Las Vegas vs New York

Wednesday, 7 EST WNBA Finals

8-Unit Best Bet on the New York Liberty minus the 3.5 points

Betting on any team coming off an upset win of 10 or more points and has played just three games in their past 10 days have gone 63-44-2 ATS for 59% winning bets and if our team is playing at home has earned a 33-21-1 ATS record for 61% winning bets. If the total in these games was between 160 and 175 points, their record goes to 15-8-1 ATS for 65% winning bets.

New York Liberty vs LV Aces

Wednesday, 9 EST

8-Unit Best Bet on the Liberty plus the five points

Betting on road teams that have allowed 50% shooting in three consecutive games and facing a foe that is coming off a game in which they shot better than 50% has produced a 25-14-1 ATS for 64% winners over the past 15 seasons and 6-1 ATS if in a playoff game.

From the predictive model, we know that the Liberty in road games, scoring 81 or more points and having out rebounded their foe by at least 5 boards has gone to a 76-11 SU record and a 65-22 ATS for 75% winning bets.

Las Vegas Aces vs Dallas Wings

Friday 9:30 PM EST

8-Unit best Bet on the Wings plus the 6 points.

From the predictive mode we are expecting the Wings to score 80 or more points and to out rebound the Aces by at least six offensive boards. Second chance scoring opportunities will favor the Wins and one of the dominant reasons I think they can win this game. In past games in which the Wings met or exceeded these measures has led them to a 23-19 record and 27-13-2 ATS and when priced as the underdog 10-15 SU, but 17-7-1 ATS for 71% winning bets.

Friday: WNBA

New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun

7:30 PM EST

8-Unit best bet on the Liberty minus the 4.5 points

This five game series is tied a one game each and this is the critical Game 3 that pivots most series just as Game 5 in the NBA playoffs determines the winner most times in a tied series at 2 games apiece. We successful bet on the Sun and the first two games of this series, but not believe the market has overreacted and now making the Liberty a cheap road favorite. They are the better team overall.

Betting on road favorites from game 15 on out to the end of the playoffs that have lost to the spread in five or more of their last 7 games and now find themselves priced as not more than 7.5 point favorites has gone 55-21 (72%) and 47-27-2 ATS for 64% winners.

WNBA: Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces

Playoffs: 8-Unit best bet on the Under, currently priced at 175.5 points

8:00 PM EST

Consider betting 6 units preflop of the market (Best available price you can get) and then look for the game to play a bit fast then expected in the first two quarters action and look for 182.5 points to add the remaining 2 units to the 8-Unit best bet opportunity.

Betting the Under with a total of 140 points after game number 16, the home team has covered the spread in three of their last four games, has won at least 75% of their games on the season and facing a winning record team has seen the Under go 36-15 for 71% winning bets over the past 12 seasons. If the total is 160 or more points, the record has gone 20-10-1 Under for 67% winners and if above 170 points, the Under has gone 6-2 for 75% winning bets. If the total is 160 or more points and the road team has won 60% or more of their games, the record goes to 14-5 for 74% winning bets.

WNBA: Connecticut Sun vs Ny Liberty

Playoffs: 8-Unit best bet on the Sun plus the 9 points and a sprinkle on the money line.

8:00 PM EST

This is Game 2 of the WNBA semifinals that saw the Sun take the first game with an exciting 90-85 victory and easily covered the spread priced as 10.5-point underdogs. The Liberty have seen their last 5 games play Over the total and have won 10 of their last 11 games, but just 6-5 ATS. The Sun have won 8 of their past 12 games and have ha e covered seven of them with two pushes.

Betting on road teams in the regular and playoff seasons with one day of rest that are engaged in a matchup of teams each averaging 76 points per game and with the home team coming off a loss of 15 or more points has earned an outstanding 27-24 SU record and 32-18-1 STS mark good for 64% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream
8-Unit best bet on the Sky, who are priced as 2.5-point underdogs.

Betting on road teams that are averaging 76 or more PPG and facing a foe that is also scoring 76 or more PPG and is coming off a humiliating loss of 15 or more points has earned a 48-31-5 ATS record for 61% winning bets over the past five seasons. Both teams are coming off games and have had 4 days of rest to prepare. In this situation, the query improves to 31-14-1 ASTS for 69% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun
8-Unit best bet on the Wings, who are priced as 3.5-point underdogs. A sprinkle on the money line is a solid addition if the Wings get down by 10 or more points during the first half of action.

