20* SHARP PLAY on Middle Tennessee State +10½ +100

Middle Tennessee (+10.5) is worth a look here as a double-digit dog against the Rockets. Toledo definitely looked better down the stretch, but no way should by laying this kind of number. No one is giving the Blue Raiders a shot in this game and I think we see them come out with a chip on their shoulder. The Middle Tennessee defense is better than people think this Toledo defense isn't anything special. Give me the Blue Raiders +10.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Jackson State -7 -110

*All FCS picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

15* SHARP PLAY on Penn State vs Michigan State over 51 -110

The OVER (51) is worth a look in Saturday's Big Ten matchup between Penn State and Michigan State. This is just too low a total for a game that involves a defense as bad as the Spartans, especially that secondary. Penn State should have all kinds of big plays that lead to quick scores. I could easily see both of these teams getting to 30 in this one. Play the OVER 51! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Oregon -6½ -110

The Ducks (-6.5) are worth a look as a less than a touchdown favorite at home against rival Oregon State. Yes, the Ducks playoff hopes took a huge hit with last week's loss to Utah. As tough as that will be to swallow, I just don't see the Ducks throwing away a shot at getting back to the Pac-12 title game to set up a rematch with the Utes. It's been a good season for Oregon State, but if the Ducks show up they are by far the better team. Give me Oregon -6.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Wake Forest vs Boston College over 64 -110

The OVER (64) is worth a look in Saturday's ACC matchup between Boston College and Wake Forest. We saw the Demon Deacons' offense struggle in their last game against Clemson, but that was to be expected with how good the Tigers are on that side of the ball. BC's defense is no where near that good. I see another shootout here for Wake Forest with both of these teams easily eclipsing 30 points. Play the OVER 64! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cincinnati vs East Carolina under 58½ -110

The UNDER (58) is worth a look in Friday's big AAC matchup between Cincinnati and East Carolina. We saw Cincinnati's defense show up in a big way last week against SMU and I expect them to do the same against the Pirates this afternoon. The key here is I think ECU can hold their own defensively at home, at least enough to keep the Bearcats from scoring into the 40's. With some decent winds expected, neither team is going to be able to just drop back and throw it at will. More runs, fewer possessions, and an under cash. Play the UNDER 58.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Northern Illinois +4 -110

Northern Illinois (+4) is worth a look as a home dog against the Broncos in Tuesday's college football action out of the MAC. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here with this line, as the books are assuming that the Huskies are going to just be a complete no show given they have already locked up a spot in next week's MAC title game. What they overlook is that there's not a lot for the Broncos to play for either because of how little game means to Northern Illinois. I still think the Huskies find a way to win this one outright. Play Northern Illinois +4! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Indiana +7½ -107

The Hoosiers (+7.5) are worth a look as more than a touchdown dog at home against the Gophers in Saturday's college football action. We are getting max value here with Indiana off their ugly 38-3 loss at home to Rutgers. It was as bad as Indiana could play, as they turned it over 6 times and managed just over 260 total yards against a bad Rutgers team. We should see a much better effort from the Hoosiers in this one and it's a bad spot for Minnesota off a big rivalry game against Iowa and an even bigger game on deck at home against a top ranked Wisconsin team. Play the Hoosiers +7.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas State +17 -110

The Red Wolves (+17) are worth a look as a big road dog against Georgia State in Saturday's college football action. Great spot here to fade the Panthers coming off their big upset win over Coastal Carolina. Even with that win, Georgia State really doesn't have a shot at overtaking App State in the East to make the Sun Belt title game, as they lost the head-to-head to the Mountaineers and would need them to lose out to even have a shot. Look for a flat Panthers team to struggle to put away a bad Arkansas State team. Play the Red Wolves +17! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texas State +24½ -110

The Bobcats (+24.5) are worth a look as a big road dog against Coastal Carolina in Saturday's college football action. This is a tough spot for the Chanticleers after last week's 40-42 loss as a 12-point home favorite to Georgia State. That setback all but eliminated CCU from the Sun Belt title game, as they would need to win out and have App St lose their last two to even have a shot and that's unlikely. The Mountaineers could lose at Troy, but hard to see them losing at home to Georgia Southern next week. I just think it will be tough for the Chanticleers to get up for this game. Play Texas State +24.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on West Virginia -2½ -115

