20* SHARP PLAY on TCU -1½ -110

TCU (-1.5) is worth a look as a slim road favorite against SMU in Saturday's college football action. I think we are getting some great value here with the Horned Frogs laying less than a field goal in this matchup. The Mustangs just lost 27-34 on the road to Maryland, who I don't have rated nearly as high as I do TCU. The Horned Frogs are a much improved team in 2022 and have a huge edge here playing on no rest. I also think people assume they won't be locked in because they got Oklahoma on deck, but this is a team still trying to prove its worth. I don't see SMU's defense being able to get enough stops for them to sniff a win. Play TCU -1.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Virginia vs Syracuse under 53½ -110

The UNDER (53.5) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between Syracuse and Virginia. Even though the Orange's defense didn't look great last week in their 32-29 win over Purdue, I still think Syracuse is going to be strong on that side of the ball. Purdue has one of the best passing attacks in the country. Just look at their Week 1 tape, where they held Malik Cunningham and Louisville to just 7 points. Virginia put up 34 in their opener against Richmond, but scored just 3 on the road at Illinois and just 16 in near upset loss at home to Old Dominion last week. This offense is not very good. Good thing for the Cavs is the defense has held their own, giving up just 18.3 ppg. Play the UNDER 53.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers vs Browns under 39½ -110

The UNDER (39.5) is worth a look in Thursday's NFL action between the Browns and Steelers. It's hard to see where the offense is going to come from in this game. Not only do we have two teams who are very one dimensional offensively with the run game, we got two defenses that are good at stopping the run. There's also going to be 20-30 mph wind, which makes FG a little less of a sure thing from 40+ yards. Play the UNDER 39.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans vs Bills over 47 -110

The OVER (47) is worth a look in Monday's NFL matchup between the Titans and Bills. Buffalo is just too good an offensive team to have a total below 50. Bills put up 31 points and 413 yards on a good Rams defense in Week 1 and did so despite turning the ball over 4 times. Titans gave up 6.8 yards/play to a very mediocre Giants team. I know Buffalo's defense played well in the opener against the Rams, but Tennessee brings a much different style of play with their ground and pound behind Henry. I think they can get him going and in turn get some big plays via play action. Play the OVER 47! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Colts vs Jaguars over 45 -110

The OVER (45) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Jaguars and Colts. Indy is coming off a surprising 20-20 tie in Week 1 against the Texans. Just looking at the score, 20 points against a Houston team that isn't expected to be very good is pretty underwhelming. However, the Colts greatly underperformed in that game offensively, as they put up 517 total yards. They were a dismal 2-5 in the red zone. This is a very good offense and I look for them to have no trouble here moving the ball against a Jaguars team that gave up 28 to the Commanders in Week 1. Jacksonville is also a better offensive team than people think. They averaged 6.2 yards/play in Week 1 against Washington. They should put some points on the board at home. Play the OVER 45! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Colts -3 -110

The Colts (-3) are worth a look as a short road favorite against the Jaguars in Sunday's NFL action. Indy is coming off a surprising 20-20 tie in Week 1 against the Texans. Just looking at the score, 20 points against a Houston team that isn't expected to be very good is pretty underwhelming. However, the Colts greatly underperformed in that game offensively, as they put up 517 total yards. They were a dismal 2-5 in the red zone. This is a very good offense and I look for them to have no trouble here moving the ball against a Jaguars team that gave up 28 to the Commanders in Week 1. Jacksonville played well in Week 1 against Washington and are going to be improved, but they are not on the same level as Indy. Play the Colts -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Washington -3 -110

Washington (-3) is worth a look laying just a field goal at home against Michigan State in Saturday's college football action. The betting public will be left scratching their heads seeing No. 11 Michigan State getting points against an unranked Washington team. Huskies were one of the biggest disappointments in the country last year. Even though they have looked much better in their 2-0 start, there's still some unknown given they have played two cupcakes in Kent State and Portland State. I'm one that thinks Washington is a different team in 2022 and being way undervalued here against a Spartans team that isn't quite as good as what people think and their ranking suggests. Play Washington -3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Marshall vs Bowling Green over 50 -110

The OVER (50) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Bowling Green and Marshall. Marshall got the attention of everyone with last week's 26-21 win over Notre Dame. I think they are still being a bit underrated. They have a very explosive rushing attack. One that should be able to do whatever they want against an awful Falcons defense. I also think there's going to be a little bit of a letdown defensively for the Herd off that huge upset of the Irish. Even if Bowling Green struggles early, they should put up enough garbage points to push this past the mark. Play the OVER 50! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Kansas +9 -110

Kansas (+9) is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against Houston. This is your Jayhawks team from years past where they are lucky to win a non-conference game or two and get rolled against Power 5 opponents. Kansas is no longer a pushover and they showed it last week in a 55-42 win at West Virginia as a 14-point dog. Houston is 1-1 and I think one of the more overrated teams in the country. People were thinking this team could be this year's Cincinnati team. They just aren't that good and shouldn't be giving more than a touchdown in this one. Play Kansas +9! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Old Dominion vs Virginia over 53 -107

The OVER (53) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Virginia and Old Dominion. I think we are seeing value here on the OVER due to Virginia's lackluster offensive showing last week against Illinois. Cavaliers managed just 3 points, 249 total yards and turned it over 3 times. Thing to keep in mind is that's a very good Fighting Illini defense. Virginia has a very talented QB in Brennan Armstrong. I look for him to get going against an Old Dominion defense that just gave up 270 passing yards and 261 rushing yards in a 21-39 loss to ECU last week. I also think the Monarchs will be able to move the ball in this one. Play the OVER 53! 

