The San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies opened their four game series on Friday with the Phillies winning 4-3. The Giants have lost three of their last four games and sit in third in the NL West with a 15-18 record. They also have a -24 run differential. Keaton Winn makes the start today for the Giants. He's 3-3 in his six starts with a 3.18 ERA and 0.971 WHIP. He's pitched even better of late, allowing three total runs over his last three starts (18 innings) with 15 KO's and three walks. The Phillies are the hottest team in baseball having won seven of their last eight games and 14 of their last 17 games. They have taken over first place from the Braves in the NL East. They also have a +28 run differential. Ranger Suarez will toe the rubber for the Phils. He's 5-0 in his six starts with a 1.32 ERA and 0.634 WHIP. Suarez allowed his first and only run in his last game at San Diego making his total of just one run allowed over his last four starts (30 innings). Suarez has been almost unhittable and Winn has been hot too. I'll take the UNDER here ton Saturday.

 The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros begin a three game set here tonight. The Mariners are coming off a 3-game set at home vs Atlanta where they took two of three games. The Mariners have taken over 1st place in the AL West thanks in part to a 7-3 record their last 10 games. They lead the Texas Rangers by a half game. They also have a +9 run differential. George Kirby will make the start for the M's today. Kirby is 3-2 in his six starts with a 4.17 ERA. Kirby has been hot of late, allowing NO Runs and seven hits over his last 12 innings and just two runs and 12 hits over his last 18 innings of work. In addition, he has 25 KO's and just two walks during those 18 innings. The Houston Astros have finally started winning some games. After a horrible start, the Astros have won four of their last five games. They are still tied for last in the AL West with a 11-20 record, but just six back of the Mariners. They also still are in the red with run differential at -16. Ronel Blanco will toe the rubber today for the Astros. Blanco is 3-0 in his five starts with a 1.65 ERA and 0.918 WHIP. Blanco has not allowed more than two runs in any of his five starts thus far. I like this game to go under today as both pitchers have been very good of late. Play UNDER.

A pivotal game five of this best of seven Western Conference clash has the teams tied at 2-2 as the Clippers host the Mavericks here on Wednesday. The Mavericks took game one, then lost games two and three before winning game four. The team that wins tonight basically has to win just one of the final two games. The Clippers won game four at Dallas, 116-111. Kawhi Leonard missed the game again for the Clips but Paul George and James Harden stepped up with 33 points each in game four. The Clippers almost blew a 31-point lead in that game but held off a big Dallas comeback for the win. That game four was also the first game in the series that went over. In fact, Dallas has gone under in six of their last seven games. Dallas is well below their regular season average of 117.1 ppg as they are scoring just 101.3 ppg. They are also allowing 102 ppg compared to their 115 allowed in the regular season. The Clippers have averaged 102 ppg in the postseason compared to their 115 ppg in the regular season. They are allowing 101.3 ppg in the playoffs compared to their 111.8 ppg in the regular season. I'm sticking with the UNDER tonight, especially if Leonard can't go again for the Clippers. Play the UNDER.

Probably the best series of these first round is this one between the Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers. Cavaliers opened the series with a pair of wins at home. The Magic answered with two straight at home including last game 112-89. They have seen three of the four in the series go UNDER the total. Now the venue reverts back to Cleveland for game five. Franz Wagner finished with 34 points for the Magic and outscored the Cavaliers all by himself in the third quarter. The Cavs scored 60 points in the first half but could manage just 10 points in the third quarter as the Magic outscored them by 27-points. The Magic have been great at home, winning six straight, but horrible on the road by losing six straight. Orlando has averaged just 100 points in the playoffs compared to its 110 ppg in the regular season. Their defense has been excellent, allowing just 91.3 ppg in the playoffs. The Cavs 91.3 ppg in the postseason is well below their 111.6 ppg in the regular season. The Magic defense has done a great job but still faces going down 2-3 in this series unless they can change their road woes. For me, I'm taking this game under as both teams playing much better defense then offense. Take the UNDER.

The Philadelphia 76ers face elimination in their best of seven series with the NY Knicks. The Sixers are down 1-3 as they return to New York here on Tuesday. The Knicks took game four in Philly, 97-92. They held the Sixers to just 35.4% from the field and 27.3% from the 3-point arc. The Knicks Jalen Brunson had a playoff career high 47 points. As for the Sixers, when Joel Embiid is out of the line they falter badly. That caused him to have to play the entire second half of that game four loss. I'll be looking at the under in tonight's contest. The Sixers have seen their scoring drop dramatically in the playoffs to just 105.4 ppg from a regular season of 114.1 ppg. However, the defense has been much better also, going from 111.2 ppg in the regular season to 106 ppg in the playoffs. The Knicks have also seen the scoring go way down from 112.5 ppg in the regular season to just 106.5 ppg in the playoffs. But like Philly, the defense is better going from 108.1 ppg to 105.5 ppg. Embiid is hurting and he's playing. Good news for the Knicks is that center Robinson should be back tonight and he will give Embiid even more problems. I'll take this game UNDER.

 The LA Lakers staved off elimination in game four of their series with the Denver Nuggets back in LA. After losing the first three games the Lakers won game four, 119-108 covering the +3.5 point spread and going over. The Lakers have been a good over play all season, especially on the road where they are 27-16 O/U. They average 116.1 ppg and allow 119.5 ppg on the road this year. Denver is 4-2-1 O/U in their last six games. They average 118 ppg at home this year while allowing 108.4 ppg. Considering what the Lakers allow on the road, I won't be surprised to see the Nuggets get past the 120 mark. The Lakers are shooting 49.9% from the field against a good defense. Plus the Nuggets attempt way more three-point shots at home then they do on the road. I expect a lot of points in this one as the Lakers go all out to stay alive for one more game. Play the OVER.

The Oakland A's and Baltimore Orioles conclude their three-game set here on Sunday. the teams have split the first two games with the A's winning on Friday, 3-2 and the O's on Saturday, 7-0. The Orioles have jumped into a first place tie in the AL East with the NY Yankees both teams three games ahead of the Red Sox. The O's have the best run differential in the division with a +35. Albert Suarez will start today for the Orioles with his 1-0 mark in two starts. He's been great thus far, allowing seven hits and NO RUNS over his 11 2/3 innings of work. Despite no fan base in Oakland, the A's are actually in third place in the AL West with a 11-17 record, 4.5-games back of the Mariners. They do have the worst run differential in the division with a -44. The A's will start their Ace Paul Blackburn here today. Blackburn is 2-1 in his five starts with a 2.03 ERA and 0.968 WHIP. He suffered his first loss last outing at the Yankees where he went six innings and allowed five hits and four runs. That was the most runs he's allowed this year. Still, both starters are excellent and I'm going with the UNDER here today.

The Knicks and Sixers continue their best of seven game series here today from Philadelphia. The Sixers finally got a win in game three, 125-114. The Knicks led at half but a big second half by Sixers star Joel Embiid led to the come from behind and much needed win by Philly. They shot a blistering 54.7% from the field and 48.4% from the 3-point arc. The Knicks could also be without their center Mitchell Robinson who hurt his knee and is listed as questionable for today's contest. Embiid may do even better today if Robinson can't go. He scored 50 points in the Sixers game three win. The loss of Robinson could be huge here today for the Knicks as he's been dominant on the boards. Without him in game three's second half, the Sixers took over on the boards. This looks to be a close game here on Sunday and as such I'm taking the UNDER as both teams will likely slow the pace. Play the UNDER.

The LA Angels are 9-9 on the season and just a half game back of Texas for the AL West division lead. The Angels have a -5 run differential. They face the AL East Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays are 10-9 and ties for third in the division. Every team in the East division has at least a .500 record or better. These teams have split the first two games of this three game set. The Angels took yesterday's contest, 5-4, while the Rays won on Wednesday, 7-6. Both games have gone over. The Angels have gone over in three straight games and are 7-5 OV/UN on the road this season. The Rays have gone over in five straight games and are 9-4 O/U in their 13 home games. Ryan Pepiot will start for the Rays. He's 1-2 in his three starts with a 5.40 ERA and 1.020 WHIP. He's coming off a start where he went five innings and allowed five hits and four runs in a loss to the Giants. The Angels will send Griffin Canning to the hill today. Canning is 0-2 in his three starts with a 9.88 ERA and 1.829 WHIP. He's coming off a loss at Boston where he allowed nine hits and six runs over his four innings of work. Neither pitcher likely around long in this contest. I'll take the OVER.

St Louis and Oakland playing a short 2-game set here as the Cardinals took game one on Tuesday, 3-2. Lance Lynn earned his first win in his second stint with the Cardinals. The A's had a season-low 3,296 fans as they play their last season in Oakland. The Cards improved to 9-9 on the season and while they are last in the NL Central, they are just two-games back of first place Milwaukee. They also have the only negative run differential in the division at -6. Steven Matz will get the start for the Red birds here on Wednesday. Matz is 1-0 in his three starts with a nifty 1.80 ERA and 1.333 WHIP. Oakland dropped to 7-11 on the season and they actually are not in last in the AL West. That belongs to the Houston Astros who are 6-13. Good news for the A's is that their Ace is back on the hill today. What can you say about poor Paul Blackburn. He will likely be trade bait before the deadline and rightfully so. Blackburn has started three games and while only 1-0, he's allowed NO RUNS and just 11 hits over his 19 1/3 innings of work. He also has 11 KO's and just three walks. To say he's been outstanding is an understatement. That being the case, neither team will likely get many runs here today. I'm taking UNDER in this game.

The St Louis Cardinals and Arizona Diamondbacks conclude their three game set here today. The teams have split their first two games with the Cardinals taking Friday's game, 9-6, and the D'back winning on Saturday, 4-2. The Cards are last in the NL Central with a 7-8 record. They also have a -4 run differential. Miles Mikolas will toe the rubber for the Cards today. Mikolas is 1-1 in his three starts with a 4.76 ERA. He's coming off a no decision vs the Phillies where he went 6 2/3 innings and allowed just six hits and two runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks are third in the NL West with a 7-8 record and +16 run differential. Zac Gallen will start for the D'back. Gallen is 2-0 in his three starts with a 2.25 ERA and 1.188 WHIP. He's allowed just one run over his first two starts and three runs to the Rockies in his last a start. Gallen looks to be in fine form early and I'll take the UNDER in today's game. Play the UNDER

Another rivalry game here on Saturday has the Pittsburgh Pirates taking on the Philadelphia Phillies. The two teams have split the first two games of this four game set with the Phillies winning on Thursday, 5-1, and the Pirates winning yesterday, 5-2. The Phillies are 7-7 and in 2nd in the NL East, two back of the Braves. The Pirates are 10-4 and tied with Milwaukee for the NL Central lead. The Pirates will send Marco Gonzales to the hill today. Gonzales is 0-0 in his two starts with a 2.45 ERA and 1.000 WHIP. He's allowed nine hits and three runs over his 11 innings of work. The Phils will send Spencer Turnbull to the hill. Turnbull is 1-0 in his two starts with a 0.00 ERA and 0.545 WHIP. Turnbull has been outstanding with just five his allowed and no earned runs over his 11 innings of work. In addition, he has 13 KO's to just one walk. Two very good pitchers on the hill today. First two games of the series have gone under, I look for that to continue here today. Play UNDER.

