Pacers @ Bucks 8:30 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Over 222.0

Since the start of last season, Indiana has played 8-0 to the over when there’s a total of 234.5 or less and they scored 105 points or fewer in their previous game. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 245.0 points scored per game. Despite Game 1 having just a combined 203 points scored, the 6 meetings between these division rivals this season has produced an average of 245.5 points scored per game. Milwaukee has seen their last 4 go over the total after allowing 105 points or fewer in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 242.2 points scored per game.

Heat @ Celtics 1:00 PM ET

Game# 581-582

Play On: Under 210.0

Miami has allowed 105 points or fewer in each of their previous 4 games. Boston has scored 130 points or more in each of their last 2 contests. Any NBA road team like Miami is that allowed 105 points or fewer in each of their previous 4 contest, and they’re facing an opponent like Boston who scored 130 points or more in their previous game, and there’s a total of 200.0 or greater has seen those contest play 27-4 to the under since the 1996-1997 season. The average total in those 31 contests was 210.9 and there were just 201.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Heat @ 76ers 7:00 PM ET

Game# 551-552

Play On: Over 207.5

Miami has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 and there was a combined average of 220.7 points per game. The Heat have averaged 113.4 points scored per game and shot 48.1% from the floor during their last 5 contests. Miami has played 17-4 to the over in April since last season with a combined 226.3 points scored per game.

Philadelphia has played 7-3 to the over in their last 10 and there was a combined 225.3 points scored per game. The 76ers are averaging 120.2 points scored per game and shot 37.2% from beyond the 3-point line over their previous 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.

Pistons @ Spurs 3:40 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Over 214.5

If you are ever going to catch me playing on an NBA game over the last 2 weeks of regular season action involving teams eliminated from the playoffs, this is the type of situation it would be. We have the Spurs who are tied for the worst record in the Western Conference and the team with the worst record in the NBA being the Detroit Pistons squaring off.these teams have a combined record of 35-127 (.216) heading into the final day of regular season play. It’s games such as these where defensive intensity goes out the window and just short of playground type up and down playground style basketball is played. San Antonio has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home with a combined 246.5 points scored per game. Detroit has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 versus teams with a losing record and there was a combined 219.6 points scored per game. San Antonio contests at home have seen an average of 233.1 points scored per game. Conversely, Detroit has seen their road tilts average a combined 221.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Hawks @ Pacers 1:10 PM ET

Game# 513-514

Play On: Over 236.5

Atlanta is coming off a 109-106 loss at Minnesota on Friday. That game easily stayed under the total of 227.0. However, they’ve gone over in their last 4 immediately following a game that went under and there was a combined average of 243.3 points scored per game. Indiana has gone over the total in 4 consecutive contests while shooting 51.2% or better on each occasion and there was a combined average of 245.5 points scored per game. During the previous 3 times these teams faced each other this eason, there was an average total of 253.5 and a combined 269.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Wizards @ Timberwolves 8:10 PM ET

Game# 513-514

Play On: Over 222.5

Washington has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 non-conference away games and with a combined average of 252.5 points scored per game. Minnesota has shot 48.4% from the field and 38.5% from 3-point territory over their previous 5 games. The Timberwolves will be facing a Washington team that’s allowing 122.8 points per game this season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Mavericks @ Hornets 7:10 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 222.5

Charlotte has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and 8-2 to the over during the previous 10 games. The Hornets have also played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 versus opponents that possessed a winning record. Both these teams have shot the ball extremely well over each of their previous 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Knicks @ Bucks 7:10 PM ET

Game# 579-580

Play On: Over 218.5

The Knicks have played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 and 8-2 during their previous 10. During their 3 meetings versus New York this season the Bucks have averaged 132.7 points scored per game, shot 53% from the field, and made an average of 17.3 of their shots from 3-point territory. The Knicks averaged 120.7 points scored per contest and shot 49.3% in those 3 contests versus Milwaukee. The usually stout defensive play has been anything but over their previous 5 contests when they allowed opponents to shoot 50.5% and make 40.1% of their 3-point shots. The Bucks are averaging 122.1 points scored per game at home this season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Jazz @ Kings 9:10 PM ET

Game# 549-550

Play On: Under 223.0

Sacramento has played 10-1 to the under in their last 11 and 6-0 under in their previous 6 games. The Kings scored 109 points or fewer in each of their last 5 while shooting only 42.6% from the field and averaged just 20 free throw attempts per contest. Utah is averaging only 106.4 points per game in the last 5 while making a mere 28.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Jazz played 6-2 to the under during their previous 8 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Cavaliers @ Nuggets 3:40 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Over 215.5

Since the start of last season these teams have played 3 times and each went over the total with a combined average of 227.7 points scored per game. Cleveland has seen each of their last 4 go over the total by an average of 11.4 points per game. Denver is coming off a 111-98 loss to Minnesota in a game they shot a dismal 39.8% from the field. The Nuggets have played 4-1 to the over this season following a game in which they shot worse than 40% and there was 231.8 points score per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

Mavericks @ Kings 10:10 PM ET

Game# 541-542

Play On: Under 233.5

Dallas has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 with an average total of 235.8 and only a combined 215.5 points being scored per game. The Mavericks have allowed 107 points or fewer in 6 of their last 7 games. Sacramento has played 8-0 to the under in their last 8 when the total was 218.0 or greater and with a combined average of just 212.3 points scored per game. The Kings have allowed 109 points or fwer in each of their previous 9 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Knicks @ Warriors 10:10 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Under 211.5

Think about what the oddsmakers are saying with this extremely low total for a Golden State game. The Warriors average total this season has been 232.8 which is over 21 points more than tonight’s contest. Additionally, this is by far the lowest total in a Golden State game all season. The Warriors’ previous low was 215.5 at Minnesota on 11/14 and that game went under with a final score of 104-101. For what it’s worth, Golden State has played 17-6 (73.9%) to the under in their last 23 games.

The Knicks defense over their previous 5 games has been nothing short of spectacular while allowing 93 points or fewer on each occasion. During that stretch, they held their opponents to a combined 37.3% shooting from the field, 27.7% from 3-point territory, and limited them to a mere 18 free throw attempts per contest. New York has played 8-0 to the under this season following back-to-back games when they allowed 100 points or fewer. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 202.8 points scored per game. The Knicks haven’t exactly been tearing it up offensively by having scored 107 points or fewer in each of their last 9. That includes scoring less than 100 points during 6 of those previous 9 games.

Any NBA team like the Knicks with a total of between 210.0 to 219.5 that’s outscoring opponents by 3.0 or more points per game on the season, and has allowed 95 points or fewer in each of the previous 4 games, resulted in those contests playing 23-4 (852%) to the under since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Give me this game to go under the total.

Bucks @ Kings 10:10 PM ET

Game# 557-558

Play On: Over 235.0

These teams have gone over the total in their last 22 head-to-head meetings and did so by an average of 15.6 points per game. Since the start of the 2020-2021 season, they’ve met 7 times and produced a combined average of 257.4 points per game, and that includes a 143-142 Bucks win in Milwaukee on 1/14/2024.

After going through a 6-game win streak in which they allowed 106 points or fewer on each occasion, Milwaukee has dropped 2 of their last 3 while allowing 122.7 points per contest. During that recent 3-game stretch Milwaukee opponents have combined to shoot a combined 50.9%. The Bucks offensive play has very rarely been an issue this season based on them averaging 120.9 points per contest to this point.

Sacramento is coming off a 112-104 home loss to Houston that went under the total of 234.0. However, the Kings have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 245.8 points scored per game. The Kings shot 45.6% in that loss to Houston. Sacramento has shot 50% or better in 6 straight games immediately after a contest in which they shot less than 50%. Throughout their previous 6 contests, the Kings have averaged 95.3 field goal attempts per game which equates to an extremely fast pace even by NBA standards. Give me this game to go over the total.

Mavericks @ Bulls 8:10 PM ET

Game# 537-538

Play On:  Over 232.0

Dallas has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 when the total was 130.0 or greater and there was a combined 266.3 points scored per game. The Mavericks have also gone over in their last 4 aways games with a combined 253.8 points scored per contest. Chicago has played 11-1 to the over this season during non-conference home games and that includes 5-0 in the last 5 with a combined 245.0 points scored per contest. Play on this game to go over the total.

