This is a 10* play on WPG.

The Blue Bombers are still the best team in the CFL, and they have owned the BC Lions. The Bombers are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and they covered the spread in all eight of those wins. The last time BC went to Winnipeg, they lost 50-14 as a six-point underdog. The Lions defense has really struggled in the second half of the season, and they face a Winnipeg offense that is firing on all cylinders. The Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games, and they have failed to cover in six straight road games in the post-season. The Lions are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Winnipeg.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on TENN.

The Vols are coming off a 25 win season, finishing 5th in the SEC and ranked #20 in the country. They bring back three starters, including senior guard Santiago Vescovi who lead the team in scoring last year. The Badgers finished 12th in the BIG10, unranked with a losing record in conference play. Wisconsin struggled in close games last year, and they lost four of their last six in Madison. They may find themselves overmatched here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play Over.

We often see low scores in the CFL playoffs, but most of the games are outdoors in the winter weather. BC plays in a dome, and we have a matchup between two of the league's top passing offenses. Vernon Adams was the league's leading passer, while Jake Maier was 3rd in the CFL in passing. The Lions were great defensively early in the season, but they have not stopped anybody in the final few weeks of the season. They gave up 41 in a loss to Calgary in their final home game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

The Sooners are banged up, and star linebacker Danny Strutsman is questionable for the last edition of Bedlam. The Cowboys offense has been firing on all cylinders, but during their winning streak they continue to give up a ton of yards and a ton of points. The long term forecast was calling for high winds and nasty weather, and that may have kept this total a little lower than expected. The latest news out of Stillwater is that weather will not be a concern. They don't call it Bedlam for nothing, we expect a shootout in Oklahoma.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Oilers.

Edmonton has got off to a brutal start, and that has them treating tonight's as a must win. It will be the third straight game on the road for Nashville, and they have lost four of five road games so far. Special teams could cost the Predators here, ranking among the worst in the NHL on the penalty kill, and facing the Oilers potent power play.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on ARI.

So we saw the D'Backs come back from the dead in the NLCS, and they showed a lot of heart rallying from a 10 run deficit in Game 4 despite coming up short. The good news is that their ace is on the mound in this do or die game tonight, and Texas has lost star slugger Adolis Garcia for the rest of the series.

Zac Gallen was dominant at home this season, and on the road in Game 1 he pitched well enough to win. In fact the D'Backs took a two run lead to the bottom of the ninth and the bullpen blew it.

The Rangers hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who got roughed up in Game 1. He allowed five runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings.

I like the D'Backs to force a Game 6.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BOS.

The Bruins have picked up right where they left off last year, when they had the league's best record in the regular season. They got off to a 3-1 series lead in the first round of the playoffs, only to lose three straight and fall in seven games versus the Florida Panthers. This sets up one hell of a revenge spot for the Bruins tonight. The Panthers are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings in Boston, and the Bruins are 45-11 in their last 56 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SAC.

Lets not overreact to the Warriors losing at home on Opening Night to a shorthanded Phoenix team. Maybe they missed Draymond Green, maybe Chris Paul needs more time to work his win into a new team. Regardless of any of that, following up with a road game at Sacramento is a tough spot. The younger Kings pushed them to the brink in last year's playoffs, and while the Dubs are a year older, the Kings are only getting better. Sacramento was the highest scoring team in the NBA last year, and they have picked up right where they left off by scoring 130 in their season opening win over Utah. The addition of Euro League MVP Sasha Vuzenkov isn't going to hurt.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on UTSA.

I don't think the markets have accurately accounted for the return of Frank Harris, who has thrown for over 500 yards and five TDs in back to back double digit wins since coming back from injury. The Roadrunners had a disappointing start to the season, but that can be partially explained by the injury to their starting QB. The Owls lost their starter for the season, and backup Daniel Richardson has thrown for 902 yards, 5 TDs and 4 INTs in four starts. I don't think the Owls offense has enough weapons to keep up to UTSA.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on PSU.

The Buckeyes come into this week's home game against Penn State with a 6-0 record and they are ranked 3rd nationally. Kyle McCord has pedestrian numbers for an Ohio State quarterback, and at times this team has appeared vulnerable. The win over Maryland two weeks ago was closer than it should have been, and they needed a miracle to beat the Irish at Notre Dame. This team fell apart at the end of last year, losing 45-23 at home to Michigan,and then losing to Georgia in the Peach Bowl. Penn State looks every bit as dangerous as the Michigan team that embarrassed them here last year. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

We saw a pitcher's duel in Game 3 in Arizona on Thursday, but with both teams turning to the back end of the rotation I would expect a slugfest in Game 4.

Joe Mantiply will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been lit up in two appearances versus Philly. The Phillies tagged him for seven runs on nine hits over 3 1/3 innings in those games.

The Phillies hand the ball to Cristopher Sanchez, who hasn't pitched in three weeks. He was 2-2 with a 5.26 in eight starts during the regular season.

This game has "slugfest" written all over it.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

We expected Max Scherzer to struggle last night coming off a long layoff, and he got tagged for five runs on five hits in four innings. Both starters tonight are coming off an extended layoff, and this is the bottom of the barrel as far as the rotation is concerned.

Jose Urquidy will toe the slab for Houston, and he's failed to reach the fifth inning in seven of his last nine appearances.

Andrew Heaney hasn't pitched in two weeks, and he allowed three runs on five hits and four walks in 4 2/3 innings in a 13-6 loss in his last home start versus the Astros.

Another shootout seems likely in Game 4 in Texas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Over.

These two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in scoring in the CFL, and we should see plenty of scoring in an indoor game in BC tonight. The lions have gone over in four straight, and Winnipeg has gone over in eight of their last 10. The BC defense has looked suspect, allowing 29.4 points per game in their last five overall. Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros leads the CFL with 30 TD passes so far, while BC QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the league in passing averaging 308 yards per game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Newcastle.