20* SHARP PLAY on South Alabama vs UCLA under 61 -110

The UNDER (61) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between UCLA and South Alabama. I think there's a perception with the Bruins that because they are so good offensively that they can carry this game to more than 61 points. That's typically the case, but I don't think it will be in this one. The Jaguars are solid on the defensive side of the ball. They come in allowing just 15.5 ppg, 252 ypg and just 3.9 yards/play. People also overlook how good UCLA has played defensively. They only allowed 162 total yards in their opener against Bowling Green. Play the UNDER 61! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Florida State vs Louisville under 57½ -110

The UNDER (57.5) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between Louisville and Florida State. These two teams remind me a lot of each other. Both teams have dual threat QBs and while they can throw the ball, they prefer to establish the run. I also think both of these teams are really strong up front on the defensive side of the ball. I see a lot of empty possessions for both teams and this game to stay well below the mark. Play the UNDER 57.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Chargers vs Chiefs over 54½ -105

The OVER (54.5) is worth a look in Thursday's NFL action between the Chiefs and Chargers. Kansas City's offense looked better than it did at any point last season in their Week 1 win over the Cardinals. I just think with no Tyreek Hill, KC's offense is extremely unpredictable. Defenses have no clue where the ball is going. I expect the Chiefs to be one of the highest scoring teams in the league. With Herbert and company on the other side and both defenses playing on just 3-days of rest in this short week, this has shootout written all over it. Play the OVER 54.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks +7 -115

The Seahawks (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home on Monday Night Football against the Broncos. Love the value here with Seattle. I think we got a matchup here of an overrated Denver team facing an underrated Seattle team. Not only that, the Seahawks get a huge edge here playing at home in a prime time game. Everyone is expecting Russell Wilson to light up his old team, but I think there's just as good a chance he struggles. Play the Seahawks +7! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Saints vs Falcons over 42½ -110

The OVER (42.5) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Saints and Falcons. The total here suggests this is going to be a defensive battle. I'm not seeing it. I think New Orleans is going to be a lot better offensively than people think. Jameis Winston is not getting enough love, especially with all the weapons he will have at his disposal. I also think people are sleeping on this Falcons offense. Marcus Mariota was really good as a backup in Las Vegas and he's got some playmakers to work with. I see both of these teams having no problem getting into the 20s. Play the OVER 42.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears +7 -115

The Bears (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog at home against the 49ers. I just feel like there's a few too many unknowns with San Francisco quarterback Trey Lance for them to be laying this big of a number on the road. Chicago might not be a playoff team, but I don't think they are as completely outmatched here as the media is making it seem. Bears will be out to prove something in Week 1 and if Lance isn't right, I could see Chicago pulling off the upset. Play the Bears +7! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Marshall vs Notre Dame over 50 -110

The OVER (50) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Marshall and Notre Dame. A lot of people will probably be expecting a low scoring game with how the Irish offense looked a bit out of sync and how well their defense played in their opener against Marshall. Notre Dame will have a much easier time moving the ball against Marshall. Key here is I think there's going to be a bit of an emotional letdown defensively for the Irish against a sneaky good Thundering Herd offense. Play the OVER 50! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Alabama vs Texas over 65 -110

The OVER (65) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Alabama and Texas. I don't see these two teams having any trouble eclipsing this number. I don't know if even an elite defense like Georgia is going to be able to slow down this Crimson Tide offense in 2022. I certainly don't think Texas will be able to. On the flip side, I think the Longhorns will be able to generate some offense and probably at a garbage touchdown or two late to push this well into the 70s. Play the OVER 65! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Army +3 -110

Army (+3) is worth a look as a short home dog against UTSA in Saturday's college football action. The Roadrunners are getting a lot of love for their near upset win over Houston in a Week 1, but this is going to be a real tough spot for UTSA to bounce back. It had to take a lot out of the Roadrunners both physically and emotionally in that 3OT setback to Houston. A game they have to feel like they let slip away after taking a 21-7 lead into the 4th quarter. On top of that, they have just a few days here to prepare for the triple-option attack of Army. I like the Black Knights to win this one at home. Play Army +3! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Ohio vs Penn State over 54 -110

The OVER (54) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Penn State and Ohio. Both of these offenses looked sharp in Week 1. Ohio put up 41 points and 476 total yards in an upset win over FAU. The Nittany Lions scored 35 with over 400 yards on the road against a good Purdue team. Both teams also gave up a lot with the Bobcats giving up 38 and 464 yards to FAU and Penn State giving up 31 and 426 yards to Purdue. I see this game easily getting into the 60s. Play the OVER 54! 

20* SHARP PLAY on North Carolina -7 -110

The Tar Heels (-7) are worth a look as a mere touchdown favorite on the road against Georgia State. Yes, UNC had a scare last week on the road against App State, as they had to hold on for a 63-61 win. It was as bad a 4th quarter defensively as the Tar Heels could play, as they gave up 40 points. People forget they had a 41-21 lead going into the 4th quarter. Georgia State is going to put up some points, but not at the rate that App State was able to and I don't see the Panthers being able to slow down this juggernaut Tar Heels offense. Look for UNC to win this one by double-digits rather easily. Play the Tar Heels -7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bills vs Rams over 52 -105

I'll take my chances with the OVER (52) in Thursday's NFL action between the Rams and Bills. These figure to be two of the better offenses in the NFL, both of which are centered around strong passing attacks. I look for both to have no trouble moving the ball. Bills defense will be missing one of their top corners in White and there's a huge drop off in the Rams secondary after Ramsey. Simply too many weapons and too good of quarterback play to keep this under the number. Play the OVER 52! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Florida State +3½ -110

The Seminoles (+3.5) are worth a look as a small road dog against LSU in Sunday's college football action. Love the value here with Florida State catching a field goal and a hook, as I think they got a great shot at winning this game outright. 

