NCAA Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
02-17-18 | Air Force v. Boise State -15.5 | Top | 52-76 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Air Force. Boise's 20-6, but comes into this game off back to back upset losses to Utah State and Nevada. However, .725 (or better) teams are an awesome 65.7% ATS over the past 25 years at home when favored by more than 10 points, if they're off back to back upset defeats! Lay the points with the Broncos. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-17-18 | Indiana v. Iowa +2 | Top | 84-82 | Push | 0 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Indiana. These two teams met earlier this season, and the Hawks fell by 13 points in Bloomington. Currently, the Hawkeyes are mired in a 4-game losing streak, and have been installed as a home dog vs. Indiana, which is 16-9 ATS on the season, and has covered its last four games. But Iowa's a stellar 14-0 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog of +1.5 or more points vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, if that foe also has a winning ATS record. Take Iowa. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMOrdie. |
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02-16-18 | Bowling Green v. Buffalo -14 | Top | 82-95 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green. The Falcons come into this game off back to back upset wins, and have covered five in a row, overall. The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the double-digits with the Falcons, especially given that Buffalo's an awful 0-4-2 ATS in its last six games. But consider that, since 1992, double-digit road underdogs have covered just 36% vs. foes off 4+ point spread defeats! Take Buffalo minus the points. NCAA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-15-18 | Hawaii +9 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 62-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Cal Irvine. This game is a classic example of two teams going in opposite directions. The Anteaters are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, while Hawaii has lost its last five games, and has failed to cover three straight. But Big West Conference teams are an awesome 24-4 ATS off three straight ATS defeats when matched up against a conference foe off back to back ATS wins, including a perfect 11-0 ATS if they also owned a better W/L record (which Hawaii does). Take the Rainbow Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-15-18 | Colorado v. Washington State +3.5 | Top | 69-73 | Win | 101 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Colorado. Wazzu is on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak. And it's also failed to cover in 11 of its last 12. But, as faithful followers know, I often like to play on teams in freefalls, as such losing streaks often confer value. And this is certainly one of those times, as Washington State falls into a 119-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on long losing streaks. Also, Colorado has lost its last five games ATS as a road favorite, and is also a horrid 3-16-1 ATS off back to back wins (and 1-8-1 ATS off 3+ wins). Finally, Washington State lost to the Buffaloes earlier this season in Boulder. But Colorado is a wallet-busting 13-33-2 ATS on the road vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Washington State + the points. NCAA Hoops Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-15-18 | Oregon v. USC -5 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 21 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Cal Trojans minus the points over Oregon. USC and Oregon both have won 17 games this season. And each team has just five losses in Pac-12 Conference play. So, this game will have a big impact on the eventual conference standings for the post-season Tournament. It's true that the Trojans come into tonight's game on a 3-game losing streak. But all three of those games were on the road. Here, in Los Angeles, the Trojans have won their last five conference games (3-1-1 ATS). And .651 (or better) teams are 83% ATS the past 10 years at home off 3 road losses. Lay the points with the Trojans. |
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02-15-18 | Middle Tennessee v. Southern Miss +7 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -103 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles + the points over Middle Tennessee St. The Blue Raiders have won their last seven games, and also easily defeated the Golden Eagles by 20 points in Murfreesboro earlier this season. So, don't be surprised if Middle Tennessee comes out a bit complacent, and gets knocked off tonight by Southern Miss. And the Golden Eagles have been playing well, of late, as they've covered their last three games, including a 72-54 blowout of Charlotte last Saturday. That bodes well for them tonight, as home dogs off a double-digit straight-up win, and 3 ATS wins, are a super 163-106 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a win. Even better: Southern Miss is a perfect 7-0 ATS at home this season, and 24-9 ATS their last 33 in Hattiesburg. Take the Golden Eagles. |
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02-14-18 | Georgia +10.5 v. Florida | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Florida. These two teams met 15 days ago, in Athens, and the Bulldogs blew out the Gators, 72-60. Since that game, however, Georgia's gone 0-3 SU/ATS. Meanwhile, Florida's won its last two games, including a 65-41 blowout of South Carolina on Saturday. Unfortunately, though, for the Gators, double-digit, revenge-minded home favorites, off a double-digit win, have covered just 38% since 1990 vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Even worse: Georgia's 22-3 ATS away from home off a loss when matched up against a foe off a win, including a perfect 12-0 ATS when catching 7+ points. Take Georgia + the points. |
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02-14-18 | Kentucky +8.5 v. Auburn | Top | 66-76 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Auburn. The Wildcats come into tonight's game off 3 straight losses. And they've also failed to cover their last four games. Meanwhile, Auburn's off a 17-point win (and cover) at Georgia. But that sets up our play tonight, as SEC Conference teams are a perfect 22-0 ATS when getting 6+ points, if they're off 3 straight losses, and also on a 4-game point spread losing streak, and matched up against a conference opponent not off an ATS loss. Take Kentucky. NCAA ELITE INFO WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-14-18 | Villanova v. Providence +9.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Villanova. The Wildcats enter this game with a superb 23-2 record. But NCAA teams that have won more than 90% of their games (thru their first 25+ games of the season) are an awful 30-56-3 ATS as single-digit favorites in Conference games vs. foes with a .500 (or better) conference record! Also, Providence is 9-1 ATS its last 10 when playing with same-season revenge. Take the Friars + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-14-18 | Mississippi State v. Vanderbilt -1 | Top | 80-81 | Push | 0 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Mississippi State. These two teams met in Starkville earlier this season, and the Bulldogs blew out Vandy, 80-62. But you know what they say about 'paybacks,' and I love Vandy to avenge that defeat with a blowout of its own, tonight. The Commodores are an awesome 50-33 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year, including 6-0 ATS the last three seasons. That doesn't bode well for the Bulldogs. And neither does the fact that Miss State is an awful 15-31-2 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. a foe playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year, including 1-13 ATS when its foe was off a double-digit loss. With Vandy, indeed, off a double-digit loss at Arkansas, we'll take the Commodores to roll this evening. Take Vandy. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-14-18 | South Florida +13.5 v. UCF | Top | 57-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 6 pm (please note the early start time), our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Central Florida. The Knights upset Memphis, 68-64, as a 3-point underdog in their previous game. But off that upset win, we'll fade UCF as a double-digit favorite, as they fall into a 75-155 ATS 'letdown' system of mine, which goes against certain double-digit faves off upset wins. Also, the underdog has covered 10 of 14 in this rivalry. Take South Florida + the points. |