The Mountaineers (-2.5) are worth a look as a slim home favorite against the Longhorns in Saturday's college football action. Texas has completely fallen flat on their face this year and it doesn't appear they care about turning this thing around. That was evident in last week's 56-57 loss to Kansas as a 31-point favorite. I don't see them flipping the switch on the road against West Virginia, who is going to get up for this game, as every team in the Big 12 wants to lay it on the Longhorns with them moving to the SEC. Play the Mountaineers -2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Central Michigan vs Ball State under 60½ -110

The UNDER (60.5) is worth a look in Wednesday's college football action between Central Michigan and Ball State. I thought the total here was too high to start and became an easy play for me when I saw the dreadful forecast. There's going to be rain (79% chance) and there will be a 15-20 mph wind. That should lead to both teams running the ball more than they would like, which is going to eat up the clock and limit the possessions. Play the UNDER 60.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Western Kentucky vs Rice under 62½ -110

The UNDER (62.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between WKU and Rice. This Owls offense is too bad for a total north of 60. Rice is scoring a mere 19.3 ppg. A full 10-points under what their opponent gives up on average. WKU will probably score, but not enough to push this over the mark. Play the UNDER 62.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Connecticut vs Clemson over 50½ -110

The UNDER (50.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Clemson and UConn. I have a hard time seeing UConn score. As bad as the Huskies are defensively, what have we seen from this Clemson offense to make us think they can score 50+? Play the UNDER 50.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Central Florida +7½ -110

UCF (+7.5) is worth a look as a road dog against SMU in Saturday's college football action. The Knights aren't getting enough respect here. The Mustangs have been a big public team and I think we are once again seeing them overpriced. Not any easy spot for SMU coming off those two tough losses at Houston and Memphis that all but knocked them out of the AAC title game. Play UCF +7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Rutgers vs Indiana under 43 -110

The UNDER (43) is worth a look in Saturday's Big Ten matchup between Rutgers and Indiana. This is not the game to watch if you like offense. Rutgers is averaging 11.5 ppg in Big Ten play and figure to have a hard time moving the ball against a decent Hoosiers defense on the road. I think it's the same story for Indiana, who is only averaging 11.7 ppg and 264.7 ypg in conference games. Play the UNDER 43! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Toledo vs Bowling Green under 51 -110

The UNDER (51) is worth a look in Wednesday's college basketball action between Toledo and Bowling Green. The books are begging you to take the OVER with this low total after both of these teams just played in shootouts last week. Toledo combined for over 100 points in a 49-52 loss to E Michigan, while Bowling Green hit the 100-point mark in a 56-44 win over Buffalo. I just don't see the Falcons being able to score enough against a good Rockets defense to push this over the mark. Play the UNDER 51! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Ohio +6½ -110

Ohio (+6.5) is worth a look as a 6.5-point road dog against the Eagles in Tuesday's college football action. The Bobcats are nowhere near as abad as their 2-7 record and we saw that in last week's 35-33 win as a 7-point home dog against Miami (OH). Eagles are a respectable 6-3 overall, but are just 3-2 in MAC play and only one of those MAC wins have come by more than 3-points and that was against a bad Bowling Green team. Play Ohio +6.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Temple vs East Carolina under 54½ -110

The UNDER (54.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Temple and East Carolina. Both of these teams come in struggling offensively. In the Owls last 3 games, they have scored a total of 24 points, not going over 14 in any of the 3. The Pirates are only averaging 23.0 ppg in their last 3. I get the Owls defense is not good, but this is just too many points for a game where one team can't score. Play the UNDER 54.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Arizona +12 -110

The Wildcats (+12) are worth a look as a double-digit home dog against the Golden Bears in Saturday's Pac-12 action. I get Arizona is in rebuilding mode and haven't won a game this season, but the Wildcats have covered each of their last two games. Cal is also not a team that should be laying double-digits on the road in a conference game. Golden Bears are just 16-37 ATS in their last 53 games as a road favorite. Play Arizona +12! 

