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NFL Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-11-16	Steelers v. Bills UNDER 45.5		27-20	Loss	-108	5 h 25 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Pitt/Buff
12-11-16	Bengals v. Browns UNDER 40.5		23-10	Win	100	5 h 24 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Cinc/Clev
12-04-16	Dolphins v. Ravens UNDER 41.5		6-38	Loss	-114	125 h 33 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Miami/Baltimore
12-04-16	Rams v. Patriots UNDER 44.5		10-26	Win	100	86 h 54 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Rams/Pats
12-04-16	49ers v. Bears OVER 43		6-26	Loss	-110	86 h 54 m	Show
4* Total Money OVER 49ers/Bears
11-24-16	Steelers v. Colts OVER 48		28-7	Loss	-105	27 h 12 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. No Luck. I get it. But I think Big Ben will shred this defense like he always has, short week or not. Steelers are good for close to 40 themselves. I can't see a bad Pitt defense pitching a shut out, even against a back-up QB. But the short week could provide some ugly play and good scoring opportunities. And let's be honest here. Steelers just beat the Browns. Do we really think they went 'all-out' to beat that bunch? I think we see the full offensive display from Big Ben and friends here in a nice comfy dome setting. 4* Total Money OVER Pitt/Colts
11-24-16	Redskins v. Cowboys OVER 51.5	Top	26-31	Win	100	23 h 22 m	Show
Taking the COWBOYS and the OVER here. It is tough to lay this when the numbers say Dallas doesn't cover at home. But this is a different Cowboys teams as they are now on a 9-1 ATS/SU run. Dak and Elliot behind this line have been nothing short of brilliant. I would really have no issue with taking the Redskins here. I think Cousins leads a pretty good offense and the defense is no slouch either. But we just cashed them rolling the Packers. Now it is a short week vs a real physical, grinding team. I just think Dallas really pulls away in the 2nd half behind their OL. But I do think we see points here from both teams. I'm think something along the lines of 37-27 type range. 5* Best Bet DALLAS COWBOYS + Over
11-20-16	Patriots v. 49ers OVER 51.5		30-17	Loss	-105	7 h 37 m	Show
4* Total Money OVER Pats/Niners
11-20-16	Titans v. Colts OVER 52.5		17-24	Loss	-100	3 h 13 m	Show
4* Total Money OVER Titans/Colts
11-20-16	Cardinals v. Vikings UNDER 40.5		24-30	Loss	-105	3 h 13 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Cards/Vikes
11-13-16	Vikings v. Redskins UNDER 42		20-26	Loss	-100	1 h 4 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Vikes/ Skins
11-06-16	Titans v. Chargers OVER 47		35-43	Win	100	29 h 57 m	Show
4* Total Money OVER Titans/Chargers
11-06-16	Cowboys v. Browns OVER 48.5		35-10	Loss	-110	26 h 37 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. I will be the first to say I nearly pulled the trigger on the Browns and the points here. Cowboys off a huge come from behind OT win on Sunday night. They can come out a little unfocused here. And looking at this total, it is clear I am not the only one who thinks that. Browns get a boost back behind center with McCown returning. Cleveland has gone over in 6 of their last 7. 4* Total Money OVER Dallas/Cleveland
10-23-16	Saints v. Chiefs UNDER 50		21-27	Win	100	63 h 42 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Saints/ Chiefs
10-13-16	Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 45.5		13-21	Win	100	14 h 17 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Short week. A banged up QB and an interim HC with Kubiak recovering. I normally look to the Thursday unders and tonight is no different. Denver brings a very good defense to the fray. Now, I know SD puts up and allows points like it's their job. But I just see this one playing out to a game that the winner gets to about 24 tops. 4* Total Money UNDER Broncos / Chargers
10-09-16	Bengals v. Cowboys UNDER 46		14-28	Win	100	4 h 19 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Bengals/ Cowboys
10-02-16	Cowboys v. 49ers UNDER 44.5		24-17	Win	100	22 h 16 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Cowboys/ Niners
10-02-16	Browns v. Redskins OVER 47		20-31	Win	100	19 h 51 m	Show
4* Total Money OVER Browns/ Redskins
09-29-16	Dolphins v. Bengals UNDER 45		7-22	Win	100	12 h 35 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Short week, struggling teams. You would think that I would be calling for a shoot-out here. But on the flip side, I think we see a game that might get to about 40-42 tonight. Dolphins are having some serious issues. Benching 1st round picks. Getting zero rush attack. OL problems. Cincy is a real must win here after dropping games to power houses Pitt and Denver. This is still a talented bunch on defense and I see this shaping up to be a 23-14, 26-16 type of affair. 4* Money Maker UNDER Dolphins/Bengals