Newcastle is undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have posted five consecutive clean sheets. They have outscored the opposition 12-0 in those games. PSG is coming off a draw against the last place team in League 1. Paris sits just 5th in the table in the French league, and still bettors have them pegged as a favorite here against one of the top teams in the Premier League. PSG will be lucky to come away with a point here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on LAC.

The 1-2 Chargers are a small home favorite against the 1-2 Raiders. Clearly the Chargers have a huge edge at QB with Justin Herbert versus Jimmy G. The Chargers have been more effective running the ball, and we should see Austin Ekeler back this week. Neither team has been great defensively but it's tough to see the Raiders keeping up in a shootout. LV was just 2-7 on the road last season, including a 24-19 loss at LA. Keep in mind the Raiders only win came by just 1-point against an 0-3 team that gave up 70 points last week.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on TEN.

This is a huge revenge game for the Vols after they got lit up for over 60 points in a loss to the Gamecocks last year. This is also a spot where we can buy low on the Vols, as people are still down on them after they lost at Florida, and it's a sell high spot on South Carolina after they played Georgia tough and Spencer Rattler completed 90% of his passes in a win over Mississippi State last week. Rattler has been playing well so far, but history tells us that when the going gets tough he can be "rattled". This looks like a tough spot for the Gamecocks, and we aren't going to be surprised if Rattler gets rattled.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on WPG.

The Argos have already clinched 1st place in the EAST, so they are coming into Friday's game at Winnipeg with a plan to rest their starters. Starting QB Chad Kelly won't play, and it seem pretty clear that Toronto doesn't have any interest in winning this game. It is a big game for Winnipeg, who sit tied for first place with the BC Lions. Winnipeg leads the CFL in scoring, and they rank first scoring defense allowing 21 points per game. Zach Collaros has thrown a CFL best 29 TD passes, and he ranks 1st in the league with a QBR of 115.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Gunners.

It's no surprise to see Arsenal undefeated after five matches in the Premier League. Arsenal was a favorite to win the league coming into this season, while expectations were far lower for Spurs after losing Harry Kane. So an unexpected 4-0-1 start for Tottenham might not be all it's cracked up to be. Three of their wins came against teams that are currently winless and early favorites to face relegation. This away match at Arsenal will be their first versus a team with a winning record. The step up in competition is likely to be trouble for Tottenham. I have Arsenal winning by a score of 3-1.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Utah.

The UCLA Bruins look like a pretty good team so far. We saw in Week Zero what happens when "pretty good teams" play at Rice Eccles. The Florida Gators lost 24-11 at Utah and everyone wrote them off. We saw last week in their win over Tennessee, that they aren't nearly as bad as people thought they might be. The Bruins have played three games at Utah since 2017, and they lost all three games by 20+ points. Utah is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and losing 42-32 at UCLA last year sets up a revenge spot. Cam Rising has missed the first three weeks recovering from a knee injury, but he's expected to start here in the PAC12 opener.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Crimson Tide have plenty of problems, but the defense isn't one one of them. Ole Miss comes in with a 3-0 record, but I think it's important have a closer look at those wins. Surely wins over Mercer and Georgia Tech can't be considered an indication that this team can upset Alabama. There is a double digit win over Tulane that you might think they can hang their hat on, but the Green Wave didn't have their starting QB in that game. The Rebels held a 27-20 lead with two minutes remaining in that game, however a comedy of errors saw them score 10 unanswered points in the final 1:53 seconds. I still think Alabama will win this game, but in order to do so they are going to need to slow the game down, play conservative, run the ball and lean on their defense.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on FSU.

The Seminoles may have been caught looking ahead last week in an alarming 31-29 win over Boston College. They face a far tougher test travelling to Death Valley to take on Clemson. The Tigers have home field advantage, but I am uncertain that will be enough to overcome the huge disparity at the quarterback position. Senior Jordan Travis has plenty of experience playing in and winning big games. Kade Klubnik has only stated five games for Clemson, and he was on the wrong side of blowout losses to Tennessee and Duke. The Seminoles have superior talent and more returning production on both sides of the ball. This to me appears to be a mismatch, and I expect Florida State to win decisively.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on G-State.

The Chanticleers won 41-24 at Georgia State last season, but a lot has changed since then. Grayson McCall is back at QB, but the offensive line lost some key starters and head coach Jamie Chadwell went to Liberty. The Panthers are 3-0, and senior QB Danny Grainger has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 803 yards, eight touchdowns and no picks. He threw for 198 yards and two touchdowns in a 42-40 win in his last start at Coastal Carolina in 2021. The home team has lost six straight meetings between these teams. This looks like another shootout that could go either way, and I'll gladly take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on CLE.

Any decent bettor should know not to overreact to results in Week 1, and the Browns looked like World Beaters while the Steelers looked like trash. Sure we may see regression to the mean, but lets be real about who these teams are. The Browns have one of the highest ranked offensive lines, and maybe the most dominant running back in the NFL. Deshaun Watson is just a few years removed from being a Top 5 QB in the league, and he looked a lot more like that guy in Week 1 than he did last year. Kenny Pickett is still wet behind the ears, and I am not sure Najee Harris is a legit RB1. The Niners averaged 5.5 yards per carry at Pittsburgh last week, and the Steelers are going to have their hands full trying to contain Chubb.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CHC.

The Cubs have lost four straight, but they look good to avoid a sweep at Arizona tonight.

Jordan Wicks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last four starts.

The D'Backs hand the ball to Ryne Nelson who owns an 8.59 ERA in 11 home starts.

Only the Atlanta Braves have a better record since the All Star break than the Cubs.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go over in last year's game at Tennessee, the Vols winning 38-33. The rules aren't the only thing that has changed since then, as both teams have a downgrade at QB this season. So far we have seen both teams running the ball, and this game could see plenty of ground and pound. This number appears to be a bit inflated.

