NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 218 in Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards have gone over the total in 3 straight games and allowed 119 points on average in these 3. The Pistons have gone over the total in 2 straight games and allowed 122 points on average in last 4 games. Each of last two meetings between these teams totaled more than this total. This one flies over the total as both these teams continue to pay little attention on the defensive end! 9* OVER 218 in Washington

CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 9* Top Play OVER 140 in NC-Wilmington Seahawks vs William & Mary Tribe @ 2 ET - Neither one of these teams is very good defensively as evidenced by their field goal percentage defense both inside and outside the arc. Also, William & Mary has allowed 80 points per game game last 4 games. NC-Wilmington has allowed 75 points per game last 4 games. I know the teams shot ridiculously high percentages when they met a little over a week ago and that is why the game totaled 162 points. However, even with lesser shooting percentages but a good pace in this one, it should get well into the 140s and I will grab the value here as neither team has impressed defensively of late. 9* OVER 140 in NC-Wilmington

CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 9* Top Play OVER 147 in Purdue Boilermakers vs Maryland Terrapins @ 1 ET - The Terrapins are off a 110 to 82 loss and that was even at home! Now Maryland is on the road and facing a Purdue team that is angry off an 82-56 loss at Michigan. The Boilermakers will bounce back and pile up the points here as they also have revenge from a loss at Maryland last season. The Terrapins are 7-2 to the over in road games this season and the Boilermakers were on a 10-2 run to the over before their game against the Wolverines stayed under the total. 9* OVER 147 in Purdue

NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 9* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Portland Trailblazers vs New York Knicks @ 5 ET - The Knicks are 6-2 to over last 8 games. They have allowed 118 points last 5 games. New York has scored average of 111 points last 7 games. Neither of those numbers include any OT points. I know the Blazers have been trending under but Portland has allowed 114 per game last 7 home games and is off a SU win and ATS cover and is 3-1 to the over the last 4 times off an ATS win. 9* OVER 216.5 in Portland

CBB ESPN Smash Pass Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 122.5 in Virginia Cavaliers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ 4 ET - One can understand the low total posted here when you consider the long-term with Virginia basketball. However, a big key to the Cavaliers having won 3 straight and 5 of 7 has been their offensive production and the over is on a 6-1 run L7 Cavs games. Virginia has scored an average of 66.4 ppg in this 7-game stretch. The Yellow Jackets have allowed an average of 75.3 ppg their last 8 games against Division I opponents. Georgia Tech has averaged scoring 70.5 points last 4 road games. Don't be surprised when this one gets into the 130s. The Yellow Jackets don't have good defensive numbers and the Cavaliers are allowing higher shooting percentages than usual this season. Yes, the Cavs like to play a slow-tempo game but the way these two teams are going right now I fully expect another over in this one. 10* OVER 122.5 in Virginia

NBA Contrarian Crusher Friday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7 ET - With all the personnel changes for the Pacers following the trade, one might be reluctant to invest in the over here. However, I feel this could lead to a rather fast-paced disorganized game where players on defense miss switches and/or are out of position. Things like this happen when a team has a new influx of players like Indiana does now. I also love the fact that these two teams just met and the game totaled only 183 points. Keep in mind, that is the only under the Pacers have had in their last 9 games. The Cavaliers have allowed 115 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. Cleveland has a tendency to not score well but they now take on a Pacers team that, other than the one clunker against the Cavs, allowed 123.7 points per game in other 10 games dating back to January 20th. Look for plenty of points in this one. 10* OVER 216.5 in Indiana

CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 146.5 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers vs Wright State Raiders @ 7 ET - The Panthers just got held to only 39 points on their home floor in their most recent game! You know what is coming here from UW-Milwaukee after a game like that. Even though they will respond on the offensive end here, this Panthers team has allowed 76 points per game last 7 games. I am looking for a shootout here as a result as the Raiders come into this one having won 4 straight games and averaging 80 points per game during the win streak. Wright State has averaged scoring 79 points last 6 road games. The over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings between these teams and I look for that trend to continue here. 10* OVER 146.5 in Wisconsin-Milwaukee

NBA Contrarian Crusher Thursday 8* OVER 217.5 in Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:30 ET - Kevin Durant was already out but now James Harden is out too for the Nets in this one. Additionally Bradley Beal is, of course, out for the Wizards. So this totals has dropped from low 220s to as low as 216.5 as of mid-morning. In typical contrarian fashion, I'll fade the line move here and take the over. Brooklyn will still have Kyrie Irving for this one and the Wizards are off a game in which they allowed 121 points. At the other end of the floor, Washington will take advantage of hosting a Nets team which has allowed more than 120 points in 3 straight games and 6 of last 9 games. 8* OVER 217.5 in Washington

CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Towson Tigers vs William & Mary Tribe @ 5 ET - This game is off the radar of most sports bettors and I feel that is why we are getting such a good value here. Towson is one of the best teams in the CAA and William & Mary is one of the worst which is why the spread on this game is 18. Where the value lies in my opinion is with the total. The last time these teams met the Tigers won 91-69 even though they were on the road for that one earlier this season! The Tribe enter this game having allowed 88 points per game their last two games even though they were at home! Towson is off an ugly low-scoring road loss in most recent game and that means they will not hold back and should score a pile of points here. Keep in mind, prior to that road loss the Tigers were on a 9-game stretch that saw them win 8 of 9 games. Towson, taking out the few clunkers in the bunch, averaged 78 points scored in the other 6 games and now they take on a team that is one of the worst in the league. That means the Tigers should get to 80+ easily and if the 18 point spread is right (which so often these numbers are good) that means this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 136.5 in Towson

NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 216 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Cavaliers could have Curtis Levert (acquired from Indiana) on the floor for this one tonight. Also, Darius Garland could be back after missing 4 straight games. Even if those guys don't play, although odds favor both coming back and at least one of them for sure, I like the over in this match-up. The Spurs have been so poor on the defensive end and they like to play an uptempo style and Cleveland, in an Indiana sandwich, could just "play along" here in a rather meaningless non-conference match-up. The Cavaliers just beat the Pacers and now have a game at Indiana on deck. So this is a classic flat spot for the Cavs in terms of defensive intensity. Also, the over is on a perfect 5-0 run in meetings between these teams. The Spurs have trended under on the road and the Cavaliers have trended under at home this season but that is what has resulted in downward line movement here. The result is exceptional value on the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 216 in Cleveland

CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 8* OVER 157.5 in Cornell Big Red vs Columbia Lions @ 5 ET - This one easily could fall into the category of a contrarian play. The Lions have stayed under in 3 straight games. The Big Red have stayed under in 3 of last 4 games. The posted total on this game was higher than any of those games despite those stats and now the total is showing it might move even higher this morning. What does all this tell you? It tells you that the odds makers are expecting an absolutely crazy high-scoring game here and truly there is support for that theory despite the recent unders. Columbia just does not play defense and both these teams play past and Cornell is certainly not known as a defensive stalwart either! The Big Red allowing 66 field goal attempts at home this season and the Lions allowing 64 field goal attempts on the road this season. You can see the pace of games these teams get into is almost "frenetic" and it truly involves a lot of sets designed to quickly jack up threes and both teams are off tougher shooting efforts yet Cornell hitting 37% of threes at home and Columbia hitting 37% of threes on the road this season. This one will surprise many and easily cruise into the 160s in my opinion. The Big Red averaging 87 points per game this season at home but overall allowing 78 points per game this season and they are a 15-point favorite in this game. You can see from those numbers this one should really get "up there" in terms of points scored. 8* OVER 157.5 in Cornell

CBB Earliest Cash 8* OVER 133 in Florida Atlantic Owls vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 6 ET - The Owls are averaging 79.6 ppg at home this season. Florida Atlantic has had only 1 under in their last 8 games overall. The over is on a 4-0 run in Monarchs road games. Old Dominion has won two of last three homes games which is a confidence boost as they now head out on the road again having averaged 70.4 ppg in conference games this season. Given the above stats and the situation here, there is value with the low total posted on this game. 8* OVER 133 in Florida Atlantic

NBA Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets have been trending under but this is the right match-up to get them going again. On the season, Charlotte has been a high-scoring team. Now, after an ugly low-scoring home loss to the Heat, the Hornets will bounce back against a team that has been playing plenty of run and gun basketball of late. The Raptors are on a run of 3 straight overs and overs in 6 of last 8 games overall. Speaking of trending to overs, when Toronto and Charlotte have squared off the over is 5-2 in last 7 games. The average points scored in the first half of the last 4 meetings is 130! That is a pace for 260 in each game. Though they did not get to that lofty total, they did get to overs in all but 1 of those 4 games and the fact is these teams are rested (each was off yesterday) and I expect a fast-paced game all the way through which will fly over the very manageable total posted on this game. 10* OVER 224 in Charlotte

NBA Total Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers @ 6 ET - The Cavaliers could get Darius Garland back today. The Pacers could get both Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis back today. Either way I like the over. Indiana has been given a lot of time to younger players recently and this has strengthened their bench when guys like Brogdon and Sabonis are back. The fast-paced style that the Pacers have been playing with has led to a perfect 7-0 run to the over. I know Cleveland likes to play slower and the Cavaliers have been trending under. However, the last 4 meetings between these teams have averaged 217 points per game and the way the Pacers have been playing of late this game should have a much stronger pace than even those 4 match-ups did. That said, this one gets well into the 220s. Indiana, not including OT, allowing 121 points last 11 games! The Pacers, not including OT, scoring an average of 114 points per game last 11 games! 10* OVER 216.5 in Cleveland

