Take Houston + the points as they have the best defense in the NFL (statistics wise) and have played poorly this year based on injuries and QB troubles (mostly Matt Schaub).

New England is off a great comeback at home vs. Peyton Manning's Denver Broncos. I think we see the home team show some pride and stay within the number.

Take Houston + points.

10* Houston + points

College Football

UCLA at USC
10* USC -3.5

UCLA has cooled off lately after a nice start. They have two freshman offensive lineup and face a USC defense allowing just 14 ppg at home. Both play in LA but this is a home game for the Trojans and the home team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. USC replaced their old coach with Ed Orgeron and they have played well for him.
Take USC to win and cover.

USC wins by 10 points.

10* USC -3.5

Thursday:

college football

Texas Tech at Texas
7:30pm Thursday
10* Texas -4

Texas has won 6 of 7 games after a slow start. They lost their last game vs. a decent Oklahoma State team. Texas has played well against Texas Tech wiining the last 6 meetings by 9, 32, 10, 10, 6 and 16 points. Texas Tech started well but has lost its last four games by 29, 23, 18 and 8 points. I think we see the Mack Brown's Texas Longhorns win and cover on Thanksgiving.

Texas wins by 7 to 10 points.

10* Texas -4

over 45 points

We get a matchup between the NFC and AFC conferenence members and thses games have seen close to 75% go over. Indy has a nice QB in 2nd year Andrew Luck out of Stanford. Arizona has Carson Palmer, who has been up and down but has solid passing numbers and led by great receiver Larry Fitzgerald. Look for a game to reach close to 50 points and go over.

over 45

Take St. Louis as they are at home and all we need is for the Rams to win by a field goal. Backup up QB Kellen Clemens has been solid and the St. Louis offense has played well recently. Two rookies (returner Tavon Austin of West Va) have come in and provided a lift for the Rams, who are well coached by Jeff Fisher.

The Bears will have a backup as well for Jay Cutler but Chicago is off a 5 hours and 20 minute game last week. Chicago does need to keep up with the Lions in the NFC Central but I like Saint Louis to win and cover.

10* Saint Louis

UCLA +3

Take the home dog as UCLA is undefeated at home and beat Washington 41-31 last week. UCLA is playing well as they have added Myles Jack to play running back and QB Brett Hundley has had more time to throw with the ground game being more efficient.

Arizona State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at UCLA and 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

ASU on the road:

won at Utah by 1
won at WSU by 34
lost at ND by 3
lost at Stanford by 14

Look for UCLA to win a close one tonight.

10* UCLA +3

Cincinnati at Houston
1pm Saturday
10* Houston -3

Cincy is playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and have played a fairly weak schedule. They did win big last week vs. Rutgers but this Houston team crushed the Scarlet Knights as well. Houston has been a team that I have had success with this year as they have played solid teams like Central Florida, Louisville and BYU. Houston QB John O'Korr has been good. The Cougars are 8-1 ATS so far in 2013 and are good on defense as well.

Cin 17
Houston 27

10* Houston -3

Take Virginia +20.5 as Miami has struggled since their poor outing vs. FSU. They lost at Duke and RB Duke Johnson has suffered an injury. QB Stephen Morris has been erratic. Virginia is where Miami coach Al Golden was a few years ago so the Cavaliers under new coach Mike London should be focused. UVA played well in their opener vs. BYU but poorly since then but I think Virginia can stay within 3 TD's.

5* Virginia +20.5

NI -2

Most places have this at -2.5. NI is 10-0 and Toledo is 7-3 straight up. Toledo is the home team and slight underdog as NI has won the last three years by 31-24, 63-60 and 65-30. NI has scored 59, 63 and 59 in the last 3 weeks. QB Jordan Lynch seems to find a way to win by running or passing his way to victory. Toledo RB Fluellan may play but won't be 100%.

Look for the Huskies to by by 7 points and cover.

10* NI -2

Red Dog Sports

Sunday 1pm

Washington at Philadelphia Eagles
10* Redskins +3.5

Washington lost at home in their opener and will be motivated to play the Eagles again. Philly is 5-1 ATS on the road but a poor 0-4 ATS at home this year and 0-11-1 ATS in the last 12 home games. Alfred Morris of the Skins has 250 yards rushing in his last 2 games and the visitor is 14-2 ATS in the Eagles' last 16 games.

Allso, RG 111 is better prepared this game after sitting out the exhibition and playing poorly in the opener.

I think the Redskins have a good shot to win outright but take Washington at +3.5.

10* Washington +3.5

over 45 points

Take the over as we get the NFC facing the AFC and this set up has seen close to 70% overs this year. Pittsburgh has struggled to run the ball and will have Big Ben tossing the ball all over probably playing catchup as Matthew Stafford has Calvin Johnson to throw to and a decent running game.

The Steelers played solid defense last week but gave up 55 to New England two weeks ago.

Look for over 45 to profit.

10* over 45

Take Houston at +17

Louisville lost to a good passing team like Central Florida at home after jumping out to a big lead. The Cardinals are a solid team with QB Terry Bridgewater leading the way but they have underperformed after losing. Houston has played well this year and led by a freshman QB who has made the big plays. Houston only lost to BYU by one point and won easily at Rutgers. They look to bounce back after a loss at Central Florida.

I think Louisville win by 10 to 14 points but the underdog covers.

10* Houston +17

UNC has been hot lately as they beat Boston College and Virginia at home and won at NCSU. They should have beaten Miami but lost on a late score. QB Byrn is out with an injury but Marquise Williams scored on a pass, a run and threw a TD vs. the Cavaliers and should have confidence. The defense needs to step up and be motivated that they are 4-5 and in contention for a bowl bid. The Tar Heels have some receivers and AJ Blue is a nice runner.

