Chiefs +1

The 49ers (14-5, 9-10 ATS) will clash with the Chiefs (14-6, 12-8 ATS) in Super Bowl LVIII on  February 11th at Allegiant Stadium in LV, 6:30pmET on CBS start time. In terms of the opening Super Bowl odds, the 49ers are favored with a Moneyline (ML) of -120, while the Chiefs stand at +100. The spread favors the 49ers by 1.5 points (-110), and the Over/Under is set at 47.5 points. This Super Bowl matchup is a rematch of Super Bowl LIV in Miami, where the Chiefs won 31-20. The Chiefs have been dominant recently, winning 5 of 6 vs. SF and covering the spread in 5 of those. The 49ers making their 8th appearance and claiming SB wins in 5 (of course it's been a while). Meanwhile, the Chiefs are the reigning champions, having defeated the Eagles 38-35 in 2023. Last week, in the NFC Championship Game, the 49ers were trailing 24-7 at halftime against the Lions, they mounted an impressive comeback, scoring 17 in the 3rd and ultimately won 34-31 scoring 27 unanswered points. The Lions managed a late score for a backdoor cover. On the other side, in the AFC Championship, the Chiefs took control early with a 7-0 lead midway through the first quarter against the Ravens and never relinquished it, securing a 17-10 win. Both defenses in that one were great, but Mahomes outplayed Jackson, and the game didn't ever look to be in doubt. If you jump on this Super Bowl LVIII line quickly you may find +1.5 still but they 1.5's aren't easy to find anymore. (As of Monday 1/29 Noon ET). It's a Super Bowl matchup loaded with excitement potential, and should be an epic showdown.

Locking this in early, more analysis to follow.

Stats: PPG SF 29 PPG (3rd), KC 23.3 PPG (8th), PTS Allowed SF 26 PPG (7th), KC 13.6 PPG (2nd). Red Zone SF #2, KC #12. 3rd Down SF #2, KC #8.

Trends, 49ers 0-4 ATS vs. teams with winning records, and 1-5 ATS L6 after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in prior matchup. Plus, SF 1-4 ATS L5, 1-6 ATS L7 vs. KC, 1-5 SU L6 vs. KC. On the other side, KC 5-0 ATS L5, 5-0 SU L5, 13-3 SU L16 vs. NFC teams, and 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC West teams. 

You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Sunday 9* Super Bowl LVIII ATS Play

BONUS PROP: George Kittle OVER 46.5 Total Receiving Yards -118

BONUS PROP: Patrick Mahomes OVER 36.5 Total Passing Attempts -128

49ers -7

The Detroit Lions (12-5, 6-3 AWAY, 13-6 ATS, 7-2 ATS AWAY) will play against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 9-9 ATS, 3-6 ATS HOME) in the 2024 NFC Championship Game on Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. The game is set to start at 6:30pm ET. Opening betting lines have Detroit +6.5 and San Francisco -6.5. Moneyline odds of Detroit +245 and San Francisco -311. The total points expected in the game is set at over/under 51. We're on the 49ers in this one. They hold the value for me, and I think the 49ers can and will win this by 9+. Fact...teams with the #1 seed have won 34 out of 48 conference championship games since the NFL playoffs began in 1975. It's really hard to go on the road in this matchup, and the proof is in the puddin'.  The Lions beat Tampa Bay 31-23 last week in the Divisional round, and now they're in their second-ever Conference Championship. The 49ers defeated the Packers 24-21. McCaffrey scored a 2nd TD to win the game with 1:07 left. The 49ers lead the historical series 39-28-1, vs. DTown, with a postseason record of 1-1. Recently, the 49ers have been stronger, winning 11 of their last 12 matchups since 1996. Last time these two played was 9/12/21. A 41-33 SF win in Detroit. (Lions covered the +9.5 in that one) Last season, the Lions and 49ers didn't play against each other. Weather looks to be typical for Santa Clara this time of year. Forecast says it might be 74F with some light winds. Regardless of whether Samuel plays or not on Sunday I have the Niners cruising to victory in this one. Goff will be throwing a ton, as he has in all of DET's losses this year, and that plays right into the strength of this Niners D. That Pass Rush and secondary are elite. It wouldn't surprise me if Goff throws 2+ INT's. If Samuel plays, the Lions will really have their hands full containing Purdy from being the elite game manager he is. Samuel, Aiyuk, Kittle (everyone knows DET isn't great vs. TE's), and oh ya, that CMC guy coming out of the backfield are weapons NO team in the NFL wants to have to contain (Jennings is no slouch either). The Lions have allowed 125+ yards to at least 1 WR in 6 straight games. Sure Lions are great vs. the Run, but the 49ers are so much more than just running the ball with CMC. Expect Purdy in shotgun a ton, gadget plays, play action, and lots of screen passes behind the line to get those 4-6 yard plays on 1st down. Shanahan is greater than Campbell in this one. PFF rated Purdy 95/100 on Play Action this year. Goff, Gibbs and Sun God are great, I'd LOVE them all on my fantasy team, but this isn't the Fantasy Final, this is the NFC championship, and I trust the Niners offense much more than DETROIT. Trends, Lions are 1-11 SU L12 vs. SF, 0-10 SU L10 on the road vs. SF, and 2-5 SU L7 vs. NFC West teams. The 49ers are 8-2 SU L10, 7-1 L8 SU vs. NFC teams, and 13-4 L17 games in JAN. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 10* *RARE* NFC Championship ATS Top Play

Ravens -3

Kansas City (13-6, 7-2 AWAY, 11-7-1 ATS) is set to face Baltimore (14-4, 7-3 HOME, 12-6 ATS) in the AFC Championship this Sunday. The game will take place at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD, kickoff 3 pm ET, TV on CBS. We’re on the Ravens, laying the points. This will be the Ravens first ever conference title game at home. Opening odds are Moneyline (ML) - Chiefs +140, Ravens -165, and the Ravens are favored by -3.5 ATS. The total Over/Under is set at 45. On one side, we have the Chiefs' formidable run defense contending with Jackson, Edwards, and Hill, while on the other, the Ravens' elite defense faces the challenge of containing Rice and Kelce. These two teams last squared off on September 19, 2021, when the Ravens secured a 36-35 home victory during SNF. Prior to that, Sept. 28, 2020, KC emerged with a win 34-20 as 3.5-point dogs in Baltimore. Baltimore is playing at such a high level right now. Lamar Jackson and company came out with a purpose in the 2nd half of their Divisional Round game and made a statement over the Texans. Jackson is so tough to stop as he can not only beat you with the passing game, but he’s really utilized his running attack. Against Houston, he rushed for 100 yards on 11 attempts. Kansas City’s defense has had issues with mobile QBs and that will be a huge factor in this game. The Ravens defensively are in another level as well. Overall this season they’ve proven to be just so stingy and they cause so many issues for opposing defenses. They’re going to force Mahomes into some tough passing windows and they won’t allow them to get any sort of push with their offensive line. Baltimore is a complete team and right now, they’re just playing at such a high level. This will be the kind of game where they sustain drives and will be the ones to make the bigger plays when needed. In their most recent games, the Chiefs edged out the Bills 27-24 on the road, covering as 2.5-point underdogs. Notably, this marks KC' 6th consecutive appearance in the AFC Championship. As for Baltimore, they defeated the Texans 34-10 at home Saturday, improving Jackson's playoff record to 2-3, and they successfully covered the 10-point home spread. In terms of the all-time series between these teams, KC holds a 7-5 lead. However, it's worth noting that Baltimore had a 30-7 Wild Card win in KC on January 9, 2011. The Ravens come into this one #2 on offense in the NFL (34 PPG), Chiefs #8 (26 PPG). On defense Ravens are #1 in the league (10 PPG allowed), Chiefs are #2 (15 PPG). In the Red Zone the Ravens are #4 80%, Chiefs are #12 40%. Trends, the Ravens are 11-5 ATS L16 on Sunday, and they're 4-1 ATS L5, 7-1 SU L8, 4-1 SU L5 at home, 5-1 ATS L6 vs. AFC teams, and 5-0 SU L5 vs. AFC West teams. Lastly, the Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their L5 games after going for more than 350 total yards in their previous matchup. This line is too nice to pass up. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Sunday 9* AFC Championship ATS Play

Bills -2.5

The upcoming clash features the Kansas City Chiefs 12-6 (10-8 ATS), against the Buffalo Bills 12-6 (8-9-1 ATS), currently on a 6-game winning streak. Scheduled for this Sunday in Orchard Park, kickoff is set for 6:30pm ET, with TV (CBS). I can't wait for this NFL Playoffs Divisional Round matchup. Initial odds for this matchup the Moneyline (ML) Chiefs +122 and the Bills -144. The point spread (ATS) favors the Bills by -2.5 points (-115), and the total Over/Under (O/U) is set at 46.5 points. In recent performances, the Chiefs dominated the AFC Wild Card matchup, winning 26-7 against the Miami Dolphins as 4.5-point favorites. The Bills had a 31-17 win over the Steelers as 10-point home favorites. In Week 14 of the regular season the Bills narrowly got past the Chiefs 20-17, you'll remember the controversial ending with the Kadarius Toney offside incident. In a trip down memory lane, the last time the Bills hosted the Chiefs in the playoffs was in January 1994 during the AFC Championship, where Buffalo emerged with the win 30-13. This is such an intriguing matchup. The big narrative this week is of course Mahomes has never played a road playoff game, we don't know what to expect?! Of course we know what to expect. He's Mahomes. 2-time NFL Super Bowl winner. He'll be fine. The Bills have a strong playoff record at home since 1970, with a 14-2 record, the best among NFL teams with at least 5 home games. Allen is highly motivated for his second AFC Championship Game appearance. In my opinion, the key to the Bills covering is their run game. The Chiefs have struggled to defend the run since the middle of the season, while the Bills have consistently gained over 100 rushing yards since Week 10. The Bills have to control possession, limiting Mahomes' opportunities and allowing Allen to utilize play-action effectively, relying on Cook, Johnson, and Murray. Will it be loud in Buffalo? Yes. Will it be cold? Yes. Vegas is smart. If Mahomes sucked the Bills would be a 7pt favorite. They're not. But, having said all that, I still think the Bills cover this 2.5. Trends, Bills are 4-2 ATS L6, 6-0 SU L6, 6-1 SU L7 at home, and 5-0 SU L5 vs. AFC teams. Bills are also 4-0-1 ATS L5 vs. a team with a winning record. On the other side the Chiefs are 0-5 ATS L5 following a SU win of 14+ points. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Lions -6

NFC divisional playoffs this week sees the Tampa Bay Bucs (10-8, 12-6 ATS, 8-1 ATS AWAY, 5-4 SU AWAY) taking on the Detroit Lions (13-5, 12-6 ATS, 5-4 ATS HOME, 7-2 SU HOME) in the Motor City. Ford Field will see a 3pm ET kick off time on January 21st. Since 2007, the Buccaneers and Lions have clashed 10x, with the Lions emerging victorious in 6x matchups. In point spread terms, the Lions boast a 6-4 ATS record when facing the Bucs. In their latest meeting this season, the Lions secured a comfortable 20-6 win in Week 6. Going back farther, in a total of 61 games, including 1 postseason game, between the Lions and Bucs, the Lions have emerged victorious in 32, while the Bucs have claimed 29 wins. Detroit is clicking on all cylinders and they have value here at this number. The Lions take on a Bucs team that really has taken down teams struggling or beaten up during their hot run. This Detroit team is just on a different level right now. The Lions offensively are moving the ball, sustaining drives, and coming up with some big plays. Goff threw for 277 yards and a touchdown in the Wild card win over the Rams, as he has been playing at just a high level right now. He’s taking care of the ball and not forcing anything, which has allowed this offense to sustain drives. Defensively, Detroit is going to pin their ears back and come after Mayfield. The Bucs offensive line is shaky and they have struggled dealing with blitzes. The Lions are only giving up 23.2 ppg and they force a lot of turnovers. Expect them to put together many different looks defensively with their blitz packages and force Mayfield into some tight passes. With the crowd energy and the Lions rolling right now, this is the kind of game they’re going to feed off the momentum. Look for a quick start and for them to ultimately be too much for this Bucs side. Trends, Bucs are 4-11 ATS L15 vs. Detroit. Lions are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 7-1 SU L8 at home, 15-5 SU L20 vs. NFC Conference teams, and 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC South. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Packers +10

The Packers (10-8, 9-9 ATS) are facing off against the San Francisco 49ers (12-5, 9-8 ATS). The game will be on Saturday evening at Levi's Stadium, starting at 8:15 p.m. ET and airing on FOX. The Packers are listed at +375 on the Moneyline (ML), while the 49ers are favored at -500. The 49ers are 10-point favorites with -110 odds. The Over/Under (O/U) for total points scored in the game is set at 50.5. On Wildcard Weekend the Packers played impressively, beating the Cowboys 48-32 as 7-point road underdogs. The 49ers, on the other hand, secured a first-round bye by being the top seed in the NFC, but they ended their regular season with a close 21-20 loss to the Rams at home. 10 matchups since 2013 between these two, the 49ers hold a slight edge in the series, with a 6-4 record both SU and ATS. In 3 games since 2020, the Packers have done well with a 2-1 record SU and ATS. The most recent was January 2022, with the 49ers winning 13-10. Green Bay has been no push over and we get a very nice number on them in this spot. The Packers came out with a purpose and a plan and they executed better than even they could have imagined it in the Wild Card Game. Green Bay put up 48 points in what was one of their most dominant wins in a big game in franchise history. Jordan Love is clicking on all cylinders right now. He threw for 272 yards and 3 touchdowns as he’s been taking care of the ball and making some big time passes. The Packers balanced attack also saw them rush for 143 yards as a team. They wear teams down and use their run game to open up passing lanes. They have been at their best when they can control the time of possession and that will be the biggest emphasis here. Keeping the ball away from the 49ers offense and sustaining drives offensively is the key for this team. Green Bay has proven they can play with the top contenders now. Their confidence is at an all time high and with the momentum they have, they have the ability to keep this game close. The Packers will have their chances throughout and even have the opportunity to steal this one outright if they can get the run game going early. Trends, GB 6-3 ATS L9, 4-1 SU L5, 6-2 SU L8 vs. NFC teams, and 8-1 ATS L9 vs. NFC West teams. 49ers are 0-5 ATS L5 games at home. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Ravens -8.5

The AFC Divisional round matchup on January 20th features the Texans (10-7, 4-4 AWAY, 9-7-1 ATS, 1-0 ATS in playoffs) hitting the road to take on the Ravens (13-4 regular season, 6-3 HOME, 11-17 ATS) at M&T Bank Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm ET. The Ravens come into this game well-rested, having enjoyed a bye week during the wild card weekend, while the Texans are riding high from their recent surprise blowout Win over the Browns, 45-14. In terms of the opening odds, the Ravens are the clear favorites with a spread of -9.5 points in their favor. Additionally, the moneyline odds stand at -453 for the Ravens and +347 for the Texans. The over/under for the game is set at 45. The last time these two met was 9/10/23, a 25-9 Ravens win in Baltimore. Before that was before CJ Stroud came on board. 9/20/20 a 33-16 Ravens win in Houston. Baltimore is going to give this young Texans team quite the wake up call in this matchup. While Houston beat down the Browns in the Wild Card Game, this is just a lopsided matchup. Baltimore is fresh with the bye in the first round and given all the injuries this season to teams, that will be a huge boost. There won’t be any rust as Harbaugh has kept this team ready throughout the bye. His coaching is a huge edge no matter what coming into play. Baltimore dominated the matchup earlier this season and they have ran some teams over en route to this number 1 seed. They dominated good passing teams like the 49ers and Dolphins this season and they will have a good game plan ready for the Texans. Stroud is going to struggle with this defense that ranks near the top in many categories. Offensively, Baltimore is one of the best. Lamar Jackson is likely your MVP and he’s going to pick apart this defense once again. Baltimore has come up clutch in many big games this season and this one will be no different. Trends, Ravens are 6-0-1 L7 ATS after a SU loss, 5-2 ATS L7, 6-1 SU L7, 7-0 SU L7 vs. when playing Houston, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. AFC teams. On the other side, Houston are 2-4 ATS L6 vs. Baltimore, 2-11 SU L13 vs. BALT, and are 3-9 SU L12 vs. AFC North teams. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Buccaneers +3

NFC Wild Card Weekend. The Buccaneers (9-8, 11-6 ATS, 4-4 HOME) vs. Eagles (11-6, 7-8-2 ATS, 5-4 AWAY) game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, airing at 8pm on ESPN/ABC. For the fourth consecutive year, the Buccaneers will kick off their postseason campaign by facing a team from the NFC East in the opening round. The Eagles visit Tampa for the second time this season, as they grabbed a 25-11 victory at Raymond James in Week 3. On Sunday, Tampa Bay clinched the NFC South title with a 9-0 victory over the Panthers, though it only brought their season record to 9-8. Phili is going to have a hard time containing the skill positions of the Bucs, plain and simple. Evans (1255 yards 79 rec 13 TD), Godwin (1024 yards 83 rec 2 TD) White (990 RUSH yards 549 REC yards, 64 rec 9 total TD), Otton (549 yards 47 rec 4 TD), Mayfield (4044 Yds, 237YPG, 28 TD only 10 INT 364/566 64.3 COMP%), plus a defense with just enough playmakers on it to make bigtime plays at big parts of a game. This will not be a cakewalk for favorites (Philly) on the road. The Eagles are limping into this matchup. They haven't looked right since they lost to Seattle, some will say it's even earlier than that. Hurts, Smith, Brown haven't looked like themselves of late, and where's the Philly run game? I don't trust them. I do trust the fact that weather won't be a problem, and Philly rested all their starters in Week 18 so they'll come into this one as healthy as possible, but I like the home team. Baker is due. Tampa will keep this one close. Philadelphia struggles: 0-6 ATS, 1-5 SU in their L6 games. They're 1-4 SU against Tampa Bay, 0-5 ATS vs. NFC teams, and 2-6 ATS in L8 January games. In contrast, Tampa Bay excels: 4-1 ATS in their L5 games, 5-1 SU in their L6, and 10-3 SU in L13 January games. Tampa Bay appears to hold the edge considering these trends. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 7* NFC Wild Card ATS Play

PS I have an O/U total premium play up for this matchup too!

Steelers +9.5 (Love +10 if you see it!)

This game now has been moved to Monday, but that doesn't change how we feel about it. The Steelers (10-7, 10-7 ATS) are set to face off against the Bills (11-6, 7-10 ATS) in the 2024 Super Wildcard Weekend. The game is scheduled for Monday, January 15th, at 4:30 ET, to be held at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY. The NFL Wild Card Round betting lines favor Buffalo at -9.5, with Moneyline odds of Pittsburgh +368 and Buffalo -492, and an over/under total of 39.5. Pittsburgh secured their spot with a 17-10 win as 3-point road favorites against the Ravens, aided by Tennessee's victory over Jacksonville, which clinched their final AFC wild card spot. The Bills, having clinched the AFC East title and the No. 2 seed in the postseason, come off a remarkable 21-14 road win over the Dolphins. Monitoring weather for its impact on the game. Forecasts indicate temperatures in the 20s, near 0 wind chills. Expected 24 degrees at 1 p.m. kickoff, with wind gusts possibly up to 50 mph. Weather will be the great equalizer in this matchup. We all know not having WATT this weekend will hurt the Steelers, but I'm banking on the weather and the rest of their defense stepping up, and not letting this game be controlled by Allen and the Bills. Pittsburgh's defense ranks 5th in the NFL with 27 takeaways this season. They are 6th in points allowed, averaging 19.1 PPG, and concede 342.1 YPG. I expect the Golden/Herbig combo to try to fill Watt's void. It won't be easy, but they'll give PIT above average production. Kazee & Fitzpatrick could be back too, it won't hurt having Peterson move back to CB. Another factor in keeping Pittsburgh competitive is their run game. Averaging 156.7 RYPG in their L3 games, I'm expecting them to heavily rely on it vs. BUF. Harris showcased his skills with 255 carries for 1,035 yards, averaging 4.1 YPC and scoring 8 TD's. Warren had 149 carries for 784 yards, averaging 5.3 YPC, and adding 4 TD's. Warren's versatility was evident with 61 receptions too. If they get their job done, this cover will hit. Trends, Pittsburgh has a 13-7 ATS record in their L20, including 13 SU wins. Against Buffalo, they excel at 11-4 ATS in L15, 11 outright victories. In contrast, Buffalo struggles with a 4-9 ATS record in their L13 & faces challenges when favored, posting a 3-7 ATS record in their last 10. No matter when or where we're on PIT ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! 

