I like the under in this game as George Mason had to travel out to the west coast to play at Santa Clara on Monday and now is back at home in Fairfax, Virginia. GMU only has one double figure scorer (Sherrod Wright) and will need to play solid defense to contain the visitors, who are one point underdogs.

10* under 148

Take the under as these two will be playing on a neutral floor in New York City after playing at campus locations. Baylor and BYU can put up plenty of points but the game will be one of the key games set for national TV on Tuesday night. I think we see an under with the pressure involved.

under 153

Take the under as George Mason and Santa Clara are playing the best two of three and GMU has to travel all the way to California. The Patriots only have one player who averages double figures (Sherrod Wright). Coach Paul Hewitt is known more for defense than offense.

This should be a good series as the next two will be played in Fairfax, Virginia.

I think we see a game in the upper 130's or low 140's. Take the under.

10* under 145.5

Take the under 151.

ECU has played three home games in this tourney and the scores have reached 128, 129, and 131 points. They did play and lose a Conference USA tourney game with 151 points scored. The Pirates are well coached by Jeff Lebo and led by Miguel Paul and Sampson.

Evansville is led by Colt Ryan at 20 ppg and they have tallied 167, 158, 156 and 101 in their last four. They did play a 137 point game with Creighton as well as others in the 115 and 125 range.

Look for an under.

under 151

Florida vs. Florida Gulf Coast
9:57pm Friday
#879/880
10* under 135.5

Florida is #3 in allowing points at close to 57 ppg while FFCU has been solid on offense and just won 81-71 (152) and played an over with Georgetown (combining for 146 points) buth their game with Miami made it to 114 points and 117 with Mercer. Others made it to 110, 113, 123 and 110. Brown scores 15 ppg, Thompson 14 and Fieler 12 ppg.

Florida played two games with Kentucky that reached 118 and 121. They did get to 142 with Minnesota but 126 with NW State, 129 in a loss to Mississippi in the SEC Tourney and 112 with Alabama.

I can't believe Billy Donovan will let the Eagles fly high on Friday. I expect solid defense and an under.

10* under 135.5

Loyola at ECU
7pm
#667/668
under 148

Loyola games average 130 and the last few have reached 132 with Kent, 133 with Boston, 107 and 124 while ECU games average 147 but that was because of some high scores with teams like Marshall and Houston. ECU has played solid defense lately with 131 and 129 points in the last two at home.

ECU is well coached by former UNC player Jeff Lebo and gets points from Miguel Paul and Maurice Kemp but they are playing much better defense in the NIT.

Take the under.

5* under 148

UNC's last few games have sailed over this total. Last week's game with Miami went over 160 and the Villanova game was 149 points. Last years game with Kansas was 47-47 at the half and slowed down in the second but still went over and that was with Stilman White at PG.

Kansas' games with 3-point shooting Iowa State ended with 161 and 180 (before OT). UNC does have Bullock and Hairston to shoot 3's and McAdoo to score inside. If UNC is down, they will foul and put the Jayhawks on the line.

Jeff Withey is a key shot blocker for the favorite and McLemore and Young can score too.

over 142.5

Rider at ECU
#537/538
5pm eastern
10* under 143.5

I think we see an under on Saturday. ECU has seen their share of overs this year with 15 overs and 4 unders in the last 19 while Rider has 4 overs and 17 unders this year. ECU games average 148 points while Riders are 127.

ECU is coached by former UNC player Jeff Lebo and they have slid players like Miguel Paul, Ty Armstrong and Maurice Kemp. ECU can score inside and make 3's.

Rider will need to slow it down and stay within striking distance as many games have been played at a snail's pace.

I think we see under 143.5 in this NIT game being played at Greenville, NC at 5pm eastern.

10* under 143.2

Take the over as LIU can score and give up points. They played a game with UNC two years ago that ended with 189 points and 156 with Michigan State last year in the NCAA tourney. They have scorers like Olaswere at 18 ppg and Boyd is also at 18 ppg. Garun is at 16. Their last few scores have been 161, 176, 173, 186, 138 with Sacred Heart, 186, 154, 159, 146, 158 points.

JMU is an average team with upperclassmen. They did play a 100-70 game with UCLA to open the year, 146 with Richmond (before OT), 158 with UNCG, 151 with W&M, 143 with Delaware and 145 with Towson. Last year they played a 152 point game at Detroit and 175 with Lasalle and 155 with Rider out of conference.

JMU is led by Reshawn Goins 12.7 ppg, Davis 12 ppg and PG Devon Moore at 11.5 ppg and 5 assists/game.

JMU will try to slow it down and LIU is speed it up. There have been some ugly low scoring games this year and this could be another one but I like our chances for an OVER.

15* over 147

Maryland vs. UNC
#521
Approximate: 3:30pm
10* over 140

These two did play an over at the Dean Dome that ended in the upper 140's but the game at the Comcast Center ended with close to 120 points scored.

Md is led by Mark Turgeon who focuses on defense and is led by Alex Len inside as well as Dez Wells, who had 30 last night vs. Duke in an impressive win where they put up 85 points as a team.

P'Shon Howard, Jake Layman and Nick Faust can add points for the the underdog Terps.

UNC went over with FSU yesterday by a few points. The Tar Heels are 20-10 ATS this year and will be happy not to see Duke as they were 0-2 vs. the Devils. UNC likes to run with Roy Williams as coach and led by inside player James McAdoo, as well as Reggie Bullock and PJ Hairston. Marcus Paige is a freshman PG for the Tar Heels.

Hopefully, we see some late points and maybe an OT to get extra points. Take over 139.

10* UNC/Md over 140

These to have combined for 26 overs and just 10 unders. The last four metings (in 2012 and 2013) all ended over. These two are both located in the city of Houston. Rice will try to slow down but Houston will speed it up and they are the better team. I think we see 148 points scored.

over 143.5

Wright State at Valpo
#581/582
9pm
10* over 121.5

The game is at Valpo. Both games went over this total as we saw the two meetings end with 129 and 132 points. Valpo averaged 134 ppg while Wright was at 119. 10 of the last 14 meetings went over. These teams have been hot ATS as they are a combined 35-22 ATS in 2013.

I think we see mid-120's for an over.

