Toronto vs Cleveland 

4% 8-Unit best bet on Cleveland minus the points

Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points facing a foe that they have lost the last two meetings against, and with that opponent coming off an upset win over a divisional rival has produced an 85-20 SU record and 62-37-6 ATS for 63% winning bets over the past 27 seasons. If a home favorite in this situation produced a 61-14 SU mark and 47-25-3 ATS for 65.3% winning bets; 13-5 ATS for 72% winning bets over the past 10 seasons.

Hornets vs Clippers

4% 8-Unit best bet on the Hornets plus the points

Betting on road dogs from game number 15 on to the end of the regular season that are coming off a road win and has won 25 to 40% of their games on the season and facing a winning record team has earned an 88-42-5 ATS record good for 67% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

Mavericks vs Timberwolves

4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Mavericks minus the points

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points and facing a foe that they lost to in the most recent meeting and that foe scored at least 100 points and that host is coming off a home win in which they scored 115 or more points has earned a 44-19-3 ATS record good for 70% winning bets.

Bet the Mavericks

Trail Blazers vs Thunder

4% 8-Unit best bet on the Trailblazers minus the points.

The same betting system that is active for the bet on the Mavericks is also active for this bet on the Portland Trail Blazers. 

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

5% 10-Unit Best Bet on the Heat minus the points

Despite being the youngest team in the Association, the Rockets are coming off two tenacious defensive efforts holding the Bucks to just 36% shooting and the Suns to 32% shooting, which was the worst the Suns have shot since October 18, 2017. The Heat are playing without their leading scorer Jimmy Butler, but Tyler Herro matched a career high with 35 points including nine made 3-pointers. The Heat got off to a horrid start, but not find themselves just one-game under .500 and are playing great team basketball right now. Despite Herros 35-point effort, the Heat had six players score in double figures.  

This is the third game of a four-game road trip for the Heat, who are also playing on back-to-back nights. They won back-t-back road games for the first time this season and with the very weak San Antonio Spurs on deck, they know they can win all four games. 

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points and facing as team that had 13 more turnovers than their opponent in their previous game has earned a 76-27-2 ATS record good for 74% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and 18-7 ATS good for 72% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team is playing on back-to-back nights, the record soars to a highly profitable 14-3 ATS record good for 82% winning bets over the past 25 seasons and is 7-1 ATS 88% since 2015.

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Denver Nuggets

Betting on road favorites, playing with same season revenge and coming off a home loss, and not playing on back-to-back nights has earned a 52-19 SU record good for 73% winners and 49-22 ATS good for 69% winning bets since 2015. If our team is not playing on B2B nights and the host has MORE rest, our team has gone 56-24 ATS for 70% winning bets since 2015. This system is11-3 ATS good for 79% winning bets over the past two seasons.

Portland is 16-28-1 ATS in hoe games and when facing a solid shooting team making 46% or more of their shot attempts on the season spanning the last two seasons.  

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns

5% 10-Unit Best Bet on the Boston Celtics

Let’s get right into the meat and potatoes. Betting on teams lined between a 3.5 point favorite and a 3.5-point underdog and facing an opponent that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG on the season and coming off three consecutive games that saw at least 220 points scored in each one has earned an outstanding and highly profitable 47-19 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our team has one day of rest, they have earned a 43-15 ATS mark good for 74% winning bets last 5 seasons. If our team has had the same number or more days of rest than the opponent, the record has improved to 42-17 ATS for 71% over the past 5 seasons. 

Chris Paul may be playing for the Suns tonight after having missed the previous 14 games since injuring his heel in a game at Philadelphia November 7. The Celtics have won and covered seven of its last eight games. Boston’s latest victory was Monday's 116-110 win at Toronto and covered the spread as 1.5 point underdogs. The Celtics were without center Al Horford (back) and guard Malcolm Brogdon (illness) for that game but received 31 points and 12 rebounds from Jayson Tatum and 22 points and eight rebounds from Jaylen Brown. It was Tatum's team-high 12th double-double of the season, and the 15th consecutive game Brown has scored at least 20 points.

Celtics are 14-4 ATS in road games after having won at least six of their previous games over the past two seasons. Celtics are 21-11 ATS for 66% winners in road games where they have been priced between a -3 favorite and +3 underdog over the past two seasons.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks 

5% 10-Unit Max Best bet on the 76ers 

Let’s get right to it, shall we? Betting on road underdogs, who lost to the current foe by three or fewer points in their last meeting, and the foe just lost a game priced as a favorite has earned a 35-10 ATS record good for 78% winning bets since 2017. If our dog is priced as a 4 or fewer-point underdog they have earned an 11-3 ATS record good for 79% winning bets since 2017. 

This is the first of two games against each other with the second game taking place Saturday in Philadelphia. Joel Embiid returned to the 76ers Monday having fully recovered from the flu while the Hawks Trey Young is back at full strength recovered from a lower leg injury. Embiid scored 33 points and 10 boards marking his fourth double-double of the young season. Not the same for Young, who shot horribly poor (10-for-28) in a 125-119 home loss last night. 

The 76ers bench is significantly better than the Hawks edition, who were outscored 43-19 last night. James Hardin remains out nursing a tendon strain in his right foot, but Tyrese Maxey, despite being so young, is learning quickly how to run the point for four quarters and doing it quite well.  

From the predictive mode, we are expecting the 76ers to score at least 111 points and make more 3-pointers than the Hawks. IN past games since 2017 in which the 76ers met these performance measures has seen them go on to a 96-16 SU record, 85-25-2 ATS (77%) record. When the Hawks have allowed 11 or more points and made fewer three-pointers than their opponent has seen them produce an 18-86 SU record and 23-81 ATS for 22% since 2017.  

Charlotte Hornets vs NY Knicks 

4% 8-Unit Best bet on the Knicks minus the points 

Bet on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points that are facing a team that covered the spread by 24 or more points in their previous game has earned a 62-33-2 ATS record good for 65% winning bets over the past five seasons. If our favorite is not playing on back-to-back nights, they have gone on to a 55-27-1 ATS record and 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons 

4% 8-Unit Best Bet on the pistons plus the points 

Pistons are playing on back-to-back nights and coming off three straight road losses, but these negative results put the Pistons into an excellent contrarian best bet opportunity tonight. 

Betting on teams playing on back-to-back nights and have lost three straight road games have earned a 32-30 SU record and a highly profitable 45-15-2 ATS mark for 75% winning bets since the start of the 2016 season. There is more data drilling to do though. If our team is installed as a dog between 3.5 and 9.5 points, they have gone to an outstanding money-making 19-3 ATS record good for 86.4% winning bets since 2016. 

In a rare scheduling glitch these two teams will play two consecutive games against each other in Detroit starting tonight with a day off Thursday and then the second game being played Friday. Thus far, the Hawks have been reliant on starters for most of their scoring. Trae Young leads the club in scoring (25.3 points per game) and assists (11.7). Backcourt partner Murray is second in both categories (19.7, 8.3) while grabbing 7.3 rebounds per game and nabbing 3.3 steals per outing. 

Collins is averaging a double-double (19.0 points, 10.3 rebounds), but the highest-scoring reserve, Onyeka Okongwu, is averaging just 8.7 points. Charlotte's reserves outscored Atlanta's bench 52-28 in the Hawks 126-109 road loss Sunday. The Detroit bench is much better than the Hawks right now giving them a great opportunity to earn an upset win. 

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics

8:00 EDT, June 8, 2022

5% MAX Best Bet on the Warriors plus the points

Let’s get right to it. The Warriors are the best team in the NBA coming out of the half with Coach Kerr making the correct adjustments based on the first half of action and then anticipating the adjustments that his opponent will make for the second half. That was quite evident in Game-2 and Game-1 as well before the Warriors fell flat in the fourth quarter. Playoff teams, like the Warriors that have outscored their opponents by 25 or more points in the third quarter and are coming off an ATS cover by at least 3 points are 21-10 SU and 20-11 ATS for 65% winning bets.

Warriors are 10-5 ATS over the last five playoff seasons and 5-1 ATS over the last three playoff seasons coming off two consecutive home games. Kerr is 44-26-1 ATS following a game in which his team allowed 90 or fewer points.

From my predictive models, the Warriors are expected to score at least 111 points and have the better and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past regular and playoff season games under Kerr, the Warriors are 284-28 straight-up and 223-82-7 ATS for 73% winning bets; 42-4 SU and 33-13 ATS for 72% winning bets in playoff games.

Bet the Warriors plus the points.   If they are trailing at the half, consider an optional 1% wager betting the in-game line on the Warriors, which should be higher than 3.5 points if the Celtics are winning at the half. 

Miami vs Boston

4% best bet on the Miami Heat plus the points. Now that we are up to 9 points, this becomes an attractive best bet opportunity regardless of who plays and who does not play for the Heat. We saw the St. Louis Blues wins two consecutive games against the Colorado Avalanche after getting hammered in two home games to make the series 3-2. So, why not the Heat, who positively cannot play worse than they have over the past two games. 

Not all the analytics side with the Celtics. Playoff teams that are coming off a home loss in the conference and NBA Finals are 54-41 SU and 51-42-2 ATS for 55% winning wagers including a 41-53-1 Over-Under record. Since 2017, these revengers are 15-8 SU and 16-7 ATS for 70% winning bets including a 21-11 Over-Under record. In the 2021-22 playoffs this series accounts for two of the three previous situations with the Heat winning Game-3 after losing at home in Game-2 and the Celtics winning in Game-4 after losing in Game-3. The other game saw the Dallas Mavericks defeat the Golden State Warriors in Game-4 after losing at home in Game-3. These three situations have combined for a 3-0 SU and ATS record. 

Playoff teams, like the Heat, that are coming off a double-digit home loss in the conference and NBA Finals are 15-15 SU and 17-12 ATS for 59% winning bets including a 17-13 Over-Under record spanning the last 20 seasons. I see at least 3-points in value betting on the Heat and somehow, they are going to will their ways to force a Game-7.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors

9:00 EDT, May 26, 2022

4% Best Bet on the Golden State Warriors

Let’s get right to it. The Warriors won the first three games and lost in Game-4 on the road in this Western Conference best-of-seven finals. Teams, like the Warriors, that have won the first three games to start a conference or NBA finals and failed to get the sweep in their previous game go on to a 15-3 straight-up record and a 13-5 ATS record for 72% winning bets including 9-8-1 Over-Under spanning the last 20 seasons. If installed as a home favorite, they are 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS for 67% winners.

The Warriors are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS at home this postseason, with an average winning margin of 118-103 and have covered the spread by an average of 7.8 PPG. They have never lost Games 4-5 consecutively after taking a 3-0 lead. 

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

8:30 EDT, May 21, 2022

5% MAX Best Bet on the Miami Heat plus the points

No. 1 seeds in the NBA playoffs are 51-37 ATS when coming off a home loss, 16-10-1 ATS for 62% winning bets when coming off a home loss and taking to the road for Game-3 of any round. Top seeds are 21-11 ATS for 65.6% winners when coming off a double-digit home loss and 14-5 ATS in the Eastern Conference. 

No.1 seeds are 12-6-1 ATS for 67% winners when having allowed 47.5% or higher 3-point shooting in their previous game and are priced as the underdog including pick-em and if playing in the Conference Finals or the NBA Finals has gone 9-4-1 ATS for 69.2% winning bets. 

