Detroit at San Francisco 6:30 ET

49ers (-) over Lions- The party’s over...turn out the lights sweet darling. It was a nice run and a good season for Detroit but there will be no Androcles around to remove the thorns that the Niners will inflict on their person. Although Jared Goff has been to this game before and even to the Super Bowl it will not be enough. For the rest of their crew playing in the championship game is fresh and new and when they realize where they are things play out differently. I’ve heard a lot of how the Lions are weak on the rod, well I don’t see it as they were 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS not too shabby. But, the Lions to a man went over the top with their celebration after defeating Tampa Bay who was pretty much accepted as the worst team to make the playoffs even less regarded than Green Bay the final seed. San Francisco is making their third straight championship game appearance while the Lions their first since 1957. Niners averaged 140 YPG rushing five more yards than Detroit and they held opponents to 89.7 YPG rushing and Shanahan is 2-0 lifetime against the Lions. Brock Purdy struggled in the rain last week but will return to form here. Take SAN FRANCISCO!

AFC Championship

Kansas City at Baltimore 3:00 ET

Chiefs (+-) over Ravens- This should be an encounter worth watching as the Chefs enter their sixth straight AFC Championship game and Baltimore has a chance for the first time since 2012. MVP’s abound as QB Patrick Mahomes has two MVP and Super Bowl rings and Lamar Jackson has one MVP and most likely a second this season. These two great quarterbacks have met four times with Mahomes & co. winning three. The Ravens led the NFL in scoring defense allowing just 16.5 PPG. and Mahomes number have dropped this season from last in passing yards 5,250 to 4183 and in TD passes from 41 to 27 and he had a career high with 14 interceptions. I’ have been reminded all week of Mahomes fantastic record as an underdog (9-1-1 ATS) and of Jackson’s short-comings. Too much overload for me...rake BALTIMORE!

Kansas City at Buffalo 6:30 ET

Chiefs (+) over Bills- It was week 12 and not many people were going the Bills much of shot to winning the Super Bowl or even the AFC East title. Buffalo had just blown a 17-7 half-time lead to Philadelphia in overtime 37-34 dropping Buffalo to 6-6 trailing Miami by two-and-a-half games. Week 13 they had a bye and regrouped and returned to action in Week 14 and defeated the Chiefs in Kansas City 20-17. The Bills haven’t lost since winning their final five regular season games capturing the AFC East by defeating Miami the final day and won their Wild Card game last week against Pittsburgh. Opening a favorite under three leads me to believe they may struggle here. Patrick Mahomes has never played in road playoff game but he is incredible as an underdog going 11-1 ATS with eight outright wins. Take KANSAS CITY!

Tampa Bay at Detroit 3:00 ET

Buccaneers (+) over Lions-  You have to admit Tampa Bay is the least likely of the remaining contenders to make it t the Super Bowl. With that being stated it should understood that they will have the most money bet against them especially in Detroit where the ‘Public choice’ Lions dominate (7-2) opponents. Last week my lone Megabucks playoff gaff was when I backed them and a back door score & cover by the Rams (all part of the game) made Monday’s sweep so vital. The Buccaneers were really aggressive offensively as our Megabucks winner Monday pushing Philadelphia around. Baker Mayfield (337 YP) was his usual self and the Buc’s managed to win with defense taking the ball away. If there is any pressure it is on the Lions as the Buccaneers are meshing together a they are as healthy as they have been all season. Take TAMPA BAY!

Green Bay at San Francisco 8:15 ET

49ers (-) over Packers- Who needs Aaron Rodgers...the Packers will find out Saturday night as their Love-in ends. Before I start how good Green Bay and Jordan Love looked against Dallas last week. Good enough for many to believe the Packers have a shot on the money line this week, a thought that never came to mind last week and certainly not here. Remember, that they were playing the Cowboys and they ambushed the cowpokes in their own back yard. Not about to happen this week as the Niners are as healthy as they have been all year and they will not take Love lightly after what we all saw last week. Take SAN FRANCISCO!

Houston at Baltimore 4:30 ET

Ravens (-) over Texans- Baltimore got a good study at a team that won just three of 17 games last season when Houston took down Cleveland. Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud looks like anything but a a raw first timer in the payoffs but it is. Baltimore has what should be the league’s MVP in Lamar Jackson who is healthy and rested for the Texans who have taken it to the road where they were 4-4. One of those losses was a week 1 loss at Baltimore in Stroud’s first NFL start a 25-9 defeat when he threw for 242 yards on 28-of-44 passing. The Ravens had five sacks that day and although the Texans have improved the Ravens are just better and ready to tell them never more!

Take BALTIMORE!

Philadelphia at Tampa Bay 8:15 ET

Buccaneers (+) over Eagles- The once high flying Eagles who at 10-1 had already clinched a playoff spot have been grounded for six weeks losing five times. They only defeated the pitiful Giants (who beat them on the final day of the season) and are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. I didn’t expect mush out of Philadelphia after they clinched but I never really thought that they would tank this what I saw put of Jalen Hurts was a slower banged of version of the last year’s NFC Champions. Truth be told, I was fully accepting the losses and was looking forward to playing on them when the playoffs began (not even thinking of what the match-up or line would be). Now, Tampa Bay is probably the least respected team in the playoffs even if they won their division and are hosting a wild card game. These two met in Florida week #3 with the visitor winning 25-11 as Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield was inconsistent as he is prone to be. One of the surprising stats that I came across is that the Philly defense is surrendering 357 YPG and is ranked No. 26 (Not what I expected). What troubles me here is that there must be so many more people that were having the same thoughts as the Eagles backers would rather fade the Buc’s. I will take the points here and see if my side can keep it within 3-points. Take TAMPA BAY!

Pittsburgh at Buffalo 4:30 ET

Bills (-) over Steelers- Okay, not for nuthin’ but the total opened 41.5 and was crushed down immediately down to 34.5 and as of Sunday evening was at 33. So, I guess the weather is going to be a factor with the game having to be moved and all and with that understood many feel that taking a plus 10-points would be the way to go as it is not expected for either team to put on an offensive show. Hell, the Steelers can’t do it under perfect conditions and now with this I don’t think they’ll score at all. I don’t see Pittsburgh getting into the end zone more than once, if that! The Bills who have won four straight to capture the AFC East title are coming in under the radar at a time when they happen to be playing their best right now the long NFL season. There is only one way to go for me...take BUFFALO!

Los Angeles Rams at Detroit 8:15 ET

Lions (-) over Rams- Story lines abound this match-up between the Rams and Lions as they two clubs will reunite a battle between two quarterbacks that were virtually swapped for each other. Matthew Stafford went from Detroit to Los Angeles and won a Super Bowl while Goff was banished to the Lions form LA and after early struggles lead his club to their first division title since before dirt. The rams have won seven of their last eight games and  maybe that is why this line is as low as it is as I expected the NCF North Champ to garner more resect. But, maybe they aren’t supposed to have it as the general public is backing the Rams and driving the price even lower. Goff threw for 4,575 yards and 30 TD passes and is looking to prove Sean McVay made a mistake jettisoning him to Detroit (difficult to do as the Rams won it all with Stafford leading the way). Way too much support for LA while the Lions will roar once again at home. Take DETROIT!

Cleveland at Houston 4:30 ET

Texans (+) over Browns- So what was the biggest difference between the Houston team that  had the least amount of wins last year and the club that is hosting an NFL Wild Card game. My first thoughts run to coaching and DeMeco Ryans and the job he has done or is it the decision to draft CJ Stroud (who they say they would have selected even if Bryce Young was available). Coaching in football has the most impact of any sport and having a quarterback rookie or not that has made it through the season with just five interceptions ,23 TD passes and over 4,000 passing yards. Stroud’s numbers surpass the rookie seasons of most Hall of Fame QB’s and that being known, it is also known that rookie quarterbacks starting their first NFL Playoff game is not a good investment and they are in a fade position. The Cleveland has won four in-a-row and have settled on their QB following a scenario of five different quarterbacks reaching for out to the retired and former Super Bowl winner Joe Flacco who has 15 post-season starts. Browns are 4-1 behind Joe although he has already thrown eight picks but the No. 1 defense has bailed themselves out. Not today. Take HOUSTON!

