NFL Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-17-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Tennessee Titans +7 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
Pittsburgh is coming off a heartbreaking loss to the New York Jets, but the two games before that, the Steelers looked unstoppable. A few times this year, Pittsburgh has allowed themselves to start slow and get themselves down early. If they want to go into Nashville and get the win and the cover, they need to start fast and finish strong. The Tennessee Titans have gone to rookie QB, Zach Mettenberger, and he is still learning the game as he goes along. The only true strength the Titans can claim is that they have a top ten pass defense, but that is it. That is their bread and butter of their defense as their secondary is tough. Michael Griffin, the team's 2007 1st overall pick, has become one of the better safeties in the game, amassing 47 solo tackles with two interceptions and three sacks on the season. But with a good secondary and the Jets game film from last week, taking the points is the right thing to do here on MNF! The Steelers will have to run with Le'Veon Bell who has only a single touchdown to go with his 747 yards in rushing, while LeGarrette Blount has only 260 yards rushing in ten games. This will be a game where the team that scores last will win and I'll take the Titans +6 seeing as how the Steelers have had their suspect moments, the Titans are a hungry team, and over 70% of gamblers are all over Pittsburgh tonight, I am going to do the smart thing and take the Titans and go against the public tonight with the underdog. 5* |
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11-16-14 | Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals | Top | 6-14 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Arizona Cardinals are going to live now without Palmer, who is gone for the season. Coming in winners of 5 in a row, Arizona is undefeated at home this year in 5 tries. It has only lost 3 of its past 15 regular-season games. Detroit has lost the past two seasons at this venue and not a good road team or on grass. Detroit has yet to face a winning team while on the road. Of course, there is concern in ’Zona with QB Drew Stanton taking over for the injured Carson Palmer, but Stanton has gone 2-1 in relief this season already. He will need to make connections with a nice receiving crew of resurgent Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd, rookie John Brown, and RB Andre Ellington, who has caught 37 balls. Ted Ginn, Jr. is still a game-changing return man. In truth, the Cardinals have a defense that could help, ranked 4th in points allowed at 18.9 per game. They are very good against the run. I like Arizona at home on Sunday as our 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK. |
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11-13-14 | Buffalo Bills v. Miami Dolphins -4 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Ryan Tannehill’s success has come from both his arm and legs. Regarding the former, he’s been spreading the ball around between 8-10 receivers every game, which includes getting rookie Jarvis Landry into the mix. The receiver, who doubles as the kick and punt returner, had seven receptions for 53 yards last week, while the team’s premiere wideout, Mike Wallace, had five catches for 51 yards and a touchdown. As for getting it done on the ground, Tannehill has broken 20+-yard runs in several games this season, though the staunch Lions defense managed to shut him down. It hurt them too as their starting running back, Lamar Miller, was limited with a shoulder injury. Backup Daniel Thomas carried the load five times for 14 yards, but his role diminished when he lost a fumble. The Dolphins have been playing well – they were on a three-game win streak before Week 10 – The Dolphins have a rock solid defense and an offense that has been revitalized by the play of Ryan Tannehill. Overall I think Miami is at least 7 points better than the Bills and we'll back the Dolphins here on Thursday night. 5* |
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11-10-14 | Carolina Panthers +7 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 21-45 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
The one advantage to the Panther getting embarrassed slightly in primetime last Thursday night is that they did get 11 full days of rest to prepare and get healthy again. Left tackle Byron Bell, and starting guards Trai Turner and Amini Silatolu are all listed as questionable for the game on Monday, so if they can get any of all of them back in the lineup maybe the Panthers offense can get back on track. I like Carolina to be able to rush the ball well against the birds. The Eagles defense certainly hasn’t been the strongest unit in the NFL (22nd overall), I’m not a big fan of Sanchez and I expect the Panthers to pressure him a lot. Look for Cam Newton and the Panthers to come up big on MNF and I'll take the underdog Panthers +7. |
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11-09-14 | Miami Dolphins v. Detroit Lions -2.5 | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
The Lions have the league's top defense, their best WR back in the lineup and off a BYE. The offense should be clicking with the return of Calvin Johnson, Reggie Bush and some of their banged-up tight ends. Matthew Stafford is a much better quarterback when he has Johnson, and the Lions playing at home are tough in the dome. The Lions rank first in the NFL in fewest yards per game and in scoring defense holding opponents to less than 16 points a game. Detroit, has their own big air game, with Stafford and their defense has also been great defending the pass. Coming off 2 straight tight wins. Miami is coming off a huge win at home and now has to play on the road where they've yet to have a tough opponent- until today as the Detroit Lions get a big win over the fish on Sunday. 10* Game of the Month |