LSU made a splash hire at head coach with Brian Kelly and I think people just assume the Tigers are going to rebound from a very disappointing 2 seasons. I like the hire, but there's a lot that Kelly needs to fix on both sides and he's installing new schemes on both sides of the ball. 

Florida State is a team that I think people are sleeping on. The Seminoles had that horrific start to last season, but got better and better as the season went on. Now in year 3 under Mike Norvell, FSU could be ready to explode. They got 16 returning starters, including a very underrated dual threat QB in Jordan Travis. Play the Seminoles +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Utah State +42 -110

The Aggies (+42) are worth a look as a massive road dog against No. 1 Alabama in Saturday's Week 1 college football action. The betting public is going to lay it with the Crimson Tide no matter the cost and the books know it. This line has been jacked way up to where there's simply too much value to pass up with Utah State. Don't be shocked if Alabama jumps out to a big lead early and then pulls their starters with a massive game against Texas on deck next week. Backdoor is going to be wide open for the Aggies to keep this within the number. Play Utah State +42! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texas State vs Nevada under 51½ -110

The OVER (51.5) is worth a look in Saturday's CFB action between Texas State and Nevada. I don't see these two teams having any problem getting well into the 50s and I could easily see this going past 60. Nevada is not a good defensive team. Don't be fooled by them only giving up 12 points last week to New Mexico State. That same New Mexico State team was shutout and managed just 91 total yards against Minnesota this week. Texas State should be much improved offensively with 9 starters back, plus they are adding in Arkansas State transfer Layne Hatcher at QB. Hatcher threw for over 7,000 yards with 55 TDs in 27 starts over 3 years with the Red Wolves. Play the OVER 51.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas -6½ -110

The Razorbacks (-6.5) are worth a look laying less than a touchdown at home against Cincinnati. This line might seem a bit off to some, as the Bearcats are coming off a season where they made the CFB Playoffs. Thing is, Cincinnati lost a TON from that team and while they recruit well, they don't recruit to the level that they can lose that much talent and not regress. They are also facing an Arkansas team that had one of the biggest turnarounds in the country last year and look to be even stronger in 2022. Play the Razorbacks -6.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Appalachian State -1 -110

The Mountaineers (-1) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Tar Heels in Saturday's college football action. A lot of people will probably question how is UNC a dog in this one, but it's more than deserving if you ask me. Appalachian State has won at least 9 games in every season going back to 2015. They have routinely proven that they can hang with the big boys. Back in 2018 they lost in OT on the road at No. 10 Penn State to open the season. Last year they lost 23-25 on the road at then No. 22 Miami. Mountaineers have 12 starters back. That includes starting QB, Chase Brice, who threw for over 3,300 yards and 27 TDs last season. UNC won their opener 56-24 over Florida A&M. A solid win, but I was not impressed with the defense at all. Play Appalachian State -1! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Old Dominion +7 -110

The Monarchs (+7) are worth a look as a home dog against the Hokies in Friday's MLB action. Old Dominion is going to be no pushover in 2022. The Monarchs bring back 17 starters from a team that made a bowl game last year. This is also a team that got better as the season progressed, winning 5 straight to close out the regular-season after a 1-6 start. Va Tech to me is a team in a bit of rebuilding mode playing in the first year of a new head coach (Brent Pry - previously DC at Penn St). Only 11 starters return for the Hokies with just 4 on the offensive side of the ball. Play Old Dominion +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Purdue +3½ -110

The Boilermakers (+3.5) are worth a look as a small home dog against the Nittany Lions in Thursday's NCAAF action. Purdue has thrived in the roll of a home underdog and it seems like the public perception is that the Nittany Lions are just going to bounce back after last year's disappointment. I also think people are down a little on Purdue given the losses of their best offensive (WR, David Bell) and defensive (DE, George Karlaftis) player on both side of the ball. I don't see the Boilermakers taking a step back. They get back 14 starter, including one of the Big Ten's best signal callers in Adan O'Connell. Give me the Boilermakers +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Central Michigan vs Oklahoma State under 59½ -110

The UNDER (59.5) is worth a look in Thursday's NCAAF action between Central Michigan and Oklahoma State. There's some question marks with the Cowboys defense after losing defensive coordinator Jim Knowles and several players on that side of the ball, but I don't see them having much trouble keeping the Chippewas in check. I also don't think this is a Oklahoma State offense built to light up the scoreboard. They lose their top back, top receiver and 3 starters on the offensive line. I'm not sure quarterback Spencer Sanders can shoulder having to carry this offense. Play the UNDER 59.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Northwestern vs Nebraska over 50 -110

The OVER (50) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Nebraska and Northwestern. I'm expecting both of these offenses to be greatly improved from last year. Nebraska put up 27.9 ppg, but have made what I feel is an upgrade at quarterback with Texas transfer Casey Thompson. They also are going to a more pass happy offense under new offensive coordinator Mark Whipple, who comes over from Pitt. It won't take much for Northwestern's offense to improve after scoring just 16.6 ppg last year. They too added a transfer quarterback, bringing in Ryan Hilinski from South Carolina. You also have two defenses here that return just 5 starters. Play the OVER 50! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bengals +4 -110

The Bengals (+4) are worth a look as a dog against the Rams in the Super Bowl. LA may have the more talented team from top to bottom, but Cincinnati has the edge at quarterback with Joe Burrow. I also think that the Bengals defense doesn't get near enough respect. I not only think Cincinnati keeps this close enough to cover, I got them winning outright. Play the Bengals +4! 