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02-13-18 | Virginia v. Miami-FL +5.5 | Top | 59-50 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Virginia. The Hurricanes are a fantastic 36-3 straight-up their last 39 home games. And they've excelled vs. the better foes, as they've cashed 60% ATS vs. .714 (or better) opponents. We'll grab the points with Miami, as home dogs of more than 5 points, that have won at least 35 of their previous 40 home games, have cashed 68.1% of their conference games since 1990. Take the Hurricanes + the points. |
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02-13-18 | South Carolina +12.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Tennessee. The Gamecocks come into this game off 5 SU/ATS losses, while Tennessee's 18-6 SU and 14-8 ATS. So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to lay the double-digits with the homestanding Volunteers. But double-digit SEC road underdogs have gone 22-5 ATS off 4 point spread defeats. And South Carolina also falls into a 536-400 ATS system of mine which plays on certain double-digit dogs off a SU/ATS home defeat. Take the Gamecocks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-13-18 | Arkansas v. Ole Miss | Top | 75-64 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels over Arkansas. Ole Miss comes into tonight's game off 5 straight losses (both SU and ATS). But I love them to bounce back at home tonight, as Ole Miss is a super 94-59-2 ATS at home when priced from +1 to -8 points, while Arkansas is an awful 56-116 ATS on the SEC road when not getting 11+ points! Finally, Ole Miss is 36-11-2 ATS its last 49 games vs. the Razorbacks, including 16-1-1 ATS when priced from +2 to -10. Look for Mississippi to snap its losing streak tonight for coach Andy Kennedy (who just announced he will depart at the end of the season). Take Mississippi. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-13-18 | Oklahoma +8 v. Texas Tech | Top | 78-88 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 20 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Texas Tech. The Sooners defeated Texas Tech, 75-65, in Norman five weeks ago, but have gone 3-6 SU and 1-8 ATS since (including 0-5 ATS their last five). I love the Sooners to cover this big number, as .666 (or better) college hoops teams off 5+ ATS losses are 72% ATS when getting more than 6 points in conference games since 2005. Take the Sooners. |
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02-12-18 | East Tennessee State v. NC-Greensboro -1.5 | Top | 56-74 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Greensboro Spartans minus the points over East Tennessee State. The Buccaneers come into this evening's game on an impressive 16-game win streak. But they've been installed as an underdog tonight vs. UNCG. And I expect the Spartans to put a halt to the Bucs' win streak, as College Basketball teams on a 14-game (or better) win streak are 10-32 straight-up and 14-27-1 ATS as underdogs in the regular season vs. conference foes with a worse record. Also, NC-Greensboro is on a solid 8-2 ATS run at home, and is also 15-4-1 ATS in games where the line was less than 9 points. Take UNC-G. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-11-18 | Washington State +15 v. Oregon | Top | 57-84 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Oregon. The Cougars have lost their last six games (both SU and ATS), with the last five coming by double-digits. But we'll take the points with Washington State tonight, as Pac-12 Conference road underdogs (or PK) have cashed 61.1% over the past 23 years off three SU/ATS double-digit losses. Take Washington State + the points. NCAA Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-11-18 | Cincinnati v. SMU +8 | Top | 76-51 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Cincinnati. The Bearcats blew out SMU by 20 points earlier this season. But we'll take the revenge-minded home underdog this afternoon, as SMU is 12-1 ATS its last 13 when playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points. And the Mustangs also fall into a 101-39 ATS 'revenge' system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points earlier in the season. Take SMU. NCAA Hoops Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-18 | Cal Poly v. Long Beach State -9.5 | Top | 54-73 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Long Beach State 49ers minus the points over Cal Poly SLO. The 49ers dropped their previous game -- also here at home -- to Cal Davis. But Long Beach is an awesome 67.8% ATS since 1990 at home in conference games off a conference home loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-18 | USC v. Arizona -5.5 | Top | 67-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over USC. The Wildcats were upset in their last games -- also here at home -- by the UCLA Bruins. But I expect Arizona to bounce back tonight, as Arizona's cashed 89% since 1990 as home favorites priced from -3.5 to -13.5 points off an upset home loss. And the Wildcats are also 12-5 ATS their last 17 games vs. USC, including 5-1 ATS off a SU loss. Lay the points with Arizona. NCAA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-18 | Portland v. Pacific -9 | Top | 58-60 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers minus the points over Portland. The Tigers have covered their last three games (and also 11 of their last 12). I won't step in front of this freight train here, at home, as Pacific is 97-68 ATS at home off a home game. And those numbers improve to 50-28 ATS when Pacific is matched up against a revenge-minded foe (Pacific already blew out Portland this season). Take Pacific minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-18 | CS Sacramento +17.5 v. Montana | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento State Hornets + the points over Montana. Sacramento State comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have won 12 straight games, including a 12-point win over these Hornets back in January. But I look for a letdown vs. Sacramento State tonight, as revenge-minded teams off a loss (like the Hornets) have gone 248-195 ATS vs. foes off 12+ wins. Take Sacramento State. NCAA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-18 | Belmont v. Tennessee Tech +7 | Top | 75-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on Tennessee Tech + the points over Belmont. The Golden Eagles are 10-1 at home this season, yet find themselves installed as a big home underdog vs. Belmont. I love playing on teams with strong home courts as home underdogs, and won't make an exception here, as Tennessee Tech falls into a 126-59 ATS system of mine which takes such teams. Moreover, Tennessee Tech plays with revenge from a 13-point loss at Belmont. And the Golden Eagles are 40-22 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit defeat. Take Tennessee Tech + the points. |
