Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. Every game is huge for both these teams right now. This one is no exception. Both teams should be extremely motivated to win. I feel the Sharks are the superior team though, particularly when getting to face the Avs here at San Jose. I also like how this one sets up from a "momentum" standpoint. The Sharks are 23-15 (23-12-3) at home. The Avs are 18-20 (18-16-4) on the road. The Sharks played a big game vs. Phoenix on Saturday. They found themselves trailing on two separate occasions (1-0 in 1st and 3-2 in the 2nd) but managed to battle back for a 4-3 victory in a shootout. After that game, captain Joe Thornton said.

Reason: I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Wrong place, wrong time or the Jets. For starters, this is a tough venue. The Predators are 23-14 (23-9-5) here. On the other hand, even off a win at Washington last night, the Jets are 12-24 (12-20-4) on the road. Speaking of last night's win, not only was it a "hard-fought" victory, it was also an emotional one and it came vs. a division rival which they are battling against. Of course, it doesn't matter who they played the previous day, the Jets have been dismal when playing the second of b2b games. They're 1-10 (-8.6) when playing the second of b2b games. With the Preds at 10-2 (+8.6) when coming off a game in which they scored one goal or less, I'm expecting a victory for the home team here. *6

Reason: I'm playing on FLORIDA. I played against the Oilers at Tampa, last night. That game worked out perfectly, although I did have to sweat a bit at the end. The Lightning led that game up until the Oilers got a late third period goal to force overtime. In the end, the Lightning would win in the shootout. That meant that the Oilers were required to work extra hard. Plus, the fact that they earned a point makes them having already accomplished something on their trip to Florida. That should make it easier for this team, which is playing out the string, to go through the motions here. Of course, even if they give their best effort, the Oilers are likely in over their heads here. They're 3-7 (-1.8) the last 10 times that they played the second of back-to-back games, going a dismal 7-25 (-12.2) their last 32 in that situation. The Panthers lost last time out. However, they're still 5-1 their last six. They gave up three goals last time out but had allowed two or less in six straight games before that. After this, four of six come on the road. In other words, the Panthers know they need to take care of business here. They're 18-11 (+6.5) against teams with a losing record and I expect them to improve on those stats here. *6

Reason: I'm playing on LA. The Blues lost vs. the Ducks last night. They've suddenly dropped three of four. This figures to be a tough spot for them to bounce back. The Blues are an ugly 6-9 (-2.1) when playing the second of back-to-back games. The Kings are now 5-0 their last five and 8-2 their last 10. They're undefeated at home this month. While the Blues are getting outscored 2.3 to 2.2 on the road, the Kings outscore teams by a 2.4 to 1.9 margin here. These teams split a pair of meetings at Sat. Louis. However, the Kings won 5-0 in the lone meeting here at LA. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I expect the Kings to keep rolling for another day. *9

Reason: I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. These teams are both playing out the string. In such cases, often the more motivated team will be the winner. Playing at home and trying to snap a losing streak, I expect that team to be Tampa. The Oilers are 7-18 (-6.3) on the road, when the O/U line is 5.5. Meanwhile, the Lightning are 19-13 (+4.2) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Oilder won 6-3 last time out. That was the first time since February that they scored more than three goals though. The last time that they did so, they followed it up with a 5-2 loss in their next game. In fact, they're just 18-34 (-9.4) after scoring four or more goals, the past few seasons. The last time the Lightning had lost three straight, they responded by beating Boston 6-1. Expect them to bounce back once again. *10

Reason: I'm playing on COLORADO. These teams have faced each other four times this season. All four of those meetings were won by Calgary. However, a closer look reveals that all four of those games were played in 2011. The Avalanche have been the stronger team in 2012. During the second half of the season, the Avs are 18-16 (+3.8). The Flames, on the other hand, are 16-18 The Flames are off back to back losses, scoring only two goals in the two games combined. The Avs, on the other hand, are off a 3-1 win at MSG. Note that they're 34-19 (+20.8) the past few seasons when off a game vs. an Eastern Conference opponent, including 12-5 (+9) their last 17. While the Flames get outscored 2.9 to 2.4 on the road, the Avs outscore teams by a 2.6 to 2.4 margin here at Colorado. They're 10-4 the last 14 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of five, which is the case tonight, and I look for them to exact some revenge from the earlier losses here. *10

Reason: I'm playing on NASHVILLE. I feel the Predators are heavily favored for good reason here. While the price may initially seem high. Check out these numbers. The Oilers are a money-burning 17-53 (-29.4) the last 70 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During the same stretch, the Preds are an outstanding 41-18 (+18.4) when playing a home game where the O/U line is 5.5. During that same period, the Oilers are 36-81 (-28) against teams with a winning record. On the the other hand, the Preds are 58-37 (+14.3) against losing teams. While they've since won at Edmonton, the Preds were actually beaten by the Oilers here back in November. Now its payback time. *6

Reason: I'm playing on DALLAS. This is a huge game for each of these teams. That's because they're both tied with 83 points on top of the Pacific Division. Meanwhile, SJ and LA, also each in the same division, both have 82 points. The Coyotes have won three of five in the season series, including three straight. That said, despite a couple of recent losses, the Stars have been the better team in recent weeks. They've had a few days off in between games and I look for them to return with their best effort. The Coyotes have hung around but really don't have that much talent. They beat Edmonton last time out (an even weaker team) but are still only 3-7 since the beginning of March. The last time that the Stars played with three or more day's rest in between games, they won by a score of 6-2. They're a lucrative 9-2 (+7.2) the last 11 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of five. Looking at some other stats finds that Dallas has long been outstanding after a bad loss. The Stars are 14-8 (+5.9) after allowing four or more goals. The Stars are also 13-7 (+6.2) after a loss by two or more goals. They're an extremely profitable 171-107 (+57.7) their past few hundred in that situation, 38-29 (+13.3) the past few seasons. I expect them to bounce back with their best effort here. *10

Reason: I'm playing on DETROIT. Both teams want this one. I feel the Wings are favored by this much for good reason though. While they've lost a few recently, keep in mind that the Wings have been dominant here this season. They're 28-6 (+17.9) here on the season, outscoring opposing teams by a 3.7 to 1.8 margin. On the other hand, the Capitals are 13-23 (-11.7) on the road, getting outscored by a 3.2 to 2.5 margin. While the Caps want to win, they're off a game yesterday and are now playing the fourth leg of a 5-game road trip. Note that they're only 4-7 (-3.8) when playing the second of back to back games. The Wings, who recently got superstar Pavel Datsyuk back from injury, got embarrassed 7-1 at Washington earlier this season. They're 10-2 the last 12 times that they hosted the Caps, 3-0 the last three. They're also 17-8 (+5.2) the last 25 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. Behind a highly motivated performance, I expect them to improve on those stats here. *6

Reason: I'm playing on the NEW YORK RANGERS. The Rangers have been in a bit of a funk lately and it all can be traced back to a loss vs. New Jersey. Now they get a chance to "exorcise the Devil" that started their slump. I expect that to translate to their very best effort. Both teams lost on Saturday. However, the Rangers were arguably the much better team. They outshot the Avalanche by a 42-20 margin but just had trouble putting the puck in the net. On the other hand, the Devils got destroyed by the Penguins, getting outshot by a 44-14 margin. With this being the 4th game of a 6-game homestand, note that the Rangers are 14-6 (+9) the last 20 times that they'd played their previous three at home, 5-2 their last seven in that situation. With the Rangers also a commanding 16-4 (+9.6) the last 20 times that they played a home game where the O/U line was five, its payback time at MSG. *10 Personal Fav.

Reason: I'm playing on WINNIPEG. I've ridden the Jets a number of times at home while playing against them on the road. While that sounds simplistic, in their case, its been effective. The Jets are 23-14 (23-10-4) at home but just 11-23 (11-19-4) on the road. Currently tied for ninth place in the Eastern Conference and with three very difficult road games (Pittsburgh, Washington and Nashville) on deck, the Jets know they absolutely can't afford to squander this very winnable home game. While the Jets had yesterday off, the Hurricanes were busy playing at Minnesota. To their credit, the Canes did manage to rally for a victory. They're still a dismal 10-25 (10-16-9) on the road though and that includes a 0-2 mark here at Winnipeg. They're also a money-burning 17-33 (-16.7) the last 50 times that they played the second of back-to-back games, going an ugly 3-10 their last 13 in that situation. The Jets are 11-7 (+5.2) against divisional opponents. I expect them to improve on those stats here and all things considered, the price could easily be higher. *8

Reason: I'm playing on ANAHEIM. This game is very important for the Kings. However, its even more so for the Ducks. Desperate for points and off an impressive shutout victory, I expect the Ducks to be at their best here. Despite being quite far back and knowing the odds are against them, the Ducks aren't giving up yet. Off a shutout win last time out, goalie Jonas Hiller had this to say: "All we can do is win as many games as possible. You have to take care of it on our end, and hope that

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I won with the Sharks two games ago, as they snapped their losing streak with a victory at Edmonton. I stayed off them in their most recent game, as it was a back-to-back situation and I felt they might have trouble with Calgary. (They did.) They're back home now though and have had a day off in between games. Desperate for points, I expect them to bring their "A Game." The Predators are a solid team. No question. They're comfortably in fifth place in the West though, five points ahead of #6 Chicago. So, things aren't exactly urgent. On the other hand, the Sharks have fallen to ninth - although they do have a few games in hand on 8th place Colorado. Throw in the fact that they're also playing with "revenge" and I expect we'll see a highly motivated effort from the Sharks here. Having had two days off, one would expect the Preds to be refreshed and ready to go. However, it should be noted that they're a surprisingly ugly 19-31 (-17.4!) the last 50 times that they played with two day's rest in between games. This is the first game back home for the Sharks, which can sometimes be a tough spot. However, the trip wasn't that long, as it was only four games. Plus, the Sharks typically often well in this situation. The last time they returned home from a road trip they earned a shutout win against the Flyers. They're now 27-18 their last 45, after having played three or more on the road. While the Preds upset them here back in November, the Sharks are still a commanding 15-4 the last 19 times that they were a host in this series. The price was higher on every single one of those games than it is tonight. I feel we're getting excellent value tonight and look for the Sharks to bounce back and resume their home ice dominance in this series. *8

Reason: I'm playing on NEW JERSEY. I've won with the Avalanche a couple of times recently. I also won by playing against the Devils in their last game. However, tonight, the situation sets up very nicely for a play "on" NJ and also "against" Colorado. Last night's win at Buffalo was of the "hard fought" variety. The Avs were forced to play a full overtime period and then won in the shootout. They're now playing their their third game in the past four days. Note that the Avs are a dismal 12-28 the last 40 times that they played the second of back-to-back games. The Devils may have only split vs. the Flyers but they're still 4-1 their last five. Unlike Colorado, htye had yesterday off - they also have tomorrow off - so should have the fresher legs. The Devils should also have some added motivation as they lost at Colorado earlier this season. They didn't just lose either - they got embarrassed by a score of 6-1. That was way back near the beginning of the season though. Much has changed. The Devils are 17-12 (+7.4) the last 29 times that the played with "revenge." Off their third straight low-scoring game, note that they're also 30-15 the last few seasons, when off three or more consecutive "unders." Those numbers improve here, as its payback time in NJ. *8

