Taking OKLAHOMA tonight. Won big with the Sooners as our Top 10* Money Bomb last week. And you would think that there is no place to go but down after 'Bedlam.' But as our pal Lee Corso says. Not so fast my friend. Yes. TCU has allowed  7-7-0-6 points in their last 4 games. Put all those 4 offenses together and you won't get the Sooners. TCU won at Ok State 44-31 in a game that will be very similar to this. We know that Oklahoma can't make a stop on defense. But there hasn't been many times they have been stopped on offense. But for our money, we are not backing Kenny Hill over Baker Mayfield. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA 

Taking MISSOURI here. Wow. Talk about dead man walking. Put a fork in this Vols team. Shocked the coach isn't canned yet. What are you doing blowing a red-shirt QB for like, 2 plays or whatever. Absolute nonsense in Tennessee right now. Both teams need wins for a bowl bid. I just think that even off a win, the Vols are mailing it in. Tigers have been an offense machine the last few weeks. 45-52-68 run vs Florida, Uconn and Idaho. Not a murderer's row, but enough to build some confidence. Can't see Tenn putting enough points on the board here to stay within striking distance. 8* Sure Shot MISSOURI TIGERS 

Taking ALABAMA here. I lost with these guys last week. But I will come back to them again. Look. These guys are good. I thought they would be motivated after being slighted to #2 in the Playoff Poll. And I still think they play with a chip on their shoulder tonight. How do you motivated guys who have won and played in National Championship Games? You gotta fire them up. Bama didn't look to interested going through the motions vs LSU. They were actually out-rushed. I think they come out here after hearing about their performance all week from their soft-spoken coach. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking VIRGINIA TECH. I do like my 'Canes, but I think they get picked off here. I mean, not really picked off as they are dogs, but this team has been really getting all the breaks so far this season. A couple injuries will catch up with them. Losing Walton has been a big blow to the run game.  Has Miami just been playing down the last couple weeks? 4 wins by 18 points. Just think VT a bit better on the defensive side of the ball right now. 5* Best Bet VA TECH 

Taking ALABAMA tonight. I hear everyone saying that Georgia should be 1 in the Playoff Poll. That 'who has Alabama beat' this year. You can't use the 'eye test'. Is that really a question when we are talking about the Tide? Well let's see. In 2014, 1st year of the Playoffs, Bama was the 1 seed and lost to eventual National Champion Ohio State. In 2015, they were the 2 seed and won the National Championship. In 2016 they lost in the National Championship to Clemson. Do people forget that epic game? 2 of the 3 years they were in the Championship. You can say they can easily be 2-0 or 0-2. But don't tell me that this coach will not have his teamed fired up here. I don't care if they are laying 30. This guy destroyed Vandy because statistically speaking, Vandy was the best defense in the SEC. You don't think that riled him up when a reporter asked how does it feel to face the best defense in the SEC? And Saban thinking to himself, I have had 18 defensive guys drafted to the NFL the last 4 years. I know LSU is talented. But their coach is in over his head tonight. 5-0 SU 4-1 ATS last 5 vs LSU with Bayou Kitty Cats putting up barely 10ppg. When you are this good, you need every bit of motivation for the disrespect card to be played. And the Committee just made LSU road kill. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA

Taking OKLAHOMA today. uhhh. Yes - I know I said I liked the Cowboys to win the Big 12. But I just can't right now. Big hitter RB Hill left last weeks game and is banged up. I do like our QB a lot. It should probably be a shoot-out with Mayfield under center across from Rudolph. Sooners have run off 15 straight wins on the road and 20 of 21 wins in Big 12 play. Loser is out of any playoff talk. Oklahoma already with a big win under their belts winning at Ohio State. You can grab the points but I don't think it is necessary. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking SMU this afternoon. Will grab these guys off their bye. Last time I backed them, we were losing at Houston, but with over 500 yards of offense. After a week to recoup, they will be more than ready to face this week Cincy offense. 116th in total offense. They can't get in the end-zone, 117th in scoring. Mustangs putting up over 500 yards a game good for 11th nationally, and 6th in scoring at nearly 44ppg. The defense is no great shakes. And they give up points. Judging by wins over UConn and Arkansas State, I see the same outcome this afternoon. One of those 44-24 type games. Even 44-30 gets us the money. I would be really shocked if the Bearcats get more than 30 points on the board today. Mustangs need to get wins for a bowl bid. They did play 2 years ago and Cincy smoked them 41-3. Any remaining players will motivate their younger teammates to exact that revenge. 5* Best Bet SMU 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE this afternoon. So we have Sparty in off a giving up a back-door cover to Minny. But they dominated the stats. The Hoosiers come in off a big comeback, but eventual loss to Michigan. 10 points in the final 4 minutes is a nice job by them vs a very good Wolverine defense. But have to think of what they have left in the tank after losing in over-time. As an added bonus, Michigan State in with revenge as Indiana won last year winning in OT as a home dog. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Look. Had the Sooners last week and again, like all Oklahoma teams before it. They give up a big lead and forget to score in the 2nd half. Well. We have Texas off that big comeback and have to wonder what they have left in the tank for State today. I know Herman's record as an underdog. That is fine. But the Cowboys were my pick to win the Big 12. And now that we have had a couple other teams join the 1 loss ranks, well the playoff door is wide open for Oklahoma State to enter the party. I expect OKST to come out fast and no doubt equal, or beat that 20-0 lead that the Sooners put up on Texas early. But unlike Oklahoma, the Pokes play a full game for us and deliver the 10+ point victory. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking USC tonight. Easy to say let's grab the dogs. Utah though in off loss to Stanford (we failed to cover there) and did beat the Trojans last year. So a big revenge spot for SC. We played on SC vs Stanford. That was another spot where people were off Southern Cal. Like this spot, happily gobbling up the dog points. But in this spot, I see USC doing the exact same thing it to the Tree. Can't discount the revenge angle. We have the top spot in the PAC 12 on the line. Not sure that Utah can keep up the pace offensively with SC. If Darnold is mistake free tonight, we win this one by 20+. We can overcome an INT or fumble. Again. Just think this plays out like the Stanford game. *8 Sure Shot USC 

Taking ALABAMA tonight. So. Tide rolled up 125-3 wins in B2B beat downs of Vandy and Ole Miss. They had a 24-3 lead in the 3rd before a 27-19 final score. Safe to say, Saban was not happy. I expect a Vandy-esque performance tonight. Won't be shocked to see 30+ points by the half. Arkansas has allowed 98 points in their 2 SEC losses. 98! to A&M and South Carolina. Two teams who played the week before in a 24-17. 98 POINTS to those teams! Bama names the score tonight, but I am guessing 48-10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking VIRGINIA here. Now. You have heard me say I don't like taking 2.5 and 6.5 home faves because it looks to easy to say 'Hey, they win by a FG or TD' - But in this case, we know that Cavs started out as the dogs. Money has poured in on the home team flipping the number. And why wouldn't it. Duke was exposed in their Friday game. We have Virginia, a team that has a great coach and went on the road and won outright as double digit dogs in a tough spot. They QB is playing better every week. We have had just as much time off as Duke with our bye week. 10* Money Bomb VIRGINIA 

Taking GEORGIA here. Stepped in front of this Georgia train last week like a suicide victim. Won't happen again especially when the week prior I cashed with the Bulldogs as our Top 10* Money Bomb. We cashed a miracle cover with Florida over Vandy last week. So 2 weeks ago Vandy is absolutely demolished at home by Bama. Then they are in it at The Swamp only to have a cover and possibly a shot at an outright win ripped from them. Those are tough to rebound from. 11 rushing allowed the last 2 games. And here comes Georgia with their super RB tag-team. Plus, revenge for last years home loss ! 8* Sure Shot  GEORGIA 