Game two of the NCAA Final Four has Alabama taking on powerhouse Connecticut. The Alabama Crimson Tide lost in their conference tourney to Florida, 88-102, but have gained momentum in the NCAA tourney with wins over Charleston (109-96), Grand Canyon (72-61), North Carolina (89-87) and last game over Clemson, 89-82. They have gone over in three of their four NCAA tourney games. In addition they have gone over in six of their last seven games and 13 of their last 15 overall games. This team can score in bunches, evidenced by their 90.6 ppg average this year. They are also 7-1 O/U in their eight tourney games this year. The U Conn Huskies are the odds on favorite to win it all and their play has proved they deserve their title. They have run rough shot over the competition. They not only won their conference tourney over Marquette, 73-57, but have won all four tourney games over Stetson (91-52), Northwestern (75-58), San Diego State (82-52) and last game over Illinois, 77-52. In their game vs Illinois they opened the game up in the first half with a 30-0 run! Now they face the best offensive team they have faced in this tourney. No doubt the Huskies will score and score a lot vs a porous Alabama defense. The question is can they keep the Crimson Tide from scoring like they have. I look for this to be an offensive explosion here tonight. I'm taking the OVER.

The Toronto Blue Jays looks to get above the .500 mark today as they travel to Houston to play the struggling Astros. The Jays are 3-3 thus far and have allowed 31 runs while scoring 25 for a -6 run differential. The Jays are coming off a win at Houston yesterday, 2-1, after trailing most of the game. They lost the opener to the Astros 0-10. They will start Chris Bassitt for the second time this season. Bassitt is 0-1 after losing at Tampa Bay in his first start, 2-8. Bassitt went five innings and allowed six hits and five runs. Houston thought maybe their early struggles were over after a 0-4 start to the season. They beat Toronto 10-0 in game one of this series but then lost last night 1-2. Cristian Javier will get his second start tonight. He got a no decision in after his first start vs the Yankees. Javier went six inning and allowed four hits and no runs in that start. The Astros have scored 22 runs with 10 of those coming last night. They are -1 in run differential for the season. I'm taking the over here today as the Astros look to get back to winning. Play OVER.

The Indiana Pacers look to hold onto their slim lead in the East race as they sit 6th right now with a half game lead over Miami and two game lead over Philly. That 6th spot is important since it's the final guaranteed playoff spot without having to go to the play-in round. The Pacers still lead the NBA in scoring with a 122.9 ppg average. They also are one of the worse defense teams, allowing 120.4 ppg. The Pacers have won two straight games after beating Brooklyn in their last game, 133-111, as a 12.5-point favorite. They went over their last game and are 3-2 O/U in their last five games. The Pacers away games have averaged 242.5 points per game. They are also 18-19 O/U on the road this year. The Nets are falling further and further out of the postseason picture. They now trail 10th place Atlanta by 6.5-games after going 3-7 the last 10 games. The Nets have gone over in three of their last four games. They average 113 points at home this year with a 19-18 O/U mark. These teams just met and that game went over. I expect the same here tonight with another over game.

The Oakland A's are the lame duck of baseball. They will be waiting to move to Las Vegas. However, in the meantime they have to endure the wrath of the home town fans. In fact, those fans have been boycotting A's games as attendance is that of a minor league game at best. The A's have given up the 2nd most runs thus far in baseball at 38. Only the Padres have given up more. The A's are just 1-4 to start the season and coming off a 0-9 loss to Boston yesterday. Alex Wood makes his second start of the season. Wood opened the season with a loss to Cleveland, 0-8. He went just 3 1/3 innings and gave up seven hits and six runs. He will face the Red Sox who are 3-2 thus far and coming off that win over the A's yesterday. Brayan Bello will make his second start this year. Bello opened the season with a win over Seattle, 6-4. Bellow went five innings and allowed five hits and two runs. I look for a high scoring game here on Tuesday as the A's allow a lot of runs thus far. Take the OVER.

Big game here tonight in the NBA Eastern Conference as the Chicago Bulls host the Atlanta Hawks. These two teams are separated by just 1.5-games in the standings. The Bulls hold the 9th postseason spot while the Hawks have the 10th and final spot. Good news is that the 11 place Nets are a good 5.5-games back. The Hawks had their four game win streak snapped last game at home to the Bucks, 113-122. That concluded a 5-game home stand in which they went 4-1 S/U and ATS. Now they hit the road where they were 1-4 S/U and ATS in their last road swing. In fact, the Hawks are just 12-23 ATS on the road this season. The Chicago Bulls look to turnaround a recent slum that has seen the team go 2-4 S/U and ATS their last six games. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota, 109-101 as a 8.5-point dog. The Bulls are 17-20-1 ATS at home this season. The Hawks have been playing well of late, including a pair of wins over the best team in the NBA the Boston Celtics. Plus the Bulls have a pair of starters who will miss this game in Caruso and Dosunmu both have injuries. Add to that fact that the Bulls are not a deep team. They also are playing the 2nd of a back to back spot here tonight after beating Minnesota last night. That's difficult enough to do let alone missing key elements. Atlanta has a very good offense, ranked 8th in the NBA. That has turned into seven straight over plays for the Hawks. They are 39-33-1 O/U on the season with their games averaging 239.7 ppg. The Bulls have been a good over team of late, going 7 -3 O/U in their last 10 games. They are also 20-18 O/U at home this year. Tough spot to pick a side here, but I do like this game to go over the total with the Hawks setting the pack. Play OVER.

NIT Quarterfinals action here tonight has Georgia travelling to Columbus to face Ohio State. The Georgia Bulldogs improved to 19-16 on the season with a pair of wins in the NIT over Xavier, 78-76, and then their last game over Wake Forest, 72-66, as a 7-point dog. They have gone under in both their NIT games thus far. In fact, the dogs are 2-6 O/U in their last eight games and 1-5 O/U in their six tourney games this year. Ohio State is 22-13 after winning a pair of NIT games. They beat Cornell in their opening game, 88-83, and then Virginia Tech in their last game, 81-73, as a 6-point favorite. Both those games going over their posted total. This is a contrast of styles with the slower Georgia team taking on the faster Ohio State club. This total is pretty high tonight in the 150's and I like Georgia to control the pace. That means the UNDER with this matchup.

The Dallas Mavericks making a push for that final guaranteed playoff spot as they trail Sacramento for 6th place by just a half game. The Suns are tied with the Mavs for that final spot too. If they fall below 6th then it's the play-in round for the Mavs. The San Antonio Spurs have the worst record in the West at 15-53 and are eliminated from postseason play. The Spurs are coming off a win at home over Brooklyn, 122-115, as a 2.5-point dog. The game also went over the 218 total line. The Spurs are 16-14 O/U at home this year as they average 114.3 ppg and allow 119.5 ppg at home. Dallas is coming off a win at home over Denver, 107-105, as a 1-point dog. The Mavs winning that game on a last second shot by Kyrie Irving. They have won five of their last six games and covered all six. The Mavs have been a good over team on the road with a 19-12-1 O/U record. They average 118.1 ppg and allow 119.2 ppg on the road this season. Should be plenty of points scored in this one tonight. Play the OVER.

East vs West here on Monday in the NBA as the Portland Trailblazers travel to the Windy City to take on the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are 9th in the East, 2.5-games ahead of 10th place Atlanta and 7-games ahead of 11th place Brooklyn. They are also five games back of the last guaranteed playoff spot held by Indiana. The Portland Trailblazers are officially eliminated from the playoffs. They are 19-48. The Blazers have lost two straight games and six of their last eight. They went over in their last game at New Orleans with a 107-126 final. They have gone over in five of their last seven games. They average 107.7 ppg while allowing 115.9 ppg on the season. Chicago is coming off a win at home vs Washington, 127-98. They went over in that game and are 3-0 o/u their last three games. The Bulls average 112.1 ppg while allowing 113.6 ppg. They are 18-16 o/u at home this season. The Bulls will determine the total results here today. If they score a lot, like I expect, then this game will go over. Play the OVER.

 The Boston Celtics continue their West coast swing here tonight at Utah. The Celtics are cruising in the East conference with a 8.5 game lead over 2nd place Milwaukee. The Celtics had little difficulty last night in Portland, as they cruised to a 121-99 win over the Blazers as a 12-point favorite. That makes them 2-1 on this West Coast trip as they lost their opener at Denver, 109-115 then beat Phoenix, 117-107 and then their win last night. The Celtics are averaging 120.8 ppg and allowing 109.7 ppg. The Utah Jazz are 12th in the West, two spots out of the final postseason play-in spot. They are now 6-games back of the postseason and dropping fast as they are just 2-8 their last 10 games. They are coming off a loss at Denver, 121-142, as a 12.5-point dog. They have gone over in four straight games as they allow over 120 ppg on the season. The Jazz are also 17-13-1 O/U at home, mainly because they are scoring 123.2 ppg on their home court. I like this one to go over tonight as both teams should get plenty of points. Play OVER.

West vs East clash here today has the Dallas Mavericks heading to MoTown to take on the Detroit Pistons. Dallas is 8th right now in the West standings, meaning they have a postseason play-in spot right now. However, they are just two games back of 6th place Phoenix and that guaranteed playoff spot. With the Rockets now seven games back of the Mavs they only need to look forward at this point. Detroit hasn't been eliminated from the playoffs, but trailing 10th place Atlanta by 18.5-games means that today could be the day for that to happen. The Pistons are just 10-52 on the season and only Washington is worse with a 10-53 record. I'm looking at the OVER here today. The Mavs are 4-2 O/U their last six games. They average 118.7 ppg on the season and 116.9 ppg on the road. They are also a better over team on the road with a 17-11-1 O/U mark. Detroit has gone over in two straight games vs Miami and last game vs Brooklyn, 118-112. The Pistons give up a lot of points, 120.8 ppg overall and 119.2 ppg at home. I look for plenty of points out of both teams here tonight. Take the OVER.

The Brooklyn Nets are fighting for a postseason spot and right now they are out of the picture. They are 11th in the East, two games back of Atlanta for that final spot. The Nets have won three of their last four games. But tonight I'm looking at their totals. The Nets have gone under in six of their last seven games. They are also 26-34 O/U overall on the season and 10-17 O/U onthe road. The Memphis Grizzlies won't make the playoffs this year. They are 13th in the West, 10.5-games back of the final spot. They have also lost five straight games after dropping two in a row to Portland. They have gone under in four of their last six games. The Grizzlies are also 26-35 O/U on the season. The Grizzlies have scored 100 points or fewer in four of their last five games. With Ja Morant out for the season, this team struggles to find points. I don't play many games under the total, but I will here tonight with these two teams. Play UNDER.

