NHL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
05-02-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 0-3 | Loss | -102 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
It's not a fluke the Over is 7-2-1 in San Jose's Stanley Cup games this season. The Sharks play fast, their key defensivemen are offensive-minded and they are vulnerable in goal. San Jose was the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL this season and have scored three or more goals in all but two of its past 12 games. The Sharks are averaging four goals per game during the first three games of this second-round Cup series. Colorado is a top-10 scoring team. The Avalanche are averaging 3.6 goals per game in their past six games. These two teams have a strong Over history, too. The Over has cashed at a 79 percent clip during the last 27 times the teams have met.
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04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
The Sharks have played nine Stanley Cup games this season. The Over has cashed in seven of them. It's not a surprise. San Jose was the No. 2 scoring team in the league. However, the Sharks also ranked 21st defensively and are vulnerable in net with Martin Jones. The Avalanche took advantage of that scoring four goals in Game 2 to tie the series. Colorado is averaging 3.8 goals in its last six games. If you discount a 5-0 playoff loss to Las Vegas, San Jose is averaging 3.9 goals in its last 10 games. The teams have a strong Over history in Colorado, too, with five of the last six going above the total.
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04-30-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
There were five combined goals scored in each of the first two games of this series. So both games went Under the total since a sixth goal was need to push it Over. There was one day rest between those games. Now we come to Game 3 of this second-round Stanley Cup series and there is a full two days rest for the first time. I expect both teams to use that extra day to sharpen their attacks and to play at a faster tempo with more energy. The Bruins have scored three or more goals in 14 of their last 19 games. During the regular season, the Bruins had the third-most effective power play and ranked 11th in scoring. The Over has cashed in seven of the Bruins' last nine road games. The Blue Jackets had an above average offense, too, during the regular season. Columbus is averaging 4.2 goals in its last 14 games. So a higher-scoring game is due. Recent history is there for this to occur as the past five meetings between the two teams in Columbus have gone above the total.
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04-28-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
There is value to a Sharks game whenever the oddsmaker puts out less than a 6 1/2 total. San Jose is averaging 4.3 goals during its last nine home games. The Sharks ranked as the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL in part because of tremendous offense their defensemen bring especially Brent Burns. The Avalanche should be able to keep up because the Sharks rank 21st in goals allowed and have sub-par goaltending. Colorado is averaging 3.8 goals during its last five games. The Over has a huge history when the teams meet in San Jose with a 9-1-1 mark the past 11 times.
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04-23-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
I don't care that the last game in this series was won by San Jose, 2-1, in double overtime Sunday. There is no way you can hang less than a 6 on a total when these two teams meet even with this being the pivotal Game 7. There have been at least seven combined goals in each of the three games played at San Jose during the series. The Over has cashed six of the last eight times the two teams have met. The Golden Knights fired 59 shots in that Game 6 loss. Martin Jones played well, but he remains the shakiest goalie in the playoffs. The Golden Knights' second line of Max Pacioretty, Paul Stastny and Mark Stone is due for a big game after not scoring in the last two games. They had accounted for 28 points during the first four games of the series. The Sharks are the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL. They are averaging 3.7 goals during their last seven home games.
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04-22-19 | Predators v. Stars OVER 5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
Dallas has produced 10 goals in its last two games. The Stars are hot and Predators goalie Pekka Rinne is struggling. The Stars should get their goals again especially if the Predators are trailing late and need to pull their goalie for extra attackers. Nashville's top line of Viktor Arvidsson, Ryan Johansen and Filip Forsberg is way overdue in the scoring column. These teams have a huge history of going Over when playing in Dallas with the Over going 9-1-1 the past 11 times.
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04-21-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -114 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
The oddsmaker is short on this total. The Sharks and Golden Knights are good for at least three goals apiece. San Jose has scored three or more goals in four of the five games in this playoff series. Golden Knights goalie Marc-Andre Fleury hasn't been his usual sharp self down the stretch. He's surrendered at least three goals in four of the five games. Las Vegas has scored 11 goals in the two games played at T-Mobile Arena during the series. San Jose has permitted five or more goals in three of the five games in the series. Martin Jones is the shakiest goalie in the playoffs. The Sharks have two of the top offensive-minded defensemen in the NHL with Brent Burns and Erik Karlsson. Las Vegas has two red-hot scoring lines with Reilly Smith, Jonathan Marchessault and William Karlsson and Mark Stone, Paul Stastny and Max Pacioretty on the second line. The additions of Stone and Pacioretty have made the Golden Knights a more dangerous scoring team. These factors have helped the Over cash six of the last seven times the two teams have met. Both teams should have plenty of energy, too, as they have had two days in between games instead of the normal one.
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04-21-19 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
Toronto is improved defensively, but the Maple Leafs still win with their skating and explosiveness. I envision a more wide open game in this Game 6 now that the Maple Leafs are back in Toronto. Boston is going to have open things up after losing 2-1 at home in Game 5. The Bruins have the offensive talent and top line to do that. There could be plenty of late scoring, too, if the Bruins find themselves down a goal with their playoff lives at stake. The Over has cashed in six of the Bruins' last eight games.
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04-20-19 | Jets v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The Blues win with defense. They know if they are going to clinch this first-round series they can't get into a wide open skating match with the Jets. The Jets defeated the Blues, 6-3, in Game 3 at St. Louis. That game, though, appears to be an outlier. If you discount that performance, the Jets are averaging 1.2 goals in regulation during the four other games in the series. Winnipeg has scored just once in its last nine power play attempts spanning the past three games. The Jets also could be without their fourth-leading goal scorer, Nikolaj Ehlers. He's questionable. The Blues are averaging only 2.3 goals in their last three games. St. Louis' calling card is its fifth-ranked defense and goalie Jordan Binnington.
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04-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 6 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
Martin Jones has been terrible in goal. Yet the Sharks are going to stick with him. The Sharks haven't been able to stop the Golden Knights during the last three games - and I don't see that changing here. Las Vegas is averaging 5.3 goals in its last three games. San Jose was the second-highest scoring team in the NHL this season. The Sharks should be good for at least three goals playing back at home where they won, 5-3, in Game 2. The Over has cashed in three of the four games in this series and during the past four times the teams have met in San Jose. Joe Thornton is back from suspension, which is a plus for the Sharks. San Jose has scored at least three goals in seven of its past eight home games.