Washington and Michigan 8:01 ET

Wolverines (-) over Huskies- I hate to do it I really do and it has nothing to do with a bias walking in. To start with I have professed the entire second half of the season that Washington had the best offensive line for pass protection in the country. I believe that have shown that not only when Penix passed 42 times against the No. 5 defense in the nation (Oregon) in the Pac-12 championship and he was not sacked once and was never pressured and we saw the same protection against Texas. Michigan has been a powerhouse all season and many said that it was their schedule as they pretty much shut down the SEC defeating the Crimson Tide, but they were not very impressive doing it. The Wolves QB McCarthy caught a number of breaks off the top and had a shaky start before putting together a final drive. Okay, before the playoffs began I was touting the Huskies at 7-1 to win it all and when I first saw an opening number of Michigan -4.5 my immediate reaction was ‘Washington is going to win it all.’ Now, remember that was just moments after the Huskies victory and that image was fresh in my mind. Later that evening as I was digesting my Game of the Year winner Michigan (7-1 GOY) I realized how good the Huskies looked and how fortunate the Wolverines were to not only win but over as well. As I was receiving phone calls continuously after the game and before my head hit the pillow I realized that I kept thinking that Washington is not a hard bet to make. They are 14-0 have won every day outright when an underdog and dominated a championship and playoff game and they are getting points. It just didn't set right and I expected money on the dog to show. At first a trickle and then the pace picked and now I believe that so many believe it is easier to take the points in this match-up than it is to lay it after what we saw last. I don't know how and rarely predict scores as all I care is to win be it 7-6 or 44-0 just win. Take MICHIGAN!

Chicago at Green Bay 4:25 ET

Bears (+) over Packers- Win and you are in...that is the what the Packers know, nothing else matters, win and you are in. Well, it ain’t that easy. Green Bay has won five of seven and are in the same position as last season only needing a win over Detroit to gain a playoff berth and the Lions ate them and Aaron Rodgers up. Chicago has won four-of-five games and are 0-5 against the Packers when Justin Fields starts. But, the pressure is on the Pack although have the No. 1 pick Fields might be feeling it as well, but a different kind of pressure. He gets his first win as at starter against Green Bay. Take CHICAGO!  

Kansas City at LA Chargers 4:25 ET

Chargers (-) over Chiefs- We are all aware that the Chiefs will be looking to heel some of the walking wounded this week but the question is are the Chargers able to take advantage of the skeleton crew Kansas City puts out on the field. The defending champs are locked into the No. 3 seed win or lose and will be very conservative while LA will be without QB Herbert but trying to end on a positive note after sour season. With one team cares and the other is just going though the motions there is only one side to play...take LA CHARGERS!  

Atlanta at New Orleans 1:00 ET

Falcons (+) over Saints- Both of these clubs are so lucky to be paying in the NFL’s weakest division and even below .500 a team still can win the title. Atlanta and New Orleans need a win but no matter who wins they need Tampa Bay to lose to Carolina. The Saints can claim a wild card spot with a scenario of other teams losses. New Orleans kept alive last week defeating Tampa Bay (blew their chance to clinch) probably playing their best overall game of the season. At the same time Atalanta was a no-show against the Bears. I expect both of them to come toward the center and the over-rated Saints to fall. Take ATLANTA!  

New York Jets at New England 1:00 ET

Jets (+) over Patriots- This might be silly as I have to believe that I am like oh-for-300 when dealing with these two bottom feeders who are lucky enough to play each other so that one of them will most likely post a victory. Well, that is of course if you are the Patriots. New England under Bill Belichick has had a mastery over the Jets winning the last 15 meetings and 19 of 20 with the lone defeat coming in overtime. Even when New York outplayed the Patriots they would always find a way to lose the game just like their first meeting this season. Wilson is out for the Jets and yet with the history and playing at home the odds makers believe that Jets have a chance with Siemian at QB against anybody the Pats throw at them. Jets off one of the worst performances and efforts put out against Cleveland last week and if they have any sort of pride as professionals they will come out play to close the season with a win and a better taste in their mouths off one of the most disappointing and nightmarish seasons. Take NEW YORK JETS!

Cleveland at CincinnatI 1:00 ET

Bengals (-) over Browns- Cleveland has quite a year from signing quarterbacks for outrageous sums and have a QB with experience and  Super Bowl ring and was on a couch a month ago. Well, Flacco will be sitting once again and the Browns will send out their fifth different starting QB in Jeff Driskel and I expect a slew of other to see very little playing time. The Bengals have a number of players with contact incentives and despite last weeks disappointment will be up for the 101st Battle of Ohio. The Bengals are 52-48 and were pounded in the opener but will get even here as the Browns look toward their wild card stint net week. We are laying way too much but I do not believe it will make a difference. Take CINCINNATI!

Houston at Indianapolis 8:00 ET

Colts (+) over Texans- This encounter has so many variables that it is difficult to sort out what is relevant and what is not. The first and most important factor is that who ever wins here is guaranteed a Wild Card spot in the NFL post-season and the winner could capture the NFL South and wrap up a home game if Jacksonville losses to Carolina. (without Lawrence the Jaguars just -3 on the road). Houston has a slew of injuries to key personnel as sack lead Greenard is out along with their starting tight end and six other starters are with out or questionable. Yet, as long as CJ Stroud is starting at quarterback for the Texans the public will be backing them. In last year’s finale Houston gave away the Number 1 pick by converting a two-point conversion on the games final play to win by 1-point over who?...here it comes...the Colts. This time around even that isn’t good enough. Take INDIANAPOLIS!

Pittsburgh at Baltimore 4:15 ET

Ravens (+) over Steelers- Baltimore has clinched the top spot in the playoffs and will have the home field advantage throughout win or lose here. Now, no one expects Lamar Jackson to see any action and with Pittsburgh moving to such a strong favorite many believe that the Ravens will lay down. Let me say this, the Ravens may get beat here not playing their best players but they will not lay down and no matter who is in uniform for the Ravens they will come to play..that is Harbaugh’s mantra. Bitter rivals the Steelers have won six of seven meeting with all games winning margins less than a touchdown. Although they will not lay down Baltimore will be without six starters while the Steelers will be all out every play but are they good enough. Take BALTIMORE!

Texas vs Washington 8:00 ET

Longhorns (-) over Huskies- Undefeated (13-0) Washington has done everything you could possibility ask of a football team during a perfect season. Deemed underdogs three time during the year they rose to the occasion each time beating Oregon twice as underdogs and at Oregon State. Texas who is favored here was an underdog once, to Alabama, the win that put them into the FBS Final Four.  The Huskies have the nation’s No. 1 passing attack and No. 10 total offense averaging 344 YPG with Michael Penix leading the way. Texas moves the ball even better having the No. 9 offense with better balance. Now, here we go with The Longhorns being the lowest ranked team team in the Finals and they are favored over the No. 1 seed...that smells. I am and you should wait as long as you can and get the best price laying...TEXAS!

Liberty vs Oregon 1:00 ET

Ducks (-) over Flames- Okay let me see...hum, we have an undefeated club that would be Liberty (13-0) who is receiving a ton of points to a club many thought would be in the FBS Final-4. A pair of 3-point losses to Washington did the Ducks in and now in the Bo Nix showcase finale they will show the offense that we saw all season. Liberty has the No. 3 offense in thee nation and average 515 yards a game with 303 of it coming on th ground. This is where the Flames meet their Waterloo as the Ducks defense is No. 5 in rushing defense allowing just 3.4 yards per attempt. This David versus Goliath battle can only end one way and their is no stone or sling shot around to slay this offensive giant. Take OREGON!

Iowa vs Tennessee 1:00 ET

Hawkeyes (+) over Volunteers- To start with I’m thinking that the No. 17 team in the country that would be Iowa is about a touchdown underdog against the No. 21 ranked club that being Tennessee seems a bit disconcerting. After all the Volunteers have gone 5-0 against the Big Ten in their last five meetings. The Haweyes have the worst offense in modern college football history and total a meek 240 YPG and still managed 10 wins. That is truly a testament to their coaching their defense held three of the last four opponents to their season low in total yards and they were shut out in the Big Ten Championship game. This to me is a vital point as a team entering a bowl game after having been shutout in their final game come out and play an aggressive game. Hawkeyes more respectful of their SEC opponent than the Vols will show against the Big Ten. Take IOWA!

Wisconsin vs LSU 12:00 ET

Badgers (+) over Tigers- Once again Wisconsin would have the most drab, unimaginative and boring offense in the nation if it wasn’t for Iowa. The Badgers meager offense scores 22 PPG ranking them in the 2nd group of 100. LSU is anther story as they ended up the highest scoring team in FBS action averaging 46.4 PPG and are No. 1 in total yards 548 and yards per play 8.5. The Tigers also tout this year’s Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels who’s impact on the game can not b denied and he like so many others has passed on this game in order to play with his pud. I am looking to fade the Tigers off last year’s bowl win over Purdue when as a 21-point favorite the destroyed a hapless and undermanned Purdue team and showed no mercy at any all winning the Citrus Bowl 63-7. Brian Kelly is 1-7 ATS as a bowl favorite of 7 or more points (ML Playbook) so despite the Badgers weak offense they will get the money. Take WISCONSIN!