After dropping out of the top scoring spot in the NBA, the Indiana Pacers are back on top with their 125.8 ppg average. They also have the 2nd best average pace at 102.8 and the 2nd best average speed. The problem is defense, the Pacers are the 3rd worst defensive team in the league at 124 ppg average. The Knicks are the third best rebounding team in the NBA at 46.1 rpg. The Knicks are a very good defensive team, ranked 2nd overall at 109.3 ppg allowed. The Pacers had their three game win streak snapped last game by Boston, but did cover the spread. The Pacers currently sit 6th in the East and that's important. If you finish at least sixth, you don't have to play in the NBA play-in tournament at the end of the season. The Knicks are arguably the hottest team in the NBA, having won eight straight games. They made a big trade for forward Anunoby by releasing both Barrett and Quickly. Many did not think this was a good trade, but it has worked out well for the Knicks. The Knicks have been battling injuries as Julius Randle is expected out for a while and Anunoby had to sit out last game vs Utah with an elbow injury but should play tonight. The Pacers won the first matchup between these teams at home by 14-points. This will be a contrast of styles as the fast paced Indiana team will take on the defensive oriented and slow paced Knicks. I've been high on the Knicks of late, but the injuries will be hard to overcome tonight against this high scoring Pacers team. Take the points with Indiana. As for the Total, since I like the Pacers I have to believe they will run and run in this game and being the highest scoring team pull the Knicks into their style. Take the OVER also here on Monday. 

The San Francisco 49ers will host the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Divisional playoffs. The 49ers got the bye last week after finishing the season 12-5 S/U and 9-8 ATS. Green Bay pulled off one of the biggest upsets last week when they went to Dallas and beat the Cowboys handily. They jumped out to a 27-0 lead on the Cowboys. The Offense finished the year 12th in scoring with a 22.5 ppg average. They were much better down the stretch, scoring 33 or more points in three of their last four games. They also went over in four of their last five games and have a 11-7 O/U record on the season. The 49ers were 12-5 S/U and 9-7 ATS with an over/under of 9-7-1. They averaged 28.9 ppg while allowing 17.5 ppg. The 49ers lost their final game, 20-21 to the Rams and went over in three of their last four games. They were 5-3 O/U at home this year. The Packers offense has been outstanding of late and the 49ers we know can score. I'll take the OVER today.

The Toronto Raptors playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back spot here tonight. They jumped out to a big lead early on Wednesday vs the Miami Heat and never looked back in their win, 121-97, as a 3-point dog. Toronto is now 16-25 S/U and 20-21 ATS on the season. Prior to last night's game, the Raptors have gone over in five of their last six and nine of their last 12 games. The Raptor average just over 112 ppg at home and just over 115 points overall. The Bulls had last night off after their loss at Cleveland on Tuesday, 91-109, as a 4.5-point dog. That was their first under in their last five games. The Bulls average 110 ppg and allow 112.4 ppg on the season. They are 6-13 S/u and 7-11-1 ATS on the road and have gone over in 11 of their 19 away games. I expect both teams to get plenty of points in this contest on Thursday. I'll be on the OVER.

The Philadelphia Eagles limp into the playoffs. After what looked like a sure thing for them to win the NFC East, they lost it to the Dallas Cowboys because of a 1-5 s/u stretch to finish the season. That culminating in a loss at the NY Giants, 10-27, as a 5-point favorite in the final game. They are also 0-6 ATS to finish the season. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of those last six games and over 30 in three of those games. QB Jalen Hurts comes into this game banged up with a injured finger on his throwing hand and his top target, AJ Brown is questionable with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes into this Wildcard game with momentum. They Bucs have won five of their last six and covered four of the last five. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. QB Baker Mayfield is also banged-up as he has a bad ankle. That's not good for an offense that ranked just 20th in scoring. They also finished last in rushing so Mayfield needs to be on his game today if they hope to win. Too many question marks on both these offenses today. I'm taking the under in this one.

The NFL Super Wildcard playoffs continue here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys welcome the Green Bay Packers to town. The Packers are the 7th seed in the NFC with a 9-8 record. The Cowboys finished with the #2 Seed in the NFC and won the NFC East. Jordan Love led the Packers with over 4,000 yards passing and 32 TD's. Love has lots of targets on the offense including a pair of tight ends. The Packers are young and inexperienced though with the youngest roster in the NFL. They are 12th ranked in the NFL in points scored and 9th in rushing offense. Aaron Jones return to the lineup has greatly improved the rushing attack. The Packers also have the top scoring offense in the third quarter of games this year. The defense will have its hands full on Sunday with the high flying Dallas offense. Dallas is 8-0 at home this year with a 21.5 point scoring differential. Dak Prescot leads the offense with over 4,500 passing yards and a league best 36 touchdowns. Ceedee Lamb set a Cowboys team record in receptions and yards. The Cowboys have the top ranked scoring offense in the NFL and at home average 37 points per game. Love should get his shots too and I expect this game to go OVER the total on Sunday.

 Miami had a chance to play at home in nice weather, but a loss to the Bills last week thrust them into this wild card slot and a trip to frigid Kansas City today. Preliminary weather has bitter cold at -10 degrees at kickoff and a potential wind chill around -30 degrees with winds 10-20 and gusting higher. Not a great door prize for Miami losing last week. That makes this game more about mental mindset then stats or physical. Chiefs HC Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 4-2 vs the spread in playoff games since 2021. They also have the experience of two Super Bowls. Miami comes in with inexperience in postseason and a 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year. The weather will be the great neutralizer to the Dolphins speed and will keep the score from getting out of hand. With blustery snow, high winds and that freezing wind chill this all lends toward a lower scoring game. I'm taking the under as both teams should have issues moving the ball and scoring with further impacts on the field goal lengths also. Play UNDER.

Last week of the NFL regular season begins here on Saturday. We have to be careful of which teams have nothing to play for and might sit players. This game today has Houston Texans playing at the Indianapolis Colts. While this is the last week of the regular season, this game on Saturday is like a playoff game. The winner is in, the loser is out. Houston lost to the Colts back in week 2 and looks to avenge that loss and propel themselves into the playoffs today. Rookie QB CJ Stroud has led the Texans to the brink of the playoffs. The Texans are fourth in passing and average 22.1 ppg this season. The defense, which gave up 31 points to the Colts in the first meeting, is ranked 13th in scoring with an average of 20.9 ppg allowed. The Texans main issue is passing defense where they rank 30th. Meanwhile, the Colts average 23.6 ppg which is good for 10th and at home they average 26.5 ppg. The Colts have scored at least 21 points in every home game. Like the Texans, the issue for this Colts team is on defense, where they are 27th in points allowed (24.5 ppg). At home that number goes up to 25.8 ppg allowed. This game looks to me to be a real shoot out. Both teams will pull out all the plays from the playbook for this one. I love the over here today. PLAY OVER.

 The Green Bay Packers just got by the Carolina Panthers last week, winning 33-30 on the road as a 3.5-point favorite. That makes five straight games the Packers have gone OVER the total. The Packers average 22.2 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. They also average 331.4 ypg and allow 352.9 ypg. However, over the last five their low score was 20 points and they had 27 or more in three games. The defense also hasn't been good. In addition to the 30 points the lowly Panthers sored, that is 64 points allowed over the last two weeks. The Vikings lost a tough back and forth game last week at home to Detroit, 24-30, as a 2.5-point dog. The game went over for the second straight week. The Vikings and Packers are now both tied for 2nd place in the NFC North at 7-8. They average 20.9 ppg and allow 19.9 ppg. Both teams have been over achieving lately on offense while their defenses have not played well. I expect plenty of points in this one today. Take the OVER.

PAC 12 Matchup here on Sunday has Washington taking on Utah. The Washington Huskies are 8-4 S/U 7-5 ATS and 6-6 Over/Under. They have averaged 81.8 ppg while allowing 74.3 ppg. On the road the Huskies are 1-1 both S/U and ATS and O/U. They are coming off a loss at Colorado, 69-73, as a 8.5-point dog and the game went under the 156.5 total. That is their second straight under and fourth in the last five games. Utah is 10-2 S/U and 8-4 ATS and averages 80.6 ppg while allowing just 67.6 ppg. At home those number are even better with a 83.6 ppg average and 62.4 ppg against for a +21.1 scoring margin. The Utes are just 2-5 O/U at home this year. The Utes are coming off a home win over Washington State, 80-58, as a 8-point favorite with the game going under. In fact, they have gone under in four straight games. I like the under today. Utah plays very good defense, better at home and this is a big total to get over. Take UNDER.

The LA Rams are 8-7 and tied for 2nd place in the NFC West. The Rams are the No6 Seed right now in the NFC. The Rams greatly improve their playoff chances with a win here today at the NY Giants. They have won five of their last six games to breath life back into their playoff hopes. The Rams average 23.8 ppg and allow 22.1 ppg. However, if you just look at their last five games, they have scored at least 28 points in every game. Their one loss that OT loss at Baltimore, 31-37. The Giants have nothing to play for as they sit 5-10 with the Rams today and the Eagles next week. The can play the role of spoiler though. They are coming off a loss at Philly last week, 25-33, covering the 14-point dog line. They have gone over inf three of their last five games. If the Rams continue their recent play then they should be able to score a lot of points here on Sunday. I'll take the OVER in this one.

The Guaranteed Rate Bowl from Phoenix AZ has Kansas taking on Mountain West runner up UNLV. Kansas finished the season 8-4 S/U and 7-5 ATS with a 6-6 ov/un mark. The Jayhawks were 4th in the Big 12. They averaged 33.6 ppg and allowed 25.7 ppg on the season. The finished with a big win over Cincinnati, 49-16, as a 7.5-point road favorite. The Hawks had 562 total yards in that win. Kansas might be licking their chops at the prospect of facing this UNLV defense. UNLV lost in the Mountain West Championship to Boise State, 20-44. The Rebels lost their last two games of the season, allowing 81 points. They have also gone over in four of their last five games. The Rebs had their best season since the Randal Cunningham days of the 1980's as they finished 9-4 overall and 10-3 vs the spread. The Rebels have a potent offense, averaging 34.3 ppg and 416.2 ypg. However, they give up a lot too, allowing 27 ppg and 403.9 ypg. This one looks to be a shootout as I doubt the Rebels can contain this high scoring Kansas offense. I'll take the OVER in this one.

New life has been breathed back into the Memphis Grizzlies since the return of their star guard Ja Morant. Morant miss all of the season until Dec 19 when he returned from his suspension to score 34 points and the game winning buzzer beater to beat New Orleans, 115-113. The Grizzlies are 3-0 both S/U and ATS since his return and have scored 115, 116 and last game 125 in their win over Atlanta. They play the Pelicans for the 2nd time in the last four games. The Pelicans are 17-13 S/U and ATS. New Orleans averages 115.7 ppg while allowing 113.3 ppg. I look for this game to go over here on Tuesday. The Grizzlies have been much higher scoring team with the return of Morant. Play the OVER.