Taking AUBURN here. Won an easy one last week as the Tide demolished Ole Miss. How do you back a team on a 1-11 ATS run. This team, and program is in shambles right now. Bad coaches. Bad play. Bad defense. Tigers really putting it together lately. They saw what Bama did and want to get a blowout somewhere along those lines. So a 50 spot should be on the menu this afternoon. 5* Best Bet AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. So their goes the dreams of an undefeated season for the Cowboys. 4 turnovers are costly. Fumble at TCU 37= TD for TCU, INT own 42= TD for TCU, .. Down 27-10 and you have given up 14 on TOs.  37-24 and an INT on the TCU 5 yard line. Then a final INT with 2 minutes to go. Oklahoma State still managed to out-gain the Horned Frogs 499-466 while TCU held the ball for 39 minutes! Nearly 20 minutes less and they still moved the ball. Now. Texas Tech off a big upset of their own knocking off Houston. But I am not putting the Red Raiders defense on the same side of the fence as TCU. Heck, I don't think they are even on the same block. Cowboys know that a 1 loss team can still make some playoff noise. They need to win out and play their game. With a Big 12 Conference Championship Game to be played, they are still alive. 2 years ago this was a 70-53 game - The real crazy part is that Texas Tech led 38-28 at half. And was SHUT OUT in the 3rd quarter. WR James Washington had to 70+ yard TD receptions and there was the pick for 7 to really make it a blow out. Red Raiders won't milk the clock like TCU and the plays into the hands of this prolific offense. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking MICHIGAN STATE here. Had ND as a free pick video play last weekend. And let's look how that played out. Sparty put up nearly 500 yards of offense only to be done in by 3 TOs that lead directly to 21 Irish points and a 38-18 loss. We have Iowa, who was out-gained by nearly 300 yards against Penn State, but yet lost on a last second TD pass! 2 teams. 2 losses. 2 completely different set of numbers. One team hurt themselves. One team coming in with a world of pain after losing in heart-break fashion. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN STATE 

Taking GEORGIA here. Man. One win over LSU and Mississippi State is a trendy topic. When was the last time LSU had any offense? Didn't this team have ODB and Landry at WR at were still anemic? I get they have a new HC. But with that new HC comes new schemes on both offense and defense. They have talent galore. Lining up against Georgia, who is just as talented, and at home between the hedges. Forget it. The perception is State is some juggernaut. Georgia basically off a bye with win over Samford. Before that, they absolutely shut down ND. They have their own NFL bound RB. The QB looks good. And the defense, as mentioned, is always a very good unit. I thought Miss State would be a dark horse with their new DC. And he looked the part last week. But on the road is a bit tougher. Have to lay the short number 10* Money Bomb GEORGIA BULLDOGS 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE again. Have cashed on the Cowboys twice already in their 3 games and will get on them this afternoon. I have said all along these guys were going to crash the Playoff Party and Mason Rudolph is a legit Heisman finalist. Maybe after he tosses 5 TDs today he will get some traction in his campaign. Now, I like TCU. I'm a Gary Patterson guy. But I a cashed with the Horned Frogs 2 weeks ago on the road in Arkansas. It wasn't pretty. QB goes for 166 through the air. That isn't working on the road, especially in Stillwater. Yeah, they put up points on SMU winning 56-36. What was most concerning there was 2 big plays by the Mustangs. A 58 and a 61 yard TD pass. OKST with 10 plays of 40 or more yards for TDs already this year. In 3 games! If this game was in Ft Worth, maybe I think about TCU. Cowboys haven't been home in 2 weeks and are opening up Big 12 play to what should be a great crowd. I think we really need only 1 stop for a cover here. If this game is withing 2 TDs I would be shocked. I know we probably will be laying extra with the way this offense has been scoring. But it won't stop us from cashing another ticket. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking NAVY here. What am I missing here? I faded Cincy last week and they needed a miracle to produce a win ripping victory from my hands. If they had problems vs a MAC team. How they heck are slowing down this Navy team that just continues to win games. Cincy with an entirely new regime running things. Navy is a well oiled machine that sticks to what it does. Nothing fancy. Nothing sexy. Just a triple option smash your face in style that will be like Chinese Arithmetic to a Bearcats team that doesn't see it often. Midshipmen also off a bye so they will be totally tuned into taking care of business here. 8* Sure Shot NAVY

Taking TROY tonight. Have to say, maybe this is the too good too be true line of the day. Troy won last year 52-6 laying 20. 52-7 in 2015 and 41-24 in 2014. So we have a much shorter line here on the road which is understandable. I guess coming off another upset off of rival New Mexico shaves another point or 2 off the number. But a game like that is expected. Aggies have now won the last 2 in that series as dogs. Barely holding on they will be a bit flat while Troy is ready finally ready for their 'A' game to come out having lost at Boise and a walk-through win over Alabama State. Did you know that the Aggies have had 4 winning season the last 49 years and no post season action in 56! They have 5 conference games the last 3 years with 2 being in OT and 2 over the only team worse than them in Texas State. I'll lay it with the road fave. 10* Money Maker TROY

Taking MIAMI O tonight. MAC favored over the AAC tonight and in-state big brother Cincinnati. Sign me up! Redhawks the more experience bunch on the field. They have covered 4 straight years. I think, and obviously so do the lines-makers, that now is the time. New regime on the sidelines for Cincy. That means new schemes. Players learning new things. And we have a 4th year HC who has taken his lumps in the series and is 21-11-1 ATS in his lined games here. Homecoming weekend. Should be a big night for us. 5* Best Bet MIAMI OHIO 

Taking MISSOURI here. Yeah. So, I was like man, Purdue getting 7, 7.5 from a team that gave up 43 points to Missouri State! Then they put up 13 points, while allowing 31 (3 TOs and a KO return hurt) to South Carolina after they scored 73 !! 73 over those state rivals. Missouri cans their DC and expects a quick improvement. I like Brohm. Purdue looked good against his former club. Not that his old coach would take him behind a woodshed even though Louisville can run it up. Then they beat Ohio. Things are looking up. But the players are still mostly the same that had been 3-30 in Big Ten play  with a combined 9-39 SU record the last 4 years. It will take more than 2 games to change the talent level. MizzU still is an SEC team that is more talented then the Boilermakers. Purdue juggling QBs already. Blough had 21 INTs last year and 2 already this year. Sindelar has more pass attempts this year (41) than all of last year (32). That is not a recipe for road success. 8* Sure Shot MISSOURI TIGERS 

Taking MEMPHIS here. Now. I had UCLA opening up the season and they needed an A&M QB injury and a miracle to pull out an outright win which they had no right getting. If I am going down ATS, then the entire team should suffer with me. Then they come back to beat Hawaii. So after 2 home games, the Bruins still have zero run game as they have been out-rushed 663-119. Call me crazy if you want. But I don't think you win or cover road games, when you leave your defense on the field vs an offense that can score. Memphis will put points on the board. They will pound the ball with their RB. They will put the ball in the air with their near 3500 yard QB. This is a veteran team led by seniors. They have 9 starters on offense, 6 more back on defense. Off a bye week with a cancelled game. They should battle for the AAC Championship. You don't think they want to knock off a Power 5 UCLA team out of the PAC 12 with a Heisman hopeful QB? Live dog alert. 5* Best Bet MEMPHIS TIGERS 

Taking WASHINGTON STATE tonight. Last year, we had these guys + the points and ML and nearly pulled out both. Boise is not the same Boise. Hello! 10pt dogs. These guys have been dogs like once the last 40 games. But we have a big experienced team on both sides of the ball. We have a senior QB who owns Leach's Air Raid system. No Blue Turf miracles here. Boise benched their starting QB last week so he Rypien could be jittery and make some questionable plays early. I think the Cougars win this one going away. 5* Best Bet WASHINGTON STATE 

