50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Dolphins -9) 

I have no problem laying this big number on the Dolphins at home against the Browns. Miami is a better team than they get credit for, but just aren't getting a ton of respect at 0-2. Everyone was on Baltimore last week and they saw the Browns jump out 20-0 on the Ravens before eventually losing. That was at home and with an experienced quarterback. Now Cleveland goes on the road with rookie Cody Kessler making his first NFL start. He does so without talented rookie wide out Corey Coleman, who played a big part in them being competitive against Baltimore with 5 catches for 104 yards and 2 scores. Miami isn't going to overlook the Browns at 0-2 and I look for them to make a statement here and easily win this one by double-digits. Give me Cleveland -9! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Patriots -1) 

I know the Patriots might be without Garoppolo, but I still think they are the better team and will find a way to win at home. Keep in mind, there's still a shot Garoppolo plays. So much attention is being made to that injury, people are overlooking the other factors here. Like the advantage the Patriots have on a short week of prep with Bill Belichick or that New England's defense is every bit as good as the Texans and the Houston offense is nothing to write home about. Whenever this team is doubted, like they are here, they always seem to find a way to prove people wrong. Whether it's Brissett or Garoppolo, I expect the Patriots offense to be able to move the ball and the defense to make enough stops to win this game. It's also worth mentioning, I'm not that high on the Texans and feel they are overrated right now after the 2-0 start. They beat an awful Bears team at home, which they trailed in the 4th quarter and the Chiefs in a huge revenge spot from last year's ugly playoff loss. Give me the Patriots -1! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bears -3) 

I think we are catching a good number here with Chicago as a field goal favorite at home on Monday Night Football. The Bears are going to come out desperate to avoid the dreaded 0-2 start to the season and I believe this is a better team than people think. Chicago went into Houston and had a lead going into the 4th quarter. The Eagles won at home against a Browns team that could struggle to win a game this season. I think facing Cleveland has upped the hype on rookie Carson Wentz, who will be making his first NFL road start on the biggest stage of the week. It's also worth noting that rookie quarterbacks haven't faired well in Chicago. Since 2002, rookies are 1-6 with the only win coming in overtime with Russell Wilson and the Seahawks. Another factor here is the Eagles are missing a key player on both sides of the ball. Offensively they will be without tight end Zach Ertz, who was one of Wentz's favorite targets in Week 1 and on defense they are going to be missing top corner Leodis McKelvin, which is a big loss going up against Chicago talented duo of Alshon Jeffery and Kevin White. Give me the Bears -3! 

50* NFC West Game of the Month (Rams +7)

I know the Rams couldn't have looked any worse in their opener against the 49ers, but I'm confident that's not the team we are going to see the rest of the year. Keep in mind the Vikings got owned by San Fran in Week 1 last year on Monday Night Football and they went on to win 11 games. This is a much better matchup for LA, especially on defense, where their defensive line should be able to overpower a weak Seahawks offensive line. This is also a big bounce back spot after getting embarrassed in the spotlight of MNF. On top of that, it's the first home game in LA in over two decades. Seattle has started out slow in the past and they certainly didn't look good in Week 1, as they were fortunate to beat Miami at home. Give me the Rams +7! 

50* NFC East Game of the Month (Redskins -2.5) 

Dallas is one of the biggest publicly backed teams in the NFL and while they lost their opener at home against the Giants, they played well enough for the public to back them here. Especially after watching the Redskins getting embarrassed at home by the Steelers on Monday Night Football. I don't think Washington is anywhere close to as bad as that final looked against Pittsburgh. I look for a big bounce back here offensively, as they simply have too many weapons to only put up 16 points. They should have no problem doing that against a soft Dallas defense that will be exposed on multiple occasions this season. Give me the Redskins -2.5! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rams -3)

I'm more than willing to lay a field goal on the road with LA against the 49ers. San Francisco is right there with Cleveland in terms of the worst rosters in the league. I don't like the decision to bring in Chip Kelly, as the last thing this team needs is to speed up the tempo on offense and have their defense on the field the majority of the game. The Rams certainly have the talent to breakout this season and I think Case Keenum is better than people give him credit for. The defensive front of the Rams will make life miserable for the 49ers Blaine Gabbert, who is simply the starter by default. SF surprised in Week 1 last year on Monday Night Football and I think that's keeping this line low. I don't see it happening again. Give me Rams -3! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Vikings -2.5) 

No Teddy Bridgewater, no problem for the Vikings in Week 1. The injury is being blown out of proportion with how it's going to hurt this team. I'm not saying Bridgewater isn't a good player, but this team isn't built around the passing game. It's all about Adrian Peterson and the defense. Both of which should be very good here against the Titans. Tennessee wants to run the football down your throat and that's just not going to work against a well-coached and very talented Minnesota defense. I also think the Vikings are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder, as they want to prove to all the skeptics that they are still a legit Super Bowl contender this season. Give me the Vikings -2.5! 

50* NFL Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Panthers/Broncos Under 41.5) 

These two teams combined for just 34 points when they faced off in last year's Super Bowl and I think they were fortunate to get there. Denver's 24-points came primarily off turnovers. They had a fumbled returned for a touchdown and another fumble recovery that resulted in a 3 play 4-yard drive (2-pt conversion. When forced to actually put a drive together the Broncos managed just two field goals. Carolina's offense only put up 10 points, as they simply had no answer for Denver's pass rush. Given that the Panthers didn't do anything to improve the tackle position, I don't see that being any different in this one. If anything it's going to be even harder with the game being played in Denver. I see a low-scoring defensive battle that comes down to the wire. Give me the UNDER 41.5! 