Las Vegas at Indianapolis 1:00 ET

Colts (-) over Raiders- I got this from a guy who says he knows a guy, who knows a guy who said the Colts are going to win...so here we are. Nah, it is a matter of numbers and Las Vegas is full of numbers and odds and they are usually not in your favor. The Raiders are still in the AFC playoff hunt after their Christmas Day upset win at Kansas City (their 1st in over 10 years there) and are 4-3 under interim coach Antonio Pierce. Right now Indianapolis holds the final wild card spot and could put the Raiders fans out of their misery with a win here. After scoring on their first drive of the day in Atlanta last week the Colts were corralled for the remainder of the game and held to a mere field goal. Vegas’ Josh Jacobs is out along with tight end Michael Mayers and a pair of starting offensive lineman are down as well. Rookie Aidan O’Connell doesn’t have enough game experience to overcome those holes. Take INDIANAPOLIS!

Atlanta at Chicago 1:00 ET

Falcons (+) over Bears- last week I used the Falcons as my Major Shocker winner and they to care of business against the visiting Colts. I thought that after that performance Atlanta might attract more attention but the general public seems a bit  enamored by the Bears. Maybe it’s the Midway Magic but Chicago who has won three of the last four games has garnered some respect not only from bookmakers but from the ‘players’ alike (gamblers) as well. Chicago has less than a 1% chance to make the playoff and with a high draft pick expected there is added pressure on the inaccurate Justin Fields. He has legs but the Falcons have bigger and strong guys to run the ball and they will. Tylor Heinicke does it again...take ATLANTA!

Miami at Baltimore 1:00 ET

Dolphins (+) over Ravens- First thoughts about this match-up was that the Ravens are coming off a huge win as our Prime-time Megabucks winner and i want to fade them this week. Unfortunately, we can’t have everything and although I don’t mind their opponent being Miami who has to travels north. But they are here after winning a big game of their own defeating Dallas 22-20. So, like Baltimore the Dolphins may not be at their emotional peak but they are pros and both clubs are fighting for a home field advantage which the Ravens possess right now. The Dolphins have won the past two meetings in each of the last two years with Tua at the helm.Take MIAMIo

Los Angeles Rams at New York Giants 1:00 ET

Giants (+) over Rams- Well, Tommy ‘Cutlets’ DeVito’s 15-minutes are up and the Jersey native can always say what was but from here on out he will on the sidelines (if that). The Giants, one of the two disasters that have been playing professional football in New York this year have not quit on the season. Unlike their AFC rival the New York Jets and they are reviving QB Tyrod Taylor who I liken to Geno Smith. Taylor who started at QB in the 2010 Orange Bowl opposite Andrew Luck, has a Super Bowl ring (Baltimore), a Pro Bowl appearance and 13 years under his belt. He was very inconsistent in his early years but has been around long enough to mature into the quarterbacking position and can still be ‘electric’ creating explosive plays. The Giants have not quit and can pull the outright upset win (always take the points) over the Rams. The Rams have been overachievers this season and and have finally caught the eye of the public and it will catch up to them here. Take NEW YORK GIANTS!

New Orleans at Tampa Bay 1:00 ET

Saints (+) over Buccaneers- I’m hearing quarterback Baker Mayfield has been outstanding controlling the ball and has grown into the position after a number of disappointments. In his sixth season and with his fourth team in the last three years, he currently has the highest QB rating of his career at 96.7 and the Bucs have won four in-a-row. New Orleans is still live in the division but only with a win here and they were defeated soundly by Tampa Bay 26-9 in the Superdome and are looking to extract a turn about here. Saints defense up to the ask as Mayfield under pressure reverts back to form. Take NEW ORLEANS!

Detroit at Dallas 8:15 ET

Cowboys (-) over Lions- There are a couple of key factors that I must consider when viewing this contest. To start although Detroit still has motivation to gain home field and the No. 1 seed they should still be hung-over from celebrating the clinching of the NFC North Division title for the first time in 30 years. Meanwhile, Dallas needs a win in the worst way after getting thumped by Buffalo 31-10 and then last week blew every opportunity to win and finally could not make a stop against Miami in a 22-20 loss. The Cowboys have dominated all opponents at home scoring over 30 points in all seven wins going 6-1 ATS. Take DALLAS!   

Auburn at Maryland 11:00 ET

Terrapins (+) over Tigers- This was one of the first games that I gravitated toward and that was because the line opened Auburn minus-2.5 and I thought the line was short and was looking forward to a Maryland outright upset win. But, as they say in the Crescent City ‘shit happens’ and it did here. The Terrapins were 7-5 and led by Taulia Tagovailoa (yeah little brother) set Maryland and Big Ten records for passing and they still lost five times. The Tigers of course closed their season 30 seconds too late otherwise would have defeated rival Alabama and probably be playing New Year’s Day. As it is they are now close to a TD favorite. But, the Auburn offense which was limited to start with be without three defensive starters and a total of six offensive backs and receivers opt out. Take MARYLAND!

Mississippi vs. Penn State 12:00 ET

Nittany Lions (-) over Rebels- Can you imagine they still allow Mississippi to refer to themselves a s Rebels (that will change). Both of these clubs suffered just two losses and they were when they played top ranked teams. Penn State fell to Michigan and Ohio State while Mississippi succumbed to Alabama and Georgia each losing to a team in the FBS Final-4 and the last two they didn’t get there. Six Nittany Lions players have declared for the NFL draft but will play will All-Big Ten Defensive end Chop Robinson did opt out. The Rebels also had only one player opt out and he also is a defensive end Cedric Johnson. Mississippi has the 15th ranked offense averaging 455 YPG while The Lions have the No. 1 overall defense allowing just 223 YPG and with a win here they will become the first school to have won all six New Year’s Day Bowl games. Take PENN STATE!

Missouri vs Ohio State 8:00 ET

Tigers (+) over Buckeyes- This game has been all over the place with Ohio State opening at minus-6.5 and moving to the dog at as high as plus +3.5. Rumors of he is and who is not paying have settled down and the line returned to where it should have been the entire time. Missouri (10-2) expects a full roster and appear to be motivated more than the Buckeyes. After getting bounced out of the FBS Championship contention OSU lost their quarterback to the transfer portal (Syracuse of all places) and lost all incentive. If it is a matter of motivation the game belongs to the Tigers. Take MISSOURI!

Iowa State vs Memphis 3:30 ET

Cyclones (-) over Tigers- There is ‘something reeeally, really wrong here’ as Al Pacino would say. As we can’t figure how a team that won nine games is playing at home and have had a season with unbelievable production. Okay, Iowa State did play tougher competition but still they were just 7-5 losing to the likes of MAC Ohio. Look at the seasonal stats one would think that they have listed the wrong team the favorite as Memphis was No. 7 in scoring and averaged 39.7 PPG while The Cyclones were at No. 75 scoring 26.2 PPG. With Memphis playing at home and scoring as they do (40 per) it makes absolutely no sense to get points at home. If Carmine or Mario bet the Cyclones today (I believe they will) they will storm Memphis.

Take IOWA STATE!  

Notre Dame vs Oregon State 8:00 ET

Beavers (+) over Fighting Irish- With so many players opting out it was a little more difficult to grade this match-up but after all is said and done we have the answer. To start with you are always live when plying against the Fighting Irish in big games because they have such a huge national following there is always money behind them. Notre Dame is just 20-21 in bowl games while the upstart Beavers are 12-7 lifetime in bowl games and 2-0 in El Paso. Both starting quarterbacks are missing but, Oregon State will start Ben Gulbranson who was 7-1 as a starter in 2022 and the Las Vegas bowl routing Florida 30-3 and was named MVP. The Irish will start Steve Angeli who has 25 career passing attempts. Take OREGON STATE!

New York Jets at Cleveland 8:15 ET

Jets (+) over Browns- Talk about quarterback issues both of these teams are on their fourth starting quarterbacks and one of them was on a couch in his living room before coming out of a forced retirement. Cleveland has been through Watson, Thompson-Robinson, PJ Walker and now Joe Flacco who has led them to four straight wins and at 10-5 which has them a No. 3 seed in the AFC. The Jets, well, it is sad. They have been through Arron Rodgers (4-plays), Wilson, Tim Boyle (who has been released) and now Trevor Siemian who is in his seventh year and fourth different team in the last three years and his highest completion percentage in any season was 57 and his current QB rating after three games with the Jets is 53.8 with one TD pass and three interceptions. Not very impressive is it. The Browns are 7-1 both SU and ATS at home while the Jets have covered once in six road games. But, I expect both of these AFC rivals to move toward the center with the jets being better and the home team sliding a bit. Siemian led the green slime to 30 points last week against Washington and he can keep this one close as their defense steps up. Take NEW YORK JETS!

N.C. State vs Kansas State 5:45 ET

Wolfpack (+) over Wildcats- I have to laugh and I mean really laugh because of what the transfer portal does and doesn’t do for some schools. The past couple of years Brennan Armstrong was quarterbacking Virginia Tech and I thought he was less than average for a college QB. The lefty who was inaccurate throwing and had a lot of help from his All-American tight end at Virginia and still was the Cavaliers all-time leading passer with 9,034 yards and 58 touchdowns. He transfers to NC State this season and was benched by the Wolfpack after just five games and returns defeats North Carolina 39-20. Guess what...NC State won their last five. Kansas State’s starting QB Will Howard was injured and is in transfer portal and will be replaced by Avery Johnson who will be making his first career start. The Wildcats also lost their defensive captain and a pair of all conference starters. Take NORTH CAROLINA STATE!