Pitt is an average team but QB Tom Savage is slow and like a statue. Pitt was tied with ODU late in the game.

I think we see UNC win by 3 ot 7 points. Take UNC on Saturday.

10* UNC +1

Take the underdog +7.5.

Most places have this at +7 but if you can find a +7.5 be sure to get that. Both teams are good as they are the class of the MAC and get to showcase their talents on national TV. NIU did advance to a nice bowl last year but lost by several TD's to FSU.

Ball State is able to run and pass under QB Keith Wenning and they only lost 41-38 at NIU back in 2011.

I think we see a 38-33 type of game so take the underdog.

10* Ball State +7.5

Take the Saints at home as they are off a bad loss at the NY Jets but had some key injuries, especially Jimmy Graham, who was not 100% and one of Drew Brees' top targets at his tight end position.

The Saints are 13-=0 SU and ATS at home when Sean Payton coaches. He did sit out last year due to Bountygate.

The Cowboys are off a nice comeback win at home over Minnesota. I expect to see Bress play well and for the home team to win by 10 to 14 points.

10* New Orleans -6

over 43.5

This game matches AFC against NFC and we have seen 31 overs and 11 unders in this situation. NYG have Eli Manning and he has been better in recent weeks. Oakland's QB Terrell Pryor can run and pass. He is a threat to be intercepted as well.

I think we see a game in the upper 40's. Take over 43.5 which is available but 44's are at most books.

10* over 43.5

Take Va Tech +7 as Frank Beamer is the winniest coach still active in college football. Logan Thomas is a senior and should be able to step up against a Miami team that should suffer a letdown after a bad loss to FSU as they were outgained by 200 yards and have RB Duke Johnson injured.

QB Stephen Morris has been average and the Hokies are in the top 10 in defensive stats like points allowed, rushing yards and passing yards.

Defense and motivation for the Hokies bad loss in Boston should help Beamer's team.

The FG kicker has struggled for VT so let's hope he can make one if needed.

I think we see a 21-20 type of game.

10* VT +7

Take Tulane +9

Tulane has played well this year but stunk last week at FAU. They jumped ahead and then lost as Nick Montana (Joe's son) tossed 3 interceptions. Montana's backup (Powell) has done well in certain games such as the home OT win over ECU about a month ago. RB Orleans Darka has been solid and so has the defense of the Green Wave.

UTSA is coached by Larry Coker who was at Miami. They are not eligible for a bowl and have won just one home game but have played some good teams. They beat UAB badly but Tulane looks to bounce back on Saturday and can stay within 9 points.

10* Tulane +9

Take OU as the Sooners won last year at home by about a touchdown. OU has a decent QB (Bell), solid running game, good coach (Stoops) and athletes on defense. Baylor has been great at home but has beaten teams like Buffalo, West Va and Iowa State, not Texas, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech.

Then Baylor QB (Petty) and coach Art Briles are a nice offensive combo and the Bears' defense is better but I think the Sooners will be motivated to go to Baylor and play well and stay within 14 points.

10* Oklahoma +15

Take Miami +23.5

Miami is 0-8 overall but their home losses were by 7 to Akron, 12 to CMU and by 14 to Cincy. The last two years have seen BG win by 25 and 14 points. The Miami Ohio home games have been low scoring and BG has seen unders 8-0 last 8 after an ATS loss so we should see a low scoring game with the total set at 46.

QB Boucher was 23 of 34 in a recent game but theRed Hawks have struggled to run and they may hurt them. They did lose by 7 at UMass but should be motivated being on national TV.

BG is 4-1 at home but just 1-2 on the road. All we need is a 31-13 type of game to stay within the number. Take Miami Ohio +23.5 and good luck as always!

5* Miami Ohio +23.5

Indy Colts/Houston under 44.5 (8:30pm game)

Houston is #1 in the NFL in yards allowed and the Colts are solid on defense and have 6 overs/21 unders in the last 27 games when the total is set at 49 points or less. The last 5 meetings have stayed under.

10* under 44.5 points

Taking the over in this game. Buffalo has allowed at least 20 in every game allowing 35, 21, 27, 37, 20, 27, 23 and 23 points. KC is 8-0 SU and now faces a weaker defense with a bye next week. They should be able to run Jamaal Charles and let Alex Smith throw his short passes.

The Bills look to start backup (#3) Jeff Tuel as Lewis and Manuel are out but they do get CJ Spiller back. These two played a 35-17 game last year with Cassel and Fitzpatrick at QB.

Buffalo has 6 overs in its last 7 games and KC on the road played 43 points at Tennessee and 42 at Philly.

All we need is a 24-17 game to get over the total.

Thanks and good luck as I expect to bounce back after a losing Saturday.

10* over 40

over 61.5

FSU is at home and ranked third behind Alabama and Oregon. They need a statement game vs. their state rival. QB Jameis Winston has been solid at home and on the road. The team has jumped ahead and allowed the opponents to score as we saw in the NCSU game.

Miami has a decent but erratic QB and running back Duke Johnson has been injury prone lately but the Hurricanes should be able to provide some points to help this get over.

over 61.5

PSU -10.5

Penn State is off a bad loss at Ohio State but I expect them to bounce back at home vs. a bad defensive team like Illinois. The Nittany Lions have done well under their new coach (Bill O'Brien) in bouncing back after losses and it is no shame in losing in the Buckeye State to OSU.

The Illini lost 35-7 at home to Penn State last year.

I think we see PSU win by 14 to 17 points and cover the 10.5 to -11. PSU was -10 for most of the week.

Thanks and good luck to all as we hope to bounce back after some recent losses.