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04-17-19 | Flames v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
Down 2-1 in the series, the Flames are going to be going all out here. That means attack and playing up-tempo. The Flames were the No. 3 scoring team in the league during the regular season averaging 3.5 goals a game. Yet they've been held to two goals during each of the past two games. Colorado is mediocre at best defensively. So I see the Flames holding up their end in making this Over work. Things are clicking offensively now for the Avalanche. They have produced nine goals in the last two games, firing 56 shots on net in Game 3. Their power play is back to being highly dangerous. The Over is 3-1-1 the last five times the teams have met.
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04-15-19 | Predators v. Stars OVER 5 | 3-2 | Push | 0 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Goals have been at a premium during the first two games of the series. There hasn't been more than five goals in either game. Now the series shifts to Nashville. The Predators fired 43 shots in Game 2. Their confidence is up after a road victory. Dallas has scored nine goals in its last two home games. The Over has won the past six times the Stars have hosted the Predators. I see this game being played more wide open that the previous two. It's not too much to ask each team to produce two goals.
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04-13-19 | Avalanche v. Flames OVER 6 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
Calgary is the No. 3 scoring team in the NHL. The Flames are going to get their share of goals. They produced four goals in Game 1 of this series. The question is can the underdog Avalanche produce enough goals to get this game Over the total? I believe they can. Colorado was the 10th-highest scoring team in the league. The Avalanche also ranked seventh in power plays. They went 0-for-4 in power play opportunities in Game 1. Mike Smith, the Flames' 37-year-old goalie, had a spectacular game against the Avalanche. Smith isn't nearly as good as he played and is past his prime. The Avalanche have one of the most dangerous lines in hockey with Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen, who is back after missing the last few weeks of the regular season due to injury. He returned in Game 1, but was rusty. That rust should be off for this game.
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04-11-19 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins OVER 6 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 57 m | Show |
There is only one way for the Maple Leafs to beat the Bruins - offense. Toronto knows this. The Maple Leafs are the more explosive team and they should be on full attack. They have enough experience now and their offense has been enhanced even more with the addition of superstar John Tavares. The Bruins have one of the best lines in hockey with Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak and Patrice Bergeron. Those three have enjoyed plenty of success against the Maple Leafs combining for 30 points in the Bruins' seven-game playoff series win last season. Marchand and Pastrnak had strong regular season games against Toronto, too, this season. Boston can take advantage of Toronto's lack of defense and discipline. Maple Leafs' goalie Frederik Andersen didn't play well against the Bruins either during last season's playoff series. |
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04-10-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 0 m | Show |
Las Vegas upgraded its offense with free agent signings and trades this season. The Golden Knights now have two powerful scoring lines to go with excellent depth. The Golden Knights also will be operating against San Jose's shaky goaltending. Martin Jones has an .896 save percentage and 3.28 GAA in 13 career games against Las Vegas. He could be the weakest starting goalie of any of the playoff teams. The Sharks are the No. 2 scoring team in the league. They have four players - Joe Pavelski, Tomas Hertl, Evander Kane and Timo Meier - who all scored at least 30 goals. In addition, the Sharks have the top offensive defenseman in Brent Burns. Eric Karlsson, another superstar defenseman known for his offense, has returned from injury. The Over has cashed in seven of the past 10 meetings between the two teams.
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04-05-19 | Stars v. Blackhawks UNDER 6.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
It's tough to go Under in games involving the Blackhawks. But the Stars give up the second-fewest goals in the league. They have not given up more than three goals during their last 17 games. The Blackhawks have been playing better defense. They've held seven of their last 10 opponents to three goals or fewer. This is Chicago's final home game of the season. So a maximum effort should be forthcoming.
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04-03-19 | Senators v. Rangers OVER 6 | 4-1 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
This should be a very loose game between non-playoff teams. Ottawa gives up the most goals in the league. The Senators also are going with backup goalie Anders Nilsson, who has allowed 12 goals in his last two starts. |
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04-02-19 | Oilers v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
I see a loose game here with enough scoring to cash an Over. Edmonton is coming off a lackluster 3-1 loss to Las Vegas last night. That officially eliminated the Oilers from the playoffs. I envision the Oilers playing more loose here. Connor McDavid is having a monster season and can hurt the Avalanche. The Over is 4-0-1 the past five times the Oilers have played without rest. Colorado is off a tough 3-2 loss to the Blues in overtime last night. The Avalanche drop way down in defensive class after having just faced the Blues. They had scored three or more goals in seven of their last eight games before losing to the Blues. The Over is 4-0-1 between the two teams during their last five games in Colorado. |
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04-02-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
The Bruins are averaging 4.4 goals in their last seven games, but are giving up an average of 4.2 goals in their last five games. The Over has cashed in seven of their last 10 games. The Blue Jackets have been on a good scoring binge, too, averaging 4.8 goals in their last five games. The Over has cashed in eight of the past nine meetings between the two teams, too.
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03-28-19 | Canadiens v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Sparked by a great comeback season from Carey Price, the Canadiens have given up two or fewer goals in seven of their last eight games. The Under has cashed in six of those eight games. Price is projected to be in net today. He has given up just 13 goals in his last eight games. Sergei Bobrovsky is projected to be in goal for Columbus. Bobrovsky is in great form posting shutouts in his last two starts. These are two superstar goalies when they are right - and both are right. The intensity and defensive level should be extremely high here with the final wildcard playoff spot in the East at stake. This has been a strong Under series with the Under winning six of the last seven times. |
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03-26-19 | Sabres v. Senators OVER 6 | 0-4 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
The Sabres gave up three goals again in their last game, a 3-1 loss to the Devils on Monday. This marks the ninth time in their last 10 games the Sabres have yielded three or more goals. The Senators are giving up an average of five goals per agme during their last three games. They are far more about attacking than defense. Ottawa has scored four or more goals in three of its last four games. The Under has not won the past four times these teams have met.
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03-25-19 | Sabres v. Devils OVER 5.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 24 m | Show | |
Things should play loose here with both teams out of playoff contention. The Sabres are giving up an average of 4.6 goals during their last five games. Buffalo, though, is averaging three goals per game during its last four games. The Devils' defense hasn't been good lately either. New Jersey is yielding an average of 4.1 goals during its past eight games. The Devils' offense gets a boost, though, with the return of center Nico Hirchier, who is second on the team in points.
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03-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | 7-3 | Win | 105 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
I fully expect each team to produce at least three goals here, which would ensure an Over. San Jose has allowed four goals in each of its last three games. The Golden Knights have produced three or more goals in 13 of their last 18 games. They just scored six goals versus the Oilers on Sunday night. Mark Stone has been a monster addition for the Golden Knights. The Sharks are the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL. They have tallied three or more goals in 10 of their last 14 games. San Jose catches a huge break here, too, because the Golden Knights' star goalie, Marc-Andre Fleury, won't play.