Knicks @ Cavaliers 7:10 PM ET

Game# 591-592

Play On: Over 212.5

Cleveland has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home when there was a total of 218.5 or less and a combined average of 236.2 points scored per game. Conversely, New York has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 away when there was a total of 218.5 or less and a combined 220.0 points were scored per game. Cleveland has played 12-4 to the over this season when playing teams like New York who have a winning record and there was a combined average of 232.9 points scored per game. Cleveland has played 5-1 to the over in their previous 6 at home. The Cavaliers have made a superb 40.2% of their 3-point shots throughout their previous 5 games. The Knicks have allowed opponents to make 41.3% of their 3-points shots over their previous 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.

Lakers @ Warriors 10:00 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: Over 242.0

The Lakers have played 15-1 to the over on the road this season whenever there’s been a total of 230.0 or greater and there was a combined 248.7 points scored per contest. During their last 3 before the all-star break, the Lakers averaged 134.0 points scored per game and shot 54.8% from the field. Conversely, Golden State averaged 127.6 points scored per contest, shot 49.3% from the field, and made a superb 44.7% of their 3-point attempts throughout their previous 5 games. These teams met once this season and the Lakers came away with a 145-144 overtime win at Golden State. However, that contest was tied 133-133 at the end of regulation play and still easy surpassed the posted total. The last 4 meetings between these division rivals that were played at Golden State all went over the total.

Suns @ Kings 10:00 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Over 244.5

These teams have seen all 3 of their previous meetings go under the total this season and there was just a combined 227.0 points scored per game. Yet this current total is higher than any of the first 3 encounters. The oddsmakers are trying to tell you something but most won’t her that message.

Sacramento has gone 5-0-1 to the over in their last 6 with a combined 245.5 points scored per game. The Kings have shot 49% or betting during 16 of their last 23 games. Sacramento has also allowed an alarmingly high 123.4 points per game while opponents shot a combined 53.9% throughout the Kings previous 5 games.

Timberwolves @ Clippers 10:40 PM ET

Game# 589-590

Play On: Over 224.0

Both teams have shot the ball very well over each of their previous 5 games. During that time the Clippers shot 51.1% from the field, made an extremely impressive 43.7% of their 3-point shot attempts, and went a terrific 85.5% from the free throw line. Conversely, Minnesota shot 48.6% from the field and made 39.8% of their 3-point shots. Minnesota is coming off a 129-105 blowout win at Milwaukee in their previous game. The Timberwolves have played 10-2 to the over this season immediately following a contest in which they allowed 105 points or fewer and there was a combined 236.7 points scored per occurrence. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nuggets @ Bucks 8:10 PM ET

Game# 581-582

Play On: Under 231.5

Denver is coming off a 135-106 loss at Sacramento and that game went over the total of 232.5. However, the Nuggets have played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 after an under in their previous contest and with a combined average of 219.5 points scored per game. The Nuggets have also gone under the total in 6 consecutive non-conference contest and with a combined 214.0 points scored per game.

Milwaukee has played 5-0-1 to the under in their last 6 when the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined 226.0 points scored per contest. These teams have met 3 times since the start of the 2022-2023 campaign with all going under the total and a combined 213.7 points scored per game.

Since the start of the 1996-1997 season, NBA teams like Denver that are playing in their 4th game or fewer over the last 10 days, and there’s a total of 230.0 or greater, and both teams in the contest have a win percentage of between .600 to .750, resulted in those contest playing 46-12 (79.3%) to the under. The average total in those 58 contests was 235.1 and there was a combined 222.1 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Bulls @ Magic 6:10 ET

Game# 553-554

Play On: Over 217.0

Chicago has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 236.3 points scored per game and an average total of 219.3. The Bulss have also gone over the total in 11 of their previous 15 games. Orlando has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when the total was 226.0 or less. These teams mets in each of their previous games and Orlando won 127-11 this past Wednesday. Orlando has played 10-1 to the over in their last 11 this season following a win by 10 or more and there was a combined 234.2 points scored per game. Both teams have shot extremely well recently with each shooting an identical 50.1% from their field during their previous 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Rockets @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET

Game# 535-536

Play On: Over 233.5

Toronto has seen each of their previous 4 games go over the total and there was a combined 245.3 points scored per contest. During that stretch the Raptors allowed 131.3 points per game and opponents shot 51.4% from the field. On the offensive side of things, Toronto has shot a stellar 48.6% from the field and made an excellent 41.0% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. The Raptors have played 9-1 to the over this season when facing Western Conference teams and when the total was 231.0 or greater while a combined 250.3 points were scored per contest.

Houston is played at a very fast tempo over their previous 5 outings which is proven by their 93 field goal attempts per game average. Despite that plethora of shot attempts, the Rockets still managed to shoot a shiny 48.2% from the field. The Rockets have played 4-0 to the over on the road this season whenever the total was 227.5 or greater and there was a combined 245.7 points scored per game. This will be the 6th time that Houston will be facing Toronto since the start of the 2021-2022 season, and each of the previous 5 meetings all went over the total. Give me this game to go over the total.

Raptors @ Thunder 7:10 PM ET

Game# 553-554

Play On: Over 238.0

The Raptors have played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 on the road whenever the number was 230.0 or greater. Those 8 contests had an average total of 236.7 and there was a combined 253.9 points scored per game. Toronto has also played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 non-conference road contests and there was a combined 254.0 points scored per game.

This will be the finale of a 4-game homestand for the Thunder. Since the start of last season, Oklahoma City has played 10-1 to the over when playing 4 or more consecutive home games in a row and there was a combined 245.1 points scored per contest. The Thunder averages 122.3 points scored per game while shooting 50.7% and making 38.1% of their 3-point shots at home this season. They’ll be facing a Raptors team that has allowed 120.7 points per game while their opponents shot a combined 51.7% throughout their previous 6 games.

Suns @ Hawks 7:40 PM ET

Game# 513-514

Play On: Over 248.5

The Phoenix Suns have shot 48.9% or better in their last 12 and 17 of their previous 19 games. Throughout their previous 5 contests Phoenix has shot a blistering hot 56.7% and that includes making 40.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Suns are coming off a 136-120 win at Brooklyn. Phoenix has played 4-0 to the over on the road this season following a win by 15 or more and there was a combined average of 248.7 points scored per contest.

Atlanta has played 14-8-1 to the over at home this season and there was a combined average of 247.0 points scored per game. The Hawks are averaging 135.7 points scored per game while shooting 50.7% in their last 3 at home. The Hawks have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 overall with a combined average of 262.0 points scored per contest. Atlanta has been horrible defensively over their last 5 while allowing 130.2 points per game while opponents shot 52.2% from the floor, made an alarmingly high 43.5% of their 3-point shot attempts, and had 28 free throw attempts per contest.

Granted this is an extremely high total even by modern NBA standards. However, I’m not going to let that scare me away. Give me this game to go over the total.

Pelicans @ Rockets 8:10 PM ET

Game# 573-574

Play On: Over 231.5

New Orleans is coming off a 118-112 loss at Boston and that contest went under the total of 234.0 The Pelicans have played 12-0-1 to the over in their previous 12 following an under with a combined average of 241.7 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, they haven’t gone under in 2 consecutive games since 11/27/2023 which a span of a little more than 2 months. Houston has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 conference home games and there was a combined 253 points or more scored on each occasion. The Rockets are also averaging 94 field goal attempts per game throughout their previous 5 contests which equates to an extremely fast pace. New Orleans won’t shy away from playing at a faster tempo as they’ve averaged 91 field goal attempts per game over their last 5. We should also see plenty of free throws in this contest with New Orleans division games averaging a combined 55 per contest and Houston 53 per outing. Furthermore, these teams have met twice this season and there was a combined 64 free throw attempts in one of those outings and 62 in another which are both extremely high numbers even by modern day NBA standards. Give me this game to go over the total.