09-25-16	Broncos v. Bengals UNDER 42		29-17	Loss	-105	41 h 59 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Think the Red Rocket is in for another rough outing. Jets, Steelers and now Denver. Those are 3 hard hitting units coming in to tee off on your offense. I am going under based on both defenses and the fact we have a rookie making his first road start. Bengals still a tough stop unit and points will be at premium. 4* Total Money UNDER Broncos/Bengals
09-18-16	Chiefs v. Texans UNDER 43		12-19	Win	100	44 h 15 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Chiefs/ Texans
09-08-16	Panthers v. Broncos UNDER 41.5		20-21	Win	100	25 h 32 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. We get a Super Bowl rematch right out of the gate. Look. The defenses are the strengths of both clubs. We have Denver starting a guy who lasted started a meaningful game against the Boilermakers! We will see a lot of run plays to take pressure off the Seimian for sure. The Panthers offense is better, but still has to face a difficult task in the Denver defense at home on opening night. 4* Total Money UNDER Carolina/ Denver
02-07-16	Panthers v. Broncos OVER 45	Top	10-24	Loss	-100	271 h 44 m	Show
Going OVER the total in Super Bowl 50. I know we have some good defenses at play here. But This is the final game of the year. Do we really think that either team will sit on a lead? Who wants to be the HC being asked, Coach, you were up 24-6, why did you try to run out the clock the entire 2nd half. Losing 33-30 on a last second FG has to kill you. Point is. There will be no milking or grinding out clock. Panthers have a power run game. They put points on the board. Their OL is better than NE. They can keep the rush off Cam. And if needed, Cam can run. Manning is old. I had NE last week. They couldn't make the plays to win. But Manning still can play. He isn't a dummy back there. He has some WR weapons at his disposal. We will see points. The winning team will be scoring in the 30s tonight. 10* Total Money MONEY BOMB - OVER
12-27-15	Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 47.5		13-20	Win	100	110 h 25 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Panthers/Falcons
12-20-15	Browns v. Seahawks OVER 43		13-30	Push	0	113 h 7 m	Show
4* Total Money OVER Browns/ Seahawks
12-17-15	Bucs v. Rams OVER 41	Top	23-31	Win	100	34 h 46 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. I am looking for some offense tonight in St Louis. Both teams have good RBs in Martin and Gurley. Bucs rookie Winston has some WRs at his disposal. I know Keenum and the Rams offense isn't a sexy bunch, but I see points on the board tonight. Both defenses are not bad and with the spotty QB play, we will be seeing a lot of the ground and pound. That being said, I think what gets us the into the mid 40s tonight is the defenses forcing turn-overs. Short week, one team dealt a tough loss that hurts their playoff chances, the other snapping a losing streak keeping their wild card hopes alive. I look for trick plays, TOs that lead to TDs, and an easy cover by the 3rd quarter. 8* Total Money OVER Bucs/Rams
12-06-15	Bengals v. Browns UNDER 44		37-3	Win	100	1 h 28 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Bengals/ Browns
12-06-15	Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 43.5		39-42	Loss	-105	1 h 28 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Jags/Titans
11-05-15	Browns v. Bengals UNDER 45.5	Top	10-31	Win	100	20 h 10 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. I just can't see a ton of points being scored here. Short week. Johnny Football could be starting. McCown banged up. I look for a little revenge here with Cincy. They lost to the Browns here nearly a year to the day 24-3. Coming off a tough game vs the Steelers, I think Cincy has trouble starting here. Browns defense choked away a 20-7 lead last week. They will tighten things up. Both games went under last year. I think we get another game that nears 40. 5* Total Money UNDER Browns/Bengals
10-04-15	St Louis Rams v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 44		24-22	Loss	-105	4 h 44 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER
10-04-15	Minnesota Vikings v. Denver Broncos UNDER 43		20-23	Push	0	4 h 41 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER
09-20-15	Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 55		20-10	Loss	-105	24 h 39 m	Show
4* Total Money OVER Cowboys/ Eagles
09-20-15	Detroit Lions v. Minnesota Vikings UNDER 44		16-26	Win	100	21 h 20 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Lions/Vikings
09-13-15	Kansas City Chiefs v. Houston Texans UNDER 41		27-20	Loss	-110	24 h 19 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Clearly the Texans strength is their defense. I don't see them generating much offensive with their skill position players. For KC, they have some play-maker on the offensive side of the ball. But they aren't going to control and roll through this Houston defense. The KC d isn't bad either. They are a solid unit. I see this game playing to a 20-14, 23-10 type affair. 4* UNDER Chiefs/Texans