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Rams +3.5

NFC Wild Card Weekend. In an electrifying showdown, the Rams (10-7, 5-4 AWAY, 10-6-1 ATS) and Lions (12-5, 6-2 HOME, 12-5 ATS) clash on NBC's Sunday Night Football in an NFC Wild Card Game. Ford Field serves as the battleground, with kickoff at 8 p.m. ET. The intrigue is palpable as Stafford squares off against the team that drafted him, swapping places with Jared Goff. In Week 18, the Rams secured a 21-20 victory over the 49ers, while the Lions bested the Vikings. Notably, this marks the Lions' first home playoff game since 1993. I'm fully expecting this line to reach +2 or +1.5 by kickoff. 85% to 90% of the public is on the Rams, and for good reason. We're getting down early to get the best line, and the possibility of back dooring ourselves into a win here. For the record, I'm not opposed to you sprinkling a little love on the Rams ML in this one, and I like their chances for an outright win here, it just depends how many weapons Goff has at his disposal come gametime. As of today (Monday) I'm not expecting we see LaPorta, or Raymond on the weekend (both injured vs. the Vikings), and trust me, they're big pieces of the Lions offense. Keep up with injury reports this week. Goff vs Stafford is going to be quite the spectacle. These two were flipped years back after spending years with who is now the opposing team in this wild card matchup. The Rams come in the hotter of the two teams and they’re playing at such a high level. They’ve rattled off wins in 7 of the last 8 games, with the lone loss being in Baltimore. In that game, they put up 31 points and covered in a close game. Los Angeles sees a Detroit team that ranks 24th defensively and the Rams are such a threatening offense to deal with. During their current 4 game winning streak, they’ve scored no less than 21 as they’re clicking on all cylinders. Kupp and Nacua are one of the best receiver duos in the NFL. Their ability to make plays and get deep downfield are as good as anyone in the league. With the playmakers the Rams have (don’t forget about Williams in the backfield!) and this team has the edge. We’re getting the better team with points in this spot. Trends, LAR 6-1 ATS L7, 7-1 SU L8, 6-0 SU L6 vs. NFC teams, and 9-4 SU L13 in JAN. Lions 1-5 SU L6 vs. NFC West teams. Rams have won 3 of the L4 vs. the Lions. 10/24/21 28-19, 12/2/18 30-16, 12/13/15 21-14, and the lone loss was 10/16/16 31-28 DET. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFC Wild Card ATS Play 

Packers +7.5

Green Bay (9-8, 9-8 ATS) face Dallas (12-5, 10-7 ATS) in the NFL playoffs' opening round. This Sunday, they'll kick off at 4:30 p.m. ET in Arlington, TX's AT&T Stadium. Notably, the Cowboys were unbeaten at home, going 8-0 in 2023, while the Packers struggled on the road at 4-5. Tune in on FOX. Current odds: (ML) - Packers +275, Cowboys -350, Over/Under - 49.5, Cowboys -7.5 ATS. Last game out, the Packers earned a Wild Card spot, defeating the Bears 17-9 at home, covering the 3-point spread. They ended the regular season strong, winning 3 straight and 6 of their last 8. In contrast, the Cowboys secured the NFC East title with a 38-10 road win over the Commanders. These teams have history, with 38 matchups, Packers leading 21-17, including 8 playoff games. The last matchup was 2022, the Pack won 31-28 in OT. Green Bay has won their last 4 vs. BIGD, including the past three in Dallas. Their last playoff face-off was in the 2016 divisional round, won by the Packers 34-31. The Packers aren’t far off, if even far off from the Cowboys. Green Bay is 9-8 and rattled off 3 straight wins to cap their regular season off as Jordan Love deserves a ton of credit. The Utah State product finished the regular season throwing for 4159 yards and 32 tds. What’s most impressive about his breakout year has been only 11 interceptions. He’s taken care of the ball well and has this offense rolling right now. They come in with a ton of momentum and confidence after putting up performances of 33 points twice and 17 in a game where they dominated the possession against the Bears. Love and company can keep up with this Cowboys attack. Dallas has had their moments on the defensive end where they’ve struggled and Green Bay can frustrate teams with their ability to sustain drives. If the Packers can win the time of possession, they’re going to frustrate the Cowboys all night here. Look for this one to be a close game throughout with Green Bay having their chances to steal it. Trends, GB are 6-2 SU L8, 5-1 ATS L6 vs. DAL, 9-1 SU L10 vs. Dallas, and 5-2 SU L7 vs. NFC teams. Dallas are 1-6 ATS L7 vs. a team with a winning record, are 2-4 ATS L6, 4-14 ATS L18 in JAN, and lastly, they're 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff home games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Browns -2.5

AFC Wild Card Weekend. This Saturday, it's a clash between Cleveland (11-6, 11-6 ATS, 3-5 AWAY) and Houston (10-7, 9-8 ATS, 6-3 HOME) in the AFC Wild Card Game at NRG Stadium, kicking off at 4:30 p.m. ET and airing on NBC. Cleveland, having already secured the AFC's #5 seed, rested players in Week 18 vs. Cinci, and they lost 31-14 as 7-point dogs. Before Week 18 the Browns had previously strung together 4 consecutive wins, including a 36-22 victory against the Texans in Week 16. On the flip side, the Texans punched their first playoff ticket since 2019 with a 23-19 win against the Colts. It's worth noting that Cleveland has dominated this series, winning the last 4 meetings since November 2020, and they've also emerged victorious in their past 2 at NRG. Cleveland heads into Houston as slim favorites and we’re backing the Browns here on the road. Cleveland dominated the Texans a few weeks back albeit was without CJ Stroud calling the plays under center. While that makes a difference, we still can takeaway a few things from that game. QB Joe Flacco still picked apart this Texans defense from the outset and that same defense will be up against him here. Flacco threw for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns as Amari Cooper turned in a career day out wide. Also, the Browns defense dominated the Texans offensive line for a majority of this game. These two things won’t change heading into Saturday. Cleveland’s defense is predominately a man to man defense as they aren’t shy about playing 1 on 1 outside. Stroud is one of the best QBs against the zone, but has had issues with man to man coverage. Cleveland will blitz and force him to make some uncomfortable throws in this one. Cleveland has the better team and they’re going to have a vet QB going against a rookie QB. That experience goes a long way in this matchup. From 2012 onwards, rookies have achieved a postseason record of 4 wins and 11 losses, with two of those wins occurring when 2 rooks faced each other in a game. This doesn't bode well for Houston. Trends, CLE 6-0 ATS L6 games as a FAVORITE, and 6-0 ATS L6 vs. a team with a winning record. CLE 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 4-1 SU L5 vs. HOU, 10-0 SU L10 vs. AFC South. HOU is 2-9 SU L11 vs. AFC North, and 2-5 SU L7 in JAN, plus they're 0-4 ATS in their L4 playoff games as a dog. You know what to do. Hop ON. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* AFC Wild Card ATS Play 

Bills -3

I don't release many 10* NFL Plays, but I feel extra strong about this one. NFL Week 18 Sunday Night football on NBC play for the (10-6, 3-4 AWAY, 6-10 ATS) Bills taking on the (11-5, 7-1 HOME, 10-6 ATS) Dolphins, Sunday, at 8:20pm ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL. Opening odds have the ML: Bills -163, Dolphins +135. ATS Odds: Bills -3, Dolphins +3. Total: O/U 50. The Bills are in one of the oddest spots ever really. They have a chance at the #2 seed and a chance to miss out on the playoffs. Things are hectic in the AFC Playoff race, but we’re backing Buffalo here as this team has a huge edge on Sunday. Buffalo gets the Dolphins at the right time as injuries are the topic of conversation for Miami. The Dolphins Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips are both on the IR, while a compliment of others sit below 100% even if they take the field. Buffalo has won 4 in a row and they’re doing it with dominant performances on both sides of the ball. They’ve allowed 22 points or less in all 4 wins and are getting contributions from so many different players. Josh Allen has the offense rolling and sustaining drives too, which has kept the ball away from the opposition. That’s going to be a huge key here as the Bills should have success keeping the Dolphins offense off the field and will set themselves up for some short yardage situations on 3rd down. Miami comes in 1-4 ATS against opponents over .500 and their struggles against good teams will be showcased in this contest. Health, Desperation, Motivation, Roster Depth. Buffalo. Check, Check, Check, and CHECK. X-Factor. Bills defense. 4th in the NFL allowing only 18.6 PPG. 10th in YPG, and 7th in passing YPG. 2nd in NFL forcing turnovers. 3rd in sacks. Tua will be running for his life. No Mostert, No Chubb, No Howard, No Waddle more than likely. We saw Miami's offense without him, and a less than 100% Tyreek Hill vs. the Ravens. Tough stretch for Miami. This is a no-brainer for me on Sunday Night football. I have to back the Bills -3 to win another AFC East championship. Trends, Bills 5-1 SU L6, 10-1 SU L11 vs. MIA, 4-1 SU L5 vs. AFC teams, and 8-2 SU L10 vs. AFC East teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday Night RARE 10* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -2.5

The Seahawks (8-8) face the struggling Cardinals (4-12) on Sunday at 4:25pm ET in Glendale, AZ at State Farm Stadium. The Hawks are favored at -163 on the ML with the Cardinals at +133. Against the Spread odds opened in favor the Seahawks -3, and the game's betting total is set at 47.5. We're now getting Seattle -2.5 and are jumping on it. The Cardinals are tough there's no denying that. Murray did great in a 35-31 win against the Eagles. But here me out, strange stuff happens when the Seahawks play in Arizona, and the Seahawks have a better team and stronger will. They have to win this. AZ doesn't. Metcalf, Lockett, and Smith-Njigba will lead the way for Seattle. If Geno Smith can find them, the Cardinals will have a hard time keeping up. In the last 5 H2H matchups, the Seahawks have dominated 4-1. Furthermore, the Seahawks have also excelled ATS, going 4-1. All time Seattle leads the series 26–22–1. The last time they played was a 20-10 Seahawks victory on 10/22/23 in Seattle. The value leans towards the Seahawks. Their recent home loss to the Steelers dealt a blow to their playoff hopes, needing a win and possible help from Green Bay. The Cardinals, led by J. Gannon, show promise, but this game could be a letdown spot despite their notable win in Phili. Trends, Seahawks are 5-1 ATS L6 vs. AZ, 5-1 SU L6, and 5-1 SU L6 IN ARIZONA, and 8-2 ATS L10 vs. NFC teams. AZ are 4-16 L20 SU, 0-7 L7 vs. NFC West teams, and 1-5 SU L6 in January. I think the Seahawks will win, even though they're not great at stopping the run, what they can do is put up points against this AZ defense. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bears +3

There is no greater pressure in the NFL than a team knowing they have to win to get in the playoffs. It's all on the Packers shoulders this week when the (7-9, 2-6 AWAY, 8-7-1 ATS) Bears face the (8-8, 4-3 HOME, 8-8 ATS) Packers on Sunday at 4:25pm ET in Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI. Opening ML odds: Bears +140, Packers -172; ATS odds: Bears +3, Packers -3; Betting total: O/U 44. Chicago has won 4 of its last 5 games, SU and ATS. Green Bay, 8-8 SU and ATS, kept playoff hopes alive with a dominant Sunday win, as 1-point dogs, beating Minnesota 33-10. NFL prediction time! I'm on the Bears plus the points in this one. I'm just not sold on Jordan Love yet. I've watched him closely all year but I'm not fully convinced he "has it". This is a big game. Weather will be a factor. Yards will be at a premium and I just trust Fields more than Love in this spot. I do not trust the Packers run-D. Do you? Packers are 27th in the NFL against the RUN, and this has to favor the ground-n-pound mentality of the Bears. Fields/Herbert should see 30 running plays between them called in this one. Fields comes into this one with 630 rush yards, Herbert with 583. Foreman may even be active for this one (425 Yds on 3.9 YPC with 4 TD's). Credit the Bears for their growth potential. They've out-gained 4 of the last 5 opponents and out-rushed 13 consecutive foes. Recently, they ran for 250 yards in a 27-16 victory against Arizona but lost 20-17 in a game they led At Cleveland 3 weeks ago they led, and lost, same result. Chicago's last two losses occurred after leading by double digits in the fourth quarter, highlighting their potential for a 7-game streak. This is a good team. Trends, Bears 6-1-1 ATS L8, 5-1 ATS L6, 4-1 SU L5, 5-0 ATS L5 vs. NFC teams. GB are 2-4 SU L6 in JAN, and 1-4 ATS L5 playing as the FAVORITE. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Patriots -2.5

In Week 18, the (6-10) New York Jets face the (4-12) New England Patriots on Sunday at 1:00pm ET in Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA. The Jets are +2.5 underdogs, with a Moneyline of +118, while the Patriots are -2.5 favorites with a Moneyline of -142. The game's total betting line is set at 30.5 points. These two have quite the history. The Patriots and Jets have battled 129 times, with the Patriots winning 74 games, the Jets securing 54 wins, and one tie. We’re on the Patriots here, at home, on Sunday. New England actually has played well as of late after what has been an abysmal season to say the least. They’ve beaten both the Steelers and Broncos on the road and played the Chiefs and Bills extremely tough. They’ve been able to find their offensive groove with Zappe and the defense has made some big plays. The Jets are a fade in this spot after getting beaten up by the Browns in their last game. New York has had a cycle of QBs here in the 2023-2024 season and they now land on Trevor Siemian, who has been very inconsistent. He’s turned the ball over and the Pats defense is going to be too much for him. New England gives up 21 ppg and they’re going to put together a lot of different blitz packages here. Expect the Jets offensive line to be overwhelmed and for the Pats defense to produce a couple of turnovers. Adding to this, all the speculating has surrounded this being Bill Belichick’s last game in New England. It would be appropriate for them to send him out a winner. Trends, the Jets have struggled recently, going 1-8 against the spread (ATS) and 2-7 in straight-up (SU) wins in their L9. Additionally, they are 0-6 ATS against New England and 2-10 SU in their L12 road games. New England has been dominant at home, winning all 10 of their L10 home games against the Jets. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Lions -3.5

The Vikings (7-9, 7-6-3 ATS, 5-3 AWAY) and Lions (11-5, 11-5 ATS, 5-2 HOME) will face off in Week 18 at Ford Field this Sunday, kicking off at 1 p.m. ET on FOX. The Vikings suffered a 33-10 loss to the Packers in Week 17, extending their three-game losing streak, while the Lions had a heartbreaking 20-19 defeat against the Cowboys on the road last Saturday, marked by that controversial finish. The Vikings' playoff hopes hinge on specific scenarios: a Packers loss (to the Bears) + Seahawks loss (to the Cardinals) + Buccaneers loss (to the Panthers), or a Packers loss + Seahawks loss + Saints loss (to the Falcons). If there’s ever a team that is going to come out with a ton of fire and looking to take out frustrations, it’s going to be this Lions team. Detroit isn’t going to be shy about what they’re trying to do and that starts from Head Coach Dan Campbell. He’s been very vocal throughout the week about how he intends to play all his guys and will look to make a statement. The Lions have been firing away offensively all season long. They aren’t shy about taking shots deep and it’s led them to averaging 27 ppg. They put nearly 400 yards per game and they can attack in so many different ways. They catch the Vikings who come in with very little confidence. Minnesota was throttled at home against the Packers, marking their third straight loss. They’re all but out of the playoffs unless they got a lot of help and the morale has to be down here. Detroit will look to get the ball to their playmakers and should pick apart this Minnesota defense that struggled with the Packers last week. Detroit’s offense is a few steps above the Packers on the offensive side, which bodes so well for the Lions. Trends, Vikings 1-5 SU L6, 0-6 ATS L6 vs. DET, and 3-7 ATS L10 vs. NFC North teams. On the other side, DET 4-1 ATS L5, 13-5 SU L18, 5-1 SU L6 at home, and 13-5 SU L18 vs. NFC teams. I just can't see a Nick Mullens quarterbacked team giving the Lions any problems in this one. I'm backing Detroit ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Washington +4.5

The #2 Washington Huskies (13-0, 7-6 ATS) take on the #3 Texas Longhorns (12-1, 6-6-1 ATS) in the CFB Playoff Semi Final on New Year's Day. This game will be played at 8:45 ET January 1st from the Caesar's Super Dome in New Orleans, LA. The game opened with UW a +4 underdog at UT (-4pt favorite) and the O/U is set at 64. Unfortunately for UW fans they'll have to travel to New Orleans instead of their preferred Rose Bowl closer to home in Pasadena CA. Not sure why the committee did that. But it is what it is. Last game for UT, they won 49-21 in the Big 12 Championship game vs. OKST. For Washington, last game out they won the Pac 12 Championship in Las Vegas, taking down Oregon 34-31. (Washington covered the +9.5, and the line went UNDER the 65). In case you forget, there's some intrigue with this matchup. Steve Sarkisian (current UT Coach) used to be the HC at Washington from 09-13. This game is also a rematch from the 2022 Alamo Bowl, where we saw UW defeat the Longhorns 27-20 in San Antonio. In that matchup UT scored 10 late points but behind Penix's arm (287 yards and 2 TD's) UW got the job done. UW also got the job done on the ground in that one. In this game though I think the Huskies will have their greatest chance to cover this spread vs. UT via the pass. UW is the best passing attack in the country. Can UT's frosh corner(s) play mistake free football? Sure, UT have some dudes on their DLine, but I like how the Dawgs match up in the trenches to give Penix time. UW have faced the Ducks twice. Those 2 games have prepared the Huskies for what UT will bring on defense. What did they do to them? They ran screens and routes going sideline to sideline, AND they mixed in an explosive run-game combined with play-action. Expect a game plan that keep's UT on their toes all game long. Penix will be relentless. OU beat Texas this year, and that's exactly what UW is going to do in this one. UW's plan will be to wear down the UT defense. I just don't see a scenario where Texas covers this spread (+4.5). Trends, UW are 10-0 SU L10, and 5-1 ATS L6 when playing as an underdog. You know what to do. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday New Year's Day 8* ATS Play

Alabama +2

We're going with the UNDERDOGS in the CFB Playoffs when the #4 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1, 9-4 ATS) take on the #1 Michigan Wolverines (13-0, 7-5-1 ATS) in the 2024 Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. Bama jumped up to #4 from #8 after their takedown of the #1 ranked Georgia in the SEC title game. Michigan got here with pretty much a "practice" game against the Hawkeyes in the Big Ten Championship. These two last met up in the 2020 Citrus Bowl. Michigan lost 35-16, but most "experts" will say this isn't the same Alabama team, I'd argue it's not that much different. They're still coached by Saban, and they play his brand of ball. On the other side Michigan hasn't had much luck in the bowls the last couple years. 2022 they lost to TCU, and in 2021 it was a loss to Georgia. Here's the tale of the tape for this one. Scoring: Michigan (14th) 36.7PPG, Alabama (19th) 35.1PPG. Defense: Michigan (1st) 9.5PPG, Alabama (17th) 18.4PPG. Total offense: Michigan (68th) 380.5YPG, Alabama (54th) 401.2YPG. Total defense: Michigan (2nd) 239.2YPG, Alabama (18th) 313.3PPG. As you can see, not much separates these two. This is only the second time in the Saban era that Bama are dogs in B2B games, and now that they've had the dog feeling, they'll have that dog mentality for this matchup. Saban is a master at playing the "they're disrespecting us angle" and play it he will. The last 4 times Bama were dogs (vs. UG) the Tide are 3-1 ATS. These two teams are the top 2 teams to win the national title too, so remember the futures bets that play into this one. Bama is one of the nations most popular teams to bet on (we all know that) and their lines are routinely inflated but in this case its warranted. What has Harbaugh done lately in bowl games? He needs to show me more before I'll bet on him. Sorry Jim. Trends, Bama 5-1 L6, 10-0 SU L10, 8-1 ATS L9 vs. Big Ten teams, and 4-1 ATS L5 as an underdog. Flip it and Michigan is 1-4 L5 vs. SEC teams. You know what to do. Lock in Bama, grab some roses for your significant other and smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

New Year's Day 10* *RARE* CFB ATS TOP PLAY

Kansas City -6.5

Sunday at 4:25pm from Arrowhead the Bengals (8-7, 6-7-2 ATS, 3-4 AWAY) visit the Chiefs (9-6, 7-7-1 ATS, 4-4 HOME). The Chiefs and Bengals are usually finding themselves in the midst of battling for a top spot into the AFC. When these two teams meet on Sunday, they’re battling to just get into the playoffs. The Chiefs were embarrassed on Christmas Day and they’re going to bounce back here in a big way. Kansas City fell to Oakland and the frustration was visible all around. This is a perfect spot for them to grab win number 10. They are still in need of a win and some help to clinch the AFC West and they get a good matchup here with a Bengals team that noticeably is starting to run out of steam after last week. Cinci fell 34-11 to the Steelers in a game where they were dominated from the outset. After having some magic with Browning, they had nothing going and now they’re going to get a fired up Chiefs team that is looking to take out some frustrations. Kansas City still has confidence as Mahomes even came out and said they’re still in the drivers seat. This team still has seen the defense step up, as they’ve given up just 17.7 points per game. That’s one of the best marks in the NFL and they should be able to see this offense produce much more on their end here in Week 16. Kansas City is the better team and has the better playmakers. Trends, Cinci are 3-8 L11 vs. AFC teams. KC are 14-6 SU L20, 13-3 SU L16 vs. AFC, and 11-4 L15 vs. AFC North teams. Look for them to bounce back. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Texans -3.5

Sunday in Houston, we have the Titans (5-10, 6-8-1 ATS, 1-6 AWAY) facing off against the Texans (8-7, 5-3 HOME, 7-8 ATS). Last week, the Titans stuck to their ground-and-pound philosophy against the Seahawks.  IMO that approach plays right into the Texans' defensive strengths. Houston held the Browns to a mere 54 rushing yards and ranks 6th in the NFL in limiting opponents to just 90 RUSH YPG. To secure a win in this matchup, the Titans will need to rely more on their passing game. While they have talented receivers in Hopkins and Burks, Tannehill at the end of the day is still Tannehill. The Texans are anxiously awaiting the return of star rookie QB C.J. Stroud, who I believe will be back in action. Coach Ryans mentioned Stroud's improvement and his return to team meetings last week. He should be a "GO". If he's 100% healthy, the Texans would likely be favored by -7 points at home. I'm taking them at -3.5. Offensively, Houston averages 21.8 PPG (15th), while Tennessee struggles at 18 PPG (27th). Defensively, both teams are close, with TENN allowing 21.4 PPG and HOU allowing 22 PPG. Notably, the Titans, even with Henry, are 31st in the NFL in the red zone and 28th on 3rd down conversions. In their recent history, the Titans hold a slight lead in the series at 23-20. Their most recent clash was Week 15, a 19-16 Texans win in Nashville. Houston's comeback from a 13-0 deficit showcased their resilience and should boost their confidence for Week 17. To me, it looks like the Titans out of playoff contention are showing signs of fatigue. No gas left in the tank. Trends, Titans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC South teams (& 1-6 L7), 5-15 SU L20, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. HOU, and 1-9 SU L10 on the road. For Houston, they're 5-2 ATS L7 in DEC, and they're 8-2 ATS in their L10 following a straight up loss. I'm all over the Texans on Sunday as they put the boots to the Titans season. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Florida State +14

Get ready for the Orange Bowl showdown happening on Saturday, December 30, 2023, at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. It's the Georgia Bulldogs (12-1, 4-8-1 ATS) going head-to-head with the Florida State Seminoles (13-0, 8-4 ATS), and you can catch all the action on ESPN. The opening betting odds for the Orange Bowl put the Seminoles as two-touchdown underdogs, and the game's total points are set at 44.5. If you're into straight-up betting, the moneyline stands at Georgia (-651) and Florida State (+454). This will be matchup #12 in this long running rivalry. UG leads the series over FSU 6-4-1. They haven't met in 20 years. The last matchup was Bowden vs. Richt's 2022 Sugar Bowl. A 26-13 Georgia win. In their recent matchups, the Bulldogs faced a tough challenge against Alabama, falling short with a final score of 27-24 in the SEC Championship game. On the other hand, the Seminoles are coming off a solid win against Louisville, 16-6 in the ACC title matchup. Let's take a closer look at the stats. Georgia ranks 7th in scoring, with an average of 38.4 PPG. However, they are 97th in points allowed in the NCAA. On the other hand, Florida State's offense is performing well, averaging 37 PPG, which places them 9th in the NCAA. Defensively, Florida State is currently 54th in points allowed, giving up 15.9 PPG. Trends, FSU are 10-0 L10, 4-1 L5 vs. SEC teams, 6-1 SU L7 DEC games, 16-0 L16 Saturday games, and 7-1 ATS L8 games as a DOG. You know what to do! Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* Orange Bowl ATS Play