76ers @ Warriors 10:10 PM ET

Game# 563-564

Play On: Over 235.5

Golden State has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 whenever the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 259.6 points scored per game. Philadelphia has gone 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined 249.5 points scored per game. The 76ers have seen a combined 56 free throw attempts per contest throughout their previous 5 games, and that included 30 per outing by themselves. Golden State has allowed 29 free throw attempts per contest over their previous 5 games. That should provide us with a plethora of scoring opportunities with the clock stopped in this matchup. Give me this game to go over the total.

Lakers @ Rockets 8:10 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Over 232.5

Houston has played 7-1 to the over in their previous 8 when the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 243.1 points scored per game. The Rockets are coming off a 106-104 loss at Brooklyn in a game that went under the total 222.0. Houston has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 following an under in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 253.0 points scored per game. Houston has averaged an extremely high 98 field goal attempts per contest and scored 121.4 points per game throughout their previous 5 outings.

The Lakers have played 13-0 to the over in their last 13 on the road when the total was 227.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 247.9 points scored per game. Los Angeles has gone over the total in each of their last 5 games overall and with a combined 258.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Clippers @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET

Game# 563-564

Play On: Over 235.5

The Clippers has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 whenever the number was 224.5 or greater and there was a combined average of 244.8 points scored per game. Throughout their previous 5 contests the Clippers averaged 122.6 points scored per game while shooting 52.6% and they made a superb 47.6% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Clippers are coming off a 127-116 home win over the Lakers. They’ve played 9-1 to the over this season following a home win by 10 or more and there was a combined average of 240.5 points scored per contest.

Toronto has seen 5 of their last 6 non-conference games go over the total with a combined average of 248.5 points scored per game. Toronto faced the Clippers on the road a little over 2 weeks ago and lost 126-120 with the game going over the total of 235.0. Give  me this game to go over the total.

Kings @ Warriors 10:10 PM ET

Game# 553-554

Play On: Over 242.5

The old boxing adage is the styles make the type of fight it’s projected to be. This is applicable to this matchup which projects to be a high scoring entertaining affair. The current total is indicative of such. Sacramento has averaged 94 field goal attempts and Golden State 92 in each of their previous 5 games. That equates to a fast tempo game even by modern NBA standards. Golden State has gone over the total in each of their last 4 conference home games and with a combined average of 247.3 points scored per contest. Sacramento has scored 121 points or more and shot 51.7% or better in 5 of their last 7 games. The Kings have also allowed an average of 121.4 points per game while allowing opponents to make an alarmingly high 42.0% of their 3-point shot attempts. Golden State has made 42% of their 3-point shot attempts and averaged 120.8 points scored per contest throughout their previous 5 games while also allowing 125.8 points per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nets @ Lakers 10:40 PM ET

Game# 545-546

Play On: Under 227.5

The Nets have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 away and there was just a combined 212.8 points scored per game. During those 5 contests, Brookly averaged a scant 100.2 points scored per game. Brooklyn has also played 3-0 to the under this season in non-conference away games that had a total of 229.5 and there was just a combined 210.0 points scored per game. The Lakers have played 15-7 to the under at home this season and that includes 3-0 to the under in their last 3. Give me this game to go under the total.

Suns @ Pelicans 8:10 PM ET

Game# 537-538

Play On: Over 236.5

The Suns have shot 49% or better from the field in 9 of their last 11 games. Phoenix has averaged 123.5 points scored per game and shot a combined 54.0% throughout their previous 4 on the road. The bad news for Phoenix is their defensive play has left to be desired over their previous 5 games. During that stretch, Phoenix allowed 120.2 points per game while allowing opponents to shoot 50.1% and convert on an alarmingly hot 42.8% of their 3-point shot attempts. Conversely, New Orleans has averaged 124.8 points scored per contest, shot 51.0% from the field, and made a superb 43.9% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests. This will ne the first meeting of the season between these Western Conference teams. They met 4 times last season and each of those contests went over the total with a combined 241.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nets @ Trailblazers 10:10 PM ET

Game# 519-520

Play On: Under 222.0

No analysis today due to time constraints.

Hornets @ Pelicans 8:10 PM ET

Game# 513-514

Play On: Under 229.5

No analysis today due to time constraints.

Heat @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Under 226.5

No analysis today due to time constraints.

Kings @ 76ers 7:40 PM ET

Game# 501-502

Play On: Over 241.0

The Kings are averaging 118.2 points per game. That’s significant since Philadelphia has played 10-1 to the over this season versus opponents who average of 116.0 points or more per contest and there was a combined 245.8 points scored per game. The 76ers are #6 in the NBA when it comes to points scored per game at 119.9. The Kings love playing fast and especially recently where they’ve had 91 or more field goal attempts in 6 of their last 7. Speaking of points scored per game, Sacramento averages 118.2 per contest. The Kings have shot a sizzling hot 52.1% throughout their previous 5 away games. They’ll be facing a Philadelphia team that’s allowing 129.0 points per game while their opponents shot a combined 50.6% over their last 3 outings. Give me this game to go over the total.

Hornets @ Lakers 10:40 PM ET

Game# 545-546

Play On: Under 226.5

Charlotte has gone under the total in 6 consecutive games when the number was 234.0 or less. There was a combined average of 213.7 points scored per game during those 6 contests. The Hornets are averaging a mere 100.6 points scored per game throughout their previous 7 contests and they’ve allowed 116 points or fewer in 8 of their last 10.  The Lakers have played 9-4 to the under at home this season and with a combined average of 221.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

76ers @ Heat 8:10 PM ET

Game# 589-590

Play On: Over 225.5

Philadelphia has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 on the road and with an average combined score of 241.0 points scored per game. Miami has gone over the number in 4 consecutive contests when the total was 237.5 or less. Philadelphia has shot 50% or better from the field in 8 of their last 12 games. During their previous 5 games, Miami shot 48/% from the field and a sizzling hot 42.5% from 3-point territory. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nets vs. Nuggets 9:10 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Over 230.0

The Nets have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 whenever the number was 238.0 or less and they went under in their previous game. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 250.6 points scored per game. This recent trend certainly comes into play tonight since Brooklyn won 116-112 at Phoenix last night and the game went under the total of 231.5.  Additionally, this will be only the 3rd time this season that Brooklyn will be playing with no rest and they went over in the previous 2 occurrences with a combined 232.5 points scored per game. It’s also worth noting, teams that have played Denver with no rest this season saw 4 of those 5 contests go over the total. Furthermore, the Nets have scored 114 points or more in 8 straight games. Brooklyn has made an excellent 41.7% of their 3-point shot attempts on the road while averaging 15 makes per contest.

Denver has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 228.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 245.5 points scored per game. The Nuggets are averaging a healthy 120.2 points scored per game at home this season while shooting 51.3% from the field and 39.2% from beyond the 3-points line. Give me this game to go over the total.

Pelicans vs. Lakers 9:00 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 230.5

This game will be played at a neutral site at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. It will be the first meeting of the season between these Western Conference teams. They met 4 times last season, and each contest went over the total with a combined average of 236.8 points scored per game. The Lakers are coming off Tuesday night’s 106-103 home win over Phoenix. Since the start of last season, the Lakers have played 9-1 to the over in games not played at home following a contest in which they allowed 105 points or fewer, and there was a combined average of 243.8 points scored per occurrence. Furthermore, the Lakers have played 5-1 to the over this season in games not played at home when the total was 228.0 or greater. That includes 5-0 the last 5 in that exact scenario and with a combined 242.0 points scored per game. Conversely, New Orleans has averaged a healthy 120.0 points scored per game and shot 51.4% from the field during their previous 5 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.

Raptors @ Nets 7:40 PM ET

Game# 545-546

Play On: Over 223.0

Toronto is coming off a 105-102 loss at Cleveland in their previous game that went under the total of 221.0. The Raptors after played 5-0 to the over during their previous 5 games when the total is 229.5 or less and their previous contest went under. Those 5 contest had a combined average of 239.2 points scored per game. Brooklyn has averaged 117.8 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 contests and shot a blistering hot 42.0% from beyond the 3-point line. During that identical 5-game stretch, the Nets also allowed 119.2 points per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

Jazz @ Lakers 10:00 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Over 237.5

Utah has played 4-0 to the over this season whenever the number was 231.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 258.0 points scored per game. This will be their first meeting of the season against the lakers this season. All 4 games against the Lakers a season ago went over the total and there was a combined average of 253.5 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests Utah has scored and allowed an identical 125.0 points per game. The Lakers have scored an average of 115.7 points per contest and shot a combined 50.6% over their previous 6 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Celtics @ 76ers 7:40 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 224.5

These teams went well under the total in last week’s meeting when the number was 229.5. The sportsbooks have adjusted that total for tonight and I look for a different type of game. Being that the 76ers will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and Boston is coming off a 3-game homestand which ended on Monday, look for the Celtics to make a concerted effort to push the offensive tempo in this contest. Furthermore, Boston has scored 114 points or more in 7 of their previous 9 games. Conversely, Philadelphia has scored 112 points or more in 9 of their 10 games this season. So the relative low scoring output by both teams last week was a rarity and there’s a high probability of that not occurring again. Give me this game to go over the total.

