 1. German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's still looking for his first win. Marquez (0-1, 4.97 ERA) tossed three scoreless innings, giving up just one hit in a 6-4 win over San Diego his last time out. The Rockies have won two of his three starts. The Pirates hand the ball to Steven Brault, who was roughed up by the Cubs his last time out. He allowed four runs on seven hits and a pair of walks over five innings in a 13-5 loss at Wrigley. DJ LeMahieu is among the league leaders with five home runs so far, and he's batting .412 lifetime versus the Pirates. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-15-18	A's v. Mariners +1.5		2-1	Win	100	8 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Mariners +1.5. The Mariners have won twice as many games as they have lost, while the A's have lost twice as many as they have won. Somehow Oakland is a favorite here in Seattle today, even with one of the best pitcher's in the history of the game going for Seattle. Felix Hernandez isn't the perennial Cy Young candidate he once was, but he still pitches pretty well at Safeco. The 32 year old allowed three runs on six hits over 5 2/3 innings in an 8-3 win over Kansas City his last time out. He tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings, allowing just two hits in a home win over Cleveland in his season debut. The Kings is 25-9 with a 2.60 ERA in 43 career starts against the A's. The A's hand the ball to Sean Manaea, who is 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA in seven career starts against the Mariners. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule
04-15-18	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers		2-7	Loss	-110	7 h 29 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. Arizona is sitting in first place in the NL West, and the Dodgers are last. LA is a big favorite today with Kershaw on the mound, but I like Arizona plus the runs. Zack Godley will toe the slab for the D'Backs, and he's allowed just one run through 14 innings in two starts. He has a history of pitching well against the Dodgers, with a record of 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his last eight appearances versus LA. Kershaw is still looking for his first win, and he's already been on the wrong side of a loss at Arizona. He pitched well in that game, allowing two runs on four hits and a walk, striking out six in six innings. The D'Backs tagged him for a pair of solo home runs, and went on to win by a score of 6-1. The Dodgers rank 25th in the majors in runs scored. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
04-14-18	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers		9-1	Win	100	8 h 6 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. I had Arizona as an underdog when Taijuan Walker made his season debut at home versus the Dodgers, and here is what I said prior to that game: "Taijuan Walker will toe the slab for Arizona, and he has had his fair share of success against the Dodgers. He was 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three starts versus LA last season. His splits also suggest he's better under the lights, as he's 24-18 at night and 4-10 in day games since 2015." He allowed three runs on eight hits over five innings in that game, and Arizona got the win. He's starting opposite Rich Hill here tonight, and Hill is 1-5 with a 4.78 ERA in his career versus the D'Backs. Walker was 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two starts at Dodger Stadium last year. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
04-14-18	Phillies +1.5 v. Rays		9-4	Win	100	5 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Phillies. The Sixers are all the rage in Philly right now, but the Phillies are quietly one of the hottest teams in the majors. They come into Tampa as winners of six of their last seven overall. Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for the Phillies, and he's making just his second start of the season. He allowed three runs on three hits over four innings in a no decision his last time out. He was 6-3 with a 2.28 ERA in his final 12 starts of last season. The Rays hand the ball to Chris Archer, who hasn't looked sharp so far. He's allowed exactly four runs on six hits in all three of his starts so far. He had a losing record at home in Tampa last season, going 5-6 with a 3.26 ERA. Tampa ranks 29th in the majors in both runs scored as well as team batting average. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule
04-14-18	Orioles +1.5 v. Red Sox		3-10	Loss	-145	12 h 47 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Baltimore Orioles +1.5. The Red Sox own an 11-2 record and they sit in first place in the AL East. They haven't had a lot of success against Baltimore's starter for today's game though, and I'll take the Orioles plus the runs. Alex Cobb is making his debut for Baltimore, but he's seen plenty of the Red Sox in the past. He's 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his last five starts versus Boston. He's also 2-0 with a 4.41 ERA in his last three starts at Fenway. The Red Sox hand the ball to Hector Velasquez, who has come out of the bullpen in his last two appearances. He allowed a pair of runs on three hits and a walk in two innings in a win against the Rays his last time out. The Orioles have won four of their last five at Fenway. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-13-18	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers		8-7	Win	100	9 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs. Arizona sits in first place in the NL West, 4.5 games ahead of the Dodgers. I like the D'Backs plus the runs here in Game 1 in LA. Zack Greinke will toe the slab for the visitors, and he has pitched well against his former team. He's 10-3 with a 2.22 ERA in his last 20 starts at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who was roughed up by Arizona last season. He was 0-2 with a 7.36 ERA in five starts versus the D'Backs in 2017. Ketel Marte was 3-for-4 in a win at San Francisco in the D'Backs last game, and he's 5-for-6 lifetime versus Maeda. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
04-13-18	Rangers v. Astros -1.5		2-3	Loss	-119	7 h 17 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Houston Astros -1.5. The Astros are coming off back to back road losses at Minnesota, but I like Houston to win big in the series opener at home versus Texas. Cole Hamels will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's been hit hard so far this season. Hamels (1-2, 5.06 ERA) allowed seven runs on eight hits and two walks over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to Toronto his last time out. The Astros hand the ball to Gerrit Cole, who has been dealing since joining the defending champs. The 27 year old has allowed one run on seven hits, striking out an incredible 22 batters in 14 innings while winning both his previous two starts. The Texas lineup has hit just 0.74 over a combined 27 at bats versus Cole. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
04-13-18	Blue Jays +1.5 v. Indians		8-4	Win	100	6 h 17 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5. The Cleveland Indians bring a five game winning streak into Game 1 of this home series versus Toronto, but I like the Jays plus the runs here. Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for the Jays, and he's coming off a rough outing. He was torched for five runs on six hits and five walks in 4 2/3 innings in a loss at Texas. He's had a history of success against the Indians, and he was 1-0 with a 0.66 ERA in two starts against Cleveland last year. The Indians hand the ball to Mike Clevinger, who is off to a good start. The right-hander allowed one run on 10 hits and two walks over 7 1/3 innings in a win over Kansas City his last time out. Needless to say, putting a dozen men on base is normally a recipe for disaster, and he's not likely to be so fortunate here against the Blue Jays. The Indians .189 team batting average ranks 30th in the major leagues. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
04-13-18	Brewers +1.5 v. Mets		5-6	Win	100	6 h 16 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Brewers +1.5. The Brewers took two of three in a series in St. Louis this week, and I like Milwaukee plus the runs here in Game 1 at New York. Zack Davies will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's coming off a solid outing, The 25 year old allowed one run on four hits over six innings in a no decision versus the Cubs his last time out. He's had a lot more success away from Miller Park, and he was 9-2 with a 2.04 ERA in 16 starts on the road last season. The Mets hand the ball to Stephen Matz, who has been hit hard in previous meetings versus Milwaukee. The 26 year old was 0-4 with a 10.38 ERA in five starts at Citi Field last season. The Brewers have won seven of the last nine meetings between the two teams. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-13-18	Rockies +1.5 v. Nationals		2-1	Win	100	6 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Rockies +1.5. The Rockies took Game 1 of this series in Washington by a score of 5-1, and I like Colorado plus the runs in Game 2. Kyle Freeland will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's pitched well despite losing both his previous two starts this season. The southpaw allowed three runs on seven hits, striking out five in six innings in a 4-0 loss to Atlanta his last time out. He was 5-3 with a 4.57 ERA in a dozen starts on the road last season. The Nats hand the ball to Tanner Roark, who was lit up in a home loss to the Mets his last time out. The 31 year old allowed five runs on five hits and four walks in five innings in a 6-5 loss. He allowed six runs on 10 hits and a whopping eight walks in 10 innings in two starts against the Rockies last year. The Nats are just 2-5 at home, and their team batting average of .233 ranks 17th in the majors. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-12-18	Rockies +1.5 v. Nationals		5-1	Win	100	8 h 23 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Rockies +1.5. The Rockies ended a three game losing skid with a 6-4 home win over San Diego yesterday, and I'll take Colorado as a runline dog in the series opener in Washington. Gio Gonzalez will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's off to a solid start to the season. The left-hander allowed a single run on six hits and three walks over 5 1/3 innings in a 3-2 loss to the Mets his last time out. The Rockies hand the ball to Chad Bettis, who has pitched well against Washington in his career. Bettis (1-0, 2.53 ERA) has allowed three runs on nine hits over 10 2/3 innings in two starts so far this season. He's 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts against the Nationals since 2015. DJ LeMahieu was 3-for-5 in last night's win over San Diego, and he's 2-for-4 lifetime versus Gonzalez. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-12-18	Tigers +1.5 v. Indians		3-9	Loss	-115	7 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Tigers +1.5. The Tigers are on the verge of being swept by the Indians in Cleveland, but I like their chances of hanging with the Tribe in the series finale. Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been sharp in his two previous starts. Fulmer (1-1, 0.68 ERA) tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings in a 6-1 win at Chicago his last time out. He won his only start against Cleveland last year, and that game was at Progressive Field. The Indians hand the ball to Trevor Bauer, who has also been sharp so far this season. The right-hander has only allowed three runs on eight hits while striking out 14 batters over 13 innings in two starts, but Cleveland lost both those games. He's 2-5 with an 11.22 ERA in six starts against the Tigers since 2015. Detroit's lineup is batting .333 over a combined 99 at bats versus Bauer. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
04-11-18	Padres +1.5 v. Rockies		4-6	Loss	-135	12 h 4 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Diego Padres +1.5. The Padres have won the first two games of this series in Colorado, and I like San Diego as the underdog in the finale this afternoon. Luis Perdomo will toe the slab for the Friars, and he's coming off a solid outing. He allowed one run on four hits over five innings in a 4-1 win at Houston. The Rockies hand the ball to German Marquez, who was roughed up in a home loss to Atlanta his last time out. He gave up seven runs on seven hits and six walks in just 4 2/3 innings in an 8-3 loss. Marquez was 2-1 with a 5.98 ERA in three starts against the Padres last year. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule
04-11-18	Astros v. Twins +1.5		8-9	Win	100	10 h 5 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Twins. The Twins are in first place in the AL Central, and I like Minnesota as a home dog versus Houston today. Kyle Gibson will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's coming off a pair of solid performances. Gibson (1-0, 0.87 ERA) has allowed one earned run while striking out nine batters in 10 1/3 innings in wins over Seattle and Baltimore. He was 7-3 with a 3.76 ERA in his final 13 starts of last season. The Astros hand the ball to Lance McCullers, who was on the wrong side of a 4-1 loss to San Diego his last time out. He was 3-4 with a 5.14 ERA in 13 starts on the road last season. Houston's lineup is batting a combined .183 over 60 at bats versus Gibson. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule
04-11-18	Braves +1.5 v. Nationals		5-3	Win	100	10 h 1 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves +1.5. The Braves have lost the first two games in the nation's capital, but I like Atlanta as an underdog in Game 3. Brandon McCarthy will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's off to a hot start so far this season. McCarthy is 2-0 with a 3.97 ERA with wins over Colorado and Philly. He's 7-2 with a 3.57 ERA in his last 15 starts in the afternoon. The Nats hand the ball to A.J. Cole, who was lit up in his season debut. The 26 year old allowed 10 runs on 10 hits and three walks over 3 2/3 innings in a loss in Atlanta to these very Braves. Freddie Freeman is 3-for-5 with a home run lifetime versus Cole. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-10-18	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Giants		4-5	Win	100	13 h 47 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. The NL West leaders Arizona are an underdog at San Francisco tonight, and I'll take the D'Backs plus the runs. Patrick Corbin will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been pretty solid so far. Corbin (2-0, 1.38 ERA) tossed 7 1/3 scoreless innings, striking out a dozen and giving up just one hit in a home win over the Dodgers his last time out. He boast an impressive 2.47 ERA in his last nine starts against the Giants. Johnny Cueto was supposed to start for the Giants, but it looks like a rookie will get the call up from Triple-A. San Francisco ranks 30th in the major leagues in runs scored. Take Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule
04-10-18	A's +1.5 v. Dodgers		0-4	Loss	-189	13 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Oakland A's +1.5. The A's come into LA after losing two of three to the Angels, and I like Oakland as an underdog in Game 1 versus the Dodgers. Sean Manaea will toe the slab for the A's, and the southpaw has been dealing so far. Manaea has allowed just a pair of runs on seven hits, striking out 11 over 15 2/3 innings in two starts. The Dodgers hand the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu, who struggled mightily in his season debut. He gave up three runs on five hits and five walks in an 8-7 loss at Arizona. Oakland has won six of the last seven meetings between the two teams, while the Dodgers have lost six straight when Ryu starts. Take OAK. GL, Jesse Schule
04-10-18	Padres +1.5 v. Rockies		5-2	Win	100	8 h 2 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Diego Padres +1.5. San Diego took Game 1 of this series by a score of 7-6, and I like the Padres plus the runs in Game 2. Joey Lucchesi will make his second career start, and he looked sharp in his major league debut. He tossed five scoreless innings, giving up just one hit in a no decision versus Colorado. The Rockies hand the ball to Tyler Anderson, who is coming off a win at San Diego. He tossed six scoreless innings, allowing just four hits in a 3-1 Rockies victory. Colorado has struggled at the plate, batting just .232 so far this season (22nd). Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule
04-10-18	Brewers +1.5 v. Cardinals		3-5	Loss	-140	11 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Brewers +1.5. The Brewers took Game 1 of this series in St. Louis by a score of 5-4, and I like Milwaukee as a dog in Game 2. Brent Suter will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's coming off a pretty rough outing. He was shelled for five runs on eight hits over just five innings in a home loss to the Cubs. He was better in his season debut, allowing three runs on five hits in five innings in a 7-3 win at San Diego. The Cardinals hand the ball to Carlos Martinez, who is coming off a win over the Brewers. Martinez tossed 8 1/3 scoreless innings, striking out 10 in an 8-0 win. He was roughed up by the Mets, giving up five runs on four hits and six walks in a home loss in his season debut. The Brewers have hit him hard in previous meetings, batting .291 over a combined 172 at bats. Take MIL GL, Jesse Schule
04-10-18	Astros v. Twins +1.5		1-4	Win	100	11 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Twins +1.5. The Astros have picked up right where they left off last season, winning nine of their first 11 games. They are a big favorite here in Minnesota tonight, but I like the home team plus the runs in what could be a pitcher's duel. Dallas Keuchel will toe the slab for Houston, and he's got better numbers at home than he does on the road. He allowed three runs on seven hits over six innings in a loss at Texas in his season debut. The Twins hand the ball to Jake Odorizzi, who will make his first home start for the Twins. He has allowed three runs on seven hits over 10 1/3 innings so far this season. Former AL MVP Joe Mauer is swinging a hot bat so far this season, batting .375 (.444 at home). Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule
04-10-18	Yankees +1.5 v. Red Sox		1-14	Loss	-185	7 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the NYY +1.5. The Bronx Bombers will be an underdog in Game 1 at Boston, and I'll take the Yankees plus the runs. Luis Severino will toe the slab for New York, and he's been dealing so far. The 24 year old has allowed two runs on six hits, striking out 14 batters in 13 innings in a pair of Yankee wins so far. He was 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA in four starts against Boston last year. The Red Sox hand the ball to Chris Sale, who has also looked sharp. A lack of run support prevented him from winning his season opener, and after two solid starts he's still looking for his first win. The Yankees are 7-2 in Severino's last nine road starts. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule
04-10-18	Braves +1.5 v. Nationals		1-4	Loss	-108	10 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves +1.5. The Braves are off to a solid start winning six of 10 so far. I like Atlanta as an underdog in Game 2 of this series versus Washington. Mike Foltynewicz will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's been pretty sharp so far. The 26 year old allowed one run on four hits, striking out eight in 5 1/3 innings in a 7-1 win over Washington his last time out. The Nats hand the ball to Stephen Strasburg, who has been hit hard in previous meetings with Atlanta. He was 2-1 with a 5.16 ERA in four starts versus the Braves last season. Freddie Freeman is batting .375 with four home runs and 13 RBIs in 40 at bats versus Strasburg. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-09-18	Braves +1.5 v. Nationals		0-2	Loss	-100	9 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on Atlanta +1.5. The Braves roughed up Max Scherzer last week, and I like Atlanta plus the runs here in Game 1 of this series at Washington. Scherzer (1-1, 1.64 ERA) allowed five runs on six hits and two walks over five innings in a 7-1 loss in Atlanta his last time out. It wasn't the first time the Braves got to him, he was just 2-2 with a 4.41 ERA in five starts against the Braves last year. The Braves hand the ball to Julio Teheran, who has really struggled in Atlanta's new park. He's been far better on the road though, going 8-3 with a 3.14 ERA in 15 road starts last season. He was dominant in three starts in Washington, going 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA. The Braves are 4-0 in Teheran's last four starts versus the Nationals. Take ATL +1.5 GL, Jesse Schule
04-08-18	Cubs v. Brewers +1.5		3-0	Loss	-135	6 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Brewers +1.5. The Brewers will look to salvage a split in the final game of this home series versus the Cubs, and I like the home dog in this spot. Chase Anderson will toe the slab for Milwaukee, and he was sharp in his first start of the season. The 31 year old struck out six, allowing just one hit through six scoreless innings in a win over the Padres. His second start wasn't as good, but it did the trick in another Milwaukee win. He's 3-2 with a 3.79 ERA in his last seven starts against the Cubs. Chicago will hand the ball to Jose Quintana, who is looking to bounce back after a rocky start. The lefty allowed six runs on six hits and four walks over six innings in a 6-0 loss to the Fish. The Cubs offense has been pretty quiet so far, ranking just 23rd in the majors with a .223 team batting average. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
04-05-18	Orioles v. Yankees -1.5		5-2	Loss	-118	7 h 23 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the NYY -1.5. The Bronx Bombers scored a whopping 18 runs in their first two home games, and another one sided victory seems likely here in Game 1 of this home series versus the Orioles. Masahiro Tanaka will toe the slab for New York, and he is coming off a solid season debut. He struck out eight batters while allowing a single run on three hits over six innings in a win at Toronto. He's 2-1 with a 3.48 ERA in six career starts versus the Orioles. Baltimore will hand the ball to Andrew Cashner, who was roughed up in his first start. He gave up five runs on six hits in five innings in a home loss to Minnesota. Most concerning was that the damage came on three home runs. The Orioles rank 28th in the majors batting just .185 so far this season. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule
04-05-18	Mets +1.5 v. Nationals		8-2	Win	100	2 h 58 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the #NYM +1.5. The Mets were brutal last season, but so far in 2018 they look more like the team that went to the World Series in 2015. They will be an underdog at Washington today, and I'll take the Mets plus the runs. Jacob deGrom will toe the slab for New York, and he was sharp in his season debut. He allowed one run on four hits, striking out seven in 5 2/3 innings in a 6-2 win over St. Louis. He was 3-2 with a 2.36 ERA in five starts against Washington last season. The Nats hand the ball to Stephen Stasburg, and he is coming off a win in his first start of the season. He allowed three runs on three runs on eight hits over 6 1/3 innings in a win over Cincinnati. The Mets have not been fooled by Strasburg, especially Jay Bruce and Yoenis Cespedes. Bruce is batting .364 and Cespedes is batting .533 lifetime versus Strasburg. The last five meetings in this series have all been games decided by just one run. Take NYM. GL, Jesse Schule
04-04-18	Phillies +1.5 v. Mets		2-4	Loss	-175	8 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Philadelphia Phillies +1.5. The Phillies were hoping to have vastly improved since last season, but we have yet to see any evidence of that. They have lost three of four games heading into Game 2 of this series in New York. The Mets have been impressive winning three of four, but I expect to see a pitcher's duel this afternoon, and I'll take the dog on the runline. Aaron Nola will toe the slab for the Phillies, and he was dominant in his season debut. He allowed one run on three hits over 5 1/3 innings in a no-decision versus Atlanta. The 24 year old was 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two starts versus the Mets last season. The Mets hand the ball toe Noah Syndergaard, who was not as sharp as expected in his first start of the season. "Thor" allowed four runs on six hits, giving up a pair of home runs in a win over St. Louis. He gave up five runs on seven hits in a loss in his only start against Philly last season. The Mets have lost five of Syndergaard's last six starts. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule
04-03-18	Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5		1-6	Win	100	12 h 9 m	Show
8*
04-02-18	Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5		7-8	Win	100	16 h 3 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. Arizona took two of three at home versus the Rockies, and the D'Backs will host the Dodgers in Game 1 of a new series tonight. The Dodgers are a favorite, but I like the home dog here. Taijuan Walker will toe the slab for Arizona, and he has had his fair share of success against the Dodgers. He was 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three starts versus LA last season. His splits also suggest he's better under the lights, as he's 24-18 at night and 4-10 in day games since 2015. The Dodgers hand the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu, who was clobbered this spring. Ryu allowed 13 runs on 23 hits in 15 innings in four appearances in spring training. He got rocked in two starts against Arizona last year, allowing seven runs on 11 hits over 10 innings. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .429 lifetime with a pair of home runs versus Ryu. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
03-30-18	Red Sox v. Rays +1.5		1-0	Win	100	9 h 43 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Tampa Rays +1.5. After beating Boston on Opening Day, the Rays will once again be a home underdog in Game 2 at Tropicana Field. David Price will toe the slab for the Sox, and he appears to be well past his prime. Price only made 11 starts last season, and was 4-2 with a 4.12 ERA in seven starts on the road. He's coming off a pretty solid spring, going 3-0 with a 3.25 ERA in three starts. The Rays hand the ball to Blake Snell, who was very sharp in five outings this spring. He struck out 27 batters in just 17 innings of work, posting an ERA of 3.12 and a 1.04 WHIP. After a winless first half last season, the 25 year old was 5-2 with a 3.49 ERA in his final 14 starts of the 2017 season. The Rays are 8-3 in Snell's last 11 starts. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule
03-29-18	White Sox +1.5 v. Royals		14-7	Win	100	26 h 51 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Chicago White Sox +1.5. The Kansas City Royals will be a heavy favorite at home versus the White Sox on Opening Day, but my money is on the underdog. James Shields will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's quite familiar with the Royals. He pitched for Kansas City in 2013 and 2014. He's had plenty of success pitching against the Royals, with a career record of 7-2 with a 4.05 ERA. The Royals hand the ball to Danny Duffy, despite the left-hander being bothered by a sore shoulder recently. Duffy struggled this spring, allowing 16 runs on 19 hits over 15 innings over five starts. The White Sox really roughed him up last year, he was 1-3 with a 7.77 ERA in four starts versus Chicago. The Royals are 5-5 in their last 10 versus Chicago, but three of those five wins came in one run ball games. Take CWS. GL, Jesse Schule
03-29-18	Phillies v. Braves +1.5		5-8	Win	100	26 h 47 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves +1.5. The Braves open the season at home versus Philly, and the visitors are actually a slight favorite. Julio Teheran will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's coming off a stellar spring. The Braves are 8-3 in Teheran's last 11 starts versus the Phillies. The right-hander is 5-3 with a 3.72 ERA in his last 11 starts versus the Phillies. Philadelphia will hand the ball to Aaron Nola, who has better numbers in Philly than he does on the road. He was just 3-6 with a 4.24 ERA in 13 starts on the road last year. He hasn't been able to stop Freddie Freeman, the Braves first baseman is batting .375 against him. The Braves have won four of the last five meetings in this series, and the Phillies are just 1-5 in Nola's last six road starts. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