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11-06-14 | Cleveland Browns v. Cincinnati Bengals -6 | Top | 24-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
Cleveland is coming off of a hard fought win against Tampa Bay while the Bengals enjoyed dismantling the Jaguars. Brian Hoyer is very smart, has a quick release and he doesn't turn the ball over. He has proven that he is the man in Cleveland and has led them to a 5-3 start to the first half of this season. The Browns already have wins over the Saints, Steelers, and Titans this season. As for the Steelers, Cleveland is 1-1 against them but was just seconds away from being 2-0 after blowing a huge lead in week one. The underdog is 11-2-1 ATS in this series lately. Its gonna be cold, wet and windy tonight so I am backing the Cleveland Browns +7 |
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11-03-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. NY Giants +3.5 | Top | 40-24 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
The Giants’ best plan of attack is to slow down the Colts high-scoring attack by keeping Andrew Luck and his talented group of receivers off the field. New York has the offense to do it, and will go with a run-heavy attack and the short, quick-hit passes on their new West Coast offense. NY has had 2 weeks to prepare for this game. The Colts were embarrassed on defense by the Steelers last week, giving up 55 points on 639 total yards. New York’s defense has played well inside MetLife Stadium, allowing just 17 and 20 points in its last two home stands – wins over Houston and Atlanta respectively. The G-Men welcome another indoor team to East Rutherford, where the temperatures will dip into the 40s. The Colts haven't had the best success in outdoor venues, putting up only 24 points in Denver, and managing 34 points – 14 of those in garbage time – at Pittsburgh last week. I like the home underdog here tonight plus the points. With 2 weeks to prepare for this one and NY cannot afford to drop to 3-5, I think the Giants come to play on Monday night. 5* |
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11-02-14 | San Diego Chargers v. Miami Dolphins -1 | Top | 0-37 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
Miami is a very underrated team and they are likely to surprise a lot of people including the public when they beat the Chargers at home. Miami has quietly won 3 of 4 games and frankly, it should be 4 in a row as they gave up the game to the Packers earlier in the year on the final play. This San Diego team struggles against strong defensive lines as they continue to not have Matthews for this game and likely will find it troublesome running the ball. The rushing game has also gotten a boost from quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who has been keeping the ball more as the coaches open up the playbook with designed runs. It’s given the offense a much-needed spark as he’s averaging 7.3 yards per carry having rushed 27 times for 198 yards. Through the air Tannehill has gone 154 of 247 for 1,619 hands, 11 touchdowns, and six interceptions – good for a 25th-ranked QB rating of 86.1. Tannehill has developed a fine chemistry with wide receiver Mike Wallace, who has 32 receptions for 418 yards (13.1 Avg) and five touchdowns, but it seems to have come at the expense of the other receivers. Granted, rookie Jarvis Landry is making a big impact having caught 25 passes for 255 yards (10.2 Avg) and a touchdown, but where have Brian Hartline (20 receptions for 215 yards and a touchdown) and tight end Charles Clay (22 receptions for 205 yards and a touchdown). Look for Rivers to be forced to pass the ball against a very competent Miami secondary and the Dolphins get the win here. |
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10-30-14 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers +3.5 | Top | 28-10 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Running back DeAngelo Williams declared himself ready for Thursday's game, the first time in four games since he injured an ankle. Williams rushed for 210 yards against the Saints in 2012 and will likely share duties with Jonathan Stewart in the backfield for the Panthers. The Saints are a different team on the road and home teams have dominated on Thursday night in the NFL this season. 5* |
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10-26-14 | Green Bay Packers v. New Orleans Saints -1 | Top | 23-44 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is a huge game for New Orleans as they cannot afford to lose another game. The Saints gave one away last week in Detroit, so I look for them to bounce back at home. New Orleans is 2-4 this season but 2-0 at home, and as we all know this is a completely different team when playing at home in the dome. One area that I think the Saints will be able to take advantage of is the run defense of the Packers that is last in the NFL. I expect a heavy dose of Mark Ingram as the Saints will try to control the time of possession and keep Aaron Rodgers off the field. Take the Saints on Sunday night. |
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10-26-14 | Chicago Bears +6 v. New England Patriots | Top | 23-51 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