S.M.U. vs Boston College 2:00 ET

Eagles (+) over Mustangs- SMU has been good to us all year and the fact that they were the underdog in the American Athletic Conference Championship game against Tulane made me take a step back. They won the title of course and captured their first conference championship since 1984 when they won the Southwest Conference. They had RB Greg James and Eric Dickerson and my buddy Ron Meyer (who has passed away is 2017) was head coach. The Mustangs had to go with redshirt freshman Kevin Jennings in the final and he threw for 203 yards which is fine but well below what their season average was. The Eagles had a five-game win streak before closing the season with three of losses to Virginia Tech, Miami and Pittsburgh. That fits a trend that gives us the dog here. Take BOSTON COLLEGE!

Louisville vs USC 8:00 ET

Trojans(+) over Cardinals- This game has left me swinging in the wind as trends and key factors point toward and away from both clubs. Southern Cal will of course be without last year’s Heisman winner Caleb Williams and will have 19 other players either in transfer portal or prepping for the NFL draft. The Trojans were 6-0 but closed the season losing five of their final six. Miller Moss will get his first start for USC although he has been part of the team for three years and seeing this as his only opportunity to showcase his talents. Louisville has dropped their last two including the ACC Championship game to Florida State. The Trojans are 36-20 in bowl action and those whose didn’t get their chance during the regular season will shine here. Take SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA!

Military Bowl 2:00 ET  Annapolis, MD

Virginia Tech vs Tulane 2:00 ET

Hokies (-) over Green Wave- This was one of the first games among the 42 bowl games that drew my attention because the line is so outrageous it could not be ignored. I actually thought that I had written the spread down incorrectly with Virginia Tech in the favorites role. Okay, I might give you that the Hokies play a more difficult schedule but not by all that much and they were just 6-6 anyway. Tulane has won 11 games after winning 12 last season including a bowl win over USC. So, is this price an over-reaction to the Green Wave entering this game without their head coach and quarterback who is preparing for the NFL draft. This point spread comes under more scrutiny upon seeing that Va. Tech has dropped four straight bowl games. Tulane is using an interim coach and has already hired Jon Sumrall from Troy as their new head coach but he won’t be a part of this bowl game. They will be without their quarterback, their leading rusher, without their leading receiver and five top defensive players. Take VIRGINIA TECH!

Kansas vs UNLV 9:00 ET

Runnin’ Rebels (+) over Jayhawks- I hope that I am not being blinded by the Vegas glitch and glitter but I saw some explosive plays from from the UNLV offense this season. Wide receiver Ricky White had 1,386 receiving yards while freshman quarterback Jayden Maiava threw for 2,794 yards.  They are quicker and faster than most realize as the Jayhawks will find out soon enough. Kansas still isn’t aware if top running back Devin Neal may still opt out for the NFL draft. The Rebels are strong on special teams led by Lou Groza Award winner Lou Pizano for made 25-27 FG attempts. Take UNLV!

Bowling Green vs Minnesota 2:00 ET

Falcons (+) over Golden Gophers- Minnesota is the only college football team in a bowl game that hasn’t really qualified winning only five of 12 games. But, the University had the highest GPA among the five win schools so they were rewarded. One thing that has not been rewarded is their backers as they ‘covered’ just three of 12 games but they have won six straight bowl games four of which came under coach P.J. Fleck. Bowling Green returns to Quick Lane Bowl in Detroit for the second straight year but have not won a bowl game since 2014. The Gophers will start senior Cole Kramer (his first start) as Athen Kaliakmanis joined the transfer portal. Minny has been an underachiever all season and I don’t expect any changes here. Take BOWLING GREEN!

Merry Christmas and Happy Holiday's to all...

Baltimore at San Francisco 8:20 ET

Ravens (+) over 49ers- This could very well be a preview of this years Super Bowl as both these clubs are currently at 11-3 and the No. 1 seeds in their respective conferences. The loser of course still can retain that position by winning their last two games. Baltimore has won five of the last seven meetings but the most recent encounter was four years ago 20-17 at home and of course in the Super Bowl 34-31 in 2012. I imagine the spread is this high based on the MVP potential of Brock Purdy (the favorite in Las Vegas -260) and Christian McCaffrey as well as an offense that leads the NFL averaging 7.0 yards per play. The Ravens have the No. 2 defense overall and this is where the winner will be determined. In a game like this where both teams actually have a chance to win the game I would prefer taking points especially by the underdog here who feels slighted by the odds makers. Take BALTIMORE!

New England at Denver 8:20 ET

Patriots (+) over Broncos- Upon researching the results of past meeting it was found that the last time these two team met was 10 season’s ago when Brady and Manning were leading their respective clubs. There really isn’t to many positive things that can be said about the Patriots and after a slow start by Denver who lost their first three games and surrendered 70 points to Miami before defeating Chicago with a late fourth quarter comeback. New England has had a horrific season going 3-11 SU and (4-10) ATS but have covered two straight including a win over the Steelers. The broncos attack is based on their run game and stopping the run is about the only thing the Pats have had some success doing is stopping the run. Take NEW ENGLAND!

Dallas at Miami 4:25 ET

Cowboys (+) over Dolphins- There is a rap that going with both of these teams and one of them will prevail to end the knock on them. The talk is that neither of these teams wins against top competition although the Cowboys did a job on Philadelphia who is fading fast two weeks ago and then were punished by Buffalo last week. Miami shut out  (30-0) the hapless Jets last week and the gap between that New York team and Dallas is huge. The Dolphins could just get man-handled by the Dallas interior and I look for one eam to rebound and the other to slide back. Take DALLAS!

Green Bay at Carolina 1:00 ET

Panthers (+) over Packers- Stop the presses the Panthers won a game last week against Atlanta and didn’t even score a touchdown as three field goals did the trick in a 9-7 win. Green Bay (6-8) is in a similar situation as this contest is vital for their playoff hopes and the pressure is all on them.Opening line was bout six but the ‘sharps’ in Vegas have knocked it down to where it is now. Packers are struggling and have dropped their last two against the Giants and Buccaneers. Jordan Love numbers can make up for a lack of a running game for the Pack. Take CAROLINA!

Detroit at Minnesota 1:00 ET

Vikings (+) over Lions- Detroit needs one more win to clinch their first division title in 30 years and have three game to do it. Two of those games will be against 2nd place Minnesota who will be starting Nick Mullins who threw for 303 yards in last weeks overtime loss at Cincinnati will be making his second star in place of Joshua Dobbs who was shutout by the Raiders and Mullins replaced him in the 3-0 win. The Vikings found a running game last week  as Ty Chandler ran for 132 yards. The Lions are not the same club when out of their den. Take MINNESOTA!

Indianapolis at Atlanta 1:00 ET

Falcons (-) over Colts- Atlanta was tied for the division lead prior to their losses to Tampa Bay and Carolina last week scoring on two field goals. Coach Arthur Smith will be making his tird quarterback change of the season going back to Taylor Heinke in an effort to save his job which is fading fast. The Colts beat up the Steelers last week as Gardner Minshew is now 6-4 as a starter. Indianapolis has won 15 of 17 meetings all-time with the last win coming over four years ago. There is some kind of insurrection happening with the Colts as a pair (that’s two) players were suspended this week for action detrimental to the team. Take ATLANTA

Buffalo at LA Chargers 8:15 ET

Chargers (+) over Bills- Buffalo is hot and Los Angeles is not (except to the sky is falling crew). The Bills have responded after having their backs to the wall and facing playoff elimination with huge wins at Kansas City and over Dallas. The beat goes on for the Chargers who have lost five of six with their lone win coming over New England. Los Angeles was bounce from post season possibilities after the former LA team the Raiders trounced them 63-21 at Las Vegas. But, with Staley being fired and the Bills being who they are I expect a letdown from the visitor and a game played hard by a team humiliated in their last outing. Take LA CHARGERS!

Las Vegas Bowl

Utah vs Northwestern 9:00 ET

Wildcats (+) over Utes- How many time can Utah play in Las Vegas without it seeming routine even for a Bowl game. The Utes haven’t had their starting quarterback all season playing back-up one of them Bryson Barns is set to start even though he is in the NCAA transfer portal along with two of his receivers. Northwestern is a bit more cohesive as a team  and have won four of five after rebounding from a 3-4  start. The Wildcats are on a 4-game bowl winning streak while Utah has lost their last four bowl encounters. The Cats have rebounded from a money wrench thrown at them when the lost head coach Pat Fitzgerald because of hazing accusations. Transfer QB Ben Bryant will start after missing four game do to injury. Take NORTHWESTERN!