15* SHARP PLAY on California vs Arizona under 51 -110

The UNDER (51) is worth a look in Saturday's Pac-12 matchup between California and Arizona. I just don't see these two teams getting into the 50s. These are two underperforming offenses. Golden Bears are only scoring 24.3 ppg on the road this season and Arizona is only putting up 16.3 ppg at home. The UNDER has cashed in 3 of the 4 home games for the Wildcats this season and is 12-3 in Cal's last 15 road games after back-to-back conference wins. Play the UNDER 51! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Liberty +10 -110

Liberty (+10) is worth a look as a double-digit road dog against Ole Miss in Saturday's college football action. This might seem like a short number for the Rebels to be laying against a non-power 5 team, but you know you are getting a big effort here out of the Flames. This Liberty team is going to play their hearts out for former Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze and the Flames have a QB that can put up big numbers against the Rebels defense. Also, while Matt Corral is expected to play, he's not going to be 100%. You also got Lane Kiffin taking points off the board with all the 4th downs he goes for. Play Liberty +10! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Virginia Tech vs Boston College under 48 -110

The UNDER (48) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between Virginia Tech and Boston College. You really just need to look at this Eagles offense to see why there's value with the UNDER. BC has not scored more than 14 points in each of their last 4 games. As for the Eagles defense, they have only given up more than 28 twice in 8 games and this should be one of their better defensive efforts at home in a prime time game. Play the UNDER 48! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Eastern Michigan vs Toledo over 52 -110

The OVER (52) is worth a look in Tuesday's college football action between Eastern Michigan and Toledo. These two teams just have a way of playing to the OVER. The OVER has cashed in 11 of the last 17 meetings between these two teams. In 2019 they combined for 71 with a total of 52.5 and last year they put up 73 with a total of 62.5. Look for a little more scoring than what the books are calling for. Play the UNDER 52! 

15* SHARP PLAY on UTEP vs Florida Atlantic over 47½ -110

The OVER (47.5) is worth a look in Saturday's C-USA matchup between FAU and UTEP. In FAU's 3 home games they have scored 38 vs Georgia Southern, 45 vs Fordham and 58 vs FIU. It would not shock me if they got this total on their own. UTEP's defensive numbers are decent, but a lot of that is schedule. We did see them give up 54 points and more than 450 yards of offense to Boise State earlier this year. I also think the Miners will be able to do some damage of their own offensively. Play the OVER 47.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Duke vs Wake Forest over 70 -110

The OVER (70) is worth a look in Saturday's ACC matchup between Duke and Wake Forest. We just saw the Demon Deacons put up 70 last week against Army. While they probably don't match that output, I don't think them scoring 50+ is out of the question, especially with how their defense has struggled. I definitely don't see the Blue Devils defense being able to stop WF's offense. Wouldn't be shocked if this thing was well into the 60s by the 3rd quarter. Play the OVER 70! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texas Tech vs Oklahoma under 67 -110

The UNDER (67) is worth a look in Saturday's Big 12 showdown between Texas Tech and Oklahoma. It's easy to just assume that with how the Red Raiders have struggled defensively against some good offenses that this game is going to easily go over with Oklahoma looking like a different team since Rattler was benched. I just don't trust the Texas Tech offense and I think we are going to get a really big effort here out of Tech in the first game after they fired their head coach. Play the UNDER 67! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Southern Miss vs Middle Tennessee State under 48½ -110

The UNDER (48.5) is worth a look in Saturday's C-USA matchup between Southern Miss and Middle Tennessee. Low total here, but that's for good reason. This Southern Miss team is awful offensively. They are scoring just 14.1 ppg and have yet to eclipse 20 points in any game this season vs a FBS opponent (scored 37 vs Grambling). I just don't see Middle Tennessee scoring a ton either and could see this game struggling to just get to 40. Play the UNDER 48.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UNLV vs Nevada under 58½ +101

The UNDER (58.5) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between UNLV and Nevada. This is a pretty big in-state rivalry and I just don't trust that Rebels offense to do enough here to get this into the 60s. At the same time, I think that UNLV defense has made some decent improvements. After giving up 35+ in each of their first 4 games, they have held their last 3 opponents under 30. UNDER has cashed in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two in Nevada. Play the UNDER 58.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Troy +18½ -110

Troy (+18.5) is worth a look as a big road dog against Coastal Carolina in Thursday's college football action. This is just too many points for the Chanticleers to be laying in this matchup. We just saw Coastal Carolina lose 27-30 on the road to App State last week and the biggest problem for the Chanticleers in that game was they couldn't run the ball. That's going to be problem again, as Troy is giving up just 95 ypg and 2.6 yards/carry vs the run this year. They also won't be able to throw it as much, as it's going to be windy and rainy over the duration of this game. Play Troy +18.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Oregon vs UCLA over 59½ -110