10* over 121.5

Princeton vs. Penn
over 124

I usually look for playing unders in the Ivy League, especially when the Columbia Lions had a streak of 17 unders in a row in recent years.

Princeton looked like they were in the driver's seat to win the league but surprise losses ended that. They now play on the road at Penn. The Tigers have played 16 overs, 5 unders and a push in their last 22 away from home. The average Princeton game score is 64-58 (122 points) while Penn's is 63-68 (131). They played an earlier game that ended 65-53 (118) but last year's game at Penn reached 149 points.

Princeton's last few on the road reached 147 at Brown and 137 at Yale. They have nothing to lose but to go out and try to win tonight. They are led by Ian Hummer's 16 ppg on 52% FG and Koon 10 ppg on 54% FG.

Penn's last few games:

Yale 144
Brown 130
Harvard 147
Dartmouth 133
Columbia 99
Cornell 150

Penn is led by Cartwright 14 ppg and Hicks 10 ppg. Princeton may come out and play great defense after playing poorly this past week but there is no pressure on either team so I expect to see some points if they can make some 3's.

over 124

Take the under.

UNC avaerages 147 and Clemson is at 127. Looking at Tiger home games we see ACC scores reaching 88, 115, 123, 147, 104, 103 and 137. Clemson gets 12.5 ppg from Booker, 10.5 from McDaniels and 10 from Milton Jennings. They play solid defense and try to win by slowing it down. They are a solid .500 team at 13-13 while UNC has 19 wins.

The Tar Heels did play a 128 points game with Georgia Tech. Clemson has played 9 unders, 3 overs and one push on THursdays. UNC with Coach Roy Williams likes to play fast but I think we see them play to Clemson's pace as that will keep them in the game.

Thanks and good luck from RED DOG SPORTS!

15* under 135

Take the under as these two are rivals in the Ivy League. Haravrd has seen the under profit 46-22-1 in the last 69 road games. Greg Mangano is no longer inside for Yale. The last few meetings have reached 131, 117 and 100 points. The Crimson of Harvard are no longer a dominant offensive team as they were the last few seasons.

I think we see a game in the upper 120's that stays under.

10* under 133.5

I like the under as these two have already played once and it was high scoring. NCSU is not very deep. The 158.5 total is very high for college hoops this year. UNC is favored by 5.5 and has trouble making FT's if they are up late in the game.

I think we see a game in the low 150s. Take the under.

10* under 158.5

Take under 131.

The last two at Mich State have ended with 118 points. Last year they played games of 118 and 119. MSU games average 129 ppg which MIchigan's are at 137 but that includes blowouts and nonconference games vs. weak foes.

MSU plays great defense under Tom Izzo while the Wolverines have solid scorers like Trey Burke, Robinson and Hardaway.

Hopefully, the home team controls the pace and we see a game in the 120's and under!

Good luck as always!

Red Dog

10* under 131

Notre Dame tends to play unders on the road in the Big East as they are now 3-20 in that respect. Syracuse has lost some recent games on the road and returns home in front of their fans. The Irish do have some injuries to deal with.

The Orange zone can slow things down. Let's hope that both teams strugle from the outside and there are no late FT's.

under 134

Take the under as the last 8 meetings have stayed under. Tennessee played an ugly game in the 70's but their game with Memphis was way OVER as the Tigers jumped ahead and the Vols had to score.

Kentucky just lost at home to Texas A&M and should focus on defense.

I think we see a game in the 70-61 range that stays under.

under 135

Miami at UNC
7pm
10* under 141.5

I think we see an under. Miami will need to be physical as Butler, Texas and UVA were in wins. The Tar Heels are 0-1 in the ACC but have not lost at home and beat ranked UNLV about 12 days ago.

Reggie Johnson is out for Miami but they have solid players like Kenny Kadji inside and guards Durand Scott, Shane Larkin and Rion Brown. Miami played a game with Arizona in the 120's so I expect them to use clock.

UNC could send this over with late free throws or if they can make 3's and jump ahead early but I like a game in the 130's.

10* under 141.5

Red Dog Sports

college basketball
UNC at Virginia
8pm est (January 6, 2013)
under 133.5

UNC at Virginia
8pm Sunday
under 134

The last 8 meetings have gone under. Virginia is known for defense. The game at UVA ended 54-51 last year and that was with Harrison Barnes, Tyler Zeller and Kendall Marshall playing for the Tar Heels and Mike Scott for UVA. We get UNC averaging 153 ppg and Virginia at 115 ppg.

I think we see a game in the upper 120's for an under.

10* under 134

Take the under as Tennessee is the home team and likes to keep scores low as one could see from their games with Virginia and Georgetown, neither of which surpassed the 100 point barrier. Memphis games do average 140 points per game but they have played a weaker schedule.

I think we see a game in the mid to low 120's for an under.

under 129

college BB
Cal at UCLA
11pm est
pick: under 150

This total opened at 152 and has gone down a few points. This game is the opener for each in their conference (Pac 12). Cal games average 136 points while UCLA's are at 150. Last year's game ended with 136 points. UCLA home games have seen 10 of the last 13 go over and 8 of the last 9 meetings at UCLA have gone over.

I think we see an under since Cal is good on defense. UCLA does have a solid team with Shabazz Mohammed, Larry Drew, David and Travis Wear but many early season games were against below average teams.

10* under 149.5

CMU at Michigan
7pm
10* over 137

Take the over as the Wolverines get nice scoring from Tim Hardaway Jr. and Trey Burke. Michigan has a nice mixture of inside and outside players. They just won 100-60. They are well coached by John Bielein. Central Michigan is a solid underdog on Saturday night but played 3 games recently that reached 140+ and two of those were in the 150 range. Their game with Texas State made it to 160 points.

I think we see 140 points tonight so take the over.

CMU 62
Mich 80

10* over 137

Take over 118.5

These two play at the Richmond Coliseum today in the late afternoon. Virginia is known for defense but played a 132 point game with Morgan State last game. ODU games have reached 141, 146, 153, 133, 131, 151, 147, 149 and 133 points. They miss a defensive stopper like Kent Bazemore or Frank Hazzell.

UVA will socre against them as they are led by Joe Harris. They lost Mike Scott from last year but depend on more players this season under Tonny Bennett.