Reason: I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Dallas has certainly been rolling. However, this is a very tough spot. The Stars are off a hard-fought win at Minnesota last night. They'll now be facing a well-rested Winnipeg team which is desperate for a victory and which has been at its very best here at home all season. While they're 11-19-4 on the road, the Jets are an excellent 21-10-4 here at home. The Jets are outscoring teams by a 2.9 to 2.3 margin here. They won their last tw games here by a combined score of 10-1. While respectable on the road, Dallas still scores the same amount of goals (2.6) as it allows, when playing away from home. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I look for the Jets to bounce back and improve to 12-8 (+4.4) when off a loss by two or more goals. *8

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. These teams just faced each other at New Jersey a couple of days. Playing on home ice, the Devils "held serve," earning a 4-1 victory. With tonight's rematch being played at Philadelphia, I expect it to be the revenge-minded Flyers who finish on top. While the Devils have now won four straight, keep in mind that two of those came against the lowly Islanders. The Flyers have also been hot and they've been facing some stronger opponents. Prior to Sunday's loss, Philadelphia had won five straight, including wins over Detroit, Florida and Washington. The Flyers outscored opponents by a 16-5 margin during that 5-game winning streak, recording three shutouts along the way. Philadelphia Coach Laviolette didn't downplay how important this game is. He was quoted as saying: "It's a division game and it's a big game. You come off of a loss where you don

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. Things are starting to get desperate for the Sharks. I expect a visit to Edmonton to prove to be just what the doctor ordered. These teams met recently at San Jose. After giving up a goal in the opening seconds, the Sharks bounced back and carried the play. However, the Oilers would hang on and eventually win the game in a shootout. That puts San Jose in the "revenge role" here. Of course, at this point, stopping the bleeding with a victory (against any opponent) is far more important than are any thoughts of revenge. After the previous loss vs. Edmonton San Jose's captain Joe Thornton said: "...We did a good job tonight. We worked hard. That's all we can do is keep working and hopefully the hockey gods will be kind to us the next few games..." While they've been struggling of late, I still view the Sharks as a "good" team. On the other hand, the Oilers remain one of the worst teams in the league. They've currently lost five of their last six and are long out of the playoff race. The Sharks are still 32-16 (+8.4) the past 48 times that they were off a loss by two or more goals. They're also 6-2 their last eight visits to Edmonton. I expect their best effort here en route to a very important two points. *9

Reason: I'm playing on the NEW YORK RANGERS. The Rangers are obviously heavy favorites here. However, given the venue and scheduling situation, I feel the price is fair. The Rangers, who had yesterday off, have dropped three straight. While they're still "sitting pretty" in the playoff race, the losing streak should provide plenty of motivation. Note that they're a profitable 11-8 (+3.4) the past couple of seasons, off three or more losses. During that stretch, they're also a lucrative 31-22 (+5.9) when off three or more consecutive losses. While the Rangers were resting yesterday, the Islanders played against the Devils yesterday. This will be their third game in four days. In addition to being motivated to snap the 3-game slide, the Rangers lost the lone 2012 meeting in this series. That should provide some further incentive. While the Islanders did win the most recent meeting, that was at Long Island. The Rangers have dominated the Isles here at MSG. In two games here this season, the Rangers are 2-0 with a 7-2 combined edge in goals. Even with the loss at Long Island last month, the Rangers are still a commanding 20-7 (+10.8) against teams with a losing record. They're also 14-3 when playing a home game with an O/U line of five. The bottom line is that the Rangers are one of the best teams in the league while the Islanders would be happy to be considered "mediocre." The Rangers have the venue and schedule in their favor and should be fully focused on the task at hand. Lay the wood. *6

Reason: I'm playing on COLORADO. This game features two teams currently out of the playoff picture. The Avalanche are still very much fighting for a spot though while the Oilers have been playing out the string for many weeks. That makes this every game very important for the Avs. Taking advantage of a home game against an inferior opponent is critical, particularly when coming off a loss last time out. Off a 4-2 loss at Nashville, Colorado coach Joe Sacco commented: "In a game like this, that had such meaning, I didn't think we had enough guys giving a full 60 minutes, and that

Reason: I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Things have become desperate for the 4-time defending Southeast Division champion Capitals. Having lost three straight and playing the final game of a 5-game home-stand, they absolutely need a victory this evening. I expect them to respond with their best effort. The Caps know they aren't usually as good on the road - and that they play six of their next seven away from home. That makes winning tonight even more critical. The Lightning have been playing better of late. They're down to backup goalie Dwayne Roloson though. Not such a good thing, when considering that he's just 2-8-1 with a poor 4.38 goals-against average over his last 16 appearances. As Tampa's Steven Stamkos noted of the injury to their #1 goalie:

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I successfully played against the Oilers last night and they're in an arguably tougher spot tonight. The Oilers, playing their second of b2b games, have dropped three in a row and are out of the playoff race. They'll face a talented but desperate San Jose club, one which had the past two days off. Note that Edmonton is an awful 6-25 (-14.4) the past few seasons, when playing the second of back to back games. The Sharks lost the last meeting in this series, a 2-1 victory for the Oilers on 1/23. However, that was at Edmonton and the Sharks had a 45-18 edge in shots. The Sharks won the lone meeting here at San Jose, outshooting Edmonton by a 37-25 margin in that one. They've beaten the Oilers in five of the last six meetings here and they were laying a minimum of -230 in five of those. That makes tonight's high price seem more reasonable. I expect a one-sided affair as the desperate Sharks show up with their A-game which will be too much for the outclassed Oilers to handle *7

Reason: I'm playing on ANAHEIM. After a great stretch to get within striking distance of the playoff race, the Ducks have stumbled a bit, losing three of four. With three fairly tough road road games on deck, they absolutely need to take advantage of tonight's winnable road game. The Ducks have dominated the Oilers in recent seasons. They're 8-1 the last three years. They won this season's lone meeting by a score of 5-0. Note that the Oilers are 17-50 (-26.4) the past few seasons, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. The Ducks are 31-13 (+14.5) the past few seasons when facing a losing team in the second half of the seasons. They're the better team and I expect them to continue their series dominance this evening. *7

Reason: I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Sabres are on a nice roll. They're at the end of a long road trip here though and they're taking on a Jets team that is very tough at home. I expect their winning streak to come to an end. The Jets won 7-0 last time out, a blowout win over Florida on 3/1. They're now 20-14 (20-10-4) here at Winnipeg. Even with an upset win at Vancouver last time out and successful trip, the Sabres are still 14-17 (14-16-1) on the road. Note that they're a money-burning 11-16 (-11.4) the past few seasons, after winning three straight. The Jets have taken two of three meetings including a 4-1 win in the lone game here at Winnipeg. They were laying -150 for that game. Yet, now we're getting them for close to a pick'em price. Catching Buffalo at the end of a long trip, I expect the Jets to take care of business on home ice once again. *9

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. As of this writing, we're essentially getting the Sharks at a pick'em price, as they're only very slight favorites. Given the situation and given the historical pricing in this series, I feel that's offering us excellent value. These teams met less than a month ago, at St. Louis. The Blues are a MUCH better team at home. Yet, the line for that game was only a "pick'em." This season's only meeting at San Jose saw the Sharks laying in the -150 to -160 range. (While the Sharks lost that game, note that they had a 36-20 edge in shots.) Going back further reveals that the Sharks have been laying a minimum of -150 (and as much as -360!) in 17 straight home meetings with the Blues. Even with this season's earlier loss, the Sharks were still a commanding 13-4 in those games. In addition to having lost the earlier meeting here, the Sharks also lost both at St. Louis. That has them playing with "triple revenge." That should also provide some extra motivation. Now fully acclimatized to the West Coast and hoping to get Logan Couture back from injury, the Sharks are playing their third straight at home. On the other hand, the Blues are playing the final leg of a 6-game road trip. They already won the first four games of the trip, before coming up short at Vancouver last time out. After the loss to the Canucks, center T.J. Oshie noted fatigue was starting to be a factor for the road-weary Blues. "...I don

Reason: I'm playing on CAROLINA. The situation favors the home team here. The Hurricanes had last night off. The Lightning were involved in a hard-fought game against the Rangers. To their credit, they battled back from an early deficit to win. However, it took a lot of energy to do so and the game also went to overtime. The Hurricanes know they head out on an extended road trip after tonight's game. They also know one of the games on the trip will be at Tampa That should provide some extra motivation to close out the homestand with a victory. The Lightning are a dismal 9-20 (-9) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Hurricanes, on the other hand, are 15-12 (+3.5) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. With the schedule in their favor. I expect the Canes to improve on those stats here. *8

Reason: I'm playing on ANAHEIM. This is a big game for the Flames. Its even bigger for the Ducks. With the schedule, venue and history on their side, I expect the Ducks to take care of business here. While the Ducks were resting, the Flames earned an important win at Phoenix last night. They're just 87-113 (-14.1) the last 200 times that they played the second of back-to-back games though, including 13-21 in that situation the past few seasons, 2-5 their last seven. Note that the Flames are also a money-burning 27-39 (-16.8) the past few seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. That includes an awful 4-10 (-6.8) mark their last 14 in that situation. A couple of recent losses notwithstanding, the Ducks have been playing great for weeks. They've also fared well at this time of the year the past couple of seasons, going 18-10 (+7.2) in March the past few years. During that time, they're also 30-12 (+14.5) when facing a team with a losing record, in the second half of the season. The Ducks have lost only once here against the Flames in many many years, going 20-1 (with three ties) the last 24 meetings here. All things considered, I feel the price is more than fair. *8

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. Tough spot for the Sabres here, who are playing thousands of miles away from home. Buffalo did win last night. However, the Sabres are still just 12-17 (12-16-1) on the road and tonight they'll be facing a rested San Jose club which is 19-11 (19-9-2) at home. The Sabres are an awful 22-35 (-17.2) the past few seasons when playing the second of back to back games. That includes a money-burning 5-12 (-7.8) mark this season. While both teams are off a shutout win, the Sabres are 1-2 (-1.4) the last three times that they were off a shutout while the Sharks are 3-1 (+1.4) when in the same situation, during the same span. Going back further finds them at 10-3 (+6.2) the last 13 times that they were off a shutout win. The Sharks, who won 1-0 last time out, are also 25-15 the last 40 times that they scored one or fewer goals in their last game. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to improve on those stats here. All things considered, I feel the high price tag is justified. *7 (Big Easy)

Reason: I'm playing on WINNIPEG. This is a huge game in the Southeastern conference. I expect home ice to be the difference. The Panthers have been somewhat respectable on the road. They're 15-16 (15-12-4). However, the Jets have been better here at Winnipeg as they boast a 19-14 (19-10-4) home record. Given the Panthers credit for winning three straight. However, keep in mind that those three games came vs. Carolina, Montreal and Toronto. All three of those teams are either weak and/or struggling. Also, lets not forget that they'd lost four in a row, prior to the 3-game winning streak. The last time that the Panthers had won three straight, they lost their next game by a score of 6-2. In fact, they're 0-10 the last 10 times that they tried to win four in a row, going a money-burning 26-52 (-34) their last 80+ in that situation. The Jets are 9-7 (+3.2) when playing with two day's rest and 10-8 (+2.4) when off a loss by two or more goals. With the home crowd behind them, I expect them to improve on those stats here. *10 Southeastern GOM