Teams in the conference finals or finals that are averaging 13 or more made 3-pointers and coming off a game in which they made 17 or more 3-pointers are just 3-11 SU and ATS in the next game and 2-5 ATS for 29% winning bets in favored in that next game.

My predictive models are calling for the Heat to score 108 or more points, have more rebounds and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio in Game-3. In past playoff games, teams that have met or exceeded these projections are 304-25 SU and 288-38-3 ATS for 88% winning bets. If these teams are road dogs, they have produced a 40-11 SU and 45-6 ATS for 88% winning bets over the last 20 seasons and 13-5 SU and 14-4 ATS for 78% winning bets over the last five playoff seasons.

Memphis vs Golden State

4% Best bet on the Warriors minus the points. 

Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won between 60 and 75% of their games, that are facing a foe that has covered the spread in four or five of their last six games and sports a win percentage between 60 and 75% on the season has earned an outstanding 60-26-1 ATS for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. Warriors are 17-5-1 ATS evening a road loss this season.

Plus, the Warriors have lost 6 of their last 7 ATS. Playoff teams that have lost 6 of their last 7 to the spread and are priced as a home favorite of at least 4.5 points have earned a 40-6 straight-up record and a 29-16-1 ATS record good for 64% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. Playoff teams that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games and have 3 series wins exact are a solid 31-15-1 ATS for 67% winners over the last 20 playoff seasons,

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers 

7 EDT, May 6, 2022 

5% MAX Best Bet on the Miami Heat minus the points and I like them even at –4.5 points. 

The 76ers were priced as 8-point road dogs in Game-2 after losing Game-1 as a 7-point road dog. The line opened for this Game-3 matchup with the 76ers favored as single-point favorites and has moved to making the Heat a 3-point road favorite on the news that center Joel Embiid is OUT for this game. This is one of the largest line moves in the playoffs spanning the last 20 seasons and underscores how the betting community has now vastly overpriced the Heat. Being overpriced does not by itself result in an ATS win or loss either, but we are getting paid handsomely to assume the risk and uncertainty with how the 76ers will play. 

Over the past 20 playoff seasons, and a line difference of 9 or more points between the current game and the previous game, with the team, in this case the 76ers having been and road underdog in the previous game and now priced as a home underdog has seen the road favorite, Heat, perform quite well producing a 110-51 SU record for 68% money line winners and 97-62-2 ATS record for 61% winning bets. If the game is taking place in the Eastern Conference with the dog being a 4-seed or worse, the road favorite has earned a 47-17 SU mark for 74% winning bets and 41-22-2 ATS for 65% winning bets over the last 20 playoff seasons and 16-2 SU and 15-2-1 ATS for 94% winning bets since 2015 playoff season. 

Boston vs Brooklyn 

4% bet on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points.  

Betting on teams that are in a game lined between a 3.5 points dog and a 3.5-point favorite and facing an opponent that has outscored their opponents by 6 or more points per game on the season and with that opponent having played three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one has gone 46-15 ATS for 75.4% winning bets and 44-17 SU for 72% wins over the last five seasons. If this game is taking place in the playoffs our team has gone 9-4 ATS for 69.2% ATS winners over the last 10 playoff seasons.  

From my predictive models, we are looking for the Nets to score 115 or more points and score at least 20 fast break points in this game. The Nets are 13-2 SU for 87% wins and 11-3-1 ATS for 79% winning bets in games where they met or exceeded that pair of performance measures. 

Suns vs Pelicans 

4% Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points and consider the money line as an option if it is priced at –125 or better.  

The Suns have won 26 more games than the Pelicans on the season and including this series. NBA Playoff games in a matchup where the Dog is coming off an upset win and with the opponent having won 25 or more games on the season has seen the DOG go 2-11 ATS for 15% winning bets.  

No. 1-seeds that are coming off a loss in game they were favored are 35-26-2 ATS for 57.4% winners dating back to the 2003 season. Plus, if the game is in the first round, they are 12-7 ATS for 63% winners.  

Favorites in the NBA playoffs that are coming off a loss priced as a 7 or greater favorite have earned a 72-15 SU record and a 55-33-1 ATS mark good for 62% winning bets dating back to the 2003 season and 22-5 SU and 19-8 ATS for 70.4% winning bets over the last five playoff seasons. Plus, if our revengeful-minded team is favored by no more than 2.5 points have earned an 8-4 ATS mark for 67% winning bets. 

Bet the Suns  

Toronto vs Philadelphia 

7:30 PM EST, April 18, 2022 

4% best bet on the 76ers minus the points 

I am certainly in the camp that does not see the Raptors responding to the dominating loss they endured to the 76ers in Game-1. Maxey scored 38 points and will more than likley not reach even 28 tonight, but Embiid had 15 boards and a very quiet performance and now I believe it will be his turn to take advantage of the matchup opportunities he will enjoy. The media has you thinking that Harden is becoming a problem on the court. Nothing falser could ever be stated. When he is the conductor of the offense, the 76ers ball movement and distribution is near perfection and he had a huge game-1 distributing the ball to the correct player at the correct time and his experience are invaluable to say the least. 

Betting on 3.5 to 9.5 point favorites in the month of April that have won three or more consecutive home games has earned an outstanding 49-18 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons.  

New Orleans vs Phoenix Suns 

5% Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points 

In the playoffs in game 1 or 2 betting on the No.1 seed priced as a double-digit favorite has produced a 60-6 straight-up record and 37-28-1 ATS mark good for 57% winning bets. Plus, if these No.1 seed favorite is priced between 8.8 and 11.5 points, they have produced an 8-1 ATS record in game 1. The Suns are far too good to get overconfident and full of themselves and underestimate a surging Pelicans team. Must admire New Orleans’ resilience under HC Willie Green, as the Pelicans have been scrapping for weeks to get to the playoffs. McCollum’s presence certainly made a difference when the Pels came to Phoenix and inflicted a 117-102 defeat on the Suns on Feb. 25 for 1 of those 9 Footprint losses. McCollum outscored Booker 32-30 and made 11 of 18 shots and the Pelicans destroyed the Suns on the boards, posting a 53-37 rebounding edge with Valanciunas grabbing 17 of those boards. What is missing is the fact that Chris Paul did not play in that game that truly had little meaning for the Suns, who had already moved far ahead in the standings. Game-1 of the first round of the playoffs playing at a packed and raucous house will be a completely different environment for the Pelicans and one that I think will be more than just intimidating.  

OK. Playoff favorites that have been defeated by the spread by a combined total of 47 or more points over their last 7 games (can extend back into the regular season) has produced a 15-2 SU record and 13-4 ATS mark for 77% winning playoffs bets over the last five seasons. Plus, 9-0 ATS if the favorite is playing the current game with more rest than the current opponent.  

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks 

1:00 EST, April 16, 2022 

4% best bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points 

Supporting this bet on the Jazz is the following situational betting system that has earned a highly profitable 29-16 ATS record good for 64.4% winning bets over the last five playoff seasons. Bet on road favorites that made more than field goals in their previous game then what they averaged for the regular season. That is all there is to it. 

Luka is out and may not even be available for Monday’s Game-2 and Dallas is a team that is solely dependent on his super star caliber of play.  

One LIVE betting strategy that may happen in this game would allow for an excellent price on the Jazz during the first half of action. I always expect a home team just like Cleveland last night, to come out the gates flying high. Dallas will certainly have the home crowd behind them, and it is possible they get out to a 10-point lead. So, bet 50% of your 4% betting amount pre-flop and then look for the fast start by Dallas to add the other 50% amount at –1 or pick-em and try not to pay more than –115 vig. Be patient and allow the market to come to you and not force the bet and pay too much vig. LIVE odds are highly volatile, and they will move often enough, especially during a time out situation, allowig you to get the price YOU WANT.  

New Orleans vs LA Clippers 

4% Best Bet on the Pelicans as a –1 point favorite and is good to go up to and including 3.5 points. 

Clippers are just 5-17-1 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in the past five days this season. 

Betting on road favorites (now that the Pelicans have become the favorite) after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games has earned an outstanding 24-10 mark over the last three seasons and 40-16-1 ATS record over the last five seasons for 71% wining bets. 

Denver vs Memphis 

9:00 PM EST, April 7, 2022 

4% Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets minus the points 

Betting on teams that are facing a strong opponent that is outscoring their opponents by 6 or more PPG on the season, in a game lined between the 3’s, and with the opponent coming off three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored in each one has earned a 44-17 ATS record for 72.1% winning bets over the last four seasons.  

Memphis (55-24) is locked into the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference and won't know who it will face in the first round until the play-in tournament gets started. The fact that it possibly could be the Nuggets is a little surprising. 

Denver (47-33) had a chance to clinch at least the No. 6 seed with a home win over San Antonio on Tuesday night but was blown out by the Spurs. The Nuggets need a win in one of their last two games to avoid the play-in tournament, and they can end the drama when they host the Grizzlies on Thursday night. 

Boston vs Milwaukee 

7:30 EST, April 7, 2022 

4% bet on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points 

Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a matchup of excellent teams sporting win percentages between 60 and 75% on the season and with the visitor having covered the spread in four or five of their last six games has earned an outstanding 55-25 ATS result good for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons. 

Celtics are just 1-10 ATS following two consecutive ATS wins priced as a favorite in games played over the last two seasons. 

Miami vs Boston 

7:40 ET, March 30, 2022 

5% MAX Bet (10-UNITS) on the Miami Heat plus the points.  

If Miami remains the underdog in this matchup, this 5% MAX Bet (10-Units) is good to go. 

In the Eastern Conference there are four teams, Miami, Philadelphia, Boston, and Milwaukee, that are within 1.5-games of each other for the race to the top-seed for the playoffs. Miami and Boston square off in this matchup with Miami the current No.1 seed and Boston the 3-seed in the playoff standings. Milwaukee is in the 2-seed position and would take on the winner of the 7-seed vs 8-seed Play-In Tournament matchup between the Cavaliers and the Nets. The winner of that matchup becomes the 7-seed in the playoff bracket and would face the 2-seed, while the loser of that game would face the winner of the 9 vs 10-seed matchup, which is currently Charlotte vs Atlanta.  

My predictive models point to Miami in this matchup and a sprinkle of no more than 0.75% (0.75 Units) on the money line. Both Celtics stars Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum will be on the court tonight. So, we are looking for the Heat to score 111 points, have 13 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a 20-3 SU, 22-1 ATS record for 96% winning bets. They are also 14-0 ATS over the last 10 seasons when installed as a road dog of not more than five points, scoring 111 or more points with 13 or fewer turnovers. 

The following betting system has earned a 95-43-1 ATS record good for 69% winning bets since 1995, 24-9 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. If the game is taking place after game number 41, the record is 65-30-1 ATS for 68.4% winning bets since 1995, and 16-6 ATS for 73% winning bets over the last five seasons. Among the 25 seasons, there have been 22 seasons that this betting algorithm has made profits. The 3 losing seasons were 1-game under 0.500 in two of those season and 2-games under 0.500 ATS in the third. 

