Ohio Bobcats.

MAC TITLE GAME WINNER.

Game 310.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

My friends it doesn’t have to be the SEC, the Big Ten, or even the Big 12 Championship game for you to make money in it. The 7-5 Toledo Rockets face the 9-3 Ohio Bobcats at Ford Field in Detroit for the Conference Championship. This is the 18th straight season that the title game for the MAC is being played on this field. You may not realize it, but Ohio is one of the hottest teams in college football. They began the campaign 2-3. But since the beginning of October, they have run off seven consecutive victories straight up. Oh, and by the way they’ve also covered eight straight. On the other hand, Toledo comes in here struggling. They have dropped their last two straight up. And have failed to cover five consecutive contests. Now sports fans, the line is off here. And I’ll tell you why it’s off. For most of the campaign Kurtis Roarke was at the helm for Ohio. He passed for over 3,200 yards with 25 TDs. He is out in this matchup. Now if he was playing, you would see the Bobcats closer to a touchdown favorite. But let’s pump the brakes on that guys. His back up CJ Harris doesn’t have a lot of experience. But is a solid quarterback. He threw for 196 yards and a touchdown in the air and ran for 65 yards and three more touchdowns on the ground in the victory over Bowling Green. My friends this team has an explosive passing attack and the lesser experienced quarterback has a lot of luxuries at his disposal. He’s got four receivers all with 500 or more yards receiving. And he has one of the best running backs in the conference in Sieh Bangura, who has over 884 yards rushing and 11 TDs on the ground and another 200 yards receiving and two touchdowns coming out of the backfield. This team is loaded with playmakers. So don’t worry about their quarterback situation. Defensively, they’re pretty damn good as well. I mean they’ve held their last six opponents an average of just 18.0 PPG. And that’s pretty darn good in the MAC folks. Toledo is 0-5 ATS the last five games played on a neutral site, 0-5 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS the last five versus conference opponents, and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played in December. Take the points with Ohio and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

VEGAS INSIDER MOVE GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 140.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

You know guys, when Kansas began the campaign at 5-0, both straight up and against the spread, people were out there talking that this was a Cinderella team and they were making headlines. But I’m here to tell you that the carriage has turned into a pumpkin and their 15 minutes of fame is over. Following their fast start, the Jayhawks have since gone just 1-5 straight up and just 2-4 against the spread. Now, I get it, this is a big rivalry. But, Kansas, let’s face it, they’ve done the bare minimum to become a bowl eligible. Now that’s a pat on the back for a head coach, Lance Leipold. But guys, they don’t need to even try here. Kansas State head coach, Chris Klieman has gone out of his way, taking a lot of pride beating up… nay in crushing their rival since he’s taken charge of the team, winning and covering the last three meetings by 28, 41, and 25-points. A win here gives the Wildcats what they want most, a rematch with the Horned Frogs in next weeks Big 12 Title game. Having a backup like Will Howard has done well for this team. The quarterback has thrown 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions filling in for injured starter, Adrian Martinez. Not only will the Wildcats dissect the Jayhawks 109th pass defense in the air. They will also decimate them on the ground with the 17th ranked rushing attack in the nation on the legs of Deuce Vaughn. The running back averages over 5.2 yards per carry. And has already accumulated over 1,148 rushing yards. He’s also pretty dangerous coming out of the backfield as a receiver, folks. On the flipside of the ball, KU will have a hell of a time trying to move the chains, let alone get in the end zone against the 15th ranked scoring defense of KSU. The Wildcats only allow a mere 18.7-points per game. And they have held some very good defenses in check once again this season. They have momentum, winning and covering their last two, and are riding an 8-3-1 ATS streak the last 12 overall. FYI guys, the Jayhawks are just 3-10 ATS the last 13 meetings in this rivalry. Take the Wildcats to crush here and take your bookmakers money. Thank you.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Game 199.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Yes, I am well aware of the fact that the Trojans are looking for a big victory here to keep their CFP hopes alive. And I’m not looking to take anything away from USC. They certainly deserve their 10-1 record and their ranking of sixth in the polls. But they certainly got a little lucky this season. And to be honest, the odds makers tend to overvalue this team. Case in point, they are 4-4 against the spread over the last eight games. Outside of their contest against Colorado a few weeks ago, the USC defense has gotten steamrolled for 43, 37, 35, and 45-points just since mid-October. Their defense is tired and overworked. And when facing well-balanced offenses, they can be exploited. Let’s not sell Notre Dame so short, sports fans. After starting the season 0-2, the Fighting Irish have now rattled off eight wins over the last nine outings. This is a team that has run scores up (outside of their sole loss) on every single opponent since mid-September. They have a pounding running attack, which will take its toll on the USC overmatched defense. This will also allow Notre Dame to open up their passing game. Please remember this is a team that has put up over 31-points per game this season. The Trojans will be without several key defenders, including a fee in their secondary. When USC has the ball, they are without their leading rusher in Travis Dye, who was injured a few weeks ago. This is the matchup they will sorely miss their top ball-carrier. When they go to the air, which they have had a lot of success with this season, they must face the 16th ranked pass defense of Notre Dame. Irish head coach, Marcus Freeman has a very well-balanced team. Offensively, defensively, and on special teams, this team is very talented. They will also come into this game, agitated that they lost a few games in the beginning of the campaign and looking for a little redemption. Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS the last seven on grass, 4-1 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record, 11-3 ATS the last 14 following a straight up win, 13-3 ATS the last 16 on the road versus teams with winning home record, 19-7-1 ATS the last 28 overall on the road, and 13-6 ATS the last 19 overall. Take the Fighting Irish to keep this game very close. Thank you.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers.

SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 175.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Due to their transition to the FBS level, James Madison is ineligible to participate in the Conference Championship game. In my opinion it wouldn’t matter. No matter what, making the Dukes a 14-point favorite over the 9-1 Chanticleers is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. This astounds me. Coastal Carolina won this conference in 2020, was one-game off the lead last season, and enters this match up with a one-game lead in the Sun Belt East, and is getting two touchdowns. As I said, this astounds me. They enter this matchup coming off a bye week because their game with Virginia was canceled. They are well-rested, healed, and very prepared for this match up with James Madison. Now maybe the line is way off because their starting quarterback, Grayson McCall is out. But the talented Jared Guest is expected to get the start. And if he falls into trouble, five year QB, Bryce Carpenter is ready to take his place. This team is strong enough and well-balanced enough to handle they’re starting quarterback sidelined here. Listen guys, the Dukes aren’t playing for anything. Just maybe some pride. But is pride enough to make this team a two touchdown favorite? I mean they’ve lost three of the last five straight up, failing to cover four of their last five. And to be honest with you, the games they lost weren’t even close. Their defense has been throttled in four of those last five, all ATS losses, allowing 45, 26, 34, and 40-points. This team is tired, overworked, and frustrated that they can’t play in the Championship game. The Chanticleers are 20-9 ATS the last 29 on the road. The Dukes are 1-10 ATS the last 11 versus teams with a winning record. Take Coastal Carolina. Thank you.

Iowa Hawkeyes.

Consensus winner.

Game 132.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

Yes, it’s true Iowa has struggled offensively. But when you’ve held your last four opponents to less than 11-points per game, you don’t have to score too many points. Oh, by the way during their current four-game win and cover streak, they have outscored their foes by 20, 21, 14, and three-points. A victory here puts the Hawkeyes in a position to play either the Wolverines or the Buckeyes in the Conference Title game. What better adversary to face to notch that well-needed win than the Cornhuskers. Nebraska is riding a five-game losing streak. Their offense is nonexistent and their defense is getting steamrolled. Their statistics offensively are some of the worst in the nation. And when you face one of the top defenses in college football, things are going to go from bad to worse. Granted, Iowa does not have an explosive offense. But their defense is so strong and gets opponents offenses off the field so quickly, that come the second half their “O” can exploit overworked and fatigued “D’s”. They have taken seven consecutive meetings and this series straight up. They need this victory. They will not let their foot off the gas. And they will crush another conference opponents here. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Ohio Bobcats.

MAC Game of the Week.

Game 102.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

This contest will decide the conference’s East champion and reserve the winner a place in the conference championship next Saturday. Ohio is one of the hottest teams in the nation, winning six outings in a row straight up. And for our purposes, covering seven straight as well. They have had their way in this series against Bowling Green, taking five straight meetings prior to last years devastating 21-10 upset in which the Falcons took down the Bobcats as a 17-point underdog. Revenge will play a big factor in this match up, guys. Both teams have explosive quarterbacks. However, the passing attack of Ohio is quite a bit more powerful. They also have a decent rushing attack while Bowling Green possesses a very low threat on the ground. Defensively, I expect the Bobcats stop-unit, which has tightened up quite a bit over the last few months, to frustrate the Falcons offense. Ohio is 21-8 ATS the last 29 versus teams with a winning record, 13-3 ATS the last 16 versus conference opponents, 6-2 ATS the last eight In November, and 4-1 ATS the last five at home. Take Ohio. Thank you.

Ball State Cardinals.

MAC Money Maker.

Game 103.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Guys, both teams are playing for their sixth victory and bowl eligibility here. Now Ball State comes off two losses. That’s no secret. But their two losses were very competitive contests against the two best in the MAC, Toledo and Ohio. Miami Ohio has a question mark on their quarterback tonight. But to be quite honest their passing game isn’t all that thrilling to begin with. They rank 122nd in the nation in passing. They’re also don’t possess the greatest rushing attack either. This is a team that averages just 20.5-points per game. They don’t score a lot of points, folks. They are pretty good defensively. But they will have a lot of problems facing the 1-2 punch of Ball State quarterback, John Paddock and MAC leading-rusher, Carson Steele. This is a very good offense, a very well-balanced offense. And it will be that rushing attack that will keep the Redhawks defense on the field and tire them out, especially as the game progresses. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS the last five versus teams with a losing record. The Redhawks are 2-8 ATS the last 10 following an ATS win. Take the points is Ball State here. Thank you.

Oklahoma State Cowboys.

OM Play.

Game 403.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

On my two different sets of power ratings, I have Oklahoma -3 on one and Oklahoma State -1.5 on the other. Either way the odds makers are giving the Sooners way too much credit in this game and once again is overvaluing them. I mean let’s be honest, this is a team that’s only covered once since mid-September and they are an overall 3-7 against the spread this season. Brett Venables defense has a bigger hole in it than the one left by that iceberg in the Titanic. They are allowing just shy of 30-points per game, ranking among the worst in the nation against the rush, and are almost just as bad against the pass. This does not bode well as they are facing one of the most explosive and well-balanced offenses in the conference. Oklahoma State accounts for 34.9-points per game. And you can expect quarterback Spencer Sanders (check status) to most likely play here. Last week he did not start. But did come in and lead the Cowboys to a victory. Oklahoma State needs this win as they are in a deadlock for third place in the Big 12 with Baylor and Texas at 4-3 in conference play. They’re sitting just behind Kansas State, which is at 5-2. If he plays, I do expect the 20th ranked aerial assault of the Cowboys to absolutely dissect the very weak Sooners pass defense. Either way whether it is Sanders or one of his able backups, the receiving corps is stacked with talent and will light up the scoreboard here. Understand that this is one of the oldest and most heated rivalries in college football. OSU is going to want their best at the helm. And either way the Oklahoma defense is so poor it has resulted in the Sooners offense being overworked. The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS the last 12 on the road, 13-4-1 ATS the last18 versus conference opponents, and 5-0 ATS the last five on grass. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

BEST BET.

Game 327.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

With a victory this week sports fans, Tennessee can secure a 10-win season for the first time in over 15 years. But more importantly guys, the fifth-ranked Volunteers are right outside the College Football Playoff bubble. The Bulldogs, Buckeyes, Wolverines, and Horned Frogs are all ranked in front of them. And are all undefeated. As we all know anything could happen at the end of the college football regular season and this year more than ever teams need to impress the pollsters by running up scores and keeping the foot on the gas. If last weeks 66-24 thumping of Missouri will be any sign of what Tennessee is going to do this week to South Carolina, laying this type of wood isn’t going to be a problem. Last October, the Volunteers took down the Gamecocks 45-20 to give them their third consecutive win and their fourth consecutive cover in this rivalry. I’ve got to tell you guys; UT is much better on both side of the ball this season than a season ago. They are ranked number one in the country in scoring, averaging over 47.4-points per game as they are equally strong on the ground as well as in the air. Granted, South Carolina is pretty good against the pass, but they rank 113th nationally against the run. And this is where UT will do most of their damage and eventually open up their passing game. Let’s face it, we all know the Gamecocks are handicapped offensively (LOL). Not only do they only score 28.6-points per game, but they also commit a lot of turnovers. This doesn’t bode well when you’re dealing with a very nasty Vols “D”. There is no way South Carolina is going to be able to move the chains here, let alone get into the endzone. I look for Tennessee to really put their stamp on the season, let the posters know that their loss against Georgia was just that… a loss against the top team in the country. And I look for them to keep their name in the College Football Playoff picture. The Volunteers are 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 at the Gamecocks, 4-1 ATS the last five versus conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. This is a team that’s already covered lines of 37, 47.5, 38.5, and 18.5 this 

Iowa Hawkeyes.

CONSENSUS MOVE.

Game 367.

1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.

My friends, Iowa has a chance, nay an excellent chance to face either Ohio State or Michigan for the Big 10 championship in a few weeks. I’m going to save you the roadmap of how this can happen. But take my word for it, it can happen. Outside of contests against the Wolverines and the Buckeyes, this team has held every single opponent this season to 13-points or less. They rank 10th in the nation stopping the pass. Now Minnesota has no passing game whatsoever. The Golden Gophers solely rely upon the run. And the Hawkeyes possess the nations seventh ranked run defense. While Minnesota’s defense ranks in the top-five as well, they have been exploited several times this season. And when they face aggressive defenses, they tend to fold like a cheap suit offensively. Case in point, they put up 10 against Purdue, 14 against Illinois, and 17 against Penn State. All of which were both straight up and against the spread losses. Granted, the Iowa offense leaves a lot to be desired. But their defense gets opponents offenses off the field so quickly, eventually their offense can wear defenses down from overwork and fatigue. They’ve held their last three opponents to a total of 16-points. They have dominated this rivalry, winning nine of the last 10 straight up and eight of the last 10 against the spread. I look for this team to not just win big here this week, but also get a win next week against Nebraska, and eventually face either Michigan or Ohio State in the conference title game. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

Kansas State Wildcats.