Notre Dame -6

#21 vs. #15. The games are getting better aren't they? Friday we get the (8-4, 6-6 ATS) Oregon State Beavers taking on the (9-3, 8-3-1 ATS) Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Kicking off at 2 pm ET on CBS. ND closed the regular season with impressive back-to-back wins, defeating Stanford 56-23 as 26-point favorites. Their offense has been prolific, scoring 45+ points in 4  of the last 5 games, while their defense allows just 16.6 PPG. Missing players or not, ND are the better all-around team here on Friday. Oregon State faces a challenging matchup after losing to top-10 ranked teams in their recent 2 games. The history, the Fighting Irish have a historical bowl game record of 20-21, which includes a perfect 1-0 record at the Sun Bowl. In contrast, Oregon State holds a solid 12-7 bowl game record, with an impressive 2-0 record specifically in games played in El Paso. The Fighting Irish boast superior overall team talent and a stronger presence at the line of scrimmage compared to what the Beavers will bring to the field on Friday. Notre Dame is battle-tested and highly motivated to make a statement in this game. It has the potential to turn into a lopsided contest of monumental proportions, and I doubt we'll be nervously watching as the clock ticks down in the fourth quarter. It's just a shame we don't get Hartman vs. Uiagalelei! Trends, OST are 1-4 ATS L5, and 1-4 L5 games in DEC. ND are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, 9-2 SU L11 vs Pac 12 schools, and they're 5-2 SU L7 in DEC. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* NCAAF Sun Bowl ATS Play

Arizona -2.5 (Love -2 or -1.5 even more)

Winning night on my Wednesday Bowl plays! Back for more Thursday. Time for the 2023 Valero Alamo Bowl featuring the (9-3) Arizona Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners (10-2). Kick off is at 9:15pm ET from Alamodome, in San Antonio, TX. These two have played each other 2x thru the years. They've split the series 1-1. The Sooners are playing in their 25th straight bowl matchup, while the Wildcats return after not playing in a bowl since 2017. Arizona's impressive journey, from 1-11 in 2021 to 8 wins, marks a historic turnaround. Fueled by a convincing 59-23 victory over ASU, the Wildcats aim to sustain their momentum. They come in red hot and they take on a new look Oklahoma side on Thursday night. The Sooners saw Dillion Gabriel walk out the door and head to Oregon and they’re going to turn to their future, true freshman Jackson Arnold. He’s up for a tall task against this Arizona team that is playoff at such a top level. The Wildcats finished the season winning 6 straight games and the most points allowed in one of those games was just 24. This Arizona defense is going to pin their ears back and fire away on this true freshman in the backfield. Expect this defense, that gives up just 20.8 PPG, to really mix in different blitz packages. Offensively, they have been on fire since Noah Fifta took over. He’s been able to lead this offense during their winning streak with his ability to beat teams through the air. He threw for over 500 yards in the win over ASU into the season finale and will have a field day with this Sooners defense that has opt outs. Momentum and motivation are on the Wildcats side. Arizona, are battle-tested, and grabbed W's in 4/6 games against AP Top 25 teams during a rigorous season. Trends to consider, Arizona shines with a remarkable 7-1 ATS streak in their L8 and a flawless 8-0 SU record when favored. OU is 1-6 SU record in their L7 games as a dog. Back the Cats in the Alamo Bowl. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* ALAMO Bowl ATS Play

Browns -7

Week 17 is here, and on Thursday night we get the Cleveland Browns (10-5, 9-5-1 ATS) taking on the New York Jets (6-9, 5-9-1 ATS) in Amazon Prime's Thursday night football. Last game out Cleveland took down the Texans Sunday 36-22. For NYJ, they had a 27-7 halftime lead vs. the Commanders but couldn't hold the lead and only won on a late 54 yard Zuerlein FG for a 30-28 win. Cleveland has been one of the best stories in football this season. They’ve had injury after injury and now they’ve overcome just about everything. They have been playing with the next man up mentality and that’s the case here as they will enter Thursday with a chance to clinch a playoff spot. Home field advantage has been a huge part of their success and the place will be rocking Thursday. Cleveland has lost just one game at home in the 2023 season. They have won 3 straight overall and offensively this team is clicking on all cylinders. During this stretch, they’ve had performances of 31, 20, and 36 points. The 20 point game was a frantic 4th quarter comeback as well in a game where weather was a struggle. Joe Flacco has tossed for 1307 yards and 10 TD's since joining them and he’s made everyone around him better. Djoku and Cooper both are threats all over the place and they’re going to feast on this Jets defense. New York has plenty of question marks surrounding them on both sides of the ball, which should open the door for Cleveland here. The Browns will pin their ears back defensively and cause so many issues in this Jets backfield. I just don't see any way that NY stays with Cleveland in this one. I think Cleveland wins by 13-17, and with Siemian at QB I'm expecting a Browns DTS as well. Trends, Jets 1-7 ATS L8, 2-6 SU L8, and 2-9 SU L11 on the road. Browns are 6-2 ATS L8, 6-2 SU L8, 5-0 ATS L5 at home, and they're 5-1 SU L6 vs. AFC teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Oklahoma State +2.5

On Wednesday evening Dec 27th the Texas A&M Aggies (7-5, 5-6-1 ATS) take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-4, 7-6 ATS) in the 2023 Texas Bowl from the Texans' NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. Kick off is at 9pm ET. A&M are 1-0 neutral site this season, while OKST are 0-1. Opening betting odds favored the Aggies -2 in this one, while the initial O/U total was set at 53. For straight up ML bettors you'll get Texas A&M (-136), Oklahoma State (+114). A&M owns a 18-9 series record vs. the Cowboys. The last time they played each other was 12/27/19, a 24-21 Aggies victory. Before that game, the Cowboys had won 4 straight. (2011, 2010, 2009, 2008 as Big 12 foes) In recent games, the Aggies lost 42-30 to LSU but surprisingly outgained the top-ranked offense 390-389, showcasing their impressive #8 ranked defense. The Cowboys, on the other hand, suffered a 49-21 defeat against Texas in the Big 12 championship game. Despite winning 7 of 8 leading up to the championship, Oklahoma State was dominated by Texas, with the Longhorns scoring on their first 4 possessions for a decisive W. They simply were too good for OKST. Stats: Oklahoma State is ranked 51st for rushing yards and 24th for passing yards, averaging 264.2 yards per game. They score 29.5 PPG (37th) and allow the 20th fewest points. Texas A&M averages 34.2 PPG (26th) on offense and concedes 21.3 PPG (74th) on defense. Trends, Oklahoma State boasts a 6-3 ATS record in their L9 games and a 7-2 SU record during that span. They've excelled as underdogs, going 4-1 ATS in their L5 such games. In contrast, Texas A&M has struggled, with a 1-5-1 ATS record in their L7 games and 0-5-1 ATS against Oklahoma State. Additionally, Texas A&M holds a 1-4 SU record in their L5 matchups with Oklahoma State and a 3-7 ATS record in their L10 games against Big 12 conference opponents. You know what to do. Hop ON! Razor Ray.

Wednesday 9* Texas Bowl ATS Play

USC +6.5 (Love +7 if you can find it)

In the 2023 Directv Holiday Bowl, the Cardinals (10-3, 2-1 Neutral Site, 6-6-1 ATS) will face USC (7-5, 3-9 ATS). USC has a 1-2 record in past Holiday Bowl appearances and has never met Louisville before. The San Diego weather for game time is expected to be in the 60s to low 70s and light 5mph winds. USC appears to have the edge in explosiveness, averaging 41.8 PPG, ranking 6th nationally, and 329.8 passing yards per game, also ranking 6th. We’re on the Trojans here in the Holiday Bowl. USC had probably the most disappointing season as Caleb Williams continued to put up impressive numbers but this USC defense failed him on many occasions. From National Championship aspirations to now the Holiday Bowl with all these opt outs, the line is what it is for a reason. However, motivation is still on the side of this USC team. They have a pool of talented young players who are eager to get their shot. Truthfully, it’s better having them play than the veterans who struggled all season. The Trojans will turn to Miller Moss at QB and he’s going to take on a dejected Louisville side themselves. The Cardinals overachieved without a doubt. They however, have to be disappointed as they wanted to be playing in a New Years Six Bowl, but failed to take down Florida State in the ACC Championship game. The Cardinals sputtered down the stretch with losses to Kentucky and FSU. It’s so tough to even look at trends here given the opt outs on both sides. One thing we know though is Lincoln Riley will have this young group ready to go. This is a lot of points for a Trojans team that still has a ton of talent to go around. Trends, USC holds a 5-2 SU record in their last 7 matchups against ACC teams. I'm backing the Men Of Troy tonight. You know what to do. Fight On & Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 8* Holiday Bowl ATS Play

West Virginia -6

The 2023 Duke's Mayo Bowl will feature a showdown between the North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4, 1-0 Neutral Site, 6-6 ATS) and the West Virginia Mountaineers (8-4, 7-5 ATS). The game is scheduled for Wednesday at 5:30pm ET and will take place at the Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. We’re on the Mountaineers here, laying the points in this spot. North Carolina started off as one of the top teams in the NCAA, but finished with 4 losses and now have a date with the Mountaineer here in the Dukes Mayo Bowl. The key here is North Carolina will be without star QB Drake Maye and number 1 WR Devontez Walker. These two propelled the entire offense to their 8 wins and now they will have to turn to plenty of inexperienced players in this game. That doesn’t bode well against a WVU team that is extremely physical. The Mountaineers  finished the season with two impressive wins over Cinci and Baylor and they won 4 of the last 5 overall. Momentum is on the side of this team that averaged 32 ppg. They will have a majority of their roster playing here and should be able to overpower this UNC side. West Virginia will lean on their rushing attack, that averages 234.3 ypg, which is one of the best marks in the NCAA. Trends, North Carolina has struggled recently, going 1-5 ATS in their L6 games and holding a 3-7 SU record in December. In contrast, West Virginia is thriving with a 4-1 SU record and a perfect 5-0 ATS record against ACC opponents. I'm backing the Mountain Men in this one. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 9* Duke's Mayo Bowl ATS Play

Kansas -12 (Love -11.5 if you can find it)

In Phoenix, AZ on December 26th from Chase Field it's the Guaranteed Rate Bowl featuring the Kansas Jayhawks (8-4, 5-4 Big 12, 7-5 ATS) vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels (9-4, 6-2 MWC, 10-3 ATS). (Two basketball schools hammerin' it out on the gridiron! I can't wait!) The Jayhawks are the favorite by -12.5 (Open), and the total is set at 64.5. If you're a ML bettor (straight up, you'll see KU -466, and UNLV -347. Who's betting that? These two schools share a bit of history, although not extensive. Big 12 vs. MWC matchups are rare. Kansas and UNLV are set to meet for the third time. They previously faced off in a home-and-home series in 2002 and 2003. Kansas emerged victorious in the most recent encounter in 2003, with a score of 46-24. However, UNLV secured their inaugural matchup in Las Vegas in 2022, winning 31-20. One of my favorite teams to watch this year was the KU Jayhawks. They come into the Guaranteed Rate Bowl with some momentum too which is always a critical factor when I'm making bowl picks. I ask myself, do they have something to play for? In KU's case the answer is YES. They haven't won a bowl game in years and they have a good enough team this year to do it, and expectations are higher because of their 8 win season. They're tired of being KU basketball's little brother. They finished off their season with confidence after securing a 49-16 victory against the Cincinnati Bearcats on the road. A bowl win here would put a bow on an impressive season. They're building big things in the flatland. They're set at QB, and RB, and they have a handful of players who could even be playing on Sunday's in their future. This is a good looking football team. UNLV comes in off of a 10-win season sure, but they are limping into this one, and there's some obvious question marks for them in this game. The Rebels are coming off a defeat against the Boise State Broncos, with a final score of 44-20. They lost their last 2 in fact. It's their first bowl game in nearly 10 years too. To make matters worse, I'm reading QB Maiava is in the transfer portal, so that's another kick to the shins. Also, Barry Odom is aware there are a TON of NCAA coaching vacancies around the country, and his name is coming up for a lot of them. Money talks, and if it does he won't be around to coach this one more than likely. Trends: UNLV are 2-5 ATS in their L7 vs. B12 teams, and are 1-4 in their L5 December games. On the other side Kansas are 4-1 ATS L5, 8-4 SU L12, and 9-2 SU in their L11 playing as the FAV. I have KU as a 2-TD favorite. KU have the better QB, and they're the better team. You know what to do. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 8* Guaranteed Rate Bowl ATS Play

Ravens +6.5

Nice 3-1-1 NFL day on Christmas Eve. XMAS DAY NFL action today. We have the (11-3, 9-5 ATS) Baltimore Ravens taking on the the (11-3, 8-6 ATS) San Francisco 49ers. Baltimore likes this matchup. The Ravens have won 5 of 7 meetings, including a 20-17 decision four years ago. Their most famous matchup: a 34-31 2012 Super Bowl win. We’re on Baltimore here, grabbing the points in what could be one of the best matchups we’ve seen all season. Two teams who are favorites in their respective conferences battle it out to cap off Christmas. Lamar Jackson is one of those QBs who thrives as an underdog. He comes in 11-2 ATS as an underdog in his career and has won 9 of those games straight up. Digging in deeper, the trends get better. He has gone 19-1 SU against NFC teams in his career. Jackson is experiencing a resurgence in his performance, reminiscent of his 2019 MVP season. With a career-high 66.3% completion rate, he's thrown 17 TD's, and aims for his third 1,000-yard rushing season. You don’t get these numbers and trends by accident. Jackson is a big time player who makes the big time plays when they’re needed. The Ravens are allowing just 16.1 PPG, which is one of the best marks in the NFL. Their ability to force the opposition into some tough third down situations and get off the field is why this team thrives. We’re facing the public here, who is backing San Fran at a huge rate on Monday. The Ravens are equally as good of a team and their ability to strike for the big play can match this 49ers side. Weather should be high 50's, low 60's at kickoff, light breeze. Trends, Baltimore boasts an impressive 11-5 ATS record in their L16 games and an 8-1 SU streak in their L9. They've dominated San Francisco with a 5-1 SU record in the L6, and on the road, they're 6-1 SU. Perfect 8-0 SU record against NFC conference L8. I'm on Lamar and the Ravens tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Patriots +6.5

On Sunday night, it's the Patriots (3-11, 3-10-1 ATS) squaring off against the Broncos (7-7, 5-8-1) at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO. NFL Moneyline Odds show the Patriots at +223 and the Broncos at -284. As for NFL ATS odds, the Broncos are the favored side at -6.5, a bump from the initial 5.5-point spread. The Over/Under stands at 34. The last meeting dates back to 10/18/2020, where Denver secured an 18-12 win in New England. While Newton and Lock were under center in that game, this time around promises a different matchup. Denver holds a series advantage, leading 27-22 and 4-1 in postseason matchups. Recent form has the Patriots coming off a loss to the Chiefs, while the Broncos stumbled against the Lions. Taking a closer look at this game, the low total caught my attention. I don't anticipate a one-sided affair with the Broncos racking up 28+ points. Instead, I believe the Patriots can make some headway, especially on the ground, against the struggling Broncos defense. Denver's defense ranks 30th in Yards Per Game Allowed (382.4) and 31st in Run Defense (146.9 YPG). They concede an average of 25.1 PPG, placing 28th in the NFL, which plays into the Patriots' strengths. Despite Zappe's tough day against the Chiefs, he managed 240 yards and three TDs against the Steelers, showing potential. Denver's inconsistency this year raises concerns, and the Patriots' sturdy defense, yielding only 4.8 yards per play (fifth in the NFL), adds another layer to consider. We simply need to stay within a TD, so I'm leaning towards the Patriots this Sunday night. Pats are #13 in the Red Zone surprisingly, so I'm happy about that. It's a low total as I said, points will be at a premium. Trends, Denver are 2-4 ATS L6 vs. AFC East teams, and strangely 1-8 ATS L9 Week 16 matchups. Pats ATS is the play. However, I'd approach the Patriots' ML bet cautiously. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bears -4

(3-11, 1-6 AWAY, 7-7 ATS) Cardinals face the (5-9, 3-3 HOME, 6-7-1 ATS) Bears this Sunday at 4:25 PM ET in Soldier Field, Chicago, IL. Opening NFL lines show Moneyline Odds with Cardinals +179 and Bears -222. ATS, the Bears are favored by -4.5 points, with an NFL Betting Total set at O/U: 44. Their last matchup was 12/5/21, a 33-22 Cardinals win. Murray took on Dalton that day. Both teams suffered losses last week, with the Bears falling to the Browns 20-17 in a thrilling matchup, while the Cardinals faced a more significant defeat, losing 45-29 to the 49ers. In that game, the Cardinals' defense struggled to contain the 49ers' high-powered offense. The Cardinals currently rank 29th in PPG allowed 26.9 PPG and only manage to score an average of 18 PPG (#22). The Bears, on the other hand, allow an average of 23 PPG (20th). When it comes to offense, both teams have relatively similar passing and rushing statistics. However, the Bears boast a formidable defense. They hold the top spot in rush defense, allowing just 79.8 YPG, although they are ranked 26th against the pass, conceding 239 YPG. The Bears' defense is also third in the NFL in forcing turnovers, and they possess a decent pass rush (at home they're obviously even better). Despite the Bears' recent loss, there are positive signs in Chicago. The team played well against the Browns, nearly winning on that spectacular Mooney "hail Mary" play. Justin Fields remains a topic of discussion as a potential franchise QB. The Cardinals' game plan usually revolves around running the ball when playing outside of Arizona, where their games tend to end with totals in the 30s. However, this week, facing the Bears' top-notch run defense, their ability to run effectively is in question. With the Cardinals ranking last in DVOA and surrendering the second-most points 26.9 PPG, it's challenging to see how they can generate sufficient offense. While the Cardinals are no longer in playoff contention, the Bears maintain a slim chance of making the postseason, as no team in the NFC North has clinched. They have won two of their last three games, and the team appears to be buying into Eberflus' coaching. Hopefully, the Chicago weather adds an extra challenge, with current predictions indicating a mild 51 degrees but potentially dropping into the 40s with lakefront winds. The Bears are a team that refuses to give up on their season, and I'm leaning heavy toward the -4. Trends, AZ 3-17 SU L20, 2-11 SU vs. NFC teams, and 1-5 L6 vs. NFC North teams. Plus they're 2-6 ATS L8 DEC games. The Bears are 4-2 L6 ATS, 4-0-1 L5 vs. NFC teams, and 3-0-1 L4 after allowing 90 YDS rushing in prior game. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins -1.5

The Cowboys (10-4, 9-5 ATS) and Dolphins (10-4, 9-5 ATS) are set to clash in a Week 16 showdown on Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Dallas lost to the Bills 31-10 on Sunday, while the Dolphins rebounded from a Week 14 setback with a 30-0 win over the New York Jets (covering a -7 spread). Over their last 4 games, Miami is 3-1 straight up and 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The Dolphins are looking to improve their home record to 7-1. In their series history, including 1 postseason game, the Cowboys and Dolphins have played 15 times with Dallas ahead 8-7. That includes 4 straight Dallas wins and 3 straight in Miami. On defense, the Cowboys are currently positioned 13th in tackles for loss and 8th in sacks. Against them, opponents are scoring an average of 18.9 PPG and gaining 294.3 YPG. The Cowboys are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog. In the Dolphins' win over the Jets, the Dolphins controlled the time of possession at 36:21 to 23:39 for the Jets. If they can replicate that, they'll come out on top in this one. Their defense is top flight as well. In terms of yards allowed, the Dolphins are 5th in the league while giving up 293.4 YPG. Miami's defense has allowed 21 PPG, placing them 13th. I think Dallas is going to have trouble containing the Miami run game. Mostert and Achane are going to have some big holes. Look at what Buffalo did to Dallas last week. The blueprint is now out there on how to beat this Cowboys team. The Cowboys were pushed all over the field in the loss to Buffalo and allowed 266 rushing yards. Hill leads the NFL with 1,542 yards and also has 97 catches and 12 TD receptions. He was limited in practice on Friday and listed as questionable. You know he's playing in this one! I like Miami to win without Hill, with Hill, I love this play. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -3

The Seahawks (7-7, 7-6-1 ATS) are set to clash with the Titans (5-9, 6-8 ATS) this Sunday at Nissan Stadium, with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). The Seahawks on MNF snapped a 4 -game losing streak with a comeback 20-17 win over the Eagles. This win holds significance for a Seattle team still aiming to secure a playoff spot. Now, they travel to Tennessee, where a win would push their record above .500 at 8-7, with 2 games left to play. In their 18 meetings, starting in 1977, Seattle holds a 10-8 edge in the series, but the Titans have won the last 2 (2017, 2021) and 3 of the last 4. Geno Smith has no injury designation and is set to return this week, providing stability for the Seahawks. On the flip side, the Titans enter the weekend with significant injuries. Titans' rookie quarterback Will Levis, the team's starter, is questionable for the game against the Seahawks. If he can't play, veteran Ryan Tannehill will step in. The key for the Seahawks is to stop the Titans' run game, especially Henry, who had a dismal performance last week with only 10 yards from scrimmage. Seattle has the blueprint to stifle the Titans' ground attack, relying on big defensive tackles like Leonard Williams and Jarren Reed. The Seahawks' season is on the line, and they are poised to step up BIGTIME. Additionally, the Seahawks boast a better turnover ratio and score more points per game (PPG) than the Titans. Tennessee's offensive struggles in the second half, averaging just 7.8 PPG, rank them 28th in the league. With weapons like Walker III, Charbonnet, Bobo, Metcalf, Lockett, Smith-Njigba, and a strong tight end package, the Seahawks have the advantage. Expect a Seahawks win on Sunday. Give the points. They'll cover the 3. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Utah -6

Utah (8-4, 6-5-1 ATS) take on the Northwestern Wildcats (7-5, 8-4 ATS) on Saturday at 7:30pm ET from Allegiant Stadium in LV. These two last played on 12/31/18. A 31-20 NW win that saw NW cover the +6.5 Saturday however, the Utes are the move here, laying the points in the SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl. Northwestern lacks the level of coaching expertise that Utah benefits from. Kyle Whittingham is widely regarded as one of the top head coaches in the nation. Prior to the 2023 season, he expressed confidence that the 2023 Utah team was the most talented they had ever assembled. Despite facing numerous injuries Utah has a clear cut advantage here on Saturday night. For starters, the Utes are going to have the advantage when it comes to the fan base in this stadium. Utah already travels well and with this being in Vegas, there should be plenty of red in the crowd. Northwestern just doesn't have any sort of fire power on their side. This team averages just 22.8 points per game, while putting up just over 300 yards per game. This offense has struggled to find any sort of consistency here in 2023 and they go up against one of the best defenses in the nation. Utah has allowed under 20 ppg and they love to put together a lot of different blitz packages. Utah's offense battled all year, they only really looked bad in 1 game (Oregon), but they continued to find consistency and put up good numbers. This is going to be a mismatch every which way you look at it. Utah is much better on both sides of the ball and they'll feed off this "home" crowd energy. NW are 3-6 L9 vs. PAC 12 teams, and 4-13 SU L17 as a DOG. The Utes are 14-6 SU L20, 5-0 SU L5 in DEC, 7-3 L10 SU vs B10 schools, and are 15-5 SU L20 playing on a Saturday. Backing the Utes -6. Enjoy the game! You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl ATS Play