20* SHARP PLAY on AFC vs NFC over 62½ -110

*Pro Bowl pick is generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Bengals +7 +100

The Bengals (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown dog on the road against the Chiefs in Sunday's AFC Championship Game. These two teams played in Week 17 and the Bengals won outright 34-31. KC's secondary had no answer for Burrow and Chase in that game. While I could see KC adjusting their scheme to prevent Chase from having a big game, they don't have enough cover guys to stop all the Bengals' weapons. I got this one going right down to the wire. Play the Bengals +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Rams vs Bucs under 48 -105

The UNDER (48) is worth a look in Sunday's NFC Divisional Round matchup between the Buccaneers and Rams. As much talent as these two teams have on the offensive side of the ball, I don't think we are going to see a shootout in this one. I really like the matchup for both defensive lines. It's going to be tough sledding for both teams on the ground and I don't see either QB having enough time to take a lot of deep shots. Figures to be a lot of long drives that chew up the clock and keep this thing well below the number. Play the UNDER 48! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Titans -3 -110

The Titans (-3) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Bengals in Saturday's NFL action. Joe Burrow has been great and is going to be a problem in the AFC for years to come, but I don't think his time is now. Not against a rested Tennessee team that has got all their horses back for a playoff push. Titans also have a vastly underrated defense. One that I think could exploit a bad Bengals offensive line and keep this Cincinnati offensive show in check. Play the Titans -3! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cardinals vs Rams over 49 -110

The OVER (49) is worth a look in Monday's NFC Wild Card matchup between the Rams and Cardinals. I don't understand why this total is under 50. These two teams played twice during the regular season. They combined for 57 in the first meeting in LA and 53 in the 2nd meeting at Arizona. The big question here is the Cardinals and what they will be able to do offensively, but I'm not as sold on this Rams defense as others. Kyler Murray should make more than enough plays here and Stafford should be in for a big game of his own. Play the OVER 49! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Eagles +8½ -110

The Eagles (+8.5) are worth a look getting more than a TD against the Bucs in Sunday's early NFC Wild Card matchup. Mother Nature is going to play a big role in this game, as there's going to be winds north of 20 mph throughout. It's going to force both teams to run the football more than they would like and with the wind blowing straight down the field, one team is going to be handcuffed every quarter. You also got to look at the lack of weapons that Brady has right now. He's lost Brown and Godwin. He also doesn't have his top two backs in Fournette and Jones. If the Bucs run defense isn't on point, the Eagles may very well win this game. Play Philadelphia +8.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Raiders +5½ -110

The Raiders (+5.5) are worth a look in Saturday's AFC Wild Card matchup with the Bengals. Las Vegas needed some breaks to get to the postseason, but now that they are here I think they could make some noise. Cincinnati did win the regular-season meeting between these two teams 32-13, but it was a 16-13 game until the Bengals made it 22-13 with just 5 minutes to go in the 4th quarter. Total yards was basically the same with Cin just +10 (288 to 278). This line should be closer to a field goal. Play the Raiders +5.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Georgia -2½ -104

Georgia (-2.5) is worth a look as a slim favorite against Alabama in Monday's National Championship Game. The betting public is going to be all over the Crimson Tide after what happened when these two teams just played in the SEC Championship Game. Alabama won that game going away 41-24. The big thing that everyone overlooks with that result, is what was at stake. Alabama needed to win to make the playoffs, where the Bulldogs were in the playoffs no matter what. It's a big reason why everyone was sleeping on Georgia in their semifinal matchup with Michigan. Play Georgia -2.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texans +10½ -110

The Texans (+10.5) are worth a look as a double-digit home dog against the Titans. Everyone is going to just assume that Tennessee is going to dominate this game. The Titans have to win to keep the No. 1 seed in the AFC, where Houston has nothing to pride to play for in the finale of a really frustrating season that was really derailed before it ever started with Watson not being able to play. I expect a big effort here from the Texans and wouldn't be shocked at all if this was a one score game in the 4th quarter. Play Houston +10.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers vs Ravens over 40½ -110

I'll take my chances with the OVER 40.5 in Sunday's NFL action that has the Ravens hosting the Steelers. Most think of defense when they think of these two teams and they have played some really grind it out games over the years. However, that's not who these teams are this season. Injuries have decimated the Baltimore defense and has really forced them to rely more on their offense. I like both teams to move the football and for this to easily surpass the low number set by the books. Play the OVER 40.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Chiefs vs Broncos over 45 -110

The OVER (45) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Chiefs and Broncos. I don't think this total is anywhere close to enough. Kansas City could eclipse this number on their own. Mahomes and that Chiefs offense has figured things out and will be taking on a decimated Denver defense that is down their top two corners. At the same time, I also think the Broncos offense will be able to muster some drives together and put some points on the board against a KC defense that hasn't been nearly as good the last couple of weeks. Play the OVER 45! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Kansas State -6½ -110