50* NFL --Super Bowl 50 MAX BET-- (Broncos +5.5) 

The betting public is all over the Panthers for Super Bowl 50, yet oddsmakers have kept this number under a touchdown for a reason. Carolina is not going to turn this into a blowout like the Seahawks did to them a couple years back. In fact, I think the Broncos win this game outright. Like they have all year, Denver is going to rely on their defense and they have the talent and scheme to keep Cam Newton in check. I also think Peyton Manning is going to play exceptionally well. Note he hasn't thrown an interception in 78 attempts since returning in Week 17. He would have even more yards and touchdowns if it wasn't for the timing being off just a little. I look for him to get back on the same page as his receivers with the two week layoff prior to the game. Give me the Broncos +5.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Panthers/Cardinals UNDER 47.5) 

So much attention is being paid to Cam Newtown and Carson Palmer with these two high-powered offenses, but I believe it will be the defenses that take over this game. Keep in mind these are two of the best defenses the NFL has to offer. Arizona ranks 7th in scoring defense (19.6 ppg) and 5th in total defense (321.7) ypg). Carolina is 6th in scoring defense (19.3 ppg) and 6th in total defense (322.9 ypg). The pressure of knowing that a trip to the Super Bowl is on the line will likely have both offenses a bit jittery early in this one and keep in mind that conditions are going to be less than ideal. UNDER is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 against a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Give me the UNDER 47.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Chiefs +5) 

Most are going to just assume that the Patriots are going to go right back to the team that started out the season 10-0 due to getting a few guys back from injury. At the same time, no one wants to buy into the Chiefs and what they are doing, having won 11 straight. Kansas City matches up extremely well with New England on both sides of the ball and I believe they have something special going on right now. Let's not forget what this Chiefs team did to the Patriots in a 41-14 win over the Patriots on Monday Night Football last year. This Kansas City defense is for real and I look for a banged up Patriots offense to struggle to move the ball and wouldn't be shocked if KC pulled off the unthinkable upset on the road in New England in the postseason. Give me the Chiefs +5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Chiefs -3) 

Kansas City is not getting near the respect the should be going into the playoffs. The Chiefs closed out the regular season on a 10-game winning streak and have the perfect recipe for success in the postseason. Kansas City doesn't turn the ball over on offense and creates takeaways on defense, they can run the football and are playing as well as anyone on defense. Houston is in the playoffs by default, as the AFC East was awful. The Texans took advantage of an easy schedule and struggled against playoff caliber teams. The only thing Houston has going for them in this game, is they are playing at home, but I don't think that's a big enough factor here. Give me the Chiefs -3! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Texans -6) 

While the Texans are all but a sure thing to win the AFC South, I don't expect Houston to leave their fate in the hands of someone else. I look for the Texans to come out and take care of business at home against the Jaguars. Jacksonville has come a long way this season, but this is still not a great team and one that I don't think is going to be overly excited about winning the last game of the season. Houston's defense should be the difference in this one and with Hoyer back under center the offense should score enough to win here by at least a touchdown. Give me the Texans -6!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Broncos -3.5)

The Broncos are being way undervalued here at home against the Bengals. It would be one thing if Cincinnati had Andy Dalton at quarterback, but they are going up against one of the best defenses in the NFL on the road with A.J. McCarron at quarterback. The Bengal's offense is going to have a difficult time getting first downs, let alone score enough points here to keep this game close enough to cover. Give me the Broncos -3.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Rams +13)

Seattle comes into this game having won 5 straight and each of the last 3 have come by at least 17 points. I believe that has the Seahawks way overvalued in this one. Seattle has clearly turned a corner, but there's nothing left for this team to gain over the final two weeks of the season. Seattle has already secured a Wild Card spot and can't win their division. St Louis has showed no signs of quitting on the season and come in off two of their better performances with back-to-back wins over the Lions and Buccaneers. They have had 3 extra days to prepare for this matchup and have a history of playing the Seahawks close. St Louis has won 2 of the last 3 meetings and I look for them to give it everything they have in this matchup. I don't expect another outright win in Seattle, but I do think they keep it close enough to cover. Give me the Rams +13! 

50* NFL --SNF Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Cardinals -3.5)

This is a great price to back the Cardinals in a prime-time game against the Eagles. Philadelphia comes into this game off back-to-back wins, which has forced the books to set a smaller line what this should actually be. Arizona is the far superior team in this matchup and have a big advantage here with 3 extra days of preparation following their game on Thursday Night Football. While the Eagles are fighting for their playoff lives in the race for the NFC East title, Arizona is a team on a mission to secure the NFC West and they can do that with a win in this matchup. Cardinals gave up over 300 yards passing last week to the Vikings, but are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after allowing that many yards through the air. Arizona is also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in December and 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a losing home record. Give me the Cardinals -3.5! 

