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MLB Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
05-09-14	St. Louis Cardinals -120 v. Pittsburgh Pirates	Top	4-6	Loss	-120	4 h 30 m	Show
The Cardinals will start Michael Wacha Friday night who has a solid 3.09 ERA. He has been very good on the road this year too. He gave up a two-run homer in the sixth inning of a 3-0 road loss to the Cubs on Saturday. Wacha has been lights out over his career against the Pirates though and that along with a Cardinals’ offense that has been finally hitting the ball of late should be the difference in my opinion. The Pirates counter with the struggling Francisco Liriano (0-3, 4.54 ERA) who has gone without a victory in 10 regular-season starts since earning a 5-4 win at Texas on Sept. 10th 2013. Liriano failed to pitch very good this season and the Pirates offense has stunk! He has struggled in his last two outings versus the Cardinals as well, most recently giving up four runs in six innings of a 6-1 loss back on April 5th, and then lasted just two innings on April 26th. I like the STL Cardinals here on Friday night. 10*NL GAME OF THE WEEK
05-08-14	Philadelphia Phillies v. Toronto Blue Jays -126	Top	6-12	Win	100	7 h 46 m	Show
RA Dickey has 7 of 10 quality starts against the Phillies over his last 10 while Burnett has given up 5 or more ER in 3 of last 4 starts in Toronto. Edwin Encarnacion and Jose Bautista are a combined 12-28 off him with 5 HR. The Blue Jays offense is also starting to click scoring 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games compared with just 3 for the Phillies. The Phillies bullpen has not been very good either and I look for the BJays to put up some runs here on Thursday evening. 5*
05-06-14	Cincinnati Reds v. Boston Red Sox -119	Top	3-4	Win	100	6 h 25 m	Show
Boston is still a very patient team that tends to drive up pitcher's counts in the early innings and playing tonight at home while the Reds are without their slugger Jay Bruce due to injury. The Reds also have Home Bailey on the mound who is getting knocked around by everybody this season. Bailey has now allowed 47 hits in 34 innings pitched this season. Boston counters with Felix Doubront who has thrived in interleague play. The left-hander has compiled a 2.25 ERA while receiving an average of 12.54 runs of support during a four-start winning streak against the NL. The Reds are 1-11 in their last 12 interleague games as an underdog. Reds are 1-8 in Bailey's last 9 starts as a road underdog. I like Boston here at home on Tuesday night.
05-05-14	Kansas City Royals -114 v. San Diego Padres	Top	5-6	Loss	-114	8 h 23 m	Show
Yordana Ventura has been everything that was advertised in the preseason. There wasn't much talk of him in the media simply because he plays for the Royals. If Ventura was playing for the Yankees or another high profile team you would have heard his name mentioned plenty by now. In five starts this season he has already put forth three starts in which he didn't allow a run. On the flipside the Padres rank dead last in the majors in batting average, runs scored, on base percentage as well as slugging percentage. Now they face Ventura who has not allowed a run over 13 innings in his last two starts. I'm backing the KC Royals tonight! 5*
05-04-14	Oakland A's -101 v. Boston Red Sox	Top	3-2	Win	100	2 h 27 m	Show
The Red Sox are looking to sweep the A's at home today behind John Lackey (4-2 3.83 ERA). That will not be an easy task as they face on of the A's best young arms, Sonny Gray (4-1 1.76 ERA). Sonny has been more magnificent and I like Oakland to avoid the sweep this afternoon. Add his arm to an A's team with sweep resistance behind them and the A's are the best bet here. 5*
05-03-14	Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians -160	Top	0-2	Win	100	9 h 37 m	Show
After breaking out offensively to end their lengthy slide, the Indians try for an eighth consecutive home win over the White Sox on Saturday night. Cleveland (12-17) batted .183, struck out 45 times and was outscored 33-13 during an 0-6 trip against San Francisco and the Los Angeles Angels, but pounded out 13 hits in a 12-5 rout of Chicago on Friday. The Indians have hit .303 while outscoring the White Sox 46-23 in their last seven at home. The Indians have just owned the WhiteSox and Justin Masterson is ready and I expect the team and him to be fully motivated in a must win series. Look for the Indians bats to explode the Cleveland to get a big win.10* CLEVELAND <p> KENTUCKY DERBY: <p> The lightly-raced colt flashed his great late speed winning the Wood Memorial, which was one of the most impressive performances on the road to the Kentucky Derby. Big Brown won the Derby from post No. 20. Wicked Strong had a perfect trip off the speed and kicked it into high gear at the 8th pole. Wicked Strong’s most recent Final Pace Figure was 80.3, the fastest Final Pace Figure of all Derby starters. WS continued his big step forward over the last three races from 69.6 (final on 1/25/14) to 75.4 (2/22/14) to 80.3 in the Wood. This 10.7 point jump over the course of three races is significant and could likely indicate a horse nearing or on a top. We are backing WICKED STRONG across the board and playing it to Win-Place-Show at 8-1 odds.
05-02-14	New York Mets v. Colorado Rockies -128	Top	3-10	Win	100	8 h 59 m	Show
The Rockies roughed up veteran Bartolo Colon Thursday, and they will try to greet 23 year old Zack Wheeler the same way in Game 2 Friday. Wheeler (1-2, 3.99 ERA) has registered three consecutive quality starts, but he's put plenty of men on base in those games. He's issued at least three walks in each of his last three starts, and if that trend continues in Colorado, the Rockies might make him pay the price in a big way. Colorado will hand the ball to Jorge De La Rosa, who is coming off back to back solid outings. De La Rosa (2-3, 5.23 ERA) allowed one run on four hits over seven innings in a win over the Dodgers his last time out. He has much better numbers at home than he does on the road, and that's a trend that developed last season when he was 10-1 with a 2.76 ERA at Coors Field. The Mets bats have been quiet and I'll back Colorado here at home Friday night.
05-01-14	Pittsburgh Pirates (GM 1) v. Baltimore Orioles (GM 1) -122	Top	1-5	Win	100	3 h 27 m	Show
I'm going with the Orioles on Thursdy afternoon in game 1 as I think they have a huge advantage in interleague play. The Orioles can score more runs while the Pirates have the better bullpen, but on the road the Pirates just do not have the same pitching staff posting a 4.59 ERA and now they have to go on the road and they don't have the liberty of pitching around the #8 hitter with the pitcher up next. Chris Tillman is arguably the Orioles best pitcher and he's pitched extremely well at home with an ERA under 1. Charlie Morton makes the start for the Pirates and he's always fade material on the road. He's got an ERA well over 4 this year on the road and he's faced just 2 teams in the top 15 and has faced the Cubs 28th twice. The stat I really like is that over the last 10 games the Pirates have an average under .200 and are scoring just 2.63 runs per 9 while the Orioles are hitting .282 and scoring 5.28 runs per 9 vs. RHP over that same time period. Take Baltimore here. 5*
04-26-14	Philadelphia Phillies -135 v. Arizona Diamondbacks	Top	6-5	Win	100	11 h 2 m	Show
Arizona took the first of this series last night by a score of 5-4, but that makes them just 8-18 on the season and 2-11 at home. The Phillies fall a game below .500 at 11-12 and are a solid 7-7 on the road. Tonight they send their ace, Cliff Lee, to the mound. Lee is 3-2 with a 3.09 ERA, .306 OBA and 1.31 WHIP. Besides a rough start to the season in Texas, Lee has pitched great. In his last 4 starts he's allowed just 4 earned runs combined and on the season he has 38 strikeouts and just 2 walks. The Dbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 Saturday games, 0-8 in their last 8 games as a a home underdog, and 1-8 in their last 9 games vs a left-handed starter. I'm backing the Phillies here on Saturday night. 10* NL Game of the Week
04-24-14	San Diego Padres v. Washington Nationals -166	Top	4-3	Loss	-166	7 h 21 m	Show
Washington is off a HUGE win last night after scoring 4 runs in the bottom of the 9th to beat the Angels. They are 11-4 the last fifteen games in this series with SD. In addition, Washington is 14-6 the last twenty games at home behind Zimmerman, and 9-3 in his last twelve starts during the month of April. With the Padres 4-12 in Eric Stultz's last 16 road starts, we are backing the Nats here at home Thursday evening. 5*
04-24-14	Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays -134	Top	11-4	Loss	-134	7 h 20 m	Show
This game features the 10-10 Orioles Vs the 11-10 Blue Jays here on Thursday night. Bud Norris gets the start for the Orioles, while Drew Hutchison gets the start for the Jays. The Orioles picked up the win last night, but it took 'em 10 runs to get it. Norris pitched well Vs the Jays earlier in the month, but I don't look for a repeat performance here. Hutchison was rolling along during his last start vs the Indians until he allowed a two-run homer to Carlos Santana in the sixth inning. He has held the Baltimore hitters in check the past 5 years and I like the BJays here at home on Thursday. 5*