The requirements for this betting system/algorithm is to be on any team in a matchup of two teams that have won 60% to 75% of their games in the current seasons and with the team we are betting against, Boston, coming off a straight-up loss, but covered the spread 

Clippers vs Denver 

10:00 PM EST, March 22, 2022 

4% Best Bet on the Clippers plus the points 

Clippers are solid 3-point shooting team that is making 36% of those long-range shots on the season. The Nuggets are just 1-9 ATS when facing a team that ids making at least 36% of their 3-pointers in games played this season. 

From my predictive models, we are looking for the Clippers to score at least 114 points and have 12 or fewer turnovers. When the Clippers have met or exceeded these performance measures in road games they have gone to earn a 18-6 SU record, 18-7 ATS mark good for 72% winning bets over the last three seasons. 

Bulls vs Bucks 

8:00 PM EST, March 22, 2022 

4% best bet on the Bulls plus the points, currently at +6 points and is a valid bet down to and including 4.5 points. 

The Bulls are coming off a significant win over the Eastern Conference rivals Toronto Raptors 

I do see the Bulls carrying the positive momentum over to this game against the Milwaukee Bucks, who are just 1-11 ATS when facing a team with a win percentage between 50.1 and 60% this season (at least one-game over 0.500) and just 10-20 ATS when playing against a team that is at least one-game over 0.500 this season.  

Here is a tremendous money line betting system that has earned a 51-30 straight-up record for 63% winning bets and has made the $1,000 bettor a $43,000 profit by averaging a +145-underdog bet. Bet on home teams using the money line in a matchup of teams that are allowing 108 to 114 points per game on the season and playing against the team that is one that allowed 130 or more points in their previous game. If both teams allowed 130 or more points in their previous game, then this system is void. Milwaukee was dominated by the Minnesota Timberwolves 139-119 in their previous game Saturday. 

If the game from the algorithm above is in the second half of the regular season (after game number 41) it has done even better sporting a 37-15 straight-up record for 70% winning bets averaging a +160-money line wager and has made the $1,000 bettor a $42K profit. Just this season, it has achieved a 7-6 SU result, but has made $8K in profits for the 1K bettor.  

Atlanta vs NY Knicks 

7:30 PM EST, March 22, 2022 

4% bet on the Atlanta using the first half betting line 

0.5% Trae Young Over points + assists 

You can bet that the Knicks faithful will out to boo Trae Young at every opportunity tonight at Madison Square Garden as the Hawks look to avoid a season4-0 sweep to the Knicks. He took a bow at center court last Spring when he and the Hawks eliminated the Knicks from the playoffs and the fans have not forgotten this fact. Young is at times a polarizing figure in the NBA and he does respond well to haters when playing on their court.  

Betting the first half line with a road team that is allowing an average of 108 to 114.5 points per game on the season and facing a host that is averaging just 104 to 108 points per game on the season and is coming off a double-digit loss has earned a solid 120-61 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last 25 NBA seasons and most of it coming recently due to the increase in scoring over the past 25 years with a 66-31 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the last three season.  

Portland vs NY Knicks 

7:30 ET 

4% best bet on the NY Knicks minus the points 

Portland is 9-23 ATS when facing teams allowing 108 or fewer points per game this season. NY is 23-11-1 ATS in home games which playing a team with a losing record over the last two seasons. Portland is 3-12-1 ATS when playing their sixth game in the past 2 weeks (14 days). Knicks are 12-2 ATS after covering the spread in four or more consecutive games over the last two seasons. 

Minnesota vs Cleveland 

7:10 PM EST 

5% best bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves  

The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to continue their climb in the Western Conference standings with a win over the Eastern Conference Cleveland Cavaliers set to tip-off at 7:10 PM EST at the Rocket Mortgage Field House. Cleveland has relied on their defense that ranks best in the Association allowing an average of 102.3 points per game. The Wolves have the 6th best scoring offense in the league averaging 113.1 points per game.  

The problem I have with the Cleveland defense is that it is based on slowing the pace of play to a crawl. They rank 30th in the league averaging 84.8 shot attempts per game so the defensive points allowed per game would be higher based on 100 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the NBA allowing 106.4 points per game per 100 possessions per game. Cleveland is an average defensive rebounding team and this is where the Wolves have a major advantage and will have many more second chance scoring opportunities than the Cavaliers. The Wolves rank 4th in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.2% on the season. 

Cavaliers are just 33-50 ATS when facing good teams like the Wolves that are averaging at least 23 assists per game and 12-28 ATS when facing teams shooting 24 or fewer free throws per game in the second half of each of the last two seasons. Plus, they are a dismal 3-16 ATS after failing to cover four or more consecutive games over the past two seasons and 0-8 ATS following a game in which they were called for 10 or fewer fouls than their opponent.  

From my predictive models, I am expecting the Wolves to attempt 90 or more shots and will overcome the Cavaliers attempts to slow the pace of the game. As road favorites including pick-em, the Wolves are 11-3 ATS for 79% winning bets when attempt 90 or more shots. Take the Minnesota Wolves for a 5% best bet. 

Dallas vs Golden State 

7:30 ET 

4% best bet on the Dallas Mavericks plus the points 

The Warriors had limped into last week's All-Star break having lost four of five games to fall 6 1/2 behind first-place Phoenix. But Golden State returned to action in top form Thursday with a 132-95 road win over the Portland Trail Blazers. 

Mavs are on a 9-1 ATS win streak when coming off a loss. The Warriors Thompson is listed as questionable, and it appears he will not be in this game tonight. If he does suit up the line may move by as much as three points. I like the Mavs no matter what Thompson’s status becomes. So, a suggested strategy is to bet 50% of your 4% bet size now and then wait till the game is within 30-minutes of tip-off and add the remaining 50% amount. 

Mavs are 21-9 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.  

Here is an excellent betting system that has earned a 26-8 ATS record for 77% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on road underdogs in the second half of the season (after game number 41) that are making 33 to 37% of their three-point shots, are coming off back-to-backgames in which they made at least 15 3-pointers and now taking on an opponent that allows 33 to 37% 3-point shooting.  

Brooklyn vs New York 

7:30 PM EST, February 16, 2022 

5% 10- UNIT best Bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid bet if the Nets are at least a 3-point underdog. 

0.5% (0.5 units) 

As hard as it is to believe, the Nets have not had two consecutive wins in over a month. I obviously believe that sickening trend will end tonight is MSG. There is always the chance for an ATS win, but SU loss when the bet is on a dog, but when the dog is 4.5 or fewer points, an ATS win generally translates to a SU win.  

In the Nets 109-85 win over the Sacramento Kings as a 2.5-point home underdog they never trailed in the game. The highlights of the postgame press conference comments were about how the chemistry in the locker room radically changed to “Everyone likes each other”. Whether intentionally stated or not, this change in culture is a major positive factor that has the potential to propel the Nets to the World Championship.  

Anyway, this research is about this game and the 5% grading. So, let’s get to it right now. 

The following is a highly profitable betting algorithm that has produced consistent results for many seasons. It has earned a 17-9-1 ATS record over the last three seasons and 36-15-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that have lost five or six of their last six games, has a winning record on the season, and is taking on a losing record team.  

Plus, if that team (Nets) played a home game in their previous game, their record soars to 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons.  

5% 5-UNIT NBA Game of the Month 

JR is nailing the NBA and is on a 73% ATS win streak and his last 5% was a Big-Time winner when the 76ers favored by 6.5 points defeated the Spurs 119-100 and that was his only 5% release in the NBA. This one is reinforced by a highly profitable betting system that has hit 70% winners and includes a subset that is a remarkable 20-5 ATS for 80% winners spanning the last five seasons. Brooklyn vs New York 

7:30 PM EST, February 16, 2022 

5% best Bet on the Nets plus the points and is valid bet if the Nets are at least a 3-point underdog. 

0.5% (0.5 units) 

As hard as it is to believe, the Nets have not had two consecutive wins in over a month. I obviously believe that sickening trend will end tonight is MSG. There is always the chance for an ATS win, but SU loss when the bet is on a dog, but when the dog is 4.5 or fewer points, an ATS win generally translates to a SU win.  

In the Nets 109-85 win over the Sacramento Kings as a 2.5-point home underdog they never trailed in the game. The highlights of the postgame press conference comments were about how the chemistry in the locker room radically changed to “Everyone likes each other”. Whether intentionally stated or not, this change in culture is a major positive factor that has the potential to propel the Nets to the World Championship.  

Anyway, this research is about this game and the 5% grading. So, let’s get to it right now. 

The following is a highly profitable betting algorithm that has produced consistent results for many seasons. It has earned a 17-9-1 ATS record over the last three seasons and 36-15-2 ATS record for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to bet on road teams that have lost five or six of their last six games, has a winning record on the season, and is taking on a losing record team.  

Plus, if that team (Nets) played a home game in their previous game, their record soars to 20-5 ATS for 80% winning bets over the last five seasons.  

Phoenix vs Chicago 
4% bet on the Chicago Bulls 

Bulls are coming off a 119-108 home loss to the 76ers, in which Embiid scored 40 points. He was not the high scorer in the game as DeMar DeRozan scored 45 points including 9 rebounds and 7 assists. The Bull have been playing without forward Zach Levine, who is suffering from back spasms. I do expect the Bulls to bounce back from the loss Sunday and get the ATS win tonight. They are 19-7 SU, 17-9 ATS for 65% winning bets in their home games this season. 

Here is a highly profitable and consistent NBA betting system that has earned a 74-40 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Bet on teams that have exceeded the total by at least 6 points in each of their last five games and now facing a conference opponent. Plus, if our team (Bulls) is playing on back-to-back nights, they improve to 13-6 ATS for 68.4% winning bets. 

Miami vs Washington 
4% best bet on Washington plus the points 

Wizards are 43-22 ATS 67% in home games taking on a guest that is averaging at least 23 assists per game in games played over the last three seasons. Wizards are a perfect 8-0 ATS after allowing 95 or fewer points in their previous game in games played over the last two seasons. On Saturday, the Wizards lost badly 95-80 as 8-point dogs to the juggernaut Phoenix Suns.  

From the predictive models there is a high probability that the Wizards will get at least 48 rebounds. In past games, the Wizards are 7-2 ATS this season and 31-13 ATS the last three seasons when they have had 48 or more boards. 

Milwaukee vs LA Clippers 

4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points 

This simple to use NBA betting system has earned an outstanding 37-12 for 77% winning bets ATS record over the last 25 seasons and has not lost ATS over the past five seasons. Bet on road favorites in a non-conference matchup that is facing a host that is coming off a win of not more than three points over a divisional foe. Over the last 10 seasons, this betting angle has produced an incredible 13-2 ATS record good for 87% winning bets.  

Atlanta vs Dallas 

4% bet on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points. 

The following is a money-making betting system that has earned a 55-28 ATS record good for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons. Bet on losing record teams that have won five or six of their past seven games and in a matchup with the line between the 3’s. Plus, if our team involved in this matchup is the road team, they improve to 11-2 SU and ATS for 85% winning tickets. 

Here is a second supporting algorithm that has done quite well over the last five seasons sporting a 50-30 ATS record and 64% winning tickets. Bet on teams that are lined within the 3’s and are coming off a double-digit road loss and now taking on a host that they defeated in their last matchup. 

Indiana vs Phoenix 
4% bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points. 