NO LIMIT.

Game 321.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

For several years West Virginia had Kansas State’s number. However, a season ago the worm had turned as the Wildcats downed the Mountaineers 34-17. Well, this season K State is a much stronger team and WV is absolutely horrible. The Wildcats own an explosive offensive unit accounting for over 30.6-points per game behind the nation’s 15th ranked rushing attack. They will own the time of possession, control the clock and the tempo, and dominate one of the worst defenses in the conference, let alone in college football. That’s right, the West Virginia stop-unit (if you can call it that) ranks 116th, yielding over 32.8-points per game. They are equally bad against the rush as they are against the pass. Because their defense is so poor, their offense is starting to look tired. Three of their last four outings, they have put up just 10, 14, and 23-points. In the Big 12 that’s pretty bad. The Wildcats possess one of the most ferocious defenses in the nation, yielding a mere 17.5-points per game. On both sides of the ball, Kansas State severely outclasses West Virginia guys. With a victory here and one next week against Kansas, K State would ensure themselves a chance at TCU in the conference title game. The favorite has covered four the last five meetings. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS the last six versus teams with a winning record, 5-2 ATS the last seven on field turf, 11-5 ATS the last 16 in November, and 7-3-1 ATS the last 11 overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you.

Ohio Bobcats.

MAC GOW.

Game 303.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

For Ohio, which stands at 5-1 in Mac East action this season, to ensure themselves a shot at Toledo in Detroit on December 3, they must win. This team is playing red-hot. They have won five in a row and six of their last seven straight up. And are riding a six-game against the spread cover streak. They have had their way with Ball State, winning and covering the last three meetings. With a victory this evening along with Toledo taking down Bowling Green tonight as well, they will be facing the Rockets at Ford field for the conference title. This team is ranked second in scoring and in scoring defense in MAC play this season. The Cardinals are last than scoring in MAC contests. While the Bobcats will dissect the Cardinals in the air, that won’t be the case for the Ball State offense. Their quarterback, Paddock makes a lot of mistakes, as he has tossed 16 touchdowns against 11 interceptions. They have a monster running back in Steele. But being they are one-dimensional; I see the Ohio defense keying on the BSU running attack. This is a short number and I believe they will not just win, but they will win with authority to ensure themselves a shot at the conference title. They are 6-0 ATS the last six games played against conference opponents. Meanwhile the Cardinals are 1-5 ATS the last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Ohio. Thank you.

TCU Horned Frogs.

OM.

Game 199.

4:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST.

With just two more games remaining after this week contests, the undefeated 9-0 TCU Horn Frogs must keep their foot on the gas here. They have a two-game lead in the Big 12 over Baylor, Texas, and Kansas State. Next week they have the Bears. But this week they have the Longhorns. You know sports fans everyone is waiting for a shoe to drop with TCU. Not going to happen. They have played excellent football all season long. Not only do they have a perfect record straight up, they are 7-1-1 against the spread and just 3.5-points away from being a perfect 9-0 against the number this season. They face a Texas team winning four of their last five straight up. And returning home after playing the last two games on the road. The odds makers are truly overvaluing The Longhorns here. First of all, the Horned Frogs have covered six of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. Winning six of the last eight meetings straight up as well. Just looking at the last two matchups, they were decided by a combined seven-points. These two teams play each other very tough. Both offenses have monster rushing attacks, led by powerful ball-carriers. Both are also pretty darn good at stopping the rush. But the big difference in this matchup is going to be two things; first the mismatch between the Horned Frogs passing unit and the Longhorns pass defense. And secondly, turnovers. There is no questioning that TCU quarterback Max Duggan (2,407 yards passing, 66% completion rate, 24 TDs, two INTs) is far and away a better quarterback than Texas play-caller, Quinn Ewers (1,336 yards passing, 57.8% completion rate, 13 TDs, five INTs). Duggan is not only an outstanding leader and gunslinger; he doesn’t make any mistakes. Ewers does. I certainly see the Horned Frogs passing attack having much more success than the Longhorns here. Especially due to the fact that the Texas pass defense ranks 105th. The other item I mentioned earlier was turnovers. TCU does not turn the ball over. However, their stop-unit does create a lot of turnovers. Not only do the Horned Frogs need to keep their foot on the gas to ensure themselves a conference title, but they need to win this game to stay undefeated and stay in the top-four for a College Football Playoff spot. Texas is 4-9ATS the last 13 games played against conference opponents. Take the touchdown plus with TCU. Thank you.

Illinois Fighting Illini.

BIG TEN GOM.

Game 174.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Brett Bielema has reared the Illinois defense into a true force. They rank first nationally in yards allowed, takeaways, and points allowed, second in passing yards allowed, and fourth in rushing yards allowed. This is a unit that yields just 10.4-points per game, yielding a mere 235.2 yards per game. They’ve already snagged 16 takeaways. They have held every single opponent this season to 23-points or less, holding five offenses to single-digits. In this conference that is just astounding. This doesn’t bode too well for Purdue. They score enough points, for sure. However, they rank 98th in rushing. This tells you they solely rely on the pass. And once again the Fighting Illini pass defense ranks second nationally, yielding just 152.6 yards per game. The Boilermakers have won five of the last six meetings in this series straight up. But have failed to cover the last three. I’m here to tell you folks that these are two very different squads this season than in previous seasons. Believe me the worm has turned. Illinois running back Chase Brown leads the nation with 1,344 yards rushing. He eats up a ton of clock, keeping defenses honest and eventually wearing them down. More importantly, because the Fighting Illini dominate the time of possession, they keep their own defense fresh and rested. This team sits in first place in the Big Ten West at 4-2 in conference play. They need victories folks. Iowa, Wisconsin, Purdue, and Minnesota are all sitting just behind them at 3-3. Let’s not forget the Boilermakers have dropped their last two straight up and their last three against the number. Illinois comes in here a bit angry losing their last outing to the Michigan State 23-15 as a 16.5-point favorite. Look for them to bounce back here as they are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 games played versus teams a winning record, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played overall. Take the Fighting Illini. Thank you.

Buffalo Bulls.

Touchdown.

Game 109.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

The Buffalo Bulls are a very good football team. They are currently tied for second place in the MAC East division with the Bowling Green Falcons at 4-1. Overall, they are 5-4 on the campaign. They need another one to become bowl-eligible. And today they will get that win. Buffalo was on a five-game win streak both straight up and against the spread prior to a November 1 loss at Ohio. The Bobcats are currently the top team in the division, riding a five-game win streak themselves. I expect the Bulls to come in here, bounce back, and redeem themselves, earning a bowl bid. They play a Central Michigan Chippewas squad which is due for a letdown this week following a 35-22 outright win and cover at the Northern Illinois Huskies a week ago. That came following a 1-4 straight up run and an 0-4 ATS slide. I expect the Chippewas to come back down to Earth here. Both offensively and defensively, Buffalo outclasses Central Michigan. I also look for their, defense which has grabbed nine takeaways already the season, to create some turnovers against the 131st ranked CMU turnover offense. That’s right, Central Michigan has committed 16 turnovers this season. The Bulls have won and covered each of the last two meetings in this series by 10 and 23-points. They are also are 4-1-1 ATS the last six road games, 4-1 ATS the last five conference games, and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven overall games. The Chippewas are 0-3-1 ATS the last four home games, 1-4 ATS the last five conference games, and 1-4 ATS the last five overall games. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Hawaii.

LATE BAIL OUT.

Game 375.

7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST.

Guys, I’m not saying Hawaii is going to win this game. I’m not even saying they’re a very good team. But what I am saying is that they cover ball games. This is a team that is on the 5-1 ATS run. And mind you they have played some very good teams and covered against them; Michigan, San Diego State, Nevada, Colorado State, and Wyoming. Some of the big-name teams they have covered against during their exceptional ATS hot streak. I also don’t understand why in the world Fresno State is laying this type of wood. They happen to be point spread poison, covering just two games since November of last year. That is right my friends, they are on a 2-7 ATS slide. I understand the Rainbow Warriors have a very porous defense. They are absolutely horrible at stopping the rush. And they give up a lot of points. However, the Bulldogs can’t run the ball at all, as their only strength offensively, is in the air. Well, Hawaii counters with the 38th ranked pass defense in the nation. When they have the ball, granted their offense leaves a lot to be desired. But so does the Fresno State defense. I just don’t see the Bulldogs covering about four touchdowns here. The road team has covered 12 of the last 17 meetings, while the underdog has covered seven of the last nine matchups. The Rainbow Warriors are 6-0 ATS the last six conference games, 5-0 ATS the last five games following a straight up loss, 4–1 ATS the last five road games, and 6-0 ATS the last six games on field turf. Take Hawaii. Thank you.

Kansas State.

Consensus.

Game 358.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

On paper, Texas and Kansas State look to be evenly matched. But college football isn’t played on paper. It’s played on the gridiron. And I’m here to tell you that although the Longhorns have dominated this series over recent years, this is a much better and far superior Wildcats team. Texas does have a solid running back in Bijan Robinson. But Kansas State has one of the most well-balanced defenses in the conference. They allow just 17.3 points per game. And come in to this match up with an enormous amount of confidence coming off the 48-0 drubbing of Oklahoma State last week. By the way if you are keeping tabs, the Cowboys defeated the Longhorns just a few weeks ago. K State has their own star running back in Deuce Vaughn. He is a monster ball-carrier that has the luxury of having a better supporting cast. The Wildcats starting quarterback has yet to be named. However, in my opinion whether it is Adrian Martinez or Will Howard, it won’t make too much of a difference. Both are savvy, experienced QBs. And both are much more talented and consistent than their counterpart, Quinn Ewers. The Longhorns are 3-9 ATS the last 12 conference games, 1-5 ATS to list six road games, 1-6 ATS the last seven meetings in Kansas State, and 4-10-1 ATS the last 15 overall meetings with Kansas State. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Baylor.

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 359.

12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST.

There is no doubt in my mind that the odds makers are looking to trap you in this game. Oklahoma is point spread poison, covering only twice since the beginning of September. On both sides of the ball, they are overmatched, outgunned, and outclassed in this contest. Baylor enters this game possessing one of the most well-balanced scoring offenses in the nation. They are equally good on the ground as they are in the air, accounting for over 38.4 points per game. As you may or may not know, the Sooners possess one of the worst defenses, not just in the conference, but in the nation. They are allowing just short of 30 points per game and rank 114th in total yards allowed and 113th in rushing yards allowed. Oh, by the way they also rank 90th in passing yards allowed. This doesn’t bode well against the explosive Bears offense. Defensively, Baylor can counter the Oklahoma rushing attack with one of the stingiest and nastiest run defenses in the land. They have also covered the last four meetings in the series. And took the last years matchup 27-14. Once again, the Sooners are overvalued. If you go back to the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma, the Bears have covered nine of the those 11. And this is the best Baylor team we’ve seen in years. Take Baylor. Thank you.

North Carolina.

ACC GOM.

Game 323.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Here’s an ACC matchup between the only undefeated team in the Coastal Division and one of the most disappointing teams in the entire conference this season. Yes, folks were talking North Carolina/Virginia. On one hand you’ve got a Tar Heels team at 7-1 straight up this season, covering five of their last seven. On the other hand, you’ve got a Virginia team that has dropped four of their last five straight up. And are a mere 3-6 ATS going back to last November. You know, the writing was on the wall a season ago with this team. It really was. I know they got an outright win at Georgia Tech a few weeks ago. And went to the wire with Miami last week. But Virginia is just horrible. Their offensive numbers of some of the worst in the nation. As a matter fact, they rank 123rd in scoring, averaging a dismal 16.9 points per game. I understand the North Carolina defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, their offense is so strong, so explosive, and so well-balanced, they keep defenses on the field and opponents’ offenses off of it. Let’s face it, they rank seventh in the country in scoring, averaging nearly 42 points per game. They are top-10 in total yardage, passing yardage, and they have a monster ground attack as well. By the way, they also don’t turn the ball over too much either. That’s certainly been a problem for the Cavaliers offense, as they have coughed up the ball 10 times. Because of the poor play of Brennan Armstrong, there’s some rumors that he’s playing with an injured ankle. Reports is still that he’s going to play anyway this week guys. I really don’t think it matters who is at the helm as this team is just as bad in the air as they are on the ground. The Tar Heels have a couple of key defenders that will miss this game, FYI. But once again as I said earlier, their offense is so strong and so well-balanced, they will control the clock and light up the scoreboard here. There is no way Virginia can keep pace with them offensively. If you recall, a season ago when Brennan Armstrong was having his breakout campaign, the Tar Heels still bested the Cavaliers 59-39. This game will get ugly folks believe me. Virginia is just 1-5 ATS the last six played at Scott stadium. Take North Carolina and take your bookmaker’s money. Thank you.

North Carolina.

Consensus.

Game 154.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

My friends, I think we can all agree Kedon Slovis is no Kenny Pickett. The Panthers passing unit has fallen from grace, ranking 83rd in the nation. Now I will tell you the Tar Heels give up some points. But I just don’t see the Pitt lackluster offense, competing with the stellar North Carolina “O“. UNC ranks ninth in passing, 44th in rushing, and ninth in points scored, accounting for over 41.7 points per game. They have a well-balanced offense that will keep the Pitt defense on the field and their offense off it. Throw into the mix the Panthers are point spread poison, covering just two of their last eight outings going back to December of last season. And if we’re going to talk turkey, their defense has allowed Rhode Island to put up 24, Georgia Tech to put up 26, Virginia Tech to put up 29, and Louisville to put up 24 in consecutive outings. I don’t see any of those offenses as explosive as North Carolina’s. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you.

Oklahoma State.

NO LIMIT.