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03-17-19 | Panthers v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Ducks are playing looser and as a result they are averaging 3.7 goals in their last eight games. If that was computed out for the entire season, the Ducks would rank No. 2 in goal scoring. Florida is a top-10 scoring team, but ranks 26th defensively. The Panthers have been hot averaging five goals during their last four games. Florida, though, has permitted at least three goals in eight of its last 11 games.
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03-14-19 | Panthers v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Panthers are playing loose and have scored six goals in each of their last two games. The Panthers are a top-10 scoring team and have the league's second-most effective power play. Florida, though, ranks 27th defensively and has yielded at least three goals in seven of its last nine games. The Sharks are the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL. They have produced three or more goals in seven of their last eight games. The Sharks wouldn't mind running up a score here after losing 6-2 to Florida in the first meeting this season. Martin Jones had a terrible performance in net for San Jose in that game.
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03-13-19 | Devils v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 6-3 | Loss | -113 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
The Devils tried to keep up offensively with the Flames on Tuesday and got whacked, 9-4. New Jersey doesn't have the scoring anymore to play an attacking style. Look for the Devils to dial things back against this opponent. Edmonton is a below average offensive team. It has been 24 games since the Oilers last scored more than four goals. They have scored two or fewer goals during regulation in 10 of their last 15 games. New Jersey has only scored 15 goals in its last nine games, an average of 1.6 goals per game during this span. The Under has cashed 69 percent of the time during the past 17 games between the two teams.
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03-13-19 | Blackhawks v. Maple Leafs OVER 7 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
Hey, it's the Blackhawks. That's the quick answer as to why go Over such a huge total. 16-1-1. That's the Blackhawks' Over record in their last 18 games. 24-2-1. That's the Blackhawks Over mark during their past 27 games. So why not no-brain this and try Over again especially with Chicago on the road and playing the up-tempo Maple Leafs? Chicago is 39-14-4 to the Over in its last 57 road contests. Toronto is the No. 3 scoring team in the NHL. The Over is 7-2 in the Maple Leafs' last nine games.
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03-12-19 | Devils v. Flames OVER 6 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Devils aren't going to stand a chance here if they try to play a defensive game - and they know it. The Flames broke out of a scoring slump with a 6-3 home victory against the Golden Knights on Sunday. The Flames are the No. 4 scoring team in the NHL. Their 3M Line of Matthew Tkachuk, Mikael Backlund and Michael Frolik is one of the stronger second lines in the league. Calgary's top line of Sean Monahan, Johnny Gaudreau and Elias Lindholm has been slumping, but showed signs of breaking out against Las Vegas. They are not going against an elite goalie either as the Devils will be starting Mackenzie Blackwood. I see the Devils opening up their game against this opponent. This has turned into a rebuilding year for the Devils so there really isn't any pressue. They do seem to play looser against Western Conference foes with the Over cashing in five of their last six games versus West opponents.
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03-11-19 | Senators v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
The Senators already have missed the playoffs and it's not because of their offense. They are average offensively, but dreadful defensively ranking 30th. Ottawa has allowed an average of 4.2 goals in its last seven games. The Flyers happen to be averaging 4.2 goals in their last seven games. Philadelphia, though, has surrendered three or more goals in six of its last nine games. The Flyers are going with Brian Elliott in net rather than Carter Hart. I consider that a break for Ottawa. The last five in the series have gone Over. This includes the first meeting this season, won by the Flyers, 7-4, on the road.
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03-09-19 | Kings v. Coyotes OVER 5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
This total is too low for these teams, who should each be good for at least two goals apiece. The Coyotes have scored three or more goals in six of their last eight games. The Kings have allowed 30 goals in their last seven games, an average of 4.2 per game.
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03-09-19 | Devils v. Rangers UNDER 6 | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
It has been 12 games since the Devils had a total of less than 6 on one of their games. Maybe the oddsmaker should reconsider this because the Devils are not a high scoring team anymore and their goal tending and defense have improved. New Jersey has just nine goals in its last seven games. The Devils haven't' scored a power play goal during their past nine games spanning 24 opportunities. The Rangers are a perfect 14-for-14 in killing penalties the last four games. The Rangers aren't scoring either notching just six goals in their last four games. The Devils have allowed only nine goals in their last five games, discounting a 6-3 loss to the Flyers. There should be some intensity in this matchup between these two division rivals. The Devils have dropped five in a row. The Rangers have lost six straight. So one team is going to end their losing streak leading me to believe this is going to be a tight-checking, defensive matchup with neither team wanting to take a chance knowing a victory is a real possibility especially with each offense struggling.
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03-07-19 | Sabres v. Blackhawks OVER 7 | 4-5 | Win | 106 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
OK, we knew the 7's were coming on Blackhawk totals. But I'm not convinced it's still enough of a stop sign. No team plays Overs like the Blackhawks do with their combination of up-tempo, attacking offense and lack of defense. This has resulted in 15 straight Over the total games for the Blackhawks and 21 Overs in their last 22 games. I've got to keep riding that boat. This is especially so against the Sabres, who are back playing high-scoring games. The Over has cashed in Buffalo's past six games. The Sabres are allowing 4.4 goals in their last five games. The Over is 18-7-1 in Buffalo's last 26 games. The Over also is 4-1 the past five times these two teams have met. This includes the last meeting, which was on Feb. 1. The Blackhawks won that game, 7-3.
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03-07-19 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -130 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
It's no stretch to envision each of these teams scoring three goals apiece. Pittsburgh has scored three or more goals in 11 of its last 12 games. The Blue Jackets managed a 2-1 victory against the Devils in their last game two days ago. But they had allowed 17 goals during their previous four games. Look for the Blue Jackets' recent trade deadline acquistions to start stepping up their offensive performances.
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03-06-19 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm envisioning a high-tempo, fast paced, raucous game here with plenty of scoring. The Maple Leafs have gone Over in each of their last six games. Their offense is really clicking as they have scored five or more goals in five of those games. Toronto should receive plenty of fan support with this game in Western Canada where the Leafs are popular. Vancouver is due to start scoring more. The Canucks are in stop-the-pain mode having lost six of their last seven, including the past three. They need their offense, which is capable, to bust out. The Canucks aren't going to win by playing conservative having allowed at least three goals in all but two of their past 13 games.