This is the 4th road game of their scheduled 5-game travel through the Western Conference. They defeated the Lakers 111-104 as 5.5-point dogs on Wednesday and then defeated the Warriors, who had almost all starters given the night off, 121-117 as 13.5-point dogs. The status of those starters was announced just prior to the tip and the market had a very small window of time to adjust. I think Phoenix will not bench any starters and will not overlook the Pacers tonight. 

Pacers are just 20-35 ATS facing teams that are making at least 37% of their three-point shot attempts spanning the last three seasons. Also, betting against underdogs that are coming off back-to-back upset wins has earned a 196-133-6 ATS record for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and if the dog is playing their third or more consecutive road game installed as a double-digit underdog has seen our favorite earn a highly profitable 22-10 ATS record good for 69% winning bets.  

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks 
4% bet on the Bulls minus the points 

Bet on road favorites that are taking on a host that led at the half of their last game by 20 or more points. This simple set of parameters has earned an outstanding 98-46-2 ATS record good for 69% winning bets over the last 25 NBA seasons and is 12-6 ATS for 767% winners over the last five seasons. 

Dallas has been a money-losing 9-22 ATS in home games after winning their previous game on the road spanning the past three seasons. They are also a weak 4-15 ATS in home games and have covered the spread in five or six of their last seven games in games played over the last three seasons.  

Spurs vs 76ers 
5% (5-UNIT) best bet on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points.  

The 76ers are back to full strength and appear to have the COVID-19 problems that inflicted the team a month ago in their rearview mirrors. They have won five consecutive games and will looking to make it six straight tonight against the Spurs at the Wells Fargo Arena. 

Embiid, who recently was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Month, has at least 30 points in all five wins. The Spurs are one of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, but this style works against them in a big way having to defend Embiid in the paint or out beyond the arc. Embiid has a complete all-around game going for him and his teammates and is simply unstoppable. 

The Spurs, Dejounte Murray came off the COVID-19 list and produced 22 points in the Spurs' 99-97 win over the Boston Celtics on Wednesday. Murray had been out for 10 days, including five games. The Spurs lost four consecutive games and failed to cover the spread in three of the four losses, while Murray was out. With Murray back in action, the market is giving us the opportunity to ’buy’ the 76ers at a cheap price and I see them winning this game by double-digits. 

From my predictive models, the 76ers are expected to score at least 110 points and have 14 or fewer turnovers. In past games in which the 76ers met or exceeded these measures, they went on to earn a 72-26 ATS record for 74% winning bets over the past five seasons and when installed as a 4.5 to 9.5 point home favorite has produced a 37-1 SU record and 30-8 ATS record for 79% winning bets. Take the 76ers.  

76ers vs Nets 

The Nets got James Harden back on the roster late last week and his first two games were dominating and reminded me of his days with the Houston Rockets. However, the story now shifts with the probable return of KD to the lineup and how he and more importantly he and James will play together on the same court tonight. The Nets also got rotation players DeAndre' Bembry, Bruce Brown and James Johnson back over the weekend and LaMarcus Aldridge is also expected to play Thursday. The 76ers have been more at full strength in the past week then at any time over the past month.  

The line opened with the Nets priced as a 3.5-point home favorite and the news of KD’s return has seen a steam move to –5.5 points. The total opened at 217 and the news has since forced the market to move higher now at 222.5 points.  

Betting on teams fresh off a road win over a divisional foe and playing their third game in five days has produced a solid 23-10-1 ATS record for 70% winners over the last five seasons and 17-6 ATS over the last three seasons for 74% winners. 

Wizards vs Kings

10:00 EST 12-15

4-Unit best bet on the Wizards minus the points

Kings opened as 1-point favorites and now the market has moved three points through pick to make Wizards a 2-point favorite.  I fully agree with the market movement and so do my predictive models.

Betting on road teams that have lost five or more of their last seven games with a winning record on the season and facing a losing record team has done well earning a 33-9 ATS record good for 79% winning bets over the last five seasons. Wizards have lost five of the last six games and failed to cover in all but one of them. That lone game was a push in a 116-110 road loss at Indiana. Kings have lost three straight games and have a losing 11-17 record for the season.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

9:00 ET. July 17, 2021

4-Unit Best bet on the Milwaukee Bucks plus the points

I like making these types of underdogs a combination wager comprised of 80% of your normal 4-UNIT bet size on the line and 20% more on the money line. Over the course of a season, the money line bet will outperform the spread-only wager.

From my predictive models, the Bucks are expected to shoot better, and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio over the Suns. In past games, in which the Bucks met or exceeded these performance measures they have gone on to a remarkable 106-1 SU and 94-11-2 ATS for 90% winning bets over the last 3 seasons.

LA Clippers (56 - 33) At Phoenix (62 - 24)

Monday, 6/28/2021 9:00 PM

Western Conference - Conference Finals - Best Of 7 - Game 5

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns minus the points

Betting on home favorites of 3 to 9 points and are coming off a game in which they held the opponent to 35% or worse shooting in games played over the last five seasons has earned a 31-6 SU record and 29-8 ATS for 78% winning bets. The UNDER is a solid 23-14 record for 62.2% wins. 

The predictive models and machine learning applications predict that Phoenix will score at least 112 points and make at least 85% of their free throws. In past home games, in which the Suns met or exceeded this pair of measures has produced a 22-11 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. 

Phoenix vs LA Clippers

Game – 4 of the Western Conference Finals

Saturday, 6/26/2021 9:00 PM EST

5- UNIT Best Bet on the Clippers using the money line.

Bet on home teams that are facing a foe that has covered 8 or more of their last 10 games and is playing only their 4th game in the past 10 games has earned a 26-14 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last five seasons and a remarkable 10-3 ATS for 77% in the playoffs. 

Phoenix is 4-16 ATS off a loss by 10 or more points to a divisional rival in games played over the last 3 seasons. 

From the predictive side of things, the Clippers are 50-11 ATS for 82% winning bets in home games when scoring 112 or more points and having a better 3-point shooting percentage than their opponent.  

Atlanta vs Milwaukee

8:30 PM EST, 6-25-21

NBA 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks

Atlanta does not fare well against teams, like Milwaukee, who defend the perimeter to contest shots, and not look to clog the passing lanes looking for steals. The Hawks are just 8-21 ATS in road games when facing a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers-per-game in games played over the last two seasons. 

Betting on favorites that are revenging a previous loss installed as a favorite of 7 or more points and is now facing an opponent that is coming off two or more upset wins has earned an outstanding 55-23 ATS mark good for 71% winning bets over the last 20 NBA seasons. When this situation has occurred in the playoffs, the record has been 20-6 SU, 17-9 for 65% ATS, and the UNDER 18-8. 

Bet the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points.

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Game-5 Eastern Conference Playoffs

7:30 PM EST, June 16, 2021

4-unit Best Bet on the 76ers minus the points

Embiid is expected to play tonight and I recommend making this bet about 10-minutes prior to game time. Another option, which is what I will do, is bet 50% of my normal 4% amount at 4:00 ET and then look to add 25% in-game at 76ers +3.5 and then 25% 76ers at pick-em. Another in-game strategy is bet the 76ers line after the Hawks score 10 or more unanswered points. All of the these betting strategies are valid just for the first-half.

Atlanta shot 37% from the field in their 103-100 win in Game-4. Note that road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that shot less than 40% in the previous game which they won are just 10-34 SU and 17-27 ATS for 38% and 27-17 UNDER. Not a recommendation for the UNDER on my part.

Philadelphia will get it done in game-5 no matter how many minutes Embiid plays tonight.

My machine learning models predict that the 76ers will score at least 117 points. The implied final score based on a 224 point total and the 76ers favored by 7 points is a 76ers 116-108 home win. In past home games in which the 76ers scored at least 115 points and had more fast break points than their guest did has earned an incredible 42-3 SU record, 37-8 ATS mark for 82% winning bets and 32-13 to the OVER.

Milwaukee vs Brooklyn         

Saturday, 6/5/2021 7:30 PM

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets

Let’s start with a betting angle that has earned a solid 64-33 record for 66% winning bets over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on home teams (Nets) in a matchup of winning record teams and now facing an opponent has covered the spread in their last three games installed as a favorite.

The Nets are 30-14-1 ATS when facing an opponent that is making at least 46% of their shot attempts on the season in this season. They are also 35-16-2 ATS this season when facing a team that is scoring at least 112 PPG (League Average).

The machine learning applications predict that the Nets will score at least 115 points in this game. The Bucks are just 15-33 SU and 7-41 ATS in road games and have allowed at least 115 points spanning games played over the last three seasons.

BROOKLYN (50 - 25) at BOSTON (38 - 38)          

Sunday, 5/30/2021 7:00 PM

NBA 4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points and with that opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points has earned a highly profitable 42-11 SU and 37-14-2 ATS record good for 73% winning bets over the last 20 seasons.

Brookyln is 32-17 ATS (+1370 per $100 bet) when facing teams scoring at or above the NBA League average of 112 or more points-per-game this season. Boston is just 4-18 ATS (-1550 per $100 bet) when facing teams who average 7 or fewer steals-per-game this season. Plus, Boston is just 7-22 ATS in home games facing defensive teams forcing 14 or fewer turnovers-per-game in the second half of each of the last three seasons.

Take the Brooklyn Nets minus the points.

SATURDAY, MAY 29TH, 2021 9:30 PM ET

Game 3: Series tied 1-1

Jazz @ Grizzlies

FedExForum, Memphis, TN

8-UNIT Best Bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points

This series is tied at 1-game a piece, but Utah is clearly the much better team in this matchup with the Grizzlies. What I like most, is that the Jazz have produced a 0.31 free throw to field goal attempt ratio. This means that they are taking 31% of the total field goals attempted over the first two games, and means they are getting to the charity stripe at a high rate. The Jazz will look to get this ratio to an evem higher level, which puts the Grizzlies in potential foul trouble in the first half. The Grizzlies are not nearly as deep as the Jazz and it will be a monumental advantage to the Jazz if they make more free throws than the Grizzlies.

From the predictive side of things, the ML models project that the Jazz will shoot at least 48% from the field and make at least 20 free throws. Over the past three seasons, playoff teams that have met or erxceeded these performance measures have earned a 48-8 SU record and 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winning bets over the last three playoff seasons.

Bet the Utah Jazz as a 8-UNIT Best Bet minus the points.

SATURDAY, MAY 29TH, 2021 4:00 PM ET

Game 4: DEN leads series 2-1

Nuggets @ Trail Blazers

Moda Center, Portland, OR

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets plus the points and sproinkle a bit more on the money line.

Denver, despite its injuries, took back home court with a win in Game 3 Thursday night in Portland. The Trail Blazers went ice-cold from beyomd the arc in their 120-115 loss, shooting 14-for-45, and the Nuggets took advantage by having made the defensive adjustments they did for Gasme-3. I do not see Portland being able to offset the adjustments that Denver made in game-3 and they are expected to lose this game at home. With a Game-4 win, Denver then will have a home elimination game for Game-5.

Denver has gotten the usual stellar performance from MVP favorite Nikola Jokic, but it has been the role players who have given the Nuggets an edge in the series. Campazzo nearly had a triple-double in Game 3 (11 points, eight rebounds and eight assists) and took a borderline charge on Nurkic, who fouled out in the fourth quarter. Campazzo is a 30-year-old NBA rookie who has been thrust into a starting role with injuries to Murray, Will Barton and PJ Dozier, and he has responded extremely well.