Game 179.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Guys, whether Martinez plays or not for Kansas State, I still don’t see the lackluster Wildcats offense going score-for-score with the explosive Cowboys “O“. Let’s face it, no matter who is at quarterback for the Kansas State, it won’t matter. The Oklahoma State offense ranks fourth nationally in scoring, accounting for over 44.7 points per game. Spencer Sanders will light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed over 2,030 yards passing with 15 touchdowns in the air. Let’s not forget he is a dual-threat, adding another 352 yards rushing and eight scores on the ground. This is a very well-balanced unit that can and will keep the K State defense on the field. This is a team that has also taken the last three meetings in this series straight up with the average margin of victory coming by nearly 9-points per game. They are 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 conference games, 18-7-1 ATS the last 26 road games, and 33-16-2 ATS the last 51 overall games. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you.

Iowa State.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 160.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Sports fans, the wrong team is favored here. Each week I do two sets of power ratings. And my power ratings have the Cyclones favored by -3 and by -6. I’m well aware of the fact that Iowa State has lost four in a row straight up. But in each of those outings they have played very tight, losing those four games by combined 14-points. Let’s not forget Oklahoma is just 1-3 straight up their last four contests, failing to cover all four of those games. To say their defense has sprung a leak, is an understatement. When they brought Brent Venables in as a head coach, they thought he was a defensive genius. Maybe he wasn’t such a genius as it was the fact that when he was at Clemson as the defensive coordinator, he was in a very good system with a lot of talent around him. More than halfway through this regular season, the Sooners are just 4-3 straight up, and a dismal 2-5 against the spread. Their defense, or I should say lack of defense, has gotten plowed for over 31-points per game, ranking among the worst in the nation in yards allowed, rushing yards allowed, and points scored. And let’s be honest, ranking 86th in passing yards allowed ain’t nothing to write home about either. I know the Iowa State offense leaves a lot to be desired. But every opponent Oklahoma has faced for over a month now has lit them up. They live and die by their offense, trying to outscore opponents. However, the Cyclones defense ranks among the best in the country in total yards allowed, passing yards allowed, rushing yards allowed, and most importantly, in points allowed, ranking seventh nationally and yielding just 15.1 points per game. Oklahoma is 0-5 ATS the last five games played on grass. Iowa State is 20-6-2 ATS the last 28 games played in the month of October. Take to Cyclones. Thank you.

Take Central Florida.

Contrarian play.

Game 333.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Since an early-September home loss to Louisville, Central Florida has rattled off four consecutive straight up wins, going 3-1 against the spread. During their current hot streak, they have outscored opponents 178-56. The Knights have dominated the Pirates, winning the last six meetings in a row straight up, which includes all three meetings in Greenville. They have had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this contest. East Carolina will be a little fatigued, following last weeks four overtime two-point win over Memphis. That game marked their third no cover over the last four outings. Both quarterbacks are gunslingers. But two major advantages give Central Florida a big advantage in this match up. For starters, quarterback Plumlee is a dual-threat, passing for over 1,500 yards in the air and running for over 450 yards on the ground, accounting for a total of 18 touchdowns. He will light up the 117th ranked ECU pass defense here, keeping them off-balance with the squads fourth ranked rushing attack. Defensively, the Knights can certainly slow down and contain the Pirates with their seventh ranked stop-unit. Going back to last season, they have held their last nine opponents to 20-points or less. The road team is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in this rivalry. Central Florida is 4-0 ATS the last four games played in October and 5-2 ATS the last seven games played overall. East Carolina is 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win and 1-5 ATS the last six games played against conference opponents. Take the Knights. Thank you.

Take Alabama.

NO LIMIT GAME.

Game 382.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

There are a lot of headlines in the news this week following Alabama‘s 52-49 loss on the road against Tennessee last week. The Crimson Tide fell to sixth in the latest poll, ending the teams streak of 40-weeks inside the top-five. The 52-points yielded is the most scored against them since 1907. They also committed 17 penalties. Not to mention yielding nearly 600 yards of offense. It’s uncanny that a season ago after starting the campaign off winning their first five contests, Alabama dropped a game on the road at Texas A&M. The following week they faced Mississippi State as a visitor and crushed them 49-9 as a 17.5-point favorite. They then ran the gauntlet the rest of the regular season, not taking their foot off the gas, winning out. They have won 14 straight over the Bulldogs, covering the last four in a row, with the margins of victory coming by 24, 31, 41, and 40. Look for Bryce Young, who came back last week and showed no signs of a lingering shoulder issue, passing for over 455 yards to light them up in the air while ball-carriers, Gibbs and MccLellan steamroll the 81st ranked run defense of Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS the last seven meetings in Alabama. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS the last four games played following a straight up loss. Roll Tide. Take the Crimson Tide here, lay the wood, and beat the books. Thank you

Take UCLA.

PAC 12 GOM.

Game 375.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

The last two unbeaten teams in conference play in the Pac 12 square off here. After a season opening embarrassing 49-3 loss at the hands of Georgia, Oregon has since run off five consecutive wins. The one thing that does concern me is that they haven’t played the same level of competition as UCLA. The Bruins, over their last two outings, have taken down both the Huskies and the Utes. Mind you they were underdogs in both of those contests. Overall UCLA has a bit stronger of a defense, yielding six points per game less. Both are good at stopping the pass and both are good at stuffing the run. Both offenses are good at passing. And both offenses are very, very, strong at rushing. So, what does that tell you about this game? It tells me it’s going to be a very tight matchup. Throw into the mix that after this week, the Bruins schedule softens a bit. And the fact the last two meetings were both settled by three-points. This adds up to be a very close game. Way closer than the point spread. UCLA is 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. Pac-12 foes, and 7-1 ATS the last eight games played on the road. Take the Bruins. Thank you.    

Take Syracuse.

OM GOM.

Game 353.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

For quite a while now, the only coach worthwhile up in Syracuse was Jim Boeheim. Well, that isn’t the case anymore. Dino Babers has his team a perfect 6-0. This does include being the only other undefeated team in the ACC Atlantic, other than Clemson. Not only that, but this team has been money to us bettors, going 5-1 against the spread this season. Clemson is a very good team. You may not realize this, but they’ve won 11 straight going back to last season. But I think we would all agree, this is not the same Tigers team we are used to seeing over the last several years. You know what’s funny is the Orange have covered six of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. And the bulk of that was during the Deshaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence eras. Last year with DJ Uiagalelei at the helm, Syracuse came very close to beating them outright, losing a heartbreaker, 17-14. Believe it or not, the Orange enter this matchup with the number six ranked defense in the country, yielding a mere 13.2 points per game. They’re equally strong against the pass and the rush. Clemson‘s defense ranks 26th, allowing 19.7 points per game. But they have gotten shredded in the air. Garrett Shrader has the luxury of having Sean Tucker in his backfield to keep the Tigers defense honest and allow him to open up the passing game. The Orange are 7-0 ATS the last seven games played in the month of October, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played against conference opponents, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. The Tigers tend to get overvalued, particularly at home where they have only covered three of their last 11 games. Take Syracuse. Thank you.

Georgia State.

Sun Belt Mid-Week Money Maker.

Game 301.

4:30 PM PST.

Appalachian State lost their season-opener, a barn-burning 63-61 defeat at the hands of North Carolina at home. But they were a favorite in that game. Then they won and covered in Week 2, when they took down a highly-touted Texan A&M team on the road. We thought this team would be a powerhouse (I’m talking about the Mountaineers). Because at the time, the Aggies were figured to be a dark horse for the College Football Playoff Boy did we seem that we overshot that prediction didn’t we? Lol. Since then, they failed to cover as a two-touchdown favorite in a 32-28 win at home against Troy. And then lost badly, worse than the 32-28 final score, in a home defeat at the hands of James Madison in which they were favored. They devoured the Citadel. But then again, we knew that would happen. And last week as a 19-point favorite on the road, they were shredded by Texas State. This team is just 1-2 in conference play. Their leading rusher, Camerun Peoples sat last week and the offense mustered just 41 yards on 21 carries. The ball-carrier is once again listed as questionable here. Whether he plays or not, I really like Georgia State tonight. The Panthers come into this matchup possessing the 13th ranked rushing attack in the nation. They can and will slow the game down and keep the Mountaineers defense on the field. On top of that, their “D”, which is less than stellar, has already snagged 10 takeaways already. Meanwhile Georgia State comes in here riding a two-game win streak, both straight up and against the spread, shellacking Army on the road 31-14 and then beating up on Georgia Southern at home a week ago, 41-33. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in the series. The Panthers are 10-1 ATS the last 11 games played followed a straight up win, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played on the road, and 7-2 ATS the last nine games played against conference opponents. Let’s face it, the Mountaineers numbers are really ugly especially compared to those; they are 1-5 ATS the last six games played at home, 0-5 ATS the last five games played versus conference opponents, and 2-7 ATS the last nine games played overall. Take Georgia State. Thank you.

Penn State Nittany Lions.

VEGAS INSIDER MOVE.

Game 127.

9:00 am PST/12:00 pm EST.

Now the favorite in this series has covered seven of the last eight meetings. But this matchup is certainly a step-up in class for Michigan. In my opinion, Michigan still hasn’t been tested. We really don’t know how good this team is. Let’s face it. They’ve been big double-digit favorites in every outing this season. Just to give you a little reminder; they were 31-point favorites over Colorado State, 52-point favorites over Hawaii, 47.5-point favorites over Connecticut, 17-point favorites over Maryland, 10.5-point favorites over Iowa, and 23.5-point favorites over Indiana. Oh, and by the way, they are just 3-3 against the spread this season. They’re being overvalued drastically, guys. So, what are the odds makers telling you about this matchup? They’re telling you that Penn State is going to be very competitive here. You know the Nittany Lions went on the road and won and covered at the Boilermakers and the Tigers of Auburn. Neither one of those opponents were pushovers. I know the Wolverines defense is statistically very good. But once again, they haven’t faced a well-balanced offense of the caliber like they’re going to face this week against the Nittany Lions. Defensively, I see the Penn State stop-unit, which by the way only allows 14.8 points per game, frustrating the Michigan offense badly here. Sports fans, the Wolverines live and die by the rush. And Penn State ranks seventh nationally defending the run. I really do feel that this is going to be a very competitive matchup. And I do feel once again the Wolverines are being overvalued. You know the Nittany Lions won two of the last three meetings between these two teams straight up. And last year, they only lost by four-points. They are an excellent road team, straight up and against the spread, as they are 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played as a visitor. Let’s remember Michigan has problems covering against solid opponents, going a mere 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played versus teams with a winning record. I like Penn State to win outright. But I’ll take a touchdown here folks. Let’s go Nittany Lions. Thank you.

Tennessee Volunteers.

Touchdown play.

Game 122.

12:30 pm pst.

My friends, I am posting this release Friday late afternoon. And over the last several hours I have seen this line rise. With no official announcement if Bryce Young will play or not, I am taking it as most of the general public feels the starting quarterback will be back. For the sake of argument, let’s say he comes back. If he does, he will be not 100% and a bit rusty. If he does not play, I think we can all agree that Jalen Milroe is not quite there yet as far as experience and savvy. Tennessee is playing some very good football. They rank second in the nation scoring an average of 46.8 points per game. And their defense is allowing just 17.8 points per game. This is a team that is very well-balanced on both sides of the ball. Offensively, they have a very good air attack as well as a solid ground game. This will make it a bit tough for the Crimson Tide to key on either area. Defensively, they can certainly slow down the ‘Bama running game. Mind you, when Bryce Young was at the helm, the Crimson Tide passing unit wasn’t doing all that great. The offense relies heavily upon their rushing attack. And the Volunteers can counter with one of the stingiest and nastiest run defenses in the nation. This is going to be a very close game my, friends. Tennessee comes in with a lot of confidence winning all five of their contests and covering four of those five. Mind you, the last two weeks, they took down Florida and LSU. They are certainly not afraid of Alabama. Take the Volunteers. Thank you.

Penn State Nittany Lions.

VEGAS INSIDER MOVE.

Game 127.

9:00 am PST/12:00 pm EST.

Now the favorite in this series has covered seven of the last eight meetings. But this matchup is certainly a step-up in class for Michigan. In my opinion, Michigan still hasn’t been tested. We really don’t know how good this team is. Let’s face it. They’ve been big double-digit favorites in every outing this season. Just to give you a little reminder; they were 31-point favorites over Colorado State, 52-point favorites over Hawaii, 47.5-point favorites over Connecticut, 17-point favorites over Maryland, 10.5-point favorites over Iowa, and 23.5-point favorites over Indiana. Oh, and by the way, they are just 3-3 against the spread this season. They’re being overvalued drastically, guys. So, what are the odds makers telling you about this matchup? They’re telling you that Penn State is going to be very competitive here. You know the Nittany Lions went on the road and won and covered at the Boilermakers and the Tigers of Auburn. Neither one of those opponents were pushovers. I know the Wolverines defense is statistically very good. But once again, they haven’t faced a well-balanced offense of the caliber like they’re going to face this week against the Nittany Lions. Defensively, I see the Penn State stop-unit, which by the way only allows 14.8 points per game, frustrating the Michigan offense badly here. Sports fans, the Wolverines live and die by the rush. And Penn State ranks seventh nationally defending the run. I really do feel that this is going to be a very competitive matchup. And I do feel once again the Wolverines are being overvalued. You know the Nittany Lions won two of the last three meetings between these two teams straight up. And last year, they only lost by four-points. They are an excellent road team, straight up and against the spread, as they are 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played as a visitor. Let’s remember Michigan has problems covering against solid opponents, going a mere 4-9 ATS the last 13 games played versus teams with a winning record. I like Penn State to win outright. But I’ll take a touchdown here folks. Let’s go Nittany Lions. Thank you.

Kansas Jayhawks,

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 183.

9:00 am PST/12:00 pm EST.