50* NFL --NFC South Game of the Month-- (Falcons +9)

I absolutely love the value we are getting with the Falcons as a near double-digit dog against the Panthers. Carolina is clearly better than everyone thought coming into the season, but they are being way overvalued by the books due to their 12-0 start. Atlanta has really struggled to get back on track after a 5-0 start, but they have been in every game they have played. Only 2 losses all season by more than the spread listed for this game and both of those were 10-point defeats. Carolina is due for a dud and these division games have a way of being closer than expected, just look at the Panthers came last week against the Saints, which they could have easily lost. Give me the Falcons +9! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Top Play-- (OVER 45.5)

Arizona has one of the most well-rounded offenses in the NFL. The Cardinals lead the league in both total offense (419.5 ypg) and scoring offense (31.8 ppg). I look for Arizona to put up a big number here against a Vikings defense that has been hit hard with injuries. Minnesota won't have starting defensive tackle Linval Joseph, linebacker Anthony Barr and safeties Harrison Smith and Antone Exum. They also are without backup safety Andrew Sendejo and backup safety Robert Blanton is questionable. Inexperience in the defensive backfield is going to result in a lot of big plays for Arizona and I see no reason why they don't eclipse their season average in this one. Vikings should be able to score enough (may not be till garbage time) to push this well over the mark. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Redskins -3)

I'll gladly take my chances with the Redskins laying just a field goal at home on Monday Night Football. While Dallas is technically still alive in the NFC East race, this is not a legit playoff contender without Romo. Dallas is 0-7 when Romo doesn't start and I don't see that changing on the road against a Washington team that is playing some of their best football right now. The Redskins are also a dominant 5-1 at home this season, riding a 5-game home winning streak. Dallas simply doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep this one close. Give me the Redskins -3! 

50* NFL --AFC Game of the Month-- (Dolphins -3.5)

I know it hasn't been good for Miami of late, but this is a spot where I think the Dolphins show up and get an easy win. Baltimore needed a blocked field goal at the end of regulation to escape with a win over the Browns and are simply getting too much respect for winning back-to-back games against bad teams. The thing to keep in mind about Miami's 1-4 stretch is that 3 of the 4 losses came on the road against quality teams in the Patriots, Bills and Jets, while the other came at home against the Cowboys with Tony Romo at quarterback. Ryan Tannehill should have a field day here against a horrible Raven's secondary and I just don't see Baltimore being able to keep pace offensively with Schaub guiding the offense. Give me the Dolphins -3.5! 

50* NFL --AFC Game of the Month-- (Broncos +3)

I believe the Patriots perfect season is going to come crashing to an end this week against the Broncos, much like it did for Green Bay when they visited Denver for a prime time Sunday Night Football matchup a few weeks back. As good as Tom Brady has been and he's been very good, the injuries to the skill positions are going to be too much for even him to overcome against an elite Denver defense. I'm also a big fan of Osweiler and what he brings to the table. He's not going to put up huge numbers, but I think he's smart with the football and won't turn it over. Given how Manning was playing, he's not a downgrade like so many people think and I wouldn't be surprised at all if he shined in this game. Give me the Broncos +3! 

50* NFL --Thanksgiving Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Cowboys +1)

It's highly unlikely the Panthers are going to finish the season undefeated and I believe their perfect run comes to an end on Thanksgiving Day in Dallas. The Cowboys snapped a 7-game losing streak with a 24-14 win at Miami, which to no surprise came with the return of Tony Romo at quarterback. I firmly believe that if Romo had not got injured, we would be talking about Dallas being one of the elite teams in the NFC right now. The Cowboys should be at a minimum a 3-point home favorite against the Panthers. Carolina has played an easy schedule and most of their tough games have come at home. Now they get a huge road test on a short week of rest. I look for Romo and the Cowboys talented offensive line to have more than enough success here to come away with a win, as their defense is poised to make life miserable for Cam Newton and the Panthers offense. Give me the Cowboys +1! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Bills +7.5)

I know the Patriots had their way against the Bills in Buffalo earlier this season, but this is a much different New England offense this time around. The Patriots have lost two huge pieces of their passing game in wide out Julian Edelman and running back Dion Lewis. They are also dealing with some injuries up front on the offensive line. I look for this to be a low-scoring defensive battle, which makes the 7.5-points that much more valuable. Rex Ryan knows a thing or two about how to slow down Tom Brady and given the current state of the Patriots I think the Bills have an excellent shot at winning this game outright. Give me Buffalo +7.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Broncos -1)

I think we are seeing a huge overreaction here with the Broncos coming off that ugly loss to the Chiefs at home, which saw Peyton Manning end the game on the sideline. People are acting like the Broncos lost an elite quarterback, but in reality Manning was one of the worst in the league this year. Brock Osweiler is a much better fit for Kubiak's offense and I look for him to surprise against a soft Bears defense. Speaking of defense, Denver has the best stop unit in the league and they are going to come out extremely motivated after last week's poor performance. I think Denver wins here convincingly against an overrated Bears team that has been playing better of late but against bad teams. Give me the Broncos -1! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron MNF Top Play-- (Texans +11)

The Bengals are way overvalued right now and I look for them to struggle to put away the Texans on Monday Night Football. Houston has a big advantage here coming off their bye and I look for them to play one of their best games of the season tonight. Cincinnati struggled to put away the Browns with Manziel at quarterback in Week 9 and have been fortunate to start out 7-0-1 ATS. Houston's defense has played well against the pass and that's been the strength of the Bengals offense in 2015. Defensively, Cincinnati isn't as good as you would think. They are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 65.1% of their attempts. Give me the Texans +11! 