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03-05-19 | Red Wings v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
The rebuilding Red Wings don't score much. That's evident in Detroit being held to three or fewer goals in 14 of its last 16 games. The Red Wings are averaging 1.7 goals in their last four games. Colorado is underrated defensively giving up 19 goals in regulation during its last 10 games, an average of 1.9 goals. The Avalanche are off two straight losses, both coming on the road. Now they are home and huge favorites. I see them playing conservatively not wanting to take many chances against an overmatched road opponent.
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03-05-19 | Blue Jackets v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
There are certain golden Over the total teams in the NHL. The Devils aren't one of those teams anymore. Ravaged by injuries, the Devils have trouble scoring. They have just eight goals in their last five games. The Blue Jackets are averaging only two goals per game in their past four contests. New Jersey has been getting better goaltending lately. If you discount a 6-3 defeat to the Flyers, the Devils have allowed just four goals in their past three games. The last four in this series have gone Under, too, including both meetings this season. Only once has the Over won during the past 10 times the teams have met in New Jersey.
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03-04-19 | Maple Leafs v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
These two teams are more than capable of scoring three goals apiece. So as long as the oddsmaker isn't putting up a 7 for the total, I'm going Over. The Maple Leafs have scored five or more goals in four of their last five games. The Over has cashed in each of Toronto's last five games. The Flames are stepping up against a good offense here. Calgary is going to get its share of goals. The Flames are the No. 2 goal scoring team in the NHL and Toronto is dealing with multiple injuries defensively.
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03-03-19 | Blackhawks v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
The juice is crazy high, but as long as the oddsmaker doesn't hang a 7 on a Blackhawks total you have to play Over on Chicago especially against this foe. Chicago has played an insane 14 straight Over the total games. The Over has cashed in 21 of the Blackhawks' last 22 games. The Blackhawks are the perfect Over team. They are fast-paced, can score and don't play any defense. The Kings, who rank 30th in scoring, just produced six goals versus the Blackhawks on Saturday. San Jose is the No. 3 scoring team in the NHL. The Sharks, however, are giving up 3.5 goals in their last four games. So it's not difficult to project at least three goals apiece for each team.
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03-02-19 | Red Wings v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Detroit's defense has slipped since mid-February. The Red Wings have surrendered an average of five goals per game during their last six games. The Coyotes have scored three or more goals in each of their last five games. They are averaging 4.3 goals during their past three games. The teams have a strong tendency, too, when playing in Arizona to above the total with the Over winning 71 percent during the previous 26 times.
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03-02-19 | Devils v. Bruins OVER 6 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
Bad defense and bad goaltending are not a good combination. They are why the Devils rank 29th defensively. New Jersey just permitted six goals at home on Friday to the Flyers. The Bruins have the offense to take advantage netting three or more goals in 10 of their past 12 games. Boston's defense, though, could be in for a letdown after a huge 4-1 victory against Tampa Bay on Thursday.
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03-02-19 | Hurricanes v. Panthers OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Carolina has scored 18 goals in its last four games. The Hurricanes have scored three or more goals in 13 of their last 15 games. Florida ranks 28th defensively. The Panthers have surrendered 13 goals in their last three games. Florida, though, has scored 18 goals in its past four games. The Panthers have scored at least three goals during their past eight games. The Over is 4-1-1 the past six times the teams have met in Florida.
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03-02-19 | Oilers v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
Given the early start time and playoff importance of this matchup, I'm expecting a more defensive-minded game than the oddsmaker. The Oilers are not a big scoring team despite having superstar Connor McDavid. Edmonton ranks 25th in scoring. The Oilers have scored two goals or fewer in eight of their last 10 games. The Blue Jackets are breaking in a bunch of new faces. They are usually good for three goals, but not much more having gone 15 of the past 17 games netting four or fewer goals.
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02-28-19 | Maple Leafs v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
There have been at least eight goals scored during the Maple Leafs' past three games. Toronto has scored 17 goals during this past three-game span. Look for the Maple Leafs' offense to trump the Islanders' defense. The Islanders have scored at least three goals in four of their last six games. New York draws Toronto backup goalie Garret Sparks for this matchup. The Over has cashed in 10 of Toronto's last 12 visits against the Islanders. |
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02-27-19 | Oilers v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Toronto is the fourth-leading scoring team in the NHL and has gotten hot on the offensive end again. The Maple Leafs have scored 11 goals in their last two games. The Maple Leafs also have given up three goals in five of their last six games, including the last four. The Oilers have yielded three or more goals in seven of their last eight games. The Over has won eight of the past 11 times the Oilers have faced an Eastern Conference opponent.
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02-26-19 | Kings v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Kings usually play looser on the road where the Over has cashed in eight of their past 10 away matchups. LA broke out of mini-scoring slump by putting in three goals against the Lightning last night. LA's defense is down depth-wise after Oscar Fantenberg was traded to Calgary for a conditional draft pick. Carolina has scored three or more goals in 11 of its last 13 games. The Hurricanes lead the league in shots on goal. The Hurricanes' offense also received a boost this weekend with the return of center Jordan Staal, who had missed more than two months due to a concussion.
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02-26-19 | Penguins v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
The Blue Jackets have scored at least three goals in seven of their past 10 games. They draw the Penguins with Pittsburgh dealing with multiple defensive injuries. Out for Pittsburgh are Kris Letang, Brian Dumoulin and Olli Maatta. Letang and Dumoulin are Pittsburgh's top defensive pairing. Penguins goalie Matt Murray has run hot and cold this season. He's coming off a cold performance, a 4-3 loss to the Flyers. Pittsburgh is giving up an average of 4.2 goals during its last five games. The Penguins can score, though, notching at least three goals in seven of their past eight games. They've scored four or more goals five times during this eight-game span. The Over has cashed in six of the last eight meetings between the two teams.
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02-24-19 | Jets v. Coyotes OVER 6 | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
The Jets are the No. 6 scoring team in the NHL Their offense was on full display during their last game, a 6-3 road win against the Golden Knights on Friday. Patrik Laine broke out of his slump with two goals in Winnipeg's victory against Las Vegas and Nikolaj Ehlers returned from injury further bolstering the Jets' attack. The Coyotes have scored three goals in each of their last two games They are going against a vulnerable Jets defense and likely facing Jets backup goalie, Laurent Brossoit. Winnipeg has surrendered three or more goals in 13 of its past 14 games. The Jets have allowed 4.2 goals during their last five games.
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02-24-19 | Flames v. Senators OVER 6 | 2-1 | Loss | -114 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
Calgary is the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL. The Senators score the 11th most goals. Expect each team to produce at least three goals. The Flames have scored three or more goals in all but three of their last 22 games. They are facing the worst defensive team in the league. This has been an Over series with seven of the past nine games between the two teams going above the total.
