CWS at Baltimore

1pm

10* Baltimore +136

The Orioles just beat Houston two of three at home. They are 15-10 at home and face the Chicago White Sox in a doubleheader on Thursday with Game One at 1pm. CWS won at Toronto yesterday but is just 2-7 in their last 9 and 9-14 away from home. The Orioles are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Chris Sale starts for the White Sox and the team is 5-3 in his starts and his ERA is 4.21. Sale pitched twice against the Orioles in 2014 and allowed 19 hits in 12 innings and gave up 3 homers. Baltimore has some decent hitters in Adam Jones, Chris Davis, Machado, Pearce, JJ Hardy and Caleb Joseph. The O's start Tyler Wilson and he is the reason the home team is +136 underdog at home. Hopefully, the Orioles can score a few at home and win.

10* San Diego +160

Nice value on the Padres at LA. Cashner has an ERA of 2.89 and just 2.37 in his last three. However, the team is just 1-8 in his starts so he is not getting run support. The does have 54 strikeouts in 56 innings. Garrett Richards is 5-2 with an ERA of 2.98 and deserves to be a favorite at home but not this big. Nice value on San Diego.

10* Texas +154

Texas won last night 4-3 after a nice comeback. They have won 7 in a row and led by Pirnce Fielder, whi is red-hot. Beltre and Moreland are playing well and the Rangers are waiting for Josh Hamilton to contribute. Nice value on the underdog in this afternoon.

10* Texas +154

10* SF -147

I don't usually play big favorites but it is hard to go against last year's World Series winners as they are 6-3 when Madison Bumgarner starts. Milwaukee is just 8-15 at home and use Matt Garza, who has an ERA of 5.71 and the team has given up 10, 14, 2 and 8 runs in his last 4 starts. He has allowed 24 walks and opponents .345 on base %. The Giants have won Madison' last two starts by 4-0 over the Dodgers and 10-2. He has 52 strikeouts as well and opponents get on base just .286. Bumgarner also hit a home run in his last start vs. Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw. I think we see a 4-2 win by SF on Tuesday night.

10* Giants -147

over 8.5

NYY jumped ahead and won 14-1 yesterday. Led by Brian McCann. Gardner, Arod, Mark Texeira and company the Yankees played well. Even Chase Headley hit an early HR. The weather is hot in New York and the ball is traveling well. I expect KC to play better as they have the best record in the American League. The two starters have combined for 9 overs/4 unders this year. I think we get to 9 runs on Tuesday for an over.

10* over 8.5 runs

Kansas City at NYY

1pm Monday

10* Kansas City +117

Nice value on the underdog as the Royals are 7-2 in their last 9 and played yesterday afternoon while the Yankees played last night. NYY are just 1-10 in their last 11 games  and are without Jacoby Ellsbury, who is on the DL. Brian McCann and Beltran are also questionable today.

KC is 21-7 in their last 28 road games and have one of the best records in baseball at 28-15. They are 45-21 in their last 66 games.

Jeremy Guthrie is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.96 in his last 3 starts while Nathan Eovaldi is 1-2 with an ERA of 6.23. Nice value on the Kansas City Royals at +117.

10* over 8.5

Chris Capuano starts for the Yankees. He is 36 years old and has been on the DL. Texas has played well in the two games and put up 10 runs in one inning on Saturday. The New York pitching staff has an ERA of 6.69 in their last 9 games as they are 1-8 after a fast start. Texas has power from Prince Fielder while NY has Arod, Mark Teixiera and Beltran. I think we see close to 10 runs on Sunday as Texas starts Ygenvi Gallardo and he was hit hard in his last start.

10* over 8.5 runs

10* Phillies +150

Washington won 2-1 last night as both teams had 6 hits. Philadelphia is 7-3 in their last 10 games and Cole Hamels is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed 1, 2, 1, 6, 1 and 0 runs in his last six starts. Stephen Strasburg has great stuff but the team is just 3-5 in his starts and his ERA is 5.98 this year and up to 9.53 in his last 3 starts. The Nationals are a solid team but nice value on the Phils at +150 or near it.

10* Baltimore -109

Miami is 0-7 and starts Alavarez, who has an ERA of 6.73 and the team is 0-3 in his starts. The Orioles pitch Ubaldo Jiminez and his ERA is just 2.43 this year. Machado, Jones, Chris Davis, Hardy, DeAza and Paredes (.342) are solid hitters for the O's. The Miami Marlins decided to hire a manager (Jennings) who had very little experience on the field.

Baltimore 5

Miami 3

10* Orioles -109

10* under 8.5 runs

Cleveland vs. Chicago
Thursday
under 8.5 runs

They stayed under last night to make 13 unders in a row. Playing the under streak when they meet again on Thursday.