50* NFL --SNF Total of the Month-- (UNDER 44.5)

I don't see a whole lot of value here with the spread, but I absolutely love the value we are getting with this total set at 44.5. I think there's a ton of value here with the UNDER. While Seattle's offense has struggled, their defense has been very good since Kam Chancellor returned to the lineup. I expect the Seahawks stop unit to deliver a big time performance here at home in a nationally televised game. At the same time, I don't think Seattle's offense snaps out of their funk against the Cardinals. These two division rivals have a history of low-scoring games when playing in Seattle. In fact, 6 of the last 7 have gone UNDER the total and the last two have seen combined scores of 27 and 22 points. It only adds value here that both teams are coming off a bye. Give me the UNDER 44.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Rams -6.5)

St Louis lost in overtime last week at Minnesota 18-21, while the Bears pulled off the upset at San Diego on Monday Night Football. Chicago has covered 4 of their last 5 and may appear to be an attractive team to back catching almost a touchdown. I don't think that will be the case at all. I look for the Bears to come out flat playing on short rest and the offense to really struggle here against a Rams defense that is allowing just 13.7 ppg at home. Chicago's defense is allowing 4.8 yards/carry against the run on the road and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. The Bears will have no answer for Gurley and that's going to open up some opportunities for Nick Foles to take advantage of a weak Chicago secondary. Give me the Rams -6.5! 

50* NFL --MNF Gridiron Total Top Play-- (UNDER 49.5)

This would be an okay total if both teams were coming into this game at 100%, but that's not the case at all. Each is missing star players. Chicago will be without running back Matt Forte, who is not only their leading rusher but a huge part of the passing game. San Diego will be without wide out Keenan Allen, who has been Rivers' go-to guy. I look for these injuries to play a big role in the red zone, as I look for both teams to have to settle for field goals. Give me the UNDER 49.5! 

50* NFL --AFC Game of the Year-- (Steelers -4.5)

Not only do I think the Steelers are the much stronger team, but we find Oakland in a really bad spot here. The Raiders will be hitting the road for a long trip out east for an early start time and are primed for a letdown after back-to-back blowout wins over the Chargers and Jets. Pittsburgh on the other hand will be extremely motivated off back-to-back losses. Steelers offense should have no problem moving the ball here against a Raiders defense that will be lagging behind and Pittsburgh's defense should be able to keep Oakland's offense in check. Underdogs who are giving up 24 or more points/game after scoring 25 or more in 2 straight are 11-34 (24%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Steelers -4.5! 

50* NFL --Browns/Bengals Total Crusher-- (Over 45.5)

The perception here is the Browns won't be able to score with Manziel at quarterback, but I don't think there's as big a drop off from McCown to Manziel as most people think. I look for Cleveland to provide their fair share of points in this one and that should have this game flying over the total. Cincinnati's offense is loaded with weapons at the skill positions and the Browns are awful defensively. They can't stop the run and their secondary is depleted with injuries to corner Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner. It's not out of the question the Bengals cover this total on their own. Give me the OVER 45.5! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Colts +7)

While Carolina has got off to a surprising 7-0 starts, the Panthers have played one of the easiest schedules of any team in the league. Not a single one of their 6 wins have come against a team that currently has a winning record. I know the Colts are sitting at 3-4 right now, but this team is clearly capable of more and have a top level quarterback in Andrew Luck, who will be the best signal caller Carolina has faced in terms of his ability to throw the football. We saw the Colts play extremely well against the Patriots in a prime time game a couple weeks ago and I expect this team to show up and at worst keep this game close. Give me the Colts +7! 

50* NFL --NFC Total of the Month-- (Over 49)

I look for both offenses to have a lot of success in this one, as we have two of the better quarterbacks in the league going up against two defenses that are not playing well inside the perfect conditions of the Superdome. The Giants are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.7% of their passes, which is a nightmare scenario against Drew Brees and the Saints are giving up 4.9 yards/carry and 7.9 yards/pass attempt. Over is 6-2 in the Giants last 8 against the NFC, 6-2-1 in the Saints last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with the lowest combined score during this stretch being 73 points. Give me the OVER 49! 

50* NFL --MNF Over/Under Total Crusher-- (OVER 48.5)

I don't think the books have set the mark high enough for this matchup. The Ravens come into this one with the 9th ranked offense and are 10th in the league in passing at 258.3 ypg. Arizona has the 4th ranked offense and 6th ranked passing attack at 284.2 ypg. Both teams will be looking to throw the ball early and often, which should lead to a lot of big plays and quick scoring drives. It also figures to lead some turnovers, which should also lead to some quick scores. Baltimore's defense has allowed at least 25 or more points in 4 of their last 5, while Arizona has scored 40+ points 3 times this season and are averaging 33.3 ppg at home. OVER is 9-3-1 in Ravens last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the OVER 48.5!

50* NFL --NFC East Total of the Month-- (UNDER 46)

These two teams combined for 53 points in the Cowboys 27-26 miracle win at home in Week 1. The total for that game was 52 and now we see these two teams facing off in the rematch at New York with a total of 46. I don't believe 6 points is a big enough adjustment, given what Dallas has lost offensively and what they have gained defensively. At the same time, we can expect max effort here from the Giants defense coming off that ugly loss to Philadelphia and wanting revenge from the game they gave away at AT&T Stadium earlier this year. You also have to factor in playing outdoors compared to playing in the dome in Dallas. I think these two teams will be lucky to score 20 points a piece. Give me the UNDER 46!