When Brent Venables took over at Oklahoma many thought they would take the Big 12 conference this season. But yet, they are sitting at a very very disappointing 3-3. They’ve had to endure three consecutive losses against Kansas State, at TCU, and against Texas. Each loss has been a more disappointing defeat than the previous. They have also gone 0-3 ATS in those last three outings. Even though there has been no official statement yet, QB, Gabriel is expected back this week. No matter who is under center, they must line up across a Kansas team that has done very well for us bettors in the underdog role. They won outright in West Virginia, in Houston, and at home against Iowa State. Now the oddsmakers have made them a nearly a double-digit underdog. I ask why. It doesn’t make any sense to me. They are just a half-point from covering all six games this season. With the Sooners defense allowing nearly 30-points per game on the season and nearly 50-points per game over the last three, I look for the Jayhawks offense to light up the scoreboard here. Between dual-threat quarterback Daniels and running back Neal, they’ve already accounted for over 756 yards rushing and nine TDs on the ground. The ground game will allow Daniels to open up the passing game and add to his very impressive, 66% completion rate, nearly 1,100 yards passing and 11 TDs in the air. By the way, he has been absolutely outstanding, only tossing one INT thus far. Kansas is going to give Oklahoma a very hard time. They might even win this game outright. But the fact that they our 4-1 ATS the last five meetings with Oklahoma, 4-0 ATS last four games played on the road, 5-0-1 ATS the last six games against conference opponents, and 8-0-1 ATS the last nine games played overall, urges me to take the Jayhawks. Thank you.

Navy Midshipmen.

Consensus play.

Game 113.

4:30 PM PT/7:30 PM ET.

These two conference rivals come in to this matchup in very different situations. Navy started getting hot, winning two of their last three straight up and all three against the spread, while SMU has turned ice-cold, dropping three in a row straight up and their last four against the number. I know the Mustangs will be able to throw the ball against the lax, Midshipmen pass defense. However overall Navy still plays a very tough “D“. They allow just 21.0 points per game. On the flipside, look for Navy to control the clock and the tempo of this game with their powerful 12th ranked rushing attack. They are going to run amok against 106th ranked SMU run defense. As I mentioned in the beginning of this analysis, the Middies are starting to get hot. They took down the Pirates, played very competitive against the Falcons, and just shredded the Golden Hurricanes. Because they mostly run the ball, they will keep the SMU defense on the field and their all offense off of it. This is way too many points to give a Navy team that can win this game out right. The Midshipmen are 7-2 against the spread the last nine meetings in this series. Take Navy. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

NO LIMIT GAME OF THE MONTH.

Game 386.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

Let’s talk about Texas A&M going to Bryant-Denny Stadium to face Alabama. Obviously, the big news this entire week is if the Crimson Tide quarterback, Bryce Young will play. Well reports over the last day or so are that he has practiced and he has looked pretty strong. Officially we’re not going to know as of posting this release. If he plays great. If he doesn’t, remember one thing. The Crimson Tide is stacked at key positions higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast café. Jalen Milroe is a very good quarterback. He’s the back up for the number one team in the nation. He was a great high school football star. The only difference is, he has a little less experience at this level. That’s all. Don’t overthink it. Just between us guys, I’m 53 years old, and although I was an all-state quarterback in high school only 5’6’, I could step in and lead Alabama to a victory here. Over the last several weeks we have seen Georgia leapfrog Alabama in the rankings when they had a better performance on a gameday. Then last week the Crimson Tide had a stronger performance than the Bulldogs and reclaimed the number one spot. Having said that, Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban does not want to relinquish the top-spot in the polls. He knows that he’s coming up against some good conference opponents, and he needs to keep his foot on the gas. Offensively, Alabama although has a very strong passing game, strongly depends on their rushing attack. They currently rank seventh in the nation averaging over 250 yards per game on the ground. Not only that, but they don’t make mistakes offensively. They don’t turn the ball over. They’ve had one turnover so far this season. And believe me, if Young does not play, the game plan will be run the ball, and pass off the run. And most importantly tuck the ball or throw it out if you don’t have a play. As we all know Texas A&M was a preseason darkhorse to make the College Football Playoff. After five games they sit at a disappointing 3-2 with a lackluster offense that is accounting for just 21.8 points per game. They rank about 100th or worse in just about every major offensive category. And they have to line up against one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in the nation. The Tide only allow 11-points per game and rank in the top-10 and every major defensive category. Trust me when I tell you it will be a long, long day for the Aggie‘s. Texas A&M comes off a 42-24 spanking at the hands of Mississippi State a week ago. A game in which they were supposed to be a lot more competitive folks. Now they step up in class again even higher. We all know how much Nick Saban likes beating ex-assistant coaches. And Jimbo Fisher is no different. Don’t overthink this contest guys. Texas A&M doesn’t belong on the same field as Alabama. The Crimson Tide need to keep their foot on the gas to retain their number one ranking. And one more factor that prompts me to side with ‘Bama here. The Aggies bested the Tide last year at home. Saban and his boys did not forget that. They will open up a big can of whoop ass here. Texas A&M is just 1-5 ATS the last six on the road. Alabama is 17-5 against the number the last 22 at home. Don’t be afraid to lay the wood here. Roll Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Washington State Cougars.

Touchdown Play.

Game 365.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

USC certainly deserves all their praise, starting the campaign off 5-0. However, their high-flying offense does not match up well with the Washington State defense. The Cougars rank among the nations leaders in sacks (18) and tackles for a loss (45). Washington State comes in here sporting a 4-1 straight up mark, covering their last four consecutive outings. This includes a big outright win at Wisconsin, thumping Colorado State at home, a very tight heartbreaking three-point loss once again at home against Oregon, and the last weeks very impressive 28-9 win and cover playing host against Cal. This team certainly has momentum and the confidence to stand up to the Trojans. By the way, USC has failed cover their last two games as PAC 12 opponents have given them a little bit of a headache the last few weeks. The very smart Cougars coaching staff have watched the game films the last few weeks and will in fact exploit the Trojans weaknesses. Washington State is 4-0 ATS the last four versus conference opponents, 5-2 ATS the last seven on the road, and 20-6 ATS the last 26 in the month of October. The Trojans are 1-7 ATS the last eight versus Pac 12 opponents, 2-5 ATS the last seven versus teams with a winning record, and 0-4 ATS the last four in the month of October. This is way too many points to give a very game, very scrappy Cougars team. Take Washington state. Thank you.

Air Force.

Crusher Play.

Game 361.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Utah State is absolutely point spread poison. They are just 1-4 against the spread in 2022. And following four lackluster performances, they came up big a little over a week ago covering a 25.5-point spread, losing straight up by 12-points at BYU. They are in a huge “let down” mode here as they are facing an Air Force team that has won eight of their last nine overall straight up going back to last November. And seven of those last nine against the spread. The number one ranked rushing offense in the nation will absolutely steamroll the Aggie‘s 108th ranked run defense. Not only will the Falcons control the tempo and the clock, but they will keep the Aggies offense on the sidelines most of the game. When Utah State does have the ball, they will have to line up against the 16th ranked scoring defense in the nation. Air Force has taken five of the last seven in this series both straight up and against the spread and are 6-1 ATS the last seven on the road and 4-1 ATS the last five versus conference opponents. Take the Falcons. Thank you.

Nevada Wolfpack

MWC MONEY MAKER.

Game 308.

7:00 pm PT/10:00 pm ET.

My friends, there is no arguing the fact that both the Rams and the Wolfpack are in for a very long regular season. Currently Colorado state is 0-4 both straight up and against the spread, while Nevada is 2-3, also both straight up and against the spread. The Rams are losing by an average of 30+ points per game. I’m not going to sit sit here and tell you that playing teams like Michigan and Washington State that we were surprised by those lopsided defeats. But they were a favorite against Middle Tennessee State and got shellacked, as well as being a small underdog and getting decimated by Sacramento State. This team has no offense whatsoever. They average less than 11-points per game. As a matter fact, they rank at or near the worst in the nation and most offensive categories. To add insult to injury, they have coughed up the ball five times already. Now the Nevada defense has given us some points. And after a strong start with decisive victories over New Mexico State and Texas State, winning and covering both, they have now lost and failed to cover three in a row. I expected them to lose to Iowa and Air Force. But losing to Incarnate Word was a shocker to me (LOL). But one thing this team can do is create turnovers. They’ve already snagged seven turnovers on defense. Offensively they leave a lot to be desired. But when you’re facing a stop-unit that allows over 41 points per game, and you’ve only turned the ball over twice so far, I expect the Wolfpack to generate some points here. They’ve got a decent quarterback at the helm in Nate Cox. But I really do look for them to run the ball with an enormous success behind the legs off Toa Taua, Devonte Lee, and even the dual-threat quarterback, Cox. The Rams are 0-4 ATS the last four meetings in this series 0-6 ATS the last six against conference opponents, 0-5 ATS the last five on the road, and 1-10 ATS the last 11 overall. Let’s take the Wolfpack here folks. Thank you.

West Virginia.

Touchdown Play.

Game 187.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

My friends, the oddsmakers are looking to trap you here. But we’re not going to fall for it, are we? There is no way Texas should be nearly a double-digit favorite over West Virginia. The Mountaineers have covered five of the last seven meetings with the Longhorns, including the last two matchups. These two teams seem to be heading in opposite directions. West Virginia has won and covered their last two including a big win at Virginia Tech in which they dominated the Hokies, 33-10. Meanwhile, Texas had somewhat of a tough time against UTSA two weeks ago then lost an overtime heartbreaker at Texas Tech last week. West Virginia can certainly keep pace offensively with Texas. There’s no doubt about that. The fact that they have a well-balanced offense consisting of the 20th ranked rushing attack in the nation along with the 48th right passing attack, tells me they can and will control the tempo and the clock in this matchup. On the flipside, they own a very stingy defense. And they match up well with the Texas offense. Neither team can really afford another conference loss. But I believe the Longhorns are going to start to spiral as they dropped out of the top-25 this week. This is a team that certainly knows how to slump. Just last season, after starting their campaign 4-1, they then dropped six consecutive meetings both straight up and against the spread. I think another slump is on the horizon for Texas. The Longhorns are 1-7 ATS the last eight against conference opponents, 2-5 ATS the last seven following a straight up loss, and 2-7-1 ATS the last 10 in October. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you.

NC State Wolfpack.

Late Bail Out.

Game 127.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

After they opened their campaign thumping Georgia Tech 41-10, Clemson supporters thought they would have an easy run to the ACC title. While this team is 4-0 straight up, they have failed to cover their last three in a row. And let’s face it when you’re playing teams like Furman, Louisiana Tech, for sure and maybe even Wake Forest, you should be covering. Something interesting I have uncovered about the Tigers. Each week they have allowed more points than the previous week. They started the season allowing 10, then 12, then 20, and then 45 points. Teams are exploiting their weaknesses. And one team that can certainly exploit their weakness, is the Wolfpack. Devon Leary is a monster quarterback. He also has the luxury of having a backfield of talented and capable ball-carriers. They can run the ball, control the clock, and keep the Clemson defense on the field. On the flipside, they own one of the nastiest and stingiest stop-units in the nation. They rank 10th in points allowed, ninth against the rush, 25th against the pass, 13th in total yards allowed, and have already snagged seven takeaways. Clemson does have a good defense. But they’re not the same team they once were. As I mentioned earlier, they’re allowing more and more points every opponent they face. While they are good against the rush, they are absolutely deplorable against the pass. They’re yielding over 267 yards per game in the air alone, which ranks them 104th versus the pass. Leary is going to exploit and dissect them in the air. NC State took last year’s meeting in overtime, 27-21. They’re also 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings at Clemson. Here’s a few more against the trends for you. The Wolfpack are 11-5 ATS the last 16 versus conference opponents, 5-2 ATS the last seven versus teams with a winning record, and 6-0 ATS the last six following an ATS loss. The Tigers are 4-9 ATS the last 13 following a straight up win, 1-5 ATS the last six in October, and 2-8 ATS the last 10 at home. Take NC State. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Consensus Game of the Month.

Game 123.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Don’t put too much stock to the fact that the Seminoles are undefeated and ranked. They played two deplorable opponents. And they also beat two teams that they should’ve beat in LSU in Louisville. Let’s face it, neither the Tigers nor the Cardinals are the teams that people thought they would be this season. On the other hand, Wake Forest is coming off their first defeat of the season. Not only was it a loss, but it was an overtime heartbreaking loss to Clemson. Can you say “bounce back?” Granted, their previous opponents were less than stellar. I’m not going to argue that fact. I look for Sam Hartman to light up the scoreboard here. The quarterback has already amassed 962 yards passing, on a 64% completion rate, with 13 TD’s and just two INT‘s. He has a backfield of two solid ball-carriers in Justice Ellison and Christian Turner. They have rushed for a combined 361 yards on the ground with three TD’s. This well-balanced offense will keep the Florida State defense on the field. The Demon Deacons have won and covered each of the last two meetings in this series. The Seminoles are 11-23-3 ATS the last 37 versus teams with a winning record. Take Wake Forest. Thank you.

Minnesota Golden Gophers.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 146.

9 AM PST/12 PM EST.

Minnesota has grinded opponents down to the tune of a 4-0 record. This team certainly has an outside chance at winning the conference. They have manhandled every opponent thus far, including their last, a big 34-7 win at Michigan State. They now face a Purdue team that they have had their way with, taking four consecutive meetings both straight up and against the spread. I know that laying double-digits or more is a lot between conference opponents. But, look for Mohamed Ibrahim to pad his stats even more. The running back already has over 567 yards rushing with eight TDs. By the way he’s averaging over 6.4 yards per carry. He offers quarterback Tanner Morgan a big luxury that most teams do not have. This team is the second ranked rushing team in the nation. His legs allow Morgan to open up the passing game. And that’s exactly what they are going to do here. Purdue gives up quite a few points. They’re equally porous against rush and the pass. On the flipside, the Boilermakers are very good at passing the ball. However, the Golden Gophers also ranked second in the country in points allowed, yielding a mere 6.0 points per game. They rank second against the pass and third against the rush. They’re going to completely shut down the Purdue offense. And when they do Ibrahim’s legs will control the tempo and the clock and keep the Boilermakers defense on the field. The Golden Gophers are 5-0 ATS the last five games at home, 19-7-1 ATS the last27 versus conference opponents, and 24-9-1 ATS the last 34 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you.

Kentucky.

SEC Game of the Month.

Game 175.