04-22-14	San Diego Padres v. Milwaukee Brewers -138	Top	2-1	Loss	-138	5 h 18 m	Show
Milwaukee is off to a HUGE 15-5 start this season. After a bit of a rough stretch, the Milwaukee Brewers are surging again. Yovani Gallardo looks to remain undefeated while trying to help the Brewers to a fifth consecutive victory Tuesday night against the San Diego Padres. Milwaukee followed a nine-game winning streak by dropping three of four before it won the final three of a four-game setatPittsburgh. The Brewers returned home Monday to win 4-3 over San Diego (9-11) in their third consecutive contest decided by one run. Aramis Ramirez hit a solo homer and Ryan Braun added two RBIs for the Brewers, who have the majors' best record. Brewers manager Ron Roenicke has said the same thing after each Gallardo start: "He keeps us in the game." Gallardo has six strikeouts in each of his last two outings, and has met the definition of quality start in all four. SD doesn't have too many hitters and the Brewers are hot again. The Padres have been held to three or fewer runs in each contest during a stretch of three losses in five games. San Diego starter Ian Kennedy (1-3, 4.13) has not pitched poorly but has received just a total of 5 runs of support while on the mound this year. He struggled against the Brewers last season, going 0-1 with a 6.57 ERA in two starts. Braun is 4 for 12 with a homer and a double in their matchups. TAKE THE BREW CREW here at home on Tuesday night. 10* NL Game of the Week
04-17-14	Seattle Mariners +110 v. Texas Rangers	Top	6-8	Loss	-100	1 h 48 m	Show
10*
04-14-14	Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres -117	Top	4-5	Win	100	8 h 4 m	Show
San Diego is not often favorites, but when they are a home favorite they usually win going 35-16 in their last 51 as a home favorite while the Rockies are 15-39 in their last 54 as a road underdog. The Rockies have also struggled against LHP going 14-38 in their last 52 road games vs. a LH starter and 22-48 over their last 70 overall vs. LH starter. Eric Stults is a veteran posting a 3.06 ERA at home last year along with a 3.05 ERA in 3 starts against the Rockies.Lets back SD here at home on Monday night. 5*
04-13-14	Kansas City Royals -119 v. Minnesota Twins	Top	3-4	Loss	-119	4 h 48 m	Show
Vargas will be pitching with some revenge from last year as the Twins tagged him pretty good. The Royals will be playing today to avoid sweep at hands of Twin on Sunday and having been outscored 17-2 in first two meetings, we anticipate a good amount of focus today. The Twins do not have a lot of hitters on their team. I like the Royals left hander starter here this afternoon with Jason Vargas taking mound. Vargas has had 2 solid starts this season and faces a Twins teams struggling to hit lefties. Vargas has held opponents to <3 runs in 7 of last 10 starts and with Twins hitting just .215 against lefties, he is likely to eat some solid innings as well today. Royals are 35-17 in their last 52 games as a favorite and 22-7 in their last 29 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.The Twins Kevin Correia has struggled in early appearances and gave up 6 runs on 9 hits in his last start. Look for the KC bats to come alive and the Royals to get this win on Sunday. 10* AL GAME OF THE WEEK!
04-12-14	Detroit Tigers -135 v. San Diego Padres	Top	6-2	Win	100	11 h 3 m	Show
4*
04-12-14	Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles -116	Top	1-2	Win	100	9 h 29 m	Show
The Orioles got shutout on Friday, but I think they bounce back with a win here in Game 2. Baltimore has some good hitters and I see them responding here tonight. The Jays will send Drew Hutchison (1-1, 6.23 ERA) to the hill today. Hutchison struggled in his last outing back in Toronto where he gave up six earned runs while lasting just 3 1/3 innings versus the Yankees. "He has been off a little bit," Jays’ manager John Gibbons confessed recently. Baltimore will start Bud Norris (0-1, 9.00 ERA) to the hill. While Norris isn’t a great pitcher, I think he does enough here on home field for the Orioles offense to get the team a win. Toronto is batting only .212 in the season's early stages and its on-base percentage isn't much better at .284. Even with the loss yesterday, the Orioles are a strong 13-5 versus the Jays at home over the past three seasons. 5*
04-11-14	New York Mets v. Los Angeles Angels -155	Top	4-5	Win	100	8 h 15 m	Show
This is a tough spot for the Mets, who had to make the long cross-country trip late last night after playing in Atlanta. While the Mets will be feeling jet lag, the Angels will be fresh after having yThursday off. LAA is still looking for their 1st home win. The Angels are 21-6 in their last 27 games following an off day. The Angels are 4-0 in their last four interleague games, 4-0 in their last four versus the National League East and 5-0 in their last five interleague games versus a right-handed starter. I'm back the LA Angels here at home on Friday night.5*
04-11-14	Miami Marlins -123 v. Philadelphia Phillies	Top	3-6	Loss	-123	5 h 16 m	Show
The Marlins are off 4 straight losses, so will have plenty of motivation tonight as they send a dominant Jose Fernandez to mound.F ernandez has held his oppositions to less than 1 run in 8 of last 10 games and will face Philadelphia team hitting just .237 vs right handed pitchers. The Phillies are not good in underdog role as we note they are 16-35 in their last 51 games as an underdog. The Marlins are hitting a solid .269 vs right handed pitching and should produce enough runs here to grab win here on Friday night MLB action. 5*
04-10-14	Pittsburgh Pirates -125 v. Chicago Cubs	Top	5-4	Win	100	1 h 0 m	Show
10* NL GAME OF THE WEEK: The Pirates will look to take series with Cubs today after Cubs won yesterday 7-5. The Pirates will send Gerrit Cole to mound today after he had a solid start to season against Cardinals. Cole has held opposition to less than 2 runs in 9 of last 10 starts, which doesnt shape up well for a Cubs team hitting just .227 agaist righthanded pitchers. Pitt are 10-4 in their last 14 road games and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with Cubs. Travis Wood was average in his 1st start this season and we give Pirates edge with Cole and he'll get the run support unlike Wood for the Cubs. Pitt will win with the Bats,pitching and base stealing.
04-09-14	Milwaukee Brewers v. Philadelphia Phillies +117	Top	9-4	Loss	-100	5 h 23 m	Show
Braun carried the Brewers yesterday with 3 HR's. I look for the Phillies to bounce back on Wednesday night. Hernandez threw well in frigid conditions in his Phillies debut Friday at Wrigley Field. He allowed three hits, two runs, one walk and struck out five in 5 1/3 innings, leaving with a lead as Phillies went to the bullpen. Now at home and nice weather I expect him to be on his game again. Take the Phillies. 5*
04-07-14	Los Angeles Angels -150 v. Houston Astros	Top	9-1	Win	100	3 h 13 m	Show
There is definetely a huge talent gap between these 2 teams here today and at 3-3 we should let Astros give disguise of a decent team. The Astros hit 5 HR's on Sunday and I dont see that happening today! .They are hitting .222 vs left handed pitchers and will face a solid pitcher in C.J.Wilson. Wilson had a solid spring and is off a poor opening performances, so we feel he will be focused here and capable of shutting Astros down today and bouncing back with a good performance. The Angels are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Houston and are 14-4 in Wilsons last 18 starts as a road favorite. Look for the LA Angels behind Mike Trout and Josh Hamilton to notch the win here on Monday afternoon. 10*
04-06-14	Cincinnati Reds -102 v. New York Mets	Top	2-1	Win	100	3 h 53 m	Show
The Reds big bats went 0-9 on Saturday so I expect some hits from them today. Alfredo Simon could have easily been moved back to the pen with the injury to Aroldis Chapman, but instead, the Reds have decided to have him start in place of injured starter Mat Latos. I think that says a lot about their confidence in the 32-year old veteran. The righty has been stellar out of the pen for the Reds the last couple of seasons finishing 2013 with a 2.87 ERA in 63 appearances after posting a 2.66 ERA in three dozen appearances in 2012. Simon has held the Mets scoreless in three appearances against them and I'm betting he'll hold them in check again today. Lets bang the Cincy Reds here on Sunday. 5*
04-04-14	Los Angeles Angels -148 v. Houston Astros	Top	11-1	Win	100	8 h 55 m	Show
The Angels have gotten off to a rather porous start, starting the year off 0-3. Like last season, the Angels have high expectations and things haven't gone smoothly thus far. This is a long season, however, and it isn't time for them to be concerned. The Astros may be just what the Angels ordered. While they had a great series against the Yanks, taking 2 of 3 from them, in my eyes though they are still the worst team in MLB. I have made plenty of coin fading Harrell last season, and in this young season, I'll look to do it again in his first start. Harrell finished the 2013 campaign with a record of 6-17 with a miserable ERA of 5.86. His WHIP was also atrocious at 1.70. Which means he nearly put 2 runners on base per inning, which is simply bad! The Angels should be able to get to the Houston bullpen early, as he got to 7 innings on only four occasions last season. Note that Harrell has been getting killed in spring season as well, posting a 7.80 ERA in 15 innings pitched. I expect the Angels' offense to get on track in this matchup. Take the LAA here tonight. 5*