Mavericks @ Nuggets 8:10 PM ET

Game# 571-572

Play On: Under 226.0

Denver has played 5-0 to the under this season. The average total in those 5 contests was 225.1 and there was just a combined 214.4 points scored per game. Those 5 contests averaged only a combined 35 free throw attempts per game and that includes only 14 per contest by Denver. Both numbers are extremely low by NBA standards. Dallas is a very good 3-point shooting team. As a matter of fact, 42.9% of the Mavericks made field goals have come from 3-point territory so far. However, Denver has held their 5 opponents this season to an atrocious 29.6% shooting from beyond the 3-point arc. Give me this game to go under the total.

Warriors @ Thunder 8:10 PM ET

Game# 569-570

Play On: Under 226.5

During the daily quest to be a successful sports bettor it requires us to make the occasional uncomfortable bet. This qualifies as one of those situations for me. Nevertheless, Golden State has played 3-0 to the under this season whenever the number was 225.0 or greater and only a combined 217.0 points were scored per game. The Warriors are a very underrated defensive team and have allowed 108 points or fewer during 4 of their 5 games this season. As a matter of fact, throughout their previous 3 contests, Golden State allowed 99.3 points per game and held opponents to 39.9% shooting. Oklahoma City has also played 3-0 to the under this season when the number was 225.0 or greater and there was a combined average of only 217.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Wizards @ Heat 8:10 PM ET

Game# 571-572

Play On: Over 225.0

Washington is allowing 126.2 points per game while allowing opponents to shoot 49.0% and make 38.3% of their 3-point shot attempts. That’s a major reason why they’re off to a poor 1-3 start to the season. Additionally, 3 of those 4 contests went over the total with a combined average of 241.4 points scored per game. Miami has played 3-2 to the under thus far. The Heat did go under in their previous game and have tet to go under in back-to-back games. Miami has played 2-0 to the over following an under this season with combined points scored of 230 and 236 during those contests. Give me this game to go over the total.

Grizzlies @ Jazz 9:10 PM ET

Game# 549-550

Play On: Under 225.5

No analysis on NBA picks today due to time constraints.

Heat @ Nuggets 8:30 PM ET

Game# 521-522

Play On: Over 209.5 (5*)

This series has seen totals decrease in each game. It started in Game 1 at 219.5 and 4 games later it’s now 209.5. That’s with no significant injuries on either side prompting those moves. Denver has shot the ball extremely well through the first 4 games while making 50.8% of their field goal attempts. Despite scoring less than 100 points in 5 of their last 8 games, the Heat have still shot a respectable 36.6% from 3-points territory and averaged 12.3 makes per game in these NBA Finals. Neither team has been to the free throw line with any regularity in the first 4 games of the series. However, each has been very efficient when getting there with Denver converting on 81.1% of their attempts and Miami is at 85.2%.

NBA Playoffs away underdogs of 6.5 or greater like Miami that are coming off 2 losses by 10 points or more and there’s a total of 215.5 or less, resulted in those away underdogs playing 6-0 to the over since 2006. Those 6 contests went over the total by an average of 10.8 points per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET

Game# 509-510

Play On: Under 204.0 (5*)

Boston is coming off a 104-103 win in Game 6 to force a deciding 7th Game. That contest stayed under the total of 210.5. After witnessing the first 3 games of this Eastern Conference Finals going over the total, the last 3 contests have all stayed under. It speaks volumes to me when the sportsbooks make this big of an adjustment to a Game 7 total when the average number in the first 6 games was 213.8.

NBA Playoffs Game 7 home teams have played 41-24 (63%) to the under since 2003. Since 2019, that NBA Game 7 home teams off a Game 6 away win have played 12-3 (80%) to the under and there was a combined 197.4 points scored per game.  Furthermore, since 2014, NBA Game 7 home teams coming off a Game 6 away win in which they allowed 100 points or more have played 5-0 to the under with an average combined score of just 186.0 points scored per contest. All the betting angles are applicable to Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday night.

Boston @ Miami 8:30 PM

Game# 501-502

Play On: Under 210.5 (5*)

Since the 2021 Playoffs, Boston has played 9-0 to the under when facing elimination and there was a combined average of 201.8 points scored per game. Boston is 16-3 to the under in their last 19 when +3.0 to -3.0. Since last year’s playoffs, Miami has played 6-2 to the under in games they can possibly clinch a series win and there was a combined average of 206.9 points scored per game. This has been a series played at a slow pace by modern day NBA standards. Boston has averaged 84 field goal attempts par game and Miami 83 per contest. There has been just a combined average of 40 FTA’s PG in this series which is extremely low by NBA standards.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Nuggets @ Lakers 8:30 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Over 224.5 (5*)

Denver has been red-hot offensively over their previous 7 games. During that stretch they averaged 120.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.2% from the field and 41.4% from 3-point territory. The Lakers have shot a more than respectable 48.8% from the field, 37.4% from 3-point range, and averaged 28 free throw attempts per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Speaking of those 28 free throw attempts per game, Los Angeles converted on an excellent 81% of those shots.

NBA Playoffs Game 7 home teams like the Lakers that are down 3-0 in a series, and there’s a total of 220.0 or greater, resulted in those home teams playing 11-1 to the over since 2014. The average total in those 12 contests was 223.3 and a combined 237.7 points were scored per game. The only under in that sequence was this year’s Game 4 between Denver in Minnesota. The final score of that contest was 114-108 which barely stayed under the total of 222.5.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Heat @ Celtics 8:30 ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Over 210.5 (5*)

Miami is coming off a home 96-92 series clinching win over New York in a game that easily stayed under the total of 204.5. The Heat have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following a win in a contest that stayed under the total and there was a combined average of 235.6 points scored per game. Miami has also played 7-0 to the over this season as a road underdog of 4.5 or greater and following a win in their previous game.  Those 7 contests averaged a combined total of 244.0 points scored per game.

Boston is coming off wins in Game 6 and Game 7 over Philadelphia to overcome a 3-2 series deficit and move on to this Eastern Conference Final.  Those last 2 games each went under the total. Boston has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 following going under in each of their previous 2 games. Those 6 contests had an average combined points scored of 237.9 points scored per game. The Celtics witnessed each of their 2 regular season home games versus Miami going over the total with a combined average of 245.5 points scored per game.

Any NBA Playoffs home team in Game 1 of a series and is coming off a 7-game series win in the previous round, resulted in those home teams playing 7-0 to the over since the 2017 postseason, and there was a combined average of 228.6 points scored per game. This identical NBA Playoffs totals betting angle has also played 11-1 to the over since 2014.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Lakers @ Nuggets 8:30 PM ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Over 222.5 (5*)

The Lakers went over the total in all 3 away games during their winning Western Conference Semifinal series against Golden State. Those 3 contests produced a combined 229, 236, and 227 points scored. During their last 3 regular season meeting versus Denver, there was a combined 231 or more points scored on each occasion.

Since the 2021-2022 NBA season began, Denver has played 42-23 (65%) to the over in home games whenever the total was 220.0 to 229.5. There was a combined average of 230.7 points scored per game during those 65 contests.