Betting on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that has a scoring differential between -3 and +3 PPG and facing a foe that are outscoring their foes by three to seven PPG and are coming off a game scoring 80 or more points has earned a n 18-10 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2011.

NY Liberty vs Las Vegas 
10-Unit best bet on the UNDER, currently at 177 points and is likely to trend higher throughout the afternoon.

So, consider betting 7-units preflop before the game start at the best price you can find, then look to add 1.5 units at 182.5 points and 187.5 points during the first half of action only.

Betting the Under in a game with a total of at least 140 points and with the road team coming off two consecutive ats wins priced as the favorite and with their foe coming off a home win has produced a 37-21 Under record good for 64% winning bets since 2011. If the total is priced at 160 or more points, this system has produced a 23-9 UNDER record good for 72% winning bets since 2011.

Betting the UNDER in a game with a total of 140 or more points and the home team has covered three of their last four games ATS  and is a team that has won 75% or more of their games and is taking on a winning record foe after the 15th game of the regular season has been played has earned an outstanding 33-14 record for 70% winning bets since 2011. If the total is 150 or more points, the Under has gone 30-13 for 70% winning bets since 2011. 

From the predictive models, we are expecting the Liberty to score 80 or fewer points and shoot 37.5% or lower from beyond the arc. In past games road games priced as the dog and matching or exceeding these performance measures, they have seen the Under go 71-30-2 for 70% winning bets. The Under has gone 34-12-1 Under for 74% winning bets when the Aces have been home favorites and have allowed 80 or fewer points and held the foe to 37.5% shooting or lower since 2019. 

Thursday: Atlanta Dream vs Seattle Storm

8-Unit best bet on the Dream plus the points.

Betting on teams that are facing a losing record team that are coming off a double-digit home loss and is non-conference foe have earned a solid 49-17 SU (74%) record and 43-21-2 ATS for 67% winning bets. If our team is on the road, they have then gone 23-10 SUATS for 70% winners. Plus, if more than 15 or more games of the regular season have been completed the record improves to 16-7 (70%) and 17-6 ATS for 74% winning bets.

Thursday: Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever

8-Unit best bet on the Lynx minus the points 

Betting on road favorites in matchup of faster than average pace with both teams coming into the game averaging 62 or more shots per game, after game number 20 has been played and with our road favorite coming off a game in which they made 50% or more of their shot attempts has produced a 67-27-2 ATS mark good for 64% winning bets since 2011. This algorithm betting system has never had a losing record season.

Atlanta Dream vs Las Vegas Aces
10-Unit best bet on Atlanta Dream plus the double-digit of points over the Aces.

Betting on a road team that played Over the total by 18 or more points in each of their two previous games in games played from May 1 to the end of the regular season has earned a 17-17 record, 22-11-1 ATS for 67% winning bets, and a solid 21-13 Over-Under record for 62%. If our road dog is priced at 6 or more points, they have gone just 3-9 SU, but 9-2-1 ATS for 82% winning bets and 8-4 Over for 67%. I four road dog is priced at any size dog and the total is at least 165 points, their record has gone 3-5 SU and 6-2 ATS and 7-1 Over-Under for 88% cashed tickets. Last, if our road dog played Over the total by 20 or more points in each of their last two games, they have produced a 3-8 SU record and 8-2-1 ATS mark good for 80% cashed tickets.

WNBA: Atlanta Dream vs Chicago Sky
8-Unit best bet on the Under, currently priced at 169.5 points and is valid down to and including 167.5 points.

Betting the Under in a game with a total of at least 140 points and with the home team revenging two consecutive double-digit losses to the current opponent and has won between 140 and 49% of their games in the current season has earned an outstanding 29-13-2 Under for 69% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If the total is 167.5 or more points, the Under record soars to 7-2 for 78% winning bets.

Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx
8-Unit best bet on the Las Vegas Aces minus the points
Betting on road favorites that are shooting at least 44% from the field for the season and facing a team that has shot 43% or better in each of their last three games has earned a solid 43-28-2 ATS record for 61% winning bets. If the road team is favored by 6.5 or more points, the record soars to 14-5 ATS for 74% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

WNBA: Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever
8-Unit best bet on the Minnesota Lynx minus the points. Betting on teams that are revenging a hoe loss to the current opponent and are also coming off an upset win against a conference foe have earned a 23-8-2 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons.

