NFL Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
12-20-15 |
Panthers v. Giants +4 |
Top |
38-35 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 37 m |
Show
|
Game 320: 5* NY Giants +4
|
12-13-15 |
Steelers +3 v. Bengals |
Top |
33-20 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 56 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Month Game 105: 5* Pittsburgh +3
|
11-29-15 |
Patriots v. Broncos +3 |
Top |
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 26 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Month Game 274: 5* Denver +3
|
11-22-15 |
Chiefs -3 v. Chargers |
Top |
33-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
NFL Top-Play Game 473: 5* Kansas City -3
|
11-15-15 |
Chiefs +6 v. Broncos |
Top |
29-13 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 8 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Week Game 269: 5* Kansas City +6
|
11-08-15 |
Rams +3 v. Vikings |
Top |
18-21 |
Push |
0 |
88 h 28 m |
Show
|
NFL Top-Play of the Week Game 455: 5* St. Louis +3
|
11-01-15 |
Cardinals -6 v. Browns |
Top |
34-20 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
NFL Top-Play of the Week Game 261: 5* Arizona -6
|
10-25-15 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Tennessee Titans +6.5 |
Top |
10-7 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Month Game 464: 5* Tennessee +6.5
|
10-18-15 |
Carolina Panthers +7 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
27-23 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
NFL Top-Play of the Week Game 267: 5* Carolina +7
|
10-04-15 |
Minnesota Vikings +7 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 50 m |
Show
|
Game 271: 5* Minnesota +7
|
09-27-15 |
Oakland Raiders +3.5 v. Cleveland Browns |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 58 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Month Game 475: 5* Oakland +3.5
|
09-20-15 |
St Louis Rams -3 v. Washington Redskins |
Top |
10-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 11 m |
Show
|
Game 277: 5* St. Louis -3
|
01-11-15 |
Dallas Cowboys +5.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
Top |
21-26 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 60 m |
Show
|
NFL Playoff Game of the Year Game 117 (1:05 pm est): 6* Dallas +5.5
|
12-21-14 |
NY Giants +6.5 v. St. Louis Rams |
Top |
37-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Year Game 123 (4:05 pm est): 7* NY Giants +6.5
|
10-12-14 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 |
Top |
48-17 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 59 m |
Show
|
Game 268 (1:00 pm est): 5* Tampa Bay +3.5
|
09-28-14 |
New Orleans Saints -3 v. Dallas Cowboys |
Top |
17-38 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 31 m |
Show
|
Game 271 (8:30 pm est): 5* New Orleans -3
|
09-21-14 |
Green Bay Packers +2.5 v. Detroit Lions |
Top |
7-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Month Game 465 (1:00 pm est): 5* Green Bay +2.5 Wrong team is favored in this one. Detroit has a depleted secondary and Rogers will pick the Lions a part today. The offense is averaging 5.5-ypp and that is against two quality defenses (Seahawks & Jets). Packers play well in division games as they are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 vs. NFC North. Packers are 26-5 ATS off a non-conference game their last 31. Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Our ratings have Green Bay -2.5 in this one and computer is calling for a 4-point Packers win. Wea will side with the better QB and better talent overall. Green Bay 31-23
|
09-07-14 |
Washington Redskins +3 v. Houston Texans |
Top |
6-17 |
Loss |
-100 |
37 h 25 m |
Show
|
Game 477 (1:00 pm est): 5* Washington +3
|
01-12-14 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers +1.5 |
Top |
23-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
41 h 5 m |
Show
|
NFL Playoff Game of the Year Game 116 (1:00 pm est): 6* Carolina +1.5
The 49ers come into this game as the general public kings. Their isn't anyone in America talking about or giving the Panthers a chance to win this game but us. The 49ers have played well winning 7 in a row SU. 5 of those 7 games have been close games that were very physical and draining that came down to the end. This is their third straight road game and look at the travel they have logged recently. 12/15 they plated at Tampa (trip across country), then turned around and went home and played Atlanta (tough game til the end), then flew to Arizona (won by 3), then had to fly back across country to Green Bay (won by 3)and play in one of the coldest football conditions ever, and now have to turn around and fly back across country again and play a physical Carolina Panthers team that ranks in the top in defense. This is a lot to ask of a team to do.