50* NFL --AFC West Game of the Month-- (Chargers -3.5)

The Chargers are a much better team than their 2-4 record would indicate and could very easily be 5-1 or at least 4-2 if a couple plays go their way. Two of their 4 losses have come against the undefeated Bengals and Packers and they were right there against both of those teams. Philip Rivers and the offense is as good as it's been in years and the defense is better than what we saw last week against Green Bay. With the perception that Oakland is much improved and the fact they are coming off a bye, I believe it's created some great value here on the much better San Diego team. Give me the Chargers -3.5!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Total Annihilator-- (Under 42)

In previous seasons this matchup would have me looking to back the under, but these are not the same two dominant defenses from years past. The 49ers are clearly not the same with all the players they lost in the offseason, to go along with the departure of head coach Jim Harbaugh. Seattle's still got a lot of the same players on defense, but I think they are really missing the guidance of former defensive coordinator Dan Quinn. We have already seen the 49ers give up 30+ points in 3 games this season and Seattle's offense is certainly capable of putting up a big number here. The Seahawks defense just allowed 27 points at home to the Panthers and aren't typically as strong on this side of the ball on the road. I also expect Seattle to take advantage of Kaepernick's poor decision making and create some turnovers that lead to quick scores. I see this being a 27-17 type of game with the potential to creep up towards 50. Give me the OVER 42!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Eagles -4.5)

The Giants are dealing with numerous injuries on both sides of the ball and I look for them to have a difficult time keeping pace with the Eagles on the road. Philadelphia got their offense going in the right direction in last week's 39-17 blowout win at home over the Saints and I look for that to carry over the rest of the season. Philadelphia won both meetings last year against New York, including a 27-0 home win and 34-26 win at New York. It was the 3rd time in the last 4 meetings the Eagles scored 27+ points against the Giants. With New York's lack of a pass rush, I look for Bradford to have a big day throwing the ball and Philadelphia's tempo should wear down the defense and let the running game take over in the 2nd half. Give me the Eagles -4.5!

50* NFL --NFC North Game of the Month-- (Lions -3)

Detroit comes into this game as the only winless team in the league at 0-5, but this is far from the worst team in the league. The Lions had an absolutely brutal schedule to start the year. They opened with back-to-back road games against Sand Diego and Minnesota, had to host Peyton Manning and the Broncos in a nationally televised game, lost a heartbreaker on the road at Seattle on MNF and then had to play a motivated Arizona team coming off a loss on short rest. I don't think there's any doubt they are undervalued at home as a mere 3-point favorite against the Bears. Chicago has looked better the last couple of weeks, but that was against the Raiders and Chiefs. I actually think the Bears are the much worse team here and could just as easily be 0-5 themselves. Give me the Lions -3! 

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron ATS Annihilator-- (Saints +4)

The Falcons have started out an impressive 5-0 to open the season, but I just don't trust this team on the road playing with short rest. Atlanta has had to overcome 4th quarter deficits in 4 of their 5 wins. No other team in NFL history has started 5-0 having to come from behind in the 4th quarter 4 times. The Saints are clearly not as good as people had anticipated, but have been competitive in 3 of their 4 losses. They were embarrassed last time out at Philadelphia, which is going to have them extremely motivated here at home in a prime time game. Brees and the offense will be able to pick apart an overrated Atlanta defense and with Julio Jones not at 100% the Saints defense should be able to make enough stops here to keep it close enough to cover and potentially win outright. Give me New Orleans +4!

50* NFL -MNF Gridiron Top Play-- (Under 46)

The Steelers are trying to make do offensively with Michael Vick right now. While he's capable of keeping Pittsburgh in the playoff hunt, this will not be the same explosive high-powered offense that it was with Roethlisberger. The Steelers are going to rely more on their running game and defense to win games until Big Ben is back and have been playing much better defensively than they get credit for. They should have no problem keeping a injury-deplete San Diego offense in check. This is simply too many points given the circumstances both offenses are facing. Give me the Under 46!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron Top Play-- (Rams +10)

The Packers are right there with the Patriots as the biggest public bet team in the NFL and with them being 4-0 ATS the books have no choice here but to inflate this line to where they feel confidence the Rams can cover. I certainly think St Louis can keep this within double-digits. The Rams are a better team now than they were just a couple weeks ago, as they have added a whole new dynamic to their offense with Todd Gurley. He played a huge part in their win on the road against a very good Arizona team last week and I expect him to have another big day here against the Packers. I just don't see the Packers matching the Rams intensity in this one, as Green Bay is coming off 3 straight big games. They played Seattle on SNF in Week 2, Kansas City on MNF in Week 3 and had a huge revenge game last week at SF (long travel). I don't think an upset is out of the question, but I fully expect a 4 quarter game. Give me St Louis +10!

50* NFL --Colts/Texans Total No Brainer-- (Over 40.5)

It's been made official that Luck will not be playing against the Texans and as a result the total has dropped 3-points, I believe it's created some great value here on the OVER, as I still think the Colts offense will be able to move the ball against the Texans. Houston's defense hasn't been very good and Indy has a savy veteran backup in Matt Hasselbeck, who showed he still has something left in the tank. Hasselbeck went 30 of 47 for 282 yards against the Jaguars. Houston's offense hasn't been great to start the year, but that's a direct result of the injury to star running back Arian Foster. He returned last week and should get a much bigger workload here. Colts defense is decimated with injuries and just gave up 431 yards last week to a below average Jacksonville offense. These two teams also have a history of high-scoring games when they face off in Houston, with each of the last 10 meetings seeing at least 41 points. Give me the OVER 40.5!

