The Blackhawks have lost all three of their games this season, allowing five goals each time, consistently playing from behind but this team is just not as bad as there results might indicate and according to my power rankings matchup well against a tired Panthers team playing their 4 games in 6 nights  thus giving us value with the recency bias underdog. Panthers are 3-9 in their last 12 home games.

 Panthers are 0-5 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation

 

NHL Road underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (CHICAGO) - off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals, terrible team, winning 30% or less of their games in the first half of the season are 21-7 on the ML L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Chicago Blackhawks to win on the ML

The Sharks lost 5-3 last time out to the Arizona Coyotes and will now be out to play a better brand of defensive hockey in a bounce back situation. The same holds true for the St.Louis Blues who were smashed by a 8-0 count last time out vs Colorado. SAN JOSE is 15-1 UNDER   after allowing 5 goals or more over the last 2 seasons. Another interesting anomaly has  the Under going  10-1 in Blues last 11 Monday tilts.

Play UNDER 

The Montreal Canadians blew a lead vs the Toronto Maple Leafs last time out and lost in OT. That had to have hurt, and for me exposed the Habs defensive issues. Tonight against a explosive offense lead by super star Conner McDavid I'm betting  Les Canadien will be exposed again.

MONTREAL is 1-14 ATS   after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.MONTREAL is 1-11 ATS (  after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Oilers to cash on the ML

The Senators come in here as fairly big home underdogs vs a Toronto side that I feel is over rated and still showing signs of lackluster defensive abilities. The Buds are the superior side here , however, Im betting on Ottawa's work ethic to be superior to that of the star laden group they are playing. Note: The Leafs are off an emotional roller coaster ride in their first game of the season that they won 5-4 vs the Habs  and could easily find themselves in a letdown spot. TORONTO is 0-8 ATS off a close home win by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons and is 1-8 ATS  after winning their previous game in overtime over the last 2 season. 

Play on the Ottawa Sens on the ML

The Islanders will ice a veteran team this season, and that plays well within HC Barry Trotz defense first system. Every player knows his role and this team must be respected here on a short line. Meanwhile, cross town rivals the Rangers will ice a younger team than expected and are being over rated by the media and pundits according to my projections. Im betting on experience and top tier defensive action from the physical Isles to get the job done here tonight.

Play on NY Islanders to win 

Toronto goalie Frederik Andersen, owns  a 7-3-2 record and .923 save percentage lifetime against the Canadiens, and after a inconsistent season last year, will be primed to bounce back this season especially this being the last year of his contract. Meanwhile, Price the Habs goalie tonight is also in a contract year and is one of the better goalies in the leauge when hes healthy, and must be respected even here against a high powered offence. Under is 8-1 in Canadiens last 9 vs. Atlantic.Under is 6-1 in Canadiens last 7 games as a road underdog.Under is 6-1 in Canadiens last 7 road games. Under is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 games as a home favorite. Under is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 home games.

Play UNDER

Thanks to a double-overtime victory on Saturday to force Game 6 on Monday in Edmonton, the Stars are still alive in the Stanley Cup Final , but Im betting that will be short lived. 

The Stars gave it everything they had in game 4 of this series and still lost in OT. Its been obvious since game 2 of this series who the far superior side is , and now Im betting the Bolts put this series to sleep and claim the Stanley Cup they deserve here tongiht.Lightning are 41-11 in their last 52 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Play on TB Lightning to win 

The Lightning are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and hold a 2-1 lead in this series vs Dallas and are far an above the superior side. With the Stanley Cup just two wins away and the smell of redemption on the horizon after last years disappointing effort, look for a huge efforts from Tampa Bay here in game 4. Note: In the last eight best-of-7 NHL series in which the Tampa Bay Lightning have led 2-games-1 after three games, Tampa's Game 4 outcome presaged their series outcome (one loss, seven wins).

Play on TB Lightning to win 

The Lightning looked tired in game 1 of this series after dealing with the hard hitting defensive minded Islanders. Dallas plays a similar style of hockey but the talented Bolts can adjust to any system, and can usually play it better than their opponents. With that said, now acclimated to their new opponent, a win is probable and worth the out lay on this line. 

Lightning are 89-26 in their last 115 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game and  are 43-15 in their last 58 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Lightning are 26-10 in their last 36 vs. a team with a winning record.

Lightning are 41-16 in their last 57 overall.

Lightning are 10-4 in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite.

Play on the TB Lightning to win 

The Lightning Im betting will solve red hit goalie  Khudobin and the Stars when the series resumes for Game 2 on Monday. Stars Khudobin stopped 35 shots, including 22 in a third period dominated by the Lightning.Coming off their Eastern Conference finals clinching win over the New York Islanders on Thursday, the Lightning had far less jump in the first two periods compared to a Dallas team that had four full days between games. that advantage is now over, and tonight Im betting we see the Bolts at full speed and in redemption mode.Lightning are 44-8 in their last 52 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Lightning are 23-9 in their last 32 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals.

Play on the Tampa Bay Lightning to win 

The Islanders played their hearts out in game 5 and barely escaped with a victory in OT by a 2-1 count. Truth is the Isles are still a few pieces away from winning a Stanley Cup in my opinion, and the Bolts on most nights play a better form of Barry Trotz hockey than the Isles can at this juncture in their development. 

Lightning are 43-8 in their last 51 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Islanders are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog.

Islanders are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.

Play on the Tampa Bay Lightning to win 

Western Conference - Conference Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Edmonton, AB

Vegas beat Dallas 5-3 in the Round Robin amd matchup well vs the Stars and get my support here again today. 

VEGAS is 71-36 ATS  against good starting goalies - saving 91.5%  or better of shots against over the last 3 seasons.

VEGAS is 11-1 ATS  after 2 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 3 seasons.

NHL underdog against the money line (DALLAS) - revenging a road loss versus opponent, off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival are 16-67 L/.5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Vegas  Golden Knight's 

The Isles outshot the Flyers, 51-33 and in my opinion deserved to win that  last game. But non the less here we are in game 7. During this series the Islanders have been the better team 5v5 but have failed terribly in OT. With this being the Flyers 2nd consecutive exhasuting series, Im betting their now running on fumes, and will finally succumb to the Islanders here tonight especially with one of the leagues best two way centers Couturier at less than 100% or not able to play.  

