Houston at Golden State

10:30pm Friday

10* under 230.5

Houston lost last night to Portland and is playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. These two met earlier in the week and scored 219 points. The under has won in 5 of the last 6 meetings. Take the under on Friday.

10* under 153.5

I like the under as this will be Game 3 and it is tied 1-1 in games. Wyoming is favored by 8.5 points and should win but I think we see some pressure and a total in the 140's due to travel from South Carolina to Wyoming and playing their 3rd game in about 5 days.

Golden State at San Antonio
Wednesday
under 209

Golden State has played 11 unders in a row.

Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in San Antonio.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Playing the under streak until it ends.

Golden State vs. Houston

Tuesday

10* under 237

Golden State has played 27 overs and 46 unders this year. They have 10 unders in a row and 15 of 16 games have stayed under. 4 of the past 5 meetings in Houston have stayed under. The Rockets are off a high scoring game (262 points) with Oklahoma City. The two meetings this year (with Durant playing) reached 233 and 226 (regulation). Play the under on Tuesday.

UNC vs. Kentucky

5:10pm Sunday

10* under 160

These two played a high scoring game back in Las Vegas as it was 103-100. UNC was embarrassed as freshman Malik Monk scored 47. 6'6" junior Theo Pinson missed the game due to an injury.

UNC just played a high scoring game with Butler and won by 92-80. The teams play less than 48 hours in the Elite 8. I expect many points but solid defense too as Ky has gotten better as their freshmen have improved on the defensive side.

Take the under on Sunday. 

10* under 165.5

Kentucky has played better defense lately and this in one of the highest totals of the tourney. UCLA does like to play fast and their win at Kentucky surprised the Wildcats. I expect a lower score this time and an under to prevail.

Golden State at Oklahoma City

8pm

10* under 222.5

Kevin Durant is out for Golden State. GS has played 27 overs and 42 unders this year and stayed under 6-22 on the road since November. The Warriors have played unders in 9 of their last 10 games and 4 of the past 5 meetings have stayed under. Oklahoma City has 1 over, 10 unders and 1 push on Mondays. Hopefully, we see a low scoring game tonight.

10* over 162

It does concern me that Joel Berry won't be 100%. UNC and Arkansas both like to play fast. UNC has Meeks and Hicks inside as well as Jackson outside. The Razorbacks have proven to score as well and beat Seton Hall in their opener.

I think we see 165 to 168 points and over.

10* under 158.5

This NIT game starts at 11am eastern before the NCAA tournament games. Ole Miss had to go the Monmouth and won a high scoring game. Now they must travel to upstate New York. Syracuse plays a solid defense and quirky zone and they aren't deep. I think we see a game in the low 150's.

UCLA vs.Kent

10* over 161.5

UCLA is off a Pac 12 loss to Arizona but is a fast paced team led by Lonzo Ball, Hamilton, Bryce Alford, TJ Leaf and Thomas Welch. Kent State has shown they can score as well. UCLA has been playing conference squads and gets a chance to play someone weaker. I think we see 166 points and an over in this late Friday game.

10* under 6

I think we see a 3-2 game as goalie Billy Elliott has been hot and both teams are off 3-0 wins. Calgary has won the past two meetings and has a nice winning streak going. Take the under and let's hope the Pens struggle to score.

10* under 161

I think we see an under on Sunday as it is for the SEC title and teams are playing back to back and this total is much higher than other conferences. I think it ends in the 150's.

10* over 163

I usually like unders in big games but Middle Tennessee has been scoring points in the C-USA Tourney and Marshall is one of the three highest scoring teams, led by guard Jon Elmore. 

These two could play a game in the 130's or a game in the 180's but I think we see about 168 points on Saturday so take the over.

10* under 156.5

These two just played a high scoring game at UNC and face each other 6 days late. Duke isn't deep as just 6 players scored vs. Louisville in a tough game. Look for UNC to play better defense with a team led by seniors and juniors.

10* over 140

UNC lost at Miami and scored just 62 points. Miami played Wednesday and should be adjusted to the court in Brooklyn. UNC likes to play fast. They get the ball into players like Meeks and Hicks and have scorers like Jackson and Berry. 

Miami has some scorers as well as they scored 75 vs. the Tar Heels in their home win. These two played a very high scoring game last year at UNC. I think it gets into the 140's.