Denver has excellent ball movement and Portland is just 18-32 ATS in home games when facing teams averaging 23 or more assists-per-game over the last two seasons. Denver is 12-4 ATS in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games this season. Portland is 4-12 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more over two straight games this season.

From the predictive side of my machine learning apps, Denver is expected to score at least 115 points in this game. In road games installed as an underdog, the Nuggets have earned a 10-7 SU record and 13-4 ATS record good for 77% winning bets over the last three seasons.

Bet the Denver Nuggets as a 4-UNIT best bet plus the points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too.

WASHINGTON (35 - 40) at PHILADELPHIA (50 - 23)    

Wednesday, 5/26/2021 7:00 PM

Game-2 of the First Round

10-UNIT Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points.

The 76ers are a solid 22-13-1 ATS in home games and facing a team that is averaging 112 or more PPG in games played over the last two seasons. Wizards are 18-35 ATS in road tilts after having lost two of their last three games spanning the last three seasons. 76ers are a highly profitable 16-6 ATS in home games coming off an ATS loss and with a total of 220 or more points over the last two seasons.

A lot of negative news out about how poorly he played on the offensive end down the stretch. He did have 15 rebounds and 15 assists BUT did go 0-for-6 from the charity stripe. However, the 76ers are 55-38-2 for 59% following a game in which Ben Simmons made no more than one free throw. The 76ers are 25-14 ATS for 64% winning bets coming off a game in which Ben Simmons scored fewer than 10 points and 16-8 ATS in home games coming off a game in which Ben Simmons scored less than 10 points. 76ers are a remarkable 21-4 ATS for 84% winning bets in home games and coming off a home game in which Ben Simmons had 10 or more assists. Including, 14-1 SU and ATS coming a home game getting at least 10 assists and now his team is at home installed as a favorite of 4.5 to 9.5 points.

My models are predicting that the 76ers will score at least 118 points and make at least 33% of their 3-point shot attempts. In past games, when the 76ers met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned an outstanding 43-4 SU and 33-14 ATS record good for 71% winning bets over the past three seasons.

Take the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points. 

Washington Wizards vs Philadelphia 76ers

1:00 PM EST, May 23, 2021

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Philadelpphia 76ers

This is the first of many Best Bets in NBA, MLB, and the NHL for Sunday. So, please stop back to get the complete card including a top-rated 5-Unit Game of the Month. All bets will be released by Noon ET.

Here are a few of the situational angles that support the 76ers. They are 21-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season; 24-11 ATS in home games facing faster-paced teams averaging 88 or more shots-per-game over the last two seasons.

Betting on home favorites of 2.5 to 9.5 points that are hosting a team they previously defeated by double-digits and with that opponent coming off a double-digit home win has earned a 140-91-5 ATS record good for 60% winning bets over the last 25 seasons.

From my predictive models, the 76ers are expected to score at least 120 points and have the better assists-to-turnover ratio in this game. In past home games, when the 76ers have met or exceeded these performance measures, has produced a 35-12 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the past five seasons.

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
Saturday, 5/22/2021 8:00 PM

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points

The Celtics lost all three games to the Nets this season and none of the losses had the star trio of Harden, Durant, and Irving on the floor at the same time. They will be playing only the ninth game together and have played just 203 total minutes together in games played this season. The Celtics are without their best player in Jaylen Brown and all signals point to a best double-digit win.

Betting on home teams that have posted three consecutive games with a 2.5 or better assist-to-turnover ratio and facing an opponent that has a season-to-date assist-to-turnover ratio below 2.0 has earned an outstanding 18-9-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last three seasons.

The betting lines ikmply a 119-111 Nets win and the predictive models that I have developed over more than two decades see a high probability that the Nets will score at least 117 points in this game. When scoring 117 or more points in home games, the Nets are 40-10 SU, 34-15-1 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last three seasons. When allowing 117 or more points in road games, the Celtics are a horrid 3-26 SU, 4-24-1 ATS for 14% in games played over the last three seasons.

MIAMI (40 - 32) at MILWAUKEE (46 - 26)

Saturday, 5/22/2021 2:00 PM

Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Miami Heat plus the points.

I like making this a combination bet comprised of 80% of your normal bet size on the line and 20% on the money line.

Milwaukee is just 13-23 ATS when facing a good shooting team making >=46% of their shots this season; 5-18 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. The Heat is 24-12 ATS against Central division opponents over the last two seasons.

The predictive models point to the Heat scoring at least 112 points in this game. The Bucks are 17-38-2 ATS in home games when allowing 112 or more points over the last three seasons. In road games, the Heat are 36-11-1 ATS when scoring 112 or more points spanning the last three seasons and a perfect 4-0 ATS in playoff games.

WASHINGTON (34 - 38) at BOSTON (36 - 36)

Tuesday, 5/18/2021 9:00 PM

Eastern Conference - Play-In Game - Game 1

4-UNIT Best Bet on the Washington Wizards

The Boston Celtics ended the regular season in a deep slump, while the Washington Wizards soared to the finish line. Their paths will converge Tuesday night when the Celtics host the Wizards in the play-in round. The winner will land the No. 7 seed for the Eastern Conference playoffs, while the loser will get another attempt to play their way in on Thursday night.

The Celtics (36-36), who finished seventh in the Eastern Conference, need to raise their level now as they struggled down the stretch with five losses in six games and nine of their past 13. They also lost standout guard Jaylen Brown (wrist) for the rest of the season. He averaged 24.7 points per game and losing Brown's firepower hurts even more when the opponent trots out Bradley Beal and Russell Westbrook as the starting backcourt.

Washington is 18-6 ATS facing teams allowing 111+ points-per-game and 2nd half of this season. Boston is 10-22 ATS in home games facing teams - scoring 111+ points-per-game - 2nd half of the season over the last three seasons.

Washington 31-16 ATS in up-tempo games where they attempt 88 or more shots this season.

Memphis vs Golden State
Sunday, 5/16/2021 3:30 PM
4-UNIT Best Bet on the Golden State Warriors

The clubs enter the game with identical 38-33 records, tied for eighth in the West, meaning the winner will earn the No. 8 seed and a road game Wednesday against the seventh-seeded club (either the Los Angeles Lakers or Portland), while the loser will host 10th-place San Antonio as the No. 9 seed.

Warriors are 17-8 ATS wehen facing a team that averages at least 88 shot attempts-per-game this season; 16-7 ATS when facing teams allowing more than the NBA League average of 112 PPG this seasdon.

Betting on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after successfully covering the spread in two oir more consecutive games, and with both teams in the matchup having win percentages between 50 and 60% on the season has earned a 57-28 ATS record good for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Minnesota vs Utah
9:00 PM ET, April 24, 2021

4-Unit Best Bet on the Utah Jazz minus the points.

We are on a double-digit favorite tonight in the NBA action which is rare, but always reinforced by a multitude of facts. I will detail just a few of these facts that support Utah to win this game by at least 18 points.

Minnesota is just 13-26 ATS when facing a strong opponent that is outscoring their opponents by at least three or more points-per-game on the season; 16-27 ATS when facing a team averaging 111 or more PPG (NBA League Average is 111 PPG) this season. Utah is an outstanding 14-3-1 ATS when facing a team with a terrible defensive presence that is allowing opponents to make 48% or more of their shots from the field in games played this season; 21-9 ATS when facing a poor team that has been poutscored by their opponents by at least six PPG on the season.

From the complete analytical research, I am expecting the Jazz to score at least 115 points have the better, and more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio. In past home games in which Utah met or exceeded these performance measures has seen them go on to an outstanding 21-3 ATS record for 88% winning bets over the last three seasons.

Bet the Utah Jazz as a 4-UNIT Best Bet minus the points.

Toronto vs New York
1:00 PM EST, April 24, 2021

4-UNIT best Bet on the Toronto Raptors plus the points or the money line.

The betting line is at pick-em for the game at Madison Square Garden, so simply bet either the line or the money line with the lowest vig.  Shop around and you will get a line that is not paying more than -110 vig.

Toronto has suddenly won four consecutive games and are playing at a high level and facing a New York Knicks team that has been white hot, but vulnerable to regression in this matchup.

In this matchup, I think you will see Toronto score at least 110 points and make more 3-pointers than the Knicks. In past road games in which Toronto met or exceeded these measures has seen them go on to earn an outstanding 55-8 SU, and 49-13-1 ATS for 79% winning bets over the past seasons.

Bet the Toronto Raptors as a 4-Unit best Bet

New Orleans ve NY Knicks

1:00 PM EST, April 17, 2021

4-Unit Best Bet on the New Orleans Pelicans plus the points.

Currently, the betting line has the Pelicans installed as a 1-point underdogs and there is positively no value in betting the money line, unless you are getting even-money or as in the case at Pinnacle (+102). So, if unless you are getting +100 or better money, stick with the 1-point spread.

Here is a great NBA Betting system that has earned a 92-56-2 ATS record over the past five seasons. The requirements are to bet on any team that lost the matchup to the current opponent, and is coming off two consecutive upset losses installed as favorites. Filtering only games that are lined within 3.5 points on either side of pick-em returns a 28-16 ATS record for 64% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Philadelphia vs Cleveland
7:00 PM EST, April 1, 2021

4% Best Bet on the 76ers -10 points

The 76ers are tied on top of the Eastern Conference standings with the Brooklyn Nets. They have lost 3 consecutive games on two occasions this season and will avert a third such occurrence tonight. They are ending their 6-game road trip and will look to return home with the possibility of Joel Embiid being able to return to the lineup.

Cleveland is 7-19 ATS when facing a winning record team this season. The 76ers are an excellent rebounding team. Cleveland is just 11-30 ATS when facing a team that is outrebounding their opponents by an average 3 or more per game. 76ers head coach Doc Rivers is 53-27 ATS for 67% winning bets in his career following a game in which his team had been outrebounded by 15 or more boards.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that the 76ers are 66-9 SU and 57-17-1 ATS for 77% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points (league scoring average the last three seasons) and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio than their opponent spanning the last three seasons.

Philadelphia vs Denver
9:00 PM EST, March 30, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

This is a MONEY LINE Betting System that has posted a losing record of 103-182 for 36% winning money line bets, but has made the $100 bettor a profit of $7,777 over the last 5 seasons.
The system has averaged a +245 underdog wager.

Bet on road underdogs using the money line that is facing a host, who is outscoring their opponents by a minimum of 3 PPG, and are coming off three consecutive games in which 220 or more points were scored.

If the DOG covered the spread, they the game straight-up 54% of the time.

Let me know if you have any questions and TY for putting it together.

So, I recommend betting this game using 80% of your normal 4% bet size on the spread and then the 20% remaining bet on the money line.

76ers are 18-5-1 ATS when facing a solid shooting team making at least 46.5% of their shots in game splayed this season. They are also 19-10-2 ATS when facing teams that are averaging 110 or more PPG this season. Since February 21, the 76ers are 11-1 in this role.

Cleveland vs Utah

9:00 PM EST, March 29, 2021

4% best bet on the Cleveland Cavs +15.5 points

Betting on double-digit underdogs, after game number 41, in a matchup of the tale of two teams, with the favorite having outscored their opponents by 7 or more PPG, and the underdog being outscored by 7 or more PPG, has earned a highly profitable 63-45-2 ATS for 58.3% winning bets over the last 25 seasons and 21-9 ATS for 75% last five seasons. 