09-10-15	Pittsburgh Steelers v. New England Patriots OVER 51.5	Top	21-28	Loss	-110	80 h 59 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Do we really think that Tom Brady won't be looking to run it up here? What happened in the 2nd half of that Colts game after they took his ball? How did he do in the 2nd half of that Super Bowl against the Legion of Boom? This Steelers offense will be able to put up points. Their defense could be one of the worse in football. Brady is putting up a 40 spot here in his sleep. The over is 8-2 last 10 in the series. 10* Total Money OVER Steelers/Patriots
02-01-15	Seattle Seahawks v. New England Patriots OVER 47.5		24-28	Win	100	167 h 1 m	Show
5* Best Bet OVER Patriots/Seahawks ^ PROPS ^ - --- PROPS --- NE margin of victory 7-12 points +480 Total Points 51-60 +275 Brady Over 262.5 yards Blount Over 64.5 rush yards Edelman Over 6.5 receptions
12-28-14	Oakland Raiders v. Denver Broncos UNDER 48		14-47	Loss	-109	5 h 54 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Taking a bunch of UNDERS here on Sunday. We are playing them as small plays. 2* Total Money
12-28-14	New Orleans Saints v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 47		23-20	Win	100	2 h 31 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Taking a bunch of UNDERS here on Sunday. We are playing them as small plays. 2* Total Money
12-28-14	Dallas Cowboys v. Washington Redskins UNDER 48		44-17	Loss	-104	2 h 31 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Taking a bunch of UNDERS here on Sunday. We are playing them as small plays. 2* Total Money
12-28-14	Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans UNDER 46.5		27-10	Win	100	1 h 30 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Taking a bunch of UNDERS here on Sunday. We are playing them as small plays. 2* Total Money
12-28-14	Buffalo Bills v. New England Patriots UNDER 44		17-9	Win	100	1 h 29 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Taking a bunch of UNDERS here on Sunday. We are playing them as small plays. 2* Total Money
12-28-14	Jacksonville Jaguars v. Houston Texans UNDER 39		17-23	Loss	-110	1 h 29 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Taking a bunch of UNDERS here on Sunday. We are playing them as small plays. 2* Total Money
12-11-14	Arizona Cardinals v. St. Louis Rams OVER 40	Top	12-6	Loss	-115	11 h 51 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. It would be easy to say, hey, two top defenses meeting up. Arizona hasn't scored more than 18 points in a month. Rams defense pitching shutouts like Sandy Koufax. 40 points. How can this game not end 17-6. STL has been sneaky good. They have already clipped the Broncos and Seahawks at home. They blew a lead vs the Cowboys. They have put up points. Arizona off a grinding home win, (10 wins) will be hard pressed to bring it here on Thursday night. I'm not going to be shocked when I see 30 points posted by half-time. 10* Total Money OVER 40
12-01-14	Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets OVER 41		16-13	Loss	-110	9 h 49 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Ok. Jets look absolutely awful. Now they go to Geno who is probably the worse QB in the NFL right now. Maybe the last 2 years. Guy is brutal. INTs. Fumbles. Bad throws. Just not a good QB. Miami is in need of a win. Off a tough loss on the road at Denver, their above average defense goes from a living legend, to, well, Geno Smith. I think NYJ are desperate. And desperate means points. Either them finally scoring on some gadget plays. Or them turning the ball deep in their own territory. One, or both will easily add 10+ points. I think the Dolphins will get near 30 point regardless. I think at this stage of the season, the players for the Jets need to show the league that they are still professionals and man up for their own dignity. I really think this game gets close to 50 tonight. 4* Money Maker OVER Dolphins/Jets
11-23-14	Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants OVER 47.5	Top	31-28	Win	100	56 h 31 m	Show
Going DALLAS and the OVER here. Look, we know Cowboys are terrible laying points. But this is a different team in 2014. Off a bye week, they are refreshed. They have a great OL that will wear down a defense. Murray is playing great. Romo still has Dez and Witten. The defense isn't sexy, but makes stops. I do expect the Giants to show a little heart though which is why we are going big on the over. I don't think they slow down the Cowboys offense. 5* Best Bet DALLAS 10* Money Bomb OVER
11-17-14	Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans UNDER 46		27-24	Loss	-105	7 h 53 m	Show
4* Total Money UNDER Steelers/Titans
11-10-14	Carolina Panthers v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 48.5		21-45	Win	100	7 h 19 m	Show
Going OVER the total here in Philly. Eagles lose there defensive leader in Ryans. I think Cam and the Panthers can exploit that to their advantage. We saw these guys on the road in Cincy put up a ton of points. For the Eagles, I don't think they lose much with Sanchez at QB. The guy can win games when he has some play-makers around him. And in this Chip Kelly offense, their are plenty of guys to make him look good. I can easily see both teams getting into the 30s here tonight. 4* Money Maker OVER Panthers/Eagles