Since the 2021 NBA Playoffs, home teams playing the opening game of a series in Round 2 or beyond, and there was a total of 218.5 and 231.0, resulted in those home teams playing 9-0 (100%) to the over. The average total in those 9 contests was 223.3 and there were a combined 231.1 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Nuggets @ Suns 10:00 ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Under 225.0 (5*)

Denver is coming off a 97-87 home win in Game 2 to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. Denver has played 5-1 to the under this season immediately following a win in which they allowed 99 points or fewer. There was an average total of 229.1 in those 6 contests and just 214.8 points were scored per game. Additionally, Denver has played 3-0 to the under this season when the total is 229.5 or less and immediately following a game in which they scored 99 points or fewer. The average total in those 3 contests was 222.8 and there were 198.0 points scored per game.

Since the start of last season, Phoenix has played 5-0 to the under at home when the total is 205.0 or greater and they’re coming off a SU loss in their previous contests. Those 5 contests had an average total of 219.3 and there was a combined 212.0 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Golden State vs. Sacramento 3:30 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Under 229.5 (5*)

Historically an NBA Playoffs Game 7 have been low scoring contests more times than not. Specifically speaking there have been 13 Game 7’s since 2019 and 10 of those contests played under the total. Furthermore, Since the 2003 NBA Postseason, any Game 7 with a total of 216.5 or greater resulted in all 4 contests playing under the total and with a combined average of just 191.4 points scored per contest. Since 2016, Golden State has played in a Game 7 on 3 occasions and each went under the total and with a paltry combined average of only 189.7 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Warriors @ Kings 10:00 PM ET

Game# 533-534

Play On: Over 234.5 (5*)

Golden State won Games 3 and 4 at home to even this series at 2-2. The Sacramento Kings have played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 at home immediately following 2 consecutive losses. The average total in those 7 contests was 236.6 and 247.5 points were scored per game. Conversely, Golden State has played 11-0 to the over this season in away games in which their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0 and the total was between 226.0 to 238.0 The average total in those 11 contests was 233.0 and there was a combined 245.6 points scored per game.

Golden State is #1 in the NBA when it comes to offensive pace and Sacramento is 9th in that identical category. The Kings are #1 in the NBA when it comes to offensive efficiency while Golden Sate is #9. Lastly, Sacramento is #25 in the NBA when speaking about defensive efficiency and Golden State is average at best while ranking #17.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Suns vs. Clippers 3:30 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Over 226.0 (5*)

Phoenix took Game 3 of this series with a 129-124 road win and the contest easily went over the total of 225.0. That makes 6 consecutive contests go over the total for the Clippers at home and with a combined average of 244.3 points scored per game. The Clippers have played 10-1-1 to the over throughout their previous 12 games and allowed opponents to score 120 points or more 6 times.

Phoenix has gone over in their last 6 on the road when the total was 234.0 or less and there was a combined average of 240.5 points scored per game. The Suns have allowed 118 points or more in 8 of their last 9 away games.

During the first 3 games of this series, these teams have combined to average an extremely high 59 free throw attempts per game. Saying it’s been a physical series thus far would be a monumental understatement. Dating back to the regular season, these teams have played 4-0-1 to the over during 5 meetings between them and there was 233.2 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Heat @ Bucks 5:30 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Over 220.5 (5*)

Both meetings in Milwaukee this season between these teams went over the total with a combined average of 232.5 points scored per game. Milwaukee has played 6-0 to the over in their previous 6 whenever there was a total of 228.0 or less and there was 241.2 points scored per game.

Miami went under the total in both of their Play-In-Tournament games. Miami has gone over in their last 6 when the total is 217.0 or greater and following its previous 2 contests going under. There was a combined 239.5 points scored per game in those 6 contests.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Lakers @ Grizzlies 3:00 ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Under 228.5 (5*)

Since the 2018-2019 season, all 9 meetings between these teams in Memphis have gone under the total with a combined average of 205.3 points scored per game. Memphis is coming off a loss to Oklahoma City in their regular season finale. The Grizzlies have played 4-0 to the under this season as a home favorite of -3.0 to -11.0 and they allowed 100 points or fewer on each occasion. Memphis is #2 in the NBA when it comes to defensive efficiency. However, the Grizzlies are just 14th in offensive efficiency and the Lakers are #19. These teams met 3 times this season and those contests played 1-0-2 to the under with neither team shooting the ball particularly well.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Warriors @ Kings 8:30 PM ET

Game# 507-508

Play On: Over 237.0 (5*)

Golden State has played 28-11-2 to the over on the road this season with a combined average of 240.7 points scored per game. Those results also include 12-1 to the over if their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0 with an average of 242.5 points scored per game. Golden State has been red-hot offensively over their previous 7 contests while scoring 128.7 points per game, shot 50.6% from the field, and converted a superb 42.6% of their 3-point shot attempts.

Sacramento has played 13-4 to the over this season when facing teams like Golden State who shoot 36% or better from 3-point territory. The Kings have averaged 123.4 points scored per game at home this season while also shooting 50.7% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the 3-point line.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Knicks @ Cavaliers 6:00 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Over 216.5 (5*)

New York has played 9-0 to the over in the last 9 as a conference away underdog and when there was a total of 226.5. The average total in those 8 contests was 221.4 and there were a combined 239.6 points scored per game. The Knicks defense has been a bit soft throughout their last 5 regular season contests in allowing opponents to score 121.6 points per game while they shot 51.4% from the field and made 46.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. However, during that identical stretch, New York also scored 125.4 points per game, shot 49.7% from the floor, and made 39.1% of their 3-point shot attempts.

Cleveland has shot 47% or better in 12 of its last 13 games. The Cavaliers have also scored 114 points or more in 11 of their previous 14 games. The Cavs have also made 41.3% of their 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 contests in addition to making 83.3% of their free throws. Cleveland went over the total in both home games versus New York this season and there was a combined 237.5 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Minnesota @ LA Lakers 10:00 PM ET

Game# 563-564

Play On: Over 231.5 (5*)

The Lakers went over in each of their final 8 regular season contests and there was a combined average of 239.7 points scored per game. Los Angeles has scored 118 points or more in their last 7 games. Minnesota will be playing their 3rd game in days. The Timberwolves have played 15-2 to the under this season when cast into that identical situation and there was a combined average of 246.3 points scored per game.

Both teams like to play at a brisk offensive pace with the Lakers ranked #5 in that category and Minnesota #7 through 82 regular season games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Hawks @ Heat 7:00 PM ET

Game# 561-562

Play On: Over 226.5 (5*)

Miami has seen each of their last 7 at home go over the total and there was a combined 240.7 points scored per game. Miami also played 5-0 to the over during their previous 5 games overall.

Atlanta has played 10-2 to the over this season on the road when the total was 211.0 to 229.5 and there was a combined 233.9 points scored per contest. Atlanta also played 4-0-1 to the over during its final 5 regular season contests and there was a combined 248.2 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Denver @ Phoenix 10:10 PM ET

Game# 581-582

Play On: Under 225.0 (5*)

Phoenix enters today on a 6-game win streak while allowing 105 points or fewer on 5 of those occasions. The Suns have seen each of its last 3 at home go under and there was a combined average of 203.0 points scored per game. The Suns have also played 25-14 (64.1%) to the under in all home games this season. Denver has seen each of their last 10 all go under the total and there was a combined 217.6 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Miami @ Philadelphia 7:40 PM ET

Game# 575-576

Play On: Under 220.0 (5*)

Philadelphia has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 and 7-2 under during its previous 9 games. The 76ers have seen both meetings versus Miami go under the total this season and with a combined average of 207.5 points scored per game. Furthermore, the 76ers have gone under the total in 3 consecutive contests whenever their total was 220.0 or less and with a combined average of 207.3 points scored per game. Miami has played 4-0 to the under this season in away contests in which there was a total of 220.0 or less and there was a combined average of 206.3 points scored per game. Lastly, these 2 teams are among the slowest offensive paced teams in the NBA with Miami ranking #29 and Philadelphia #27 in that category.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Denver @ Phoenix 10:40 PM ET

Game# 577-578

Play On: Under 227.5 (5*)

Denver has gone under in 7 straight contests with an average total of 230.0 and a combined 219.1 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests the Nuggets allowed only 10.0 points per game. The Suns have been stout defensively during their previous 3 contests while allowing just 202.7 points scored per game.