Taking USC tonight. Man. All I hear is that Stanford is going to roll these guys. Stanford has won 7 of the last 9 in the series. Stanford has covered 10 of the last 14. Stanford 14-2-1 ATS last 17 on the road. Stanford HC Shaw 8-2-1 ATS last 11 as dog. Stanford too physical. Stanford beat them last year, 27-10. Stanford with extra week off. SC couldn't handle Western Michigan. And yet, they are getting 5. Man. How can we not back the Trojans! The QB doesn't toss a TD pass and they still put up 49. The old perception vs reality play. Perception. Oh Stanford wins 62-7. Oh USC holds on to win 49-31 over MAC Western Michigan. Stanford owns these guys lately. Easy winner. Yeah. They build those billion dollar buildings in a desert because they make it so easy for everyone. 5* Best Bet USC TROJANS 

Taking AUBURN here. I can guarantee you this. The Tigers will win this one tonight! Will gladly gobble up any points you want to send me on an SEC team that is capable of being in the playoffs this year. I know the Clemson Tigers are the defending champs. But these guys beat the Auburn Tigers last year in an ugly game. Points at premium.  I can't see a blowout. 5* Best Bet AUBURN 

Taking MID TEN STATE here. I lost last week with the Blue Raiders, but will jump right back on them. So they are a FG home dog to an SEC team with a superior defense. Somehow they rate 10 points in the Dome? What am I missing here. Ok, Orange have some starters back. But this MDTNST offense should be able to put up some points. Their OC was fired from Syracuse's HC before taking over here. A little revenge will be on the plate for sure. 8* Sure Shot MID TEN STATE 

Taking UCLA big. First. We have revenge angle from last years 31-24 in College Station. (we had A&M) Bruins had a terrible year after being picked to win the PAC 12 going 4-8. That is what happens when your NFL QB goes down injured. Well, Rosen is back and if his play equals his mouth this team is a playoff contender. I know that there is a new OC in town and UCLA's old OC is now on the Aggies. But A&M lost their 2 best defensive guys. Rosen, at home, should be a little more mature in the pocket. Texas A&M, as of this writing Friday hasn't said who their QB is. Whoever it is, it wasn't last years starter. So he won't have help from their top 4 WRs from last year who have all departed. UCLA needs Rosen to shine. A&M is such an underachieving bunch. UCLA 30-10 ATS last 40 at home vs non-conference teams. Bruins need a fast start to wipe out that bad season stench from LY. 10* Money Bomb UCLA BRUINS

Taking FLORIDA STATE tonight. You know I have no problem backing Bama. Though we did have Clemson ML in the Championship. I don't mind laying points with this guys. We opened up last year with them as a 10* Money Bomb beat-down over USC. But times are different. They don't have the Seminoles old HC working for them. They do bring in yet another OC to run the show. Look. Bama has NFL talent every year. Clearly the cream of the crop at recruiting. But this is an early game vs a very good team that is title contender. Both teams have top 5 defenses. I can't see the Tide getting what, another dozen defensive TDs this year. Have to grab the points for sure. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA STATE 

Going OKLAHOMA STATE. I really like these guys this year. Well, I liked them last year and they crushed me out of the gate in Game 2. The old Central Michigan debacle. Man, up 14-0 and I think we are going to have a blowout. They lose in crazy fashion. Which is why I absolutely love them today. Not a chance in hell that Gundy takes his foot off the gas for one second. Tulsa was explosive last year. They had 2 1000 WRs, 2 1000 RBs and a 3000 yard QB. Well everyone of those guys is gone except 1 RB. They hit Stillwater with a young QB vs a team that is loaded offensively. Rudolph, Hill and Washington could be the best QB-RB-WR trio in the land this year. This is a tough spot for a young Golden Hurricane team. These guys are a legit Championship contender. It starts tonight! 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE

Taking COLORADO STATE. No problem opening up the College Football season with a Top 10*. This Rams team should be playing a bowl game on New Year's Day. The offense is going to punish a lot of defenses. Their own defense has 8 starters back and should be able to handle the Beavers. The schedule lines up for this guys to probably win the MWC. Oregon State, for me, is probably the 11th best team in the Pac 12. Yes, I think they are a bottom Power 5 team. I know they have 15 starters back off a 4-8 season. And they were pretty decent ATS wise covering 8 games. I just feel at this price. Rams home vs the bigger Pac 12. The crowd will be an advantage. Rams should cash this one by double digits. 10* Money Bomb COLORADO STATE 

Taking CLEMSON here. Last year, we had Bama in this spot. But I think as I wrote in my Tigers write up about them blowing up Ohio State, they just have this team circled since the start of the season. We know they can move the ball vs this defense. Tide has had problems with QBs like this. I can't knock Alabama one bit. And it is tough going against a team that is the defending champ and nary a team hangs competes. I can't help but think losing Kiffen hurts a bit too. Sark is a good coach, but to do this a week before a title game? I dunno, something is up and it will come out. We knew Lane was leaving, but he was ready to get that ring along with everyone else. Nick is too good a coach to let this be an issue you would think. That being said, something just tells me Clemson is ready to take that next big step. 10* Money-Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking USC here. I faded these guys day 1 against Alabama, but this team is playing some excellent ball lately. And truth be told, the Big 10 hasn't impressed in bowls. Yes we cashed with Indiana and Northwestern, but also fading Ohio State and Michigan in big fashion. Do we think that Penn State is really the cream of the crop from this conference? For the sake of the selection committee, let's hope not. They left a Conference Champion off the playoff roster. No team probably playing with a bigger chip on their shoulder than Penn State. Do they channel teams of past, like the 86 bunch, and the 'fatigue game' vs Miami? I don't hear SC taking that kind of smack. But I just get the feeling that the Lions haven't faced an offense like what they will see out of the Trojans here. 5* Best Bet USC TROJANS 

Taking FLORIDA here. I was leaning a little Iowa when the lines were first posted. But I am all in on the Gators here. They won 16-10 at LSU. Lost at Florida State 31-13. Were throttled by Alabama (we had Bama) 54-16. But as I said in my Bama write up that day. Gators are in off a brutal stretch. They were missing key guys. The scheduling was brutal. Now they get guys back. They are playing in-state. When was the last time Iowa plucked out a huge Florida recruit? This is a big game for them. Get the losing taste out of their mouth. And honestly. I have backed Iowa in bowls before and it hurts. 8* Sure Shot FLORIDA GATORS 

Taking CLEMSON here. Where is the respect for this team? Total smack in the face. Dabo will have these guys extra chippy with a monster chip on their shoulders here. Ohio State has set the precedent that you don't have to be a conference champ to get in the playoffs. And you can lose a h2h with the conference champ and still get here. I don't want to hear how the Big 12 has no championship game and gets left out of these things from now on. Look. Buckeyes have a good team, but are not as explosive as years past. They are 6-6 ATS this year. Penn State and Michigan beat them in the trenches and Clemson is +22 sacks on the year. That is where this game will be won. And this Clemson team is nothing but focused at getting back to Alabama.. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON TIGERS 

Let's get it here. ROLL TIDE - How can we not take these guys. They have been rolling all year. We had the over in the SEC Championship Game and I said that both sides of the ball from Alabama wears you down. Do we really think extra time off is going to help here? Let's be honest. This line will only get higher. I might come back with a middle if it gets to near 20. Washington is a good team. The ole, chip on the shoulder, disrespected thing going on here. PAC 12 is the little brother conference and all that jazz. Are we really giving this Alabama staff nearly a month to game plan here? I can have a big to-do about individual players on both sides and balls and run down some stats. Bottomline is this - I see something like in the 38-17 range. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE

Taking LSU here. This team is good. You know I like their HC and have cashed already with him this year. We have the whole Heisman jinx thing going on for UL. And look. UL Had much higher hopes than the Citrus Bowl. These guys climbed to #3 in the polls after they pasted Florida State. But they lost to Houston and Kentucky. And are here. A dog to a 7 win team. Fournette was banged up this year and the Tigers really skip a beat with their rush attack. 10* Money Bomb LSU TIGERS 

Taking FLORIDA STATE with the points and ML +225 here. What is there not to like? 'Noles get to a face another big league program. And to help things along, a pro-style offense that their defense can contain while catching a TD. Sign me up. FSU was at it's worse playing run-type QB offenses. Michigan is not that kind of offense. Plus, they limped to the finish line. The covered 1 game against a ranked team they played. That was Penn State. Colorado, Wiscy, Iowa, Ohio State. All tough games for the Wolverines. Florida State defense was #1 in the nation in sacks, Michigan #2. But we have seen the Michigan OL struggle lately. Dog outright here. 5* Best Bet FLORIDA STATE 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. These guys were humiliated last year in bowl action, and no way Mike Gundy lets that go down 2 years in a row. Cowboys excited and bring a potent offense into the Alamo Bowl. Both teams off losses that would have given them Conference Titles. But I think Colorado, for all the times we did cash on them, is just the weaker team. Buffs new to the bowling with nary a player ever been to one. This is routine for Okie State. Can't help but think we will have a Big 12 friendly crowd playing here in Texas also. Final thought is that Colorado loses it's DC. So even with a replacement in-house, it just isn't the same as a the experience walking away. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS 

Taking KANSAS STATE here. How can we not back this HC? Snyder a profitable 5-1 as a dog this year (loss at Oklahoma) and are 27-13 67.5% last 40 under him. A&M roared out to a fast start but has been pedestrian down the stretch. Sumlin < Snyder is no contest. Sumlin 0-7-1 ATS last 8 game for the Aggies. Whispers that Snyder is hanging it up after this win. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE

Taking NORTHWESTERN and the ML +185 here. And why not. Last year we cashed a monster 10* on Tennessee and they destroyed Northwestern. No way they come out like that here against Pitt. This line I think will continue to rise since the public just loves a team that scores 70 in regulation. But Northwestern can move the ball themselves and have a defense capable of a stop or two. I think getting to 7-6 is a big factor backing the Wildcats. 5* Best Bet NORTHWESTERN 

8* Sure-Shot Total OVER La Tech/ Navy

Going OVER the total here. Tulsa should put up about 50 here. I am pretty confident that the Chippewas can get us 24-30 points. Tulsa has a pretty potent offense and CMU has a timely defense that has put some points on the board. Won't be shocked a bit to see a special teams score here either. Should be a wild one in Miami. 5* Total Money Best Bet OVER Central Michigan/ Tulsa 

Taking the COUGARS here. I'll be honest, was thinking of grabbing the ML dog here. But I think that Houston still has plenty to prove here. They will get to send off their QB with a nice bowl win, and enter their new HC, OC Major Applewhite with a bowl win. They also keep their DC in place. Can't forget that these guys beat the Big 12 Champ in Oklahoma, and a pretty good Louisville team with a QB who nearly won the Heisman. Aztecs don't much gas left in the tank. I can see them being close for half, but Houston is pulling away for a double digit win here. 8* Sure Shot HOUSTON COUGARS 

Taking NEW MEXICO here. Normally you would shy away from a team making a repeat appearance in b2b bowl games. But for the Lobos, this is a sweet spot for them. A home game! They lost in this bowl last year to Arizona. They are now nearly a TD fave over bowl newcomer UT San Antonio. Just have to think that Bob Davies group is hungry for a win here. A nice 8-4 season would turn into something huge to catch a bowl win since they haven't since 2007. They offense is powerful enough to overcome the short comings of a bad D. I see a 10pt cushion for us this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb NEW MEXICO 

Taking CLEMSON here. I think Dabo rates a clear edge over the new VT staff. This has been a huge year for the Hokies in Year 1 after Beamer Ball. But this Tigers team has responded after a rough loss. I just think this team is really focused on getting back to face Alabama. They seemed to go through the motions a few times this year. But they know they are out of the playoffs with the way the Committee is treating the Big 10 teams. I expect a statement here. Hokies possess a dual threat QB and we saw how Clemson handled UL in almost the same spot. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS

Going OVER the total here. I can lay the 24 with Bama. I know we all here how they can lose and still be #1. I can't see Saban having his guy taking a game off. The dude is nuts. The defense is good. We all know about the 12 defensive/special teams TD. Fact is this. Bama lines wear down teams. Florida is not close to being ready to compete here. They have given up 466, 423 and 387 yards to Arkansas, LSU and Florida State. Now you are stepping up to play the defending champs in a rematch of LYs Tide win. Alabama has given up 18 points in November. I think the Tide get into the 30s and I am looking for 1 measly score from the Gators. 5* Total Money Best Bet OVER Florida/Alabama 

Taking WEST VIRGINIA here. Talk about send in the clowns. This Baylor team has absolutely collapsed. Grobe is out as HC. They are on a long trip with a freshman QB. 6-0 to 6-5. These guys were in the Top 10! What the heck!! 62-38 Bears walloped the Hokies last year. Time for the payback. 8* Sure Shot WEST VIRGINIA 

Taking NAVY here. 22-2 SU at home. 11-1-2 ATS L14. And we are laying this? If this line was higher I would rate it higher. I am trying to figure out why this is so low. I do respect the Temple defense. But man, they are really expecting them to shut this Middie offense down. They just put up 75 last week. Temple in the Red Zone - 57% TD rate, Navy 82% - 5* Best Bet NAVY

Taking ALABAMA here. How can we not? I get it. Laying 17 is a ton. Iron Bowl be damned we are laying the wood here though. We get Alabama off a terribly sloppy game last week. To be expected though. They know the big game was this week as they have a spot in the SEC Championship Game locked up. Tide continue to get defense and special teams help on the scoreboard. The defense is just insane. They haven't allowed a TD in 13 quarters. They give up 2 yards a rush. Less than 70 a game. Their worse performances have been on the road for sure. But we are home here. And probably half a bit of inflated line. Tigers QB Sean White is banged up. RB Pettaway who is explosive is expected back after missing the last 2 games. But again. 2 YPR for this 'Bama defense. 40 sacks, 2nd to Florida State's 41. 9 Defensive TDs. 3 Punt Return TDs. A QB in Hurts, who just hurts opposing defenses through the air or with his legs. The Tigers defense is good, but they have beaten up on weak teams. Clemson (19-13) and A&M (29-14) beat these guys while Bama beat A&M 33-14 earlier this year and Clemson 45-40 in the NC last year. The Bama offense just bullies teams into submission over the course of 4 quarters. They are just trying to beg people to go against the Tide with this number. This team is an all around 'team' and I think a 20+pt win is in the making. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA 

Taking OHIO STATE here. Right off the bat. When was the last time Harbaugh won a big game? NFC Championship Game over the Falcons? Urban 60-5 at Ohio State, 3 losses in Big 10 play. Twice to Michigan State. They have crushed Michigan 42-13, 42-28 the last 2 years, 42-41 in 2013 and 26-21 in his first year when he went 12-0. The were ranked 3rd that year but ineligible for post season play. Let's be honest, they can easily have 2 Championships under Meyer right now. Michigan comes in with a backup QB or a starter with a bad collarbone. Either way, edge Buckeyes. Both defenses are serious stop units, but only Ohio State has play-makers on the offensive side of the ball. Barrett a solid dual threat QB with 24TDs 4 INTs on the year and 8 more TDs and over 700 yards from his feet. O'Korn had one decent year with Houston but Ohio State is an entirely different breed of defense than the AAC. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE BUCKEYES 