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02-10-18 | The Citadel v. Samford -5.5 | Top | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on Samford minus the points over The Citadel. Samford's lost its last three games SU/ATS, but has covered 63% as a favorite since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS losses. And it's also 4-1 ATS its last 5 meetings vs. The Citadel. Lay the points. |
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02-10-18 | Princeton -5.5 v. Dartmouth | Top | 56-72 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers minus the points over Dartmouth. Princeton has won 46 of the last 54 meetings straight-up vs. Dartmouth. And it's also 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings here, in Hanover. It's true that the Tigers come into this game off 3 straight losses. But those defeats have triggered a 237-148 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites (or PK) off 3+ losses. Finally, the Big Green is a poor 22-40-1 ATS as home underdogs of +4.5 or more points. Take Princeton. IVY LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-18 | Dayton v. VCU -4 | Top | 84-88 | Push | 0 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over Dayton. The Flyers won, 88-73, vs. Duquesne on Wednesday. Unfortunately, Anthony Grant's men are an awful 1-10 SU/ATS off a win. Even worse: Dayton already blew out VCU, 106-79, earlier this season. But VCU is 22-9-1 ATS when favored by less than 12 points, and playing with same-season revenge. Take the Rams minus the points. |
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02-10-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock +11 v. Troy State | Top | 64-82 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on Arkansas Little Rock + the points over Troy. It's true that Little Rock has lost seven straight, while Troy is on a 2-game win streak. But Troy is a dismal 14-30 ATS when laying 2+ points off a win. And it's also 2-6 its last eight games vs. Little Rock. Meanwhile, Sun Belt Conference underdogs of more than 3 points are 60.2% ATS away from home if they lost their 6 previous games. Take Little Rock. |
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02-10-18 | Charlotte +9.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 54-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Southern Miss. Charlotte comes into this game on a nine-game losing streak, and a 5-17 overall record. But the 49ers fall into 399-238 and 139-69 ATS systems of mine which play on certain awful teams to cover the spread. Also, the 49ers are 9-1 ATS their last 10 meetings at Southern Miss (and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings, regardless of venue). Take Charlotte + the points. |
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02-10-18 | Rutgers +9 v. Nebraska | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Nebraska. Rutgers dropped its last game -- at home -- by 22 points to the Indiana Hoosiers, as a 2-point underdog. But I love Rutgers to bounce back today off that horrible game, as it's cashed 72% since 1990 in conference games after failing to cover by 20+ points in its previous game. Meanwhile, the 'Huskers are an awful 22% ATS since 1990 in conference games off an upset win, if their opponent is off a SU/ATS home loss. Take Rutgers. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-10-18 | Quinnipiac +11.5 v. Canisius | Top | 64-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Quinnipiac Bobcats + the points over Canisius. The Golden Griffins bested the Bobcats by eight points, 82-74, on January 5. And Canisius has also won its last three games. Unfortunately, since 1990, Canisius is an awful 38% ATS as a favorite off back to back wins, including 28% ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Quinnipiac. |
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02-10-18 | CS-Northridge v. Hawaii -11.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal State Northridge. The Rainbows, by virtue of being several hours away from the mainland, have always had a strong home court advantage. And tonight's game falls into a very good long-term situation for Hawaii, as it's off a home loss (and four straight losses, overall). And, since 1990, the Rainbows have covered 61% in conference games at home off a home loss (and 74% if they also lost two games back)! Lay the points with Hawaii. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-08-18 | Pittsburgh +18.5 v. Clemson | Top | 48-72 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Clemson. We played against Pitt this past Saturday, and cashed a huge play on North Carolina when it blew out the Panthers, 96-65. But that was Pitt's only point spread defeat in its past six games. So, we'll reverse course, and look for Pitt to resume its winning ATS ways on this Thursday. For technical support, consider that ACC Conference teams have gone 77-43-4 ATS as underdogs (or PK) off 25-point (or worse) defeats, provided their opponent wasn't also an ACC team off a 25-point loss. Also, the Panthers fall into several of my favorite NCAA systems, with records of 184-87, 117-65 and 101-42 ATS. Take Pitt. ACC Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-07-18 | UC Riverside v. Hawaii -11 | Top | 64-60 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal Riverside. Both teams enter this game on losing streaks: Hawaii's dropped its last three; Riverside's lost its last 10. But we'll lay the points with the homestanding Rainbow Warriors, as they've dominated this series, with 8 wins (both SU and ATS) in the last 11 meetings. Additionally, the Highlanders have covered just 24 of their last 65 games, while Hawaii falls into a 237-147 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off 3+ losses. Lay the points with Hawaii. Big West Conf. Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-06-18 | Boise State v. New Mexico -1 | Top | 73-71 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos over Boise State. These two teams met earlier this season in Boise, and the Broncos blew out the Lobos by 28 points, 90-62. But that huge loss sets up our play tonight, as New Mexico falls into a 74% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses by 27+ points. Additionally, New Mexico falls into a 'contrarian' angle of mine which is 93-48 ATS which plays on certain teams, with a worse record, favored over a better opponent. Finally, New Mexico is a solid 130-93 ATS at home vs. conference foes, including 43-27, 63.1% ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. And it's 5-2-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) conference defeat. Take the Lobos tonight. NCAA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-06-18 | Missouri v. Ole Miss -1 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Missouri. The Rebels lost at Tennessee by 33 points on Saturday. But Ole Miss is a super 19-1 ATS off an SEC loss away from home, including 14-0 ATS since Jan. 27, 2016. And it's also 22-11 ATS as a conference home favorite, if its opponent is off back to back wins. Take Mississippi. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-06-18 | Nebraska v. Minnesota -1.5 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Nebraska. The 'Huskers have won their last three games, and have covered their last five. But this is an awful set-up for Nebraska, as it will have to take on a Gophers squad which is looking to snap a 5-game losing streak. And Minny also will be playing with revenge from an upset loss to these Cornhuskers in Lincoln, in December. Minnesota actually almost ended its losing streak over the weekend, but fell in overtime in Ann Arbor to the Wolverines, as a 12.5-point underdog. But tonight's game is in Minneapolis. And the Cornhuskers are an awful 25-57 ATS as an underdog (or PK) away from home after covering the spread by more than 3 points (and winning straight-up) in its previous game, including 3-9 ATS if its opponent was playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. Take Minnesota. Big 10 Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-06-18 | Boston College v. Notre Dame -7 | Top | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Boston College. We played on Boston College on Sunday, and were rewarded with a win (and cover) in overtime vs. Georgia Tech. The Eagles now have to travel to South Bend, Indiana to take on an Irish squad which is mired in a 7-game losing streak. But the good news for Notre Dame is that favorites of more than 6 points off 7+ losses have gone 57% ATS at home (or on a neutral court) since 1990. Take the Irish. |
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02-06-18 | Northern Illinois +14 v. Toledo | Top | 77-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Toledo. It's true that the Huskies were blown out by 16 points, on Saturday, as a 3.5-point home favorite by Miami-Ohio. But the Huskies are a solid 49-27 ATS as a double-digit underdog off a loss, and 42-22 ATS away from home off a home loss. And they also fall into a 386-208 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off losses. Take the Huskies. |
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02-06-18 | Missouri State +2 v. Indiana State | Top | 81-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears + the points over Indiana State. Missouri State is 2-7 SU and 0-9 ATS its last nine games. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Bears, but underdogs on a 9-game (or worse) point spread losing streak have actually been decent bets over the years, and especially if the also lost their two previous games, straight-up (63.4% ATS). Take Missouri State. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-06-18 | Xavier v. Butler -3 | Top | 98-93 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Xavier. The Bulldogs are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, including a 23-point blowout of DePaul on Saturday. We'll take the Bulldogs at home, as they fall into a 'momentum' system of mine which is 175-96 ATS which plays on certain home teams off 3+ SU/ATS wins. Butler's also 8-0 ATS its last eight at home off a win. Lay the points with the Bulldogs. |
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02-06-18 | Pennsylvania v. Princeton -4.5 | Top | 82-65 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers minus the points over Penn. The Quakers are 15-6 this season, and are undefeated in Ivy League play. But this will actually be their first road game in the Ivy League, after opening league play with five straight home games. And the Quakers have covered just nine of their last 29 Ivy League road games! They've also lost their last eight games, straight-up, at Princeton. Take the Tigers minus the points. |
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02-04-18 | Georgia Tech v. Boston College -3.5 | Top | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles minus the points over Georgia Tech. The Eagles are at home in Chestnut Hill for this afternoon contest vs. the Yellow Jackets after dropping their last two games (both SU and ATS) vs. Virginia Tech and Syracuse. But the good news for BC is that it has covered 10 straight at home after not registering an ATS win in either of its two previous games. And Boston College also falls into a 129-57 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off 3+ losses. Finally, since 1990, ACC Conference teams are 67% ATS as home favorites off 3+ losses when matched up against a foe with a .500 (or better) SU/ATS record. Take Boston College. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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02-03-18 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina -23 | Top | 65-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Pittsburgh. We played on the Panthers in their last game, and got the $$$ when they covered against Miami. That was the Panthers' fifth straight ATS win. But we'll fade them this evening in Chapel Hill, as they'll be up against a Tar Heel squad which should be in an ornery mood after losing its last three games (both SU and ATS). But the good news for North Carolina is that favorites (or PK) off back-to-back losses have gone 72-46 ATS since 1990 vs. conference foes off 5+ ATS wins, including 15-4 ATS as favorites of 9+ points. Take the Tar Heels. NCAA Big Chalk Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-02-18 | Utah v. Colorado +1 | Top | 55-67 | Win | 102 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes over Utah. The Buffaloes were swept by Utah in the two meetings last season, but I love Colorado to avenge those losses this evening. And especially because Colorado checks into this game on a 3-game losing streak (while Utah is on a 3-game ATS win streak). Indeed, since 1990, revenge-minded teams off a SU/ATS loss (and 3+ losses, overall) have gone 380-313 ATS vs. conference foes off three straight ATS wins. Additionally, Colorado is a solid 25-11 ATS at home off 3+ losses. Take the Buffaloes. NCAA Hoops High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-02-18 | Rhode Island v. VCU +3.5 | Top | 81-68 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams + the points over Rhode Island. The Rams have been installed as a home underdog, notwithstanding the fact that they've won 36 of their last 41 home games, straight-up (18-13-1 ATS). VCU plays with revenge from a loss in the Atlantic 10 Tournament to Rhode Island. And NCAA Teams have gone 46-14 ATS at home vs. .770 (or better) conference foes when playing with revenge from a Tourney defeat, if they were not favored by more than 4 points. Take the Rams. Atlantic 10 Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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02-02-18 | Niagara v. St. Peter's -3 | Top | 52-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Peters Peacocks minus the points over Niagara. The Peacocks were upset by Siena, 59-57, in their last game, and have dropped their last six games, overall, to fall to 8-13 on the season. Meanwhile, Niagara is 14-9, and comes into this game off back to back wins. Yet St. Peters finds itself installed as a favorite in this game. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the underdog Purple Eagles. But consider that teams off upset conference losses, that were on a 4-game (or worse) losing streak, have covered 16 of 17 (94.1% ATS) as home favorites vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take St. Peters. NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-31-18 | Pittsburgh +16.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Miami. The Panthers are not winning their games, straight-up, but they've been cashing tickets in Vegas. Pitt has lost its last nine games, but has covered its last four. And I love the Panthers tonight, as they fall into a 182-87 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain road teams off losses. Even better: ACC Conference teams, off five (or more) conference defeats, are 99-74-5 ATS since 1991. Take Pittsburgh. |