CBB Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 148.5 in Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 4:30 ET - Iowa fired up off B2B losses and an overall unacceptable stretch that has seen them lose 4 of last 7 games. The Hawkeyes will respond in a huge way here at home in this game. Iowa has averaged 88.8 points per game at home this season. Minnesota is averaging 69.9 points per game on the road this season. The Golden Gophers have endured a 1-7 stretch that has seen them allow 74.4 points per game. Now they face a team capable of hanging 90 points on them and I see an incredible tempo to this game as the Hawkeyes are itching for that huge big home win to get them back on track. This is the perfect spot for it and Minnesota has the talent to hang around within about 10 or 12 in this game and that should send this soaring over the total. 10* OVER 148.5 in Iowa

CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* OVER 138 in Ohio State Buckeyes vs Maryland Terrapins @ 1 ET - Total has moved down from 138 to 140. The Terrapins hitting 39.6% of threes in road games while the Buckeyes hitting 38.7% of threes in home games. Ohio State is averaging 78.7 points per game at home this season. Maryland is a 9 point dog here. Given those numbers one could (and should!) expect a 79 to 70 type game here. That puts this one well past the current number of 138 and we have solid line value here with the over. The Terrapins off a stretch of 3 straight unders and this has driven this total down a little. Maryland, prior to that 3-game stretch, had a stretch of 8 games with only 1 under. Ohio State has had a stretch of 4 overs in last 6 games and the Buckeyes are a confident and high-scoring team when at home. The Terrapins have the talent to keep up here and that pushes this one way over the total. 8* OVER 138 in Ohio State

NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 219.5 in Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:10 ET - This total opened up at 223 and has now fallen to as low as 219.5 this morning. The Wizards are without Bradley Beal and he is a big scorer. However, Washington is still battling hard and just scored 106 points in a win at Philly Wednesday in a game that easily could have been higher-scoring as the Wizards had 59 points at the half. Washington is known for scoring better when at home and has only had one "dud" in their last dozen home games. In the other 11 games at home during this hot stretch of scoring, the Wizards have averaged 115 points per game! The Suns come into this one having averaged 112.4 points per game on the road this season. The over is 5-0 in last 5 meetings between these teams. With Phoenix off a loss at Atlanta, the Suns will come out fired up for a big road win and they are going to push the tempo here and also keep their foot on the gas throughout this game. Phoenix responds off a loss, Wizards fight hard at home (only once in last dozen home games have they had a loss by more than a 5-point margin) and the result is a high-scoring shootout here. 10* OVER 219.5 in Washington 

CBB Big Ten Total of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 129.5 in Wisconsin Badgers vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 6 ET - The Nittany Lions are off an upset win versus Iowa and that game was not as high-scoring as it appears because it did go to overtime. However, the 132 points in regulation would have been enough in terms of comparing to the number posted on this match-up for Penn State at Wisconsin. I am well aware of the fact that the Nittany Lions have often struggled to score well on the road this season. However, the win over the Hawkeyes is a big confidence boosting win for this team. Also, Greg Lee is off a strong game at the forward position and the frontcourt of Lee, Seth Lundy and John Harrar can produce solid interior offense for PSU in this one. Wisconsin used to be known for defensive low-scoring grinders but the situation has been much different this season. The Badgers are allowing 67 points per game and 44% shooting from the field! The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games and they do average 75.4 ppg at home. If you consider that number plus the 8.5 point spread in this game you are looking at a game getting into the low 140s and yet this number is hovering near 130. I feel we have excellent line value with the over here as the Badgers are hungry to bounce back at home after a disappointing road loss at Illinois. Wisconsin has averaged 78 ppg last 6 home games. Penn State has allowed 72 points per game in their 6 true road games this season and 75 points per game on the road if you remove the low-scoring grinder with Ohio State from the equation. This total just too low with Badgers poised for a big bounce back on their floor but dealing with a Nittany Lions team surging with confidence right now after beating Iowa. Penn State ready for a solid road performance and can hang around in this game which will push it over the total. 10* OVER 129.5 in Wisconsin

NBA Central Division Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 231 in Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - A lot of injury/covid issues/concerns in this one. It will not matter. No matter who has been on the floor lately, both these teams have been trending over. Yes, the Bulls game last night went to OT but it was over the total by the end of regulation. Also, Chicago is on a perfect 5-0 run to the over in the 2nd game of a B2B. Indiana enters this game on an overall 6-0 run to the over and the Bulls have gone over the total in 4 straight games overall. The Pacers have been forced to play a bunch of younger guys recently and give more minutes than usual to role players as well. The result has been a lack of defensive efficiency but fantastic offensive efficiency. The Pacers, not including OT, have allowed an average of 122 last 7 games and scored an average of 114 last 6 games! The Bulls, not including OT points, have allowed 110 points or more in 6 of last 7 games and have scored 111 points or more in 6 straight games. Chicago averaging 119 per game in those 6 games and tonight's game could go either way in terms of the side in my opinion and that means a 120-119 type game given the above numbers. Look for this one to sneak into the 240s and the line is near the 230 mark. 10* OVER 231 in Indiana

CBB Earliest Cash Friday 9* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Yale Bulldogs vs Dartmouth Big Green @ 5 ET - Sometimes Dartmouth gets involved in low-scoring grinders but I see Yale dictating the pace and flow of this game on their home floor. The Bulldogs struggled a bit in non-conference action but now are red hot in Ivy League action including knocking off Princeton in their most recent game. As for the Big Green, 4 of their last 6 games have totaled at least 139 points. Each of Dartmouth's 3 road games in Ivy League action have totaled at least 139 points and have actually averaged 145 points apiece! With each team off a big win (Big Green just won at Columbia) confidence riding high for these guard-heavy teams and I look for solid shooting and another high-scoring game. These teams are "feeling it" right now as Dartmouth had a string of tight losses before the win over the Lions and getting over the hump, even though against a weaker foe, was big for them heading into this match-up. Plenty of points here as Big Green do shoot well from 3-point land (even on the road) but also allow high shooting percentages. 9* OVER 136.5 in Yale

NBA Situational Slaughter Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:40 ET - Only 3 of Bulls last 13 games have resulted in an under. Chicago allowing 115 points per game last 6 games but also scoring an average of 120 points per game last 5 games. Toronto has been trending toward lower-scoring numbers than that. However, the Raptors have allowed an average of 111 points per game last 6 games and have scored an average of 114 points per game last 5 games. Zach LaVine is probable for the Bulls here and that is good news in terms of Chicago's point production. The Bulls are an underdog here but playing extremely well and will help push the pace in this one as we continue to see the high-scoring trending in Chicago's games. 10* OVER 224 in Toronto

CBB CAA Total of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 141 in Delaware Fightin Blue Hens vs Drexel Dragons @ 6 ET - This total opened up in the 147 range and is now down to the 141 range as of game day morning. The odds makers that set this total must be clueless in terms of what they are doing, right? Of course not! Long-time followers know I love fading line moves like this when the situation is right. That's because the odds maker are some of the sharpest guys around and I respect their numbers. So take a closer look at this one and note that these teams combined for 158 points in their first meeting this season and no it did NOT go to overtime. The fact is both these teams have solid shooting stats this season. Both teams also tend to struggle on the defensive end. Drexel had one good game defensively against Elon two weeks ago but, in their other 7 games since early January the Dragons have allowed an average of 74.4 ppg. The Fightin Blue Hens have had 7 games since early January and, not including OT points, Delaware has allowed an average of 73.9 ppg. Looking at these numbers you can see why this total opened up closer to 150 than 140. Now, with huge value after the move, I am hammering the over in this Blue Hens match-up! 10* OVER 141 in Delaware

NBA Eastern Conf Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - This total has dropped from the 218 range to the 213 range and this is offering great line value on the over. I understand the Wizards will again be without Bradley Beal and he is a big-time scorer. However, the odds makers knew this when they posted the total. The line coming down is because Washington has scored so poorly recently but the odds makers knew that as well. The keys to this game are that Joel Embiid is back for this one after resting against Memphis and I look for he and the Sixers to have a huge game on the offensive end. Philly lost at Washington last month and will be out for revenge here. Though that game stayed under the total it did reach the 215 mark and note that the under ended a streak of 4 straight overs in match-ups between these teams. The 76ers will take advantage of a team allowing 114.5 points per game last 6 games. This line is right around a 10. If Philly gets at least 115 - and I feel strongly they will do even better than that - it puts this game in the 115-105 range which is 220 points. This game gets well into the 220s the way I see it and I am taking advantage of the drop on this total. 10* OVER 213 in Philadelphia 

NBA Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 229.5 in Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 3:30 ET - Yes the total looks big but don't let the number scare you. It is fully justified in this one as the Trail Blazers on a 6-2 run to the over in road games and the Bulls on a 5-1 run to the over in home games. Portland averaging 113.4 points last 5 games but allowing 117 points last 3 games. The Bulls have averaged 117.6 points in those 5 overs at home but also allowed 121 points per game last 4 home games. This is a non-conference battle that will feature a lack of defense and plenty of run and gun. The last time these teams met here the game totaled 245 points. More of the same here! 10* OVER 229.5 in Chicago