GL,
 

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CLE.

So the Bengals lost at Cleveland last year, which is nothing new. They have lost five straight at Cleveland, and the Browns are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The bookmakers have the Bengals favored here, despite the fact that the underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. The Browns still have the #2 ranked offensive line in the NFL according to PFF, and their QB situation should be better in 2023. Joe Burrow was sacked five times in last years loss at Cleveland, throwing for 232 yards with two TDs and an INT. The offensive line is still a concern for Cincinnati, and this figures to be a difficult matchup. I think the wrong team is favored here and I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Texas.

Nick Saban's Crimson Tide have been the most dominant team in college football for over a decade, but the air of invincibility might be fading a little. Last year the Tide lost at Tennessee and LSU, and they really should have lost at Texas as well. Aided by a handful of blown calls by the officials, Alabama kicked a game winning field goal to win 20-19 in the final seconds. Texas returns nine starters on offense including QB Quinn Ewers. The Longhorns defense ranked 1st nationally in QB pressures last season, and they face Jalen Milroe who is making just his third start. His only start last year was a 24-20 home win over Texas A&M. Texas has the more experienced QB, and they should have the athletes on both sides of the ball to push Alabama to the brink just like they did last year.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Utah.

You don't want to overreact to Week 1 results. Utah won convincingly at home over the Florida Gators and Baylor got lit up in a 42-31 home loss to Texas State. Utah won without Cam Rising, and Bryson Barnes was solid throwing for 159 yards and a TD on 12-of-18 passing. Nate Johnson came in at QB and ran for 45 yards and a TD on six carries. Baylor struggled on defense last season, and it looks like that has carried over into 2023. The Bears were 0-5 versus Top 25 teams, and the average margin of victory in those games was 11 points. The Bears lost starting QB Blake Shapen in Week 1, and Sawyer Robertson threw for 113 yards and an INT on 6-of-12 passing against Texas State. With or without Cam Rising the Utes have mismatches all over the field.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Liverpool.

Aston Villa has been great at home, outscoring the opposition a combined 7-0 in their last two matches. They haven't been as good on the road, losing 5-1 at Newcastle in their season opener. This trend goes back to last year, when they won six of 19 games and had a -7 goal differential in 19 away matches. Liverpool won 13 of 19 home matches last season, and only Manchester City had a better goal differential. Liverpool is 4-0-1 in the last five head to head matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

After a 1-0 win over Milwaukee in Game 2, we might expect another pitcher's duel in Game 3 in Chicago today.

Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's owned the Brewers. Milwaukee's lineup is batting .203 with 39 strikeouts and just 27 hits over a combined 133 at bats versus the former Cy Young winner.

The Brewers hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff, who is 3-1 with a 2.65 ERA in six starts so far in 2023.

The wind was blowing in yesterday, and it's expected to be the same story this afternoon.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BAL

So the Ravens have won 24 of their last 25 pre-season games, and if not for a late drive from an inexperienced 3rd string quarterback and a 50 yard field goal it would have been 25-0. So we have to ask ourselves what happens now? Does Harbaugh throw in the towel, rest his starters and play to lose, or does he want to go into the regular season off a "W". Josh Johnson and Anthony Brown combined to throw for 4 TDs on 16-of-22 passing last week. I am willing to bet that Harbaugh is dying to get the filthy taste of an "L" out of his mouth. Todd Bowles is 8-13 career in pre-season games, so don't expect him to be taking things seriously in the second half.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BC.

The Lions got starting QB Vernon Adams Jr back last week, and he threw for 322 yards, 4 TDs and an INT on 23-of-32 passing in a blowout win over Calgary. The Lions play on the road at Regina Sunday, but the Riders are down to their third string QB. Saskatchewan has allowed opponents to average 27 points per game this season, and only Hamilton has allowed more. Last year the Lions played at Regina twice, winning by double digits in both games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the JETS.

Robert Saleh appears to take the pre-season more seriously than most head coaches. His Jets won 27-0 versus Carolina last week, and he's 6-1 in the pre-season in his career. The one loss came against Cleveland in the Hall of Fame game, and they blew a big lead late in that game. Todd Bowles does not have a reputation for taking the pre-season seriously, with a career record of 7-13. When it comes to QB depth, the Jets appear to have an edge with Zach Wilson and Tim Boyle. I'll trust Saleh to field a competitive team here as he looks to establish a culture of winning.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BC.

The Lions have the second best record in the CFL going 6-1. Their only loss came against the undefeated Toronto Argos. They rank first in the league in scoring defense (by a country mile). The Bombers defense has not looked as good as it has been in recent years, and in Week 6 they blew a 16 point lead in the final two minutes, losing in overtime at Ottawa. While the history favors Winnipeg, the times change and the Lions appear to the better team getting a bunch of points in this matchup. After losing 30-6 at home to BC earlier this season, this is a revenge spot for the Bombers, but that doesn't mean they should be a six point favorite in my opinion.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BAL.

The Yankees are just a slight underdog here, but I like the Orioles at home in this spot.

Luis Severino will toe the slab for New York, and he is 0-3 with a 7.62 ERA in six starts on the road. He was rocked for seven runs on 10 hits in 2 2/3 innings in his last start versus the Orioles.

Baltimore will hand the ball to Dean Kremer, who hasn't been perfect but he's been just good enough to put his team in position to win.

The Orioles are 12-3 in Kremer's last 15 starts.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Tampa Rays are in second place in the AL East, a game back of Baltimore. This would have been unthinkable earlier this season, but the Rays have hit a wall. Given the magnitude of this game, and the fact that Tampa is struggling at the plate, we expect a pitcher's duel today.