9 AM PST/12 PM EST.

My friends, if the line in this game was totally accurate, Mississippi should only be a one or a two-point favorite at most. Throw into the mix that Kentucky will see the return of running back, Chris Rodriguez and they become a small favorite here. That’s right, their best ball-carrier in years will come back after serving a four-game suspension. If you recall a year ago, between the regular and postseasons, the RB accumulated over 1300 yards and 10 TD’s on the ground. And now that the Wildcats have a running game to go with their stellar passing-attack, they are one of the most dangerous teams in the conference. I understand the Rebels have a good defense. But they haven’t faced anybody yet. So far, their opponents have been Troy, Central Arkansas, Georgia Tech, and Tulsa. Not one of those were they not a double-digit favorite. They are in for a rude awakening here stepping up in class big time. On the flipside, Kentucky does have a solid defense. Let’s face it, they kept quite a few offenses in check this season and going back a bit, since last season. I doubt Mississippi will have any luck in the air against the 15th ranked pass defense in the country. The Rebel strength offensively comes through running the ball. And that doesn’t bode well here as the Wildcats only allow 108.3 yards per game on the ground. The wrong team is favored here my friends, trust me. Kentucky is 23-7-2 ATS the last 32 versus teams with a winning record, 7-3-1 ATS The last 11 versus conference opponents, and 5-1-1 ATS the last seven overall.  Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

Tulane Green Wave.

Friday Night Lights Play.

Game 105.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Houston is enduring a very disappointing season so far. Not only are they just 2-2 straight up, anyone that follows them in the Sportsbook is getting crushed as they are 1-3 against the spread. On the other hand, Tulane is playing quite well. There are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread so far. And I like the fact that they come off their first loss of the season. They will be in “bounce back” mode here. The Green Wave can certainly keep pace offensively with the Cougars here. They are actually averaging more points per game than their opponent. It is their defense that will be the major difference here. Granted they haven’t played some of the toughest offensive powerhouses yet. But defensively they are playing spectacular. I doubt Houston will be able to move the ball in the air in this matchup. And they’ve had a lot of problems establishing the rush this season. They have their main offenders playing at all key positions and yet they still had trouble against inferior defenses. Well, they’re playing a defense here that is not inferior in any way, shape, or form tonight. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS the last five in September, 2-6 ATS the last eight versus teams with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS the last seven overall. The Green Wave are 4-1ATS the last five versus conference opponents, 14-6 ATS the last 20 following a straight up loss, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. Take Tulane. Thank you.

Arkansas Razorbacks.

Las Vegas Strip Move Game of The Month.

Game 403.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Let’s go to a big SEC matchup on Saturday with the Arkansas Razorbacks traveling to AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas A&M Aggies. One of the most pleasant surprises so far this college football campaign has been the Razorbacks. They started the season by getting a win and cover over Cincinnati at home. Then the following week did the same at home against South Carolina. They did take their foot off the gas a little bit last week to get a win and no cover against Missouri State. Don’t read too much into that, folks. They were in look ahead mode, had a lead through the third quarter, took their foot off the gas, and took out some of their starters. On the other hand, many people thought that Texas A&M would be a dark horse for the College Football Playoff this season. To say this team was overrated would be an understatement. They are having trouble moving the ball, lacking both an air attack and ground assault. While the Razorbacks defense has allowed a lot of points, I just don’t see the Aggies offense scoring too much here. I know, I know, I know Texas A&M has a good defense. They own the 10th ranked pass “D” in the country. But this game is not about the Arkansas passing game. It is about their potent and explosive rushing attack. This is a team running for nearly 250 yards per game. And they will absolutely steamroll the 82nd ranked Texas A&M run defense. Having that potent rushing attack will allow the Razorbacks to control the clock and the tempo in this matchup. They will keep the Aggies defense on the field and by the second half backpedaling and gasping for air. The Razorbacks have covered four straight in this series, are 8-1 against the spread the last nine in the month of September, and 5-1-1 against the spread the last seven overall. They are money and they are going to win this game out right. But I will take the pints anyway. Take the Razorbacks. Thank you.  

Texas Longhorns.

Touchdown Play.

Game 399.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Right now, it looks like to back up quarterbacks will take the helm in this matchup. For Texas, Hudson Card will be calling the plays. And Texas Tech will have Donovan Smith under center. Granted Smith has taken a few more snaps in his tenure than his counterpart. However, he does not have the luxury of a solid running attack. Bijan Robinson is a monster running back, guys. Last year, in 10 games he tallied over 1,127 yards rushing and 11 touchdowns. He’s also pretty darn good out of the backfield, adding another 26 receptions and four TD’s. This season he is off to an amazing start, accruing 311 yards on the ground with five scores, averaging over 6.1 yards per carry. By the way, he has also added seven receptions for 132 yards and another touchdown. The Red Raiders were pushed around last week by the Wolfpack. As a matter fact, they were downright manhandled. The Longhorns will exploit their weaknesses here. Not only did they lose 27-14, but it was their second consecutive game without covering the spread. On the other hand, the Longhorns are riding a four-game ATS win streak. Please remember that this team lost a squeaker, 20-19 to Alabama just a few weeks ago. A lot of teams would have folded after that. But they came back to crush UTSA last week. They have won the last four meetings in this series straight up, going 3-1 against the spread. This includes a 70-35 drubbing a season ago. They have covered five of the last six meetings at Texas Tech and nine of the last 12 overall meetings guys. Take Texas. Thank you.

Michigan Wolverines.

High Roller Play.

Game 328.

9 AM PST/12 PM EST.

We are going to go to the Big Ten as two 3-0 teams will meet. Maryland demolished Buffalo, Charlotte, and SMU, while Michigan steamrolled Colorado State, Hawaii, and Connecticut. To say that this matchup would be a step up in class for both teams, would be an understatement. However, it is significantly more of a step up in class for the Terrapins. The Wolverines have dominated this series, winning and covering six consecutive meetings, with the average margin of victory coming by 33.6 points per game. Maryland quarterback Tualia Tagovailoa is going to be in for a long day trying to have any success in the air against the very stingy Michigan secondary. Not only because the Michigan defensive backfield is loaded with playmakers. But also, because Maryland does not have the luxury of a strong well-balanced office. Even if they did have a good ground game, the Wolverines front-seven is ferocious. On the flipside, Michigan does have a well-balanced offense. Quarterback JJ McCarthy is going to dissect the very young and inexperienced Maryland secondary. He does have the luxury of having an awesome rushing attack. The Wolverines are loaded with talented ball-carriers. Blake Corum and CJ Stokes will get the bulk of the workload on the ground. The tandem have already tallied 349 yards rushing and eight TDs. If you recall a year ago, the Terrapins started the season off 4-0. Then their conference schedule began and they finished the regular-season campaign going 2-6 straight up and 1-7 against the spread.  The Wolverines must come out here and make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten that they are a true force to be reckoned with. And they will give the Buckeyes some serious competition. Maryland is 6-14 ATS the last 20 on the road, 17-36 ATS the last 53 versus conference opponents, and 17-37 ATS the last 54 versus teams with a winning record. Michigan is 8-3 ATS the last 11 home, 5-0 ATS the last five versus conference opponents, and 7-2 ATS the last nine overall. The Wolverines will make a statement not just to the Big Ten, but to the rest of the top-25. Lay the points with the Wolverines. Thank you.

Clemson Tigers.

Consensus Play.

Game 339.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST

Say what you want about DJ Uigaleile, but the Clemson Tigers are 3-0. They opened up the campaign with a conference win and cover at Georgia Tech. Then at home, they beat both Furman and Louisiana Tech straight up but didn’t cover either outing. This may worry many people out there who are looking to bet Clemson. However, it doesn’t worry me. That tells me that the Tigers took their foot off the gas the last few weeks. But are looking to make a statement in their conference. No, the quarterback is not very exciting or explosive. But with this team you don’t have to be a big play quarterback at all. They can move the chains on the ground and pass off the run with 5-yard dinks and dunks over the middle. DJ knows that Cade Klubnik is right over his shoulder if he can’t get the job done. This is further motivating the more experienced play-caller. We’re hearing a lot about the Wake Forest passing attack. Yes, they’re averaging over 300 yards per game in the air. But who the heck are they played? VMI, Vanderbilt, and Liberty are not formidable foes. None of those teams measure up defensively like the “D” they are facing this weekend. Once again, this season the Tigers stop-unit is outstanding. The news this week is that they give up yardage in the air and that this is not a good match up for them with the Demon Deacons. Well, they shut down the Yellow Jackets in the season opener 41-10. I expect their defense to frustrate and smother the Wake Forest offense here big-time. Understand that this is a conference game and the Tigers want everyone in their conference to know that they own the ACC. Clemson has taken the last 10 meetings in this rivalry straight up covering three of the last four. Now I could tell you that the average margin of victory was huge in each one of those wins. Let me just use last years meeting as an example. The Tigers had their way with the Demon Deacons winning 48-27. Their “D” is better this season. Clemson is 4-0 ATS the last four conference games, 4-0 ATS the last four road games, and 12-5 ATS the last 17 road games versus team with a winning home record. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Syracuse Orange.

Friday Night Lights Winner.

Game 308.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Don’t look now, but Syracuse is 3-0, both straight up and against the spread this season. They opened the campaign up by slamming Louisville 35-7. They followed that up with a demolishing 48-14 win over Connecticut. And last week they showed what they were made of by getting a 32-29 win at home against Purdue. They stepped up in class twice this season and have proved that they are for real. On the other hand, point spread poison, Virginia has yet to cover a game this season despite going 2-1 straight up. They had a hard time with Richmond in their season-opener, was absolutely manhandled by Illinois losing their second-game of the year, 24-3, and had a hard time the entire game eking out two-point victory over Old Dominion. Orange quarterback Garrett Shrader has been superb, throwing for over 705 yards passing on a 66.2% completion rate with eight TDs and zero INT‘s. The play-caller is a dual-threat, adding over 202 yards on the ground with three more scores. The backfield of Sean Tucker (252 yards rushing two TDs) along with a stellar receiving core consisting of four wideouts already at or approaching 100-yards receiving, makes this Syracuse team very dangerous offensively. They are averaging over 37-points per game. On the other hand, Virginia is having a very hard time putting any points on the board, averaging a mere 17.7 points per game. They’ve already committed five turnovers. This does not bode well as Syracuse already has three takeaways on defense. The Orange stop-unit matches up quite well with a Cavaliers “O”. Virginia stepped up in class against Illinois and gave up big plays, both in the air and on the ground. Syracuse is just as loaded and just as well-balanced. The fact that the Orange has a strong running game will allow them to control the clock and the tempo here, keeping the Cavaliers defense on the field and their offense off of it. Even when Virginia does have the ball guys, they will run into a very stout, very angry, very capable Syracuse “D.” The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played on field turf, 1-5 ATS the last six games played in September, and 0-4 ATS the last four games played overall. The Orange are 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played versus conference opponents, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at home, and 10-3 ATS the last 13 games played overall. By the way, Syracuse are also great starters, getting us bettors paid in the month of September, going 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 games played in the month of September. Take the Orange. Thank you.

Miami Florida.

Top-Rated Play.

Game 197.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

You know sports fans, it was only a few short weeks ago Texas A&M was a preseason top-five team. But to be honest guys, it feels like years, doesn’t it? They opened up the campaign with a very unimpressive, 31-0 win over Sam Houston State. While quarterback Haynes King threw for 364 yards and three touchdowns, he still tossed two interceptions. All this and the Aggies couldn’t establish the run against the outclassed Bearkats. Then, last week their offense sputtered drastically tallying a mere 186 yards, while allowing 315 yards of offense in a 17-14 loss at the hands of Appalachian State at home. This team has serious quarterback issues. And let’s face it they aren’t running the ball with any success either. One team that is not having quarterback issues, is the Miami Hurricanes. Tyler Van Dyke has already passed for over 446 yards, while his tandem of ball-carriers Henry Parrish Jr. and Thaddius Franklin Jr. have run for over 340 yards and seven scores already. Traditionally, we have seen the Hurricanes struggle in the trenches against SEC opponents. However, with the way they have controlled the clock by running the ball and then passing off the run, I don’t think that’s going be an issue here this week. They have playmakers. And the Aggies do not, plain and simple. Up next for both teams are middle Tennessee for Miami and Arkansas for Texas A&M. I feel that the Hurricanes come in here a lot looser, a lot more confident, and don’t have the same problem the Aggie’s have in looking ahead to next week’s opponent. Miami is 5-1 ATS the last six on the road. While Texas A&M is just 1-4 ATS the last five overall. I think the ‘Canes can win this game outright. But I will take the points here. Take Miami. Thank you.

Michigan State.

TD PLAY.

Game 185.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

Guys, I understand that Michael Penix Jr. is causing some excitement up in Washington. And I also understand that he’s familiar with Michigan State from his days with Indiana. However, for the life of me, I can’t figure out why so many people are siding with the Huskies here. Granted, neither team has really been tested so far this season. But please understand that Michigan State went 10-2 in the regular season a year ago, beating some very tough teams, including Michigan and Penn State. Then devoured Pitt in a late-December Bowl game. On the other hand, Washington was a disaster a season ago. They went just 4-8 finishing the campaign with four consecutive losses. Oh, and by the way just in case you’re keeping score, they took a beating in mid-September, losing to Michigan 31-10. The same Michigan team that in late-October, Michigan State bested, 37-33. Both offenses can pass the ball with success. However, I expect the Spartans running game to be the difference here folks. Michigan State is 6-0-1 ATS the last seven nonconference games, or 4-0-2 ATS the last six games played in September, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played overall. Washington is 2-5 ATS the last seven following a straight up win, 1-5 ATS the last six versus teams winning record, and 0-4 ATS the last four versus the Big Ten. Take the Spartans here plus the points. Thank you.

UCLA Bruins.

Las Vegas Strip Move.

Game 134.

11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST.