10* under 8

These two have played 12 unders in a row. Carlos Rodon starts for the home team and the Indians aren't used to his stuff. I am playing the streak until it ends. Hopefully we see a 4-3 type of game.

under 7.5

These two have played 11 unders in a row and under in 19 of the last 22 meetings. Last night's game ended 2-1. Bauer and Quintana pitched well recently and the White Sox are last in the American League in scoring runs. Hopefully, we see a 3-2 or 4-3 type of game on Tuesday night that stays under.

Cleve 3

CWS 4

10* under 7.5 runs

Minnesota +121

The Twins are home underdogs as they are 13-5 at home and off a 6-4 win on Saturday. Chris Archer of TB has good stuff but the team is just 4-4 in his starts and his ERA is 6.06 in his last 3 starts and the team is just 1-2 in those games. 

Minnesota pitches Gibson and his ERA is 0.43 in his last three starts and he has allowed 1, 0, 0 and 2 runs in his last four starts with 2 no decisions and 2 wins.

Eduardo Escobar was 4-4 Saturday and Brian Dozier hit a home run. Joe Mauer is a key player for the Twins. Nice vlaue on the Twins at +121 or so.

10* St Louis -103

I think the Cardinals bounce back after a 2-0 loss at Cleveland on Wednesday night. This game takes place on Thursday afternoon and the Cardinals start Michael Wacha and the team is 6-0 in his starts. He is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.86 on the road. Cleveland's pitcher is Bauer and he has a home ERA of 6.75. 

St. Louis lost 2-0 last night and only had one hit. Matt Holliday was hit by a pitch and came out of the game. John Jay is also questionable. They do have a solid lineup with Matt Carpenter hitting .325 and slugging .598. Paralta, Wong, Adams, Heyward and Molina are key players as well. 

St. Louis lost their series at Pittsburgh last week and are 1-1 in games at Cleveland. I expect them to win on Thursday.

10* Saint Louis -103

St Louis at Cleveland 

10* St Louis +112 or better

Cleveland's Corey Kluber has allowed 5, 4, 4 and 6 runs in his last four starts. The team is 0-7 in his starts. The Cardinals are 23-9 overall and 9-6 on the road. John Lackey has an ERA of 2.18 in his last 3 starts. Cleveland is just 11-20 overall and 5-11 at home. St. Louis won 8-3 last night. Also, it is noted that the Indians have played 10 overs in a row. I have been going against Kluber and we get the #1 ranked team (power rating) at +112 on Wednesday.

10* Kansas City -115

I like the Royals as small road favorites. They may have a letdown after playing Detroit in a series on the road but they are 8-6 away from home while Texas is just 3-9 at home. KC has a nice array of hitters like Lorenzo Cain and Alex Gordon who can hit for average and power. They have good speed for an American League team. 

KC starts Danny Duffy who has decent statistics for the Royals. I think we see a 5-3 type of win for the visitors.

KC 5

Texas 3

10* KC -115

10* KC +146

The Royals won 3 of 4 at home vs. the Indians and now travel to Detroit. KC has a nice line of hitters with power and average led by Alex Gordon and Lorenzo Cain. Detroit is tough at home and has David Price starting for them. He beat KC 2-1 earlier but his ERA is 6.11 in his last 3 starts. Nice value play on the visitors.

10* KC -110

Kluber of the Indians has an ERA of 4.62. The team is 0-6 in his starts and his ERA is 7.27 in his last 3 starts. He has pitched 17 innings and allowed 31 hits. Edison Volquez starts for KC and the team is 2-3 in his starts but his ERA is 2.10 overall (only 1.93 in his last 3 starts) and he has pitched 34 innings and allowed just 24 hits. KC is 10-4 at home and do play Cleveland on Wednesday night. This game is scheduled for Thursday afternoon.

10* Kansas City -110

10* under 7

Both starters have ERA's under 2 in their last 3 starts. They have combined to allow just 44 hits in 65 innings. Hopefully, we see a 3-2 type of game.

Cin 2

Pitt 3

10* under 7

Cleveland at KC

#975/976

8pm

KC -103

The Royals will play without Lornzo Cain but are 9-4 at home. Danny Salazar is 3-0 this year but  three of his last ten starts are against the Royals so they will be used to him. He did allow 4 and 5 runs in two recent starts vs. KC. 

Cleveland has played better lately but they are 9-15 while the Royals are 16-9. Salazar is 3-3 with a 5.45 vs. KC lifetime. Vargas pitched well for KC lately but has been hit hard and one reason why they are just -103.

I think we see KC play well and win with their nice combo of defense, speed and hitting.

10* KC -103

Houston -113

Seattle has won two in a row and play at Houston, who is now hot after going to San Diego and sweeping. They were 8-1 in their road trip as Jose Alture had two hits in his last 4 games. Feldman starts for Houston while Paxton (0-2 6.81 ERA) goes for the Mariners. Nelson Cruz has been hot for the visitors.