Carolina beat San Fran earlier this on the road 10-9 in a another tough and physical game. The public is going to look at two main factors in this one, Steven Smith may be out and Michael Crabtree is now playing for the 49ers (was out for the first meeting between these two teams). The public always overreacts to offensive injuries as we love the fact Carolina is healthy on defense and playing at home. Carolina is 7-2 ATS at home all-time vs San Francisco, so their will be intimidation factor in this one.
Carolina falls into an awesome system that allows to play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CAROLINA), off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record (36-12, 75% ATS since 1983.). When we break this system down even closer, it is 9-1 ATS over the last 5 seasons.
Our ratings have Carolina -3 in this one and with them being the underdog at home, we will be more than happy to take them in an 'upset'. Take Carolina.
|
12-29-13 |
Washington Redskins +4 v. NY Giants |
Top |
6-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
70 h 6 m |
Show
|
Game 309 (1:00 pm est): 5* Washington +4
The Giants offense has been terrible the last four games and the offense has turned the ball over 11 times. The Giants just want to get out of this game with no injuries to their better players. The future of Tom Coughlin is up in the air.
The Redskins are playing hard still and have lost some tough games since Kirk Cousins took over as starter (Atlanta & Dallas lost by 1 point each game). HC Mike Shanahan is on thin ice in Washington but what does he care as he has 1 more left on his deal that pays him $7 million guaranteed. We look for another inspired performance by the Skins under Cousins. Cousins is showcasing himself to teams as well for the future so these games are vital for him.
The Redskins play well against the Giants as they are 4-1 ATS the last three years. Teams that have lost several games in a row are usually good bets at the end of the season because the public goes against them. As evident we can play on road teams (Washington), after 7 or more consecutive losses, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season (48-22, 68.6% since 1983). Washington is 11-2 ATS in road games after 2 straight losses by 6 or less points since 1992.
Washington falls into an awesome system that allows us to play on road teams after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season (39-9, 81.2% over the last 10 seasons). That system is 8-1 ATS this season. Take Washington today in an upset win.
|
12-22-13 |
Cleveland Browns +2 v. NY Jets |
Top |
13-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 49 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Month Game 111 (1:00 pm est): 5* Cleveland +2
Both teams have nothing to play for but the Browns have the better offense and very good defensively. The Browns fall into a great system that allows us to plays against home favorites (NY JETS) - off a road loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%), 40-11, 78.4% since 1983.
Cleveland is 6-0 ATS in road games after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.
The Jets are 2-12 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.
Take Cleveland big today.
|
12-15-13 |
New England Patriots v. Miami Dolphins +1.5 |
Top |
20-24 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 45 m |
Show
|
NFL Game of the Year Game 322 (1:00 pm est): 7* Miami +1.5
|
12-15-13 |
Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 v. Minnesota Vikings |
Top |
30-48 |
Loss |
-107 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
Game 323 (1:00 pm est): 5* Philadelphia -6.5
|
12-01-13 |
NY Giants +1 v. Washington Redskins |
Top |
24-17 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 9 m |
Show
|
Game 447 (8:30 pm est): 5* NY Giants +1
|
10-27-13 |
Atlanta Falcons +3 v. Arizona Cardinals |
Top |
13-27 |
Loss |
-120 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
Game 227 (4:25 pm est): 5* Atlanta +3
|
10-06-13 |
Detroit Lions +7.5 v. Green Bay Packers |
Top |
9-22 |
Loss |
-120 |
65 h 8 m |
Show
|
Game 423 (1:00 pm est): 5* Detroit +7.5
|
09-29-13 |
NY Jets v. Tennessee Titans -3.5 |
Top |
13-38 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 26 m |