Taking TULSA here. This Cincy team is done. On national TV last week, at home, for senior night, fighting to get bowl eligible, they flat out laid an egg losing 34-7. Heck it was 34-0 in the 3rd before Cincy put up a score in the early 4th. So now they get revenge minded Tulsa who is cruising with a top 10 ranked offense looking to impress the bowl people. Hurricanes have scored 40 or more in 11 of last 13 games. This isn't last years Bearcats who can score. They have been outscored 112-26 last 4 games 1-8 ATS last 9. 5* Best Bet TULSA 

Taking TEXAS here. It is easy to think TCU gets the win with their secure HC on the sideline. We have been talking about Charlie Strong getting the boot for 2 years now. Man. I do like this guy. Did a good job at UL. But after we cashed opening day with Texas beating ND, it has been a nightmare. Well, I think his players really like him for one. What better way to screw with the boosters than to get to be bowl eligible. Also. This TCU defense is really bad. Longhorns can move the ball. That hasn't been their problem. A little double revenge angle is the whipped cream angle on why Texas should be big winners this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS LONGHORNS 

Taking VANDERBILT here. I had higher hopes for Vandy this year. I think their coach might get shown the door after the season. I do like them in this home spot though. They have a tough finale against the Vols next, but this game is winnable to me. I know the offense is bad, but the defense, especially home, has proven to be a good unit. Now we get a freshman QB making his 2nd start, on the road to boot, laying double digits? 'Dores on a 7-2 ATS run as double digit dogs! They have been in every game this year with the except Ga. Tech. 8* Sure Shot VANDERBILT 

Taking TCU here. Oh, another flat-out gem to unload on. The old ranked team getting points from an unranked team. How many people are saying.. Okie State is ranked getting points and beat them 49-29 last year. Easy Money! - As our buddy Lee Corso says. Not so fast my friend. Sign me up for some Gary Peterson bye-week magic. This is far from a vintage Horned Frogs unit. But they had no probably crushing Baylor 62-22 on the road 2 weeks ago. And with extra prep time, I am sure the coach has refreshed the memories of last year. On the road, undefeated and ranked #5 in the land, only to have their season blow-up in their faces. Payback is in order as they snuff out any flicker of hope that the Cowboys had at running the table and somehow climbing the playoff rankings. 5* Best Bet TCU 

Taking KANSAS STATE here. As close to a 'no-brainer' out there as I can get. First, we have such a huge edge in coaching this really should be a 10-20 pt win for us. Just look at Baylor. They road their negative press to a fast 6-0 start beating cupcakes and have now lost 3 straight. The last 2 by a combined 61 points. Where is the motivation for the Bears? Lost their QB.  Their coach is not going to be here at the end of the year. Assistants probably working on resumes. Lame duck staff with no major bowl pending. And then we have Bill Snyder a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 out of byes. Need a win for bowl eligibility. 10* Money-Bomb KANSAS STATE 

Taking LOUISVILLE here. Said on my podcast that UL has to really make a statement here. The powers that be obviously adhere to a little head to head action as Clemson is ahead of the Cardinals. So I expect a big showing tonight to show the committee that they are to be taken seriously. Now, if Houston has been sitting pretty at 10-0, then things are totally different. But with losses to Navy and SMU, well they can only really be a semi-spoiler. So, a short week and Houston QB Ward nursing a shoulder injury. Plus we get the revenge factor on top of the perfect storm of upsets last week. 5* Best Bet LOUISVILLE 

Taking COLORADO STATE here. One. The HF for Air Force is negated since the Rams are use to this altitude of play. Two. We get the Falcons off a big road win over a fellow Academy win in Army. Colorado State basically off 2 straight bye weeks as they won 37-0 last week. AF is 2-11 ATS last 13 games after facing Army and Navy. 5* Best Bet COLORADO STATE 

Taking ARKANSAS here. Back on the Hogs here. We were 'Bama last week and they got us the W. So how can we, or anyone for that matter back LSU as a road fave? Nowhere to go but down and that is a bad spot vs an Arkansas team that has beaten them the last 2 years. 5* Best Bet ARKANSAS

Taking LA TECH. These guys have lost to Arkansas and Midd Tenn State by 5 points combined. They hung with an explosive Texas Tech offense 59-45 on the road. They passing offense is one of the best in the land. QB Ryan Higgins 30 TDs and just 4 INTs on the year. Final home game for the Bulldogs. I see a 50pt day lining up. UTSA is a middle of the road team and quite frankly, could be very flat here. As I said, Tech lost to MDST while the Road Runners come in off an outright win over Midd Tenn winning 45-25 as 19 point DOGS! Reality check in Ruston this afternoon. 10* Money Bomb LOUISIANA TECH 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. Man. Laying this kind of number vs a team that averages 40ppg! Just screams that the Sooners win this 63-35. Where has is the motivation for the Bears. How is an interm HC in Grobe getting this team off the mat? Road loss at Texas knocked them from the unbeaten. They get absolutely thrashed allowing 62 at home to TCU. Now they face a Sooners team with extra rest and getting weapons back on offense. 2 years go the Bears won here. Payback in order. 8* Sure Shot OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking ALABAMA here. Saban's bunch is 22-2 SU L24 with 19 wins coming by 7 or more. How can we not take the best team in the land when they are laying less than 10? This is a dominate team. I am sure Lane Kiffin will dial something special up here against LSU. Both teams off bye weeks. But the Tigers have a lot more to worry about in my eyes. Bama has scored 12 non-offensive touchdowns. 9 on defense, 3 special teams. That is basically a score a game. So stat wise you are telling me with that, I am getting the Tide at a pick? Sign me up. I do like Orgeron. And I think he should get a full time gig. But this Alabama crew. Come on with this coaching staff. LSU safety says they are going to dominate and have been letting Alabama off the hook - Why give the Tide any more fuel to their undefeated, National Championship repeat , us against the world mentality. 10* Money Bomb ALABAMA 

Taking NC STATE here. Trying to find some motivation for the 'Noles. 5-3. I thought these guys could be a playoff team. I mean, a lot of people had high hopes for these guys. Now they will be in some crap bowl. State off a bad loss for sure. But I can see them being pumped up to take down Florida State in this spot. And.. You know when I see teams, especially a big name like FSU laying that 6.5, the voices in my head hear weekend warrior bettor saying, no way Florida State doesn't win by a touchdown. We could score and outright win tonight. 5* Best Bet NC STATE

Taking ARKANSAS here. Just like this spot for the Razorbacks. Rested, Gators off a huge win over Georgia. Arkansas was smashed their last time out. Wish I moved on this earlier in the week as the line has dropped. But in any case, I think we get an out-right victory this afternoon. 8* Sure Shot ARKANSAS 

Taking CLEMSON here. Rolling our Top Rated MONEY BOMB out on the Tigers. I know the 'Noles are 23-1 SU last 24 here at Doak. But I do not like what I have seen. FSU scoring 35ppg. But have notched 35-20-17 last 3 games. Are they saving it up for tonight? They have allowed 34 to Ole Miss. 63 to Louisville. 35 to South Florida and 37 to North Carolina. What is going to happen when the best QB they have seen comes to play here? 40+? Clemson is 8-3 ATS last 11 in the series and 4-1 ATS last 5 here on the road. What really comes into play for me here is defense and the QBs. Clemson defense allowing 15ppg which is basically have of what Florida State gives up. Add in we have the more experienced QB and I think we cruise to a double digit win here tonight. 10* Money Bomb CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking WYOMING here. Have cashed with the Cowboys a few times and will come back to them here laying the small number on the road. Nevada is in total free fall. The offense is absolutely terrible. They have scored more than 17 points once in their last 4 games. Wyoming has lost at Nebraska, then blew a game late at Eastern Michigan. But they have crushed Colorado State and Air Force their last 2 outings. We are also in off a bye week which does nothing help. 5* Best Bet WYOMING COWBOYS 