Play on the NY Islanders to win 

Colorado needs desperately to clamp down defensively , after trying to push the pace in wide open affairs, that has resulted in mostly negative results for them.  Also Dallas also wants to get back to solid defensive hockey, which ha a been a keystone of their successes this season. With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring affair here today that fails to eclipse the total. 

DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER  after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games this season.DALLAS is 17-8 UNDER  in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.

Play on UNDER

Over is 7-1-1 in Canucks last 9 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over is 5-1-1 in Canucks last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Over is 4-1-1 in Canucks last 6 following a loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 4-1 in Canucks last 5 following a home loss of 3 or more goals.Over is 19-7-1 in Canucks last 27 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Canucks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 5-2 in Canucks last 7 vs. Pacific.Over is 14-6-1 in Canucks last 21 vs. Western Conference.Over is 7-3 in Canucks last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 15-7-1 in Canucks last 23 games as an underdog.Over is 21-10-1 in Canucks last 32 overall.

Over is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 13-4-2 in Golden Knights last 19 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Play OVER

 Last night the Isles continued their tough defensive play en route to a 3-1 win.New York’s currently giving up a postseason best 1.73 goals per game while Philadelphia’s second among remaining clubs at 2.09. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE remains the name of the game here . Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 games as an underdog.

Under is 7-1 in Flyers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1-1 in Flyers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 12-3-1 in Flyers last 16 overall.Under is 4-1-3 in Flyers last 8 playoff games as an underdog.Under is 12-3-1 in Flyers last 16 vs. Eastern Conference.

Under is 4-1 in Flyers last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 3-0-1 in Islanders last 4 games as a favorite.Under is 3-0-1 in Islanders last 4 playoff games as a favorite.Under is 4-1-1 in Islanders last 6 overall.

Play UNDER

After watching Colorado find a way to win a wild back and forth 6-4 game 3 battle in this series, it became evident to me, the Avs are going to have a hard time with the Stars tough defensive system. Last game Im betting was an anomaly, and I expect Dallas to now bounce back with a top tier defensive effort and win on a value ML . Avalanche are 6-18 in their last 24 Conference Semifinals games.Stars are 6-1 in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.Stars are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.Stars are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.

Play on Dallas to win 

Barry Trotz and the NYI have been terrific defensively all season long, and in the play offs so far, except for one lapse in the 3rd period of game two, that cost them the game. Now I expect the Isles under a disciplined system to come out here and smuther the Flyers and for Philadelphia to reciprocate . Under is 6-1 in Flyers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 11-2-1 in Flyers last 14 overall.Under is 11-2-1 in Flyers last 14 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Flyers last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Under is 23-6-2 in Islanders last 31 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 overall.Under is 15-5-1 in Islanders last 21 Saturday games.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 3-1-1 in Islanders last 5 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 5-2-2 in Islanders last 9 playoff games as a favorite.Under is 35-15-2 in Islanders last 52 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.Under is 36-16-3 in Islanders last 55 games playing on 1 days rest.

Play UNDER

TB pounded the Bruins 7-1 last time out. It interesting to note that TAMPA BAY is 14-4 OVER  off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. Im expecting the Bruins to expand their game offensively and for TB to keep rolling. 

Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 playoff games as an underdog.

Play OVER 

Western Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Edmonton, AB

Dallas is up 2-0 in this series and now the Avs have their backs up against the wall, knowing that if they lose here, their ability to climb back into this maybe insurmountable. The Avs are chalk full of offensive talent and have to ability to rev up to another level, something Im betting they do here tonight. 

Avalanche are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.(lost 5-2 in game 2)

DALLAS is 9-19 ATS (-15.7 Units) in the 3rd game of a playoff series since 1996.

Play on the Colorado Avs to win 

The Vegas Knights took a 5-0 win in game 1 of this series and the previous two games this season saw 9 goals scored in both affairs, and Im expecting for more offensive fireworks here again today. VEGAS is 11-4 OVER  after a blowout win by 3 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored.VANCOUVER is 10-3 OVER  in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season with a combined average of 7.4 gpg scored. 

Play OVER

Dallas looked over powering and matched up well vs Colorado in the first game of this series . The Stars had six more high-danger scoring chances than Colorado and registered a  1.52 expected goals at 5-on-5 ratio.The Stars are rolling. They've scored 24 goals in the last six games and get my support again on a value moneyline.

Play on the Dallas Stars to win 

These teams played twice back in December before the NHL was shutdown. Both games easily eclipsed the total with 9 combined goals scored in both tilts. Rinse and repeat here today. 

VEGAS is 21-12 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 6.6 gpg scored.VEGAS is 20-9 OVER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. Over is 6-0 in Golden Knights last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over is 20-8-1 in Canucks last 29 overall.

Play OVER

Eastern Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Toronto, ON

When the league paused in March, the Bruins were atop the NHL standings, the lone 100-point team, and the Lightning stood second in the Eastern Conference and now in the play off bubble Boston remains according to my power rankings the top team, and gets my support here in game 1 vs the Bolts a team missing their key star forward - Steven Stamkos is out indefinitely ( Lower Body ).

BOSTON is 21-4 ATS  after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game this season which was the case last time out. 

Play on Boston to win 

These teams respect each other and Im betting game 1 will be physical and conservative and played out of transition, which will lead to a lower scoring affair that fail to eclipse this total. .

BOSTON is 20-9 UNDER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

TAMPA BAY is 17-7 UNDER  in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season.

Play UNDER

Western Conference - Second Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 - Edmonton, AB

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 6 - Edmonton, AB

The style of play that Dallas bases it successes on  which is a defense first mentality makes for  lower-scoring affairs  even in games   they dominate. 

 DALLAS is 30-16 UNDER  against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game this season.