Seattle 3

Houston 5

10* Houston -113

10' Over 8.5

They have combined for 27 overs and just 15 unders. They reached 19 & 11 runs in the first two games and the pitchers have combined for 6 overs and 2 unders.

I think we see close to 10 runs.

10 M's

Seattle won 3-1 on Monday and start Happ with a 2.61 ERA vs. Detweiler and his ERA in the 11 range.

5' KC +150

The Royals are solid underdogs at Cleveland but the Indians are just 6-11 and only 1-4 @ home. They start Kluber but the team is 0-4 in hisstarts. KC is 12-6 & nice value.

over 7

We got a push last night on the over but Saturday,'s game will be warmer and start at 4pm.Hopefully. the Mets can score a few runs.

10' over 7

over 7

These two played twice at YankeeStadium last May. They have combined for 21 overs and 10 unders. NYY scored 13 at Detroit in their last game. It does concern me that Degrom has thrown well in 2015.

10' over 6

Kershaw and Bumgarner are great pitchers but have 5 overs and just one under with high ERA's. Hopefully both can get to 3 runs.

10' Wash +110

It is not often you see Strassburg at plus money. Boston is a solid team and at home but I think we see the Nationals win 3-2.

10' Toronto 

The Blue Jays play their home opener after going 2-1 @ the NY Yankees and Orioles. They have great hitter and start former Cy Young winner RA Dickey, who was 9-6 @ home last year.

TB pitcher Oddizzi is solid but his road ERA was 6.54 in 2014.

10' Colorado

 The Rockies are off to a 4-0 start and won 5-1 on Friday over the Cubs.

Arenado, Tulowitzi, Gonzalaz and Rosario are solid hitters especially at home. I won Friday with the Rockies and go with them again at home.

10' Colorado -118

The Rockies are 3-0 and play their home opener on Friday. They have a team built for Mile High Stadium. They are led by SS Troy T. and Wiln Rosario.

The Cubs are 1-1 and play their first road game and start Wood, who went 1-7 to end last year.

KC -138

I like the home team after a big win on Tuesday. They are getting solid pitching as well as timely hitting and great fielding. They are built for their ballpark and led by coach Ned Yost and Lorenzo Cain, Salvadore Perez, Eric Hosner, etc. The can go from first to third and steal bases with their overall team speed which is duly noted.

San Francisco will be tough to beat as they are well coached by Bruce Bochy and led by Buster Posey and Pablo Sandoval and Hunter Pence. I think the Giants need to score first and change the momentum of the series. The All-Star victory by the AL sure seems important now.

The pitcher matchup seems about even with Hudson facing Guthrie.

SF 3

KC 4

10* Kansas City

5* San Francisco

The Giants have a great coach in Bruce Bochy and have won 2 World Series under him.  Their offense is efficient and led by catcher Buster Posey and 3B Pablo Sandoval but they have other solid players llike Hunter Pence. They have great relievers in the bullpen and starters like Madison Bumgarner are good. They haven't been using former Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum.

KC has surprised all by getting here with speed and defense and have made the right plays. Their pitching has been good and their power has picked up in the playoffs.

SF 3

KC 2

5* SF Giants -104

Orioles -110

Much respect is due the KC Royals in the playoffs as they have a nice mixture of speed, power, starting as well as relief pitching and they are well managed. The Orioles seem to miss the injured players (Wieters, Machado) and Chris Davis. Adam Jones hasn't played well but I expect the visitors to come out strong and win led by Nick Markakis and Nelson Cruz.

O's 4

KC 3

10* Baltimore -110

Milwaukee at Chicago
8pm EDT
10* Chicago +108

Milwaukee has lost 7 in a row. They start Matt Garza, who has been out with an injury and can't be 100%. He used to play for the Cubs. The Brewers are in a pennant race and behind the Cardinals now. Cubs starter Hendricks has a 1.91 ERA and the team is 8-1 in his starts. Milwaukee is just 11-12 when Garza is on the mound. Play the home team facing the struggling team.

Milwaukee 3

Chicago 4

10* Chicago Cubs +108

under 8 runs

Volquez of the Pirates has an ERA of 1.42 in his last 3 starts while Milwaukee's Willy Peralta's ERA is also in the 1.42 range for that span. I think we see a 4-2 or 4-3 type of game that stays under on Saturday.

Pitt 3

Milw 4

10* under 8 runs

10* Baltimore -109

The Orioles are 37-26 on the road and won last night at +150 or better, which was our top play. Chris Tillman has good stuff and he faces Quintana of the White Sox. The O's were without Manny Machado but did well against Chris Sale last night as Adam Jones, Markakis, Schoop, JJ Hardy and Chris Davis as well as Cruz lead the way. Hopefully the O's play well agian on Tuesday.