ODU is down and only has one win but get scoring from Donte Hill, freshman Bacote and others who can't shoot straight as they are less than 30% from 3's but the Monarchs should press and force the pace with their style.

I think we see a game in the 70-56 range that reaches close to 126.

over 118.5

Take the under 139.5. Texas has played 11 unders in its last 12 nonconference games. The under has won 9 of the last 12 at home. UNC averages 152 ppg but has played high scoring games with Chaminade, ECU and UAB. Rick Barnes will want to keep it low scoring without myck Kabonga.

I think we see a game in the low 130's and under unless UNC can score quickly and make some 3's.

under 139.5

Over the total. UNC is at home and faces former player Jeff Lebo, who coaches ECU. When UNC faced UAB recently in this situation it ended with 183 points. I think we see close to 155 points scored as Miguel Paul and Robert Sampson can score for ECU and UNC is led by McAdoo, Hairston, McDonald, Bullock, Strickland and Paige.

UNC/ECU over 149

Green Bay at Wisconsin
9pm
under 128.5

These two played a 70-42 (112) game last year with a total set at 116.5 and now they play with the o/u set at 128.5. Both have played Virginia and ended with 118 and 114 points scored in those meetings. Wisconsin just played a 60-50 (110) game with Marquette. WGB averages 137 ppg with their opponent while the Badgers are at 130.

I think we see a game in the low 120's and under.

10* under 128.5

West Va vs. Duquesne
7pm
10* under 137.5

The last three meetings have stayed well under 137.5. This game opened at 139 but has dropped down some. Both teams can score points in certain situations but when facing each other will focus on defense. Bob Huggins coaches the Mountaineers and they like to play good defense.

Here are the last three:

DUQ 61 WVA 64
WVA 68 WVA 49
DUQ 63 WVA 68

I think we see a game in the 132 range so take the under.

10* under 137.5

Take over 131 in the ODU/VCU game on Friday night. These two have played 17 overs and 5 unders in the last 22 meetings and ODU has played 8 overs in the last 9 home games. ODU has just one win but they get points from Hill, Batten, Ross, Wright, Palmore and Bacote.

VCU gets points from Javonte Reddic, Daniels, Graham and Brandenberg. Shaka Smart's team can shoot 3's and get points off steals.

I think we see a game in the mid 130's and over.

10* over 131

Take the over. ODU has played over in 7 of their last 8 at home. These two have played the last two years with scores reaching 147 and 144 points. Richmond has Williams, Brothers, Lindsay, Robbins and Anthony while ODU has Batten, Hill, Painter, Wright and Ross.

I think we see a game in the mid-130's for an over.

over 131

Take the over. UCI has been playing slow paced teams and now faces UNLV, who are called the Running Rebels for a reason. We hope they live up to their name on Wednesday night. Cal Irvine is a big underdog so UNLV has much more talent under coach Dave Rice. Mike Moser leads the team on offense and defense as well as rebounding.

Marshall, Hawkins and Birch are solid players who can get 10 to 14 points per game.

I think we see a game in the 150's for an over.

UNLV 82
UCI 70

over 145.5

Take the under as Kansas will be at home and a good defensive team led by center Jeff Withey. He had 7 blocks in their last game and let's look at Kansas scores:

St Louis 132
Wash State 119
UTC 124
Mich State 131
SEMO 129

San Jose State has played some high scores but no lines were set for their games.

I think we see Kansas dictate pace and a game in the low 130's for an under.

under 137.5

Take over 138.5 in the Duke/VCU game set fro Friday night on a neutral court. Duke beat Minnesota easily last night by 18 points and should be ready to go against a VCU team that beat them five years ago in the NCAA's.

Javonte Reddic leads a balanced attack for Shaka Smart's squad that left the CAA and now resides in the Atlantic 10. The Rams are shooint close to 39% from the 3-point range.

Duke gets points from Plumlee, Curry and Ryan Kelly. Their last two games have reached 140+ and I think we see a game in the 140's that goes over by a few points.

over 138.5

Red Dog Sports
Tuesday:

college BB
10* Harvard/St. Joesephs over 125 (8:00)
Played a game in the 140's last year but Harvard does lose Keith Wright and another top scorer was suspended for academic cheating. St. Joe's has played over in 10 of 11 vs. Ivy League. Chambers, Sanders, Rivard, Okolie and Webster can score for Harvard under coach Tommy Ammaker, who played at Duke.

Hilal Kovacecic leads the way for Saint Joseph's.

Play the over at this number as I expect to see a game in the 130-132 range.

Good luck!
Tim/Red Dog Sports

Miss State vs. UNC
6pm EST Monday
10* over 141

college BB

10* Mississippi State/UNC over 141 (6pm)
This game is being played in Maui. It is a small gym and it should be hot in there. It is played on a neutral court and there should be a good chance for points. UNC has played 3 games in the mid-130's but finally made some 3's in their last game and point guard Marcus Paige played well. McAdoo can score inside for the Tar Heels. MSU scored 78 at home vs. FAU. They get points from Thomas, Johnson, Ware, Sword and Lewis. It does concern me that neither team shoots free throws well but UNC is favored by 17 and they like to play fast.

These two played a game two years ago that reached 150 points but the rosters have changed.

MSU 65
UNC 82

10* over 141

I think we see an under as these teams play their third game in four days. NCSU played a high scoring game in their last game but the game with Penn State ended with 127 points scored. Oklahoma State played a 107 point game inits last one and their second game went inot OT with 134 points. The Cowboys will want to keep this low scoring.

The Wolfpack has been impressive so far but I think we see a game in the low to mid-130's on Sunday.

Under 139 (10*)

Neither team has played a game above 140 yet. UNC played two home games in the 135 range. Now the Tar Heels travel to California to face Long Beach State, a team they have played twice in the last few years but a completely new team from last year. Those games were high scoring (one was 96-91) but UNC has a freshman point guard (Marcus Paige) and has only shot 9/19 and 8/21 from the line.

LBSU just played a game at USC that ended with under 100 points. The 49ers will be at home in their Pyramind and should try to control pace and not get into a shootout with UNC, who have made just 7 3-pointers in two games. McAdoo should score inside but Bullock, Hairston and Leslie McDonald have struggled from outside.