CALGARY is 11-3 UNDER  in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER

Western Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 5 - Edmonton, AB

Blackhawks goalie Crawford  in his career when facing elimination, owns a  91.8 % SVP o and a 2.39 goals-against average and Im betting he will be hard to beat here tonight. On the flipside Vegas has proved more than capable of slowing the Blackhawks offence, and nothing will change tonight in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the total.VEGAS is 19-7 UNDER  against good starting goalies - (saving  91.5%  or better of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 4.6 gpg scored.

Play UNDER

NYI Barry Trotz has coached this NYI team well and their system is stringent defensively to say the least, and Im betting nothing changes here today in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the number.  The Isles beat the Caps 5-2 last time out . Note: NY ISLANDERS are 10-2 UNDER in road games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.3 gpg. 

Play on the UNDER

The Chicago Blackhawks have lost the first two games of their best-of-seven series with the Vegas Golden Knights and really need to shore up their defence to compete, and today in desperation mode I expect a big time effort from the entire team defensively and for this tilt to remain on the low side of the total. 

NHL team against the total (CHICAGO) - revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 156-105 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 60% conversion rate! 

Play on the UNDER

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Toronto, ON

Carolina bounced back to tie this series up last time out, but the Bruins even if their big scoring star Pastarnak does not play is the over all superior side . The Canes brought their physical game last time out, but now Im betting on the Bruins coming out and matching that action with some big times physical work of their own. 

CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/G - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.CAROLINA is 7-23 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

CAROLINA is 7-23 ATS  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 11-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Boston to win 

The Hawks had problems offensively in game 1 so Colliton is  will now pair Kane and Toews on the same line in five-on-five, not just the power play.HC Colliton also said “Ultimately, we’ve got to know: Forwards get to the net, find a way, be there and you find a way to get it through. That goes back to establishing (offensive)-zone presence, find a way to be there a little bit longer and we’ll get our chances.” With that said, Im expecting a more aggressive offensive attack here tonight from the Hawks, and as a result of more open play, more goals from both sides.

CHICAGO is 5-0 OVER in road games revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent by 2 goals or more this season.

Play on the OVER

Montreal has been playing well but according to my power rankings do not matchup well against the Flyers. Note: MONTREAL is 4-11 ATS after a 2 game unbeaten streak this season.

PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 ATS in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 season

PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS   against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Play on Philadelphia to win 

The Washington Capitals In the postseason at even strength,  rank last in shots per 60 minutes and their goals at 1.54. Here against a NYI Barry Trotz defense first system, Im betting the Caps once again find it hard to score, while their own reliance on top tier D will be paramount in a game I have pegged to stay on the low side of the totals number.

NY ISLANDERS are 9-1 UNDER in road games after a blowout win by 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER

The Blues posted a 4-0-1 record in the five regular-season meetings with the Stars and deserve our respect here on a short line vs a Minnesota side that finished their regular season with a 0-4-2 winless streak and are 0-2 after the break.

Play on the Blues to win 

The Isles did a fantastic job of shutting down  the Panthers in the first two games of this series and than came out on fire in game 3 , but were stymied by Sergei Bobrovsky and than shot themselves in the proverbial foot with some bad penalties. Now knowing they cant afford to let the Panthers win this game , Im betting they get back to the business of playing top tier D, and delivering the win to their backers as they move on in this play off tournament restart. 

Play on the NY Islanders to win 

The Islanders play a one way style of conservative defensive hockey and nothing will change here today.  These teams have a history of low scoring affairs with 8 of 9 games in this series having gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . 

Play UNDER 

The Montreal Canadiens are the 12th -- or lowest -- seed in the Eastern Conference qualifying round in Toronto, making them the underdog against the fifth-seeded Pittsburgh Penguins and rightfully so, as this is a bad matchup for them against an experienced play off team that know how to win. Note: The Habs are just 1-14 on the ML  as a conference dog facing opposition playing their 2nd home game with average margin of defeat clicking in at 1.8 ppg. 

Play on Pittsburgh to win on the ML

The teams faced off three times in the regular season, with the Capitals winning all three matches against the Lightning. Washington defenseman Dmitry Orlov netted the game-winning goals in the first and third meetings. Im betting on the status quo remaining intact here today.TB superstar Steven Stamkos is downgraded to OUT Monday vs Washington ( Lower Body )

Capitals are 10-3 in their last 13 games as an underdog.Lightning are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.

Play on the Capitals to win on the ML

The Columbus Blue Jackets earned a reputation as giant-killers in the first round of last season's playoffs by knocking off the Presidents' Trophy-winning Tampa Bay Lightning in four straight games and they get my respect here today on a value line.The Blue Jackets are solid in goal with Joonas Korpisalo (19-12-5, 2.60 goals-against average in the regular season) and rookie Elvis Merzlikins (13-9-8, 2.35 GAA) and they will be key into todays victory. TORONTO is 2-7 ATS  after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game this season.

Play on Columbus to win on the ML

The Isles defensive system will be extremely hard for the Panthers to handle.

Panthers are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.Panthers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Islanders to win game 1 in this series

The Islanders have a way of forcing teams into playing their style of grinding defensive  hockey. Here this Saturday against the Panthers nothing will change.(7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons.) The 4 most recent games in this series have seen an average  combined total of 3.75 goal per game scored. 

Play UNDER

GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, DETROIT - JIMMY HOWARD

After upsetting Tampa Bay last time out 5-4 Detroit Im betting wont be catching the Carolina Caners by surprise, and instead I look for them to have a regression to the mean offensively which means a output 2 goals or less which is their season average. Meanwhile, Carolina continues to play an inconsistent brand of hockey, but that has shown some defensive prowess recently allowing back to back 2 goal outputs by their opposition. CAROLINA is 8-0 UNDER   in road games off 2 or more consecutive road wins over the last 2 seasons.

DETROIT is 15-6 UNDER  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.DETROIT is 13-4 UNDER   in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 UNDER  in home games off a home win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. 