Taking NEW MEXICO STATE here. Uh.. Going ugly here. Aggies got hammered on the road last week at Idaho giving up 55! Georgia Southern though looks like a shell of its former self. Pretty simple in my thinking here. We get New Mexico State at home off a debacle. We have Georgia Southern playing their 4th straight game! GA Southern off a big game vs Georgia Tech and have an even bigger game vs Appalachian State up next. 8* Situational Sure-Shot NEW MEXICO STATE 

Taking AUBURN here. These guys started slow for sure. And when you see ranked teams giving double digits to other ranked teams, I am sure you scratch your head. But this isn't like Alabama huge line over the 6th ranked Aggies. Tide just get an extra couple points on them just because of their name. In this case, the Tigers are a vastly improved unit. I do like the smash-mouth Hogs. But off Alabama and Ole Miss in b2b, hitting the road for Auburn off their bye week is difficult. Also a little revenge angle for last years crazy OT loss for the home team. Arkansas has given up 45 to Texas A&M and 38 to TCU both on the road. So we have seen Auburn play some defense. They held Clemson to 19, A&M 29, LSU 13, Miss. St 14. Not saying that these 4 teams possess the best offenses in College Football. Just pointing out that this defense can make stops. They will especially be able to make stops with an extra week of prep and rest under their belts. Public money flowing like an open dam on the Hogs, yet the line is now up a full 3 points since opening. 10* Money Bomb AUBURN TIGERS 

Taking BOISE here. Keep it real simple here. I just think this is a flat spot for BYU. Not that they won't be up for this game, but what is left in the tank? Off OT vs Mississippi. That on the heels of crushing Michigan State on the road. What a brutal schedule. Boise looking for revenge from last year. 5* Best Bet BOISE STATE 

Taking BAYLOR here. Laying 7 TDs is a tough pill to swallow. But, we have a lot of things working in our favor. First, the history. 66-7 last year, 60-14 2014. 59-14 2013. Now, the numbers. 59-46-45. The margin of victory in those games. Next up. Kansas last week left it all on the field. Blowing a 9pt lead with a 90 seconds left is painful. Missing the game winning field as time expired is painful. Missing 3 FGs in the 4th quarter is downright inhumane. Fresh off taking TCU to the bitter end, we know that Jim Grobe will have these guys on their 'A' game. Especially off their bye week. Especially the way they played against Iowa State having to come back from being down 42-28 entering the 4th quarter. So they had a week to think about that. Now they see the Jayhawks aren't going to be quitters as they fought tooth and nail for a win. Bears have another bye week next week before facing Texas. Rest assure. Their sole focus is to come out here with a Baylor classic 64-16 win. 8* Sure Shot BAYLOR BEARS 

Taking NORTH CAROLINA here. Easy Best Bet winner last week as Virginia Tech beat the 'Heels. Now the whole let down factor was a major reason we were on the Hokies. The piss-poor weather was just an added benefit. No hurricane rain or winds for NC this game. And lookie here. Miami is off a tough loss to that same Florida State foe. Now. Not only does Miami blow a 13-0 lead. But with a chance to tie it up at 20 with a minute and a half left, they pull a page from the FSU playbook and their kicker gets a PAT blocked! The U had that game circled as a we are back type game. Total flat spot for them. North Carolina QB Mitch Trubisky has 13 TDs and just 2 picks and a depressed Hurricanes bunch will find themselves in a fast hole. 10* Money Bomb NORTH CAROLINA 

Taking KANSAS STATE here. Like Snyder in this role. Off a loss last week to West Va, and with a big revenge game here at home. Texas Tech dropped the 'Cats 59-44 last year putting up nearly 700 yards of offense. This K-State defense is one of the toughest in the land (4) in total yards yielding under 240 a game. We saw them against the cupcakes (FIU, Missouri St) give up 7 points. But holding a pretty good Stanford team playing at home to just 227 total yards is a good showing. Texas Tech can score, but the defense is putrid. Try allowing 43ppg last 13 road games. Over 500ypg allowed. Final thought here. Last 2 games here in K-State, 45-13, 55-24 good for 31 and 32pt wins. This would have been a play regardless of QB status. 10* Money Bomb KANSAS STATE 

Taking VIRGINIA TECH here. Straight up situational play here. We have North Carolina in off an emotional and physical battle vs Florida State. So. Not only did they jump out to a 21-0 lead on the 'Noles, they gave it all back and then some to be down 35-34 (blocked PAT) with 23 seconds left. They connect on a 54 yarder as time expired. To say there is nowhere to go but down is an understatement. NC is a good club. They have won 15 of their last 16 regular season games. But Virginia Tech is off their bye. The Florida State 10 pt dog outright, last second win. Add in that Tarheels have the Hurricanes on deck. Perfect sandwich flat spot. We also know that the Hokies are 4-1 ATS last 5 in the series and the road team is 7-3 ATS last 10. 5* Best Bet VIRGINIA TECH

Taking MINNESOTA here. I will be the first to say that I was totally wrong about this Iowa team. Obviously, everything that had to go right last year did. Because they are really paying their debts this year. A loss to North Dakota State. Barely edging out Rutgers. Losing at home to Northwestern. Winning the stats in just one game shows their true colors. They will be in for a battle here against Minny. I have had these guys several times already and will come back to cash a ticket here at high noon. Golden Gophers 5-2 ATS last 7 in the series, dog 5-2 ATS also. But at +1, I will just go for the even money here. 8* Sure Shot MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS 

Taking CLEMSON here. Wow. What a slap in the face to the Tigers. I know they haven't been very sharp to start the season. But these guys are very good. I think it is safe to say the Heisman front-runner will emerge between the QBs here tonight. For me. It basically comes down to defense. Clemson with the better one. Everyone is in love with the offense attack of Louisville. Let me check some here. 18 straight home wins. Undefeated home dog. Team that lost in the National Championship Game last year. yep. I am correct. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. Ranked team a home underdog to an unranked team. Sign me up Sooners! I said on podcast week 1 that Oklahoma is terrible when ranked high to start the year. And out of the gate, they lose outright as a double digit fave. Then get assaulted at home by Ohio State. Now they take to the road to face a TCU team that is a tough out in any venue. But Oklahoma is talented even with the losses. This is the type of team that will now run the table, and at the end of the year, everyone will be saying that, hey, if you lose early, it is better than losing late. That being said, with 2 losses they are most likely out of any Playoff talk unless things get crazy for other teams. Sooners also with 2 weeks to think about that home loss and get ready for a team that nearly beat them without their starting QB on the road last year. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking MICHIGAN here. Gotta love a team in the Top 10 getting double digits. Wow. What does that tell us? I think Wisconsin is overrated. I had LSU and Wiscy beat them. But where is LSU now? They beat Michigan State as a small road dog but got 4 TOs. But now they travel to face the Wolverines with a young signal caller. Michigan will be looking to attack all day with 17 sacks already on the young season. Wiscy in tough b2b road venues has Ohio State at home next. Tough stretch for any team. Michigan now playing their 5th straight at home to start the year and have essentially a bye next week on the road at patsy Rutgers. 10* Money Bomb MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 