I like our chances for an under at 146.

Boston College vs. Baylor
3pm
10* over 139.5

Baylor has played a 99-77 game with Lehigh which is 176 points. Their other game versus a weaker team was a very low score. They have now played 7 overs/1 under in the last 8 games while BC has 6 overs in its last 8. Their only game was 84-70 at home where they struggled to make 3's but did get 29 fromRyan Anderson, 12 from Clifford and 12 from Patrick Heckmann.

I think Baylor helps the pace and surely, BC will need to make some 3's to stay in this. Baylor probably wins and covers but take the over.

over 139.5

FAU at UNC
2:30pm eastern
over 144

This will be UNC's second home game. They just played on Friday night and won 76-59 (135 points) against Gardner Webb. UNC played poorly on offense as they made just 1/13 3-pointers and just 9/19 from the line. McAdoo did score 26 points and Strcikland was the only other Tar Heel in double figures with 13. Marcus Paige did not get a single assist.

I would expect Bullock, McDonald and Hairston to score more from the outside and for Paige to relax and play better.

FAU plays Troy in fast paced games. Their two meetings last year reached 165 and 155 points. They were led by Greg Gantt at 14 ppg last year. UNC plays decent defense and needs to improve their offense with their young players.

This should go over 142 points under Roy Williams' system of running and playing fast.

Florida Atlantic at UNC
over 144

I think we see an under. It will be in a dome and there will be pressure on both teams being from the state of Kentucky. They play a game this year that reached 131 points and 11 of the last 13 have stayed under.

Rick Pitino will do all he can to keep it under and the team has great defense led by Siva.

under 137 is my pick even though the Cats have been scoring quickly.

under 137

I like the under as it will be on a neutral floor at MSG. It should be a good game and I hope we don't see OT. Both teams are solid on defense and Tubby Smith Gopher squad is playing nice defense. I think we see a game in the 120's that stays under.

Under 131.5

This game will be played in the NIT at Madison Square Garden. UMass likes to score and play uptempto while Stanford can slow it down. UMass averages 149 ppg while Stanford is at 135. The court will be new to them as well as the pressure of being on TV and trying for an NIT title.

Take the under.

UNC vs. Kansas
5pm

under 144
Kansas only made one 3-pointer against NCSU and the game ended with less than 120 points scored. UNC's game with Ohio stayed under even with OT.

The Tar Heels did not play with Kendall Marshall and if he plays won't be 100%. Stilman White only scored 2 points and had 6 assists but was real careful in not passing inside for stelas. UNC still had 24 turnovers. UNC doesn't shhot 3's or FT's well and that should hurt the over.

I think we see a game in the 130's with all the pressure of a Final Four berth and Roy Williams facing his old team.

Under 144

I think we see an under as UNC will not be in the state of NC and will be facing a team with solid guards as Cooper and Offult can control the pace. Ohio played 118 and 125 point games in the tourney so far. UNC has Marshall with a bad wrist and won't be 100% but UNDER 143 seems like the play.

under 143.5

Mercer at ODU
7pm Wed. (March 21, 2012)
over 128

ODU just played SC Upstate on Sunday and the game went UNDER but it was played at the Norfolk Scope, an arena a few miles from the campus. They were using their regular facility for the women's tournament. ODU is on an 8-1-1 over run and let's look at their recent home games at the TED (Ted Constant CC):

Coastal Car 134 (made 9 3's)
Del 162 (made 9 3's)
Drexel 145
UNCW 145
VCU 132
JMU 151

ODU doesn't shoot very well from the field or the FT line but they have great rebounders and get points from senior Kent Bazemore (15.4 ppg). Cooper adds 10.5. Trian Iliadis is out with an injury but Wright, Batten, Hill and Ross can score.

Mercer hasn't played many true road games lately but let's look at their recent away games:

at No Fla 141
at Jackson 156
at Kenn 118 (the only low score)
at FL GC 141
at Stetson 139
at SC Up 139
at ETSU 137

Earlier road games at Belmont (160 points) and Lipscomb (151) reached high scores. Here are the Mercer scorers:

Hall 11.7
Cecil 11
Gallon 10.7
Thomas 8.5 (scored 19 in the last 2)
Coursey 8.2 (62% FG)
Smith 8

Mercer has played under 15-5-2 in the last 22 but many of their games aren't lined. I wouldn't be shocked to see an under but suggest a play on the over. Hopefully, we get a 70-65 type of game. GL!

Mercer at ODU
over 128

Northern Iowa/Drexel over 121.5 (11am SUNDAY)

The early start does concern me but Drexel's last few at home have reached 137, 139, 124, 145 and 126. Early home games vs. non-conf foes reached 124 with Princeton, 141 with Bradley and 146 with Fairfield. They made 11/24 3's in the game with Central Florida.

Massenat had 14 assists. Givens, Lee, Thomas, Fouch and Ruffin have all been playing well and they seem motivated after being left out of the NCAA's.

Northern Iowa's last few road games:

at St Joes 132 (only made 3/20 3's)
at So ILL 126
at VCU 145 (league foe of Drexel)
at Evansville 125
at Wichita St 139

Scoring for N Iowa:

James 12.7
Tuttle 9.6
Sonnen 8.7
Koch 8.7
Moran 7
Mitchell 7
Rank 6

NI/Drexel over 121.5

Go with the under as Mercer has 10 unders and a push in its last 11 at home. They have very few lined games and are 0-6 with all unders this year. Ga State has 12 overs and 17 unders this year and 45-20-1 unders in last 66 on the road.

Ga State has an experienced team with solid defensive stats and focus.

under 126

We get one of the fastest teams in the nation in UNC and they will be playing in Greensboro in front of Tar Heel fans. They are off a bad loss to FSU after playing 3 games in the ACC Tourney. Now they get to play Vermont in the #1 vs. #16 game. Vermont has scoring options:

McGlynn 12 ppg
Glass 12
Apfeld 10
Bald 7.7
Carissimo 7

Vermont has been playing small schools like Sacred Heart, New Hampshire and Stony Brook. They did play Niagara and made it to 168 in a 92-76 score. 145 points with Boston, 145 Iona, 155 LIU and 159 with Marist.