Play UNDER 

Pittsburgh  has struggled defensively of late, but knowing the importance of shoring up their D and getting back on track will be a key concentration point . Tonight against a sub .500 side that will not be in the post season key to trying to getting a win will to be slow down an inconsistent offence, especially since the Pens are on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 14 nights.  . Note: PITTSBURGH is 7-1 UNDER  in road games against struggling defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg.NEW JERSEY is 23-12 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5.3 gpg scored. 

After back to back losses to division rivals Washington and Carolina playing strong   D, Im sure is on tonights agenda. Note:PITTSBURGH is 16-4 UNDER  in road games off an embarrassing loss by 4 goals or more to a division rival. (Lost 6-2 to Carolina last time out)

PITTSBURGH is 9-1 UNDER in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, VANCOUVER - THATCHER DEMKO

On Friday night Vancouver and Colorado took part in a back forth 6-3 tilt the Canucks won and now Im betting on a more tempered game from them here tonight vs a Columbus team that predicates its successes and failure on top tier defence. The Blue Jackets offence is less than formidable averaging just 2.4 gpg on the road this season and 2.5 goals per game in their L/5 overall. 

COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER  after 3 consecutive non-conference games this season.COLUMBUS is 26-12 UNDER against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances this season.

VANCOUVER is 7-1 UNDER in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored over the last 2 season

Play UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - CARTER HUTTON, PHILADELPHIA - CARTER HART

Buffalo has gone 6 straight games without scoring more than 2 goals and have gone 0-13 on the power play recently. This Sabres team is struggling to score and tonight vs a red hot Philadelphia team Im betting on them having more problems burying the biscuit. Their inadequacies on offence and their need to be more efficient defensively will help this game stay under the total. Note: Philadelphia is also on tired legs so Im betting they temper this attack to retain energy . Note: PHILADELPHIA is 13-6 UNDER  in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season.

BUFFALO is 6-0 UNDER after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more this season.

Play UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - PEKKA RINNE, DALLAS - BEN BISHOP

Dallas plays a one way transitional type of defensive  hockey and nothing will change here today. DALLAS is 13-2 UNDER  in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. 

DALLAS is 12-4 UNDER  in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5 or less (DALLAS) - average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) vs a poor defensive team (allow >=2.9 goals/G) are 52-30 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - CARTER HUTTON, WINNIPEG - CONNOR HELLEBUYCK

Sabres starter Hutton has a ugly 3.68 GAA over 14 road games.

NHL. Road teams against the total (BUFFALO) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, with a losing record in the second half of the season are 29-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. 

Play OVER 

ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, NY RANGERS - ALEXANDAR GEORGIEV

NY RANGERS are 8-2 OVER  against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.8 gpg game scored.

ST LOUIS is 10-4 OVER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. 

 NHL  Road teams against the total (ST LOUIS) - after a 5 game unbeaten streak, in March games are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

GOALTENDERS: BUFFALO - JONAS JOHANSSON, ARIZONA - DARCY KUEMPER

Buffalo is allowing 3.4 gpg on the road this season, and should provide a Vegas side that does not do alot of consistent scoring to have an above average night offensively which will aid in this game going over the set total. Buffalo in their L/5 games have averaged 5 goals per game and now out of a play off race are not being as stringent defensively as they would be if these games meant more to them. Value to the over.

Play over  

The last time these teams played the Panthers took a 5-3 decision a couple of weeks ago, and now despite of the Leafs out looking for revenge , Im betting they dont get it. The Leafs are off a victory last time out vs Tampa Bay  (4-3) after a embarrassing 6-3 loss to an emergency goalie  but have not won back to back gamers since January against a team that matches up well against them.  Im betting that current trend stays intact. Note: Florida is 6-0 L/6 at home in this series.The Panthers have won both matchups this season, including 8-4 at home Jan. 4.

TORONTO is 4-11 ATS  against good offensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% pp or better - 2nd half of the season this season.TORONTO is 1-7 ATS (-11.0 Units) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game this season.

Play on Florida to win on the ML

StLouis enters this game in a vulnerable scheduling spot with this being their 7th game in 10 nights. I know the Blues have picked things up with 4 straight wins, but that will be difficult to sustain, here as they will be playing on tired legs. At this price we has an advantage with the Blackhawks. 

ST LOUIS is 4-10 ATS  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

NHL team against the money line (ST LOUIS) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more against opponent after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game are 33-63 L/5 seasons for a 66% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Chicago Blackhawks to win on the ML

At the trade deadline the Sens parted ways with pending UFA J.G. Pageau along with Tyler Ennis and Vladimir Namestnikov and now that the team is in total rebuild their vulnerable to getting beat up on. 

OTTAWA is 0-10 ATS  against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

OTTAWA is 4-22 ATS in road games after allowing 3 goals or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

Senators are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Nashville..

Nashville on the puckline 

The New Jersey Devils and Detroit Red Wings both occupy the basement of their respective divisions in the Eastern Conference. NJ has won 2 straight games,  with tight defensive efforts by 2-1 and 3-2 counts while  the Red Wings, who have dropped 16 of 19 (3-15-1) and scored more than three goals only once in that span. Im expecting the Devils to continue this type of hockey as its been success-full lately and for Motown to continue to struggle to score which will result in lower scoring affair. 

Under is 6-0-1 in Red Wings last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 overall.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-1-2 in Red Wings last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 home games.

 Under is 8-0-1 in Devils last 9 games as a favorite.

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the  UNDER 

Columbus plays a conservative disciplined brand of defensive hockey, and they consistently find a way to keep games chippy and physical while taking teams out of their offensive flow.  Rinse and repeat here tonight vs Philadelphia as they will be very stringent after suffering a 5-1 loss to the Flyers in the first part of this home and home series. 

COLUMBUS is 6-0 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 2.3 gpg scored.

COLUMBUS is 15-2 UNDER  in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 47-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The injury riddled Sharks, haven't won a home game since Jan. 27 and Im betting that their problems as hosts continue tonight vs a hungry Florida Panthers team that matches up against them from a metrics standpoint. FLORIDA is 9-0 ATS against  teams - outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season.

Florida has won 4 of the L/5 meetings in this series including 1 earlier season by a convincing 5-1 score. Note: SAN JOSE is 4-9 ATS  in home games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.

