Chiefs +1

The 49ers (14-5, 9-10 ATS) will clash with the Chiefs (14-6, 12-8 ATS) in Super Bowl LVIII on  February 11th at Allegiant Stadium in LV, 6:30pmET on CBS start time. In terms of the opening Super Bowl odds, the 49ers are favored with a Moneyline (ML) of -120, while the Chiefs stand at +100. The spread favors the 49ers by 1.5 points (-110), and the Over/Under is set at 47.5 points. This Super Bowl matchup is a rematch of Super Bowl LIV in Miami, where the Chiefs won 31-20. The Chiefs have been dominant recently, winning 5 of 6 vs. SF and covering the spread in 5 of those. The 49ers making their 8th appearance and claiming SB wins in 5 (of course it's been a while). Meanwhile, the Chiefs are the reigning champions, having defeated the Eagles 38-35 in 2023. Last week, in the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers were trailing 24-7 at halftime against the Lions, they mounted an impressive comeback, scoring 17 in the 3rd and ultimately won 34-31 scoring 27 unanswered points. The Lions managed a late score for a backdoor cover. On the other side, in the AFC Championship, the Chiefs took control early with a 7-0 lead midway through the first quarter against the Ravens and never relinquished it, securing a 17-10 win. Both defenses in that one were great, but Mahomes outplayed Jackson, and the game didn't ever look to be in doubt. If you jump on this Super Bowl LVIII line quickly you may find +1.5 still but they 1.5's aren't easy to find anymore. (As of Monday 1/29 Noon ET). It's a Super Bowl matchup loaded with excitement potential, and should be an epic showdown.

Locking this in early, more analysis to follow.

Stats: PPG SF 29 PPG (3rd), KC 23.3 PPG (8th), PTS Allowed SF 26 PPG (7th), KC 13.6 PPG (2nd). Red Zone SF #2, KC #12. 3rd Down SF #2, KC #8.

Trends, 49ers 0-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records, and 1-5 ATS L6 after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in prior matchup. Plus, SF 1-4 ATS L5, 1-6 ATS L7 vs. KC, 1-5 SU L6 vs. KC. On the other side, KC 5-0 ATS L5, 5-0 SU L5, 13-3 SU L16 vs. NFC teams, and 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC West teams. 

You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Sunday 9* Super Bowl LVIII ATS Play

BONUS PROP: George Kittle OVER 46.5 Total Receiving Yards -118

BONUS PROP: Patrick Mahomes OVER 36.5 Total Passing Attempts -128

OVER 51

The Detroit Lions (12-5, 6-3 AWAY, 13-6 ATS, 7-2 ATS AWAY) will play against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 9-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS HOME) in the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game is set to start at 6:30pm ET. Opening betting lines have the total points expected set at over/under 51. We're on the Over here as the Lions look to continue their historic run against the top seeded 49ers. Injury update: Samuel will play Sunday. The Lions beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last week in the Divisional round, and now they're in their second-ever Conference Championship. The 49ers defeated the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey scored a 2nd TD to win the game with 1:07 left. The 49ers lead the historical series 39-28-1, vs. DTown, with a postseason record of 1-1. Recently, the 49ers have been stronger, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups since 1996. For starters here, the weather is supposed to be great. After dealing with rain in San Fran in the Divisional Round, weather projects show 70 degrees and clear on Sunday evening. The Lions are rolling right now, especially on the offensive end. Overall, this team has averaged 394.8 pass yards per game (3rd) and 2nd in pass yards (258.9 ppg). That has led them to 27.1 ppg this season as they continue to put up big numbers with Goff. He has leaned on his playoff experience, posting performances of 24 and 31 so far. He should find success against the 49ers defense that was picked apart by Jordan Love. The 49ers offense put up 24 against Green Bay and that number should go up with the weather being better and this Lions defense struggling. The Lions allowed Mayfield to throw for 349 yards and 3 touchdowns. Purdy will have a field day with this Detroit secondary. Expect scoring chances both ways here in a back and forth game. Trends, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's L11, and in 7 of their L9 played on Sunday's. For the 49ers, the total has gone OVER in 7 of their L10 played on a Sunday at home. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFC Championship O/U Play

49ers -7

The Detroit Lions (12-5, 6-3 AWAY, 13-6 ATS, 7-2 ATS AWAY) will play against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 9-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS HOME) in the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game is set to start at 6:30pm ET. Opening betting lines have Detroit +6.5 and San Francisco -6.5. Moneyline odds of Detroit +245 and San Francisco -311. The total points expected in the game is set at over/under 51. We're on the 49ers in this one. They hold the value for me, and I think the 49ers can and will win this by 9+. Fact...teams with the #1 seed have won 34 out of 48 conference championship games since the NFL playoffs began in 1975. It's really hard to go on the road in this matchup, and the proof is in the puddin'.  The Lions beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last week in the Divisional round, and now they're in their second-ever Conference Championship. The 49ers defeated the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey scored a 2nd TD to win the game with 1:07 left. The 49ers lead the historical series 39-28-1, vs. DTown, with a postseason record of 1-1. Recently, the 49ers have been stronger, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups since 1996. Last time these two played was 9/12/21. A 41-33 SF win in Detroit. (Lions covered the +9.5 in that one) Last season, the Lions and 49ers didn't play against each other. Weather looks to be typical for Santa Clara this time of year. Forecast says it might be 74F with some light winds. Regardless of whether Samuel plays or not on Sunday I have the Niners cruising to victory in this one. Goff will be throwing a ton, as he has in all of DET's losses this year, and that plays right into the strength of this Niners D. That Pass Rush and secondary are elite. It wouldn't surprise me if Goff throws 2+ INT's. If Samuel plays, the Lions will really have their hands full containing Purdy from being the elite game manager he is. Samuel, Aiyuk, Kittle (everyone knows DET isn't great vs. TE's), and oh ya, that CMC guy coming out of the backfield are weapons NO team in the NFL wants to have to contain (Jennings is no slouch either). The Lions have allowed 125+ yards to at least 1 WR in 6 straight games. Sure Lions are great vs. the Run, but the 49ers are so much more than just running the ball with CMC. Expect Purdy in shotgun a ton, gadget plays, play action, and lots of screen passes behind the line to get those 4-6 yard plays on 1st down. Shanahan is greater than Campbell in this one. PFF rated Purdy 95/100 on Play Action this year. Goff, Gibbs and Sun God are great, I'd LOVE them all on my fantasy team, but this isn't the Fantasy Final, this is the NFC championship, and I trust the Niners offense much more than DETROIT. Trends, Lions are 1-11 SU L12 vs. SF, 0-10 SU L10 on the road vs. SF, and 2-5 SU L7 vs. NFC West teams. The 49ers are 8-2 SU L10, 7-1 L8 SU vs. NFC teams, and 13-4 L17 games in JAN. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 10* *RARE* NFC Championship ATS Top Play

Ravens -3

Kansas City (13-6, 7-2 AWAY, 11-7-1 ATS) is set to face Baltimore (14-4, 7-3 HOME, 12-6 ATS) in the AFC Championship this Sunday. The game will take place at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD, kickoff 3 pm ET, TV on CBS. We’re on the Ravens, laying the points. This will be the Ravens first ever conference title game at home. Opening odds are Moneyline (ML) - Chiefs +140, Ravens -165, and the Ravens are favored by -3.5 ATS. The total Over/Under is set at 45. On one side, we have the Chiefs' formidable run defense contending with Jackson, Edwards, and Hill, while on the other, the Ravens' elite defense faces the challenge of containing Rice and Kelce. These two teams last squared off on September 19, 2021, when the Ravens secured a 36-35 home victory during SNF. Prior to that, Sept. 28, 2020, KC emerged with a win 34-20 as 3.5-point dogs in Baltimore. Baltimore is playing at such a high level right now. Lamar Jackson and company came out with a purpose in the 2nd half of their Divisional Round game and made a statement over the Texans. Jackson is so tough to stop as he can not only beat you with the passing game, but he’s really utilized his running attack. Against Houston, he rushed for 100 yards on 11 attempts. Kansas City’s defense has had issues with mobile QBs and that will be a huge factor in this game. The Ravens defensively are in another level as well. Overall this season they’ve proven to be just so stingy and they cause so many issues for opposing defenses. They’re going to force Mahomes into some tough passing windows and they won’t allow them to get any sort of push with their offensive line. Baltimore is a complete team and right now, they’re just playing at such a high level. This will be the kind of game where they sustain drives and will be the ones to make the bigger plays when needed. In their most recent games, the Chiefs edged out the Bills 27-24 on the road, covering as 2.5-point underdogs. Notably, this marks KC' 6th consecutive appearance in the AFC Championship. As for Baltimore, they defeated the Texans 34-10 at home Saturday, improving Jackson's playoff record to 2-3, and they successfully covered the 10-point home spread. In terms of the all-time series between these teams, KC holds a 7-5 lead. However, it's worth noting that Baltimore had a 30-7 Wild Card win in KC on January 9, 2011. The Ravens come into this one #2 on offense in the NFL (34 PPG), Chiefs #8 (26 PPG). On defense Ravens are #1 in the league (10 PPG allowed), Chiefs are #2 (15 PPG). In the Red Zone the Ravens are #4 80%, Chiefs are #12 40%. Trends, the Ravens are 11-5 ATS L16 on Sunday, and they're 4-1 ATS L5, 7-1 SU L8, 4-1 SU L5 at home, 5-1 ATS L6 vs. AFC teams, and 5-0 SU L5 vs. AFC West teams. Lastly, the Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their L5 games after going for more than 350 total yards in their previous matchup. This line is too nice to pass up. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Sunday 9* AFC Championship ATS Play

Bills -2.5

The upcoming clash features the Kansas City Chiefs 12-6 (10-8 ATS), against the Buffalo Bills 12-6 (8-9-1 ATS), currently on a 6-game winning streak. Scheduled for this Sunday in Orchard Park, kickoff is set for 6:30pm ET, with TV (CBS). I can't wait for this NFL Playoffs Divisional Round matchup. Initial odds for this matchup the Moneyline (ML) Chiefs +122 and the Bills -144. The point spread (ATS) favors the Bills by -2.5 points (-115), and the total Over/Under (O/U) is set at 46.5 points. In recent performances, the Chiefs dominated the AFC Wild Card matchup, winning 26-7 against the Miami Dolphins as 4.5-point favorites. The Bills had a 31-17 win over the Steelers as 10-point home favorites. In Week 14 of the regular season the Bills narrowly got past the Chiefs 20-17, you'll remember the controversial ending with the Kadarius Toney offside incident. In a trip down memory lane, the last time the Bills hosted the Chiefs in the playoffs was in January 1994 during the AFC Championship, where Buffalo emerged with the win 30-13. This is such an intriguing matchup. The big narrative this week is of course Mahomes has never played a road playoff game, we don't know what to expect?! Of course we know what to expect. He's Mahomes. 2-time NFL Super Bowl winner. He'll be fine. The Bills have a strong playoff record at home since 1970, with a 14-2 record, the best among NFL teams with at least 5 home games. Allen is highly motivated for his second AFC Championship Game appearance. In my opinion, the key to the Bills covering is their run game. The Chiefs have struggled to defend the run since the middle of the season, while the Bills have consistently gained over 100 rushing yards since Week 10. The Bills have to control possession, limiting Mahomes' opportunities and allowing Allen to utilize play-action effectively, relying on Cook, Johnson, and Murray. Will it be loud in Buffalo? Yes. Will it be cold? Yes. Vegas is smart. If Mahomes sucked the Bills would be a 7pt favorite. They're not. But, having said all that, I still think the Bills cover this 2.5. Trends, Bills are 4-2 ATS L6, 6-0 SU L6, 6-1 SU L7 at home, and 5-0 SU L5 vs. AFC teams. Bills are also 4-0-1 ATS L5 vs. a team with a winning record. On the other side the Chiefs are 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU win of 14+ points. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Lions -6

NFC divisional playoffs this week sees the Tampa Bay Bucs (10-8, 12-6 ATS, 8-1 ATS AWAY, 5-4 SU AWAY) taking on the Detroit Lions (13-5, 12-6 ATS, 5-4 ATS HOME, 7-2 SU HOME) in the Motor City. Ford Field will see a 3pm ET kick off time on January 21st. Since 2007, the Buccaneers and Lions have clashed 10x, with the Lions emerging victorious in 6x matchups. In point spread terms, the Lions boast a 6-4 ATS record when facing the Bucs. In their latest meeting this season, the Lions secured a comfortable 20-6 win in Week 6. Going back farther, in a total of 61 games, including 1 postseason game, between the Lions and Bucs, the Lions have emerged victorious in 32, while the Bucs have claimed 29 wins. Detroit is clicking on all cylinders and they have value here at this number. The Lions take on a Bucs team that really has taken down teams struggling or beaten up during their hot run. This Detroit team is just on a different level right now. The Lions offensively are moving the ball, sustaining drives, and coming up with some big plays. Goff threw for 277 yards and a touchdown in the Wild card win over the Rams, as he has been playing at just a high level right now. He’s taking care of the ball and not forcing anything, which has allowed this offense to sustain drives. Defensively, Detroit is going to pin their ears back and come after Mayfield. The Bucs offensive line is shaky and they have struggled dealing with blitzes. The Lions are only giving up 23.2 ppg and they force a lot of turnovers. Expect them to put together many different looks defensively with their blitz packages and force Mayfield into some tight passes. With the crowd energy and the Lions rolling right now, this is the kind of game they’re going to feed off the momentum. Look for a quick start and for them to ultimately be too much for this Bucs side. Trends, Bucs are 4-11 ATS L15 vs. Detroit. Lions are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 7-1 SU L8 at home, 15-5 SU L20 vs. NFC Conference teams, and 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC South. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Packers +10

The Packers (10-8, 9-9 ATS) are facing off against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 9-8 ATS). The game will be on Saturday evening at Levi's Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET and airing on FOX. The Packers are listed at +375 on the Moneyline (ML), while the 49ers are favored at -500. The 49ers are 10-point favorites with -110 odds. The Over/Under (O/U) for total points scored in the game is set at 50.5. On Wildcard Weekend the Packers played impressively, beating the Cowboys 48-32 as 7-point road underdogs. The 49ers, on the other hand, secured a first-round bye by being the top seed in the NFC, but they ended their regular season with a close 21-20 loss to the Rams at home. 10 matchups since 2013 between these two, the 49ers hold a slight edge in the series, with a 6-4 record both SU and ATS. In 3 games since 2020, the Packers have done well with a 2-1 record SU and ATS. The most recent was January 2022, with the 49ers winning 13-10. Green Bay has been no push over and we get a very nice number on them in this spot. The Packers came out with a purpose and a plan and they executed better than even they could have imagined it in the Wild Card Game. Green Bay put up 48 points in what was one of their most dominant wins in a big game in franchise history. Jordan Love is clicking on all cylinders right now. He threw for 272 yards and 3 touchdowns as he’s been taking care of the ball and making some big time passes. The Packers balanced attack also saw them rush for 143 yards as a team. They wear teams down and use their run game to open up passing lanes. They have been at their best when they can control the time of possession and that will be the biggest emphasis here. Keeping the ball away from the 49ers offense and sustaining drives offensively is the key for this team. Green Bay has proven they can play with the top contenders now. Their confidence is at an all time high and with the momentum they have, they have the ability to keep this game close. The Packers will have their chances throughout and even have the opportunity to steal this one outright if they can get the run game going early. Trends, GB 6-3 ATS L9, 4-1 SU L5, 6-2 SU L8 vs. NFC teams, and 8-1 ATS L9 vs. NFC West teams. 49ers are 0-5 ATS L5 games at home. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 50.5

Saturday NFC Divisional game features the Packers (10-8, 9-9 ATS) facing off against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 9-8 ATS). Levi’s Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET and airing on FOX. Two healthy football teams, good weather, right off the hop I'm ruling out variables that I usually consider when looking at NFL totals. The 49ers are 10-point favorites, the Over/Under is set at 50.5. On Wildcard Weekend the Packers played impressively, beating the Cowboys 48-32 as 7-point road underdogs. The 49ers, on the other hand, secured a first-round bye by being the top seed in the NFC, but they ended their regular season with a close 21-20 loss to the Rams at home. The most recent matchup was January 2022, with the 49ers winning 13-10. That matchup was Garoppolo vs. Rodgers at Lambeau. Dan Quinn the Cowboys DC is up for several HC jobs this offseason. He's been touted as one of the best defensive minds in football. The Packers last week made his defense look pathetic. This week we get Jordan Love playing at the top of his game going up against the all-world 49ers defense, and I still think Love will get his this week. He had a near perfect passer rating last week, and and his offense put up 41 points. Aaron Jones looks amazing and healthy, and his WR's are all up and coming. Coach LaFleur put on a masterclass, and I believe in the Packers offense to put up points on the Niners. It won't be as easy of course, but they'll eat. As for the Niners, they're loaded with Pro Bowlers and All-Pro's. They come in off a bye week, and they're the #1 seed for a reason. They'll score on the Packers D. You've got two efficient QB's in this game, two QB's that don't turn the ball over "much", and I could see the Niners up 7-10 most of the game, and the Packers playing catch-up. AND they have the offense to do it. Packers ranks since Week 10. On Offense #3 DVOA, #4 EPA per play #4 Success Rate. On Defense #28 DVOA, #25 EPA Per Play #27 Success Rate. That Pack defense is the big X-factor in this one. Their D was #31 this season with only 7 INTs. 49ers have been dominant this season EVERY time they're favorites, it's going to be on GB to play catch up. If GB can't force Purdy into mistakes the 49ers offense has been too efficient in 23/24 so far for us to not see SF putting up points in bunches. Trends, TOTAL has gone OVER in 7 of GB's L8, 6 of their L6 on the road, and 6 of their L8 on the road vs. SF49. For SF, the OVER has hit in 5 of their L7, 10 of their L14 vs. GB, and the OVER has hit in 6 of SF's L9 vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 7* NFL O/U Play

Ravens -8.5

The AFC Divisional round matchup on January 20th features the Texans (10-7, 4-4 AWAY, 9-7-1 ATS, 1-0 ATS in playoffs) hitting the road to take on the Ravens (13-4 regular season, 6-3 HOME, 11-17 ATS) at M&T Bank Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm ET. The Ravens come into this game well-rested, having enjoyed a bye week during the wild card weekend, while the Texans are riding high from their recent surprise blowout Win over the Browns, 45-14. In terms of the opening odds, the Ravens are the clear favorites with a spread of -9.5 points in their favor. Additionally, the moneyline odds stand at -453 for the Ravens and +347 for the Texans. The over/under for the game is set at 45. The last time these two met was 9/10/23, a 25-9 Ravens win in Baltimore. Before that was before CJ Stroud came on board. 9/20/20 a 33-16 Ravens win in Houston. Baltimore is going to give this young Texans team quite the wake up call in this matchup. While Houston beat down the Browns in the Wild Card Game, this is just a lopsided matchup. Baltimore is fresh with the bye in the first round and given all the injuries this season to teams, that will be a huge boost. There won’t be any rust as Harbaugh has kept this team ready throughout the bye. His coaching is a huge edge no matter what coming into play. Baltimore dominated the matchup earlier this season and they have ran some teams over en route to this number 1 seed. They dominated good passing teams like the 49ers and Dolphins this season and they will have a good game plan ready for the Texans. Stroud is going to struggle with this defense that ranks near the top in many categories. Offensively, Baltimore is one of the best. Lamar Jackson is likely your MVP and he’s going to pick apart this defense once again. Baltimore has come up clutch in many big games this season and this one will be no different. Trends, Ravens are 6-0-1 L7 ATS after a SU loss, 5-2 ATS L7, 6-1 SU L7, 7-0 SU L7 vs. when playing Houston, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. AFC teams. On the other side, Houston are 2-4 ATS L6 vs. Baltimore, 2-11 SU L13 vs. BALT, and are 3-9 SU L12 vs. AFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 44

NFC Wild Card Weekend. The Buccaneers (9-8, 11-6 ATS, 4-4 HOME) vs. Eagles (11-6, 7-8-2 ATS, 5-4 AWAY) game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, airing at 8pm on ESPN/ABC. For the fourth consecutive year, the Buccaneers will kick off their postseason campaign by facing a team from the NFC East in the opening round. The Eagles' aspirations for a second NFC East title were dashed when they lost out to the Giants. The Eagles visit Tampa for the second time this season, as they grabbed a 25-11 victory at Raymond James in Week 3. On Sunday, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South title with a 9-0 victory over the Panthers, though it only brought their season record to 9-8. This season the Eagles averaged 25.88 PPG, and that includes the Week 18 game where they benched everyone and still put up 10 points. They put up over 25 PPG 10x. We're getting a battle tested playoff team, that is rested "enough" coming into the WC game vs. Tampa. The Bucs averaged 21 PPG, including that 9 point stinker in Week 18 vs. the Panthers. They scored over 25 6x. Nice weather, good conditions, I'm expecting points. The Bucs and Eagles provide such an entertaining matchup here on Monday night. The playmakers and explosiveness these two teams have are going to put together quite the game. Tampa Bay did just enough to win the division in Carolina and Baker Mayfield is going to get an extra day rest which will be a huge boost for the Bucs. Mayfield has been showing up in big games all season long and comes in after tossing for 4044 yards and 28 tds. He’s been able to find Mike Evans out wide and he’s been a huge engine for this offense. They’re running into the Eagles at the right time too. Things are dicey in Phili as they limp into the postseason defensively. They allowed 62 points combined over their final two games and the Bucs are going to pick apart this secondary. Philadelphia has a lot to prove themselves here. The offense did put up 31 in one of those losses and they’re going to come out and try to prove a point here. The Bucs are inconsistent defensively and the Eagles can expose that. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 9* NFC Wild Card O/U Play

PS I have the ATS premium play up for this matchup up too!