UNC may not have Henson at 100% but he is a shotblocker to keep the score down. VT has 11 overs in its last 13 non-conference games. UNC hasn't played a non-conference game since December and will get the ball inside to Zeller and Barnes and Marshall will get all involved. Hairston is from Greensboro and McAdoo will get inside.

Vt. shoots 74% from the line and that is good.

I think we see a game in the low 150's that goes over.

UNC/Vermont over 144

American vs. Buffalo
9:30pm

pick: under 134

Look for an under as American is tough at hoem and plays strong defense while Buffalo is an offensive team known for points. American can shift defenses and play man and zone. They like to take the air out of the ball and 60% of home games went under.

UNDER 134

This total seems too high with all the pressure of this game on a neutral floor. Both teams are solid on offesne with Carlino and Davies for BYU and Machado, Jones and Glover for the Gaels. The whole country will be focused on these teams.

Take under 161.5

I expect a game that goes under with the pressure of this game. NM State is a solid defensive team that can play man as well as zone. Louisiana Tech struggles to score at times so I would expect to see a game in the low 140's and an under.

NMSU 75
LT 68

under 149.5

UTSA vs. McNeese State
#667/668
9:30pm

over 133
These two played an ugly 58-54 game this year but in recent games UTSA has 185, 133, 115, 154 and 153 while McNeese has 146, 121, 153, 182 and 135.

UTSA has overs in 10 of 11 and last year's tourney totals were 196, 149 and 142 and they did lose Gibson from last year. McNeese scored 115, 173 and 147 in last year's tourney.

UTSA

Burrage 13.7
Johnson 13
Hill 12.7
Hale 10


McNeese

Richard 18
Cannon 11
Mitchell 11

UTSA played a 82-71 (153) total at Georgia State, a slow down team. UTSA average score was 73-67 (140) while their opponent was 66'-65' gor 132.

over 133

VCU vs. Drexel

over 118

VCU is basically playing a home game in Richmond. They hade 11 3's on Saturday and lost at Drexel earlier in a game that made it above 120 points. Burgess and Brandenburg can make 3's and Theus can make FT's at the end if VCU is up. The energy should be provided by a large crowd and a national TV audience.

Drexel has Massenat and Lee to score as well. They played nicely vs, ODU.

I think both come close to 60 points and we get an OVER!

over 118

I think we see an over on the last day of the regular season. Both teams have scorers as Hudson and Green ofr VT and 5 starters are at 11 to 13 ppg for NCSU. Look for over 133 today.

VMI vs. UNC Asheville
12 noon EST
under 165

This will be the third game in 5 days for UNCA but VMI's 4th game in 6th days. VMI depends on Keith Gabriel and Stan Okoye to score as both are in double figures. Their two games with UNCA made it to 175 and 179 but there should be a little defense in this one to determine who represents the Big South in the Big Dance.

Last year, UNCA beat Coastal Carolina by 60-47 after VMI and CC played a 89-81 game.

UNCA has played 116, 150, 143, 132, 122, 122, 147 and 155 points in the last 8 games while VMI has played 108, 153 and 130 point games in the tourney so far. The Keydet totals before that reached 138, 147, 138, 171 and 145.

UNCA has 5 double digit scorers in Dickey, Primm, Stephenson, Lane and Atkinson. Musician Bruce Hornsby's son Keith also plays for the Bulldogs.

I won't be shocked by a high score but the early 12 noon start and the importance of this game makes me look for an under. GL!

VMI vs. UNC Asheville
Under 165

JMU vs. UNC Wilmington
12 noon Friday

under 139.5

This tournament is known for low scores even though there were mostly overs last year. JMU had some injuires to Wells and Hitchens this year an dis not deep. UNCW lost KK Simmons, their second leading scorer.

The early start is not somehting they are used to. I think we see a game in the mid 130's that stays under.

under 139.5

Duke at Wake Forest
9pm est (Tuesday 2/28/2012)
under 143.5

Duke just played a 70-65 (135 points) overtime at home vs. Virginia Tech. They have UNC on Saturday. They play at Wake Forest tonight in Wake's last home game. WF has won their last two at home rather easily vs. weak teams (BC, Ga Tech). The first meeting ended in the 160's as Andre Dawkins made 7 3-pointers early in the game and the Deacons ended up shooting over 30 foul shots.

WF is led by two solid scorers (CJ Harris and Travis McKie). The role players average 10 points or less. They do have some good rebounders and shotblockers like Ty Walker and Carson Desrosiers. WF has played unders in 12 of their 14 ACC games and only the home game vs. UNCW ended above 143.

In the games against UNC, FSU and NCSU the Demon Deacons only scored 53, 52 and 40 points. The ACC home games reached 141, 109, 136, 121, 127, 116 and 113 points.

Duke on the road in the ACC opened with 154 points at Georgia Tech,but here are the totals since:

at FSU 140
at BC 125
at UNC 169
at VT 135
at Md 135
at Clem 139

I won't be shocked by an over as Duke can score inside and make 3's but other good ACC teams have shut down Wake at home on offense, why can't the Blue Devils focus on the key scorers?

I have seen 143 to 144.5 on Tuesday morning so look for the best number. GL!

Duke at WF
under 143.5

Take the under in this game. This is a rival match and 151 is a lot of points. The under has won 11-5 in the last 16 meetings. Look for a game in the upper 140's that goes under.

under 151

9 of the last 10 meetings have gone under and the first game at Saint Peters was 64-40. Iona did played some games at home in the 130's with Loyola and Niagara.

Iona has some great players in Machado and Glover. Iona is a big favorite and should win by 15 or so and not run the score up with late free throws.

Take the under 142.

The last 8 meetings at FSU have gone under. FSU played UNC over as well as an early home game but the last 4 at home have stayed under. Duke has played under in 3 of last 4 on road and 27 of their last 44 road ACC games are unders.

The Plumlees play solid defense and both defend the 3's.

Under the total

Take over 134 as the last few meetings have seen 151, 149, 146, 133, 148, 153 and 147. Rendleman scores well inside at 15 ppg and Adam Smith scores at 14 ppg. VCU plays a fast paced game on the road and this should get to 140 with Reddic and Burgess scoring for VCU.

Take over.