The Bears are coming off of another home loss on last Sunday, this time against the Dolphins. Brandon Marshall called out his QB Jay Cutler as the postgame Chicago locker room was very heated. The Bears and Cutler play better on the road and the Pats have struggled on defense giving up 25 points to an anemic Jets team on primetime Football. With the Bears needing a big game here and the Pats struggling on defense. I expect Chicago to respond with a strong showing in New England. The Bears play much better on the road and running back Matt Forte should have a huge game against a New England team that struggled to stop the run without linebacker Jared Mayo. Brandon Marshall and Jeffrey should have big days receiving here. I think Chicago has a great shot at the upset, take the + 6 points with the Bears here on Sunday as our 10* NFL Underdog Game of the Week. |
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10-20-14 | Houston Texans +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
The Steelers just look old and slow this season. Partly due to OL injuries and defensive attrition, the Steelers haven’t been as formidable as they were during the Roethlisberger Super Bowl years J.J. Watt is having an MVP type season and the Texans defense is tough! Also, Jadeveon Clowney is close to returning after a minor knee injury in the opener. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick still commits too many turnovers but he is a smart QB and getting used to his new team. The Texans also had 11 days to prepare for this game. RB Arian Foster has four 100-yard games and has had few extra days to nurse his sometimes-balky hamstring. I like the points with the Texans on MNF. 5* |
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10-19-14 | Miami Dolphins +3.5 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Miami comes in with Brent Grimes and Cortland Finnegan giving them a good pass coverage, which has held every opponent under 300 in the air thus far. Miami will use Mike Wallace alot and get him involved. Chicago has struggled at home and Miami is coming off a tough loss. Chicago is 4-13 ATS last 3 years at home. Chicago is 0-2 SU at home this year where they are allowign 30.5 points per game. Chicago is 3-10 ATS last 13 games after a SU win. Chicago is 0-5 ATS last 5 games after allowing 15 points or less in their previous game.Tannehill has been gelling well with wide receiver Mike Wallace, who has caught 25 passes for 313 yards (12.5 Avg) and four touchdowns, while rookie receiver Jarvis Landry has shown promise with 18 receptions for 186 yards (10.3 Avg) and a touchdown. Getting back Moreno is a huge plus to their ground attack plus it provides Ryan Tannehill a dangerous receiving option out of the backfield. The Bears are 0-3 this season when Cutler throws an interception. Cutler didn't throw a pick last week, but was intercepted four times during his previous two games. The Miami Dolphins defense is very good and I think they'll cause some turnovers against the Bear offense. The Dolphins offense has some good parts and getting better each week. I like Miami to take care of business in this one as an underdog. 10* NFL SHocker Game of the Month |
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10-12-14 | NY Giants +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles | Top | 0-27 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
NY Giants have held opponents to only 99 a game on the ground this season. Eli Manning still has so much confidence in throwing the ball and spreading the ball out to multiple receivers. Philadelphia is obviously built off their passing game, and Foles isn't putting up numbers like last year. The Eagles have been winning with turnovers and special teams. I dont see that happening here. Philly’s defense is allowing 274.2 passing yards per game (29th in NFL) and 132.0 rushing yards per game (24th in NFL), and the Eagles have a lot of injuries. Take the NY Giants to get the upset and win outright here on Sunday night! 5* |
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10-12-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cleveland Browns | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
Cleveland has quietly been running the ball great as well, with Terrance West who has been solid and with Ben Tate doing the dirty work, and really coming on lately. The Cleveland Browns are sick and tired of losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh isn't even close to the team they used to be, and Cleveland is a team on the rise. The Browns have one of the best offensive lines in football, and that has allowed them to stay balanced on offense. The Steelers aren't the team they used to be and they dont have many big play weapons. I believe that Brian Hoyer is a QB who can get the plays made when need be, and will again here at home. 5* |
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10-12-14 | New England Patriots -2 v. Buffalo Bills | Top | 37-22 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show |
The Patriots bounced back with a great win last week on MNF as they beat the Bengals 43-17. Tom Brady threw for 292 yards with 2 TD’s. New England has obviously made some significant adjustments and those will carry over into this week’s matchup with the Bills. New England has a great pass defense, which will cause some problems today. Buffalo has to get better on getting 1st downs, their running game has been getting only ranked 21 so far on the year. The Bills got lucky vs Detroit last week, with the FG issues Detroit had. Kyle Orton is not the same QB as EJ Manuel and he isn't mobile. New England has owned Buffalo in this series. They’ve won an incredible 25 of the last 27 meetings while averaging 39 points. In particular, Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski have had some of the best success. Gronk has 9 TD’s in just 6 games against the Bills while Brady has thrown for 54 TD’s in 24 games. The success will continue Sunday. Take the Patriots. 10* Play On New England. 10* |