The Wildcats (-6.5) are worth a look in Tuesday's Texas Bowl matchup against LSU. The Tigers aren't in great spot going into their bowl game. They are transitioning into a new era after bringing in Brian Kelly from Notre Dame to be the new head coach. They also have major quarterback questions with Max Johnson going into the transfer portal and Myles Brennan not expected to play either.You also got other players who have entered the portal and some key defensive guys opting out. Play Kansas State -6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers +3½ -110

We clearly got a great price on the Steelers (+3.5) in this one, but this is still a recommond play at the current line. This is an easy fade of the Browns, who were officially eliminated from postseason play with the Chargers win on Sunday. So on one side you have a team that has zero motivation and on the other a Steelers team that needs to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Play Pittsburgh! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame under 46 -110

*All CFB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Rutgers vs Wake Forest over 61½ -110

*All CFB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Saints +2½ -105

The Saints (+2.5) are worth a look as a short home dog against the Dolphins on Monday Night Football. Most are going to just assume New Orleans is dead in the water because they have to start Ian Book at quarterback. I don't got a lot of trust in Book, but this Saints defense just shutout Tom Brady. They can do it again against a pretty average Miami offense. Book and the Saints running game does enough to get the win. Play New Orleans +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Nevada +7 -110

Nevada (+7) is worth a look here as a touchdown dog against Westering Michigan in Monday's Quick Lane Bowl. It looks like a bit of a miss for the Wolf Pack with all the coaches and players that won't be suiting up, but this line move just is too much. This is still a pretty sub-par team in Western Michigan and I just don't think they should be laying this many points. Nevada isn't going to just throw in the towel. Play the Wolf Pack +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Chargers vs Texans under 46 -110

The UNDER (46) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Texans and Chargers. Covid has hit these two teams hard. I just think with how little these two teams get to practice, there's some decent value with the number in the up 40s. Prior to putting up 30 last week against the Jags, Houston had scored 14 or fewer in 3 straight games. Chargers just want to get a win and get out of Houston. Play the UNDER 46! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Browns vs Packers over 45½ -110

The OVER (45.5) is worth a look in Saturday's Christmas Day NFL action between the Browns and Packers. We are getting a good price with the OVER here because of how much Cleveland's offense has struggled of late with all the injuries and guys out with Covid. Browns should be able to do a lot more on that side of the ball in this game. Packers' games have been really high scoring of late. OVER has cashed in each of their last 4 with all 4 going into the 60's. Play the OVER 45.5!

20* SHARP PLAY on Ball State vs Georgia State under 51½ -110

The UNDER (51.5) is worth a look in the Camellia Bowl between Georgia State and Ball State. Neither of these teams were all that explosive offensively this year. Ball State only averaged 24.4 ppg and that's with facing all those bad defenses in the MAC. Georgia State was slightly better at  26.3 ppg. The Panthers style of play also favors a lower-scoring game with their run-first offense. Georgia State ran it on average 45 times a game for 225 yards. Play the UNDER 51.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on 49ers vs Titans over 44 -110

The OVER (44) is worth a look on Thursday Night Football as the Titans host the 49ers. I think both of these offenses are going to be able to move the ball. Tennessee gets back wide out A.J. Brown and this 49ers defense is missing some key guys. San Francisco's offense should also produce in this one as they are clicking on that side and I'm not buying the Titans recent strong defensive showings against teams like the Jags and Steelers. Play the OVER 44! 

20* SHARP PLAY on San Diego State -2½ -110

San Diego State (-2.5) is worth a look as a short favorite against UTSA in the Frisco Bowl on Tuesday. This line has flipped from the Roadrunners being favored to the Aztecs and for good reason. UTSA has had several key guys opt out of playing, including stud running back Sincere McCormick. Look for that San Diego State defense to be the difference without McCormick to shoulder the load for the Roadrunners. Aztecs are also extremely motivated here to get their 12th win. Play San Diego State -2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Washington Football Team vs Eagles over 42 -110

The OVER (42) is worth a look in Tuesday's NFL action between the Eagles and Football Team. This is just too low a total, even with all the COVID and injuries that these two teams are dealing with. Washington is getting some guys back on defense, but how good are they going to be in this game. I don't see the Football Team slowing down the Eagles offense and even if it's Garrett Gilbert at quarterback, I think Washington will be able to do enough here to push this past the number. Play the OVER 42! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Raiders vs Browns under 40½ -110

The UNDER (40.5) is worth a look in Monday's makeup game between the Browns and Raiders. Even pushing this game back two days is not going to be enough for Cleveland to field a competent offense and it's looking like the Browns will have to go with their 3rd string QB in Mullens. At the same time, this Raiders offense has been broken since Gruden left town and I don't see them doing a lot here on the road. Play the UNDER 40.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Lions +13 -110

The Lions (+13) are worth a look as a big home dog against the Cardinals in Sunday's NFL action. I know Detroit followed up their first win of the season with an absolute dud last week against the Broncos, but that was to be expected. The Lions celebrated that first win like they had just won the Super Bowl. Look for the focus to be back here against one of the NFC's best in Arizona and I'm just not sold on the Cardinals being as good as what people think. Play the Lions +13! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Panthers vs Bills under 44½ -110

The UNDER (44.5) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Bills and Panthers. I see both offenses having a hard time moving the ball. Carolina's offense is limited without McCaffrey and a lack of a passing game with whoever they put at quarterback. So while Buffalo's defense is slipping, this is an offense they can contain, especially at home. The problem for the Bills is their pass happy offense is going up against the league's No. 1 ranked pass defense. Play the UNDER 44.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Liberty -9½ -110