 Late game of the three NFL games here on Christmas Day has the Baltimore Ravens taking on the San Francisco 49ers. Both teams come into this game 11-3 S/U while the Ravens are 9-5 ATS and the 49ers are 8-5-1 ATS. The Ravens are 2-games ahead of the Browns in the AFC North. They average 27.4 ppg and allow 16.1 ppg. They also average 374.1 ypg and allow just 287.9 ypg. After tonight's contest, the Ravens will return home to face the Dolphins and then finish up at home vs the Steelers. The Ravens have won four straight games and are 3-1 ATS. They are coming off a win at Jacksonville last week, 23-7, as a 4-point favorite. Meanwhile, the 49ers have won five straight games, going 3-2 vs the spread. They have been very good on offense, scoring at least 27 points in all five wins. They average 30.4 ppg overall and allow 16.7 ppg. The 49ers have the NFC West wrapped up as the Rams are a distant 2nd at 8-7. After today the 49ers will go to Washington to face the Commanders and then return home to face the Rams. Both these teams have excellent offenses that have been clicking of late. I'm going to take the OVER here on Christmas night.

The early game of our two game package here on Monday has the Milwaukee Bucks travelling to New York to take on the Knicks. The Bucks are the 2nd highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging 124.6 ppg. They are 22-7 S/U and 13-16 ATS on the season. They are also 19-10 over/under overall. The Bucks are just as prolific on the road as they average 122.8 ppg and have a 7-4 o/u record. The Bucks have won seven straight games and have gone over in five of those. They are coming off a win at the Knicks on Saturday, 130-111, but going under the 244.5 total. The Knicks are 16-12 S/U and 15-12-1 ATS on the season. They average 114.6 ppg and allow 112 ppg. While these teams met a few days ago, I'll take them over in this rematch. Play the OVER.

 The Cleveland Browns are 9-5 S/U and 9-5 ATS with a 7-6-1 o/u mark. The Browns are in 2nd in the AFC North, 2-games back of the Baltimore Ravens. With the Bengals losing on Saturday, that gives them a bit of breathing room. The Browns finish up next week at home vs the jets and then at Cincinnati. They average 22.1 ppg and allow 20.6 ppg. The Browns will rotate QB's with Joe Flacco and Dorian Thompson-Robinson. They are coming off a win over the Bears last week as a 2.5-point favorite, 20-17. That's two wins in a row since they lost two in a row. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The strange this is that at home they are 1-6 Over/Under, allowing 13.1 ppg and on the road they are 6-0 Over/Under and allow 30.7 ppg. The Houston Texans are 8-6 S/U and 7-7 ATS. They are tied for first in the AFC South with the Colts and Jaguars. After today they finish up with divisional games vs the Titans and then a big game at the Colts to finish up. The Texans average 21.9 ppg and allow 21.1 ppg. They are coming off a win at Tennessee, 19-16, as a 3-point favorite. The Texans are 5-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS at home this year. Their home games have averaged 45.3 points. The total here today is right at 40 and I look for both teams to score points. The Browns play bad road defense so I look for the OVER here today.

Early action on the college hardcourt here on Saturday has Butler taking on Providence. The Butler Bulldogs are 10-2 S/U and 7-4 ATS with a 5-5-1 O/U record. The dogs have won seven straight games since their loss to Florida Atlantic, 86-91. They are coming off a win over Georgetown, 74-64, as a 10.5-point favorite. The game also went under the 148.5 total. The Bulldogs score a lot, averaging 83.8 ppg, but they also play good defense as they allow just 69.6 ppg. The Providence Friars are also 10-2 S/U and 6-5-1 ATS. However, they are just 2-10 over/under as they allow just 63 ppg. That ties them for 21st in the nation in best defense. The Friars have won three straight and seven of their last eight. They are coming off a win over Marquette, 72-57, as a 4-point dog with the game going under. In fact, their last four games have gone under. This game being in Providence makes a big difference as the Friars allow just 60.8 ppg. They should control the tempo and keep this game low scoring. Play the UNDER.

The Jacksonville Dolphins travel to Purdue in this extra board game for Thursday The Dolphins are 8-4 S/U and 5-5 ATS on the season. They are also 8-2 O/U and average 76.8 ppg while giving up 73.4 ppg. The team is 2-4 S/U and ATS on the road with a 5-1 O/U mark. They average 67.3 ppg but give up 85 ppg away from home. The Dolphins coming off a home win over LA-Monroe, 75-65, covering the 6-point line and going over the 137.5 total. The Purdue Boilermakers off to a great start at 10-1 S/U and 8-2-1 ATS. They are also a very good over team with a 8-3 O/U mark. They average 86.2 ppg and allow 70.5 ppg. They do better at home, averaging 90.8 ppg while allowing 61.6 ppg. Both teams have been great over plays all season. I don't see that changing tonight as Purdue piles up the points at home. Play the OVER.

A pair of LA county teams matchup here tonight as UCLA welcomes cross town school Cal State Northridge tonight. Northridge Matadors have had some rough seasons heading into this year. However, they are off to a much better start at 7-3 S/U and 7-1 ATS. They are also 2-6 O/U on the season and allow just 69.3 ppg. They haven't played in over a week and that was a win over Utah Tech, 80-75, as a 2-point favorite. That snapped a string of six straight unders for the Matadors. The defense has been good, holding five of the last six opponents to under 40% shooting. UCLA off to a slow start this season at just 5-4 S/U and 3-5-1 ATS. They are also 1-8 O/U on the season. They have played very good defense, holding opponents to just 59.7 ppg overall and 54.3 ppg at home. The Bruins have lost two straight games to Villanova 56-65 and then last time out to Ohio State, 60-67, as a 2-point home dog. Both games going under. Tonight, I expect both teams to slow the tempo and as such I'm looking for this game to go under.

The Memphis Grizzlies playing their second of a back-to-back spot here tonight. Last night they went to Oklahoma City and lost their fifth straight game, 97-116, failing to cover the 10.5-point dog line. The Grizzlies were down by nearly 30 points at hone time. The Grizzlies have also failed to cover all five of their last five games. They average 105.6 ppg and allow 112.4 ppg on the season. The New Orleans Pelicans are 16-11 S/U and 16/11 ATS on the season. They average 116. ppg while allowing 113.8 ppg. The Pelicans have won four straight games and 3-1 ATS. They are coming off a win at San Antonio on Sunday, 146-110, as a 8-point favorite. They have scored over 140 points in two of their last three games, both of those on the road. The good news for the Grizzlies tonight is the return of guard Ja Morant. He's is by far their best player and has missed the season thus far due to a suspension. Morant will make his season debut tonight and give the offense a shot in the arm. That combined with the high scoring ways of the Pelicans of late will have me on the OVER here tonight.

The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be the key to this game going UNDER the total. Play UNDER.

 The Cure Bowl from Orlando Florida here on Saturday has Miami Ohio taking on Appalachian State. The Miami Ohio Redhawks are the MAC Champions and finished the regular season at 11-2, including five straight wins. App State Mountaineers joined the FBD in 2014 and will make their 7th bowl appearance. Miami will be without their top QB in Brett Gabbert who will miss the game with a leg injury. They will have to start Henry Hessen or Maddox Kopp today. Rushing though will be the main focus on this game as the weather is not expected to be good with lots of rain. That means Rashad Amos will be the key for Miami. Amos finished 5th in the MAC in rushing this year. The team's strength is the defense, which ranks 1st in the MAC and 26th in the country. They are also 7th in the nation in redzone defense. App State got beat bad in the Sun Belt Championship game by Troy, 23-49. Their defense is not nearly as good as Miami, ranking 73rd in the nation. The defense did improve late though. With weather likely to play a role in this one, I'm going to expect Miami's defense to play a big role here today. With a backup QB at Miami for this one I don't expect a lot of throwing. Take the UNDER.

Oklahoma City Thunder having a good season thus far at 15-7 S/U and 15-6-1 ATS on the season. They are also 12-9-1 Over/Under. The Thunder have won two straight games, scoring 138 and 134 points in those games. They have gone over in four of their last five games. The Thunder average 120.4 ppg and allow 112.8 ppg on the season. Sacramento is 13-9 S/U and 12-10 ATS on the season. The Kings are coming off a loss at the Clippers, 99-119, as 3.5-point dogs. They have gone over in six of their last eight games. The Kings average 116.3 ppg and allow 116.9 ppg. That goes up at home to 121.6 ppg and allow 120.1 ppg. I like the over here tonight.

The Murray State Racers are off to a slow start at just 3-5 S/U and 2-5 ATS. They are also 5-2 Over/under on the season. The Racers have lost two straight both S/U and ATS including last game at Austin Peay, 49-53, as a 2.5-point favorite. They had their worst shooting game of the season with just 37.3% from the field and 2nd worst from the 3-point arc with 28%. Theis team averages 73.5 ppg while allowing 70.9 ppg. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-2 S/U and 6-3 ATS with a 3-6 O/U mark. They average 75.4 ppg while allowing 62 ppg. They are coming off a win at home over Tulane, 106-76, as a 6.5-point favorite. They had their best offensive output of the season by hitting 58.6% from the field and a blistering 46.4% from the 3-point arc, both season highs. I expect the Dogs to have equal success here tonight against the Racers that allow quite a few points Take the OVER tonight.

One good thing going for the Jets here on Sunday will be rain and wind. With rains expected in this game and the winds gusting to 27 mph, throwing the ball will be tough for both teams. This Jets offense scores only 14.2 ppg as it is under ideal conditions. The Jets have lost and failed to cover in five straight games, including last game vs the Falcons, 8-13, as a 2-point dog. They have also gone under in six of their last seven games. The Houston Texans improved to 7-5 with their win over the Broncos last week, 22-17, as a 3-point favorite. They look to make a playoff drive as they trail first place Jacksonville by just one game now. After today's game they will have a road game at Tennessee before returning home to face Cleveland and Tennessee and finishing at the Colts. The Texans could win the division with this schedule they have left. As for today, I'm taking the under with the conditions being blustery and the Jets already having issues scoring. Play UNDER.

Taking a look at the Baltimore weather report sees a change of Thunderstorms and 62 degrees with winds around 7 mph. That being said, it could be a rough day for the Rams who have to make the long trek from the West Coast to the East Coast. The Rams have won three straight games to improve to 6-6 overall and 5-5-2 vs the spread. They are also 5-7 over/under on the season and average 22.3 ppg while allowing 21.1 ppg. Baltimore has won two straight and six of the last seven games. They are 9-3 S/U and 8-4 ATS with a 5-7 over/under mark. The Ravens have averaged 27 ppg while allowing just 15.6 ppg. They are coming off a win over the Chargers, 20-10 as 3-point favorites with the game going under. They held the Chargers to just 279 yards. I look for the Rams to find points tough in this contest. I'll stick to the UNDER today.