Reason: I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens desperately need a victory. The Wild should be the perfect opponent for them to get one. Minnesota lost 4-0 last time out and is now a terrible 8-25 its last 33 games. Even though their current skid sits at five games, the Canadiens are still a stellar 19-13 (+10) after having lost three or more games. They hammered the Wild by a score of 8-1 the last meeting and have won three of the last four in the series. They should finally stop the bleeding here. *9 (annihilator)

Reason: I'm playing on TORONTO. All games are important for both these teams right now. Things are far more critical for the Leafs tonight and I look for them to dig deep and find a way to come away with the two points. The Leafs are playing at home. They've fallen out of a playoff spot and desperately need to snap their losing skid. Having also lost both this season's meetings with the Panthers, they're also playing with "double-revenge." The Panthers are off a 4-2 win last time out. However, that was at home against a struggling Montreal club. They're still lost four of six and they're also just 6-8 (-1.5) off a win by two or more goals, going 18-24 (-3.7) in that situation the past few seasons. The last time that the Leafs lost four in a row, they responded with a 4-3 victory. Even with a loss last time out, they're still 5-2 (+2.7) after having lost their previous three or more games. With more difficult games on deck, this really is (practically) a "must win." I expect them to respond with their best effort. *9

Reason: I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Kings are off a big 4-0 win last time out. However, that was at home vs. a struggling Chicago team which was playing without its best player. Tonight, the Kings are back on the road, playing a tough team at a difficult venue. I feel they'll be in over their heads. The Kings are very stingy defensively. Unfortunately, at least for LA fans, they also score the fewest goals in the entire league. On the road, they're getting outscored by an average score of 2.5 to 2.2. The Predators are a sold defensive club, too. Unlike the Kings, they can also put the puck in the net. They're 20-12 (20-7-5) here at Nashville, outscoring opposing teams by an average score of 3.0 to 2.5. The Preds have been playing some tough opponents of late but have held their own. Their last seven games have come against Boston, Vancouver, Chicago, St. Louis, San Jose, Dallas and Detroit. All seven of those are very capable teams and three of those games came on the road. Yet, the Preds still managed to win four of the seven games, most recently a convincing 6-2 victory over the Sharks. While the Preds are now 16-11 (+4.4) in the second half of the season, the Kings are only 9-14 (-10.5.) Going back further finds Nashville at a profitable 73-55 (+19.6) in the second half the past few seasons. This is a well-coached team and its shown a tendency to get stronger in the second half. The fact that the Kings won this season's only meeting (4-3 LA on 11/8) is noteworthy. That's because the Preds are a lucrative 67-42 (+32.6) the past 100+ times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. All things considered, the price seems more than reasonable. *9

Reason: I'm playing on ANAHEIM. This game sets up nicely for the Ducks. While Anaheim had Saturday off, the Hawks had to play a late game at LA. Now, in addition to playing the second of back-to-back games, the Hawks will also be playing their 6th game in nine days. Throw in the fact that they'll be playing without captain Jonathan Toews, one of the very best players in the world, and this is a tough spot for the Hawks. Note that Toews reportedly didn't travel with the team to California, nor did defensemen Niklas Hjalmarsson and Steve Montador. These teams met three times earlier in the season. Chicago won all three of those games. However, only one of three games was here at Anaheim and all three were played in 2011. The Ducks have been playing MUCH better since then. In fact, they're an outstanding 16-7 (16-3-4) since January 6th and that surge has them right back in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race. Its also kept them from becoming a "seller" in the trade market, otherwise they'd surely be getting rid of players like Teemu Selanne. When asked of being moved, Selanne had this to say: "We haven't even talked about that. There's good things going here right now. We all really believe we can make it to the playoffs. It hasn't been on my mind at all." Note that even with the earlier loss here, the Ducks are still a commanding 14-4, with two ties, the last 20 times that they were a host in this series. Back home from a highly successful road trip, fighting for their playoff lives AND playing with triple-revenge against a team playing in a tough scheduling spot, I expect the Ducks to keep on rolling for another day. Given the setup, an opening price of roughly "pick'em" is more than fair. *10

Reason: I'm playing on TORONTO. I successfully played against the Leafs on Thursday. That was against a talented and desperate San Jose club though. I felt the Leafs would be in over their heads. The Leafs will be taking on another quality team here. However, they've also got the schedule in their favor and tonight I look for them to be the team which is more "desperate." While the Leafs had last night off, the Caps are off a big win vs. Montreal. That's noteworthy as we find them at a money-burning 17-21 (-8.5) the past few seasons, when playing the second of back-to-back games. That includes a dismal 2-7 (-6.2) record their last nine in that situation. It should also be noted that last night's win came at home. The Caps have dropped four straight on the road. They're an awful 7-16 (-11.2) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. For the season, they've been outscored by a 3.2 to 2.4 margin on the road. As both teams are much better at home, its not surprising that the home team is 2-0 in this series this season. The Leafs lost at Washington but dominated the Caps by a score of 7-1 in the lone meeting here at Toronto. The Leafs, who have now dropped three straight, are 5-1 after having lost their previous three. Those losses were all against very tough (at Vancouver, vs. NJ and vs. SJ) opponents. Now, with the schedule in their favor, I expect them to bounce back an earn a very important two points. *9

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. Both teams should be highly motivated for a victory. I believe the Sharks are the stronger team though and also feel that they may well be even a little more hungry than the Leafs here. While Toronto did manage a point last time out, the Sharks are off an embarrassing loss at Columbus. Coach Todd McLellan wasn't at all happy with his team and had this to say: "The disappointing thing for me is the lack of urgency that we entered the game with. Right now we should be a desperate team. That's very concerning." Playing the final game of a road trip and "desperate" to snap their skids, I expect McLellan's Sharks to bring their "A Game" right from the opening faceoff tonight. The Sharks are 30-20 their last 50 against teams from the East and 2-0 with one tie in their last three visits to Toronto. A well-coached team, they're also an outstanding 31-14 (+10.4) the last 45 times that they were off a loss of two or more goals. I expect them to improve on those stats here. *9

Reason: I'm playing on MONTREAL. Both teams desperately need points right now. Montreal needs them even more than Dallas though. As Montreal defenseman Josh Gorges noted: "We don

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Jets come in as the "hotter" team and they're also playing at home. I believe that the Flyers are the "stronger" team though and I expect them to also be the more motivated one this evening. First, let's look at the price - which is essentially in the "pick'em" range. (Or, at least close enough.) The Flyers were -200, -185 and -155 (for the game here at Winnipeg) in this season's three previous meetings. I feel tonight's much lower price is providing excellent line value. Both teams need points. However, the Flyers are off a 6-4 loss and have had a tough February. Throw in the fact that they're playing to avoid the season sweep, having lost all three games in this series so far, and this team should be extremely hungry. Note that Philadelphia, 18-11 (+5.5) on the road, should be bolstered by some recent trades. Also, the fact that the Flyers haven't played since Saturday is significant. They're 19-10 the past few seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. That includes an impressive 5-1 (+3.9) mark this season. The Jets, 1-3 after winning their previous three games, are a poor 5-9 (-4.3) after a win by two or more goals. Despite their success against the Flyers this season, the Jets are still below .500 against winning teams. Facing Philadelphia's "A-Game," I expect them to stumble here. *9

Reason: I'm playing on LA. These teams faced each other twice last month. Somewhat surprisingly, the visiting team won both those games. The Kings won at Calgary. The Flames won at LA. I expect a different result this evening though. The Kings lost 1-0 last time out. That was their first game back home, off a long road trip though. That can be a difficult spot for teams. Knowing they head right back out on the road again after this, the Kings know they badly need to take care of business on home ice. On the other hand, the Flames have a 4-game homestand on deck. Having already earned five points in their last three games and with provincial rival Edmonton on deck, the Flames may not be quite as hungry as their hosts. Of course, the Flames are rarely very good on the road, no matter how "hungry" they are. In fact, they're only 11-21 on the road. While they lost against Calgary here last month, the Kings are still 3-1 the last four times that they were a host in this series. I expect home ice to be the difference as the Kings claw their way to a very important two points. *9

Reason: I'm playing on NEW JERSEY. The Ducks have been playing well. Wednesday's win at Pittsburgh was their third straight. They're in a tough spot here though and I expect the winning streak to come to an end. Even with the recent victories, the Ducks are still a dismal 9-18 (9-11-7) on the road. Note that they're 3-7 the last 10 times that they played three consecutive road games. Also, note that they're a money-burning 11-18 (-6.3) after winning three straight, the past 2+ seasons. The Devils have also been playing very well. They're 6-1-1 their last eight. Ilya Kovalchuk has been leading the way with 16 points in those games. New Jersey coach Peter DeBoer said this of his star sniper: "He's taking his game to another level. Obviously, he's a key guy for us, but we're getting that type of effort from all of our leaders. If they do that, everyone else follows." Brodeur is expected to be back in net after making 29 saves Tuesday. He

Reason: I'm playing on DALLAS. This is a big game for both teams. They'll face each other four times over the next 20 games and both are competing for a playoff spot in the competitive Western Conference. Its arguably a more important game for the Stars though. Playing on home ice, I expect them to come away with the two points. I say thats its a more important game for the Stars for a few reasons. For starters, its at home. Knowing they'll be visiting Calgary a couple of times coming up, the Stars really want to hold serve at home here. Also, the Stars are a little behind the Flames in the playoff race and can't afford to fall further behind. Calgary has 62 points. Dallas has 59 points but a game in hand. Additionally, while the Flames are off a win, the Stars have dropped three straight, most recently a 3-1 loss at Detroit - where nobody wins. The Stars are 13-10 (+5.4) the past 2+ seasons, when off three or more consecutive losses though. During that stretch, they're also a profitable 37-28 (+13.5) off a loss by two or more goals. That includes a 12-6 (+6.4) mark in that situation this season. While the Flames are 11-20 on the road, the Stars are 15-13 at home. All things considered, the price seems more than fair. *9

Reason: I'm playing on BUFFALO. This line is roughly a "pick'em." I feel that's providing us with very fair value on what should be an extremely motivated home team. I say that the Sabres should be extremely motivated as they are a team which is fighting to stay in the race. The trade deadline is getting closer and right now the Sabres still aren't sure if they'll be a "buyer" or a "seller." They certainly want it to be the former but need to keep winning to make that a reality. As New Jersey coach Peter DeBoer said of the Sabres' situation: "They're playing for their life ... It's not necessarily the opponent as much as the desperation level. And right now, for me, the desperation level doesn't get any higher than two weeks prior to the trade deadline ... " Note that the Devils have dropped two straight. The Sabres are off a 2-1 loss last time out. However, they got another strong goaltending performance from Ryan Miller and have been playing very well of late. Prior to the setback vs. TB, which was a difficult back-to-back spot, the Sabres had won three straight and five of six. Prior to the TB loss, Miller had been 5-0-1 with a superb 1.11 goals-against average in his previous six games. Note that Miller has held the Devils to one goal or less in five of his last six starts against them, posting a 4-1-1 record and a stellar 1.14 GAA. Going back to the price being in the pick'em range, note that the Sabres were laying -165 or more when they hosted the Devils earlier this season. In fact, they've been laying at least -125 for each of their last seven home meetings in this series. The Sabres are playing the fourth and final game of a homestand. They're 15-9 the last 24 times that they played their previous three at home and I look for them to find a way to get it done once again. *9