Depaul likes to run and gun but St. John's plays a little defense. The game is being played in New York and the crowd should favor the Red Storm. I think 154 is too many points and should go under a little.

Take under 154.

Take the under.BC has played 6 home ACC games and they ended with 124, 107, 130, 127, 120 and 116 points. They have 7 overs and 13 unders while Duke has 17 overs and 9 unders. In BC's last home game they beat FSU in a close one so they will be confident. They just lost at Md and gave up too many points.

Duke's road games saw high score at UNC but 135, 135, 139 before that. Their game with Ga Tech was in the 150's.

I expect BC to keep it low scoring and stay under.

I think we see a game in the 155 range as the 49ers have a great point guard who can score and dish it off. Creighton is led by Doug Mcdermott at 23 ppg. Look for an over in this late game.

Over 150!

#729 NCSU at #730 Duke
9pm

over 150.5

Look for an over as 7 of the last 10 meetings have gone over. Duke averages close to 149 ppg while NCSU is at 143 but they have played some low scores with Ga Tech and Wake Forest. NCSU has 5 starters all in that 11 to 14 ppg range and Duke is at home where they are fast paced and have Curry, Rivers and Dawkins for 3's.

Look for 151+.

UNC at Miami
8pm Wed. (Feb. 15, 2012)
under 146.5

UNC is a fast paced team but they have played unders in 32 of their last 47 in the ACC. Their last road game was a high scoring game at Maryland that made it to 157 points as the Terps shot 27 foul shots. UNC's other road games made it to 121 (Wake Forest), 140 at VT and 147 at FSU when the Noles put up 90 by themselves.

The first meeting between these teams ended 73-56 (129 points) as Miami didn't play well. The last few meetings have seen 129, 120 (ACC Tourney when UNC made 10 3-pointers!), 145 (last year at Miami), 131, 134 and 147 (at the Dean Dome vs. the Tar Heel team that won the tiitle).

Here are Miami totals:

123
114
138 (before OT with Duke)
138 (before OT with Md)
130
123
151 with NCSU
149 with Clemson

UNC is not deep and as they have had to play Stillman White as a backup PG and suffered injuries to McDonald, Strickland and Hairston. Tyler Zeller has played well lately inside and with Henson and Barnes, the Tar Heels have solid weapons. Kendall Marshall is a nice PG who is always looking to attack.

Miami gets points from Reggie Johnson inside. He played well vs. Duke but did struggle badly in the first game with UNC. Malcolm Grant and Durand Scott are good guards but have struggled this year. Barry Larkin's son has shown promise as a PG for the Hurricanes.

On the year the Tar Heel games have averaged 150 points (includes early nonconference blowouts) and Miami's are at 137 ppg (and that includes several overtime games).

Miami would be smart to play a slow type of game vs. UNC and not get into a run and gun game. I could see some late 3's and FT's helping this go over but like the under. GL!

UNC at Miami
under 146.5

Look for an under as these two played a high scoring game at Fordham earlier this year and ended with over 200 points the last time at Duquesne.

The Dukes are off a road loss. I think we see a game in the upper 140's and an over tonight.

Looks like both teams will have players out. Alabama has some suspensions to key plays and Billy Donovan's squad won't be 100%.

I think we see a game in the 120's since the Tide defense will prevent 3's from the Gators.

Under the total

Virginia at Clemson
7pm EST (Tuesday Feb. 14)
over the total


Virginia has played 3 overs and 16 unders this year and just played a 70-52 (122) game at UNC. UVA/Clemson played earlier and it was 65-61 (126 points) and the o/u was set at 112.5.

Virginia lost shotblocker Assane Sene earlier and he is the only key player with more than 9 blocks. The Cavs average games are 63-52 (115) while Clemson's are 65-60 (125). These two did play a 49-47 game last year at Virginia.

On the road here are the UVA ACC scores:

at UNC 122
at FSU 113
at NCSU 121
GT 108 (GT only scored 38)
Duke 119

Mike Scott leads UVA at 17 ppg while Joe Harris is at 12.5. Zeglinski will be needed for 3's and he is at 8.5 ppg.

Clemson has young 13.5, Smith 11, Booker at 11 ppg and Jennings at 10 ppg. They have already faced Virginia this year and lost so they should be motivated by that and will be familiar with their style. This should be an ugly game. I won't be shocked by an under with UVA involved but Clemson has shown some offense this year and they will be at home. This looks to be a close game with a chance of overtime which is always helpful in overs. GL!

Virginia/Clemson
over the total

Wichita State at Creighton (5pm)
#591/592
under 147

The last 6 meetings have all gone under. Creighton averages 147 points in their games while Wichita is at 141.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Creighton.
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.

The first meeting was in the upper 120's. I think we see an under in this game.

These two teams are rivals from the CAA (Colonial Athletic Association). Virginia Commonwealth University and Old Dominion are both located in Virginia about 90 miles apart. Both are scrappy defensive teams that have experienced players. They have played overs in 16 of the last 21 meetings. The first meeting at VCU stayed under as ODU struggled to score. Iliadis did not score for ODU and Burgess only had 2 for the Rams.

ODU plays better at home as they have scored 80, 68, 69, 69 and 74 in the last five at home in conference. They are led by senior Kent Bazemore at 13.5 ppg, Cooper at 11 and Iliadis at 9. I expect Trian Iliadis to score 8 or more as he had 0 in the first game.

VCU has played totals of 165, 117, 123, 122 and 143 in its last five on the road. Burgess, Reddic, Daniels and Theus lead the VCU attack. They try to press and it makes the game faster. ODU rebounds well and should get some putbacks from misses.

It does worry me some that ODU plays in a zone and it could slow down the game but we should get some late free throws and 3's from the side that is behind. ODU is -1 so there is a chance for overtime.

I like our chances for both teams to reach the 60 point level and get above 120 points for an over. GL!

Take the under. They played last month at Ioan and made it to 137 points. This game is at Loyola and they have played good defense lately with no totals higher than the Iona game and Iona has played road finals of 104, 133 and 127 in recent games.

Take under.

Take under 139.5

Gonzaga has 7 overs and 14 unders this year and home team has 24 unders, 8 overs and 2 pushes in last 34 at home.

These two are conference rivals and the game should be intense with good defense inside and on the perimeter.