WF vs.Va Tech

10* over 164

The trends point to an over in this 7pm game.

10* over 120

The recent meetings reached 134 and 139 points. ODU has been playing overs on the road with 123, 145, 115 (Middle Tennessee), 140, 152, 146 and 146 in their past 7 conference games. ODU has four players averaging over 10 ppg. Tx-SA has Beverley at 15.8 ppg, Billingsley at 11 and several in the 6 to 8.5 ppg range. The home team has no shotblockers so ODU should have some put back opportunities. Hopefully, both teams can make some 3's and we get both teams above 60 points.

10* under 167.5

These two played just 9 days ago and made it into the mid-160's. This will be in the conference tourney and on a neutral court and the Citadel's game in last year's tourney reached 140 points. Take the under.

10* under 174

UCLA is home and can score points quickly but the season is windingdown and they may concentrate on winning and getting backups in the game since they are 22 point favorites. I think it ends with 165 to 168 points.

10* under 155.5

This is the start of the conference tournaments and these two just played. I expect a lower score even if it is played on the home court of Fla Gulf Coast.

10* under 164

These two played a game with 160 at BYU about one month ago. Gonzaga has a solid defense and BYU is not deep. I think we see a game with 154to 160 points that stays under on Saturday night.

Western Ky at ODU

7pm

10* over 123

ODU has won their last 3 and scored 86, 72 and 83 points. They are led by Caver, Talley, and the Stith brothers as all average over 10 points per game. ODU has played overs in 6 of the last 7 Saturday games and this is the home finale. They have played overs in 8 of 10.

Western Ky games average 142.5 ppg and they have overs 3-1-1in their last 5 road games. The first meeting had 146 points. 

I like our chances for an over on Saturday.

10* under 150

This game is played at ODU and all of their games in Norfolk have stayed under this high number. They played an OT game at Marshall. I think we see a game in the 140's on Thursday.

10* under 136

Georgia Tech has played close to 70% unders at home. The Orange play a tight zone and I think we see a game with about 132 points.

Virginia at UNC

8:15pm

10* over 137

UNC has won all their home games and just scored 97 at NC State. They beat UVA is a low scoring game in the ACC tournament. UNC is led Berry, Jackson, Hicks and Kennedy Meeks. Luke Maye had a career high last game. Roy Williams likes to play fast and they can offensive rebound as well as anyone.

Virginia has London Perrantes to run point as well as Guy and Jerome to shoot outside. The Cavs are hurt by lack on inside production and should be forced to score if they get behind. They can shoot 3's well.

Winnipeg vs. Montreal

2pm

10* over 5.5

The last 4 meetings have ended 7-4, 4-2, 5-1 and 5-2. Winnipeg has gone over in 9 of their last 10 games. Montreal is off a 4-0 loss and should bounce back with goals. The two games before the shutout produced 6 and 9 goals. I hope to see a 4-2 type of game on Saturday.

UNC at NCSU

8pm

10* under 168

UNC is off a loss at Duke and allowed 86 points. They scored 107 at home vs. NCSU and allowed under 60. NCSU coach Mark Gottfried has rumors circling that he will be fired at the end of the season. He is led by freshman Dennis Smith Jr. who has been erratic.

UNC has two starters (Hicks and Kenny Williams) who are injured and listed as questionable. NCSU has played plenty of overs at home but needs to play defense so they don't get blown out. I think we see 155 to 162 points and under.

10* over 140.5

They played a 77-67 (144) game at Charleston without Dixon playing and he scores 18 ppg. The game at W&M last year had 148 points. The Tribe are off a game with just 61 but return home where they are 11-0 SU. They have gome over in 7 of 9 at home and even scored 100 one game. I guess we see 145 to 147 points.

10* under 215

GS has played 9 of last 12 under. Memphis has unders 20-5-1 last 26 home games and 8-1 unders last 9 meetings in Memphis. I hope for a game with 212 or less.

Leyton Orient vs. Morecambe

over 2

Take the over when these two soccer teams meet in England on Tuesday afternoon. I think it ends 2-1.

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10* over 124

FAU has played two recent road games that were high scoring. They just played at Charlotte and were at FIU. ODU has played 5 overs in a row and led by the Stith brothers, Zoran Talley, Denzell Taylor and more. ODU does struggle at the line so I hope that doesn't hurt.