Both teams have gotten off the solid 2-0 starts. But Chip Kelly’s Bruins are certainly stronger and deeper by far. They have a monster offensive line that has paved the way for a ground attack averaging 241 yards per game on 5.8 yards per carry. And DTR, is the real-deal at quarterback, completing 75.9% of his passes for 399 yards, and three TDs already. The Bruins have a backfield of very talented ball-carriers to go along with the dual-threat quarterbacks dangerous arm. Going back to last season, this team has now won five consecutive games straight up going 4-1 against the spread. While South Alabama shows some promise, let’s face it, they don’t face the same level of competition as UCLA does. As a matter fact, a season ago they stepped up in class in late-November and got thumped 60-14 at the hands of Tennessee. They actually finished the 2021-2022 campaign on the four-game losing streak. The Jaguars are traveling for their second consecutive week and have to face a well-rested Bruins team that have the luxury of playing home for the third consecutive contest. South Alabama is just 1-6 ATS the the last seven on the road while UCLA is 4-1 ATS is the last five overall. This is the Bruins last chance to fine-tune their squad before hitting their conference schedule. Take UCLA. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

SEC Game of the Month.

Game 121.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

My friends, the Georgia Bulldogs leapfrogged the Alabama Crimson Tide in the polls this week to take over the No. 1 spot in the nation. Stetson Bennett has matured quite well, growing into an amazing quarterback. So far this season, he has thrown for 688 yards, with a 75.4% completion rate, three TDs and zero INTs. He will dissect the South Carolina Gamecocks defense that allowed Arkansas to light them up for 44-points a week ago. The Gamecocks are dealing with a banged up secondary here. This does not bode well going against the highflying offense of the Bulldogs. Offensively, South Carolina quarterback Spencer Rattler has been utterly unimpressive, throwing three interceptions against just two touchdowns. More importantly guys, if Georgia doesn’t annihilate South Carolina here knowing that Alabama faces Louisiana Monroe later today, they may lose their top-ranking. Kirby Smart is not going to let that happen. They must keep their foot on the gas here, run the score up, and leave no doubt for pollsters. They took last year’s September meeting by score of 40-13. And this year’s matchup should be even more of a mismatch. The Gamecocks are 3-12 ATS the last 15 versus the SEC and 1-5 ATS the last six versus teams with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 20-6 ATS the last 26 following an ATS loss and 35-16 ATS the last 51 on the road. Take Georgia. Thank you.

Baylor Bears.

Oddsmakers Mistake Play.

Game 403.

7:15 pm pst/10:15 pm est.

Whispers are saying that this contest is a big revenge game for BYU. If you recall a season ago, they got knocked out of the rankings by Baylor in a 38-24 defeat. Reports are that most of the Cougars defense is back this season. The Cougars are expected to be a solid on the “D”. There is also talk that Baylor might not be at the same level this year as they were last year. But it’s hard to argue the fact that this team went 11-2 during the regular season and then crushed Mississippi in the Bowl campaign. They are money to us bettors, coming off a 10-4 against the spread mark a season ago. BYU’s well-balanced offense looked pretty good, piling up 50-points on South Florida last week. But, South Florida ain’t no Baylor. The Bears are one of the toughest teams in the Big 12. I feel the wrong team is favored here. Baylor has been money to us bettors, going 4-0 ATS to last four in September, 4-0 ATS the last four versus non-conference opponents, 6-1 ATS the last seven on the road versus teams with a winning record, and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. I like the Bears outright here. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Take Baylor. Thank you.

Pittsburgh Panthers.

Touchdown Play.

Game 348.

12:30 pm pst/3:30 pt.

The Panthers are 3-0 all-time against the Volunteers. This includes last years, 41-34 win at Neyland Stadium. USC-transfer quarterback, Kedon Slovis will dissect the Tennessee secondary. The Vols give up a ton of yards and moreover, a lot of points when having to face gunslinging QB’s. The wrong team is favored here. Tennessee is 6-13 ATS the last 19 on grass, 16-36-1 ATS the last 53 following an ATS win, and 2-6 ATS the last eight versus the ACC. Pitt is 5-0 ATS the last five games following an ATS loss, 6-2 ATS then last eight versus a team with a winning record, and 11-5 ATS the last 16 games overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

Alabama Crimson Tide.

Annihilator Play.

Game 335.

9:00 am pst/12:00 pm est.

This line opened up just over -14 and was quickly bet up to -20-ish. I normally fade the general public. But even they have to win sometime. And I agree with them here. I see a lot of news out there saying that Texas is 7-1-1 all-time against Alabama. They are hoping to jump back into the national spotlight with a big win here. But hope doesn’t win games, folks. As expected in both of these team’s season openers, Alabama blew up Utah State, 55-0. And Texas devoured Louisiana Monroe 52-10. With all respect to the Longhorns, this team was absolute point spread poisonous a season ago, failing to win or cover six of their final seven games. This season they are touted as an also-ran to take the Big 12 conference behind the Sooners. Reality check here as Alabama is an entirely different monster. This is the number one team in the country. And this is their first big test. Make no mistake of it, head coach Nick Saban is going to go out of his way make a statement here and destroy Texas. ‘Bama has a stout defense that will frustrate quarterback, Ewers and running back, Robinson. Dual-threat Alabama QB, Young has an arsenal at his disposal offensively. Granted, going from Utah State to Texas is a step-up in class for Alabama. However, don’t think for a second they don’t have the personnel to pile up points here. To add insult to injury, look for Saban and his coaching staff to send a message to the Longhorns for future reference when they look to join the SEC in a few years. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games. While the Longhorns are just 1-4 ATS the last five versus teams with a winning record. The number may scare you at first, but don’t let the oddsmakers affect you. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Central Florida.

Friday Night Lights Winner.

Game 316.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

My friends, these two teams had very different season-opening contests. Louisville, as a 5.5-point favorite, got shredded by Syracuse, 31-7. Central Florida devoured South Carolina State, 56-10. Please keep in mind that the Knights have had two extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup than did the Cardinals. The Louisville offense is in trouble. Granted, this is just Week 2 for this team, but they have now lost and failed to cover three straight (going back to last season) getting outplayed and outclassed in all three of those contests. On the other hand, Central Florida has won four straight (going back to a season ago) and seven of the last eight SU going back to October of last season. John Rhys Plumlee is a monster quarterback. Not only is he a solid passer, but he can also run the ball with great efficiency. He has the luxury of having a talented core of receivers and a backfield chock-full of solid ball-carriers. Malik Cunningham is a good QB. But as we have seen through his tenure at Louisville, he can’t carry this offense alone. Knights head coach, Gus Malzahn really fortified his team. Particularly on the “O” where he has an Alabama-transfer in Javon Baker and a Florida transfer in Kemore Gamble. This tandem will be one of the most exciting in college football this season. I just don’t see Louisville and their lackluster secondary contending with the Central Florida passing attack. Please remember that last season the Cardinals won a heartbreaker, 42-35 in this matchup. The Knights have had this game circled since the schedule came out, looking for a bit of revenge. Louisville is 7-15-1 ATS the last 23 on the road, 3-8 ATS the last 11 versus the AAC, and 2-5 ATS the last seven overall. Take Central Florida. Thank you.

Clemson Tigers.

Monday Money Maker.

Game 235.

5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST.

One of the best teams in the nation is the Clemson Tigers. This is a team that a season ago went 6-2 in the ACC and 10-3 overall, ending the campaign with the win over Iowa State in the Cheez-It Bowl. They’ve got a great coaching staff, a quarterback with another year experience under his belt, and from what reports are saying, one of the most-ferocious defenses in the nation. They were in a rebuilding year a season ago, and yet they still finished at 10-3. What most impressed me about this team last season, was the fact that they closed it out with six straight wins. Not to mention five covers in those six wins. They must come out here and begin the campaign making a statement. Not just to the rest of the conference, but the rest of college football. They want the nation to know they are a force to be reckoned with and they’re going to make a statement here in their season opener and crush Georgia Tech. They’ve had this game circled since the schedule came out anyway, because last year‘s 14-8 victory over the Yellow Jackets was the closest margin over the last seven meetings. Dabo Swinney likes to make teams pay for stuff like this, guys. They’ll make them pay for that here. FYI, Georgia Tech is on a 1-7 ATS run. This game is going to get ugly folks. Mark my words. Clemson wins, covers, and make a statement. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Boise State.

High Roller Play.

Game 201.

7:30 PM PST 10:30 PM EST.

I really feel the wrong team is favored here. I know Oregon State won all six of their games at Reser Stadium a season ago. But up until last season this team was absolutely horrible at home, going 6-16 their previous 21 games in their own house. We always hear about how great Boise State is on the blue carpet. However, on the road they’ve been money, going 19-6 straight up the last 25 away from home and covering five of the last six as a visitor. Standout quarterback, Hank Bachmeier is back at the helm along with an arsenal at his disposal, returning all four lineman and his workhorse running back, George Holani. In the ball carrier, Bachmeier has the luxury of passing off the run and keeping the Beavers defense honest. They can control the clock and keep the OSU “D” on the field. And more importantly, their offense off of it. Take the Broncos. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

TV Game Winner.

Game 171.

4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST.

We put together two of the most successful and storied schools in the history of college football. There’s no doubt that Ohio State is a very good team. They rank number two in the preseason poll. And are supposed to run away with one of the toughest conferences in the nation. However, Notre Dame comes in ranked fifth in the country. There’s a lot of pressure on the Buckeyes to win and win right away. What concerns me about this team is their defense. We all know offensively they’ve got a couple of guys that are potential first rounders for sure. But I think we would all agree, their “D” has slipped over the last few years, giving up a lot of points. And sometimes not just to ranked opponents. Notre Dame can come in here with some confidence. They’ve got seven starters returning on offense and eight starters returning on defense. Reports are that new defensive coordinator; Al Golden has got this team believing they can shut down just about any offense in the nation. I feel this is way too many points to give a game a team like Notre Dame, which comes in here with a lot less pressure. The Fighting Irish is 4-0 ATS the last four on the road, 7-1 ATS the last eight nonconference games, 4-1-1 ATS the last six versus the Big Ten, and 7-1 ATS the last eight overall. I’ll take the points with Notre Dame here folks. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

Touchdown Play.

Game 210.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

When playing against the Pac-12, Oregon did very well last year. But when they stepped out and up in class, they took a beat down at the hands of Oklahoma. That’s what they’re doing here in their season opener. They are stepping out and up in class. I know Georgia lost a lot of key players. But please understand that the SEC and particularly the Georgia Bulldogs are deep, deep, deep. Bo Nix is at the helm for the Ducks. To be honest with you I wasn’t all that’s crazy about the quarterback when he was with Auburn. And let’s face it, the Bulldogs know Bo Nix. He had a better ground game and a much better “D” on his last squad. And yet, he couldn’t get the team over the hump of beating solid opponents. Please understand that the Georgia defense, outside of one game a season ago in which day exacted their revenge later on in the National Championship, did not allow a single opponent to post more than 18-points. And usually, it was seven or less points allowed. The Bulldogs need to come out here and make a statement to the SEC and to the nation that they are a true force to be reckoned with. Quarterback, Stetson Bennett is it an experienced, intelligent, play-caller. Not only that but he makes very few mistakes. He only tossed seven INT’s compared to 29 TD’s a season ago. That along with the fact that this team has got a solid ground game and a ferocious defense tells me that Oregon is in for a very long day here. The Ducks are 8-18-1 ATS the last 27 games played in the month of September, 1-4 ATS the last five games played versus non-conference opponents, and 6-13 ATS the last 19 games played overall. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you.

San Diego State.

Bookie Buster.

Game 206.

12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST.

Let’s go to Snapdragon Stadium where the Arizona Wildcats visit the San Diego Aztecs. My friends, I doubt I will hurt anyone’s feelings if I come out and state that Arizona football absolutely sucks. Let’s face it, this team is on a 1-23 straight up run. On the flipside, San Diego State is a very complete and solid football team. They come off a 12-2 season. Once again, this year they are known to have a phenomenal ground attack, while also possessing a ferocious stop-unit. They now have Braxton Burmeister at the helm to bring a new dynamic to the offense, a passing attack. Not only does this team come in here excited to have a new 35,000-seat stadium, but they will come out here confident, knowing that they went 2-0 against Pac-12 opponents a season ago. One of those wins was a 38-14 victory over Arizona. Overall, this team is 6-2 against ATS the last eight versus this conference, including straight up wins over Utah, UCLA, and Stanford. I just don’t see how the Wildcats can possibly either move the chains on this stingy defense, or slow down this powerful, now double-threat offense. Arizona is 5-12 against the spread the last 17 nonconference games, 8-24 against the spread the last 32 road games, and 0-4 against the spread the last four versus the Mountain West Conference. Under a touchdown here as a gift. Take the Aztecs. Thank you.

East Carolina.

Consensus Play.

Game 194.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

I’m gonna’ go back to the drawing board. There’s an old rule to sports betting, keeping an eye on in-state rivalries. Well. NC State and East Carolina will renew an in-state rivalry when the two sides kick off their season on Saturday. ECU comes off their best season in years winning seven games and was supposed to go to a Bowl, but unfortunately due to a Covid outbreak their game was canceled with Boston College. NC State ranks 13th in the nation. Coming off a solid 9-3 finish a 9-3 campaign. They’ve got all four starters returning on the offensive line and 10 returning starters on defense that was second in the nation against the past last year. But these two teams and these two coaching staffs know each other very well. While the Wolfpack has had the upper hand in recent years, the Pirates certainly come in here motivated. And with a punchers chance to win this game outright, let alone cover the point spread. If NC State does have a weakness, it is when they travel with a 5-13 ATS slide the last 18 on the road. By the way, as an interesting sidenote, the home team is 5-1 against the number the last six in this series. That’s why I’m taking East Carolina. Thank you.

Alabama.

Title Game Winner.

Game 288.

5:00 pm pst.

Nick Saban enjoys demolishing his ex-assistants. He and his staff will come in here with a different gameplan than in the SEC Title game to confuse both the Georgia offense and defense. And will have the same outcome. Giving ‘Bama points is a mistake as the ‘dog is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you.

Michigan

Consensus GOM.

Game 270.

4:30 pm pst.