Take the under.

ODU at William & Mary
7pm EST (Wednesday)
over 118.5

ODU games average 64-60 (124 points) while William and Mary's are 60-70 (130). ODU is off a low scoring loss at George Mason and will look forward to playing at Williamsburg which is only 40 miles from their campus. The Monarchs do have rival VCU on deck and may be looking ahead to that game on Saturday.

In ODU's last game before GMU they played a high scoring game with JMU that ended 81-70 (151 points). ODU made 13 3-pointers in that game. W&M likes to shoot 3's and struggled in a loss at ODU just two weeks ago. Let's look at the W&M home games as all but the Drexel game made it to 129 or above.

VCU 165
Drexel 112
UNCW 134
Dela 139
JMU 129
Iona 148
Rich 153
Liberty 147

ODU does play great defense but last year's game at W&M made it to 122 points. The Tribe likes to shoot 3's and are decent at it at home with McDowell, Britt, Rusthoven, Thornton, Rum and Boatner. The home team does have 7 overs and 14 unders this year. They have underachieved this year.

ODU gets points from Bazemore, Cooper, Wright, Iliadis, Batten and Hill. They rebound well and should get some easy putbacks after missed shots. Hopefully, we can get to 120 points and over the total. GL!

ODU at W&M
over 118.5

Look for an under on Saturday night. Kansas has played unders in their last 8 Saturday games and the last 4 on the road have seen 136, 135, 133 and 127. The last two at Missouri have made it to 136 and 135.

Take under 147.5.

UNC has played under in 30 of the last 43 ACC games and has reached 121, 150 and 147 on the road. They have Duke up next. Md has just one player over 10 ppg with Stoglin at 22 ppg. UNC's H. Barnes yweaked his ankle and won't be 100%. The Tar Heels do not shoot 3's or FT's well and Md has played 142, 135, 110 and 134 at home in the ACC.

Take under 150.5

under 134.5

Niagara has played unders in 16 of the last 21 on the road while Fairfield has played unders in 6 of the last 8 and the home games for them have seen 134 or less in the last 8 at home, even the Iona game went under and stayed in the 130's!

under 134.5

UNC at Wake Forest
9pm eastern (Tuesday, Jan. 31)
under 152.5

UNC is one of the highest scoring teams in the country and plays ACC conference weakling Wake Forest on Tuesday night. Wake has played some low scoring conference games at home:

Florida State 127
NC State 116
Va Tech 113

The other ACC games for Wake Forest:

at Clemson 131
at BC 127
at Duke 164 (73-91)

The game at Duke was fast paced as both teams made plenty of 3's and the Blue Devils are a top ten team. WF has played 2 overs, 6 unders and a push at home this year. They have 6 unders in their last 8 overall games and UNC has played unders in 30 of its last 43 conference games.

The Tar Heels just played at home and won 93-81 (174) but the conference games before that reached 129, 150, 147, 129 and 143 points.

Wake does have CJ Harris and Travis McKie to score as both are in the 16 ppg range but next highest is at 10. Both Ty Walker and Carson Desrosiers can block shots and rebound.

UNC is fast paced with Kendall Marshall, Henson, Zeller, Barnes, etc. but I expect the Demon Deacons to struggle to score unless they can make some 3's. I like the under 152.5 for this Tuesday night game. GL!

UNC at Wake Forest
under 152.5

UNC has played unders in 29 of the last 41 ACC games and will not have Strickland as Bullock will play more and Stillman is the backup at PG. UNC shoots 3's and FT's poorly. The last 4 meetings have been at 148 or less.

Under.

Red Dog Sports

Tuesday


Eastern Michigan at Buffalo
7pm eastern (Tuesday, Jan. 24)
over 114

These two play in Buffalo on Tuesday night. They have each played unders in 7 of the last 8 conference games. Buffalo games average 71-67 (138) while low scoring EMU averages 53-59 (112). The game is at Buffalo and they are favored by 16 so they should be able to score and dictate the pace.

These two played last year at EMU and it was 78-65 (143 points) and the total was 128.5. Many of the players in that game will be involved in Tuesday's game.

EMU recent games have been low scoring as they have reached only 99 points with their opponents while at Ball State and 87 at Northern Illinois. Here are some other road games:

at Santa Clara 55-75 (130)
at Va Tech 50-71 (121) only scored 9 at the half
at Purdue 30-61 (91)
at Drake 53-66 (119)
at Colgate 70-74 (144) Lampley scored 37 points!
at Syracuse 48-84 (132)
at IUPUI 66-64 (130)

Darrell Lampley leads them at 12.6 ppg and Green puts in 7 ppg. There are 4 others in the 5 to 6 points per game range. As you can see by the statistics they are a low scoring team.

Buffalo scoring:

McRae 17 (57% FG)
Watt 15 (53% FG)
Filzen 11.7
Robinson 7

Buffalo home games have reached 152, 131, 152, 126, 153, 127 and 137 points. Hopefully, Buffalo will dictate the pace and score which will force Eastern Michigan to try to catch up and we can get a game in the 70-50 range. GL!

EMU at Buffalo
over 114

Wisconsin at Illinois
2pm

pick: over 108.5

These two played twice last year and both games were in the 130 range. Illinois just played a low scoring game at Penn State but they now return home where they are 11-0.

Wisconsin has Jordan Taylor and guys who can hit 3's. Illinois makes 38% of their 3's and we could get some late FT's to help us get to 112 and over by a few points!

ODU and VCU are rivals with 16 of the last 20 going over. Bazemore leads ODU and Burgess leads VCU. I think we see a game in the 120's that goes over the total!

Rider at Iona 10pm (Friday on ESPNU)
under 164

The last 8 meetings at Iona have gone under the total. Rider games average 148 points and Iona's are at 158. The last 3 home games for Iona have rwached 137, 147 and 134 points. However, they did get to 176 points in the last game on the road and played a 167 point game vs. Richmond and 184 with LIU as well as some early season overs.

Also, this game is at 10pm eastern and much later than a normal game start. Over 164 won't shock me but I like our chances for an under with such a high total with a late start on Friday night.

Rider/Iona under 164

These two played earlier in the year and made it to 119 as the Waves were 0-10 from the 3-point line. Jordan Baker has scored 10+ in 7 in a row and had 26 points last game. I think we see a game in the 128 range that goes over!