Steelers +2.5

This Saturday, AFC North rivals clash at Acrisure Stadium as the Bengals (8-6, 6-6-2 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) take on the Steelers (7-7, 7-7 ATS, 4-4 HOME) in a pivotal battle. Last week, PIT had a forgettable outing, suffering a 30-13 defeat at the hands of Indy. Meanwhile, the Bengals secured a hard-fought 27-24 victory over the Vikes, with Browning delivering a stellar performance in the 4th and OT (184 YDS, 2 TD’s). In PPG the Bengals rank 14th, averaging 21.93, while the Steelers are 28th with 15.9 PPG. Defensively, the Bengals allow 22.21 PPG (20th), while the Steelers, known for turnovers, rank 9th, conceding just 20 PPG. As for QBs, Browning starts for the Bengals despite a right forearm issue. For the Steelers, Mason Rudolph, 'battle-tested' and on a '1-year-playing-3rd-string-QB-for-another-contract' contract, makes his first start in nearly 2 Years. In their prior meeting this season, the Steelers won 16-10, covering the -2 point spread. Back in Week 12, the Steelers dominated, outgaining the Bengals by nearly 200 YDS. The Steelers' defense, allowing an average of 20 PPG, will aim to shut down key Bengals players like Mixon and Higgins. With Chase expected to miss the game this task is a little easier. Plus, Browning hasn't yet faced a robust defense led by TJ Watt in the midst of the fervent Pittsburgh crowd. PIT need to get their run-game involved again. Warren & Najee need more touches. This 62 and 72 Rush YPG nonsense needs to stop. It will this week! Play with the lead, run the ball, increase your RB's touches. It's easy math. If all else fails, the Steelers defense WILL win this game for Rudolph & Tomlin (there's all sorts of "feels" in this one. I'm backing the Steelers as home underdogs to secure the win. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Air Force +1.5

The Armed Forces Bowl on December 23, 2023, features a matchup between the (11-1, 8-4 ATS) James Madison Dukes and the (8-4, 4-7-1 ATS) Air Force Falcons. The game kicks off at 3:30 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ABC. In their last appearance, the Dukes secured a dominant 56-14 win against the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers. On the other hand, the Falcons faced a 27-19 loss to the Boise State Broncos. Air Force has the value here, with the points. James Madison was the Cinderella story of the season. They went 11-1 and had the entire nation watching them as they even got College Gameday to come out their way. (Granted that was their lone loss of the year) However, despite a good season, the Dukes have been hit with a lot of departures prior to this game. For starters, head coach Curt Cignetti departed for Indiana and they’ll now have their offensive line coach calling the shots for this game. They’re going to get a look at this triple option from Air Force and it’ll be something they’ve not seen this season. That’ll cause a lot of issues for them, especially with the Falcons getting healthy. QB Zac Larrier will be back after missing the last two games. He’ll lead this attack that ranked second among FBS teams in total rushing yards (3,309) and rushing yards per game (275.8) during the regular season. The triple option will open a lot of gaps on this JMU defense that will get worn down. Plus, this is the 7th time Air Force will be playing in the Armed Forces bowl. The experience is there and on this side. Trends, AF are 5-1 ATS L6 in DEC, and are 4-0 ATS in their L4 bowl games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* Armed Forces Bowl ATS Play

UCF -6 

Two 6-6 teams battle it out here on Friday. (GT 7-5 ATS) (UCF 5-7 ATS) We’re on UCF here, laying the points in the Gasparilla Bowl on Friday night. UCF has made a living on this field in bowl season over the recent seasons. They are in search of their third Gasparilla Bowl win over the last five seasons, as they’re extremely familiar with this bowl game and field. That does play into the advantage side of things as the experience of being in this environment does factor in. UCF comes in 6-6 after winning their final game of the season to clinch a spot in bowl season. They’ve had a few impressive wins down the stretch of the season that saw them go 3-1 over their last 4, including an absolute dominant performance over #15 Oklahoma State 45-3. QB John Rhys Plumlee has battled injuries, but over his last 6 starts he’s compiled 10 touchdowns through the air and rushed for 310 yards and another 4 touchdowns on the ground. The Knights will also lean on RJ Harvey, who compiled nearly 1300 yards on the ground and 16 touchdowns this year. Georgia Tech threw everything they had and then some in their finale against Georgia, only to fall short. The Yellow Jackets conceded over 30 points per game and this fast paced attack from UCF is going to cause a lot of issues for them. This will be the kind of game that Georgia Tech struggles to contain the speed and ultimately they falter because they’re not built to come from behind. GT are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. AAC teams, UCF 12-5 L17 playing at a FAV. You know what to do. UCF -6. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday Gasparilla Bowl 8* CFB ATS Play

Rams -4

(7-7, 4-9-1 ATS) Saints face the Rams (7-7, 8-5-1 ATS) in a Thursday Night Football clash on Amazon Prime. Kickoff: 8:15 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California. NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines favor the Rams by -4 points, with Moneyline Odds at New Orleans +170 and Los Angeles -207. The Over/Under stands at 44.5. Last season, the Saints triumphed over the Rams 27-20. The Rams have won 4 of their last 5, maintaining playoff hopes with a 28-20 victory over the Commanders. The Saints face a daunting task, contending with the Rams' formidable offense. Nacua and Kupp pose threats, while Williams, nearing 500 rushing yards post-IR return, exploits the Saints' weakness, allowing nearly 5.0 YPC (bottom 3). Attwell's potential return and Robinson's contributions strengthen the Rams further. The Saints struggle against tight ends, making Higbee a viable option. Stafford could surpass 250 passing yards by halftime. New Orleans ranks #21 in red zone offense, confronting a sturdy Rams defense. The Saints have scored 19 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 road games. If they settle for field goals while the Rams convert in the red zone we'll have an easy cover. The Rams' defense allows 226.1 passing yards and 110.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th in sacks. With all this in mind, I'm going with the Rams. The Saints travelling on a short week, and we're unsure about Olave, so trusting Carr on the road isn't the best call. Trends, NOS 4-10-1 ATS L15, 4-8 ATS L12 vs. LAR, and 0-6 ATS L6 on the road vs. LAR. On the other side, the Rams are 4-1 ATS L5, 4-1 SU L5, and are 9-3 L12 vs. NFC South teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

USF +3

(6-6, 6-5 ATS) The USF Bulls take on the Syracuse Orange (6-6, 4-7 ATS) in the 2023 Roofclaim.com Boca Raton Bowl this Thursday at 8 PM ET. The game will be held at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, FL, and the ATS Betting Lines favor Syracuse at -3. For the Boca Raton Bowl Moneyline Odds, USF is at +132, and Syracuse is at -160. The College Football Betting Total is set at O/U 61. This year's bowl games have been full of uncertainties, but this matchup seems less affected. USF has only one player in the transfer portal, Summerall, who is ruled out for this game. USF has proven they can play good football, coming off a convincing 48-14 win over Charlotte. Their offense averages 185.2 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt, ranking 36th in rushing yards and 34th in passing yards nationally, with an average of 270.7 yards per matchup. They've been putting up 30.8 points per game, thanks to their QB, Byrum Brown, who boasts 3,078 passing yards, 23 TDs, 11 INTs, 745 rushing yards, and 11 TDs on the ground, placing them 44th in the nation. On the other side, Syracuse, who recently beat Wake Forest 35-31, will have an interim coach, Nunzio Campanile, leading them. Syracuse had a bit of some drama unfold prior to them being put into this spot. They decided to part ways with coach Dino Babers after a very inconsistent and sub par season. The Orange's starting QB, Garrett Shrader, is out for the Boca Raton Bowl due to shoulder surgery, and Braden Davis will start in his place. Boca Raton isn't that long of a trip so they'll have good support. (Compared to Cuse) I wouldn't even have a problem with you sprinkling a little on USF's moneyline odds here. USF needed a win over Charlotte in their last game and they got it in dominant fashion as they put them away 48-14. It was a complete win for them as they threw for 315 yards and ran for 188. This team runs a balanced attack and they use their run game to open up the pass game. USF is built with speed and they’ll try to get to the outside and make some big plays. USF has the better playmakers and getting points is a nice spot for this Bulls side. Trends, SYR 2-6 ATS L8, 2-6 SU L8, 2-8 ATS L10 vs. USF, and 5-11 ATS L16 vs. AAC Teams. Last time these two met was a 45-20 USF win on 9/17/2016. I'm expecting more of the same. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* CFB ATS Play

Eagles -3

In Week 15 of Monday Night Football, it's a clash between the Eagles (10-3, 6-4-3 ATS) and the Seahawks (6-7, 6-6-1 ATS) at Lumen Field. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. The opening odds for this showdown Moneyline (ML): Eagles -205, Seahawks +172, and Against the spread (ATS): Eagles -4.5 (-105). Worth noting, the initial spread has shifted, and we now have the Eagles at -3. In their recent outings, the Eagles suffered a tough loss to the Cowboys, falling 33-13, while the Seahawks, with Drew Lock at QB, covered the spread as 16.5-point road underdogs in a 28-16 loss to the 49ers. The Seahawks are hopeful for Geno Smith's return on MNF. Looking at the history between these two teams, this Monday's game marks their 20th meeting, with Seattle holding a 12-7 advantage. Week 12 of the 2020 season was their last matchup, Seattle won 23-17. The line has dropped due to the Eagles' recent struggles against the Cowboys and 49ers. However, they previously defeated challenging opponents like the Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bills. Facing Seattle's struggling defense, which ranks poorly against both the run and pass, presents a promising opportunity. Seattle, on a four-game losing streak, has also faced strong teams like the Niners, Cowboys, and Rams. This matchup offers potential for the Eagles' offense to shine. Listen you know I'm a Seahawks fan, and the Hawks haven't lost to the Eagles in the PC era but this is a strange year, and I just don't trust the Seahawks team any longer. I just can't for the life of me see them winning this game on Monday night. So...I'm playing the Eagles -3. Trends, Eagles are 10-3 SU L13 games, and are 9-2 SU L11 vs. NFC teams. Hawks are 1-5 SU L6, 1-4 SU L5 vs. NFC teams, and are 1-6 ATS L7 in December. This won't be a blowout by any means, but Lumen Field isn't as tough to win for road teams as it used to be and Phili is a much better team than Seattle is. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bills -1.5

The Cowboys (10-3, 9-4 ATS, 3-3 AWAY) and Bills (7-6, 5-8 ATS, 5-2 HOME) will face off this Sunday afternoon at Highmark Stadium. The game is set to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on FOX. Buffalo seems to have hit their stride lately, and their recent triumph against the Chiefs appears to have saved their season. With 2 wins in their last 3 games, they've joined a 6-team tie for the last 2 AFC Wild Card spots. Their 20-17 victory over the Chiefs provided a much-needed morale boost. Allen had an impressive performance, amassing 233 PAYDS & 1 TD, likely boosting his confidence. I also have confidence in the Bills' defense this week. While Dallas boasts a potent offense this season, Buffalo's defense has been stepping up, and I expect them to do so again on Sunday. When playing at home, the Bills are a formidable force, securing 3 wins in their last 4 home games and covering the spread in 5 of their last 7 December games. In their recent matchups against the Cowboys, they hold a 4-1-1 record in the last 6. I've watched almost every minute of every Cowboys game this season and I'm here to tell you the loss of Hankins is a big, big, big deal. It gives the Bills run game a sliver of hope, and that's all they need in this one with such a tight spread. We all know the Cowboys have had an easy schedule... right? The Dallas offense has boosted its statistics by facing weak opponents and favorable conditions, and you know it's true, but it has only managed to score more than 23 points in a single away game out of its last 5, with the exception being the Panthers. I'm a believer that Allen will scramble all night long, as the Cowboys have for the most part contained run-games, but they haven't contained running QB's. It'll be in the game plan. Diggs will get back on track, and Cook and Gabe Davis will have bigtime impact games. Hopefully the weather is terrible too! Predicted High 40's 25% chance of rain. Trends, DAL 1-4-1 ATS L6 vs. BUFF, Bills 13-7 SU L20, 5-1 SU L6 vs. NFC, and 5-2 ATS L7 in DEC. Bills have won 2 straight vs. Big D. It's going to be 3. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

California +2.5

The (6-6, 6-6 ATS) Cal Golden Bears take on the (6-6, 5-7 ATS) Texas Tech Red Raiders in the 2023 Independence Bowl from Independence Stadium, in Shreveport, LA this Saturday at 9:15pm ET. We’re backing Cal in the Independence Bowl as they take on Texas Tech. When looking at this, there’s a few factors to consider. Cal is excited to be here. This team was 3-6 heading into their matchup with Washington State. They needed a defensive stop in a shootout to hold off the Coogs in a 42-39 win. They then had to go on the road to beat Stanford and UCLA to become bowl eligible. Winning 3 in a row, they come in hot right now and are going to have all the motivation to be in this spot. On the flip side, Texas Tech comes in with no momentum. They limp in after getting throttled in what will be their final meeting with rival Texas for quite some time in a 50 point loss. Cal’s offense is going to be a problem in this one. They finished their season with performances for 42, 27, and 33 in their victories. They’re clicking on all cylinders right now and take on a Tech defense that has struggled at times this year. This is a matchup where they can open the playbook up and cause a lot of issues for this Red Raiders defense both on the ground and through the air. Some trends, Bears are 3-0-1 ATS in their L4 as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 pts. Plus, CAL are 4-1 ATS L5, and 4-2 ATS L6 games played on Saturday's! TT are 2-4 ATS L6, and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games as a favorite. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* CFB Independence Bowl ATS Play

UCLA -4

The (7-5, 5-7 ATS) Cal Golden Bears take on the (8-5, 7-4-2 ATS) Boise State Broncos in the 2023 LA Bowl (hosted by Gronk) from SoFi Stadium, in Los Angeles, CA this Saturday at 7:30pm ET. The Bruins have value here on Saturday against Boise State. Some may think UCLA underachieved this year and while that’s true, this team is still going to be happy to be here. The Bruins did take down rival USC in dominant fashion here in 2023 and now a bowl win will be a bonus to end the season. Boise State is dealing with a lot of opt outs and injuries as well. The Broncos latest saw WR Eric McAlister transfer, leaving them another weapon down. This offense is going to struggle all night long here to move the ball as they simply do not have the weapons to keep up. The Bruins can lean on this defense too. They allowed just 18.1 points per game this season as they really fluster opposing defenses. They put together a lot of different blitz packages and force a lot of turnovers. They’re going to pin their ears back and come at this Boise State team, as they lack the weapons. Combine all this with this game being a home game for the Bruins with this played in California and they’ll have the crowd behind them. An added bonus is Gronk is expected to be in attendance. If that doesn’t get this team pumped, nothing will! Some trends BST 1-4 SU L5 vs. Pac 12 teams, 1-5 ATS L6 in DEC, and 1-5 SU L6 playing as a DOG. On the other side, UCLA 7-3 SU L10 vs. MWC teams. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 7* LA Bowl ATS Play

Colts PK (Or play the Colts on the ML, your call)

The Steelers (7-6, 7-6 ATS, 3-2 AWAY) are set to face the Colts (7-6, 2-4 HOME, 8-5 ATS) on Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET (NFL Network). In terms of opening sportsbook odds, the Moneyline (ML) has the Steelers at +105 and the Colts at -125. The ATS line favors the Colts at -1.5 (-110), although there has been a shift towards Pittsburgh. The total Over/Under (O/U) is set at 42.5. In their recent games, the Colts suffered a 34-14 defeat against the Bengals on Sunday, failing to cover as a 2.5-point underdog. Meanwhile, the Steelers are currently on a two-game losing streak, having lost 21-18 to the Patriots on Thursday, failing to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. The Colts are the move here on Saturday. This is a fade of Pittsburgh for a lot of reasons. Even with Kenny Pickett, they were playing on borrowed time as they were constantly outgained yardage wise. This team has struggled all season long and now they have Mitch Trubisky running the show. That doesn’t bode well for a team that is averaging just 16 PPG. They have had zero consistency and their inability to sustain drives has been the biggest flaw. They also come in off back to back tough losses to two sub par teams. The Cardinals and Pats have put them in tough spots as now this schedule doesn’t get any easier. Indy is right there as well in the playoff race with an identical 7-6 record. Despite struggling in Cinci last week, they still have a lot to build off of lately. Prior to that, they won 4 in a row and they are relentless on both sides of the ball. The difference here will be their ability to score. Before that loss to Cinci, they put up performances of 28 and 31 in two wins. Fade Pittsburgh in this spot. I don't Pittsburgh will be playing with the lead, and because of this they'll be throwing which at least plays into the Colts defensive strength. Trends, the Steelers are 6-12 ATS in their L18 in DEC. Indy are 4-1 ATS in their L5, 4-1 SU in their L5, and 4-2 ATS in their L6 when playing as the favorite. Colts are 6-4 in their L10 home games. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 7* NFL ATS Play

Miami OH +6.5 (Circa)

I've had some good luck backing the RedHawks this season, and expect that trend to continue on Saturday when the (11-2, 10-3 ATS) Miami-Ohio RedHawks on the (8-5, 6-6-1 ATS) Appalachian State Mountaineers in the 2023 Cure Bowl from FBC Mortgage Stadium, in Orlando, FL this Saturday at 3:30pm ET. Miami OH is getting points here and it’s just too many to pass up on. They're looking for their 12th win which be only the second time getting this done. (The first was Ben Roethlisberger's team in 2003 that went 13-1). The Redhawks continue to be doubted and undervalued and they keep ignoring all of that and just winning. That was the case in the MAC Championship as they entered as 7 point underdogs and came away winners 23-14 in a game where their defense dominated. That has been the theme all year long for this Miami OH side as they are allowing just 16.2 points per game this year. During this 5 game winning streak, the most points allowed has been 16 and they even have a shut out to add to their resume. App State comes in on a low after Troy throttled them in the Sun Belt Championship. App State’s defense has been far too inconsistent this year and the Redhawks can certainly win the battle of possession. Look for this game to be a grind, which favors Miami. The Redhawks can dictate the possession and sustain drives, frustrating this App State side all night long. MIA-OH lost 24-20 to UAB in the Bahamas Bowl last year, while App ST. didn't play in a bowl game last season. Trends, M-OH are 10-2 ATS in their L12 games, are 5-0 SU in their L5, and are 10-1 SU in their L11 played on a Saturday. Appalachian State are 1-6 ATS in their L7 in December, plus they're 3-10 ATS in their L13 when they're the favourite. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Saturday 9* CFB Cure Bowl ATS Play

Jacksonville State -2.5

The (8-4, 8-3-1 ATS) Jacksonville State Gamecocks take on the (6-6, 5-7 ATS) ULL Rajin' Cajuns on Saturday at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA in the 2023 New Orleans Bowl. Kick off is at 2:15pm ET. Watch this one on ESPN. Jacksonville State has a lot of value in this spot. In Bowl games, motivation is everything. If you want one team that has all the motivation in the world coming into this game, then look no further. Jacksonville State is new to the FBS and this will be the first bowl game in program history. They got in on a technicality about there not being enough bowl worthy teams, but they won't care. They have a huge edge coaching wise too. Rich Rodriguez has seen plenty of bowl games throughout his coaching career as this will be his 12th bowl appearance. That holds a huge factor for us here in this spot on Jacksonville State. This team has played hard all year to get to this spot, as they finished with 8 wins overall. They averaged just 20 points against while putting up 28 as a team, as they play with a ton of pace. On the flip side, Louisiana will be playing in this bowl game for the 7th time in 12 years. The repetitiveness is going to play a factor for sure as this is no longer a special treat for them. Jacksonville State will lean on their defense, while this offense will open things up and take plenty of shots. We’re getting the better team at a nice number here. Jax State lost their regular-season finale 20-17 to New Mexico State. Meanwhile, the Ragin' Cajuns are headed to their 11th bowl game, becoming bowl eligible with a 52-21 victory over Louisiana-Monroe. Trends, ULL are 2-4 SU in their L6, and are 0-8 ATS in their L8 following a straight up win. JVST are 4-1 ATS L5, and are 8-4 SU L12. Plus, they're 6-0 ATS in their L6 following an ATS loss. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 6* NCAAF ATS Play

Vikings +3.5

In Week 15, the (7-6, 7-4-2 ATS, 5-2 AWAY) Vikings face the Bengals (7-6, 4-3 HOME, 6-6-1 ATS) at Cincinnati's Paycor Stadium on Saturday at 1pm ET. Bengals -3.5 favorites, O/U 39. The Moneyline odds show the Bengals at -197 and the Vikings at +162. Nick Mullens vs. Jake Browning! Tell me that doesn't get you excited for some Saturday afternoon football. This feels like a last minute FG for the win type game doesn't it?  The Vikings arrive after a 3-0 victory in the season's lowest-scoring NFL game against Las Vegas. Meanwhile, the 7-6 Bengals, led by backup QB Jake Browning, lost his debut but secured two wins against AFC South opponents, Jacksonville and Indianapolis. Head-to-head: The Vikings and Bengals have met 14 times, each team securing 7 victories. Stats, both teams boast middle-of-the-pack offensive stats, with MIN averaging 20.5 PPG and 341.5 YPG, while CIN scores 21.5 PPG and gains 314.2 YDS on average. On the defensive side, MIN has been more efficient, allowing just 18.6 PPG and 311.2 YPG, ranking fifth and tenth, respectively. In contrast, CIN's defense has struggled, conceding 22.1 points and 379.2 YPG, placing them 17th and 31st. That's where this game will be won by the Vikings. BLITZ BLITZ BLITZ, and Browning's head will be on a swivel the entire game. Minnesota's D is nasty when they want to be. NO TD's L2 games allowed. The fewest TD's in the NFL since week 6. Nick Mullens should do OK as well moving the chains here, just doing his job. The Bengals D scares noone. Trends, Minnesota are 6-1-1 ATS in their L8, are 6-2 SU in their L8 games, and are 5-0-1 ATS in their L6 on the road. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play