Liberty (-9.5) is worth a look as a big favorite against Eastern Michigan in the LendingTree Bowl on Saturday. The Eagles don't belong on the same field as the Flames. I look for Liberty's stud QB, Malik Willis to have a field day against this Eastern Michigan defense. I don't see the Eagles being able to keep pace. Play the Flames -9.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Middle Tennessee State +10½ +100

Middle Tennessee (+10.5) is worth a look here as a double-digit dog against the Rockets. Toledo definitely looked better down the stretch, but no way should by laying this kind of number. No one is giving the Blue Raiders a shot in this game and I think we see them come out with a chip on their shoulder. The Middle Tennessee defense is better than people think this Toledo defense isn't anything special. Give me the Blue Raiders +10.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Chiefs vs Chargers over 51½ -110

The OVER (51.5) is worth a look between the Chiefs and Chargers on Thursday Night Football. I expect a lot of offensive fireworks in this one. KC's defense is not as good as they have been playing. They have just faced a lot of bad offenses during this run. Justin Herbert is a different beast and the Chiefs are without one of their best defensive players in Chris Jones. I also think KC's offense is starting to show flashes of it's old form and should exploit this bade Chargers defense in perfect conditions in a dome. Play the OVER 51.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Rams vs Cardinals under 51½ -110

The UNDER 51.5 is worth a look on Monday Night Football as the Cardinals and Rams face off for the second time this season. The first meeting was high-scoring. The two combined for 57 in a 37-20 Arizona win. Interesting to note that game went over a total of 54 and despite that result the books have this total almost a full field goal less in the same matchup. Rams are not clicking offensively like they were to start the year and Arizona is still kicking off the rust after having several guys out on offense. These are also two very good defensive teams who know what to expect from the other side. Play the UNDER 51.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cowboys -4½ -110

The Cowboys (-4.5) are worth a look laying less than a touchdown on the road against the Football Team. Washington is being way overvalued right now after winning their last 4. Yes, the defense has played better, but a lot of that is who they have played. The Cowboys are finally getting healthy and this just feels like a statement spot for Dallas in a division game they really need to have. Play the Cowboys -4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers vs Vikings under 43½ -108

The UNDER (43.5) is worth a look on Thursday Night Football, as the Steelers will visit the Vikings. Low scoring games seem to find Pittsburgh and it's easy to see why with how strong the Steelers are defensively and how limited they are offensively. I could see maybe one of these teams putting up 20+, but I don't see both sides getting there and wouldn't be shocked if neither did. Play the UNDER 43.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Patriots vs Bills over 41 -110

The OVER (41) is worth a look on Monday Night Football, as the Bills host the Patriots. I just think the expected conditions, which aren't great, have driven this total down to where there's some decent value on the over. Pats are a great running team and I think they will be able to establish the run and move the ball. You also got to remember the Bills' Josh Allen has a cannon for an arm that can cut through the wind. Not saying it will be a shootout, but I like them to at least get to 42. Give me the OVER 41! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cardinals vs Bears under 43½ -110

The UNDER (43.5) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Bears and Cardinals. Chicago has played to the UNDER in 8 of their 11 games this season with a 4 of their 5 games at home going under the mark set by the books. UNDER is now 15-6 in the Bears last 21 home games. Chicago just can't score and their defense does a good job of at least making the other team earn it on offense by not giving up a lot of big plays and quick scores. Expect a much lower scoring game than you would maybe expect with a high powered offense like the Cardinals. Play the UNDER 43.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jackson State -7 -110

*All FCS picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

20* SHARP PLAY on Saints +4½ -110

The Saints (+4.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Cowboys. Everyone is on Dallas here and I believe out of principal you got take New Orleans. Hill gives that offense some life, as they looked lost the last couple weeks with Siemian. It will also help facing this soft Cowboys defense. I also like that Saints defense to play well at home in a prime time stand alone game. Play the Saints +4.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Seahawks vs Washington Football Team over 46½ -110

The OVER (46) is worth a look a on Monday Night Football between the Football Team and the Seahawks. I think the total has just gotten too low to pass up a play on the OVER. Seattle's offense has looked lost for weeks now and Russell Wilson's return hasn't sparked anything. I just think Wilson is primed to get back in form here against a very mediocre Washington team. I also think the Football Team will be able to move the ball and put points on the board. My numbers have this in the low 50s. Play the OVER 46.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Steelers vs Bengals under 45 -110

The UNDER (45) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Bengals and Steelers. These two teams played once already this year. That game had a total of 42 and the two teams combined for just 34. With the guys Pittsburgh is getting back defensively and Cincinnati's struggles on the offensive line, this doesn't figure to be a great game for Joe Burrow and that Bengals offense. You also can't expect a lot from Big Ben and that offense, especially on the road against a Cincinnati defense isn't bad against the run. Play the UNDER 45! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Penn State vs Michigan State over 51 -110

The OVER (51) is worth a look in Saturday's Big Ten matchup between Penn State and Michigan State. This is just too low a total for a game that involves a defense as bad as the Spartans, especially that secondary. Penn State should have all kinds of big plays that lead to quick scores. I could easily see both of these teams getting to 30 in this one. Play the OVER 51! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Oregon -6½ -110

The Ducks (-6.5) are worth a look as a less than a touchdown favorite at home against rival Oregon State. Yes, the Ducks playoff hopes took a huge hit with last week's loss to Utah. As tough as that will be to swallow, I just don't see the Ducks throwing away a shot at getting back to the Pac-12 title game to set up a rematch with the Utes. It's been a good season for Oregon State, but if the Ducks show up they are by far the better team. Give me Oregon -6.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Wake Forest vs Boston College over 64 -110