Taking OKLAHOMA STATE here. Like I said in my podcast the other day. Be it College Hoops or Football, when I see the 'ranked' team getting points from a lower, or un-ranked club, fugedaboutit - all in on that team. Cowboys were a pre-season Top 25 team. They shouldn't have covered in that crazy Central Michigan game, but they shouldn't have gotten the L either. They did lose to a good Baylor club. But running the table to 8-2 heading into the last games at TCU and Oklahoma is a very good possibility. We cashed Texas over ND week 1 but how good does that win look now? Also, Texas gave up 50 to Cal. Mason Rudolph leads Okie State to 40ppg and even with a bye week, the Longhorns will have trouble slowing things down. I do like Charlie Strong as HC. But this is a tough spot with a desperate team who's season can really get bad with a loss here and the big Red River Rivalry game vs Oklahoma up next. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA STATE 

Taking AUBURN here. Now, I have seen reports of buying out contracts here. Who knows what is true. What I do know is that Auburn can bring some defense to a game. Home dog in the SEC? Sign me up. LSU is working on a new QB. Everything trend wise says LSU is the play. I just think we get a huge effort as Malzahn's job is on the line. 5* Best Bet AUBURN 

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE here. Lost badly last week with these guys as the 'U' rolled to a glory day beat-down. But make no mistake, this is a talented crew. Let's cut to the chase though. Akron is off a game for the ages. A 17 pt dog winning by 28 points putting up 65. Yes 65 Points! Down 21-7 entering the 2nd Q and score 5 TDs. They aren't getting that kind of luck today. Not from a much more disciplined club off a beating themselves. A big step down in class for Appy and they should roll to a double digit cover here. 10* Money Bomb APPALACHIAN STATE

Taking IOWA here. Never like laying nearly 2 TDs on the road, but these programs are in different places. Iowa in off a last second loss to North Dakota State! Now, NDST is a FCS school, they are one of the top ones in the nation. I don't think Rutgers would win against them. That being said. Iowa has zero room for a slip up. Maybe if they didn't lose you could say they would over-look the Rutgers. But they aren't in a spot with Northwestern up next. QB Beathard is 15-3 and, as a senior, won't be intimidated playing in New Brunswick. I don't think that the Scarlet Knight offensive, especially at QB, will be able to mount any serious offensive drives. We saw them get hammered 48-13 at Washington. Iowa has the same kind of talent. Howard and New Mexico are not even close to Big 10 talent. 5* Best Bet IOWA 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. I know it is easy to fade Stoops. Guy seems to be clueless at times. They never seem to live up to their high rankings, but come out of know where when nobody is watching. And right now, the people watching are waiting for Urban Meyer to have his Buckeyes bury the Sooners at home. As Lee Corso likes to say. Not so fast my friend. OSU a very young team. Yes. Outscoring teams 62.5 to 6.5 is impressive. But Bowling Green and Tulsa at home are not football factories. Baker Mayfield and the Sooner offense should have the advantage over a young, albeit, talented defense. And let's go back to the beginning of Summer for a second. Oklahoma was a 9pt fave when this game was first lined. It was then down to 6. And after losing to Houston, now the Sooners a small dog. Wow. Houston is a good club. But not enough to warrant that kind of line move. 10* Money Bomb OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking ALABAMA here. Hopefully 3rd times the charm for the Tide. Ole Miss has won the last two and now we come in laying double digits. I had Ole Miss against FSU and they looked good for a half. Make no mistake this 'Bama defense is as good or better than the 'Noles. I respect that Chad Kelly is the best QB in SEC play. But they lost their starting QB and top CB already. I know the recruit well, but Saban will light into Kiffen to make sure they don't turn the ball over 5 times in this one. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA 

Taking APPALACHIAN STATE here. First. Let's just say that the average fan is going to be all in on the Canes. And they should be. I mean, tough to knock a team ranked and with a new HC that is looking to turn the program back to a powerhouse that is was. But let's not sleep on Appy State here. I said on my first podcast of the year to take the points and they can hang with the Vols. They did. This is a veteran team that went 11-2 LY and has a bunch of starters back. Home dogs on ESPN vs a team like Miami? I will sprinkle ML +150 on the home dogs. 5* Best Bet APPALACHIAN STATE 

Taking SAN DIEGO STATE here. Have had this game circled since early August. I don't think Cal was going to be very good. I had Hawaii and the 21 when it first opened in Australia. I always like Rocky Long and he's doing a good job here in Mountain West action. First round pick Goff and the Bears blitzed the Aztecs on the road last year 35-7, and I think SDST gets some payback. Aztecs can control the clock and keep the Cal offense off the field. They also have a senior led defense that can keep points off the board. 8* Sure Shot SAN DIEGO STATE 

Give me WASHINGTON STATE here. 10.5/ 11 pts! Are you kidding me? Since 2012, Mike Leach is on a 12-3 ATS road dog run. That includes outright wins over Oregon, USC, Arizona, Cal and Utah. Boise is 99-6 since 2000 on the Blue Turf. But they did drop their last 2 at home last year. The defense isn't strong enough to contain the 'Air Raid' pass attack that the Cougars bring. QB Luke Faulk has 38TD 8INTs last year so he should be able to move the ball vs the Boise. Should be a shoot-out with a total over 70 and I will grab the double digits and smile all the way to the window. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON STATE 

Taking TCU here. I have said numerous times over the last couple years on my podcast what kind of lines get my attention, and why I bet them. Well, we have the ole 7.5 here. When I see this, I know that the fave is covering by double digits at half and wins going away. You have heard me say it a million times before. Oh, so and so is favored is favored by 6.5? There is no way the don't beat fill in blank by a touchdown. Same as oh, so and so is getting 7.5. Love that extra half point. When I see the half on 3 and 7, I am on the favorite 9 times out of 10. TCU is the better club. Yes, their defense wasn't good last week. But I think that was more of just playing down and going through the motions. Arkansas on the other had all types of trouble generating offense. Not shocking since they only have a few starters back. But this isn't your typical SEC power run team. TCU 14-3 ATS last 17 at home, one loss as 46pt faves! This is much better number to cover. Horned Frogs 7-3 ATS last 10 non-conference games while the Razorbacks log a 1-4 ATS during the same. Look for an improved defensive effort from TCU, and the offense to put up 40 here. 8* Sure Shot TCU HORNED FROGS 

Taking ALABAMA here. I know there guys are breaking in another new QB. But come on people, Tide just reload. They are always at the top of recruiting classes. For me, this is me thinking that Lane Kiffin is going to pull out all the stops to humiliate the Trojans. Getting canned on an airport runway. You think this guy is over that? Alabama is not the team to be breaking in a new QB against either. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE 

Taking TEXAS A&M here. And how can we not? Unranked team giving points to the 'better' team, the 'ranked' team. I see games like this, in week 1 no-less, and just shake my head. I like UCLA. I think they can challenge for the PAC 12 title. But I am not backing a team with an offense that returns just 5 starters. Bruins with a pretty good defense and a bit of an edge there. But the Aggies counter that with their new OC who just happened to hold that spot at UCLA the last 4 years. During the year, maybe that wouldn't really translate well. But in Game 1. With an August of prep. He knows the strength and weakness of this team. That tilts the ball into our corner. 10* Money Bomb TEXAS A&M 

Taking WESTERN MICHIGAN here. So a big, bad Big 10 team is favored by a little nickel over the MAC? Weren't the Wildcats 10-3 last year? Beat Stanford. But, the numbers show me that Northwestern isn't strong as home faves. 6-13 ATS last 20, 13-24 L37 ATS including 0-7 ATS vs MAC teams. The Broncos have a returning QB, a pair of good RBs who each have 1000 yard seasons under the belt, and a solid WR corp. PJ Fleck has done a great job here as WMU is 11-4 ATS last 15 as away dogs under his watch. I have Western Michigan winning the MAC and I think they come out on fire here to grab a little respect knocking off a power conference team. 5* Best Bet WESTERN MICHIGAN 