10* Penn State -10.5

Take Virginia Tech -4. The Hokies won last year by 7 in overtime. VT lost at home to Duke last week but missed 2 FG's and QB Logan Thomas had 4 int's. BC played poorly and lost at UNC after the Tar Heels had lost 4 in a row.

BC does have an experienced QB (Chase Rettig) and solid RB (Williams) but the Hokies were able to win at ECU 15-10 to shut down QB Shane Carden and won 17-10 at Georgia Tech, which was impressive.

I think we see Thomas play better and the VT defense step up and the road team win by 10 points.

VT 24-14.

10* Virginia Tech -4

I think we see plenty of points today with PSU leading the way.

This game does start at 12 noon so take note. I think we see at least 60 points.

This total should go up.

10* over 54

Under 53

USC has played some good defense after changing coaches a few weeks ago. They helped us win a nice under play last week in a 19-3 game with Utah. Their game with Notre Dame ended with 24 (14-10) points scored and an earlier game with Boston College was 35-7 (42 points). The Trojans did play one game that was close to 100 points scored.

Oregon State has a solid offense but last week's game with Stanford was 20-12 (32 points) but other games this year were in the 60, 76, 61 and 64 points range.

I won't be shocked by a high score but think we see USC slow it down and try not to get into a run and gun game with the Beavers.

10* under 53

Cincy at Miami
#303/304
8:25pm
over 42.5

Most places have this at 43. Here are some numbers for this game that favor the over:

*The last 5 Thursday night games have gone over.

*Cincy has reached 51, 51 and 58 points in their last 3 games with their opponent. QB Andy Dalton has been solid all year long and so has rookie RB Gio Bernand and WR AJ Green.

*Miami is at home and averages more ppg in front of their fans. The weather should be warm in south Florida on Thursday night.

I think we see about 48 points scored and an over.

10* over 42.5

Houston -17.5

Take the home team as they are undefeated ATS and playing solid offense, defense and special teams. QB John O'Korr has been playing well for a freshamn and they have just won at Rutgers and played a 45-44 game vs. a good BYU team at home and covered the +7.

USF will struggle to keep up and Houston needs to win and ensure a nice bowl bid.

Houston wins by 21 to 24 points.

* Houston -17.5

I like the under on Monday night. Seattle has a good defense and the Rams will be without QB Sam Bradford. The Seahawks are good on offense and can put up plenty of points but they can jump ahead and use up clock with their running game.

It is being played inside on a fast surface but I think we see a game in the mid to upper 30's that stays under especially if you can get 43.5.

Thanks and good luck to you!

10* under 43.5

Take the under in this division game between the Packers and the Vikings. Ponder looks to start for Minny and can't do any worse than Josh Freeman sis last week. It's a short week for Minnesota. The do have 5 overs/1 under but have the running of Peterson to keep the clock running.

Green Bay offense can be scary under Aaron Rodgers but their running game has improved and so has their defense.

Look for the under tonight.

10* under

This line is anywhere from Pittsburgh -1 to -2.5 and may have some -3's out there. Pitt is 2-0 in their last two games and scored 19 in each but allowed just 6 to the Jets and 16 to the Ravens. Big Ben has been playing well and tossing the rock to Heath Miller, Brown and Cotchery. RB Bell has been running the ball and had 93 yards on the ground recently. The Steeler's defense has played great.

Oakland has lost 3 of 4 and one was a bad home loss to Washington a few weeks ago when the Raiders failed to score in the second half.

Oakland is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after a bye. They have a young QB in Terrell Pryor and this Steeler team should exploit his youth.

The Raiders are a decent running team and if they get the ground game going they deserve to win and cover but I like the road team.

10* Pittsburgh -1

Most books have this at -10.5 or -11. Buffalo will use Thaddeus Lewis, who will make his firsdt start in a dome. New Orleans has been deadly at home under coach Sean Payton, as they are 12-0 SU and ATS in his last 12 home games. He did miss last year.

The Saints are off a bye and lost at New England by allowing a late TD pass from Tom Brady. NO will be happy to get back on the field in front of their fans and their improved defense under Rex Ryan's brother (Rob).

Drew Brees is a future Hall Of Famer and solid. I expect we see a 33-14 type of game with the Saints winning and covering. Double digits are hard to cover sometimes in the NFL but I like our chances with New Orleans in this situation.

10* New Orleans

Take the over. 54.5 is at one book but most places have it at 55. The game last year between these two ended up going over 52 (total set for that game) as it was 42-27 (69 points). Hawaii's last 3 games reached 76 with UNLV, 64 with San Jose State and 79 with Fresno State. The Rainbows have 4 overs, 1 under and a push.

Colorado State's last 3 games have seen totals of 74, 61 and 101.

Hopefully, both teams can contribute points and get this game near 60 points.

Thanks for your purchase and good luck...as always from RED DOG SPORTS.

Texas +2 at TCU
Saturday 7:30pm ET

Look for Texas to win outright as they are 20-2 SU and 14-7-1 ATS vs. TCU. Mack Brown's team seems to be playing better and they did replace their defensive coordinator (Manny Diaz) with Greg Robinson earlier in the year after a loss to BYU.

TCU starting QB may not play and if he does he won't be 100%. TCU is well coached by Gary Patterson but not the strong defensive team they were several years ago.

Texas has been running the ball well and playing solid defense lately. Look for a close game with the Longhorns winning on the road.

Texas 24
TCU 21

3* Texas +2

BC at UNC
3:30pm Saturday
pick: Boston College +7.5

BC is off a bye. In their last game, they led at Clemson 14-10 in the second half but ended up losing 24-14. They stayed with Florida State at home as they lost by 14 points. QB Chase Rettig had 4 TD passes in that home game. Andre Williams ran for 149 yards vs. the Seminoles.