Reason: I'm playing on OTTAWA. The Senators earned a much needed victory last time out, knocking off Nashville by a score of 4-3. Facing a team which they have dominated, I expect them to follow it up with another victory this afternoon. While the Sens are off a victory, the Oilers are off back to back losses. They're now 2-16 (-12.4) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Sens are 8-1 their last nine games against the Oilers. That includes a 5-2 victory at Edmonton back in November. While the Oilers would love to avenge that loss, that's easier said than done. Indeed, Edmonton is a terrible 15-50 (-29.3) the last 65 times it attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. The Sens are 12-8 (+5.6) the last 20 times that they scored four or more goals in their previous game. Having finally gotten back on track, I expect them to improve on those stats here. *8

Reason: I'm playing on BOSTON. I feel that the Predators are in the wrong place at the wrong time here. Not only are the Preds playing on the road but they're facing the defending champs. Worse, they're catching the Bruins off an embarrassing 6-0 loss, their worst loss in nearly four years. While it may sound surprising, that 6-0 debacle may turn out to be just what the doctor ordered. Coach Julien put his Bruins through one of their most difficult and physical practices of the season on Thursday. I expect them to respond with their best effort. Julien had this to say: "I think that's certainly the start to what should be a wake-up call. Obviously our guys have enough character in there. Just because you

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Flyers snapped a 3-game losing skid in their last game. While the score (4-3) didn't appear that dominating, the Flyers played very well in that game. In fact, they actually played very well their previous game too, losing 1-0 but holding a 45-17 edge in shots. I expect them to be extremely motivated here. Not only are the Flyers four points behind the Rangers in the Atlantic Division standings but they've also lost all four games vs. New York this season, including a recent 5-2 loss at MSG last weekend. That puts them in "quadruple revenge" mode here. Despite their struggles in this series, the Flyers are still 15-9 (+5.3) against teams with a winning record this season. I like what I saw from them this week and I look for them to finally beat these hated Rangers. *10

Reason: I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Sabres have been one of the more disappointing teams in the league this season. Expected to be good, they've struggled much of the year. That said, the reason for the high expectations was that this team has plenty of talent. Things have changed lately though, as the Sabres are currently playing their best hockey. They're off an impressive 6-0 shutout win over the defending champs and have suddenly won four of their last five. I expect them to keep on rolling for another day. While the Sabres had last night off, the Stars were busy playing at Columbus. They did win that game by a score of 4-2. However, it wasn't easy. They got off to an early lead but had to "hang on" as the lowly Jackets got right back into the game and threatened to tie it. (The Stars fourth goal was an empty netter with less than one second left.) Off last night's game, I expect the Stars to struggle here. Note that they're 0-9 this season when playing the second of b2b games. They were outscored 37-14 in those games, too! The Sabres are a perfect 4-0 the last four times they hosted the Stars and are undefeated (4-0 with one tie) as a host of the Stars this millennium. They were laying -175 when they faced them here the last time. Tonight's price is far more reasonable. Given the way the Sabres are now playing and the scheduling setup, I feel its providing us with excellent value. *10

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Flyers have lost three straight. That should make them extra "hungry" here. Facing a Leafs team which they have dominated, I expect them to bounce back with a big win. While they did lose 1-0 (vs. the Isles) in a shootout, the Flyers actually played very well last time out. They just happened to get beaten by a hot goalie, as will happen from time to time. A closer look reveals that they actually had a commanding 45-18 edge in shots on goal. That type of effort would normally be rewarded with two points. As Philadelphia's Kimmo Timonen noted after that game: "Their goalie played really well. But I was happy with the way we played. If we play like that, we'll win a lot of games. That's our hockey. We skate, we hit, we force teams to turn the puck over. We had chances, but he made the saves. We played a complete game for 65 minutes." Even the Isles admitted they were outplayed by the Flyers and that their goalie stole the game for them. New York's Frans Nielsen said this of his goalie: "...He won this game for us. We didn't play well. He was incredible..." Tonight, however, the Flyers will be taking on a Leafs team that allows more than three goals per game on the road. Note that Philadelphia is a profitable 5-1 (+3.8) the last six times it scored less than two goals in its previous game. The Flyers are 6-1 the last seven times that they hosted the Leafs. They were laying an average of -219 for those seven games. While they're still favored tonight, the price is far more reasonable. Desperate for a victory, I expect them to find the back of the net and continue their home ice dominance in this series. *10

Reason: I'm playing on DETROIT. Yes, the Wings are heavily favored here. However, I feel that the steep price is justified and that this will prove to be the wrong place at the wrong time for the Oilers. These teams just faced each other at Edmonton on Saturday. The Wings had a 39-32 edge in shots but fell 5-4. That puts them in the "revenge" role here, a situation that they've gone 13-6 (+5.1) their last 19 in. Both teams followed up Saturday's game at Edmonton by losing their next one. The Oilers lost 6-3 at Toronto while the Wings fell 3-1 at Phoenix. That's noteworthy as the Oilers are 22-63 (-34.7) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals. During the same stretch, the Wings are a profitable 29-17 (+5.2) when off a loss by two more goals. Indeed, Detroit has been much better at bouncing back from a multi-goal loss. The Wings are 18-3 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. On the other hand, the Oilers are 2-15 (-11.4) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Wings have dominated the Oilers here at Detroit, including four straight wins. They won those games by a combined score of 16-7, including a 3-0 victory in this season's lone meeting here. As for the high price, note that the Wings have been laying as much as -400 against the Oilers in the past. Playing with recent revenge and looking to snap their 2-game skid, I expect the Wings to bounce back with a convincing victory. *7

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Flyers are fairly heavily favored here. However, given their dominance of the Islanders here, I feel that the price could easily be higher. In fact, the price usually IS higher when the Flyers host the Isles. The Flyers were laying -205 when they hosted the Isles a few weeks ago. Prior to that, they were laying -300 in the previous home meeting in this series. Before that, they were laying -260. So, tonight's price could indeed be higher. The Isles actually beat the Flyers in the game here last month. However, even including that result, the Flyers are still a commanding 26-3 the last 29 in the series, 13-1 the last 14 meetings here at Philadelphia. Off two straight losses, the Flyers figure to be highly motivated here. As center Max Talbot noted: "We need to get back on the horse. You look at the standings and it's really tight, so you can't allow yourself to just look back and think about it for too long." Philadelphia coach Peter Laviolette echoed Talbot's statement: "We have to be better with the attention to detail ... I think we're all accountable. It's my responsibility to make sure we're better defensively from a team point of view right down to our goaltender. It's not good enough ..." While I won't count on it, note that the Flyers could potentially get Daniel Briere back here. It should also be noted that the Isles will be without defenseman Travis Hamonic, who got hurt Saturday. (He'd played 113 straight games for them.) The Isles lost 4-3 vs. Buffalo last time out. The Flyers fell by a score of 5-2 vs. the Devils. The Isles are only 5-13 (-7.1) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game though. Meanwhile, the Flyers are 11-6 (+2.2) after allowing four or more. I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. *7

Reason: I'm playing on ANAHEIM. These teams faced each other on 1/12. The Flames won that one by a score of 1-0. That was at Calgary though, where they're a MUCH better team. With tonight's rematch being played at Anaheim, I expect the Ducks to have the advantage. The Flames are 14-10 at home but 10-18 on the road. Meanwhile, the Ducks are 6-17 on the road but 13-15 at home. That includes a 6-2 mark their last eight here. Going back further finds the Flames at a money-burning 28-44 (-11.9) the past few seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During the same stretch, the Ducks were 57-38 (+9.1) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5 The Ducks are 61-42 (+19.7) in the second half the past 2+ seasons. They've also OWNED Calgary here at Anaheim, going 17-2 with one tie the last 20 meetings here. All things considered, the price is more than fair. *9

Reason: I'm playing on MONTREAL. Off a 3-0 loss yesterday and now having dropped three straight, the Canadiens should be extremely motivated here. Note that Montreal is 18-11 (+11.2) the past couple of seasons, when off three of more consecutive losses. Also, they're 2-0 the last couple of times that they played the second of back to back games. In fact, they won those games (vs. the NYR and at Toronto) by a combined score of 7-2. The Canadiens are 2-1 against the Jets this season and they hammered them by a score of 7-3 in the lone game here at Montreal. The Canadiens aren't a big-scoring team but they should have the advantage in that area against a Winnipeg team which is wrapping up a long road trip and which has managed only six goals in its last five games. *9

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Due to the early start time, I'm keeping this one short and sweet. Both teams are off a win last time out. The Devils defeated a struggling Montreal team. The Flyers dominated a red-hot Nasvhille team, winning 4-1. They're now 14-7 against teams with a winning record this season. The Flyers have taken two of three meetings with the Devils this season. The visiting team won all three of those games. That's not "normal" here in Philly though as the Flyers have still won 10 of 13 home meetings in the series. That includes an 8-2 mark their last 10 here. I expect them to build off the Nashville win and add to those stats here. *8

Reason: I'm playing on BOSTON. Due to the early start time, I'm keeping this one short and sweet. The Bruins are off a 3-0 loss vs. the Hurricanes. This team has been at its best off a loss though, particularly a "bad" one. Indeed, the champs are a perfect 7-0 the last seven times that they were off a loss of two or more goals. During the same stretch, note that the Penguins, who are off a shutout loss of their own, are an ugly 3-7 after scoring one goal or less in its previous game. The Pens have fared very well against the league's weaker teams. However, they're still short-handed and they've struggled against quality competition. They're just 10-14 (-7) against winning teams. They're now 46-56 (-23.2) against teams with a winning record the past few seasons. On the other hand, Boston has thrived against quality competition. Indeed, the Bruins are an outstanding 18-6 (+8.2) against teams with a winning record. Not surprisingly, given those stats, Boston won this season's lone meeting. Given their ability to bounce back and with the Bruins outscoring teams by a 3.4 to 2.1 margin on this rink, I feel this afternoon's price is more than fair. *10

Reason: I'm playing on OTTAWA. Off three straight losses, the Senators should be extremely hungry here. They hardly played any home games in January, so should be happy to start February here in Ottawa. The Sens are a solid 14-10 here on the season. That's far better than the Isles 9-14 mark on the road. Even with a win at Carolina last time out, note that the Isles are still being outscored by an average score of 3.3 to 2.3 when playing away from Long Island. Both teams have had the past couple of day's off. That figures to work to Ottawa's advantage. For starters, the Sens were on a losing streak. So, the break came at a nice time. Also, although the trip began well before the All-Star Break, this is their first game back from a road trip. So, its nice to have a couple of days off to get "re-settled." Perhaps most importantly, the Sens have excelled when playing with two day's rest as they're 27-14 (+15.4) in that situation the past few seasons. While the Isles are 9-15 (-2.2) against winning teams, the Sens are 12-9 (+3.4) against losing teams. Throw in the fact that the Sens are 12-3, with one tie, the last 16 times that they were a host in this series and the price is reasonable. I expect a highly motivated effort from the Sens and look for them to pick up the important two points. *7

Reason: I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Jets are off back to back road wins. After a 2-1 win at Philadelphia on 1/31, they won 2-1 at TB last night. That puts them in a back to back spot here. That situation hasn't been kind to them this season. Check it out. The Jets are an awful 0-8 when playing the second of b2b games. The games haven't been close either. Last time in that situation, they lost 3-0. Prior to that, they lost by a score of 5-1. Prior to that it was a 4-0 loss which was preceded by a 4-1 setback. Before that, they lost 7-1. The three before that resulted in 4-2, 3-0 and 4-1 losses. Add it up and they've lost those eight games by a combined score of 34-6! The Panthers had last night off, after beating Washington the previous night. They're 9-5 (+3.7) against teams with a losing record this season, including 2-1 against the Jets. Given Winnipeg's history when playing the second of back to back games, the Panthers should improve on those stats this evening. *7