Kyle Bradish will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's 3-1 with a 1.03 ERA his last four starts. He went five innings, allowing two runs on four hits and striking out eight in a no decision at Tampa earlier this season. Zach Eflin is 9-1 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 home starts.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on OTT.

Both these teams signed high profile quarterbacks during the off-season, and so far it hasn't worked out for either team. Jeremiah Masoli is expected to make his debut for Ottawa here this week, while Bo Levi Mitchell has been a bust for the Ticats. After throwing for 361 yards with a TD and four INTs, Mitchell has been sidelined. There are some huge revenge angles here for Ottawa, as they have lost seven straight to Hamilton. Masoli is not the only former Ticat now in Ottawa, Jaleon Acklin at WR and DE Lorenzo Mauldin were stars in Hamilton. This looks like a classic example of wrong team favored. The RedBlacks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Hamilton.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on TEX.

The Rangers won Game 1 in Washington, and they appear to be in a good spot heading into Game 2.

Andrew Heany will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's been far better on the road than he has been at home. Heaney is 2-2 with a 2.55 ERA in six road starts.

The Nats hand the ball to Jake Irvin, who is 0-4 with a 5.15 ERA in eight home starts.

The Rangers have won five straight at Washington, and they are 5-1 in their last six versus the NL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MIN.

The Twins have outscored the Royals 17-7 in the first two games of this series, and we should expect more of the same Wednesday.

Pablo Lopez will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's been a strikeout machine. His 126 strikeouts in 102 innings ranks 4th in the majors.

The Royals hand the ball to Alex Marsh, who was lit up for five runs on six hits in four innings in a loss to the Dodgers in his debut. 

The Royals are 16-42 in the last 58 meetings in Minnesota.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

The D'Backs sit first place in the NL West and they rank in the top 5 in the majors in scoring. Given the starting pitchers scheduled for today's games, we should expect fireworks on the 4th of July.

Zack Davies will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA in six home starts. The Mets lineup has owned Davies, batting a combined .329 over 79 at bats.

The Mets hand the ball to Kodia Senga, who is coming off three straight losses.

The over is 9-3-1 in the Diamondbacks last 13 during game 1 of a series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BC. 

The Lions have the top ranked defense in the CFL, allowing just 21 points in three games. It's not like they have had a soft schedule, winning on the road at Winnipeg and Calgary. The Argos are 2-0, but their opponents are a combined 0-7 so far this season. Toronto's QB Chad Kelly has pedestrian numbers, especially when you consider the opponents he has faced. He's thrown for 502 yards a TD and two INTs on 59 percent passing in two starts. Vernon Adams has dealt with injuries at WR, but still ranks 3rd in the CFL in passing. He will get two of his top three targets back for tonight's game. The Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games.

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on MIA.

The Fish lost all three games in Atlanta, but a return home to face the Struggling Cardinals might be just what the doctor ordered.

Miles Mikolas will toe the slab for St. Louis, and he hasn't missed many bats lately. He's 0-4 with a 6.07 ERA in his last five starts.

The Marlins hand the ball to Braxton Garrett, who is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA in his last five starts.

The Cardinals are 8-21 in their last 29 during game 1 of a series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Runs have been hard to come by at Yankee Stadium lately, with the total going under in 10 of the last 12 in the Bronx.

Nate Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and the former Yankee is having a career year. He's 6-1 with a 2.37 ERA in nine starts on the road.

The Yankees hand the ball to Gerrit Cole, who was waving his finger at the Mariners in his last start. He's 5-1 with a 2.60 ERA in 10 home starts.

The under is 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings, and they have gone under in five straight in New York.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over.

Don't look now but the Houston Dynamos are starting to live up to their name. They are one of the hottest teams in MLS, winning four straight and scoring a total of 13 goals in those games. Austin F.C. comes into this Texas showdown off a 3-0 win over Dallas, and they have gone over in five straight matches overall. Get ready for another shootout in Texas.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

In the first two weeks of the season, only two of eight games saw more than 46 combined points. Of course both of those games were blowout wins for the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The BC Lions might make life a little more difficult for the Bombers. BC comes in allowing just 7.5 points per game, fresh off a shutout win over Edmonton. The Lions have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 15-6 in the Bombers last 21 home games. These teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings in Winnipeg. Both teams are banged up, with several key offensive players expected to miss this week's game.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Atlanta F.C.

Atlanta is undefeated in their last five matches, while New York City comes in winless in their last five overall. New York City was fortunate to score on a penalty in injury time to salvage a 1-1 draw in their last match. Home field advantage should come into play here, as Atlanta has a +16 goal differential at home while New York City is -6 on the road. Atlanta has scored 10 goals in their last three home matches.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Tigers.

Detroit is coming off a 3-1 series win at Minnesota, and the Tigers are just five games out of first place in the Central. A home game against the Royals looks like a good spot for them to keep the momentum going.

Jordan Lyles will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he has been on the wrong end of 14 straight. Never mind the 6.89 ERA, the Royals are 0-14 in his 14 starts.

The Tigers hand the ball to Reese Olson, who is also looking for his first win. With a WHIP of 1.05, Olson has shown some promise.

The Royals have lost five of their last six versus the Tigers.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BC.

Surely the Edmonton Elks have to be better than they were a year ago. They ranked dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, and it wasn't even close. This is a tough spot for the Elks on the road, facing a BC team that has won the last four meetings by an average margin of 32 points. Vernon Adams Jr. might not be Nathan Rourke, but throwing for 300 yards, 2 TDs and an INT in a blowout win at Calgary in Week 1 is a positive sign.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

We saw a slugfest at Camden Yards last night, and I expect more of the same here tonight.

Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Toronto, and as good as he's been of late, I can't overlook a career full of dramatic split stats that suggest he struggles on the road. The Orioles lineup is hitting .318 over a combined 110 at bats against Berrios.