50* NFL --Gridiron ATS Annihilator-- (Lions +10)

This is a lot of points for the Seahawks to be laying at home against a motivated Lions team that will be trying to save their season with a win. Seattle is a difficult place to play, especially in primetime, but the Seahawks are expected to be without the focal point of their offense in Marshawn Lynch. Seattle's offense hasn't been very good to start the season and I think it will be hard for them to create a big enough gap to cover this spread. The Lions have been competitive and played a brutal schedule to start the year. They opened with two road games against the Chargers and Vikings and they had to play Peyton Manning and the Broncos at home. Seahawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against team who average 3 or fewer yards/carry. Give me Detroit +10!

50* --NFL Total of the Month-- (Over 43)

The perception here is that these are two dominant defensive teams, which has created some exceptional value here with total at just 43 points. Arizona's 3-0 start is more a result of their offense than their defense at the same time, I don't think the Rams are as strong defensively as it looks on paper. St Louis has a lot of talent up front, but the secondary isn't great. Carson Palmer will be able to expose the Rams secondary and should be able to put up at least 27 points here. I believe the Rams can give us at least 17 if not more, as I see there offense only improving with Gurley getting more and more carries. These two combined for 45 in Arizona last year and the OVER is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 after scoring 25 or more in 3 straight games. Give me the OVER 43!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron ATS Annihilator-- (Ravens -2.5)

There's no question this line has been inflated to some degree, but I'm not all that concerned about laying a couple extra points here. This is an absolute must win for Baltimore after their 0-3 start. While most teams that start out 0-3 aren't any good, I don't think that's the case here with the Ravens, as they could just as easily be 3-0. Pittsburgh on the other hand is in awful spot with a short week to put together a new gameplan for Michael Vick at quarterback, who replaces Ben Roethlisberger. Steelers offense looked pedestrian at best after Roethlisberger went down last week against the Rams. While I expect Pittsburgh to play well early, I just don't see them keeping pace offensively with Flacco and the Ravens in the 2nd half. Give me Baltimore -2.5!

50* NFL --Gridiron Guaranteed ATS Annihilator-- (Chiefs +7)

The Chiefs will not only be highly motivated off that crushing loss at home to the Broncos, but they have a big advantage here with getting 3 extra days of rest to prepare for Rodgers and the Packers. Kansas City beat themselves more than anything against the Broncos. I still think this is one of the best teams in 2015 and one that's more than capable of going on the road and putting an end to Green Bay's Lambeau winning streak. That makes this an easy play on Kansas City getting a touchdown. Give me the Chiefs +7!

50* NFL --NFC West Game of the Month-- (49ers +7)

I love the value we are getting with the 49ers as a 7-point dog against division rival Arizona. The Cardinals are getting a lot of love right now from their 2-0 start, but let's not forget those 2 wins have come against the likes of the Saints and Bears, who are two of the worst teams in the league right now. San Francisco looked really good in their opener, but were dominated in a blowout loss to Pittsburgh. That defeat to the Steelers doesn't really concern me, as the 49ers were in an awful spot. San Francisco had 1 fewer day to prepare and had to travel to the east coast for an early start time, while the Steelers got 3 extra days of rest after playing on Thursday Night Football and highly motivated to avoid an 0-2 start. This is a game I feel San Francisco can win outright. Give me the 49ers +7!

50* NFL ---Total of the Month--- (Over 45.5)

I think we are seeing some great value here with this total at 45.5 points, largely due to both of these offenses struggling last week. The Colts scored just 7 points at home against the Jets, while the Titans were held to a mere 14-points at Cleveland. Indianapolis has too much talent offensively and too good of a quarterback to not get this turned around. I believe their struggles were largely due to playing 2 really good defenses in Buffalo and New York. The Titans will be playing at home for the first time this season and I look for Mariota to have a big day here against a banged up Colts secondary and will likely have to throw early and often to keep pace with Luck and the Colts. Give me the Over 45.5!

50* NFL --Guaranteed Gridiron ATS Annihilator-- (Redskins +4)

I really like getting 4-points here with the Redskins. Washington came into this season viewed as a dysfunctional franchise and weren't given much of a chance to be competitive. They have been a big surprise early on. They were right there with Miami in Week 1 before allowing a returned fumble and dominated the Rams last week at home 24-10 with a 373 to 213 edge in total yards. Washington has the #1 ranked overall defense (234.5 ypg) and the #2 ranked pass defense (164.0 ypg). Giants have a ton of key players out with injuries on both sides of the ball, including starting left tackle Erick Flowers and starting corner Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (no CB depth). I think Washington wins here outright as the Giants early season woes continue. Give me the Redskins +4!

50* NFL --Colts/Jets Gridiron ATS Annihilator--(Colts -6.5)

I look for the Colts to have no problem winning here by a touchdown. Indianapolis is a much better team at home than they are on the road and will be extremely motivated to avoid opening the season 0-2. Andrew Luck wasn't sharp in the opener against a stingy Bills defense, but will show up with a big game in the bright lights of Monday Night football. Colts have been a profitable team to back off a loss, going 8-1 in their last 9 with an average win by 13.6 points (30.4 to 16.8). Jets are missing some key players here defensively and will struggle to keep up the pace offensively. Give me the Colts -6.5!

50* NFL --Sharp Money Insider-- (Titans -1)

The books can be slow to adjust their power rankings on a team like Tennessee, as they don't want to overreact to one game. As a result they set an awful line here with Cleveland opening up as a 2.5-point favorite. Now Tennessee is the favorite and for good reason. Marcus Mariota is the real deal and he's brought a new sense of life to this team. The Browns will be forced to go with Johnny Manziel at quarterback and that means more turnovers for the Titans defense, which had 2 last week against Tampa Bay. Cleveland was suppose to have a good defense, but a number of their key players are banged up, including star middle linebacker Karlos Dansby. If the Jets' offense can put up 31 on the Browns defense, Mariota and company should have no problem scoring enough here for the win. Tennessee will also be out for revenge from last year's 28-29 heartbreaking home loss to Cleveland. Give me Titans -1!