NCAAB Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 138 in Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 6:30 ET - When these teams met at Rutgers, the Scarlet Knights scored 93 points and no the game did NOT go to overtime! Now the rematch is in Nebraska and the Cornhuskers like to play fast and they tend to score better at home. The Huskers even put up 65 in their loss to Wisconsin Thursday. The Badgers are known for solid defense. That said, I look for a breakout game offensively from Nebraska in this one but they again will struggle to stop Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are off a low-scoring loss to Maryland at home but they did have over 60 field goal attempts in the game but simply struggled to hit shots. Once again, the Knights will not have trouble scoring on this rather lackluster Huskers defense. Nebraska has allowed nearly 80 points per game this season. The line on this game is nearly a pick'em. Even if each team only gets to the 70 mark rather than 80 in this one we still have a winner. I feel we have excellent line value here on the Cornhuskers total in a game that is "off the radar" of most bettors! 10* OVER 138 in Nebraska

NBA Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Quick...who are the two worst teams in the NBA and why are they are so bad? Here they are folks! The teams with the worst records in the NBA are the Magic and the Pistons and each allowing 110+ points per game on average. I just do not expect to see a whole lot of defense in this one. Detroit has allowed 118 points per game last 6 games! Orlando has allowed 108 points or more in 6 of last 8 games. In those 6 games the Magic allowed an average of 113 points per game. Orlando has gotten healthier and gotten most of their guys back now and this has helped lead the way to the Magic averaging 110.5 points per game their last 4 games. After struggling with the 3-ball against the Clippers in a loss Wednesday, look for things to open up much more on that end of the floor against Detroit and the open shots will be falling for the Magic at home but they also can not stop the Pistons here! The result? Plenty of points! 10* OVER 212.5 in Orlando

NBA Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets @ 8:10 ET - If you had the under last night in the Nuggets game I want to express my sincerest condolences. Trust me, I have had plenty of bad beats like that throughout my two decades in the business. Denver's game was on pace for 243 points entering the 4th quarter. Then, in the 4th quarter, a ridiculous total of 35 points were scored and the game stayed under the total. This is helping to give us line value here. Ironically, Brooklyn had a similar result last night versus the Lakers. Entering 4th quarter the game was on pace for 227 points but then the teams combined for only a ridiculous 32 points in the 4th quarter. All of this is combining to give us great line value here. What is also helping in terms of value is this total has dropped from the upper 220s to down near 220 and I will not pass up on this phenomenal line value. I feel quite certain of the kinda style we will see in this non-conference battle tonight with some tired legs in a back to back deciding to skip out on playing much defense from time to time. The over is 2-0 in last 2 meetings and we see another one here. 10* OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn

CBB PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 147 in LaSalle Explorers vs Massachusetts Minutemen @ 7 ET - This total opened up around 151 and already has dropped to as low as 147. Yes, LaSalle is off back to back low-scoring losses but that had to do with the match-ups they faced. Now the Explorers face a UMass team that is one of the worst teams around when it comes to defense. The one thing the Minutemen can do is shoot the ball well including from beyond the arc. They love to get quick threes off and have no hesitation in being willing to play a fast-paced game. Massachusetts has allowed 82 points per game last 6 games! The Explorers need a strong performance at home after being bottled up by Richmond and Rhode Island. UMass will provide the perfect opportunity for the hosts to get going again. The over is 4-0 in the meetings between these teams the past two seasons. More of the same here! 10* OVER 147 in LaSalle

CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 9* Top Play OVER 133.5 in Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators @ 6 ET - I am aware that Colin Castleton is still out for the Gators and he is Florida's leading scorer. However, he also led the team in rebounds and blocked shots. Guess what happens on the defensive end when you are without a guy like that? It is trouble for sure and now the Gators take on a ranked Tennessee team that will look to run them right out of the arena. However, Florida is still going to put up a fight here. Don't be surprised if they hang around in this game after getting knocked out of the SEC tourney by the Volunteers last March. This is their first meeting since and the guard-heavy Gators will do their best to hang around in this game in what will turn into a higher-scoring game than most expect. Florida does not have the interior defense to stop the Vols but, at the other end, the Gators will try to use quick guard play to keep the Tennessee defense on its heels. The result is a high-scoring game. 9* OVER 133.5 in Tennessee

NBA Total Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play UNDER 220 in Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - We should see some good defensive intensity here. Both teams are off a loss and the Wizards loss was one in which they got blasted by 29 points. That is the type of defeat off a which a team usually responds with a much better effort. Washington had allowed an average of only 109 point last 7 games before that. The Wizards have scored an average of only 96 points last two games. The Clippers have scored only 102 points in each of their last two games. Los Angeles did have a high-scoring OT loss at Denver in the game that preceded those two but note that their 3 preceding road games before the Nuggets loss saw the Clippers average only 92 points per game! Considering the above as well as the line move from 215 to 220 we have excellent line value with the under in this one in my opinion. 10* UNDER 220 in Washington

CBB Big East Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 133 in Villanova Wildcats vs DePaul Blue Demons @ 7 ET - The total has been dropping on this one. I like the over as the Wildcats so strong at home and we are getting value here because the Blue Demons are off a low-scoring loss but this is a DePaul team that does get involved in high-scoring games quite often. The Blue Demons were on a 5-0 run to the over before back to back unders so now we get line value in this spot. Villanova averaging 79 points at home this season. DePaul is averaging 76 points this season. The Wildcats do play solid defense when needed but look for this to be a blowout win, as you can tell by the pointspread, and there will be less attention on the defensive end as a result. Each of the last 3 meetings between the teams, including one earlier this season, went over the total. Going further back, it is an incredible 17-6 run to the over in games involving these foes. 10* OVER 133 in Villanova

NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - The Thunder have scored 94 ppg L3 games and the Bulls have scored 92.5 ppg L2 games. This total is a 215.5 and you would think the odds makers do not know what they are doing? Trust me...they do! In typical contrarian fashion what looks like a dead under has me going STRONG on the over in this one! This non-conference match-up will feature a lack of defense and a good pace and plenty of scoring. 10* OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City

NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 202 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - This total has plummeted from 207.5 to a 202 and this has gone too far in my opinion. Cavs off low-scoring win versus OKC but have gone 3-1 to the over before that with those 4 games averaging 218.5 ppg. NY has scored 108 points or more in 5 of 7 games. The Knicks have allowed 102 points or more in 4 of last 5 games. 9* OVER 202 in Cleveland

CBB Earliest Annihilation Monday 9* Top Play OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State Owls vs Jacksonville Dolphins @ 5 ET - The Owls are off a loss and this season they have gone 4-0 and averaged 89.5 points per game! Yes some of those games were against weak competition but you can still see that Kennesaw has shown the way they respond to a loss is to push hard on the offensive end. I know Jacksonville, on the other hand, has a tendency to get involved in "grinders" as their games trend toward lower-scoring. However, the Owls are going to dictate the pace of this game on their home floor and the Dolphins will simply be forced to play up to that tempo. Both teams have high shooting percentages this season and couple that with a good pace this game should easily get into the 130s in my opinion. 9* OVER 128.5 in Kennesaw State

NBA Earliest Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 205 in New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 1:10 ET - I know this is a contrarian play because these are two of the lower scoring teams in the league. However, just look at how low this total has gotten. It is in the 205 range as of about 3 hours before tip-off and I feel that will prove to be too low. The Clippers are off a tight 102-101 win over the Sixers in Philly Friday. That was the 5th straight time that Los Angeles has allowed more than 100 points and they have allowed, not including OT, an average of 113 during this stretch. The Clippers, not including OT, have scored an average of 118 points last 3 games. So the point is that they can, and have been recently, putting up some bigger points. As for the Knicks, they have scored better in a number of recent games as New York had scored 108 or more points in 4 of last 5 games before poor effort in loss to New Orleans Thursday. With extra rest too, and off an ugly loss, I expect the Knicks to bounce back big here on their home floor. New York has allowed 105 points per game in their last 4 games. That is their season average for points allowed too and they are a 4 point favorite here so that would make the final 109-105 if odds makers are correct on the spread and that puts this total in the 214 range. You can see why I feel we have some value here. 10* OVER 205 in New York

CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 126.5 in Providence vs Butler @ NOON ET - There is an old saying that if something is not broken do not try to fix it. Of course that makes a lot of sense and the point is that Providence has exploded for 83 points in each of their last two games. Both of those contests were at home just like this one is and the Friars are proving they can win faster-paced games too. I am well aware that in terms of pacing, both Providence and the Bulldogs are known for playing slower. However, even with that, Providence has scored at least 70 in each of their last 4 wins and those games saw the Friars average 76.5 points per game. The Bulldogs, though known for playing slower, have lost 3 straight games and allowed at least 75 points in each loss. In fact, the Bulldogs are 6-6 last dozen games and allowed more than 70 points in all 6 losses. Providence is about a 9 point favorite here. If they score at least 71 and the line is about right that puts this at 71-62 which is 133 points and we have a total in the 127 range. Good value here as the way the Friars have been going I expect this game to close to the 140 mark. Look for a 75-65 type game. 10* OVER 126.5 in Providence

NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:10 ET - Love grabbing the over on a huge number like this in Milwaukee after last night's Bucks game with the Bulls totaled just 184 points! Milwaukee AND Chicago each had their worst 3-point shooting performances of the SEASON in last night's game. Now, after that hard-fought defensive battle in a divisional battle between two of the top teams, the Bucks are hosting a non-conference foe tonight. I like to look at overs in non-conference games when the situation is right and that is certainly the case here. Milwaukee has beaten Sacramento 10 straight times but you know the Kings are going to push the tempo here and try to catch the Bucks a little tired in the 2nd game of a B2B. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams! Sacramento on a 3-1 run to the over and these 4 games have seen the Kings average 123.5 ppg but allow 120.3 ppg. The Bucks last two games, before the grinder versus the Bulls, averaged 237.5 total points. Look for this one to get into that range as well. 10* OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee

CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth Rams vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 2:30 ET - VCU is off B2B losses but now face a team they can dominate. The last two times they faced teams as a favorite in this price range was in their two games prior to the two game losing streak. The Rams averaged 84.5 ppg in two blowout victories. As for St Joseph's, yes they could get blown out here and they are a double digit dog for a reason. But the Hawks are off a 9 point win over George Washington and a win like that can go a long way toward building up some confidence again. Each of the Hawks last 3 road games have totaled at least 139 points. St Joseph's has allowed 75 points or more in 3 of last 4 road games. They have given up an average of 76.5 in last two games versus Rams. With VCU off B2B losses I just seem them completely taking advantage of a game they can run away with here and I expect a good pace and a ton of points as a result. 10* OVER 134 in Virginia Commonwealth

NBA Philly Special Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers have had back to back high-scoring games and even though the last one went into OT, the teams did combine for 228 in regulation. Prior to that game, Los Angeles had a game versus Indiana total 272 points. I like overs in non-conference match-ups when the situation is right and the 76ers have been scoring well too as they have scored 109 points or more in 10 of last 12 games. In fact, in those 10 games, Philly has averaged 116.3 points per game. Those were all wins and they are supposed to win this game too as you can tell by the line sitting in the -8.5 range. So if we estimate an "average" win for the Sixers and this game landing close to the number you are talking about a 116 to 108 type game which is double digits above the posted number on this total! I'll take it as I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity in a non-conference match-up like this. 10* OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia

CBB Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 143 in Providence Friars vs Georgetown Hoyas @ 5 ET - The Friars have not played in almost two weeks. The Hoyas know their best chance to win this game is to come into Providence and try to run the Friars right out of the Dunkin' Donuts Center. Indeed, Georgetown likes to play at a fast pace and they could try to utilize that here to catch Providence a little flat-footed after the layoff. The problem for the Hoyas is they have a tendency to ignore defense. This is particularly true on the road where they are allowing 80 points per game. Georgetown is off rare B2B unders but this was preceded by a 5-0 run to the over and the Hoyas consistently allow big point totals. Providence is not known as a particularly high-scoring team but they have averaged 75 points as a host this season. The Friars scored 83 in most recent game and should get at least that here and they are a 10 point favorite here an 83-73 game puts this well over the posted total. I like our chances for solid winner here! 10* OVER 143 in Providence

CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 137.5 in Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 6:30 ET - Both teams off wins. The Gators have scored 70 points or more in 4 of last 5 games and averaged 75 points in those 4 games. The Bulldogs off B2B wins and have won 6 of 7 games and scored at least 69 points in all 6 games. Mississippi State averaged 78.4 ppg in these 7 games. The posted total on this one is a little low in my opinion given the above. This is particularly true in a game which should be close enough late that we'll see some late fouling and late-game scramble points as a result. Gators averaging 74 points in home games this season and the Bulldogs have been hot and scoring well as you can see. Each of last two meetings between these teams has gone over the total and Mississippi State enters this game on a 5-0 run to the over! 10* OVER 137.5 in Florida

CBB Big Ten Total of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 136 in Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Wolverines off ugly low-scoring loss but to a tough Illinois team and the over was on a 5-1 run in Michigan games heading into that one. Maryland is off an ugly low-scoring loss to Rutgers but the Terrapins entered that game having had only 1 under last 7 games. Both teams off games where they were held under 60 points. Both teams had been trending over prior to those disappointing losses. Also note that the last 4 meetings between these teams all were overs. It all adds up to a solid opportunity for an over based on situational factors. 10* OVER 136 in Michigan

CBB Blowout Rout Monday 10* Top Play OVER 130 in Southern Illinois Salukis vs Drake Bulldogs @ 8 ET - Double revenge spot for the Salukis as they lost both match-ups with the Bulldogs last season. Hard to trust Southern Illinois though here against a Drake team playing well this season. What I can trust is that we have good value with the low total posted on this one. 6 of last 8 Salukis games have totaled at least 130 points. Drake has won 6 of last 7 games and have scored 80 or more points in 4 of last 5 wins. 14 of the 17 Bulldogs games, not including OT points, have totaled more than the posted total on this game. Great value here in my opinion. 10* OVER 130 in Southern Illinois

NBA Contrarian Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 6 ET - The Bucks have been trending under but this total is moving upward. What does that tell you? Exactly! Some sharp money on the over in this one and that includes ours! The Hawks on a 7-3 run to the over and the Bucks had averaged 128 ppg last 3 road games before their last two were duds at Charlotte. Look for Milwaukee to get back on track on the road offensively as they take on an Atlanta team that is happy to push the tempo as well. 10* OVER 231.5 in Atlanta 

CBB Earliest Cash Monday 8* OVER 147.5 in Illinois vs Purdue @ Noon ET - This total keeps dropping and, keep in mind, Illinois has been a different team since Cockburn returned to the lineup. The Illini have been winning a ton of games and have a very efficient offense. However, the Boilermakers also have been incredibly efficient on the offensive end and have averaged 85.6 points per game this season. Illinois is averaging 83.8 points per game at home this season. 8* OVER 147.5 in Illinois

CBB In the Zone Sunday Top Play 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds @ 6 ET - This total has moved lower than it should be in my opinion and we have excellent line value here as a result. The Greyhounds have won 4 straight and 9 of last 11 so they are playing with a lot of confidence. Loyola Maryland, and not including OT points, has had only 3 games out of last 10 that have totaled less than the posted total on this game. The odds are in our favor to top this total because Lehigh also playing with added confidence from winning 5 of last 6 games. No the Mountain Hawks are not a great team by any stretch of the imagination but winning games and now playing again at home here, it all adds up to confidence and a good pace of play. Lehigh has averaged 78.4 points scored per game in those 5 wins. 10* OVER 133 in Lehigh

NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 221 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors @ 6:35 ET - I lost with the over in Milwaukee Thursday. The Bucks had 77 points at the half but then proceeded to score only 41 more the rest of the way after nearly reaching the 41 point mark in each of the first two quarters. The problem in that game was the Warriors could not get anything going and the game had a massive margin and so Milwaukee was able to empty the bench and slow the game down and cruise to the victory. That scenario is not being repeated here! That said, look for Toronto to be ultra competitive here off B2B losses. The Raptors have had 3 straight unders but this was preceded by 10 straight overs. The Bucks have averaged 119 points per game last 6 home games and they are about a 7 point favorite here. 119 to 112 sounds about right in this one and that is 10 points clear of the posted total on this game. I'll take it! 10* OVER 221 in Milwaukee

CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 121 in Iowa State Cyclones vs Texas Longhorns @ 2 ET - This total just too low and putting too much emphasis on the solid defensive numbers these teams have and not enough on their respectable production on offense. Both teams average 70 to 71 points per game and shoot 45 to 47 percent from the field. Also the history of this series shows 24-9 run to the over including 13-2 run to the over in games played at Iowa State. Yes some of that history is older history but the numbers impress nonetheless and looking at shorter term the over is 4-0 in last 4 meetings! I look for the Cyclones, off B2B losses following their grinder win over Texas Tech, to absolutely push a little harder here in this one and that means a better pace. They can't afford to just sit back in this one as they need a win. As for the Longhorns, they have scored 66 or more points in 5 of last 6 games. Texas helps push this game into the 130s the way my numbers see this playing out. 10* OVER 121 in Texas

CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play OVER 161 in Ball State Cardinals vs Buffalo Bulls @ 6 ET - I know this is a big total but it is fully justified because both teams very comfortable playing at a high pace and the home team is a big dog for a reason here. The point is that the Cards can run and gun all they want because they think they have a shot on their home floor but the reality is this Buffalo team is just too much. So I look for the Bulls to win by the spread posted on this game - right around it so no play - but I expect the result to be a ton of points. Ball State has allowed 80 or more points in 5 of last 9 games. Buffalo is off a win in which they held their opponent to 64 points but this was preceded by the Bulls allowing 88 points or more in 3 straight games! Buffalo has scored at least 76 points in 6 of last 7 games. So they consistently score well but consistently allow a lot of points too. Ball State has scored an average of 84 points in their last 6 wins but allowed 83 points in their last 8 losses. Per the above you can see that no matter which way this game goes as to the side, we should see a ton of points and I look for a frenetic pace in this one. 10* OVER 161 in Ball State

NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The last two meetings between these teams each totaled 237 points and averaged 240 points. I know there are some injury issues at play here but I like the fact the Bucks are off a game in which they did not reach the century mark in points. Prior to back to back low-scoring losses at Charlotte, Milwaukee had won 7 of 10 games and scored an average of 118.8 points per game. The Warriors have been involved with some surprisingly low-scoring results of late but this is still a team averaging 110 points per game on the season. Golden State's loss at Memphis totaled 224 Tuesday and is a sign that the point totals in Warriors games are going to start going back up and I look for this one to soar into the 230s just like the last two meetings between these non-conference foes. 10* OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee

CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play UNDER 139.5 in Xavier Musketeers vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - Look for Xavier to be very focused on the defensive end here. Revenge game from a 71-58 loss at Villanova just two games back. Also, the only other time the Musketeers were off a loss this season they won their next 59-58 in a grinder. Now I know Xavier has played one game since the loss to the Wildcats but you get the point - the Musketeers know how to turn the heat up on defense when necessary. Speaking of turning up heat when on D, the Wildcats have allowed just 57.3 points per game last ten games. Look for a grinder in Cincinnati tonight. 10* UNDER 139.5 in Xavier

NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - This is another one where waiting has paid off as this total has ticked downward a little bit this morning. I know that Oklahoma City has been trending under and that has resulted in some movement here with this total. However, Washington is at home for this one and will dictate the flow of this game and the over is 4-1 the last 5 times Wizards were off a win. The only under in those 5 games was a game that totaled 225 points! Also, Washington is off an under and they have not had back to back unders since November! Lot of things pointing to an over here. I'll take it! 10* OVER 214.5 in Washington

CBB CBS Sports Network Rout Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 in Towson Tigers vs Hofstra Pride @ 5 ET - Similarity to yesterday's play in CBB here I am fading a line move as this one went from upper 140s to mid 140s and I love the value here. Towson struggled on the defensive end last season and it has continued this season but the Tigers at least are shooting a little better this season. As for Hofstra, their head coach has been out on medical leave so they have a co-head coach now in Speedy Claxton. If you recognize the name he was a star for Hofstra back in the day plus he played in the NBA including winning a title with the Spurs in 2003. The key here is hat Hofstra has played like his name "Speedy" for the most part this season! That said, and even moreso after the line move in this one, we should have another solid totals winner here! The Pride are averaging 79.3 ppg this season! The Tigers are averaging 71.8 ppg this season and, other than an "outlier" result versus Navy, have allowed 71 ppg last 5 games and you know Hofstra will push the pace in this one. Towson has big game at Elon, knocked them out of CAA tourney by 20+ point margin last season, on deck. The Tigers could get caught looking ahead here and the Pride will be trying to run them right of their own arena in this one. The result is a ton of points. 10* OVER 144.5 in Towson

CBB Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 135 in Winthrop Eagles vs Campbell Fighting Camels @ 5 ET - I am aware that Campbell likes to play at a slower and more deliberate pace and they are highly functional based on strong offensive efficiency. However, the Fighting Camels are not going to march into Winthrop and dictate the game pace here. That said, the Eagles have scored well in all their games as a host this season expect for when they faced an SEC team. Winthrop was outclassed in that game but they are certainly not outclassed here against a Big South rival. That said, note that the Eagles have scored 78 points or more in all of their games as a host this season except the loss to an SEC foe. Also, last season Winthrop faced Campbell three times and went a perfect 3-0 and scored an average of 86 points per game! Considering the Fighting Camels returned the majority of their key scoring from last season and the Eagles, even with Prosser now as head coach, have been scoring well and will not allow this to turn into a grinder; I love the over in this match-up. The total dropped from upper 130s to mid 130s and that means even more value here. 10* OVER 135 in Winthrop

CBB Total of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 128 in Oklahoma Sooners vs Iowa State Cyclones @ 6 ET - This total just too low. It has been greatly impacted by the grinder of a win that the Cyclones just had over Texas Tech earlier this week. The Sooners will dictate the pace here at home and favored by 6.5 points with good reason. The point is that Oklahoma hosting Iowa State plays out much differently than the Cyclones hosting the Red Raiders and this total is just far too low. Note that the Sooners have scored 70 or more points in 11 of 14 games this season. The Cyclones had scored 68 or more points in 10 of 13 games this season before the low-scoring win over Texas Tech. This game has high odds of finishing in the upper 130s given those numbers and yet we're dealing with a total in the upper 120s. I'll take it! 10* OVER 128 in Oklahoma

CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 10* Top Play OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Northwestern State Demons @ 2:30 ET - Both teams off losses in which they did not shoot well yesterday in tournament action in Katy, TX. As a result, the betting markets are attracted to the under in this match-up. However, both these teams are horrible defensively, allow opponents to play at a fast pace, and in a meaningless tournament game (both lost yesterday) that means it is unlikely we are going to see a sudden uptick in defensive performance here. Also, against fellow Division I schools, these teams both have consistently given up a ton of points all season long. Look for that trending to continue here and, as a result, this one flies over the total. 10* OVER 147.5 in Incarnate Word 

NBA Atlantic Div Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - I lost with the over in Boston yesterday as a high-scoring 1st half ended up fading into a low-scoring 2nd half. We'll get payback today. This total has dropped from the 211 range to the 207 range and, keep in mind, the over is 3-0 the last 3 times the Celtics have played the 2nd game of a back to back. The Knicks are known for lower scoring games generally speaking but they have averaged 107 points last 4 home games and Boston is averaging 113.4 points per game last 7 road games. 10* OVER 207 in New York

NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jayson Tatum and the Spurs Dejounte Murray both expected to play in this one tonight. Boston has already been getting healthier and it has translated to higher-scoring action on the floor. The Celtics last two games both flew over the total. San Antonio also enters this one off B2B overs and on an overall run of 10-4 to the over last 14 games. Spurs in a back to back and unlikely to be at their best defensively in this match-up plus non-conference match-ups have a tendency to have less defensive intensity. 10* OVER 222 in Boston

NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 222.5 in Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Spurs most recent game only went over the total because of overtime. However, high-scoring games have been the norm for San Antonio for quite some time now as they are on a run of 9-4 to the over. That is strong enough for sure but how about the Raptors torrid streak of overs? They are on an incredible run of 7 straight overs! The Spurs enter this game off B2B off days and fired up to respond after the OT loss at Detroit while the Raptors also enter this game rested as they were off yesterday. Fresh legs and trending toward high-scoring action means I will not pass up on this one. 10* OVER 222.5 in Toronto

NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets @ 7:10 ET - Philly could have some defensive letdown after big win over Brooklyn. As for Houston, they hardly ever pay attention to defense no matter the situation. The over is on a 17-4 run in Rockets games. The over is 3-1 in last 4 meetings between these teams and both match-ups last season flew over the total. Non-conference match-ups generally not known for much defensive intensity. Also, the line move from low 220s down to mid 210s is offering solid line value here! 10* OVER 217 in Philadelphia

NBA Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 8:10 ET - The over is 5-1 in Oklahoma City's last 6 road games. Memphis is off an under yesterday but the over was on an 8-2 run in Grizzlies home games prior to that low-scoring win over the Trail Blazers yesterday. Also, the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 212.5 in Memphis

CBB Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play OVER 155.5 in The Citadel vs South Carolina State @ 5 ET - These teams just met a few ago and the game flew over the total and that is despite SC State making only 25% of threes and 33% from the field overall in that one. So how did it go over the total? Well, SC State took 78 shots from the field including 28 from beyond the arc. The fact is that both these teams are comfortable playing fast pace and we've seen some major point totals involving these teams. I expect more of the same in this one. The Citadel averaging 85.6 points per game this season. South Carolina State on a 4-2 run to the over and their last 7 games have seen them average 78 points per game! They are a double digit dog here. Given all of the above numbers you can see why I am projecting this game to get into the 160 to 170 range. 10* OVER 155.5 in The Citadel

CBB Early Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 142 in Georgetown Hoyas vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 2 ET - Both teams play at a good pace that is conducive to overs. The Horned Frogs have played 4 games away from home this season and NONE of the four resulted in an under! The Hoyas enter this game with their home games on a 5-0 run to the over. Georgetown does tend to score better at home and, with the way each of these teams has been trending, we should see plenty of scoring in this one. We have a manageable total to work with too. I will take it! 10* OVER 142 in Georgetown

CBB Afternoon Annihilation Friday 10* Top Play OVER 128.5 in Virginia Tech Hokies vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 4 ET in the Basketball Hall of Fame Shootout in Charlotte, NC - Neutral site game for this tourney action and I like the over in this one. Yes, the Hokies have trended under of late but that has had a lot do with who they have faced and this total just seems far too low considering they are now facing the Bonnies and St Bonaventure is likely to get Kyle Lofton back for this one as he has been practicing this week. The over is 4-1 in the Bonnies last 5 games and Virginia Tech is knocking down 39% of their threes this season and St Bonaventure will force a decent pace in this game. The Bonnies are scoring an average of 74 points per game this season and the Hokies recent lower-scoring games had a lot to do with the opposition. That is merely serving to give us excellent line value here. 10* OVER 128.5 in Virginia Tech