The Orioles hand the ball to Kyle Bradish, who has also been looking sharp in recent starts. With him I can't overlook the fact that the Jays are batting a combined .384 against in him in 73 at bats.

The over is 18-5-3 in the last 26 meetings in Baltimore.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Hurricanes face elimination in Game 4, and Florida is riding a hot goaltender. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped all 32 shots he faced in a 1-0 win in Game 3, and he's been standing on his head this entire series. We should see another low score tonight, as the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams. The Panthers have failed to reach the total in eight straight overall. Clearly the key here is the play of the Panthers veteran goaltender.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Historically we have seen high scoring games in the "Trafico" series, but things are different this year. The LA Galaxy sit in last place in the West, and they have only scored 10 goals in 13 matches. LAFC has allowed the fewest goals of any team in the West, conceding 10 goals in a dozen matches. The under is 7-0 in LAFC's last seven matches in MLS.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CAR.

Just the second game of the Eastern Conference Finals and the Hurricanes are already facing a must win situation. They haven't lost back to back games in these playoffs, and they catch the Panthers off back to back OT wins. The Panthers are 15-37-2 in the last 54 meetings in Carolina, and the Hurricanes are 42-16 in their last 58 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Liverpool.

Never mind the high price, this is a very high percentage situation. Liverpool at home this season are 13-4-1, and they have won five straight versus Aston Villa. Perhaps the most significant is the magnitude of this game for Liverpool, who can still move ahead of Manchester United for a spot in the Champions League. Aston Villa on the other hand have already achieved everything they could have achieved this season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Giants.

Miami comes to town riding a four game winning streak, but those wins came against bottom feeders Washington and Cincinnati.

The Fish send their ace to the mound in Game 1 in San Francisco, but Alcantara has been struggling. He was rocked for six runs on seven hits and a pair of walks in a loss to Cincinnati in his last start. He's 0-1 with a 6.50 ERA in three starts on the road.

The Fish aren't likely to provide a lot of run support as they rank 28th in the major leagues in scoring.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on VGK.

Dallas won all three meetings in the regular season, but two of those wins came in shootouts. Game 1 won't be decided by a shoutout, that is one thing I can promise you. The Knights have had the more impressive journey to the Conference Finals, and they really appear to be destined to make another Finals run and maybe take home the cup. Adin Hill comes in ranking among the top goaltenders in the playoffs, with a 2.19 GAA and a .934 save percentage. The Golden Knights are 16-5 in their last 21 home games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals was a high scoring affair, and because of that the total for Game 2 is five points higher than it was in Game 1. The series opener saw Denver dominate the first half, but the Lakers made adjustments that allowed them to come storming back. When they stuck Rui Hachimura on the Joker, the REAL MVP was held to just 3 points on 0-of-2 shooting in the 4th quarter. Don't be surprised if things tighten up in Game 2, and keep in mind that both teams shot better than 54 percent from the field when both teams are averaging under 50 percent in these playoffs.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The #8 seed Panthers have been giant killers in these playoffs, and they find themselves as just a slight underdog on the road in Game 1 versus Carolina. The price seems a bit low considering it's an #8 seed versus a #2 seed. The Panthers turned things around when they went to Sergei Bobrovskty, and the veteran has turned back the clock. The Canes though have Freddy Anderson, who is 5-0 with a 1.80 GAA in the post-season. Carolina has also won 42 of their last 57 home games. The over/under trends for these teams may not be relevant, as they include mostly games with different goaltenders. Both these teams come into this series in great shape between the pipes.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

Traditionally we see lower scores in elimination games in the NHL Playoffs, but the Edmonton Oilers are a different beast. They own by far the best power play in the NHL, but their goaltending and subpar defense always lets them down. Vegas won Game 5 by scoring three goals in just over a minute. The Oilers are 12-3 in their last 15 home games, and they have scored 49 goals in those games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BOS.

The Celtics have all the momentum heading into Game 7 at the Garden. Boston is 26-9 all time in Game 7s, and the Sixers are 6-11 all time in Game 7s. Home teams have won 79 percent of Game 7s all time in the NBA Playoffs. The Celtics are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they have covered in eight of their last 11 versus Philadelphia. The home team might get the calls here, and the Sixers could end up on the wrong side of a one-sided Game 7.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on BAL.

The Orioles are just four games out of first place in the AL East, and the Pirates have lost 10 of their last 11.

Roansy Contreras will toe the slab for Pittsburgh, and he's been roughed up in recent starts, He's allowed nine runs on 15 hits in 10 1/3 innings in back to back losses.

The Orioles hand the ball to Tyler Wells, who has an impressive record of 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA. What's more impressive is his WHIP of 0.78.

The Pirates are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Baltimore.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CAR.

The Hurricanes can close out this series here at home in Game 5, and that seems like a likely outcome given the Devils goaltending situation. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: “The goaltending situation is on shaky ground for both teams in this series. The Devils will most likely start Vitek Vanecek, who had lost the starting job halfway through the first round series versus New York. The Hurricanes chased Akria Schmidt from the net early in both the first two games of this series. The Canes have had their #1 goaltender sidelined by illness, and both Freddy Anderson and Pyotr Kochetkov struggled in an 8-4 loss in Game 3. All three games have gone over the number, and yet the bookmakers haven't budged offering 5.5 instead of 6. I think this is a mistake. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.” After Anderson allowed just one goal on 22 shots in Game 4 the Hurricanes have a decided advantage. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

The goaltending situation is on shaky ground for both teams in this series. The Devils will most likely start Vitek Vanecek, who had lost the starting job halfway through the first round series versus New York. The Hurricanes chased Akria Schmidt from the net early in both the first two games of this series. The Canes have had their #1 goaltender sidelined by illness, and both Freddy Anderson and Pyotr Kochetkov struggled in an 8-4 loss in Game 3. All three games have gone over the number, and yet the bookmakers haven't budged offering 5.5 instead of 6. I think this is a mistake. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Over. 