10-26-14	Detroit Lions v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 46.5		22-21	Win	100	57 h 48 m	Show
Taking the LIONS here. You have to start taking this team seriously. For me, the win over GB, then going on the road beating NYJ was a key moment. No let down. They did have a bad loss vs the Bills at home. (we had the Bills) But that was more of the Bills rising to the occasion. This Lions team is a defensive monster. I think that is the difference maker this morning in London. You know I like the UNDER here also. I think with the problems on the Falcons line, Ryan isn't going to have enough time to get the ball to his WRs. Too much pressure. For the Lions, no Megatron has had little impact. Golden Tate with 7 or more catches in 4 straight games. Again, too many injury questions for me with Atlanta. Falcons 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS last 12 away from their own dome. 5* Best Bet LIONS and UNDER
10-20-14	Houston Texans v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 44	Top	23-30	Win	100	7 h 14 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. A pair of teams off losses. Texans with some extra prep-time. Steelers off a humiliating loss to the Browns. I expect to see some fireworks tonight. Pitt has gone 5-1 over their last 6 at home. I think the Texans can take advantage of a shaky Pitt secondary. And I think the Steelers RB can pound the Texans. I see this game getting to 40 in the third quarter. I see 27-20, 30-24 type of game. 10* Money Bomb OVER Texans / Steelers
10-12-14	Chicago Bears v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 53.5	Top	27-13	Loss	-105	117 h 47 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Alright, so we have Atlanta averaging an insane 46ppg at home. A bit skewed from the 56 they dropped on TB, but they put 37 on the Saints here. They always perform better at home in the dome than outside. So off a pair of losses at Minny and NYG , 41 and 30 points allowed, I think they put up at least 4 TDs here. We know their defense is suspect. Now Cutler has his haters, but his offense is a pretty formidable bunch. We arguably have 3 of the Top 10 WRs in the NFL playing here (Jones, Marshall, Jeffery.) Roddy White is no slouch. TE Martellus Bennett is a threat. RB Forte can run or catch the ball out of the back-field. Lots of weapons for both clubs. Let's not forget Hester for the Falcons. Even Holmes for the Bears, albeit getting up there in age, can make a play here and there. I just think we have too many offensive weapons working here. Bears 16-5 OVER last 21 on the road. Falcons 9-3 OVER last 12 at home. This game easily eclipses 60. 10* Total of the Week OVER Bears/Falcons
10-05-14	St Louis Rams v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 47.5		28-34	Win	100	50 h 48 m	Show
4* Total Money OVER Rams/Eagles
10-02-14	Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 48		10-42	Loss	-110	4 h 25 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. I think the Minny defense is improved a little. But I don't think they are ready to totally shut down Rodgers. On the same token, Vikes will look to run the ball all night and keep Rodgers off the field. I look for the 'control the clock' offense from Ponder and his offense tonight. We do have GB here laying some points, so it is hard to root for just enough points. But I see this game being in the 27-10 type area barring a bunch of TOs that produce short fields and extra scoring opportunities. 5* Total Money UNDER Minny/Pack
09-25-14	NY Giants v. Washington Redskins OVER 46	Top	45-14	Win	100	19 h 28 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Pretty simple in my thinking here. Redskins offense just seems to run better without RGIII. The defense isn't anything special, neither is the Giants. Eli should be able to hook up with Cruz for a score or two. If Jennings can repeat last weeks performance, we will be at 40 points by halftime on our way to an easy win. 5* Total Money OVER Giants/ Redskins
09-18-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 45.5		14-56	Win	100	11 h 1 m	Show
Taking TAMPA and the OVER here. I have been buried by the Bucs for the last 2 weeks. I will go to the well with them again here on Thursday night. This is by far the worse defense they have faced after opening at home vs Carolina and the Rams. Falcons give up tons of yards and points. Which is exactly what the TB offense and QB Josh McCown need. As great as Matty Ice is at home (37-10 SU), Bucs have covered 10 of the last 14 here. This is a big game for Tampa. Division match-up. National TV. The season is about to slip away if they drop to 0-3. Lovie will have these guys ready for battle. Most times I take dogs thinking they are going to win outright. The way both teams have played, I see a tight game FG game. As for the OVER, Falcons defense is in shambles. TB can exploit it. WR Julio Jones looks to be in mid-season form. Matt Ryan is a step up from Derek Anderson and Austin Davis. I know whoever wins will be scoring 30. And the loser will have 20 or more. 4* Money Maker TAMPA BAY and OVER