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh 7:30 ET

Steelers (+) over Bengals- The last time these two met four weeks ago as the Steelers a -2.5 point favorite defeated Cincinnati 16-10 in Jake Browning first professional start. That was the last time Pittsburgh tasted victory as the have dropped three straight to the Cardinals, Patriots and Colts. Since that meeting the Bengals more in the opposite direction winning three straight as Browning has produced 95 points on offense in three games (a much higher scoring rate than did the hurting Burrow). The Steelers played their first 11 games going 7-4 and was behind the chains in every game being out-gained by every opponent in total yards. The reeling men of steel with go with Mason Rudolph as Tomlin is become more desperate. Somehow, it happens again...take PITTSBURGH!

Armed Forces Bowl

James Madison vs Air Force 3:30 ET

Falcons (+) over Dukes- James Madison has had quite a year as their 11-1 season would attest and they were so good their head coach left after they defeating Coastal Carolina 56-14 rebounding from their only loss 26-23 to Appalachian State. The Air Force opened the season with eight start wins and then attrition set in and they dropped their last four with a depleted squad. The Falcons running attack ranked No. 2 in FBS rushing yards with 3,309 and this plays into the Dukes strength as they held opponents to just 61.5 YPG rushing No. 1 in the nation. The Falcons average just 8.3 passed a game completing only 4.3 passes a game but for 20.4 yards per completion. This not only be the first game for a new James Madison coach it will be the first Bowl game in school history. Tough start in Armed Forces Bowl...Take AIR FORCE.

New Orleans at LA Rams 8:15 ET

Saints (+) over Rams- Holy moly, hold on a second now...the Rams are currently in the NFC’s final wild card spot, this team predicted to win no more than five games. I must give Sean McVay credit for what he has done with a club that sold out to get to the Super Bowl is recovering nicely. For New Orleans iit s the same old story, they have covered just four of  fourteen games (too much Cajun money) but they are still in the NFC hunt and are tied in the NFL South at 7-7. The Rams are near the top in Red Zone efficiency scoring 50% while while the Saints were at the bottom but of red zone TD % until making good on nine of their last 10 opportunities. Both clubs off wins over cream puffs and won easily. This time it comes down to the final gun...take NEW ORLEANS!

Chip’s Boca Raton Bowl Power Play

South Florida vs. Syracuse 8:00 ET

Orange (+) over Bulls- At first glance to took me awhile before I could gasp why Syracuse who has had so many issues including having their head coach fired a month ago would be favored in a bowl game. Then I realized who they were playing and it was South Florida a school that won a total of four games the past three seasons. The Bulls had last played in a bowl game in 2018 and being here is a gift for one of the worst defensive teams in the nation allowing a hair under 35 pints a game. The Orange average almost 100 yards less per game than do the Bulls but have the advantage on defense. With South Florida scoring 31 PPG it seems like with this game in south Florida it seems to inviting. Take SYRACUSE!

Philadelphia at Seattle 8:15 ET

Seahawks (+) over Eagles- From what I am hearing the eagles need this game badly and will be ready to play (shouldn’t they be ready to play every week). I have no doubt that Philadelphia is better than Seattle and that man-to-man the ‘push-tush’ crew would probably get the best of this club 7-of-10 times. But, Pete Carroll who I am critical of more often than not knows how to get his team ready especially in these National TV Prime-time contests. But, Seattle enters this fray on a four-game losing streak twice as many as tonight’s opponent but can put themselves back into the playoff scenario. Hey how ‘bout dis the Sea-birds have won eight straight meetings with the last in a November game in 2020. Okay, one last thing is that I just don’t see Jalen Hurts running the same way he has in the past. It just looks (to me) like when he is running the ball he surrenders himself more easily and quits on the play. Take SEATTLE!

Baltimore at Jacksonville 8:20 ET

Jaguars (+) over Ravens- It is amazing what transpires during the NFL season. Two weeks ago Jacksonville was siting atop the AFC with a chance to position them selves as the No. 1 seed for the playoffs. Baltimore currently leads the AFC race with a one-game lead over Miami and they can actually clinch a playoff spot with a win here and a number of other NFL happenings. Although they haven’t looked good in losing their last two games against Cincinnati and Cleveland they lost by a combined seven points with a hobbled Trevor Lawrence. Jags 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take JACKSONVILLE!

New York Giants at New Orleans 1:00 ET

Saints (-) over Giants- Tommy ‘Shoeshine’ Devito has captures the media’s fancy as he has shown the moxie needed to survive in the NFL at quarterback. Still, living at home with his parents and brothers and sisters Tommy is about to be berated by the Bayou’s best hecklers and having growing up in New Jersey that should not affect him. What will affect him is the NFL defenses which will adjust to his look up and run style of quarterbacking. Lets face it DeVito in New York is like Linsanity which happened to the Knicks when Jeremy Lin burst onto the scene and although he lasted nine years in the NBA Lin was for the most part was a flash-in-the pan and never attained the true stardom after his inauspicious debut. Saints laying in wait for this rookie and will take care of business here. Take NEW ORLEANS!  

Atlanta at Carolina 1:00 ET

Panthers (+) over Falcons- By all accounts the Carolina Panthers are still holding try-outs as the only thing they have left this season after firing their head coach and be the only NFC team eliminated from the playoff is to evaluate whoever is playing for their future. Atlanta is at 6-7 and still fighting for a playoff spot and must win the division to qualify for the postseason and they trail Tampa Bay by one-game after falling to them 29-25 last week. The Falcons won the fist meeting between these two on opening day 24-10 a game in which the Panthers held Atlanta to just 221 total yards but were victimized by a pair of Bryce Young interceptions. He struggled against the Saints last week and I expect that experience will make him better because even though he’s playing with the worst them in the NFL his performance to date has been very disappointing. Take CAROLINA!

Kansas City at New England 1:00 ET

Patriots (+) over Chiefs- Has the crest that the Chiefs have been riding starting to wane as the defending Super Bowl Champions have dropped three of four and four of six after winning five straight. Kansas City was beyond distraught when officials calls didn’t go their way and they were upset both on and off the field to the point of junior high levels of maturity. The Patriots on the other and have start their run...to where? Is Belichick sticking around to get the most wins record, does Mac Jones have a future here if anywhere and will Robert Kraft make management moves. I tink to Chiefs have lost a bit, be it confidence, their bravado or their mindset which gave them that extra edge they had entering a game. Maybe it we shall say a cockiness. Anyway. be it Zappe of Jones it’s then Pats. Take NEW ENGLAND!

California vs. Texas Tech 9:15 ET

Golden Bears (+) over Red Raiders- There will be a par of star running backs one for each side that will showcase the Independence Bowl. Texas Tech is most relived that running back Tahj Brooks is going to play in this encounter bringing his 1,443 yards rushing and his No. 4 national ranking. The Pac-12 leading rusher Cal’s Jaydn Ott posted 1,260 yards on the ground as lead he Golden Bears to three straight wins with the aid off freshman quarterback Fernando Mendoza who had seven TD passes in those three games. Cal is 12-11-1 in Bowl games while the Red Raiders are 16-23-1 in post season action. Take CALIFORNIA!

Denver at Detroit 8:15 ET

Lions (+) over Broncos- Is this real? Does Sean Patton actually make this much of a difference in a team...as Denver started 1-5 including surrendering 70 points in a loss at Miami and then reels off six straight wins until a goal line failure two weeks ago at Houston. But, they had the Chargers to beat-up last Sunday and Russell Wilson is a different player than a year ago or even go back three seasons but his short passing game will not be able to stay with Detroit’s explosive offense. Mile High guys have the easier remaining schedule in the AFC but falter here.  Look and listen for the Lions roar as they stampede the Broncos. Take DETROIT!

Independence Bowl

New Mexico State vs Fresno State 7:40 ET

Broncos (+) over Aggies- It is a little scary when looking to play against New Mexico State for  many reasons and a few as to why we should not back the Aggies. With only the second 10 win season in school history NMS will be looking for their another win in Albuquerque having defeated New Mexico in September. The Aggies dropped three early games including losses to UMass and Hawaii who are not exactly powerhouses but, the ran off and eight-game win streak until their USA Championship game loss to Liberty in which they were tied in the fourth quarter where their QB got banged-up. Fresno State was 8-1 before dropping their final three games and appear to be faltering at coach Jeff Tedford is taking a leave of absence after two seasons in a five year deal. The Bulldogs were 17-1 before their three-game slide and are 18-1 lifetime over the Aggies. Take FRESNO STATE!

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis 4:30 ET

Steelers (+) over Colts- Has what we have been saying about Pittsburgh all alone coming to fruition and that they just really not all that good. Despite the Steelers winning record that had been out-gained by opponents in each of their first 10 games. Once again a pair of 7-6 clubs fighting for a post season berth and with so many teams hanging at this level the final playoff spots with most likely be earned through tie-breakers. Indy’s Jonathan Taylor is questionable and even if he ays his effectiveness is in question.  21-6 advantage an have woo eight streak series \.Mitch Trubisky gets the start for the ‘Men of Steel’ and he will protect the ball better than Kenny ‘You’ Pickett. Take PITTSBURGH!