04-02-14	New York Yankees -155 v. Houston Astros	Top	1-3	Loss	-155	8 h 9 m	Show
On Wednesday night veteran Hiroki Kuroda will face off against 23 year old right-hander Jarred Cosart. Kuroda, however, has utterly dominated the Astros. The right-hander is 4-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight career starts against them and carries a 22-inning shutout streak versus the Astros into this start. Kuroda fanned eight over seven innings in the most recent meeting, a 7-4 win April 30. That was part of Kuroda's first 24 starts of last season, going 11-7 with a 2.33 ERA. However, he faltered down the stretch, going 0-6 with a 6.56 ERA in his final eight. He seems to start well and fade after the AllStar break. He showed some promise of getting off to a strong start this year -- striking out 12 in 11 1/3 innings over four games in spring training -- and the six runs he allowed all came in one start. Cosart earned just two decisions in 10 starts last year, and both of those came on the road. He was 1-1 with an impressive 1.95 ERA overall, but was 0-0 with a 3.94 ERA in three home starts. He's apparently dealing with a blister, which could be slightly bothersome but won't prevent him from starting. While his ERA looks great, when you dig a little deeper, you can see that he walked 35 batters in just 60 innings pitched in 2013. He could be in trouble putting runners on base against the Yankees as NY has patient hitters and veterans who will take advantage here today. 10*
04-01-14	San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks -104	Top	4-5	Win	100	8 h 59 m	Show
I am backing Wade Miley and the Arizona Diamondbacks here. Miley comes into this start after coming off of a very good spring training where he posted a 2.41 era through 18 innings with 4 BBs, 13 Ks while allowing 0 HRs. When we look at Miley’s first outings from 2012 & 2013, we can see that he looks to get the season off on the right foot where he allowed just 1 run through 10 innings on 8 Ks. The Giants have a combined 110 ABs off of Miley but with little success as they hit .273 with just 1 HR off of Miley. Matt Cain, on the other hand, did not show much success during his spring training as he posted a 7.47 era through 15 innings on 6 BBs, 13 Ks and 2 HRs. When we look at Cains first starts of the 2012 & 2013 season, Cain allowed 5 runs through 12 innings on 10 hits, 2 BBs & 2 HRs. With the Diamondbacks having already faced three aces in Clayton Kershaw, Bumgarner and Ryu, I like Arizona in this spot Tuesday night. 10* NL GAME OF THE WEEK
03-31-14	St. Louis Cardinals -125 v. Cincinnati Reds	Top	1-0	Win	100	4 h 20 m	Show
The defending National League champions will open the season in Cincinnati on Monday afternoon, only the second time in the last 20 years that they've squared off to start the season. It's an appropriate beginning -- the season often ends with one of those two at the top. With Adam Wainwright matching up against Johnny Cueto here makes for a highly recommended play on the Cardinals in this spot. Wainwright added a new pitch a sinker to his pitching. While Cueto missed one turn during spring training due to a sore back and also endured a tender shoulder, and has has only one minor league start over the past 3 weeks - I like STL in this spot here on Monday afternoon. 5*
10-23-13	St. Louis Cardinals (Series Prices) v. Boston Red Sox (Series Prices) -125	Top	2-4	Win	100	6 h 55 m	Show
I beleive the home field will make a huge difference in this series. They also have a hot lefty, Jon Lester, and the Cardinals are a below .500 team versus southpaws and really struggle on the road versus top LH starters. St. Louis finished four games under .500 at 19-23 when facing left-handed starters. The Cardinals had a .750 OPS versus righties, which dropped to .672 against southpaws. Lester is in top form having surrendered two or fewer runs in 10 of his last 13 starts. He is 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA in his three October starts with his lone loss coming to Detroit in Game 1 of the ACLS, 1-0. Lester has a 2.49 career postseason ERA in 11 appearances, including nine starts. St Louis has hit .210 with a .610 OPS through the postseason, while the Red Sox have hit .236 with a .690 OPS. Boston had the best home record in the American League going 53-28 at Fenway Park. The Cards outfielders are going to have to get used to the Green Monster and outfield defense and dimensions. I like a 10* on the Boston RedSox in game and I also like them for the series.
10-23-13	St. Louis Cardinals v. Boston Red Sox -118	Top	1-8	Win	100	6 h 53 m	Show
I beleive the home field will make a huge difference in this series. They also have a hot lefty, Jon Lester, and the Cardinals are a below .500 team versus southpaws and really struggle on the road versus top LH starters. St. Louis finished four games under .500 at 19-23 when facing left-handed starters. The Cardinals had a .750 OPS versus righties, which dropped to .672 against southpaws. Lester is in top form having surrendered two or fewer runs in 10 of his last 13 starts. He is 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA in his three October starts with his lone loss coming to Detroit in Game 1 of the ACLS, 1-0. Lester has a 2.49 career postseason ERA in 11 appearances, including nine starts. St Louis has hit .210 with a .610 OPS through the postseason, while the Red Sox have hit .236 with a .690 OPS. Boston had the best home record in the American League going 53-28 at Fenway Park. The Cards outfielders are going to have to get used to the Green Monster and outfield defense and dimensions. I like a 10* on the Boston RedSox in game and I also like them for the series.
10-16-13	Boston Red Sox v. Detroit Tigers -118	Top	3-7	Win	100	6 h 27 m	Show
The Red Sox will send Jake Peavy to the mound who pitched well in his only postseason start thus far going 5.2 innings against Tampa Bay allowing 5 hits and 1 earned run. Over the last three years, Fister has allowed the fifth-most ground balls in all of baseball. In 2013, he ranked fourth among qualifiers in ground ball-to-fly ball ratio. The Tigers are 10-3 in Fister's last 13 starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. This Detroit team has seen a lot of Peavy, as he used to play in the same division with the White Sox. Last year vs Detroit Peavy had 6 starts going 1-3 with a 5.63 ERA, .275 OBA and 1.33 WHIP. At Comerica he was 0-2 over 3 starts with a 5.66 ERA. In 2011 he had a 9.00 ERA over 2 starts vs the Tigers. I also took note that one of Detroit's additions this year, Torii Hunter, is 7 for 16 with a homerun lifetime vs Peavy. Look for Fister to get the better of this matchup here on Wednesday night. The Tigers have struggled with runners in scoring position but I like the big bats of the Tigers tonight. Peavy has struggled on the road With the success Detroit has had against Peavy I like our chances with the Detroit Tigers here at home in a must win game 4 and I look for Fielder and Cabrera to come up big and Detroit to bounce back after a pair of 1 run losses. 10* MLB PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR
10-14-13	St. Louis Cardinals v. Los Angeles Dodgers +107	Top	0-3	Win	107	6 h 59 m	Show
5*
10-08-13	Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays +109	Top	3-1	Loss	-100	7 h 47 m	Show
The Rays are going with Jeremy Hellickson (12-10, 5.17) who finished the season poorly, but is well rested now. Hellickson went 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA in three matchups with Boston this season. He is confident and ready to do tonight. Jake Peavy (12-5, 4.17) will get the ball for the Red Sox for his first playoff start in seven years as he has been awful in the postseason with an ERA over 12. Peavy has had command issues and therefore walks a lot of batters. James Loney, who was 3 for 3 Monday to improve to 6 for 12 in this year's playoffs, is 10 for 31 with two homers and five doubles against Peavy. KEY TREND- Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts 63-35 since 1997. 0-1 this year and hits over 88% off a loss. 5*
10-07-13	Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -104	Top	4-5	Win	100	20 h 19 m	Show
It took winning three consecutive elimination games just to get into the division series. And now, it will take three more to beat Red Sox and reach the league championship series against Oakland or Detroit. "I don't think we let our guard down at all. I think we just got outplayed," Longoria said after an optional team workout Sunday. "They swung the bats better, they pitched better," the three-time All-Star added. "At some point you've got to be able to admit that and turn the page and go to the next day." TB is a very good team at home going 51-30 during the season in their stadium. Alex Cobb, who beat Cleveland last Wednesday in the AL wild-card game, will carry the Rays. Cobb went 11-3 with a 2.25 ERA this year in his first full season in the majors, including 7-0 with a 2.81 ERA in 13 starts at home so I really like him in this spot today.Look for TAMPA to get the win on Monday evening. 10* HAMMER PLAY!