UNC just lost at home to Miami by allowing a late TD. QB Bryn Renner and his backup played well but the running game still misses Gio Bernard. UNC has lost 4 in a row overall .......and here are their last 5 home games:

lost by 4 to Miami
lost by 24 to ECU
won by 20 over MTSU
won by 7 over Md
lost by 18 to GT

Midnight Madness will be at the Dean Dome on Friday night and this football game will be Saturday afternoon. The Tar Heels face instate rival NC State (only 30 minutes away) next week.

It does concern me that BC is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and their game at USC was a disaster but the Eagles should be able to keep it close under the leadership of Chase Rettig and a solid running game of Williams (who had 263 yards/5 TD's vs. Army.

I have seen some 7's and 7.5's so shop around.

Boston College +7.5

10* Houston +7

Rutgers is off a close loss to Louisville by 14 points. At home they defeated Arkansas 28-24 and beat a weak Eastern Michigan team.

Houston has QB John O'Korn. He is young but has a strong arm. The Cougars lost a close one at home to BYU 47-46 and we had Houston + points in that one.

I think we see a game where Houston stays within 7 points. My guess is 28-24.

10* Houston +7

Take under 61

These two played a 7-6 game last year. BSU lost QB Joe Southwich to an injury so their backup will be on the field. BYU likes to run the ball but BSU only allows 3.4 yards per carry.

BYU did play a high scoring game with Houston last week that ended with 93 points but others ended with 58, 45, 47, 33, 61 and 35 points.

I think we see a game in the mid 50's that stays under.

10* under 61

Kentucky vs. Miss State
7:30pm Thursday
pick: under 56

I played UNC/Miami under the total last week on Thursday night and got a nice win. The under is 12-4 so far in Thursday night games (not including the opening week). The last 5 meetings between these two have seen 41, 44, 41, 55 and 44 points. The Kentucky versus Louisville game only reached 40 points.

This was at 57 earlier but down to 56 at most books.

10 units
under 56

Under the total. Both teams are undefeated in conference and do have strong offenses but this will be played on an odd day of the week (Tuesday) that they are not used to playing on. These two did play a 50-27 game last year but it was 30-21 back in 2011 and 31-24 in 2010.

Being on national TV both teams could focus on playing better defense. 68 is a high total and they could surpass it but I like our chances with an under tonight in this college football game.

10* under 68

Take the NY Giants as the Vikings look to use Josh Freeman at QB and he won't be 100% familiar with their system. Adrian Peterson surely won't be focused after the death of his child in the last few weeks.

Eli Manning and the Giants get a chance to win on Monday night and get their initial win vs. a team that usually plays in a dome.

NYG win by 7.

10* NYG

I think Denver comes out focused after some comments made by Robert Irsay about Peyton Manning. The Broncos should be able to put up at least 30 point with their receivers like Wes Welker. Indy QB Andrew Luck is solid but still only in his sophomore season in the NFL and Von Miller comes back today. Denver wins by 10 and covers.

10* Denver

This line is anywhere from -1 to -2.5. I like the home team as it will be the Bengals' only game in a dome. The Lions are 2-0 at home and average 35 ppg with their speed and the athleticism of Reggie Bush and QB Stafford. Calvin Johnson needs to step up at WR.

The Lion defense is led by Suh and they should be able to slow down QB Andy Dalton and WR Green.

Detroit wins by 7.

10* Detroit -1

over 45

I have seen 44.5 to 45.5 but many books have this at 45. I think we see an over after San Diego played Monday night at home vs. Indy and played an ugly under that included strong defense against Andrew Luck. Jax is able to put up points with their QB and with the runing game of Maurice Jones-Drew.

SD does have Philip Rivers who can throw the ball to his own team and is usaully good for a pick 6. All we need is both teams at 23 and we see an over.

over 45

Take OSU -10.5 as people are overlooking the Beavers due to Oregon Ducks great start. Oregon State is led by a great QB (Shawn Minnion) and WR Cooks and both of those are from California and will be focused for this one.

Cal has played poorly and struggled ATS. I think we see Oregon State win and cover.

Oregon State 37
Cal 20

10* Oregon State -10.5

Take the home underdog. WF has been off and had a chance to heal. They won their last home game vs. NC State by 28-13 as the Deacons are led by upperclassmen (QB) Tanner Price, RB Josh Harris and WR Micahel Campanero.

WF coach Jim Grobe can tie Peahead Walker (what a name) as the winningest coach at Wake Forest. He is one game under .500 and can move to .500 with a victory.

Maryland just played a close game with Virginia and allowed over 500 yards. The Terps used a backup QB since CJ Brown was injued in the bad loss (63-0) at FSU.

Look for a 24-21 type of game. Take Wake Forest.

10* WF +6

Take the underdog. Houston is 9-4 ATS at home in the last 13 while BYU is off a home game vs. a running team (Ga Tech) and the Cougars play Boise State next Friday, so they may belooking ahead. The Houston program should be proud with Case Keenan starting in the NFL this week.

I doin't know if Houston can win but they should stay within 7.

10* Houston +10

Take the home dog getting close to a TD. They beat Seattle 20-16 last year but lost 58-0 on the road. Carson Palmer is a decent QB and they have solid runners led by Mendenhall. The defense is led by Tyronne Matthieu. Seattle has played close games so far on the road while AZ is 2-0 at home with wins over Carolina and Detroit.

Hopefully, Larry Fitzgerald can play OK and not focus on promoting the UNiv. Of Phoenix. Look for a close game so take the points.

10* Arizona +7

Take under 64.5 in this Thursday night game. Miami is good offensive and defensive team. UNC will wear black uniforms and be focused for this national TV game. These two played an ugly 18-16 under last year. The total was set at 71 last year. UNC has been down with an injury to QB Bryn Renner and missing RB Gio Bernard.