This time of year have to take a look at the weather reports in these Midwest and Eastern games. Today's game between the Colts and Bengals will be around 37 degrees with winds about 9-10 mph. The Colts have won four straight games both S/U and ATS as they have improved to 7-5 overall and 8-4 ATS. They also have been good on the road with a 4-1 S/U and ATS record. They have gone under in two of their last three road games. The Colts average 25 ppg and allow 24.7 ppg this season. They finish up the season with Pittsburgh, at Atlanta then home to finish vs the Raiders and Texans. They could easily run the board the rest of the way. The Bengals shocked everyone last week with their win at Jacksonville, 34-31, as a 10-point dog. Jake Browning stepped in for the injured Joe Burrows and promptly went 32-of-37 for one TD and no INT with 354 yards. The Bengals average 20.5 ppg while allowing 22.7 ppg. They have seen four of their six home games go under the total this year. I don't expect to see that big score they had last week. I'm looking for a lower scoring game this time out. Play the UNDER.

The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Under as both teams look to control the time of possession in this one. Play UNDER.

 After leaving the last game, Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence, is questionable for today's game at Cleveland. Lawrence was limited in Friday's practice. The Jags ended up losing that game at home last week to the Bengals, 31-34, as a 10-point favorite. If Lawrence can't go then C.J. Beathard will have to start after going 9-of-10 last week for 63 yards. To make matters worse for Beathard could be the weather. It's supposed to be in the 30's in Cleveland Sunday with a chance of rain and winds that are at least 13 MPH. The Browns also have QB issues. Deshaun Watson is out for the rest of the year. Dorian Thompson-Robinson missed last week with a concussion. Thompson-Robinson could play today or it will then be veteran Joe Flacco. Either way the windy condition could make throwing a bit more difficult. The weather combined with QB issues on both sides should keep this game lower scoring. I'm taking the UNDER here on Sunday.

One of the biggest rivalries in college football takes place in their annual event on Saturday as Navy takes on Army. This time they will be playing in Foxboro, MA instead of Philadelphia where they regularly play. Both teams come into this one at 5-6 on the season with Army riding a 3-game win streak over Air Force as a 18-point dog, Holy Cross and last game over Coastal Carolina, 28-21. The Black Knights average 20.8 ppg while allowing 22.0 ppg. They also average 317.5 ypg and allow 369.6 ypg. Both these teams still primarily running teams with Army averaging 210.2 rush yards and Navy at 201 rushing yards. The Navy Midshipmen are coming off a blowout loss at SMU, 14-59, as 19-point dogs. They had just 253 total yards in the game. Navy averages just 18.3 ppg and allows 22.9 ppg. Last year Navy won this game, 20-17. These games usually low scoring. Last year they had 37 points, but before that they had 30, 15, 38, 27, 27, 38, 38 and 27 since 2014. This is the first year at Foxboro. Mostly they play at Philly. Both teams are run first teams. For me, I'm going to stick with the UNDER here today.

Might be the worse game on national tv this year as the pathetic Patriots take on the struggling Steelers. The Steelers got shut out last week at home by the Chargers in a snoozefest, 0-6 game. That means over the last three games they have scored a total of 13 points. They average just 290.4 ypg on the season and have gone under in nine of their 12 games. The Steelers played an embarrassing game last week, losing at home to the Arizona Cardinals, 10-24, as a 6.5-point favorite. That makes three straight games with 16 or fewer points scored. They average 16 ppg this season and 294.9 ypg. They have gone under in 10 of their 12 games. The winner in this game might be the team that scores any points. I'll just take the UNDER.

The Orlando Magic are 14-6 S/U and 13-5-2 ATS on the season as they travel to Cleveland to take on the 11-9 S/U and 8-11-1 Cavaliers. Both teams have been right about 50/50 on their over/under games. The Magic look to rebound from their loss on Saturday to Brooklyn, 101-129. They have had three days off and should be well rested. They have also gone over in four straight and seven of their last eight games. They average 114.3 ppg and allow 110 ppg on the season. The Cavaliers are coming off a win on Saturday at Detroit, 110-101, pushing the spread and going UNDER. They average 110.8 ppg on the season and allow 111.2 ppg. Both teams well rested for tonight's game. I expect back and forth action in this one and lots of points. Take the OVER.

The Cincinnati Bengals and Jacksonville Jaguars close out week 13 of the NFL. The Bengals are 5-6 S/U and 4-6-1 ATS with a 5-6 O/U record. The Bengals are in last in the AFC North, with Pittsburgh and Cleveland ahead of them and all three trailing 9-3 Baltimore. The Bengals average just 19.3 ppg and 291.7 ypg. They allow 22 ppg and 389.0 ypg on the season. The Bengals look to snap a three-game losing streak here today. They are coming off a loss to Pittsburgh last week, 10-16, as 2-point dogs. QB Joe Burrow is out for the rest of the season with a wrist injury. Jake Browning will have to be the QB the rest of the way. Browning came in at Baltimore and went 8 of 14 for 68 yards and a TD. Last week he was 19 of 26 for 227 yards with one INT and one TD. The Jags are sitting pretty good in the AFC South as they are 8-3 and in first place. The Texans and Colts both improved to 7-6 after Sunday wins. The Jags are 5-6 o/u and average 23.1 ppg with 344 ypg. The Jags have won two straight after last week's win over the Texans, 24-21, as a 1-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With Burrow out, the Bengals can't get into a scoring match here today. I look for the Bengals to try and keep the Jags offense off the field as much as possible. I'll take the UNDER on Monday night.

Rematch of the NFC Championship game from last year has San Francisco 49ers making the trek East to play the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. they average 28.2 ppg and give up just 15.5 ppg. They also average 386.1 ypg while allowing 295.3 ypg. The 49ers have a 2.5 game lead in the NFC West over Seattle who lost at Dallas on Thursday. The 49ers have won three straight games, covering two of those. They have scored at least 27 points in those game while allowing no more than 14 points. The Eagles are 10-1 S/U and 7-2-2 ATS on the season. They are 1.5-games ahead of Dallas which won on Thursday. A loss today would setup a showdown with the Cowboys next week for the division lead. Don't think Philly will be looking much past this game since this is the Niners. The Eagles average 28.2 ppg and 364.3 ypg. They allow 22.4 ppg and 341 ypg on the season. The defense is not as dominant as it was last year, but still good. Their only loss coming back on Oct 15 at the NY Jets, 14-20. Since that loss they have won five straight games and gone 4-0-1 ATS. This is the marquee game on Sunday. Both these teams have excellent defenses and the Niners defense playing particularly well of late. I'm taking UNDER here on Sunday in this matchup.

The Carolina Panthers are 1-10 S/U and 1-8-2 ATS on the season. They are also 3-8 O/U on the year. They won their lone game back on Oct 29 vs Houston, 15-13 as a 3.5-point dog. Since then they have gone 0-4 S/U, 0-3-1 ATS and 0-4 O/U. They have scored 13, 13, 10 and 10 their last four games. The defense still plays well at time, allowing 26.5 ppg overall on the season. But the offense averages just 15.7 ppg and 265.9 yards. Hard to win any games with that kind of offense. Bryce Young has been a bust this year at QB and a point of contention between the owner and head coach. The Panther did make sweeping changes last week as it looks to hire a head coach who can help bring the overall No 1 pick from last year, Young, along. Right now they have interim HC Chris Tabor taking over for the rest of the season. The Tampa Bay Bucs haven't exactly been an offensive juggernaut this year either. The Bucs average just 19.3 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg. They also average 304.1 ypg and allow 363.7 ypg. Tampa Bay is 4-7 S/U and 7-4 ATS overall with a 3-8 O/U record. The Bucs have lost four of their last five games including last game at the Colts, 20-27 as a 2.5-point dog. I don't expect many points being scored in this game. Take the UNDER.

SEC Championship has undefeated and playoff bound 12-0 Georgia taking on 11-1 Alabama. Lots of teams at 11-1 so a win by Alabama could make a argument for them being included in the playoff picture. Georgia is coming off a lackluster performance against Georgia Tech, 31-23, not coming close to covering the 23-point line. The Bulldogs allowed Tech to rush for 205 yards. Georgia is also 4-7-1 vs the number this year and 6-6 over/under. Georgia averages 39.6 ppg while allowing just 15.7 ppg. They also average 496.6 ypg while allowing 294.5 ypg. Alabama is 11-1 S/U and 8-4 vs the spread. The Crimson Tide is coming off a win over Auburn, 27-24, but failed to cover the 13.5-point favorite line. That was the teams first non-cover in their last five games. Alabama averages 35.7 ppg and 409.3 ypg while allowing 17.9 ppg and 312.7 ypg. Both teams have potent offenses and stingy defenses. This one has all the markings of a shoot out here today. I'm taking the OVER.

The Chicago Bears are 3-8 S/U and 4-5-2 ATS on the season. They travel to play Minnesota tonight. The Vikings are 6-5 S/U and 7-3-1 ATS on the season. The Bears are in last place in the NFC North with a 3-8 record and -56 point differential. The good news is that they got back QB Justin Fields. The Bears average 20.9 ppg and allow 26.0 ppg. They also average 323.8 ypg and allow 325.5 ypg. The Bears are coming off a loss at Detroit, 26-31, but covered the eight point dog line. Minnesota has to play the rest of the season with QB Kirk Cousins, who went down with an injury. That gives QB Joshua Dobbs a chance to shine. The Vikings average 23.0 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. Minnesota coming off a loss last week at Denver, 20-21, covering the 2.5-point dog line. That loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the Vikings. The Vikings have been a good under team too, with six of their last eight games going under the total. I look at this being a lower scoring game tonight. Take the UNDER.

The marquee matchup on the schedule here today has the Buffalo Bills going to the city of Brotherly love to play the Philadelphia Eagles. Though I doubt there will be much love for the visiting Bills in this one. The Bills are 6-5 and 2nd in the AFC East behind the 8-3 Miami Dolphins. The Bills need to win games and not fall out of the Wild Card race. Dropping to 6-6 today could hurt their chances. The Bills average 26.7 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They also have a +104 point differential. The Bills snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jets, 32-6, as a 8.5-point favorite. They held the Jets offense to just 155 total yards in that win. The Philadelphia Eagles are 9-1 and in 1st place in the NFC East ahead of the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles average 27.3 ppg while allowing 21.2 ppg. The Eagles have won four straight since their first and only loss of the season to the Jets on Oct 15, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. Both teams have the offense and defense to win this game. I expect these teams to put up plenty of points here today. Take the OVER.

The best defense in the league is owned by the Cleveland Browns. The longest winning streak in the NFL is owned by the Denver Broncos. Something has to give today! The Browns allow just 18 ppg and 243.3 ypg this year. They are 2nd in the AFC North and a win coupled with a Ravens loss can put them into a tie in the division lead. The Browns have won three straight games and are coming off a win last week over the Steelers, 13-10. The Broncos started the season 1-5 and have since won four straight games after last weeks win over the Vikings, 21-20. The Broncos have also gone under in five straight games as their defense has played very well. The defense allows 26.8 ppg and 400.2 ypg, but those numbers have come way down during this winning streak. I'm taking the UNDER here today as both defenses have been excellent.