09-27-13	Kansas City Royals -110 v. Chicago White Sox	Top	6-1	Win	100	3 h 13 m	Show
4*
09-25-13	Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants +135	Top	4-6	Win	135	10 h 57 m	Show
The Dodgers starter Ricky Nolasco has been awful lately in his last 2 starts. SF goes with Barry Zito, who is making his final start of 2013, and this could very well be the last one of his career with the Giants. The veteran lefty is a late replacement for originally scheduled starter Madison Bumgarner, who is being shut down for the rest of the season. Despite Nolasco's 5-4 record with a 2.73 ERA in 10 career starts against the Giants he has really been struggling lately with control and command and I like SF here at home on Wednesday night to take advantage and get the win. 5*
09-24-13	Washington Nationals v. St. Louis Cardinals -120	Top	0-2	Win	100	8 h 37 m	Show
Wacha is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA and the Nationals have never faced him. In his Coors Field debut, Michael Wacha surrendered 12 hits and four runs over 4 2/3 innings in a 15-inning loss to the Rockies but now he returns home where he is much more comfortable. He has very good stuff and capable of striking out a lot of batters. 5*
09-23-13	Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels -147	Top	10-5	Loss	-147	10 h 32 m	Show
AJ Griffin gets the nod tonight but the A's just clinched a playoff spot and will be resting several players after a long night of partying. The right-hander has also allowed a Major League-leading 35 home runs so look for the Angels at home to have a big tonight scoring runs. For the Angels and since replacing Joe Blanton in the rotation, Garrett Richards has made the most of the opportunity. He has a 2.90 ERA in 11 starts since July 27 and allowed one run in seven innings his last time out. Look for the ANGELS to get a comfortable win on Monday night. 10* MLB GAME OF THE MONTH
09-20-13	Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Diego Padres -130	Top	0-2	Win	100	8 h 11 m	Show
Erlin continues to fare well in his late-season audition for a potential spot in the 2014 rotation. He allowed two runs in six innings the last time out against the Braves, and he has a 2.60 ERA over his last three starts. On the other hand the Dodgers clinched last night partied hard, went swimming, plus had to travel and will be resting tonight. Edinson Volquez allows a lot of home runs and the club has won only one of his three starts. SD PADRES is our big play tonight! 10* GAME OF THE WEEK!
09-17-13	Los Angeles Dodgers +110 v. Arizona Diamondbacks	Top	9-3	Win	110	8 h 48 m	Show
5*
09-11-13	Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians +100	Top	6-2	Loss	-100	3 h 32 m	Show
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09-10-13	Arizona Diamondbacks +105 v. Los Angeles Dodgers	Top	3-5	Loss	-100	5 h 7 m	Show
5*
09-05-13	Boston Red Sox v. New York Yankees -110	Top	9-8	Loss	-110	11 h 27 m	Show
4*
09-04-13	St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds -115	Top	5-4	Loss	-115	2 h 11 m	Show
The Cardinals are struggling to put up runs especially on the road and the STL offense has stalled, scoring two runs or fewer in five losses during the past six games, bating only .176 during that stretch while being outscored 32-10. Cincy has also taken the last three meetings by an 18-2 combined score margin, and while starter Bronson Arroyo has not won in his three starts vs. the Cards this season, he seems to be catching them at the right time as well as at Great American Ballpark, where Arroyo is 9-3 with a 3.20 ERA this season. Not nearly as comfy with Cards starter Shelby Miller on the road (where his ERA is 4.43) as at home (where his ERA is 1.92). Play the Reds here on Wednesday night. 5*
09-02-13	Baltimore Orioles v. Cleveland Indians -129	Top	7-2	Loss	-129	6 h 55 m	Show
The Indians have their best pitcher Justin Masterson going tonight. He has a 2.65 ERA his last three starts, all of which have been on the road. He's been quite successful at home this season, turning in an 11-4 team start record at Progressive Field. He has a 3.06 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in those 15 starts. HE faces an Orioles lineup that has scored in only one of its last 21 innings played. Granted, it was one big inning yesterday scoring 7 runs in the 7th inning, but overall this is a struggling club that's dropped four of its last six.The Indians are 40-26 at Progressive Field this season including 19-6 at -125 to -175 betting price. Orioles starter Bud Norris has not been particularly effective of late w/ a 6.89 ERA and 2.042 WHIP his last three starts. Cleveland Indians my 10* AL GAME OF THE WEEK.
09-01-13	St. Louis Cardinals v. Pittsburgh Pirates +105	Top	7-2	Loss	-100	1 h 44 m	Show
4*
08-28-13	Cleveland Indians -110 v. Atlanta Braves	Top	2-3	Loss	-110	7 h 4 m	Show
Justin Masterson has gone 4-2 with a 2.85 ERA in his last eight starts and is a workhorse on the field. He faces Paul Maholm, has been injured for a while and probably wont last long in the game. The Indians lost last night despite out-hitting the Braves 6-3. Look for Cleveland to capitalize on this pitching advantage and get the victory Wednesday night in Atlanta and stay in the division race and Wildcard where they are just 3 games back. 5*
08-25-13	Detroit Tigers -142 v. New York Mets	Top	11-3	Win	100	1 h 31 m	Show
4*
08-14-13	San Francisco Giants v. Washington Nationals -150	Top	5-6	Win	100	4 h 24 m	Show
The Giants lost the series opener in Washington last night, and that comes as no surprise, as they have been terrible on the road all year. They are also bad against the NL East. It was their third straight defeat away from home, and San Francisco is now 21-35 on the road this season. The Giants season is as good as over and Washington still has hope in the Wild Card race sitting 8.5 games back with 44 games remaining. Lincecum (6-11, 4.18 ERA) has terrible career numbers versus Washington and the Giants are second to last in runs scored in the National League. Zimmerman (13-6, 3.10 ERA) lost to Atlanta his last time out, but the Braves have bats in their lineup and the Giants do not. Jordan Zimmerman is also 14-1 his last 15 home starts at night, so I really like the Nationals behind him starting on Wednesday night. 10* NL GAME OF THE MONTH!
08-13-13	San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies -125	Top	7-5	Loss	-125	6 h 60 m	Show
After a rough run, Colorado has come on strong lately - winning 4 in a row coming into tonight! The Rockies have not only won their last 4, they have done it rather convincingly, outscoring their opposition 33-9 along the way. As for San Diego, the Padres have now dropped 5 of their last 6 games, and they have also dropped 8 of their last 10 games played at Coors Field. Eric Stults has lost his way in the second half, going 0-3 in his 4 starts with an ERA over 7. This does not look well for the Padres against a Colorado team that has been locked-in at the plate in Denver. Jeff Manship will make his second straight start filling in for the injured Tyler Chatwood, and even though he lost his first start, he did acquit himself well, allowing only 2 runs in his 5 innings pitched. The way the Rockies have been using the home field to their advantage, and their hot bats, I really like Colorado here at home. 5*
08-10-13	Tampa Bay Rays v. Los Angeles Dodgers -145	Top	0-5	Win	100	6 h 44 m	Show
DOdgers starter Grienke is red hot going 8-1 w/solid 2.56 ERA in his last 9 decisions. The Dodgers are the hottest team in the major leagues, winning 18-of-21 since the All Star break. Tampa has now lost three straight, and it doesn't get any easier as they face Zack Greinke tonight. Grienke has been even sharper at home, with a record of 5-1, 2.56 ERA in nine starts in Los Angeles this season. Evan Longoria hasn't had much success versus Greinke, going 3-for-19 lifetime. The Rays hand the ball to Roberto Hernandez, who has really struggled on the road this season. Hernandez (6-11, 4.75 ERA) allowed three runs on eight hits over just 4 2/3 innings in a no decision at home against the Giants his last time out. Five of his six wins this year have come at home, and his numbers on the road are not encouraging. He's 1-7 with a 5.71 ERA in nine starts away from Tropicana Field. Hanley Ramirez came in to pinch hit for the Dodgers last night, and he should make his return to the lineup Saturday. With Ramirez and Puig both hitting better than .350, the Rays pitching staff will have their hands full. Take the LA Dodgers this afternoon. 10* POUNDER PLAY!