Atlanta vs Denver

9:00 PM EST, March 28, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Atlanta Hawks +4.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line. 

I plan to bet this game on the Hawks with 85% of my 4% bet size on the line and then 15% of my 4% bet size on the money line.  

These two teams last played in Atlanta, who defeated Denver 123-115 as 2.5-point home underdogs. Denver is 2-10 ATS revenging a road loss this season. They are also just 3-12 ATS in home games after scoring 100 or more points in back-to-back games spanning the past two seasons. 

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Atlanta is 47-15 and 46-14- 2 ATS for 77% winning bets, in road games, scoring 111 or more points, and had previously defeated the opponent at home.

Portland vs Orlando
8:00 ET, March 26, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Portland Trailblazers

Let’s start with a highly profitable betting system that supports making a bet on Portland. The system has earned a 78-20 SU record and 65-31-2 ATS mark good for 68% winning bets over the past 25 seasons. The requirements are to bet on road favorites of 3.5 or more points that are coming off back-to-back games in which they allowed 100 or more points and are now facing a host that is coming off a win of three or fewer points. Plus, if the host has lost 65% or more of their games, then the record improves to 25-10-1 ATS for 70% winning bets.

The last time Orlando played Portland ended with a 106-97 road and ATS loss on February 9. Orlando is just 10-31 ATS revenging a road loss in games played over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Portland is a highly profitable 33-9 SU and 31-9-2 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points and having the better assists-to-turnover ratio in road games played over the last five seasons.

Dallas vs Minnesota
8:00 PM EST, March 24, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Dallas Mavericks –8 points

Dallas is beginning to look like the playoff-bound team I thought they would be before the season started. Doncic is averaging career-highs scoring 29 PPG and adding 9.2 assists-per-game. However, it has been their improved defense recently that has driven to their 22-19 record.

Minnesota is 35-64 ATS when facing an opponent that is averaging at least 18 or more 3-point shot attempts-per-game over the last two seasons and the same record facing opponents that make at least six 3-point shots-per-game.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off a monster win of 20 or more points and facing an opponent that has scored and allowed 100 or more points in each of their last three games has earned a 46-19-2 ATS record for 71% winning bets over the last five seasons, is 7-3 in the 2020 season, and has gone 4-1 ATS in March.

Philadelphia vs Golden State
10:00 PM EST, March 23, 2021
4% Best bet on the 76ers -4 points

Although Stephen Curry and his brother, Seth, have each missed the passed two games and are considered questionable to play Wednesday, they are on the schedule to go head-to-head Tuesday night for the 14th time in their NBA careers when the Golden State Warriors host the Philadelphia 76ers.

Meanwhile, big men James Wiseman and Joel Embiid will have to wait on their first duel. However, the 76ers have played very well without Embiid in the lineup and is projected to return to action next week.

The 76ers are coming off a 1-point POT road win against the New York Knicks. They are installed as favorites in this matchup. Betting on favorites coming off a road overtime win and now are installed as road favorite have earned a solid 31-15-1 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons. If the road favorite, which is the 765ers, has won 60% or more of their games, the record soars to 18-7 for 72% winning bets.

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets
9:00 PM EST, March 17, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets -6.5 points

An outstanding betting system is on Denver tonight and has earned an 96-43-2 ATS record good for 69.1% winning bets over the last seven seasons. The requirements are to bet on home favorites of 9.5 or fewer points that are coming off an ATS win and in matchup of teams that have won between 51 and 60% of their games on the season. Plus, a subset that filters if the favorite lost to the spread the last time they played the current opponent has earned a 48-14 ATS record for 77% winning bets.

Charlotte is just 10-21 ASTS in games with a total between 220 and 229.5 points in games played over the last two seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Denver is 18-4 ATS in home games when they have shot 50% from the field and 40% or better from beyond the arc in games played over the last three seasons.

Milwaukee vs Philadelphia
7:00 PM EST, March 17, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers + 6 points.

I also recommend a sprinkle on the money line. I bet these dogs with 85% of normal 4% bet amount using the line (Spread) and then using the remaining 15% on the money line. Over the course of the NBA season, you will definiltey increase the ROI and profits.

Bet on home teams using the money line that are coming off a hard fought home win, but did not cover the spread and are playing their fifth game in the past week has earned an incredible 33-4 SU record for 89% winning bets.

Milwaukee has been a money-burning 7-23 ATS in road game facing good shooting teams that are making at least 46% of their shots in games played over the last two seasons. 76ers are 9-1 ATS in home games and facing an guest that is a dominant team outscoring their opponents by at least 6 points-per-game.

Atlanta vs Houston
8:00 PM EST, March 16, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Houston Rockets + 8.5 points and sprinkle a bit more on the money line.

The Hawks improved to 3-0 under McMillan with their 100-82 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday and will look to extend their season-long winning streak when they visit the Houston Rockets on Tuesday. This game, may see them extend the win streak to 4-games, but do not cover the spread. Morevoer, this is a situation, where a Houston would not surprise me in the least.

Atlanta is 9-20 ATS in road games facing teams that are allowing 110 or more points-per-game.

Betting on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games and facing a team that has covered the spread in three or more of their last four games has earned a 75-29 ATS record good for 72% winning bets over the last 25 seasons. Atlanta is just 3-14 ATS after covering four or five of their last 6 games spanning the last two seasons.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
10:30 PM EST, March 15, 2021
4% Best bet on Golden State +2 points. Sprinkle the momney line only if the spread reaches 3 or more points.

The Warriors stopped a four-game losing streak with a big-time win over Western Conference leading Jazz, 131-119 as a 7.5 point underdog. Lakers have lost six of their last nine games, and two of their last three.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that the Warriors are 22-3 ATS for 88% winning bets when they have scored 111 or more points and had the better and more efoicient assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last five seasons.

Milwaukee vs Washington
7:00 PM EST, March 15, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks -8 points

This is the second consecutive metting between these teams. On Saturday, Washington’s Russell Westbrook had a triple-double, and made a 3-pointer to tie the game at 119-119, but Milwaukee scored the finals six points to secure the win. The Wizards will be short-handed again playing with out Beal and Bertans, who is fourth on the team in scoring at 11.3 PPG. Washington has four players scoring in double-digits and will be without two of them and Beal is the NBA scoring leader. Beal may play, but I doubt he will be better than 90% of his usual self.

Betting on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are outscoring their opponents by at least 6 PPG and are coming off a game that they allowed 115 or more points has earned a solid 52-26 ATS record for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Milwaukee is an outstanding 79-6 SU and 71-14 ATS for 84% winning bets when they have scored at least 111 points, made 48% or more of their field goal attempts, and had at least five more rebounds than their opponents in games played over the last ten seasons. 47-13 ATS for 78.3% in games played over the last three seasons.

Indiana vs Phoenix
10:00 PM EST, March 13, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Phoenix Suns -7 points

Bettinng on home teams that are on a five or more-game win streak and have won 60 to 70% of their games on the seasons and facing an opponent that has won 40 to 49% of their games on the seasons has earned a 25-4 SU record and 19-8-2 ATS for 70.4% winning bets over the last ten seasons. If the home team we are betting on also defeated this opponent in the last matchup, the record soars to an incredible 21-2 SU and 18-4-1 ATS for 82% winning bets.

From the machine learning applications we are informed that Phoenix is 42-19 SU and 46-15 ATS for 75.4% winning bets when scoring 111 or mor epoints and shooting at least 48% from the field in games played over the last three seasons.

Denver vs Memphis
8:00 PM EST, March 12, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Denver Nuggets

Betting on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off a previous ATS win and with both they and their opponent sporting win precentages between 50 and 60% on the season has made 72.3% winners onm an 81-3-2 ATS record.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Denver is 44-21-2 ATS when scoring at least 111 points in games played over the last three seasons.

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers
Well Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
7:00 PM EST, March 3, 2021
4% NBA Best Bet on the 76ers +3.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line.

The best in the West takes the best in the East and is the last game for each team ahead of the All-Star break.  The 76ers lost inexplicably lost to the Cleveland Cavs, but bounced back with their best team performance of the season. The Sixers played a stellar all-around game in a 130-114 win over the visiting Indiana Pacers on Monday. Shake Milton gave Philadelphia a spark off the bench with 26 points versus the Pacers. Joel Embiid added 24 points and 13 rebounds, Furkan Korkmaz contributed 19 points and Ben Simmons had 18 in a balanced effort. The bench posted a season-best 67 points as the Sixers improved their home record to an Eastern Conference-best 15-3.

76ers are 20-4 ATS in home gamesd when facing explosive teams that are scoring 110 or more points-per-game ovcer the last two seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that the 76ers are 30-1 SU and 26-5 ATS for 84% winning bets in home games when they have scored 111 or more points and held their opponent to 35% shooting from beyond the arc in games played over the last three seasons.

Minnesota vs Washington

7:00 PM EST, February 27, 2021

4% NBA Best Bet on Minnesota +4.5 points and add a sprinkle using the money line. 

Betting on underdogs coming off three consecutive road losses and installed as a 3 to 9.5 point underdogs and facing a non-conference host have earned a 40-16-2 ATS record for 71.4% winning bets over the last seven seasons. Plus, if the the road underdog is on the road again, the record improves to an amzing 23-4-2 ATS for 85% winning bets. 

From the machine learning applications and projections for this ganme, we learn that Minneosta is 25-1 SU and 24-2 ATS for 92.3% winning bets when they have scored 111 or more points, had fewer turnovers than their opponent, and held that opponent to 45% or lower shooting in games played over the last five seasons.

Sacramento Kings vs Detroit Pistons

8:00 ET, February 26, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Sacramento Kings -1 point. I do not see any value in making this a money line bet. 

Betting on teams that are playing on back-to-back nights and have lost three consecutive road games straight-up has earned a 24-21 SU record and 35-9-1 ATS record for 79.5% winning bets over the last five seasons. The system tells us to bet Sacramento. 

If the current game is another road game for the ailing road warriors, and they defeated this opponent in the last matchup, the record goes to 16-2 ATS for 89% winning bets over the last five seasons. Sacramento is on the road and did defeat Detroit in their last matchup.

This is the fifth and final road game for the Kings, who have been losers of nine straight games and to the spread. Since 1995, there have been 21 teams, who have gone on a SU and ATS 9 or more-game losing streak. These teams have gone 12-9 ATS for 57% and drilling down to filter only road games, the record is 7-4 ATS for 64% winners. 

From the machine learning applications, we are informed that Sacramento is expected to score at least 111 points. The Kings are 45-20-2 ATS for 69% winners over the past five seasons when scoring 111 or more points in a road game. The Pistons are 16-37 ATS for 30% winning bets in home games in which they allowed 111 or more points. 

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Washington Wizards vs LA Clippers
Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA
10:00 PM EST, Washington Wizards +12 points

Betting on road underdogs that have won 25 to 35% of their games on the season and coming off a road win, now facing a host with a winning record. When the game in question occurs after the 15th game of the regular season, the record soars to 51-15-2 ATS for 77% winning bets. If the game is after game number 25, the record then goes to a money-making 43-10-2 ATS machine for 81.1% winning bets.