The top two teams in the AFC South meet here today as the 7-3 Jacksonville Jaguars meet the 6-4 Houston Texans. The Texans can get into a tie with the Jags with a win. The Jags are 7-3 ATS and average 23 ppg while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jags coming off a win last week over Tennessee, 34-14, as a 6.5-point favorite. The Jags are on a 6-1 S/U and ATS run the last seven games. Houston is 6-4 S/U and 5-5 vs the spread. The Texans average 23.8 ppg while allowing 20.8 ppg. They also average 377.2 ypg and allow 337.9 ypg. The Texans have won three straight games, including last week at home over Arizona, 21-16, though they failed to cover the 5.5-point line. Should be an excellent game here today. Hard to pick a side in this one. However, I do look for both teams to get plenty of points. I'll take the OVER.

This is the marquee game on the Saturday and maybe the biggest game of the 2023 schedule as No 2 Ohio State take on No 3 Michigan from Ann Arbor. The winner today wins the Big 10 East and goes to the title game. In addition guaranteeing their entry into the college football playoffs. The Ohio State offense could find trouble here today against this Michigan Defense. The Buckeyes put up just 13 first half points vs Minnesota. But its the defense that is their strength, allowing 252.9 ypg (3rd) and 144.4 passing yards (1st). They also allow just 9.3 ppg (2nd). Michigan struggled last week without HC Jim Harbaugh (suspension), just getting by Maryland, 31-24. The Wolverines led the country in yards allowed, 235.5 and points (9 ppg). This one today looks to be the best defenses against each other. Which one will break first? I'm taking the UNDER.

The Miami Dolphins are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS as they head to the Meadowlands to play the Jets here on Friday. The Dolphins are in 1st place in the AFC East, 1.5-games ahead of the Bills. They also have a +67 point differential and average 30.5 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. The offense averages 38.8 ppg at home but considerably less on the road with a 24.3 ppg average. They are coming off a home win over the Raiders, 20-13, failing to cover the 14-point line. They Dolphins have scored just 20 last game and 14 the week before. They have also gone under in three of their last four games. The Jets are 4-6 and 3-games back of the Dolphins in the division. The Jets average just 15 ppg on the season while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jets have been a great under play, with their last five going under. They have also lost and failed to cover in each of their last three games. The Jets defense is good enough to keep them in this game, especially the way the Dolphins offense has played the last few weeks. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in this one.

The early game here on Thanksgiving day has the Detroit Lions hosting the Green Bay Packers. This year, the Lions have their best start and team in a long, long time. The Lions are running away with the NFC North with a 8-2 record with Minnesota in 2nd at 6-5 and the Packers in third with a 4-6 mark. The Lions are also the highest scoring team in the division as they tally 272 points this season, a +43 point differential. They average 27.2 ppg and allow 22.9 ppg. They also average 399.6 ypg and allow 313.0 ypg. The Lions have won three straight since that drubbing they took in Baltimore, 6-38. They have beat Las Vegas, 26-14, the Chargers, 41-38 and last week over Chicago, 31-26, though they failed to cover vs the Bears. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The Lions average 30.0 ppg at home this season and are 3-2 O/Un. The Packers are coming off a win at home over the Chargers, 23-20, covering the 3-point dog spread and going UNDER. The offense isn't very good as they average just over 20ppg this season and allow about the same. They also average 319.6 ypg and allow 327.9 ypg. Seems like the Lions always put together a good performance on Thanksgiving. I'm going to take the over here on Thursday.

Tourney action here on Monday has West Virginia taking on SMU. The West Virginia Mountaineers are 2-1 both S/U and ATS this season. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 70-57, covering the 7.5-point line. They went under the total in that game. In fact, they are 0-2-1 O/U in their three games. While WV shot 51.1% from the field in their win over Jax State, that was by far their best shooting performance after a 31.3% and 34.9% in their previous two games. SMU is 3-1 S/U and 1-2 ATS in their four games. They had their 3-0 record broken last game out in a loss to Texas A&M, 66-79, as a 5.5-point dog. That game went over, but the previous two games went UNDER. The Mustangs shot only 35.4% vs A&M and 37.3% in their win over Lamar. They have also struggled from three-point, shooting 26.1% and 11.1% in two of their four games. I'm going to take this game under here this evening.

One of the better Matchups of the NFL season here tonight as the KC Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles are 8-1 S/U and 5-2-2 ATS on the season with five of nine going over. The Chiefs are 7-2 S/U, 6-3 ATS and 2-7 O/U on the season and coming off a win over Miami, 21-14 in Frankfurt. The Eagles coming off a win over the Cowboys, 28-23, despite being outgained by Dallas, 292-406. The Eagles average 28 ppg (3rd in the NFL) and 376.8 ypg (5th in the NFL). They allow 21.7 ppg and 323.3 ypg. The Chiefs defense has been excellent, which takes a lot of pressure off the offense. They only average 23.1 ppg (13th) and 368.7 yards (8th). But they allow just 15.9 ppg (2nd in the NFL) and 288.2 yards (4th). This is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl that the Chiefs won. Can they get the rematch here today? I look to their defense to keep Jalen Hurts under control and that's the key. They held the best scoring offense in the NFL (Miami) to just 14 points. They can do it again here tonight. I'll take the UNDER with two of the best defenses in the NFL. Play UNDER. 

The Vikings thought they might get start WR Justin Jefferson back for this game as he's been dealing with a hamstring issue that's had him out for some time. However, that's not the case, Jefferson has been ruled out for this game today. The Vikings lost Kirk Cousins at QB when he went down with a season ending injury. Josh Dobbs was acquired and will start for the Vikings again today. The Vikings are in the playoff race as they are 6-4 and in 2nd place in the NFC North, behind 7-2 Detroit. It will come down to one of these two teams to win the division as the Packers and Bears are both out of it with just three wins. The Vikings and Lions won't meet until Christmas eve, so still have a while before the showdown here. The Vikings average just 23.3 ppg and 358.1 ypg. They allow 20.9 ppg and 323.2 ypg. The Vikes have won and covered five straight and have gone under in five of their last seven games. The Broncos are like a cat with nine lives after pulling out the win last week in Buffalo, 24-22. They looked dead before a pass interference call moved them into field goal position. Then after missing the field goal to win it, the Bills were called for 12 men on the field and the Broncos got a second shot - which of course they didn't miss this time. That was their third win in a row with their last four games going UNDER the total. The weather won't be too bad in Denver, with around 50 degrees and a chance of showers. The winds will be light at 8mph. Still, I like these teams to go UNDER the total.

The Ny Jets fell to 4-5 after losing last week at Las Vegas Raiders, 12-16. The offense is pathetic, scoring 12 last week, six the week before that and 13 the week before that. They average just 16 ppg and 283.1 yards per game. The defense is very good but can only do so much. They allow 19.1 ppg and 307.8 ypg. Zack Wilson had to take over the team when Aaron Rodgers went down in game one of the season. They will face the inconsistent Bills here today. Somehow the Bills lost last week to the Broncos, 22-24, self imploding at the end. Between that pass interference and 12-men on the field during the Broncos first winning FG attempt, well conspiracy theorists had a field day with that ending. It was the Bills 2nd loss in a row and third in their last four games. The offense has been sputtering as they haven't scored more than 25 points in any of their last six game with five of those games going Under. The defense is still decent, allowing just 18.4 ppg and 330.5 yards per game. As for today, both defenses should keep this game close. Just depends on which offense doesn't keep making mistakes and give this one way. I'll take the under.

 Bad news for the Cleveland Browns as QB Deshaun Watson is done for the year after needing shoulder surgery. The Browns were coming off a huge win over the Baltimore Ravens as they came from behind to get the AFC North victory, 33-31, as a 5.5-point dog. That win brought the Browns to 6-3, just one game back of the Ravens in the division. The Browns also had won two straight and four of their last five both S/U and ATS. Now the QB job goes back to P.J. Walker with rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson as the backup. This could be the end of the season for the Browns as they likely will regret not getting a better backup QB. This could open the door even more for the Steelers who are tied with the Browns at 6-3. Pittsburgh coming off a win last week over Green Bay, 23-19, as a 3-point favorite. That makes four wins in their last five games both S/U and ATS for the Steelers. Now with Watson gone have to believe that the Browns will have a much more difficult time putting points on the board. I'll take this game UNDER here on Sunday. 

Kyle Murray returned from his ACL injury that sidelined him last year. It wasn't sure how he would do last week. The results? Pretty good. He rushed well, one for a TD. His passing was good too. The Cardinals won that game against Atlanta, 25-23, covering the 2-point dog line. They also went over. So going forward we will not look at the previous stats. Now that Murray is back he brings a whole new dynamic to this offense. The Houston Texans are 5-4 S/U and ATS. They average 24.1 ppg and 372.6 yards. They are allowing 21.3 ppg and 340.0 yards. They are coming off a win at Cincinnati last week, 30-27. It was their second in a row and third in the last four games. They have also gone over in two straight. I'm taking the over here today. I feel both teams will get plenty of points now that Murray is back at the helm.

The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills conclude week 10 of the NFL tonight here on Monday Night Football. The Broncos horrible start to the season has seen a turnaround the last two weeks with a pair of wins and covers in a row. Denver beat Green Bay three weeks ago, 19-17, then two weeks ago beat Kansas City, 24-9 as a 7-point dog. Holding the KC Chiefs offense to 275 totals yards. Denver had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. Denver scores 21.5 ppg while allowing 28.2 ppg. The latter coming way down the last few weeks. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have struggled, going 2-3 S/U and 0-5 ATS over the last five games. They are coming off a loss at Cincinnati last week, 18-24. The Bills average 26.7 ppg and allow 17.8 ppg. The Bills have gone under in six of their nine games this year, including four of their last five games. The Broncos have gone under in three straight games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight.

The San Francisco 49ers look to snap out of a three game losing streak here today at Jacksonville. The once undefeated Niners are now 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS. They have dropped games at Cleveland, at Minnesota and last week at home to the Bengals, 17-31. They now find themselves tied for 1st in the NFC West with Seattle. They still have a very good +78 point differential. They allow just 17.5 ppg and 315 yards. The Jaguars lead the AFC South by two games over the Houston Texans. The Jags have won and covered five straight games. They are also 2-3 O/U during that stretch. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.5 ppg and 342.8 ypg. The offense has been decent but not great with 24.1 ppg. Both teams are led by their defenses first and I look for those units to shine here on Sunday. I'll be on the UNDER in this game.