Miami has solid QB Stephen Morris and RB Duke Johnson. UNC allowed 55 points at home to ECU and should play better this week. Miami has one of the best defenses in points allowed and efficiency.

All we need is a slow quarter and some field goals and we have a 34-24 game that stays under.

10* under 64.5

Take the underdog. Washington has covered the last 6 vs. Dallas and also covered the last 5 at Dallas. Shanahan is 7-0 ATS vs. Dallas (6-0 ATS with the Skins). The underdog is 32-11 ATS in Dallas games. The road team is off a bye and is 1-3 SU amd needs to win to stay in contention for the NFC East. Tony Romo is off a nice day vs. Denver but tossed a late int. to cost the game even as he had over 500 yards passing.

RG111 is from Texas and played at Baylor, in Waco Texas. He should be closer to 100% healthy off a bye and a win at Oakland. The Redskins allowed no points in the second half.

I think we see a 28-24 game so take the points.

10* Washington + points

Take Houston at home at -7. Houston is 0-5 ATS and QB Matt Schaub has thrown a Pick-6 in 4 consecutive games. However, I think they beat the Rams easily on Sunday. The Rams just beat Jax at home and the games before that they allowed 35, 31 and 31 points. Houston should be able to run the ball with Arian Foster while Saint Louis has struggled to run except for last week's game when Zack Stacy did well.

I think Houston wins by 14 and covers.

Thanks and good luck as always!

10* Houston -7

ECU plays at Tulane on Saturday at 3:30pm. Tulane's QB is Nick Montana, son of Hall of Famer Joe Montana. They played a 28-23 game last year. The game will be at the Super Dome where ECU played their bowl game. Cooper was injured last week and doubtful for Saturday's game. This will be ECU's third straight road game which can be tough on a team. Tulane is 4-2 and 2-0 in C-USA. They are coached by former New Orleans Saints asst. coach Curtis Johnson. Their leading runner is named Orleans Darka. It should be a close game.

Tulane did lose badly at Syracuse 52-17 but another loss was by 2 points. ECU does have a solid QB in Shane Carden and WR James Hardy.

Look for a 28-21 type of game so take the underdog +10 playing at home vs. a team in their third straight road game.

10* Tulane +10

Take Kansas State plus the points. Baylor is great but they will be playing their first road game. Here are the Baylor road games for last year:

at Okla lost by 8
at Iowa St lost by 14
at Texas lost by 6
at WB lost by 7
at ULM won by 5

Kansas State is 2-1 at home with a 3 point loss to NDSU and led by Waters, Sams and Hubert, WR Lockett is questionable and he had 13 catches for 237 yards in a recent game.

I hope to see Bill Snyder step up as a coach and find a way to slow down Art Briles Baylor Bears.

Take Kansas State at +17.5.

10* KSt +17.5

over 42.5

Look for an over as these two should both pass the 21 points barrier. Tanneyhill is a decent QB and Baltimore allows more points now they are without Ed Reed and Ray Lewis.

Look for 48 to 51 points scored.

0ver 42.5

Take Missouri as they lost to Vandy last year in a low scoring game but they suffered some key injuries last year and should be motivated. Their QB is 100% and has the ability to run and pass. I think we see Mo. win by 7 and cover on the road in Nashville.

Mo 30
Vandy 21

10* Mo -2

NCSU at Wake Forest
3:30pm Saturday
Wake Forest +7.5

NCSU is 3-1 and plays their first road game on Saturday. The Wolfpack have lost their last 5 at Wake Forest and lost 34-27 back in 2011. The Deacons are led by QB Tanner Price, RB Josh Harris and WR Michael Campanero, and all 3 were key components to WF's win two years ago.

The NCSU QB (Thomas) has just one TD pass to go with 5 interceptions. They were almost upset by Richmond. They won 23-21 as Thomas threw 2 int's with 0 TD's vs. the Spiders.

The home team is 15-2 straight up (14-3 ATS) in the last 17 meetings and NCSU is 0-12 ATS in their last 12 games as an ACC favorite on the road.

The line has dropped down several points to +7.5. Hopefully, we see a motivated Jim Grobe squad playing an instate rival on Saturday afternoon. Wake did win at Army but took a severe beating at Clemson last week. Can Wake win outright?

Wake Forest +7.5

Take Ball State +6

Most places have it +5.5. Virginia is at home and has averaged just 11 ppg vs. lined teams. They did beat VMI badly in an unlined game. The Cavs are next to last in passing and QB Watford has a rather weak arm. The team does drop quite a few passes.

Ball State can run and pass well. Both are over 250 ypg as QB Keith Wenning has experience and they can run the ball with Edwards. I think we see a 21-17 type of game.

10* Ball State +6

Take New Orleans at home. This was -6.5 but I still think -7 will win and cover. The Saints are 11-0 at home SU and ATS at home in the last 11 under coach Sean Payton. Drew Brees is a future Hall Of Fame QB and the defense is better under Rob Ryan.

Miami is 3-0 but has been outgained each game and should struggle to keep up with the home team even with an improved QB Tanneyhill.

New Orleans wins by 10 to 14 points.

10* New Orleans -7

Take Navy -2.5 as they are off a bye and lead the nation in rushing and led by QB Keenan Reynolds, who can run and pass as well. Western Ky allows 5.1 yards per carry while the Naval Academy is at 6.0 yards per carry. Look for the visitors to win by 10 to 14 points and cover the samll number.

Navy 34
Western Ky 23

10* Navy -2.5

Take VT +7 as the Hokies do have a solid defense as they showed vs. ECU and were able to slow down Marshall's QB Raheem Cato and prevent 0 points in 3 OT's.