03-29-18	Cardinals +1.5 v. Mets		4-9	Loss	-165	23 h 47 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals +1.5. The Cardinals will play at Citi Field on Opening Day, and they will be an underdog against Mets ace Noah Syndergaard. Thor (as he is known) has been impressive this spring. He's pitched quite well in previous starts against the Cardinals, but he's 0-2 with a 2.77 ERA against them since 2015. Once again he could struggle to get any kind of run support from his teammates. Carlos Martinez will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he has pitched well against the Mets. He's 3-2 with a 2.86 ERA versus New York over the last three seasons, but during that time he was 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA at Citi Field. The Mets are hoping to bounce back from a disastrous 2017 season, but if their play in the Grapefruit League is any indication, they might be even worse. They ranked dead last with a record of 10-18 and a -28 run differential. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule
11-01-17	Astros +1.5 v. Dodgers	Top	5-1	Win	100	16 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Houston Astros +1.5. It seems like this series was destined to go seven games, and the only thing more exciting than a Game 7, would be extra-innings in Game 7. Don't be surprised if it takes extra-innings to decide tonight's game in LA. In what I expect to be a close game, I'll take the value on Houston plus the runs. Lance McCullers will toe the slab for the Astros, and he's been solid this post-season. He was the winner in Game 3, allowing three runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings. His ERA of 2.95 in four post-season appearances is pretty respectable. The Dodgers hand the ball to Yu Darvish, who was rocked in Game 3. He gave up four runs on six hits, getting the hook in just the second inning. The Dodgers bullpen has struggled, and they used Kenley Jansen for a six out save last night, so he may not be available for Game 7. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
10-21-17	Yankees +1.5 v. Astros		0-4	Loss	-178	11 h 44 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the NYY. The Bronx Bombers will play another Game 7 here in Houston, and they turn to the same veteran Southpaw who pitched in Game 7 at Cleveland in the ALDS. C.C. Sabathia has been extremely sharp this post-season, and he shutout the Astros through six innings in Game 3 in New York. The left-hander doesn't mind pitching on the road, he was 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA in 14 starts away from the Bronx during the regular season. The Astros hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who was rocked in Game 3, taking the loss opposite Sabathia. He allowed seven runs on six hits and two walks over just 3 2/3 innings in that game. He wasn't a whole lot better in the series versus Boston, allowing a pair of runs on seven hits and two walks over 4 1/3 innings in a no decision. The Yankees have to love seeing Morton in Game 7, they are batting .327 with seven home runs and 27 RBIs over a combined 113 at bats against him in past meetings. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule
10-07-17	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers	Top	5-8	Loss	-170	11 h 30 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. Arizona was due for a let down after their emotional Wild Card Game win over Colorado. Sure enough they went down 4-0 in the first inning in Game 1 against the Dodgers, and went on to lose by a score of 9-5. There are plenty of positives to take away from that game though, as the bats scored four runs on Clayton Kershaw and tagged Kenley Jansen for a run in the ninth. They should be in good shape if they can get a solid performance from Robbie Ray tonight. Ray (15-5, 2.89 ERA) was 8-1 with a 1.86 ERA in 15 starts on the road this season. He owned the Dodgers, going 3-0 with a 2.27 ERA in five starts. The Dodgers hand the ball to Rich Hill, who struggled against the D'Backs this season. He was 0-3 with a 5.01 ERA in four starts versus Arizona this season. Prior to Game 1, the D'Backs had swept the Dodgers in back to back three game series. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
10-06-17	Cubs +1.5 v. Nationals		3-0	Win	100	9 h 35 m	Show
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Cubs +1.5. The Cubs finished the season strong, winning eight of their final 11 games. Two of the three losses during that span came in games decided by one run. I expect a pitcher's duel, and a close Game 1 here in the nation's capital. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he proved he can perform in the post season by going 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA in last year's playoffs. He allowed four runs, while striking out 19 batters over 25 1/3 innings in five appearances. He was far better in the second half of this season than he was in the first half. Hendricks went 3-2 with a 2.19 ERA in 13 starts after the All Star break. Stephen Strasburg was unhittable in the second half of the season, but the Cubs have gotten to him in the past. Jason Heyward is batting .405 over a career 37 at bats versus Strasburg. Four of the last eight games between these two teams have been decided by a single run. Take CHC. GL, Jesse Schule
10-03-17	Twins +1.5 v. Yankees		4-8	Loss	-105	43 h 29 m	Show
V This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Twins +1.5. The Twins finished the season strong, winning seven of their last 10 overall. Five of those wins came on the road. The Yankees fell just short of catching Boston for first place in the AL East, and now they host the Twins in the AL Wild Card game. Ervin Santana will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's been great on the road this season. The veteran is 10-3 with a 2.71 ERA in 17 road starts in 2017. He pitched well in New York a few weeks ago, allowing just runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings in a 2-1 loss. The Yankees hand the ball to 23 year old Luis Severino, who hasn't pitched as well at home as he has on the road. His only start against the Twins didn't go well, he was rocked for three runs on five hits in just three innings. The Bronx Bombers have lost five straight playoff games, and four of their last five post-season games at Yankee Stadium. Take MINNY +1.5. GL, Jesse Schule
09-12-17	Braves +1.5 v. Nationals		8-0	Win	100	8 h 55 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Braves +1.5. The Nats have played four straight one-run ballgames, and seven of their last 10 games have been decided by one run. We should expect a pitcher's duel in the nation's capital tonight, and I like the Braves plus the runs. Julio Teheran will toe the slab for the Braves, and he's been sharp on the road all season. He's 7-2 with a 3.09 ERA in 13 starts on the road, and he's 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts against Washington. He's won twice at National's Park, allowing just two runs in those games. The Nats hand the ball to Gio Gonzalez, who has been deadly at home. He's 4-2 with a 1.87 ERA in 13 home starts, but he's 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in two starts against the Braves this season. Atlanta is 8-3 in Teheran's last 11 starts on the road, and the under is 5-0-1 in his last six starts versus a team with a winning record. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule
09-07-17	Cubs v. Pirates +1.5		8-2	Loss	-140	9 h 40 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5. The Cubs scored the winning run in the top of the ninth inning last night, ending Pittsburgh's four game winning streak with a 1-0 victory at PNC Park. I like the Pirates to bounce back in the rubber match of this three game series tonight. Jon Lester will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's been lit up in three starts against Pittsburgh this season. He failed to make it out of the first inning, surrendering 10 runs on six hits and three walks in a 14-3 home loss to the Pirates the last time he faced them. He was rocked for six runs on 10 hits and three walks in 5 2/3 innings in a loss at Pittsburgh. The Pirates hand the ball to Jameson Taillon, who has pitched well against the Cubs. He's won back to back starts, allowing just one earned run while striking out eight in 10 innings in those games. He's 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in two meetings versus the Cubs this season. The Cubs are 0-4 in Lester's last four starts versus the Pirates. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
09-06-17	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers		3-1	Win	100	10 h 37 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs. The hottest team in the league will be gunning for a sweep in LA tonight, and my money is on the D'Backs as an underdog on the runline. Taijuan Walker will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been dealing of late. The 25 year old tossed five scoreless innings, striking out 10 in a win at Colorado his last time out. He allowed one run on four hits, striking out seven in five innings in a win at Dodger Stadium earlier this season. The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who has been hit hard in previous starts versus Arizona. The 29 year old was lit up for seven runs on eight hits in just three innings in a loss at Arizona his last time out. He's 0-2 with a 9.53 ERA in four starts against the D'Backs this season. Arizona has hit a total of nine home runs, while batting .265 over a combined 147 at bats against Maeda. Take ARI +1.5. GL, Jesse Schule