The Houston Texans are 4-4 S/U and ATS on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC South, two games back of the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Texans coming off a win over Tampa Bay, 39-37, but just failed to cover the 2.5-point favorite line. They are just 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS on the road this season. The Texans average 23.4 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg and have a plus-22 point differential. They will take on the Cincinnati Bengals today. The Bengals are 5-3 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS. The Bengals have won four straight both S/U and ATS after last week's win vs Buffalo, 24-18, as a 1.5-point favorite. They have beat the Bills, 49ers and Seahawks the last three weeks. The Bengals held the Bills to 249 total yards and the 49ers to 347 yards, both below their 363.6 season average. After a slow start to the season the Bengals appear to be playing their best football of the season. The Bengals have scored 55 points the last two weeks against some of the elite defenses in the NFL. They should have little issue putting up points on this Houston team today. Take the OVER.

 Big 10 powerhouses meet here on Saturday as Penn State welcomes Michigan. Michigan will put its perfect 9-0 record and playoff hopes on this matchup today against 8-1 Penn State. Michigan easily beat Penn State last year, 41-17 in Ann Arbor. Michigan will be without HC Jim Harbaugh who has been suspended for this game. Michigan has dominated this season, scoring 40.7 ppg while their staunch defense has allowed just 6.7 points and 231.4 yards per game. The Wolverines coming off a win over Purdue last week, 41-13, but failing to cover the 31-point line. This will be their first big test against this Penn State that has an equally impressive defense that allows just 11.9 ppg and 234.9 yards. Penn State coming off that win last week at Maryland, 51-15, as a 7.5-point favorite. Both these teams are impressive on defense and neither likely to break here today. I won't pick a side in this one, but I will be on the UNDER.

The Bears look to be without their starting QB in Justin Fields who is expected to miss another game with a thumb injury. That means Tyson Bagent is likely to start for the Bears. This contest starts week 10 as the 1-7 Panthers take on the 2-7 Bears. Not exactly a game likely to garner a lot of attention. Expect for us betting enthusiasts. This game holds some cash for us here tonight. I'm going to be on the UNDER. Tha Panthers offense has been anemic, averaging just 17.5 ppg and 283.4 yards. They are coming off a loss to the Colts, 13-27, going under the 45 point total. The Bears have been without Fields the last two weeks and the offense has just 13 points vs the Chargers and last week lost at New Orleans, 17-24, but did cover the 9-point dog line. This team will continue to rely on the ground game, as they average 135.3 yards per game and had 156 last week at the Saints. The defense has been better then expected, holding the last six teams to under 100 yards rushing. While this won't be the most exciting game, I'll be on the under as I don't expect to see a lot of scoring. Play UNDER.

 The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. The way the Bengals have finally been playing offensively and I will look to play the OVER here on Sunday evening. Play OVER.

The Arizona Cardinals hoped to welcome back QB Kyler Murray who has been practicing with the team. But, he's still out for this week. That leaves the starting duties to Clayton Tune. Tune will be thrown to the dogpound of Cleveland here today and they will be chomping at the bit to get to the young QB. Arizona already scores just 18.9 ppg on the season with 318.6 ypg. I expect those number to be even less on Sunday against this Browns defense. Arizona is just 1-7 S/U and 4-4 vs the spread this year. They did break a four game spread losing streak last week vs the Ravens. They lost at home to Baltimore, 24-31, as a 9.5-point dog. That was more points then they had the prior two weeks combined (19). The Cleveland Browns defense allows just 19.9 ppg and 260 ypg on the season. They are 4-3 and tied with the Bengals for last in the AFC North. However, they trail Pittsburgh by just one game and first place Baltimore by two games. They are coming off a loss last week at Seattle, 20-24, covering the 4.5-point line. I look for the Browns to give the Cardinals all kinds of problems on offense. I'm taking the UNDER here today.

SEC Action has two of the best matching up here this evening as Alabama hosts LSU. Alabama is tied with Ole Miss in the SEC WEst at 7-1 with LSU on their heels at 6-2. One glaring stats stands out and that is LSU is a perfect 8-0 over the total this year. That is a big part due to the 47.4 ppg that the LSU Tigers average. The defense hasn't been what it was in the past, allowing 26.5 ppg and 396.5 ypg. But their 553.1 ypg is whooping amount. Alabama is 4-2-2 over/under the total. They are coming off a win over Tennessee, 34-20, going over the 47.5 point total. The Tide average 30.6 ppg and 366 ypg. The defense is better then LSU, allowing 16.5 ppg. There should be plenty of points scored in this one. I'm taking the OVER.

The Cleveland Browns are 4-2 on the season and tied for 2nd in the AFC North with Pittsburgh, both trailing 1st place 5-2 Baltimore. The Browns have a +19 point differential this season. The Browns came off that huge win over San Francisco two weeks ago, 19-17, with a win at Indianapolis last week, 39-38. The Browns average 22.3 ppg while allowing 19.2 ppg. They also gain 319.2 ypg while allowing just 243 ypg. They face a 4-2 Seattle team that is back in the hunt for 1st place in the NFC West after the 49ers have dropped their last two games. Seattle has a +26 point differential. They are coming off a win last week vs the Cardinals, 20-10. They have also gone under in three straight games as the defense has been very good. They have been allowing just 19.7 ppg and scoring 24 ppg. Cleveland also a better under team this year with a 2-3-1 O/U record. I look for another lower scoring game here on Sunday. Take the UNDER. 

The Atlanta Falcons find themselves alone in 1st place atop the NFC South with a 4-3 record. The South is one of the weakest divisions in football with the other three teams all below the .500 mark. The Falcons also have a -18 point differential. They will face the AFC South last place Tennessee Titans who are 2-4 on the season. The Titans have lost two straight games including last time out vs Baltimore, 16-24, as a 5.5-point dog. The Titans average just 17.3 ppg while allowing 19.5 ppg. They average 283.5 ypg and allow 339.0 ypg. Both teams don't score well as the Falcons average 16.4 ppg and allow 19.0 ppg. The Falcons are also 1-6 Over/under while the Titans are 1-5 over/under. Two offenses that don't generate a lot meet here on Sunday. I'll be on the UNDER in this one.

Game one of the World Series. Both teams had to win game seven on the road. The Rangers won all four games in Houston while the Diamondbacks won games six and seven in Philly. Zac Gallen gets the nod here in game one for Arizona. Gallen is 19-11 overall on the season with a 3.64 ERA. Gallen is 2-2 in the playoffs, winning his first two game and then losing both games against Philly Ace Zack Wheeler in the NLDS. He allowed 13 runs over his four playoff starts (22 23/ innings), striking out 13 and walking nine. Nathan Eovaldi will start for the Rangers with his 16-5 overall record and 3.44 ERA. Eovaldi is 4-0 in the playoffs, going 26 innings and allowing seven total runs. He also has just four walks with 28 KO's. I like Eovaldi a lot here in game one. We have to fade a price in the -1.60 range, but what choice do we have at this point. Play the Rangers .I look for Gallen to struggle here tonight against this Texas lineup. Should be plenty of runs on the Texas side here. Play the Rangers and the OVER.

The Bills have struggled of late, losing in England to the Jaguars, 20-25, struggling against the Giants in a low scoring win, 14-9, and then losing last week at New England, 25-29. They have failed to cover the spread in three straight and have gone under in two of the last three games. QB Josh Allen has six TD passes the last three games but also has three INT's. The Bills had just 339 total yards last week, 81 on the ground. The defense is still good, but not as good as last year. Tampa Bay is 3-3 S/U and ATS and has gone under in five of their six games. They average just 17.2 ppg while allowing 17.3 ppg. They are coming off a loss at home to Atlanta, 13-16. That makes just 19 total points scored the last two weeks. Could be even worse this week as QB Baker Mayfield landed on the injury report. Mayfield is questionable with a knee injury. Not sure the Bucs will get many points if Mayfield doesn't play. Even if he does, how mobile can he be against this Bills defense. I'll take the UNDER on Thursday.

 The 49ers look to rebound from that loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. The Niners led most of the way and then missed the game winning field goal late in the loss 17-19 as a 9.5-point favorite. For me I believe the Niners will rebound tonight. However, I have to side with the UNDER in this one as SF will be missing key offensive players. Their star running back Christian McCaffrey is questionable with a oblique injury. They could also miss some key offensive linemen. As for the Vikings, they will be without star WR Justin Jefferson who has a hamstring injury. And when we add that SF has one of the best defenses in the league. They allow just 14.5 ppg and 278 yards per game. For me, I'm just taking the UNDER in this one.

The LV Raiders knew when they got QB Jimmy Garappolo that his health was always a question. He's already been hurt twice this year and missed time. The first time with a concussion and last week he had to be taken to the hospital with a bank injury. Jimmy G is going to miss this game as we await which QB the Raiders will start. The Raiders are 3-3 on the season with a -31 point differential as they sit in 2nd in the AFC West. The Bears can sympathize with Vegas though as they also will be without their starting QB in Justin Fields. Fields has a hand injury and will miss today's contest. Tyson Bagent will start this one for the Bears. Vegas has been a good under team this year with five of their six going under. Opposite for the Bears as five of their six have gone over. Vegas can win its third straight with a win here on Sunday. They average just 16.7 ppg while allowing 21.8 ppg. The Bears coming off a loss last week to the Vikings, 13-19, as a 3-point dog. That was also their first under of the season. The Bears average 21.3 ppg and allow 29.3 ppg. Neither team will look to throw a lot in this game. Expect a lot of rushing and ball control. I'll take the under in what should be a snoozer.

Could the Bill Belichick era be coming to an end in New England? This is the worst start he's had and it won't get any easier here on Sunday as the Bills come into Foxboro. The Patriots are 1-5 on the season and have yet to win a home game in three chances. They have a -80 point differential, worst in the AFC. The Pats offense has scored 20 points or more just one time this season and that caem in their opening week loss to the Eagles, 20-25. Since then they have hit 17 points twice and held to three points vs the Cowboys and no points by the Saints. Last week they lost at Las Vegas, 17-21, as a 3-point dog. Their last five games have gone under the total. The Bills offense was jet lagged last week after returning from London, England the week before. The offense managed just 14 points in their win over the Giants, 14-9. That made two straight under plays and three of their last four going under. The weather will be fair with a chance of showers and winds around 13 mph. I don't expect the Pats to get much here and their defense will be on the field a lot in this game. I'll take the UNDER.

The NY Giants come into this one dead last in the NFC East with a 1-5 record. The Giants have the worst point differential in the NFC by far with a -96. The Giants have lost four straight games including last week at Buffalo, 9-14, though they covered the 15.5-point dog line. That was the first cover of the season for the Giants. They are also 1-5 O/U with their last four games going Under the total. Washington is 3-3 S/U and has a -43 point differential. The Commanders snapped a three-game losing streak with a win last week at Atlanta, 24-16, as a 1.5-point dog. They are 3-3 O/under on the season. The Commanders average 22.2 ppg while allowing 29.3 ppg. Neither team's offense will set anyone on fire, that's for sure. I'll take the UNDER here today.