NHL Road Favorites against the money line (FLORIDA) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread are 28-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Florida Panthers to win on the ML

The Columbus Blue Jackets made them selves post season candidates  with a  red hot  two-month run, recording a  (19-2-5) record. However,  Columbus has struggled of late,  suffering four straight losses (0-2-2). Despite of the downturn in their fortunes Im betting they are more than capable of getting a victory here in NJ where they have won their previous 6 trips.

 Jackets are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

Blue Jackets are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. Metropolitan.

Blue Jackets are 13-5 in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.

Blue Jackets are 5-2 in their last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.

Blue Jackets are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Blue Jackets are 44-21 in their last 65 games as a road favorite.

 Play on Columbus to win on the ML

The St. Louis Blues are mired in a four-game losing streak (0-2-2) and are fade material in their current form vs a up-trending Nashville team. The Blues own an 0-2-1 record against the Predators this season.

Blues are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog.

Blues are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.

Blues are 1-8 in their last 9 road games.

Blues are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

Blues are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.

Blues are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Central.

Predators are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Central.

Blues are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Nashville.

Play on Nashville to win on the ML

Bruins super star David Pastrnak, who became the first player to 42 goals on Saturday, has seven points in two games versus the Rangers this season and Im betting he will be a catalyst here in an above average Bruins offensive output , that will help buoy this game over the set total. 

Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games a home underdog.Over is 11-4-1 in Rangers last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 9-4-1 in Rangers last 14 home games.Over is 14-4-1 in Rangers last 19 games as an underdog.

Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Play OVER 

San Jose is off two straight games where 9 and 8 combined goals were scored and tonight Im betting this tilt vs a Winnipeg team, that has scored 14 total goals in a 3 game span prior to being held to 1 goal last time out will also be fairly high scoring  . Considering both sides current form and style of play Im projecting a combined score that eclipses this total. Note: San Jose has allowed an average of 3.5 gpg on the road this season and have allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of their L/7 games overall, while Winnipeg scores an average of 3.2 gpg in their L/5 while allowing 31.6 shots per game and taking 34.6 shot per game. 

Over is 5-1 in Sharks last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Over is 4-1 in Sharks last 5 vs. Western Conference.

NHL  team against the total (SAN JOSE) - well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, in February games are 259-175 L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

With one of the leagues top scorers  McDavid  out of Edmonton Oilers  lineup Im betting  his absence will effect their offensive slow and output. 
This will directly effect the total of this game to the under as Im also betting on a Edmonton team that should now be committed to playing conservatively out of transition.  .Meanwhile,  With the playoffs on the horizon TB is gearing up defensively and physical which will also contribute to a contest that does not produce more than 6 goals. Under is 4-0-2 in Lightning last 6 overall.

TAMPA BAY is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season of 4.2 gpg scored.TAMPA BAY is 8-0 UNDER after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season.

Play UNDER

GOALTENDERS: TAMPA BAY - CURTIS MCELHINNEY, PITTSBURGH - MATT MURRAY

Two of the NHL's best teams meet for the second time in less than a week when the Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning face off Tuesday in Pittsburgh.The Lightning  played last night and will now be on tired legs , and also in an emotional letdown situation after Monday victory vs a  Blue Jackets  side that  pulled off an upset  vs Tampa Bay in the first round of the playoffs last spring.  That will have the Bolts playing a little less aggressive-than usual , vs a team that is revved up to show they are a top tier team that must be respected.  

Note: The Lightning is 1-for-34 on the power play over the last 14 games after coming up empty in three tries Monday.

TAMPA BAY is 0-5 ATS after winning their previous game in overtime this season.PITTSBURGH is 12-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. 

Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Pittsburgh is 13-2-0 at home against the Lightning dating to Nov. 12, 2010.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

 The Blue Jackets' defense and goaltending are key to their run of success of late.  Netminder Elvis Merzlikins has recorded five shutouts in the last nine contests, and the team's goalies have a league-high seven on the season, and Im betting another concerted effort to play tough defence will be on tonights agenda vs a offensively explosive Tampa Bay team. The Bolts in a recent game vs the Isles matched their opponents tough defensive game plan, with a similar style of play and it payed dividends in a 3-1 win, and Im betting that will be modus operandi here again tonight in a tilt I have pegged to stay under the total. COLUMBUS is 24-9 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 4.8 gpg scored. TAMPA BAY is 6-0 UNDER  after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored.

Under is 5-0-1 in Lightning last 6 vs. Metropolitan. Under is 6-2-1 in Lightning last 9 road games.

Under is 10-4-1 in Lightning last 15 games as a road favorite.

Under is 5-0 in Blue Jackets last 5 games as a home underdog.

Under is 8-1 in Blue Jackets last 9 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

 Under is 6-1 in Blue Jackets last 7 games as an underdog.

Under is 6-1 in Blue Jackets last 7 vs. Atlantic.

Play UNDER 

Both these teams have seen 6 gpg average in their games this season, and this one set up to eclipse those averages according to my projections.

Over is 13-3 in Blackhawks last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Over is 6-1-1 in Jets last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.

CHICAGO is 24-8 OVER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with an AVERAGE OF 7.3 gog scored.

WINNIPEG is 15-4 OVER L/19 after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games with a combined average of 7 gpg going on the scoreboard. 

NHL Home teams against the total (WINNIPEG) - after allowing 2 goals or less in 4 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game are 31-11 OVER L/5  seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Play OVER

The Blue Jackets are 9-0-1 in their last 10 games after Friday's 2-0 win over the Detroit Red Wings, and they are 19-2-5 since dropping four in a row in early December. Even though they are playing back to back games they are not going to be n easy out here for Colorado a team that is road weary as they have not played at home since Jan 20th.COLUMBUS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances in the 2nd half of the year this season and is 6-0 ATS  against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season and is 10-0 ATS  against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the 2nd half of the year this season.