Georgia Southern -3.5

Myrtle Beach Bowl time as the Georgia Southern Eagles (6-6, 4-8 ATS) face the Ohio Bobcats (9-3, 6-6 ATS) on Saturday from Brooks Stadium in Conway, SC. Kick off is at 11:00am ET. Betting lines favor Georgia Southern -3.5, with Ohio at +3.5, Moneyline odds Georgia Southern -169, Ohio +138, and an over/under of 49 points. In their latest matchup, the Eagles faced a tough defeat against the App State, falling 55-27. Meanwhile, the Bobcats secured a 25-14 victory against Akron. Sun Belt vs. MAC games are always exciting. Right? I'm on GASO in this one. When you see this list of names out for OHIO you'll realize why. Rourke, Harris, Bangura, Allison, Cross. All NOT playing in this one. Down to their 3rd string QB, and missing a couple 1000 yards of production from this past season. Georgia Southern boasts a potent offense, anchored by quarterback Davis Brin, who delivered an impressive regular season with 3,431 passing yards and 22 TD's. In the rushing department, Jalen White led the charge, accumulating 891 YDS & 9 TD's. They'll be in tough vs. an OHIO DEF. that was one of the better ones in college football, but bowl season brings us weird things on the field. Motivation is a massive x-factor for these games, and for my $, the motivation to win this matchup lies with GS. Their defense will do just enough to get them this cover. Trends, Bobcats are 2-4 ATS L6. GASO are 3-0-1 ATS in their L4 Non-conference games. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray

Saturday 7* Myrtle Beach Bowl ATS Play

Dolphins -13

In Week 14 on Monday Night Football, we've got Tennessee (4-8, 5-7 ATS) facing off against the Dolphins (9-3, 8-4 ATS) in one of 2x MNF matchups. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, FL and will be broadcast nationally on ESPN. The early Moneyline odds show Titans at +550 and Dolphins at -800 (proceed with caution!). Looking at the spread, Dolphins are favored by -13 (-110), and the initial total (O/U) is set at 47. In their recent outings, the Titans came up short against the Colts, losing 31-28 as 1-point underdogs, while the Dolphins cruised to a 45-15 win over the Commanders, covering as 9-point road favorites. This marks the 40th meeting between these two, with Miami holding a 21-18 edge. Their most recent clash was Week 17 of 2021, Titans dominated 34-3 victory. It wasn't even a contest to be honest. Over their last 10 games, Miami holds a 6-4 record. Huge spread here in 1 of the 2 MNF games this week. But I'm never afraid of a huge line. Last time we played one like this we had the Cowboys a couple weeks ago, and it cleared easy. This is a fade on the Titans for a few reasons. For starters, this team has just battled so many key injuries, it’s been near impossible to overcome. The Titans have Levis running the show at QB, who just isn’t going to overpower anyone. Now, Henry may miss this contest and without him, this offense stands no chance to keep up with the Dolphins offense. Miami is averaging 32 PPG and they’re doing it with so many different weapons. They strike as quickly as anyone and they aren’t shy about throwing teams off with a little tempo. The Titans have been a disaster on the defensive side and they’re going to have their hands full with this Miami attack. This is just a lopsided game whichever way you look at it. Miami’s defense even is near the top in the league, allowing just 22 points per game. They’re going to have Tennessee on edge all night long.  Plain and simple the Fins are the better team here, and I just don't see a path for a Titans cover. No way, no how! Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Eagles +3.5

The Eagles (10-2, 6-3-3 ATS) and Cowboys (9-3, 8-4 ATS) are set to face off in a Week 14 divisional showdown this Sunday night, with kickoff at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). Let's take a look at the opening odds for the Eagles vs. Cowboys matchup. For those who like to bet straight up, the moneyline shows the Eagles at +145 and the Cowboys at -175. On the spread (ATS), the Cowboys are favored by -3 points (-120), and the initial total Over/Under (O/U) stands at 51.5 points. Dallas is coming off a Thursday night win over the Seahawks, but they didn't cover the spread, winning 41-35 as -9.5 favorites. Meanwhile, the Eagles had a tough outing, losing 42-19 to the 49ers on Sunday. They seemed exhausted, having played three games in the last 10 days. They are a solid 5-1 on the road and being undervalued a bit after getting knocked around by the 49ers. Hopefully, they've had some much-needed rest before this Sunday night clash. The Eagles had their impressive 5-game winning streak snapped, and in the longstanding rivalry between the Eagles and Cowboys (played 129 times, with Dallas leading 73-56), the Cowboys have won the last 5 games at AT&T Stadium. Earlier this season in Dallas, the Eagles managed to defeat the Cowboys 28-23. The Eagles and Cowboys rivalries in the past have produced some fun games. This one, is going to be quite the show as they battle on SNF with a lot on the line here. The Eagles and Cowboys are in the midst of two amazing seasons as they prepare for battle in this one. Philadelphia has proven they can go on the road and win in hostile environments already as they came from behind against the Chiefs earlier this year. One thing for sure is that this Eagles team does not lose in bunches. They are going to lean on their ability to strike with the big play. Philadelphia ranks 9th in the NFL in total offense and 4th in total points scored. They have the most dangerous weapons and they should be able to pick apart this Dallas secondary. Philadelphia's defense ranks 4th in the NFL against the rush and they are going to be hungry to bounce back after last week's performance. Trends, Eagles are 4-1-1 ATS L6, 5-1 SU L6, 12-2 SU L14 on the road, and 9-1 SU L10 vs. NFC teams. Meet me at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -2.5

In the NFL showdown happening this Sunday, it's Buffalo (6-6, 4-8 ATS) facing off against Kansas City (8-4, 7-5 ATS). The game kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET at GEHA Field in Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO, and you can catch it on CBS if you can't be there in person. When it comes to the moneyline (ML) wager, the Bills are sitting at +130, while the Chiefs are favored at -155. Looking at the spread (ATS), the Chiefs have a -3-point advantage, and the initial Over/Under total is set at 48. Buffalo has the historical edge, leading the all-time series 28-24-1. KC had a tough loss on Monday Night Football, falling 27-19 to Green Bay. Despite the shorter week, they're accustomed to the MNF road game, travel, and Sunday home match routine. On the other hand, Buffalo had a week off following their Week 12 overtime loss to the Eagles (37-34). The Bills have had a bit of a rough patch, losing three out of their last four games. We all know this line would be -7 if we knew Taylor Swift was attending...and you know it. I'm on the Chiefs at home on Sunday. There's been some good matchups between these two in past years, (BUF has won 2/3) but that's just it, it was in past years. The Chiefs while coming off a loss to GB (I think) are better than last year, they just don't show it every week. But this is a big game. At home, they'll have home cookin' here, and I don't think the Bills have the horses to keep up. Andy just has too many weapons. It's not like the Bills are overly healthy on defense either. Trends, Bills 1-7 ATS L8 games, 2-4 SU L6 games, 3-6 ATS L9 vs. KC. Bills are 1-7 ATS in their L8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Chiefs are 7-0 ATS in their L7 games following a ATS loss, plus, they're 16-4 SU in their L20, and are 9-2 L11 vs. AFC East teams. Back the Chiefs and lay the points. Smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Raiders +3

In this Week 14 matchup on Sunday, the Vikings (6-6) and the Raiders (5-7) are set to clash at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV, with a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff (FOX broadcast). Let's break down the odds: The Moneyline shows the Vikings at -134 and the Raiders at +118. The ATS (Against the Spread) line favors the Vikings at -1.5 (-115), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at a total of 40.5 points for all the gamblers out there. In their previous game, the Vikings suffered a tough 12-10 loss to Chicago and failed to cover the 3-point spread. However, they maintain a decent 4-2 road record this season. On the other side, the Raiders last took the field on November 26, losing 31-17 to the Chiefs. Despite dropping 4 of their last 6, it's worth noting that they faced some formidable opponents. Furthermore, the team hasn't given up under interim coach Antonio Pierce. If you watched the last Vikings game you have to be wondering how they can lay 3 against any team in the NFL right now. I'm certainly scratching my head here. They do welcome back JJ this week. Raiders come in rested off of a bye, 2 weeks to gameplan, and the Vikings certainly don't present an offense like that of the Chiefs and Dolphins gauntlet the Raida's just went thru. This game should be the battle of the #1 WR's. Adams vs. Jefferson, and on the defensive side it will be Hunter vs. Crosby. My X-factor is going to be O'Connell. This game will be his 6th start. 4 TD's and 6 INT's so far. He has to stretch the field here to give Jacobs room to run. I think he will. Some trends, this matchup is even over the L10 games (5-5 ATS each), Raiders lead series all time 10-6. 5-2 at home. Minnesota are 2-5 SU in their L7 when playing on the road against LV. I'm on Vegas. Grab the points and smile at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

RARE 10* Sunday NFL TOP PLAY

Ravens -7

In Week 14, Baltimore (9-3) is set to take on the LAR (6-6), with both teams aiming to extend their recent winning streaks. Here are the key numbers to consider: The opening NFL betting odds show the Moneyline (ML) at Rams +240 and Ravens -300, while the Against the Spread (ATS) line has the Ravens at +7 (-110). The Over/Under (O/U) total is set at 43.5. Weather could be a factor today. High 50's, 88% chance of rain, and 6-8mph winds. The Rams are coming into this matchup on the back of a three-game winning streak, which has helped them secure the 8th spot in the NFC with a 6-6 record. Meanwhile, Baltimore had a bye week in Week 13 but had won two consecutive games leading up to it. They currently stand at 2nd place in the AFC. The Rams aren’t as good as their record may indicate. While they took care of business last week, it was against a Joe Flacco led Browns team that certainly isn’t going to overwhelm anyone. The Rams are running into a Ravens team who will be battling for the top spot in the AFC and that comes in off a bye. Harbaugh has been electric off bye weeks and this Baltimore team is well rested now. The extra week gave Lamar Jackson a chance to get himself to 100%, which will spell a lot of troubles for LA. The Rams are also battling injuries themselves. Nacua is listed as questionable and even if he goes, the Rams other top wide out isn’t going to be at 100% himself. Baltimore is going to overwhelm the Rams, who come across country for an early start time. The Ravens offense will have a field day and Jackson will be a problem with both his arm and legs on Sunday. Trends, Rams 2-4 ATS L6, 0-4-1 L5 vs. Ravens, 1-4 SU L5 vs. Ravens, and 3-10 SU L13 on the road. On the other side the Ravens are 6-1 SU L7, and 10-4 ATS L14 games. Lastly, Ravens are 7-0 SU L7 vs. the NFC. Meet me at the window. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bears +3.5

These two met a couple weeks ago when the Lions were 7-2, and the Bears were 3-7 at Ford Field. Lions won by 5. For this one, I didn't quite get +4, but I'll take +3.5 with a little extra juice on Sunday for Chicago. IF you can get -110, GOOD for you! This number should only go the other way by Friday/Sat. In Week 14, the Lions (9-3) are facing off against the Bears (4-8) this Sunday. The game kicks off at 1 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL, and you can catch it on FOX. For those looking to bet, the Moneyline (ML) odds are as follows: Lions -196 and Bears +164. When it comes to the point spread, it's Lions -4 (-110), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 45. Weather will be a factor today. Mid 30's, 93% cloudy, low chance of rain, but its going to be cold. 10-15mph winds. The Bears have been showing some signs of improvement, winning 2 of their last 3 games, and they're coming off a bye week in Week 13. In their last outing, they secured a narrow 12-10 victory against the Vikings in a rather gritty contest. But one that was REALLY REALLY BORING! Meanwhile, the Lions have been on a roll, winning 4 out of their last 5. They recently handled the Saints in New Orleans, coming out on top with a 33-28 W and covering the 3.5. Detroit is starting to see some regression and this is not a good spot for them. The Lions fast start to the season has started to come back a little bit as this team is struggling in a few areas. The main concern coming into Sunday is their red zone abilities. They rank 30th in the NFL inside the red zone and they’ve started to turn the ball over a lot lately. The Bears aren’t any kind of pushover either. They come in off a win over Minnesota as their defense has come up big in a few games this year. Off a bye week, this is a revenge spot for them against Detroit. The well rested Bears are going to put up points against this Lions defense, that has given up 28 and 29 point performances over the last two weeks. Chicago are 4-2 ATS in their L6. Bears have the #3 rush offense, if they can control the "TOP" they give themselves a great chance here. Bears haven't beat the Lions since 11/25/21 a 16-14 win. I expect the same type of score in this one, unsure if Bears win outright, but they'll keep it within the number. Meet me at the window. Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Jaguars -8

Monday Night Football & the Joe Burrow (less) Cincinnati Bengals (5-6, 4-6-1 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) go down to Jacksonville to take on the AFC South leading Jaguars (8-3, 8-3 ATS, 3-3 HOME) on Sunday. Opening odds for this one have the ML Bengals +375 | Jaguars -500, and the spread is set at Jaguars -10 (-110), the O/U is set at 40. The last time these two met up was 9/30/21, a 24-21 Bengals win, JAX covered the 7.5 in that one. Bengals have lost 3 in a row. Jags have won 4 of their last 5. These are two teams going in complete opposite directions coming into play. Obviously things for the Bengals have taken a huge halt after Joe Burrow’s season came to an end. This Bengals side is no longer a threat on the offensive end and they’ve been abysmal since Burrow went down. Jake Browning fell to the Steelers last time out as Cincinnati has had zero success moving the ball. There is just no way this Bengals offense can keep up. Jacksonville is on another level right now as this offense is one of the best in the NFL. They come in putting up 58 points combined the last two games and the defense has even caused a lot of havoc. The Jags are giving up just 20.5 points per game this season and will cause so many issues for Browning. This is going to be a lopsided game from the start with the Jags simply overwhelming the Bengals. Some trends that make me think I'm on the right track here include: the Bengals are 2-8 SU in their L10 when playing on the road against the Jags, they're also 1-7 ATS in their L8 against an opponent in the AFC. On the other side, Jacksonville are 7-1 ATS in their L8, are 7-1 SU in their L8 games, plus the Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their L5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, and finally, the Jags are 8-3 SU in their L11 games at home. Don't overthink this one. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Packers +6

On Sunday night football on NBC we get the (8-3, ATS) KC Chiefs taking on the suddenly relevant Green Bay Packers (5-6). Chasing down a WC spot in the NFC. 8:20pm ET kickoff from Lambeau Field. Packers are +6pt dogs. The O/U total is set at 42.5. Straight up bettors will get the Chiefs at -245. The Packers are +205 on the ML. We're backing the home side in this one. No matter what, it's always going to be tough for visiting teams to come into Lambeau Field, let alone a night game. This place will be rocking. During the initial two months of the season, Jordan Love's trial appeared to be a big flop, and folks in Green Bay were in danger of losing their jobs. Luckily, things have turned around, and now Love is performing like one of the top NFL quarterbacks, saving everyone's employment. I'm on the Jordon Love train. The kid is starting to look much better and I think at home on Sunday Night Football it's going to be his coming out party. On the season now Love is 225/372 for a 60% completion %, He's chucked for 2599 yards, 19TD/10 INT's for an 87QBR. To the eye test he's improving nearly every game. Sure he has some hiccups in his game, but what young QB doesn't? On the whole the Packers looked like a different team on Thanksgiving, and with 10 days to rest and get ready for Coach Andy, I think they'll respond. The Packers offense has put up at least 375 yards in four straight games with back to back impressive wins over Detroit and the Chargers. This isn't the first time Love has played the Chiefs. His first start in 2021 he came in and started for Rogers when he was taken out by a positive Covid-19 test. Remember that? LOL. This marks the Chiefs’ first regular-season game in GB since 2015, and that means it will be Mahomes' first time in Wisconsin. Hopefully the winter is NASTY. KC is coming off a 31-17 triumph over the Raiders. Kansas City will have their hands full with this Packers offense. Combine that with the Packers holding the 8th best pass defense in the NFL and Mahomes will have some frustrations from the start. The Packers can keep this one close. With the energy from the crowd, they will have their chances to seize momentum throughout.  Trends. Packers are 15-0 in December games during LaFleur’s tenure, and Green Bay are 8-4 ATS in their L12 played on a Sunday. KC are 1-4 ATS in their L5 games against Green Bay. I'm riding the Cheese here on Sunday night. Hop On! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Rams -3.5

The Rams (5-6, 5-5-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME) are set to face the Cleveland Browns (7-4, 6-5 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) this Sunday at 4:25 PM ET at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. You can catch the action on FOX. The odds have the Rams favored by -3.5 ATS, with opening moneyline lines at Rams (-184) and Browns (+155). The over/under total is set at 39.5 points. H2H the Rams are 5-1 in their L6 matchups. Averaging 22PPG, to Cleveland's 13PPG. They last met 9/22/2019 a 20-13 LAR win.  These two have played 24x thru the years, the Rams have a 13-11 advantage. In their recent matchup last week, the Browns had a tough outing, losing 29-12 to the Broncos, and it felt like they weren't really in the game, especially after Thompson-Robinson suffered a concussion. While the Browns boast a formidable defense, it's important to remember that having a top-notch defense doesn't guarantee victory every time. Without a noteable starting QB the NFL is seeing the Browns are just an ordinary team with no real playmakers to hit home. On the flip side, the Rams are coming off a convincing 37-14 victory over the Cardinals. Matthew Stafford was on fire, throwing for 229 yards, 4 TD's, and 1 INT, completing 25/33 passes. The Rams also welcomed back Kyren Williams, and if you, like me, had him on your fantasy bench, you missed out on his stellar performance. He rushed for 143 yards on 16 carries and added 6 receptions for 61 yards and 2 TD's. With Kupp and Atwell also contributing, the Rams are suddenly back in the playoff conversation. The big question for the Browns this Sunday is who will be their starting quarterback. It's an uncertainty that adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. I'm also unsure of Garrett is going to be, he looked really banged up on Sunday. In any case, if we see Joe Flacco at QB on Sunday I'll be licking my chops. So will Aaron Donald. Some trends to see here, the Browns are 1-5 ATS vs. the Rams L6, and are 1-5 SU in their L6 vs. LAR, plus they're 3-12 SU in their L15 vs. the NFC west teams. Last one, Browns are 1-5 ATS in their L6 after allowing LESS than 150 yds passing in prior game. The Rams are glad December is here, they're 7-1 ATS in their L8 in December. Sunday I'm backing the Lambs. Hop on! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Broncos +3.5

On Sunday, the Broncos (6-5, 2-2 AWAY, 4-6-1 ATS) are set to face off against the Texans (6-5, 4-2 HOME, 5-6 ATS) at NRG Stadium, with the game scheduled to kick off at 1pm ET CBS for TV. The initial odds for the Moneyline (ML) indicated the Broncos at +135 and the Texans at -160. The Texans were also initially favored by -3 points, and the Over/Under (O/U) for the game was set at 46.5 points. Nice matchup between two AFC contenders?! I didn't see that coming! Last game out the Broncos kept their hot streak alive with a conclusive 29-12 W over the Browns at home. Call me crazy but I'm actually buying what Russell Wilson is selling of late. (His stats while not AMAZING me are good enough to deliver wins, and that's all I can ask for right now) Maybe the Broncs have Sean Payton's magic touch to thank? He's clearly having an effect on the team, and isn't washed up yet as so many were saying after the way DVR started the year. Maybe it's the run game. The Perine/Williams combo seems like a match made in heaven as a 1-2 punch. More than likely though its the Broncos defense. The DVR pass rush is all world currently. These guys are really getting home. As a result the Broncs are a TURNOVER machine. 20 takeaways now (has them 4th in the NFL). Ball Hawk U! Stroud will have to have his head on a swivel in this one. On the other side the Texans are one of the surprise teams this year, but I'm not convinced yet. They were good, but not good enough to take out the Jags on Sunday and lost 24-21. The Jags got some revenge for the earlier loss to Houston (37-17 Week 3). The Broncos will have a gameplan ready for Dell and Stroud though, there's plenty of film on these guys now, and I don't foresee too many surprises. Past matchups: 9/18/22 Denver 16, Houston 9. 12/8/19 Denver 38, Houston 24. Since 2007 8 matchups, Denver leads 5-3. Some trends, Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L5 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Plus, the Texans are 1-4 ATS in their L5. On the visiting side, Denver are 4-1 ATS in their L5, lastly, they're 5-0 SU L5, 4-1 SU L5 vs. Texans. My money is on the Broncos coming thru and covering the 3.5 on Sunday. I trust Sean Payton in this spot to put just enough wrinkles in to keep the rookie QB on his toes all day long. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Miami-OH +7.5

Get ready for the 2023 MAC Conference Championship showdown! It's the (10-2) Miami (OH) RedHawks facing off against the (11-1) Toledo Rockets. The game is set for Saturday, December 2nd, at 12:00 ET, happening at Ford Field in Detroit, MI. Let's talk numbers: The initial ATS Betting Line had Toledo favored by -8, but it's now adjusted to -7.5 as of Monday. On the Moneyline, Miami (OH) stands at +246, while Toledo is at -315. The Total is set at O/U 46.5. No matchup last year, but they did play each other earlier this season, and Toledo managed to secure a 21-17 victory. Miami owns a 28-23-1 series lead all time in this series. The first game played in 1936. The Redhawks are catching too many points in this spot. The MAC was as close as ever here in 2023 as it seemed like there were more teams than usual who were bunched together at times. However, Miami OH and Toledo were the two stand outs and the Red Hawks are right there with the Rockets. Miami OH comes in winners of 4 straight and their defense was easily one of the best in the conference. They rank 23rd in the entire nation in total defense giving up 322 yards per game. They come into this MAC Championship allowing 16.3 points per game. The Redhawks defense is going to be the difference maker here. They aren't going to allow anything easy and have a revenge factor after falling 21-17 to them earlier this season. That game was there for the taking and Miami wants this to be lower scoring. The RedHawks have been catching my eye lately. They'll have to prove to me that they CANNOT hang with Toledo, I think they can. Looking at the trends, it's clear Miami-OH have got some momentum. They've got a strong 9-2 ATS record in their L11 games and an impressive 10-1 SU record during that same stretch. So, my pick for this one is the underdog to cover the spread at +8. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 6* CFB ATS Play