Phoenix is coming off a 107-100 win over Minnesota and that contest styed well under the total of 234.0. Denver is coming off a 107-88 loss to New Orleans and that game easily stayed under the total of 226.5. NBA teams like Phoenix that are playing in a contest with a total of 220.0 to 229.5 that went under the total by 24.0 points or more in their previous contest, versus an opponent like Denver who went under the total by 30.0 points or more during their last outing, resulted in those games playing 32-7 (82.1%) to the under since 1996. The average total in those 39 contests was 225.1 and there were a combined 213.6 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Detroit @ Houston 8:10 PM ET

Game# 569-570

Play On: Under 229.0 (5*)

Detroit has gone under the total in 7 consecutive road game. The average total in those 7 contests was 227.6 and there was a combined 217.0 points scored per game. The Pistons scored 107 points or fewer in each of those 7 away games.

Houston has played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 at home. The Rockets have gone over the total in each of its previous 2 games. However, the Rockets have played 8-0 to the under this season when the total is between 224.5 and 237.5 and they’re coming off overs in their last 2 contests. The average total in those 8 contests was 230.9 and a combined 212.9 points were scored per game.

NBA teams like Houston with a total of 220.0 or greater who saw a combined 235 points or more being scored in their previous contest, and both themselves and their opponent is being outscored by 7.0 or more points per game on the season, resulted in those situations playing 27-3 (90%) to the under since 1996. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2020-8021 season this NBA totals betting angle has played 12-0 to the under.

Give me this game to go under the total.

LA Clippers @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET

Game# 571-572

Play On: Over 236.5 (5*)

Throughout their previous 9 games Memphis has averaged 126.6 points scored per contest and shot a sizzling hot 51.8% from the field. On a negative note, the Grizzlies have allowed 121.4 points per contest and permitted opponents to shoot a combined 50.2% from the field during their last 5 games.

The Clippers have played 6-1 to the over as a road underdog this season following overs in each of their previous 2 contests, and there was a combined average of 239.0 points scored per game. The Clippers have seen each of its previous 4 games go over the total and there was a combined average of 245.5 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Chicago @ Charlotte 7:10 PM ET

Game# 553-554

Play On: Under 225.0 (5*)

Chicago allowed 121 and 124 points in their last 2 games. The bulls have played 3-0 to the under this season following 2 consecutive contests in which they allowed 120 points or more and there was just a combined average of 211.0 points scored per game. On the other side of the coin is a Charlotte team which has played 14-4 to the under in their last 18 contests. These teams have met 3 times this season and each contest went under the total with a combined average of only 203.7 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Minnesota @ Phoenix 10:10 PM ET

Game# 547-548

Play On: Over 235.0 (5*)

Phoenix has averaged 120.0 points scored per game throughout their previous 5 contests while also shooting a stellar 48.2% from the field and making 37.8% of its 3-point shot attempts. During that exact time frame, the Suns also averaged 93 field goal attempts per game which translated to a very fast pace even by NBA standards. On the negative side, Phoenix has also allowed 117.8 points per game and permitted opponents to shoot 49.1%.

Minnesota has averaged 118.0 points scored per game while shooting 50.0% from the field and converting on 40.9% of its 3-point shot attempts over their previous 5 contests. During that precise stretch, they also allowed 118.2 points per game and permitted opponents to shoot 50.2% from the field and 37.2% from 3-point territory. The Timberwolves will be playing in their 3rd game in 4 days. Minnesota has played 7-0 to the over this season when playing their 3rd game in 4 days and it’s on the road. Those 7 contests produced an enormous 250.7 points combined being scored.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Phoenix @ Utah 9:10 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Over 233.5 (5*)

Utah has gone over in their last 4 at home and there was a combined 246.3 points scored per game. The Jazz have also played 7-1 to the over in their previous 8 games overall and there was a combined 242.3 points scored per game. Conversely, Phoenix has gone over in each of their previous 5 contests and there were a combined 239.6 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, Phoenix has played 15-4 to the over in road games whenever the total was 230.0 or greater and there was a combined 242.1 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Charlotte @ New Orleans 8:10 PM ET

Game# 525-526

Play On: Under 225.5 (5*)

New Orleans has played 13-1 to the under in their last 14 games when there’s been a total of 225.0 or greater. Those games had an average total of 231.5 and there was a combined average of just 217.5 points scored per contest. The Pelicans have also gone under in their last 3 regardless of the total and there was a combined 217.3 points scored per game.

Charlotte has played 8-1 to the under in their last 9 away games. That includes 4-0 under in their previous 4 on the road with a combined (217.7 points scored per game. The Hornets are next to last in the NBA in adjusted offensive efficiency. They’ll be facing a New Orleans team today who ranks #20 in that same category.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Indiana @ Toronto 7:40 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 234.0 (5*)

Toronto has gone over the total in their last 5 games as a favorite like they’ll be this evening. The Raptors have shot 48.5% or better in 6 of its last 8. However, they’ve also permitted their opponents to shoot 50% or better in 8 of its last 10 games. The Raptors season analytics indicates they are #25 in the NBA when it pertains to adjusted offensive tempo. Nonetheless, they’ve drastically changed their style of late and amassed 90 or more field goal attempts in 10 of its last 11 games.

Indiana has shot 48% or better in 8 of their previous 12 games. They’ve also allowed their opponents to shoot 48% or better during 10 of their previous 15 games. The Pacers have scored 121 points or more in 9 of their last 12. Indiana has also given up 115 points or more in 8 straight games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Sacramento @ Utah 9:10 PM ET

Game# 569-570

Play On: Over 239.5 (5*)

Sacramento is #1 in the NBA when pertaining to adjusted offensive efficiency while Utah is #9. Neither team in this matchup is very good defensively. The Kings are #25 in defensive efficiency while Utah is #24.

Sacramento has scored 122 points or more in 11 of their last 13 games. The kings have also shot 48% or better during 15 of its previous 18 contests. Sacramento has shot a sizzling 43.4% from beyond the 3-point line throughout their last 5 contests and averaged an extremely high 18 makes per game. Conversely, Utah has allowed their last 5 opponents to make an alarmingly high 43.4% of their 3-point shot attempts which includes 18 makes per contest. Sacramento has played 7-3 to the over in their last 10 when the total was 238.0 or greater and there was a combined 257.5 points scored per game.

Utah has scored 115 points or more in their last 6 and 5 of those contests went over the total. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 239.7 points scored per game. The Jazz have played at a frenetic offensive pace over their previous 5 while averaging 94 field goal attempts per game. The Jazz are currently a 5.0-point underdog in tonight game. Utah has played 24-12 (67%) to the over as an underdog this season.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Minnesota @ Memphis 8:10 PM ET

Game# 565-566

Play On: Under 235.0 (5*)

These high scoring teams have met 3 times already this season and each of those stayed under the total. The average total in those contests was 235.2 and there was only a combined 212.7 points scored per game.

Memphis has played 9-0 to the under in their previous 9 whenever the total was 223.0 or greater. The average total in those contests was 238.0 and there was a combined 221.5 points scored per game. Conversely, Minnesota has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 as an underdog of 1.5 to 7.5 points.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Charlotte @ Boston 7:40 PM ET

Game# 563-564

Play On: Under 226.0 (5*)

Boston has played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 with just a combined 205.0 points scored per game. The Celtics have really picked up defensively of late while allowing only 104.2 points per contest and a combined 43.2% shooting throughout its previous 5 games. Furthermore, the Celtics have allowed less than 100 points in 3 of its last 4. Boston is coming off a home win versus Philadelphia in their previous game. The Celtics have played 7-0 to the under this season following a division win and those contests averaged a combined 216.7 points scored per game. There’s a distinct possibility the Celtics will be without their 2 leading scorers tonight. Jaylen Brown will definitely be out with a facial fracture and Jayson Tatum is questionable due to illness.

Charlotte has played 8-0 to the under in their last 8 whenever the total was 224.5 or greater. The Hornets have shot a combined 43.6% and made a mere 29.4% of its 3-point shot attempts over the previous 5 games.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Atlanta @ Portland 10:10 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Over 236.5 (5*)

Atlanta has gone over the total in their last 6 when the number was 238.5 or less and there was a combined 248.5 points scored per game. The Hawks have shot 51.2% or better in 6 of its last 8. Atlanta has also allowed 121 points or more in 5 of their previous 6 games.