GT does have a good coach in Paul Johnson and solid QB in Vad Lee. Logan Thomas has experience at QB for the Hokies and Frank Beamer leads all active coaches in wins.

GT wins by 4 and VT covers.

10* Va Tech +7

Take Washington as the Redskins are 0-2 and outscored badly in the first half. I expect RG111 to play better at home against the Detroit Lions who are 0-16 at DC. Stafford and Calvin Johnson are good but Reggie Bush is less than 100% and the home team should be motivated. Detroit's defense is poor as they have given up 24 points in both games and stand 1-1 while Washington is 0-2.

Det 20
Wash 27

10* Washington

Take under 42.5 on Saturday. MSU plays great defense as we have seen them play games of 39 and 27 points with their opponent. They did have a high scoring blowout win this past week. ND and MSU played a 20-3 game last year and ended under 44 points.

Look for another under on Saturday.

10* under 42.5

Take North Texas +34 as the Georgia Bulldogs are off a bye and will play SEC rival LSU next week. NT has played Alabama, Indiana, Kansas State and Houston in recent years and stayed within the number. QB Derek Thompson has a strong arm and can run too. He has experience in the system.

Georgia played some small schools last year like Buffalo and FAU and they stayed within the big number. Aaron Murray is a great QB but the defense is a little shakey and backups should be in the game in the 4th quarter.

This game starts early afternoon and it may take the home team awhile to get started.

10* North Texas +34

Under 44.5

These two did play a 13-6 game alst year as well as a high scoring game at Seattle. I think we see a focused game on defense as they look to control the division with a win here.

I think we see a 20-17 type of game.

SF/Seattle 20-17

10* under

Take NO -3 as they won last year at home by 41-0 and at TB by 7. They have a better QB with future Hall of Famer Drew Brees while Josh Freeman starts for the Bucs. Rex Ryan coached the Jets and they beat TB last week while his brother Rob Ryan is DC for the Saints.

I think we see a win by 7 points by New Orleans.

NO 24
TB 17

10* NO -3

Go with NO -3 as they have the better QB with Drew Brees. The Bucs lost at NY last week with Geno Smith, a rookie at QB and now face Brees who beat them by 7 at home last year. Rob Ryan is the NO defensive coach and his brother is Rex Ryan. He should get some tips.

NO 24
TB 17

10* NO -3

Take Auburn -6 to avenge last year's loss. Gus Malzahn is back with Auburn and should be able to score 24 to 30 points at home with their running and passing. Gus was there when they won the title with Cam Newton.

MSU under Mullen has underachieved in the last few years. They get off to a fast start and disappoint their fans.

I like Auburn to win by 10 to 14 and cover.

15* Auburn -6

Take ECU +7.5 as the Pirates are at home. They are 21-19 SU with their coach Ruffin McNeill. The Pirates have QB Shane Carden, RB Cooper and WR James Hardy as well as a solid O-line. Their defense has improved this year and they are 7-1 SU in the last 8 home games.

VT is well coached under Beamer but Logan Thomas has struggled at QB. They have played Alabama and lost 35-10 and played a cupcake last week at home.

Look for ECU to stay within 7.5 points on Saturday.

10* ECU +7.5

Take the underdog as Tulane is led by Nick Montana (son of Joe Montana). The Green Wave are off a 41-39 close loss last week and look to bounce back against La Tech, who are 0-8 SU vs. their opponent.

I think we see a close game in the 28-27 range so take the underdog on Thursday night.

LT 28
Tulane 27

10* Tulane +7

Take the better defensive team on Monday night when SD hosts Houston. Matt Schaub is a solid QB for the Texans and they are well coached. Philip Rivers seems to make key mistakes and even though Norv Turner is long gone, Houston looks to win this by 7 to 13 points.

Houston 23
San Diego 14

Red Dog Sports

NFL

10* New Orleans -3 (1pm Sunday)

Sean Payton is back to coach the Saints after sitting out last year. N.O. still beat the Falcons 31-27 last year during a bad season. Back in 2011, the Saints won and covered all 8 regular season home games. They beat Atlanta 45-16 at home. They are 11-3 in the last 14 vs. their division rival and led by future Hall Of Fame QB Drew Brees. Back in 2011 under Payton they won home games by 17, 7, 55, 11, 25, 14, 29 and 28 points. Atlanta was 0-4 in the preseason but sat plenty of players. Hopefully, we see the defense step up after a terrible year in 2012. Take the home team to win and cover on Sunday.

Take the over 41.5 on Sunday. Both teams should be able to score in the 20 points range. Both Andy Dalton and Jay Cutler are solid offensive quarterbacks and the Bears will be without Brian Urlacher.

I think we see a 24-21 finalscore and over.

10* over 41.5

Go with the over. ODU has a great QB in Heineike and a small defense that allowed 52 last week at ECU in a 52-38 game. That was 90 points. Maryland was down to their fifth QB last year but last week QB Brown was solid running and passing. Look for close to 70 points or more.

over 62

college football

Utah State at Air Force
3:30pm Saturday
10* Air Force +10

Air Force plays their second home game while Utah State plays second road game. AF coach Calhoun is 28-9 straight up at home and 4-1 as an underdog. Both Lee and Hart ran for 100 yards for the Falcons. Their top QB Pearson was injured but J. Awini played well as his backup. Scouts are high on his ability. Take the home underdog.

10* Air Force +10

Baltimore has found a way to win under QB JOe Flacco and coach Harbaugh. They have Ray Rice to run the ball and a decent defense even without Ray Lewis. Sure, Peyton Manning is great but getting +7.5 looks solid on Thursday night.