UW +9.5

2023 Pac 12 Championship Game. Ducks are -9.5pt favorites, the O/U is set at 66.5. ML bettors can get UW +275, and UO at -353. Is this the last time we see this game? Who knows...but I'm going to enjoy this one as the (11-1, 8-2-1 ATS) Oregon Ducks take on the (12-0, 5-6-1 ATS) Washington Huskies on Friday night from Las Vegas. Series History: In Seattle, Huskies are 33-23 with 4 ties. In games played in Eugene, Ducks are 18-14. Recently, the Ducks have been dominant, winning 20 out of 28. In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Washington picked up the 37-34 win (last year). Earlier this year Oregon suffered their only Pac-12 loss in dramatic fashion as UW scored a go-ahead TD with just over a minute left to win at Husky Stadium, 36-33. The Ducks had a big win last week, beating the Oregon State Beavers with a score of 31-7 in the CIVIL WAR. Meanwhile, the Huskies are coming off a solid victory in the APPLE CUP, where they defeated the Washington State Cougars 24-21. Get ready for an epic showdown as the two leading Heisman hopefuls face off once more! Check out these stats: Penix has racked up 3,899 passing yards, averaging 324.9 yards per game with a completion rate of 65.4%. He's thrown 32 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. On the other side, Nix boasts 3,906 passing yards, averaging 325.5 yards per game, with an impressive 78.6% completion rate. He's thrown an incredible 37 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Plus, Nix has added 159 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns to his name, carrying the ball 47 times. You know I'm locking in UW here. You're going to give me 9.5 points in a Championship game with a Heisman Trophy candidate leading the offense vs. a team they already beat 1x this year? I'm taking it. UO could win this straight up, but it's going to be close. There's nothing fishy in Seattle here with the spread, Vegas is trying to screw with you. Don't overthink this. Back the DAWGS! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 7* CFB ATS Play

New Mexico +11.5

The Aggies (10-3, 7-1 CUSA, 11-2 ATS, 5-2 AWAY) are coming in hot with 8 consecutive wins, facing off against the #22 Flames (12-0, 8-0 CUSA, 8-4 ATS, 7-0 HOME), who have had an even better season (undefeated) in the 2023 Conference USA Championship on Friday at Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA. The game kicks off at 7pm ET and can be watched on CBS Sports. Weather looks to be a non-factor (mid 50's 25% chance of rain, less than 5mph winds in the forecast). This is a Liberty home game (in case you were wondering with a lot of the other games this week being neutral site) When it comes to the Moneyline (ML), New Mexico State stands at +320, while Liberty holds -425. Unless you're betting on NMSU I'd strongly avoid the ML in this one. Looking at the ATS odds, Liberty is favored at -11.5 (-110), and the total (O/U) is set at 56.5. Both teams have a ton to play for. Liberty is playing to get into the Group of 5 upper rankings of bowl teams. NMSU wants a conference title. Liberty's undefeated record makes them a solid 2-score favorite, I get that, I even respect it, a little bit, but they're only 4-4 ATS in their last 8 games. Have there been better teams ATS this season than NMSU? If you backed the Aggies this year, you did quite well, as they boast a 9-0-1 ATS record in their last 10 games, including three consecutive underdog covers, and yes, outright wins. If you're a fan, you had to love that impressive 31-10 victory over Auburn, hey? For this bet to pay off, we need New Mexico State to stay competitive and believe they can go toe-to-toe with Liberty for the full 60 minutes. They have to flip the field this time, and chip into that "TOP" that Liberty owned in the last game. The last time these two teams met, Liberty secured a 33-17 win and covered a -9.5 spread on September 9th. NMSU is 9-1 since that game. Jerry Kill's kids are having a hell of a year, and with this being their first conference title game you know the entire state is going to watching this game. It's massive in New Mexico. So, it's an intriguing matchup for all the football enthusiasts out there. Trends, New Mex are 10-0 ATS L10, 8-0 SU L8, 6-0 ATS L6 on the road, 4-1 ATS L5 in December, NMSU are also 5-1 SU L6 playing as a dog. I'm banking on NMSU going all in on this matchup. I'm all in on them. They'll cover the +11.5. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Bears +3.5

In the final showdown of Week 12's Monday Night Football, we've got the Chicago Bears (3-8, 4-5-2 ATS, 1-5 AWAY) hitting the road to take on the Minnesota Vikings (6-5, 7-3-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME). The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC). The initial MNF odds show the Moneyline (ML) with the Bears at +145 and the Vikings at -175. Additionally, ATS has the Vikings favored by -3.5 (-105), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 45 points. The Bears had a rough outing last Sunday, squandering a 26-14 lead against Detroit and ultimately losing 31-26 on the road. On the flip side, the Vikings had their five-game winning streak halted with a close 21-20 loss to the Broncos on Sunday night. In terms of their head-to-head history, the Bears and Vikings have crossed paths 124 times since 1961, with the Vikings holding the lead in the series at 66-56-2. Notably, the Vikings have won the last five, including a 19-13 victory earlier this season. The Bears are going to be eager to get back out there for this one. After blowing a lead in the 4th quarter against the Lions, Chicago will be looking to come out of the gates fast in this contest. The Bears still can use some of that loss to build off of, as Justin Fields showed a lot of positives in the game. After missing a month with a thumb injury, he was slinging it all over the field with very little issue. He will be able to find a lot of success with both his arm and legs. Fields has the ability to break containment and pick up big chunks with his running abilities. The Vikings defense will have a hard time slowing him down. Minnesota is also seeing teams being able to adjust to Joshua Dobbs now. The Broncos figured him out on the defensive side and the Bears will come in with a lot of different blitz packages. This is going to be a lower scoring game, which will favor the Bears who should win the time of possession.  Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their L5 as a home favorite. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Broncos -1

On Sunday at 4:05 PM ET in Denver, CO at Empower Field at Mile High, catch the Broncos (5-5, 3-5-1 ATS) & the Browns (7-3, 7-3 ATS) on FOX. Denver is hosting Cleveland in this matchup. The initial betting odds show the Broncos as the Spread Favorite with a -1.5 advantage. If you prefer a straight up bet, the Moneyline odds stand at Broncos (-127) and Browns (+105), while the Over/Under Total is set at 36. Browns have won the last 2 of 3 vs. Denver, most recent was 10/21/21 a 17-14 Browns win. Sidenote: Neither of this Sunday's starting QB's were in that one. Bridgewater vs. Keenum headlined that clash! (zzz's) The Broncos won the most recent game in Denver in 2019. A 17-16 win. In their recent games, the Browns secured a 13-10 victory against PIT. Thompson-Robinson, the new QB for the Browns, completed 24/43 for 165 yards with 0TD's & 1 INT. Meanwhile, the Broncos grabbed a HUGE W over Minnesota with a final score of 21-20. Russell Wilson, was impressive. His performance included 259 PAYDS on 27/35 attempts (77%), he also threw 1 TD, 0 INT's. Clearly the better QB in this matchup. We now get Wilson's season stats at 2065 passing yards, averaging 206.5 yards per game, a 69% completion rate, 19 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, 42 carries, and 232 rushing yards. I was thinking about locking the Broncos in at -2.5, then it dropped to -2, -1.5, and now I'm going to pounce.The Broncos have won four games in a row, amazingly they're now 5-5. They're in the AFC playoff conversation. (I must admit, I didn't see this turnaround coming) But hat-tip to Sean Payton. The Browns should still be the more bet on team here, and I think the Public is on them. They still have the #1 defense in the NFL. Having said that, check out the Browns' home vs. road stats. This is a different team when they travel, and they're could get torched at the LOS if they don't improve their RUN-D on the road. Javonte Williams must be excited for Sunday's game. He's got some good stats going into it: 122 carries, 473 yards, 52.6 yards per game. He's also caught 23 for 125 yards, averaging 13.9 YPG with 2 TD receptions. Some trends, Cleveland are 2-11 SU in their L13 against Denver, and are 1-7 SU in their L8 when playing on the road against the Broncos. Flip it, and Denver are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. I'll also have a FREE play on this game's total, so check that out on my sales page or on the sites NFL free picks page. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Colts -2.5

The Buccaneers (4-6, 2-3 away, 6-4 against the spread) are heading to Lucas Oil Stadium to face the Colts (5-5, 1-4 at home, 7-3 against the spread) this Sunday. The game kicks off at 1 p.m. ET and you can catch it on CBS. Let's take a look at the latest betting odds. For those who like to bet on the team to win outright, the moneyline shows the Buccaneers at +110 and the Colts at -130. If you prefer to bet against the spread (ATS), the Colts are favored by -1.5 points with a price of -115. The over/under (total points expected in the game) is set at 42.5. The Colts are coming off a bye week and in their last game, they managed to beat the Patriots 10-6, covering the -2 spread. On the other hand, the Buccaneers had a tough time against the San Francisco 49ers, losing 27-14 but managing to cover as 13.5-point road underdogs. Some trends, The Bucs are 1-5 SU in their L6 games, and are 1-5-1 ATS in their L7 games against Indy. On the other side, the Colts are 6-3 ATS in their L9 games, and are 4-1 ATS in their L5 played in November. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Kansas -7

In this upcoming college football clash, Kansas (7-4, 6-5 ATS) is set to take on the Bearcats (3-8, 4-7 ATS) at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The game is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ESPN2. The odds favor Kansas, with a moneyline of -270, while Cincinnati stands at +217. The point spread has the Bearcats as 1-touchdown underdogs, and the total points for the game is set at 58.5. We're backing Kansas here on Saturday as they take on Cincinnati. In their recent performances, the Jayhawks suffered a 31-27 defeat against Kansas State, with Ballard leading the charge with 162 passing yards, 1 TD, and 2 INTs. He also contributed on the ground with 10 rushes for 55 yards. Neal had a notable performance as well, rushing for 138 yards on 18 carries, including 3 touchdowns. The combination of these two players could pose a significant challenge for a Bearcats defense that has struggled this season. Both teams have been battling injury issues, especially at the QB position as they come into play on Saturday. Kansas however, is in good hands as they have depth at this spot and they've been rotating different packages for two different QBs. Jason Bean and Cole Ballard both have experience and they've been able to come in at some spots and make some plays for the Jayhawks. Cincinnati lost Emery Jones and now Brady Lichtenberg is banged up and questionable for this contest. If he does go, he still won't even be close to 100%. The Bearcats don't need those kinds of issues as they've dropped 8 of 9 overall too. They're struggling on the offensive end and this Jayhawks team can get out early on them. With these two teams heading in different directions, the Jayhawks are the valuable team on Saturday at this number. Looking at recent trends, Kansas has covered the spread in 4 of their L6. On the flip side, Cincinnati hasn't had a great run lately, going 2-7 ATS in their L9 games and suffering 8 straight losses in overall matchups. Their struggles extend to their home games, where they've lost their L5 straight. It's safe to say that the Bearcats are in a rough patch this season. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play

WSU +16.5

The Washington State Cougars (5-6, 2-6 Pac-12, 5-6 ATS) face off against the Washington Huskies (11-0, 8-0 Pac-12, 5-5-1 ATS) this Saturday at Husky Stadium in Seattle, with kickoff at 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's check out the initial betting info. Moneyline shows Washington State at +580 and Washington at -880, while the spread is Washington -16.5 (-110), and the Over/Under is set at 67.5. The Cougars grabbed a victory over Colorado in the elimination bowl, staying in the hunt for a bowl game while ending Colorado's postseason hopes. Washington State broke a losing streak, while the Huskies barely escaped a close call with a 22-20 win against Oregon State. The Apple Cup could be an interesting matchup here as WSU and UW clash. Washington comes in off their big win as all the pressure mounts with them as they look to find themselves in a position to join the BCS Playoffs. Washington State is going to have a say here. The Cougars routed Colorado last week, giving them a lot of momentum coming into this one. They put up 56 points as they ran for 127 yards, while piling up 342 through the air. Cameron Ward had this Coogs offense ranking 4th through the air this year, putting up 338.6 yards per game. Here is the mismatch for us as Washington's defense ranks 119th in the nation in pass yards against, allowing 260.5. Washington State can get into rhythm early, it's going to open up a lot of things here for the Cougars. Washington is in a let down spot as well after the huge win on the road in a rainy Oregon State. Washington State certainly has the ability to keep this close and continue to put doubt in the back of the Huskies' minds as this game goes on. Washington State are 6-3 ATS in their L9 in November. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 7* NCAA ATS Play

Utah -20.5

The 2023 Rumble in the Rockies isn't what we were hoping for at the beginning of the season. Colorado (4-7, 1-7 Pac-12, 6-4-1 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) comes into Utah (7-4, 6-4-1 ATS, 5-1 HOME) on Saturday looking to finish their season with any kind of a positive they can cling to. Kickoff at Rice-Eccles is at 3pm ET. The Buffaloes are on a tough losing streak, dropping their last five games. Their latest defeat came at the hands of WSU, where they were beaten 56-14 Friday. Meanwhile, the Utes had a tough road game against #16 Arizona and ended up losing 42-18 in Week 12. Now, let's talk odds. When it comes to the Moneyline (ML), Colorado is sitting at +920, while Utah has a commanding -1800. Looking at the Against the Spread (ATS), Utah is favored by -21.5 points (-115), and if you can find it at -20.5, you're in good shape. Lastly, the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 52.5. The last time these two met was 11/26/22, a 9-TD 63-21 Utah win. Utah leads the series 34-32-3. With the first game coming back in 1903. They've won 6 straight. Key point for this one. Shedeur Sanders is a GTD. It's unclear if he suits up for this one. But honestly, why would he? He left Friday's loss with hand soreness in the 56-14 blowout loss to WSU, and why would he take the field? To pad his getting sacked numbers? (Leads the Nation) The CU O-line has proven they couldn't protect an elephant so I don't see why he'd risk it. Give his backup some reps (whomever that is). CU can't make a bowl game, so I'm not sure how much pride there is to play for here. Colorado a 22-point underdog, needs a win to avoid finishing alone in last place in the Pac-12. Utes destroy unranked teams at Rice-Eccles and have taken down the Buffs in the L6 matchups by 20+. EVEN IF Sanders plays, I still like Utah to blow the doors off CU in this one. They're assured a bowl game, so this will be about ironing out the kinks before December. Some trends to note, CU are 0-5 SU in their L5, 1-6 ATS in their L7 vs. Utah, 0-6 SU in their L6 vs. the Utes, and are 2-14 SU in their L16 on the road. The Utes are 4-2 ATS in their L6, 13-6 SU in their L19, and are 19-1 SU in their L20 at home. (The lone loss coming vs. Oregon this year) Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* NCAAF ATS Play 

Ohio State +3.5

#3 Ohio State, with a perfect 11-0 record (8-0 Big Ten, 6-4-1 ATS), is set to face #2 Michigan, also 11-0 (8-0 Big 10, 5-5 ATS), at Michigan Stadium in the highly anticipated "The Game!" It's a noon ET kickoff (FOX). The odds for Ohio State are +146 on the Moneyline, while Michigan sits at -176. The ATS line favors Michigan at -3.5 (-115), and the Over/Under is set at 46.5 points. The Buckeyes recently dominated Minnesota, winning 37-3 on Senior Day, while the Wolverines secured a 31-24 victory over Maryland. Get ready for an exciting showdown! We're backing Ohio State here as one of the best rivalries all in sports once again has so much on the line. The winner will move on to the Big 10 Championship and likely find themselves in the BCS Playoff and this is just too many points in this spot.Ohio State's offense is on another level right now. They're doing it with their ground game, led by TreVeyon Henderson, who rumbled his way for 146 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the win over the Golden Gophers last week. His ability to pick up huge chunks of yardage is opening passing lanes as well for Kyle McCord. The Buckeyes have everything clicking right now on the offensive end and they should be able to wear down this Michigan defense as the game goes on. Combine that with how well this Ohio State defense is playing too. The Buckeyes are allowing just 9.3 points per game, which is 2nd in the entire nation. We're going to see Ohio State make things miserable for JJ McCarthy, who has significantly worse stats without Harbaugh on the sideline. Ohio State are 5-1-1 ATS in their L7, ane are 10-0 SU in their L10, plus, they're 15-3 SU in their L18 games against Michigan, and lastly, they're 9-0 SU in their L9 games on the road. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play

Oregon -13

On Friday, it's a Pac-12 showdown as #6 Oregon (10-1) takes on #15 Oregon State (8-3) at Autzen Stadium. The opening odds are as follows: Oregon is the favorite with a spread of -13.5 points. The moneyline odds favor Oregon at -561, while Oregon State stands at +406. The total points for the game are set at 62.5. In their recent games, the Ducks dominated ASU with a 49-13 victory, while the Beavers faced a tough loss to Washington, falling 22-20. The Ducks and Beavers rivalry may feature the best talent of the two teams we've seen in many years. This however, is going to be overwhelming for the Beavers. Oregon is still holding out hope they can sneak into the BCS Playoff conversation with some help and they've done all they've needed to do with style points. Oregon racked up 42 first half points last week against Arizona State and Bo Nix is just on a different level once again. He has tossed for 3539 yards this year and has 35 touchdowns. While those numbers are outstanding, his ability to take care of the ball is the difference maker really. He has just 2 interceptions in 2023 and should pick apart this Oregon State defense. Oregon plays with such speed and they can score in flurries. They strike so quickly and Troy Franklin is just so tough to guard out wide. He racked up 128 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week and will be the main target here once again for Nix. Oregon is also playing to blow teams out when they can, knowing big wins are needed for the committee should it come down to that. Some trends to note, Oregon State are 3-12 SU in their L15 against Oregon, plus, they're 0-7 SU in their L7 games when playing on the road against Oregon. Oregon are 8-2-1 ATS in their L11, and they're 7-0 SU in their L7 at home, and are 11-4-1 in their L16 vs. Pac 12 teams. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Texas -14

Texas (10-1, 7-1 Big 12, 5-5-1 ATS) hosts Texas Tech (6-5, 5-3, 5-6 ATS) at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium this Friday, kicking off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The initial odds are as follows: Moneyline (ML) shows Texas Tech at +385 and Texas at -520 (I'd steer clear), while the Against the Spread (ATS) is Texas -13.5, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 52.5 points. Texas is coming off a 26-16 victory against Iowa State on the road, covering the 6.5-point spread as the favorite. Meanwhile, Texas Tech narrowly defeated UCF Knights 24-23 last Saturday but couldn't cover as a 2-point favorite at home. We're backing the Longhorns here on Friday night as they welcome in rival Texas Tech. Texas has a lot riding on the line here as they are still playing for an outside chance at crashing the BCS Playoffs. The Longhorns currently sit at number 7 in the nation, but will receive some help as a couple of conference foes will have to play each other coming up. Texas should have a field day with this Red Raiders defense. Texas Tech comes in at 74th in the nation in total defense, as they have struggled to slow teams down. They're struggling at forcing turnovers and their inability to get off the field on 3rd down has been an issue. Texas has too dangerous of an offense in this spot. They also are playing for style points too. It could come down to a few one loss teams in the nation vying for a final Playoff spot. They won't be shy about getting a lead and doing whatever they can to put up. I'm not all about the offensive love for Texas today. Their D allows 2.9 yards per rush attempt, which put them in the Top 10 in the FBS. Good luck with that TT RB's. Trends, TT are 4-9 ATS in their L13, vs. UT, are 4-16 SU in their L20 vs. TEX, and are 2-10 SU in their L12 games when playing on the road against Texas. On the other side, Texas are 6-0 SU in their L6 games at home. This is a very nice spot for Texas to provide us with a lopsided win. I'm on UT tonight. Enjoy your Black Friday! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Iowa +2.5

It's "The Heroes Game" this week! On Friday, #19 Iowa (9-2, 2-1 AWAY, 5-5-1 ATS) take on Nebraska (5-6, 4-2 HOME, 4-6-1 ATS) in Lincoln. The Big Ten's West Division champion (Iowa) has clinched a place in the conference title match on December 2nd in Indy, while the Huskers need a win to get to a bowl game. I'm still scratching my head as to why Nebraska is favored. I had this feeling 2 weeks ago when BC played PITT and were dogs, and I wondered why, and I lost that pick. It left me angry. LOL I'm not losing this one. Iowa comes into this one with the #3 defense in the Nation allowing a paltry 12.3 PPG to Nebraska's 18.7 PPG. Iowa has won 2 of the L3 in this series, and 5 of the L6.  Let's dive deeper into the series history. Nebraska, in its time with the Big Ten, took down Iowa 4 times, with 3 W's on the road and 1 at home. On the flip side, Iowa managed to best Nebraska 8 times, scoring 5 away W's and 3 home W's. IN NEB's favor Friday is the fact, Iowa's scoring average of 18.5 points per game ranks them 121st out of 130 FBS teams. NO Bueno. Answer me this...What has this team done to warrant being a favorite over a top 25 team, who is going to the Big 10 Championship? Nebraska ranks near the bottom in almost every offensive category for starters. They have dropped 3 straight games and have looked awful in doing so. Losses to Michigan State, Maryland, and Wisconsin were just dull performances. Now, we’re not saying Iowa is going to blow anyone out of the water here. However, this Iowa defense is one you can lean on in this matchup. They’ve been the best in a lot of different categories and they create turnovers. Nebraska’s offensive line is one of the worst in the conference, and should struggle with this front from Iowa. This will still be a field position game, but that’s Iowa’s speciality and they’ve dominated it in all 9 wins. Some trends to note, the UNDER is 7-0 in the Hawkeyes L7 road games, and they're 5-0 ATS in their L5 games as a underdog. Plus they're 6-1 SU in their L7, and 7-1 SU L8 vs. Nebraska, and 5-0 SU in their L5 when on the road in Lincoln. Huskers are 2-10 ATS in their L12 as a favorite, and they're 1-9-1 in their L11 as a favorite of 0.5-3. CHECK. This tells me this is going to be a backyard brawl on Friday. Iowa covers the +2.5. Ferentz secures his 196th win on Black Friday. I love it as a 9* play. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 9* CFB ATS Play

Ole Miss -10

Happy Thanksgiving! In Week 13 of 2023 NCAAF, we've got a matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels, with a record of 9-2, and the Mississippi State Bulldogs, sitting at 5-6. The game kicks off at 7:30 ET at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS. Check out the betting lines for this NCAA showdown: Ole Miss is favored at -11.5 points, and if you're into moneyline bets, Ole Miss is at -467, while Mississippi State stands at +346. As for the total points in this college football battle, the Over/Under is set at 55.5. We're playing Ole Miss here, laying the points in the Egg Bowl on Thanksgiving night. Ole Miss has a lot more to play for here for starters. They are looking to crash the New Year's Six Bowl party as they come in with just 2 losses on the season. The Rebels rank 12th nationally in total offense and 17th in the nation with 36.5 points per game. They love to work quickly and have the ability to strike for big plays. On the flip side of that, this Bulldogs team is not as threatening by any means whatsoever. They have the 104th offense in the NCAA and only put up 23.2 points per game as a result. This is just a mismatch when you look at it. Ole Miss is far superior on both sides of the ball and they can really dig a quick hole for Mississippi State. This should be a lopsided game where the Rebels dominate and clinch their way into a New Year's Six Bowl game. Trends, Ole Miss are 6-1 SU in their L7, are 5-1 SU in their L6 games against SEC teams. On the other side, MISSST are 2-8 ATS in their L10, and are 3-6 SU in their L9 games. Finally, they're 1-5 ATS in their L6 games at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* NCAAF ATS Play