Portland has allowed 121 points or more in 4 of its last 5 and 6 of their previous 7 games. The Trailblazers have scored an average of 128.7 points per game in their last and shot a sizzling hot 56.8% from the field. Portland has allowed opponents to shoot 50% or better in each of their last 6.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Orlando @ Miami 8:10

Game# 517-518

Play On: Under 219.5 (5*)

Miami has played 7-0 to the under in its last 7 conference home games. The average total in those 7 contests was 218.2 and there was just a combined 208.5 points scored per game.

Orlando is coming off an 126-120 home win over Indiana. Orlando has played 11-2 to the under in their last 11 games this season following a contest which they allowed 120 points or more. The average total in those 13 contests was 223.9 and there was a combined 212.4 points per game. As a matter of fact, the last 5 times they allowed 120 points or more they went under in their next game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Memphis @ Minnesota 7:40 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Over 237.5 (5*)

Memphis has scored 120 points or more in 9 of their last 12 games. However, they’ve also allowed 122 points or more in 3 of its previous 4. This is a Grizzlies team that enjoys playing at an extremely fast tempo and even by modern day NBA standards.

Minnesota has averaged 117.5 points scored per game over its last 5 while shooting 49.4% and making an excellent 39.7% of their 3-point shot attempts. On the other hand, throughout that identical 5-game span, Minnesota permitted opponents to shoot 49.5% and make 38.3% of their 3-point shot attempts.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Spurs @ Clippers 10:40 PM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Over 234.0 (5*)

San Antonio is coming off last night 113-104 road loss to the Lakers in a game that went way under the total of 243.0. However, the Spurs have played 5-0 to the over following an under in their previous outing and there was a combined average of 245.2 points scored per game. San Antonio has also played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 games when playing with no rest and there was a combined 252.0 points scored per contest. It’s also worth noting, the Spurs have played 6-0 to the over in their previous 6 whenever the total was 230.0 to 236.5 with a combined 246.1 points scored per game.

The Clippers have faced San Antonio twice already this season and shot 59% from the field. Additionally, they went 36-68 (52.9%) on their 3-point shot attempts in those contests. The Clippers have shot the ball extremely well over their last 5 by making 51.7% of its shots and converted on a blistering hot 45.1% of their 3-point tries. Conversely, they allowed 115 points or more in 4 of its last 5 games while opponents shot 50.0% from the field and 45.7% from beyond the 3-point line.

Give me this game to go over the total.

76ers @ Jazz 9:10 PM ET

Game# 557-558

Play On: Over 233.5 (5*)

Philadelphia has gone over in 6 consecutive games and there was a combined total of 244.7 points scored per game. The 76ers have played 8-1 to the over this season as a road favorite.

Utah went under the total in its previous game and that snapped a streak of 4 straight overs. The Jazz have played 4-0 to the over during their previous 4 immediately following an under. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 244.5 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Washington @ Orlando 7:10 PM ET

Game# 563-564

Play On: Over 225.5 (5*)

Orlando has seen each of their last 3 at home go over the total and with an enormous combined average of 248.0 points scored per game. Furthermore, Orlando has scored 110 or more in each of their previous 6 at home and they averaged 119.8 points scored per game. Conversely, Washington has scored 112 points or more in 6 consecutive games and they allowed 111 or greater on 5 of those occasions.

Orlando is coming off a 121-101 road loss to Detroit and it came as a 1.0-point favorite. NBA teams like Orlando that have a total of 220.0 to 229.5 and are coming off a road favorite SU loss by 15points or more, resulted in those contests playing 27-6 (81.8%) to the over since 1996. Those 33 contests had an average total of 224.4 and there was a combined 236.5 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Knicks @ Spurs 8:10 PM ET

Game# 559-560

Play On: Over 225.0 (5*)

Both teams have gone over the total in each of their previous 5 games. During those stretched, New York games have averaged a combined 231.6 points scored per contest and San Antonio game produced 242.0 points per outing. Each team has shot a combined 49% throughout those spans. The Spurs have allowed 122 points or more in each of its last 4. While New York has allowed 113 points or greater in all of its last 4.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Clippers @ Raptors 7:40 PM ET

Game# 523-524

Play On: Over 219.0 (5*)

Toronto has seen 5 of their last 6 go over the total with a combined average of 227.8 points scored per game. Charlotte has played 9-0 to the over in their last 9 on the road. The average total in those 9 contests was 217.4 and there was a combined 234.7 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Clippers @ Pistons 7:10 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 224.0 (5*)

Detroit has witnessed their last 6 home games go over the total when the number was 236. Or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 243.8 points scored per game. The Clippers have gone over the total in 8 consecutive road games with a combined average of 230.0 points scored per game. This matchup has all the earmarks of a high scoring and entertaining game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Clippers @ 76ers 7:10 PM ET

Game# 557-558

Play On: Under 215.5 (5*)

Both teams have been outstanding defensively in recent games. Throughout their previous 5 games, the Clippers held their opponents to only 98.0 points scored per game, 43.0% shooting, and 26.8% from 3-point territory. It resulted in 4 of those 5 games staying under the total. Conversely, Philadelphia has allowed 103.2 points per game over their last 5 while opponents shot just 41.5% and 30.9% from beyond the 3-point line.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Milwaukee @ Dallas 10:05 PM ET

Game# 519-520

Play On: Over 224.5 (4*)

Dallas has seen 5 of its lasty 6 go over the total. The average total in those 6 contests was 222.4 and there was a combined 236.2 points scored game. During that exact 6-game stretch, Dllas has averaged 120.5 points scored per contest and shot 49.1% from the field. Throughout their previous 5 contests, Dallas has shot a red-hot 41.7% from 3-point territory and average an enormous 19 three-point makes per game.

Since the start of last season, Milwaukee has played 26-13 to the over when facing non-conference opponents and with a combined average of 233.1 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, the Bucks have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 this season versus non-conference opponents and there was a combined average of 242.5 points scored per game. Milwaukee defeated Dallas 124-115 back on 11/27 and that game easily went over the total of 216.0.

Give me this game to go over the total.

No analysis on Monday’s NBA picks due to time constraints.

Detroit @ Boston 7:40 PM ET

Game# 541-542

Play On: Over 226.0 (5*)

Boston is coming off a 109-106 win at Memphis in their previous outing and that game went under the total of 231.0. Nonetheless, the Celtics have played 3-0 to the over this season following an under in their previous contest and there was a combined average of 242.7 points scored per game. Boston has also played 3-1 to the over at home thus far with a combined average of 236.5 points scored per game. The flip side to that equation is the fact they also allowed 115.6 points per game during those 4 contests. They’ll be facing a Detroit Pistons team that is 0-5 SU on the road while allowing an alarmingly high 120.0 points per game.  The Pistons saw both games at Boston a season ago going over the total.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Boston @ Cleveland 7:10 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Over 220.0 (5*)

These teams met in Boston earlier this season and Cleveland walked away with 132-123 win. That contest sailed way over the total of 218.0. Boston has allowed 117 points or more in 4 of 6 games this season. The Celtics have also scored 111 points or greater in 5 of those 6 games. Conversely, Cleveland has scored 117 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cleveland has made 42.7% of their 3-point shots this season. During their previous 2 games the Cavaliers made 16 threes versus Boston and 23 against the Knicks. On the other hand, Boston has allowed opponents to make 37.9% of their 3-point shots this season.