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01-30-18 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +4.5 | Top | 79-70 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Auburn. Ole Miss is 10-3 SU at home this season, and it's covered its last six home games in a row. Mississippi did lose its last game, 85-72, at Texas. But that bodes well for Mississippi tonight, as it's an awesome 44-25 ATS at home vs. SEC Conference foes if Ole Miss is off a double-digit loss, including 13-0 ATS its last 13 vs. foes with a .500 (or better) Conference record. Take Mississippi + the points. SEC Conference Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-28-18 | Purdue v. Indiana +11 | Top | 74-67 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Purdue. The Hoosiers are a super 20-8 ATS as home underdogs vs. Big 10 Conference foes, provided Indiana's win percentage was .415 (or better). That bodes well for the Hoosiers today, as does the fact that the home team is 28-19 in this rivalry. Finally, teams (like Purdue) that have won their 15 previous games are a poor 67-92 ATS in the regular season as double-digit favorites vs. conference foes off a loss. Take Indiana. |
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01-28-18 | Michigan State v. Maryland +5.5 | Top | 74-68 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Michigan St. Maryland is 12-1 at home this season (7-2 ATS), and has also won 68 of its last 78 home games, straight-up. The Terps are also 10-3 ATS their last 13 as home underdogs, and play this game with revenge from a 30-point defeat in East Lansing, on January 4. We'll grab the points with Mark Turgeon's men, as revenge-minded teams with a .583 (or better) win percentage, and a home W/L percentage of at least .834, are 73.6% ATS as home underdogs of +3 or more points vs. .860 (or better) conference foes, provided our home dog doesn't have a winning conference record. But that's not the best part: if our home pup was playing with revenge from a loss by 16+ points earlier in the season, then our 73.6% angle zooms to 90% ATS since 1992. Take Maryland. |
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01-28-18 | Villanova v. Marquette +8 | Top | 85-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles + the points over Villanova. Marquette has been strong on its home court over the years. It's 9-3 this season, and has won 34 of its last 45 at home. Here, the Golden Eagles have been installed as a home underdog. We'll grab the points, as home dogs of more than 5 points have covered 65% since 1993, if they've won at least 29 of their previous 40 home games, straight-up, and they're matched up against a .900 (or better) conference foe off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Marquette. |
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01-27-18 | Stanford v. UCLA -6 | Top | 73-89 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show |
At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal routed UCLA, 107-99, in Palo Alto earlier this month. Unfortunately for Stanford, .583 (or worse) Pac-12 Conference underdogs are a dismal 1-24 ATS vs. revenge-minded conference foes off a win, if that foe didn't cover the spread in its previous game. With the Bruins, indeed, off a win vs. California (but an ATS loss), we'll take UCLA tonight. |
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01-27-18 | Virginia Tech v. Notre Dame -3.5 | Top | 80-75 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Virginia Tech. We played on the Hokies this past Monday, and were rewarded when they upset the North Carolina Tar Heels, 80-69. But I look for a letdown tonight, as Va Tech is a poor 31-46 ATS in the regular season off an upset win, including 0-7 ATS since 2009 when the line was 4 points or less. Take Notre Dame. |
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01-27-18 | Wake Forest +9.5 v. Louisville | Top | 77-96 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Louisville. Wake Forest is on a six-game SU/ATS losing streak. But road teams are a solid 75.8 ATS off six SU/ATS losses vs. .750 (or better) conference foes. Take the Demon Deacons. |
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01-27-18 | Cal Poly +11.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 56-80 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 24 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Davis. Cal Poly has dropped its last five games, including a loss at home to Long Beach St. on Thursday. But we'll grab the points with Cal Poly tonight, as Big West Conference road underdogs are a super 74-39 ATS in conference games off a conference loss as a home underdog (or PK). Moreover, Cal Poly falls into a 384-206 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses. Take Cal Poly. |
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01-27-18 | Bowling Green +13 v. Toledo | Top | 75-101 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons + the points over Toledo. The Falcons were blown out, 93-62, as a 2-point road underdog on Tuesday by Northern Illinois. And that was the Falcons' 2nd straight SU/ATS loss. But Mid-American Conference teams are 45-20 ATS away from home as a double-digit underdog, if they failed to cover the spread by 11+ points in their previous game, and also lost SU/ATS two games back. Take Bowling Green. |
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01-27-18 | Dartmouth v. Yale -9 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs minus the points over Dartmouth. Yale was upset, at home by Harvard last night. But we'll lay the points with Yale this evening vs. Dartmouth, as the Bulldogs are 15-1-1 ATS vs. Dartmouth when priced from -4.5 to -11.5 points. And Yale also falls into a 137-76 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-27-18 | SIU-Edwardsville +20 v. Belmont | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the SIU-Edwardsville Cougars + the points over Belmont. The Cougars have dropped their last three games (both SU and ATS), while Belmont is on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak (including a 15-point win at Edwardsville 16 days ago). The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'hot' Bruins. But consider that teams on 5-Game SU/ATS win streaks have only covered 32% the past 10 years vs. foes on 3-Game SU/ATS losing streaks (including just 16% vs. revenge-minded foes). Take SIU-Edwardsville. |
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01-27-18 | Cincinnati v. Memphis +12 | Top | 62-48 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Cincinnati. The Tigers are 13-7 on the season, but were blown out by 34 points earlier this year, 82-48, by these Bearcats. We'll take Memphis in this re-match, as winning teams have cashed 69% since March 1991 when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) loss earlier in the season, if they were a home dog of more than 9 points. Take Memphis + the points. NCAA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-27-18 | Troy State +11 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 69-81 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans + the points over Louisiana Lafayette. The Trojans come into this game off a SU/ATS loss to Louisiana Monroe, and have dropped their last three games vs. the point spread. But Troy is a fantastic 10-2 ATS off a Sun Belt Conference defeat. And Sun Belt underdogs (or PK) are 63% ATS in conference games, if they're off a SU/ATS conference loss, and matched up against a foe off a home SU/ATS win vs. a conference foe. Finally, Troy falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 327-190, 502-344 and 378-231 ATS since 1990. Take Troy St. Sun Belt Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-27-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama +2.5 | Top | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide over Oklahoma. We played on the Sooners earlier this week and got the $$$ when they defeated Kansas, 85-80. But I look for the Sooners have a letdown away from home this afternoon, as they're 0-3 SU/ATS their last three road games (compared to 6-0 SU and 4-1 ATS their last six home games). And Oklahoma is an awful 0-9 ATS their last 9 as road favorites (and 3-18 ATS their last 21 away from home as a favorite). Take Alabama. |