Lions -7.5

Happy Thanksgiving! The Green Bay Packers (3-7, 3-6-1 ATS, 1-4 AWAY) visit the Detroit Lions (7-2, 7-2 ATS, 4-1 HOME). I just don't see an angle for GB in this one. Lions Top 10 in the NFL in PPG, TYPG, TYPP, Rushing, Passing, Completion %, QB Rating, and 4th qtr scoring. It's an uphill climb for sure for GB on Thanksgiving. Kickoff from Ford Field on November 19th will be at 1pm ET. Watch it on FOX. How are the Lions only a -7.5pt favorite in this one? Remember week 4? Lions 34-Packers 20. Lions covered the -2.5. Also on 1/8/23 Lions 20-16 over GB. Don't expect the Packers to have Aaron Jones available in this one. In past Thanksgiving years, the Lions were never feared. This year, things are completely different. Detroit comes in 8-2 on the season and has all the momentum right now after their frantic comeback against the Bears last week. Detroit scored 15 points in the final 2 minutes to complete the comeback as they are a team right now that has everything working for them. Offensively, it has all started with David Montgomery, who is setting the tone on the ground. The Lions rank 5th in the NFL on the ground, putting up 136.6 yards per game. In total, this offense is firing away, averaging 399.6 yards per game (2nd in the NFL). They control the tempo and they can build a lead here to really frustrate the Packers. Green Bay ranks near the bottom in a lot of offensive categories themselves. Overall, they're in the bottom tier in total offense, ranking 21st in the entire league. Detroit should be able to dictate a lot in this game. They're much better on both sides of the ball and their ability to find the end zone is the difference. Lions 4-0 ATS in their L4 Thursday games. Packers 1-5 L6 as a DOG, and are 2-5 ATS L7. Plus GB are 2-5 SU L7, and 1-4 SU L5 vs. Lions. Lions are 7-1 SU L8, and 8-2 L10 ATS at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bowling Green -1

Bowling Green (6-5, 4-3 in MAC, 7-4 ATS) and Western Michigan (4-7, 3-4 MAC, 7-4 ATS) clash with the game set to start at 7 p.m. ET on ESPNU at Waldo Stadium. In their recent matchup, Bowling Green defied the odds as a 9.5-point underdog, covering the spread in a close 32-31 loss to Toledo. On the flip side, Western Michigan couldn't cover the spread, falling short as a 4-point underdog in a 24-0 defeat against NIU. MACtion! We're playing the Falcons on Tuesday night in the season finale for both Bowling Green and Western Michigan. The Falcons come in with 6 wins and are bowl eligible and this is going to be an angry bunch when they come out here. After rattling off 4 straight wins, they blew a huge lead over rival Toledo last week. Still, take away from that game that Bowling Green should have in fact beat the Rockets who are one of the best in the MAC. Bowling Green will lean on their defense here and should be able to contain this Western Michigan offense. The Falcons rank 37th in the entire nation in total defense, while the Broncos counter with the 80th scoring offense in the NCAA. The edge sits with Bowling Green there as they are going to frustrate this Western Michigan offense all night long. Bowling Green's offense is also clicking here as they run a balanced attack. They can not only wear down opposing defenses, but they're going to feed off this WMU side that allows over 31 points per game (110th in the NCAA). Bowling Green are 4-1 ATS in their L5, and are 4-1 SU in their L5. Western Michigan are 3-7 SU in their L10. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 8* CFB ATS Play

Chiefs -2.5

Get ready for an exciting Monday Night Football showdown tonight! The Eagles (8-1, 5-2-2 ATS) are taking on the Chiefs (7-2, 6-3 ATS) in a Super Bowl LVII rematch. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN Arrowhead. In the past, these two teams have faced each other five times since 2009, with the Chiefs holding a 4-1 series lead and a 4-1 ATS record. We’re on the Chiefs here in this rematch. Kansas City is the better team overall. Here are the opening lines, Eagles with a Moneyline (ML) of +120, and the Chiefs at -145 for those who prefer straight up bets. The Chiefs are also favored with a -2.5 (-115) ATS line, and the Over/Under (O/U) total points are set at 47. Both teams are well-rested for this matchup. The Chiefs are coming off a bye week after a 21-14 victory over the Dolphins in Germany, while the Eagles, also enjoying a bye, are riding a three-game winning streak, most recently defeating NFC East rival Dallas 28-23 in Week 9. Chiefs enter this one allowing 15.9PPG (3rd in NFL). Eagles allow 28PPG (29th) Chiefs second in sacks and will be coming after Hurts all night long. KC have always been known for their offensive production under Mahomes, but now they’re getting defensive performances here in 2023. They’re forcing turnovers and not allowing anything easy for the opposition. Kansas City will also have this home crowd to feed off of. Arrowhead is going to be loud and it’ll give the Chiefs a lot of energy to work with. Mahomes will utilize a lot of different receivers, which should produce some big plays down field for this Chiefs offense. Andy Reid's team hung 38 on the Eagles last year. What will they do for an encore? Some trends to note, with the Chiefs Andy Reid 15-9 ATS after a bye week, and 21-3 SU. Philadelphia are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Kansas City, and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division. On the other side Kansas City are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, 11-1 SU at home L12, and are 15-2 SU in their L17. I'm on the Chiefs MNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 9* NFL ATS Play

Vikings +2.5

6-4 (6-3-1 ATS, 4-1 AWAY) Minnesota come into Denver 4-5 (3-5-1 ATS, 2-3 HOME) on SNF. Weather looks to be decent. 40F gametime temp 40% chance of rain, and 10-13mph winds. The venue is Denver's Mile High Stadium, and it will host the NFL action at 8:20pm ET on NBC. This is the first time these teams met since November 17, 2019. Back then, the Vikings won 27-23 in Minnesota. They're also ahead in their overall head-to-head matchups, 8-7.The Vikings are on a hot streak, winning their last five, including the last two with Joshua Dobbs as their quarterback. In his initial two games with Minnesota, Dobbs threw for 426 yards and scored three touchdowns. He also ran for 110 yards and found the end zone twice. Their record stands at 6-4 after a solid 27-19 victory over the Saints last week. Meanwhile, the Broncos have also been impressive, securing three consecutive wins, with their most recent being a surprising 24-22 upset against the Bills in Buffalo. Who would have expected a showdown between Russell Wilson and Joshua Dobbs at the start of the year? The opening odds favor the Broncos at -150 on the Moneyline, while the Vikings stand at +125. The point spread has the Broncos at -3 (-105), and the Over/Under is set at 41 (O: -110 | U: -110). While the Broncos are the slight favorites at home, they've had less time to prepare compared to the Vikings, having played in Buffalo on Monday night. The Vikings will be without Justin Jefferson once again, but they've managed without him for the past six weeks. Mattison should be back, as should Osborne. Minnesota has made significant strides in the past six weeks, and their aggressive blitzing under Brian Flores, the former Miami HC, has been effective. As for Russell Wilson, he's not known for handling blitzes well, and that might be a factor in this game. IN all honesty, Wilson wouldn't know a blitz if it came up and slapped him in the face...which they usually do. Trends, Minnesota are 5-0 ATS in their L5, and are 5-0 SU too, plus they're 5-0-1 ATS in their L6 on the road, and 7-2 SU vs. AFC teams L9. Denver are 6-12 SU in their L18, and 2-4 ATS L6 at home, and 2-4 ATS in their L6 in NOV. The play is the VIKINGS +2.5 on NBC's SNF. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Jaguars -6.5

3-6 (4-5 ATS) Tennessee Titans take on the 6-3 (6-3 ATS) Jacksonville Jaguars in AFC South action in Week 11 on Sunday at 1pm ET from EverBank Stadium. We're going to play on the JAGS in this one. The Jags were humbled last week and now they're in a full bounce back spot on Sunday. This is the perfect matchup for them to get back into rhythm. JAX was throttled by the Niners, but this Titans team is on the complete opposite side of the spectrum compared to San Francisco. The Titans managed just 6 points against the Bucs last week and they struggle mightily on the defensive end. Lawrence is going to have a field day with this secondary. Combine that here with how bad the Titans are on the road too. Tennessee will be playing their third straight on the road, where they are 0-5 this season. They've failed to cover in their last 2 games during this road stretch as well. We're backing the better team, who has a far better offense. Jacksonville has dominated the bottom tier teams in the NFL thus far in 2023. Fool me once, shame on me. Fool me twice, shame on...shame on... The Titans are not who we thought they were. The Jags made the 49ers look like Super Bowl contenders again. They've been humbled and I expect to see a much different Jags team on Sunday vs. their divisional foes. Some trends we're watching. The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their L5, plus, they're 3-13 SU in their L16, also Tennessee are 2-9 SU in their L11 against AFC teams. On the flip side, the Jags are 5-1 ATS in their L6 ,and 5-1 SU in their L6, are 7-3 SU in their L10 at home, and are 10-3 in their L13 vs. AFC south teams. Get down on the Jags on Sunday -6.5. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* NFL O/U Play

Packers +3

Sunday Week 11 betting action and we get the (4-5, 4-5 ATS) LA Chargers coming to Green Bay to take on the Packers. (3-6, 4-5 ATS). Kickoff at Lambeau is slated for 1 p.m. ET, watch it on FOX. These two have been playing since the early 70's, but have only met 12x thru the years. (NFC/AFC) GB owns a 10-2 edge. Last matchup LAC won it, 26-11 in 2019. Last game out the Chargers lost a nail-biter to the Packers NFC north rival Lions 41-38. The Packers lost a game I picked them to win last week, going down to Pittsburgh 23-19, they couldn't cover the 3. Turnovers and terrible red-zone offense killed em. The Packers will sport their 1950s throwback Classic Uniforms this Sunday. All things considered, it should create a historic ambiance at Lambeau. Nothing like some nostalgia to get the crowd going, and fire the team up. I wasn't overly down on the Pack last week. They did put up 399 yards, and showed good fight against a Steelers team that seems to just win games no matter the circumstances.I think vs. LAC they'll finish their drives, and the run-game will click. It usually does at home. Watson will be fine, stop over-reacting cheeseheads. He's still developing, but he's coming along. The key to scoring in the red zone is to run the ball, I'm sure we'll see more of a commitment to pounding the rock vs. LAC on Sunday. Despite being 3-point underdogs at home, I expect them to cover against the Chargers. LAC have struggled, going 2-6 ATS in their last 8 matchups with the Packers, 1-7 SU in their last 8 against GB, and 1-4 SU in their last 5 visits to Lambeau. If the Packers can prevent Ekeler, Herbert, and Allen from going off all afternoon with explosive plays the Packers will come out on top. I think they'll do it. Packers have been close to a lot of INT's this year, maybe some will start getting caught! LOL. Anyways I love a home dog...Ok! I'll bite (some cheese). Back the Pack! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Oregon State -2

As you know, I'm a west-coast HONK, and love these Pac 12 games. The #10 Oregon State (8-2) is set to take on the #5 Washington Huskies (10-0) at Reser Stadium in Corvallis, OR, in a big Pac-12 showdown. Weather will be mid 50's and RAIN in the forecast. In their last games, the Beavers triumphed 62-17 over Stanford, while the Huskies secured a 35-28 win against Utah. This is a tough play for me, as you know I'm a Washington grad. But, on Saturday we're backing the Beavers in what should be the best game on the slate here this week. This game features a quarterback clash between Michael Penix Jr. and D.J. Uiagalelei, both likely future NFL players. Last week, Penix had a solid performance, going 24/42 for 332 yards, 2 TDs, and no interceptions, while Uiagalelei was equally impressive with 240 yards on 12/19 passing (63.2%), 2 TDs, and 0 INTs. Oregon State opens as favorites against the #5 team in the nation and they should have all the confidence coming into here. They are undefeated at home this season and have a 62 point performance last week to build off of. Washington survived last week, but this defense looks very suspect coming into play on Saturday. The Huskies have a lot of gaps exposed by Utah and this Beavers team is going to feed off of those. Look for the Beavers to have a lot of success with the big play as they can match Washington's attack. With the crowd here going to be a huge factor, Oregon State should have all the energy here to shake up the College Football Playoff standings. Washington emerged victorious in their previous encounter with OREGON STATE, winning 24-21. They've also dominated the series, winning 10 of the last 11 games (It's a tough choice for me, to be honest! LOL). However, the Beavers did manage to beat the Huskies 27-24 in their last matchup in Corvallis back in 2021. Trends, Washington are 1-4-1 ATS in their L6, and 1-4 ATS in their L5 vs. OST. Flip it, and Oregon State are 13-4 ATS in their L17, and are 12-2 SU in their L14, and are 9-0 SU in their L9 at home. Last one, OST is 5-1 in their L6 vs. Pac 12 schools. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* CFB ATS Play

USC -5.5

6-4 (4-6 ATS) UCLA vs. 7-4 (3-8 ATS) USC Just can't lay off the Pac 12 games this weekend. Backing USC on Saturday. This line has dropped a 1/2 point since open and I'll take it. Weather will be in the low 70's...(Who Am I Kidding..its LA) There might be 5mph winds...ewwww. In the history of their matchups, USC has taken the lead with a 50-33-7 record (not counting two vacated USC wins (violations). I know, I know...USC's D hasn't been good of late. I get it, but they're playing UCLA. This is their last Pac 12 matchup, with LA bragging rights on the line. You don't think they can't get up for this one? Their most recent showdown happened on November 19, 2022, resulting in a 48-45 victory for USC. UCLA hasn't been faring well lately, losing two consecutive games to Arizona teams, with a recent 17-7 setback against ASU. The Bruins have only managed to secure 1 road win since September, vs. Stanford (ages ago). On the other hand, USC may have lost to formidable Top 10 teams like Washington and Oregon, but they put up a good fight in both, staying within single digits. There's some buzz about coaching changes and team motivation, with reports suggesting Kelly is facing challenges at UCLA. With all this in mind, I have more confidence in USC and Caleb Williams. He's tied with Nix for passing TD's in the Nation with 29, plus he has 11 rush TD's. He's the better QB in this matchup. No brainer. So, my pick is to go with USC. UCLA are 1-4 ATS L5, 2-6 SU in their L8 vs. SC, and 2-10 L12 when playing USC at USC. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* NCAA ATS Play

Arizona -1

On Saturday at 2:30 PM ET, we've got an exciting Pac 12 college football showdown happening in Tucson, Arizona, at Arizona Stadium. You can catch all the action on the Pac 12 Network. The #22-ranked Arizona Wildcats (7-3, 7-2 ATS, 4-1 HOME) will be hosting the #16-ranked Utah Utes (7-3, 6-3-1 ATS, 2-2 AWAY). It's shaping up to be my second favorite Pac 12 matchup of the day, right behind the UW/OST game, of course. The Wildcats come in as slight favorites (-1) against the Utes, and the over/under for the game is set at 46 points. The Cats still can get into the Pac 12 Championship game, so a TON to play for here. Also, good bye Pac 12 as both join the Big 12 in 2024. In their previous game, the Wildcats secured a 34-31 victory over Colorado, while Utah had a tough battle at Husky Stadium in Seattle, falling 35-28 to UW. There are four key players to watch in this matchup, all of them on the offensive side. Quarterback Fifita had a solid performance in the last game, throwing for 214 yards with a 60% completion rate, 2 TDs, and 0 INTs. It wasn't his best game of the year, but he's still a STUD, and I'm expecting his passing yardage and completion numbers to jump back up! Running back Coleman rushed for an impressive 179 yards on just 11 carries. And don't forget about Cowing, the wide receiver with 70 receptions, 518 yards, 51.8 yards per game, and 10 touchdowns. McMillan, another wide receiver, displayed explosive speed in the previous game, and we'll be looking for him to repeat that performance on Saturday. All four of these guys have the potential to make a significant impact, especially with the home advantage on Arizona's side. I'm not saying Utah doesn't have their own weapons, hell, they've got the better Coach in this matchup and don't give up till the end, in any game, ever, I'm just higher on Arizona in this one. AZ 30PPG, UT 25, AZ 275PYPG, Utah 147, RUYDS Utah 192, AZ 152, they run the same # of plays, but AZ avg. 1 yard more per, and both are pretty close on the possession numbers. It's going to be a close game. The spread reflects that. Utah looks tired to me. As for the prediction, Utah might not be exhausted, but they will likely be feeling the effects of their recent travel schedule, going from Utah to Washington and then back to Utah before heading to Arizona within a span of seven days. It's not the ideal situation for them. Arizona's injury report looks a lot smaller too. Trends, H2H Utah is 3-0 L3. Averaging 39PPG to AZ's 19. However, Arizona are 5-1 ATS in their L6, are 4-1 SU L5, and 4-1 ATS L5 vs. Pac 12 teams. Utah is 3-3 L6. Arizona has a 19-25-2 record all-time against Utah, and they last met Nov 5, 2022 a 45-20 Utah win. The tides will flip on Saturday and AZ will get their 5th straight W (2014 was last time I could say that). Go Cats!

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

Coastal Carolina -3.5 

Coastal Carolina (7-3) takes on Army (4-6) at Michie Stadium in West Point, NY this Saturday, with CBS broadcasting the game. The initial odds favored Coastal Carolina by 3.5 points, with a total score projection of 42.5 points. For Moneyline bettors, Coastal Carolina stands at (-168) and Army at (+142). We're playing Coastal here, on the road at Army. Coastal Carolina is going to impose their will on this Army team. These two teams play such a contrast in styles and Coastal has the defense to stop this triple option attack. Army has still struggled offensively, despite even winning their last two games as they haven't had much spark. Even with the triple option in the past, they have been able to find some big plays at times. Those haven't come this year and now they face an explosive Coastal team that can score quickly. Winners of 5 in a row, Coastal continues to put up points and they're getting stops on the defensive end. Look for them to force Army into playing at an uncomfortable pace. Key players like Grayson McCall (1,919 PASS YDS, 10 TD), Braydon Bennett (5 TD, 151 YDS), and Pinckney (6 TD, 763 YDS) are pivotal to CC's success this season, leading the offense. Coastal will speed this game up on them and produce some big plays downfield. The Chanticleers recently triumphed over Texas State, securing a 31-23 victory, while the Black Knights squeezed out a 17-14 win against Holy Cross in their last matchup. Trends, Coastal Carolina are 5-0 ATS in their L5, and are 5-0 SU too. Plus they're 4-1 ATS in their L5 on the road. On the other side, Army are 2-5 SU in their L7 games, and are 1-5 ATS in their L6. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* CFB ATS Play

Colorado +5

The (4-6, 2-2 AWAY) Colorado Buffaloes take on the (4-6, 3-2 HOME, ) WSU Cougars tonight in FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS college football action. Weather will be chilly (low 40's), low winds, and low precipitation as of this AM in the forecast) Friday Night Lights in Pullman, WA. Sounds great doesn't it? LOL (Sarcasm Meter) I wish this matchup was in September when both teams were HOT. (COL 3-0, WSU 4-0). Anyways, I digress. We were on Colorado +10 last week at home and that one paid off, so I'm going back to the well with Prime this week. The Buffs have value on Friday night, grabbing the points. Colorado needs wins this week and in their finale at Utah to have any chance at a bowl game in Sanders' first season. Colorado has been close in their last 5 losses, as this team isn't far off from where they want to be. The latest was a 34-31 loss to Arizona on a last second field goal, as it was another game they fell by one possession. Still, this offense is finding it's groove once again as they are putting up big numbers. Shedeur Sanders threw for a pair of TDs while racking up 262 yards last week and is continuing to improve with each game. Colorado has far more weapons than Washington State and this is the perfect spot in the national stand alone spotlight to showcase they aren't done this season. Some trends, Colorado are 4-1-1 ATS in their L6, while Washington State are 1-5 ATS in their L6. Wazzu are also 0-6 in their L6 SU, and 0-5 SU in their L5 vs. Pac 12 schools. The good times seem to be missing lately. Washington State (1-6 vs. Pac 12) has lost 6 consecutive games, while Colorado (1-6 vs. Pac 12) has been on a four-game losing streak and has only won once in their last 7, with their solitary win being a 27-24 victory against ASU. I believe CU has the better QB in Sanders. Ball protection will be key, and I don't trust Ward after his 3 fumbles last week. Tonight I'm rollin' with Coach Prime. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 9* CFB ATS Play

BC +3

Tonight in ACC football, it's Boston College (6-4, 3-3 ACC, 4-6 ATS) facing off against Pitt (2-8, 1-5 ACC, 3-7 ATS) at Acrisure Stadium. The game kicks off at 7 p.m. ET and will be broadcasted nationally on ESPN. Pitt is a -3pt favorite, the O/U is set at 45.5. Weather won't be a factor. (High 50's) Boston College recently secured their spot in a bowl game with their 6th win, a 17-10 victory over Syracuse two weeks ago. They even covered the 1-point spread. However, their momentum took a hit last week with a 48-22 loss to VATECH. Still, BC is one of the top running teams in the country. (12th, 202YPG), AND they're 70th in the country averaging 26PPG. On the other hand, Pitt, with a 2-8 record, has no chance of making it to a bowl game, they're allowing 28.2 PPG, and it's not pretty. It's puzzling why they are the favored team tonight. They suffered their fourth straight loss, falling 28-13 to the Orange at Yankee Stadium last Saturday as 3.5-point favorites. The Orange didn't even have to pass as Pitt's run-D was so terrible. (66 attempts 382 yards rushing, 2 TD's) BC's O-Line is licking their chops for this one tonight. In the last four games, the Panthers have scored 17 or fewer points each time. It's clear that they lack the offensive firepower to keep up with Boston College this evening. Pitt has lost by double digits 6x this year. H2H these two are 5-5 in their L10, with BC 6-4 ATS. They last matched up Oct 10, 2020, a 31-30 BC win. Eagles have won the L2. Pitt still 5-3 L8. Some trends, Boston College are 5-1 SU in their L6. On the other side, Pitt are 2-7 ATS in their L9, and 1-8 SU, plus they're 1-5 SU in their L6 ACC matchups. I cleaned my glasses this AM, and yes Boston College is clearly the better team in this matchup. I'm on BC +3. Don't overthink it. If the Orange can go crazy on Pitt so can BC. "It's not a TRAP." Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* CFB ATS Play