09-14-14	Miami Dolphins v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 43	Top	10-29	Win	100	36 h 12 m	Show
5* Total Money UNDER Miami/Buffalo
09-04-14	Green Bay Packers v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 47		16-36	Win	100	21 h 35 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Super Bowl Champs bring the defense for sure. For me, I see this breaking down this way. 1 - Lynch is going to run right through the heart of the Packers defense with no Raji in the middle. 2- Rodgers is going to throw the ball over 50 times, and if the refs throw half the flags they did in preseason, he is good for 3 TDs in the first half! 3- Worse case, both QBs get TO happy. As long as it isn't happening in the red zone, a short field will put points on the board. 4* Total Money OVER GB/SEA
02-02-14	Seattle Seahawks v. Denver Broncos UNDER 47	Top	43-8	Loss	-105	212 h 43 m	Show
Taking SEATTLE and the UNDER here. I'll be honest. Many of you had my plays in the Championship round and know that I had Denver and SF to play here at MetLife. Now, I will take that SF loss and roll the dice here on Seattle. Not because I thought SF was playing the best overall football and then since Seattle won, they are the best team. This is based on what I have seen of Denver. And the simple fact is this. When they have had to play physical, bruising teams that like to run, they have either come on with a loss, or on the short side of covering the number. We will start with Indy. They lost on the road to a team that was off to a very good start and had a nice season. Indy somehow managed over 100 yards on the ground with a patch-work run game. After their bye week, a couple tough division games vs SD and KC. They lost at NE when they should have won. Again they face SD and KC, losing at home to the Chargers. In the playoffs they faced SD and NE again and came out on top. But I am not impressed. The Broncos defense is playing very well. I am not going to take that away from them in the least bit. My problem lies with will they be able to contain bruising RB Lynch. I don't think so. This game is going to be won by the Seattle defense vs the Denver WRs. They have the size and strength to slow down this attack. I am not high on Wilson. I have said that before. Seattle is playing with house money. No pressure. All the pressure is on Manning. Seattle can swing here and miss. Denver can't miss at all. They take a shot and turn the ball over and turns into points, I can see them tightening up. This Seattle defense is very good. As great as Manning is, this defense is chomping at the bit to show just how great they are. Total wise, I really like the Under. Forget about the weather. Did you see the Lions and Eagles put up 54 in a near blizzard? I know Lynch won't have a problem in that, nor would I bet against Moreno. But I think these defenses are much better than Det/Phi. That being said, I don't see any wetness playing into the equation. It will be cold, and the QBs will be uncomfortable. The defenses love this kind of weather. We are going 2-0 today. 5* BEST BET PARLAY -- SEATTLE and UNDER
12-22-13	Arizona Cardinals v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 43.5		17-10	Win	100	18 h 23 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. You can see what I think of the Arizona offense in the free pick section. Both of these defenses are very good units. I think Seattle is going to go with a steady diet of RB Lynch pounding the Arizona front 7. This is a tough venue to play at. Seattle defense will be all over Palmer this afternoon. Seattle clobbered Arizona last year here 58-0. But I expected the revenge to take place at home, but they ended up losing there 34-22. Seahawks defense #1 in total yards allowed, Arizona at #7 and #1 rush defense. Again. I think both defenses will set the tempo here. With WR Fitzgerald nursing a concussion, he is not going to be 100%. 5* Total Money UNDER Arizona/Seattle
12-22-13	Minnesota Vikings v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 48.5		14-42	Loss	-110	16 h 40 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. I think we are getting a bit of an inflated line here. Vikes off a game where they blitzed the Eagles at home without AP in 48-30 fashion. Cincy is off a prime-time loss (we had Pitt) at division rivals Steelers losing 30-20. Ok. Here is an update for those of you new purchasing my plays. We have zero confidence in Minny QBs. Cincy has been destroying teams at home on both sides of the ball. Off a national tv loss last week, I know the defense is coming out breathing fire. Bengals have a game lead over the Ravens with Baltimore on deck. You know as well as I do that they want to take care of business here vs a weaker team. 5* Total Money UNDER Vikings/Bengals
11-24-13	Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants UNDER 45.5		24-21	Win	100	5 h 44 m	Show
4* Total Money
10-20-13	Denver Broncos v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 55.5		33-39	Win	100	9 h 39 m	Show