Taking HAWAII here. Will grab the 20+ and sprinkle some +900 ML in also. I think this sets up nicely for us. A long flight for both teams. New HC for the Rainbows but 15 returning starters who needed a jolt of new life in them. They face a rebuilding Cal team that lost their QB Goff to the NFL and their top 6 WRs. 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense. Laying 20 on a different contintent! I have the Bears pegged for the basement of the PAC 12. 5* Best Bet HAWAII RAINBOWS 

Taking ALABAMA here. The Nick-tator arrives back for a shot at another NC. And, I think he gets it done tonight. If you listen to my podcast, I am going to be repeating myself here. Clemson has the disrespect card, and will be showing it at the door. #1 team getting nearly a TD. On the heels of getting points from the Sooners. I get they are angry with something to prove. But looking at this team, I don't think they have enough to get it done. Look at this ACC and who they beat? Are you impressed? I'm not. I get you can only play who is in front of you. I understand completely. I say that all the time. But, when you struggle in some games, and see those teams losing, well, I think you are in for a rude awaking here. Alabama gets the benefit of extra practices. I don't know the HC, but I am pretty damn sure that he loves extra prep time for a Title Game. They saw how it helped Ohio State last year. Well, it is there turn now. I know that Bama has historically had trouble with the running, duel-threat QB. But I have seen them shut done runners this year. Maybe it is the play-calling. Maybe it is faster, smarter players. Whatever the case may be. The Clemson edge that everyone thinks they have, is muted at best. Bama going for Championship 4 in 7 years. Tigers, might be arriving here a year ahead of schedule. Tide playing much different since their lone loss. Coker is a solid QB. He has a beast RB in Henry. I said in taking them last week that OC Kiffen will open things up. I am betting he does it again. Roll Tide. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE 

NO PLAY --

BOYKIN OUT 

Taking MISSISSIPPI here. Going for the 10* Mississippi SWEEP here as we cashed State the other night. Ole Miss was run out of the building last year by TCU 42-3 and will be looking to get back on track as they had won and covered 6 straight bowls before that debacle. Now they can take out some Big 12 revenge on the Cowboys of Oklahoma State. Cowboys looked like they were the real deal at 10-0 before dropping a pair to Baylor and Oklahoma. Talent wise, Ole Miss is as good or better than nearly every one in the country which can attest to their win over Alabama. But they do pull some lack luster games. Losses at Memphis and Florida and a crazy loss at home to Arkansas. I think Hugh Freeze has the Rebs primed here. I think that loss LY will motivate here and a 10 win season is important. 10* Money Bomb OLE MISS

Taking IOWA here. Will gladly take the points with this rugged bunch. Under the radar all year. Only loss to MSU in Big 10 Championship Game. A game they probably should have won. These guys really haven't gotten any respect this year. And it continues here. Iowa forces TOs (+12), they have a steady QB in Beathard. Stanford though, they have feel a bit slighted here. Yes, they are in the Rose Bowl for the 3rd time in 4 years, which was PAC 12 royalty before the BCS and Playoffs began. But that could be a let-down for them. Iowa here for the first time in 25 years. Will grab the points here. 8* Sure Shot IOWA HAWKEYES 

Taking OHIO STATE here. I know that after dropping the Big 10 Championship OSU looked like a lost cause with guys talking about going pro, and getting touches and other prima donna antics. But I have faith in Urban Meyer. The guy gets results 9-2 in bowls including 7 wins by double digits. Now we have to win by just a TD. ND is a great story. I wrote them off after the first wave of their injuries. But with 2 heart breaking losses as their only blemishes, this team needs to be respected. We know the OSU staff won't let these guys over look anyone, especially a team like the Irish. ND took it to LSU last year in a bowl game. And even though OSU isn't in the Bowl Playoff, but the Fiesta is a nice landing spot. I can't see the OSU stars not showing up in their college finale's. The questions about being limited in their final 2 games, losses even, will get in their heads and more importantly their wallets. I look for a crisp offensive day and the OSU defense to keep ND in check. 5* Best Bet OHIO STATE 

Taking ALABAMA here. Saban has lost his last 2 bowl games. I think that losing streak ends tonight. Look. I like Sparty. I am a Sparty backer often. But not in this spot. Really. MSU should have lost to Michigan. Beat OSU in terrible weather. Pulled a miracle over Iowa. Luck of the Irish? I know you need some good luck along with good play, but how many rabbits are in this hat? I think Bama stuffs this rush attack and makes Cook beat them. Which, when you have NFL players littered across the defense is a tough task. Tide will ground and pound, but I won't be surprised one bit when Kiffen takes some big shots down field. 8* Sure Shot ALABAMA 

Taking OKLAHOMA here. Right off the bat you have to lean Sooners as they are laying to the #1 team in the land. Plus. I will be honest here. I was somehow hoping we would see OKLA as a dog or pick. I really didn't think odds-makers loved these guys like this. But it just adds to my thinking that Stoops does better when he starts under the radar. And this.. Did anyone catch the NC/Baylor game Tuesday night. I was watching some of that and that basically cements this selection. I put out NC as a Free Pick on my daily video. I said, I will follow the money here. Baylor down to basically 3rd stringers in key skill positions. With the way things went down in the ACC Championship, my thinking is, hey, we can win 12 games. That is something worth accomplishing. Well. Here I sit in the 3rd Q and NC battled back after being down 28-10 to get to 28-24. I get the 'disrespected' angle for Clemson. Oklahoma lost to these guys 40-6 last year! Both teams can say that doesn't matter. I mean, the QBs starting here didn't play last year. But there are guys on both sides of the ball. And I know one coach remembers taking a beating like that for sure. People mock the Big 12. But Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma. These guys can play with anyone. Final though. As I always say on my weekly podcast. 3.5 and 7.5.. Sign me up for the fave. Same as a 2.5 or 6.5 dog. How many times do we here the square at the water cooler saying, no way so and so doesn't win by a touchdown. Same thing here. Oh, I'm getting three AND a Half.. 5* Best Bet OKLAHOMA SOONERS 

Taking MISSISSIPPI STATE here. Final game for Dak Prescott. I have liked this kid, and made a tidy profit backing him the last couple years. LY in bowl action we actually cashed Georgia Tech over these Bulldogs in what I thought would be a let-down game. But here in Charlotte, Belk Bowl action, we are all in MSU. I said on my podcast last week, this NC State is a joke. Yes, they 7 win team. But their first wins were against Troy, Old Dom, South Alabama and Eastern Kentucky. Not exactly a juggernaut of football teams. Heck, not even remotely challenging teams. Then to beat BC and Wake, both 3-9 overall, one with 1 win, the other with 0 in ACC play. How about win 7 over 4-8 Syracuse who was 2-6 in conference play? Maybe this line is too good to be true. Bulldogs lost by 2 to LSU. No shame in that. Lost on the road to A&M, when A&M was ranked in the Top 15 and a perfect 5-0. Losing to Alabama. Then to Ole Miss where they were down 21-0 in a 5 minute span thanks to a fumble and INT. I know NC State is basically the 'home' team here but they lost by a TD or more to every bowl team they faced this year. Secondary coach Tony Hughes for MSU in his final game before taking his first HC job in 30 years of coaching. A little added plus for the defense to shine for their coach. 10* Money Bomb MISSISSIPPI STATE 

Taking BOWLING GREEN here. Just think the offense will be too much to handle here. Nothing more to say.. Falcons will get their 40+. I don't see Georgia Southern getting to within 10. 5* Best Bet BOWLING GREEN