It should come as no surprise that these two teams have gone over the total in each of the last five meetings. Manchester City leads the Premier League in scoring with 89 goals in 34 matches, and Real Madrid leads the Spanish La Liga in scoring with 69 goals in 33 matches. Erling Haaland is the favorite to win the Ballon d'Or, and Karim Benzema is the reigning Ballon d'Or winner. History tells us we should see plenty of scoring in this first leg match. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

If the Leafs played baseball they would the Cubs. If they were in the NFL they would be the Buffalo Bills team that lost four Super Bowls. In other words, this team is cursed, haunted by years of past failure. Now they are up against a hot goaltender here in Florida, as Sergei Bobrovsky has turned back the clock. He's playing like he did when the Blue Jackets swept the Lightning in the first round. The Leafs have gone under in four straight, and they have failed to reach the total in each of their last four versus Florida. The under is 6-0 in the Panthers last six Conference Semifinals games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on CINCI.

The Reds are a solid 10-7 at home, and they have split the first two games of this series versus Chicago. The White Sox are just 5-13 on the road, and they face a hot pitcher here in Game 3.

Graham Ashcraft comes in with a record of 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA, but a look at the competition he has faced so far makes that so much more impressive. He's faced four first place teams in his six starts.

The White Sox hand the ball to Michael Kopech, who has been rocked on the road. He's 0-2 with a 5.63 ERA in three road starts.

The White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 road games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MIA ML. 

The Knicks won Game 2, but their performance was far from convincing. The expression on Jimmy Butler's face said it all, he knows he's going back to Miami and winning Game 3. Butler scored 56 in Game 4 at home, and then scored 42 in the series clinching win in Milwaukee in Game 5. Even without Jimmy Buckets, the Knicks just barely won Game 2 at the Garden. Miami has the most valuable player in this series, and they are well coached. I think the coaching matchup is a mismatch in favor of the Heat. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Over.

So Chelsea comes into this away match at Bournemouth as a huge favorite, despite losing five straight matches in all competitions. During that span the Blues conceded 11 goals. Bournemouth is now tied on point with Chelsea, and they have four of their last five matches. Only Leeds United has conceded more goals than Bournemouth (64) so far in the Premier League this season. Cheslea has gone over in three straight matches at Bournemouth, and that trend should continue here today.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MIL.

The Brewers got swept in a three game series in Colorado, but they are still just 1.5 games out of first place in the NL Central.

The send their ace to the mound in Game 1 in San Francisco, and Corbin Burnes has owned the Giants. He was 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA in three starts versus the Giants last year.

The Giants hand the ball to Sean Manaea, who hasn't missed many bats this season. He was torched for five runs on five hits and four walks in just two innings in a home loss to San Diego his last time out.

The Giants are 1-7 in their last eight during game 1 of a series.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under. 

So the first half total has gone under in five of six games, and now the bookmakers have made the adjustment. I don't think they have adjusted enough for a Game 7 though. There have been 15 Game 7s played in the NBA since 2018. The combined total fell short of 200 in 12 of those games. Only one of those 15 games went over the listed total for this game, when the Clippers beat the Mavericks 126-111 in 2021. We saw 109 points scored in the first half of Game 6, and I can't see them scoring more than that here in a Game 7. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

So when it was announced that De'Aaron Fox was going to play despite a broken finger, the Warriors went from -4 in Game 5 to -1.5. I said that he could be a liability if he wasn't at 100 percent. He appeared to play pretty well, but his 24 points was a series low. He shot a series low 36 percent from the field and committed a series high six turnovers. I don't see it getting any better for the Kings here in Game 6. The Warriors won four series in last year's playoffs, and in their four series clinching wins the total went under in all four. The average combined total in those games was 207.5. I'll take the Dubs to win and the game to go under the total.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Rays rank #1 in the majors in runs scored, team batting average, slugging and on base percentage. They come into Chicago off back to back shutouts, and their struggles at the plate could continue against a red hot pitcher.

Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA in five starts. The Rays counter with their ace, and Shane McClanahan is 4-0 with a 1.86 ERA.

McClanahan allowed a pair of runs on three hits, striking out 10 in six innings in a win over Chicago in his last start. Cease was on the losing side of that game, but he was 1-0 with 0.87 ERA in two starts versus Tampa last year.

Chicago has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the Rays have gone under in each of McClanahan's last four starts.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Newcastle.

The Magpies sit 3rd in the Premier League table, tied on points with Manchester United. They have to keep winning games down the stretch if they want to secure a spot in the Champions League next season. They face an Everton squad that sits in the relegation zone, and certainly you have to consider this a "must win" game for the Toffees. The thing is, you don't find yourself in the relegation zone unless you consistently lose the games you should have won. Newcastle has won four of the last five versus Everton, and they have the 3rd best away record in the Premier League.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on NYR.

I had the Rangers in Game 1 of this series, and I said this before the puck dropped: "The Devils come in as the #3 seed with 112 points in the regular season, and they host the #5 seed New York Rangers who finished the regular season with 107 points. Both these teams had more wins on the road than they did at home this season. so you have to wonder how important home ice advantage will be in this series. The Devils won the regular season series 3-1, and three of those four games were decided by one goal. The Rangers made a splash at the trade deadline acquiring 3 x Stanley Cup champions and Conn Smythe winner Patrick Kane. The Rangers have a superior power play, and Igor Shesterkin was statistically better than Vitek Vanecek during the season. I'll take the underdog in Game 1 and for the series." Heading into Game 4 the Rangers have already chased Vitek Vanecek from the net, and the Devils have turned to 22 year old rookie Akira Schmid. I expect New York to take a stranglehold on the series with a win in Game 4.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on Under.