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01-27-18 | Akron v. Ball State -7 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals minus the points over Akron. The Cardinals are off back to back SU losses (and four ATS losses), while the Zips are off back to back SU/ATS wins. But we'll look for a reversal this afternoon, and lay the points with Ball State. The Cardinals fall into a 71-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses, while Akron is an awful 0-9 ATS over the last year off back to back wins! Take Ball State. High Noon Hanging! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-25-18 | UCF v. Wichita State -14 | Top | 62-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers minus the points over Central Florida. The Shockers were "shocked" in their last two games, as they were upset by SMU (as a 9.5-point favorite) eight days ago, and then also lost at Houston (as a 3-point favorite) on Saturday. I look for Wichita to bounce back at home tonight, as it is 21-8-1 ATS when favored (or PK) at home off an upset conference defeat. Take the Shockers. |
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01-25-18 | Northern Arizona v. Montana State -10.5 | Top | 77-75 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Montana State Bobcats minus the points over Northern Arizona. It's true that the Bobcats are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. But two of those three previous opponents (Portland State and Montana) owned win percentages of .687 and .722, so it wasn't a great surprise that the Bobcats lost those games. Here, however, Montana State's opponent has won just three of its 20 games this season, and has lost its last seven in a row. The Bobcats have done great this year against inferior opposition, as they're 5-0 straight-up and 4-1 ATS when favored by more than 5 points. Also, the Bobcats fall into a 90-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses. Lay the wood with Montana State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-25-18 | Florida International v. Rice +1.5 | Top | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Florida International. The Owls are on a 3-Game SU/ATS losing streak, but I love them to bounce back tonight, at home, as an underdog, as they fall into a 101-50 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses. Additionally, dating back to 1990, Conference USA home underdogs are an awesome 62.2% in conference games off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 70.2% if they lost by double-digits in their previous game. With Rice, indeed, off a 69-54 loss to Louisiana Tech, we'll take the Owls on Thursday night. NCAA Roadkill Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-25-18 | Texas-Arlington v. Georgia State -4 | Top | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Texas Arlington. The Panthers are on a huge roll right now, as they've won their last 5, and covered their last 3. I look for them to stay 'red-hot,' as they fall into a momentum system of mine which is 174-94 ATS since 1990. Even better: the Mavericks blew out Louisiana-Monroe, 71-55, last Saturday, but are an awful 5-18 ATS in conference games off a 16-point win. Lay the points with Georgia State. |
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01-24-18 | Colorado State v. San Diego State -14 | Top | 78-97 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs minus the points over Colorado St. The Aztecs have lost their last three games, including an upset loss on the road to New Mexico, 79-75, on Saturday. But I look for SDSU to bounce back, as it's 20-10 ATS as a favorite vs. conference foes, if the Aztecs were off back to back conference losses. And the Aztecs also fall into a 136-76 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Lay the points with San Diego St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-24-18 | UC Riverside +10.5 v. Cal-Irvine | Top | 40-79 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Riverside Highlanders + the points over Cal Irvine. Riverside has lost its last seven games (and has failed to cover its last three). But we'll grab the points with the Highlanders on Wednesday, as they fall into a 384-205 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off losses. Moreover, Big West Conference double-digit underdogs off a pointspread defeat, that don't have a winning ATS record on the season, are a super 118-82 ATS vs. conference foes. And, finally, the Highlanders are a sensational 40-10-3 ATS as conference road underdogs when playing with at least four days' of rest. Take Cal Riverside. |
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01-24-18 | San Jose State +22 v. Boise State | Top | 71-94 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over Boise St. Both teams come into this game off a loss to Nevada. The Spartans fell, 71-54, at home to Nevada a week ago, while Boise lost to Nevada on Saturday, 74-68. San Jose St. falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 182-86 ATS since 1990. Also, Boise is a poor 2-9 ATS at home off a loss, if it's matched up against a conference foe also off a loss. Take San Jose. |
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01-24-18 | Auburn v. Missouri -2 | Top | 91-73 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over Auburn. Missouri was blown out last weekend, 60-49, by Texas A&M. However, Mizzou is a super 7-0-2 ATS its last nine off a conference loss by more than 10 points, if its opponent was off a win. Take Missouri. |
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01-24-18 | Indiana v. Illinois -2 | Top | 71-73 | Push | 0 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Indiana. Illinois comes into this game off a loss, 87-74, as a 12-point home underdog to Michigan State. But the Illini are a super 95-61 ATS off a straight-up loss to a conference foe, if they were an underdog in that previous game. And Illinois also falls into a 44-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back conference losses. Take the Illini. |
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01-23-18 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -1 | Top | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners over Kansas. We played against the Sooners in their last game, and got the $$$ when the Cowboys upset them, 83-81, in overtime. That was Oklahoma's second straight loss -- both as a 2-point road favorite -- but I love them to bounce back, in Norman, tonight. Oklahoma is 9-0 straight-up at home this season, and 37-21 ATS as a home favorite of -6 or less points (or PK). Take Oklahoma. |