Toledo -10.5

The (9-1, 5-5 ATS) Toledo Rockets take on the (6-4, 6-4 ATS) Bowling Green Falcons tonight at 7pm ET from the Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH. Toledo has taken down GB in 8 of their L10 H2H matchups, however the last time they locked horns BG got the W 42-35. Toledo is going to be the MAC West representative as they come in continuing to just dominate. They are 9-1 overall and undefeated in MAC play as they’re torching the opposition. This Rockets team can certainly crack the Top 25 with a win here or at least be right in the middle of the conversation.Their lone loss was Week 1 on a last second game to Illinois. Since then, they’ve ran over teams and are putting up big offensive numbers. The Rockets dropped 49 on the Eagles last week and should be able to pick apart this Bowling Green secondary. Look for them to start this off by wearing them down with the run, which should in turn open up a lot of passing lanes. The Rockets have been dominating MAC opponents, their ground game, led by Peny Boone, is especially strong, averaging 7.1 YPC and he's grabbed himself 12 touchdowns this season. The Falcons allow 3.9 YPC, and they haven't faced anyone of note. I just don't see BG slowing him down. We’re backing the better team on both sides of the ball. Toledo are 9-0 SU in their L9, and are 11-2 SU in their L13 games against Bowling Green. On the flip side, Bowling Green are 1-5 SU in their L6 playing at home against the Rockets. Let's ride the Rockets tonight. Up next, the MAC championship game for Toledo. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 6* CFB ATS Play

Broncos +7.5

The Broncos (3-5, Broncos 2-5-1 ATS, 1-2 AWAY) and the Buffalo Bills (5-4, 3-6 ATS, 4-0 HOME) meet on Monday in MNF at Highmark Stadium in Buffalo, NY at 8:15pm. Watch this one on ESPN. In Week 9 Denver had a BYE week to gameplan, and get healthy for this matchup. Their last game Oct. 29, was the upset W over KC 24-9 as a +7 underdog. It was actually the Broncs first underdog W since Week 8 (2022). They've won 2 in a row, and their offense was clicking, and their pass rush was a huge factor. In Week 9 we saw Buffalo play the Bengals. Buffalo took the L, which was their 5th straight loss ATS, 24-18. The early week odds for this one had the Broncos +310 and Bills -400 on the ML, and ATS we're seeing the Bills -7.5. The O/U Total is set at 46.5. This rivalry goes back to 1960. The two have played 40x and the Bills have a 23-16-1 edge. Buffalo has won the L3 vs. Denver, and 5 of the L6. Broncos have consecutive games with 145 rushing yards, and it's clear the only way they keep this one close is to chew up clock on the run game. Javonte Williams is healthy and sitting at 357 RU yds on the season. He had his best game vs. KC (27car. 85 yds, 3 rec. 13 yds 1TD). To spell him the Broncs are using Jaleel McLaughlin as a chance of pace back, and sprinkle in Perine in short yardage. With the injuries to the Bills defense the Denver run game presents a clear and present danger in this one. If RW can hit some downfield targets to Sutton, Jeudy and Mims we'll have ourselves a game. The Bills secondary is beat up, check the injury reports. On the flip side don't forget the Broncos defense kept the Chiefs out of the endzone last game, so Sean Payton could be pushing all the right buttons. Denver hasn't allowed 20+ pts in 3 straight. Allen will have to be at his best for the Bills in this one. Currently he has 18 TD passes (good), but he also has 9 INT's (bad). It all spells a Broncos cover on MNF. Buffalo are 0-5 ATS in their L5, and they're 2-6 ATS in their L8 vs. AFC Teams. On the other side, Broncos are 9-1 ATS in their L10 after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Raiders +1.5

Late add here. I hummed and hawed about this play all day. Tonight on NBC's Sunday night football we get the 4-4 (4-3-1 ATS, 2-1 AWAY) Jets taking on the 4-5 (4-5 ATS, 3-1 HOME) Raiders. The Raiders are looking for their fourth win in their L6 games after a 30-6 takedown of the Giants in Week 9. On the other side the Jets lost 27-6 to the LA Chargers, in a game they were never in. I expect a heavy dose of Josh Jacobs and Adams here in this one. The Raiders know while the Jets have a great defense their runD is their weaker link, so lots of ball control tonight. You can't convince me that the Jets are the better team here, defensively maybe, but I think at home the Raiders just bring too much to the table. Pierce says he's going to run Jacobs a TON tonight, and I don't have any reason to argue. I can remember the Raiders/Seahawks game last year where Jacobs took over. I foresee that kind of night for him tonight. On defense the Raiders are playing aggressive, and I'm buying what they're selling led by Max Crosby. The Jets don't have the weapons to keep up here, and the Raiders should be the favorite tonight. Back Vegas tonight on SNF. The Jets are 4-10 SU in their L14, and are 2-6 SU in their L8 on the road. On the other side, dating back to last year, Las Vegas are 4-2 SU in their L6 played in November.  

Sunday Night 8* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys -16.5

The Giants (2-7, 1-4 AWAY) and the Dallas Cowboys (5-3, 3-0 HOME) meet on Sunday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington at 4:25pm. Watch this one on FOX. In Week 9 we saw BigD lose to the Eagles 28-23, a game they really couldn't afford to lose if they want to stay in the NFC East conversation. On the other side the Giants were once again blown out. This time by the cigar smoking Las Vegas Raiders who are suddenly relevant again. The score was 30-6. To add insult to injury the Giants lost their starting QB Daniel Jones to a season ending leg injury. A quick google search to find out how many times we've seen teams cover a 16pt spread in an NFL games tells me 6x since 2019. That's 67%. I like my chances just based off of that. I'm a Cowboys DST fantasy football owner and I'm absolutely salivating this week at the thought of this defense going up against Danny DeVito...err, I mean Tommy Devito. Dallas has won 9 of the L10 vs. NYG, and have already played them 1x this year. Week 1, and the final score was 40-0. They covered the 3. The Giants have lost 6 of their L7, and have only scored 8 TD's in 9 games this year. This is a big number, sure, but worth backing here. Offensively Prescott is also in a good stride right now. He's been putting up big numbers and moving the ball with ease. The Giants defense ranks near the bottom in a lot of defensive categories and are going to have their hands full here. This game could get out of hand if Dallas keeps their foot on the gas, which I anticipate they will. Dallas has the 3rd best scoring offense 27.5 PPG, and 6th best scoring defense (18.5 PPG). I'm expecting offense in this one by Dallas, and lots of it. The Giants are 2-7-1 ATS in their L10, and are 1-4 ATS in their L5 vs. Dallas. On the other side Dallas are 12-6 SU in their L18, and are 11-0 SU in their L11 at home. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Packers +3.5

Green Bay (3-5, 4-4 ATS, 1-3 AWAY) and Pittsburgh (5-3, 5-3 ATS, 3-2 HOME) will get it on in a Week 10 game Sunday. Kickoff at Acrisure Stadium will be at 1 pm ET. Series history has the Packers leading 20-16. Their last meeting was Oct 3, 2021, a Steelers 27-17 win in Green Bay. Last week Packers 20-3 over the Rams. Steelers 20-16 over Tennessee. This is too many points, in this spot. The Steelers have been on the fortunate end many times so far despite being outgained and honestly outplayed most of the time. Still, they're finding ways to win and they come in in the midst of a AFC North battle. However, the value sits with Green Bay here in this one. The Packers come in with momentum (Love 76.9% on 20/26 passing) after dominating the Rams from start to finish last week. This has been a season so far of ups and downs for the Packers, but they have shown signs of life throughout on the offensive side. Jordan Love has the ability to make a big play and he will be the difference maker here. Look for him to make timely plays and sustain drives for Green Bay, keeping this Steelers offense off the field. I simply trust the Packers more here. AND, I trust their defense too. Packers RUN-D of late have held opponents to only 2.3 YPC (57 rush. 130yds) in their L2 games. (Zero TD's too) Najee will be in tough. Both teams are battling injuries, but I think it hits the Steelers more on Sunday. The Steelers are that team that could totally do to the Packers this week, what the Packers did to the Rams last week, but with Cody Pickett leading the attack I just can't get on board. They've been outgained on total yards in EVERY game this season. Some trends, Green Bay are 4-1 ATS in their L5 vs. Steelers. Steelers 0-5 ATS in their L5 vs. NFC North teams. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Titans +1.5

(3-5) Tennessee Titans take on the (3-5) Tampa Bay Bucs in a Week 10 game Sunday. Kickoff at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa is at 1pm ET. Last week the Titans lost 20-16 to the Steelers in a game they had every chance to win, failing to cover as 3pt dogs. On the other side the Bucs and they're totally outcoached coaching staff with Todd Bowles lost their 4th straight 39-37 to the suddenly OK 4-4 Houston Texans. They did cover as 2.5pt dogs at least. The Titans love playing the Bucs. Over the years they've met 12x, and the Titans have won 10. The last time they met was a 27-23 Titans win on 10/27/19 in Tennessee. In 2015 the Titans won 42-14 in Tampa. They're looking for the hat-trick Sunday. we're playing the visitors here.Tampa Bay has been a rollercoaster of emotions this year. They sometimes look like they could be one of the best in the division, while other times they look lost. After Baker Mayfield made play after play last week, his defense completely let him down in a loss to Houston. The Bucs defense is just too hard to trust in this spot. They have been one of the worst in the league and they struggle slowing just about any team down. The secondary is soft, while they have been gashed by the run game too. The Titans are a balanced attack that can wear teams out. Look for them to just that here and force Tampa Bay into a hole early. The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their L5 against Tampa, are 8-1 SU in their L9 against TB, also they're 4-2 ATS in their L6 games against an opponent in the NFC. On the opposite side this week TB are 1-5 SU in their L6, and they haven't had much luck against AFC teams of late going 0-7 SU in their L7. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Colorado +10

Saturday at 2pm ET it's a Pac 12 matchup between the Arizona Wildcats (6-3, 8-1 ATS) travelling to Folsom Field in Boulder, CO to take on Prime's Colorado Buffaloes (4-5, 5-3-1 ATS). Last week the Buffs lost 26-19 to the Oregon State Beavers. While Arizona took down the UCLA Bruins 27-10. (Fifita was 25/32 (78%) and we had ARIZONA last week! This week though, we're on the other side. Colorado is the move here. After taking the College football world by storm earlier this season, things have completely tapered off. This is their chance to get things rolling again against a good team. The Buffs have still managed to cover inside Pac-12 play as UCLA and Oregon State were both wins ATS. This is a bit of a let down spot for Arizona too. They beat up on UCLA last week as we backed them at home ATS. This is going to be a game where they will struggle defensively against a Colorado offense that should open up their playbook more. Look for a quick paced game with a very inspired performance from this Colorado team. Colorado are 3-2 in their L5, and 2-2 ATS in their L4. 52% of the public money is coming in on Arizona in this one. Back Colorado. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Penn State +5.5 

On Saturday it's a nice BIG 10 clash between the Michigan Wolverines (9-0, 4-4-1 ATS) and the Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1, 7-2 ATS). Penn State has value here, at home. Michigan is in the midst of just so much drama. With all the sign stealing allegations, Michigan has no idea what to expect when it comes to what is going to happen. There could be fines, suspensions, and there is just a lot of distractions. Combine that with going into Penn State's ability to control the tempo of this game and they're going to have Michigan frustrated throughout. They'll feed off their home crowd's energy here and have the potential to shake things up in the standings. Penn State are 13-2-1 ATS in their L16, are 13-1 SU in their L14, plus they're 7-0 SU in their L7 at home, and finally they're 9-1 SU in their L10 games against an opponent in the Big 10. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 9* NCAAF ATS Play

UNLV -4.5

Gear up for Friday Night Lights, college football style! A thrilling Mountain West conference matchup awaits us. The Wyoming Cowboys (6-3, 5-3-1 ATS) are going up against UNLV (7-2, 8-1 ATS...yes, 8-1 ATS) at 10:45 pm ET, broadcasting live from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV. Last week, Wyoming secured a 24-15 win over the CSU Rams, while UNLV dominated New Mexico with a commanding 56-14 victory. We're on UNLV here on Friday night. This is a spot where UNLV is being very undervalued. They are a solid 8-1 ATS this season and come in with 7 wins. They are a perfect 4-0 at home, while the Cowboys come in 0-3 away from home. UNLV has looked good overall this season and at home they've been dominant. Offensively, they have a huge edge. They have posted 40+ points in 6 games this season and they've done it with a quick attack. They can strike at any moment and they're going to push the tempo on this Wyoming defense. They're putting up 424 yards per game at home and this is a nice spot for them. Let's talk stats: Wyoming has struggled, going 1-6 ATS when taking on teams from the MWC West division. In contrast, UNLV is red hot, winning 6 of their last 7 games and remaining undefeated in their last 5 home games. They also hold a strong 5-1 record in their recent clashes with MWC teams. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 7* NCAAF ATS Play

Panthers +3.5

I backed the Panthers two weeks ago vs. Houston and I'm going back to the well with them on Thursday night in a matchup I feel 8* confident about. We're grabbing 3.5 points in a game I could see Carolina winning outright. The Panthers (1-7) and Bears (2-7) are set to clash in Week 10 on Thursday Night Football at Soldier Field with an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff (Prime Video). When it comes to ATS stats, the Panthers stand at 1-6-1, while the Bears are at 3-5-1. Unfortunately, last week the Panthers couldn't ride the wave of their first win and stumbled at home, suffering a 27-13 loss to the Colts. The game took a turn for the worse as Young threw two Pick-6s, rookie errors that cost them dearly. On the other hand, the Bears faced a 24-17 L at the hands of the Saints. Justin Fields isn't cleared to play on Thursday so it will be Tyson Bagent starting again for the Bears. While Bagent may have a slight edge over Fields (arguably), his average pass completion of 6.3 yards suggests he's not tasked with much. The major concern revolves around his turnovers, with 8 (six interceptions and two lost fumbles) occurring in a mere 14 quarters of play. I also highly doubt Coach Matt Eberflus of the Bears can craft a winning strategy this week, with a record of 5-21 in Chicago and only 1-9 in close games. Frank Reich has the upper hand. In recent head-to-head matchups, the Bears have had the upper hand, winning five out of the last six encounters. The most recent meeting in 2020 saw the Bears emerge victorious with a 23-16 win in Charlotte, and their last face-off at Soldier Field in 2017 resulted in a 17-3 Bears win. Weather will be in the low 50's, no precip, and winds around 10mph. Taking a look at some key trends for this matchup, Chicago has had a tough time lately. They have a 4-12-1 ATS record in their last 17 games and a dismal 2-17 SU record in their last 19 outings. Moreover, when playing at home, they've only managed to win 1 out of their last 11 games. Back the Panthers ATS. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Louisville -20

Thursday night it's Virginia (2-7, 6-3 ATS) taking on Louisville (8-1, 5-3-1 ATS). We’re on Louisville, laying the number at home.This team has quietly been a force at times this year and at home they’re absolutely dominate. They come into Thursday 5-0 at home this season and they actually haven’t lost on this field since September of 2022. The Cardinals offense is going to overpower this Cavaliers defense in every which way.The Cards put up 34 on Va Tech last week as they run a balanced attack that has opposing defenses guessing a lot. Look for Louisville to put the pressure on early and keep their foot on the gas. They’re at their best when they play with tempo too, which will have Virginia all over the place. In my NCAA Football betting analysis, I've noticed some important trends. Virginia has struggled lately, winning just 2 out of their last 12 games and losing 16 out of 20 on the road. On the flip side, Louisville has been strong, going 4-1-1 against the spread in their last 6 games and winning 9 out of their last 10 overall. Additionally, they've been solid at home, covering the spread in their last 10 home games. The Cards haven't lost at home since Sept 16, 2022. LVille has their eyes set on the ACC championship game, and they have to get past UVA to keep that dream alive. There's motivation in spades on Thursday night. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* CFB ATS Play

Ohio -7

(6-3, 4-5 ATS, 2-2 AWAY) Ohio take on the (3-6, 5-4 ATS, 1-3 HOME) Buffalo tonight. This one kicks off at 7:30pm ET, from UB Stadium in Buffalo, NY. You can watch this one on ESPN2. Ohio is a 7pt favorite in this one, and the O/U total line is set at 44. If you're a moneyline (straight-up bettor) you'll see the dogs (Buffalo) at +224 ML odds, and Ohio is -250.

We all need more MACtion! Back the road team tonight. Ohio -7. This play is of the 7* variety.

Both teams come into this one off of losses. OHIO took the L against Miami of Ohio 30-16 at home. On the other side Buffalo was taken apart by Toledo 31-13. Tonight's weather will be in the 40's at kickoff, no rain, 10mph winds. The last time these two matched up was 1/11/22 a 45-24 Ohio win. 

Even though he's Canadian...Kurtis Rourke is going to be the difference maker here. The OU QB has thrown for 1656 yards this year and 10 touchdowns thus far. He's the kind of playmaker who can strike quickly and isn't afraid to put his head down and take off running.

He is such a threat with both his arm and legs and he should pick apart this Buffalo defense that has been very suspect this season. 

The Bulls have struggled with mobile QBs and they're going to have a huge mismatch. 

Cole Snyder isn't as big of a playmaker as Rourke and we'll see that here on Tuesday night. 

Did I mention Ohio is 7th in the NATION on defense allowing only 15.6PPG too? Ok...I just did. Buffalo is 99th... 29PPG. Ohio is also first in scoring defense in the MAC, and Ohio has more INT's than passing TD's allowed.

Some trends to note, Ohio has taken 4 of the L7 in this series. Ohio are 14-4 SU in their L18 games, and are 4-2 ATS in their L6 against Buffalo. Plus they're 4-2 SU in their L6 games against Buffalo, and are 10-3 SU in their L13 games vs. MAC teams. On the other side Buffalo are 3-6 SU in their L9, 0-4 in their L4 as a favorite, and are 1-5 ATS in their L6 at home.

Tonight, once again, I'm on the team with the better QB. I'm putting my faith in Rourke to get the job done tonight. 

Back the Bobcats ATS in Tuesday's MACtion.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 7* CFB ATS Play

NIU -9.5

Northern Illinois (4-5, 4-4-1 ATS) faces a familiar opponent as they take on Ball State (2-7, 4-5 ATS) on Tuesday at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium in DeKalb, IL, in a MAC showdown. You can catch the action on the CBS Sports Network. The latest betting odds show Northern Illinois as the favorite with a -10 spread. For those looking at the moneyline, Northern Illinois is at -372, while Ball State is at +287 for straight up bets. The over/under total line is set at 43 points.

In their previous game, the Huskies battled Central Michigan and suffered a 37-31 loss, while the Cardinals fell short, losing 24-21 to the Bowling Green Falcons. Looking at their historical matchups, the Huskies hold a 25-23-2 record in the all-time series but have dropped three of the last 4.

I'm on NIU -9.5 on Tuesday night.

NIU can smell a bowl game. They need this game much more than Ball State does. Sit back, relax and enjoy the MACtion folks!

NIU had rattled off 3 straight wins before seeing their comeback fall just short against the Chips last week. They dug themselves too big of a hole and were unable to finish a frantic comeback late.

This team will turn back to their defense, who will rebound here. During their 3 game winning streak, they allowed performances of 14,13, and 13 in those wins. Ball State's offense has been an absolute struggle all season. 

They've been far too inconsistent to score here and they are going to struggle mightily with this pressure NIU brings. Look for the Huskies to rear back and blitz all night long, forcing sacks and some bad decisions from this Ball State passing game. 

Some trends to note, NIU are 6-1 SU in their L7 when playing at home against Ball St. On the other side, Ball State are 1-5 SU in their L6, are 2-9 ATS in their L11 vs. NIU, and are 3-11 SU in their L14 vs. NIU. Lastly, they're 0-7 in their L7 on the road.

Back the Huskies on Tuesday night.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 8* CFB ATS Play

Chargers -3

Jets (4-3, 2-2 HOME, 4-2-1 ATS) vs. Chargers (3-4, 1-2 AWAY, 2-4-1 ATS)

ATS: Jets +3, Chargers -3, O/U: 41, ML: Jets +140, Chargers -155

Last Meeting: Jets 28 Chargers 34  (11/22/20)

Jets L10 - 4-6 SU, Chargers L10 5-5 SU

Monday night football wraps up the week for us, and we're hoping it's been a successful weekend for you! Backing the road team here on Monday. 

The Chargers are entering a favorable part of their schedule, which this is the time for them to turn things up. 

They will see a Jets team that has been very inconsistent and is dealing with a few key injuries to their offensive line. That bodes well for us as the Jets lean on their run game to be successful. The Chargers should be able to pick apart this offensive line and get a lot of havoc in the backfield. 

Combine that with Justin Herbert playing better as of late and there is a lot of value on this side.

Herbert has been battling a broken thumb on his non throwing hand. He's now played a few weeks with it and has the experience with it. He will have a field day with this Jets secondary and will have a lot of big plays over the top. 

Some trends to note, Chargers are 4-0 ATS as a road favorite of 3-10, and the Chargers are 4-1 SU in their L5 games against the Jets, and they're 4-1 SU in their L5 games when playing on the road against the Jets. The Jets are 4-9 SU in their L13 games, and are 3-8 SU in their L11 games played in November.

While the Jets may have won 13-10 over the Giants are they a team that will be able to trade punches with the Chargers on MNF? (Let me answer that rhetorical ? for you) No chance in hell. The Bolts catch another break on their schedule here to get right. Last week it was a 30-13 blowout of da Bears, now they get a team that's not much better in the Jets.

Expect another 300 yard game from Herbert (who says his thumb is getting better each week), plus 2-3 TD's. Ekeler will get his as well (something to the tune of 110 yards rushing and 8-9 receptions for 70-80 yards. This one could be ugly folks. 

Chargers -3.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Panthers +3

Colts (3-5, 2-1 AWAY, 4-4 ATS) vs. Panthers (1-6, 1-2 HOME, 1-5-1 ATS)

ATS: Colts -3, Panthers +3, O/U: 44.5, ML: Colts -150, Panthers +135

Last Meeting: Colts 38 Panthers 6 (12/22/19)

Indy L10 - 4-6 SU, Panthers L10 3-7 SU

I see the Panthers as the stronger team on Sunday.

Carolina should be able to match up well with this Colts side on both sides of the ball.

Indianapolis has been absolutely torched on the defensive end. Looking back at their last 3 games, they have allowed, 37 points to the Jags, 39 to the Browns, and then 38 last week against the Saints. They haven't slowed anyone down with the run or the pass.

Carolina should have a field day with this defense.

The Colts constantly give up the big play and their inability to get off the field on third down is costly. 

Carolina should control this one from the outset with their tempo and really have the Colts on their heels. Indianapolis has just been digging too big of holes they simply cannot get out of. 

Some trends to note, the Colts are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite, are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games, and are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Carolina. Carolina are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the AFC South, and lastly, they're 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

I had the Panthers ATS last week, and I'm going back to the well this week.

Panthers +3.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play