Reason: I'm playing on CHICAGO. I don't regularly play road favorites. However, in this case, if they were facing the Oilers at home the Blackhawks would be much too expensive. The fact that they are playing at Edmonton, has kept the line somewhat reasonable. I expect the Hawks to be at their best and feel that the (still) fairly steep price will prove justified. The Hawks lost a tough one at Vancouver to start the second half. That was their third straight loss. They're a very talented team though, one which is also extremely well-coached. Therefore, losing streaks rarely get too long. Note that Chicago is an outstanding 11-2 (+8.8) the last 13 times it was off three or more consecutive losses. While three straight losses should provide all the incentive the Hawks need, additional motivation should come from the fact that the Oilers have beaten them twice in a row. The last time that they were here at Edmonton, the Hawks were embarrassed by a score of 9-2. Then, the Oilers added insult to injury by beating the Hawks at Chicago. The Hawks are still 14-8 against teams with a losing record though while the Oilers are still only 9-13 against teams with a winning record. (They're now an awful 32-74 / -27.1 against winning teams the past few seasons.) The Hawks are also still 6-1 their last seven games here at Edmonton. Prior to the 9-2 debacle, they'd outscored the Oilers 30-8 in winning six straight here. Its payback time. *10

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Predators are on an extended winning streak. Off a big comeback win and with a big divisional game (St. Louis) on deck, I expect their streak to come to an end tonight though. These teams faced each other, at Nashville, in mid-January. The Predators won that one by a score of 4-2. The Flyers had a commanding 38-35 edge in shots on goal in that one though and now they get to face the Preds here at Philadelphia. The Flyers are off a 2-1 loss vs. Winnipeg. They haven't lost two in a row yet in 2012 though and they're 4-1 the last five times that they failed to score more than one goal in their previous game. While the Preds are 5-5 (-1.2) against teams from the East, the Flyers are 8-4 (+2.8) against teams from the West. They're also 13-7 (+5.9) against teams with a winning record. The Flyers were laying -185 when they last hosted the Preds, a 3-2 Philly win almost exactly one year ago (2/3/2011) to the day. We're getting a MUCH better price this year and I feel that's providing us with excellent value. *10

Reason: I'm playing on ANAHEIM. These teams just faced other before the break, at Dallas. I won with the Stars in that one, they won by a score of 1-0. Tonight's rematch is at Anaheim and this time, I expect the Ducks to have the advantage. The Ducks earned a 4-1 win at Phoenix last night. Normally, a back-to-back spot might not be ideal, although Anaheim is a solid 4-3 (+1.4) in that situation. However, as they had the previous week off, due to the All Star Break, I actually prefer the fact that they played, as opposed to the Stars, who had last night off. Note that Dallas is money-burning 68-70 (-26.9) the last 100+ times it played with three or more day's rest in between games. Also, note that the Stars scored just seven goals in six games, prrior to the break. On the other hand, the Ducks have been on a mission lately. They're 6-1 their last seven and the lone loss was the game vs. the Stars. They're now an impressive and profitable 61-40 (+23) the past few seasons, when playing during the "second half." The Ducks are 6-0 their last six at home, outscoring opponents by a 27-13 margin. They're also 5-2 the last seven times that they hosted the Stars. They won the most recent meeting here by a score of 5-2. Even with last night's win, the Ducks still need this one more, as they're further back in the standings. I expect them to extend their home winning streak for another day. *9

Reason: I'm playing on TORONTO. These teams just faced each other last night, at Pittsburgh. The Leafs dominated much of that game. However, the Penguins mounted a furious rally to come back and force OT. They eventually won 5-4 in OT. Tonight's rematch is at Toronto though and I expect the revenge-minded Leafs to return the favor. This game arguably means more to the Leafs. Not only did they just lose a heartbreaker at Pittsburgh last night but they're also desperately fighting for a playoff spot. Currently, the Leafs are occupying the 8th and final playoff spot in the East. However, the 9th place team (Florida) has two games in hand and is only one point behind. So, their hold on eighth is precarious, at best. Even though its only the start of February, for a playoff starved franchise, every game is critical right now. Wins are also important for the Pens. However, they're currently in fifth, seven points ahead of the Leafs. So, they can afford to be complacent more than the Leafs. The Leafs are typically better at home, as is goalie Gustavsson. He gave up a bunch last night but that was the first time in 12 games that he gave up more than three goals. He's 6-2 with a 1.63 GAA (and three shutouts) his last eight at Toronto. The Leafs home record (14-8-4) is slightly better than Pittsburgh's (14-10-2) mark on the road, at least in the standings. Yet, we're getting them as underdogs. With the Pens still banged-up and given the situation, I feel that's providing us with excellent value on the home team. *10

Reason: I'm playing on CAROLINA. I successfully played on the Hurricanes in each of their recent home games. Each time, I've noted that they've quietly started to play quite well here at Raleigh. (They're now 7-2 their last nine here, including a win over Boston.) Laying roughly the same price that they are tonight, the Canes beat Winnipeg by a score of 2-1 last time here. Prior to that, listed as slight underdogs, they beat the Capitals by a 3-0 margin. In each case, they were playing with "revenge" from some earlier losses. That's the case again this evening. I expect them to start the "second half" the way they finished the first, by playing well at home and avenging some earlier setbacks. Nestled in between their home wins over the Capitals and Jets was a road loss at Long Island. That was a tough scheduling spot for the Canes though as they were coming off the Washington win the previous night, while the Isles were "rested." Now, of course, both teams have had plenty of rest, due to the All Star Break. Given the Isles' poor play with extended rest, that may also favor Carolina. The Isles are 0-2 the last two times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games and are a money-burning 7-16 (-6.6) in that situation the past few seasons. The Canes are 26-18 (+6.3) the past few seasons, when facing a team with a losing record during the second half. They're also still 9-4 the last 13 times that they were a host in this series. All things considered, I feel the price on the home team is very fair. Playing with "recent revenge," I look for the Canes to keep on rolling for another day. *8

Reason: I'm playing on PHOENIX. I successfully played against the Sens last night and I feel this will be a good spot to go against them again here. While the Sens were involved in a hard-fought emotional game at LA last night, the Coyotes had last night off. In fact, they've had the last two nights off. They last played on the 21st. The Sens also played on that night, which makes this their third game in the past four. Going back further, this is the Sens' 11th game in 17 days. During the same stretch, the Coyotes have played eight games. That said, I expect the Coyotes to have much fresher legs here. Both teams get an extended break after this one. While the "exhausted Sens" are already happy with their post-Christmas play and likely just can't wait to get to the break, the "well-rested" Coyotes badly want to snap their 3-game skid, before the break. Note that the Coyotes are a solid 9-5 (+4.6) the past few seasons, after having lost their previous few games. During that stretch, they've also gone 21-15 (+6.2) when playing with two day's rest in between games. They beat the Sens 3-2 the last time the teams met here and I look for them to get it done again tonight. *10

Reason: I'm playing on DALLAS. The Ducks come in as the much hotter team. However, I expect the Stars to be the more "hungry" team and look for them to be the ones that come away with the valuable two points. The Ducks are 11-17 (-5.2) the past few seasons, when off three or more consecutive victories. During the same stretch, the Stars are a respectable 12-10 (+4.4) when off three or more consecutive losses. True, the Stars didn't look too good in losing 5-2 last time out. That was on the road though and they were playing the second of b2b games. They're well-rested now, as they've had the last two nights off. They're also an outstanding 44-30 (+18.2) the past few seasons, after having allowed four or more goals in their previous game. That includes a 10-6 (+4.1) mark this season. While they did lose at Anaheim a couple of weeks ago, the Stars won both this season's previous meetings, including a 5-3 victory in the game here at Dallas. Including that result, the Stars are 14-6 the last 20 times that they were a host in this series. They were much more expensive for the majority of those games than they are here and I feel that tonight's price is providing excellent value. *10

Reason: I'm playing on LA. Both these teams are off disappointing losses. The Sens fell 2-1 to Anaheim. The Kings lost 3-1 to Colorado. Playing at home, I expect the Kings to be the team which bounces back. Over the past few seasons, the Sens are a poor 22-31 (-7) after scoring one goal or less in the previous game. During that stretch, the Kings are a solid 34-22 (+5.8) after scoring one or less. Prior to Saturday's loss, the Kings had earned at least a point in 15 of their last 16 games. The Senators have been riding goalie Craig Anderson. However, he's an ugly 1-5-3 with a 3.61 ERA vs. the Kings. The Kings are a commanding 10-1 alltime, with one tie, when hosting the Sens. I expect them to improve on those stats Monday night. *9

Reason: I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Jets have the better overall record. However, the Hurricanes' home record is superior than the Jets' record on the road. With this one being played at Raleigh, I expect the Canes to have the advantage. I won with the Hurricanes in their last game here. Listed as underdogs, they upset Washington by a score of 3-0. At the time, I pointed out that they were quietly starting to play very well here at home. They're now 6-2 their last eight here. Prior to the 3-0 victory over the Caps, they defeated the defending champion Bruins here. The Jets lost their last road game by a score of 5-1. They're now 4-11 their last 15 away from Winnipeg. In their recent win over Washington, the Canes were playing with "triple revenge," as the Caps had beaten them in all three previous meetings. That's also the case here, as the Jets have actually won all three meetings against the Canes this season, two of them at Winnipeg. Payback time in Raleigh on Monday. *10

Reason: I'm playing on TORONTO. The Islanders come in as the hotter team. However, the Leafs are still the stronger team and they're playing at home. Perhaps more importantly, I expect them to be the more "hungry" team. The Isles may be a little "complacent," as they've won three straight. In 12th spot in the East, they playoffs remain a long-shot for them. Note the Isles are a dismal 28-50 (-24.6) the last 78 times that they were on a 3-game undefeated streak, including a money-burning 3-10 (-6.6) mark in that situation the past few seasons. On the other hand, the Leafs are currently right in the thick of the playoff race, currently in 9th in the East. Off a loss and having dropped four of their last five, they figure to be "desperate." The Leafs have won three of four vs. the Isles. They're also 15-4 with one tie the last 20 meeting here at Toronto. Behind a highly motivated effort, I expect them to improve on those stats Monday. *10

Reason: I'm playing on ANAHEIM. Both teams won yesterday. Both have been playing well lately. The Ducks have the advantage of playing at home though. They also played an early game yesterday while the Avs played a late game. More importantly, they've also been arguably been playing better than the Avs lately. The Ducks have now won four straight, prompting Jason Blake to comment: "The whole team is buying into what we?re trying to do in here, and it seems to be working..." This is a big game for both teams. However, its arguably bigger for the Ducks. That's because they're currently still well out of the playoff race while the Avs are in 8th spot. Throw in the fact that the Avs beat the Ducks here on New Year's Eve and Anaheim figures to be the more "hungry" team. Even with that 12/31 setback, the Ducks are still an outstanding 15-3 the last 18 in the series. The Ducks are now 24-11 (+15.6) in January the past few seasons. Look for them to keep on rolling for another day. *7