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01-23-18 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech -9 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Oklahoma State. The Cowboys pulled off an upset of their rival, Oklahoma, in Stillwater, on Saturday. I look for a letdown tonight in Lubbock, as Oklahoma State falls into a negative 32-72 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Also, the Cowboys are an awful 47-74 ATS off a home conference win, while the Red Raiders are 36-20 ATS at home off a blowout loss by 15+ point (Texas Tech lost, 70-52, at Iowa State on Saturday). Take the Red Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-23-18 | Arkansas +1.5 v. Georgia | Top | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks over Georgia. The Bulldogs were blown out by 14 points, 79-65, in their last game at Auburn. They now return home to take on Arkansas. Unfortunately, Georgia falls into a negative 38% ATS system of mine which fades certain home favorites off blowout losses by 14+ points. Take the Razorbacks. |
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01-22-18 | Kansas State v. Baylor -4.5 | Top | 90-83 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Kansas State. These two teams met in the Big 12 Conference Tournament, and the Wildcats upset the Bears, 70-64, as as 4.5-point underdog. That upset loss has triggered one of my favorite 'revenge' systems tonight, which is 94-44 ATS since 1990. Even better: the Wildcats are an awful 11-32 ATS away from home when priced from +3.5 to +8.5 points, including 2-19 ATS vs. .770 (or worse) opposition. Take Baylor! NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-22-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over North Carolina. The Hokies have been installed as a home underdog tonight. But I look for an upset, as they are 10-2 SU and 5-3 ATS in Blacksburg this season. And Virginia Tech falls into a 129-60 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs with strong home courts. Even better: the Hokies are a solid 12-1 ATS since 2016 as home underdogs (or PK). And they're 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings vs. North Carolina, including 8-2 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +12.5 points. Take the Hokies + the points. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-20-18 | Charlotte +6.5 v. Florida International | Top | 59-79 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers (rotation #653) + the points over Florida International. The 49ers fall into my favorite NCAA Basketball system, which is 327-189 ATS since 1990. Additionally, the Golden Panthers are a poor 83-113 ATS at home, including 51-74 ATS off a loss. Take the points with Charlotte. Conference USA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-18-18 | Santa Clara +11 v. San Francisco | Top | 65-62 | Win | 100 | 17 h 53 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos + the points over the San Francisco Dons. Santa Clara was blown out, 84-50, at home by BYU in its last game. But it's a super 38-13 ATS in the regular season away from home off a loss by more than 10 points. And it also falls into a 73-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take the Broncos + the points. |
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01-18-18 | Michigan v. Nebraska +5.5 | Top | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Michigan. The Wolves are ranked among the Top 25, with a 16-4 SU and 11-8 ATS record, but will have a tough time, tonight, in Lincoln. Nebraska's been exceptionally strong at home this season, as it's 10-1 SU and 7-2 ATS on the year. The Huskers are a perfect 2-0 ATS this season as home underdogs, as they lost by 1 (getting 12) vs. Kansas, and then also upset Minnesota, 78-68, as a 9-point home dog. Since 1990, Nebraska's a super 63% ATS as home underdogs vs. conference foes with a winning ATS record, including 19-6 ATS if the 'Huskers were off an ATS loss. With Nebraska, indeed, off a point spread defeat this past Monday vs. Illinois, we'll grab the points with Nebraska. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-18-18 | Coastal Carolina +1 v. South Alabama | Top | 57-60 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over South Alabama. The Chanticleers have lost their last five games SU/ATS. But I love them tonight, as they fall into a 383-238 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain teams with poor records. Even better: the Jaguars have covered just 33% at home over the past 28 years vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses. Take Coastal Carolina. |
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01-18-18 | Virginia v. Georgia Tech +8.5 | Top | 64-48 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Virginia. The Yellow Jackets have won their last four games, straight-up, and have covered the spread in their last five. That bodes well for them as a home underdog, as home dogs are 45-13 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins if they own a winning ATS record, and their foe is also off a SU/ATS win. Take Georgia Tech. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-17-18 | Fresno State +7.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St Bulldogs (rotation #785) plus the points over San Diego St. The Bulldogs are on a seven-game ATS losing streak. But in none of those games were they a road underdog. And that's Fresno's best point spread role, as it's 48-23 ATS its last 71 as a road dog. Moreover, Fresno St falls into a 154-88 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 6+ ATS defeats. Take the Bulldogs. NCAA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-17-18 | Utah State +11 v. Boise State | Top | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies (rotation #767) + the points over Boise St. Utah State is off back to back SU/ATS losses. But those two defeats have triggered a 382-205 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off back to back SU/ATS losses. And the Broncos are also a poor 1-8 ATS as double-digit favorites vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Utah St. |
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01-17-18 | Iowa State v. TCU -10.5 | Top | 73-96 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs (rotation #764) minus the points over Iowa St. Jamie Dixon's men have suffered three straight close losses -- by 4, 1 and 5 points. Those defeats have lowered the Horned Frogs' record to 13-4. But I love them to rebound at home, tonight, as a double-digit favorite vs. the Cyclones, as they've covered 67% since 1990 as a favorite off back-to-back losses vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win. Take the Horned Frogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-17-18 | St. John's +12.5 v. Xavier | Top | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St Johns Red Storm (rotation #761) + the points over Xavier. The Johnnies have lost six straight games, but I love them to bounce back tonight, as they fall into a 180-86 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses. Also, St Johns is 24-11 ATS as an underdog of +11 or more points off a loss when playing a foe off a win. Grab the points with the underdog Red Storm. |
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01-17-18 | Duquesne v. St. Louis -4 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens (rotation #758) minus the points over Duquesne. St Louis lost, 86-81, last Saturday at George Mason. But the Billikens generally bounce back off losses, and they're a perfect 12-0 ATS the past two seasons off a road loss. Take St Louis. |