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10-09-14 | Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans +3.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Houston's defense is much improved from last season. They have allowed an average of just 17.4 points per game over 5 games and kept the Dallas Cowboys tough offense in check last week. Houston plays Indy well at home. Last season at home Houston was leading Indy 21-3 at half time. Coach Kubiak had to leave the game for medical reasons and the the Texans lost the lead and the game 27-24. Indy is tired after playing a very tough physical game vs Baltimore. Look for Houston to keep this game close and playing at home I look for a possible upset win taking the 3-3.5 points tonight. |
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10-06-14 | Seattle Seahawks v. Washington Redskins +8 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
Super Bowl champions are 1-8 ATS as non-division road favorites of more than three points on Monday nights. The Seahawks are 0-8 ATS off a SU ATS win when playing with extra rest. Washington is coming off getting their asses beat by the hands of the NY Giants last Thursday 45-14 and now have 11 days to prepare for this MNF game. |
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10-05-14 | Cincinnati Bengals v. New England Patriots +1.5 | Top | 17-43 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
New England could not have played any worse last week in KC on MNF, and because of that they enter this game as an underdog at home for just the 2nd time in close to a decade. Tom Brady will have a HUGE game here and the Pats will come out strong on both sides of the ball on Sunday night. The Patriots need this game in a big way and they get it at Foxborough on Primetime TV to show the world they are still a good team. This is the same team that was in the AFC Championship Game last year. 5* |
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10-05-14 | Houston Texans +6.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Houston has come out surprising most folks with their play. Although being a very average team on the whole. J.J. Watt's explosive play has been nothing short of amazing. He is simply a beast on the DE slot. Granted, Ryan Fitzpatrick is always up and down, he has that one game with some mistakes, and then he makes some really smart plays the next and always keeps his team in the game. Houston has a tough defense and this is a major rivalry game. The Dallas Cowboys (3-1) impressed everyone with a 38-17 win at home over New Orleans on prime time Sunday last week and getting too much respect here and this line is way over-inflated. Look far a healthy Arian Foster this week, the Texans offense will be much more dynamic. Expect this big contest in the heart of Texas to be a very competitive game where taking the points would seem to be the sound wager. The Cowboys are also without Mo Claiborne for the season, isn't going to help vs. Hopkins and Johnson of Houston. Houston will need to sustain drives and keep Romo and Murray off the field. Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games and we'll take the Texas plus the pts here as our 10* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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09-29-14 | New England Patriots v. Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 | Top | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
New England has not played well, and are fortunate to be 2-1. They face a Chiefs team that is getting healthy with the extra rest and Charles will play. I’m not sure what to make of the Patriots right now. Belichick and Brady are still there, and the Pats are 2-1 out of the gate. But there are some items of concern here, and it’s at least conceivable that there’s a bit of decline taking place on this roster. The public all on the New England here with 62% of all bets placed - yet the odds makers have gotten so much Sharp money on the Chiefs that they did something they never like to do and that is come off the magic number of 3 trying to get some money back on the Patriots at 2 1/2. I like KC at home in a rare MNF appearance and we'll back the home dog. 5* |
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09-28-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. San Francisco 49ers -4 | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Jay Cutler and the Bears have looked really good since the second half of the game vs. the Niners, but that can be a bit deceiving... especially when you consider Jay Cutler is a measly 1-7 against the Packers in his last eight tries. GB really needs this game and the Bears have done a lot of traveling the past 2 weeks. Simply put, Green Bay can't afford a loss here. In a fairly competitive division, if you fall to 1-3 you will be looking up at at least two teams and having to play catch up most of the year. Green Bay will be playing with a lot of urgency here. Aaron Rodgers has struggled in the first 3 games, but he hasn't had a lot of help. The good news is... he's 14-5 ATS following a loss, including a startling 7-1 when he's a favorite 7 or less points. I just believe the Bears aren't as good as advertised while I believe the Packers are better than they appear. Lets take GREEN BAY to get a big win here on Sunday. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK |
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09-28-14 | Green Bay Packers -1 v. Chicago Bears | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 38 m | Show |
Jay Cutler and the Bears have looked really good since the second half of the game vs. the Niners, but that can be a bit deceiving... especially when you consider Jay Cutler is a measly 1-7 against the Packers in his last eight tries. GB really needs this game and the Bears have done a lot of traveling the past 2 weeks. Simply put, Green Bay can't afford a loss here. In a fairly competitive division, if you fall to 1-3 you will be looking up at at least two teams and having to play catch up most of the year. Green Bay will be playing with a lot of urgency here. Aaron Rodgers has struggled in the first 3 games, but he hasn't had a lot of help. The good news is... he's 14-5 ATS following a loss, including a startling 7-1 when he's a favorite 7 or less points. I just believe the Bears aren't as good as advertised while I believe the Packers are better than they appear. Lets take GREEN BAY to get a big win here on Sunday. 5* |
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09-21-14 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Carolina Panthers | Top | 37-19 | Win | 110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
After a poor performance last Thursday night against the Ravens in their 6-26 loss, the Steelers will look to get back on track Sunday night against the Panthers with 3 extra days to prepare. As is the case in most games, the loser is generally on the wrong side of the turnover battle, as the Steelers were last week with a turnover difference of 3. Pittsburgh comes off a 6-26 loss to Baltimore, but it’s hard to fault Pitt here. Baltimore had an emotional game amid the Ray Rice scandal, the public was on Pittsburgh, the underdog in that contest, and the trap was set and the public took a hit. Similar situation here as the public is now on Carolina after their exciting 2-0 start to the year and 66% of the latest consensus polls backing Carolina coming off a big win over the Lions. However, the Lions were coming off a big win over the lowly Giants on Monday Night Football and were in a classic let down spot (that was another game where 66% of the public took the underdog in the Lions and got buried Pittsburgh has actually thrown the ball well this season. Ben Roethlisberger ranks 5th in the NFL in passing yards at 582 yards, but he has only managed one touchdown pass. Look for the Steelers to be ready and focused here as people have said Tomlin has lost his team. The Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games when facing a team with a winning home record and I look for a big win for them here on Sunday night primetime action. 10* |
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09-21-14 | Houston Texans v. NY Giants +1 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show |
The New York Giants are in a world of trouble if they lose this game. Lat year they started out with a horrible start. They are off to that same start again. Turnovers are killing this team and bad play at the QB spot isn't helping either. The Giants have a better QB and offensive weapons. They win the turnover battle and they win this game. Houston comes in with a 2-0 record but have beat teams that really are not that great either. The Texans are playing on back to back road games will hurt this team. I just like this one spot here. Getting +1 points here offers a little extra value at home. 5* |
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09-18-14 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 v. Atlanta Falcons | Top | 14-56 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
TB has been favored in both of their games and lost straight-up to the Panthers with Derek Anderson at quarterback and to the Rams with third-string Austin Davis behind center. The last 4 meetings between these two teams have all been very tight. Let's not forget that Tampa Bay is coming off of playing against 2 very solid defensive units in the Panthers and STL Rams. Look for the Buccaneers to run all game long on this defensive front of Atlanta that allowed 140 & 170 rushing yards in their first 2 games and ranks 26th in the entire league against the run. This is TB's only primetime game of the season. The Falcons are relevant again on offense with a return to health of Julio Jones, Roddy White and Steven Jackson along with the addition of Devin Hester. Atlanta would be using their third offensive left tackle, though, if Jake Matthews remains out with an ankle injury. The Falcons giving up an average of 472 yards a game. This will open up things up for Josh McCown to hit some big play action passes all game long. So let's take the points with Tampa Bay on this primetime game for the Bucs. 5* |
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09-15-14 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Indianapolis Colts -2.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Andy Luck had a big game versus Denver last week passing for 370 yards on 35-of-53 with 2 TD's. The Colts are 6-1 ATS at home their last seven. The Eagles are 0-5 ATS versus the Colts while Indy is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a Monday Night favorite of more than 2 points. I don't think the Eagles defense will not be able to contain Luck. Their corners will be in trouble tonight and Luck will eat them up here at home as he hasn't lost back-2-back starts in his last 33 starts and off a loss last Sunday night. 5* Colts by 11 on MNF. |