Take the over as well close to 126 points.

10* over 2.5

Arsenal has combined with their opponent to score 3, 5, 3, 4, 3 and 6 goals in its last six matches while Chelsea has tallied 2, 4, 2, 3, 5, 2, 6 and 6 in its last eight matches. I hope to see a 2-1 score on Saturday that goes over.

10* under 141.5

These two have played some low scoring games in the past two years. I think it ends in the 130's.

10* under 134.5

UVA is at home and will try to keep the scoring down. VT can put up points but we have seen 106 and 116 in the past two years at Virginia. Take the under at 134.5.

10* under 161.5

William and Mary is off a nice home win against UNCW that totaled 184 points. Their previous games only reached 143, 145, 133 and 140. Drexel is having a down year after replacing coach Bruiser Flint.

W&M is led by athletic Daniel Dixon but relies on outside shooters like Omar Privott and Oliver Tot and Greg Malinskoski. I like the under on Monday.

NFC vs. AFC

8pm Saturday

10* over 74.5

The last 3 years were coached by former players (Rice, Irvin, etc.) and the scores were down due to players taking some pride in the game. Last year was 49-27 (76) but the two games before that had just 60 and 43 points. Games before that which were AFC vs. NFL totaled  97, 100 and 96. The rules favor the offenses. Worth a shot to play the over.

10* over 123

These two played a very high scoring game at UVA last year. UVA has PG London Perrantes who can pass and score. Villanova is off a road loss at Marquette and should bounce back and aim for revenge. Josh Hart, Kris Jenkins and Jalen Brunson should lead the way and help us get to close to 128 points on Sunday.

ODU at North Texas

10* over 121.5

These two played a low scoring game earlier. N Texas has reached 163, 138, 140, 180 and 147 in its last 5 while ODU has seen 152, 146, 138, 104 and 143 in its last 5. The Monarchs have played faster recently and got Brandon Stith back from injury.

10* under 211.5

Charlotte has played 7 unders in a row and NY has 7 in their last 10 games. NYK looking to possibly trade Carmelo Anthony. Their last meeting ended with 209 points. Hopefully we see an under on Friday night.

10* under 173

These two are rivals from Los Angeles. I think we see plenty of points but think this stays under. All we need is a 90-80 type of game of 86-83.

UConn at South Florida

#527/528

7pm

10* over 127

UConn scored 81 last year vs. USF. They are led by former NC State player Rodney Purvis, Facey, Brimah and Adams. All four scored 10 or more last game. Their totals were 137, 118, 141, 132 and 131 in their last five.

USF has gone over in 4 of their last 5 games and led by double digit scorers Thorpe and Holston. I hope to see 130 points tonight and an over.

10* under 162

Both played on Saturday and won't be fresh for Monday night's game in Durham. Duke has some injuries and made a nice comeback to win big vs. Miami. Take the under on Monday.

10* under 61.5

The total ranges from 60 to 61.5 as I write this earlier in the week. These two played a game in the mid-60's earlier this year. All it takes is for one team to struggle to score and we see a 30-24 game that stays under.

Tottenham vs. Manchester City
12:30pm Saturday
10* over 2.5 (-118)

Man City's last 5 matches reached 4, 5, 3, 1 and 3 goals. They can score and allow goals as their games have seen 67 goals in 21 matches. Tottenham's last 5 totaled 4, 2, 2, 5 and 5. I hope to see a 2-1 score on Saturday.

Golden State at Houston

#863/864

8pm Friday

10* under 237

Golden State lost in OT in their earlier meeting. It went over due to overtime. Golden State has played unders in 11 of its last 12 on the road. This is one of the highest totals of the season. 12 of the last 17 meetings in Houston have gone under. Ryan Anderson is questionable on Friday. 

I think the Warriors play well and put out some solid defense on Harden and we see an under.

under 140

UNCW likes to play fas tand has plenty of scorers. Charleston is at home and is a 3-point underdog. They need to keep the score low to stay in this and have a chance to win. I like the under on Thursday night.

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over 2.5

I think we see a 2-1 score in this soccer match that takes place on Wednesday afternoon in England.