Play on Columbus to win on the ML

GOALTENDERS: SAN JOSE - AARON DELL, EDMONTON - MIKKO KOSKINEN

Edmonton (8-1-2) L/11 has scored at least four goals in each of the wins before absorbing a 3-0 defeat to the Coyotes, the team's first shutout loss since Oct. 22. Today I expect a big bounce back and alot more offensive output. Note:Edmonton's top-ranked power play is converting on 28.9 percent of its chances. Meanwhile, San Jose has allowed  25 goals in their L/7 games and are deficient defensively, and this will be a key here to us getting an over bet to cash on this tilt. 

EDMONTON is 13-6 OVER  in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 7 gpg scored. 

SAN JOSE is 15-4 OVER off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival over the last 2 seasons with an average of 7.4 gpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Both teams have won five of their past seven games and up trending coming into this tilt. But the value lies with a Ducks team that matches up well against the Habs, because of their physicality and size advantage. Canadiens goaliePrice is listed as probable against the Ducks, a team he has struggled against during his career.Price is 3-7-1 against Anaheim with a 3.13 goals-against average and .895 save percentage, both of which are far off his career marks of 2.48 and .918, respectively.

MONTREAL is 0-9 ATS  after a game where both teams scored 4 goals or more this season which was the case last time out vs NY in a 5-4 win. 

MONTREAL is 0-12 ATS  after playing a game where 8 or more total goals were scored this season.

Advantage Anaheim on the ML

Inconsistent  play from his team before the All-Star break prompted Boston Bruins coach Bruce Cassidy to challenge players with internal competition.Since than the  Bruins  have responded and   enter play with a 13-3-3 record against Western Conference foes this season, including a 7-2-1 mark against clubs from the Central Division. Last night the Bruins shut out the red hot Vancouver Canucks by a 4-0 count and despite of this being a back to back look be revving up in into play off form and deserve out backing on the moneyline. BOSTON is 31-9 ATS  after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored over the last 2 seasonCHICAGO is 3-12 ATS  in home games against good offensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% or more pp this season. 

Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Bruins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Central.

Bruins are 10-4 in their last 14 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Bruins are 16-7 in their last 23 games as a road favorite.

Blackhawks are 13-28 in their last 41 games as a home underdog.

Play on the Boston Bruins to win on the ML

Vancouver is on tired legs as they enter this tilt playing their 4th straight road game  in less than a week, and Im betting will find it difficult tonight vs a Bruins team that is off a 6-1 win last time out and on a couple of days rest. The Canucks have been finding ways to win, this season, much to the surprise of the pundits thanks to a better than advertised offence, but lately despite of scoring their D is showing some chinks in their proverbial arm-our and a a result they have gone over in 3 straight games. On the road the Canucks allow an average of 3.4 gpg , and Im betting their season average as visitors will be eclipsed here, and their own ability to bury the biscuit will help this score go over the total.   VANCOUVER is 7-1 OVER  in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games this season with an average of 7.7 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - explosive offensive team - scoring 3+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 50-19 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, MONTREAL - CHARLIE LINDGREN

Price is 1-1-0 against the Jackets this season, allowing seven goals. Over his career against Columbus, he is 10-5-1 with a 2.36 goals-against average.

COLUMBUS is 8-2 UNDER  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with the combined average of 4.5 gpg scored. COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season.

COLUMBUS is 22-8 UNDER (+13.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season, with a combined average of 4.7 gpg . 

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (MONTREAL) - off a home win, playing on back-to-back days are 108-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a long term 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Nashville upset Washington by a 6-5 count the last time they played on Oct 10, and now with revenge on board Im betting on the Capitals will be coming at the Preds with everything but the kitchen sink, knowing that he scores last will most probably be the victors here. WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER revenging a road loss versus opponent this season with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. 

NASHVILLE is 6-0 OVER  against top caliber teams - outscoring opponents by 0.65+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 7.6 gpg scored. 

WASHINGTON is 25-9 OVER  vs team defense that allow their  - opponents to average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 6.9 gpg scored. 

Play on the OVER 

Vancouver is 8-0-0 in its past eight home games. However all good bad things must come to an end, and nothing last forever. In come the defending Stanley Cup champion Blues ready and revved up to make another run at the cup. St. Louis already has notched one win in Vancouver this season, emerging with a 2-1 overtime victory on Nov.  and get the nod again.

NHL Home underdogs against the money line (VANCOUVER) - after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games are 3-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on St.Louis to win on the ML

The Isles lost the first two games of this season series, and will go all out here to try top get back into the win column. They will be especially hungry here after blowing a late 4-1 lead to the Capitals on the weekend losing by an embarrassing 6-4 score and a followup 2-1 loss to Carolina. Motivation, and Stanley Cup coaching by Barry Trotz are keys to an Islanders redemption win here this evening.

Road Favorites against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread are 28-3 L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the NY Islanders to win on the ML

GOALTENDERS: DETROIT - JIMMY HOWARD, COLORADO - PHILIPP GRUBAUER

Detroit is scoring just 2 gpg on average on the road this season, and know they cannot compete offensively here vs an explosive Colorado side Im betting they approach this tilt very conservatively as they look to avoid bring embarrassed. This Im betting results in a total score that remains on the low side of the total. 

NHL team against the total (DETROIT) - cold team - having lost 20 or more of their last 25 games, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 54-26 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 68% conversion rare for bettors. 

NHL Road teams against the total (DETROIT) - off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, in January games are 32-12 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DETROIT) - off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days are 31-16 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

The Islanders have not been operating in  their usual optimal defensive minded ways of late, and have shown themselves to be highly inconsistent  thanks to a lack of having a sniper in  their top 6 forwards. ( they do have Kiefer Bellows down at Bridgeport) but for now he remains in the minors and until then Im betting on some more regression from the Isles, and especially tonight against Ovechkin and the Washington Capitals.Capitals are 15-6 in their last 21 road games.Capitals are 36-17 in their last 53 games as a favorite.Islanders are 2-6 in their last 8 home games. Road team is 6-0 L/6 meetings.

Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the ML

GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS

Both theses teams play a similar tight forechecking type of defensive hockey, that results in consistent low scoring outputs, both from themselves and their opponents. For example Columbus has won back to back games by 3-0 nothing scores, while, Carolina has shut out 2 of their L/3 opponents but scored just 5 goals in in total in thier L/3 trips to the frozen pond. Im betting on more of the same tight defensive play and top tier goaltending when both sides meet tonight. 

 CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored.(Columbus won both meetings this season, by one goal counts)

 COLUMBUS is 9-1 UNDER  in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more against opponent after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 71-29 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 The Lightning come in here looking tired as this will be their 4th game in 6 nights. Actually they looked a little winded in their tilt vs the Devils last time out, a 3-1 loss. Tonight against a well rested Kings team that is 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest they are a disadvantage despite of the talent discrepancies. 

Play on the LA Kings to win on the ML

Arizona has been shutout in back to back games and are obviously struggling offensively. With this being Pittsburgh final game of a 3 game west coast road trip Im betting they are on tired legs after two 4-3 wins , and will be more tempered in their approach to this game against what they know is hungry team. What Arizona continues to do despite of their recent scoring woes, is play strong defence, and today against a upper echelon side, that defensive vigilance Im betting will be on full display. 

ARIZONA is 8-1 UNDER  in home games against excellent starting goalies - saving  93% or more of shots against over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4 gpg. ARIZONA is 24-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 5 gpg scored. 

NHL road teams where the total is 5.5 (PITTSBURGH) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 46-15 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

 GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY

Columbus enters this game playing a tremendous brand of tight defensive hockey that bases their own scoring chances out of transition. In the Blue Jackets last 13 games they have allowed an average of just 2 GPG and the combined average of those tilts clicks in at 5 gpg.  Vegas has been taking part in some high scoring back and forth games of late, but their HC Gallant has not been happy with the teams play, and wants to get back what has made the Knights so hard to play against since their inception into the NHL. tonight he has a prime opportunity to get back to basics vs a team that will be in a fore checking mode from the get go. 

COLUMBUS is 17-7 UNDER  against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game this season.

NHLHome teams against the total (VEGAS) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (score 2.9 or more goals/G) vs an average scoring team (score 2.5-2.9 goals/G) are 84-48 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.

NHL team against the total (COLUMBUS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 93-54 L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

 GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - PEKKA RINNE, CHICAGO - ROBIN LEHNER

Nashville has revenge on board for an embarrassing 7-2 loss they suffered to Chicago back in November and will be primed for payback here. I know both sides, are playing at the opposite proverbial end of the performance spectrum, but this could be the wake up call the Preds need to get back on track again.

CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS  in home games against good offensive teams - 29 shots or more  on goal, convert 17% or better pp this season.

NHL Road Favorites against the money line (NASHVILLE) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread are 27-3 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Nashville Predators to win

Chicago has been doing some scoring of late and have seen an average of 4.4 gpg in their L/5 games find the back of the net. Meanwhile, their D, remains sub par and has allowed 3.3 gpg in their L/5 and on the season as a whole. Over is 6-1 in Blackhawks last 7 vs. Pacific.

Their opponents tonight Calgary have also been scoring consistently lately scoring 3.8 gpg in their L/5 games while allowing 3.6 gpg during that span with 7 of their L/8 going over the total. Over is 5-0-1 in Flames last 6 games as a favorite.

Im betting when they converge tonight a all out run and gun affair will take place and this score will eclipse this total number. These teams in their most recent meetings have taken part in high scoring affairs, including this season 5-3 tilt that the Blackhawks took. 

CHICAGO is 22-9 OVER  against poor power play killing teams - opp score on 17.5% or more of chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.3 gpg scored. CHICAGO is 17-3 OVER  against excellent power play teams- scoring on 17.5% or more  of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 7.7 gpg. CHICAGO is 16-3 OVER ( against good offensive teams - 29 or more shots on goal, convert 17% or better pp - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 8.1 gpg scored. 

Play on the OVER

The Lightning are red hot and on a 7 game win streak but extremely tired with this being their 7th game in 10 nights. I look for the Vancouver Canucks who are also sizzling and on a 7 game win streak  to take advantage of this situation this Tuesday night and provide us  with a win on a value under dog line. Canucks are 10-2 SU L/12 vs Atlantic division sides, like TB, and have won 3 of their L/4 visits to the West Coast of Florida.

Play on the Vancouver Canucks to win on the ML

This one is obvious as it gets. How high of a price can the books put on a game like this . Answer pretty darn high, so despite of what I usually perceive  to be out of my price range, this wager  is actually discounted as compared to the projected odds of an upset happening or more likely not happening . NHL Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (OTTAWA) - after allowing 4 goals or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are 0-26 L/23 seasons for a 100% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to win on the ML

The Coyotes have won three straight games and have momentum entering this game against Florida. They are down to their third string goalie,Hill, who was Arizona's third-round pick in 2015. In his career starts he owns  solid  2.89 goals-against average and a .901 save percentage. With him between the pipes, and a D that ranks third in the NHL with an average of 2.50 goals allowed per game, Im betting they have an edge on the 5th best offensive in the NHL. Like the old saying goes defense travels and thats one of the reasons Im on the road side. Note:  Coyotes are one of the top four road teams in the NHL so far this season, sporting a 13-6-3 record. Also Florida is very tired as they play their 6th game in 10 nights and could easily find it hard to compete for a full 60 minutes vs a very physical grinding team like the Coyotes that is on two days rest.ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS when playing with 2 days rest this season and are 5-0 ATS   in road games after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game ( Arizona beat Philadelphia 6-2 last time out). 

Play on Arizona on the ML

Both these teams are slumping, but the Habs look in worse overall shape having lost 5 straight . Note: MONTREAL is 1-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses this season ( Montreal 2.6 Opp 4.3) This is a rematch of a pre Christmas December game where Montreal came into Winnipeg and smacked the Jets 6-2 in front of their own fans. Now with revenge on board Im betting on a motivational payback scenario to favor the Jets cashing for us tonight on a value line. The Jets are also off a divisional road loss last time out by a 3-2 count which is a good omen from a trends perspective as the Jets are 8-0 ATS  off a road loss this season. (Winnipeg 4.8 opp 2.5) WINNIPEG is  also 4-0 ATS  revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more this season (jets 5 opp 2.5)

 Advantage Winnipeg to win on the moneyline 

These two teams have not combined to score more than 6 goals in any of their L/4 meetings dating back to last season and Im betting nothing changes here today. Add to that Flordia is on tired legs after playing lat night and the Pens are banged up, Im expecting a slower game played out of transition. Note: Florida is expected to start backup G Driedger  who is 3-1-0 with a 2.00 goals-against average, a .938 save percentage and one shutout this season.