50* NFL --NFC North Game of the Month--

The more I look at this game, the more I like the Vikings. Minnesota is getting way undervalued here for their loss at SF on Monday Night Football. It was simply a bad matchup for the Vikings and I think they went in a little over confident with how bad the 49ers were expected to be. This is a prime bounce back spot against the Lions, who completely unraveled last week in a 28-33 loss at San Diego (led 21-3). Detroit doesn't have the run game or common sense to take advantage of the Vikings suspect run defense. They also aren't nearly as strong defensively this year with Suh taking up all the attention inside. His replacement, Haloti Ngata, is questionable with a shoulder injury. Detroit is also expected to be without starting linebacker DeAndre Levy (leading tackler last year, 65 more than next best). With him out, this will be the breakout performance everyone was expecting from Adrian Peterson last week. Give me the Vikings -1!

50* NFL * GUARANTEED GRIDIRON ATS ANNIHILATOR* (Chiefs -3)

This is not the same Peyton Manning that has owned the Chiefs over his career, including a perfect 6-0 mark against them with the Broncos. Denver's offense is still a work in progress and may never come to form with the lackluster offensive line they have. This is Kansas City's time to take over the throne in the AFC West and this is a perfect spot for them to do. Denver will be playing on short rest, which is much harder on the road team and will be playing in one of the loudest and most hostile environments in the NFL. Kansas City beat both New England and Seattle at home last year and I expect them to start off with a win at Arrowhead against Denver. This is Andy Reid's best team yet since coming to KC and Alex Smith finally has the weapons and offensive line to take this team to the next level. ROLL THE CHIEFS -3!

50* NFL *MNF GRIDIRON ATS ANNIHILATOR* (Vikings -1.5)

The Vikings have been bet up to the favorite in this one for a reason. Not a lot of people realize just how close the Vikings were to be a playoff team last year. They ended up 7-9, but had 5 losses by 8-points or less. They did that without AP at running back and a rookie under center. The 49ers went 8-8 in what ended up being Harbaugh's final year and were fortunate to win 8 games, as 6 of those came by less than a touchdown. Unlike the Vikings this team looks to have taken a major step back in the offseason. Not only did they lose a great coach, but the talent level got worse on both sides of the ball. This will be a statement game for Minnesota, as they show everyone that they are for real on the big stage of Monday Night Football. ROLL THE VIKINGS -1.5!

50* NFL *GUARANTEED GRIDIRON ATS ANNIHILATOR* (Cardinals -2)

No one seems to want to buy into what Bruce Arians is doing in Arizona. Since he took over the job prior to the 2013 season, the Cardinals have gone 10-6 and 11-5. They would have eclipsed 11-wins last year and potentially went on a deep playoff run had Carson Palmer not got hurt. He's back healthy and this is a completely different offense when he's on the field. Every year the Saints are a team that people want to buy into and pick to be a Super Bowl contender, but they haven't exactly lived up to the hype. They were suppose to be great last year and went 7-9. They lost a huge part of their offense in Jimmy Graham and are going to be without two key players in their secondary with safety Jairus Byrd and corner Keenan Lewis both out with injuries. The biggest key here is that New Orleans has consistently struggled on the road. Arizona laying less than a field goal at home is simply too good to pass up, as they are 17-5 ATS in their 22 home games under Arians and 15-4 ATS with a line of +3 to -3 under Arians. ROLL THE CARDINALS!

50* NFL *PRO GRIDIRON TOTAL CRUSHER*

The public is all over the OVER in this one, as the perception here is that we have two high-powered offenses. The bookmakers know that the majority of the action was going to come in on the OVER and I believe they have inflated this total, creating some great value here on the UNDER. Pittsburgh is without several key pieces offensively in running back Le'Veon Bell, wide out Martavis Bryant and center Maurkice Pouncey. As for New England, I don't think there offense is going to be in sync out of the gate with all the distractions surrounding Brady and Deflategate, plus they are without running back LeGarrette Blount and wide out Brandon LaFell. Starting center Bryan Stork is doubtful and wide out Julian Edelman will be playing on a bum ankle. Too many key pieces missing for this one to be a shootout. Roll the UNDER 51.5!

10* Seahawks/Patriots NFL Top Play

BET: UNDER 47.5

I think this game could go either way and there's really no value betting the spread, which is why I turned my full attention to the total. I think there is a ton of value on the UNDER, as we have two of the best defenses in the league that are going to make life miserable for the opposing offenses. The Seahawks strength offensively is without question their running game, while the strength of the Patriots stop unit is their defense. Seattle's league-best pass defense, also matches up extremely well with New England's 9th ranked passing attack. I'm expecting a lot of empty possessions with both teams having to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns when they do make it into the redzone. Roll the UNDER 47.5!

10* Colts/Patriots NFL Top Play

BET: Patriots -6.5

The Colts shocking upset win over the Broncos as a 9.5-point underdog has them overvalued on the road against what I believe is the best team in the NFL. As impressive as Indianapolis' win looks, that was clearly not the same Broncos team that we have been watching the past few seasons. Peyton Manning clearly wasn't 100%. Belichick's defense has caused all kinds of problems for Luck and Brady and the offense has had it's way with the Colts defense. New England won by 22 points at Indianapolis in the regular season and outgained the Colts by 181 yards (503 to 322). Patriots have no problem winning here by at least a touchdown. Lay the points!