Orioles 4

CWS 3

10* Baltimore -109

5* Baltimore +162

The Orioles are big underdogs on Monday as they face Chris Sale of the White Sox but he lost his last home start 3-1. The team is an impressive 13-6 in his starts while the Orioles are 12-8 when Bud Norris is on the mound. Norris is 2-1 in his last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.60. Baltimore is 36-26 on the road and we have the #3 (Orioles) vs. the #22 (CWS) team in our power ratings.

The O's have a solid lineup with Adam Jones, Markakis, Chris Davis and Manny Machado.

Plenty of value on the Orioles.

5* Orioles +162

KC +100

The home team has won 7 in a row and and is 9-1 in its last 10. Oakland is 32-24 on the road and one of the best teams in baseball. However, KC starts Ventura and the team is 3-0 in his last 3 starts and his ERA is a low 2.79 while Sonny Gray is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.00 in his last few starts.

The Royals don't hit many home runs but have had success lately and are at home.

Oakland 2

KC 3

10* Kansas City +100

Baltimore -102

The Orioles are in first place in the AL East with a 64-48 record and are 34-23 on the road. Starter Chen is 3-0 with a 1.77 ERA in his last 3 starts and the team is 14-7 when he pitches. The Orioles are 8-3 in their last 11 and getting nice production from Markakis, Adam Jones, JJ Hardy, Manny Machado and Chris Davis.

Toronto is 30-24 at home but their starter (Hutchison) has an ERA of 8.76 in his last 3 starts and the team is just 11-11 in his starts.

I like the hot team with the nice starting pitcher even though it is on the road.

Orioles 5

Blue Jays 3

10* Baltimore -102

10* Detroit -120

The Tigers are 16-6 when Max Scherzer starts and they are 31-20 on the road while the Yankees are 25-26 at home and are off a close loss in Boston to their rival Red Sox. Brendon McCarthy starts for the home team but I don't think he can contain Austin Freeman, Miguel Cabrera and the rest of the Detroit attack.

Det 5

NYY 3

10* Detroit -120

under 7

Daivd Price has been great lately as he is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.12 in his last 3 starts while the TB games seen 3, 5, 3, 10 and 3 in their last five games. Milwaukee uses Gallardo and he can be good at times as his ERA is 3.57 in the last 3 starts. The Brewers have seen 3, 2, 7 and 5 runs in its last four games.

Hopefully, Tampa Bay doesn't rap out a lot of runs and hits vs. Gallardo and the bullpens are efficient and we see a 4-2 type of game.

10* Milw/TB under 7 runs

NYY +136

The Yankees are 29-24 on the road and still in the AL playoff race while Texas is just 19-31 at home and one of the worst teams in baseball. Yu Darvish starts for Texas and he is 1-2 with an ERA of 4.76 in his last 3 starts while David Phelps is 2-1 with an ERA of 2.60 in his last 3 starts. Look for Jeter and the Yankees to have good value on Monday night!

10* New York Yankees +136

under 7 runs

Both starters have been hot as Max Scherzer has an ERA of 1.74 while Richards is even lower at 0.87 in his last 3 starts. These two have combined for 14 overs and 24 unders this year. It does concern me that both teams have solid hitters and Scherzer last game went way over but I like our chance to see a 3-2 type of game on Thursday.

10* under 7

SF +120

Take the Giants as Vogelson has an ERA of 3.85 and the team is 10-9 in his starts while Cliff Lee is just getting off the DL. Miami beat SF yesterday but SF won 2 of 3 so I look for the visitors to bounce back and win a close game led by Buster Posey and Hunter Pence and Pablo Sandovar.

SF 4

Phil 3

10* SF +120

San Francisco at Miami
1:10pm EDT
5* San Francisco -127

SF is 27-18 on the road and won 5-3 on Saturday. They start Tim Lincecum and the team is 13-6 when he pitches and his ERA is just 0.42 in his last 3 starts and he has allowed only 10 hits in 21 innings. Miami is 0-6 in the last 6 games and the team is 1-4 when Hand starts and his ERA is 3.52 in his 3 recent starts.

SF 5

Miami 3

5* SF -127

Baltimore at Oakland
5* (#977)

10pm Friday

Baltimore +145

Going with the underdog as the Orioles play the Athletics on Friday night after the All-Star Break. The O's are 26-19 on the road and 6-2 in their last 8 games. Chris Tillman has pitched well. He lost a 2-1 game late last year to Oakland. The Orioles are 13-7 when Tillman starts and they face Jeff S. who came over from the Cubs. Baltimore has some nice hitters like Adam Jones, Chris Davis, Steve Pearce, Manny Machado, Nick Markakis, JJ hardy and Nelson Cruz (26 homers). The A's are 30-15 at home and have baseball's best record but there is value with the Orioles at +145. GL!

