Rating: 3 Units

Raiders’ signal caller Jimmy Garoppolo was hospitalized with a back injury during last week’s contest against New England. On Bagent’s first drive in the NFL, he was strip-sacked, and the Vikings returned the fumble 42 yards for a touchdown. It proved to be a costly play in the Vikings’ 19-13 victory. With the quarterback situation up in the air in this fray, we’ll look to fade Las Vegas’ 0-9 ATS ledger as a road favorite as the Bears improve to 8-2 ATS in this series

Rating: 2 Units

Jacksonville’s team turnover differential is +7, which ranks second in the NFL. And the Jaguars lead the NFL in takeaways with 15. But the fact of the matter is that TOs have a tendency to regress to the mean. Meanwhile, Jags’ QB Trevor Lawrence is questionable with a sprained knee. If he sits, it will be C.J. Beathard behind center for Jacksonville. Beathard has made 12 starts during his NFL career, going 2-10 SU and 5-7 ATS. The Jags are also 1-10 ATS in their last eleven games against the NFC South, while the Saints are 4-0 SUATS in the last four games in this series. For a team that just spent two weeks in London that now hits the road for two more games outside of Jacksonville, we’re betting they won’t make it back home unscathed.  

Rating: 3 Units

Prescott is 4-1 SUATS under the Monday Night lights. He is also 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in games when the Boys are coming off a spread loss of more than 17 points. Meanwhile, Dallas is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games when coming off a loss, as well as 5-0 SUATS away on Mondays when coming off a loss of 14 or more points. And we didn’t even mention the team’s 18-8 SU and 19-6-1 ATS mark in away games when coming off an away game, including 9-1 SUATS when coming off a setback. The Chargers check in just 1-4 SUATS on Mondays when coming off a Bye and 1-5-1 ATS coming off a SUATS win when hosting non-division opponents foes coming off a loss. Finally, the Cowboys’ defense is 112 YPG better than the Bolts, and that’s what figures to decide this contest.

Rating: 3 Units

The bottom line tonight, though, is we can’t lay a number like this with a team that played in London last week. And not when NFL Sunday Night home favorites of 7 or more points are just 12-22-1 ATS against non-division foes. The Giants allow 5.3 Yards Per Rush while the Bills permit 5.8 Yards Per Rush. We realize this matchup doesn't necessarily pass the smell test but forget about that and instead focus on the fact that NFL .600 or greater teams returning from London, coming off a SUATS loss, are 0-5 SUATS all-time.

Rating: 2 Units

The Panthers are 3-44 SU and 9-36-2 ATS in games in which they surrender 17 or more points, including 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS versus AFC foes. It’s been a rough start for Carolina QB Bryce Young, the top overall pick in last year’s NFL draft. He ranks No. 32 overall – last overall among the league’s starting quarterbacks – with a 28.6 QBR. Miami’s 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS record in games where they are coming off an ATS win when taking on foes coming off an ATS loss sets the table. Carolina’s 1-6 ATS all-time mark in this series seals the deal.

Rating: 2 Units

This contest finds Minnesota coming off a loss while the Bears enter off a win. That fits Minny’s M.O. as they are 7-2 ATS in games when coming off a home dog loss. They are also 9-2 ATS versus opponents that scored 40+ points in their last game. Chicago got off the schneid in a dramatic way last Thursday with a 40-20 upset win over Washington, but they are only 2-8 SUATS in games when scoring a victory in its previous game, as well as 3-7 ATS after posting 40+ points. With Da Bears 1-9 ATS in their last ten division home games and having allowed season high yards in three of their last four games, it's the Vikings day today.

NFL Game of the Week

Rating: 5 Units

Jacksonville is 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS as home favorites behind QB Trevor Lawrence. Game Six of the season has been more like a devilish 6-6-6 to the Jags as they are 1-12 SU in Game Six the last 13 years, including 0-6 ATS at home. That’s chock full of bad numbers, if ever there were any. If you think those bad numbers, consider that Jacksonville is 2-14 SU and 1-15 ATS as a favorite if it was an underdog in its previous game!

NFL Play of the Day

Rating: 4 Units

Titans gained 400 yards two weeks ago facing the Bengals and then another 347 this past weekend. It appears the offense has come alive, but the defense yielded a season-high 429 yards in last week’s loss at Indianapolis. With NFL teams who are dining on tea and crumpets 6-1 ATS as favorites when arriving here off a SU favorite loss, we take added solace in knowing Jackson is 24-11 SU and 22-11-2 ATS away from home with the Ravens, including 4-0-2 ATS when coming off a loss. Finally, Tennessee is 1-13-1 ATS as either a favorite or a dog of 5 or fewer points versus AFC North opponents.

Rating: 2 Units

Let’s face it: the Broncos' defense is literally nonexistent at this point of the season. In the last two weeks, they surrendered 28 points to the Bears and 31 to the Jets, a pair of teams that no one was going to confuse with a top-five offense in the league. Facing a Kansas City team that hasn’t necessarily hit their stride offensively is going to be a tough hill for the Broncos to climb. The Chiefs have performed well defensively, though they admittedly haven’t faced a Murderer’s Row of offenses to this point of the season. Denver’s last win against the Chiefs came back in September 2015 and they haven’t held Kansas City under 22 points in any of the games in this 15-game skid. Since Denver’s defense is so leaky right now, you have to think that Kansas City rolls up 30-plus points here to earn a home victory, extending their dominance in the series.