The first 12 games of the season Georgia looked unbeatable. They then ran into Alabama in the SEC Title game and got shellacked. Many naysayers out there said it was because they knew they would be in the CFP no matter what. Folks I say that is a bunch of hogwash. The winner has a psychological edge in case of a title game rematch. My friends, Jim Harbaugh is a sharp guy and he will take a page from the SEC Title game scheme. Giving a striding team like Michigan which is riding a five-game win streak (both SU & ATS), more than a touchdown is a gift. The pressure here is all on the Bulldogs. Michigan has the offensive personnel to keep the UGA defense busy and the defense to frustrate the Bulldogs offensively. And Georgia is 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a SU loss. Take Michigan plus the 7.5 here. Thank you.

Wisconsin.

Bookie Buster

Game 262.

7:30 pm pst.

Wisconsin began the season struggling, dropping three of their first four outings, both SU and ATS. The Badgers turned things around rattling off seven consecutive victories SU, going 5-2 ATS. They then fell flat against the Golden Gophers back on November 27. This is a smart, resilient with a sharp coaching staff. Arizona State showed very little consistency this season. The only bright spot was the contributions from their ball-carriers. Things don’t look to promising here as their two top running backs, White and Trayanum are not playing here. Also not suiting up for the Sun Devils are two of their starting cornerbacks and their starting center. The Badgers own a top-10 stop-unit in every major category, leading the nation in yards allowed (241.4) and rushing yards allowed (65.8). Overall, the stifling “D” ranks 6th, yielding a mere, 16.4 PPG. When Wiscy has the ball, they will run, run, run, keeping the ASU defense on the field and come the 2nd half, back-peddling and gasping for air. Head coach, Paul Chryst will have his team hungry and excited to earn a big Bowl victory. The Sun Devils are 3-8 ATS the last 11 Bowl games played, 3-9 ATS the last 12 games played on neutral sites, and 2-7 ATS the last nine games played vs. nonconference opponents. Take the Badgers. Thank you.  

Minnesota.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 246.

7:15 pm pst.

Golden Gophers head coach, PJ Fleck fired offensive coordinator, Mike Sanford Jr. and replaced him with 2021 Mountaineers offensive analyst, Kirk Ciarocca. Ciarocca is not participating here but has provided behind-the-curtain intel into West Virginia’s offense. This is going to further bolster the nation’s 9th ranked scoring defense of Minny. The Mountaineers also lost some key personnel to opt-outs. The Golden Gophers are intact. This is an outstanding team that overcame losing their three top ball-carriers, one after the other and still managed to be one of the most-potent rushing units in the land. They will keep the ball on the ground, control the tempo and the clock, keeping the Mountaineers defense on the field, and more importantly, their offense off of it. When West Virginia has the ball, they will rely upon the pass. Well, Minnesota counters with the 11th ranked passing defense in college football. The line here should be at least a TD and perhaps almost nine points. Keep in mind that this team thumped Colorado, Purdue, Nebraska, Maryland, Northwestern, Indiana, and Wisconsin this season. And their last two postseason appearances, they shellacked both Georgia Tech and Auburn. The Mountaineers are 3-13 ATS the last 16 Bowl games played, 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-14-1 ATS the last 18 games played in the month of December. The Golden Gophers are 4-0 ATS the last four Bowl games played, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played as a favorite, and 5-0 ATS the last five games played in the month of December. Take Minnesota. Thank you.  

Auburn.

Game 238.

9:00 am pst.

While Houston is a talented squad, playing in the ACC is a far cry from playing in the SEC. Bo Nix is gone and TJ Finley is the future of Auburn. The quarterback has shown poise and consistency. He also has running back, Tank Bigsby and a slew of outstanding receivers. Yes, the Tigers are on a four-game slide. But they have been competitive facing tougher opposition. The Cougars faced two solid foes this season. The Red Raiders and the Bearcats, losing both by a combined 73-48. Oh, and failing to cover in both too. The team is without all-universe player, CB/WR/KR/PR, Marcus Jones. No longer will they have good field position and will have a hole in the secondary. This game will be won in the trenches where Auburn owns a huge advantage with the bigger, stronger, stouter trenchmen. Houston is 1-5 ATS the last six games played on neutral sites, 0-6 ATS the last six games played in the month of December, and 0-4 ATS the last four Bowls games played. Take the Tigers. Thank you.

Georgia State.

Game 232.

11:30 am pst.

Somehow, Ball State made a Bowl game. One of the worst offenses in the nation and their defense isn’t too far behind. Following a mid-season surge, they went just 1-5 ATS their last six games and really didn’t face any solid opposition. Riding 6-1 SU and ATS hot streaks, Georgia State owns the nation’s 8th ranked rushing unit that will control the clock and the tempo here. Defensively, the Panthers held some very good teams in check. They played Auburn and ULL very tough and beat Coastal Carolina. Georgia State is 8-1 ATS the last nine games played following a SU win and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as a favorite. Ball State is 1-4 ATS the last five Bowl games played and 1-4 ATS the last five games played overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you.

UNT.

Game 292.

12:30 pm pst.

A few angles seem to get us paid a bit more regularly guys. I’m talking about hot streaks and momentum. North Texas…5 straight wins…6 straight covers. And coming off a 45-23 outright win against an undefeated UTSA team as a 9.5-pt ‘dog. This team is brimming with confidence to not just compete, but to win here. Folks, this is the No.3 ranked rushing team in the nation lining up against a very pedestrian run defense. The Mean Green have five, yes five very talented ball-carries and as of post, all five are expected to play. The Red Hawks are 2-5 ATS the last seven as a fav, 4-13 ATS the last 17 nonconf, and 2-6 ATS last eight vs. Conference USA. Take the points with UNT here. Thank you.

Army.

Game 226.

5:00 pm pst.

Mismatch alert! Army boasts the nation’s 2nd ranked rushing attack, averaging over 286.9 YPG on the ground, resulting in the 27th ranked scoring offense, accounting for over 33.6 PPG. Missouri is a one-dimensional offense, solely relying upon the run. However, running back, Tyler Badie (1,612 yards rushing 14 TD’s on the ground, 330 yards receiving four TD’s in the air) will not be active here. The next ball-carrier only has 150 yards rushing this season. Coming off a loss to the Midshipmen will motivate the Black Knights to finish off the campaign on a high-note. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. nonconference opponents, 3-14 ATS the last 17 games played in the month of December, and 8-21 ATS the last 21 games played overall. Take army. Thank you.

Wyoming.

Game 221.

12:30 pm pst.

Kent State is not playing a conference opponent here and are a bit overmatched. They can run the bal. However, Wyoming counters with a very tough defense (22.5 PPG allowed). They too can run the ball and enter this matchup with confidence knowing they are 2-0 against MAC teams this season. The Golden Flashes are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on neutral sites, 2-6 ATS the last eight nonconference games played, and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played as a ‘dog. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

ULL.

Game 218.

6:15 pm pst.

ULL hasn’t tasted defeat since the first week of September. And won’t here. The Ragin’ Cajuns have won 12 straight contests behind a well-balanced offense and the nations 11th ranked defense. Not only do they outclass the struggling Thundering Herd but they also have the luxury of playing in front of a friendly New Orleans crowd. With an outstanding QB and three talented ball-carriers, Lafayette will control the clock and the tempo here, taking a page from Marshall’s last opponent, in which they suffered a 53-21 loss at the hands of Western Kentucky. The Thundering Herd are 2-6 ATS the last eight games played against teams with a winning record, 2-8 ATS the last 10 games played following a SU loss, and 0-4 ATS the last four games played in the month of December. Take the Ragin’ Cajuns. Thank you.

Utah State.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 216.

4:30 pm pst.

Sports fans, don’t get trapped into thinking that a mid-level Pac-12 team is 7.5 points better than a Mountain West champ. BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT! I’m not looking to take away anything the 13th ranked rushing attack of the Beavers. They will move the chains on the ground. But being that they don’t pass the ball with any real success, it makes it very easy for the Aggies and their very smart coaching staff to figure them out offensively. Butthe real mismatch here is between the nations 15th ranked passing unit of Utah State and the 87th ranked pass defense of Oregon State. QB, Logan Bonner is a stud, with 36 TD’s 3500+ yards passing, he and his talented quartet of receivers will absolutely shred the Beavers secondary. The Aggies are red-hot. They have dropped just one game since mid-October, riding runs of 7-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. They’ve covered their last three in the underdog role, winning all three outright. I like Utah State straight up here but I will take 7.5 points folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you.

BYU.

Game 212.

12:30 pm pst.

BYU is a very good team that has faced and beaten quite a few other good teams in 2021. And with all respect to UAB, they really only stepped up once this season, resulting in a 56-7 beating at the hands of Georgia. For starters, there’s the potent 1-2 punch of 2500-yard passer Jaren Hall and 1400-yard rusher Tyler Allgier. Then there’s the fact that the team is going to come out firing on all cylinders because their head coach, the very well-liked, Kalani Sitake, just signed a long-term contract, and the team is excited about it. Then, there’s the elephant in the room folks. The coaching staff and the team will go out of their way to prove to pollsters that they deserved a New Years Day Bowl. Guys, don’t forget, this is a team that went 5-0 against Pac-12 opponents this season. They are also 7-2 ATS the last nine games played against Conference USA foes. Take BYU. Thank you.

Army.

Game 104.

12:00 pm pst.

QUESTION: What do you get when you match up two of the best rushing attacks in the nation that neither throws the ball? ANSWER: 15 straight unders WOW! But the lowest total (34.5) that there has been in at least a decade, oddsmakers have made a pre-empted strike here guys. I don’t know about the total folks. But I do know that Army has faced and beaten better teams this season. And they score 15 PPG more and allow about 7 PPG less than Navy. The Black Knights are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 games played in the month of December, and 8-3 ATS the last 11 games played vs. nonconference foes. The Midshipmen are 1-6-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. INDEP and 0-6 ATS the last six games played vs. nonconference opponents.

Michigan.

Game 322.

5:00 pm pst.

Guys, with all respect to Iowa, they more or less got to the conference championship sneaking through the back door.  Yes, they are 10-2, I am not looking to take away anything from that. However, Michigan, not only did they get here coming through the front door, they kicked the damn door in. They demoralized Ohio State last week. As a matter of fact, since their sole loss of the season to MSU, they’ve rattled off four straight wins and covers. As good as the Hawkeyes defense is, the Wolverines “D” is even better. This is going to play a huge part here folks as Iowa’s offense is stagnant. They own some of the ugliest numbers in college football. On the other hand, Michigan is 20th in total yards, 13th in scoring, owns a solid passing attack, and the nation’s 10th ranked running game. The Hawkeye’s two losses (Purdue and Wisconsin) were against two teams that played very aggressive defensively, each holding Iowa to just seven points. The Wolverines will do the same with their stellar stop-unit and offensively with the tandem of combined 2100-yard rushers, Haskins and Corum, will control the clock, the tempo, and wear down the overworked Hawkeyes “D” here. Take Michigan. Thank you.

Alabama.

Game 318.

1:00 pm pst.

We all know how good Georgia is. But the Bulldog’s can have a poor showing here or even lose and still own a spot in the CFP. Alabama has a sharper head coach, a better QB, and defensively matches up well against the rush, which is Georgia’s bread and butter. And most of all, thy need the win. The Bulldog’s really haven’t had to face too many well-balanced, aggressive stop-units. ‘Bama has taken six in a row SU in this series. The underdog is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this rivalry. The Crimson Tide is 4-1 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 11-3 ATS the last 14 games played following an ATS loss. Take Alabama. Thank you.

Oklahoma State.

Game 308.

9:00 am pst.

Oklahoma State is 5th in the polls. The top-four teams all have tough games this weekend. Two of them (Georgia and Alabama) face one another. Someone has to lose. With a good showing here, the Cowboys can very well move up in the rankings and have a shot at the CFP. Okie State has won and covered the last two meetings in this series including October’s matchup, 24-14. The Cowboys are just a half-point away from covering 10 straight contests. The Bears have trouble with aggressive defenses and are primarily a one-dimensional offense, relying on the run. The Cowboys counter with the nation’s 5th ranked run defense. Overall, Oklahoma State’s “D” leads the country in sacks (49) and tackles for loss (99). They will spend more time in the Baylor backfield than the Baylor players. The Bears are 2-10 ATS the last 12 games played at the Cowboys and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight games played on fieldturf. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played in the month of December and 20-6-1 ATS the last 37 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Oklahoma State. Thank you.

Cal.

TD.

Game 203.

7:30 pm pst.

Two teams that know one another very well come down to turnovers. Cal is one of the best on the nation at both ends of the field. The Golden Bears defense is much tougher and certainly more reliable. They are 12-1 ATS the last 13 games played as a road underdog, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. conference opponents, and 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Golden Bears. Thank you.

Notre Dame.

TEN DIMES PLAY.

Game 207.

5:00 pm pst.

Notre Dame moved up to #5 in the polls. With Alabama slated to play Georgia in the SEC championship and Michigan facing Ohio State this week and then one of those two teams heading for a meeting with most likely a streaking Wisconsin team, something I preach all season long… style points are huge right now for Notre Dame. Both sides of the line of scrimmage they outclass a Stanford team that has already thrown in the towel, dropping six in a row both SU and ATS. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you.

Kentucky.

BB.

Game 165.

4:30 pm pst.

Between Kentucky’s stout defense and the 1-2 offensive punch of QB, Levis (2,444 Yards Passing, 23 TD’s) and RB, Rodriguez (1,150 Yards Rushing, 8 TD’s) the Wildcats will get another win and cover. Things didn’t go so well the last time Louisville faced and SEC representative (Mississippi 43-23 on opening day). Kentucky is 4-1 ATS the last five games played at Louisville. Take the Wildcats. Thank you.

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Oregon State.

VIM GOM.

Game 203.

12:30 pm pst.

Oregon is very beatable. Oregon State is a remarkable 8-0 ATS as a Pac-12 road ‘dog for head coach Jonathan Smith since 2019. The Ducks dominated this series until last November. The tide is turning folks. The Beavers are 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games played at the Ducks, 6-0 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take Oregon State. Thank you.

Penn State.

CONSENSUS GOM.

Game 223.

12:30 pm pst.

The wheels have completely come off the MSU wagon folks. Now facing a very tough PSU defense (15.5 PPG allowed) their struggling offense is in real trouble. Doesn’t matter who is at the helm for the Nittany Lions, they will devour the Spartans 130th ranked pass defense in the air. Penn State is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 9-2 ATS the last 11 games played as a favorite, and 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. Take the Nittany lions. Thank you.