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10* under 224.5

Cleveland plays at Golden State as they meet since playing a one point game on Christmas. The total is set higher than any of the playoff games they played last year and the under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. Golden State is home and lost the opener at Cleveland so I expect them to win and see a game with 220 points or less.

FSU at UNC

10* over 164.5

These two played a 106-90 (196 points) at FSU last year. Brice Johnson and Marcus Paige were key scorers but are now gone. The Tar Heels just scored 93 at Wake Forest and reached 107 vs. NCSU in their last home game. Justin Jackson and Joel Berry are outside threats while Kennedy Meeks and Isiah Hicks can score inside. Center Tony Bradley is out with an injury and he is a solid defensive player. Backups for UNC can struggle to score. Pinson has failed to make a field goal in two games back and Britt, Maye, Woods and Robinson all shoot around 35%.

FSU has lost just one game but has played few true road games. They beat Virginia 60-58. FSU has some solid scorers like Bacon (17.8 ppg), isaac, and Mann. Xavier Rathan-Mayes averages 11 per game but is scoring over 30 vs. UNC. 

Both teams like to play fast. Can FSU score on the road? Can the Tar Heels backups score? We will see on Saturday but I like our chances for an over.

10* under 174

There should be plenty of points in this game set for Friday night but I think we see an under. All it takes is for one team to struggle to score. The teams played twice last year and ended with 150 and 146 points. Take the under on Friday night.

10* under 165

I think we see plenty of points on Wednesday night but all it takes is for one team to struggle to score and we have a game in the upper 150's. Surely, we could see a game in the 170's but WF is not a great shooting team Take the under.

Houston at ECU

10* over 126

Both teams are off losses. Houston lost to Cincy and only scored 58. ECU only scored 44 in a bad home loss to SMU. Last year these two played a two OT game in Greenville that ended 97-93 but was tied 75-75 (150 points) after regulation. 

Dotson, Gray, Knowles and Robinson played last year and did well so they should be excited to return to ECU. The Pirates should get some points from Caleb White and Tyson. Jeff Lebo's team needs to prove it can score some points.

over 2.5

I like the over when these two meet in England Conference action on Tuesday.

Eastleigh 1

Forest Green 2

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#563/564

UVA at Pitt

9pm Wednesday

10* under 127.5

Kenpom ratings have this game ending below 120 points and last year's meeting was in the 115 range. Pitt is a decent scoring team but UVA plays great defense and likes to slow the game down under coach Tony Bennett.

10* over 152.5

Both teams played unders on Saturday. Clemson has 5 players scoring 10 ppg or more and led by Blossomgame. The Tigers just played a home game with UNCW that ended 87-73 (160 points). Earlier games with Xavier made it to 160 and up to 173 against Davidson.

UNC is off a road loss at Ga Tech. The game started with a fast pace and the announcers talked about the game being on pace to be in the 80's. Both teams became cold, especially the Tar Heels. I expect Jackson 17.4 ppg, Berry 14 ppg, Meeks 12.7 ppg and Hicks 12 ppg to play better.

Roy Williams likes to play fast. UNC's early ACC road game last year with FSU ended 106-90 (196 points). Clemson played home games with FSU (84-75) and Notre Dame (89-83) that were high scoring. I think we see an over on Tuesday.

Troy at South Alabama

8pm Monday

10* under 143

Both have been off since before Christmas and now start conference action in the Sun Belt. Last year's games totaled 115 and 124 points. Troy has played some high scores but games with Hawaii had 128 and their game with UAB reached 128. 

The trends favor the under:

*Troy under 13-3 last 16 in Sun Belt

*Troy under 13-4 last 17 as a dog

*USA under 9-3 last 12 as a favorite

*under is 11-4 the last 15 meetings

10* over 165.5

Monmouth is coached by former Tar Heel King Rice so they will be happy to run with the home team before UNC begins ACC action. UNC is off blowout of Northern Iowa as they got revenge for the road loss last season.

I expect Jackson, Meeks, Hicks and Joel Berry to play well on Wednesday and a game with close to 172 points.

10* under 223

This game starts at 2:30pm eastern which is 11:30am west coast time for the Golden State Warriors so it may take awhile for points to roll in. Cleveland has some injuries. I expect a good game. This total is 10 points higher than any of the playoff games last spring.