Buccaneers +3

NFC Wild Card Weekend. The Buccaneers (9-8, 11-6 ATS, 4-4 HOME) vs. Eagles (11-6, 7-8-2 ATS, 5-4 AWAY) game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, airing at 8pm on ESPN/ABC. For the fourth consecutive year, the Buccaneers will kick off their postseason campaign by facing a team from the NFC East in the opening round. The Eagles visit Tampa for the second time this season, as they grabbed a 25-11 victory at Raymond James in Week 3. On Sunday, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South title with a 9-0 victory over the Panthers, though it only brought their season record to 9-8. Phili is going to have a hard time containing the skill positions of the Bucs, plain and simple. Evans (1255 yards 79 rec 13 TD), Godwin (1024 yards 83 rec 2 TD) White (990 RUSH yards 549 REC yards, 64 rec 9 total TD), Otton (549 yards 47 rec 4 TD), Mayfield (4044 Yds, 237YPG, 28 TD only 10 INT 364/566 64.3 COMP%), plus a defense with just enough playmakers on it to make bigtime plays at big parts of a game. This will not be a cakewalk for favorites (Philly) on the road. The Eagles are limping into this matchup. They haven't looked right since they lost to Seattle, some will say it's even earlier than that. Hurts, Smith, Brown haven't looked like themselves of late, and where's the Philly run game? I don't trust them. I do trust the fact that weather won't be a problem, and Philly rested all their starters in Week 18 so they'll come into this one as healthy as possible, but I like the home team. Baker is due. Tampa will keep this one close. Philadelphia struggles: 0-6 ATS, 1-5 SU in their L6 games. They're 1-4 SU against Tampa Bay, 0-5 ATS vs. NFC teams, and 2-6 ATS in L8 January games. In contrast, Tampa Bay excels: 4-1 ATS in their L5 games, 5-1 SU in their L6, and 10-3 SU in L13 January games. Tampa Bay appears to hold the edge considering these trends. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 7* NFC Wild Card ATS Play

PS I have an O/U total premium play up for this matchup too!

Steelers +9.5 (Love +10 if you see it!)

This game now has been moved to Monday, but that doesn't change how we feel about it. The Steelers (10-7, 10-7 ATS) are set to face off against the Bills (11-6, 7-10 ATS) in the 2024 Super Wildcard Weekend. The game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, at 4:30 ET, to be held at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY. The NFL Wild Card Round betting lines favor Buffalo at -9.5, with Moneyline odds of Pittsburgh +368 and Buffalo -492, and an over/under total of 39.5. Pittsburgh secured their spot with a 17-10 win as 3-point road favorites against the Ravens, aided by Tennessee's victory over Jacksonville, which clinched their final AFC wild card spot. The Bills, having clinched the AFC East title and the No. 2 seed in the postseason, come off a remarkable 21-14 road win over the Dolphins. Monitoring weather for its impact on the game. Forecasts indicate temperatures in the 20s, near 0 wind chills. Expected 24 degrees at 1 p.m. kickoff, with wind gusts possibly up to 50 mph. Weather will be the great equalizer in this matchup. We all know not having WATT this weekend will hurt the Steelers, but I'm banking on the weather and the rest of their defense stepping up, and not letting this game be controlled by Allen and the Bills. Pittsburgh's defense ranks 5th in the NFL with 27 takeaways this season. They are 6th in points allowed, averaging 19.1 PPG, and concede 342.1 YPG. I expect the Golden/Herbig combo to try to fill Watt's void. It won't be easy, but they'll give PIT above average production. Kazee & Fitzpatrick could be back too, it won't hurt having Peterson move back to CB. Another factor in keeping Pittsburgh competitive is their run game. Averaging 156.7 RYPG in their L3 games, I'm expecting them to heavily rely on it vs. BUF. Harris showcased his skills with 255 carries for 1,035 yards, averaging 4.1 YPC and scoring 8 TD's. Warren had 149 carries for 784 yards, averaging 5.3 YPC, and adding 4 TD's. Warren's versatility was evident with 61 receptions too. If they get their job done, this cover will hit. Trends, Pittsburgh has a 13-7 ATS record in their L20, including 13 SU wins. Against Buffalo, they excel at 11-4 ATS in L15, 11 outright victories. In contrast, Buffalo struggles with a 4-9 ATS record in their L13 & faces challenges when favored, posting a 3-7 ATS record in their last 10. No matter when or where we're on PIT ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! 

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Rams +3.5

NFC Wild Card Weekend. In an electrifying showdown, the Rams (10-7, 5-4 AWAY, 10-6-1 ATS) and Lions (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 12-5 ATS) clash on NBC's Sunday Night Football in an NFC Wild Card Game. Ford Field serves as the battleground, with kickoff at 8 p.m. ET. The intrigue is palpable as Stafford squares off against the team that drafted him, swapping places with Jared Goff. In Week 18, the Rams secured a 21-20 victory over the 49ers, while the Lions bested the Vikings. Notably, this marks the Lions' first home playoff game since 1993. I'm fully expecting this line to reach +2 or +1.5 by kickoff. 85% to 90% of the public is on the Rams, and for good reason. We're getting down early to get the best line, and the possibility of back dooring ourselves into a win here. For the record, I'm not opposed to you sprinkling a little love on the Rams ML in this one, and I like their chances for an outright win here, it just depends how many weapons Goff has at his disposal come gametime. As of today (Monday) I'm not expecting we see LaPorta, or Raymond on the weekend (both injured vs. the Vikings), and trust me, they're big pieces of the Lions offense. Keep up with injury reports this week. Goff vs Stafford is going to be quite the spectacle. These two were flipped years back after spending years with who is now the opposing team in this wild card matchup. The Rams come in the hotter of the two teams and they’re playing at such a high level. They’ve rattled off wins in 7 of the last 8 games, with the lone loss being in Baltimore. In that game, they put up 31 points and covered in a close game. Los Angeles sees a Detroit team that ranks 24th defensively and the Rams are such a threatening offense to deal with. During their current 4 game winning streak, they’ve scored no less than 21 as they’re clicking on all cylinders. Kupp and Nacua are one of the best receiver duos in the NFL. Their ability to make plays and get deep downfield are as good as anyone in the league. With the playmakers the Rams have (don’t forget about Williams in the backfield!) and this team has the edge. We’re getting the better team with points in this spot. Trends, LAR 6-1 ATS L7, 7-1 SU L8, 6-0 SU L6 vs. NFC teams, and 9-4 SU L13 in JAN. Lions 1-5 SU L6 vs. NFC West teams. Rams have won 3 of the L4 vs. the Lions. 10/24/21 28-19, 12/2/18 30-16, 12/13/15 21-14, and the lone loss was 10/16/16 31-28 DET. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFC Wild Card ATS Play 

Packers +7.5

Green Bay (9-8, 9-8 ATS) face Dallas (12-5, 10-7 ATS) in the NFL playoffs' opening round. This Sunday, they'll kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET in Arlington, TX's AT&T Stadium. Notably, the Cowboys were unbeaten at home, going 8-0 in 2023, while the Packers struggled on the road at 4-5. Tune in on FOX. Current odds: (ML) - Packers +275, Cowboys -350, Over/Under - 49.5, Cowboys -7.5 ATS. Last game out, the Packers earned a Wild Card spot, defeating the Bears 17-9 at home, covering the 3-point spread. They ended the regular season strong, winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 8. In contrast, the Cowboys secured the NFC East title with a 38-10 road win over the Commanders. These teams have history, with 38 matchups, Packers leading 21-17, including 8 playoff games. The last matchup was 2022, the Pack won 31-28 in OT. Green Bay has won their last 4 vs. BIGD, including the past three in Dallas. Their last playoff face-off was in the 2016 divisional round, won by the Packers 34-31. The Packers aren’t far off, if even far off from the Cowboys. Green Bay is 9-8 and rattled off 3 straight wins to cap their regular season off as Jordan Love deserves a ton of credit. The Utah State product finished the regular season throwing for 4159 yards and 32 tds. What’s most impressive about his breakout year has been only 11 interceptions. He’s taken care of the ball well and has this offense rolling right now. They come in with a ton of momentum and confidence after putting up performances of 33 points twice and 17 in a game where they dominated the possession against the Bears. Love and company can keep up with this Cowboys attack. Dallas has had their moments on the defensive end where they’ve struggled and Green Bay can frustrate teams with their ability to sustain drives. If the Packers can win the time of possession, they’re going to frustrate the Cowboys all night here. Look for this one to be a close game throughout with Green Bay having their chances to steal it. Trends, GB are 6-2 SU L8, 5-1 ATS L6 vs. DAL, 9-1 SU L10 vs. Dallas, and 5-2 SU L7 vs. NFC teams. Dallas are 1-6 ATS L7 vs. a team with a winning record, are 2-4 ATS L6, 4-14 ATS L18 in JAN, and lastly, they're 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff home games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 50.5

This could very well be my favorite bet during Wildcard Weekend. Green Bay (9-8, 9-8 ATS) face Dallas (12-5, 10-7 ATS) in the NFL playoffs' opening round. This Sunday, they'll kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET in Arlington, TX's AT&T Stadium. Notably, the Cowboys were unbeaten at home, going 8-0 in 2023, while the Packers struggled on the road at 4-5. Tune in on FOX. Current odds: (ML) - Packers +275, Cowboys -350, Over/Under - 49.5, Cowboys -7.5 ATS. Last game out, the Packers earned a Wild Card spot, defeating the Bears 17-9 at home, covering the 3-point spread. They ended the regular season strong, winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 8. In contrast, the Cowboys secured the NFC East title with a 38-10 road win over the Commanders. The last matchup was 2022, the Pack won 31-28 in OT. Their last playoff face-off was in the 2016 divisional round, won by the Packers 34-31. Noticing a trend? These two score points vs. each other in the playoffs. 50 is TOO low for this one and I'm all over the OVER. The Pack average over 25PPG on the road (top 5 in the NFL) It seems DAL always has high scoring games when they're at home. I expect no different this week. A clear Packers trend favors high-scoring games, attributed to their low defensive ranking and an 11th-ranked offense. This trend results in a 10-7 OVER record, particularly strong at 7-2 in away games. Remarkably, the OVER prevailed in 6 consecutive Packers' games, starting back on Thanksgiving. Not total is safe with these Packers. Trends, OVER is 5-0 In GB's L5 road games, the total has gone OVER in 6 of GB's L7, and we've seen the OVER hit in GB's L5 road games vs. Dallas. The OVER has hit in 4 of DAL's L5 vs. GB, and in 11 of DAL's L15 vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

UNDER 44.5

AFC Wildcard action Saturday at 8pm ET from Arrowhead! Dolphins (11-6, 10-7 ATS, 4-3 AWAY) vs. Chiefs (11-6, 9-8 ATS, 4-4 HOME). I'm jumping on the UNDER train here in this matchup on Saturday. It's the typical "Dolphins are a warm-weather team, how can they play in such cold weather scenario!" The Weather prediction for Saturday in KC anticipates a high of 16°F and a low of -2°F. The 7 p.m. kickoff, happening almost two hours after sunset, might see the temperature dip below zero, potentially creating one of the NFL's coldest games ever. I tend to agree that this will be a running game, especially with any kind of wind in KC. (I've lived in Kansas City - it's always windy there) I read somewhere that the Fins have never won a playoff game when temps are colder than 48 or something like that. Check the forecast. Chiefs are rested after giving starters a bye week in Week 18, most Fins played a ton in Week 18 vs. BUF and in high leverage situations, so the Chiefs D will be fresh. Kansas City holds the #2 position, allowing just 17.3 PPG and limiting opponents to an average of 289.9 YPG. I think Achane and Pacheco will both feature in this one as well which will help keep this clock movin'. Achane finished with 800 yards rushing this year (in limited action) a whopping 7.8 YPC average with 8TD's. Pacheco finished with 935 yards rushing this year, 4.6 YPC, with 7 TD's. He also had 44 receptions. Dolphins ended 6 games this year vs. playoff teams 1-5, they have to zig not zag at this time of year. Their strong suit lies in the running game, which they must emphasize for success. In GERMANY vs. KC, they achieved 5.6 YPC, and the Chiefs' defense ranks 27th in rushing DVOA. It's the only way MIA keeps this one close, and running helps us with the UNDER. To add salt to the Dolphins wounds they're going to miss Chubb, Phillips, Howard (likely), Baker, Van Ginkel, and Goode are all OUT too. Miami are signing guys off the street this week. Trends, Under is 5-0 in Chiefs L5 as a home favorite of 3.5-10, plus, UNDER 6-0 Chiefs L6 vs. teams with winning road records. Also, UNDER has hit in Chiefs L5 at home, and in 5 of their L6 JAN games. You know what to do here. Back the UNDER. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NFL O/U Play

Browns -2.5

AFC Wild Card Weekend. This Saturday, it's a clash between Cleveland (11-6, 11-6 ATS, 3-5 AWAY) and Houston (10-7, 9-8 ATS, 6-3 HOME) in the AFC Wild Card Game at NRG Stadium, kicking off at 4:30 p.m. ET and airing on NBC. Cleveland, having already secured the AFC's #5 seed, rested players in Week 18 vs. Cinci, and they lost 31-14 as 7-point dogs. Before Week 18 the Browns had previously strung together 4 consecutive wins, including a 36-22 victory against the Texans in Week 16. On the flip side, the Texans punched their first playoff ticket since 2019 with a 23-19 win against the Colts. It's worth noting that Cleveland has dominated this series, winning the last 4 meetings since November 2020, and they've also emerged victorious in their past 2 at NRG. Cleveland heads into Houston as slim favorites and we’re backing the Browns here on the road. Cleveland dominated the Texans a few weeks back albeit was without CJ Stroud calling the plays under center. While that makes a difference, we still can takeaway a few things from that game. QB Joe Flacco still picked apart this Texans defense from the outset and that same defense will be up against him here. Flacco threw for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns as Amari Cooper turned in a career day out wide. Also, the Browns defense dominated the Texans offensive line for a majority of this game. These two things won’t change heading into Saturday. Cleveland’s defense is predominately a man to man defense as they aren’t shy about playing 1 on 1 outside. Stroud is one of the best QBs against the zone, but has had issues with man to man coverage. Cleveland will blitz and force him to make some uncomfortable throws in this one. Cleveland has the better team and they’re going to have a vet QB going against a rookie QB. That experience goes a long way in this matchup. From 2012 onwards, rookies have achieved a postseason record of 4 wins and 11 losses, with two of those wins occurring when 2 rooks faced each other in a game. This doesn't bode well for Houston. Trends, CLE 6-0 ATS L6 games as a FAVORITE, and 6-0 ATS L6 vs. a team with a winning record. CLE 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 4-1 SU L5 vs. HOU, 10-0 SU L10 vs. AFC South. HOU is 2-9 SU L11 vs. AFC North, and 2-5 SU L7 in JAN, plus they're 0-4 ATS in their L4 playoff games as a dog. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* AFC Wild Card ATS Play 

Bills -3

I don't release many 10* NFL Plays, but I feel extra strong about this one. NFL Week 18 Sunday Night football on NBC play for the (10-6, 3-4 AWAY, 6-10 ATS) Bills taking on the (11-5, 7-1 HOME, 10-6 ATS) Dolphins, Sunday, at 8:20pm ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL. Opening odds have the ML: Bills -163, Dolphins +135. ATS Odds: Bills -3, Dolphins +3. Total: O/U 50. The Bills are in one of the oddest spots ever really. They have a chance at the #2 seed and a chance to miss out on the playoffs. Things are hectic in the AFC Playoff race, but we’re backing Buffalo here as this team has a huge edge on Sunday. Buffalo gets the Dolphins at the right time as injuries are the topic of conversation for Miami. The Dolphins Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips are both on the IR, while a compliment of others sit below 100% even if they take the field. Buffalo has won 4 in a row and they’re doing it with dominant performances on both sides of the ball. They’ve allowed 22 points or less in all 4 wins and are getting contributions from so many different players. Josh Allen has the offense rolling and sustaining drives too, which has kept the ball away from the opposition. That’s going to be a huge key here as the Bills should have success keeping the Dolphins offense off the field and will set themselves up for some short yardage situations on 3rd down. Miami comes in 1-4 ATS against opponents over .500 and their struggles against good teams will be showcased in this contest. Health, Desperation, Motivation, Roster Depth. Buffalo. Check, Check, Check, and CHECK. X-Factor. Bills defense. 4th in the NFL allowing only 18.6 PPG. 10th in YPG, and 7th in passing YPG. 2nd in NFL forcing turnovers. 3rd in sacks. Tua will be running for his life. No Mostert, No Chubb, No Howard, No Waddle more than likely. We saw Miami's offense without him, and a less than 100% Tyreek Hill vs. the Ravens. Tough stretch for Miami. This is a no-brainer for me on Sunday Night football. I have to back the Bills -3 to win another AFC East championship. Trends, Bills 5-1 SU L6, 10-1 SU L11 vs. MIA, 4-1 SU L5 vs. AFC teams, and 8-2 SU L10 vs. AFC East teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday Night RARE 10* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -2.5

The Seahawks (8-8) face the struggling Cardinals (4-12) on Sunday at 4:25pm ET in Glendale, AZ at State Farm Stadium. The Hawks are favored at -163 on the ML with the Cardinals at +133. Against the Spread odds opened in favor the Seahawks -3, and the game's betting total is set at 47.5. We're now getting Seattle -2.5 and are jumping on it. The Cardinals are tough there's no denying that. Murray did great in a 35-31 win against the Eagles. But here me out, strange stuff happens when the Seahawks play in Arizona, and the Seahawks have a better team and stronger will. They have to win this. AZ doesn't. Metcalf, Lockett, and Smith-Njigba will lead the way for Seattle. If Geno Smith can find them, the Cardinals will have a hard time keeping up. In the last 5 H2H matchups, the Seahawks have dominated 4-1. Furthermore, the Seahawks have also excelled ATS, going 4-1. All time Seattle leads the series 26–22–1. The last time they played was a 20-10 Seahawks victory on 10/22/23 in Seattle. The value leans towards the Seahawks. Their recent home loss to the Steelers dealt a blow to their playoff hopes, needing a win and possible help from Green Bay. The Cardinals, led by J. Gannon, show promise, but this game could be a letdown spot despite their notable win in Phili. Trends, Seahawks are 5-1 ATS L6 vs. AZ, 5-1 SU L6, and 5-1 SU L6 IN ARIZONA, and 8-2 ATS L10 vs. NFC teams. AZ are 4-16 L20 SU, 0-7 L7 vs. NFC West teams, and 1-5 SU L6 in January. I think the Seahawks will win, even though they're not great at stopping the run, what they can do is put up points against this AZ defense. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bears +3

There is no greater pressure in the NFL than a team knowing they have to win to get in the playoffs. It's all on the Packers shoulders this week when the (7-9, 2-6 AWAY, 8-7-1 ATS) Bears face the (8-8, 4-3 HOME, 8-8 ATS) Packers on Sunday at 4:25pm ET in Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI. Opening ML odds: Bears +140, Packers -172; ATS odds: Bears +3, Packers -3; Betting total: O/U 44. Chicago has won 4 of its last 5 games, SU and ATS. Green Bay, 8-8 SU and ATS, kept playoff hopes alive with a dominant Sunday win, as 1-point dogs, beating Minnesota 33-10. NFL prediction time! I'm on the Bears plus the points in this one. I'm just not sold on Jordan Love yet. I've watched him closely all year but I'm not fully convinced he "has it". This is a big game. Weather will be a factor. Yards will be at a premium and I just trust Fields more than Love in this spot. I do not trust the Packers run-D. Do you? Packers are 27th in the NFL against the RUN, and this has to favor the ground-n-pound mentality of the Bears. Fields/Herbert should see 30 running plays between them called in this one. Fields comes into this one with 630 rush yards, Herbert with 583. Foreman may even be active for this one (425 Yds on 3.9 YPC with 4 TD's). Credit the Bears for their growth potential. They've out-gained 4 of the last 5 opponents and out-rushed 13 consecutive foes. Recently, they ran for 250 yards in a 27-16 victory against Arizona but lost 20-17 in a game they led At Cleveland 3 weeks ago they led, and lost, same result. Chicago's last two losses occurred after leading by double digits in the fourth quarter, highlighting their potential for a 7-game streak. This is a good team. Trends, Bears 6-1-1 ATS L8, 5-1 ATS L6, 4-1 SU L5, 5-0 ATS L5 vs. NFC teams. GB are 2-4 SU L6 in JAN, and 1-4 ATS L5 playing as the FAVORITE. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Patriots -2.5

In Week 18, the (6-10) New York Jets face the (4-12) New England Patriots on Sunday at 1:00pm ET in Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA. The Jets are +2.5 underdogs, with a Moneyline of +118, while the Patriots are -2.5 favorites with a Moneyline of -142. The game's total betting line is set at 30.5 points. These two have quite the history. The Patriots and Jets have battled 129 times, with the Patriots winning 74 games, the Jets securing 54 wins, and one tie. We’re on the Patriots here, at home, on Sunday. New England actually has played well as of late after what has been an abysmal season to say the least. They’ve beaten both the Steelers and Broncos on the road and played the Chiefs and Bills extremely tough. They’ve been able to find their offensive groove with Zappe and the defense has made some big plays. The Jets are a fade in this spot after getting beaten up by the Browns in their last game. New York has had a cycle of QBs here in the 2023-2024 season and they now land on Trevor Siemian, who has been very inconsistent. He’s turned the ball over and the Pats defense is going to be too much for him. New England gives up 21 ppg and they’re going to put together a lot of different blitz packages here. Expect the Jets offensive line to be overwhelmed and for the Pats defense to produce a couple of turnovers. Adding to this, all the speculating has surrounded this being Bill Belichick’s last game in New England. It would be appropriate for them to send him out a winner. Trends, the Jets have struggled recently, going 1-8 against the spread (ATS) and 2-7 in straight-up (SU) wins in their L9. Additionally, they are 0-6 ATS against New England and 2-10 SU in their L12 road games. New England has been dominant at home, winning all 10 of their L10 home games against the Jets. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Lions -3.5