Show
|
Game 216 (4:05 pm est): 5* Tennessee -3.5
|
09-22-13 |
Detroit Lions v. Washington Redskins |
Top |
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 48 m |
Show
|
Game 403 (1:00 pm est): 5* Detroit pk
|
09-15-13 |
New Orleans Saints -3 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Top |
16-14 |
Loss |
-104 |
48 h 5 m |
Show
|
Game 213 (4:05 pm est): 5* NFL Game of the Month: New Orleans -3
|
09-08-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. Detroit Lions -4 |
Top |
24-34 |
Win
|
102 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
Game 470 (1:00 pm est): 5* Detroit -4
|
02-03-13 |
Baltimore Ravens +4 v. San Francisco 49ers |
Top |
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 58 m |
Show
|
Game 101 (6:30 pm est): 5* Baltimore +4
|
01-20-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons +4.5 |
Top |
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
Game 302 (3:00 pm est): 5* Atlanta +4.5
|
01-12-13 |
Green Bay Packers +3 v. San Francisco 49ers |
Top |
31-45 |
Loss |
-119 |
58 h 59 m |
Show
|
Game 111 (8:00 pm est): 6* NFL Playoff Game of the Year: Green Bay +3
|
12-30-12 |
Chicago Bears v. Detroit Lions +3 |
Top |
26-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
|
Game 318 (1:00 pm est): 5* Detroit +3
|
12-23-12 |
St Louis Rams +3 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Top |
28-13 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 38 m |
Show
|
Game 119 (1:00 pm est): 5* St Louis +3
|
12-16-12 |
San Francisco 49ers +4.5 v. New England Patriots |
Top |
41-34 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 25 m |
Show
|
Game 329 (8:30 pm est): 7* NFL Game of the Year: San Francisco +4.5
|
12-09-12 |
New Orleans Saints +5 v. NY Giants |
Top |
27-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
Game 127 (4:25 pm est): 5* New Orleans +5
|
12-02-12 |
New England Patriots v. Miami Dolphins +9 |
Top |
23-16 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 53 m |
Show
|
Game 354 (1:00 pm est): 5* Miami +9
|
11-11-12 |
Denver Broncos v. Carolina Panthers +5 |
Top |
36-14 |
Loss |
-105 |
46 h 32 m |
Show
|
Game 222 (1:00 pm est): 5* NFL Game of the Month: Carolina +5
|
11-04-12 |
Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. NY Giants |
Top |
24-20 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
Game 435 (4:25 pm est): 5* Pittsburgh +3
|
10-28-12 |
Miami Dolphins +2 v. NY Jets |
Top |
30-9 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 29 m |
Show
|
Game 231 (1:00 pm est): 5* Miami +2
|
10-14-12 |
Green Bay Packers v. Houston Texans -3.5 |
Top |
42-24 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 53 m |
Show
|
Game 232 (8:30 pm est): 5* NFL Game of the Month: Houston -3.5
|
09-30-12 |
Carolina Panthers v. Atlanta Falcons -7 |
Top |
28-30 |
Loss |
-102 |
47 h 25 m |
Show
|
Game 210 (1:00 pm est): 5* Atlanta -7 Time to start realizing that Atlanta is for real. They are playing extremely well on both sides of the ball and now face a team that is struggling on both sides of the ball. Atlanta is underrated on the defensive side of the ball as they are allowing 5.5-ypp. Carolina has a solid offense but have yet to play a quality defense like that of Atlanta. Atlanta is coming off a big road win at San Diego and we are not going to go against a hot team in this one. Our ratings have Atlanta -10 and computer is calling for a 14-point win. Ride the hot team big. Atlanta 31-17.
|
09-23-12 |
Houston Texans -1 v. Denver Broncos |
Top |
31-25 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 29 m |
Show
|
Game 423 (4:25 pm est): 5* NFL Game of the Month: Houston -1 Houston is the best team in the NFL after two weeks and we don't see any signs of them letting down this week. The defense has been fantastic and the offense very good. Manning is coming off a poor performance last week vs an average Atlanta defense. He now faces the best defense in the NFL. Look for Houston to get after Manning and cause some turnovers. Denver falls into a negative 54-97 negative home momentum situation based off their loss last week on the road. HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Our ratings have Houston -4.5 and computer is calling for a 7-point win. Houston 24-17.