5* Orioles +145

under 8 runs

The last few All-Star games have seen 3, 8, 6, 4, 7 and 7 runs. The pithcers are used for just an inning or so and have an advantage. Guys like Kershaw, Wainwright, Greinke, Bumgarner, Teheran, Rodriguez and Alrodis Chapman will be on the National League team while Yu Darvish, Lester, Price, Scherzer, Felix Hernandez Kazmir and Sean Doolittle will be on the American League team.

Go with the under on Tuesday night.

10* under 8 runs

under 8

Boston has 35 overs to go with 52 unders in 2014. The two pitchers have combined for 12 overs and 23 unders as Quintana has an ERA of 0.43 in his last 3 while Lester has an ERA of 0.76 in his last 3 starts. I think we see a 4-3 type of game that stays under 8.

10* under 8

LA at Detroit
5* LA Dodgers +125

The Dodgers are 29-18 on the road. They lost badly yesterday at Detroit and play an early game today. Detroit is just 1-3 in their last 4 at home and have Max Scherzer on the mound. He has allowed 1, 10 and 4 runs in his last three at home. Zack Greinke goes for LA and the team is 11-7 in his starts and his ERA is a nice 2.66 this year. Value play on LA.

Baltimore at Washington

7pm

5* Orioles +165

The Orioles and Nationals open their series on Monday night with Chris Tillman facing Stephen Strasburg. The O's are 24-19 on the road and should be motivated to see Strasburg on the mound. However, he is just 1-2 in his last 3 and has an ERA of 5.89 while Tillman is 3-0 in his last few starts with a 1.74 ERA. The team is 12-6 in his 18 starts. Adam Jones, Nick Markakis and Pearce have been hot for the visitors. Plenty of value on the road team.

5* Baltimore +165

Playing agianst Tim Lincecum, who pitched a no hitter last start but his ERA is 4.38 and his record is in the .500 area. Look for a motivated St Louis Cardinal team.

The Giants started hot but are barely .500 after some home losses to Cincy over the weekend.

STL 4

SF 3

5* Saint Louis +110

under 6.5

The SD Padres have played 32 overs with 50 overs and their ballpark (Petco) is a pitcher's park. The starters (Hahn/Latos) both have ERA's in the 3.26 range and have thrown their fair share of unders. The Reds are hot as they have won 8 of 9 and most were on the road at San Francisco and Chicago Cubs. Cozart, Philips, Votto and others like Jay Bruce have been hitting well lately for the visitors.

I think we see a 3-2 type of game that stays under.

10* under 6.5

I like Smyly over Feldman is the starting matchup. The Tigers are known for Verlander and Sanchez and Scherzer but today's starter is good as well. The Tigers don't have Fielder this year but do have Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera.

Houston 3

Detroit 5

10* Detroit -128

(#965) Cin Reds +111

The SF Giants are 1-7 in the last 8 at home and 3-7 when Cain has pitched vs. the Reds. Cincy is 4-1 in this road trip and won with Cueto and Leake so far. Alfredo starts for the visitors and he is 3-0 in his last 3 and the team is 12-3 in his starts while the Giants are just 4-8 when Matt Cain is on the mound for the home team.

Votto, Mesoraco, Frazier, Bruce, Philips and Cozart are all hitting well for the Reds. The Giants are led by Bustoer Posey, Hunter Pence and Pablo Sandoval but they have been cold. Let's take the hot team with a pitcher who has been solid lately.

5* Cincinnati Reds +111

Wednesday baseball

Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay
5* Pitt +143

The Pirates won yesterday and now Tampa Bay is just 18-25 at home. David Price starts for the Rays and is a big favorite. Taking the value with the road underdog that is 2-0 and trying for a sweep in this early game set for 12:10pm eastern.

5* Pirates +143

baseball
5* Pittsburgh

The Pirates start Edison Volquez and he gave up 8 runs in his last start for just 0, 3, 2, 2 and 1 before that. Pittsburgh is close to .500 on the road. Tampa Bay has had a down year with injuries and not playing well. Alex Cobb has one win, 4 losses and one no decision in his last 6 starts. Nice value play on Pittsburgh +137.

Pitt 4

TB 3

5* Pittsburgh +137

5* Detroit +115

Take the Tigers as they won last night at Cleveland and have Justin Verlander on the hill Saturday. It isn't often that you see former MVP Verlander as an underdog. THe Tigers have some solid hitters like Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera.

Det 4

Cleve 3

5* Detroit +115

Friday
Baseball

Colorado at San Francisco
10* SF Giants -121

Nice odds on the home team at -115 with former Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum starting for the Giants. He has been up and down but pitched well in 4 of his last 5 home starts. SF seems to get key hits with guys like Hunter Pence, Pablo Sandoval and Buster Posey.

Colorado just finished playing at home in Denver (Mile High City) and now must go play in San Francisco and must make an adjustment playing on the road vs. one of the top 3 teams in baseball. Jorge de la Rosa startf for the Rockies and he has been decent.