NBA Central Division Total of the Year Thursday NBA 10* Top Play OVER 209.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons have lost 12 straight games and allowed at least 100 points in all dozen of those games and an average of 111.6 points! The Pacers are off a game in which they were on pace to score 116 points heading into the 4th quarter but then scored just 12 points in the 4th quarter of that game and it stayed just under the total despite Indiana allowing 114 points to the Bucks in that game. That loss at Milwaukee was the 9th time the Pacers have allowed at least 100 points in last 11 games. In those 9 games Indiana has allowed an average of 111 points per game. Given all these numbers you can see why I am forecasting a high-scoring game here. Yes, the Pistons are without Jerami Grant but their first game without him totaled 220 and flew over the total. The over is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 home games and 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games overall. 10* OVER 209.5 in Indiana

CBB Total Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 140 in Belmont Bruins vs Chattanooga Mocs @ 6 ET - Match-up features a Belmont team that came into the season projected to finish at the top of the Ohio Valley Conference and Chattanooga Mocs team that came into the season projected to finish at the top of the Southern Conference. These are two quality teams with a lot of confidence in the offensive end in terms of creating quality scoring opportunities on their possessions. Both teams averaging close to 80 points per game this season and I feel we have good value with the total on this one when you consider that both teams have been solid with high shooting percentages so far this season. 10* OVER 140 in Belmont

NBA TNT Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 211.5 in New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The Warriors were on pace for an over and then the 4th quarter had just 38 points for the two teams combined! After that nonsensical finish, even if Steph Curry does not play in tonight's game, I feel we are going to see this one get over the rather low posted total here. We get a low total here because the Knicks are involved but New York off back to back low-scoring games but this followed 5 straight overs. Look for the over trending to resume here as the over is 2-1 in the Warriors last 3 second game of B2B situations and, by the way, the one that stayed under totaled 219 which would be an over given today's posted number. Look for this to soar over the total. 10* OVER 211.5 in New York 

CBB Earliest Cash 10* Top Play OVER 139.5 in Louisville Cardinals vs Southeastern Louisiana Lions @ 6 ET - The Cardinals are off a home loss to DePaul in which they were held to just 55 points. Fired up off that defeat, you know Louisville is going to bring it in this one! The Cards are going to score a ton of points here as Southeastern Louisiana won't put up much resistance. The good news about the Lions is even though they come from the Southland Conference, they entered this season expected to be the top team in that conference. They are scoring 80.6 points per game so far this season and will not be intimidated about facing Louisville here. The problem is that they won't be able to stop the Cardinals. Based on the above I like the over plenty here but here is a statistical way to look at this one also. The Lions have scored at least 61 points in every game this season. The Cards are favored by about 23 points in this one. That puts the final around 84 to 61 even if Southeastern Louisiana just matches their season low in points scored. I am expecting even more that than given all of the above factors and am looking for a 90 to 65 type game. Should be a solid over as the Cardinals bounce back off the ugly home loss to the Blue Demons. 10* OVER 139.5 in Louisville

NBA TV Early - 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - The last 3 times the Warriors were held to 103 points or less they enjoyed an explosion on offense in their next game. Golden State averaged 116.3 points per game in those 3 games and here they enter off an ugly 102 to 93 loss at Philly as Steph Curry, among others, shot unusually poor. The Warriors will bounce back here and I like the fact that Indiana is off a low-scoring win. That 106-93 win stayed well under the total but Pacers were on a 7-1 run to the over heading into that one. Their over trending resumes in a big way here. Curry is expected to play here and needs 7 more threes to break Ray Allen's regular season record for threes made. That only helps our cause here in another non-conference battle and coming off a rare poor shooting effort. Expect plenty of points in this one with a lot of threes! 10* OVER 213 in Indiana 

Earliest Rout Friday CBB 10* Top Play OVER 126 in Tennessee State Tigers vs IUPUI Jaguars @ 7 ET - The Jags are a different team this season under a new head coach and I am well aware of how low-scoring their games have been. However, this has resulted in line value in this spot as this total is far too low in my opinion. Keep in mind, Tennessee State is off a very low-scoring game and this has impacted this line. However, the Tigers first 6 games featured 5 that all totaled 149 or more points. Those 5 games averaged in the mid-150s and this total is in the mid-120s. Fully understand the low total based on how bad IUPUI has been on offense. But look for Tennessee State to dictate the tempo of this game and certainly the Jaguars can score a little better against a Tigers team that had given up 79 or more in 4 of first 6 games this season. IUPUI has allowed 73.5 points per game in their last two games. Will be more points than many are expected here and the Jaguars streak of unders to start this season comes to an end. 10* OVER 126 in Tennessee State

NBA Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - The over is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 games. Though 2 of the 6, including the one hosting Philly Monday, went to overtime, both of those games were over the total by the end of regulation already. Although the Hornets are dealing with a covid outbreak that was already an issue heading into Monday's game and yet Charlotte did just fine in the scoring department against the 76ers. In fact, the Hornets have now averaged 127 points per game in regulation time last 6 games! The Sixers have trended more toward unders of late but that had a lot to do with the teams they were playing. Matched up with Charlotte this is likely to be another high-scoring shootout. The Hornets have not looked good at all on defense and have allowed 126 points last 6 games but their offense continues to roll. 10* OVER 215.5 in Charlotte

CBB Earliest Rout - 10* Top Play OVER 146.5 in Xavier Musketeers vs Ball State Cardinals @ 6:30 ET - This is a tough spot for the Musketeers and I expect their defensive intensity to be low in this game as a result. Xavier just got a hard-fought win at Oklahoma State Sunday and they have a huge rivalry game with Cincinnati on deck. Given this situation I just can not expect much from the Musketeers defensively in this game. As for the other end of the court however, they have now scored 70 points or more in 6 of last 7 games and have averaged 76.2 points per game in those 6 games. They will score even better than that in this one considering the style of play Ball State employs. The Cardinals last 4 games have all totaled 159 points or more! Ball State has allowed 85 points or more in 3 of last 4 games. Ball State has scored an average of 89 points last 3 games. Ideal set-up and match-up for a high-scoring game with very little tenacious defense in this one! 10* OVER 146.5 in Xavier

CBB Philly Special - 8* Play OVER 144.5 in Villanova Wildcats vs St Joseph's Hawks @ Noon ET - The Hawks off big win over Binghamton and we had the over there but the game inexplicably died in 2nd half after looking great in 1st half. This one against Villanova will not die. The Wildcats might score 100 here. St Joseph's just does not play much defense. Villanova will want to put on a huge display in this all-Philly match-up and the Wildcats have been averaging 79.4 points per game this season. The Hawks, even including low-scoring loss to tough UCLA team are averaging 72.9 points per game this season. This one gets well into the 150s based on the projections and the fact the spread on this game is in the low 20s. 8* OVER 144.5 in Villanova

CBB Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play OVER 144 in Saint Joseph's Hawks vs Binghamton Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know this is a game a bit off the beaten path so to speak but I follow St Joe's rather closely as long-time followers know. As for Binghamton, they are in the America East Conference where they are projected to finish dead last this season. No team in the America East allowed more points per game than the Bearcats did last season. Binghamton can score very well though and has a new coach this season. Certainly still issues on defense as, other than when they faced a non-division I team, the Bearcats allowed an average of 73 points per game. That does not include OT points either. By the way, again not including OT, Binghamton is averaging 76.6 points per game. As for the Hawks, they are fine with a run and gun style of play as, other than when they faced a very tough USC defense, they have averaged 75.2 points per game this season. St Joe's is allowing 77.3 points per game last 4 games however and you can see why I am expecting a free-flowing non-conference match-up here with a ton of scoring. Neither one of these teams is known for focusing on defense! 10* OVER 144 in Saint Joseph's

NBA Total of the Month - 10* Top Play OVER 218 in Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:40 ET - The over is 7-0 in Grizzlies last 7 games. The over is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 games. I know long-term the games between these teams at Toronto have trended under but the over is 2-1 in 3 most recent meetings between these clubs and the way they are going right now I expect plenty of scoring. Memphis has allowed 117 points per game in road games this season. Toronto allowing 108 per game at home this season and overall has had held only one opponent under 109 points in last 9 games! In the other 8 games, the Raptors allowed average of 116 points per game! You can see why I am projecting this game to get well into the 220s if not 230s as neither one of these teams has been showing a ton of commitment on the defensive end and plus this is a non-conference match-up and those generally tend to have less intensity defensively. Both teams have games on deck that are in-conference games that will garner more intensity defensively. As a result, look for tonight to be a free-flowing game with plenty of points. Yes, Ja Morant is now out for the Grizzlies but they scored 128 in first game without him and it was not a fluke. They only hit 13 of 39 threes but it was simply a fast-paced game and I look for another one here. 10* OVER 218 in Toronto