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02-23-19 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
The Canadiens have picked up their pace this season. They have scored 3 or more goals in seven of their last nine games. The Maple Leafs have yielded three goals in three of their last four games. Toronto is the No. 4 scoring team in the league. The teams just met two weeks ago and the Maple Leafs won, 4-3, in overtime. There were a combined 70 shots taken on goal in that game.
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02-22-19 | Wild v. Red Wings OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
Zach Parise is back scoring for the Wild, whose offense is better after acquiring Ryan Donato. However, Minnesota's frontline defense is down without injured Mikko Koivu, who was the Wild's top penalty killer. Minnesota has surrendered at least four goals in seven of its last 10 games. The Red Wings have scored three or more goals in four of their last five games. They've also given up 14 goals in their past three games. These two teams have a history of going Over when playing in Detroit. There have been only two Unders the past 17 times they've met in Detroit. |
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02-21-19 | Kings v. Predators OVER 5.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
The Kings are surrendering 4.4 goals in their last five games. Their offense, though, has picked up. LA has scored three or more goals in seven of its last 10 games. The Kings have scored a minimum of two goals per game during their last 10 games. The Over has cashed in six of the Kings' past seven away matchups and in nine of their last 11 overall games. |
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02-21-19 | Senators v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 0-4 | Loss | -124 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
The Devils have scored three or more goals in five of their last six games. They are a horrible defensive team, though, ranking 29th in goals allowed. If you discount a 4-1 win against the Sabres, they are giving up an average of 5.2 goals during their last four games. Ottawa is similar to New Jersey being much better offensively. The Senators rank 11th in scoring but give up the most goals per game. They have allowed 4.5 goals in their last four games.
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02-20-19 | Blackhawks v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
One of these days the oddsmaker is going to wake up and starting hanging a 7 on Blackhawks totals. Until that happens, I'm happy to keep riding the Blackhawks Over the total. Chicago has gone Over in 16 of its last 17 games, including the last nine in a row! The Blackhawks have scored three or more goals in 16 of their last 17 games and had at least four goals in seven of their past nine games. Patrick Kane has been sizzling scoring at least one point in 18 consecutive games. Detroit has scored three or more goals in three of its last four games.
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02-19-19 | Lightning v. Flyers OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is the No. 1 scoring team in the NHL and the Lightning are hot offensively scoring five or more goals in five of their last six games. The Flyers rate 26th defensively. The Lightning played last night, beating the Blue Jackets, 5-1. The Over has won 17 of the last 22 times Tampa Bay has played without rest. The Flyers have averaged five goals per game during their last four games if you discount a 4-1 loss to the Penguins during this span. The Over has cashed five of the last six times the two teams have played in Philadelphia. The Flyers are likely to draw Tampa Bay backup goalie Louis Dominque, too. This is the third meeting between the teams this season. There have been a combined 11 goals scored in each of the first two games.
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02-18-19 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche OVER 6 | 0-3 | Loss | -104 | 20 h 9 m | Show | |
It's not too much to expect each of these teams to reach at least three goals in this game. Las Vegas has scored a minimum of three goals in five of its last six games. Colorado has given up three or more goals in 13 of its past 16 games. The Avalanche are a top-10 scoring team. Colorado was shut out by St. Louis in its last game this past Saturday. But the Avalanche did manage 32 shots on goal. The Blues have been playing outstanding defense and getting phenomenal goaltending having allowed only 10 goals in their last 14 games, none in their last three games. Las Vegas is a major stepdown defensively from the Blues. The Golden Knights have surrendered at least three goals in 11 of their past 14 games. Marc-Andre Fleury's heavy workload apparently has caught up to him. He hasn't looked good in allowing 17 goals in his last four starts. |
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02-18-19 | Coyotes v. Flames OVER 6 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show | |
Calgary has gone Over in 13 of its last 16 games. The Flames are the third-highest scoring team in the NHL, but have allowed three or more goals in each of their last seven games. So Arizona should get its share of goals here. The Flames are averaging 6.5 goals in two games versus the Coyotes this season. The Over has cashed in four of the last five meetings between the two teams. |
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02-17-19 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
First off, note the start time. It's 12:30 in the afternoon East Coast time. Early starts like this tend to favor the Under. Now consider current form. Matt Murray has been hot in net for Pittsburgh. The Penguins are giving up 2.3 goals in their last three games, all with Murray as the goalie. They face a Rangers attack that is well below average ranking 25th in scoring and 30th in shots on goal. Another plus for the Penguins is the return of defenseman Justin Schultz. He played in the Penguins' last game after missing the previous 53 games with a broken leg. The Rangers also are surrendering an average of 2.3 goals in their last three games.
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02-16-19 | Predators v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Look for the Golden Knights to go all out to try to end their franchise-worst five-game home losing streak. Las Vegas' defense hasn't been sharp lately. The Knights are giving up an average of five goals a game during their past three games. The Knights have picked up their offense scoring at least three goals in four of their past five games. The Predators have scored three or more goals in four of their last six games.
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02-16-19 | Blue Jackets v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Until oddsmaker start putting a 7 on Blackhawks totals, I'm going to run their Over train. Chicago can score, but plays little defense and is weak in net. The result is 14 Overs in the Blackhawks' last 15 games, including the past seven. Chicago has scored a minium of three goals per game during its last 15 games. The Blue Jackets are the eighth-highest scoring team in the league. They have produced at least three goals in six of their last eight games.
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02-15-19 | Rangers v. Sabres UNDER 6 | 6-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
The Sabres have gone from being a surprising Over team back to being an Under team.They have played three straight Unders after going Over in 10 of their previous 11 games. Buffalo has tightened its defense giving up five goals in its last three games and fewer than 30 shots on goal during each of these games. The Rangers haven't allowed more than three goals in regulation during 10 of their past 11 games. New York is slated to start Alexndar Georgeiev in goal. I consider him one of the better backups in the league. He was just super in his last start stopping 56 shots in a 4-1 victory against the Maple Leafs, who rank fourth in goals scored, this past Sunday. Buffalo ranks 20th in goals. The teams have played twice this season. Each game finished 3-1 with the teams splitting wins. The Under is 5-1-1 the past seven times in this series.
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02-14-19 | Devils v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The perfect formula for an Over is here as we have two horrible defenses with two poor projected goalies. Cory Schneider is having a dreadful season. He hasn't been good in several seasons, while Chicago projected goalie Cam Ward is well past his prime. New Jersey just gave up eight goals to the Blues on the road on Tuesday. The Devils have permitted three or more goals in 12 of their last 16 games. The Blackhawks have scored at least three goals per game during their last 14 games. But they have given up three or more goals in 13 of their last 16 games. The teams met a month ago and the Devils won, 8-5. That game was in New Jersey. This one is in Chicago where the Over is 5-1-1 the past seven times the teams have played in the United Center.