Nice value on SF Giants at -121

Baseball
5* Seattle +161

Taking a chance on the home team. NY won 3-2 last night and starts Tanaka, who is 9-1 with an ERA of 2.02 and just 13 walks to go with 92 K's. Seattle uses Chris Young (6'10") and he has allowed just 2, 1 and 1 run in his last 3 home starts. He does have 30 walks to go with 33 strikeouts. NYY has Jeter, Ellsbury, Texeira, McCan, Beltran and Suxuki while the M's have former Yankee Robinson Cano, Gillespie, Saunders and Ackley. Plenty of value on Seattle +150 in what looks to be a low scoring game.

5* Seattle +161

LA Dodgers are the pick.

LA won last night and is 3-1 in their road trip and led by hitters Yasiel Puig and Hanley Ramirez. Josh Beckett threw a no-hitter earlier and then struggled but has setteld down lately and just needs run support. Mike Leake strats for the Reds and his ERA is 5.58 in his last 3 home starts against the Dodgers. Cincy is still without Joey Votto, who has been an all-star first baseman.

LA 4

Cin 3

10* LA Dodgers -101

Friday MLB

NY Mets at San Francisco
10:15 eastern
10* NYM +133

The Mets start Niese and they are 7-4 in his starts. His ERA is a solid 2.69 and he has allowed just 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 0 and 1 in his last few starts. Matt Cain has been on the DL with an injury and surely won't pitch more than 5 or 6 innings. The team is just 3-5 in his starts and his ERA is 3.66. The Giants played in Cincinnati on Thursday and now must travel back to California for this game. The Giants are one of the top three teams in baseball but there is value on the Mets (15-14 on the road) at +133 on Friday.

10* NY Mets +133

Oakland at NY Yankees
10* under 8 runs

I looked at Oakland +140 and Toronto +147 as both try for the sweep on the road and both are playing well and going against great pitchers.

The A's and Yankees play a 1pm eastern game and Tanaka for the Yanks has an ERA of 2.06 (allowing 0, 1, 3, 0, 2, 3, 2, 2 and 0 runs). He has pitched 78 innings and allowed 12 walks and 88 strikeouts. Oakland's Pomerantz is decent as well  as his last few games have been 3-1 and 3-0. Hopefully, we see a 4-2 type of game and an under.

10* under 8

Baseball Total

Philadelphia at Washington
7pm Wednesday
over 6.5

These two have combined for 57 overs and 41 unders this year. Strasburg has been involved in 8 overs and 4 unders while Burnett has an ERA of 5.68 in his last 3 starts (last 3 games reached 11, 6 and 11 runs). The last game each pitcher started reached 11 runs. The Phils have a decent hitting lineup with Rollins, Utley, Ryan Howard, Byrd, Ruiz and Brown. Even Burnett is a solid hitter at .261.

Burnett has allowed 37 walks in 73 innings and faces Dennard Span, Rendor, Jayson Werth, Hairston, Laroche and McLouth.

Hopefully, we see a 5-2 or 4-3 type of game on Wednesday that goes over 6.5 runs.

10* over 6.5 runs

Houston -120

We won yesterday with Houston +100 as the Astros won 2-1 after falling down 1-0 and without a hit for several innings. Carter and George Springer have been hot and Keuchel has been a solid starter for the home team. It may be different for Houston playing as a favorite but let's continue with the hot team, the Houston Astros at -120.

The Orioles are right at .500 and led by Chris Davis, Markakis and Manny Machado but struggling in this series in Texas.

O's 3

Astros 4

10* Houston -120

10* Houston +105

We won last night with the Astros as they pulled out a 3-1 win with just 5 hits. George Springer and Chris Carter have been hot for the home team. Gonzalez has been tough for the Orioles but I am playing Houston and hope they can get some key hits and win again.

10* Houston +105

The Houston Astros won last night and jumped ahead 6-0 and coasted to a nice victory at Kansas City. They have hit and pitched well and I like the fact that there is no pressure on them as they look to finish under .500. Kansas City is sitting close to .500 and they do have some decent hitters like Alex Gordon but let's go with the hot team on a roll as a nice underdog.

Houston +125

Baltimore at KC
5* Orioles +140

James Sheilds is good for KC but the team is just 5-4 in his starts. O's use Ubaldo Jiminez and his ERA is just 0.46 in his last 43 starts. Hopefully, Adam Jones, Chris Davis Manny Machado, etc. can do some damage in a close low scoring game with nice value on the Orioles.

Baltimore 3

KC 2

10* Baltimore +140

Detroit at Boston
10* Detroit -105

Take the Tigers as they are 11-4 on the road while Boston is just 10-11 at home. Max Scherzer pitches for Detroit and the team is 6-2 in his starts and his ERA is 2.04.

I think we see Austin Freeman and Miguel Cabrera do some damage vs. Jon Lester.