Reason: I'm playing on LA. These teams have met twice so far this season LA has enjoyed a combined 64-37 edge in shots on goal. Yet, somehow the Avalanche have managed a pair of 1-goal victories. That puts the Kings in the "double-revenge" mode. I expect them to respond with their best effort. The Kings are off a 2-1 loss to the Flames. However, that was their first game back home from a successful road trip, which can often be a tough spot. Note that the Kings haven't lost two games in a row yet in 2012. Also, note that they're 34-21 (+7.6) the past few seasons after scoring one goal or less in their previous game, including a 9-5 (+2.5) mark in that situation this season. The Avs are off a 4-3 win last time out. However, that was a home game against Florida. They lost their last road game by a score of 6-1. Also, note that the Avs are a horrible 30-41 (-10.7) the past few seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game, including a 5-8 (-2.9) mark in that situation this season. While both teams had Friday night off, it should be noted that the Kings will also have Sunday night off, while the Avs will be busy playing Anaheim. Even with the loss here on 1/2, the Kings are still 4-1 the last five times that they were a host in this series. Playing with double-revenge, I expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats Saturday night. *10

Reason: I'm playing on PHOENIX. The Coyotes are fairly heavy favorites here. However, given the situation, I feel the price will be well worth it. While the Coyotes had last night off, the Lightning were involved in a hard-fought victory over the Stars, at Dallas. This will be just the third time that TB has played the second of b2b games since the start of December. The Lightning were 0-2 their previous two times in that spot, losing 5-1 and 4-3. Even with last night's win, the Lightning are still an awful 31-55 (-18.4) the past few seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. That includes a money-burning 6-17 (-10.8) mark in that situation this season. The Coyotes figure to be very hungry, as they've lost two in a row. While they lost vs. a good Detroit team last time out, Phoenix has been very good at taking care of business against the league's weaker teams, at this time of the year. Indeed, the Coyotes are a profitable 20-9 (+7.2) against teams with a losing record, during the second half of the season, the past couple of years. With home ice and the schedule both in their favor, I expect them to improve on those stats here. *7

Reason: I'm playing on CAROLINA. Its true that the Capitals have the better record and that they've been piling up more recent wins than the Hurricanes. Its also true that they just beat the Canes less than a week ago, a 2-1 win. However, a closer look at that 1/15 meeting reveals that the Canes actually had a commanding 44-24 edge in shots. Having lost all three of this season's meetings in this series, the Canes will be playing with "triple-revenge." That said, I expect an extremely motivated effort. Its important to note that the recent meeting came at Washington. That's because both these teams have been much better in their own building. In fact, while the Caps have the much better overall record, the Canes' home record is superior to Washington's road record. After a slow start, the Canes have quietly started to played well at Raleigh. They're 5-2 their last seven games here and that includes a win against the defending champs (Boston) in their most recent game here. On the other hand, despite winning at Montreal last time out, the Capitals are only 2-5 their last seven on the road. Going back further finds them at an ugly 6-13 their last 19 road games. The Canes were off the big win over Boston the previous night, playing the second of b2b games, when facing the Caps at Washington last week. That's not the case here. With payback on their minds, I expect them to continue their recent strong play on home ice and earn a rare win in this series. *10

Reason: I'm playing on the NEW YORK RANGERS. The Rangers are already 2-0 against the Penguins this season. While the Pens would surely love some payback, I feel they'll be in over their heads here. True, the Pens are off three straight wins. Those games came against the likes of Florida, Tampa and Carolina though. None of those teams are playing the way the Rangers are. Also, prior to that winning streak, the Pens had lost six straight games, scoring only six goals in the process. Stepping up in class figures to be challenging for the short-handed Pens. They're had success against the league's weaker teams but are just 6-14 (-11.1) against teams with a winning record. On the other hand, the Rangers are 15-6 (+7.5) against teams with a winning record. While the Pens are just 5-6 in divisional play, the Rangers are a commanding 9-1. The Rangers have been outstanding at home and also have an 8-1 record when playing a home game with an O/U line of five. All things considered, I feel the price is more than fair. *8

Reason: I'm playing on NEW YORK. The Predators are rolling right now and they won again yesterday. Playing the second of back to back road games and facing a determined Rangers squad, one which has the most points in the NHL, I expect the Preds streak to come to an end here. Yesterday's victory came at a cost. All Star defenseman Ryan Suter, who is relied on for heavy minutes, left the game with an upper body injury. As Shea Weber, his defensive partner, noted of Suter: "He's a great player, so it's not easy when he goes out of the lineup ... " Suter's potential absence here could really hurt the Preds, who are already 0-3 the last three times that they played the second of back to back games. They lost those games by a combined score of 10-5. The Rangers are off a 4-1 loss last time out. That was when they were the team that was playing the second of b2b games though. That's not the case here, as they had yesterday off. Note that they've only lost once in 2012 and that they responded to that loss with a 3-0 shutout win in their next game. You may recall that we also backed them in that spot. The Rangers are 14-6 (+6.5) against teams with a winning record and 7-1 (+5.5) when playing at home with an O/U line of five. I expect them to bounce back again here. *8

Reason: I'm playing on PHOENIX. The Coyotes could badly use a victory. I expect them to get one here. The Coyotes are back home from a disappointing (and winless) road trip. They now play nine of their next 11 at home. They know they need to take advantage of the time at home, particularly against a mediocre opponent like Colorado. Captain Shane Doan was quoted as saying:

Reason: I'm playing on NEW YORK. I played against Toronto last night. Therefore, I watched that game closely. The Leafs were sluggish out of the gate and the Sabres jumped all over them. By the time they woke up, they were down 2-0. The Leafs benefitted from some favorable calls but still couldn't take advantage. Now, playing the second of back to back games, they're up against a stronger opponent. I expect them to stumble once again. While the Leafs were fighting hard last night, the Rangers were resting. Having been beaten twice by the Leafs at MSG and coming off a shutout home loss against the Senators, the Rangers should be highly motivated here. Having their coach question their effort in the Ottawa loss should also provide some motivation. Tortorella was quoted as saying:

Reason: I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Leafs enter tonight's game as the "hotter" team. They've managed a rare 4-game winning streak and have their hockey-mad fans thinking playoffs. The Leafs winning streak has come at home though. In fact, they've lost three in a row on the road and five of their six away from Toronto. They haven't won five in a row for years and they'll be facing a highly motivated opponent. I expect the winning streak to come to an end. I called the Leafs' 4-game winning streak "rare." That's because they're still 3-8 (-5.8) the last 11 times that they had won three or more consecutive games. Going back further finds them with a dismal 51-73 (-35.3) record their last 100+ in that situation. Off a 2-0 win against these Sabres in their last game, note that the Leafs are an ugly 15-27 (-10.9) the past few seasons, when off a 2-goal win. During that stretch, the Sabres were a more respectable 25-23 when off a loss by two or more goals. The Sabres are 11-9 the last 20 times that they lost three in a row. In addition to losing there a few nights ago, they also lost at Toronto just before Christmas. The Sabres had an edge in shots in both of those games though (42-31 and 32-28) and I expect playing at home to make a difference. The Sabres are 29-10 with three times that last 42 times that they hosted the Leafs. That includes an impressive 8-1 record the last nine here. The Sabres won this season's lone meeting here. In addition to the revenge factor and the fact that they badly need to snap their skid, the Sabres know they head out on the road for seven games after this. That makes this an extremely important game. As Buffalo forward Drew Stafford noted: "We need to get one and it will make the boys in here feel good and hopefully we can string them on from there. We've got a great opportunity in the rematch." This is the lowest price on Buffalo for a home game against Toronto in many years. Given the situation, I feel its providing us with excellent value. *10

Reason: I'm playing on LA. Both these teams have won two of their last three. However, the Kings are off a 5-2 win while the Stars are off a 5-2 loss. With this game being played at LA, I expect the Kings to be the team that comes away with the two points here. The Kings are playing the final game of a 6-game homestand. They should be motivated to finish it off strong. Having lost the last two games in this series, they should also have payback on their minds here. LA coach Darryl Sutter said had this to say about the team's motivation level here: "...We're finishing off a six-game run at home here and we obviously want to hit the road on a good note." Note that the Kings did win the first two in the season series though and that they have still gone a healthy 13-6 their last 19 against the Stars overall. The Kings are 10-5 the last 15 times that they were a host in the series, dating back to the start of the 2007 season. Sutter figures to have some extra motivation as the Stars beat him on his debut as a coach here. He knows this is an important game in the standings and I expect him to have his team fully ready to go. *10

Reason: I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. The Lightning badly need a victory. Given their history against the Hurricanes here, I expect this to be the perfect opponent for them to get one. The Lightning did play well last game and they still earned a point against one of the top teams (Vancouver) in the league, losing 5-4 in a shootout. As Martin St. Louis said of that game: "OF COURSE WE WOULD HAVE LIKED TO GET THE TWO POINTS, BUT WE PLAYED WITH THEM THE WHOLE WAY THROUGH. WE SHOWED CHARACTER AGAIN. THIS IS A POINT MAYBE WE CAN BUILD..." The Lightning are 5-2 the last seven times they hosted the Hurricanes, including 1-0 this season. They won two of three against the Canes here last season. Despite their recent struggles and overall problems on the road, the Lightning are still an outstanding 11-6 (11-5-1-) at home. The Canes, on the other hand, are a dismal 4-16 (4-12-4) away from Raleigh. Given those home/road stats, the price on the motivated home team seems more than fair. *8

Reason: I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Blue Jackets are off a rather impressive 1-0 victory at LA yesterday. They rarely win consecutive games though and I expect them to stumble here. The Ducks got back on track last game, earning a 4-2 victory. That brings them to an outstanding 18-10 (+9.6) in January the past 2+ seasons. Even with yesterday's win, the Jackets are 11-17 in January over that time. The Jackets are 25-59 (-24.6) on the road the past few seasons when the O/U line is 5.5, including a dismal 2-10 mark their last 12 in that situation. The Ducks, on the other hand, are 52-36 (+7.6) at home the past few seasons, when the O/U line is 5.5. These teams last met here almost exactly one year ago. The Ducks won that 1/7/11 meeting by a score of 6-0. I expect history to repeat itself with the Ducks delivering another convincing victory. *8

Reason: I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Predators are heavily favored for good reason here. They're playing at home and had last night off. They're facing a team which they have dominated here and which played last night. Off a 4-1 loss, the Preds should also be "hungry." The Preds are 6-1 (+5.7) the last seven times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. By comparison, the Canes are 0-7 the last seven times that they were off a win by two goals or more. Going back further finds them at 16-30 (-13.8) in that situation the past few seasons. During that stretch, the Canes are also a poor 17-27 (-10.7) when playing the second of b2b games. The Preds have dominated the series including a 6-1 mark here at Nashville. They won 5-2 the last meeting and I expect another convincing victory here. *7

Reason: I'm playing on ST LOUIS. The Blues are heavily favored here for good reason. They're the superior team and they're playing at home. They're playing with "double-revenge" from having lost a pair of games (both at Colorado) to the Avalanche this season. They also had last night off. Unlike the Blues, the Avs played last night - scoring an upset win over the Black Hawks. That should leave them vulnerable to a letdown here. Note that Colorado is a dismal 10-25 (-12) the past few seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. In regards to the high line, note that the Blues were laying -230 the last time that they hosted the Avs, a 3-1 victory on 4/5. With 16 wins in their last 20 home games, including an 8-1 mark their last nine here, the Blues are playing arguably even better now. Given that fact and given the situation and scheduling setup for this one, I feel this steep price is actually very fair. *6