BC played a 83-60 (143) at UNC but just finished some low scoring unders at home. NCSU has played overs in 7 of the last 8 at home and the two ACC home games vs. Md and Ga Tech made it to 153 points.

Take the over.

ODU at Towson
#781/#782
7pm eastern (Wed. Jan. 18)
over 108.5


These two already played this year at ODU and it was 75-38 (113 points). Towson is a bad team that hasn't won a game this year. ODU plays at VCU on Saturday and may be looking ahead to the game with the Rams.

ODU games average 63-63 (126 points) while Towson's are at 49-74 (123).

Towson should be motivated to play well after the first game and be familiar with the Monarchs defense. Last year, when these two met at Towson they only reached 98 points but in the second game it made it to a total of 137 points. Towson's team has changed since then.

Damas leads the team at 11.7 ppg and he struggled in the first game. Robert Nwankwo averages 11.2 ppg and has struggled this year but has played against ODU in the past.

ODU scoring:

Bazemore 14.5
Cooper 10.5
Iliadis 8
Batten 8
Wright 8
Hill 7
Ross 6

The over has won 7 of the last 8 meetings. I am hoping that Towson will score some at home vs. a team they have already played. They only made two 3-pointers in the first game. Hopefully, Towson plays more like Tigers than kittens!

ODU/Towson
over 108.5

3* Texas A&M/Missouri over 132.5 (5:30pm)

The last 6 meetings have reached 155, 154 (before OT), 151, 182, 146 and 172. Missouri is home and the least amount of points they have scored with an opponent in a game has been 135 this year. Even the road game at ODU ended with 143 scored and the o/u was set for 135.5 in that game.

Mo. games average 147 ppg while A&M is at 120 so the oddsmakers split the difference. Missouri gets 18 ppg from Denmon and 15 ppg from English while Ratcliffe is at 13.7.

A&M has Middleton 13 ppg, Turner 13 ppg and Loubeau 10 ppg. A&M did play an 84-64 (148) game with Florida on a neutral court.

This game does start at 5:30pm and the odd time does concern me for a slow start but the Tigers are the home team and should control the pace.

over 132.5

The last 8 metings have seen 6 unders, 1 over and a push. Both teams play solid defense using man to man and zone. Look for a game in the low 130's that stays under the total.

Columbia is at home and they like to play slowly as they have unders in 20 of last 28 Ivy League games. Penn does have Rosen and Bernadini but Agho is out for the Lions.

Take under 124.

over 119

These two played a 64-60 game last year at Drexel. VCU has played overs 58-28-1 on the road while Drexel has played unders in 18 of 25. VCU can make 3's and foul late so we have a good chance for late points. My guess is both get to 60 and over profits.

#581 Boston College at #582 UNC
2:30pm

over 146.5

Boston College has played just two true road games and one was at Providence which has a new coach. They did play Sacred Heart at home and the game made it to 156 while the game at Holy Cross was at the 156 points. Other games were at home or neutral courts. Last year at BC it was a high scoring game but the return game at the Dean Dome was low scoring and ugly.

BC has new players and they are young and raw. Here are the scorers:

Heckmann 11 ppg
Humphrey 10
Anderson 9
Clifford 9
Jackson 7

UNC will be at home and want to get off to a quick start in the ACC opener. They get points from Barnes, Zeller and Henson as well as Bullock and Hairston off the bench.

I think we see above 150 points as BC will need to shoot 3's to keep up.

Take over 146.5 and good luck!

Fordham at UMass
7pm eastern (Thursday, Jan. 5)
over 142


UMass is short for the University of Massachusetts. They are undefeated at home and led by point guard Chaz Williams at 15 ppg and 5.8 assists. UMass is the 6th fastest team in the NCAA at 74 possessions per game. These two teams have played in last 4 years and here are the scores:

77-73 (150) in 2011
78-76 (154) in 2010
91-68 (159) in 2009
76-72 (148) in 2008

All four have reached 148 or more. Fordham has played overs in 7 of 8 vs. the Atlantic 10 while UMass has played overs in 7 of 9 home games.

Fordham is led by Gaston at 16 points per game. Hopefully, the Rams can keep up as 12 point underdogs and add to our total.

over 142

The Terp coach spoke of more offensive sets for P'Shon Howard and Alex Len plus Terrell Stoglin can score for them as he is at 20 ppg.

Cornell will need to make a few 3's to help the over. Look for 145 on Tuesday and an over!

SD just started playing in a new conference and should struugle to score in a new arena. I think we see a game in the low 120's that stays under.

My guess is 63-60.

Take the under tonight!

I expect a game in the 60's that makes it to the low 130's. These two played last year in Missouri and reached 137 and two years ago it was 66-61 (127) on a neutral court. It is Missouri's first road game. Look for the under!

Look for an over tonight as BYU did lose Jimmer Fredette last year but has added transfer Matt Carlino and their pace is now #11 in the nation. They played a low scoring game at Utah due to their slowdwon but last year's meeting with St. Mary's made it to 147 on a neutral court.

Noah Hartsock and davies should score well for the road team and St. Mary's should get to the mid-70's.

USC found their touch last game and put up pelnty of points vs. TCU. Kansas is off a home loss to Davidson and should play well. All it takes is fro one team to get hot and we have a score in the 60's and over. Take over 121.

#585 UCSB at #586 BYU
9pm

pick: over 147
BYU has played 5 Division 1 teams at home and scored 92, 90, 94, 83 and 93 points. Their 71.3 possessions per game is #21 in the nation. UCSB is off a bad loss and now goes to high scoring BYU led by Orlando Johnson who scored 36 vs. UNLV. UCSB's game at Washington was 87-80 (167 points). This game looks to get to 150 and over. UCSB has played 8 overs and 2 unders in the last 10 non-conferecne games.

over 147

Iona likes to score while William & Mary likes to study......and needs to work on making baskets. Richmond crushed the Tribe and it ended up with about 153 points. Iona ended 148 at denver who is another low scoring team. Iona averages 162 while the Tribe is at 130. The only chance they have is to keep it low and ugly. I won't be shocked to see 150 = but hope to see 82-62 and under.