Minnesota at Cincinnati 10:00 ET

Vikings (+) over Bengals- Quarterback central most has seen its most active hub working with both these clubs. Minnesota of course lost Kirk Cousins early and have scrambled using Jaren Hall for one game and then signed Joaha Dobbs (5-games) and now it’s to veteran Nick Mullins who has started 25 games in his seven year career. Cincinnati of course started with Joe Burrow and oh my he’s hurt and AJ McCarron couldn’t get it done and so they are returning to Jake Browning for rest of the season. Both teams have seven wins and a victory here will enhance their path to the playoffs and experience will be a huge factor in the final push and Mullins has played in the post season with the 49ers and that experience may be the difference. Take MINNESOTA!

LA Chargers at Las Vegas 8:15 ET

Chargers (+) over Raiders- This contest between two of the more disappointing teams this season in a year that the overall level of play and officiating has left much to be desired Not, just this two but the overall play although these two are at the bottom of the cure. For Los Angeles (It is easier to write than say, I’m still labeling the Chargers, ‘San Diego’ in speech) having no Justin Herbert means exactly what? I wonder if it will make a difference in the final analysis because Herbert puts up great numbers time and again but rarely wins. So, who is his replacement Why it is Easton Stick who has thrown one pass in his five-year NFL career, but was he was 49-3 as a starter at North Dakota State. Las Vegas is coming off a shutout 3-0 loss to the Vikings and is considering a move off of rookie QB Aiden O’Connell who in six starts had four TD passes and seven interceptions and a QB rating of 58.3 on the season. Take CHARGERS!

Green Bay at N.Y. Giants 8:15 ET

Giants (+) over Packers- Watch out homespun Tommy DeVito has the throngs of Giants fans rooting with hope and the Pack is back in Love. Green Bay has won their last three moving into the 7th seed while New York was about to quit on the season until DeVito’s gave them a spark which has given them life. Although sacked 22% of drop-backs he stands tall in the pocket and take the hit. Take  NEW YORK FOOTBALL GIANTS!

Philadelphia (10-2) at Dallas (9-3) 5:20 PM ET

Line: Cowboys -3.5 (52.5)

Analysis: Philly just doesn’t pass the eye test as they did last season and Dallas with or with their coach has been a juggernaut at home going 6-0 and averaging 41 points. The Eagles won the first meeting 28-23 while the Cowboys appeared to out-play them but failed to execute when needed most. This is a strong number in my eyes which see the Eagles wings getting clipped. Both teams were destroyed by the 49er’s but Philly will have a tougher time recovering after last weeks beating. Dallas 33-24

Buffalo (6-6) at Kansas City (8-4) 1:25 PM PT

Line: Chiefs -1.5 (47.5) (Way Bogus line)

Analysis: Now, let me think...Super Champs at home less than a FG favorite against big-time underachievers has me hating my side. The Chiefs have yet to put it into high gear as they has yet to play their best football. K.C. leads the AFC West while Buffalo trails Miami by three games in the AFC East and is on the outside looking in for the playoffs right now. There is all kinds of noise surrounding this the Bills and it is not good. But, with this ‘price’ I see the desperate Bills...BUFFALO 34-30!

Denver (6-6) at L.A Chargers (5-7) PM 1:25 PT

Line: Chargers -2.5 (43.5)

Analysis: Well, according to ‘Hoyle’ the way to win with the Chargers is take them when getting points on the road and play against them as home favorites. Denver’s win streak ended as Russell Wilson turned it over in the end zone in the final seconds. Wilson had his mini run but I expect that the difference between him and Justin Herbert will be obvious to all by this one’s end. Chargers still alive after stirring 6-0 win over Patriots and move one step closer today. LA CHARGERS 33-23

Houston (7-5) at New York Jets (4-8) 10:00 AM PT

Line: Texans -6.5 (32.5)

Analysis: I heard the the Jets placed an ad in the Village Voice offering tryouts for anyone that could throw a football 50 yards...nah they settled for 30. It has been said that ‘the more things change their more they stay the same’...Zach Wilson is starting once again for the grounded Jets. With the worse recorded offense in modern NFL history it is difficult to see the Jets even with Rodgers going to Super Bowl. NEW YORK JETS 16-13

Detroit (9-3) at Chicago (4-8) 10:00 AM PT

Line: Lions -3  (43)

Analysis: Wind may be a factor but which team does it hurt or help. One thing for sure is that it does affect the totals with the most staying ‘under’ the majority of the time. Detroit is looking to outscore you with the No. 2 offense 401 YPG while Bears want to control the ball. In Nov. Chicago ran for 183 yards and held Lions 100 yards below their game average. DETROIT 20-19

Army vs. Navy 3:00 ET

Midshipmen (+) over Cadets- Navy who has been working on a new offense this season should think a little more about playing defense after what we saw their last time out. The Middies have lost 3-of-5 and it was SMU that took a 52-14 halftime lead where the Mustangs had 452 yards of offense in the 1st half alone. These guys have alternated wins and losses the past five meetings and it is Navy’s turn. Last season the Cadets managed just 178 offense and won in OT 20-17 in that game Navy completed one pass and Army was 2-of-12. Take NAVY!

New England at Pittsburgh 8:15 ET

Patriots (+) over Steelers- Oh this one is easy...nothing ever is and I never take any game for granted until the ‘Fat-Lady’ sings or the final gun (when’s the last time that was ever done?). But, think about it, Pittsburgh has been clutch and won at every turn when the game was in the balance. Unlike the New England who has blown every opportunity they have had to win or even cover starting with their opening loss to Philadelphia. In that game they failed to score six times from the red zone and every game seemed to follow the same type of script. Mac Jones will be back at QB and he has 10 TDs and 12 Ints and has been yanked from games three times this season in 11 starts. Tonight, it is Mitch Trubisky at QB for the Steelers who started in a 17- 14 loss against the Patriots last September going 21-33 for 168 yards with 1 TD and 1 Int.  Take PITTSBURGH!

Cincinnati at Jacksonville 8:15 ET

Bengals (+) over Jaguars- I believe that there has been a general over reaction to both of these team because of their recent play. So, trending to the negative are the Bengals and becoming the public’s choice the Jacksonville stock has never been higher. Cincinnati has dropped three straight while the Jaguars have won seven of eight and their only loss was to San Francisco. Jags QB Trevor Lawrence has better command of the offense now to go with his talents as he is learning how to win. Win...that is something the Bengals don’t understand for certain situations. What I say here is the truth and it is why I like them (Go figure). Here it is and this won’t be easy to swallow. The Bengals have lost nine straight Monday night road games (their last win came on Oct. 22, 1990 (that’s Oct. 22, 1990) and there is more, they have lost 15 straight prime-time road games and lastly they have lost 26 of 27 night road games. When you put it all together it seems that the Bengals don’t stand a chance and maybe they don’t but, when people have buried a team and assume they are done, that they have quit, that they are finished...that’s when amazing things start to happen. These guys are pro’s and after their inept offensive performance at Pittsburgh picking up only 10 first downs and gaining just 25 yards rushing i expect personal pride to rise up and for them to go toe-to-toe with the home club. Jake Browning gets his second start for the two-time defending division champs. Somehow, the money goes to CINCINNATI!

Kansas City at Green Bay 8:20 ET

Packers (+) over Chiefs- The Chiefs have split their last four games and for the most part are just trodden along until the playoff when they will be primed for action. The first time these two met for real was Super Bowl I where the Green Bay who easily 35-10. Bart Starr was the Packers leader and today it is all Love...Jordan Love who has improved weekly leading the Pack to three wins in their last four games after starting 2-5. Green Bay is 3-2 at home and have incentive as they are now in the Wild Card chase. Take GREEN BAY!

LA Chargers at New England 1:00 ET

Patriots (+) over Chargers- This is without a doubt the sickest game of the entire season as both of these clubs do nothing more than burn their backers money...up in smoke. The Chargers who always seem to be one of the public’s favorite team to wager on have ‘covered’ the number just three times in 11 games while New England with the GOAT (?) as their head coach have managed to capture the cash just twice in their 11 tussles. The Patriots has lost seven of eight games and Belichick has yanked QB Mac Jones out of games four times this season and replace him with Bailey Zappe who turns out was even worse when he played. The GOAT hasn’t named his starter this week but Zappe has taken the majority of snaps during the week. But the Chargers are 1-0 SU in their last 11 meetings with the Pats and it figures if they win here they will still come in under the number. Take NEW ENGLAND!  