NBA Earliest Punisher - 10* Top Play OVER 208.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic @ 7:10 ET - We are getting line value here with a low total because the Magic have such bad scoring numbers as Orlando has been a depleted team all season long. However, this has led to value here because the way I see this one playing out is the Sixers rolling to a blowout win but I just don't trust laying 15 points really in any situation. But the key is Philadelphia is not going to take the foot off their gas at least in the first 3 quarters of this game. This team is getting healthier but they are angry off B2B losses including one in double-OT against the Timberwolves on Saturday. Philly will take advantage of facing an Orlando team that has allowed 115 points per game last 6 games. The 76ers have a road trip on deck so this game carries extra importance for them. They will not be stopped in this game but I would not be surprised if they let the Magic creep back into the range of the spread late in this game. That is another reason to like the over here as a lot as Philadelphia should score a ton and then we see a loosely played game in the latter stages with plenty of easy buckets for both teams during "mop-up" time. 10* OVER 208.5 in Philadelphia

CBB Early Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 130.5 in Virginia Cavaliers vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7 ET - Virginia, year in and year out, is one of the best defensive teams in College Basketball. Trust me, the odds makers are well aware of this too. Yet we saw this line in the mid-130s as an opener and now it is down to the 130 range as of mid-morning Monday. I will grab the value on the other side of this move. Iowa is smart enough to know they have no chance if they let this game turn into a half-court defensive-minded struggle. I feel strongly that the Hawkeyes - averaging 97 points per game this season but against weak competition - are going to force the pace here. Iowa is going to look to get quick outside shots and/or quick points in transition and this is a team that has knocked down nearly 40% of its three pointers this season. Virginia is allowing 32% from three point land at home this season and not only is that not exactly spectacular, it also was against much weaker teams with lesser shooters than this Hawkeyes team has. At the same time, this will be the toughest team, by far, that Iowa has faced this season and the Cavs are going to score quite well here. The Cavaliers had an ugly game versus Houston not too long ago but that was the only rough performance in a 6-game stretch that saw them average 65 points per game in the 5 wins. So consider that average and the fact Iowa is going to force some tempo in this game. This should get into the 140s in my opinion. 10* OVER 130.5 in Virginia

CBB Philly Special - 10* Top Play OVER 139 in La Salle Explorers vs Villanova Wildcats @ 6 ET - The Wildcats ready to make amends for what happened against Purdue. The over is 4-1 in Villanova's games this season and their defense has not been what we are use to seeing from a typical Wildcats team. However, the Cats offense is phenomenal and averaging 82.6 points so far this season and will have no trouble against an over-matched Explorers team here. La Salle also can score well though and I feel the Wildcats will force a fast tempo here as they can't wait to "let loose" for a big win after what happened against he Boilermakers. That means we have a lot of line value here with this rather low total because I just don't see La Salle as being able to slow down Villanova. But also, the Wildcats will get such a huge lead in this game that there is no reason for intense focus on defense and the Explorers, as an example, had only 28 points in the first half of the last meeting between these teams but then scored 44 in the 2nd half and that game totaled 155 points. I feel we have good value with this low total as Nova will be pushing to score a ton of points here. 10* OVER 139 in La Salle

CBB Philly Special - 10* Top Play OVER 139 in Temple Owls vs Delaware Fightin Blue Hens @ 7 ET - The Owls are happy to be at home in Philly and will score plenty here. Temple has scored more than 70 in each of their two home games this season and one of those was against USC. Delaware has been very weak on defense early this season and certainly will not put up much resistance. The over is a perfect 6-0 in Fightin' Blue Hens games this season. Delaware has been shooting the ball very well early this season but can stop no one. The Owls are off a dominating win over an over-matched Elon team but Delaware will be much more of a test, hence the low line on this game in terms of the small spread. Prior to the win over Elon, Temple allowed 78 points per game over 3 prior games. With this total also moving down from low 140s to upper 130s, we have even more value to work with in this one. I'll take it. 10* OVER 139 in Temple

Total of the Week - CBB 10* Top Play OVER 145 in Georgetown Hoyas vs St Joseph's Hawks @ 9 ET in Anaheim, CA - Yesterday both these teams has games that stayed under the total but the Hoyas made just 4 of 20 from beyond the arc. The Hawks also shot poorly as they made just 6 of 31 from downtown. Georgetown faced San Diego State and St Joseph's faced USC. Even with facing tougher defensive teams yesterday the poor three point shooting was the difference maker. Now, these two teams that are certainly not known for defense are matched up and I expect a lot more points from each as a result. Both will shoot much better from 3-point land plus the overall flow of the game will be conducive to a high-scoring result as well. 10* OVER 145 in Georgetown

CBB Philly Special - 10* Top Play OVER 150 in St Joe's vs USC @ 9:30 ET (game played in Anaheim) - The Hawks can't stop anybody and have allowed 82.5 points per game now that they have stepped up to a little stronger competition last two games. St Joseph's does score well though as they are never afraid of playing at a fast pace and the Hawks have averaged 77 points per game last 3 games. The key here is USC can run and gun all over them but the Trojans also lost some length from last season's team that was so good defensively. So Southern Cal has allowed 71 points in 2 of their last 3 games but the Trojans also are averaging a stellar 85 points per game this season. Look for plenty of points in this one as it should play out with a lot of quick shots and plenty of points in transition too. 10* OVER 150 in St Joseph's

NBA Earliest Cash - 10* OVER 212.5 in Boston - Celtics getting back Jaylen Brown and Robert Williams and Boston has been heating up even without Brown so I am expecting plenty of points with his return tonight. As for Rockets, they showed a lot of fight in their loss at New York Saturday and I expect this Houston team to keep battling as they look to end their long losing streak. To be competitive in this game the Rockets will have to score plenty of points and I am fully expecting that as they hang around in this one. That will help send this one way over the total in my opinion. Celtics averaging 112 points in regulation time of last 6 home games. Boston has allowed 107 points in regulation time of last 3 home games. 10* OVER 212.5 in Boston

CBB Afternoon Annihilation - 10* OVER 123 in Houston - I fully understand the reputation of Houston and Butler as grinders when it comes to pace of play and looking to grind out victories in lower-scoring games. However, I feel this total has been adjusted too far low. Especially with Houston shooting the 3-ball well early this season and with Butler, off a rare down season in terms of offensive efficiency, likely to ratchet things right back up to normal this season. The Cougars are scoring an average of 72 points per game in regulation time of their games this season. The Bulldogs are averaging 66 points per game this season. This game is part of the Maui Invitational but it was moved to Las Vegas for this year due to covid effecting travel requirements for entry into  Hawaii. In this neutral site tourney action I am looking for strong outside shooting to carry both these teams and I expect it to be a close enough game late that we will get plenty of late points too based on one team fouling and the other jacking up quick threes to stay alive in the game. 10* OVER 123 in Houston

CBB Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 136.5 in Marquette - This is a tourney game being played in South Carolina. Both St Bonaventure and Marquette are hot to start the season as they each have perfect SU records. The Bonnies have averaged 70 points in their 5 wins and the Golden Eagles have averaged 78 points in their 4 wins. I look for plenty of points here as Marquette's strength is certainly NOT defense but this team can score well and is going to challenge St Bonaventure. The over is 4-1 this season because the Golden Eagles have allowed 70 points or more in 4 of 5 games. Look for that trend to continue here as the Bonnies struggle to slow them down but also have plenty of success at the other end. I feel the Golden Eagles are going to force a good tempo with this game as they don't want St Bonaventure to be able to slow it down into a half-court grinder. 10* OVER 136.5 in Marquette

CBB TWD Top Play - 10* Top Play OVER 142.5 in Louisville - The Cardinals want to play faster this season on offense. They made some changes in terms of assistant coaches and strategy and that is why they are scoring well even though they have made only 30% of three this season. Louisville is off B2B overs and averaging 74 points per game and will take advantage of facing a team that is allowing high shooting percentages so far this season. Detroit is allowing 81 points per game and the over is 2-0 in their last two games also. They have some scoring talent and should score well here as, like the Cardinals, they are also due to start shooting better from outside. The key here is the pace and I except the hosts to really run and gun in this game based on their strategic initiative and that should make for a game that gets into the 150s. 10* OVER 142.5 in Louisville

TWD Top Play - CBB 10* OVER 135.5 in Indiana State - Yesterday the Sycamores allowed only 36 points to Old Dominion. Oklahoma is most definitely not Old Dominion. The shooting numbers for the Monarchs were absolutely atrocious from everywhere on the floor including only 11 of 24 free throws. That said, these Sooners are going to put up plenty of points on Indiana State and this game should fly over the total. Oklahoma is a double digit favorite for a reason and, keep in mind, the Sooners did allow 74 points in yesterday's win. The key for Oklahoma is their offense is averaging 84 points per game this season. By the way, Indiana State is averaging 79 points per game this season and lets not forget that in their first two games this season they allowed an average of 84.5 points per game. This one should fly over the total in this B2B tourney game situation for these clubs. Like the fact that we saw plenty of free throw attempts for the opponents in yesterday's games involving these teams as well. 10* OVER 135.5 in Indiana State

Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #559 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 218.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Wizards games have stayed under the total in 6 straight and Hornets games have stayed under the total in 3 straight and each of the last 3 meetings between these teams has resulted in an under. In typical contrarian fashion, given those stats, I will take the over here! Of course it is not blindly though. The fact is that Charlotte is comfortable playing fast and they are going to force the pace of this game to be the way they want it at home. They had a low-scoring 4th quarter versus Golden State Sunday that looked like a sure over. Following that ridiculous result, we get some payback here as I come right back with a Hornets over knowing that Washington averaging 108.4 points per game game this season and Hornets averaging 116.2 points in home games this season. 10* OVER 218.5 in Charlotte