The Lynx are in third place in the Western Conference with a 7-9 record while the Fever is in last place in the Eastern Conference with a 5-11 SU record. The Fever are on a four-game losing streak and have failed to cover the spread in the last two games. The Lynx have won four of their last five games and are riding a current three-game SUATS win streak. 

The predictive models expect the Lynx to score at least 80 points, make 43% or more of their shot attempts and get at least 10 offensive boards and in past games when they have met these performance measures in a home game has seen them go 61-4 SU and 50-14-1 ATS for 78% winning bets. 

Minnesota vs Las Vegas WNBA 
8-Unit Best bet on the OVER 
From the predictive models, the Aces is expected to score 84 or more points. The Aces are 74-31 in games in which they have scored 84 or more points spanning the last five seasons. When the Lynx allowed 84 or more points in a road game has produced a 47-5-1 Over record good for 90.4% winning bets spanning the past five seasons. 

Betting the Over in a matchup in which the road team is coming off a loss to a divisional foe while the host is coming off a win over a divisional foe and with a total of at least 140 points has earned a highly profitable 40-15-3 Over record good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

Connecticut vs Washington 
8-Unit best bet on the OVER 
These two team squared off Sunday and was a winning 8-Unit best bet on Washington, who defeated Connecticut as a 1-point dog by the final score of 80-74. Both teams shot poorly from the field with both shooting under 40% for the game. However, the game total of 154 points was played Under by just five points (159 Total). With two games under their belts, the flow of the game will be much smoother and the game goes over the 159.5-point posted total.  
 
From my predictive models, both teams are projected to score at least 80 points each. In past games, Connecticut is 103-4-1 for 96% winning bets when they and their opponent both score 80 or more points. Washington is 100-5-1 Over in the same role. Connecticut is 138-42-2 Over with a posted total of 159 or more points and both teams scoring 75 or more points. Washington is 81-36 for 69% winners when they and their foe both score 75 or more points in games with a posted total of 159 or more points. 

WNBA Finals 
5% 10-Unit best bet Over the total in game-2 of the +WNBA Finals 

Betting the OVER in playoff games in which the two teams show under 40% in the previous matchup has seen the Over produce a 19-10-2 Over record good for 65.5% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. If playing the same opponent in the playoffs the Over is a remarkable 14-2-2 Over for 88% winning bets. 

Connecticut vs Dallas 

4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the Dallas plus the points 

WNBA playoff teams that won the previous game on the road, lost the 2nd to last game on the road and now return home are 20-17 SU, 20-16-1 ATS for 56% wins over the past 10 seasons. If these home teams scored 85 or more in their previous game, they go on to a 9-3 SU 75% record and 8-4 ATS for 67% wins. 

Also, betting on any team that is making 71 to 76% of their free throws on the season, are facing a foe that is making 76 to 80% of their free throws, and that foe has made 45% or more of their shot attempts in two consecutive games has earned a 24-9 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. 

New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky 
Noon EST 
4% best bet on the Chicago Sky minus the points 

Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the playoffs that lost their previous game priced as a favorite have produced an 9-3 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the last 10 seasons. The Sky lost Game-1 98-91 as 10-point favorites and I fully expect them to bounce back with a big-time effort to even this series. 

Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun

7 EDT, May 20, 2022

4% best bet on the Indiana Fever plus the points

Here is a highly profitable betting system that has produced a 92-50 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Bet on road underdogs that have allowed 70 or more points in five consecutive games and is facing an opponent that is coming off a game in which they scored 90 or more points. This system has gone 25-14-1 ATS for 64% winning bets over the last five seasons. If our DOG is a double-digit dog, then they have produced a 21-11-1 ATS record for 65.6% winning bets over the last 10 seasons.

Take the Indiana Fever and the very generous number of points.

SEATTLE (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 2)     

Thursday, 5/20/2021 8:00 PM

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Minnesota plus the points

Betting on road teams using the money line that are coming off an upset loss to a division rival installed as a home favorite has earned an outstanding 27-6 record good for 82% winning money line bets over the past five seasons.

From the predictive side of this matchupo, the models expect Minnesota to make at least 45% of their shots. Minnesota is an incredible 111-38 SU when they have made 45% or more of their shot attempts in games played over the last 15 seasons.

Consider betting 80% of your normal 4-UNIT bet size using the line and then add the remaining 20% using the money line.

7-STAR WAGER ON DALLAS (601) AS THEY TAKE ON CONNECTICUT IN WNBA ACTION SET TO START AT 7:00 PM EST.