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01-17-18 | Auburn v. Alabama +1.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide (rotation #746) over Auburn. The Tigers have won 14 straight (and have covered their last four) heading into this game at rival Alabama. But I look for the Tide to snap that win streak tonight, as it falls into a 93-48 ATS 'contrarian' system of mine which goes against certain 'hot' teams. The Crimson Tide are also 6-0 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Take Alabama. |
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01-16-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -10 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Ole Miss. Texas A&M comes into this game off five straight losses. But the Aggies are a super 49-16 ATS off a loss vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss, if the Aggies are at home or on a neutral court, and have a .440 (or better) win percentage. Lay the points with A&M. |
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01-16-18 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse -16.5 | Top | 45-59 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Pitt. The Panthers have been poor over the last 28 years as underdogs of more than 16 points, as they've covered just 18 percent of the time. Meanwhile, Syracuse is 37-20 ATS in Conference play when it didn't own a winning conference record (Syracuse is currently 1-4 in ACC play). Finally, the Orange fall into a 68-27 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks, and they're 10-2 ATS at home vs. conference foes. Take Syracuse. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-16-18 | Vanderbilt +4.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 62-80 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Mississippi State. Vanderbilt certainly hasn't made many friends in Las Vegas this season, as it's 1-13 ATS. On the other hand, Mississippi State has been barely much better, as it's 3-9 ATS on the year. We'll grab the points with the Commodores, as they fall into 26-0 and 81-32 ATS systems of mine which play on certain teams off SU/ATS losses. And it also falls into a 57-17 ATS angle of mine which plays on certain SEC Conference teams off 4+ ATS losses. Take Vanderbilt. |
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01-15-18 | Illinois +5.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over Nebraska, as Illinois falls into 23-1, 179-86 and 18-0 ATS systems of mine. The Illini come into this game off three straight losses -- all in Conference play -- to Minnesota, Michigan and Iowa. But Illinois is a fantastic 12-3 ATS on the road off 3+ losses. And it's also 5-1 ATS this season off an ATS loss. Meanwhile, Nebraska's covered just 36% over the past 20 years off 4+ ATS wins. Take Illinois. Big 10 Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-15-18 | Duke v. Miami-FL +4 | Top | 83-75 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami Florida Hurricanes + the points over Duke. Miami comes into this game with a 13-3 record, and has been installed as a home underdog vs. Duke. We'll grab the points with Miami, as it falls into a 64-33 ATS "Power Home Dog" angle of mine which plays on certain strong teams when catching points at home. Additionally, Miami's a strong 135-95 ATS as an underdog. Take the Hurricanes + the points. NCAA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-14-18 | NC State v. Virginia -15 | Top | 51-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over NC State. The Wolfpack pulled off back to back upsets in their last two games -- 78-77 over Clemson (which was 13-1) and 96-85 over Duke (which was 13-1). But both of those games were at home, in Raleigh. Today's game is at Charlottesville. And NC State was blown out (by scores of 78-62 and 88-58) in its only two road games this season. Even worse: NCAA teams have covered just 31% since 1990 (at Game 18 forward) if they upset two .833 (or better) teams in their two previous games. Take Virginia. NCAA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-13-18 | Louisiana-Monroe +15.5 v. UL-Lafayette | Top | 48-82 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks (rotation #647) + the points over La Lafayette. La Monroe was upset, 79-73, by Appalachian State last Saturday. However, it's a super 9-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss! It's also 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings in this rivalry. And it falls into a 526-387 ATS system of mine which plays on certain double-digit conference underdogs off SU/ATS home losses. Take the points with Monroe. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-13-18 | Furman v. Wofford +1.5 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wofford Terriers (rotation #702) over Furman. The Paladins have covered seven straight games. But this ATS hot streak has set them up in several negative systems of mine, including one which is 25-72 ATS. We'll take Wofford here, at home, on Saturday, as the Terriers are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 lined games. And Wofford's also 17-6 SU and 16-7 ATS vs. Furman since 2007, including 9-2 ATS at home. Take Wofford. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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01-13-18 | Oregon State +12 v. Arizona State | Top | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers (rotation #617) + the points over Arizona State. We've gone against the Sun Devils three times in the past two weeks, and have won each of those three plays. We'll go against Arizona State, once again, on Saturday, as I continue to believe it is overvalued following its 12-0 start to the season. It's now lost three of its last four games (with 0 ATS wins in those four games). And it falls into a negative 341-500 ATS system of mine. Moreover, Oregon State is a fantastic 28-11-1 ATS as an underdog of more than 7 points vs. foes off upset losses. Take the Beavers. |
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01-13-18 | Troy State -1.5 v. South Alabama | Top | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans (rotation #589) minus the points over South Alabama. Troy is off a loss to Sun Belt Conference foe Texas State, 57-56, but I love it to bounce back this afternoon. Troy is 9-1 ATS off a conference defeat, and 31-22 ATS away from home off back to back losses. And it also falls into one of my favorite College Basketball systems, which is a super 325-189 ATS since 1990. Take Troy. |
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01-13-18 | Oregon v. Arizona -9 | Top | 83-90 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats (rotation #540) minus the points over Oregon. We played on the Ducks in their last game -- a 76-72 upset win of Arizona State, as an 8-point underdog. But off that upset win, we'll fade the Ducks, who fall into a negative 33-71 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins. Also, the Wildcats are a solid 35-21 ATS at home vs. foes off upset wins, including 13-4 ATS if such foe was an underdog of +7 or more points in its previous game. Take Arizona. |
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01-13-18 | Bowling Green v. Akron -3 | Top | 78-80 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips (rotation #548) minus the points over Bowling Green. The Zips have dropped their three previous games, and are 0-3 in Mid-American Conference play, but I love them to break into the MAC Conference win column this afternoon. Indeed, MAC Conference home favorites have cashed 62% since 1991 if their Conference record was 0-3 or worse. Take Akron. |