08-07-13	Tampa Bay Rays -122 v. Arizona Diamondbacks	Top	8-9	Loss	-122	12 h 45 m	Show
Wednesday night I like the Tampa Bay Rays to earn the split at Arizona. TB has gone 13 straight series in which they have either won or split with their opponent. With this being a 2 game series and TB losing last night, I really like our chances for them to get the win tonight! The Diamondbacks took last night's series opener with the easy 6-1 win, but even with that loss, the Rays are still on a 28-9 run their last 37 games. Going to look for Tampa to be able to get out of the desert with the split, as Arizona has not won back-to-back games in just about 2 weeks time. Chris Archer is coming off a loss that snapped his 4 game winning streak. Tampa Bay still a very positive 11-3 their last 14 interleague games, and well managed. Riding Archer to get back into the winner's circle here, and TB to get the cash for us. 10* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH
08-05-13	Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals -160	Top	0-13	Win	100	8 h 55 m	Show
10* AL GAME OF THE WEEK: Minnesota has lost 41 of the last 59 games when playing in the month of August and they have lost 33 of the last 55 road games. The Royals return home after winning eight of nine on the road, and they've now won 11 of their last 12. Correia (7-7, 4.49 ERA) has struggled on the road. He's 2-6, with a 6.11 ERA in 10 starts on the road this year. He hasn't had any success against the Royals this year, going 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in three starts, and Minnesota has lost all three of those games. The Royals on the other hand might be the best defensive team in the majors, and Alex Gordon has been flashing the leather all season. They also have one of best bullpens in baseball, so scoring on Kansas City won't be easy. The Royals are RED HOT and playing great baseball right now, and they should prove to be too much for the Twins tonight. Take the KC ROYALS
08-03-13	New York Yankees -113 v. San Diego Padres	Top	3-0	Win	100	12 h 41 m	Show
I like the Yankees here to bounce back with a win. With Jeter and Granderson back in the lineup along with the newly added Soriano they have some pop in their lineup again and teams cant pitch around Cano. The Yanks were screwed by the umps on several calls last night and I expect them to get the benefit of the doubt at the plate tonight. New York goes with Ivan Nova (4-4, 3.41 ERA), as the right-hander allowed only four total runs and walked six while going seven innings in his last 2 contests. Nova has a 2.39 ERA as a starter since June 23rd and we'll take the YANKEES here on Saturday night. 5*
08-01-13	St. Louis Cardinals +105 v. Pittsburgh Pirates	Top	13-0	Win	105	6 h 40 m	Show
This is now a very big game for the Cardinals following the doubleheader loss on Tuesday and losing last night to the Pirates they try to avoid a rare 5-game sweep and also avoid their 8th straight loss. The Redbirds will have to make do without the brilliant Yadi Molina. He is now on the DL and out for this game. Kelly earned a stay in the rotation by throwing 6 1/3 scoreless innings in a spot start on Saturday and I really like Joe Kelly over Charlie Morton. Now that he's pitching on regular rest, Kelly should be free to approach a pitch count of 100, if necessary. Morton has struggled with his command and his prime pitch the sinkerball isn't working. St. Louis is 4th in runs scored, 3rd in on base percentage and a top 10 team in slugging while the Pirates are in the bottom 10 in these categories. The Cardinals are 16-6 in their last 22 vs. The NL Central. We've getting the very good price with the Cardinals who left 11 runners on base last night and will take advantage tonight.
07-30-13	Kansas City Royals -125 v. Minnesota Twins	Top	7-2	Win	100	6 h 7 m	Show
The Royals are believing in themselves and they have Santana on the mound and he seems to be reborn with a low ERA and great strikeout ratio. Kansas City is one of the hottest clubs in the majors right now, winning 6 straight heading into Tuesday, and is only 7 back of the Tigers in the AL Central. The Royals can trim that lead with some easy games on the schedule
07-29-13	New York Mets v. Miami Marlins -111	Top	6-5	Loss	-111	8 h 12 m	Show
4*
07-29-13	Chicago (A): J Danks v. Cleveland: Mcallister -165	Top	2-3	Win	100	8 h 58 m	Show
John Danks for the White Sox and Zach McAllister for the Indians will be facing off in this matchup. Danks is coming into this game having a rough career against Cleveland with a 4.94 ERA and Indians hitters batting .260. He is also struggling on the road with a 6.03 ERA and opponents hitting .312. McAllister is coming into this game with very good stats at home (2.87 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and opponents hitting .238. In his last outing against the White Sox, he let up 3 earned runs through 5.2 innings. The White Sox are the lowest scoring team in the league at 3.7 runs/game. Look for the INDIANS to get the win at home here on Monday night. 5*
07-27-13	Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles -119	Top	7-3	Loss	-119	8 h 30 m	Show
Baltimore has won 7 of 8 at home versus Boston and only three games back of Boston and 3.5 behind the division leading TB Rays. The Orioles have owned Boston lately, and they will look to wrap up their seventh straight series win over the RedSox on Saturday. Ryan Dempster will toe the slab for the visitors today, and he hasn't been all that sharp lately. Dempster (5-8, 4.28 ERA) has been tagged for 12 runs over just 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts, but the Red Sox have been able to overcome his mediocre efforts and win each of those games. The Orioles hand the ball to recently acquired Scott Feldman, who is coming off his best performance as an Oriole. Feldman (9-7, 3.75 ERA) went eight strong innings allowing a pair of runs on five hits in a win over the Royals his last time out. He's enjoyed success against the Sox, going 1-0 with a 1.98 ERA in three starts versus Boston since 2010. With a more consistent starter and a lineup that's been successful at the plate, I like Baltimore here on Saturday who is tough at home with a 30-20 record.
07-25-13	Baltimore Orioles -130 v. Kansas City Royals	Top	1-7	Loss	-130	8 h 4 m	Show
10* AL GAME OF THE WEEK: The Orioles lost their last 2 games, but I expect them to bounce back On Thursday with Gonzalez facing Guthrie. Gonzalez has an ERA of 1.40 in his last 3 while Guthrie's is 5.03. I expect the O's to play well led by Chris Davis, Manny Machado, Nate McLouth and Matt Wieters. The core of this team is young, and they are getting better each and every day. One of those guys is today's starter Miguel Gonzalez. He's a little older than most of his teammates at the age of 29, but this is only his second season in the big leagues and he's making the most of his opportunity. Gonzalez checks in at 8-3 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 17 starts in 2013. The KC Royals are struggling, coming in at 13th in the AL in runs scored. Right-hander Jeremy Guthrie gets the ball for Kansas City in this matchup, and he's been very inconsistent throughout the season and he strands a lot of runners which is very dangerous. I'm backing the Orioles here to avoid the 3-game sweep and get the win here on the road Thursday night.
07-23-13	Los Angeles Dodgers -106 v. Toronto Blue Jays	Top	10-9	Win	100	9 h 42 m	Show
10* Interleague Game of the Week! The BlueJays throw their 5th starter and have no confidence in him. Redmond worked just four innings in his last start against the Orioles, although that had more to do with manager John Gibbons putting faith in the bullpen over his fifth starter. The Dodgers have now won 4 straight and are 8-2 their last 10! I expect Capuano to pitch well tonight and LA to continue to hit. Capuano has allowed fewer than two earned runs in five of his last 10 starts, on top of that he has the hitting of the Dodgers to back him. As we saw last night the bats are hot and I like LA again in the dome tonight.
07-21-13	Los Angeles Dodgers -111 v. Washington Nationals	Top	9-2	Win	100	3 h 19 m	Show
On Sunday I like Clayton Kershaw against the Nationals in today's showdown. After the Dodgers won in extra inning last night, serving as a gut-check to the Nats, the Dodgers have the mental edge now, and it's perfect time for the Dodgers' ace southpaw to throw a gem. Kershaw is in after striking out 10 and allowing three runs on six hits over seven innings in his last outing, before the All-Star Break, but unfortunately he took the loss against the Colorado Rockies. Nevertheless, the best pitcher in baseball - in my opinion - has won three of his past four starts and leads the Majors with a 1.98 ERA. Take the road team here with the Dodgers to get the sweep. 5*
07-21-13	Pittsburgh Pirates +131 v. Cincinnati Reds	Top	3-2	Win	131	3 h 4 m	Show
The Pirates have lost back to back games in Cincinnati, and they now sit two games back of division leaders St. Louis. They look to avoid a sweep in the series finale today, and with a favorable matchup on the mound, they might be in a good spot to earn a victory. Jeff Locke will return to the rotation after sitting out with a sore back since July 8. Locke (8-2, 2.15 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on just three hits over seven innings in a 2-1 loss to Oakland his last time out. He ranks second amongst National League pitchers with only Clayton Kershaw having a lower ERA. The Reds haven't been able to solve him in two previous meetings, as he's 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA in those games. One of those games was at Great American Ballpark, and he tossed 7 scoreless innings not factoring in the decision. Homer Bailey will get the nod for the home team, and he's lost consecutive starts since recording a no-hitter on July 2. In fact the Reds have lost five of his last six starts, with the only exception being the no-hitter. Another factor working against Bailey today is that he's been awful in day starts, with a record of 1-5, 5.13 ERA in nine starts this year in afternoon games. Take the Pirates here to avoid the sweep! 5*
07-20-13	Oakland: D Straily v. LA Anaheim: C Wilson -143	Top	0-2	Win	100	10 h 27 m	Show
The Halos and the Athletics will be seeing a lot of each other over the next week, with this series wrapping up on Sunday and a four game set in Oakland starting on next Thursday. The A's were without Yoenis Cespedes in last night's loss in the series opener, and his status is uncertain for Game 2. C.J. Wilson will toe the rubber for the home team, and he finished the second half in top form. Wilson (9-6, 3.37 ERA) allowed a single run on just four hits over seven innings in a 13-2 win over the Cubs at Wrigley his last time out. He's 5-1 with a 2.04 ERA in six starts prior to the All Star Break. Oakland will hand the ball to Dan Straily, who wasn't as fortunate the last time he faced the Angels though, getting torched for six runs on seven hits over just 4 2/3 innings in Oakland back in April. The Angels have the 4th best team batting average in the majors, and they have won five of their last seven at home. With L.A. just a small favorite, the value lies with a play on the home team. 5*
07-19-13	Philadelphia Phillies +103 v. New York Mets	Top	13-8	Win	103	6 h 10 m	Show
The Phillies finished the 1st half strong and now ready to make a run at the division. They are also 10 games over .500 against their division opponents. The All-Star break should have been even more valuable to a veteran team like the Phils and they have Kyle Kendrick who had a very good first half on the mound to get things started again. All he did his last time out against the Mets was pitch a complete game, 3 hit shutout and it was at CitiField (Kendrick is 2-0 against the Mets this season). NY just hosted the All-Star game and I expect a little hangover from their players here. That usually happens the first game back for the team who hosted from all of the All-Star festivities. Lets back the Phillies here on Friday night in a pickem situation. 10* GAME OF THE WEEK
07-14-13	Chicago White Sox v. Philadelphia Phillies -163	Top	3-4	Win	100	3 h 22 m	Show
Here is one more chance to take a look at Pittsburgh's rookie hurler Gerrit Cole before the All-Star break. While the Bucs have lost in Cole's last two starts, that's been more due to lack of run support as remember, Pittsburgh won in Cole's first four starts, and he has been serviceable at the least, allowed three runs or fewer in each of his 4 starts. Cole is also off of a solid outing last Tuesday vs. the A's when allowing only five hits and 2 runs in 7 IP. Pittsburgh's staff and bullpen have been lights-out over the past week, and not sure Mets starter Dillon Gee, hit hard in his last start vs. the Giants, has a 6.11 ERA on the road and has allowed a hefty .326 BA in games away from Citi Field. Play the Pirates here at home to finish the 1st half of the season with a BIG WIN!