The machine learning summary projects that Connecticut and Dallas will make 40 to 44% of their shots and Dallas will make at least 77% of their free throw shots. In past road games where Dallas has met or exceeded these projects they have earned a 6-1 ATS mark for 86% winners and covering the spread by an average of 8.7 points.

This situational query has earned a solid 35-13 ATS record over the past five seasons. The query instructs to play on road teams that are struggling and getting outscored by 3 or more points-per-game and is now facing an opponent that scored 90 or more points in their previous game. 

7-STAR WAGER ON CONNECTICUT (119) AS THEY TAKE ON NEW YORK IN WNBA ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30  PM EST.

This situational query has earned a 66-30 ATS record for 70% over the last 20 seasons. The query instructs us to play on road favorites after game number 15 in matchup of two up-tempo style teams averaging 62 or more shot attempts per game and after a game where a team made 50% or more of their shot attempts from the field. 

10-STAR WAGER ON THE ATLANTA DREAM (601) OVER THE NEW YORK LIBERTY IN WNBA ACTION SET TO START AT 7:30 PM EST.

This situational query has earned a 29-8 ATS record for 78% winners over the last five seasons. It instructs us to play on road teams after four or more consecutive losses and is a terrible team winning 25% of their game son the season. 

The machine learning summary projects that the Liberty will make 40 to 44% of their shot attempts and have 14 or more offensive rebounds. In past home games where they have made 40 to 44% of their shots they have gone 1-10 ATS over the last two seasons. When they have had 14 or more offensive rebounds in a home game they are 0-8 ATS. 

7-STAR WAGER ON THE ATLANTA DREAM (962) AS THEY TAKE ON THE LAS VEGAS ACES IN WNBA ACTION SET TO START AT 10:10 PM EST

This situational query has earned a 29-7 ATS record for 81% wins over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play on road underdogs in non-conference games with a team that is coming off a road cover ATS and lost the game straight-up. 

The machine learning summary we learn that Atlanta is a solid 9-2 ATS when attempting 12 to 18 free throw shots in games played over the last two seasons. Atlanta is 15-6 ATS in games where their opponent shot 42 to 46% form the field in games played over the last two seasons.

7-STAR ON THE CHICAGO SKY AS THEY TAKE ON THE NY LIBERTY IN WNBA SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST.

From the machine learning summary metrics the Sky are projected to hit 46% or better from the field and score 83 or more points. IN past games where the Liberty gave allowed an opponent to achieve or exceed these measures they have been a miserable 5-54 SU losing by an average of 12.7 points and 5-49 ATS for 16% wins and failing to cover the spread by an average of 9.0 points. When the Sky have achieved or exceeded these measures they have gone 65-16 SU winning by an average of 7.5 points and 61-20 ATS for 75% wins and covering the spread by an average of 7.5 points. 

10-STAR ON THE NEW YORK LIBERTY AS THEY TAKE ON THE DALLAS WINGS IN WNBA ACTION SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST.

From the machine learning summary the Aces are projected to hold Dallas to a minimum of 35% shooting from the field, will make at least 36% from the three-point line, and score at least 81 points. IN past games where the Aces have met or exceeded these projections they have earned a perfect 3-0 SU record winning by an average of 24.3 points and a 3-0 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 16.2 points. When scoring 77 or more points and hold an opponent to 35% or lower shooting from the field they are a perfect 5-0 ATS winning by an average of 25 points and 5-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 16.5 points

This situational query has earned a robust 28-6 ATS record good for 82.4% wins since 2015. The query instructs us to play ON road underdogs in a non-conference matchup that are coming off a road ATS cover and where the team lost the game straight-up installed as an underdog. 

John Ryan Sports

10-STAR ON THE LAS VEGAS ACES AS THEY HOST THE DALLAS WINGS IN WNBA ACTION SET TO START AT 10:00 PM EST.

From the machine learning summary the Aces are projected to hold Dallas to a minimum of 35% shooting from the field, will make at least 36% from the three-point line, and score at least 81 points. IN past games where the Aces have met or exceeded these projections they have earned a perfect 3-0 SU record winning by an average of 24.3 points and a 3-0 ATS record covering the spread by an average of 16.2 points. When scoring 77 or more points and hold an opponent to 35% or lower shooting from the field they are a perfect 5-0 ATS winning by an average of 25 points and 5-0 ATS covering the spread by an average of 16.5 points. 