Going with the BRONCOS and the OVER here on Sunday night. First. Let's forget about Irsay's comments about wanting to win more Super Bowls. What owner or coach wouldn't want to win more. Manning and the Broncos sleepwalked last week over the Jags. Colts were just asleep not doing anything on MNF. So we have the new QB in the saddle for Indy, vs the QB who basically build this dome. Look. I think both of these guys are great QBs. Right now, Manning is playing on another level. I can't see the Colts slowing down him or his WRs. Just too many weapons for him to play with. You saw them vs Dallas on the fast turf explode for 51. I know Denver will get to 40 here. I also think after their terrible offensive night on Monday, Indy will open things up a bit here at home. Especially if Denver strikes first and get 14 on the board in the first quarter. Broncos have been an over machine and I don't think Indy has the guys on defense to slow them down here even at home with a raucous crowd behind them. 5* Best Bets BRONCOS + OVER
10-20-13	Dallas Cowboys v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 55.5	Top	17-3	Loss	-108	14 h 55 m	Show
Going OVER the total here in Philly. Cowboys didn't get much from the offense last Sunday night. No worries though. The special teams did all the work for them that night. And what better remedy for a lazy Sunday of football then to face this Eagles secondary for Tony Romo. Yeah, much maligned Romo with 14TDs and just 3INTs this year. He has plenty of firepower even missing his running game. I like this total even more with Foles at QB because he is a better pocket passer than Vick. He will find openings in the Dallas secondary. Do we forget Romo threw for over 500 yards 2 weeks ago. He basically had a bye week to rest his throwing arm Sunday night. Eagles 7-1 over their last 8 at home and 8-1 over their last 9 overall. These two defenses are at top or bottom, depending how you few it, for yards allowed passing. This is going to be another track meet for these clubs. I know someone is getting 40, and the loser will have 20 by halftime. 10* Money-Bomb OVER Cowboys/Eagles
10-10-13	NY Giants v. Chicago Bears OVER 45		21-27	Win	100	95 h 26 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Well, I already told you that Chicago is scoring 30ppg and NYG giving up 36. I think the Bears will turn the Giants over a few times tonight. Add in special teams play and I think that we should get about 14-21 points from just getting a short field from the offense not having to sustain long drives. I think Cutler can exploit the Giants secondary over the top and deep. The run game will also opens things up. For NY, we have Eli playing poorly. He does have a couple WRs that can play though. So I think they are good for about 17-24 tonight. I can't see how the Bears don't get to 30 here. The 2 game losing streak puts a little more fire in them to get a big win. 5* Best Bet OVER Giants/Bears
10-06-13	Denver Broncos v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 55		51-48	Win	100	151 h 6 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Might be a bit late on this Denver total thing, but I'll bite here. Let's just call it the way it is. The Broncos offense looks pretty much unstoppable. I'm a Cowboys fan, but this defense is not up to this task. Do I really have to post his numbers. Really 16TDs 0 INTs completing 75% of his passes. Who is cover Thomas? The guy is a beast. Welker in the slot? Decker going deep? Way too many weapons for Dallas to slow down. We have seen the Broncos give up points also. And to be fair, Romo has plenty of options in Witten and Dez. Williams, Harris and Escobar have been nice surprises also. Plus Murray in the backfield. I guess I should be shocked this total wasn't 60 to open. Would it really shock anyone when this is 28-20 at the half? or 24-21? Here are a couple more predictions in addition to this total. Both QBs throw INTs today. And both have 3TD and over 300 yards. I think Murray breaks off some big gains and goes over 100. I think the Denver RB combo does the same. 5* Total Money OVER Broncos/Cowboys
10-06-13	Philadelphia Eagles v. NY Giants OVER 53.5		36-21	Win	100	16 h 47 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. I was back and forth on this all week. Nearly made this another Top 10. Listen. Both of these teams are desperate for wins here. The Giants win-less on the year are clawing for life. Let's just look at the facts. Eagles have the worse defense in the league giving up almost 450 yards a game and nearly 35points per! Giants give up a little less yardage but even more points at 36.5. I think McCoy is going for 200 yards here. I think Jackson breaks a punt return for a TD. I think Vick throws for 3 TDs, 1 will be a INT for 7. Eli will throw 4 TD passes. Wilson will cough it up because he thinks he is a fumble-back. He will break some huge runs this afternoon though. The real shocker is if this game doesn't get to about 50 by half-time! 5 Best Bet OVER Eagles/Giants