07-14-13	New York Mets v. Pittsburgh Pirates -146	Top	4-2	Loss	-146	1 h 53 m	Show
Here is one more chance to take a look at Pittsburgh's rookie hurler Gerrit Cole before the All-Star break. While the Bucs have lost in Cole's last two starts, that's been more due to lack of run support as remember, Pittsburgh won in Cole's first four starts, and he has been serviceable at the least, allowed three runs or fewer in each of his 4 starts. Cole is also off of a solid outing last Tuesday vs. the A's when allowing only five hits and 2 runs in 7 IP. Pittsburgh's staff and bullpen have been lights-out over the past week, and not sure Mets starter Dillon Gee, hit hard in his last start vs. the Giants, has a 6.11 ERA on the road and has allowed a hefty .326 BA in games away from Citi Field. Play the Pirates here at home to finish the 1st half of the season with a BIG WIN! 5*
07-12-13	Toronto Blue Jays +132 v. Baltimore Orioles	Top	5-8	Loss	-100	5 h 25 m	Show
The Blue Jays big bats were ice cold in Cleveland, and Toronto failed to hit a home run while losing two of three to the Tribe. They might have a better chance of hitting a few long balls in Baltimore. Chris Tillman will toe the rubber for the Orioles, and he's served up 18 home runs in his 18 starts on the year. Most of those came at home in Baltimore, where he's been taken deep 14 times in 10 starts. I like the BlueJays here who have won the last 4 meetings with Baltimore. 5*
07-11-13	Texas: R Wolf v. Baltimore: M Gonzalez -143	Top	1-3	Win	100	6 h 10 m	Show
The Orioles have lost two of three at home to Texas, but they can earn a split with a win in the series finale tonight at Camden Yards. Yu Darvish was the scheduled starter, but the Orioles catch a break as Darvish has been placed on the DL, and the Rangers turn to Ross Wolf out of the bullpen for the start. At age 30 he only has two years of Major League experience, and he's in a tough spot facing one of the better hitting teams in the majors in a park that isn't known to be kind to pitcher's in Camden Yards. The Orioles hand the ball to Miguel Gonzalez, who has been very good at home this year. Gonzalez (6-3, 3.63 ERA) allowed just a single run on four hits over six innings, not factoring in the decision in a 3-2 loss in the Bronx his last time out. He's been fortunate to get plenty of run support at home, and he boasts a perfect 4-0 record with a 4.14 ERA in seven starts at Camden Yards. With both teams having similar records, and Baltimore having a more experienced starter, I'll take the Orioles. 5*
07-07-13	Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians +120	Top	6-9	Win	120	3 h 49 m	Show
Cleveland is coming off a terrible game on Saturday where they made mistake after mistake. I expect a big effort from them on Sunday. Indians starter Cory Kluber has given his team's starting rotation a much-needed boost and has been much better at home, where he has a 2.93 ERA, compared to on the road where his ERA is more than 4.00. Detroit's Doug Fister is a bit overrated this season if you consider that his team has lost seven of his last nine starts, despite his 6-5 record. Cleveland gets back on the winning track here at home behind Corey Kluber. 5*
07-07-13	Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees -125	Top	2-1	Loss	-125	3 h 40 m	Show
The Yankees go for the sweep today as they look for revenge against the O's after being swept last weekend when they played them. Kuroda goes for the Yankees and he has been their best pitcher over the last two years. He has had a few extra days rest and ready to go. The Yankees faces Jason Hammel who has a 4.59 ERA in his career against the Yankees. Kuroda has a 3.54 ERA in six career starts against the O's. Kuroda pitches great at Yankee stadium as he is 16-8 in career with a 2.57 ERA. The Yankees are 6-1 in Kurodas last 7 home starts. Take the Yankees this afternoon. 5*
07-06-13	Baltimore Orioles +102 v. New York Yankees	Top	4-5	Loss	-100	3 h 37 m	Show
Andy Pettitte has had his issues on the hill of late, as the veteran southpaw has allowed 16 runs in just under 25 innings of work his last 4 trips to the hill. Orioles starter Tillman has allowed 3 runs or less in 6 in a row, and 8 of his last 9 starts overall. Included is 6 inning 2 run effort in a win over the Yankees his last time to the mound. He has also won seven straight decisions for the Orioles and went 6-0 in June. Baltimore is 5-1 in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees as the Yanks picked up a walkoff win last night. I look for the Baltimore bats to get the better here today and the Orioles to get the win. 5*
07-05-13	Colorado Rockies +114 v. Arizona Diamondbacks	Top	0-5	Loss	-100	10 h 31 m	Show
The Rockies were 3-4 during their recent homestand and Michael Cuddyer remains red hot, as he was 2-for-3 with a home run last night. His franchise record 27 game hitting streak came to an end on Tuesday, but he's recorded hits in 29 of his last 30 games, and he's hitting .366 during that span and on fire. Jorge De La Rosa will get the nod for the Rockies, and he's been excellent in recent starts. De La Rosa (8-4, 3.09 ERA) allowed one run on six hits over six innings in a 2-1 win over the Giants in his last start. Prior to that he surrendered a pair of runs on seven hits over six frames in a 7-6 win over Washington. He's seen plenty of the D'Backs already this year, and he's 2-1 with a 1.58 ERA in three starts this season, and he came into this year with a record of 2-1, 3.38 ERA in five starts versus Arizona dating back to 2010. The southpaw has been on top of his game, and he has history on his side, that combined with a red hot Michael Cuddyer should be enough to power the Rockies past Arizona who is 2-8 their last 10 games and just returned home from a long 10-day road trip. 10* NL GAME OF THE WEEK!