10 under 157

10* over 80

Sometimes a break before a bowl can slow a team down or one team fails to score their share of a high total but I think we see both teams approach 40 and get the over.

10* over 137

Duke will play fast and Tenn State has played a 143 point game with Vanderbilt and 143 with Lipscomb. They did play a low score at NCSU but both games with Belmont last year ended with 198 and 159 points. Tenn State is mostly juniors and seniors and should be able to compete for awhile at Duke, who has scored 94, 96, 88, 93 and 94 at home. I left out the Michigan State game since they are a competitive team.

10* over 51.5

I like the over as the 49ers can score as well as allow points. Matt Ryan, the Falcon QB is in the top 5 for MVP and should score close to30 today. Take the over.

NHL

LA at Pittsburgh

Friday

10* over 5.5 (+101)

Pittsburgh has played 12 overs in a row and faces the LA Kings at home on Friday. LA is without regular goalie Jonathan Quick. LA's last two on the road saw 9 goals at Buffalo and 7 at Arizona. The two meetings last year ended 3-2 and 5-3. Playing the over streak until it ends.

10* over 5.5

Pittsburgh is at home and has played 11 overs in a row. I am hoping to see the Pens score and Boston to add some goals. I hope for a 4-2 type of game.

10* under the total

I think we see some solid defense in this matchup of state rivals. They reached low 140's last year.

Army vs. Navy

10* under 47

The last 10 meetings have gone under. Both teams know each other well and Navy has several key injuries (QB Will Worth). The last four meetings have reached 38, 27, 41 and 30 points.

10* under 169

Both teams can score but Cal State has to travel across country in this matchup of teams coached by Chris Mullin and Reggie Theus. I think it ends in the low 160's.

10* over 48

The 8 meetings between the two have all gone over. SD QB Phillip Rivers and Jameis Winston are both solid and the Charger  defense allows to many points. Take the over.

10* over 171.5

Booby Hurley of Az State spoke of how fast Kentucky plays as they crushed the Sun Devils. UCLA has freshman PG Lonzo Ball, shooting guard Bryce Alford and inside players like Thomas Welch.

Both play fast. UCLA has shown they can score quickly as well. I think we see close to 180 points on Saturday at Rupp Arena. 

10* under 138.5

Louisville is a tough defensive team at home under Rick Pitino. Their games in the past vs. UNC and Duke at home have been low scoring games. They can rebound and block shots. Purdue is a tough defensive team as well and this could be one of the games to decide the Challenge between the ACC and Big Ten.

10* under 150.5

I think we see an under in this game which is in the Big Ten vs. ACC Challenge. I think it ends in the 140's.

10* under 171.5

UNC is playing their 3rd game in 5 nights in Hawaii and played Chaminade last night. Okla State's game ended 98-90 thanks to LOTS of free throws. There were 122 points scored in the 2nd half. UNC needs to win by playing defense and rebounding. The Tar Heels don't shoot 3's well.I think it ends in the 160's.

10* over 186.5

I think we see a game that ends close to 190 points as both can score. Citadel is a huge underdog. I hope they are able to score and keep up as Iowa State led by Morris should reach 110.

I would be OK with 111-81.

10* over 154

UCLA has scored over 100 each game while San Diego is a low scoring team did play some high scores with Portland last year. UCLA has 5 players over 15.5 ppg.

10* under 148

This game starts at 11:30am and I expect a slow start with a game that ends in the low 140's. Take the under.

10* under 167.5

I like the under with this game being played on a neutral floor. All it takes is for one team to struggled and we get a game in the low 160's.

10* under 143

Louisville plays solid defense under coach Rick Pitino. W&M is a below average team that can surprise you but I think this ends in the 130's.

10* under 72

I think we see a game in the 60's on Wednesday night.

Houston vs. Cleveland 

6pm

10* under 217

These two start early due to the World Series and may get off to a slow start with the early time. They have combined for 1 over and 5 unders this year and their two meetings reached 206 and 168 points last year. Harden rolled an ankle but is probable tonight.

10* over 211

I think we see a fast paced game with the Warriors led by Curry, Durant and Thompson for the home team.

10* under 89

89 points is one of the highest college totals I have seen. All it takes is for one team to score 32 and we get an under. It could be 52-35 and we still have an under.