Look for a low scoring game that is won by Detroit 4-3.

10* Detroit -105

10* Tampa Bay +148

Felix Hernandez starts for the M's at home and Seattle is just 7-8 at home. King Felix's last 5 starts have resulted in 4 no decisions and a loss. He allowed 11 hits in his last start at Oakland. He has allowed just 3, 2, 3 and 2 runs in his last 4 starts, which is solid but beatable.

Tampa Bay starts Ramos and his ERA is 1.76 in his last 3 starts and he has allowed just 18 hits in 27 innings and allowed 2, 0, 1, 0 and 1 run in his last 5 stints on the mound.

Tampa Bay has some solid hitters like Zobrist, Myers, Loney and Evan Longoria to cause damage. Plenty of value on the road team at +148

10* Tampa Bay Rays +148

Sunday MLB:

San Francisco at LA
5* SF +151

Taking the underdog as Tim Hudson has allowed just 1, 2, 1 and 2 runs in his last four starts. Clayton Kershaw missed the first few weeks of the season to an injury but has great stuff. He did lose 4-2 at home to the Giants last year in September. Maybe the Giants can score off the bullpen. SF led 2-0 Saturday and lost so I am looking for them to bounce back. SF has seen Kershaw before and are 13-9 on the road while LA is just 7-11 at home.

San Fran 3

LA 2

5* San Francisco Giants +151

Colorado at Cincinnati
7pm eastern
10* (#909)Colorado +105

The Rockies have lost their last two on the road and fell short 4-3 last night. Their starter (Lyles) is solid. His last few starts:

8 inn 2 runs
6 inn 1 run
7 inn 2 runs
7 inn 0 runs

Simon starts for the Reds and he has been good as well but I see some value on the Rockies at +105. Colorado wins 4-3.

Boston +134 is a nice value as Texas is close to .500 at home and overall. Yu Darvish is 5-1 but his ERA is 5.74 in his last three starts. Boston is led by Dustin Pedroia but does seem to miss the spark of Jacaby Ellsbury. Clay Buchholz is a decent starter who has pitched better in his last few starts.

Boston 3

Texas 2

10* Boston +134

San Francisco at LA
10* SF +128

Both teams are off east coast trips. SF did well in Atlanta but lost their last two in Pittsburgh by one run. SF has won 9 of the last 12 vs. the Dodgers. The Giants are 11-8 on the road. LA is just 1-7 in Becket's last 8 starts.

SF 3

LA 2

10* San Francisco +128

Orioles +120

The Orioles won last night 5-3. Chris Davis and Matt Wieters look to be out but Markakis, Machado, Hardy, Jones, Flaherty and Pearce have been solid lately. Bud Norris has won his last two games and he starts for Baltimore. Ramos pitches for Tampa Bay and he has a low ERA but only has pitched a few innings per game. The Rays are dangerous with Myers and Evan Longoria having big sticks.

O's 4

TB 3

10* Baltimore +120

under 7 runs

Zack Greinke is 5-0 with an ERA of 2.31 while Zimmerman for the Nationals is 201 with an ERA of 3.08. Washington is a pitcher's park. Ryan Zimmerman is out with an injury for the home team and so is Bryce Harper. Jayson Werth can do some damage for Washington but I think we see an under on Monday.

3-2 final score is my prediction.

10* under 7

over 10.5

We saw a 10-3 game on Friday and now the Rockies have 20 overs/9 unders. The Mets have Murphy, Wright, Young and Granderson while Colorado has Blackman, Arenadom Troy T., Morneau, Dickerson and Barnes all over .300. The ball travels well at Coors Field. The Colorado starter allowed 6 runs in his last home game.

Hopefully, the Mets can provide a few runs and we see a 6-5 or 7-4 final.

10* Mets/Rockies over 10.5

baseball
5* Milwaukee +108

Milwaukee is 11-2 on the road and the pitching matchup favors them as Estrada is 4-1 with an ERA of 2.87 while Homer Bailey's ERA is 6.15. I think the Brewers bounce back after a loss last night. Braun may not play but I think we see a 4-3 win by the Brewers.

Milw 4

Cincy 3

5* Milwaukee +108

Atlanta at Miami
5* Atlanta +117

The Braves are 8-4 at home and just lost at home to Miami with Jose Fernandez by 1-0. The Braves should be motivated and hopefully they can score a few runs against one of the best pitchers in the game. Gattis, Hayward, Freeman, the Uptons and Dan Uggla are all decent hitters for the road team. Alex Wood has been decent for Atlanta.

Atl 3

Miami 2

5* Atlanta +117

Milwaukee +146

Take the Brewers as they are 9-1 on the road and off a 4-0 shutout loss at home to the Cubs. Yogeni Gallardo has an ERA of 1.46 and is 3-2. Ryan Braun sat out yesterday and there is a 50% chance he will play but the Brew Crew has Chris Gomez for power and speed and other solid players like Richie Weeks. The Cardinals start Michael Wacha and he is good and the reason why the home team is a nice favorite but there is plenty of value on the Brewers at this number which is +146.