The OVER (64) is worth a look in Saturday's ACC matchup between Boston College and Wake Forest. We saw the Demon Deacons' offense struggle in their last game against Clemson, but that was to be expected with how good the Tigers are on that side of the ball. BC's defense is no where near that good. I see another shootout here for Wake Forest with both of these teams easily eclipsing 30 points. Play the OVER 64! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cincinnati vs East Carolina under 58½ -110

The UNDER (58) is worth a look in Friday's big AAC matchup between Cincinnati and East Carolina. We saw Cincinnati's defense show up in a big way last week against SMU and I expect them to do the same against the Pirates this afternoon. The key here is I think ECU can hold their own defensively at home, at least enough to keep the Bearcats from scoring into the 40's. With some decent winds expected, neither team is going to be able to just drop back and throw it at will. More runs, fewer possessions, and an under cash. Play the UNDER 58.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Northern Illinois +4 -110

Northern Illinois (+4) is worth a look as a home dog against the Broncos in Tuesday's college football action out of the MAC. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here with this line, as the books are assuming that the Huskies are going to just be a complete no show given they have already locked up a spot in next week's MAC title game. What they overlook is that there's not a lot for the Broncos to play for either because of how little game means to Northern Illinois. I still think the Huskies find a way to win this one outright. Play Northern Illinois +4! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Giants +11 -110

The Giants (+11) are worth a look as a double-digit road dog against the Bucs on Monday Night Football. I just think the books have inflated this line on TB to where you got to take New York. The Giants have been covering machines as road dogs the last couple of seasons and the Bucs are just not playing great football. Nothing speaks more to that than Tampa Bay losing by double-digits as a double-digit favorite at Washington out of their bye week. Until the Bucs get healthy, I think they are going to have a hard time blowing teams out. Play the Giants +11! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Colts +7 +100

The Colts (+7) are worth a look as a touchdown underdog on the road against the Bills. This is just too many points for Buffalo to be laying in this matchup. Indy's without question one of the more talented teams who don't currently have a winning record and while the Bills come in at 6-3, they really haven't beat anyone outside of the Chiefs when KC was playing their worst football of the season. It's also not going to be ideal conditions to throw the ball with winds around 15 mph and a chance of rain. That's a big deal for a Bills' offense that can't run the football. Colts on the other hand have a top tier rushing attack. Play Indianapolis +7! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Lions vs Browns over 42½ -110

The OVER (42.5) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Browns and Lions. We are seeing an extremely low total in this one and a big reason for that is the news that Detroit's Tim Boyle will be making his first NFL start in place of the injured Jared Goff. I just don't think you can adjust the numbers much with Goff out given how bad he's been. You also got to look at that the matchup on the other side of the ball. With Detroit's poor run defense and Cleveland's elite rushing attack, it's not out of the quest the Browns cover this total on their own. Play the OVER 42.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Indiana +7½ -107

The Hoosiers (+7.5) are worth a look as more than a touchdown dog at home against the Gophers in Saturday's college football action. We are getting max value here with Indiana off their ugly 38-3 loss at home to Rutgers. It was as bad as Indiana could play, as they turned it over 6 times and managed just over 260 total yards against a bad Rutgers team. We should see a much better effort from the Hoosiers in this one and it's a bad spot for Minnesota off a big rivalry game against Iowa and an even bigger game on deck at home against a top ranked Wisconsin team. Play the Hoosiers +7.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas State +17 -110

The Red Wolves (+17) are worth a look as a big road dog against Georgia State in Saturday's college football action. Great spot here to fade the Panthers coming off their big upset win over Coastal Carolina. Even with that win, Georgia State really doesn't have a shot at overtaking App State in the East to make the Sun Belt title game, as they lost the head-to-head to the Mountaineers and would need them to lose out to even have a shot. Look for a flat Panthers team to struggle to put away a bad Arkansas State team. Play the Red Wolves +17! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texas State +24½ -110

The Bobcats (+24.5) are worth a look as a big road dog against Coastal Carolina in Saturday's college football action. This is a tough spot for the Chanticleers after last week's 40-42 loss as a 12-point home favorite to Georgia State. That setback all but eliminated CCU from the Sun Belt title game, as they would need to win out and have App St lose their last two to even have a shot and that's unlikely. The Mountaineers could lose at Troy, but hard to see them losing at home to Georgia Southern next week. I just think it will be tough for the Chanticleers to get up for this game. Play Texas State +24.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on West Virginia -2½ -115

The Mountaineers (-2.5) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Longhorns in Saturday's college football action. Texas has completely fallen flat on their face this year and it doesn't appear they care about turning this thing around. That was evident in last week's 56-57 loss to Kansas as a 31-point favorite. I don't see them flipping the switch on the road against West Virginia, who is going to get up for this game, as every team in the Big 12 wants to lay it on the Longhorns with them moving to the SEC. Play the Mountaineers -2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Patriots vs Falcons under 47½ -110

The UNDER (47.5) is worth a look in Thursday's NFL action between the Falcons and Patriots. It feels like the perception here is that the Patriots are going to put up a big number and that's really all based off last week's results where New England put up 45 on the Browns and the Falcons gave up 43 to the Cowboys. I expect a much better showing defensively from Atlanta at home and Belichick isn't going to be as motivated to run it up on the Falcons as he was his old team in the Browns. I also don't see Atlanta doing a lot offensively against this Pats defense. Belichick is going to have a gameplan in place to shutdown Pitts and it's unlikely Cordarrelle Patterson suits up with an ankle injury. Play the UNDER 47.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Central Michigan vs Ball State under 60½ -110

