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NHL Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
04-22-17	Oilers +130 v. Sharks		3-1	Win	130	14 h 7 m	Show
San Jose is the oldest team in the NHL and it showed during its overtime loss to the Oilers two days ago. The Oilers' key players are all much younger than San Jose's and so have the fresher legs. The Sharks played into mid-June last spring. San Jose's best players also competed in the World Cup of Hockey. Only one other team logged more travel miles than the Sharks during the season. Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau and Paul Martin are all at least 36 years old. Joe Pavelski and Ben Burns are 32. The Sharks have a lot of wear and tear. It's going to be tough for the Sharks to regain their momentum and energy after such a mentally-draining overtime loss. It would be one thing if I regarded San Jose as the superior team. But I don't. Edmonton is the better team. The Oilers have won 15 of their last 19 games. They have defeated the Sharks six of the past eight times, too. This is Edmonton's time. The Sharks had their shot last season. Now their window has closed.
04-21-17	Bruins v. Senators -102	Top	3-2	Loss	-102	16 h 29 m	Show
The games certainly have been close, bu the Senators have had the Bruins' number all season. Ottawa is 7-1 versus Boston this season. The Senators have won three in a row against Boston after dropping the first one in this series and I see them closing out Boston at home today. The Bruins have lost six of their last seven at Ottawa and their blue line is decimated with injuries. Rookie Charlie McAvoy, who hadn't played in the NHL during the regular season, led all Boston players with 25:03 minutes of ice team in the last game. The Bruins have been missing defensemen Torey Krug, Adam McQuaid and Brandon Carlo. None are expected to play today. Ottawa has had good rhythm when playing on one day's rest winning 20 of the past 28 times in that situation. The Bruins were shut out on Wednesday. David Pastrnak, who scored 34 goals during the regular season, has been a bust with just one goal and that came on a 5-on-3 advantage. He's had only two shots on net. Boston's confidence can't be good down 3-1 in the series knowing its never won a series before when down by that margin.
04-20-17	Sharks v. Oilers -128		3-4	Win	100	12 h 4 m	Show
I was convinced the Oilers were the better team entering this series and I still believe that. But the Oilers need to play smarter. Certainly they will play with more passion returning home after an embarrassing 7-0 road loss to San Jose. The Oilers shouldn't be nervous like they were at home in Game 1. They also should play with more discipline being short-handed more than any team in the playoffs so far. There are a lot of other due factors here that should add up such as the Oilers winning more faceoffs. San Jose is not a good faceoff team. Connor McDavid hasn't scored a point in two straight games. The last time that happened was Jan. 31 and Feb. 2. The Oilers have too much offense from other players if the Sharks continue to key and go after McDavid. Perhaps it's a leap of faith to envision all this happening. But it should be noted the Sharks have lost seven of their last nine road games, while the Oilers have won 10 of their past 11 home games.
04-19-17	Wild v. Blues OVER 5		2-0	Loss	-100	9 h 14 m	Show
Wild at Blues Over 5 plus $1.05 Jake Allen has been on fire and the Blues have won the first three games of this series. All three games have gone under with no more than four goals scored in any of the games. So why go Over 5 now? Because the Wild are going to let everything hang out here in order to avoid the sweep. They have no choice. It's not like Minnesota can't score goals. The Wild were the No. 2 scoring team in the league during the regular season. The Blues are going to match the Wild's aggressiveness and attack-mode being home and with a chance to end the series. If the Wild happen to be down a goal or two late in the third period, there's no doubt they will pull their goalie earlier than usual.
04-18-17	Penguins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5		4-5	Win	100	5 h 59 m	Show
The Penguins have scored three or more goals in all but one of their last nine games. This includes the first three games of this series. The Penguins are averaging four goals per game in the series and have talked about coming out even more aggressively in order to sweep the Blue Jackets. Columbus got its attack rolling in Game 3 scoring four goals. The Blue Jackets will be going all out to keep from being swept. This would include pulling their goalie earlier than usual if trailing late in the game. The Penguins have some vulnerabilities defensively due to injuries. The over has cashed 14 of the past 19 times these two teams have played in Columbus.
04-18-17	Canadiens v. Rangers +100		1-2	Win	100	10 h 41 m	Show
If it weren't for a goal by Tomas Plekanec with 17 seconds left in Game 2, the Canadiens might be looking at playoff elimination.here. Instead, Montreal is up 2-1 in the series having won two in a row. I understand the Rangers have trouble winning playoff games at home. But this is a fair price to back the home Rangers, whose main core of players are due to perform better. The Rangers and Canadiens play similar styles relying on speed, defense and the transition game. The Canadiens' edge is goalie Carey Price. However, Henrik Lundqvist is playing at just as high level as Price. It's not his fault the Rangers are down 2-1 in the series. It's step up time for Chris Kreider, J.T. Miller, Ryan McDonagh, Kevin Hayes and Mike Zuccarello. I see them getting the job down at home in this pivotal matchup.
04-17-17	Ducks v. Flames OVER 5		5-4	Win	100	9 h 19 m	Show
The teams have played twice now in the series and the Ducks have won each game, 3-2. Once again the total is 5. I say this time - with 0-2 Calgary now at home - there will be more than five goals scored. The Ducks' defensive depth is down with two regulars hurt. The Ducks have been propped up by brilliant goaltending from John Gibson and his .942 save percentage. I say he can't keep this up. I understand goalies can get hot during the Stanley Cup, but Gibson is not an elite goalie. Look for the Flames to play really agressive down 0-2 in the series. I see a wide open game. Only once has the under cashed during the Flames' past 11 home games. The over is 8-2, too, the past 10 times these two teams have played in Calgary.
04-16-17	Oilers +116 v. Sharks		1-0	Win	116	11 h 39 m	Show
While I respect San Jose, I consider Edmonton to be the superior team. The Oilers have led by two goals twice in the series, but only are 1-1 to show for it. However, the Oilers have the superior offense - especially with Joe Thornton still having yet to play for San Jose - and have the hotter goalie in Cam Talbot. The Sharks also can't match Connor McDavid. The Oilers have been playing excellent thockey going 13-3 in their last 16 games. The Sharks have dropped 10 of their last 14 games against Western Conference foes.

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