10* Packers/Seahawks NFL Top Play

BET: Packers +7.5

The perception is that the Packers don't have a chance against the Seahawks on the road with Rodgers at less than 100%, which I believe has this line inflated heavily in favor of Seattle. Not only do I think Green Bay will keep it close enough to cover, but I like their chances of pulling off the huge upset and spoiling the Seahawks quest for a 2nd straight title. Underdogs or pick that are an excellent passing team - averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games are 45-20 (69%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Take the points!

10* Colts/Broncos NFL Top Play

BET: Broncos -7

As much as I like Andrew Luck, the Colts aren't quite ready to be serious contenders in the AFC. Denver didn't dominate like they have in the past with Manning down the stretch and it has the Broncos undervalued here at home. Colts defense will have no answer for the Broncos offense and offensively they don't have the balance to win a game of this magnitude on the road. Lay the points!

10* Packers/Cowboys NFL Top Play

BET: Packers -5.5

Dallas should be sitting at home watching this game, but a couple of favorable home calls allowed them to escape with a win over Detroit last weekend. Their luck won't carry over into the frigid conditions at Lambeau on Sunday. Cowboys will not have the success on the ground against the Packers that most think. Green Bay is only giving up 86.4 rushing yards/game since moving Clay Matthews to inside linebacker. Dallas will struggle to score and their defense will have no answer for Rodgers. Lay the points!

10* Panthers/Seahawks NFL Top Play

BET: Panthers +11

Value here is clearly with the Panthers. No team should be favored by double-digits in the Division Round of the playoffs. Carolina has been playing lights out on defense during their recent 5-game winning streak. Seattle's offense won't be able to score enough here to turn this into a blowout. Panthers ability to run the ball offensively gives them a realistic shot at winning this game outright. Take the points!

10* Ravens/Patriots NFL Top Play

BET: Patriots -7

Value here is with the Patriots laying just a touchdown at home against the Ravens. The public is all over Baltimore in this matchup and I'm not really sure why. The Ravens are getting way too much respect for their win in New England TWO YEARS AGO. This Patriots team is the best they have had since they went 16-0 in the regular season back in 2007. Prior to losing a meaningless home game against the Bills in Week 17, New England had won each of their previous 4 home games by at least 22 points, including a 43-21 win over Denver and 34-9 win against Detroit. Baltimore's defense isn't what it was two years ago and Flaco and company won't be able to match Brady. Lay the points!

10* Bengals/Colts NFL Top Play

BET: Colts -3.5

Indianapolis should have no problem winning here by at least 4-points. Cincinnati's been awful in prime time/playoff games and will be without star wide out A.J. Green, who also missed the Bengals 0-27 blowout loss at Indy during the regular season. Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points who didn't commit a turnover in their last game and are going up against an opponent that turned it over 3 or more times in their last contest are 40-16 (71%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.

10* Cardinals/Panthers NFL Top Play

BET: Panthers -6

10* Cardinals/Panthers NFL Top Play

BET: UNDER 38

10* Panthers/Falcons NFL Top Play

BET: Panthers +3

10* Cardinals/49ers NFL Top Play

BET: Cardinals +7

10* Raiders/Broncos NFL Top Play

BET: Raiders +14

10* Cowboys/Redskins NFL Top Play

BET: Redskins +4

10* Bills/Patriots NFL Top Play

BET: Patriots -5

10* Eagles/Giants NFL Top Play

BET: Giants -2

10* Browns/Ravens NFL Top Play

BET: Browns +14

10* Broncos/Bengals NFL Top Play

BET: Broncos -3

10* Broncos/Bengals NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 47

10* Seahawks/Cardinals NFL Top Play

BET: Seahawks -7

10* Colts/Cowboys NFL Top Play

BET: Cowboys -3

10* Ravens/Texans NFL Top Play

BET: Ravens -4.5

10* Packers/Buccaneers NFL Top Play

BET: Packers -11.5

10* Chiefs/Steelers NFL Top Play

BET: Chiefs +3

10* Chargers/49ers NFL Top Play

BET: Chargers +1.5

10* Titans/Jaguars NFL Top Play

BET: Jaguars -3.5

10* Titans/Jaguars NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 38.5

10* Saints/Bears NFL Top Play

BET: Saints -3

10* Eagles/Cowboys NFL Top Play

BET: Eagles -3

10* Vikings/Lions NFL Top Play

BET: Lions -7

10* Chargers/Broncos NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 50.5

10* Cardinals/Rams NFL Top Play

BET: Rams -4

10* Falcons/Packers NFL Top Play

BET: Falcons +14

10* Falcons/Packers NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 54.5

10* Patriots/Chargers NFL Top Play

BET: Patriots -3.5

10* Colts/Browns NFL Top Play

BET: Browns +4

10* Ravens/Dolphins NFL Top Play

BET: Ravens +3

10* Steelers/Bengals NFL Top Play

BET: Bengals -3

10* Giants/Titans NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 46.5

10* Cowboys/Bears NFL Top Play

BET: Cowboys -4

10* Cowboys/Bears NFL Top Play

BET: OVER 51

10* Dolphins/Jets NFL Top Play

BET: Dolphins -6.5

10* Broncos/Chiefs NFL Top Play

BET: Chiefs +1.5

10* Cardinals/Falcons NFL Top Play

BET: Falcons -1.5