09-04-17	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers		13-0	Win	100	14 h 8 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs +1.5. Arizona takes a 10 game winning streak into LA, and will be the underdog in Game 1 versus the Dodgers. Robbie Ray will toe the slab for the D'Backs, and he's coming off back to back wins. He allowed just two runs on six hits, striking out 19 batters in 11 2/3 innings in those games. One of those was a home win over the Dodgers, and he's 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in four starts against the Dodgers this season. LA will hand the ball to Rich Hill, who has been roughed up since pitching a near perfect game, and near no-hitter versus Pittsburgh. The 37 year old was torched for six runs on eight hits over 3 2/3 innings in a loss to Arizona his last time out. He's 0-2 with a 5.93 ERA in three starts against the D'Backs this year. Arizona has won six of Ray's last eight starts on the road. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
09-04-17	Cardinals v. Padres +1.5		2-0	Loss	-120	10 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Diego Padres +1.5. The Padres have won five of their last six, and they have a solid winning record at home. I like the Friars as a home dog in Game 1 versus the Cardinals. Luis Perdomo will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's coming off back to back wins. One of those was against St. Louis, allowing a pair of runs on seven hits over six innings in a 4-3 win at Busch Stadium. The 24 year old is 5-3 with a 4.80 ERA in 13 starts at PETCO this season. The Cardinals hand the ball to Carlos Martinez, who hasn't lived up to expectations in St. Louis. He's coming off back to back losses, allowing eight runs on 17 hits over 12 2/3 innings in losses to San Diego and Milwaukee. He's 4-7 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 starts on the road in 2017. The Padres are 6-2 in their last eight home games when Perdomo starts. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule
09-03-17	Red Sox v. Yankees +1.5	Top	2-9	Win	100	12 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the New York Yankees +1.5. The battle for the AL East isn't over yet. The Red Sox have lost two of three here in the Bronx, and I like the Yankees in the series finale. Chris Sale will toe the rubber for the Red Sox, and he has a history of fading late in the season. He is coming off a pair of losses in his last three starts, and the Red Sox will hope that all those innings haven't taken their toll on his arm. Over the last three seasons Sake is 3-7 with a 3.84 ERA in 14 September starts. The Yankees hand the ball to youngster Luis Severino, who has owned the Red Sox. Boston's lineup has hit .239 with more strikeouts than hits over a combined 117 at bats versus the 23 year old. The Red Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 games in the Bronx, and yet they come in as a favorite here on Sunday night. Take NYY. GL, Jesse Schule
08-25-17	Giants v. Diamondbacks -1.5		3-4	Loss	-105	10 h 26 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Arizona D'Backs -1.5. The D'Backs return home after taking three of four in a series in New York. I like Arizona as a big favorite in Game 1 of a home series versus San Francisco. \Zack Greinke will toe the slab for the D'Backs, and he's having a phenomenal year. The veteran allowed five runs on seven hits in four innings in a loss at Minnesota his last time out, but he's 11-1 with a 2.34 ERA in 14 home starts in 2017. His last home start was a 2-0 win over Houston, tossing 6 2/3 scoreless innings and striking out nine batters. The Giants hand the ball to Ty Blach, who has been roughed up in his last two starts. The 26 year old has allowed a dozen runs on 17 hits over 11 1/3 innings in back to back losses. He's 3-4 with a 5.50 ERA in 12 appearances on the road. San Francisco has lost four of Blach's last five road starts. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
08-24-17	Nationals +1.5 v. Astros		5-4	Win	100	8 h 0 m	Show
8*
08-23-17	Nationals +1.5 v. Astros		1-6	Loss	-120	26 h 60 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Washington Nationals. The Nats took Game 1 of this series in Houston, and they are a big underdog in Game 2. With Dallas Keuchel pitching in the series finale, this looks like a bit of a look ahead spot for the Astros. Edwin Jackson will toe the slab for the Nats, and he's been great for Washington. The veteran is 4-2 with a 3.42 ERA in six starts since joining the club. He's held opponents to one run or less in three of his last four starts. The Astros hand the ball to Mike Fiers, who is winless in his last five starts. He allowed three runs on seven hits and two walks, surrendering a pair of home runs in a 4-0 home loss to Arizona his last time out. He's allowed multiple home runs in each of his last four starts. Houston has just one more win that Washington, and this price seems a little out of hand. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule
08-23-17	Brewers +1.5 v. Giants		2-4	Loss	-165	22 h 36 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Brewers +1.5. The Brewers trail the Cubs by just 2.5 games in the NL Central, and they came into this series at San Francisco as winners of seven of eight. I like the Brew Crew as a dog with Matt Garza on the mound in a matinee Wednesday. Garza (6-7, 4.81 ERA) was lit up in a loss at Colorado his last time out. This looks like a far better spot for the veteran, he's been far better in day games than he has been under the lights. He allowed one run on eight hits, striking out five in four innings in a no decision in his last start in San Francisco. The Giants hand the ball to southpaw Matt Moore, who has had a terrible season. He allowed a pair of runs on two hits and four walks over seven innings in a home win over Philly his last time out, but had lost four straight starts prior to that. Only the lowly Phillies have scored fewer runs against rigth-handed pitchers than the Giants in 2017. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
08-23-17	A's v. Orioles -1.5		7-8	Loss	-105	2 h 30 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Baltimore Orioles. Oakland has earned a split here in the first two games at Camden Yards, but I like the O's in the series finale Wednesday. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's on a roll. The 24 year old has allowed five runs on 12 hits, striking out a whopping 20 batters in 13 innings in his last two starts. He allowed three runs on seven hits, striking out 10 batters in six innings in a win at Oakland earlier this season. The A's hand the ball to Daniel Gosset, who steps up to replace Sean Manaea. Gosset owns a 6.37 ERA in six appearances in day games this season. Baltimore has the best home record in the AL East. Take BAL. GL, Jesse Schule
08-22-17	Dodgers v. Pirates +1.5		8-5	Loss	-160	25 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5. The Dodgers are by far the best team in the major leagues, but at this point in the regular season, the wins don't mean quite as much for LA. With a comfortable lead in the standings, this is the time of year that the Dodgers need to think about resting veteran players and going into the post-season healthy. They are a favorite on the road at Pittsburgh Tuesday, and I like the Pirates in this spot. Jameson Taillon will toe the slab for Pittsburgh, and he's pitched reasonably well of late. The right-hander allowed four runs on seven hits over five innings in a no decision versus St. Louis his last time out. Prior to that he had allowed four runs on 11 hits, striking out 15 in 12 1/3 innings in back to back wins. The Dodgers hand the ball to Brock Stewart, who has worked primarily out of the bullpen. He's been torched for nine runs on 11 hits over nine innings in his last three appearances. Prior to this series, the Dodgers had lost eight of their previous nine at PNC Park. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
08-20-17	Phillies v. Giants -1.5		5-2	Loss	-100	4 h 9 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Giants. The Giants have taken two of three games in this home series versus Philly, and I like San Fran in the series finale Sunday. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for the Giants, and he's coming off back to back wins. Mad Bum allowed four runs on nine hits over six innings in a 9-4 win at Miami his last time out. He gave up just one run on five hits, striking out seven in seven innings in a home win over the Cubs prior to that. He's 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his last six starts versus the Phillies. Philly will hand the ball to Ben Lively, who has appeared in six straight losses. The 25 year old was tagged for four runs on five hits in four innings in a 5-2 home loss to the Pirates his last time out. He's 0-3 with a 4.21 ERA in four starts on the road. The Phillies have lost nine of their last 11 at San Francisco. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule
08-18-17	A's v. Astros -1.5	Top	1-3	Win	100	24 h 35 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Houston Astros. Houston split a home and home series versus Arizona this week, but I like the Astros in Game 1 of a home series versus Oakland on Friday. Dallas Keuchel will toe the slab for Houston, and he's coming off another dominant performance. He allowed one run on six hits, striking out seven in 6 2/3 innings in a 2-1 win over Texas his last time out. He's 4-1 with a 1.59 ERA in six home starts this season, and 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA in two starts versus Oakland. The A's hand the ball to Sean Manaea, who has been torched for 18 runs on 21 hits over 6 2/3 innings in his last three appearances. He won at Minute Maid Park earlier this year, but was quite lucky that nine hits and three walks over 5 2/3 innings resulted in just one run. The Astros have won seven of the last eight meetings between the two teams, and all seven of those wins came by at least two runs. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule
08-12-17	Red Sox +1.5 v. Yankees		10-5	Win	100	6 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Red Sox +1.5. The Yankees took Game 1 of this home series versus Boston by a score of 5-4, and I expect another close game this afternoon. Drew Pomeranz will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's having a career year. He's allowed two runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts, and one run or less in six of those games. He's 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA in 10 starts on the road this season, and 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA in two starts versus the Yankees. The Bronx Bombers hand the ball to Luis Severino, who has won six straight starts. He's owned the Red Sox this year, but he was 0-2 with a 7.30 ERA in three appearances versus Boston last year. The Yankees rank 24th in the majors in runs scored since the All Star break. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule
08-11-17	Padres v. Dodgers -1.5		4-3	Loss	-125	4 h 54 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the LAD -1.5. The Dodgers are a 3-1 home favorite against San Diego tonight, and this one looks like quite a mismatch. Clayton Richard will toe the slab for the Padres, and the Dodgers have punished him already this season. He's winless in his last nine starts, and 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA in three starts versus LA. He's 0-3 with a 7.06 ERA in his last five starts. The Dodgers will hand the ball to Rich Hill, who is 3-0 with a 2.86 ERA since the All Star break. He's 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA in two previous starts against the Padres. Will Myers is really struggling, batting just .176 in August. He's 1-for-8 with five strikeouts lifetime versus Hill. Take LAD. GL, Jesse Schule
08-11-17	Reds v. Brewers -1.5		11-10	Loss	-100	3 h 53 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers will try to snap a five game losing streak in Game 1 of a home series versus the Reds, and I like their chances with a red hot pitcher on the mound. Jimmy Nelson will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he's having a career year. Nelson (9-5, 3.24 ERA) allowed one run on six hits, striking out nine in eight innings in a 2-1 loss at Tampa his last time out. He's 5-3 with a 2.43 ERA in 11 home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in two starts versus the Brewers this year. The Red hand the ball to Homer Bailey, who has been just hammered since returning to Cinci. Bailey (3-6, 8.86 ERA) gave up 10 runs on 10 hits and four walks in just 3 1/3 innings in a home loss to St. Louis his last time out. The Brewers tagged him for six runs on six hits and three walks in just three innings the last time he faced them. Milwaukee is batting .333 with a five home runs and 16 RBIs over a combined 63 at bats in previous meetings versus Bailey. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule
08-08-17	Dodgers v. Diamondbacks +1.5		3-6	Win	100	6 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs. The Dodgers are the best team in baseball, but I don't think they should be a favorite on the road at Arizona. The D'Backs are 36-18 at home, which is one of the best home records in the majors. Zack Godley will toe the slab for the home team, and he's quietly been one of the best pitchers in the majors this season. He's coming off back to back shutouts in wins over the Cubs and the Cardinals, and he pitched well in his only start against the Dodgers this season. He allowed one run on three hits, striking out six in 5 2/3 innings, taking a tough luck loss against LA earlier in the year. The Dodgers hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who is 0-1 with a 10.00 ERA in two starts versus Arizona this season. He gave up four home runs in his last start at Chase Field. LA has lost four of Maeda's last five road starts versus teams with a winning record. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
08-05-17	White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5		1-4	Win	100	6 h 35 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Boston Red Sox. After dealing away most of their starting talent at the trade deadline, the current White Sox lineup is closer to a Triple-A team than a competitive major league team. They have lost four straight, and back to back games here in Boston. I expect more of the same in Game 3 Saturday. Drew Pomeranz will toe the slab for the Red Sox, and he's 6-2 with a 3.64 ERA in 11 starts at Fenway this season. He faced the White Sox once already this season, allowing one run on seven hits, striking out eight in seven innings. The White Sox hand the ball to Big Game James, who hasn't had many big games lately. He's surrendered at least five runs in five of his last seven starts, and he's been clobbered in his last two starts, allowing 11 runs on 13 hits over 10 innings. Mookie Betts is 2-for-3 lifetime versus Shields. Take BOS. GL. Jesse Schule
08-04-17	Dodgers v. Mets +1.5		6-0	Loss	-150	18 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the NYM +1.5. The Mets host the Dodgers in Game 1 of a home series at Citi Field Friday, and we should see a picher's duel with Yu Darvish starting opposite Jacob deGrom. The Dodgers come in with the best record in the majors, and they are 6-0 in their last six versus the Mets. New York is 5-0 in deGrom's last 5 home starts, and 8-1 overall in his last 9 starts. deGrom (12-4, 3.29 ERA) allowed just three runs on five hits, striking out 10 in six innings in a 3-2 loss at Seattle his last time out. He had won eight straight before that, and he's 6-2 with a 2.27 ERA in 10 home starts this season. The Dodgers have hit just .232 against him over a combined 82 at bats. Darvish is making his Dodgers debut, coming off one of the worst starts of his career in a 22-10 loss to Miami. He's a great pitcher when he's in his comfort zone, but he might be feeling the nerves here in his first start with a new team. Take NYM. GL, Jesse Schule
08-03-17	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Cubs		10-8	Win	100	6 h 50 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona D'Backs (RL) The Cubs host Arizona in the rubber match of this series at Wrigley this afternoon. I like the visitors as an underdog. Zack Greinke will toe the slab for the D'Backs, and he's having another Cy Young caliber season. Greinke (13-4, 2.84 ERA) allowed one run on four hits, fanning nine in seven innings in a 7-1 win at St. Louis his last time out. He's 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last three starts. The Cubs hand the ball to Jose Quintana, who has won two of three since joining the Cubs. His debut for Chicago was incredible, striking out a dozen in seven scoreless innings in a win at Baltimore. He was rocked for eight runs on eight hits over just 4 1/3 innings in a loss to Arizona earlier this season. The D'Backs have hit Quintana hard in the past, batting .296 over a combined 81 at bats. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
08-01-17	Twins v. Padres +1.5		0-3	Win	100	21 h 11 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the SD Padres (runline). The Padres are one of the worst teams in the major leagues, and nobody scores fewer runs. Despite their futility, I have bet one them several times this season when Jhoulys Chacin pitches at PETCO. Here is what I said about Chacin before his last start: "Jhoulys Chacin will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's been lights out at home. The right-hander is 5-2 with a 1.94 ERA in 10 home starts, and he's 3-0 with a 2.41 ERA in his last four starts overall. " He went on to allow two runs on four hits, fanning five in 5 1/3 innings in a 6-3 win over the Mets. I like his chances here at home versus a Twins team that has lost six of it's last seven overall. The Twins hand the ball to Jose Berrios, who has lost four straight starts on the road. Take SD +1.5. GL, Jesse Schule
07-30-17	Giants +1.5 v. Dodgers	Top	2-3	Win	100	7 h 29 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the San Francisco Giants +1.5. As bad as the Giants have been this season, they have played the Dodgers pretty tough in the season series. They are a huge underdog here in Game 3 in LA on Sunday, and I like their chances with Madison Bumgarner on the mound. The Giants ace is coming off his best start of the season, allowing one run on six hits over five innings in a win over the Pirates. He's pitched well against LA, with a record of 6-6 and a 2.79 ERA in his last 15 starts against the Dodgers. LA will hand the ball to Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has not pitched well in past meetings with the Giants. He lost his only start against San Francisco this season, and he was 2-2 with a 7.31 ERA in his previous four starts against the Giants. Hunter Pence hit a home run in a losing effort yesterday, and he's owned Ryu. Pence is 11-for-25 with seven RBIs lifetime versus the southpaw. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule
07-28-17	Giants v. Dodgers -1.5		4-6	Win	100	30 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on LAD -1.5. The Dodgers come into Game 1 of this home series versus San Francisco as winners of five in a row. They have the best home record in baseball (44-13) and the Giants are just 18-34 on the road. Alex Wood will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he's coming off his only bad start this season. He was lit up for nine runs on nine hits over 4 2/3 innings in a 12-3 loss to his former team (Atlanta). He's still 11-1 with a 2.17 ERA on the season, and he's 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA in two starts agains the Giants. San Francisco will hand the ball to Matt Moore, who has had a disappointing season. He's been hit particularly hard on the road, with a record of 1-4 with a 7.61 ERA in 10 starts on the road in 2017. The Dodgers have tagged him for 10 runs on eight hits and eight walks over 10 1/3 innings in two starts. Moore walked five, and gave up nine runs on six hits in 3 1/3 innings in a loss at LA earlier this season. Take LAD. GL, Jesse Schule