NBA home teams with a total of 220.0 to 229.5 that has made 36.5% or more of their 3-point shot attempts, and they made 16 or more 3-point shots in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent (Boston) that allows opponents to make 36.5% or more of their 3-point shot attempts, resulted in those games playing 22-4 (84.6%) to the over since 1996. Those games averaged a combined 229.9 points per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Clippers @ Lakers 10:05 ET

Game# 531-532

Play On: Over 225.0 (5*)

The Lakers are coming off Tuesday’s 123-109 season opening loss at Golden State on Tuesday. The Lakers committed 21 turnovers and forced 18 of their own with many on both sides leading to easy transition made shots. That contests also had a combined 192 field goal attempts which equates to an extremely fast pace even by NBA standards. These teams played 3-1 to the over last season and there was a combined 226.5 points scored per game. The Clippers made 52.3% of their shots in those 4 contests and shot a torrid 47.3% from beyond the 3-point line. Those 4 head-to-head battles also produced an extremely high 61.5 combined free throws per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET

Game# 505-506

Play On: Over 201.5 (10*)

Miami just can’t possibly play any worse offensively than they did in their Games 4 and 5 losses. They were just a combined 60-184 (32.6%) shooting and scored 80 and 82 points. The Heat were embarrassed in a 93-80 home loss to Boston in Game 5 and were outscored 57-39 during 2nd half action. However, Miami has played 11-2 to the over on the road this season following a loss by 10 or more and there was a combined 222.4 points scored per game. Each of the last 2 games in this series went under. Boston has played 5-1 to the over at home this season following 2 consecutive games going under. Play on this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Dallas @ Golden State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 503-504

Play On: Under 215.5 (5*)

Dallas staved off elimination with a 119-109 win on Tuesday night. That contest easily went over the total of 215.5. However, Golden State has played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 following a game that wnt over and there was just a combined 204.2 points scored per game. Dallas has played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 following an over in their previous game and there was a combined 202.7 points scored per game. The offensive pace in this series has been extremely slow with just an average of 162.5 field goal attempts per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Golden State @ Dallas 9:00 PM ET

Game# 567-568

Play On: Over 215.5 (10*)

Golden State holds a commanding 3-0 series lead following a 109-100 win at Dallas on Sunday.  That contest went under the total of 216.5. Golden State has played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 following a game which went under the total and there was a combined 233.3 points scored per game. Additionally, Golden State scored 121.1 points per game throughout those 7 contests. Conversely, Dallas has averaged 114.0 points scored per contest in their last 15 this season following an outing in which they scored 100 points or fewer.

Since the 1991 NBA Playoffs, visiting teams that hold a 3-0 series lead and there’s a total of 214.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 8-1 (88.9%) to the over. The average total in those 9 postseason contests was 220.8 and there were a combined 234.3 points scored per game. Play on this game to go over the total for a Top Play.

Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET

Game# 565-566

Play On: Under 206.5 (10*)

These teams have a combined 8 players that are listing as questionable for tonight’s game. There’s a good chance that most will play and be less than 100% which is typical at this time of year. More times than not, teams in this situation lose more offensively than defensively.

The first 3 games of this series have all gone over the total. Miami has played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 games following 3 straight overs. Miami is coming off an upset win in Game 3 at Boston. However, Boston has allowed just an average of 97.5 points per game this season immediately following 1 of their 17 straight up favorite losses. Furthermore, the Celtics have allowed only 97.8 points scored per game in their last 4 games immediately following a loss. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET

Game# 561-562

Play On: Under 208.0 (5*)

Boston has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 at home. Conversely, Miami has seen 4 of its 5 road playoff games go under the total. The Heat hangs their hat on its staunch defensive play. With that said, they won’t take to kindly to Boston hanging 127 points on them in Game 2 while also shooting better than 50%. I look for Miami to be more focused defensively from the start of this contest unlike what we saw in the first 2 games when they allowed 62 and 70-points during 1st half action. Boston is no stranger to playing good defense. They ranked #1 in the NBA on most pertinent defensive categories during regular season action. Both teams are averaging 84 field goal attempts per game during the postseason which equates to a slower than average pace.

Any NBA away team (Heat) with a total of 200.0-209.5 that’s gone over the total in their last 2 games and each by 18.0 points or more, and they have a win percentage of .600-.750, resulted in those games playing 25-7 (78.1%) to the under since 1996. The average total in those 32 contests was 204.6 and there were a combined 199.7 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Celtics @ Heat 8:45 PM ET

Game# 543-544

Play On: Under 207.5 (5*)

Miami has allowed its last 9 opponents to a mere 77.6 field goal attempts per game. During that stretch, Miami held 6 of those 9 opponents to less than 100 points scored. The Heat have also scored less than 100 in 3 of its last 8 games. Game 1 of this series against Boston went over the total of 203.5 with the Heat prevailing 118-107. Miami has gone under in 4 straight immediately following an over in their previous game and there was a combined average of 203.7 points scored per contest.

The teams combined to go 54-66 (81.8%) from the free throw line in Game 1. The 81.8% is very good but not shocking. However, the combined 66 free throw attempts was out of character for both teams. During 3 regular season meetings these teams averaged just a combined 41.3 free throw attempts per contest.

Since the 2011 NBA Playoffs, any away underdog of 4.5 or less that’s playing in a Game 2 and is coming off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 20.0-points or less, resulted in those games playing 8-1 to the under. The average total in those contests was 201.3 and there was a combined 193.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Suns @ Mavericks 3:30 PM ET

Game# 577-578

Play On: Under 214.5 (5*)

Phoenix is coming off a 103-94 loss at Dallas in Game 3. The Suns have played 10-0 to the under this season immediately following a road loss and there was a combined average of 212.4 points scored per game. Dallas has played 12-2 to the under at home since last season after playing in a game in which both teams scored 105 or fewer points. The Mavericks are also 31-14 to the under at home this season and those contests averaged only a combined 209.3 points scored per game. Dallas has held the Suns to a paltry 14.7 free throw attempts per game during this series. Give me this game to go under the total.

Memphis @ Golden State 8:30 PM ET

Game 573-574

Play On: Over 225.0 (10*)

Just as I expected, the public has overreacted to Game 2 easily going under the total of 227.5 during a Memphis 106-101 win. However, the oddsmakers were undeterred by that result and made just a slight adjust to an opening total of 226.5 for Game 3. Let’s not forget, Golden State won the series opener 117-116 in a game that was extremely entertaining to watch. Furthermore, the pace of the first 2 games of the series was lightning fast with a combined 188 and 186 field goal attempts which is extremely high by even NBA standards. Lastly, Memphis has played 16-5 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 220.0 to 229.5. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Dallas @ Phoenix 10:00 PM ET

Game# 523-524

Play On: Over 214.0 (10*)

Phoenix shot 50% in all 6 games against New Orleans despite start guar Devin Booker missing 4 of those contests. Booker and his 26.8 points per game scoring average is back and healthy again and shook off some of the rust during his return in the Game 6 series clinching win over New Orleans. Phoenix has played 18-5 to the over since the start of last season when facing opponents that have a +3.0 or greater point per game differential. Those 23 contests averaged a combined 227.1 points scored per game. Dallas is currently at +3.5 per contest.

Dallas shot an impressive 38.4% from 3-point territory in their series win over Utah and averaged 17 makes per game. Similar to Phoenix, Dallas played the first 3 games of that Utah series without their star guard Luka Doncic. All he did is lead the NBA in scoring during regular season action at 28.4 points per game and fell just shy of averaging a triple double. During his 3 games played in the New Orleans series, Doncic averaged 29.0 points scored, 5.7 assists, and 10.8 rebounds per contest. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Golden State @ Memphis 3:30 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Over 219.5 (10*)

Golden State averages 118.0 points scored per game and shot a red-hot 51.5% during their just completed 4-1 series win over Denver. Memphis allowed Minnesota to shoot 38.8% from beyond the 3-point-line during their 4-2 series win. That can be problematic for the Grizzlies since Golden State made 42.2% of their long-distance attempts versus Denver. Since Game 42 of their season, Memphis has played 10-2 (83% and there was a combined average of 231.2 points scored per contest. to the over when facing opponents like Golden State that allow 108 or fewer points per game. The Grizzlies were adept at getting to the free throw line in the Minnesota series while getting there a massive 32 times per contest. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Jazz @ Mavericks 9:30 PM ET

Game# 535-536

Play On: Over 212.5 (5*)

Utah is coming off a thrilling last second 100-99 win at Dallas to even this series at 2-2. Utah has played 7-3 to the over this season following a game in which they scored 102 points or fewer. The Jazz have averaged a sizable 29 free throw attempts per game during this series and made 79.7% of those.

Dallas has scored 110 points or more in their last 4 following a game in which they scored 99 or less. The Mavericks are also 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under and there was a combined average of 226.0 points scored per game. Dallas has also converted on a sparkling 38.1% of their 3-point shots while making an average of 16 per contest during the first 4 games of this series. Give me this game to go over the total.