5* Baltimore + points

Take Ohio +21. The Bobcats have QB Tyler Tettleton, whose dad Mickey played catcher in the major leagues for years. Ohio did upset Penn State two years ago. Louisville should win by 14 to 17 points but take the +21 and wager on the underdog.

10* Ohio +21

The Wyoming QB played against Nebraska in their 38-14 loss a few years back. The Cowboys were just 4-8 last year but should be able to score enough to stay within the lasrge number that is set at 31.

Wyo 13
Neb 41

10* Wyoming +31

Florida Atlantic at Miami
Aug. 30 at 8pm
1* FAU +32.5

Miami plays FSU next and should be looking ahead. These schools are about 50 miles apart so FAU will be motivated to keep it respectable.

Toledo at Florida
Sat. Aug. 31 at 12:20pm
10* Toledo +24

Toledo is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 as a road underdog. They lost by only 7 last year in OT to Arizona. They almost upset Ohio State back in 2011 as they lost just 27-22 in Columbus. They do return senior QB Terrance Owens and RB David Fluellen (1498 yards and 12 TD's). Florida is just 1-6 ATS as double digit favorites under Muschamp. Florida may look ahead as they play at Miami (Fla) next.

Take Toledo +24

FAU at Miami
#151/152
8pm
10* FAU +32

I think Miami will be looking ahead to their next game with rival Florida. Florida Atlantic will be focused since they are located less than one hour from Coral Gables. Carl Pellini coaches the FAU Owls while Al Golden is in charge of Miami. Golden has a nice offense that can pass as well as run the ball but FAU played both Georgia and Alabama of the SEC last year and covered both games.

My guess is that FAU will stay within 24 to 30 points and cover the large number.

FAU 13
Miami 42

10* FAU +32

UNC at USC
#133/134
6pm
10* under 57.5

Take the under on Thursday night. It is the opener for both teams and it may take awhile to get going. South Carolina is led by superstar defensive player Jadeveon Clowney, who should slow down the Tar Heel offense and rush quarterback Bryn Renner.

The Gamecocks like to run the ball and that should use up plenty of clock. USC is well coached by Steve Spurrier and he will try to confuse UNC with different looks on defense.

I think we see a game in the low 50's that stays under.

10* under 57.5

Take Baltimore +4. I think we see a close game on Sunday. Hopefully, they line up with a field goal to settle the game so +4 will be a winner. Both teams have played well. Baltimore did defeat some great QB's along the way in Manning and Brady. The SF QB has won games but has only played in 10 games.

10* Baltimore +4

They play no defense in the Pro Bowl so I would suggest the over even if it is at 83. Hopefully both can reach 40 points and we get close to 90+ points.

over 83

New England is at home with plaenty of weapons but injuries to their tight end and Danny Woodhead may limit or slow them down. Baltimore did stay within 3 last year. They are well coached by John Harbaugh and have a running game in Ray Rice, a solid kicker in Tucker and nice QB with experience in Joe Flacco.

I think we see a 7 point game.

Balt 24
NE 31

10* Baltimore +9.5

#301/302
San Francisco at Atlanta
3PM Sunday

10* Atlanta +5

Take the home team. Matt Ryan has won over 80% of this starts at home. The conditions will be fine in the Georgia Dome. SF QB Colin Kaepernick ran all over the Packers last week with the option and with the Pack's defensive backs way downfield. I expect to see the Falcon backs to come up and play some zone and be prepared to see the 49er QB run with the ball.

The SF QB has played less than one season and has much less experience.

I do think Jim Harbaugh is a much better coach than Coach Smith with Atlanta but think we see a game within a field goal.

SF 27
Atlanta 24

10* Atlanta +5

Houston at New England
4:30pm
10* over 48

Take the over. We saw plenty of action on Saturday with lots of points as both sailed over the total. New England can put up points quickly led by the passing game of Tom Brady and his realm of targets at the wide receiver positon as well as running backs out of the backfield.

Bill Belichick has been an offensive genius and able to allow Brady to make the right decisions from the QB position.

Houston has played poorly lately but should go all out if the get behind. Matt Schaub is a decent QB with Arian Foster at RB.

I think we see 50 to 55 points on Sunday for an over.

10* over 48

I like Green Bay +3. They are well coached with Mike McCarthy and just won the Super Bowl a few years ago so they have experience. Aaron Rodgers is a QB who has experience and one of the five best in the NFL. He has Jordy Nelson to throw to. The running game is lacking buth they were with injuries some of the year. On defense, they have Clay Matthews and Charles Woodson, former Heisman Trophy winner.

SF is well coached with Jim Harbough. They had QB Alex Smith but his injury led to Colin Kaepernick behind center. He is a rookie and should run into someproblems on Saturday.

These two met earlier in Green Bay and the 49ers won. I expect a close game but the Packers to win by 3.

GB 23
SF 20

10* Green Bay +3

Take Notre Dame plus 10 points. This looks to be a close game and both teams have been off for a month. Nick Saban's team should win and collect their third title in four years but Notre Dame has a great defense and can slow down AJ McCarren (Tide QB).

My guess is we see a 21-17 type of game.

Alabama 21
Notre Dame 17

10* Notre Dame +10

Take Arkansas State -3.5

The Red Wolves ended on a 7-1 run and even covered at Oregon early in the year. The Ark. State QB is very good as he can run and pass. Gus Malzahn did a solid job this year as he was with Auburn when Cam Newton led them to a national title a few years ago.

Kent State lost to NIU in the MAC title game and a chance for the BCS bid. I think that the favorite will play well in the Go Daddy bowl and end up winning by 10 points and covering.

Ark State 34
Kent State 24

10* Arkansas State -3.5

Take Green Bay -7.5

The Packers get to play at home on Saturday night. They should be motivated after losing at Minnesota last week and giving up plenty of yards to Adrian Peterson. The Vkings are still without Percy Harvin at wide receiver and will need to count on Christian Ponder for throws.