|
01-08-12 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Denver Broncos +9 |
Top |
23-29 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 31 m |
Show
|
Game 108 (4:30 pm est): 6* NFL Playoff Game of the Year: Denver +9
|
01-01-12 |
Detroit Lions -4 v. Green Bay Packers |
Top |
41-45 |
Loss |
-109 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
Game 309 (1:00 pm est): 5* Detroit -4 - There may be concern from everyone that if Aaron Rodgers does start, to take Detroit minus the 4 points. We personally don't have concern because if he does play it will be only a series or two. Detroit was not happy how they lost to Green Bay on Thanksgiving and want revenge in this game, period. Green Bay's defense has been atrocious the last few weeks and overall for the season not been very good. Detroit will win this one big even if Rodgers does start.
|
12-18-11 |
Washington Redskins +7 v. NY Giants |
Top |
23-10 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
Game 305 (1:00 pm est): 5* Game of the Month: Washington +7
|
11-27-11 |
Houston Texans -3.5 v. Jacksonville Jaguars |
Top |
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 42 m |
Show
|
Game 221 (1:00 pm est): 7* NFL Game of the Year: Houston -3.5 Yes, we know Matt Schaub is out for the season for Houston. However, if there were a time for him to get injured and miss a start and for back-up Matt Leinart to take over it would be during a bye-week. Leinart has 2 weeks to prepare for Jacksonville and to get ready physically but mentally and that is extremely important. Also, Schaub doesn
|
11-13-11 |
Arizona Cardinals v. Philadelphia Eagles -14 |
Top |
21-17 |
Loss |
-100 |
22 h 6 m |
Show
|
Game 238 (1:00 pm est): 5* Philadelphia -14
|
11-06-11 |
NY Jets +2 v. Buffalo Bills |
Top |
27-11 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 42 m |
Show
|
Game 411 (1:00 pm est): 5* NFL Game of the Month: NY Jets +2 Buffalo comes into this game the new darlings of the NFL with a 5-2 record and has people believing in them. When looking closely at this team, they are winning because they are benefitting from turnover margin. The Bills are +9 in turnovers and now will start facing some quality teams where we think that stat will turnaround. The Jets are coming in off a bye and with some momentum as they have won 2 in a row SU and ATS. If there was a line put on this game at the beginning of the year, the Jets would be -6. The Jets have more talent and better players on defense and the defense will win this game for the Jets. The Jets are allowing 5.3-yppl vs teams that combine to avg 5.7-yppl on offense. The Jets pass defense will neutralize Ryan Fitzpatrick and create some havoc with their blitzing schemes. This will leave it in the hands of the rushing game for the Bills. They do have a solid rush attack as Buffalo is avg 5.0-ypr. Look for Jets HC Rex Ryan to play man-coverage and bring in and extra safety to stop the run and force Fitzpatrick to make decisions against his top-flight corners. Defensively, the Bills are poor as they allow 6.4-yppl vs teams that combine to avg 5.9-yppl. Again, the turnovers have been the key and with a week to prepare for Buffalo, we look for the Jets to take care of the ball and move the ball against Buffalo
|
10-16-11 |
Dallas Cowboys +7 v. New England Patriots |
Top |
16-20 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 2 m |
Show
|
Game 219 (4:15 pm est): 5* NFL Game of the Month: Dallas +7 Dallas is being crushed with silly turnovers and is coming off a bye-week to take care of these issues. Dallas rated in our top 10 in offense and defense but is only 2-2 SU. Dallas offense is avg 6.4-yppl vs teams that combine to allow 5.5-yppl. Defensively they are allowing 5.1-yppl vs teams that combine to avg 5.5-yppl. New England has the #1 offense in the NFL and Brady is on top-of his game. New England is coming off an emotional win at home against the hated Jets and now has to re-group against a very good Dallas team. New England
|
09-25-11 |
NY Jets v. Oakland Raiders +3.5 |
Top |
24-34 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 60 m |
Show
|
Game 414 (4:05 pm est): 5* NFL Game of the Month: Oakland +3.5 The Jets come in at 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS while Oakland is 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS. Oakland was 30 seconds away from going 2-0 SU last week and lost a tough game against Buffalo on the road. Oakland is making their home debut and will have a sold out raucous crowd. Surprisingly, Oakland
|