The Vikings (7-9, 7-6-3 ATS, 5-3 AWAY) and Lions (11-5, 11-5 ATS, 5-2 HOME) will face off in Week 18 at Ford Field this Sunday, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET on FOX. The Vikings suffered a 33-10 loss to the Packers in Week 17, extending their three-game losing streak, while the Lions had a heartbreaking 20-19 defeat against the Cowboys on the road last Saturday, marked by that controversial finish. The Vikings' playoff hopes hinge on specific scenarios: a Packers loss (to the Bears) + Seahawks loss (to the Cardinals) + Buccaneers loss (to the Panthers), or a Packers loss + Seahawks loss + Saints loss (to the Falcons). If there’s ever a team that is going to come out with a ton of fire and looking to take out frustrations, it’s going to be this Lions team. Detroit isn’t going to be shy about what they’re trying to do and that starts from Head Coach Dan Campbell. He’s been very vocal throughout the week about how he intends to play all his guys and will look to make a statement. The Lions have been firing away offensively all season long. They aren’t shy about taking shots deep and it’s led them to averaging 27 ppg. They put nearly 400 yards per game and they can attack in so many different ways. They catch the Vikings who come in with very little confidence. Minnesota was throttled at home against the Packers, marking their third straight loss. They’re all but out of the playoffs unless they got a lot of help and the morale has to be down here. Detroit will look to get the ball to their playmakers and should pick apart this Minnesota defense that struggled with the Packers last week. Detroit’s offense is a few steps above the Packers on the offensive side, which bodes so well for the Lions. Trends, Vikings 1-5 SU L6, 0-6 ATS L6 vs. DET, and 3-7 ATS L10 vs. NFC North teams. On the other side, DET 4-1 ATS L5, 13-5 SU L18, 5-1 SU L6 at home, and 13-5 SU L18 vs. NFC teams. I just can't see a Nick Mullens quarterbacked team giving the Lions any problems in this one. I'm backing Detroit ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Texans -120

In Week 18, the (9-7) Texans take on the (9-7) Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, on Saturday, at 8:15pm ET. Opening odds had the Colts favored by a slim -1 point spread, with ML odds of -116, while the Texans have odds of -105. The game's betting total is set at 47.5 points, promising an intriguing NFL showdown between these closely matched teams. The Colts have a chance to win their division if they beat the Texans and the Jaguars lose. The Texans, with a 9-7 record, got stronger with C.J. Stroud back, and they could win the division if they beat the Colts, and just in the nick of time their D is looking better too. (13th in NFL allowing 20 PPG) Whichever you find the cheaper juice is your play. Either Houston PK -120 odds, or just -120 on the ML. Your call. The line has moved in our favor and the value is on HOUSTON. Houston has just been a totally different team when he is out there. The Texans saw Stroud return last week and the team had far more energy than they did in the previous week against Cleveland when he was out. Stroud has thrown for 3,844 yards to go along with 21 touchdowns. Ball security has been a huge piece for him as well, as he’s only thrown 5 interceptions here in the campaign. The Texans have far more playmakers than the Colts. Indy is leaning on Minshew, who has been up and down all season long. He’s going up against a Texans defense that has allowed just 20.9 ppg. This defense will pin their ears back and look to put a ton of pressure in the backfield. They’re going to force the Colts to throw the ball and not allow Taylor to get anything going. Look for this defense to produce some turnovers, while Stroud sustain drives and has this offense rolling.  Stroud and Collins (1,102 yards, 7 touchdowns) are one of the most dangerous combos in the league. We’re taking the team with better playmakers and more confidence coming into Saturday. Trends, HOU are 6-3 SU L9, 7-3 ATS L10 on the road, and 6-3 ATS L9 vs. AFC teams. Indy are 6-13 L19 vs. AFC south teams, and 0-5 in their L5 games in JAN. With everything on the line here Saturday, we’re backing CJ Stroud and the Texans. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* NFL ML Play

OVER 46

Sunday night football this week features the Green Bay Packers (7-8, 7-8 ATS, 3-5 AWAY) travelling to Minnesota to take on the Vikings (7-8, 7-5-3 ATS, 2-5 HOME). Kick-off is 8:20pm ET on NBC. I'm backing points in this game. Last week, the Vikings suffered a 30-24 loss to the Lions as 2.5-point underdogs, while the Packers held off the Panthers with a 33-30 win. In their recent Minneapolis meeting, the Vikings won 23-7 on 9/11/22. Earlier this season, they secured a 24-10 victory at Lambeau on 10/29/23, with Cousins playing a key role. The Packers/Vikings have played 126x, with the Packers winning 65, the Vikings 58, and 3 ties. With Jefferson (141 YDS, 6 REC, 1 TD) back and looking as explosive as ever he's worth his weight in gold for OVER bettors this week. The Packers have seen Jordan Love become what should be their future QB for quite some time after his success in 2023. Love has tossed for 3587 yards and 27 touchdowns as he’s found his success with the ability to hit the long ball. That bodes well for this Over as we’ve seen Green Bay not shy about taking chances deep downfield. They come in off a 33 point performance and should find plenty of success against this Vikings secondary. However, the defense has let them down tremendously. They conceded 30 to a lowly Panthers offense and they’re going to have their hands full with Minnesota here. The Vikings have played QB roulette this season, but they’ve still been able to score over the last couple of weeks. They’ve put up 24 and 23 points in those games, but their defense has been atrocious. All the situational edges point here to a game with scoring chances both ways and a lot of offensive production. Trends, the total has gone OVER in all of GB's L5, and in 4 of GB's L5 vs. NFC teams. For MIN the total has gone OVER in 5 of their L7 vs. the Packers. The Packers and Vikings are both looking to stay alive in their playoff races. We should see some fireworks here between these two sides. I'm backing points in this matchup. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday Night 8* NFL O/U Play

Kansas City -6.5

Sunday at 4:25pm from Arrowhead the Bengals (8-7, 6-7-2 ATS, 3-4 AWAY) visit the Chiefs (9-6, 7-7-1 ATS, 4-4 HOME). The Chiefs and Bengals are usually finding themselves in the midst of battling for a top spot into the AFC. When these two teams meet on Sunday, they’re battling to just get into the playoffs. The Chiefs were embarrassed on Christmas Day and they’re going to bounce back here in a big way. Kansas City fell to Oakland and the frustration was visible all around. This is a perfect spot for them to grab win number 10. They are still in need of a win and some help to clinch the AFC West and they get a good matchup here with a Bengals team that noticeably is starting to run out of steam after last week. Cinci fell 34-11 to the Steelers in a game where they were dominated from the outset. After having some magic with Browning, they had nothing going and now they’re going to get a fired up Chiefs team that is looking to take out some frustrations. Kansas City still has confidence as Mahomes even came out and said they’re still in the drivers seat. This team still has seen the defense step up, as they’ve given up just 17.7 points per game. That’s one of the best marks in the NFL and they should be able to see this offense produce much more on their end here in Week 16. Kansas City is the better team and has the better playmakers. Trends, Cinci are 3-8 L11 vs. AFC teams. KC are 14-6 SU L20, 13-3 SU L16 vs. AFC, and 11-4 L15 vs. AFC North teams. Look for them to bounce back. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

UNDER 39

The Bears (6-9, 5-10 ATS, 4-3 HOME) are set to host the Falcons (7-8, 7-6-2 ATS, 2-5 AWAY) at Soldier Field Sunday at 1pm ET, on CBS. Falcons come into this matchup 24th at PPG (19.13 PPG) in the NFL, and the Bears are 21st (20.9 PPG). Neither are Top 10 in the NFL in the red zone, and the Falcons have the 6th D in the NFL (19 PPG). Last week the Falcons pulled off a convincing 29-10 victory over the Colts, they were 3pt home favorites. Meanwhile, the Bears beat the Cardinals 27-16 covering as 4.5pt home favorites. Examining their H2H history, these teams have crossed paths 29 times since 1966, with the Bears holding a slight 15-14 edge. Each team has won 2 of the last 4. The Falcons secured the latest win, 27-24 in a home game on 11/20/22. Chicago, on the other hand, has grabbed wins in 6 of the last 10. Chicago comes into play on Sunday with only themselves to blame for not making the postseason. They’ve choked games away and their offensive production just hasn’t been there from the start. They are putting up just 20.9 points per game, which is one of the worst marks in the NFL. Their issues stem from their inability to finish in the red zone and turnovers have killed them this season. On the flip side, Atlanta’s hopes hang by a thread, but their inability to score has costed them as well. This team is putting up only 19.1 points per game. They’ve been able to stay in contention thanks in large part to them only allowing 19.2 on the defensive end. This is going to be a game where neither side is able to move the ball with the big play, forcing them to establish a run game and chew the clock. That will play into the favor of this Under in a game where scoring chances come at a premium. Look for a lot of short check downs and runs, which is what these two offenses really have done all season long. I just don't see either of these two teams having offenses that can roll up the other. I think as we get closer to the end of the season points will be at a premium in this one. Trends, for ATL, the UNDER is 6-0 in their L6 as a road dog, the UNDER has hit in 4 of ATL's L5, and in 8 of ATL's L9 in DEC. (dating back to 22 season) For CHI the UNDER has hit in 6 of the L8, and 9 of the L12 vs. Atlanta, plus the UNDER has hit for CHI 3-0-1 L4 overall. I'm on the UNDER. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play

Texans -3.5

Sunday in Houston, we have the Titans (5-10, 6-8-1 ATS, 1-6 AWAY) facing off against the Texans (8-7, 5-3 HOME, 7-8 ATS). Last week, the Titans stuck to their ground-and-pound philosophy against the Seahawks.  IMO that approach plays right into the Texans' defensive strengths. Houston held the Browns to a mere 54 rushing yards and ranks 6th in the NFL in limiting opponents to just 90 RUSH YPG. To secure a win in this matchup, the Titans will need to rely more on their passing game. While they have talented receivers in Hopkins and Burks, Tannehill at the end of the day is still Tannehill. The Texans are anxiously awaiting the return of star rookie QB C.J. Stroud, who I believe will be back in action. Coach Ryans mentioned Stroud's improvement and his return to team meetings last week. He should be a "GO". If he's 100% healthy, the Texans would likely be favored by -7 points at home. I'm taking them at -3.5. Offensively, Houston averages 21.8 PPG (15th), while Tennessee struggles at 18 PPG (27th). Defensively, both teams are close, with TENN allowing 21.4 PPG and HOU allowing 22 PPG. Notably, the Titans, even with Henry, are 31st in the NFL in the red zone and 28th on 3rd down conversions. In their recent history, the Titans hold a slight lead in the series at 23-20. Their most recent clash was Week 15, a 19-16 Texans win in Nashville. Houston's comeback from a 13-0 deficit showcased their resilience and should boost their confidence for Week 17. To me, it looks like the Titans out of playoff contention are showing signs of fatigue. No gas left in the tank. Trends, Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC South teams (& 1-6 L7), 5-15 SU L20, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. HOU, and 1-9 SU L10 on the road. For Houston, they're 5-2 ATS L7 in DEC, and they're 8-2 ATS in their L10 following a straight up loss. I'm all over the Texans on Sunday as they put the boots to the Titans season. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

OVER 52

(11-4, 6-2 AWAY, 10-5 ATS) Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys (10-5, 7-0 HOME, 9-6 ATS) on Saturday night. (MNF) 8:15 ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. This game opened at 53.5. So we're getting good value. Lions AVG. 27.5 PPG (5th), Cowboys 30.1 PPG (2nd). Lions allow 23.7 PPG (22nd) Cowboys allow 19.1 PPG (5th). Both are top 15 in the Red Zone, and Top 10 in TOT YDS PER GAME and TOT YDS Per play. Plus these are two of the top 3 passing offenses in the NFL, and both are Top 15 in RUSH yds per game too. It's offense all over the place. In 4 of the past 5 Dallas home games, there has been a total of 55+ games. The Lions have surpassed the total in 10 out of 15 games. I'm anticipating a high-scoring game with plenty of passing, and this is where the Lions have shown vulnerabilities in their defense. I just have to have action on this game. There's too many weapons. Goff vs. Dak, Gibbs vs. Pollard, CeeDee vs. Sun God, Ferguson vs. LaPorta. Cooks vs. Raymond/Williams. Weapons everywhere. Not to mention two good kickers who can put up points from 75 yards if needed! LOL.  I put it off, and put it off, and I stared at it some more tonight and I'm going to hit the OVER 52. I'm expecting both teams to hit 28 midway thru the 3rd quarter. This is going to be a set it and forget it game. Trends, Over has hit in 6 of DTowns L7, and 4 of their L5 on the road, plus, the over is 6-0 in Lions L6 games on turf. Over is 4-0 in Cowboys L4 games on a Saturday, and 8 of their L10 vs. the Lions. Don't overthink it. We're cashing. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* NFL O/U Play

Browns -7

Week 17 is here, and on Thursday night we get the Cleveland Browns (10-5, 9-5-1 ATS) taking on the New York Jets (6-9, 5-9-1 ATS) in Amazon Prime's Thursday night football. Last game out Cleveland took down the Texans Sunday 36-22. For NYJ, they had a 27-7 halftime lead vs. the Commanders but couldn't hold the lead and only won on a late 54 yard Zuerlein FG for a 30-28 win. Cleveland has been one of the best stories in football this season. They’ve had injury after injury and now they’ve overcome just about everything. They have been playing with the next man up mentality and that’s the case here as they will enter Thursday with a chance to clinch a playoff spot. Home field advantage has been a huge part of their success and the place will be rocking Thursday. Cleveland has lost just one game at home in the 2023 season. They have won 3 straight overall and offensively this team is clicking on all cylinders. During this stretch, they’ve had performances of 31, 20, and 36 points. The 20 point game was a frantic 4th quarter comeback as well in a game where weather was a struggle. Joe Flacco has tossed for 1307 yards and 10 TD's since joining them and he’s made everyone around him better. Djoku and Cooper both are threats all over the place and they’re going to feast on this Jets defense. New York has plenty of question marks surrounding them on both sides of the ball, which should open the door for Cleveland here. The Browns will pin their ears back defensively and cause so many issues in this Jets backfield. I just don't see any way that NY stays with Cleveland in this one. I think Cleveland wins by 13-17, and with Siemian at QB I'm expecting a Browns DTS as well. Trends, Jets 1-7 ATS L8, 2-6 SU L8, and 2-9 SU L11 on the road. Browns are 6-2 ATS L8, 6-2 SU L8, 5-0 ATS L5 at home, and they're 5-1 SU L6 vs. AFC teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Ravens +6.5

Nice 3-1-1 NFL day on Christmas Eve. XMAS DAY NFL action today. We have the (11-3, 9-5 ATS) Baltimore Ravens taking on the the (11-3, 8-6 ATS) San Francisco 49ers. Baltimore likes this matchup. The Ravens have won 5 of 7 meetings, including a 20-17 decision four years ago. Their most famous matchup: a 34-31 2012 Super Bowl win. We’re on Baltimore here, grabbing the points in what could be one of the best matchups we’ve seen all season. Two teams who are favorites in their respective conferences battle it out to cap off Christmas. Lamar Jackson is one of those QBs who thrives as an underdog. He comes in 11-2 ATS as an underdog in his career and has won 9 of those games straight up. Digging in deeper, the trends get better. He has gone 19-1 SU against NFC teams in his career. Jackson is experiencing a resurgence in his performance, reminiscent of his 2019 MVP season. With a career-high 66.3% completion rate, he's thrown 17 TD's, and aims for his third 1,000-yard rushing season. You don’t get these numbers and trends by accident. Jackson is a big time player who makes the big time plays when they’re needed. The Ravens are allowing just 16.1 PPG, which is one of the best marks in the NFL. Their ability to force the opposition into some tough third down situations and get off the field is why this team thrives. We’re facing the public here, who is backing San Fran at a huge rate on Monday. The Ravens are equally as good of a team and their ability to strike for the big play can match this 49ers side. Weather should be high 50's, low 60's at kickoff, light breeze. Trends, Baltimore boasts an impressive 11-5 ATS record in their L16 games and an 8-1 SU streak in their L9. They've dominated San Francisco with a 5-1 SU record in the L6, and on the road, they're 6-1 SU. Perfect 8-0 SU record against NFC conference L8. I'm on Lamar and the Ravens tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

OVER 40

XMAS DAY NFL! (6-8, 1-5 AWAY, 7-6-1 ATS) Raiders take on the (9-5, 3-3 HOME, 7-6-1 ATS) Chiefs at 1pm ET from GEHA Field at Arrowhead. Weather shouldn't be a "BIG" factor here. High 30's, 10-15mph winds, and 15% chance of precip. Late addition. Limited write-up considering it's XMAS DAY. Going to just make this a 6* play. 1-step above my free plays. Make it a small play for sure. The initial number started at 42.5 but has since dropped to 40. I'm taking this opportunity to bet on the OVER. Mahomes played well against the Raiders in Vegas, and the Chiefs need to build confidence in their passing game for the playoffs. I think Mahomes could have a game with two touchdowns and over 275 passing yards today. Pacheco is also back today for KC. Let's go with it. I'm banking on LV doing enough to help us get OVER here too. The Raiders, confident after a Thursday night victory over the Chargers, have extra rest, and should be riding high after a franchise-record 63-21 win against the Chargers on Dec. 14. Last time they met they put up 48. Trends. OVER has hit in 6 of L7 games between these two teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday XMAS DAY 6* NFL O/U Play

Patriots +6.5

On Sunday night, it's the Patriots (3-11, 3-10-1 ATS) squaring off against the Broncos (7-7, 5-8-1) at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. NFL Moneyline Odds show the Patriots at +223 and the Broncos at -284. As for NFL ATS odds, the Broncos are the favored side at -6.5, a bump from the initial 5.5-point spread. The Over/Under stands at 34. The last meeting dates back to 10/18/2020, where Denver secured an 18-12 win in New England. While Newton and Lock were under center in that game, this time around promises a different matchup. Denver holds a series advantage, leading 27-22 and 4-1 in postseason matchups. Recent form has the Patriots coming off a loss to the Chiefs, while the Broncos stumbled against the Lions. Taking a closer look at this game, the low total caught my attention. I don't anticipate a one-sided affair with the Broncos racking up 28+ points. Instead, I believe the Patriots can make some headway, especially on the ground, against the struggling Broncos defense. Denver's defense ranks 30th in Yards Per Game Allowed (382.4) and 31st in Run Defense (146.9 YPG). They concede an average of 25.1 PPG, placing 28th in the NFL, which plays into the Patriots' strengths. Despite Zappe's tough day against the Chiefs, he managed 240 yards and three TDs against the Steelers, showing potential. Denver's inconsistency this year raises concerns, and the Patriots' sturdy defense, yielding only 4.8 yards per play (fifth in the NFL), adds another layer to consider. We simply need to stay within a TD, so I'm leaning towards the Patriots this Sunday night. Pats are #13 in the Red Zone surprisingly, so I'm happy about that. It's a low total as I said, points will be at a premium. Trends, Denver are 2-4 ATS L6 vs. AFC East teams, and strangely 1-8 ATS L9 Week 16 matchups. Pats ATS is the play. However, I'd approach the Patriots' ML bet cautiously. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bears -4

(3-11, 1-6 AWAY, 7-7 ATS) Cardinals face the (5-9, 3-3 HOME, 6-7-1 ATS) Bears this Sunday at 4:25 PM ET in Soldier Field, Chicago, IL. Opening NFL lines show Moneyline Odds with Cardinals +179 and Bears -222. ATS, the Bears are favored by -4.5 points, with an NFL Betting Total set at O/U: 44. Their last matchup was 12/5/21, a 33-22 Cardinals win. Murray took on Dalton that day. Both teams suffered losses last week, with the Bears falling to the Browns 20-17 in a thrilling matchup, while the Cardinals faced a more significant defeat, losing 45-29 to the 49ers. In that game, the Cardinals' defense struggled to contain the 49ers' high-powered offense. The Cardinals currently rank 29th in PPG allowed 26.9 PPG and only manage to score an average of 18 PPG (#22). The Bears, on the other hand, allow an average of 23 PPG (20th). When it comes to offense, both teams have relatively similar passing and rushing statistics. However, the Bears boast a formidable defense. They hold the top spot in rush defense, allowing just 79.8 YPG, although they are ranked 26th against the pass, conceding 239 YPG. The Bears' defense is also third in the NFL in forcing turnovers, and they possess a decent pass rush (at home they're obviously even better). Despite the Bears' recent loss, there are positive signs in Chicago. The team played well against the Browns, nearly winning on that spectacular Mooney "hail Mary" play. Justin Fields remains a topic of discussion as a potential franchise QB. The Cardinals' game plan usually revolves around running the ball when playing outside of Arizona, where their games tend to end with totals in the 30s. However, this week, facing the Bears' top-notch run defense, their ability to run effectively is in question. With the Cardinals ranking last in DVOA and surrendering the second-most points 26.9 PPG, it's challenging to see how they can generate sufficient offense. While the Cardinals are no longer in playoff contention, the Bears maintain a slim chance of making the postseason, as no team in the NFC North has clinched. They have won two of their last three games, and the team appears to be buying into Eberflus' coaching. Hopefully, the Chicago weather adds an extra challenge, with current predictions indicating a mild 51 degrees but potentially dropping into the 40s with lakefront winds. The Bears are a team that refuses to give up on their season, and I'm leaning heavy toward the -4. Trends, AZ 3-17 SU L20, 2-11 SU vs. NFC teams, and 1-5 L6 vs. NFC North teams. Plus they're 2-6 ATS L8 DEC games. The Bears are 4-2 L6 ATS, 4-0-1 L5 vs. NFC teams, and 3-0-1 L4 after allowing 90 YDS rushing in prior game. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins -1.5

The Cowboys (10-4, 9-5 ATS) and Dolphins (10-4, 9-5 ATS) are set to clash in a Week 16 showdown on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Dallas lost to the Bills 31-10 on Sunday, while the Dolphins rebounded from a Week 14 setback with a 30-0 win over the New York Jets (covering a -7 spread). Over their last 4 games, Miami is 3-1 straight up and 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The Dolphins are looking to improve their home record to 7-1. In their series history, including 1 postseason game, the Cowboys and Dolphins have played 15 times with Dallas ahead 8-7. That includes 4 straight Dallas wins and 3 straight in Miami. On defense, the Cowboys are currently positioned 13th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 18.9 PPG and gaining 294.3 YPG. The Cowboys are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog. In the Dolphins' win over the Jets, the Dolphins controlled the time of possession at 36:21 to 23:39 for the Jets. If they can replicate that, they'll come out on top in this one. Their defense is top flight as well. In terms of yards allowed, the Dolphins are 5th in the league while giving up 293.4 YPG. Miami's defense has allowed 21 PPG, placing them 13th. I think Dallas is going to have trouble containing the Miami run game. Mostert and Achane are going to have some big holes. Look at what Buffalo did to Dallas last week. The blueprint is now out there on how to beat this Cowboys team. The Cowboys were pushed all over the field in the loss to Buffalo and allowed 266 rushing yards. Hill leads the NFL with 1,542 yards and also has 97 catches and 12 TD receptions. He was limited in practice on Friday and listed as questionable. You know he's playing in this one! I like Miami to win without Hill, with Hill, I love this play. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