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02-13-19 | Oilers v. Penguins UNDER 6.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I don't trust the Oilers to hold up their end on high totals such as this one. Edmonton ranks 23rd in scoring. The Oilers have scored two or fewer goals in seven of their last 15 games. Goalie Matt Murray is heating up for the Penguins. He had a career-high 50 saves against the Flyers in Pittsburgh's last game two days ago. The Penguins have held five of their last seven opponents to three or fewer goals. The Oilers catch a break because Evgeni Malkin is suspended for this matchup. The Under has cashed five of the last seven times these teams have met.
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02-12-19 | Maple Leafs v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Toronto was held to one goal in its last game, a 4-1 road loss to the Rangers on Sunday. But the Maple Leafs had 56 shots on goal in that loss. Toronto was averaging five goals per game in its three previous games before that loss to New York. The Maple Leafs rank fourth in goals scored. The Avalanche rank 26th defensively. They have allowed four or more goals in six of their last seven games. The Over has cashed the past eight times these teams have played in Colorado.
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02-12-19 | Flames v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
It's certainly not too much to ask each of these teams to score at least three goals apiece. Calgary has accomplished this in 15 of its last 16 games. The Over has cashed in 14 of the Flames' last 16 games. |
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02-12-19 | Blackhawks v. Bruins OVER 6 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks can score goals, but are pathetic defensively. These traits really show off when Chicago is on the road. So it's no wonder the Under has won during Chicago's last six road matchups. Chicago has scored 26 goals in its last five games. The Blackhawks have permitted three or more goals in 11 of their last 14 games. Boston is averaging 3.2 goals in its last four games.
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02-11-19 | Sharks v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
Only once in their last 19 games, have the Sharks failed to score at least three goals. San Jose has produced five or more goals nine times during this span. Vancouver is giving up 3.3 goals per game in its last three games. San Jose is averaging 4.6 goals in its past five games. So I have little doubt the Sharks will score anywhere from three to five goals. Vancouver's projected starting goalie, Jacob Markstrom, has a bad history versus the Sharks with a 2-5 record and 3.74 goals against average. The Sharks give up an average of 3.6 goals on the road, while Vancouver averages slightly more than three goals a game at home. The Over has cashed in six of San Jose's last seven away contests. Vancouver has gone Over 67 percent of the time during its last 53 home games. The average combined goal total in San Jose's road games this season is 7.2. So it's safe to say the Canucks also should be good for anywhere from three to five goals. If each team manages three goals than the Over cashes. That's not too much to ask.
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02-10-19 | Maple Leafs v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs are averaging five goals per game during their last three games. They are the No. 4 scoring team in the NHL. The Rangers have permitted at least three goals during their past five games. New York's scoring has picked up as the Rangers have scored three or more goals in seven of its last 10 games. Both teams figure to go with their second-string goalies, too. Backup Rangers goalie Alexander Georgiev already has been confirmed as being in net.
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02-10-19 | Lightning v. Panthers OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is the No. 1 goal scoring team in the NHL. Florida surrenders the third-most goals in the league. The Panthers, though, are a top-13 scoring team. They have scored three or more goals in six of their last eight games. Both teams are projected to start their backup goalies - Louis Dominque and James Reimer - neither of whom is very good. |
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02-09-19 | Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
Las Vegas is averaging 3 1/2 goals in its last two games. The Golden Knights can take advantage of a below average Columbus defense that has permitted at least three goals in 13 of its last 16 games. The Golden Knights, though, have given up three or more goals in eight of their last 10 games. The Blue Jackets are coming off a six-goal game against the Avalanche. They rank in the top 10 in scoring.
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02-07-19 | Sharks v. Flames OVER 6.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Calgary has scored at least 3 goals in each of its last 14 games. San Jose has scored 3 or more goals in 16 of its last 17 games. The Over is 10-3-1 the last 14 times the Sharks have been a road 'dog. These trends are worth riding in what should be a wide open game. |
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02-05-19 | Sharks v. Jets OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
The Sharks have scored 3 or more goals in 15 of their last 16 games. The Over is 10-4-2 in their last 16 games. The Jets have scored 4 or more goals in seven of their last nine games. They have scored 17 goals in their last three games. Both teams have fresh legs following the break and the rust is off their offenses. So I expect another high scoring game with each team getting at least three goals. |
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02-03-19 | Oilers v. Canadiens UNDER 6 | 3-4 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
This will be the second game following the long All-Star break for both teams. I see a defensive battle with less rust on each club. The Canadiens have scored two goals in each of their last three games. They have failed to score more than three goals in 11 of their last 13 games. Montreal has the second-worst power play in the NHL. Edmonton gave up four power play goals in their 5-4 overtime loss to the Flyers this past Saturday. So the Oilers will be really clamping down if they fall a man short. Carey Price will be in goal for Montreal after sitting out the Canadiens' first game back from break due to a one-game suspension. Price is having a strong bounce back season with a 2.56 GAA.
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02-02-19 | Blackhawks v. Wild OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks can score, but play no defense. That combination has resulted in nine straight Over the totals. Chicago has scored three or more goals in nine straight games. However, the Blackhawks have yielded three or more goals in 10 of their last 11 games. They are giving up five goals per game during their last three away matchups. The Blackhawks have been long-term Over the total money-makers on the road. The Over is 34-15-4 in Chicago's last 53 road games. The Wild had scored a combined nine goals in their last two games before the All-Star break. They came back rusty losing 3-1 to the Stars on the road Friday night. Dallas, though, has been playing stellar defense. Chicago certainly isn't doing that.
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01-19-19 | Sharks v. Lightning OVER 6.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
The oddsmaker could have opened this game at 7 - and it still likely would go Over. San Jose is the No. 3 goal scoring team in the NHL. Tampa Bay is No. 1. The Sharks have scored three or more goals in 18 of their last 19 games, including the past 12. They have reached four or more goals 12 times during this span. Tampa Bay is sure to be pumped after losing 4-2 to Toronto in its last home game. That loss followed a three-game road trip. The Lightning are now more comfortable at home. Prior to that game, Tampa Bay had scored 5.1 goals per game during its last seven home games. These teams have a strong Over history, too, going 12-3-1 above the total during the past 16 matchups.