07-04-13	New York Yankees v. Minnesota Twins -117	Top	9-5	Loss	-117	3 h 46 m	Show
On Thursday afternoon I like Kyle Gibson and the Twins. He is a very good young pitcher. Gibson made his big league debut on Saturday and threw a solid six innings at Target Field, against the Kansas City Royals, allowing two runs on eight hits while striking out five, while not walking a single batter. I love his chances against the Yankees, whose Triple-A affiliate have already seen his best stuff, as he allowed only one run in 13 innings in two starts against it while still pitching in the minors. So even though the Yankees have won 13 of their last 14 games against an AL Central team, I like the Twins here listing Gibson to avoid the 4-game sweep. 5*
07-03-13	Seattle Mariners +126 v. Texas Rangers	Top	4-2	Win	126	7 h 35 m	Show
Felix Hernandez continues to be a sure-fire ace on the mound. He has posted five consecutive sub-3.50 ERA seasons and a sub-1.15 WHIP in three of the last four seasons. He faces a Rangers lineup that is no longer an offensive force. Over their past 20 games, the Rangers are hitting a measly .244 and their 69 runs scored over that span is the fifth worst in MLB. The Rangers are in this price range because their ace, Derek Holland gets this start. Holland has a 3.14 ERA in 16 starts and he
07-01-13	San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins -133	Top	0-4	Win	100	4 h 40 m	Show
I REALLY like what Jose Fernandez is doing on the mound and he's quickly becoming the team's best pitcher. The Miami Marlins finally put together a winning month this season for the first time since 2012 and look to build on those wins in a very winnable division. Miami seeks their seventh victory in nine games, and it can't get much easier than getting the Padres on their home field. Fernandez (4-4, 2.98 ERA) went 2-1 with a 1.67 ERA in five June starts after allowing just one run and four hits in Tuesday's 4-2 win over Minnesota. He's just 20 years old, but he's pitching like he's a seasoned veteran and none of these teams have ever seen his stuff. The Padres simply can't compete with Jason Marquis on the mound, especially considering his control issues. He walked five batters in five innings in his last outing and that's simply not going to cut it tonight. I like the Marlins at home as your Big Monday BEST BET PLAY. 5*
06-30-13	Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox -138	Top	4-5	Win	100	3 h 26 m	Show
The Jays won yesterday taking advantage of a poor effort from the Red Sox bullpen. Esmil Rogers also gave Toronto six scoreless innings, something that today's starter Mark Buehrle is going to have a tough time replicating. Buehrle (4-5) allowed four runs on eight hits, walking four over just five innings in a loss to Tampa in his last start. He's been terrible on the road all year, posting a record of 1-4, with a 5.79 ERA in eight starts. He's also struggled versus the Red Sox, going 0-3 with an ERA over 5.00 in five starts since 2010. He's really been roughed up at Fenway during that span, allowing 10 runs on 17 hits in 12 innings of work in two losses. RedSox Ortiz is hitting .358 with three home runs in 67 at bats versus the southpaw. The Canadian Ryan Dempster will get the nod for the home team, knowing that the game will be broadcast live across Canada, and friends and family will be watching. Dempster has been far better than his record suggests. He's 3-3 in his last six starts, but all six of those have been quality starts, allowing three runs or less over six or more innings. The Red Sox should have no trouble getting him a few runs today and Boston to take this game on Sunday afternoon. 10* AL GAME OF THE MONTH
06-29-13	St. Louis Cardinals v. Oakland A's +108	Top	7-1	Loss	-100	18 h 37 m	Show
The three runs Parker surrendered in seven innings to the Mariners in his last start came off a pair of home runs by Raul Ibanez. Parker has been lights out lately and I love the A's at home where they always seem to have a huge advantage in their ballpark. 5*
06-25-13	Pittsburgh Pirates -112 v. Seattle Mariners	Top	9-4	Win	100	8 h 26 m	Show
The Bucs have quietly put together the second best record in the major leagues, just one game back of the St. Louis Cardinals. They come into Seattle riding a four game winning streak. Seattle has the lowest batting average in the American League, and an offense that is one of the worst in the majors. That's not good news for Joe Saunders, who is set to get the start on Tuesday in the series opener. Saunders (5-7, 4.48 ERA) allowed just a single run on six hits through eight innings in a loss to the Angels. Gaby Sanchez had back to back games with multiple hits against the Angels, and he's 6-for-12 with a home run lifetime against Saunders. Russell Martin has also taken him deep, and he Andrew McCutchen and Michael McKenry have all hit .333 against the veteran southpaw. The Pirates hand the ball to Jeff Locke, who hasn't allowed a run in two consecutive starts. Locke (6-1, 2.01 ERA) owns the best ERA in the National League. I really like the Pirates here on Tuesday night. 10* INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH!
06-22-13	Miami Marlins v. San Francisco Giants -147	Top	1-2	Win	100	7 h 43 m	Show
I think SF be out for a little bit of revenge after losing at home last night, to the lowly Miami Marlins. Barry Zito is the veteran southpaw has mastered the Marlins during his career, as he sports a 5-1 record and 2.45 ERA in eight starts against He'll keep the young Miami hitters off balance. The Marlins will struggle to score against Zito when you consider they have a .208 batting average against left handed starters and they are scoring an average of 2.2 runs in those games. 5*
06-20-13	Boston: J Lackey v. Detroit: J Alvarez -118	Top	3-4	Win	100	6 h 52 m	Show
If Detroit
06-14-13	Washington Nationals v. Cleveland Indians -135	Top	1-2	Win	100	6 h 18 m	Show
The Cleveland Indians are thrilled to return home. Justin Masterson may be the most relieved. Coming off a lackluster road trip, the Indians and Masterson can continue their home dominance in Friday night's series opener with the Washington Nationals. A nine-game homestand may be just what the Indians need to begin cutting into the 4 1/2-game gap on AL Central-leading Detroit. Hosting an NL foe may be even better since they've won seven in a row in Cleveland in interleague play, batting .341 with 15 homers while averaging 7.6 runs per game. The pitching staff has been particularly outstanding in four home interleague wins this year, compiling a 1.25 ERA with the rotation getting each victory. Masterson (8-5, 3.68 ERA) was responsible for one of them, allowing one run with seven strikeouts in six innings of a 5-2 win over Cincinnati on May 29th. He's won three straight interleague starts at Progressive Field, yielding two runs with 25 strikeouts in 22 innings. The right-hander is 5-1 with a 2.36 ERA in seven home starts in 2013.Look for the INDIANS to continue their home dominance in Interleague action and get the win here on Friday night. 10* AL GAME OF THE WEEK
06-12-13	Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers -134	Top	5-2	Loss	-134	5 h 59 m	Show
One bad inning against Toronto spoiled what was an otherwise strong outing by the rookie his last time out. A four-run frame cost Tepesch the game, but he threw seven innings for the second time in his career. Texas is very strong at home and has the betters hitters and bullpen in this matchup. PLAY TEXAS on Wednesday night! 5*
06-08-13	Philadelphia Phillies +108 v. Milwaukee Brewers	Top	3-4	Loss	-100	10 h 54 m	Show
Kendrick allowed six hits, two runs, one walk and struck out five in a complete-game win over Miami on Monday at Citizens Bank Park. He retired the final 15 batters he faced to pick up the fourth complete game of his career. Its a great spot with Kendrick on the hill here this evening. IN THE BELMONT I LIKE #13 Unlimited Budget with 8-1 odds. Pletcher was extremely happy with recent work for this improving filly. Also worked well before taking third in the Kentucky Oaks. Pletcher won this race with the filly Rags to Riches and we are getting some great odds today.