UNDER 36.5

NFL Week 16 features a matchup between the (6-8, 2-5 AWAY, 7-7 ATS) Packers and the struggling (2-12, 2-4 HOME, 4-9-1 ATS) Panthers at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The game will be televised on FOX, and the current betting odds have the Packers as -4.5 favorites with a ML of -231, while the Panthers stand at +184. The over/under for the game is set at 36. Last week was a tough one for the Packers as they faced disappointment at home, losing 34-20 to the Bucs. Love couldn't make 'that play' needed for a victory. The Packers, however, have a historical edge over the Panthers, winning 11 out of 17 matchups. In their last two meetings in 2019 and 2020, Green Bay emerged victorious. When it comes to scoring on the road, the Packers have been averaging 23.1 points per game. However, the Packers offense have struggled on the road compared to their home games. On the other side, the Panthers secured an unlikely win in front of an empty stadium and unfavorable weather conditions last week, ending a 6-game losing streak. The final score was 9-7, highlighting their offensive struggles. Carolina has not scored more than 18 in the last 5 games, averaging just 14.7 PPG, placing them 26th in the NFL. Bryce Young, the Panthers' rookie QB, has thrown 9 TD's and 9 INT's this season, reflecting his challenging debut. Expect a game where both teams feature their running backs, Hubbard and Jones, with moderate success. Neither team has been efficient in the red zone, with the Packers ranking 22nd and the Panthers at 29th in this aspect. Trends, the UNDER has hit in 7 of CAR's L8, and Under is 6-0 in Panthers L6 home games, 4-0 in CAR L4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and the UNDER is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.0. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play

Seahawks -3

The Seahawks (7-7, 7-6-1 ATS) are set to clash with the Titans (5-9, 6-8 ATS) this Sunday at Nissan Stadium, with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). The Seahawks on MNF snapped a 4 -game losing streak with a comeback 20-17 win over the Eagles. This win holds significance for a Seattle team still aiming to secure a playoff spot. Now, they travel to Tennessee, where a win would push their record above .500 at 8-7, with 2 games left to play. In their 18 meetings, starting in 1977, Seattle holds a 10-8 edge in the series, but the Titans have won the last 2 (2017, 2021) and 3 of the last 4. Geno Smith has no injury designation and is set to return this week, providing stability for the Seahawks. On the flip side, the Titans enter the weekend with significant injuries. Titans' rookie quarterback Will Levis, the team's starter, is questionable for the game against the Seahawks. If he can't play, veteran Ryan Tannehill will step in. The key for the Seahawks is to stop the Titans' run game, especially Henry, who had a dismal performance last week with only 10 yards from scrimmage. Seattle has the blueprint to stifle the Titans' ground attack, relying on big defensive tackles like Leonard Williams and Jarren Reed. The Seahawks' season is on the line, and they are poised to step up BIGTIME. Additionally, the Seahawks boast a better turnover ratio and score more points per game (PPG) than the Titans. Tennessee's offensive struggles in the second half, averaging just 7.8 PPG, rank them 28th in the league. With weapons like Walker III, Charbonnet, Bobo, Metcalf, Lockett, Smith-Njigba, and a strong tight end package, the Seahawks have the advantage. Expect a Seahawks win on Sunday. Give the points. They'll cover the 3. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Steelers +2.5

This Saturday, AFC North rivals clash at Acrisure Stadium as the Bengals (8-6, 6-6-2 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) take on the Steelers (7-7, 7-7 ATS, 4-4 HOME) in a pivotal battle. Last week, PIT had a forgettable outing, suffering a 30-13 defeat at the hands of Indy. Meanwhile, the Bengals secured a hard-fought 27-24 victory over the Vikes, with Browning delivering a stellar performance in the 4th and OT (184 YDS, 2 TD’s). In PPG the Bengals rank 14th, averaging 21.93, while the Steelers are 28th with 15.9 PPG. Defensively, the Bengals allow 22.21 PPG (20th), while the Steelers, known for turnovers, rank 9th, conceding just 20 PPG. As for QBs, Browning starts for the Bengals despite a right forearm issue. For the Steelers, Mason Rudolph, 'battle-tested' and on a '1-year-playing-3rd-string-QB-for-another-contract' contract, makes his first start in nearly 2 Years. In their prior meeting this season, the Steelers won 16-10, covering the -2 point spread. Back in Week 12, the Steelers dominated, outgaining the Bengals by nearly 200 YDS. The Steelers' defense, allowing an average of 20 PPG, will aim to shut down key Bengals players like Mixon and Higgins. With Chase expected to miss the game this task is a little easier. Plus, Browning hasn't yet faced a robust defense led by TJ Watt in the midst of the fervent Pittsburgh crowd. PIT need to get their run-game involved again. Warren & Najee need more touches. This 62 and 72 Rush YPG nonsense needs to stop. It will this week! Play with the lead, run the ball, increase your RB's touches. It's easy math. If all else fails, the Steelers defense WILL win this game for Rudolph & Tomlin (there's all sorts of "feels" in this one. I'm backing the Steelers as home underdogs to secure the win. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Rams -4

(7-7, 4-9-1 ATS) Saints face the Rams (7-7, 8-5-1 ATS) in a Thursday Night Football clash on Amazon Prime. Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California. NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines favor the Rams by -4 points, with Moneyline Odds at New Orleans +170 and Los Angeles -207. The Over/Under stands at 44.5. Last season, the Saints triumphed over the Rams 27-20. The Rams have won 4 of their last 5, maintaining playoff hopes with a 28-20 victory over the Commanders. The Saints face a daunting task, contending with the Rams' formidable offense. Nacua and Kupp pose threats, while Williams, nearing 500 rushing yards post-IR return, exploits the Saints' weakness, allowing nearly 5.0 YPC (bottom 3). Attwell's potential return and Robinson's contributions strengthen the Rams further. The Saints struggle against tight ends, making Higbee a viable option. Stafford could surpass 250 passing yards by halftime. New Orleans ranks #21 in red zone offense, confronting a sturdy Rams defense. The Saints have scored 19 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 road games. If they settle for field goals while the Rams convert in the red zone we'll have an easy cover. The Rams' defense allows 226.1 passing yards and 110.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th in sacks. With all this in mind, I'm going with the Rams. The Saints travelling on a short week, and we're unsure about Olave, so trusting Carr on the road isn't the best call. Trends, NOS 4-10-1 ATS L15, 4-8 ATS L12 vs. LAR, and 0-6 ATS L6 on the road vs. LAR. On the other side, the Rams are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, and are 9-3 L12 vs. NFC South teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -3

In Week 15 of Monday Night Football, it's a clash between the Eagles (10-3, 6-4-3 ATS) and the Seahawks (6-7, 6-6-1 ATS) at Lumen Field. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. The opening odds for this showdown Moneyline (ML): Eagles -205, Seahawks +172, and Against the spread (ATS): Eagles -4.5 (-105). Worth noting, the initial spread has shifted, and we now have the Eagles at -3. In their recent outings, the Eagles suffered a tough loss to the Cowboys, falling 33-13, while the Seahawks, with Drew Lock at QB, covered the spread as 16.5-point road underdogs in a 28-16 loss to the 49ers. The Seahawks are hopeful for Geno Smith's return on MNF. Looking at the history between these two teams, this Monday's game marks their 20th meeting, with Seattle holding a 12-7 advantage. Week 12 of the 2020 season was their last matchup, Seattle won 23-17. The line has dropped due to the Eagles' recent struggles against the Cowboys and 49ers. However, they previously defeated challenging opponents like the Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bills. Facing Seattle's struggling defense, which ranks poorly against both the run and pass, presents a promising opportunity. Seattle, on a four-game losing streak, has also faced strong teams like the Niners, Cowboys, and Rams. This matchup offers potential for the Eagles' offense to shine. Listen you know I'm a Seahawks fan, and the Hawks haven't lost to the Eagles in the PC era but this is a strange year, and I just don't trust the Seahawks team any longer. I just can't for the life of me see them winning this game on Monday night. So...I'm playing the Eagles -3. Trends, Eagles are 10-3 SU L13 games, and are 9-2 SU L11 vs. NFC teams. Hawks are 1-5 SU L6, 1-4 SU L5 vs. NFC teams, and are 1-6 ATS L7 in December. This won't be a blowout by any means, but Lumen Field isn't as tough to win for road teams as it used to be and Phili is a much better team than Seattle is. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 41.5

This is a RARE 10* top play! On Sunday night, the Ravens (10-3, 8-5 ATS, 6-7 O/U) will be facing the Jaguars (8-5, 8-5 ATS, 7-6 O/U), kick off at 8:20pm ET from EverBank Stadium, in JVille, FL, watch on NBC. Sunday Night Football and I'm expecting a gunfight at the O.K. Corral. Both of teams have what we call in the industry "high octane offenses". Both can score quick and if you look at what the did last year it tells me we can expect more of the same this year. (28-27 final score). This upcoming matchup could very well surpass that high-scoring affair. The Ravens look of late like they have shifted their offensive strategy towards a greater emphasis on passing. It's working. They're showing us explosive big-play potential. Lamar averaged 11+ air yards per attempt vs. the Rams. This transformation has resulted in them scoring 31 points or more in 6 out of their last 7. Flowers, OBJ, & Likely are all HR hitters, and Lamar...well. At this juncture of the season, Jackson stands out as one of the NFL's premier performers. His impressive record now sits at 14-3 for December, making him the 2nd-most successful QB in the NFL since 2018. They're on top of their game as evidenced by the fact that 3 out of their last 4 games they've scored more than 54, and in 5 of their last 7 they've managed to go over 44. The Jags are quite familiar with high-scoring games as well. In their recent 4, they have consistently reached a total of 45+, and this pattern has persisted in 7 of last 9. Their D isn't what everyone thinks it is either. Allowing 24+ in their last 4. The last prime-time Jags game vs. the Bengals is just a taste of what this game will offer. So buckle up. It's going to be fun! Trends, Over has hit in 5 of Ravens L7, and OVER has hit in 4 of Jags L6 at home. The OVER has also hit in 7 of the Jags L8 in December. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday *RARE* 10* NFL O/U Top Play

Bills -1.5

The Cowboys (10-3, 9-4 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) and Bills (7-6, 5-8 ATS, 5-2 HOME) will face off this Sunday afternoon at Highmark Stadium. The game is set to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on FOX. Buffalo seems to have hit their stride lately, and their recent triumph against the Chiefs appears to have saved their season. With 2 wins in their last 3 games, they've joined a 6-team tie for the last 2 AFC Wild Card spots. Their 20-17 victory over the Chiefs provided a much-needed morale boost. Allen had an impressive performance, amassing 233 PAYDS & 1 TD, likely boosting his confidence. I also have confidence in the Bills' defense this week. While Dallas boasts a potent offense this season, Buffalo's defense has been stepping up, and I expect them to do so again on Sunday. When playing at home, the Bills are a formidable force, securing 3 wins in their last 4 home games and covering the spread in 5 of their last 7 December games. In their recent matchups against the Cowboys, they hold a 4-1-1 record in the last 6. I've watched almost every minute of every Cowboys game this season and I'm here to tell you the loss of Hankins is a big, big, big deal. It gives the Bills run game a sliver of hope, and that's all they need in this one with such a tight spread. We all know the Cowboys have had an easy schedule... right? The Dallas offense has boosted its statistics by facing weak opponents and favorable conditions, and you know it's true, but it has only managed to score more than 23 points in a single away game out of its last 5, with the exception being the Panthers. I'm a believer that Allen will scramble all night long, as the Cowboys have for the most part contained run-games, but they haven't contained running QB's. It'll be in the game plan. Diggs will get back on track, and Cook and Gabe Davis will have bigtime impact games. Hopefully the weather is terrible too! Predicted High 40's 25% chance of rain. Trends, DAL 1-4-1 ATS L6 vs. BUFF, Bills 13-7 SU L20, 5-1 SU L6 vs. NFC, and 5-2 ATS L7 in DEC. Bills have won 2 straight vs. Big D. It's going to be 3. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

UNDER 38

In Week 15, it's Chicago (5-8, 6-5-2 ATS, 2-5 AWAY) facing off against Cleveland (8-5, 8-5 ATS, 6-1 HOME) at Cleveland Browns Stadium, with kickoff set for 1 p.m. ET on FOX. The odds for this matchup are as follows: Moneyline (ML): Bears +148 | Browns -170, Against the spread (ATS): Browns -3, and the opening total, Over/Under (O/U): 37.5. The last time these teams met was on September 26, 2021, in Cleveland, where the Browns secured a 26-6 victory as a 7.5-point favorite. Over the years, they've clashed a total of 17 times since 2009, with the Browns claiming victory in 10 of those matchups and the Bears winning 7. Chicago has been on a roll lately, winning 3 out of their last 4 games. Their defense has been impressive, conceding 13 or fewer points in 3 of those 4 games. On the flip side, the Browns have been strong in both passing and rushing defense this season. However, they gave up 27 points and nearly 400 yards of offense in Week 14. This performance puts the responsibility squarely on the shoulders of Walker Jr, Harris, Smith, and Garrett. I anticipate a full turnaround from them this week against the Bears. Neither team is particularly good in the red zone (bottom 15 in the NFL), Neither average more than 22PPG, both are bottom 12 in the NFL in TOT Yds per game, and both are bottom 5 in TOT Yds per play. When it comes to passing stats, both are Bottom 8 in the NFL. Don't get me started on QB ratings. Trends, UNDER has hit in 5 of the L6 Bears' matchups, and we've seen the UNDER in 4 of the L5 Bears' games vs. AFC North teams. On the other side, the UNDER is 8-1-2 in the Browns' L11 home games, and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Browns' L5 vs. the Bears, 11 of their L16 vs. NFC Teams, and all 5 of the Browns' games vs. NFC North teams. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play 

UNDER 47.5

Denver (7-6, 5-7-1 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) and Detroit (9-4, 8-5 ATS, 4-2 HOME) will clash in a rare Saturday NFL matchup at Ford Field, going up against a slate of college football bowl games for ratings. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm ET, with opening odds showing Moneyline (ML) Broncos +168 | Lions -200, Against the Spread (ATS) Lions -4 (-110), and Over/Under (O/U) total 40. Historically, Denver leads the series 9-5, winning their last 3 meetings, including a dominant 38-10 victory in 2021. The Lions come off a 28-13 loss to the Bears on Dec. 10, while the Broncos secured a 24-7 win over the Chargers. In last week's action, Goff threw for 161 YDS, 1 TD, and 2 INT's for the Lions, while Wilson passed for 224 YDS, 2 TD's and 1 INT for the Broncos. Not overly stellar numbers for either QB. The Broncos hold a 9-5 record in 14 regular-season games dating back to 1971. Denver faces a challenging week, playing their third consecutive road game on a short week, despite winning six of their last seven games. On the other side, the Lions are highly motivated, eyeing a playoff spot in the competitive NFC. Trends, the total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Broncos L8, and the UNDER is 5-0 in DEN's L5 as a DOG, and is 7-0-1 in the Broncos L8 following a win of +14, lastly we've seen the UNDER hit in 4 of DEN's L5 on the road. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NFL O/U Play

Colts PK (Or play the Colts on the ML, your call)

The Steelers (7-6, 7-6 ATS, 3-2 AWAY) are set to face the Colts (7-6, 2-4 HOME, 8-5 ATS) on Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET (NFL Network). In terms of opening sportsbook odds, the Moneyline (ML) has the Steelers at +105 and the Colts at -125. The ATS line favors the Colts at -1.5 (-110), although there has been a shift towards Pittsburgh. The total Over/Under (O/U) is set at 42.5. In their recent games, the Colts suffered a 34-14 defeat against the Bengals on Sunday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. Meanwhile, the Steelers are currently on a two-game losing streak, having lost 21-18 to the Patriots on Thursday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. The Colts are the move here on Saturday. This is a fade of Pittsburgh for a lot of reasons. Even with Kenny Pickett, they were playing on borrowed time as they were constantly outgained yardage wise. This team has struggled all season long and now they have Mitch Trubisky running the show. That doesn’t bode well for a team that is averaging just 16 PPG. They have had zero consistency and their inability to sustain drives has been the biggest flaw. They also come in off back to back tough losses to two sub par teams. The Cardinals and Pats have put them in tough spots as now this schedule doesn’t get any easier. Indy is right there as well in the playoff race with an identical 7-6 record. Despite struggling in Cinci last week, they still have a lot to build off of lately. Prior to that, they won 4 in a row and they are relentless on both sides of the ball. The difference here will be their ability to score. Before that loss to Cinci, they put up performances of 28 and 31 in two wins. Fade Pittsburgh in this spot. I don't Pittsburgh will be playing with the lead, and because of this they'll be throwing which at least plays into the Colts defensive strength. Trends, the Steelers are 6-12 ATS in their L18 in DEC. Indy are 4-1 ATS in their L5, 4-1 SU in their L5, and 4-2 ATS in their L6 when playing as the favorite. Colts are 6-4 in their L10 home games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 7* NFL ATS Play

Vikings +3.5

In Week 15, the (7-6, 7-4-2 ATS, 5-2 AWAY) Vikings face the Bengals (7-6, 4-3 HOME, 6-6-1 ATS) at Cincinnati's Paycor Stadium on Saturday at 1pm ET. Bengals -3.5 favorites, O/U 39. The Moneyline odds show the Bengals at -197 and the Vikings at +162. Nick Mullens vs. Jake Browning! Tell me that doesn't get you excited for some Saturday afternoon football. This feels like a last minute FG for the win type game doesn't it?  The Vikings arrive after a 3-0 victory in the season's lowest-scoring NFL game against Las Vegas. Meanwhile, the 7-6 Bengals, led by backup QB Jake Browning, lost his debut but secured two wins against AFC South opponents, Jacksonville and Indianapolis. Head-to-head: The Vikings and Bengals have met 14 times, each team securing 7 victories. Stats, both teams boast middle-of-the-pack offensive stats, with MIN averaging 20.5 PPG and 341.5 YPG, while CIN scores 21.5 PPG and gains 314.2 YDS on average. On the defensive side, MIN has been more efficient, allowing just 18.6 PPG and 311.2 YPG, ranking fifth and tenth, respectively. In contrast, CIN's defense has struggled, conceding 22.1 points and 379.2 YPG, placing them 17th and 31st. That's where this game will be won by the Vikings. BLITZ BLITZ BLITZ, and Browning's head will be on a swivel the entire game. Minnesota's D is nasty when they want to be. NO TD's L2 games allowed. The fewest TD's in the NFL since week 6. Nick Mullens should do OK as well moving the chains here, just doing his job. The Bengals D scares noone. Trends, Minnesota are 6-1-1 ATS in their L8, are 6-2 SU in their L8 games, and are 5-0-1 ATS in their L6 on the road. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play

Under 35

In a Thursday Night Football showdown, the (5-8, 3-3 AWAY, 4-8-1 ATS) Chargers take on the (5-8, 6-5-2 ATS, 4-3 HOME) Raiders Thursday at Allegiant Stadium in LV, on Amazon Prime at 8:15pm ET. Las Vegas is favored by 3 points, with a Moneyline of -161, while the Chargers are at +134. The over/under for the game is 33.5 points I'm not a fan of the spread on this one, but I'll likely look more into it in the AM and put it out as a 5* free play. My big play on this game is on the TOTAL. Looking at the UNDER. We've had some success this season betting unders on prime time games. Tell me again why the Chargers are dogs? The Chargers have averaged 21.7 PPG, ranking 15th, whereas the Raiders have scored 15.5 PPG, placing them 25th. In yardage, the Chargers average 334.3 YPG (17th), while the Raiders trail with 277.7 YPG (29th). In their initial meeting this season, the Chargers secured a 24-17 victory against the Raiders. With the point spread favoring the Chargers by -6.5. Not on my life can I back the OVER in this game. Some guy named Easton Stick at QB for LAC, they have no Allen, No Herbert, and then couple that with a Raiders offense that is going backwards (Less than 17PPG L4 games) and I'd be crazy to bet the OVER here. Chargers ran the ball 35+ times in G1, and that was with NO Ekeler in the game. RUN RUN RUN, clock moves! Rinse Wash Repeat! (Even better both teams' rush offenses are bottom 6 in the NFL, so they run, but they don't go anywhere...perfect) Trends, Chargers, the total points scored have remained below the mark, with 10 of their L11 and all 5 of their recent road games falling short. LV has also witnessed a pattern of low-scoring contests, with 5 of their L6 finishing under, and 4 out of 5 games against the Chargers displaying a similar trend. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* NFL O/U Play

Dolphins -13

In Week 14 on Monday Night Football, we've got Tennessee (4-8, 5-7 ATS) facing off against the Dolphins (9-3, 8-4 ATS) in one of 2x MNF matchups. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, FL and will be broadcast nationally on ESPN. The early Moneyline odds show Titans at +550 and Dolphins at -800 (proceed with caution!). Looking at the spread, Dolphins are favored by -13 (-110), and the initial total (O/U) is set at 47. In their recent outings, the Titans came up short against the Colts, losing 31-28 as 1-point underdogs, while the Dolphins cruised to a 45-15 win over the Commanders, covering as 9-point road favorites. This marks the 40th meeting between these two, with Miami holding a 21-18 edge. Their most recent clash was Week 17 of 2021, Titans dominated 34-3 victory. It wasn't even a contest to be honest. Over their last 10 games, Miami holds a 6-4 record. Huge spread here in 1 of the 2 MNF games this week. But I'm never afraid of a huge line. Last time we played one like this we had the Cowboys a couple weeks ago, and it cleared easy. This is a fade on the Titans for a few reasons. For starters, this team has just battled so many key injuries, it’s been near impossible to overcome. The Titans have Levis running the show at QB, who just isn’t going to overpower anyone. Now, Henry may miss this contest and without him, this offense stands no chance to keep up with the Dolphins offense. Miami is averaging 32 PPG and they’re doing it with so many different weapons. They strike as quickly as anyone and they aren’t shy about throwing teams off with a little tempo. The Titans have been a disaster on the defensive side and they’re going to have their hands full with this Miami attack. This is just a lopsided game whichever way you look at it. Miami’s defense even is near the top in the league, allowing just 22 points per game. They’re going to have Tennessee on edge all night long.  Plain and simple the Fins are the better team here, and I just don't see a path for a Titans cover. No way, no how! Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Eagles +3.5