I was on the Wizards last night in their road upset win over the Lakers and I see no reason not to back them again tonight. They are playing on back-to-back nights, but with no travel since the Lakers and Clippers both play home games at the Staples Center. The Clippers are playing their eighth game in the past 14 days and will have fatigue issues of their own. More important is their 5-game win and ATS win streak.

From the machine learning applications we are informed that the Wizards are 39-14-1 ATS for 74% winning bets in road games, scoring at least 111 points and having the better assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last five seasons.

Philadelphia vs Toronto

7:00 PM EST, February 21, 2021

4% Best Bet on the 76ers -3.5 points

The 76ers ended their 3-game losing streak with two solid wins. They defeated Chicago 112-105 and were led by Joel Embiid’s career-best 50-point game and has played eight games scoring 30 or more points and get 10 or more rebounds this season. The 76ers played without Ben Simmons, who was suffering from the stomach flu. He scored a career-best 42 points, including 12 assists, and nine rebounds, in the loss to the Utah Jazz Monday. So, the 76ers are emerging as a powerful force to be reckoned with in the NBA’s Eastern Conference.

Toronto’s defense will not hold up against the 76ers attack. Toronto is 10-24 ATS in home games (even this game is in Tampa)  with a total between 220 and 229.5 spanning the last three seasons. This season, the 76ers are 11-2-1 ATS after having won two of their last three games. Toronto is also 73-118 ATS in home games in which both they and their opponent score 105 or more points. 

From the machine learning applications, we will be expecting the 76ers to score at least 111 points and attempt at least 88 shots. In past games installed as a favorite, the 76ers are 63-7 SU and 50-18-2 ATS for 74% winning bets when they met or exceeded those performance measures. 

Miami vs LA Lakers
8:30 PM EST, February 20, 2021
4% Best Bet on Miami +3.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line as long as your spread line is 3.5 or more.

For starters, the Lakers are a money-losing 12-3-3 ATS facing struggling teams that are getting outscored by 3 or more-PPG spanning the last three seasons. Plus, they are a miserable22-46-1 ATS in non-conference games over the last three seasons. Miami is 22-8-1 ATS in road games after failing to cover the spread in four or more of their last six games spanning the last three seasons.

The betting line of -3.5 and a total of 208 points implies a final score of 106-102 Lakers win. The machine learning applications predict that Miami will score at least 101 points and will make at least 14 3-point shots. When Miami has mewt or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned an outstanding 31-13-1 ATS in road games spanning the last five seasons.

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, Cleveland, Ohio

7:00 PM EST, February 19, 2021

10-UNIT Best Bet on Cleveland +8.5 points

Let’s start with an outstanding betting system that supports the predictions from my machine learning applications. Betting on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a losing record, that are coming off three consecutive road losses, and now facing a non-conference foe has earned an outstanding 36-12-2 ATS record good for 75% winning bets over the last seven seasons. These dogs have also earned a highly profitable 29-21 SU record good for 58% winning money line wagers.

So, I suggest betting this game by placing 80% of your 5% bet amont using the line and 20% of your 5% bet amount using the money line.

Drummond has left the Cleveland team and ends a highly toxic situation in the locker room. That is good news and so is the fact that Five-time All Star Kevin Love returned to practice Thursday, but is not likely to play tonight. Despite a 10-19 record overall, they are 7-7 in home games, and have the seventh-best fast break averaging 13.4 PPG. Two players have stepped up for Cleveland over the last 10 games. Cedi Osman is taking more 3’s and is averaging 11.5 PPG amnd making 34% from beyomd the arc. Jarrett Allen is shooting 61.5% and averaging 13.7 PPG in his last 10 games. He will be a formidable presence in the paint tonight knowing that Cleveland ranks best in the NBA averaging 54.5 PPG in the paint.

The Cleveland defense ranks 3rd averaging 15.7 forced opponent turnovers-per-game and this too will be a huge factor in getting the upset win.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Cleveland is 11-9 SU and 14-6 ATS for 70% winning bets as a home dog, scoring at least 50 points in the paint, and having scored more points-in-the-paint than their vistor in home games over the last five seasons. In addition, Cleveland is 22-5 SUATS in home games in which they scored 50 or more points-in-the-paint and got a minimum of 50 rebounds in games played over the last five seasons.

Thank you for your purchase! Good Luck to us and May all the Wins be yours!

Miami vs Sacramento

10:00 PM EST, February 18, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Miami Heat

Betting on any team that is on a 3 or more-game ROAD losing streak and playing on back-to-back nights has earned an outstanding 34-9-1 ATS for 79.1% winning bets over the last five seasons. And when the team involved is playing another road game, the record soars to 22-5 ATS for 82% winning bets.

For this research and the predictive analytics, Goran Dragic is listed as out. He has an ankle injurty and very unlikely he will play despite being listed as questionable.

From the predictive applications, we learn that the Heat are an outstanding 14-5 SU and 17-2 ATS in road games installed as a dog, scoring 111 or more points and having the better, more efficient assist-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last three seasons.

Utah Jazz vs LA Clippers

Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA

10:05 PM EST, February 17, 2021

4% NBA Best Bet on the LA Clippers

This is one of the best matchups of the season so far. Three weeks ago, this game would have been lined with the Clippers dressed as a 7-point home favorite and now, because of the tremendous and historic win streak by the Jazz, the Clippers find themselves installed as a home underdogs of 2 to 3 points. Moreover, the Jazz have covered the spread in 18 of their last 20 games. 

Now, Utah was just 4-4 through January 6 and then something happened to the entire team. They have won 19 of the last 20 games and covered the spread in a miraculous 18 games losing to the spread just twice. So, having worked on Wall Street for 18 years (last position was a Chief Currency Strategist), betting against Utah is akin to catching a falling knife. The saying originated in bear market conditions where many quality stocks get hit hard with immense selling pressure and trying to determine a bottom is like trying to catch a falling knife, like a large butcher knife. And so it is in sportsbetting. 

My intuition has made me want to go against Utah simply because they were playing at such a high level that regression was going to hit them. That was ten games ago. Remember too, in the 2001 MLB season the Oakland A’s, who were truly a couracopia of players, won 20 consecutive games from  Tuesday August 13th through Wednesday, September 4, setting the all-time modern day American League win streak record. So, fading that streak after a 10-game streak would hav been disasterous to any bankroll and shows it is not a smart decision no matter how you look at it. 

My machine learning applications are screaming to bet the Clippers and why this is a 4% Best Bet. 

Betting on home teams sporting a winning record on the season and hosting another team with a winning record that is coming off three consecutive games covering the spread as favorites in each one, has earned a 39-18 record for 68% winning bets using the money line in games played over the last five season. 

Cleveland vs Golden State
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
10:00 ET, February 15, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Cleveland Cavaliers + 8.5 points and sprinkle a bit on the money line.

Let’s start with one of the best and highly profitable NBA Betting systems IO among m, more than 2000 that I have developed over many years of work. This one has earned a 34-8-1 ATS for 81% winning bets over the last five seasons and instructs us to be on teams playing on back-to-back nights and are coming off three consecutive road losses.

Cleveland played yesterday (Sunday) and lost 128-111 as 9-point road underdogs to the LA Clippers. They have lost 10 consecutive games to the spread and 7 straight in a straight-up fashion. So, this is an example of a contrarian bet based on a market price that has now oversold the value of the Cavaliers. There are times in the NBA, that present an opportunity to get a poor and struggling team at a major discount and I believe this is one of those opportunities.

In case you were wondering, teams that have lost 10 or more games to the spread are 14-7 ATS for 67% winning bets over the last 20 seasons. 8-3 SATS for 67% ATS if playing on the road., and 4-1 ATS if playing on back-to-back nights.

Golden State vs San Antonio

AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX

8:30 PM EST, February 8, 2021

8-UNIT Best Bet on the San Antonio Spurs

Betting a team playing between their fifth and 41st game of the season with a team that has lost to the spread by an average of 12 to 25 points over their last four games and now installed as an underdog has earned a 161-94-6 ATS record for 64% winning bets since 2000.

Betting on favorites off an upset win installed as an underdog and has won 51 to 60% of their games in the current season and facing an opponmen that has a winning record on their season has earned a 40-16-1 ATS mark good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons.

From the machine learning applications we learn that San Antonio is 74-23 SU and 66-29-2 ATS for 70% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points and committing 12 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last five seasons.

Memphis vs New Orleans

9:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Memphis Grillies +1.5 points.

Only sprinkle the money line if the spread hits 3.5-points.

Let’s start with a proven betting system that has earned a 100-55-1 ATS record good for 64.5% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. The system requirements are to be on road teams in a game lined within three points on either side of pick-em and facing a host that is allowing at least 103 PPG and coming off a win by three or fewer points.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that Memphis is 97-47 SU and 103-36-5 ATS in road games in which they scored at least 105 points and shot 47% or better from the field in games played over the last ten seasons.

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers

8:00 PM EST, February 6, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

This matchup could be a preview of the Eastern Conference finals later this season. However, the Nets will be without Kevin Durant. In a game last night that the Nets eventually lost 123-117 to the Toronto Raptors, Durant was held out at the start of the game due to coronavirus contact tracing. Someone he was in contact with earlier in the day had an inconclusive COVID-19 test.

Durant entered the game in the first quarter before being pulled in the third for the rest of the game due to health and safety protocols after his colleague's test came back positive.

I am not making this bet because Durant is not playing, and who knows, he still might be cleared to play. It is rumored that he did not travel with the team last night. 

Betting on home teams that are revenging a double-digit road loss and are coming off a dismal game losing by 15 or more points as a favorite has earned a highly profitable 71-41-2 ATS record for 63.4% winning bets over twenty seasons. Plus, 13-6 ATS if the game is a matchup of divisional foes. 

From the machine learning applications we learn that the 76ers are 49-7 SU and 39-16-1 ATS for 71% winning bets in home games, scoring 111 or more points, and committing 14 or fewer turnovers in games played over the last five seasons. 

Golden State vs Dallas

7:35 PM EST, February 4, 2021

4% Best Bet on Dallas -3 points

Golden State starts a COVID-19 road trip that will see them play the next four games on the road and have to visit only two cities. Tonight and Saturday night they will play Dallas and then February 8 and 9, they play on back-to-back nights against the Spurs. Doesn’t sound all that equitable for the Warriors.

Dallas is 8-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in three of their last four games in games played over the last three games.

From the machine learning applications we learn that Golden State is 17-207 SU and 37-181-6 ATS for 17% in road games shooting less than 47% from the field and allowing 111 or more points.

LA Clippers vs Cleveland
8:00 PM EST, February 3, 2021
4% Best Bet on the LA Clippers

Betting on road favorites between -5 and -12 pts playing on one day of rest of on back-to-back nights is outscoring their opponents by at least 3 points-per-game (PPG), have scored at least 105 points in three straight games, and is game number eight or more of the season has earned a 130-71-7 ATS record for 65% winning bets over the last 15 seasons. When the road favorite is playing on B2B nights, they are 31-15-1 ATS for 67.4% winning bets over the last 15 seasons and 14-7 ATS for 67% winning bets over the last five seasons.

From the machine learning applications, we learn that the Clippers are 51-2 SU, and 47-6 ATS for 89% winning bets when scoring a minimum of 111 points and making 40% or more of their 3-point shot attempts. 