07-26-17	Mets v. Padres +1.5		3-6	Win	100	12 h 32 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the SD Padres (runline). After taking three of four in a series in San Francisco, the Padres have dropped back to back games at home to the Mets. Both of those games were close, and I expect another close one here tonight. Jhoulys Chacin will toe the slab for San Diego, and he's been lights out at home. The right-hander is 5-2 with a 1.94 ERA in 10 home starts, and he's 3-0 with a 2.41 ERA in his last four starts overall. The Mets hand the ball to Stephen Matz, who has not been sharp this season. The 26 year old has surrendered 10 runs on 18 hits over six innings in his last two starts. These teams have played close games, with five of the last nine meetings being decided by one run or less. Take SD. GL, Jesse Schule
07-24-17	Rockies +1.5 v. Cardinals		2-8	Loss	-180	28 h 49 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Rockies (runline). The Rockies come into this series in St. Louis as winners of six of their last seven, and I like Colorado as an underdog here in Game 1. Antonio Senzatela will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's got 10 wins already in 2017. The right-hander is 7-1 with a 3.54 ERA in eight starts at night. He won his only start against St. Louis, tossing eight scoreless innings, surrendering just five hits. The Cardinals hand the ball to Mike Leake, who has been really roughed up in recent starts. He's allowed 17 runs on 27 hits over 10 2/3 innings in three straight losses. He lost his last start against the Rockies, allowing six runs on nine hits over five innings. St. Louis has lost 11 of Leake's last 14 home starts. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule
07-23-17	Cardinals +1.5 v. Cubs		3-5	Loss	-140	6 h 46 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals (runline) The Cubs and the Cardinals will play the rubber match of this series tonight, and both the previous two games have been decided by a single run. Michael Wacha will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he's been dealing of late. Wacha (7-3, 3.71 ERA) went the distance, striking out eight and allowing just three hits in a 5-0 win over the Mets his last time out. He's racked up 35 strikeouts over 31 2/3 innings in five straight wins. His numbers against the Cubs are not spectacular, but he has struck out 29 batters in 28 innings in his last five starts at Wrigley. The Cubs hand the ball to Jose Quintana, who is coming off a fantastic debut for Chicago. He tossed seven scoreless innings, striking out a dozen in an 8-0 win at Baltimore in his first start for the Cubs. Most of the Cardinals will be seeing Quintana for the first time, but Yadier Molina and Dexter Fowler have had success against him in past meetings. The duo are a combined 6-for-14 against the southpaw. These two division rivals have played plenty of close games, and six of the last 10 meetings have been decided by just a single run. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule
07-22-17	Blue Jays +1.5 v. Indians	Top	1-2	Win	100	27 h 21 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5. The Jays have had a disappointing season, but they come into Cleveland after splitting a four game series at division leading Boston. One of the lone bright spots for Toronto has been Marcus Stroman, who has been having a fantastic season. Stroman (9-5, 3.10 ERA) allowed three runs (all unearned) on five hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 4-3 win at Boston his last time out. He's 5-2 with a 3.61 ERA in nine starts on the road, and he tossed six scoreless innings in his only start against the Indians this season. The Tribe will hand the ball to Danny Salazar, who is making his first start since the beginning of June. He hasn't looked good at all this season, and he was really roughed up in his only start against Toronto. Coming off a shoulder injury, we could see Salazar get the hook early if his pitch count is high. Toronto is 10-3 in Stroman's last 13 starts, while Cleveland has lost four of five when Salazar starts. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule
07-21-17	Braves v. Dodgers -1.5		12-3	Loss	-115	8 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the LAD (spread). The Dodgers had won 11 straight before losing Game 1 of a home series versus Atlanta last night. They send an undefeated pitcher to the mound in Game 2, and that's not good news for the Braves. Alex Wood (11-0, 1.56 ERA) has allowed one run or less in nine of his last 10 starts. There is very little that need to be said about Wood, simply put... in 14 starts this season he's been virtually unhittable. The Braves hand the ball to Jaime Garcia, who has given up at least five runs on four of his last five starts. He's 2-3 with a 4.17 ERA in nine starts on the road, and the Dodgers lineup is hitting over .300 against him. The Dodgers have won five of the last six meetings in this series, and the Braves have lost 10 of their last 12 at LA. Take LAD. GL, Jesse Schule
07-21-17	Rangers v. Rays +1.5		4-3	Win	100	6 h 56 m	Show
Texas vs Tampa Bay Free Pick July 21, 2017. Texas will be a favorite in Tampa tonight, despite the fact that they are coming off five straight losses. The Rays are only 2.5 games out of first in the AL East, while Texas is 18 games back in the AL West. Alex Cobb will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's coming off a solid outing. The right-hander allowed one run on six hits over 7 2/3 innings in a 6-3 win at LA his last time out. He's 4-3 with a 2.64 ERA in seven home starts this season, and he blanked Texas for seven innings the last time he faced them. The Rangers hand the ball to Yu Darvish, who has not picked up a win in any of his last six appearances. Texas has actually lost nine of 10 in his last 10 starts. He's surrendered at least three runs in four of his last six starts, and he owns a 5.40 ERA in the month of July. Tampa has won four of it's last five versus Texas, and the Rays are 9-3 in their last 12 home games versus a right-handed starter. Take TB. GL, Jesse Schule
07-19-17	Mariners +1.5 v. Astros		4-1	Win	100	11 h 20 m	Show
This is a 6* play on the Seattle Mariners +1.5. The Mariners have split the first two games of this series in Houston, but I like Seattle in the rubber match Wednesday. They had won five straight before losing last night, and they have a favorable pitching matchup in Game 3. James Paxton will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's owned the Astros this year. He's faced them twice already, allowing just six hits while striking out 13 through 13 scoreless innings. He's 3-1 with a 4.05 ERA in six starts on the road, and 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA in three starts in the afternoon. The Astros hand the ball to Charlie Morton, who has been having a great season. His 7-3 record has been aided by plenty of run support, as he's conceded four or more runs in three of his last five starts. Houston will miss starting shortstop Carlos Correa who is sidelined for 6-8 weeks with a thumb injury. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule
07-17-17	Blue Jays +1.5 v. Red Sox		4-3	Win	100	19 h 17 m	Show
This is a 6* play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5. The Jays are coming off a 6-5 loss at Detroit, and they send their ace to the mound in Game 1 of a new series in Boston on Monday. The Red Sox are coming off a taxing home series versus the Yankees, playing a 16 inning game Saturday followed by a double-header on Sunday. This looks like a spot where John Farrell might be inclined to rest some key players. Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's been a bright spot in an otherwise dismal season for the Jays. Stroman (9-5, 3.28 ERA) allowed one run on six hits, fanning six in seven innings in a home win over Houston his last time out. He was hammered in his only start versus Boston this season, but was 4-1 with a 4.40 ERA in seven starts against the Sox the previous three seasons. Boston will hand the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who was hammered by the Orioles in his first start coming off the DL. He was tagged for seven runs on eight hits, four home runs in just 5 2/3 innings. He's 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts versus Toronto. The Red Sox have lost four of their last five when Rodriguez starts versus Toronto, and the Jays are 6-2 in their last eight at Fenway. Take TOR +1.5. GL, Jesse Schule
07-15-17	Giants v. Padres +1.5	Top	3-5	Win	100	29 h 36 m	Show
This is a 10* play on the San Diego Padres +1.5. The Padres are brutal, but maybe not quite as bad as San Francisco. The Giants are dead last in the NL West, five games behind San Diego. The Padres are a .500 team at home (22-22), while the Giants are a woeful 17-32 on the road. Madison Bumgarner will toe the slab for San Francisco in Game 2 of this series at PETCO Saturday, and that means the Giants will be a heavy favorite. Mad Bum has't pitched in the majors in almost three months, and as good as he is, he's never been great against the Padres. That's especially true at PETCO, with a record of 1-2 with a 5.23 ERA in five starts since 2014. The Padres hand the ball to Jhoulys Chacin, who has been nothing short of dominant at home. He's 5-2 with a 1.68 ERA in nine home starts this season, and he's 2-0 with a 2.31 ERA in two starts against the Giants. It wouldn't be a surprise to see Bumgarner come out early, as he could be on a pitch count in his first game back. The Giants below average bullpen could prove to be the difference if this turns into a pitcher's duel. Take SD (Runline). GL, Jesse Schule