PITTSBURGH is 13-4 UNDER  in home games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal this season with a combined average of 5.1 gpg scored.

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (FLORIDA) - extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season in the first half of the season are 33-10 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

GOALTENDERS: ST LOUIS - JORDAN BINNINGTON, VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY

Vegas enters this game on a 3 game win streak and have scored 4,5,5 goals in those tilts, and St.Louis well aware of the Knights current explosive form will be diligent defensively and look to play this game conservatively and  out of transition. This will result in a lower scoring affair. 

ST LOUIS is 22-11 UNDER L/33 in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons for a combined average of 5.3 gpg  scored. 

VEGAS is 8-0 UNDER  in home games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 season with a combined average of 4.4 gpg scored.  

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (VEGAS) - poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season, after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games are 43-11 L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER

GOALTENDERS: COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS, BOSTON - TUUKKA RASK

When these teams met in last years play offs they took part in 6 low scoring games with 5 of them staying on the low side of the total. More of the same play off style hockey Im betting is set for  tonights  tilt . 

BOSTON is 5-0 UNDER  off a road loss this season.COLUMBUS is 5-0 UNDER   after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season with a combined average of 4 gpg scored. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - off a win or tie in their previous game, with a losing record in the first half of the season are 142-89 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER

GOALTENDERS: TORONTO - FREDERIK ANDERSEN, MINNESOTA - DEVAN DUBNYK

Minnesota plays a decidedly conservative game, and that will be the case here again at home vs the explosive Leafs. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. 

MINNESOTA is 19-9 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.2 gpg going on the board.MINNESOTA is 27-14 UNDER   in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.4 gog scored. 

TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER  in non-conference games this season with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. 

Play UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: DALLAS - ANTON KHUDOBIN, ARIZONA - ADIN HILL

Both teams are know as Defence first teams but of late both have been finding the back of the net more often while allowing more goals than usual. The Stars have seen a combined average for an average of 6.4 gpg  in their L/5 while Arizona has seen a combined average of 7 gpg scored. With this total set at 5 we have value on busting above this number going directly against a under bias with a contrarian stance. 

Play OVER 

Road underdogs of +200 or higher against the money line (DETROIT) - after allowing 4 goals or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games are a perfect 0-25 L/23 seasons. 

Calculated risks are a part of my selections process. 

Play on TB Lightning to win on the moneyline 

GOALTENDERS: NASHVILLE - JUUSE SAROS, PITTSBURGH - MATT MURRAY

Two sub .895 SV percentage goalies and stumbling Ds, go head to head tonight in a game that has high scoring event written all over it. 

NASHVILLE is 5-0 OVER  in road games in December games this season with an average of 8.2 gpg scored. 

Over is 7-0 in Predators last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

Over is 4-0 in Predators last 4 vs. Metropolitan.

Over is 5-0 in Predators last 5 road games.

NASHVILLE is 12-4 OVER b when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasonswith a combined average of 71. gpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Vegas beat Anaheim 5-2 back in October, and Im betting the Ducks in the rematch will play conservatively and be more defensively diligent here in the rematch, which Im betting makes for a lower scoring affair. 

ANAHEIM is 7-1 UNDER  revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals this season

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (ANAHEIM) - revenging a road loss versus opponent by 2 goals or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season in the first half of the season are 52-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The New York Islanders usually staunch D, is slumping a bit of late,  as their opposition is piling up goals on them at an alarming rate. Two of their L/3 games have seen them allow 8 and 5 goals in regulation, something that is not a common trait with them under Barry Trotz defensive leaning system. Now desperate to stop the bleeding Im expecting a top tier defensive effort from the leagues best D here tonight against  injury depleted Columbus and a combined score that stays on the low side of this total. Note: Islanders G Thomas Greiss has allowed two goals i in two games  vs the Blue Jackets  this season.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.

Play UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, TORONTO - FREDERIK ANDERSEN

Carolina plays explosive offensive teams like the Leafs very conservatively. 

CAROLINA is 13-3 UNDER  against good offensive teams - 29 or more  shots on goal, convert 17% . or more  pp this season.CAROLINA is 13-2 UNDER against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game this season with a combined average 4.9 gpg scored.

Play UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: VEGAS - MARC-ANDRE FLEURY, SAN JOSE - AARON DELL

San Jose played last night and lost 5 -2 to the defending champion Blues and are now on tired legs and will want to slow things down and pay more attention to defence here tonight. Meanwhile, Vegas has allowed more than 3 gaols only twice in their L/11 games, and after a back and forth 5-4 loss last time out, will also want to get back to playing better defence. These projected scenarios Im betting sees a more muted game by both sides here tonight that will result in a total combined score staying under the total. 

SAN JOSE is 5-0 UNDER  off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more this season.SAN JOSE is 9-1 UNDER  after allowing 5 goals or more this season.

VEGAS is 12-4 UNDER in road games after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.

Play UNDER 

Detroit does not have a hope in hell of competing  offensively with the Toronto Maple Leafs, and will instead look to keep this game close by playing this game out of transition and paying special attention to defence. This Im betting keeps this combined score on the low side of the total. 

 NHL home teams where the total is 6 or more (TORONTO) - off a road blowout win by 3 goals or more, tired team - playing their 3rd game in 5 days are 125-76 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 62% conversion rate. 

NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (DETROIT) - after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games are 97-53 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. 

Play UNDER 

GOALTENDERS: CHICAGO - ROBIN LEHNER, WINNIPEG - CONNOR HELLEBUYCK

OVER