Milwaukee vs Indiana
7:00 PM EST, February 3, 2021
4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks

I had Milwaukee as a 4% Best bet winner in their last game over Portland. The market has discounted the value of the Bucks too much given their recent struggles, but they are entering a stretch of games that they will cover the spread in many of them and starting with this one tonight.

Betting on favorites between 3.5 and 9.5 points, are coming off an ATS win, have a win percentage greater than 50%, but less than 60% on the season, and facing an opponent with a win percentage within the same range has earned an outstanding 77-31-2 ATS for 71.3 % winning bets over the last seven seasons.

From the machine learning applications, Milwaukee is a solid 70-6 SU and 64-11-1 ATS, when they have scored at least 111 points, and have the better assist-to-turnover ratio, has earned a highly profitable 85.2% ATS record in games played over the last three seasons. 

Portland vs Milwaukee

8:00 PM EST, Fenruary 1, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Milwaukee Bucks -10 points.

Betting on favorites facing a host off an upset road win and with both the team and opponent sporting win percentages between 51 and 60% on the season has earned a highly profitable 29-18-1 ATS record good for 62% winning bets over the past 10 seasons. 

Portland is on an 0-8 ATS streak coming off a road upset win and then installed as an underdog in the following game. 

From the machine learning applications, the Bucks are 42-3 SU and 32-10-3 ATS for 76.2% winning bets in home games spanning the last three seasons. 

Philadelphia vs Indiana
Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

7:00 PM EST, January 31, 2021

4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 points.

Betting on road favorites that are coming off a 20 or more point win and now facing a host, who scored and allowed 100 or more [points in each of their last three games has earned a 52-24-2 ATS record good for 68% winning bets since 1995 and 40-18-2 ATS for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Joel Embiid is listed as questionable and my research and bet is based on him NOT playing tonight.

From the machine learning applications, the 76ers are 59-8 SU and 50-16-1 ATS in road games, scoring 111 or more points, and having the better, more efficient assists-to-turnover ratio in games played over the last three seasons.

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center
Dallas, TX
4% NBA Best Bet on Houston +9 points. 

Betting on road teams that priced as underdogs between 3.5 and 10 points with a losing record on the season and now facing a host that has played six or more games in the past ten days has earned an outstanding 40-14 ATS record good for 73% winning bets spanning the last five seasons. 

From the machine learning applications we learn that Houston is a solid 120-21 SU and 117-19-5 ATS for 86% winning bets when scoring 111 or more points in a road game and also had the better assist-to-turnover ratio. 

Philadelphia vs Detroit

8:00 PM EST, January 23, 2021
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

4% Best Bet on the Philadelphia 76ers

I have been on the 76ers this season and have not bet against them. In fact, I find them as one of the most under priced NBZA teams of the past five seasons. Now, they take to the road on back-to-back nights to take on the worst team in the NBA, the Detroit Pistons. 

76ers effective filed goal percentage sits at 54.7% ands ranks 11th in the NBA. Detroit ranks 28th in the NBA shooting a dismal 49.7% from the field. They are 30th shooting 2-points at a 47.6% clip and the 76ers vastly better ranking 8th and making 54.8%. 

The 76ers are third-best rebounding team in the league. Detroit is 9-28 ATS when facing elite rebounding teams that out rebound their opponents by an average of three or more boards-per-game in games played over the last three seasons. 

Philadelphia vs Atlanta
7:30 PM EST, January 11, 2021

4% Best Bet on the 76ers + 6.5-points and sprinkle a bit on the money line too. 

Bonus 3% Best Bet OVER 222-points. 

Yes, I do know that Ben Simmons is out for tonight’s game and the 76ers are very short in the guard department. However, Embiid comes back tonight and the 76ers are 24-13 ATS for 65% winning bets in games that Embiid played in and Ben Simmons did not. 

The machine learning applications inform us that even with Simmons, the 76ers in road games are 103-42 SU, and 113-29-3 ATS for 80% winning bets when they have scored 111 or more points. The OVER has gone 127-18 for 88% winning points. 

So, the consider an optional parlay using the 76ers +6.5 points and the OVER 222-points. 

Boston vs Indiana

7:05 PM EST, December 29, 2020

4% Best Bet on the Boston Celtics +1-point.

The NBA schedule maker was not kind to the Celtics having to open with Milwaukee, then Brooklyn, and now back-to-back games against the Pacers. This is the second of two away-away situations, which are aimed to help mitigate the COVID-19. Celtics did lose 108-107 this past Sunday and failed to cover the spread as 3-point road favorites.

Betting on favorites during the first eight games of the regular season using the money line, which is off a home win, closed out the previous season with at least four consecutive losses has earned a highly profitable 69-19 record for 78% winning bets and has made the $100 bettor a profit of more than $3,600. since 2000.

Betting on teams that made a minimum of 76% of their free throws in the previous seasons and are coming off three consecutive games allowing 47% or better opponent shooting has earned a highly profitable 18-8 rcord for 69% winning bets over the last five seasons and has made over $2,000 in profits for the $100 bettor.

The machine learning models show us that Boston playing on the road is an outstanding 39-12 SU for 77% wins, 38-11-2 ATS for 78% winning bets since 2015, when their opponent commits 16 or more turnovers and shoots less than 37.5% from beyond the arc.

Golden State vs Milwaukee

2:30 PM EST, Christmas Day

4% NBA Best Bet on the Colden State Warriors +10 points. 

Both teams lost their opening game to the season. Milwaukee lost 122-121 to the Boston Celtics and the Warriors lost at Brooklynn 125-99. 

From the machine learning model, the Bucks are projected to have at least 20 turnovers and have more turnovers than the Warriors. In past Bucks games in which they committed 20 or more turnovers and had more turnovers than their opponent has earned a terrible 7-14 ATS record for 33% winning bets over the last five seasons.

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 6 NBA Finals
7:30 PM EST, Sunday, October 11, 2020

The machine learning stools and models are on the Heat again. LeBron has been here before, but not many of the other teammates. LeBron knows the pressure well and it has gone bad more times than not. Butler is playing at an amazing level and the leadership has been immense to the rest of the team this entire playoff season.

 The following results match the projections produced by the models. The Lakers are 6-18 ATS when shooting between 43 and 47% form the field this season; 15-29-2 ATS for 34% when the opponent has shot 35% or better from beyond the arc. Lakers are 9-24-2 ATS when allowing 107 or more points and allowing 35% or better 3-point shooting this season.

Heat are 43-11 SU and 35-17 ATS for 67% when scoring 107 or more points and making 35% or more of their 3-point shots this season; 10-2 SU and 10-1-1 ATS in this year’s playoffs.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
9:00 PM EST, October 6, 2020.

Game 4 takes place in the NBA Finals and oh how the results of Game 3 have changed the look and feel of this series. The Lakers were out to a 2-0 series lead and Miami was without two of their best players in Games 2 and 3. Yet, the Heat’s strong forward, Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 19.9 points-per-game, 6.7 rebounds-per-game, and 10.2 assist-per-game for the series, found a way to lead his team to a huge Game 3 win Tuesday Night.

I went on record stating on Twitter and linked to the Game 3 NBA article found here on Odds, that there was never a better time to bet aggressively on a team that was down 0-2 to the NBA Finals than right now with the Heat. Currently, the Lakers are favored by 7.5-points at all the major sportsbooks with MGM offering the Heat at +7.5 +105 vig. For the series you can get the Heat at +850 and +1100 for Jimmy Butler to win the MVP at MGM as the screenshot below shows.

That is a great question and the answer consists of two parts. The first part is the fact that there has been three NBA Champions that had three different high scorers in each of the first three playoff rounds. The Miami Heat have become the fourth team and strongly believe they are a real team with a great floor general in Butler and the vastly better coaching in Spoelstra. I was completely sold when near the end of Game 3 Butler was seen saying “They know they are in trouble” repeatedly as he walked off the court toward his teammates during a timeout.

This money line betting system has earned a solid 104-89 betting record good for 55% winning bets and has made the Dime player a profit of $37,200 over the last five seasons. The requirements are to be on any team using the money line in a game involving two teams that are allowing opponents to shoot between 43.5 and 46% from the field, and is a good ball handling team averaging 14.5 or fewer turnovers-per-game and is facing a team that forces an average of 14 to 16 turnovers per game in games played after the 41st one has been completed and including the playoff rounds.

The machine learning models confirm the bet on the Heat tonight and with the win would bring this series to an even two wins apiece and reduce the Finals to a best-of-three match.  The day off until Game 5 give the Heat a chance to get Goran Dragic back into the lineup. He is listed as doubtful for tonight’s game and I do not expect him top play. However, I would not be surprised to see the Heat center Bam Adebayo get some minutes tonight. So, these projections do not include either player in the game tonight just as they did for last night’s game.

The Heat are projected to shoot above 45% form the field, make at least 14 3-point shots, and make more 3-point shots than the Lakers. In past games in which the Heat met or exceeded these projections they went on to earn a 59-16 straight-up record and 56-15-4 against the spread (ATS) record good for 79% winning bets since 1995 and 35-10 SU for 78% wins and 31-10-4 ATS for 77% winning bets over the last three seasons.

The Lakers are a money losing 12-57 SU for 17% wins and 9-59-1 ATS for a miserable 13% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 11.5 points since 1995 and 8-24 SU for 25% wins and 7-25 ATS for 22% winning bets that failed to cover by an average of 9 points since 2017 when they have allowed an opponent to meet or exceed those performance measures.

All playoff teams that allowed their opponents to meet or exceed those performance measures are 15-64 SU for 19% wins losing by an average of 13 points and 14-63-2 ATS for 18% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 10 pints.

Take the Miami Heat as a Best Bet NBA in Game 4 of the NBA Finals

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 3 NBA Finals

8:30 PM EST, October 4, 2020

7-Star Best Bet on the Miami Heat

In the history of the playoffs a team that had a different high-scorer in each of the last three playoff rounds are 3-0 in the Championship Finals. The Heat accomplished that feat and if there was ever a time to roll the dice and get an incredibly great price for futures prop in the NBA Finals it would be right now. I love the Heat on a futures bet to win the Finals. Yes, it is a long shot, but we are getting paid to assume that risk and one that I doi think is quite possible.

The machine learning reveals that the Heat are 134-17 SU and 120-27-4 ATS 82% when they score at least 107 points and shoot at least 45% from the field and will make more 3-point shots than the opponent.

Miami Heat vs LA Lakers
Game 1 NBA Finals

9:00 PM EST, September 30, 2020

7-Star Best Bet on the LA Lakers

This is a great betting system that has earned a 79-20 SU record for 80% wins and a 67-31-1 ATS mark for 68.4% winning bets since 2015. The requirements are to bet on favorites with a winning record on the season and facing an opponent that has won 60 to 75% of their games on the season and is coming off a game in which the combined score went over the posted total by 20 or more points. The record is 15-5 SU for 75% wins and 13-7 ATS for 65% winning bets in playoff games. Plus, a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the NBA Finals since 2015.

The machine learning reveals that the Lakers are 21-6 ATS for 78% winning bets when scoring at least 105 points and having 40% of their points scored from made 3-pointers. 8-0 SU and ATS since the start of the 2018 season.