06-07-13	St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds +104	Top	9-2	Loss	-100	8 h 19 m	Show
Cincy is 20-9 at home this season and are 6-2 their last 8 versus STL the last 2 years at home. Tonight we focus upon the starting pitchers, in which the recent edge would seem to go to Cincy's Mike Leake, who has allowed only one run in his last four starts (all Reds wins). Meanwhile, Cards starter Adam Wainwright is 4-7 in his career vs. Cincy with a 4.14 ERA. I see a major5 edge on the mound to the Reds, and can't bypass a chance to take them as an underdog tonight in a very good spot on Friday night. 10* NL GAME OF THE WEEK
06-06-13	Philadelphia Phillies +130 v. Milwaukee Brewers	Top	5-1	Win	130	3 h 11 m	Show
The Phillies have won 4 in a row and playing very well. S Brown is really hitting the ball a ton. They are now at the .500 mark record wise. Cloyd bounced back after a bad start in Boston with a quality start Saturday in a loss to the Brewers. He now gets a chance of revenge against these same Brewers. The last time he faced them he allowed eight hits, two earned runs, one walk and struck out three in seven innings at Citizens Bank Park. I dont like Peralta here for the Brewers and I like the Phillies Bats to take advantage tonight! 5*
06-03-13	Colorado Rockies +125 v. Cincinnati Reds	Top	0-3	Loss	-100	2 h 9 m	Show
Colorado has won two straight games winning their weekend series vs the Dodgers to improve to 30-27 on the season (12-15 on the road). Tonight the Rockies send one of their biggest surprise pitchers to the mound tonight, as Tyler Chatwood takes the ball. He is 3-0 on the season over 5 starts with a 2.12 ERA, .266 OBA and 1.28 WHIP. Over his two road starts he is 2-0 and hasn't given up a run in 12 innings of work (@LAD and @SF). Also note he is 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA over 4 night starts. The Rockies are 4-1 in Chatwood's 5 starts this season while the Reds are 6-5 in Arroyo's 11 starts. Arroyo goes on 4 days rest and the Reds are 1-6 in his last 7 on 4 days rest. I like tonight's pitching match up for Colorado as Chatwood has looked good. 5*
06-01-13	Toronto Blue Jays -118 v. San Diego Padres	Top	3-4	Loss	-118	14 h 9 m	Show
Toronto's Mark Buehrle allowed just one run on five hits during six strong innings of work his last time out vs. Atlanta. The veteran lefty continued his recent upward trend and now has three quality starts in his past four outings and the BlueJays have a major edge here on the mound. 5*
05-30-13	Chicago White Sox -118 v. Chicago Cubs	Top	3-8	Loss	-118	1 h 19 m	Show
Cubs starter Travis Wood really struggled in his last start as the Reds tagged him for nine runs. I look for the WhiteSox to bounce back in a big way on Thursday afternoon. Jake Peavy has been the WhiteSox ace with a 6-2 record and an ERA under 3. The right-hander recorded his 14th career complete game and seventh with the White Sox, missing a shutout by two outs. Peavy has fanned at least five in all nine starts this season and I like him here this afternoon over the Cubs. 10* Interleague Game of the Month
05-29-13	Cincinnati Reds v. Cleveland Indians -135	Top	2-5	Win	100	5 h 20 m	Show
The Indians look to Justin Masterson to continue his great pitching as he's posted a 0.86 WHIP and 2.05 ERA over his last three starts, but he has also had success against the Reds. Over the last three years he posts a 2.86 ERA over three starts vs. the Reds while his competition for Wednesday has a 9.30 ERA in 4 starts vs. the Indians in Bronson Arroyo. Masterson has also been dominant at home this year posting a 4-1 record and a 2.47 ERA which is nothing new when you look at his split statistics over his career. Arroyo also posts a 4.74 ERA during night games while Cleveland's offense has played great during night games ranking 6th in OPS. TAKE THE INDIANS here at home on Wednesday night. 5*
05-24-13	San Diego Padres +131 v. Arizona Diamondbacks	Top	2-5	Loss	-100	3 h 17 m	Show
Arizona's McCarthy is off a complete game 3-hit shutout in his last outing, but that was against the Marlins who aren't exactly a powerhouse. He is on his high horse all week and I look for the SD Padres bat to hit him good tonight. SD's Stults was sharp his last time out against the Nationals, as he carried a no-hitter into the sixth inning. He allowed one run over eight innings, the deepest that he's worked into a game since 2009 and has great location and control this year. 10*
05-23-13	Baltimore Orioles +115 v. Toronto Blue Jays	Top	6-12	Loss	-100	4 h 29 m	Show
Baltimore's top prospect Kevin Gausman who will make his major league debut. The right-hander had 49 strikeouts and only five walks in 46 1/3 innings. This kid is very good with great control and good stuff.Gausman is also trying to help the Orioles to a third straight win following a season-high six-game slide. The offense has keyed the last two victories, connecting for three homers in each contest, including Wednesday's 6-3 win over the New York Yankees. While Baltimore ranks among baseball's leaders with 59 home runs, the team didn't have any while taking two of three from Toronto back on April 22-24. The Orioles hit 13 while going 4-5 at Rogers Centre last year. Chris Davis is a .373 hitter with seven doubles, three homers, nine RBIs and 10 runs in 15 career visits to Toronto. He enters this series coming off a 4-for-4 performance Wednesday, which included his league-leading 14th homer. We are getting Baltimore as a nice underdog prie behind their young prospect who the Toronto batters have never seen. TAKE THE ORIOLES on Thursday night. 5*
05-22-13	Oakland A's +105 v. TEX RANGERS	Top	1-3	Loss	-100	2 h 45 m	Show
Jarrod Parker is a slow starter as he struggled in April, but is on top of his game now. This is a tough park to pitch in, with the Ball Park in Arlington a small, home run happy park. Oakland is ranked 9th in baseball in runs scored. Parker looks to build off his best performance of the season Wednesday when the A's try to complete their first three-game road sweep over the AL-best Texas Rangers in four seasons. Oakland has won five straight behind a starting rotation that has a 1.91 ERA over that span. Texas has also dropped eight of 11 to Oakland. Ross Wolf is expected to make his season debut in place of rookie Nick Tepesch, who was scratched due to a blister on his right middle finger. Wolf was good in AAA but he'll be in for a surprise today against the big boys in this hitters ballpark. 10*
05-20-13	St. Louis Cardinals -138 v. San Diego Padres	Top	2-4	Loss	-138	7 h 57 m	Show
I like STL here on Monday night. Almost all of the SD hitters have never faced Shelby Miller so he gets a big advantage. He is a very good young pitcher who has given up only one run in his last three starts. SD struggles is score runs and they are also 0-9 after scoring 11 or more runs in their previous game. 10* NL GAME OF THE WEEK
05-19-13	Seattle: F Hernandz -108 v. Cleveland: Masterson	Top	0-6	Loss	-108	2 h 54 m	Show
I like Seattle here Sunday afternoon as Masterson is coming off his complete game shutout in his last start. Feliz Hernandez allowed just one run in six innings but took a no-decision in his last start, at Yankee Stadium, after he was replaced when his back tightened up. He says he is good and I expect a big outing from him and the Mariners to avoid the sweep here. Hernandez should get the best of this matchup here versus the Indians. 5*
05-18-13	Houston Astros v. Pittsburgh Pirates -253	Top	4-2	Loss	-253	8 h 19 m	Show
Departing broke his maiden in his only start last year at the Fair Grounds. He Won his 2013 debut at at the Fair Grounds in an allowance, then was shipped to Sam Houston Park to win the Texas Heritage Stakes. He came back to the Fair Grounds to finish 3rd in the Louisiana Derby. Now headed to the Preakness I always like a fresh horse that didn
05-18-13	Seattle: J Saunders v. Cleveland: Mcallister -147	Top	4-5	Win	100	2 h 1 m	Show
Seattle starter Saunders is 0-4 with a 12.54 ERA in four road games as opposed to 3-0 with a 0.94 ERA in four games in Seattle. The same goes for Seattle as they really struggle on the road. On the other hand, the Indians are hot and Zach McAllister is 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA in his last 3 starts. During that time a span of 20 2/3 innings the righty has struck out 13 batters and walked five. He's gone at least five innings in every outing this season and I expect him to take advantage at home against a weak Mariners lineup. 10*
05-17-13	Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees -138	Top	0-5	Win	100	5 h 33 m	Show
I love the NY Yankees here at home on Friday night behind Hiroki Kuroda, as Kuroda has been rock-solid for Joe Girardi so far this season, going 5-2 with a 2.31 ERA. His ERA over his last 3 starts is an even better 1.66, and he has allowed just 3 runs in his last 22 innings while going a perfect 3-0 and loves pitching at home. Mark Buehrle has not delivered for his new team, he is just 1-2 for the season with an ERA over 6.10. He is also just 1-9 for his career against New York and 0-7 his last 7 versus the Yanks with an ERA over 8, and the Yankees are 16-2 last 18 versus Toronto. With Granderson back in the lineup for the Yankees, I'll back them at home on Friday night. 10* HOME COOKING CRUSHER
05-15-13	San Francisco Giants v. Toronto Blue Jays -101	Top	3-11	Win	100	3 h 37 m	Show
Toronto has take 4 of the last 5 games in this series. The Jays bats have come alive in recent games, with a 12-4 win over the Red Sox on Sunday, and a 10-6 win over the defending champion Giants yesterday. The Giants will send Ryan Vogelsong to the mound today, and he's been getting rocked lately. Since his lone quality start, on April 17 at Milwaukee, Vogelsong has yielded 22 earned runs in 21 innings spanning four outings. His troubles worsened in his last two games, in which he has permitted 13 earned runs and 16 hits over nine innings. Vogelsong (1-3, 7.78 ERA) has been struggling and he's in a tough spot here facing a Jays team with plenty of power, and he's struggled to keep hitters in the park giving up 9 HR's in his last six starts. Take the Toronto BlueJays here at home. 10* GAME OF THE MONTH!
05-14-13	San Diego Padres v. Baltimore Orioles -140	Top	3-2	Loss	-140	3 h 17 m	Show
I like the Baltimore Orioles at home, against the San Diego Padres, who arrive at Camden Yards after a three-game set in Tampa Bay, where they were swept by the Rays by a collective 18-12 score. This is just the second time the Padres have been East of the Rockies, as they opened the season with three-game sets in New York, against the Mets, and then in Denver. San Diego went 1-5 in its first six games. Baltimore has won six of eight and seven of 10 and come into this series after taking two of three from the Twins in Minneapolis. Baltimore is just one game back of the first-place New York Yankees in the American League East, while it's holding off the Boston Red Sox, who are two games back of the Yankees and alone in third place. This is a cheap number to lay on a much-better Orioles team. 5*
05-10-13	New York Yankees v. Kansas City Royals -113	Top	11-6	Loss	-113	5 h 44 m	Show
KC will be motivated to play this Yankees team who is struggling to score runs and lacks punch in their lineup. KC's Butler has hit .378 with 10 RBIs in his last 11 games against the Yankees, and Gordon batted .346 in last season's seven meetings as Kansas City went 3-4. Royals right-hander Wade Davis is coming off his second quality start of the season, yielding one run in six innings in a 6-5 win over the Chicago White Sox on Sunday. When Davis can keep his pitches down and off the middle of the plate, he usually finds very good success and I really like him in this spot tonight. 10* AL GAME OF THE WEEK

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