Philly Special - Rickenbach CBB Rotation #659 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 144.5 in St Joseph's Hawks vs Drexel Dragons @ 7 ET - Big match-up for bragging honors in the city as these two Philly rivals match up. I expect the result to be plenty of points. Yes Drexel's most recent game stayed under but that was at Syracuse so not a big surprise the Dragons did not score well there. Now they are matched up with a team that likes to play fast and they will play the same way as well and both teams have shot well early this season. Both teams having trouble defending the 3-point arc early this season too. 10* OVER 144.5 in St Joseph's

Early Punisher - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #537 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 213.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic @ 7:40 ET - Hawks head coach had been wanting his team to up the tempo and they finally did it yesterday and it led to a 120-100 win versus Milwaukee. I love the fact that Atlanta scored 120 but the game still stayed under the total. That gives us value here as we have a lower total to work with courtesy of the Hawks facing a bad Orlando team. Couple keys here as to why this will go over even though the Magic such a bad team right now and still without some players. The Hawks defensive intensity likely to drop off after being up for the big game versus the NBA champs last night. Also, Atlanta is without Hunter (wrist surgery) and he is one of their best defenders. Additionally, the Magic have scored an average of 109 points last 3 road games but are a double digit dog here with good reason. In other words, look for this one to crush the rather low total as the Trae Young and the Hawks run and gun again in this one. 10* OVER 213.5 in Atlanta

Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #519 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 227 in Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - Warriors have averaged 123 points last 5 games. Hornets have averaged 118 points in home games this season. Both teams hitting 37% of their threes this season. Charlotte off B2B unders but over was 9-3 on the season before that two game stretch. Golden State off an under but this followed 3 straight overs. Non-conference match-up, both teams off wins, and this the type of situation I like to look for softer defense and a run and gun type affair. 10* OVER 227 in Charlotte

NBA Early Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Charlotte - The Hornets like to play fast and this is particularly true at home where they are averaging 100 shots per game from the field! Though Charlotte is off an under this was preceded by a run of 9-3 to the over! Also, the Knicks are off an under at home and I know they have also generally trended under the total of late but this is a New York team that is 5-1 SU on the road this season and has averaged scoring 113 points per game in their 5 road victories. Couple that with the fact the Hornets are averaging 122 points per game at home this season and you can see why I am expecting a fast-paced shootout in this one! 10* OVER 223.5 in Charlotte

Total of the Week - Rickenbach CBB Rotation #774 Thursday 10* Top Play UNDER 142.5 in Maryland Terrapins vs George Washington Colonials @ 6:30 ET - Though both teams are off season opening wins, I expect each to ready to dial up the defensive intensity here. Maryland ranked 3rd in the Big Ten for points allowed last season but then allowed 69 points to Quinnipiac in their season opener. The Terrapins will be tougher on defense here and now lets talk about George Washington. The Colonials know they must play solid defense if they want to hang around in this game and they are motivated to face a nearby big school in this one. Indeed these campuses are not that far apart but GW comes come the A-10 while the Terps, of course, are in the Big Ten. George Washington can not afford to play fast here and risk being blown out and I feel the Colonials will try to slow this one down a little and stay within striking distance for a possible 2nd half rally. It is their best hope and this will be a bit of a grinder and this total has climbed a little too high in my opinion. 10* UNDER 142.5 in Maryland

Eastern Conf Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #529 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:40 ET - The Bucks off a 118-109 win at Philly that went over the total last night. Now in the 2nd game of a B2B we could see a little slacking in intensity level in the defensive end as a result. The Knicks have been playing well and scoring with much more consistency this season. The over is 4-1 in New York's home games this season. The Bucks have scored 117 points or more in 4 of their last 5 road games. Milwaukee's last visit here totaled 240 points! We may not see that many tonight but all signs pointing to this one getting into the 220s based on the situation. The Knicks off a low-scoring divisional win over the Sixers Monday so the set up here is perfect. 10* OVER 215.5 in New York

TNT Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 218 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:35 ET - The Bucks without Middleton. The 76ers without Embiid and Harris. I know both these teams have been trending under of late but this one is going to play out much differently in my opinion. The 76ers are in a back to back spot and scored 109 the only other time this season they were in the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, the Sixers are off a disappointing home loss to the Knicks last night and have averaged 116 points per game this season when off an ATS loss. The Bucks are off a disappointing road loss at Washington but had scored an average of 119 points per game their 3 road games prior to the loss to the Wizards. Milwaukee is a big road favorite for a reason here and you can see, based on the above, why I am expecting this one to go over the total as both teams bounce back from low-scoring efforts. 10* OVER 218 in Philadelphia 

Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 6 ET - We had a horrible bad beat here with the Knicks over on Friday but it was not New York's fault. The game had 117 points at half but then Milwaukee scored like hell in the 2nd half even though they were at home and that cost us big. We'll get some payback here because Knicks had huge 2nd half and I look for them to carry it right into this game. New York scored 113 points and is averaging 113 points per game on the season. Cleveland has won 3 straight games and averaged 107 points per game during this win streak. I know the Cavs have some injury and covid concerns but they have been playing with those in this streak and this game should be a shootout. 10* OVER 207 in New York

Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks @ 7:35 ET - Bucks have been struggling to score in last two home games but I look for a breakout game on offense here as they make up for it in a big way. Milwaukee just scored 117 on road and carry that momentum into a much needed strong performance at home. I am aware of the injury situation but they should get Jrue Holiday back for this one as well. Knicks off low scoring loss at Pacers but were averaging 115 points per game before that and should bounce back here with plenty of offense. Over had been 5-2 in Knicks games and that trending resumes here. 10* OVER 217 in Milwaukee

PA Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 206.5 in Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Sixers in a back to back so could be a little flat defensively here after holding the Bulls under 100 last night. Also, Embiid may not play since it is a back to back. That means the Philly defensive middle could be impacted. I know Pistons not a good team but they allow a ton of points. Detroit has allowed 114 points per game last 5 games. So you can see if Philly wins by close to the line of -6 that would put this game at about 114-108 if Pistons continue to allow the average points they have been. The over is 6-1 L7 meetings including 4-0 L4 at Little Caesars Arena. More of the same here. 10* OVER 206.5 in Detroit 

NBA TV Blowout - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #527 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 224.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz @ 7:10 ET - I am aware that a few guys are out right now for the Bucks but I love the over in this match-up Sunday. Both teams are off low-scoring upset losses yesterday in which they were held under 100 points. Look for the focus for each team to be on the offensive end in this one after those dismal shooting performances. Note that last season's two meetings between these teams each flew over the total and the over is on a 16-7 run in last 23 meetings between these clubs in Milwaukee. The Bucks had allowed 117.5 points per game last 4 games prior to allowing just 102 to what is not a very good team, Spurs, yesterday. The Jazz are going to have a huge scoring effort here but note also that Utah has some impressive defensive numbers this season but now faces its toughest test yet this season. A road game in a back to back and facing the defending NBA champs. Look for a rather loosely played, wide-open non-conference match-up here and that means a lot of open looks and uncontested shots and easy buckets. I expect a very good pace to this game just like the two meetings last season and those each totaled 244 or more. 10* OVER 224.5 in Milwaukee

Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #561 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 205 in Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic vs 7:10 ET - The Magic, despite being very short-handed, continue to go over the total in their games. Part of the reason for this is that Orlando's defense has been very poor early this season. The Magic are allowing 115 points per game and are allowing high percentages from the field including from 3-point land. That said, if they give up 115 here but lose the game by 8 points as the posted spread is suggesting, that would put this total in the 222 range but we are working with an O/U that is much lower than that. I will take it because I believe the Raptors may not have their best defensive intensity for this game either. Toronto is off a home win versus the Pacers and they have a game on deck at Indiana tomorrow. The Raptors have allowed 105 points last 3 games. The Magic have scored 110 points or more in 2 of last 3 games. I know this game could be a bit ugly but still I feel this total is just too low given the situation. Orlando also is in the front end of a back to back as well and the over is 3-0 in last 3 meetings between these teams. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 205 in Toronto

NBA TV Blowout - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #549 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 212 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - This total has dropped a lot because Jerami Grant is questionable for the Pistons and Joel Embiid is questionable for the 76ers. Keep in mind, when Grant did not play the last game, Kelly Olynyk moved into the starting five. Olynyk had a huge game and it flew over the total. Speaking of overs, the over is a perfect 6-0 in last 6 games between these teams. The Sixers have a big game with Atlanta on deck. Philly could easily look right past a Pistons team that is winless on the season. Additionally, if Embiid does not play that leave a gaping hole in the Sixers interior defense. Everyone always looks at points scored when guys are out but Embiid also matters on defense. That said, even if he does play he has not been moving that well. I look for this one to have plenty of scoring from both teams as Detroit faced a bad Bulls team in B2B games to open up the season and then finally faced a challenge with the Hawks and gave up 122. The Sixers will score plenty here too but note that they have allowed 110 points per game last 3 games and the line here is around a -10. That said, 120 to 110 sounds about right not me and that means the over improves to 7-0 in last 7 meetings between 76ers and Pistons. 10* OVER 212 in Philadelphia