5* Milwaukee +146

Baseball

Cincinnati at Atlanta
5* Atlanta -104

Great pitching matchup with Cueto vs. Teheran. The Braves are 8-3 at home while the Reds are 4-5 on the road. Cueto is 0-3 with an ERA near 5 vs. the Braves so hopefully, the home team can score a few runs today. The total is set at 6.5 so they are expecting a low scoring game.

Look for the Uptons. Freeman, Gattis and Hayward to do damage today vs. the Reds.

Cin 2

Atlanta 3

5* Atlanta -104

Friday

San Diego at Washington
5* SD +172

Plenty of value on the Padres as they won last night 4-3. Stephen Strasburg has great stuff but his ERA is 5.33 and WHIP (walks/hits per inning) is at 1.44 while Erlins is at 0.98. Erlin has allowed 4, 3, 1, 0, 2, 0, 2, 2, and 1 run in his last nine starts. Hopefully, we see San Diego score a few runs in a close game and come out ahead on Friday night.

under 8.5

Mark Buehrle is 4-0 with an ERA of0.64 while Jake Peavy has a solid ERA of 3.33. Boston has 10 unders in its last 12 on the road and Buehrle has 21 unders, 4 overs and a push in his last 26 starts and 7 of the last 8 meetings has stayed under.

Boston is off some high scoring games with the Yankees and moves to Toronto, who played some high scores with the Orioles.

Hopefully, we see a 4-3 type of game.

Boston 3

Toronto 4

10* under 8.5

The San Diego Padres play in Petco Park, which is a pithcer's ballpark and today's game will be played in Washington DC, which has seen 54% unders in the last 2 seasons. SD has played 63% unders on the road and we see Stults vs. Zimmerman today. I think  we see a 3-2 type of game. Hopefully, you can get this at under 7.5 as some books have under 7.

SD 2

Wash 3

10* under 7

Colorado as home favorite

Colorado -112 is the pick as the SF Giants are 1-5 in the last 6 and lost with Madison Bumgarner yesterday. The Rockies are without Michael Cuddyer but still are 8-3 at home and have the advantage of playing at home in front of their crowd.

SF 4

Col 5

10* Colorado -112

Baseball
Tuesday:

Miami at Atlanta 
10* Atlanta -125

Alex Wood starts for the Braves and has allowed 1, 1, 2 and 1 run in his 4 starts. Jose Fernandez 
has great stuff for the visitors but they are 0-7 on the road and Fernandez allowed 6 runs at Philly.
 Hopefully, the Uptons, Jason Heyward and Freddie Freeman will do well for the home team.

The Braves were able to score in extra innings and win last night.

Miami 2
Atlanta 3

10* Atlanta -125

Minnesota +187

Nice value play on Minnesota +170 or higher as they are .500 but start Gibson and he has been solid so far with an ERA of 0.93. He pitched 8 innings in his last start with only 4 hits and 0 runs. David Price has good stuff for Tampa Bay but allowed 6 ER's in his last outing. Hopefully, the road team can scratch out a few runs and win.

5* Minnesota +187

Red Dog Sports

Sunday:

baseball
5* Atlanta -105
Taking the Atlanta Braves -105 with Hale facing Wheeler. Mets may win at home on Sunday but the Braves are 8-3 on the road. Wheeler has an ERA of 4.67 while Hale did walk 5 in his last start. Mets aren't playing well at home so we have an Easter Sunday play on Atlanta Braves. Look for the Uptons and Evan Gattis to do damage.

Atlanta 4

NYM 3

10* Atlanta -105

10* LAA +141

The Angels won easily last night and have now won 10 in a row vs. the Tigers. Detroit is solid at home and they start Max Scherzer, who was great last year but has been hittable so far. The Angels have outscored them 69-28 in the 10 wins. Howie Kendrich had two homers last night and the whole lineup has been hot and they are over .500 on the road. Plenty of value with the Angels in this afternoon game.

LAA 4

Det 3

10* LA +141

under 7

Milwaukee pitcher Gallardo has an ERA of 0.96 while Pittsburgh's started Edison Volquez's ERA is 1.29. Milwaukee is off to a solid start and the Pirates are a light hitting team. Look for a 3-2 final score that stays under.

10* under 7 runs

It is hard to go against Jose Fernandez at home but Washington is hitting the ball well even with Ryan Zimmerman being out with an injury. The Nationals won easily last night and are playing well (except against the Braves). Fernandez is a great pitcher at home and is 11-0 in his last 11 at his place but I like the value in Washington at +132.

Washington 3

Miami 2

5* Washington +132

Thanks and good luck......