The Eagles (10-2, 6-3-3 ATS) and Cowboys (9-3, 8-4 ATS) are set to face off in a Week 14 divisional showdown this Sunday night, with kickoff at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let's take a look at the opening odds for the Eagles vs. Cowboys matchup. For those who like to bet straight up, the moneyline shows the Eagles at +145 and the Cowboys at -175. On the spread (ATS), the Cowboys are favored by -3 points (-120), and the initial total Over/Under (O/U) stands at 51.5 points. Dallas is coming off a Thursday night win over the Seahawks, but they didn't cover the spread, winning 41-35 as -9.5 favorites. Meanwhile, the Eagles had a tough outing, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on Sunday. They seemed exhausted, having played three games in the last 10 days. They are a solid 5-1 on the road and being undervalued a bit after getting knocked around by the 49ers. Hopefully, they've had some much-needed rest before this Sunday night clash. The Eagles had their impressive 5-game winning streak snapped, and in the longstanding rivalry between the Eagles and Cowboys (played 129 times, with Dallas leading 73-56), the Cowboys have won the last 5 games at AT&T Stadium. Earlier this season in Dallas, the Eagles managed to defeat the Cowboys 28-23. The Eagles and Cowboys rivalries in the past have produced some fun games. This one, is going to be quite the show as they battle on SNF with a lot on the line here. The Eagles and Cowboys are in the midst of two amazing seasons as they prepare for battle in this one. Philadelphia has proven they can go on the road and win in hostile environments already as they came from behind against the Chiefs earlier this year. One thing for sure is that this Eagles team does not lose in bunches. They are going to lean on their ability to strike with the big play. Philadelphia ranks 9th in the NFL in total offense and 4th in total points scored. They have the most dangerous weapons and they should be able to pick apart this Dallas secondary. Philadelphia's defense ranks 4th in the NFL against the rush and they are going to be hungry to bounce back after last week's performance. Trends, Eagles are 4-1-1 ATS L6, 5-1 SU L6, 12-2 SU L14 on the road, and 9-1 SU L10 vs. NFC teams. Meet me at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -2.5

In the NFL showdown happening this Sunday, it's Buffalo (6-6, 4-8 ATS) facing off against Kansas City (8-4, 7-5 ATS). The game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET at GEHA Field in Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO, and you can catch it on CBS if you can't be there in person. When it comes to the moneyline (ML) wager, the Bills are sitting at +130, while the Chiefs are favored at -155. Looking at the spread (ATS), the Chiefs have a -3-point advantage, and the initial Over/Under total is set at 48. Buffalo has the historical edge, leading the all-time series 28-24-1. KC had a tough loss on Monday Night Football, falling 27-19 to Green Bay. Despite the shorter week, they're accustomed to the MNF road game, travel, and Sunday home match routine. On the other hand, Buffalo had a week off following their Week 12 overtime loss to the Eagles (37-34). The Bills have had a bit of a rough patch, losing three out of their last four games. We all know this line would be -7 if we knew Taylor Swift was attending...and you know it. I'm on the Chiefs at home on Sunday. There's been some good matchups between these two in past years, (BUF has won 2/3) but that's just it, it was in past years. The Chiefs while coming off a loss to GB (I think) are better than last year, they just don't show it every week. But this is a big game. At home, they'll have home cookin' here, and I don't think the Bills have the horses to keep up. Andy just has too many weapons. It's not like the Bills are overly healthy on defense either. Trends, Bills 1-7 ATS L8 games, 2-4 SU L6 games, 3-6 ATS L9 vs. KC. Bills are 1-7 ATS in their L8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their L7 games following a ATS loss, plus, they're 16-4 SU in their L20, and are 9-2 L11 vs. AFC East teams. Back the Chiefs and lay the points. Smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Raiders +3

In this Week 14 matchup on Sunday, the Vikings (6-6) and the Raiders (5-7) are set to clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV, with a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff (FOX broadcast). Let's break down the odds: The Moneyline shows the Vikings at -134 and the Raiders at +118. The ATS (Against the Spread) line favors the Vikings at -1.5 (-115), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at a total of 40.5 points for all the gamblers out there. In their previous game, the Vikings suffered a tough 12-10 loss to Chicago and failed to cover the 3-point spread. However, they maintain a decent 4-2 road record this season. On the other side, the Raiders last took the field on November 26, losing 31-17 to the Chiefs. Despite dropping 4 of their last 6, it's worth noting that they faced some formidable opponents. Furthermore, the team hasn't given up under interim coach Antonio Pierce. If you watched the last Vikings game you have to be wondering how they can lay 3 against any team in the NFL right now. I'm certainly scratching my head here. They do welcome back JJ this week. Raiders come in rested off of a bye, 2 weeks to gameplan, and the Vikings certainly don't present an offense like that of the Chiefs and Dolphins gauntlet the Raida's just went thru. This game should be the battle of the #1 WR's. Adams vs. Jefferson, and on the defensive side it will be Hunter vs. Crosby. My X-factor is going to be O'Connell. This game will be his 6th start. 4 TD's and 6 INT's so far. He has to stretch the field here to give Jacobs room to run. I think he will. Some trends, this matchup is even over the L10 games (5-5 ATS each), Raiders lead series all time 10-6. 5-2 at home. Minnesota are 2-5 SU in their L7 when playing on the road against LV. I'm on Vegas. Grab the points and smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

RARE 10* Sunday NFL TOP PLAY

Ravens -7

In Week 14, Baltimore (9-3) is set to take on the LAR (6-6), with both teams aiming to extend their recent winning streaks. Here are the key numbers to consider: The opening NFL betting odds show the Moneyline (ML) at Rams +240 and Ravens -300, while the Against the Spread (ATS) line has the Ravens at +7 (-110). The Over/Under (O/U) total is set at 43.5. Weather could be a factor today. High 50's, 88% chance of rain, and 6-8mph winds. The Rams are coming into this matchup on the back of a three-game winning streak, which has helped them secure the 8th spot in the NFC with a 6-6 record. Meanwhile, Baltimore had a bye week in Week 13 but had won two consecutive games leading up to it. They currently stand at 2nd place in the AFC. The Rams aren’t as good as their record may indicate. While they took care of business last week, it was against a Joe Flacco led Browns team that certainly isn’t going to overwhelm anyone. The Rams are running into a Ravens team who will be battling for the top spot in the AFC and that comes in off a bye. Harbaugh has been electric off bye weeks and this Baltimore team is well rested now. The extra week gave Lamar Jackson a chance to get himself to 100%, which will spell a lot of troubles for LA. The Rams are also battling injuries themselves. Nacua is listed as questionable and even if he goes, the Rams other top wide out isn’t going to be at 100% himself. Baltimore is going to overwhelm the Rams, who come across country for an early start time. The Ravens offense will have a field day and Jackson will be a problem with both his arm and legs on Sunday. Trends, Rams 2-4 ATS L6, 0-4-1 L5 vs. Ravens, 1-4 SU L5 vs. Ravens, and 3-10 SU L13 on the road. On the other side the Ravens are 6-1 SU L7, and 10-4 ATS L14 games. Lastly, Ravens are 7-0 SU L7 vs. the NFC. Meet me at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bears +3.5

These two met a couple weeks ago when the Lions were 7-2, and the Bears were 3-7 at Ford Field. Lions won by 5. For this one, I didn't quite get +4, but I'll take +3.5 with a little extra juice on Sunday for Chicago. IF you can get -110, GOOD for you! This number should only go the other way by Friday/Sat. In Week 14, the Lions (9-3) are facing off against the Bears (4-8) this Sunday. The game kicks off at 1 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL, and you can catch it on FOX. For those looking to bet, the Moneyline (ML) odds are as follows: Lions -196 and Bears +164. When it comes to the point spread, it's Lions -4 (-110), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 45. Weather will be a factor today. Mid 30's, 93% cloudy, low chance of rain, but its going to be cold. 10-15mph winds. The Bears have been showing some signs of improvement, winning 2 of their last 3 games, and they're coming off a bye week in Week 13. In their last outing, they secured a narrow 12-10 victory against the Vikings in a rather gritty contest. But one that was REALLY REALLY BORING! Meanwhile, the Lions have been on a roll, winning 4 out of their last 5. They recently handled the Saints in New Orleans, coming out on top with a 33-28 W and covering the 3.5. Detroit is starting to see some regression and this is not a good spot for them. The Lions fast start to the season has started to come back a little bit as this team is struggling in a few areas. The main concern coming into Sunday is their red zone abilities. They rank 30th in the NFL inside the red zone and they’ve started to turn the ball over a lot lately. The Bears aren’t any kind of pushover either. They come in off a win over Minnesota as their defense has come up big in a few games this year. Off a bye week, this is a revenge spot for them against Detroit. The well rested Bears are going to put up points against this Lions defense, that has given up 28 and 29 point performances over the last two weeks. Chicago are 4-2 ATS in their L6. Bears have the #3 rush offense, if they can control the "TOP" they give themselves a great chance here. Bears haven't beat the Lions since 11/25/21 a 16-14 win. I expect the same type of score in this one, unsure if Bears win outright, but they'll keep it within the number. Meet me at the window. Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 30

Thursday night we get another snoozefest of a football game in the NFL. (I'll be watching NBA tournament tonight in case you're wondering!) It's the (2-10, 2-10 ATS, 1-4 AWAY) New England Patriots taking on the (7-5, 7-5 ATS, 4-3 HOME) Pittsburgh Steelers. Odds opened with the Steelers at -6.5, it's now -5.5. The O/U opened at 32.5, it's now 30. I sat on this for the longest time, as you know I usually lock in plays for NFL early in the week. But I kept coming back to this one. 30 is an exceptionally LOW total for an NFL game. I'm of the opinion both teams will have more offensive success than expected. My fingers are also crossed for some quick scores or maybe some red zone turnovers. Hell even a defensive TD will help the cause here. I know the Patriots just got shutout, but how often does that happen in the NFL? The weather was the main reason there. Is the Steelers defense really that formidable? I don't think so, and therefore I'm expecting some offense tonight. We’re on this Over on TNF as the Pats and Steelers battle it out. We get a lower total here and the public continues to pound this under. Obviously we have two teams who aren’t known to light up the scoreboard, but there’s a couple situational angles here on this total. Pittsburgh is going with Mitchell Trubisky, who does have some success in his past. With Pickett down, this is his chance to lead a team to a potential playoff spot and prove his worth. He did toss a TD in the loss to Arizona, a game in which Pittsburgh allowed 24 points. The Steelers defense has regressed a bit from their start this season.  They have struggled at times with allowing the big play and the Patriots are going to find some success here with throwing the ball. New England has been a mess defensively themselves. The rain aided them last week, but they won’t slow teams down. Pittsburgh will run all over them and set themselves up for many scoring chances. The Steelers / Patriots rivalry has been played 34x (5 playoff), Steelers have won 16, NE 18. Last 5 matchups. 9/18/22 NE 17 PIT 14 in PITT, 9/8/2019 PIT 3 NE 33 in NE. 12/16/18 NE 10 PIT 17 in PIT. 12/17/17 NE 27 PIT 24 in PIT. Last one, 1/22/2017 PIT 17 NE 36 in NE. Injuries of note: Pickett (PIT), N. Harris (?) (PIT), Stevenson (NE) Weather: Low 40's 5% Chance of Rain, 5-7 mph winds. Trends: You won't find any. If you want some action tonight play this one small. Enjoy the ride on our money train tonight. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 6* NFL O/U Play

Jaguars -8

Monday Night Football & the Joe Burrow (less) Cincinnati Bengals (5-6, 4-6-1 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) go down to Jacksonville to take on the AFC South leading Jaguars (8-3, 8-3 ATS, 3-3 HOME) on Sunday. Opening odds for this one have the ML Bengals +375 | Jaguars -500, and the spread is set at Jaguars -10 (-110), the O/U is set at 40. The last time these two met up was 9/30/21, a 24-21 Bengals win, JAX covered the 7.5 in that one. Bengals have lost 3 in a row. Jags have won 4 of their last 5. These are two teams going in complete opposite directions coming into play. Obviously things for the Bengals have taken a huge halt after Joe Burrow’s season came to an end. This Bengals side is no longer a threat on the offensive end and they’ve been abysmal since Burrow went down. Jake Browning fell to the Steelers last time out as Cincinnati has had zero success moving the ball. There is just no way this Bengals offense can keep up. Jacksonville is on another level right now as this offense is one of the best in the NFL. They come in putting up 58 points combined the last two games and the defense has even caused a lot of havoc. The Jags are giving up just 20.5 points per game this season and will cause so many issues for Browning. This is going to be a lopsided game from the start with the Jags simply overwhelming the Bengals. Some trends that make me think I'm on the right track here include: the Bengals are 2-8 SU in their L10 when playing on the road against the Jags, they're also 1-7 ATS in their L8 against an opponent in the AFC. On the other side, Jacksonville are 7-1 ATS in their L8, are 7-1 SU in their L8 games, plus the Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their L5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, and finally, the Jags are 8-3 SU in their L11 games at home. Don't overthink this one. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Packers +6

On Sunday night football on NBC we get the (8-3, ATS) KC Chiefs taking on the suddenly relevant Green Bay Packers (5-6). Chasing down a WC spot in the NFC. 8:20pm ET kickoff from Lambeau Field. Packers are +6pt dogs. The O/U total is set at 42.5. Straight up bettors will get the Chiefs at -245. The Packers are +205 on the ML. We're backing the home side in this one. No matter what, it's always going to be tough for visiting teams to come into Lambeau Field, let alone a night game. This place will be rocking. During the initial two months of the season, Jordan Love's trial appeared to be a big flop, and folks in Green Bay were in danger of losing their jobs. Luckily, things have turned around, and now Love is performing like one of the top NFL quarterbacks, saving everyone's employment. I'm on the Jordon Love train. The kid is starting to look much better and I think at home on Sunday Night Football it's going to be his coming out party. On the season now Love is 225/372 for a 60% completion %, He's chucked for 2599 yards, 19TD/10 INT's for an 87QBR. To the eye test he's improving nearly every game. Sure he has some hiccups in his game, but what young QB doesn't? On the whole the Packers looked like a different team on Thanksgiving, and with 10 days to rest and get ready for Coach Andy, I think they'll respond. The Packers offense has put up at least 375 yards in four straight games with back to back impressive wins over Detroit and the Chargers. This isn't the first time Love has played the Chiefs. His first start in 2021 he came in and started for Rogers when he was taken out by a positive Covid-19 test. Remember that? LOL. This marks the Chiefs’ first regular-season game in GB since 2015, and that means it will be Mahomes' first time in Wisconsin. Hopefully the winter is NASTY. KC is coming off a 31-17 triumph over the Raiders. Kansas City will have their hands full with this Packers offense. Combine that with the Packers holding the 8th best pass defense in the NFL and Mahomes will have some frustrations from the start. The Packers can keep this one close. With the energy from the crowd, they will have their chances to seize momentum throughout.  Trends. Packers are 15-0 in December games during LaFleur’s tenure, and Green Bay are 8-4 ATS in their L12 played on a Sunday. KC are 1-4 ATS in their L5 games against Green Bay. I'm riding the Cheese here on Sunday night. Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

OVER 46.5

As prime-time a matchup as we will see this week when two teams that met in the NFC Championship last year lock horns this week. The San Francisco 49ers on 10 days rest (8-3, 6-5 ATS, 4-2 AWAY) take on the Philadelphia Eagles (10-1, 7-2-2 ATS, 5-0 HOME), and I'm expecting points. PHI 28PPG, SF 28PPG, 49ers D #1 15PPG, but Phili's D #20 22PPG, Both teams top 5 in the Red Zone, both teams top 10 in Total Yds per game, Total yards per play, Rush Yds per game, and both Top 15 in Passing yards per game. Eagles have put up 28+ in home games, Niners seem to be able to get 8 yards on EVERY play they run from scrimmage. This game should produce plenty of back and forth action. Philadelphia continues to be the team to beat in the NFL. They had another come from behind win as they took down the Bills in OT last week. However, their defense has far too many question marks. They were on the field for 92 plays last week and now they'll get a very physical and talented 49ers team that they have to deal with. Making this Over even more lucrative, both of these offenses sit tied for 3rd in points per game. They come in averaging 28.2 PPG each as the playmakers on each side are top tier. Philadelphia has scored over 28 points in every home game this season as well. Knowing this, the 49ers aren't going to be afraid to go for big plays themselves. Given the explosiveness of these two sides, we are going to get production and a lot of big plays. I even think it could go the same way the Cowboys / Seahawks game went on Thursday night. Let's have NO punts again. Punters are over-rated anyways. OR, I'm expecting a game like the Bills/Eagles game turned out, good weather or bad weather these offenses can move the ball. Some trends that make me like my pick even more. OVER is 5-1 in Eagles L6 home games, 4-1 in Eagles L5 games after allowing 150 yards rushing in their previous matchup, and the OVER is 4-1 in Niners L5 in Week 13. (Random I know) I'm forecasting points in this one. You know what to do. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play

Rams -3.5

The Rams (5-6, 5-5-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME) are set to face the Cleveland Browns (7-4, 6-5 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) this Sunday at 4:25 PM ET at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. You can catch the action on FOX. The odds have the Rams favored by -3.5 ATS, with opening moneyline lines at Rams (-184) and Browns (+155). The over/under total is set at 39.5 points. H2H the Rams are 5-1 in their L6 matchups. Averaging 22PPG, to Cleveland's 13PPG. They last met 9/22/2019 a 20-13 LAR win.  These two have played 24x thru the years, the Rams have a 13-11 advantage. In their recent matchup last week, the Browns had a tough outing, losing 29-12 to the Broncos, and it felt like they weren't really in the game, especially after Thompson-Robinson suffered a concussion. While the Browns boast a formidable defense, it's important to remember that having a top-notch defense doesn't guarantee victory every time. Without a noteable starting QB the NFL is seeing the Browns are just an ordinary team with no real playmakers to hit home. On the flip side, the Rams are coming off a convincing 37-14 victory over the Cardinals. Matthew Stafford was on fire, throwing for 229 yards, 4 TD's, and 1 INT, completing 25/33 passes. The Rams also welcomed back Kyren Williams, and if you, like me, had him on your fantasy bench, you missed out on his stellar performance. He rushed for 143 yards on 16 carries and added 6 receptions for 61 yards and 2 TD's. With Kupp and Atwell also contributing, the Rams are suddenly back in the playoff conversation. The big question for the Browns this Sunday is who will be their starting quarterback. It's an uncertainty that adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. I'm also unsure of Garrett is going to be, he looked really banged up on Sunday. In any case, if we see Joe Flacco at QB on Sunday I'll be licking my chops. So will Aaron Donald. Some trends to see here, the Browns are 1-5 ATS vs. the Rams L6, and are 1-5 SU in their L6 vs. LAR, plus they're 3-12 SU in their L15 vs. the NFC west teams. Last one, Browns are 1-5 ATS in their L6 after allowing LESS than 150 yds passing in prior game. The Rams are glad December is here, they're 7-1 ATS in their L8 in December. Sunday I'm backing the Lambs. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

UNDER 37

Sunday the Carolina Panthers (1-10, 1-8-2 ATS, 0-6 AWAY) visit the Tampa Bay Bucs (4-7, 7-4 ATS, 2-3 HOME) in NFC South action. I'm with the PUBLIC on this one. How does this game go OVER? Will a team with a rookie QB and an entirely new offensive coaching staff be able to put any pieces in place to suddenly resurrect this offense? Young has 1877 yards on the season, a 5.4 YPC, and averaging 187 YPG thru the air. He's been picked 8x, sacked 40x and has a 61% completion percentage. Hubbard is struggling to run behind an O-line that can't get anyone out of the way. He's got 450 yards, averages 3.8 YPC, and only has 2 TD's. Miles Sanders isn't any better (he fumbles too). Thielen started the season looking like a pro-bowler, but last week was brutal. 1 catch 2 yards. Hardly inspiring. He did have 8 for 74 vs. Dallas the week before, but this is painful. Now for the Bucs. The one bright spot with the Panthers is that it seems like their defense is still playing hard. That has to be a win. So I think the Panthers can actually keep the Bucs down in this one. We don't know if Mayfield is going to play at this point either. His ankle is hurting, but the MRI was negative. Last week he was 20/30 for 199 2 TD's and 1 INT. I'm secretly hoping we see Kyle Trask this week! White, Evans, Godwin present issues for any offense, but if the main man is hobbled I'm not sure how good they can be. The Bucs average 19PPG, the Panthers 15PPG. The Bucs D is pretty good too only allowing 20PPG. (Panthers 26PPG). Neither team is good in the red zone. (CAR 19th, TB 27th), and on 3rd down they both struggle too. CAR 20th, TB 15th. When they last played 1/1/23 we saw a 30-24 scoreline, but you know who the QB's were in that one, this is much different. On 10/23/22 the Panthers won 21-3, so there's that. Trends, Under is 5-0 in the Panthers L5, 4-1 L5 vs. NFC South teams, and 5-0 in Panthers L5 vs. a team with a losing record. While the UNDER is also 4-0 in the Bucs L4 home games, and 4-0 in their L4 games following an ATS loss, and lastly the UNDER has hit in 7 of the L9 TB matchups. I'm banking on the defenses on Sunday. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play