07-09-17	Tigers +1.5 v. Indians		5-3	Win	100	4 h 20 m	Show
This is an 8* play on DET RL. The Indians host the Tigers on Sunday Night Baseball, and Cleveland will be a huge favorite with the red hot Corey Kluber on the mound. Kluber is the hottest pitcher in the major leagues, coming off five consecutive starts with 10 or more strikeouts. It might sound like a "Bold Prediction" to suggest that the Tigers can get to Kulber here today, but he has a history of struggling against Detroit. He was torched for 11 runs on 15 hits over 9 1/3 innings in two starts against the Tigers this season. Detroit's lineup is hitting a combined .289 with a whopping 14 home runs over 266 at bats versus Kluber. Miguel Cabrera has owned him, batting .423 with six home runs and a dozen RBIs in 52 at bats. The Tigers hand the ball to Michael Fulmer, who also comes into this game on top form. Like Kluber, he's struggled in previous starts versus Cleveland. Edwin Encarnacion is 0-for-3 lifetime versus Fulmer, and he's been held without a hit in four of his last five games. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule
07-07-17	Mets +1.5 v. Cardinals		6-5	Win	100	29 h 26 m	Show
This is an 8* play on NYM +1.5 We'll see a pitcher's duel in St. Louis in Game 1, as both the Mets and the Cards send their aces to the hill. Jacob deGrom (8-3, 3.55 ERA) will toe the slab for the Mets, and he's been dominant in recent starts. The right-hander allowed one run on three hits, striking out 12 over seven innings in a 2-1 win over Philly his last time out. He's won four straight starts, and one of those was a home win over Washington. Carlos Martinez has lost three straight starts, allowing 10 runs on 17 hits over 17 innings in those games. The Cardinals have lost seven of their last 10 versus right-handed starters. Take NYM. GL, Jesse Schule
07-06-17	Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers		4-5	Win	100	8 h 28 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Diamondbacks. After winning both of the first two games by a single run, the Dodgers will look to complete the sweep in the series finale against Arizona. Robbie Ray will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's having a stellar season so far. Ray (8-4, 3.06 ERA) allowed four runs on five hits, striking out nine in six innings in a home loss to Colorado his last time out. He's racked up at least nine strikeouts in five of his last seven starts, and Arizona has won six of those games. The Dodgers are batting a combined .242 with more strikeouts (44) than hits (32) over 132 at bats versus Ray. LA will hand the ball to Rich Hill, who only lasted three innings in a loss to Arizona earlier this season. He's been inconsistent this season, and this looks like a tough spot for the lefty. Arizona is 4-1 in Ray's last five starts versus the Dodgers. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
07-02-17	Nationals v. Cardinals +1.5		7-2	Loss	-145	8 h 59 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the St. Louis Cardinals RL. We should see a pitchers duel in St. Louis tonight, with Mad Max starting opposite Cardinals ace Carlos Martinez. Scherzer (9-5, 2.06 ERA) has allowed one run or less in five of his last seven starts, and he's struck out at least 10 batters in six of his last seven starts. He has had trouble with the big bats in the Cardinals lineup though, as Matt Carpenter and Stephen Piscotty are a combined 10-for-24 against him. Martinez (6-6, 2.88 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on four hits, striking out 10 in six innings in a loss at Arizona his last time out. He's 4-1 with a 1.85 ERA in eight home starts. The Nats are batting a combined .133 over 45 at bats versus Martinez. The Nationals have statistically the worst bullpen in the National League, so if the Cards don't get to Scherzer, they may have a chance to steal one late. Take STL. GL, Jesse Schule.
06-30-17	Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres		10-4	Win	100	11 h 34 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the LA Dodgers (spread). The Dodgers will play Game 1 of a new series at PETCO Friday, and they send a red hot pitcher to the mound. Alex Wood has been almost unhittable this season, boasting a record of 8-0 with a 1.86 ERA. He's held opponents to one run or less in six of his last seven starts, and he's undefeated during that span. Wood is 2-1 with a 2.38 ERA in seven appearances versus the Padres over the last three seasons. San Diego will hand the ball to Clayton Richard, who has been roughed up in back to back starts. He allowed seven runs on 14 hits and five walks over 11 2/3 innings in losses to Detroit and Chicago. His worst start this season came against the Dodgers, allowing seven runs on five hits and six (YES SIX) walks over five innings. The Padres rank dead last in the major leagues in runs scored, and their team batting average of .228 is the worst in baseball. Take LAD. GL, Jesse Schule
06-29-17	Cubs +1.5 v. Nationals		5-4	Win	100	3 h 41 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs won Game 1 of this series in Washington, but have since been blown out in back to back losses. I like Chicago's chances of salvaging a split in the rubber match this afternoon. Jon Lester will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's won three straight starts. Lester (5-4, 3.83 ERA) allowed three runs on four hits over seven innings in a 5-3 win over Miami his last time out. Washington's lineup hasn't been able to figure out Lester in past meetings, batting just .235 over a combined 136 at bats. The Nats hand the ball to Joe Ross, who hasn't missed many bats this season. Ross (4-3, 5.40 ERA) allowed one run on six hits over seven innings in a win over Cincinnati his last time out. He's been hit hard in day games this season, with a record of 1-3 and and ERA of 7.13. Ryan Zimmerman is just 1-for-11 in this series, and he's 1-for-11 lifetime versus Jon Lester. Take CHC. GL, Jesse Schule
06-24-17	Phillies v. Diamondbacks -1.5		2-9	Win	100	11 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on Arizona. The Phillies ended a five game losing skid by winning the final game of a home series versus St. Louis Thursday, and now they head out on the road for four games in Arizona this weekend. They won Game 1 last night, but I think the D'Backs bounce back in Game 2. Ben Lively will toe the slab for Philly, and he's been hit hard this season. The 25 year old allowed three runs on eight hits over six innings in a loss to Arizona his last time out. The D'Backs will hand the ball to Robbie Ray, who has been solid at night. Ray (7-3, 2.37 ERA) allowed four runs on eight hits, striking out seven in 5 2/3 innings in a win at Philly his last time out. He's 6-3 with a 2.51 ERA in 11 starts under the lights. Only the Padres have scored fewer runs this year than Philadelphia. The Phillies have also lost seven of their last 11 road games versus a left-handed starter. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule
06-22-17	Pirates +1.5 v. Brewers		2-4	Loss	-195	4 h 15 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates have owned Milwaukee this season, winning four of five heading into Game 3 of this series at Miller Park. They wrap up the series with a matinee on Thursday, and I like the Bucs as an underdog. Ivan Nova will toe the slab for the visitors, and he's been lights out since arriving in Pittsburgh. Nova (7-4, 2.91 ERA) allowed three runs on six hits, striking out six in seven innings in a home win over the Cubs his last time out. He's 5-1 with a 2.89 ERA in seven starts in the afternoon in 2017, and he's 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last two starts versus the Brewers. Milwaukee will hand the ball to Chase Anderson, who is having a great year for the Brewers. He hasn't fooled the Pirates though, as Pittsburgh's lineup is batting ..331 with six home runs over a combined 118 at bats versus the right-hander. The Pirates are 6-2 in their last eight road games versus a right-handed starter. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule
06-17-17	Cubs v. Pirates +1.5		3-4	Win	100	19 h 45 m	Show
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Pirates. Even after rallying to score six runs in the top of the ninth to steal a win in Pittsburgh last night, the Cubs are still just 13-18 on the road in 2017. I don't think Chicago has any business being a favorite in Game 2 versus the Pirates. Jake Arrieta will toe the slab for the Cubbies, and he's been average at best this year. He's just 3-4 with a 5.20 ERA in eight starts on the road, and he's 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA in his last three starts in Pittsburgh. The Pirates hand the ball to Ivan Nova, who has had a solid season for the Bucs, and he’s pitched well overall going 6-4 with a 2.83 ERA in 13 starts. His ERA is actually slightly lower when pitching at night, but he hasn’t been picking up wins, with a record of 1-3 in six starts. This will likely even out, and is probably a result of poor run support. He's a strong 4-2 with a 2.29 ERA in six starts at PNC Park. The Cubs have lost 10 of their last 12 away from Wrigley. Take PIT. GL, Jesse Schule

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