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01-17-19 | Blackhawks v. Rangers OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks have gone Over the total in their last five games. They have been a big Over team all season especially on the road where the Over stands 32-15-4 during the past 51 instances. It's an easy formula to see why. Chicago can score, but plays no defense. The Blackhawks have allowed an average of 3.8 goals in their last five games. They've also allowed an average of 4.6 goals in their last six games. |
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01-14-19 | Sabres v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 2-7 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
The Sabres have gone Under seven of the last eight times they have played Western Conference opponents. Buffalo has scored three or fewer goals in seven of its last nine games. Despite having the great Connor McDavid, the Oilers rank 24th in scoring. They haven't broken the three-goal barrier in nine of their last 12 games. Both teams desperately need a victory here. So don't expect a wide open game.
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01-14-19 | Blackhawks v. Devils OVER 6 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks have a decent offense, but play little defense. That's a golden formula for an Over. So it's no surprise the Under has won only six times during the Blackhawks' last 26 games. Chicago has scored three of more goals during its last four games. The Blackhawks also have allowed 15 goals in their last four games, an average of 3.7 goals. The Devils have a better offense than defense, too. So they are worth playing Over.
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01-14-19 | Blues v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
The Over has cashed the past six times these two teams have met. Look for that trend to continue as each team is going with their backup goalie. Washington is the No. 7 scoring team in the league. They are facing Jake Allen, one of the weaker backup goalies. The Blues are dealing with injuries, but still have managed to score 3 or more goals in five of their last six games. |
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01-13-19 | Coyotes v. Flames OVER 6 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
The Coyotes are averaging four goals per game in their last three games and draw Mike Smith in net. Smith is the lesser of Calgary's two goalies. He has a 3.09 GAA. Arizona is playing without rest after upsetting the Oilers on Saturday. The Coyotes are 5-1 to the Over the past six times when playing on the second of consecutive days. The Flames are the No. 2 scoring team in the NHL. They have produced three or more goals in seven straight games, netting at least four goals in six of these games. The Over has cashed in six of their last seven games.
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01-11-19 | Penguins v. Ducks UNDER 6 | 7-4 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Anaheim is the second-lowest scoring team in the NHL. The Ducks have scored just 12 goals in their last nine games, all losses. They have failed to score more than two goals in eight of these games. The Penguins, on the other hand, are averaging four goals per game during their last 10 games. So something has to give, offense or defense? I see defense carrying the play. A total of 6 is too high for a Ducks game. The Under is 5-0-2 when the Ducks have had a 6 total.The Over has yet to cash. This is the first game the Penguins are playing in California this season. They are not used to a three-hour time difference. Under has been a strong profit-maker when the Ducks meet an Eastern Conference opponent. The Under has won 72 percent of the time during the past 26 instances.
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01-10-19 | Sharks v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
The Sharks have the two best offensive defensemen in the NHL with Erik Karlsson and Brent Burns. It is showing, too, as the Sharks have scored three or more goals in 14 of their last 15 games. San Jose has been particularly hot lately averaging 5.1 goals in its last seven games. The Golden Knights have scored at least three goals in eight of their last 10 games. They can take advantage of the Sharks likely to be without defensemen Marc Edouard Vlasic and Justin Braun, both of whom have been out with injuries.
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01-09-19 | Predators v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
Watching the Blackhawks it's easy to see why they give up the second-most goals per game in the NHL: They don't play much defense. The Blackhawks are particularly vulnerable when the other team has a man advantage ranking last in penalty killing. The Predators have picked up their scoring averaging four goals a game during their last six games. The Blackhawks have been respectable offensively, too, averaging 3.3 goals per game in their last nine matchups. Chicago has improved its power play moving up to 24th after ranking last. Chicago is 10-for-30 on the power play during its last 10 games.
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01-06-19 | Blackhawks v. Penguins OVER 6 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks give up the second-most goals and are last in stopping power plays. The Penguins are hot on the power play scoring 69 percent of the time on their last 13 attempts. Pittsburgh has scored at least 3 goals in six straight games. The Blackhawks have a respectable offense and can contribute their share of goals. The Penguins have been putting up good defensive numbers, but haven't faced many good offenses recently. The Over is 13-6-3 in Chicago's last 20 games.
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01-06-19 | Hurricanes v. Senators UNDER 6.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Carolina is playing for the third time in four days. Note this is a day game with an early start. So the Hurricanes are likely to have heavy legs, which should mean more of a slow tempo, defensive-minded effort. The Hurricanes haven't given up more than three goals during their last seven games. They have been a strong Under team on the road, too, going below the total in 69 percent of their past 16 away matchups. The Senators haven't broken the three-goal barrier during regulation in their last nine games. The under has cashed five of the past six times these two teams have met.
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01-05-19 | Lightning v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
I'll take my chances at this low lay price with the Lightning, winners of 18 of their past 20 games including the last seven. Tampa Bay has scored at least four goals in 10 of its past 11 games. San Jose just lost two defensemen to injuries in their last game, steady Marc-Edouard Vlasic and Justin Braun. San Jose has allowed four or more goals in five of its last seven games. The Lightning lead the NHL in goals averaging 4.2 per game. The Lightning have been on the West Coast for nearly a week, while the Sharks just finished a three-game road trip. San Jose has lost in three of its last four home games.
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12-27-18 | Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Look for some rust with both teams coming off Christmas break. The Under is 16-6-3 the past 25 times the Canucks have played after being idle for three or more days. The Canucks have been strong defensively lately. If you discount the five goals they gave to the Lightning, the Canucks have held their previous four foes to a combined five goals. Edmonton is overrated offensively because it has Connor McDavid. The Oilers rank 25th in goals. They went into break averaging two goals per game during their last three games. There is an Under bias to this series. Only twice has the Over won the past 10 times these teams have met.
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12-16-18 | Sharks v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
Only twice has the Under won in the Blackhawks' last 13 games. Chicago has scored 3 or more goals in four of its last five games. However, the Blackhawks have the second-worst defense in the league. They have allowed 4 or more goals in 10 of their last 13 games. They gave up 3 goals in the other three games during this span. The Sharks have scored 3 or more goals in five of their last six games. The Over has cashed 15 of the past 20 times the Sharks have played on two days rest. The oddsmaker opened this total short at 6 instead of 6 1/2.