Broncos +3.5

On Sunday, the Broncos (6-5, 2-2 AWAY, 4-6-1 ATS) are set to face off against the Texans (6-5, 4-2 HOME, 5-6 ATS) at NRG Stadium, with the game scheduled to kick off at 1pm ET CBS for TV. The initial odds for the Moneyline (ML) indicated the Broncos at +135 and the Texans at -160. The Texans were also initially favored by -3 points, and the Over/Under (O/U) for the game was set at 46.5 points. Nice matchup between two AFC contenders?! I didn't see that coming! Last game out the Broncos kept their hot streak alive with a conclusive 29-12 W over the Browns at home. Call me crazy but I'm actually buying what Russell Wilson is selling of late. (His stats while not AMAZING me are good enough to deliver wins, and that's all I can ask for right now) Maybe the Broncs have Sean Payton's magic touch to thank? He's clearly having an effect on the team, and isn't washed up yet as so many were saying after the way DVR started the year. Maybe it's the run game. The Perine/Williams combo seems like a match made in heaven as a 1-2 punch. More than likely though its the Broncos defense. The DVR pass rush is all world currently. These guys are really getting home. As a result the Broncs are a TURNOVER machine. 20 takeaways now (has them 4th in the NFL). Ball Hawk U! Stroud will have to have his head on a swivel in this one. On the other side the Texans are one of the surprise teams this year, but I'm not convinced yet. They were good, but not good enough to take out the Jags on Sunday and lost 24-21. The Jags got some revenge for the earlier loss to Houston (37-17 Week 3). The Broncos will have a gameplan ready for Dell and Stroud though, there's plenty of film on these guys now, and I don't foresee too many surprises. Past matchups: 9/18/22 Denver 16, Houston 9. 12/8/19 Denver 38, Houston 24. Since 2007 8 matchups, Denver leads 5-3. Some trends, Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L5 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Plus, the Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L5. On the visiting side, Denver are 4-1 ATS in their L5, lastly, they're 5-0 SU L5, 4-1 SU L5 vs. Texans. My money is on the Broncos coming thru and covering the 3.5 on Sunday. I trust Sean Payton in this spot to put just enough wrinkles in to keep the rookie QB on his toes all day long. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Over 47.5

Tonight, the Seahawks (6-5, 5-5-1 ATS) are playing against the Cowboys (8-3, 8-3 ATS). The game is set to start at 8:15pm ET and will be available on Prime Video. The Cowboys have been doing well lately, winning five out of their last six games after a tough 42-10 loss to the 49ers on October 8.The Seahawks have lost 2 in a row and 3 of 4, 49ers and Eagles up next. This is a tough stretch no doubt, but do we really know if the Cowboys are a good team? They've won games, sure, but they've beaten 7 teams that are under .500. I think Seattle can keep the score respectable here by also getting into the endzone and the red zone. When it's all said and done we're on the Over in TNF as the Cowboys and Seahawks battle it out on Thursday night. The Cowboys are red hot right now and this team is playing like a Super Bowl contender in 2023. They are getting so much production from Pollard on the ground and also they're putting together a good pass game with Prescott.  Dak has been impressive, throwing 18 TD passes and only 2 INT's during this time. The Cowboys rank 5th in total offense and 1st in scoring in the NFL coming into play. Seattle has been up and down here in 2023 and they know this is the kind of game where they have to step up on the offensive side. Look for them to open things up a bit more as they will take plenty of shots down field. Washington moved the ball last week at times against Dallas and they're going to have success doing the same in this one. Both teams played last Thursday, so they are rested and playing on a normal 7 days rest. Dallas has scored at least 33 in 4 of 5, so I'm expecting points. The Hawks will have to score them to keep up with the high flying Cowboys. I think they can. They have the weapons too. Metcalf, Lockett, Smith-Njigba, and Charbonnet are all "ball-players!" Trends, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas' L5, plus the OVER has hit in 6 of the Cowboys L7 vs. NFC teams. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* NFL O/U Play

Bears +3.5

In the final showdown of Week 12's Monday Night Football, we've got the Chicago Bears (3-8, 4-5-2 ATS, 1-5 AWAY) hitting the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings (6-5, 7-3-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME). The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC). The initial MNF odds show the Moneyline (ML) with the Bears at +145 and the Vikings at -175. Additionally, ATS has the Vikings favored by -3.5 (-105), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 45 points. The Bears had a rough outing last Sunday, squandering a 26-14 lead against Detroit and ultimately losing 31-26 on the road. On the flip side, the Vikings had their five-game winning streak halted with a close 21-20 loss to the Broncos on Sunday night. In terms of their head-to-head history, the Bears and Vikings have crossed paths 124 times since 1961, with the Vikings holding the lead in the series at 66-56-2. Notably, the Vikings have won the last five, including a 19-13 victory earlier this season. The Bears are going to be eager to get back out there for this one. After blowing a lead in the 4th quarter against the Lions, Chicago will be looking to come out of the gates fast in this contest. The Bears still can use some of that loss to build off of, as Justin Fields showed a lot of positives in the game. After missing a month with a thumb injury, he was slinging it all over the field with very little issue. He will be able to find a lot of success with both his arm and legs. Fields has the ability to break containment and pick up big chunks with his running abilities. The Vikings defense will have a hard time slowing him down. Minnesota is also seeing teams being able to adjust to Joshua Dobbs now. The Broncos figured him out on the defensive side and the Bears will come in with a lot of different blitz packages. This is going to be a lower scoring game, which will favor the Bears who should win the time of possession.  Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their L5 as a home favorite. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 48.5

Sunday the 6-5 (1-3 AWAY, 4-7 ATS) Buffalo Bills take on the 9-1 (4-0 HOME, 6-2-2 ATS) Philadelphia Eagles in what should be one of the top NFL matchups of the season. It is in terms of star power that's for sure. Hopefully the game lives up to the hype. The Eagles have a solid 8-6 record against the Bills over time. Their recent clash in 2019 saw Philadelphia triumph with a score of 31-13, proving their prowess on the road. Buffalo, on the other hand, hasn't had the best luck away from home, with just one win out of four, including a loss in London to Jacksonville. The Bills are showing strength against the NFC East, securing victories against Washington and the New York Giants. Last week, the Eagles, led by a strong defense in the second half and two touchdowns by Jalen Hurts, made a comeback to defeat the Chiefs 21-17 on MNF. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills comfortably sailed to a 32-6 win against the New York Jets, bringing their season record to 6-5. We’re on the Over on what should be the game of the week as the Eagles and Bills clash. These are two offenses that are clicking right now and have put up a lot of points this season. Looking at Phili first, they come in Ranking 5th in the league in offense. They’re averaging 27.3 points per game and come in with all the momentum after coming from behind to beat the Chiefs. Phili has scored 28 or more in 3 of their last 4. Buffalo ranks 6th in points per game and 4th in total offense. Josh Allen is finding his groove and racked up 32 points last week.These are two teams who can exchange punches and should produce a lot of fireworks. Per usual with me, you won't any any trends pointing to the OVER in this matchup, and it looks like the PUBLIC is on the UNDER in this one, so I'm zigging, while they zag, and I'm betting on points in this one. Bet the OVER 48.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play

Broncos -1

On Sunday at 4:05 PM ET in Denver, CO at Empower Field at Mile High, catch the Broncos (5-5, 3-5-1 ATS) & the Browns (7-3, 7-3 ATS) on FOX. Denver is hosting Cleveland in this matchup. The initial betting odds show the Broncos as the Spread Favorite with a -1.5 advantage. If you prefer a straight up bet, the Moneyline odds stand at Broncos (-127) and Browns (+105), while the Over/Under Total is set at 36. Browns have won the last 2 of 3 vs. Denver, most recent was 10/21/21 a 17-14 Browns win. Sidenote: Neither of this Sunday's starting QB's were in that one. Bridgewater vs. Keenum headlined that clash! (zzz's) The Broncos won the most recent game in Denver in 2019. A 17-16 win. In their recent games, the Browns secured a 13-10 victory against PIT. Thompson-Robinson, the new QB for the Browns, completed 24/43 for 165 yards with 0TD's & 1 INT. Meanwhile, the Broncos grabbed a HUGE W over Minnesota with a final score of 21-20. Russell Wilson, was impressive. His performance included 259 PAYDS on 27/35 attempts (77%), he also threw 1 TD, 0 INT's. Clearly the better QB in this matchup. We now get Wilson's season stats at 2065 passing yards, averaging 206.5 yards per game, a 69% completion rate, 19 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, 42 carries, and 232 rushing yards. I was thinking about locking the Broncos in at -2.5, then it dropped to -2, -1.5, and now I'm going to pounce.The Broncos have won four games in a row, amazingly they're now 5-5. They're in the AFC playoff conversation. (I must admit, I didn't see this turnaround coming) But hat-tip to Sean Payton. The Browns should still be the more bet on team here, and I think the Public is on them. They still have the #1 defense in the NFL. Having said that, check out the Browns' home vs. road stats. This is a different team when they travel, and they're could get torched at the LOS if they don't improve their RUN-D on the road. Javonte Williams must be excited for Sunday's game. He's got some good stats going into it: 122 carries, 473 yards, 52.6 yards per game. He's also caught 23 for 125 yards, averaging 13.9 YPG with 2 TD receptions. Some trends, Cleveland are 2-11 SU in their L13 against Denver, and are 1-7 SU in their L8 when playing on the road against the Broncos. Flip it, and Denver are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. I'll also have a FREE play on this game's total, so check that out on my sales page or on the sites NFL free picks page. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Colts -2.5

The Buccaneers (4-6, 2-3 away, 6-4 against the spread) are heading to Lucas Oil Stadium to face the Colts (5-5, 1-4 at home, 7-3 against the spread) this Sunday. The game kicks off at 1 p.m. ET and you can catch it on CBS. Let's take a look at the latest betting odds. For those who like to bet on the team to win outright, the moneyline shows the Buccaneers at +110 and the Colts at -130. If you prefer to bet against the spread (ATS), the Colts are favored by -1.5 points with a price of -115. The over/under (total points expected in the game) is set at 42.5. The Colts are coming off a bye week and in their last game, they managed to beat the Patriots 10-6, covering the -2 spread. On the other hand, the Buccaneers had a tough time against the San Francisco 49ers, losing 27-14 but managing to cover as 13.5-point road underdogs. Some trends, The Bucs are 1-5 SU in their L6 games, and are 1-5-1 ATS in their L7 games against Indy. On the other side, the Colts are 6-3 ATS in their L9 games, and are 4-1 ATS in their L5 played in November. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

OVER 41

Sunday we get the (5-5, 3-3 AWAY, 2-7-1 ATS) Saints taking on the (4-6, 3-2 HOME, 2-8 ATS) Atlanta Falcons at 1pm ET from the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. It's the top 2 teams duking it out in the NFC South. While I'm not a fan of betting against either of these teams on the spread I'm interested in some action on the TOTAL in this one. O/U 41 currently if you can find it. I'm good with 41.5 too. Both teams come in off of bye weeks, so they're rested, and have had more time to game plan and draw up some big plays for the Red Zone, as well as on 3rd down. Saints average 21 PPG, the Falcons 18 PPG. Saints allow 19 PPG, the Falcons allow 21 PPG. Both are top 20 in the Red Zone. Both teams also have Top 21 rushing, and passing offenses. On 3rd down, they can both convert too to keep drives going. (top 20) I think we'll see some scoring in this game. Here's some quarterback updates for you. Ridder had a good start with a 4-4 record as the starter but had to check for a concussion in Week 8 when facing Tennessee. He's back in action this week. Heinicke got hurt with a hamstring issue in the Falcons' last game before their break. As for the Saints, Derek Carr is in concussion protocol, but he practiced fully on Wednesday, so he's all set to play this Sunday. In the past three games involving the Falcons, they've had more than 51 total points. New Orleans, on the flip side, has seen their last four games go OVER 42 points. Some other trends I've found. Over the Saints’ L3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1. The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home. I think you'd agree both teams' offenses are clearly ahead of their defenses right now (looking at recent games) so I'm projecting 50+ points in this one. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play

OVER 33.5

The (2-8, 2-8 ATS) Patriots take on the (3-8, 3-7-1 ATS) Giants on Sunday. We know, we know, these are the two lowest scoring teams in the NFL. We know, we know, everyone including my cousin Vinny is on the UNDER in this matchup. The last 2 times these two have played they've put up 49 and 55 points...so, when the public zigs, I like to zag! I'm a bit of a Tommy DeVito fan. He did alright last week, and I was kinda impressed. He threw for 246 yards, no interceptions, and scored 3 TDs in the win against the Commanders. The Giants broke a three-game losing streak with a surprising 31-19 victory over Washington. However, they've had close losses in their last 3 home games against New England. The Patriots are well-rested coming off a bye week. I have just enough faith in Danny (errr) Tommy DeVito to be serviceable here on Sunday and move the ball. I also have the same amount of confidence in the Pats offense to get to 17-20 points as well. I'm avoiding the side in this one like I avoid my Mother-In-Law. You're guess is as good as mine as to who comes out on top. My best guess is its the team with BARKLEY on it. (I'm looking for his props) Playing OVER the total here on Sunday. No one can convince me that the Patriots are a good defense, the same goes for the Giants.  You won't find any supporting trends for this one, this is purely a GUTSHOT! As long as one of these teams reaches 24 I think we'll be ok. I'm on the OVER 33.5 Sunday. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 6* NFL O/U Play

UNDER 48

Happy Thanksgiving! Get ready for some Thanksgiving Day NFL action as the Washington Commanders (4-7) take on the Dallas Cowboys (7-3) in Week 12. The game kicks off at 4:30 ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The betting lines favor the Cowboys by 11 points, and if you're feeling bold, Washington has enticing moneyline odds at +427, while the Cowboys stand at -593. As for the total points scored, the over/under is set at 48.5. The Cowboys and Commanders are in a nice under spot here in the middle game of Thanksgiving. Dallas has had a couple of games in a row now where the competition has been on the lighter side. They are going to play this game at a slow pace, really putting an emphasis on sustaining drives. That will play into our favor here with the clock moving constantly. Dallas should be able to utilize Tony Pollard and establish a run game. As a team last week they ran the ball 27 times and that number should even go up here. Washington also is going to look to keep the ball away from this Dallas offense as much as they can.  They were right there with the Cowboys in rushing attempts last week at 28, which should go up as well here on Thursday. Look for both teams to utilize the clock in a low scoring affair. One trend I found,  Under is 6-0 in Commanders last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 7* NFL O/U Play

Lions -7.5

Happy Thanksgiving! The Green Bay Packers (3-7, 3-6-1 ATS, 1-4 AWAY) visit the Detroit Lions (7-2, 7-2 ATS, 4-1 HOME). I just don't see an angle for GB in this one. Lions Top 10 in the NFL in PPG, TYPG, TYPP, Rushing, Passing, Completion %, QB Rating, and 4th qtr scoring. It's an uphill climb for sure for GB on Thanksgiving. Kickoff from Ford Field on November 19th will be at 1pm ET. Watch it on FOX. How are the Lions only a -7.5pt favorite in this one? Remember week 4? Lions 34-Packers 20. Lions covered the -2.5. Also on 1/8/23 Lions 20-16 over GB. Don't expect the Packers to have Aaron Jones available in this one. In past Thanksgiving years, the Lions were never feared. This year, things are completely different. Detroit comes in 8-2 on the season and has all the momentum right now after their frantic comeback against the Bears last week. Detroit scored 15 points in the final 2 minutes to complete the comeback as they are a team right now that has everything working for them. Offensively, it has all started with David Montgomery, who is setting the tone on the ground. The Lions rank 5th in the NFL on the ground, putting up 136.6 yards per game. In total, this offense is firing away, averaging 399.6 yards per game (2nd in the NFL). They control the tempo and they can build a lead here to really frustrate the Packers. Green Bay ranks near the bottom in a lot of offensive categories themselves. Overall, they're in the bottom tier in total offense, ranking 21st in the entire league. Detroit should be able to dictate a lot in this game. They're much better on both sides of the ball and their ability to find the end zone is the difference. Lions 4-0 ATS in their L4 Thursday games. Packers 1-5 L6 as a DOG, and are 2-5 ATS L7. Plus GB are 2-5 SU L7, and 1-4 SU L5 vs. Lions. Lions are 7-1 SU L8, and 8-2 L10 ATS at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -2.5

Get ready for an exciting Monday Night Football showdown tonight! The Eagles (8-1, 5-2-2 ATS) are taking on the Chiefs (7-2, 6-3 ATS) in a Super Bowl LVII rematch. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN Arrowhead. In the past, these two teams have faced each other five times since 2009, with the Chiefs holding a 4-1 series lead and a 4-1 ATS record. We’re on the Chiefs here in this rematch. Kansas City is the better team overall. Here are the opening lines, Eagles with a Moneyline (ML) of +120, and the Chiefs at -145 for those who prefer straight up bets. The Chiefs are also favored with a -2.5 (-115) ATS line, and the Over/Under (O/U) total points are set at 47. Both teams are well-rested for this matchup. The Chiefs are coming off a bye week after a 21-14 victory over the Dolphins in Germany, while the Eagles, also enjoying a bye, are riding a three-game winning streak, most recently defeating NFC East rival Dallas 28-23 in Week 9. Chiefs enter this one allowing 15.9PPG (3rd in NFL). Eagles allow 28PPG (29th) Chiefs second in sacks and will be coming after Hurts all night long. KC have always been known for their offensive production under Mahomes, but now they’re getting defensive performances here in 2023. They’re forcing turnovers and not allowing anything easy for the opposition. Kansas City will also have this home crowd to feed off of. Arrowhead is going to be loud and it’ll give the Chiefs a lot of energy to work with. Mahomes will utilize a lot of different receivers, which should produce some big plays down field for this Chiefs offense. Andy Reid's team hung 38 on the Eagles last year. What will they do for an encore? Some trends to note, with the Chiefs Andy Reid 15-9 ATS after a bye week, and 21-3 SU. Philadelphia are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Kansas City, and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division. On the other side Kansas City are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, 11-1 SU at home L12, and are 15-2 SU in their L17. I'm on the Chiefs MNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 9* NFL ATS Play

Vikings +2.5

6-4 (6-3-1 ATS, 4-1 AWAY) Minnesota come into Denver 4-5 (3-5-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME) on SNF. Weather looks to be decent. 40F gametime temp 40% chance of rain, and 10-13mph winds. The venue is Denver's Mile High Stadium, and it will host the NFL action at 8:20pm ET on NBC. This is the first time these teams met since November 17, 2019. Back then, the Vikings won 27-23 in Minnesota. They're also ahead in their overall head-to-head matchups, 8-7.The Vikings are on a hot streak, winning their last five, including the last two with Joshua Dobbs as their quarterback. In his initial two games with Minnesota, Dobbs threw for 426 yards and scored three touchdowns. He also ran for 110 yards and found the end zone twice. Their record stands at 6-4 after a solid 27-19 victory over the Saints last week. Meanwhile, the Broncos have also been impressive, securing three consecutive wins, with their most recent being a surprising 24-22 upset against the Bills in Buffalo. Who would have expected a showdown between Russell Wilson and Joshua Dobbs at the start of the year? The opening odds favor the Broncos at -150 on the Moneyline, while the Vikings stand at +125. The point spread has the Broncos at -3 (-105), and the Over/Under is set at 41 (O: -110 | U: -110). While the Broncos are the slight favorites at home, they've had less time to prepare compared to the Vikings, having played in Buffalo on Monday night. The Vikings will be without Justin Jefferson once again, but they've managed without him for the past six weeks. Mattison should be back, as should Osborne. Minnesota has made significant strides in the past six weeks, and their aggressive blitzing under Brian Flores, the former Miami HC, has been effective. As for Russell Wilson, he's not known for handling blitzes well, and that might be a factor in this game. IN all honesty, Wilson wouldn't know a blitz if it came up and slapped him in the face...which they usually do. Trends, Minnesota are 5-0 ATS in their L5, and are 5-0 SU too, plus they're 5-0-1 ATS in their L6 on the road, and 7-2 SU vs. AFC teams L9. Denver are 6-12 SU in their L18, and 2-4 ATS L6 at home, and 2-4 ATS in their L6 in NOV. The play is the VIKINGS +2.5 on NBC's SNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Under 42

Tampa Bay (4-5) and San Francisco (6-3) clash on Sunday at Levi’s Stadium. The game starts at 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX). In their last match, the Bucs had a smooth 20-6 win against the Titans. Meanwhile, the 49ers are currently tied for first place in the NFC West with the Seattle Seahawks. Last week, the Niners crushed the Jacksonville Jaguars 34-3 and they even covered the spread as 3-point favorites. We're on this Under for a few reasons here. This has the feeling of a Thursday night game a few weeks ago when the Bills met this Bucs team. The game was just dominated by the Bills on time of possession as they methodically went down the field and chewed a lot of the clock up in a game that went under.The 49ers can do the same here. They love to utilize Christian McCaffrey and allow him to set the tone in games. With that, comes a lot of runs and short check downs in the pass game. That keeps this clock running and it'll be the strategy here. We've also seen Baker Mayfield struggle against defenses like this. The Bucs have had issues moving the ball and they aren't going to be able to figure out this secondary. This will be the kind of slow paced game where it's a struggle to find anything deep down field In the pass game. Trends, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's L7 games. Plus on the other side, the total has gone UNDER in 5 of the 49ers' L7 games played in November. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL O/U Play

UNDER 37.5

6-3 Pittsburgh Steelers take on the 6-3 Cleveland Browns in AFC North action in Week 11 on Sunday at 1pm ET from Cleveland Browns Stadium. We're going to play the UNDER in this one. Unfortunate news landed in Cleveland on Wednesday morning as Watson will be sidelined for the remainder of the year with a broken bone in his shoulder. This completely changes the complexion of their game now as PJ Walker will take the reins. We've seen this offense struggle with him at the helm. Now, both teams are going to lean on their defenses. Both defenses feature a lot of playmakers who love to cause havoc in the backfield. We're going to see both teams look to slow things down and establish run games. With how well both defenses can make plays, this has the makings of a game where neither team wants to make the crucial turnover. It's going to be a battle of controlling possession in this one. Some trends we're watching. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's L7, and the total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Steelers L10 when playing on the road against the Browns, plus we've seen the total hit the UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's L5 vs. AFC teams. On the other side the total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Browns L8 at home. Get down on the UNDER. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 6* NFL O/U Play