09-12-13	NY Jets v. New England Patriots UNDER 44		10-13	Win	100	32 h 6 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. The question isn't does this game stay under, the question is do the Jets top 10 points. Listen. Brady is going to get his 2-3 Touchdowns. I don't care if he is throwing to WRs from a community college. The guy will get into the end zone. But, this team is banged up offensively. We know Gronk is out. Amendola is out. Vereen is out. Again. I think the Pats will get more than 20 here without a doubt. Make no mistake though, this isn't a vintage NE offense. On the Jets and their offensive mess. I said this is my free pick write up and I will say it again here. Bills just played a rookie QB who is athletic like Geno. Back to back games on a short week. That will only help the Pats defense get more familiar to what the rookie will be doing here Thursday night. 5* Best Bet UNDER Jets/Patriots
09-05-13	Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos UNDER 48.5		27-49	Loss	-110	71 h 28 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Although I think the Broncos defense is weaker than last year, I still think they are a solid bunch. Ravens are improved even after losing HOFer Lewis and Reed. They are younger and faster, and will be much improved. 4* Money-Maker UNDER Ravens/Broncos
01-20-13	San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 49.5	Top	28-24	Loss	-110	53 h 28 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here. Pretty basic in my thinking here. I think the Falcons are going to win, and if I am correct, I see a score around 40-44. If it turns out the SF are the darlings, I can see a blowout, but another under. Something like 31-13. Again. Under the total. The Niners do have a top defense. I know the trends recently have pointed to overs in the championship game. But I will defer and go back to the 'defense wins championship' mantra. Falcons will need to establish their run-game, ball control offense. Falcons defense a bit soft and will have it hands full stopping Gore and Kaepernick. But I think it is something they are up to. They defense was great last week vs Seattle before they mailed it in the 4th quarter and barely escaped with a win. Falcons under 6 of their last 8 overall. Falcons 6-1 under last 7 at home. Falcons 10-2 under last 12 vs teams with winning records. Niners bring a top 5 defense across the board to this NFC Title game. DC Mike Nolan was canned mid-season by SF a couple years back. He will want to smother this team and the defense will rally around their coach. 10* UNDER San Fran/ Atlanta
12-23-12	New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 51.5	Top	34-31	Win	100	25 h 4 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Saints come in clicking off a 41-0 bashing of Tampa. Brees now has 38TDs on the year. He hasn't been the problem even with 18INTs. The defense is terrible, ranked #32 in the league in yards allowed and giving up over 27ppg. I know people get down on Romo, but the guy produces numbers. He barely has 100 less passing yards than Brees does. Though with just 22TDs and 16INTs, he looks less impressive. The problem with Dallas is that the defense barely makes big stops. Even with the improved secondary, this team is still giving up more points (24.1) than they are scoring (23.4) Dallas actually has a top 15 defense, but I am willing to bet on Brees getting 3 or more TDs here. I also feel Romo will have a big day numbers wise. Saints 7-1 over last 8 vs teams with winning records. New Orleans 12-3 over last 15 vs NFC teams. Dallas has gone over in 4 of the last 5 vs NFC teams and 5 of their last 6 at home. 10* OVER Saints/Cowboys
12-09-12	Dallas Cowboys v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 46.5		20-19	Win	100	1 h 58 m	Show
Opinion
12-09-12	St. Louis Rams v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 42.5		15-12	Win	100	1 h 52 m	Show
Opinion
12-06-12	Denver Broncos v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 49.5		26-13	Win	100	6 h 59 m	Show
Opinion UNDER Denver/Raiders
11-22-12	Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 48	Top	38-31	Win	100	38 h 59 m	Show
Going OVER the total here. Romo has that ugly INT number, but if you take away the Bears loss, and the Giants game, he has been very good. Redskins do not have that secondary. Both defenses are prone to giving up a big play. The Cowboys under Romo have been very good getting W's in November and you do that by putting some points on the board. We are moving heavy on Dallas minus the points as we think they are good for a 30 spot here. I expect the defense to give up a few of their own. 5* OVER Washington/Dallas
02-06-11	Pittsburgh Steelers v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 45		25-31	Loss	-105	74 h 57 m	Show
5* UNDER Steelers/Packers Prop bets Over 3.5 FG +155 @ BoDog Yes- Both teams make FG of 33 yards or more +145 @ BoDog Total Passing Yards Aaron Rodgers UNDER 275.5 +105 @ BoDog Will Hines Ward score a TD YES +160 @ BoDog ---- Thanks for purchasing my Super Bowl Selection. It is another profitable year in the NFL. Though we did slump with a .500 December, we raced out to a fast start in the Playoffs before have a losing Championship Weekend...See you next football season as long as these guys don't strike --- Thanks again, Sean