Denver at Houston 1:00 ET

Texans (-) over Broncos- Does anyone remember the third week of the season when Denver played their first road game in Miami...I do they gave up 70 points and are now embarking on a three game span where it will be a month before they return to Mile High. The Broncos have won five straight and the general public has taken a fancy to them and with Houston losing last time out to Jacksonville they look to rebound here playing their third straight home game. Denver shut down the one-dimensional Browns last week but defending C.J. Stroud is a whole ‘nother ballgame. Take HOUSTON!

Atlanta at New York Jets 1:00 ET

Jets (+) over Falcons- We keep hearing about the jets defense and that is is elite but, I don’t by it as they have failed to make big stops when needed this season. Their offense (what offense) virtually does not exist as they have more issues than quarterbacking. Atlanta has their own QB issues and their defense although stout at times really isn’t as strong as New York. Desmond Ridder has been benched twice already this season and the Jets defense can not wait to pound him and force miscues. The Jets defense will be the key...take NEW YORK JETS!

Miami at Washington 1:00 ET

*Commanders (+) over Dolphins- Oh gosh, Miami is back at it and have won their last two against the Raiders and Jets on ‘Black Friday’ as they lead the AFC East this late in the season for the first time since 2008. Washington on the other hand should think about changing their level of play rather than their name or owners. The former ‘Skins have dropped three straight and were blown out by Dallas on Thanksgiving after falling to the lowly Giants at home. But, they can move the ball with Sam Howell who leads the NFL in completions and passing yards. Miami defense still has questions that need to be addressed and the Commies will be able with Howell be to exposed their weakness. Take WASHINGTON!

Detroit at New Orleans 1:00 ET

Saints (+) over Lions- The roar has become a whimper out of the Lions last week as they lost for the seven straight Thanksgiving day, this time to the Packers. Detroit still leads their division by three games and face the Saints who are also in first place in their division despite their 5-6 record as they play in a division 2here no team finished at .500. Head-to-head New Orleans has won six of the past nine meetings but have dropped two straight on the road on Atlanta and Minnesota and return to the Super Dome (? new name) for the first time in a month. Cajun cooking gets the Saints ready here. Take NEW ORLEANS!   

Louisville vs Florida State 8:00 ET

Cardinals (+) over Seminoles- I guess with two losses Louisville should be an underdog to an undefeated Florida State team in this ACC Championship game in Charlotte, NC. The rub is that the Seminoles as I am sure you are all aware will be without their best player Jordan Travis who happens to play quarterback. His replacement Tate Rodemaker had a journey type of performance going just 12-of-25 but he didn’t commit a turnover as FSU put down arch rival Florida in Gainesville and covered their number. Louisville knowing the meeting with the Seminoles was coming this week was caught in a classic look-ahead spot and was ambushed at home by Kentucky. This is the reason I feel so strongly about the Red Birds but I am leery of a wounded team that rallies and creates a bond after an injury when from that point people count the out. But, the Seminoles averaged close to 300 yards passing and only managed 134 yards through the ait with Rodemaker. The drop off in talent will be too much for State to over come. Take LOUISVILLE

Michigan vs Iowa 8:00 ET

Wolverines (-) over Hawkeyes- Last season Iowa was no match for the Wolverines in the Big Ten championship game and I don’t see any reason to believe this will be any different. The Hawkeyes have a putrid offense even worse than last season but their defense may be a bit better (geez it had to be for them to win 10 games). Ioiwa’ defense will have to score for them to be competitive against the ‘number’ and I just do not believe they can do it. Take MICHIGAN!

Georgia vs Alabama 4:00 ET

Crimson Tide (+) over Bulldogs- I really can not remember the last time I saw Alabama as an underdog and not just a field goal but a number moving upward. To me and no so much to some others this sets up perfectly well almost but good enough. Maybe it would have been a bit been with the Bulldogs had romped over Georgia Tech but the Yellow Jackets were not all that bad this season. But, the way Alabama enters this fray after a virtual ‘Hail-Mary’ on the games final play has kept their Final-4 hope alive. Most people don’t believe the Tide shouldn’t even be here, a team the doesn’t belong in this championship game or in a fight for the national title. They have nothing to lose and have improved dramatically since their Texas defeat. It’s karma...Take ALABAMA!

Boise State at UNLV 3:00 ET

Rebels (+) over Broncos- Trying to figure if Boise State is favored because of the football programs reputation or are they actually better than UNLV or maybe it is the experience factor as the Rebels are upstarts and no one expected this kind of season. I have seen the Rebels a number of time up close and personal and they have a multi-talented quarterback is quick accurate and can run but he doesn’t have to so it alone as UNLV’s skilled positions are filled with explosive speed burners and brake-away talent and their running backs are a tough group that fights for every yard. Now, the Rebels are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS ad game Michigan all that they could handle and yet they are an underdog at home here. Doesn’t seem right to me.  Boise State has won their last three after opening the season with a pair of losses the first at Washington and then they lost three games by 1 point to CSU, by 2 points to C. Florida, by 3 points to Memphis and and the other by one score to Fresno State. Obviously, the Broncos play a much tougher schedule and don’t face the likes of Bryant, Hawaii and Texas El Paso. Against superior competition the Broncos have more yards on offense and allowed less on defense. I come into this liking the Rebels but upon a closer review I believe that they fall short. Take UNLV!  

Pac-12 Championship Las Vegas, NV

Oregon vs. Washington 8:00 ET

Ducks (-) over Huskies- Seriously, this is the match-up of the NCAAF season with all due respect to the ‘Bama & Bulldog crowd but, I have been keen on both these squads all year and either one could win the National Championship. The QB’s for both Washington and Oregon could possible win the Heisman with Friday night winner with a good performance would probably emerge the favorite right now Vegas has Ducks quarterback Bo Nix a slight favorite over the Huskies Michael Penix. This line is an attention grabber as these two played to a 36-33 decision in mid October with UW getting the win and Oregon getting the money at +3.5. Could be the line is a reflection of the Ducks scoring 45.3 PPG (2nd) and they allow just 15.9 (7th), since their loss they have won six straight by 29.3 PPG. Nix has 37 TD passes and just two int’s (go back and read that again), Penix has 32 TD passes and eight ints and Nix has a 189.8 passer efficiency rating second only to LSU’s Jayden Daniels (he is unbelievable). My personal issue with taking Oregon who I like in the re-match is that I have so much company with them as so many see the revenge factor as a motivation but in send game revenge in Championship games they have split virtually even 51-50 and it doesn’t matter which. I am hoping that the high point spread attracts many players it would me but the ‘sharps’ are who drove this line to where it is now...way too high. Washington is frickin’ good. I’ve watched them all season and their offensive line is awesome and what I’ve seen of Oregon is that Bo Nix is in command and his previous experience at Auburn and last season in Pullman has matured him into a great college quarterback and dare I say he reminds me of Brady. I wonder a bit if I lean toward Nix for all the abuse I hurled at him when playing for Auburn when he just didn’t have the team support, coaching and the maturity needed. But, I am still liking...OREGON!

Seattle at Dallas 8:15 ET

Seahawks (+) over Cowboys- These two NFC clubs are moving on opposite directions as Dallas is picking up momentum and has been destroying visiting teams while the Seahawks have dropped their last two and three of four. In the last meeting in September 2020 Seattle won and covered at home and has covered the last four meetings with the squads goes 5-5 in their last 10 SU. The Cowboys have been perfect at home going 5-0 both SU and ATS with an average score of 41-12 with the least amount of points scored in their home opener against the NY Jets when they managed only 30 points. Seattle blew a game late to the Rams and were out classed at home by San Francisco on Thanksgiving (‘Turkey’ selection loser). The Seahawks are really nothing more than a midland club that ranks in the lower third of both offensive and defensive categories. But, somehow Pete Carroll (oh, so over-rated!) and Geno Smith will be at their best for this nation audience. Take SEATTLE!

Chicago at Minnesota 8:15 ET

Bears (+) over Vikings- Minnesota is quite the story this season as they started the year winning one of their first five and then ripped off a five straight wins before their loss at Denver last Sunday night. The factors that must be considered are that the NFL’s best receiver Justin Jefferson is out and so is QB Kirk Cousins. Chicago has a receiver to brag about as their best catch-man is D.J. Moore who is about to cross the 1,000 yard mark for they fourth straight season and QB Justin Fields has returned. The Vikings are now going with Joshua Dobbs at quarterback as his inexperience is beginning to show. Take CHICAGO!

Baltimore at LA Chargers 8:20 ET

Chargers (+) over Ravens- Los Angeles of course will do what is the least that is expected from them and at 4-6 most should expect them to fall to the current top seed in the AFC. Baltimore is 8-3 and have won five of six while the Chargers have lost five games by 3-points or less. The Ravens will be shorthanded without tight end Mark Andrews who is Lamar Jackson’s favorite target. LA has dropped their last two games to Detroit and Green Bay and at No. 13 in the AFC need this game more than the Ravens. LA coach Brandon Staley is on the hot seat and this game may determine just when he will be let go. Take LA CHARGES!