10* over 5.5

I think we see a 4-3 type of game on Tuesday night. Both teams are better on offense that defense and the goalies are average. All of their games have gone over so far in 2016.

10* under 5.5

10* over 44.5

I think both teams score in the 20's and we get to 48 to 51 points on Sunday. I like the over which is at 44.5 to 45 points at most sportsbooks.

LA at Minnesota

10* over 161

The playoffs have seen close to 70% overs. The last few games saw some unders as the favorites had to go on the road up 2-0.

These two did play at game with 170 pointsin one meeting. Minny is at home and reached:

182 with Atlanta

208 with Phoenix

182 with Phoenix 

172 with Connecticut

Both have scorers as the Lynx has Maya Moore and Augustus while LA has Candace Parker and Ugwumike. 

The league may see more publicity going against the NFL with a high scoring game.

10* under 51.5

I think we see a game in the 40's on Saturday. 

10* under 6 runs

Both pitchers have great stuff. I think we see a 3-2 type of game that stays under.

10* under 8.5

Orioles has 2 overs/8 unders last 10 while Toronto has 1 over/9 unders.  Both starters have 0 overs and 3 unders in past 3 games. Tillman with 9 overs and 21 unders this year. Blue Jays with 19 unders in last 27 games. I hope to see a low scoring game with no homers.

10* under 174

Phoenix returns home where they have 5 overs/12 unders. These two shot 66 FT's in Minny as both games sailed over.

I think Phoenix need to slow it down to win and they have played their share of unders at home 36-15-1 and on Sundays 34-16-1.

Hopefully, we some defense on Sunday and a game in the 160's.

Thanks and good luck.....

10* under 9 runs

The O's have 10 unders in a row and 65 overs to go with 90 unders this year. Pineda of NYY has an ERA of 0.90 in his last 3 and these two starters played a 5-0 game back in July.

10* under 9

These two played a 3-2 game last night. O's have played under 9 runs in 10 straight games and these two have combined to play 128 overs and 176 unders. The starters have ERA's of 2.79 and 2.37 in their last 3 starts and both are in the hunt for the AL Wild Card. I like the underpn Thursday night.

10* under 166

Phoenix is playing their 3rd road game in less than a week and Minny has been off for 10 days and they are playing in a building that is not the usual home for the Lynx. Maya Moore is solid on defense and so is Simone Augustus. I hope to see a game in the 150's. 

Minnesota's opening games of the 2015 playoffs saw games in the 130's.

10* under 173.5

I hope we see one team struggle to score and it ends in the 160's.

Delle Donne is out for Chicago.

Boston at Baltimore

7pm

10* under 9 runs

Gausman starts for the Orioles and his ERA is 1.35 in his last 3 while the Boston hurler's ERA is 3.31 in his last few starts. These two have combined for 13 overs and 31 unders and they played an under on Monday.

10* under 42.5

Philly has a rookie QB playing his second game. These two reached 39 and 37 points in last week's games. I think we see a game with 35 to 42 points scored on Monday.Take the under.

10* under 9

Ilike the under with solid pitchers Bundy facing 20 game winner Porcello.

I think we see 6 to 8 runs.

10* under 164

Minnesota just won on the road after an OT loss in Chicago. They play Atlanta, who is known for high scores at home but unders on the road. I hope to see a game in the 155 to 159range that stays under on Saturday night.

10* under 168.5

Both teams can score in bunches but Tina Charles is expected to sit our for NY and Conn is without Delle Donne. Hopefully one team scores in the 70's and we see a final in the 160 to 166 range.

Seattle at Phoenix

10pm Thursday

10* under 164.5

Phoenix is off a high scoring road game loss at LA.

The Mercury home games have been unders as we see these trends:

*Phoenix under 8-3 last 11

*Phoenix under 8-2 last 10 on Thursday

*under 35-15-1 last 51 at home

*under 22-9 last 31 meetings

10* under 165

Phoenix has played 8 unders in their last 10 games.  LA is off a loss at Seattle as Ugwumike did not play and she and Candace Parker lead the way for the Sparks. Phoenix has Britney Griner inside and she is 6'8" and can alter shots. The two meetings have reached just 136 and 148 points in 2016. I like the under.