Green Bay won a Super Bowl a few years ago with Aaron Rodgers at QB. I think he will do enough to help the Packers win by 10 points and cover the number.

GB 27
Minn 17

10* Green Bay -7.5

We had a nice winner with Kansas State/Oregon under last night. Bob Stoops is a good coach at Oklahoma. The Sooners were down a little this year but are underdogs agianst a decent A&M team that is led by Heisman Trophy winner Johnny "Football" Manziel. He is just a freshman and never played in a bowl game.

Landry Jones is the Sooner QB who had some problems this year. He should be able to complete enough passes and have the team run the well. I think the underdog lable will motivate Oklahoma.

Take the Sooners +3.5

Take under 76

Both teams have been off for about a month. Oregon is a solid offensive team led by coach Chip Kelly, who may be moving to the NFL. To get to 76 points both teams will need to score often. All it takes is for one off quarter or for one team not to show up and we have a game in the 60's.

I think we see a 38-30 type of game where both teams play well but it stays under by about a touchdown.

under 76

Mississippi State vs. Northwestern
12 noon
10* Northwestern -1

The Gator Bowl should be a good one. I was able to watch Miss State play several games this year and they were very good at home and they do play in the strong SEC. However, Northwestern did go 10-1 ATS and seemed to find a way to win or stay close in the Big Ten, which was solid this year with Michigan, Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan State and Minnesota.

I like for the Wildcats to stay close and win late.

NW 27
Miss State 24

10* Northwestern -1

Take Dallas +3.5.

I think we see a field goal game. Washington is playing well and won at Dallas. The Cowboys play poorly at home with all the pressure but have relaxed on the road. Tony Romo has Jason Witten, Miles Austin and Dez Bryant to pass too.

The Skins do have Robert Griffin III but he hurt his knee earlier and won't be 100% for running the ball. The Skins defense has played better and they do have Alfred Morris to run the ball.

Look for a close game so take the +3.5 points.

10* Dallas +3.5

Navy vs. Arizona State
4pm
15* Navy +14

I like the Navy plus two touchdowns on Saturday. Arizona State is a solid team under Todd Graham but Navy can control the clock on the ground and wear down an opposing team. Navy missed out on a bowl last year but went to postseason action 11 years in a row before that.

The Navy used Trey Miller at QB until replacing him with Keenan Reynolds, who can run and pass the ball well. He is a young player who doesn't get rattled often.

I do worry that the Navy defense will give up a ton of yards but hope for some field goals from the Sun Devils. I think we see their defense bend but not break on Saturday.

Take Navy plus the points and good luck!

ASU 37
Navy 27

15* Navy +14

I think we see Logan Thomas play well. The tall QB led Virginia Tech to a 6-6 record and was a disappointment to the Hokies under Frank Beamer. Rutgers is an average team from the Big East that did play well vs. Cincy and Louisville but I think we see a close game with the Hokies winning by 3 to 7 points. All we need is a field goal to win and cover.

Va Tech -2

Take Duke +7 as they will be playing in Charlotte and have 15 players from that area. Duke is also located in the state of North Carolina and will be happy to play in a bowl for the first time since 1994. They are well coached by David Cutcliffe, who tutored Peyton Manning while at Tennessee.

Duke does have a senior QB in Sean Renfree and all-ACC WR Connor Vernon. Their offensice line has plenty of experience and the Blue Devils should be well rested after injuries and bad losses late in the year to Miami, Clemson and FSU.

Cincinnati lost their coach as he moved to another program. They exchanged QB's in midseason. They are a decent team and will probably win but I think Duke stays within 7 to cover.

10* Duke +7

Take the underdog SMU Mustangs.

FSU was tough this year ATS (Against The Spread). SMU is coached by June Jones, who used to caoch at Hawaii, which is where this bowl game will be played. SMU is able to run the ball well and that will help control some time on the clock.

SMU was able to win their last bowl by 45-10 as the team was prepared.

Let's hope they are happy to be in Hawaii on Christmas Eve and can stay within 10 points.

SMU +12.5

I like the Steelers as they won at Cincy earlier in the year and hold the tiebreaker advantage in the AFC North if they can win. They dominated the first game with the Bengals and ran for close to 165 yards. Dwyer should do well on the ground and Ben Rothlesberger and Troy Palumalo are getting healthier and should bounce back from a loss at Dallas, where they led 24-17 and lost in OT. We did have the Steelers in that game and feel they owe us one!

Look for Pittsburgh to win by 7 to 10 points and cover.

Pitt 27
Cin 17

10* Pittsburgh -3.5

New York Jets at Tennessee
8:40pm
5* NY Jets +1

The New York Jets lost to New England in their last prime time game so I expect them to play much better against a team like Tennessee. They were facing Tom Brady of New England in that bad loss and now get Jake Locker tonight.

The Jets have shown they can beat aaverage to bad teams but struggle versus good one like New England and Pittsburgh.

Shon Greenem should be able to run and open up the passing lanes for Mark Sanchez. All we need is for the Jets to win by a field goal on Monday night.

NY Jets 24
Tenn 20

5* NY Jets +1

Pittsburgh at Dallas
Sunday
pick: Pittsburgh -1

Look for the Steelers to wuin and cover as the Cowboys have lost their last 9 home games ATS. I expect to see a letdown for Dallas after their 20-19 comeback after being down 16-10 last Sunday. They should have an emotional letdown due to the death of a player.

Tony Romo struggles to play well at home and Big Ben should be better suited for action after a home loss to San Diego last week.

Pitt 28
Dallas 21

Take Pitt -1