Buffalo at Philadelphia 4:25 ET

Bills (+) over Eagles- If the Bills follow the script they will come up big and 3ither win outright or at least ‘cover’ the number against Philadelphia in a perfect spot for an upset. The Eagles were very fortunate to defeat Super Bowl Champion Chiefs  and they were elated to gain a measure of revenge off their Super Bowl loss to KC. Now, after that satisfying win the have the under-achieving Buffalo Bills who have lost  their luster. But, the Eagles have a huge NFC battle next week with San Francisco and can’t help but have them on their minds after seeing what they did on Thanksgiving. Thee Bills will have to be ready and catch Philly a bit flat. Take BUFFALO!

New England at New York Giants 1:00 ET

Patriots (-) over Giants- Unless you have lived in New York and have experienced what it is like to have the media loving (Derek Jeter) or hating you (Zach Wilson) with an intense onslaught of emotion from all sides 24/7. Right now Tommy DeVito is the toast of the town as the loyal Giants fan wishing they would tank yo get a higher draft pick see Tommy-boy get sacked six times in the first quarter and nine times for the game get off his back and throw three TD’s and for 300 yards leading New York to a win over Washington. New England on the other hand may play all three roster quarterbacks as his disgust with Mac Jones is grown thin and the others are not even near his professional level so you know how bad their situation is. The Patriots have won just twice and the Giants three times yet the are favored in New York and it makes no sense other than the fact the Belichick’s defenses eats rookie quarterbacks alive...take NEW ENGLAND!  

New Orleans at Atlanta 1:00 ET

Falcons (+) over Saints- New Orleans is 5-5 and leads the NFC South by a game over the 4-6 Falcons who are laying in wait after a bye week. Saints quarterback Derek Carr is in concussion protocol but take part in practice on Wednesday. Atlanta has decided to return to Desmond Ridder at QB who is 4-4 as a starter and has been told he will remain the starter the rest of the season. The Saints have won six of the past seven meeting but the Falcons are 3-1 ATS in the last four. Smith has finally put his No. 1 draft pick to work as carried the ball a season high 22 times last time out against Arizona, more of the same will work here. Take ATLANTA!

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati 1:00 ET

Bengals (+) over Steelers- Got to love it...we played against Cincinnati at Baltimore and they lost more than the game as Joe ‘Cool’ Burrow was removed from the game for the rest of the season. Pittsburgh with their defense (they have no offense) has won six of 10 games and yet has been out-gained yardage wise in all 10 encounters. The surprising fact is the Steelers are ranked No. 27 in total defense and this could be the week it all catches up with them. The Bengals have won 4-of-5 meetings with the Pitt with the win coming by 3-points in overtime. Jake Browning is stepping into the leading role and the Bengals have confidence in his ability as a QB and I guess they should know. Take CINCINNATI!

Kansas at Cincinnati 7:30 ET

Bearcats (+) over Jayhawks- Strictly a ‘numbers’ play and I’ll you what that means to me. I wasn’t looking to play either of these two teams and never thought much about the match-up. I noticed that No. 25 Kansas was less than a touchdown favorite over a disappointing Cincinnati team that has won only three games this season and are 1-5 at home. This sort of qualifies it as a ‘Don’t make sense’ game because the Jayhawks look pretty easy to me. The Jayhawks held a 27-16 second half lead over rival Kansas State and faltered losing 31-27. With bowl game in front of them I believe that Kansas will just be going through the motions and probably can lose outright (take the points). Take CINCINNATI!

Clemson at South Carolina 7:30 ET

Gamecocks (+) over Tigers- Believe it or not Clemson is in seventh place in the ACC as they have lost four games in a season for the first time in 14 years. They had two National titles in that span and they have shown character by winning their last four on the road. The problem here is that the Gamecocks who won 31-30 at Clemson and are 5-1 at home this season. Coming off a win over Kentucky the ‘Cocks can become bowl eligible with a win here, so I expect maximum effort against their in-state rival. Take SOUTH CAROLINA!

Alabama at Auburn 3:30 ET

Tigers (+) over Crimson Tide- The Iron Bowl may not have the SEC Championship on the line but it has national implications. Alabama has remained alive and has improved each week as the season progressed and they still have a legitimate shot at winning it all. Auburn would probably be a lot better if Bo Nix remained a Tiger but otherwise they have been nothing special but reeled off three straight wins to become bowl eligible and got caught by New Mexico State last week in their look-ahead game and lost 31-10 as a 25-point favorite. The Tigers were so disinterested they had only 10 first downs with 209 total yards on offense...the may not have the talent but the Tigers will be roaring this week. Take AUBURN!

Ohio State at Michigan 12:00 ET

Wolverines (-) over Buckeyes- I have all kinds of information and trends on the biggest game of the 2023 college football season as a pair of undefeated Big Ten powerhouses clash at noon kicking off Rivalry Saturday. Being No. 2 or 3 really doesn’t mean much to these 11-0 teams but I bucking a NCAAF trend that will be difficult to stand against. According to Playbook when a pair of undefeated 10-0 teams or better meet the underdog has won outright nine times and is a perfect 10 ATS. Tough numbers to go against but that is what it will take to win here. This game is being played because the Wolverines have shown better with the eye test or personal observation. With the fact that I believe that with or without Jim Harbaugh hey are that much better. Take MICHIGAN!

Oregon State at Oregon 8:30 ET

Ducks (-) over Beavers- The development of quarterback Bo Nix who has started more college Division I games than any other QB has been ‘light years’ and I mean at Auburn he just wasn’t the man. Now, a more mature and composed Nix is one of the leading candidates for the Heisman Trophy. When I started covering this match-up it was called the Civil War and now if we refer to it as that we may face ‘cancel culture’ but on the field the players will fiercely battle it out. You learn in the military that the superior firepower will always win out and the Ducks have much more firepower than do the Beavers. A pair of losses in their last four games has taken a bit of bit out of the Beavers...take OREGON!

Missouri at Arkansas 4:00 ET

Razorbacks (+) over Tigers- This is a tough call as Missouri has a change to reach double digit wins for the first time in 10 years and have been a formidable foe all season. Arkansas had to endue a six game losing steak as their offense just didn’t produce at a level need to win gaining just 336 ypg ranking 101 among 130 FBS teams. The Razorbacks do have a legitimate threat at QB where KJ Jefferson has passed for 19 touchdowns and ran for two others. take ARKANSAS!

Texas San Antonio at Tulane 3:30 ET

Roadrunners (+) over Green Wave- This game caught my eye from the git-go as Tulane has been a great play the entire season and now at home in a game that means the berth in the AAC Championship game they come up a very short favorite. Tulane is the defending champion and has the greatest quarterback in school history as Michael Pratt is 20-2 as a starter the past two seasons has 9, 239 career passing yards. UTSA has won seven straight when QB Frank Harris returned and they have won by an average 18.9 points. The line and the public sentiment have been going Roadrunners. Take TEXAS -SAN ANTONIO!

Miami at New York Jets 12:00 ET

Jets (+) over Dolphins- All of New York has quit on Zach Wilson and the Jets as their dreams of being Super Bowl contenders went south four plays into their season when Aaron Rodgers went down for the year in their opener against Buffalo. New York has about given up on third year QB Wilson and are going with Tim Boyle at QB and the 29-year old has not been very impressive in his NFL career throwing nine interceptions with three touchdown passes in 120 attempts. The Jets to a man could care less about Boyle’s past performances they are happy it is anyone else but Wilson directing the offense. With a gleam of hope the Jets surprise here. Take NEW YORK!

Iowa at Nebraska 12:00 ET

Cornhuskers (+) over Hawkeyes- It has been a long draught for a school like Nebraska missing a bowl game as they haven’t qualified with enough wins since 2016. No. 17 Iowa (9-2) has got to be the worst Top-20 team that I have every seen in my lifetime and I am not kidding. The Hawkeyes have one of lowest scoring offenses in the country averaging just 18.5 points per game ranking No. 121 out of 130 FBS teams. Iowa is not only going to a bowl game but will play for the Big Ten championship against either Ohio State or Michigan next week. The Cornhuskers hold a 30-20-3 edge over Iowa who celebrated like they won the super bowl capturing a spot in the Big Ten title game. Huskers have more incentive and become bowl eligible with their win here. Take NEBRASKA!

San Francisco at Seattle 8:15 ET

Seahawks (+) over 49ers- Certainly, the key factor surrounding this game is not just the availability of QB Geno Smith and effectiveness. As good as he has been throughout his coaching career Pete Carroll still loses more time with his in-game decisions. Now, coming off a loss to the Rams that never show have happened they host the Niners who are on a roll. But, `one thing that is certain in the NFL is that you-never really now until the dealing is done (excuse me Kenny).  Brock Purdy who many had already written off as a fluke leads the NFL in passer rating at 115.1 completion rate 70.2% and yards per attempt with 9.7 yards. Still, he is Mr. Irrelevant and falls short here. Take SEATTLE!