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09-14-14 | Chicago Bears +7 v. San Francisco 49ers | Top | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
5* |
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09-14-14 | New Orleans Saints -6 v. Cleveland Browns | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
The Saints defense was piss poor last week. They'll show up this week in Cleveland and keep them in check. Who is more likely to start the season 0-2 - Cleveland or New Orleans. I don't have to tell you the answer to that question. Did you see how horrible Pittsburgh looked on Thursday? That was a team that was destroying the Browns for most of the game last week until falling apart to let them back in. With no weather problems to face in September and nice weather in Cleveland this afternoon look for the Saints to spread the ball all over. In the redzone they score TD's not FG's and should have no problem covering this number. Look for the Saints to roll to a big win as the play of the week. 10* |
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09-08-14 | NY Giants v. Detroit Lions -6 | Top | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Everything I looked at for this game is pointing towards a play on the Lions in this spot. First off the Giants are implicating a new offensive scheme, and it sure didn't look like the Giants first string grasped it at all in the preseason and I believe this will take time for them to get on the same page offensively as they are thin at the WR postion. Lions have made a ton of moves starting with a new coach and their defensive front is very tough. Stafford to Megatron and now you add Tate. Who do the Giants cover. I like the Lions to get the win by double digits tonight! 5* |
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09-07-14 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 25 m | Show |
The Carolina Panthers started last five seasons 0-1; they scored 10-7 points in losing last two season openers. Panthers lost last five road openers (0-5 vs. spread). For Tampa Lovie Smith went 29-19 his last three years coaching Bears; playoff losses got him fired,, but he is a huge upgrade at HC for Bucs, who had only one TD on 20 drives vs. Carolina LY, with three TO’s, eight 3/outs. Carolina has some major offensive line problems and they also lost their #1 receiver with Steve Smith. Cam Newton had a rib injury and didn't have much time to practice with his new WR's. If I would do an offensive line ranking the Panthers would be last. Lovie Smith is an expert defensive coach and will know how to scheme against a very inexperienced offensive line. Tampa Bay also has tall receivers going up against small DB's. Look for TB to come out strong at home and steal a win against an overrated Panthers team who I think takes a step back this season and misses the playoffs.10* GAME OF THE WEEK! |
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02-02-14 | Seattle Seahawks +3 v. Denver Broncos | Top | 43-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
For only the 2nd time in the last 20 years has the top 2 seeds made it all the way to the Super Bowl. In 47 tries, no quarterback has EVER won a Super Bowl with 2 different teams. Denver set an NFL record scoring 606 points in the regular season, averaging 37.9 PPG & 457 YPG. The last 5 teams that broke single-season scoring records went a perfect 0-5 SU in the Super Bowl. Also the past 7 times a team played 2 games in a row at home and then was installed as Super bowl favorites, that team has gone a perfect 0-7 ATS.
Denver hasn't faced a mobile QB who can run this year. 75% of the public likes Denver because of Manning. First let's not forget the Manning does not play well in cold weather, and remember this game is going to be played outside in 30 degree temps by kickoff. This is a real tough place to throw the ball in adverse weather conditions and wind as Manning doesn't have a strong arm and his plays are based on timing and accuracy which the cold and wind will hamper. Plus let's not forget they will be facing the #1 defense in the entire league. How I see it is that I feel the Seahawks will get pressure on Manning rushing just 4 and put back 7 in coverage and this will frustrate and throw Manning's timing off all game long. I'll take Seattle here plus the 2.5-3 points on Sunday. 4 prop plays I like. ------------------ Total Receptions - Knowshon Moreno (DEN) UNDER 3 -115 Will Knowshon Moreno (DEN) score a TD in the 1st Half? NO -220 Total Receptions - Wes Welker (DEN) OVER 5.5 -125 |
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01-19-14 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks -0.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 111 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
NFC Championship Game San Francisco at Seattle and all I'm hearing is that quarterback Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers offense is now at 100% and will win outright while Seattle is waiting in their home stadium ready to ambush them. This is SFran's 4th straight road game(finished the season at Arz, then at GB, then at Carolina last week and now at Seattle). The Seahawks have dominated San Francisco in their last two meetings in Seattle with the Seahawks outscoring the 49ers by a whopping 71-16. So until the 49ers can show that they can be competitive here at CenturyLink stadium I am going to ride Seattle by 7 or more.
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01-19-14 | New England Patriots v. Denver Broncos -4 | Top | 16-26 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
Denver
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