The UNDER (60.5) is worth a look in Wednesday's college football action between Central Michigan and Ball State. I thought the total here was too high to start and became an easy play for me when I saw the dreadful forecast. There's going to be rain (79% chance) and there will be a 15-20 mph wind. That should lead to both teams running the ball more than they would like, which is going to eat up the clock and limit the possessions. Play the UNDER 60.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on 49ers +3½ -110

The 49ers (+3.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Rams on Monday Night Football. LA is a massive public play here in a prime time game, which should immediately have you looking the other way. This just feels like the ultimate buy low spot on the 49ers after that ugly 17-31 home loss to the Cardinals, who were without starting quarterback Kyler Murray. I think the 49ers defense can hold their own here, especially with the Rams losing a key cog to their offense in Robert Woods earlier this week in practice. I also like the 49ers offense to be able to move the ball at home against this Rams defense. Play San Francisco +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Browns vs Patriots over 45 -110

The OVER (45) is worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Patriots and Browns. We saw Cleveland's offense take on a completely different looks once they ridded themselves of OBJ and I think it's no coincidence. He was just a bad fit to what this team wants to do offensively and I look for them to continue to look better going forward. As for the Pats, they seem to be getting better offensively each week. New England has put up at least 24 in 5 straight with the OVER going 4-1 during this stretch. The total just isn't high enough for these two teams. Play the OVER 45! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Western Kentucky vs Rice under 62½ -110

The UNDER (62.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between WKU and Rice. This Owls offense is too bad for a total north of 60. Rice is scoring a mere 19.3 ppg. A full 10-points under what their opponent gives up on average. WKU will probably score, but not enough to push this over the mark. Play the UNDER 62.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Connecticut vs Clemson over 50½ -110

The UNDER (50.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Clemson and UConn. I have a hard time seeing UConn score. As bad as the Huskies are defensively, what have we seen from this Clemson offense to make us think they can score 50+? Play the UNDER 50.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Central Florida +7½ -110

UCF (+7.5) is worth a look as a road dog against SMU in Saturday's college football action. The Knights aren't getting enough respect here. The Mustangs have been a big public team and I think we are once again seeing them overpriced. Not any easy spot for SMU coming off those two tough losses at Houston and Memphis that all but knocked them out of the AAC title game. Play UCF +7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Rutgers vs Indiana under 43 -110

The UNDER (43) is worth a look in Saturday's Big Ten matchup between Rutgers and Indiana. This is not the game to watch if you like offense. Rutgers is averaging 11.5 ppg in Big Ten play and figure to have a hard time moving the ball against a decent Hoosiers defense on the road. I think it's the same story for Indiana, who is only averaging 11.7 ppg and 264.7 ypg in conference games. Play the UNDER 43! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Ravens vs Dolphins over 46½ -110

The OVER (46.5) is worth a look in Week 10 NFL Thursday Night Football between the Ravens and Dolphins. Ravens have scored at least 30 in 3 of their last 4 games, while giving up 25 or more in 3 of their last 4. I know Miami's offense has struggled to score, but I think they will be able to do some damage at home in this one. This is a big flat spot for Baltimore after that OT win against the Vikings and they are on the road playing on just 3 days of rest. This one gets into the 50s. Play the OVER 46.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Toledo vs Bowling Green under 51 -110

The UNDER (51) is worth a look in Wednesday's college basketball action between Toledo and Bowling Green. The books are begging you to take the OVER with this low total after both of these teams just played in shootouts last week. Toledo combined for over 100 points in a 49-52 loss to E Michigan, while Bowling Green hit the 100-point mark in a 56-44 win over Buffalo. I just don't see the Falcons being able to score enough against a good Rockets defense to push this over the mark. Play the UNDER 51! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Ohio +6½ -110

Ohio (+6.5) is worth a look as a 6.5-point road dog against the Eagles in Tuesday's college football action. The Bobcats are nowhere near as abad as their 2-7 record and we saw that in last week's 35-33 win as a 7-point home dog against Miami (OH). Eagles are a respectable 6-3 overall, but are just 3-2 in MAC play and only one of those MAC wins have come by more than 3-points and that was against a bad Bowling Green team. Play Ohio +6.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Bears vs Steelers over 38½ -110

The OVER (38.5) is worth a look on Monday Night Football. We have the lowest total of the entire week in this matchup between the Steelers and Bears. I'm not expecting a 30-30 type of game, but I do think we could see both teams get to 20. This Bears offense was not the same last week without safety Eddie Jackson and pass rusher Khalil Mack. Both will be out again against a Steelers offense that has looked better of late. Chicago's offense is the real question mark, but they should be able to run the ball here and it feels like Justin Fields has grown some since he was first thrown out there. Play the OVER 38.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Browns +2½ -110

The Browns (+2.5) are worth a look in Sunday's NFL action between the Browns and Bengals. This is a good time to buy low on Cleveland. Everyone is writing off Cincy after last week's ugly loss at home to Steelers and all the off the field stuff with OBJ. Thing is, that was a tough matchup last week for the Browns offense against that strong Pittsburgh front. They should have a much easier time moving the ball against this Bengals defense. I also feel like OBJ is addition by subtraction. Cleveland reminds everyone how good they are. Play the Browns +2.5!