Jaguars -6.5

3-6 (4-5 ATS) Tennessee Titans take on the 6-3 (6-3 ATS) Jacksonville Jaguars in AFC South action in Week 11 on Sunday at 1pm ET from EverBank Stadium. We're going to play on the JAGS in this one. The Jags were humbled last week and now they're in a full bounce back spot on Sunday. This is the perfect matchup for them to get back into rhythm. JAX was throttled by the Niners, but this Titans team is on the complete opposite side of the spectrum compared to San Francisco. The Titans managed just 6 points against the Bucs last week and they struggle mightily on the defensive end. Lawrence is going to have a field day with this secondary. Combine that here with how bad the Titans are on the road too. Tennessee will be playing their third straight on the road, where they are 0-5 this season. They've failed to cover in their last 2 games during this road stretch as well. We're backing the better team, who has a far better offense. Jacksonville has dominated the bottom tier teams in the NFL thus far in 2023. Fool me once, shame on me. Fool me twice, shame on...shame on... The Titans are not who we thought they were. The Jags made the 49ers look like Super Bowl contenders again. They've been humbled and I expect to see a much different Jags team on Sunday vs. their divisional foes. Some trends we're watching. The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their L5, plus, they're 3-13 SU in their L16, also Tennessee are 2-9 SU in their L11 against AFC teams. On the flip side, the Jags are 5-1 ATS in their L6 ,and 5-1 SU in their L6, are 7-3 SU in their L10 at home, and are 10-3 in their L13 vs. AFC south teams. Get down on the Jags on Sunday -6.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play

Over 47.5

In Week 11, Arizona (2-8) hits the road to face Houston (5-4) at NRG Stadium. The game kicks off Sunday at 1 p.m. ET on CBS. Arizona recently broke a six-game losing streak with a thrilling 25-23 win over the Falcons, sealing the victory with a last-second play. Meanwhile, the Texans are riding high after two consecutive nail-biting victories. Last week, they surprised everyone with a 30-27 upset against the Bengals in Cincinnati, securing the win with a last-minute field goal as time ran out. This one now has the ability to be an exciting game. With Kyler Murray back for Arizona, the Cardinals come in off a walk off win as Murray made some magic down the stretch of the game. Houston is starting to open a lot of eyes here with Stroud too. The Texas went into Cincinnati and came out with a win themselves as they hit a walk off field goal for a 30-27 victory. Houston has looked incredibly good as of late with Stroud putting together a lot of good performances. Meanwhile, Arizona looks completely different with Murray calling the shots. The offense is moving the ball and they have the big play ability. We're going to see a game where both teams should be able to move the ball with success. Expect a lot of fireworks and for this game to be high scoring with the playmakers each team has. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's L9. It's shaping up to be an exciting clash between these two teams, so stay tuned for some gridiron action this Sunday afternoon. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play

Packers +3

Sunday Week 11 betting action and we get the (4-5, 4-5 ATS) LA Chargers coming to Green Bay to take on the Packers. (3-6, 4-5 ATS). Kickoff at Lambeau is slated for 1 p.m. ET, watch it on FOX. These two have been playing since the early 70's, but have only met 12x thru the years. (NFC/AFC) GB owns a 10-2 edge. Last matchup LAC won it, 26-11 in 2019. Last game out the Chargers lost a nail-biter to the Packers NFC north rival Lions 41-38. The Packers lost a game I picked them to win last week, going down to Pittsburgh 23-19, they couldn't cover the 3. Turnovers and terrible red-zone offense killed em. The Packers will sport their 1950s throwback Classic Uniforms this Sunday. All things considered, it should create a historic ambiance at Lambeau. Nothing like some nostalgia to get the crowd going, and fire the team up. I wasn't overly down on the Pack last week. They did put up 399 yards, and showed good fight against a Steelers team that seems to just win games no matter the circumstances.I think vs. LAC they'll finish their drives, and the run-game will click. It usually does at home. Watson will be fine, stop over-reacting cheeseheads. He's still developing, but he's coming along. The key to scoring in the red zone is to run the ball, I'm sure we'll see more of a commitment to pounding the rock vs. LAC on Sunday. Despite being 3-point underdogs at home, I expect them to cover against the Chargers. LAC have struggled, going 2-6 ATS in their last 8 matchups with the Packers, 1-7 SU in their last 8 against GB, and 1-4 SU in their last 5 visits to Lambeau. If the Packers can prevent Ekeler, Herbert, and Allen from going off all afternoon with explosive plays the Packers will come out on top. I think they'll do it. Packers have been close to a lot of INT's this year, maybe some will start getting caught! LOL. Anyways I love a home dog...Ok! I'll bite (some cheese). Back the Pack! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 46

Cincinnati (5-4, 4-4-1 ATS, 2-2 AWAY) faces off against Baltimore (7-3, 6-4 ATS, 3-2 HOME) in Week 11's Thursday Night Football at M&T Bank Stadium. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and can be watched on Prime Video. Weather doesn't look to be a factor (mid 50's). We're on this Over here as the AFC North pins rivals Baltimore and Cincinnati in a crucial matchup. The OVER has connected in the L3 between these two. Plus we hit the OVER in G1 earlier in the year. Baltimore won 27-24 at Cincinnati in Week 2. Baltimore and Cincinnati both have star QBs at their helms as Burrow and Jackson are going to go toe to toe in this one. This is the kind of game where the playmakers step up in a big way. Both defenses looked very suspect last week, as Cincinnati allowed 30 points to the Texans, while the Browns dropped 33 on the Ravens (albeit 6 of those points came from a pick six). Still, this is the kind of game where we should see plenty of big plays from both teams. Both offenses have the ability to strike quickly and will open things up a bit more given the circumstances in this one. Look for a back and forth game all night long. I'm not at all bothered if Tee Higgins is out. I'm fully confident in Tyler Boyd to step in and fill his WR #2 shoes. Last game out Lamar went 13/23 223 yards 1TD and 2INT's in that 33-31 loss to the Browns. He had 8 carries for 41 yards. For Burrow, last game out he went 27/40 347 YDS, 2 TD's 2 INT's, and 5 carries for 20 YDS, in that 30-27 loss to the Texans. If him and Jackson keep turning the ball over we could see some short field's which would help push this over too. Burrow heads into this game with 2 & 5 game streaks of 300yds & multi-TD efforts, respectively. Expect more of the same tonight. The Ravens played with a lead for most of the CLE game, so they relied on the run and the clock chewed along. Tonight I'm expecting less run, more pass. That helps the OVER. Both teams can quick strike it too. They have the weapons. Trends, 4 of Cinci's L6 against AFC North teams have gone OVER. Plus, the total has gone OVER in 5 of the Ravens L6 against Cinci. Expect points tonight. No more NFL Under trends! LOL Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* NFL O/U Play

Broncos +7.5

The Broncos (3-5, Broncos 2-5-1 ATS, 1-2 AWAY) and the Buffalo Bills (5-4, 3-6 ATS, 4-0 HOME) meet on Monday in MNF at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, NY at 8:15pm. Watch this one on ESPN. In Week 9 Denver had a BYE week to gameplan, and get healthy for this matchup. Their last game Oct. 29, was the upset W over KC 24-9 as a +7 underdog. It was actually the Broncs first underdog W since Week 8 (2022). They've won 2 in a row, and their offense was clicking, and their pass rush was a huge factor. In Week 9 we saw Buffalo play the Bengals. Buffalo took the L, which was their 5th straight loss ATS, 24-18. The early week odds for this one had the Broncos +310 and Bills -400 on the ML, and ATS we're seeing the Bills -7.5. The O/U Total is set at 46.5. This rivalry goes back to 1960. The two have played 40x and the Bills have a 23-16-1 edge. Buffalo has won the L3 vs. Denver, and 5 of the L6. Broncos have consecutive games with 145 rushing yards, and it's clear the only way they keep this one close is to chew up clock on the run game. Javonte Williams is healthy and sitting at 357 RU yds on the season. He had his best game vs. KC (27car. 85 yds, 3 rec. 13 yds 1TD). To spell him the Broncs are using Jaleel McLaughlin as a chance of pace back, and sprinkle in Perine in short yardage. With the injuries to the Bills defense the Denver run game presents a clear and present danger in this one. If RW can hit some downfield targets to Sutton, Jeudy and Mims we'll have ourselves a game. The Bills secondary is beat up, check the injury reports. On the flip side don't forget the Broncos defense kept the Chiefs out of the endzone last game, so Sean Payton could be pushing all the right buttons. Denver hasn't allowed 20+ pts in 3 straight. Allen will have to be at his best for the Bills in this one. Currently he has 18 TD passes (good), but he also has 9 INT's (bad). It all spells a Broncos cover on MNF. Buffalo are 0-5 ATS in their L5, and they're 2-6 ATS in their L8 vs. AFC Teams. On the other side, Broncos are 9-1 ATS in their L10 after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Raiders +1.5

Late add here. I hummed and hawed about this play all day. Tonight on NBC's Sunday night football we get the 4-4 (4-3-1 ATS, 2-1 AWAY) Jets taking on the 4-5 (4-5 ATS, 3-1 HOME) Raiders. The Raiders are looking for their fourth win in their L6 games after a 30-6 takedown of the Giants in Week 9. On the other side the Jets lost 27-6 to the LA Chargers, in a game they were never in. I expect a heavy dose of Josh Jacobs and Adams here in this one. The Raiders know while the Jets have a great defense their runD is their weaker link, so lots of ball control tonight. You can't convince me that the Jets are the better team here, defensively maybe, but I think at home the Raiders just bring too much to the table. Pierce says he's going to run Jacobs a TON tonight, and I don't have any reason to argue. I can remember the Raiders/Seahawks game last year where Jacobs took over. I foresee that kind of night for him tonight. On defense the Raiders are playing aggressive, and I'm buying what they're selling led by Max Crosby. The Jets don't have the weapons to keep up here, and the Raiders should be the favorite tonight. Back Vegas tonight on SNF. The Jets are 4-10 SU in their L14, and are 2-6 SU in their L8 on the road. On the other side, dating back to last year, Las Vegas are 4-2 SU in their L6 played in November.  

Sunday Night 8* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys -16.5

The Giants (2-7, 1-4 AWAY) and the Dallas Cowboys (5-3, 3-0 HOME) meet on Sunday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington at 4:25pm. Watch this one on FOX. In Week 9 we saw BigD lose to the Eagles 28-23, a game they really couldn't afford to lose if they want to stay in the NFC East conversation. On the other side the Giants were once again blown out. This time by the cigar smoking Las Vegas Raiders who are suddenly relevant again. The score was 30-6. To add insult to injury the Giants lost their starting QB Daniel Jones to a season ending leg injury. A quick google search to find out how many times we've seen teams cover a 16pt spread in an NFL games tells me 6x since 2019. That's 67%. I like my chances just based off of that. I'm a Cowboys DST fantasy football owner and I'm absolutely salivating this week at the thought of this defense going up against Danny DeVito...err, I mean Tommy Devito. Dallas has won 9 of the L10 vs. NYG, and have already played them 1x this year. Week 1, and the final score was 40-0. They covered the 3. The Giants have lost 6 of their L7, and have only scored 8 TD's in 9 games this year. This is a big number, sure, but worth backing here. Offensively Prescott is also in a good stride right now. He's been putting up big numbers and moving the ball with ease. The Giants defense ranks near the bottom in a lot of defensive categories and are going to have their hands full here. This game could get out of hand if Dallas keeps their foot on the gas, which I anticipate they will. Dallas has the 3rd best scoring offense 27.5 PPG, and 6th best scoring defense (18.5 PPG). I'm expecting offense in this one by Dallas, and lots of it. The Giants are 2-7-1 ATS in their L10, and are 1-4 ATS in their L5 vs. Dallas. On the other side Dallas are 12-6 SU in their L18, and are 11-0 SU in their L11 at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Packers +3.5

Green Bay (3-5, 4-4 ATS, 1-3 AWAY) and Pittsburgh (5-3, 5-3 ATS, 3-2 HOME) will get it on in a Week 10 game Sunday. Kickoff at Acrisure Stadium will be at 1 pm ET. Series history has the Packers leading 20-16. Their last meeting was Oct 3, 2021, a Steelers 27-17 win in Green Bay. Last week Packers 20-3 over the Rams. Steelers 20-16 over Tennessee. This is too many points, in this spot. The Steelers have been on the fortunate end many times so far despite being outgained and honestly outplayed most of the time. Still, they're finding ways to win and they come in in the midst of a AFC North battle. However, the value sits with Green Bay here in this one. The Packers come in with momentum (Love 76.9% on 20/26 passing) after dominating the Rams from start to finish last week. This has been a season so far of ups and downs for the Packers, but they have shown signs of life throughout on the offensive side. Jordan Love has the ability to make a big play and he will be the difference maker here. Look for him to make timely plays and sustain drives for Green Bay, keeping this Steelers offense off the field. I simply trust the Packers more here. AND, I trust their defense too. Packers RUN-D of late have held opponents to only 2.3 YPC (57 rush. 130yds) in their L2 games. (Zero TD's too) Najee will be in tough. Both teams are battling injuries, but I think it hits the Steelers more on Sunday. The Steelers are that team that could totally do to the Packers this week, what the Packers did to the Rams last week, but with Cody Pickett leading the attack I just can't get on board. They've been outgained on total yards in EVERY game this season. Some trends, Green Bay are 4-1 ATS in their L5 vs. Steelers. Steelers 0-5 ATS in their L5 vs. NFC North teams. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

OVER 38

(5-3, 4-3-1 ATS, 1-2 AWAY) Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens (7-2, 6-3 ATS, 3-1 HOME) will get it on in a Week 10 game Sunday. Kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium will be at 1pm ET. This is obviously a huge AFC North contest. Last week the Browns took care of a pathetic Cardinals team, and I'm inclined to not even talk about it here. They won't shut out Baltimore! The Browns and Ravens have faced off 49 times thru the years, with the Browns emerging victorious in 13 while the Ravens have won 36. This rivalry goes back to 1999. These two have already met 1x this season. The Ravens won that won 28-3 win. (10/1/23). It's obviously why we have such a low total this week. BIG Sidenote, there was no Watson at QB for the Browns in game 1. IMO this total is low, but this is the kind of game Jackson and Watson come out firing away. I'm expecting offense in this one. In big time games, big time players make moments. This is going to be a contest where both QBs want to come out and make it known that they're the best in the division. The Raven offense throttled the Browns defense already once this season and we've seen some issues with Baltimore's defense against mobile QBs. Watson is going to utilize his legs more, but he also is back to 100% too. Look for him to make some huge throws downfield. Both offenses have the capabilities of scoring. Look for a back and forth game in one that should be in the high 40s. In last Sunday's 37-3 rout of the Seahawks, Baltimore put up 515 total yards of offense, with 298 of those coming on the ground. Tony Romo was the color man for CBS in that one and he repeatedly said Baltimore is a Super Bowl team. I have to agree. Their offense is ROLLING right now. Now to get over 38, we just need Cleveland to keep up. Ravens 6th in the NFL in scoring at 26 PPG. Browns 14th at 22 PPG. This one won't be a blowout again, and with some CLE starters injured on defense we could see a big number from the Ravens. (Did I just tip a side bet?) Some trends I like, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road. 4-0 in their L4. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play

Titans +1.5

(3-5) Tennessee Titans take on the (3-5) Tampa Bay Bucs in a Week 10 game Sunday. Kickoff at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa is at 1pm ET. Last week the Titans lost 20-16 to the Steelers in a game they had every chance to win, failing to cover as 3pt dogs. On the other side the Bucs and they're totally outcoached coaching staff with Todd Bowles lost their 4th straight 39-37 to the suddenly OK 4-4 Houston Texans. They did cover as 2.5pt dogs at least. The Titans love playing the Bucs. Over the years they've met 12x, and the Titans have won 10. The last time they met was a 27-23 Titans win on 10/27/19 in Tennessee. In 2015 the Titans won 42-14 in Tampa. They're looking for the hat-trick Sunday. we're playing the visitors here.Tampa Bay has been a rollercoaster of emotions this year. They sometimes look like they could be one of the best in the division, while other times they look lost. After Baker Mayfield made play after play last week, his defense completely let him down in a loss to Houston. The Bucs defense is just too hard to trust in this spot. They have been one of the worst in the league and they struggle slowing just about any team down. The secondary is soft, while they have been gashed by the run game too. The Titans are a balanced attack that can wear teams out. Look for them to just that here and force Tampa Bay into a hole early. The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their L5 against Tampa, are 8-1 SU in their L9 against TB, also they're 4-2 ATS in their L6 games against an opponent in the NFC. On the opposite side this week TB are 1-5 SU in their L6, and they haven't had much luck against AFC teams of late going 0-7 SU in their L7. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Panthers +3.5

I backed the Panthers two weeks ago vs. Houston and I'm going back to the well with them on Thursday night in a matchup I feel 8* confident about. We're grabbing 3.5 points in a game I could see Carolina winning outright. The Panthers (1-7) and Bears (2-7) are set to clash in Week 10 on Thursday Night Football at Soldier Field with an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff (Prime Video). When it comes to ATS stats, the Panthers stand at 1-6-1, while the Bears are at 3-5-1. Unfortunately, last week the Panthers couldn't ride the wave of their first win and stumbled at home, suffering a 27-13 loss to the Colts. The game took a turn for the worse as Young threw two Pick-6s, rookie errors that cost them dearly. On the other hand, the Bears faced a 24-17 L at the hands of the Saints. Justin Fields isn't cleared to play on Thursday so it will be Tyson Bagent starting again for the Bears. While Bagent may have a slight edge over Fields (arguably), his average pass completion of 6.3 yards suggests he's not tasked with much. The major concern revolves around his turnovers, with 8 (six interceptions and two lost fumbles) occurring in a mere 14 quarters of play. I also highly doubt Coach Matt Eberflus of the Bears can craft a winning strategy this week, with a record of 5-21 in Chicago and only 1-9 in close games. Frank Reich has the upper hand. In recent head-to-head matchups, the Bears have had the upper hand, winning five out of the last six encounters. The most recent meeting in 2020 saw the Bears emerge victorious with a 23-16 win in Charlotte, and their last face-off at Soldier Field in 2017 resulted in a 17-3 Bears win. Weather will be in the low 50's, no precip, and winds around 10mph. Taking a look at some key trends for this matchup, Chicago has had a tough time lately. They have a 4-12-1 ATS record in their last 17 games and a dismal 2-17 SU record in their last 19 outings. Moreover, when playing at home, they've only managed to win 1 out of their last 11 games. Back the Panthers ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Chargers -3

Jets (4-3, 2-2 HOME, 4-2-1 ATS) vs. Chargers (3-4, 1-2 AWAY, 2-4-1 ATS)

ATS: Jets +3, Chargers -3, O/U: 41, ML: Jets +140, Chargers -155

Last Meeting: Jets 28 Chargers 34  (11/22/20)

Jets L10 - 4-6 SU, Chargers L10 5-5 SU

Monday night football wraps up the week for us, and we're hoping it's been a successful weekend for you! Backing the road team here on Monday. 

The Chargers are entering a favorable part of their schedule, which this is the time for them to turn things up. 

They will see a Jets team that has been very inconsistent and is dealing with a few key injuries to their offensive line. That bodes well for us as the Jets lean on their run game to be successful. The Chargers should be able to pick apart this offensive line and get a lot of havoc in the backfield. 

Combine that with Justin Herbert playing better as of late and there is a lot of value on this side.

Herbert has been battling a broken thumb on his non throwing hand. He's now played a few weeks with it and has the experience with it. He will have a field day with this Jets secondary and will have a lot of big plays over the top. 

Some trends to note, Chargers are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite of 3-10, and the Chargers are 4-1 SU in their L5 games against the Jets, and they're 4-1 SU in their L5 games when playing on the road against the Jets. The Jets are 4-9 SU in their L13 games, and are 3-8 SU in their L11 games played in November.

While the Jets may have won 13-10 over the Giants are they a team that will be able to trade punches with the Chargers on MNF? (Let me answer that rhetorical ? for you) No chance in hell. The Bolts catch another break on their schedule here to get right. Last week it was a 30-13 blowout of da Bears, now they get a team that's not much better in the Jets.

Expect another 300 yard game from Herbert (who says his thumb is getting better each week), plus 2-3 TD's. Ekeler will get his as well (something to the tune of 110 yards rushing and 8-9 receptions for 70-80 yards. This one could be ugly folks. 

Chargers -3.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 48.5

Bills (5-3, 1-2 AWAY, 3-5 ATS) vs. Bengals (4-3, 2-1 HOME, 3-3-1 ATS)

ATS: Bills +3, Bengals -3, O/U: 48.5, ML: Bills +135, Bengals -150

Last Meeting: Bengals 27 Bills 10 (1/22/23)

Bills L10 - 3-7 SU, Bengals L10 5-5 SU

I see a shootout coming. The value is on the OVER on SNF.

This game should see a lot of scoring chances both ways. 

The Bengals are starting to figure things out after a slow start. With the AFC North race wide open, Cincinnati has got themselves back into the picture thanks to Joe Burrow. He is finally healthy and doing things that made him so successful last season. This offense is rolling and producing finally, which will be huge going against this high flying Buffalo attack.

The Bills had little issues moving the ball against the Bucs as they continue to get their momentum back a well.

This a game where we get both Allen and Burrow playing at a top level finally this season.

Look for a back and forth affair all night long, with both teams taking plenty of shots down field which helps out this Over. 

Some trends to note, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's L11 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati. Plus, the over is 9-0 in Bills L9 games as an underdog, 7-0 in Bills L7 games as a road underdog, and finally the Over is 7-0 in Bills L7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

The Hamlin Bowl! These two teams will be playing with a ton of passion and emotion in this one. I expect to see both offenses flying high after nice wins and getting back on track last week. Whoever has the ball last wins. Expect a score in the high 50's.

OVER 48.5

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play

Panthers +3

Colts (3-5, 2-1 AWAY, 4-4 ATS) vs. Panthers (1-6, 1-2 HOME, 1-5-1 ATS)

ATS: Colts -3, Panthers +3, O/U: 44.5, ML: Colts -150, Panthers +135

Last Meeting: Colts 38 Panthers 6 (12/22/19)

Indy L10 - 4-6 SU, Panthers L10 3-7 SU

I see the Panthers as the stronger team on Sunday.

Carolina should be able to match up well with this Colts side on both sides of the ball.

Indianapolis has been absolutely torched on the defensive end. Looking back at their last 3 games, they have allowed, 37 points to the Jags, 39 to the Browns, and then 38 last week against the Saints. They haven't slowed anyone down with the run or the pass.

Carolina should have a field day with this defense.

The Colts constantly give up the big play and their inability to get off the field on third down is costly. 

Carolina should control this one from the outset with their tempo and really have the Colts on their heels. Indianapolis has just been digging too big of holes they simply cannot get out of. 