The machine learning projections call for the Mystics to score 83 or more points and for the Dream to shoot below 40% form the field. IN past Mystics game where they have achieved these performance measures they have gone 30-0 winning the game by an average of 18.8 points and a 29-1 ATS mark and covers the spread by an average of 17 points.

The machine learning projections call for Seattle to shoot at least 44% from the field and will attempt a minimum of 69 shot attempts. In past games where Seattle has achieved this pair of metrics the ‘OVER’ has gone a solid 25-10 for 71.4% since 2011. When the Lynx have allowed this pair of performance measures to na oppomnent, the ‘over’ has earned a 34-12 record for 74%. Take the ‘OVER’

This situational query has earned a respectable 23-12 ATS mark for 65.7% winners and instructs us to play on road favorites in the month of July that are averaging 77 or more points per game on the season and have more wins than losses on the season.

Now, if we slice and dice the dataset a bit, and the team is playing against an opponent that has had more losses than wins on the season, the uery improves to 18-8 ATS for 69.2% wins over the last three seasons.

Chicago is projected to shoot under 34% from three-point territory and will commit 15 or more turnovers. In past games where they have had these struggles thjey are just 2-9 ATS when installed as a home dog and 26-42-1 ATS for 38% in home games regardless of the line.

7-STAR WAGER ON THE ‘UNDER’ ATLANTA DREAM VERSUS MINNESOTA LYNX (WNBA) (631-632) SET TO START AT 8:00 PM EST

This situational query has earned a 48-18 ‘UNDER’ record for 73%% wins over the last 20 seasons. The query instructs us to play ‘UNDER’ where the road team has a losing record and comes into the game after being beaten by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games and where the total is greater than or equal to 150.  

 The Lynx are projected to hold the Dream to less than 39% shooting from the field and cotain them to scoring between 64 and 71 points. When the Lynx have achieved this pair of performance measures the ‘UNDER’ has gone 28-8-2 for 77.8 winners and went’ under’ by an average of 10.8 points. 

10-STAR WAGER ON THE INDIANA FEVER (619) AS THEY TAKE ON THE LAS VEGAS ACES IN WNBA ACTION SET TO START AT 10:30 PM EST

This situational query has earned a 31-9 record for 78% ATS wins over the last 22 seasons and instructs us to play against home favorites of 10 or more points that are averaging 45 or more rebounds-per-game on the season, in May, June, or July games.  

7-STAR WAGER ON THE WASHINGTON MYSTICS (WNBA) (647) AS THEY TAKE ON THE LAS VEGAS ACES SET TO START AT 10:30 PM EST

This situational query has earned a 80-39 ATS record for 67% ATS wins and has made the $100 bettor $3,,750 over 10 seasons. The query instructs us to play against home teams that are excellent 3-point shooting teams making 37% or more of these shots and with the game taking place on May., June, or July. 

The Mystics are projected to score at least 80 points and make more three-point shots than the Aces. In past games when the Mystics achieved or exceeded these two performance measures they have earned a 60-7-2 ATS record and covered the spread by an average of 10.9 points

7-STAR WAGER ON THE CHICAGO SKY (WNBA) (643) AS THEY TAKE ON THE NEW YORK LIBERTY SET TO START AT 7:00 PM EST

This situational query has earned a 23-5 ATS record for 82% wins and has made the $100 bettor $1,750 over the last five seasons. The query instructs us to play against home  teams with a line ranging between a 3-point favorite and a 3-point dog after allowing 80 or more points over their last two games and are now facing an opponent that has scored a minimum of 70 points in four straight games. 

The Sky are projected to score at least 80 points and are 41-17-1 ATS in past road games when they have achieved or exceeded that benchmark and 14-7 ATS since the start of the 2017 season The Liberty are just 13-35 ATS for 27.1% wins when they have allowed 80 or more points in a home game. 

7-STAR WAGER ON THE WASHINGTON MYSTICS (WNBA) (639) AS THEY TAKE ON LOS ANGELES SPARKS SET TO START AT 10:30 PM EST

This situational query has earned a 50-22 record for 69% wins and has made the $100 bettor $3,630 over the last 20 seasons. The query instructs us to play against home  teams that had two consecutive hot shooting games hitting 45% or better from the field and facing an opponent that allowed 45% or higher shooting over their last three games. 

The Mystics are projected to score at least 83 points and are 22-4 ATS in past games when they have achieved or exceeded that benchmark over the last two seasons. The Sparks are just 3-13 ATS when they have allowed 83 or more points over the last two seasons.