Reason: I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Hawks are heavily favored here. However, the price could easily be even bigger. One of the reasons that its not higher, is that the Hawks are off a game last night. While many teams struggle in a back to back spot, playing the second of back to back games is NOT a problem for this Chicago team. Indeed, the Hawks often thrive in that situation - they're an outstanding 33-12 (+17.1) in that situation the past few seasons, going 6-2 (+3.8) their last eight. They won 5-1 against Montreal the last time they played in that spot. Unlike the Hawks, the Avs are well-rested. They last played on 1/2. They're often not very good in that spot though. In fact, Colorado is only 7-14 (-9) when playing with three or more day's rest, the past few seasons. The Hawks should have plenty of motivation, as they lost last night. They're also still winless in 2012. Additionally, they were beaten by the Avs the last time that the teams faced each other here. They're 25-15 (+5) the last 40 times they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. They're the much better team and I look for them to get it done on home ice here. *6

Reason: I'm playing on NEW JERSEY. These teams have split a pair of meetings so far this season. Both those were played at Florida though. Tonight's game is being played at New Jersey. That's noteworthy as the Devils are 10-3 the last 13 times that they were a host in this series. The Devils should be anxious to bounce back with a big effort as they were embarrassed 6-1 by the Bruins on Wednesday and are 0-2 to start the new year. They'd previously won three straight home games though and they're still 9-5 their last 14 overall. While they did have a long layoff before that, the Panthers are off an OT game last night, losing at MSG. They lost 8-0 the last time that they played a road game, after having played the previous night. While they did start out well away from home this season, the Panthers were outshot 38-21 last night; they've now dropped five straight on the road. The Devils are 7-4 (+4.2) off a loss by two or more goals. Given the situation and venue, this price is more than fair. *8

Reason: I'm playing on NASHVILLE. These teams just met before Christmas. Playing at home, the Stars won that 12/23 meeting by a score of 6-3. The Predators have been playing better hockey than the Stars since that game though and tonight's rematch is being played at Nashville. That said, I look for the revenge-minded Preds to take care of business on home ice. The Preds followed up the 12/23 loss at Dallas by losing vs. Detroit on Boxing Day. However, since then, they've proceeded to go a perfect 3-0. The Stars, on the other hand, are just 1-3, since knocking off the Preds at Dallas. They allowed at least four goals in all three of those losses, too. Off a 5-4 loss last time out, note that the Stars are only 26-37 (-14) the past few seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Preds have been one of the best teams in the league, when playing with "revenge." They're 12-7 (+5.1) the last 19 times they faced a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. Going back further finds them at an outstanding 63-38 (+33.3) in the revenge role the past few seasons. The Preds won 4-2 the last time they hosted the Stars. I look for them to keep on rolling for another day. *9

Reason: I'm playing on TORONTO. These teams have faced each other twice this season. In each case, the home team has won. The Leafs won 4-3 on 10/19, at Toronto. More recently, on 12/31, the Jets won 3-2 at Winnipeg. Playing on home ice and with the schedule in their favor, I look for the Leafs to avenge that loss tonight. After three straight losses, the Leafs got back on track in a big way last time out. They crushed Tampa Bay by a score of 7-3. They had last night off. The Jets, on the other hand, lost 7-3 at Montreal last night. I had the Canadiens in that game and noted at the time that the Jets haven't been nearly as good away from Winnipeg. Note that the Jets lost by a combined score of 11-2 the last two times that they played the second of back to back games. The Leafs are 2-0 the last two times that they were a host in this series, going 9-5 the last 14. Looking to avenge the New Year's Eve loss and catching the Jets off last night's blowout at the Bell Center, I expect the Leafs to get it done again tonight. *9

Reason: I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens really need a victory and I expect them to get one here. These teams have split a pair of meetings, both were at Winnipeg. The Habs won the first by a score of 5-1, back in October. More recently, on 12/22, the Jets earned a 4-0 victory. The Canadiens should have payback on their minds after getting blanked less than two weeks ago. More importantly, they just really need a win. The last time the Canadiens were a host in this series was last March, when the Jets were still playing in Atlanta, as the Thrashers. Laying -160, the Canadiens won 3-1. Including that vlctory, Montreal is 13-7 its last 20 as a host in this series, 5-2 the last seven and 7-3 the last 10. All-time, the Habs were 15-4-3 against the Thrashers. The Jets have been very solid in Winnipeg. They've struggled on the road though, winning five of 17. While the Canadiens have admittedly also had issues here at home, I expect them to step up and get it done tonight. *10

Reason: I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Sabres are a superior team. The Sabres are playing at home. While the Oilers were busy scoring an upset at Chicago, the Sabres had yesterday off. Desperate to start the new year with a victory, facing one of the weakest teams in the league, this is one the Sabres can't afford to let get away. True, the Sabres have dropped three in row. The last time they did so, they responded with a solid win over the Capitals though. Even with yesterday's victory, the Oilers are 4-22 in January the past 2+ seasons. During that stretch, the Sabres are 16-10 (+4.6) in January. They won last year's lone meeting with the Oilers (at Edmonton) and I look for them to take care of business again here. *8

Reason: I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Isles closed out 2011 with back to back victories. Both those were at home though and they came against struggling Calgary and a poor Edmonton team. Their last two road games both resulted in losses. They're just 5-11 on the road overall, getting outscored by a 3.6 to 2.2 margin in those games. The Cane closed out 2011 with a loss. That came on the road though. Their last three home games ALL resulted in victories. The Isles were 11-16 in January games the past couple of seasons. The Canes, on the other hand, were a profitable 17-11 (+6.8.) The Canes are 14-4 the last 18 in this series and have beaten the Isles six staight times. They've outscored them by a 14-5 margin in winning the last three here at Raleigh. All things considered, the price seems more than reasonable. *8

Reason: I'm playing on the LA KINGS. Both teams have played well recently. The Kings are 6-3 the last nine. The Avalanche are an even better 8-2 their last 10. I feel the Kings are the superior defensive team though and I expect them to be the team which has the advantage here. LA has allowed just two combined goals its past three games, outscoring opponents by a combined score of 6-2. That includes victories of the Black Hawks and Canucks, two of the top teams in the league - they held them to one combined goal. The Avs have faced much weaker competition but have allowed eight goals their past three games, scoring eight themselves. Off a 4-2 victory, note that the Avs are a money-burning 29-40 (-11.3) the past few seasons, after having scored four or more goals in their previous game. That includes a poor 4-7 mark their last 11 in that situation. The Avs did win this season's lone meeting. However, that was at Colorado. The Kings are still 8-2 the last 10 in the series, including 4-0 the last four here at LA. While still a mid-sized favorite tonight, considering that the Kings were laying -250 and -230 the last two times that they hosted the Avs, tonight's price could easily be higher. *10

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. I'd be backing the Flyers if this was a "normal" game and I'm not going to let the fact that its being played outdoors stop me. The Rangers are 2-0 against the Flyers this season, most recently a 4-2 win on 12/23. However, both those games were at NY. Despite those losses, the Flyers are still an outstanding 39-21 (+15.6) in division games the past few seasons. Although they've fared well so far this year, during the same stretch the Rangers were just 31-25. Even with the losses at NY, the Flyers are still 10-4 (+6.2) when facing a team with a winning record. Needless to say, they don't want to drop three straight against this division rival. I like the fact that the Flyers aren't expected to start Bryzgalov, as he's been struggling. Bobrovsky played last game and they knocked off the Penguins 4-2. I recently successfully played against the Rangers when they were facing a revenge-minded Washington team. The Caps dominated them, 4-1. I expect the Flyers, 11-6 (+3.2) when playing with revenge, to get some payback here. *10

Reason: I'm playing on NASHVILLE. This is a big game for both teams, the last time they'll see each other for both times. While both would surely like to earn a victory, I feel the Predators will have the advantage. I believe Nashville is the better team, particularly when playing at home. The teams have split four meetings so far this season, the Preds won the lone one here at Nashville. The Preds also come in with more positive momentum. They've won two in a row. The Flames have dropped two in a row. While they are missing Shea Webber, the Preds are also the healthier team. Indeed, Calgary is quite banged-up at the moment, missing several regulars. The Flames, 18-21 vs. the ML, are an ugly 47-55 (-8.5) against teams with a winning record the past few seasons. During the same stretch, the Preds, 19-18 vs. the ML, are an outstanding 48-32 (+10.2) against teams with a losing record. I expect them to improve on those stats here. *8

Reason: I'm playing on BUFFALO. I successfully played against the Sabres last night. However, that was on the road against a talented and revenge-minded Washington team. Tonight, the Sabres are back home and taking a step down in class. Playing with "recent revenge," I expect them to bounce back with a victory. While the Sabres admittedly haven't been too great at home, the Sens are terrible on the road. Note that they're a dismal 27-46 (-11.1) the past few seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line While the Sabres were busy losing to the Caps, the Sens are off an emotional OT victory last night. I call it an emotional victory as their captain (Alfreddson) scored his 400th goal (the game-winner) and given that it was a comeback win. That could easily have the Sens ripe for a letdown here. Given those results and given the fact that the Sens having already beaten them twice this month already (Buffalo won both November meetings) I expect the Sabres to be the more "motivated" team this evening. Look for that to translate to a much-needed victory as the Sabres close out 2011 with a big win. *9

Reason: I'm playing on CHICAGO. These teams are both among the best in the Western Conference, if not the entire league. The Red Wings are 23-13 (23-12-1) while the Hawks are 23-14 (23-10-4). While those records are nearly identical, a closer look at the home/away stats tells a different story. The Wings are outstanding at Detroit. However, they're only 9-10 on the road. On the other hand, the Hawks are 13-6 (13-3-3) here at Chicago. That said, with this game being played at Chicago, I expect the Hawks to have a significant advantage. While I never like to absolutely rely on which goalies will start, it appears likely that this game will feature Corey Crawford against Jimmy Howard. Therefore, its worth mentioning that Chicago's Crawford is 4-2-0 with a 2.01 goals-against average in his career against Detroit. Meanwhile, Detroit's Howard is just 3-4-1 all-time versus Chicago with a 3.22 GAA - that's his worst GAA against any Western Conference opponent. Looking at some stats, Chicago is 26-13 (+7.1) the past few seasons in December. Detroit is 23-20 (-5.3) in December games, during the same stretch. The Wings are 30-26 (-3.8) against divisional opponents the past few seasons. The Hawks are 39-21 (+2.8.) Off a 2-0 loss, we should be able to expect the Hawks very best effort. Indeed, they're 5-0 the last five times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. Going back further finds the Hawks at an outstanding 25-9 (+13.4) in that situation the past few seasons. I expect them to give their very best effort and improve on those stats this evening. *10

Reason: I'm playing on WASHINGTON. I won with the Capitals on Wednesday. Facing a red-hot Rangers squad and playing with 'revenge,' they played very well, en route to earning a 4-1 victory. Tonight's opponent isn't nearly as "hot" as the Sabres have just one win in their last five games. That win happened to be against these same Capitals (at Buffalo, on Boxing Day) which puts Washington in the 'revenge' role, once again. That's been a great time to back the Caps; they're now 53-32 the past 85 times they were in the revenge role, going a profitable 10-5 (+3.9) their last 15 in that situation. The Sabres have managed just four combined goals their last three on the road. They're 2-5 (-4.1) after scoring one or fewer goals in their previous game. The Caps have allowed just two goals their last two home games. The Caps are 8-4 this season after scoring four or more goals, going 54-32 in that situation the past few seasons. During that stretch, they're also an outstanding 30-14 (+6.8) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Playing with "double-revenge," I expect them to follow up Wednesday's strong effort by earning another two points here. *8