Utah State.

CONSENSUS Play.

Game 123.

10:00 am pst.

New Mexico, which is 1-10 ATS this season, also ranks dead-last in the nation in both total offense and scoring. If you’re keeping track, that’s 130th. The dismal unit averages just 238.8 YPG and 12.4 PPG. This is a team that has tried five quarterbacks this campaign. All the Lobos want is for the season to be over. Now they must face an Aggies team that comes in here upset and motivated. After winning five in a row SU and four straight ATS, Utah State got crushed last week at the hands of Wyoming. Because of that defeat, they must win here and get some help for a piece of the MW Mountain. Very rare for this time of year, but they are 100% healthy and have quarterback, Bonner (2,930 yards passing, 59.7% completion rate, 27-10 ratio) and running backs, Tyler JR. and Noa (1,203 yards rushing, nine TD’s on the ground. The trio will control the clock and wear down the already-overworked and tired UNM defense that has been scorched for 102 points just over the last three contests. The Aggies are 4-0 ATS the last four game splayed in this series. Take Utah State. Thank you.

Kansas State.

ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE Play.

Game 121.

9:00 am pst.

Guys, the line in the Kansas State/Texas matchup is off. The game should be a pick ‘em or even K State minus one. The reason why the line is off…Wildcats quarterback, Skylar Thompson is banged-up and as of posting he is listed as questionable. Two things here folks…#1 backup QB, Will Howard is no stranger to starting. Last year he was in nine games and this year four games. #2 …guys, Kansas State’s success has very little to do with their offense. Their 7-4 record is all about their defense. Thy allow just 21.0 PPG in one of the highest-scoring conferences in college football. And my friends, their defense is 100% healthy. No injuries there. Texas is a trainwreck, dropping six in a row both SU and ATS. Speaking of against the spread. K State is 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 meetings in this series. No matter who is the helm, the Wildcats with this game outright. But I will take the FG here. Thank you.  

NIU.

Consensus play.

Game 104.

4:00 pm pst.

NIU clinched the MAC West and is headed to the conference title game on December 4th with the winner of the Miami-Ohio/Kent State matchup. The Huskies have won seven of the last eight games SU and are 6-2 ATS coming into this contest. The Broncos are on a 1-3 SU run failing to cover all four of those games. The ‘dog is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series. WMU is 2-8 ATS the last 10 games played at NIU, 0-4 ATSA the last four games played against conference opponents, and 0-4 ATS the last four games played as a favorite. NIU is 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 games played vs. WMU, 5-2 ATS the last seven games played vs. conference foes, and 3-1-1 ATS the last five games played at home. Take the Huskies. Thank you.

SMU.

High Roller.

Game 327.

12:30 pm pst.

Giving a team like SMU double-digits is a gift folks. Yes, Cincinnati will be able to pass the ball. However, the Bearcats won’t be able to run against their stout front-7. Don’t let it slip your mind that the Mustangs account for over 41.6 PPG and can both throw and run the ball with efficiency here. Cincy is on an 0-4 ATS slide playing some very close game with teams they should have thumped. The underdog is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. Take SMU. Thank you.

Michigan.

Consensus.

Game 343.

12:30 pm pst.

Following their sole defeat, Michigan has won and covered their last two games. Coach Harbaugh knows his team must keep their foot on the gas and get a big win here if they are to have a shot at the CFP. The 9th ranked; one-loss Wolverines have six teams in front of them in the polls that also have one loss. The Michigan defense has been outstanding. DE, Hutchinson and LB Ojabo each have 10 sacks and will get to the mistake-prone Maryland quarterback, Tagovailoa who has been sacked 15 times just over the last five games. But the biggest mismatch is between the 25th ranked scoring machine of the Wolverines offense (34.7 PPG) going up against the 102nd ranked doormat of a Terrapins defense (31.4 PPG allowed). Michigan is 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. Maryland and 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. conference foes. Maryland is 0-5 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 0-6 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Wolverines. Thank you.

Minnesota.

Big Ten Game of the Month.

Game 357.

12:30 pm pst.

Minnesota has been through quite a bit this season. Their three top running backs all went down, one after the other. And yet, they still rank 22nd in the nation in rushing. After rattling off four consecutive wins and covers, the Golden Gophers have lost and failed to cover their last two outings. Well folks, no need for any concern because pulling in to Memorial Stadium to face the Big Ten’s cellar-dweller, the Indiana Hoosiers, is just what the doctor prescribed to get back on track. Indiana, which is 0-7 in conference play this season, own some of the nation’s poorest offensive numbers. And lining up against college football’s 18th scoring defense here, things will go from bad to worse for the Hoosiers. Defensively, they won’t be able to stop the ball-carrying tandem of Thomas and Irving, who have teamed up for 981 yards rushing and five TD’s in the backup roles. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Hoosiers, 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 games played on the road, and 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 games played in Big Ten play. Minny wins by double-digits folks. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you.

Wake Forest.

Oddsmakers Mistake.

Game 361.

9:00 am pst.

Clemson fans, I wouldn’t get too excited over the teams three-game SU win streak. For us bettors, the Tigers are still point spread poison, donning a 2-8 ATS mark this season. Wake Forest, which is 6-0 in conference play, has a chance to lock up their first ACC Atlantic title since 2006. And trust me folks, nothing would be sweeter than clinching it this week against the team which has dominated this league the last several seasons. The Tigers defense is good. But in three of their last four contests (let’s throw out the Huskies, they stink), their stop-unit has allowed 71 points. The Demon Deacons own the nation’s No.2 scoring offense, averaging 44.7 PPG. Sam Hartman, who has tallied 3,163 yards passing, a 60% completion rate and 30/8 on the ratio is much more reliable than his counterpart, DJ Uiagelelei. Wake Forest has shaken up and gotten to much better quarterbacks this year folks. The team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings with the Tigers and 13-6 ATS the last 19 games played as a road ‘dog. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a winning record and 2-8 ATS the last 10 games played in the favorite role. Take Wake Forest. I like them on the money line but I will take the 4.5 points here. Thank you.

Iowa State.

Bookie Buster.

Game 401.

9:00 am pst.

With all respect to the Sooners, they just don’t look as good as their record. They are going up against one of the nation’s toughest, stingiest, and most-frustrating defenses (20.5 PPG allowed) here. The Cyclones are equally string against the pass as well as the rush. Let’s be honest, Oklahoma’s quarterbacks are starting to crack. Iowa State is very well-balanced offensively. Brock Purdy (2,441 yards passing, 73.4% completion rate, 15/6 ratio) and Breece Hall (1,172 yards rushing, 16 TD’s on the ground) are not intimidated by OU at all. They have already faced and beaten this team. Hall’s legs will allow Purdy to open up the passing game and exploit the 104th ranked pass “D” of Oklahoma. The Cyclones are 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. the Sooners, 20-9-1 ATS the last 30 games played as an underdog, and 20-7 ATS the lats 27 games played following a SU loss. Take Iowa State. Thank you.

Washington State.

Bookie Buster.

Game 167.

7:30 pm pst.

This is way too many points to give the striding Washington State team which enters this contest winning four of their last five game SU and six in a row ATS. The Cougars defense has stepped up and they now have a confident, talented quarterback at the helm. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played at the Ducks and 10-1 ATS the last 11 overall games vs. the Ducks. Take Washington State. Thank you.

Nevada.

Oddsmakers Mistake Play.

Game 223.

7:30 pm pst.

Nevada has won and covered the last three meetings with San Diego State. The Wolfpack matchup up quite well with the Aztecs. Defensively, they can contain the SD State running game. Offensively, quarterback, Carson strong (3,197 yards passing, 70.7% completion rate, 25/7 ratio) and the nation’s third ranked aerial attack will shred the Aztecs in the air which will allow running backs, Toa Taua and DeVonte Lee (718 yards rushing, seven TD’s combined on the ground to move the chains on the ground and keep the San Diego State honest. The Wolfpack are 9-0 ATS the last nine games played as an underdog, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following an ATS loss, and 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take Nevada. Thank you.

Utah State.

MWC GOM.

Game 221.

7:30 pm pst.

The Aggies have owned the Spartans, winning the last eight meetings SU, going 7-1 ATS. Utah State owns the top-spot in the MW Mountain and with the lowly cellar-dwelling Wyoming and New Mexico remaining on their schedule, they must win here to ensure the division crown. They enter this contest on a four-game SU win streak covering their last three outings. SJ State has only covered twice this season in the favorite role and those were against the atrocious, UNLV and Wyoming squads. They just don’t have the personnel to compete offensively here (21.4 PPG). The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Bonner (2,486 yards passing, 61.3% completion rate, 21/9 ratio) and receiver, Thompkins (1,314 yards receiving, eight TD’s) will dissect the SJSU secondary. Take Utah State. Thank you.

Boston College.

Consensus.
Game 131.

12:30 pm pst.

Guys, Boston College’s stats are a bit skewed. Their team leader, Phil Jurkovic missed most of September and all of October. The quarterback returned last week to spark the Eagles to a 17-3 win and cover over the Hokies. He’s back and will start in his own highlight reel here against the Yellow Jackets very weak defense. My friends, Georgia Tech possesses some of college football’s ugliest stats defensively. When they have the ball, they must line up against one of the nation’s toughest stop-units. BC allows a mere, 18.8 PPG. Tech is riding a three-game SU slide, are 1-4 the last five overall, both SU and against the spread. Between Jurkovic and the ferocious and frustrating Boston College defense, I like the Eagles outright but I will take the two points here with a BC team that is 20-9 ATS the last 29 games played as a road ‘dog and 25-12-1 ATS the last 38 games played in conference play. The Eagles soar folks. Take Boston College. Thank you.

ECU

High Roller.

Game 173.

9:00 am pst.

The Pirates, on both sides of the line of scrimmage, are playing some great football, resulting in five consecutive covers for us bettors. Now guys, I am not looking to take away anything from the Tigers. I mean this is a team 4-1 at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium with their only home loss coming at the hands of the undefeated Road Runners. In all honesty, Memphis will be able to throw the ball here. But that’s all they will be able to do. They can’t run the ball at all. ECU is much more well-balanced offensively. They’ve got a 2,000-plus yard passer and a running back approaching 1,000 yards rushing. Together, Ahlers and Mitchell will keep the Memphis “D” honest and back-peddling. Being that they can and will run the ball with authority, the Pirates will control the clock and the tempo here. They are 11-2 ATS the last 13 meetings with the Tigers, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played in conference play, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played as a road ‘dog. Take the points and take your bookmakers money with ECU. Thank you.

Pitt.

Consensus play.

Game 116.

4:30 pm pst.

Pitt has been money, going 7-2 SU and more importantly, 7-2 ATS this season. Kenny Pickett (3,171 yards passing, 68.7% completion rate, 29/3 ratio) and the 4th ranked passing attack of Pitt will pick apart the 86th ranked pass defense of UNC. The Tar heels can score. However, they face one of the toughest stop-units in the nation (22.7 PPG allowed). North Carolina is 1-7 ATS the last eight games played following an ATS win 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played on the road. Pitt is 4-0 ATS is 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. teams with a winning record, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. conference foes, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the Panthers. Thank you. 

Buffalo.

Bookie Buster Play.

Game 101.

4:00 pm pst.

Buffalo can score points as the Bulls average 33.7 PPG behind one of the best rushing attacks (25th, 205.4 YPG on the ground) in college football. The backfield consists of three talented ballcarriers in McDuffie, Cooks Jr., and Marks Jr., who have combined for over 1,539 yards rushing and 16 TD’s on the ground. They will control the clock and the tempo here. Buffalo took last year’s meetings, 42-10. The Bulls are 11-5-1 ATS the last 17 games played as an underdog and 7-1-1 ATS the last nine games played following an ATS loss. The Redhawks are 0-4 ATS the last four games played as a favorite and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you.

Houston.

TOUCHDOWN PLAY.

Game 335.

4:30 pm pst.

Houston must win-out to have a December AAC Title showdown with Cincinnati. The Cougars have rattled off seven consecutive SU wins, going 5-2 ATS. Their top-20 scoring offense will cut through the South Florida 108th ranked scoring defense like a hot knife through butter. On the flipside, the Cougars will completely shut down the Bulls lackluster offense. Houston has taken the last five meetings in this series SU, covering the last four by an average margin of 19.2 PPG. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 17-6 ATS the last 23 games played on grass. Take Houston. Thank you.

New Mexico State.

CONSENSUS PLAY.

Game 362.

1:00 pm pst.

There is no doubt Utah State deserves their praise. They sit atop the MW Mountain conference at 4-1, and own an overall record of 6-2. Granted, New Mexico State is 1-7 SU. But they are money, going 6-2 ATS, covering against some very good opponents. NMSU owns a very good rushing unit and will move the chains here against the nation’s 102nd ranked run defense. More importantly, they will keep the Utah State “D” on the field and their “O” off it. The home team is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. New Mexico State is 8-0 ATS the last eight games played following a SU loss, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. the MWC, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. nonconference foes, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take New Mexico State. Thank you.

Baylor.

BIG 12 GOM.

Game 357.

12:30 pm pst.

If this isn’t one of the biggest mismatches on the board this Saturday, nothing is. The 7-1, 14th ranked Baylor Bears face the unranked, 3-5 TCU Horned frogs. Baylor is 6-2 ATS while TCU is 1-6-1 against the spread in 2021. On both sides of the ball, the Bears totally outclass the Horned frogs. You’ve got a top-10 rushing unit led by Smith and Ebner, which have combined for nearly 1600 yards rushing and 11 TD’s. Then you’ve got the 116th ranked run defense on the other side of the line of scrimmage. Throw in the mix dual-threat QB, Bohannon, wow, what a stud. He’s accounted for nearly 2000 all-purpose yards and 23 TD’s. That would be enough. But the Bears also possess one of the nations toughest and stingiest defenses too. TCU, riding a three-game loss and no cover streak with the average margin of defeat coming by 17.3 PPG. The road team is 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series. Take Baylor. Thank you.