Some trends to note, the Colts are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite, are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games, and are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Carolina. Carolina are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC South, and lastly, they're 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

I had the Panthers ATS last week, and I'm going back to the well this week.

Panthers +3.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

UNDER 43

A heckuva nice matchup awaits us on Sunday when the Seahawks (5-2, 3-3-1 ATS, 2-1 on the road) vs. Ravens (6-2, 5-3 ATS, 2-1 at home) on Nov. 5 from M&T Bank Stadium at 1pm ET. NFL Opening odds have the Ravens as -4.5pt favorites ATS, and the O/U line has been set at 43. ML straight up bettors will see the Seahawks +205, and the Ravens are at -245.

I had the Seahawks/Browns UNDER (LOSS) on Sunday Week 7 as a free play, and I'm going to revisit a Seahawks team again on the O/U this time on the road. Adding Leonard Williams NT from the Giants in a trade on Monday is going to be the missing ingredient this Seahawks D needs to be elite.

This defense is going to step up here after that struggle last week. While they did make a few big plays, it was still a struggle at times against Cleveland. This Seattle defense rarely has bad back to back games, so a bounce back here should be coming.

Baltimore also has been flocking on the defensive side. They are tough to crack and rarely allow the big play.

This is going to be a game where neither team has the ability to play the deep ball. Look for a lot of runs, chewing of the clock, and for points to be at a premium. 

Seahawks 1st in Scoring Def. (12.5 PPG), YPP allowed (4.1), & Sacks Per Game (5.3), and the Ravens 1st In PTS Allowed (15.1 PPG), 2nd Total Defense (276.5 YPG), 3rd in Pass D (176.6).

Some trends to note, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's L12 games. The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Ravens L18 games, and has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's L10 games at home, and the Under is 5-0 in Ravens L5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Lastly, the UNDER is 8-1in the Ravens L9 games as a home fav.

Back the UNDER 43.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play

Packers -3

A nice matchup on Sunday when the Rams (3-5, 3-4 ATS, 2-2 on the road) take on the Packers (2-5, 3-4 ATS, 1-2 at home) on Nov. 5 from Lambeau Field at 1pm ET. NFL Opening odds have the Packers as +1.5pt point dogs ATS, and the O/U line has been set at 42.5. ML straight up bettors will see the Rams +145, and the Packers are at -160.

I had the Cowboys -6 over the Rams on Sunday and I'm going back to the well this weekend with the Packers at home behind their rabid fan base. I'm not sure at this point of the week if Stafford will play (He's questionable as of Monday), if he does I think he'll be in quite a bit of pain. It's a 1pm ET game as well, which is always difficult for the west-coast teams. The weather will also likely be a factor this week for a nice indoor/climate controlled team playing in the elements of Wisconsin. I get it if you don't trust the Packers, but I do this week. Their defense plays well at home.

Green Bay will lean on that defense here to force the Rams into some uncomfortable and long third down spots. 

The key for them will be to put together a lot of different blitz packages. The Packers are at their best on the defensive end when they can get into the backfield and cause a lot of havoc. That should be the case in this one as they can produce some long yardage situations and get off the field. 

Look for them to even force a few turnovers here. The Rams have been turning the ball over a lot more and they just don't look as sharp as they have in the past. Stafford is reeling right now and his offensive line is letting him down. 

Given their struggles, they haven't covered the number much either. 

Some trends to note, the Rams are 1-6-1 ATS in their L8 games in November, are 5-14 SU in their L19 games, are 0-9 ATS in their L9 games against the Packers, and are 0-5 ATS in their L5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay. On the other side the Packers are 7-1 in their L8 vs. NFC West teams.

Back the Packers -3 on Sunday when the Rams travel to Lambeau.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

OVER 37.5

Cardinals (1-7, 0-4 AWAY, 4-3-1 ATS) vs. Browns (4-3, 3-1 HOME, 4-3 ATS)

ATS: Cardinals +7.5, Browns -7.5, O/U: 37.5, ML: Cardinals +305, Browns -320

Last Meeting: Cardinals 37 Browns 14 (10/17/21)

Cardinals L10 - 5-5 SU, Browns L10 5-5 SU

I'm all over the Browns to put up a ton of points on Sunday. Arizona can score too, so I'm expecting 40+ points in this one. Likely 45+.

We get the return of Deshaun Watson here, which should boost this game to seeing some points. Watson has been battling a shoulder injury, but we've seen videos all week long from practice of him slinging the ball all over the place. That bodes well for us as Cleveland should pick apart one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

Arizona will start Tune here, which should also prove to be a better decision for them. The Cardinals have struggled mightily this year, but a fresh arm is going to give them a boost. Cleveland's defense has struggled the last couple of weeks and the Cardinals should open things up a bit playbook wise. 

Look for both teams to move the ball here, but Cleveland will be the difference here on this total. They will set the tone off this game and force Arizona to open things up themselves. 

Some trends to note, the Over is 5-0 in Cardinals L5 games on grass, plus the total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's L7 games, and the total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's L6 games against an opponent in the AFC North. On the other side the total has gone OVER in 5 of the Browns' L7 games against Arizona. 

The Cards put up 24 in Week 8, the Browns hung 20 on Seattle. Being a Seahawks fan I watched this Browns team very closely on Sunday. They're great on defense (we know this) but they're actually really good on offense too. They just need to clean up the play calling to get it dialed in here. The Browns should have won on Sunday vs. Seattle but an errant pass hit Jamal Adams in the head, otherwise I think they get it done. The Cardinals are a big step down from the Seahawks. Offenses will roll on Sunday. 27-13, 24-21, 26-14 kind of game.

OVER 37.5.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 6* NFL O/U Play

Steelers -2.5

Titans (3-4, 0-3 AWAY, 4-3 ATS) vs. Steelers (4-3, 2-2 HOME, 4-3 ATS)

ATS: Steelers -2.5, Titans +2.5, O/U: 36.5, ML: Titans +130, Steelers -150

Last Meeting: Steelers 19 Titans 13  (12/19/21)

Titans L10 - 5-5 SU, Steelers L10 7-3 SU

I see the Steelers being the team to back on Thursday Night Football. I'm delivering a win to you "via Amazon Prime!" (See what I did there? LOL)

The Titans will be without Tannehill once again and this Pittsburgh defense is going to blitz all night long in this one. The Steelers defense is one of the best, led by TJ Watt, who loves to cause a lot of havoc in the backfield. 

They'll get a look at Will Levis here, who does come in off a good start. Still, Pittsburgh defense is 2nd in the NFL in takeaways this season. They are going to put together a lot of different blitz packages and have Levis on tilt here. 

The advantage its with the home side in this one as they should control the tempo on both sides of the ball. 

Some trends to note, Pittsburgh are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games, and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss, plus, they're 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. On the other side the Titans are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games, and are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

While they may have found their QB of the future I'm not impressed with the Titans overall. I just don't think the Titans are a very good football team. 

Steelers -2.5.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

LIONS -8

Locking this in early. I expect the line to move UP TO -9 or -9.5 as the weak moves on. (I could be wrong, and I was wrong. LOL)

Tonight, it's Monday Night Football in Week 8 as the Raiders (3-4) take on the Lions (5-2) at Ford Field, with an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff on ABC/ESPN.

For those looking to bet straight up, the odds stand at Raiders +300 and Lions -375. If you prefer the point spread, the Lions are favored by -7.5 (-115), and the Over/Under total is set at 44.5.

In their last outing, the Raiders suffered a brutal defeat, losing 30-12 to the Bears in a game that was completely one-sided. They failed to cover the spread as a 2.5-point road favorite. On the other hand, Detroit had a tough time too, experiencing their worst loss of the season, a 38-6 drubbing at the hands of the Ravens, failing to cover as 3-point underdogs.

Tonight we're in a nice bounce back spot on the Lions.

They are here to put last week behind them as they were throttled by the Ravens. They still have had a lot of success thus far and still have far more confidence heading into play here.

The Raiders had just 235 yards in their loss to Chicago, a game in which their struggles came on both sides of the ball. Las Vegas has just been far too inconsistent to trust. The Lions should be able to move the ball on them and put together some solid drives early in this one. 

Look for the Lions to stake themselves out to a lead and have this Raiders team in an uncomfortable spot.

Some trends to note, Vegas are 2-4 ATS in their L6 games, and they're 3-7 SU in their L10 games. They're also 1-5 ATS in their L6 games on the road. On the other side, Detroit are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games, and they're 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games at home.

Back the Lions at home on MNF. Jimmy G or not (he'll play), this is a double-digit win for the Lions who get back on track.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

UNDER 46.5

Locking this in early. I expect the line to move down as the weak moves on. (I could be wrong)

We're on the Under in this one as this should be a slower developing game.

Both offenses love to slow things down as we've seen them both struggle to put up points through the first few weeks of this season.

This is going to be the kind of game where the clock continues to run and the run games are established. 

Combine that with neither side being explosive too. We've seen a lack of a spark from both the Chargers and the Bears, who have struggled to find the big play. That benefits us here on this under tremendously. 

Some trends to note, The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Chargers' L5 games, plus the total has gone UNDER in 4 of LAC's L5 games against Chicago, and lastly the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Chargers' L6 games at home.

Back the UNDER 46.5 on Sunday Night Football.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play

Cardinals +9

In Week 8, the Ravens (5-2, 5-2 ATS) hit the road to face the Cardinals (1-6, 3-4 ATS). The game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, and on TV on CBS. When it comes to NFL Week 8 betting odds, the Moneyline shows the Ravens at -400 and the Cardinals at +325. Additionally, the ATS line is set at Ravens -8.5, and the Over/Under (O/U) stands at 44.5 points.

The Cardinals suffered a 20-10 loss on the road against Seattle, entering this matchup as 10-point underdogs. On the other hand, the Ravens are riding high with two consecutive victories, the most recent being a 38-6 home W against Detroit.

Hold your nose on this one. The Cards are the move here though as this is an interesting spot. 

Baltimore caught all the attention after their throttling last week against the Lions. Baltimore looked like they were a top team in the entire league, dominating on both sides of the ball. 

This is a bit of a trap spot. Everyone will see this and look at the 1-6 Cards and think it's an easy win for the Ravens. But this is a big let down spot. Arizona went toe to toe with the Seahawks last week in a low scoring game. Arizona can lean on their defense here and try to force some long yardage situations for this Ravens offense.

If they can sustain drives offensively and slow the tempo down, they'll have this Ravens team frustrated. We're playing this to be a low scoring game and for it to be close throughout. Weather won't be a factor.

A trend to note, Baltimore are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Arizona, also, Arizona is winning the turnover differential here at +1. The Ravens are -3. So there's that.

HOME DOGS FTW. Back the Desert Dogs on Sunday.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys -6

Sunday, it's the Rams (3-4, 4-2-1 ATS) versus the Cowboys (4-2, 4-2 ATS). The game will start at 1:00 PM ET in Arlington, TX, at AT&T Stadium. You can watch it on FOX. In their previous games, the Rams lost 24-17 to the Steelers, and the Cowboys beat the Chargers 20-17.

The latest betting odds are as follows: Cowboys are favored to win with a Moneyline of -276, while the Rams have a Moneyline of +224. The Cowboys are also favored by -6 on the Spread, and the Total points O/U is set at 45.5.

Dallas is the move here.

The Cowboys have found some consistency and now they return home where they have played just twice this year. Typically, the Cowboys have had success in the past at home and now they will see a string of games where most will be inside this building. 

This Dallas side will lean on their defense. They rank third in the NFL in total defense, allowing just 288.7 yards per game. They should be able to have the Rams on their heels, as they love to put together a lot of different blitz packages. 

Look for them to force Los Angeles into some long yardage situations and get off the field on third down.

When these two teams have faced off before, the Cowboys have won 15 times in regular-season games and 4 times in the playoffs, while the Rams have won 13 regular-season games and lost 5 playoff games against them.

The Cowboys are averaging 25.67PPG, the Rams 22.14PPG. The Cowboys only allow 16PPG, the Rams 20PPG. Cowboys are 6-4 vs. the Rams in the L10 averaging 28PPG to LAR's 20PPG in those L10 games.

Some trends to note, Rams are 5-13 SU in their L18 games, and are 1-4 ATS in their L5 games when playing on the road against Dallas. On the other side Dallas are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games, are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games, and lastly they're 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home.

I'm on the Boys on Sunday -6. They'll win this by 10+.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Panthers +3.5

On Sunday, the Texans (3-3, 4-2 ATS) will face off against the Panthers (0-6, 0-5-1 ATS) in a game that features rookie quarterbacks C.J. Stroud and Bryce Young. The matchup will take place at 1:00 PM ET at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC and will be broadcast on FOX. The Panthers are coming into this game after a bye week, following a 42-21 loss to the Dolphins in Week 6. Meanwhile, Houston also had a bye week and are coming off a 20-13 W over the Saints.

In terms of odds, the Texans are favored with a -185 Moneyline (straight up odds), while the Panthers stand at +150. The Texans are also favored by 3.5 points against the spread (ATS), and the over/under (total points) is set at 43.5.

The Panthers are looking to right this ship and find the win column. This is the perfect matchup as they take on a Texans team that isn't overpowering by any means.

Carolina can find success here on both sides of the ball. The Texans rank 25th in the NFL on the ground, as they have been extremely inconsistent. The lack of rushing attack will play into the Panthers favor here, as they know Houston will have a tough time moving the ball. 

Look for this game to be a grind it out kind of one, where the Panthers will have to sustain drives and keep this offense on the field. With two similar styles, it should be close throughout here. 

Carolina has still exceeded 20 points on three different occasions this year, so they can put their share of points up. 

Weather won't be a factor.

The Texans come in averaging 22.5PPG, Carolina 18PPG. The Texans allow 18PPG, and the Panthers 31PPG. 

I'm backing Bryce Young to be the better of the two rookie QB's this week. A new play caller during the bye week is the medicine he needed. The Panthers however are a top 10 team in the Redzone. So, they've got that going for them. 

Looking at their past encounters, these two haven't faced each other often. The Panthers hold a 4-2 all-time record against Houston, with a 1-1 record at home and they're also 3-1 away. 

Some trends to note, Houston are 5-13 SU in their L18 games, and they're 1-4 ATS in their L5 games against Carolina. On the other side the Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their L5 games as a home underdog of 0.5 to 3, and finally they're 10-1 SU in their L11 games against an opponent in the AFC South.

Carolina could win this outright and get off the schneid. 

Take the Panthers on Sunday and grab the points. (All of em')

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bills -9

In Week 8, it's the Buccaneers (3-3) versus the Bills (4-3) on Amazon's TNF. They'll be facing off at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, NY, with kickoff set for 8:15pm ET. The Moneyline (ML) offers the Bucs at +320 and the Bills at -405 for those who prefer straight up bets. ATS lines, the Bills are favored by -9, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set between 42.5 up to 43.5.

Last games for each saw Buffalo suffer a 29-25 defeat on the road against the Patriots, while the Bucs had a disappointing 16-13 loss to the Falcons. Weather won't be a factor. Game time temps call for low 70's, and no rain.

For starters the Bucs can't run the ball, so that makes them 1-dimensional. Buffalo, while banged up should be licking their chops to come after Baker on Thursday in Full Old School Buffalo Blitzkrieg mode. (Is Bruce Smith available?) Baker is going to have to go full on check-down Baker to move the ball on Thursday night.

The Bucs have lost 3 of 4 and this could be one of the last times we see Baker Mayfield at QB. *YES* it's that bad! Check out their injury report. They can't run the ball (as I said) as it is, now they have O-lineman missing games (likely 2), and their best defensive player Vita Vea is a possible GTD. 

The Bills are a top 15 team in the NFL in both Passing and Rushing, and they're #2 in points scored. Allen is having a solid season, currently 5th in the NFL for passing yards with 1,841 in 7 games. Averaging 263YPG with a 70% completion rate. He also has tossed 15 TD's to only 7 INT's. (3 weren't his fault) These are numbers Baker just can't touch, and there's just no way TB can keep up with Buffalo on the scoreboard. 

Some trends to note, Buffalo are 12-4 SU in their L16 games, and they're 15-3 SU in their L18 games at home. On the other side TB are 4-10 ATS in their L14 games, and are 0-6 ATS in their L6 games against AFC teams.

Bills win by 12+.

We're backing the Bills ATS on Thursday Night Football. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

TNF 8* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -3

Tonight on Sunday Night Football, two former Alabama Crimson Tide teammates, Tagovailoa and Hurts, meet for the first time in their NFL careers. The Dolphins (5-1, 5-1 ATS) clash with the Eagles (5-1, 3-2-1 ATS) at 8:20 PM ET in Lincoln Financial Field, airing on NBC.

Philadelphia is favored at -1.5 ATS, while for straight-up bettors, Miami offers +109, and Philadelphia stands at -133 on the ML. As for the NFL Betting Total, it's set at O/U 52.

We’re backing the Eagles on Sunday night football. 

Miami’s defense has had its issues and they will have their hands full with this Phili attack. 

Philadelphia welcomes in the Dolphins and it’s always tough to go into Phili and come out with a win. The Eagles are in a full bounce back spot too. They were upset by the Jets last week and we’ve seen this team rarely let losses pile up.

This is a game where they can feed off the home crowd, at night. 

Look for the Eagles to open the playbook early too, knowing they have to find momentum to erase last week. This offense can strike in so many different ways and they’re worth playing here. 

The Eagles are 12-1 in games played in Sept/Oct the L2 years, which is of course the best record over that time in the NFL. The loss? Was to the Jets (last week).

Weather won't trouble the Eagles, but it might be a tad chilly for Miami with a forecasted 10mph wind and game-time temperatures between 45-50°F.

Some trends to note, Miami are 2-6 ATS in their L8 games against Philadelphia. On the other side, Philadelphia are 5-1 SU in their L6 games, and are 4-1 SU in their L5 games at home, and they're 10-4 ATS in their L14 games against an opponent in the AFC East.

Back the Eagles to cover the 3 on SNF.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Rams -3

The Steelers (3-2, 3-2 ATS) take on the Rams (3-3, 4-1-1 ATS) this Sunday at SoFi Stadium in NFL Week 7 action. Kickoff is at 4:05 p.m. EST, and you can watch it on FOX. In the NFL Week 7 odds, the Rams are favored by 3.5 points over the Steelers. The moneyline odds show the Rams at -175 and the Steelers at +145. The total points for the game are set at 42.5.

The Rams have value here, at home.

Los Angeles comes in after beating down the Cardinals last week. They were able to pick up yards in chunks and really had Arizona on their heels early.

On the other side, Pittsburgh has been atrocious offensively. They rank 27th in yards per play and 32nd in red zone offense. They have had so many issues top to bottom even just moving the ball.

This is going to be another game where they struggle to get anything going. Look for the Rams to blitz all night long and really put Pickett in some trouble.

The Steelers had a bye week in NFL Week 6, while the Rams are coming off a solid 26-9 win against the Arizona Cardinals. These teams have clashed 27 times in their history, including one playoff game. The Steelers have won 10 times, the Rams 15, and they've tied twice.

Some trends to note, the Steelers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA. The Rams are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games, are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. Plus if you like this sort of trend the Rams are 5-0 SU in their L5 games played in week 7.

The Steelers don't have an answer for Kupp, and he can win this one by himself.

Back the Rams to take down the Steel Curtain on Sunday. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -7.5

Sunday the Cardinals (1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS) will be going head-to-head with the Seahawks (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) at 4:05 ET at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington. The current Week 7 ATS Betting Lines lean in favor of Seattle, with a spread ranging from -7.5 to -8 points. When it comes to the NFL Moneyline Odds, Arizona stands at +300, Seattle -385. The NFL Betting Total is set at O/U 44.5.

Both teams faced losses in Week 6, as the Seahawks fell 17-13 to the Bengals, and the Cardinals suffered a 26-9 loss to the Rams.

We’re on the Seahawks, laying the number.

Seattle is just far better than Arizona. The Cardinals come in with 3 straight losses in games they didn’t have any sort of chance in.

Defensively they rank near the bottom in almost every category and they haven’t been able to slow anyone down.

Seattle is in the midst of looking to rebound after dropping a tough one to the Bengals last week. Prior to that they had won 3 in a row themselves and they should be able to dictate a lot in this game.

Look for them to control the possession clock and sustain drives, which should open up passing lanes for Smith to find Lockett (who I expect to have a big game), & Metcalf down field all day. I also think the run game with Charbonnet and Walker III will run up the stats in this one.

Some trends to note, Arizona are 1-12 SU in their last 13 games., and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Seattle, finally they're 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against the Seahawks.

A deeper dive into their history reveals that the Seahawks and Cardinals have clashed 48 times, with Seattle winning 25 games, the Cardinals 22, and a tie. Last year, they met twice, with the Seahawks prevailing in both matchups by a 10-point margin each time.

Sunday weather shouldn't be a factor, mid 50's with a 25% chance of rain. (Normal for the PNW)

We're backing the Seahawks by -7.5 on Sunday in Seattle. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Raiders -3

The Raiders (3-3, 3-3 ATS) will face the Bears (1-5, 1-4-1 ATS) this Sunday at Soldier Field during NFL Week 7 action. You can catch the game at 1pm ET on FOX. The betting odds give the Raiders a 3-point advantage as the favorites, with Las Vegas at -155 on the moneyline and Chicago at +130. The over/under point total is set at 38.5.

In their recent games, the Raiders secured a 21-17 victory against the Patriots, while the Bears suffered a 19-13 defeat at the hands of the Vikings. 

We’re on the raiders here in this one.

Las Vegas takes on a beaten and bruised Bears team. They will start undrafted free agent Tyson Bagent in this one. Fields continues to recover from a dislocated right thumb.

The Raiders will also be on the backup train, with likely Brian Hoyer as their option. From their perspective, at least Hoyer does have a lot of NFL experience and won’t be overwhelmed in this spot.

Expect them to lean on the run game here and give Hoyer some short options early when it comes to passing the ball.

Defensively, they will blitz all day and try to rattled Bagent.

Some trends to note, Chicago are 1-15 SU in their last 16 games, 0-10 SU in their last 10 games at home, and they're 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games.

These two teams have faced off 16 times in their history, with both the Bears and the Raiders winning 8 games each. The Bears' last triumph was a 20-9 victory back in October 2021.

Back the RAAAAAIIIIIIDDDDERS on Sunday.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play