Marquee matchup of the day has a pair of 6-0 teams facing off as Penn State travels to Columbus to face Ohio State. The loser could be on the outside looking in on the CFB Playoff picture. Penn State is 6-0 S/U and ATS while they are also 4-2 Over/under. Ohio State is 6-0 S/U, 3-2-1 ATS and 1-5 Over/Under. Both of these teams are ranked in the nation's top 10 and along with Michigan are all vying for the Big 10 East title. The Nittany Lions defense is outstanding, ranking 1st in total yards allowed, first in passing defense and points allowed. They also average 4.5 sacks per game. Penn State has scored at least 30 points in every game this year while allowing 13 or fewer in every game. Ohio State's defense has allowed just 9.7 ppg while the offense has averaged 36 ppg. They also allow just 263 yards per game. I usually favor the defenses when both units are great as they are today. Neither team allows much and I look for that to continue here today. Play the UNDER.

Interconference battle as the NFC Philadelphia Eagles take on the AFC NY Jets. The Eagles bring a top 10 total defense into today's contest. The Jets were great last year on defense but have slipped to 22nd this year. The Jets do have the 14th ranked pass defense while the Eagles are 25th. The Eagles shine on the rush defense, ranked tops in the NFL allowing just 61.2 ypg on the season. The Eagles put their 5-0 record on the line here today at the Jets. They are coming off a win at the LA Rams, 23-14, with the game going under. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers in the first quarter of the first game of the season. Zach Wilson has been ok, but nothing great. He has four TD's and five INT's. He has also thrown for over 200 yards just one time. With the Eagles top ranked rush defense, that will put a lot of pressure on Wilson on Sunday. The weather won't be as bad here at the Meadowlands as it will be in other parts of the East, but still may play some factor. The winds will be from 12 mph and gusting above that on Sunday. I don't see Wilson doing much and they surely won't run much against this Eagles defense. I'll be on the UNDER today.

NFC West clash here on Sunday has the Arizona Cardinals playing at the LA Rams. Both teams finding the going rough thus far with the Cardinals at 1-4 S/U and 3-2 ATS. The Rams are 2-3 S/U and 2-1-2 ATS. The Cardinals are 3-1-1 over/under while the Rams are 2-3 O/Un. Arizona coming off a loss last week at home to Cincinnati, 20-34 with the game going over. The previous week they gave up 35 points to the 49ers in another over. The defense has allowed 27.2 ppg and given up 375.6 ypg. They have average 21.6 ppg with 329 ypg. The Rams had a tough game vs the Eagles last week at home in a loss, 14-23. The Rams have averaged 22.4 ppg while giving up 21.6 ppg on the season. The Rams finally get a team they should be able to score against after some tough outings. The Cardinals seem to be able to put up points even without QB Kyler Murray who has missed all the games this year with an ACL injury. I'm taking the over here on Sunday.

This is a matchup of the haves and have nots. The Miami Dolphins have it all right now with a 4-1 record both S/U and ATS. The Carolina Panthers have nothing as in wins with a 0-5 S/U and 0-4-1 ATS record. The Panthers are 2-3 O/U while the Dolphins are 3-2 O/U. The Panthers offense is in trouble. The coach hates the QB while the owner wanted this QB. The QB in question is Bryce Young. Young has five TD's on the season and four INT's. He has yet to throw for more than 247 yards. With the team averaging just 18.2 ppg this year, even the Panthers will find scoring tough here on Sunday against a Miami team that has given up some points. One thing that catches my eye is that Miami has to play at Philadelphia next week. Difficult to get up for this Panthers team with a huge matchup on tap next weekend. I'll take the UNDER here as I look for Miami to be a bit distracted. Play UNDER.

Interconference game here on Sunday has the undefeated San Francisco 49ers taking on the Cleveland Browns. The Browns will be without starting QB Deshaun Watson who is nursing an injured shoulder. PJ Walker looks to get the start here on Sunday. The Browns offense managed just three points at home last week in their loss to the Ravens, 3-28. That makes three of four games going under this year. The defense is very good too, holding two of their four opponents to just a field goal. The 49ers look to be the team to beat this year with a perfect 5-0 record and 4-0-1 spread record. The defense has held opponents to just 13.6 ppg and 266.8 ypg. Once again, weather looks to play a part in this outcome. While the showers look to be light, the winds will be blowing 16 mph or gusting more than that for this one. The 49ers defense is tough enough without the wind helping them out. Can also say the same for the Browns with their excellent defense. Add to that Watson being out and the browns are going to find moving the ball through the air next to impossible. I'll take the UNDER here on Sunday.

The Vikings head to Soldier field for a NFC North battle with the Chicago Bears. Both these teams are 1-4 S/U and 1-3-1 ATS. The Vikings are 1-3-1 Over/under while the Bears have gone over in all five games. The Vikings coming off a loss at home to the Chiefs, 20-27 with the game going under the 52.5 point total. The Bears hadn't scored more than 20 points in any of their first three games. However, they have since scored 28 vs the Broncos and 40 vs the Commanders. The defense has been pretty bad with their best effort last week in their win at Washington, 40-20. Weather looks to play a part in this game with scattered rain showers. But more important to the total are the winds, which will be 20 MPH or more. Wind effects totals more than any other element in my experience and today's weather combined with these two teams has me playing the UNDER.

AFC West clash here on Thursday night football has the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are 4-1 and comfortably in 1st place in the division while Denver is in last place at 1-4. The Chiefs have a +48 point differential while Denver is at -60 points. The Chiefs could be without one of their stars on Thursday, as TE Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury. I'm going to be on the under in this game and mainly because the weather looks to be bad. There's chance of showers, but more important are the 21 mph winds. Winds, in my opinion, influence totals more than anything. And if Kelce doesn't play, then that will even make this a stronger play. Either way, I'll be on the UNDER on Thursday night.

 The Green Bay Packers visit Las Vegas to finish up Week 5 NFL action against the Raiders. The Packers are 2-2 on the season and have +4 point differential with 100 points scored and 96 points allowed. The Raiders are 1-3 and have a -39 point differential with just 62 points scored and 101 points allowed. The Packers look to rebound from their home loss to the Detroit Lions last week, 20-34. The loss was also their first spread loss as they are now 3-1 vs the number and 3-1 Over/Under on the season. The Packers average 25 ppg while allowing 24 ppg. They also average 280.8 ypg while allowing 352.5 ypg. The Raiders are 1-3 S/U, 1-2-1 vs the number and 1-3 Over/Under. Vegas is coming off a loss at the LA Chargers, 17-24, pushing the 7-point dog line. Good news is that they get back QB Jimmy Garoppolo who missed last week's game with a concussion. Garoppolo has six INT's and five TD's on the season. Neither teams defense all that good. I'll take the over in this one.

Great news today for the Colts as RB Jonathan Taylor will be returning to the team. The team and Taylor agreed to a three-year contract. The Colts activated Taylor off the PUP list Saturday leaving only Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara as RB that will make more money. Taylor can see action here today vs the Titans. The Colts are in a four way tie in the AFC South as all the teams are 2-2 on the season. The Colts have scored 97 points and allowed 99 points this year. The Titans, also in the division have scored 72 points and allowed 70 points this year. The Titans are coming off a win vs the Bengals last week, 27-3. The Colts lost the Rams last week, 23-29 and have gone over in three of their four games. The return of Taylor should give this entire team a shot in the arm and with that I'm looking for a higher scoring game. Play the OVER.

Interconference matchup here has the AFC East 1-3 New England Patriots taking on the NFC South 2-2 New Orleans Saints. The Saints come into this game with a -14 point differential, scoring 62 points and allowing 76. QB Derek Carr has been upgraded to probable for this game with a shoulder injury. The Patriots also have a negative point differential of -42, scoring 55 points and allowing 97 on the season. Despite their new QB, the Saints have averaged just 15.5 points per game while allowing 19 ppg. They average 285.3 ypg an allow 304.3 ypg. Carr has averaged 190.8 ypg with just two TD's and two INT's in his four games. Last week in their loss to Tampa Bay, 9-26, Carr had just 127 yard with no TD's. In fact, Carr hasn't thrown a TD since week two at Carolina. The Patriots aren't much better on offense, coming off a loss last week at Dallas, 3-38. They have score 20 points or more just one time in four games and that came in a week one loss to Philly, 20-25. Two offenses that are not good with defenses that are above average. I'll take the UNDER.

 AFC North clash here on Sunday has the division leading 3-1 Baltimore Ravens visiting the 2nd place 2-2 Pittsburgh Steelers. The Ravens have a +41 point differential with 99 points scored and 58 points allowed. The Steelers are not so lucky as they are in the red with a minus-38 point differential with just 62 points scored and 100 points allowed. The Ravens are 1-3 over/under this season. They have allowed just 14.5 points per game while scoring 24.7 ppg. They are coming off a easy win at Cleveland last week, 28-3, going under the 38.5 point total. The teams only over came in week two at Cincinnati in a win over the Bengals, 27-24. The Steelers have had issue scoring this season with just a 15.5 points per game average. They lost last week at Houston, 6-30, going under the 41.5 point total. Their only over came in week two vs the Browns in a win, 26-22. Steelers QB Kenny Pickett was upgraded to probable for this game with a knee injury. Have to wonder how mobile he will be in this one if he does play. With the anemic Steelers offense I'll take the UNDER here today.

The Arizona Diamondbacks swept the Milwaukee Brewers in the Wild Card round of the NL playoffs. Now it's on to LA to face the Dodgers in a best of five Divisional series. Arizona beat Milwaukee 6-3 in game one and 5-2 in games two, going under one game and pushing the total in the other game. Merrill Kelly will make his first postseason appearance here on Saturday. Kelly was 12-8 in the regular season with a 3.39 ERA. He struggled a bit down the stretch, going 2-3 in his last seven starts with a 4.35 ERA. The Dodgers got to 100 wins on the final day of the regular season with a win over the Giants, 5-2. It wasn't sure who would start game one of the Dodgers, but they are going with veteran lefty Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw was 13-5 on the season with a 2.46 ERA. He was 3-1 in his last seven starts with a 2.30 ERA. In fact, Kershaw allowed just two runs over his last three starts (14 1/3 innings). Kershaw looks in fine form and Kelly is one of the D'backs best. I'll take the UNDER here in game one.

 Big SEC clash here on Saturday has Georgia hosting Kentucky from Sanford Stadium. Both teams coming into this one undefeated. Kentucky coming off a big win over Florida last week, beating the Gators by 19-points, 3-14 and easily covering the 1-point spread. That made them 5-0 S/U and 4-1 ATS. The issue though for Kentucky will be the offensive line where just three regulars are left. They are also hurting at running back as they are down to just two backs. Kentucky will rely on their excellent defense, ranked 18th in the country in total yards and top 10 vs the run. Georgia comes in 5-0 but has yet to cover a spread at 0-4-1 ATS. They have also seen three of their five games go under. Georgia also hit by injuries as four players will be out and five questionable. This one again looks to be on the lower scoring side as both teams nurse injuries and both teams rely on very good defenses. I'll take the UNDER here on Saturday.