I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” We have since seen Game 2 and Game 3 go over the total, but with the Wolves facing elimination in Game 4, I expect to see more of a defensive battle here. The under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 overall, and the Timberwolves have gone under in 12 of their last 17 home games. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 5* play on BOS. 

I had the Bruins in Game 1, and here is what I said prior to the game. "Unlike the NBA, the NHL is all about parity. An 8th seed normally has a fighting chance against a #1 seed, but in the case of the Boston Bruins hosting Florida, we expect this to prove to me a mismatch. I am gonna call for a Gentleman's Sweep here. The Panthers are sending 30 year old journeyman goaltender Alex Lyon to the wolves here. I mean, normally when we refer to a player as a "journeyman", it means he's bounced around on many teams and might not have gotten a ton of ice time. Lyons has played the majority of his career in the AHL. He started just 15 games this season, which is a career high. The Bruins Linus Ullmark leads the NHL in GAA and save percentage, and his backup also ranks Top 5 in both categories. The Bruins broke the modern day record with 65 wins and 135 points this season. They should have little trouble getting past the Panthers." I still think this series is going to be a “Gentleman's Sweep”. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on COL.

The Rockies are in last place in the NL West, but they return home to host a Pirates team that they have owned in recent meetings.

Kyle Freeland will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been dealing so far. He's allowed just a pair of runs in his three starts so far, and the Rockies are 2-1 in those games.

The Pirates hand the ball to Rich Hill, who is still winless after three starts. Hill (0-2, 7.20 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits and two walks in six innings in a 7-0 loss to Houston his last time out.

The Pirates are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Colorado.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MEM.

The Grizzlies were 35-6 on their home court, giving them the best home record in the NBA. The home team has won all three meetings between these teams this year, and Memphis won at home by a score of 121-109 in February. The Lakers looked good in the second half after trailing 60-49 at halftime. If they play like that here in Memphis, they will have a much tougher time coming back in the second half. Watching them blow a three point lead with just 1 second on the clock was a little alarming. This looks like a let down spot for the Lakers, and I like Memphis to win big.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on RMA.

This looks like a mismatch. Chelsea is reeling, recently firing manager Graham Potter, and hiring former player Frank Lampard as the new manager. Lampard has a record of 37-40-19 as a manager, so it seems a curious choice for a club with one of the highest payrolls in Europe. Chelsea has failed to score in three straight matches, while Madrid has scored a dozen in their last three. Karim Benzema ranks 4th all time in Champions League scoring, and he scored a hat trick at Liverpool earlier this year. I like Madrid to win this game in a blowout.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MCI.

Six time Champions League winners Bayern Munich will be the underdog at the Etihad in the first leg of this Champions League Quarterfinal. Bayern has not impressed with recent form, and this team is really missing Robert Lewandowski. The Polish International scored 50 goals in all competitions last year with Bayern, and he is replaced by Sadio Mane and Jamaal Musiala. Between the two of them they have scored just 17 goals in the Bundesliga this season. Manchester City is stacked, with Norwegian phenom Erling Haaland breaking the teams single season goal scoring record in the middle of the season. Manchester City has a +33 goal differential in 14 home matches in the Premier League this season. I think Bayern would do well to keep this game close, and a loss by one goal might not be a bad result heading into the second leg.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Liverpool.

So it's a down year for Liverpool, coming into Sunday's match winless in their last four in all competitions. They failed to score in three of those four matches. The good news is that all those results came away from Anfield, and their last home match was a record breaking 7-0 win over Manchester United. They have just one loss in 13 home matches this season, and they have won six straight home games versus Arsenal. They rested several players in a midweek draw at Chelsea, and that means almost everyone is fit for this clash versus Arsenal.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Angels.

Toronto won Game 1 in Anaheim, but the pitching matchup in Game 2 favors the Angels.

Jose Berrios will toe the slab for the Jays, and he got lit up in his season debut. He allowed eight runs on nine hits and two walks in 5 2/3 innings in a loss to KC. He faced the Angels once last year, allowing six runs on six hits in just 2 1/3 innings.

The Angels hand the ball to Tyler Anderson, who was lights out for the Dodgers last year. He picked up right where he left off, tossing six scoreless in his Angels debut.

The Angels are 6-1 in their last seven home games, and they are 8-3 in their last 11 games versus a right-handed starter.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the JETS.

It's kind of ironic that the Predators are in Winnipeg tonight battling for the final Wild Card spot in the West. These two teams took the opposite approach at the trade deadline, with Nashville dumping veteran talent and Winnipeg looking to add players for a playoff run. One of those players is former Predator Nino Niederreiter. He's scored goals in two of his last three games. The Jets have owned their own division, going 20-8 in their last 28 versus the Central. The opposite is true for Nashville, going 8-20 in their last 28 in the Central. Too many injuries for the Preds, and Winnipeg is a tough place to play. I expect the Jets to blow the doors off here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on RMA.

Real Madrid has won their last two games by a combined score of 10-0. Ballon Dor winner Karim Benzema has scored six goals in those games. They host Villarreal here on Saturday, and I wouldn't want to step in front of this juggernaut right now. Madrid has not lost in 13 home games this season, and they have a +23 goal differential in those matches. Madrid has scored more than double (32) goals at home, than Villarreal have scored on the road (15).

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on NYI.