01-23-11	NY Jets v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 39		19-24	Loss	-110	103 h 46 m	Show
Going UNDER the total in Pittsburg. Championships are won with DEFENSE and we have 2 more great ones going today. Though these two teams have gone 5-2 UNDER the last 7 they have played against each other, they have been on over trends of late. We will toss those aside here as here, in the AFC Championship Game, we are going to get some old-school smash-mouth football. We have to remember the Jets/Pats were cruising to an under. Jets then scored a play after an onsides kick, then allowed the Pats to score a meaningless TD. All told, 21 points in about 2 minutes forcing an over. Pitt will look to bottle up the Jets run game. Jets will sit back and look to Big Ben to force something. Both QBs have big-play WRs, but they just seem to come out late in games. Both D's will play above and beyond how well they normally play. Offense will be at a premium. Unless there is a plethora of TOs deep in a teams territory, I can't see this came approaching 30 much less 39. 10* UNDER Jets/Steelers
01-23-11	Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears UNDER 44		21-14	Win	100	100 h 31 m	Show
We are going UNDER the total in Chicago. This isn't a dome game people. Aaron Rodgers isn't going 31-36 in the elements. This is cold, January football in Chicago with a pair of top defenses. Both teams bring top flight pressure on opposing qbs and playmakers in the secondary. The UNDER is a perfect 6-0 last 6 times they have met and 5-1 the last 6 in Chicago. The UNDER is 6-2 last 8 for GB vs NFC North teams. The Pack have gone UNDER in 8 of their last 10 on the road and 5 straight as road favorites. DEFENSE wins Championships. And 2 of the best will be on display for us Sunday afternoon. 10* UNDER Packers/Bears
01-16-11	Seattle Seahawks v. Chicago Bears OVER 41	Top	24-35	Win	100	62 h 34 m	Show
Going OVER the total in Chicago. Right off the bat.. Hester is taking one to the house here. He did it in the loss to Seahawks back in October. Also, we have 2 QBs who can toss a pick or 4 in a game. Now, Seattle just put 41 on NO at home. My thinking is this is a 33-17 type game. Bears are quietly a pretty decent offense and Seattle can score as we saw last week. Plenty of nice trends backing up our Over selection. The Bears have gone over in 4 straight playoff games as faves and are 8-1 over their last 9 games in January. Bears have gone over in 4 of their last 5 playoff home games. Seattle is 12-3-1 over their last 16 as underdogs. Seahawks have gone over in 9 of thier last 10 and 4 straight when on the road in the playoffs. 10* OVER Seattle/Chicago
01-15-11	Baltimore Ravens v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 37		24-31	Loss	-110	75 h 55 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here in Pittsburgh. Will be hedging our bet a bit since we do have the Ravens, so if these 2 both manage to get into the 20s, at worse we will catch a split. These 2 face each other twice a year and battle to the final second. Both teams on 5-2 under runs their last 7. Ravens have gone under in 6 of their last 8 playoff games. Baltimore also on 4-1 under runs their last 5 as road dogs and vs teams with winning records. These guys barely hit 20 combined the last time out and 30 the time before that. Ball control and defense is what these two pound 'em teams are about. 4* UNDER Baltimore/Pittsburgh
01-09-11	Baltimore Ravens v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 40.5		30-7	Win	100	16 h 51 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here in KC. Two similar teams who like to attack with the run. But only one has a star QB and that is BLT. Cassel will be staring at a solid Ravens defense that will be all over him this afternoon. OC Weiss is already out the door. You saw how prepared they looked last week against bitter division foe Oakland. This KC team is still suspect to me. I see the Ravens pounding away and then opening it up a bit with Flacco over the top. 23-6 seems about right. 5* UNDER Ravens/Chiefs
01-08-11	NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44.5		17-16	Win	100	56 h 25 m	Show
Going UNDER the total here in Indy. We know the Jets will look to pound the ball all day long vs this Colts defense. They will also have Sanchez doing his thing which is nothing dangerous downfield. This Indy team is still banged up and missing some weapons. Revis is still a stud corner. Cromartie is servicable. Reggie Wayne is still a threat but will have a tough time vs the Jets secondary. Colts still have Mathis and Freeney and their 21 sacks. They will put pressure on Sanchez. Jets nearly doubled the Colts in QB sacks, and will bring pressure from all over the field. So we are going under. Jets running the ball = Manning not being on the field that long = an under 40 type game. 5* UNDER Jets/Colts

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