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12-14-18 | Avalanche v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The teams just met two weeks ago and there were four goals scored in regulation with the Blues winning, 3-2, in overtime. I don't see this matchup reaching six goals either. The Avalanche stressed defense in practice after giving up 13 goals in their last two games. They've had two full days to work on things. Note, too, the 13 goals they gave up occurred against the Lightning and Oilers, both of whom have better offenses than the Blues. St. Louis has failed in 10 of its last 11 power play attempts spanning five games. However, the Blues have killed 18 penalties in a row. Their penalty kill rate of 84.8 precent ranks fourth in the NHL. The Under is on a 90 percent run when Colorado plays opponents from the Central Division with the Under cashing nine of the past 10 times in those situations. |
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12-12-18 | Penguins v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
The Blackhawks are the worst defensive team in the NHL. They have have given up four or more goals in nine of their last 11 games. A coaching change has failed to get their defense going. The Over has cashed in seven of Chicago's past nine games. The Penguins rank eighth in the league in scoring. They are averaging 3.7 goals in their last four games. Pittsburgh, however, is 20th defensively. There is a good chance Matt Murray returns to be Pittsburgh's goalie in this game. He has missed the past 11 games with a lower-body injury. Murray has not had a good season and figures to be rusty.
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12-05-18 | Blackhawks v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
The Ducks are the lowest-scoring team in the league. But lately they haven't played that way. Anaheim is coming off scoring five goals in the last two periods to beat Washington, 6-5, in its last game this past Sunday. The Ducks draw the Blackhawks, who have the worst defense in the NHL. Chicago has permitted an average of 4.8 goals in its last seven games. The Blackhawks, though, are averaging 3.4 goals during their last five games. Bottom line here is the Blackhawks can not have a total of less than 6 in their games.
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12-04-18 | Wild v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
Vancouver has scored 22 goals in its last 11 games, an average of two a game. I'm not expecting the Canucks to score much here because their offense is cold and because I believe the Wild will have a serious defensive commitment. Minnesota has lost five of its last seven, including the past three. This is the start of a three-game Western Canada road swing for the Wild. Minnesota has a good goalie in Devan Dubnyk and its coach, Bruce Boudreau, was stressing shoring up his team's defense. The Wild lost 5-3 to the high-flying Maple Leafs in their last game this past Saturday. But they held Toronto to 23 shots on goal. The Maple Leafs scored two of their goals in flue fashion where shots deflected off Minnesota defenseman Nick Seeler. So the five goals scored by the Maple Leafs is deceiving.
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11-30-18 | Devils v. Capitals OVER 6 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
Both teams have below average defenses and each has been on at least three days rest. So expect fresh legs and a lot of attacking. The expected return of Evgeny Kuznetsov to Washington's lineup is a plus, too, for the Over. The Capitals have gone Over 75 percent of the past 22 times they've been idle for at least three days. The Over has cashed in all three instances this season for Washington when that situation has come up. The Devils have been a strong Over road team going above the total in eight of their 11 road games. There has been six or more goals scored in each of the last five games between the two teams.
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11-23-18 | Canucks v. Sharks OVER 6 | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Vancouver's defense has really slipped. The Canucks are giving up an average of 35 shots per game during their last seven games. The Canucks have surrendered at least three goals in nine of their past 10 games. The Sharks should be able to take advantage. They have scored three or more goals in eight of their last nine games. The Over has cashed in 10 of San Jose's past 14 games. Note, too. Vancouver is going to start backup goalie Anders Nilsson.
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11-10-18 | Senators v. Lightning OVER 6 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay is the No. 1 scoring team in the NHL. The Lightning have scored four or more goals in each of their last four games. Ottawa gives up the most goals in the league. The Senators, though, are sixth in the NHL in scoring. They have produced 13 goals in their last three games. The Over has cashed in the Senators' last seven road games. The Over also has cashed the past five times these teams have met.
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11-01-18 | Jets v. Panthers UNDER 6 | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
Both the Jets and Panthers will be playing for the first time in five days. The reason is this game is being played in Helsinki, Finland as part of the 2018 NHL Global Series. Strange place, strange start time of 2 p.m. Florida time. All of this is a plus for the Under. So is the Jets failing to score more than two goals in each of their past three games. The Panthers haven't broken the three-goal barrier in any of their last four games. |
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10-30-18 | Senators v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Arizona is averaging five goals per game during its last last three games. The Coyotes get to face the league's worst defense as Ottawa ranks in the bottom-two in many of the major defensive categories. Ottawa also is shorthanded on the blue line with Mark Borowiecki suspended. The Senators, though, rank sixth in goals scored per game. They have gone Over in each of their last five road games.
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10-27-18 | Panthers v. Devils UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Given the Devils' offense and Panthers' lack of defense, the oddsmaker has to lable this matchup with a total of 6. But there are circumstances that point to an Under. Note the starting time: It's noon East Coast time. So this is an early start day game. That often means a sluggish performance for the offenses. It's a plus for the Under. The Devils have a cluster injury problem. Among those out are forwards Jesper Bratt and Drew Stafford with the possibility that Marcus Johansson also could be missing. He's questionable because of illness having missed Friday's practice. The two teams met three times last season. None of those games resulted in more than a combined five goals being scored. The Under, in fact, has cashed the past four times they've met.
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10-25-18 | Flyers v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphia is a strong Over road team. Boston is a strong Over home team. The Flyers have not gone below the total during their last eight away matchups. The Over is 14-4-2 in the Bruins' last 20 home contests. The Flyers are averaging 3.7 goals in their last four games. They have the worst defense in the league so offense is a priority for them. The Bruins have multiple injuries to their defensive units.
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10-06-18 | Oilers v. Devils UNDER 6 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
It's easy to see why the oddsmaker put out a total this high when Connor McDavid and Taylor Hall are playing. But there are key circumstances to this matchup that point to an Under. This game is being played in Gothenberg, Sweden. It's part of the NHL Global Series. It is the season-opener for both teams. Edmonton last played a preseason game on Wednesday - and that was in Germany. New Jersey's last preseason game was back on Monday. So these teams figure to be rusty and out of sync. I'm expecting a sloppy game without crisp passing and stickhandling. That should favor the defense.
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10-03-18 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs OVER 6 | 2-3 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Despite high totals like this one, the Maple Leafs still are a strong Over team going 18-7-2 to the Over in their last 27 games heading into this season's opener. Expect more high-scoring games involving the Maple Leafs. Toronto's top-five offense of last season is even more potent with the addition of John Tavares. Toronto could easily exceed it's 3.3 goals per game average of last season. What makes Toronto such a great Over team is its defense remains a work in progress with a lot of youth. The Canadiens can take advantage because they have gotten faster and are switching to a more up-tempo style. The Canadiens are weak defensively. Their best defenseman. Shea Weber, is out indefinitely. Carey Price had a horrible season last year in goal. He's handicapped by a bad defense and his confidence could be lacking.
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