The Islanders face a must win game at home versus Tampa tonight, but this is actually a good spot for New York. Tampa is coming off a 6-3 loss to the Rangers, and they are scheduled to start their backup goalie here in the second game of a back to back. Brian Elliott has lost his last three road starts, giving up a whopping 18 goals in those games. Tampa has struggled in back to back situations, going 1-10 in their last 11 games playing on 0 days rest. The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings between these teams.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Aztecs streak of unders ended in a 72-71 win over FAU in the Final Four. Both teams shot out the lights from beyond the arc, with the Owls hitting over 40 percent and San Diego State better than 50 percent. I won't bank on seeing that again in the Final. The under is 17-5 in the Aztecs last 22 overall, and the under is 27-9 in their last 36 neutral site games. UCONN also plays a tough defensive brand of basketball, and the under is 7-2 in the Huskies last nine overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the Winnipeg Jets

The Jets currently hold the final Wild Card spot in the West, and that makes tonight's home game against New Jersey a must win. The Devils won 6-3 at Chicago yesterday, and could be in a let down spot here in the second game of a back to back. The Devils have not had much success against the Jets, losing nine of the last 11 meetings. The Jets have won four of their last five home games versus New Jersey.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on the PELICANS.

This is the second game of a back to back for the Clippers, and Kawhi Leonard played last night. We will see if any Clippers will be rested for load management tonight. The Pelicans have won six of their last seven overall, and they are 8-1 straight up in their last nine versus the Clippers. The Clippers are 6-22 ATS in the last 28 meetings in New Orleans.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SDSU.

The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Chelsea.

It's been a disastrous season for Chelsea despite having the highest payroll in the Premier League. The spending spree has brought in star players but the results haven't translated on the pitch. Chelsea sits 10th in the table, tied on points with Aston Villa. The two teams will play at Stamford Bridge Saturday, and the bookmakers are offering a reasonable price on the home favorite. Keep in mind that Chelsea is 9-1-1 in their last 11 Premier League matches versus Aston Villa, with only one loss in their last 19 home matches. Villa comes in undefeated in their last four matches, but all those games were against teams facing relegation.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Some might be shocked to see these teams here in the Elite-8, but I actually have a pending bet on Kansas State at 10-1 to win the East Region. This was one of three longshots I gave out on my NCAA Tournament preview show on Youtube. I am a little concerned that their starting PG rolled his ankle against Michigan State, even though he played a team high 43 minutes. The Owls have been dominant defensively in the tournament, and if Nowell is not 100 percent it will be tough for the Wildcats to run up the score. The under is 20-8-1 in the Owls last 29 neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The Wildcats have gone over in five straight NCAA Tournament games, but two of their three games at this tournament saw less than 144.5 combined points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

The under is still hitting at close to 70 percent in the tournament so far, and history suggests that the low scores will continue in the Sweet-16. Last year only six of the eight games reached 140 combined points. Xavier had their way with Pitt in the first half on Sunday, but the pace was slowed in the second half. I expect Texas to have more answers for the Musketeers and I don't think it's going to take them until halftime to figure it out. The under is 7-3-1 in the Musketeers last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and the Longhorns have gone under in seven straight overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Under.

Tennessee is the best defensive team in the country, ranking #1 nationally in both opponent field goal percentage as well as three-point field goal percentage. It should come as no surprise that the under is 9-4-1 in the Volunteers last 14 overall. Florida Atlantic has been solid on defense as well, and the under is 5-1 in the Owls last six neutral site games. I think FAU will score fewer than 60 points here, and the Vols are only averaging 66 points per game in their last five overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Vandy.

I picked Vandy at 28-1 to win the N.I.T. before the tournament started, and I bet on them in their opening game against Yale. Here is what I said before they beat the Bulldogs: "The Commodores have been one of the hottest teams in the country at the end of the season. Prior to losing to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament Semifinal, they had won 10 of 11 with wins over Kentucky (twice), Tennessee and Auburn. They host the Yale Bulldogs, and Vandy is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Commodores are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss." They needed a miracle to get past Michigan, and of course to me that felt like destiny is on their side.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 4* play on Under.

If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 14-5 in the Kentucky Wildcats last 19 NCAA Tournament games.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Arizona.

I had Arizona in their last game, a win against the Vancouver Canucks. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Coyotes continue to be undervalued at home, as the Canucks come to town as favorites. Vancouver has five fewer road wins than Arizona has at home, and when you consider that several of Vancouver's wins and several of Arizona's losses came in games decided by one goal, the puckline looks good even at a high price. The Canucks are 4-11 in their last 15 road games, while the Coyotes have won four straight at home." Now they face a Blackhawks team that has traded away all their veterans and are in full rebuild mode.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on SJST.

I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Seattle.

The Kraken have lost three straight on home ice, but they head out on the road where they have actually have a much better record. In fact Seattle has a Western Conference best 21 wins on the road, and the San Jose Sharks have the worst home record in the entire NHL. San Jose has just a half dozen home wins, the only team in the league that doesn't have 10+ wins on home ice. The Sharks are 13-41 in their last 54 home games. This is a big game for Seattle as they need to snap out of a slump to stay in a playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Sharks on the other hand are polishing their golf clubs.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on Duke.

By now, everyone knows that #5 seeds are vulnerable to upsets in the first round versus #12 seeds. Maybe that's how ACC Tournament champions Duke open as a single digit favorite and get bet down to -6.5 or -6. I believe the perception doesn't line up with the reality here at the NCAA Tournament. When a double digit seed wins outright it makes headlines, but the other 90 percent of the time it doesn't get talked about. Duke comes in on a nine game winning streak, and the average margin of victory in those games is well over 10 points per game. Oral Roberts has failed to cover in 12 of their last 15 versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Golden Eagles covered just twice in their last nine games overall.

GL,

Jesse Schule

This is a 10* play on MIN.

The Wild are coming off a 5-4 loss at Arizona on Sunday, and they have had a few days to prepare for tonight's game in St. Louis. Backup goaltender Filip Gustavsson allowed five goal on 23 shots in the loss. We will see Marc Andre Fluery back between the pipes tonight, and he's 3-0 with a 1.68 GAA so far in March. The Wild are 10-3 in their last 13 overall, and they have won four of their last five road games. The Blues are just 3-9 in their last 12 overall, and they are 1-5 in their last six home games. These two teams are trending in opposite directions.

GL,

Jesse Schule