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Sharks won four straight games from 12/15 to 12/23. I backed them in the first three of those victories, staying off them for the fourth. I also avoided them in their first game back from the Christmas Break. That was fortunate, as they lost vs. the Ducks. I feel they're providing us with excellent value tonight though and I'm "getting back on the bandwagon." Its true that the Canucks are a very good team, one which is playing well and one which has had recent success in this series. I expect all those factors to make the revenge-minded Sharks even more determined tonight though. Of course, with the Canucks having knocked them out of the playoffs last year - the Sharks should already have plenty of motivation. While the Canucks still play two more games in 2011, this is the Sharks' final game of the year - even more reason to give their best effort, as they look to close out 2011 on a winning note. Yes, Vancouver won here earlier, a 3-2 win on 11/26. However, a closer look reveals that the Sharks outshot them by a whopping 45-27 margin in that game. In fact, if we look at the last three meetings (all Vancouver wins) the Sharks had a combined 136-74 edge in total shots. That type of effort will eventually win games, which I expect to be the case tonight. The Sharks were laying -155 when they hosted the Canucks last month. They're arguably playing better hockey right now, yet the price is much closer to a "pick'em." They're 57-40 the past few seasons, when playing with "revenge" and I look for them to bounce back big tonight. *10

Reason: I'm playing on WASHINGTON. As you know, from reading the analysis of the O/U play, the Rangers won the earlier meeting. I expect the Capitals to bounce back and avenge that loss tonight and feel that the price is very fair. Note that Washington was laying -135 when hosting the Rangers last month and was laying -200 when last hosting the Rangers last spring! True, the Rangers are playing well and enter on a winning streak. That's not been a profitable situation for them over the years though. In fact, they're a money-burning 60-71 (-28.8) the past 100+ times that they were on a winning streak of three or more games. The Caps, typically quite strong when playing with "revenge," should be extremely motivated tonight, as they've dropped two straight. Note that Washington is 52-32 the past few seasons, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. During that stretch, the Caps are also a lucrative 29-14 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Caps are still 3-1 the last four times that they were a host in this series, going 13-7 the last 20. The teams have faced each other here 15 times since the start of 2008 and this is the best price on the Caps that entire time. I expect an extremely motivated effort, leading to an important two points for the home team. *9

Reason: I'm playing on DETROIT. Both teams played yesterday. The Blues hosted the Stars, winning 5-3. The Red Wings played at Nashville, earning a 4-1 victory. That schedule should favor Detroit. Not only are the Wings playing at home but they last played on Dec 22nd, prior to last night. The Blues had previously played on December 23rd. So, the Wings had an extra day off, before the back to back situation. More important than the schedule, I expect the Wings to have a significant edge in the "motivation" department. That's because the Blues have already beaten them in both meetings (both at St. Louis) this season AND because the Blues defeated them 10-3 the last time that the teams played here at Detroit. It was the first time the Wings gave up 10 goals in a game since 1993 and the first time that they gave up eight goals in the first two periods since 1986! After that 3/30 blowout, Detroit coach Mike Babcock had this to say: "Thank God it's over. It looked like it was never going to end there for a while. It was unacceptable. Any way you look at it -- more than a touchdown -- it's ugly." Of course, that 10-3 "debacle" notwithstanding, playing at Detroit should provide the Wings with a significant edge. Even with that 10-3 loss, they're still 3-1 as a host in this series since 2010. They're also currently 16-4 their last 20 home games overall, including a perfect 10-0 the last 10. Its payback time! *10

Reason: I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Senators enter as the "hotter" team. However, the situation favors the Hurricanes and I expect them to be the team which has the advantage here. While the Canes had last night off, the Sens were busy hosting Florida. In addition to playing the second of back to back games, the Sens are now playing their third game in the past four nights. Last night's Ottawa game didn't work out too well for me - as I had the 'under' 5.5 and was done in by four third period goals, the dagger coming with less than two minutes remaining. However, it does set this one very nicely. Not only did the Sens play but they had to exert some extra energy by fighting the entire way AND going to overtime. The last time that the Sens played the second of b2b games, they lost by a score of 5-2. Prior to that, when they played the second of b2b games, they lost by a score of 5-4. The fact that they're dealing with several injuries (and coming off the OT game) figures to make the b2b situation that much more difficult. The Canes should be extremely motivated here. Not only are the desperate to snap their skid, they're also playing with "double-revenge" from a pair of earlier losses. Note that they're still 7-1 (7-0-1) the last eight times they faced the Sens here at Raleigh. I feel the price is very fair and I expect them to come away with the victory. *10

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Sharks are heavy favorites here. I feel the steep price is justified though. After each having gone though a tough stretch, both teams have won back to back games. Tampa Bay's "tough stretch" was more indicative of the team's actual ability while San Jose's was just a "blip on the radar." In other words, the Sharks are actually a very good team; the Lightning are not. The stats back up that statement. Tampa Bay is just 6-13 on the road. San Jose is 10-7 at home. The Lightning are getting outscored by a 3.6 to 2.4 margin on the road. The Sharks are outscoring teams by a 3.1 to 2.7 margin at home. The Sharks are outshooting teams by a 36.5 to 28.3 margin at home. Going back further finds the Sharks at 58-37 the past few seasons, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. On the other hand, the Lightning are an awful 30-49 (-13.6) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During that stretch, the Lightning are 19-23 against Western Conference teams. The Sharks, on the other hand, are 26-17 against teams from the East. The Sharks are also 48-28, over that time, against teams with a losing record. These teams met here last season. The Sharks won with relative ease, a 5-2 victory. Going back further finds SJ at 3-0 the last three meetings with TB here, outscoring the Lightning by a combined score of 15-4 in those games. They were laying as much as -370 for those games, which makes tonight's line begin to seem a lot more reasonable. Going back still further finds SJ at 6-1 with one tie the last eight times it was a host in this series. I expect the Sharks to continue that dominance tonight. *6

Reason: I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Predators are on a solid winning streak. They enter this game having won five straight. I cashed in on them during that streak. However, I expect it to come to an end tonight. A closer look at the Predators' winning streak shows that four of the five games (each of the last four) came at home. The other came at Columbus against a poor Blue Jackets squad. Tonight, they'll be at a much tougher venue against a far better team. The Capitals lost their last game. That came on the road though. They've still won three of five and they're still a solid 10-6 (10-5-1) at home. They've outscored opponents by a 3.2 to 2.9 margin here. (Nashville is scoring 2.7 on the road, while also allowing 2.7.) Both teams last played on Saturday. The Caps are 5-3 when playing with two day's rest in between games. The Preds, on the other hand, are an awful 3-7 (-6.2) when playing with two day's rest in between games. Going back further finds Nashville at a dismal 17-26 (-13.9) in that situation, the past few seasons. The Caps should be extremely motivated here. Not only do they want/need to bounce back from Saturday's loss but they're also playing with 'revenge' from a painful loss at Nashville last month. The Caps haven't forgotten that setback. They had a 40-31 edge in shots but the Preds scored the winning goal with 24 secs left in the game. The Caps are still 5-1 the last six in this series though including 2-0 here at Washington. Note that the Caps were laying -260 the last time they hosted the Preds. Obviously, tonight's price is MUCH more reasonable. The Caps are 51-30 the past few seasons, when in the 'revenge' role. That includes an excellent 8-3 (+4) mark their last 11 in that situation. I expect them to improve on those stats here. *10

Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Sharks finally got it together last game. On a losing skid and down by a pair of goals in the third, they rallied for a victory. That's the type of momentum-building win that they needed. Now, facing one of the league's weaker teams, I expect them to follow it up in convincing fashion. The Oilers did get off to a strong start this season. However, lately they've returned to their losing ways. They're off back to back losses, losing 3-0 and 4-2. They're now 2-7 their last nine. The 4-2 setback brought them to an awful 15-59 (-35.4!) the past few seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals. Clearly, this is not a team which "bounces back" well from losses. That "streak" will be on the line tonight. While the Oilers are 24-60 (-28.8) the past few seasons, after allowing four or more goals, the Sharks are 55-34 (+5.3) after scoring four or more. The Sharks actually were beaten by the Oilers here last January (despite a 43-29 edge in shots) but have still dominated this series. While this price is still obviously quite steep, the Sharks were laying a much larger number the last couple of meetings vs. the Oilers here than they are today. I'm backing the much better team, playing on home ice and coming in with some positive momentum. *6

Reason: I'm playing on PHOENIX. After a great run (mostly against Eastern Conf. teams) the Rangers have stumbled on this road trip. They're off back to back losses, scoring only one goal in the process. They're now 2-4 their last six. The Coyotes, on the other hand, come in with some positive momentum. They're off a 4-2 home win last time out. They're already won at venues like Chicago and Nashville this month, neither typically an easy place to play. The Rangers are now 23-29 (-9.2) the past few seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their last game. During the same stretch, the Coyotes are 32-28 (+5.6) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Coyotes are a solid 11-8 (+4.4) against teams with a winning record this season. They beat the Rangers 3-2 in the lone meeting here last season and are 4-2 with one tie the last seven times that they were a host in the series. I feel the price is very fair (they were laying -140 against NY here last season) and I expect them to get it done again tonight. *9

Reason: I'm playing on COLUMBUS. While they've had trouble stringing together victories, the Blue Jackets are starting to play much better hockey of late. They recent defeated Vancouver (followed by a loss against LA) and have already had wins against Calgary and Montreal this month. That's actually better than the Lightning, who have just two wins in their last nine. Columbus has been outscored by a 2.6 to 2.5 margin on home ice. Obviously, that's not very good. However, its great when you compare it to what TB has done on the road. Indeed, the Lightning are being outscored by a whopping 3.7 to 2.3 margin away from Tampa. The Jackets are outshooting teams at home, the Lightning are being badly outshot on the road. The Jackets have been better in non-conference play than the Lightning the past few seasons (actually, that's been the case for many years) and they've actually dominated the Lightning here at Columbus. I expect another victory tonight. *9

Reason: I'm playing on BUFFALO. Off back to back losses and playing the final game of a homestand, I expect the Sabres to be extremely motivated here. That's particularly true as they'll be facing these same Leafs in less than a week, at Toronto. That makings "holding serve" on home ice that much more important. While the Leafs actually won their last visit here (last February) the Sabres have long dominated the Leafs here in Buffalo. In fact, they're 7-1 the last eight times that they were a host in the series. Note that the Sabres were laying -170 the last time that the teams met here and that tonight's price is significantly lower, which I feel is providing strong value. Going back further finds the Sabres at a commanding 28-10 (with 3 ties) as a host in this series, since the mid 90s. Recent struggles notwithstanding, I feel the Sabres are still the superior team. Both teams have had the past couple of days off. That may well favor Buffalo. The Sabres are a respectable 19-17 the past few seasons, when playing with two day's off between games. Not great but MUCH better than Toronto's terrible 17-31 (-17.2) mark in that situation, during the same time period. The Sabres are 62-44 (+12) the last 100+ times that they played three or more consecutive home games. That includes a 14-8 (+4.4) mark in that situation the past few seasons. Desperate for a victory, I expect them to step up and improve on those stats here. *10