The OVER (59.5) is worth a look in Saturday's big Pac-12 matchup between Oregon and UCLA. I just don't see a lot of defense in this one. Both of these teams can score. The Ducks are averaging 33.8 ppg and 427 ypg, while the Bruins are at 33.6 ypg and 425 ypg. Both teams averaging over 6 yards per play. I just don't trust either defense to get enough stops to keep this under the mark. Play the OVER 59.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Syracuse +3½ -110

The Orange (+3.5) are worth a look as a short road dog against Virginia Tech. Syracuse should be favored here, but it's no surprise the books are undervaluing this team. The Orange have covered 5 straight and 6 of 7 overall. Va Tech on the other hand is an overvalued team. They have gone just 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Hokies injuries on defense and lackluster run defense is going to be a problem against this elite Syracuse rush attack. Play the Orange +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on UMass vs Florida State over 59 -110

The OVER (59) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between UMass and Florida State. This should be in the 60's. The Minutemen play zero defense. They are giving up 41.5 ppg and 480 ypg. That's with holding an awful UConn team to 13 points. UMass has allowed 42 or more in every other games. FSU can easily score 50 points in this game. The Minutemen aren't a great offensive team, but FSU has given up 20 or more in every game, which includes an FCS opponent in Jacksonville State. Give me the OVER 59! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Memphis vs Central Florida over 63 -110

The OVER (63) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between Memphis and UCF. This is not the game to watch if you like defense. Neither of these teams are any good on that side of the ball. Memphis is giving up 30.4 ppg and that's against opponents that only average 25.7 ppg. The Knights are giving up 32.2 ppg against teams that only average 28.9. I see both teams getting into the 30's and this thing flying past the number. Play the OVER 63! 

20* SHARP PLAY on San Jose State vs UNLV under 46 -110

The UNDER (46) is worth a look in Thursday's Mountain West Football action between San Jose State and UNLV. These are two really bad offensive teams. UNLV comes in averaging just 19.5 ppg and the Spartans are at 19.4 ppg. I know the Rebels are giving up 35 ppg on defense, but playing at home and against this bad SJST offense, they should more than hold their own. Play the UNDER 46! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Vanderbilt vs South Carolina over 50½ -110

The OVER (50.5) is worth a look in Saturday's SEC action between bottom feeders South Carolina and Vanderbilt. Most are going to look at this game and think there's going to be no offense, especially with the awful numbers that Vandy has put up this season. Thing is, this South Carolina defense is one that the Commodores can do some damage against. I also think we are going to see plenty of offense out of the Gamecocks at home against a bad Vandy defense. Play the OVER 50.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Michigan State vs Indiana under 48½ -110

The UNDER (48.5) is worth a look in Saturday's Big Ten college football action between Indiana and Michigan State. Last week the Spartans had 31 points on the road against a decent Rutgers defense, but all 4 of their offensive touchdowns came on plays of 60 or more yards. It's not going to be anywhere close to that easy on the road against a good Indiana defense. Keep in mind the Hoosiers have had two full weeks to prepare for this game. I also don't think we will see much offense out of Indiana, who is without their starting quarterback Michael Penix Jr. Play the UNDER 48.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Central Florida +22½ -110

The Knights (+22.5) are worth a look as a huge road dog against the Bearcats in Saturday's college football action out of the American Athletic. This is a game that a lot of people thought could be a potential slip up spot for Cincinnati, but that's no longer the case with UCF losing starting quarterback Dillon Gabriel. While it's unlikely the Knights pull off the upset, I think we have seen a massive overreaction to the line here. There's more than enough talent for UCF to keep this within 22-points. Play the Knights +22.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on San Jose State +9 -101

San Jose State (+9) is worth a look as a near double-digit home dog against San Diego State in Friday's Mountain West football action. Good buy low spot here on the Spartans. No one is going to want to bet San Jose State after seeing they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5, especially against an Aztecs team that is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS on the season. No doubt this line is super inflated. You play this kind of value long-term and you will make a lot of money. Play San Jose State +9!

20* SHARP PLAY on Navy vs Memphis over 55 -110

The OVER (55) is worth a look in Thursday's college football action between Memphis and Navy. The books have completely missed the mark with this total. Memphis is an OVER team, as they can put up big numbers offensively and aren't very good defensively. The Tigers are scoring 36.0 ppg on 499 ypg and giving up 32.7 ppg and 457 ypg. Navy is an option team, but should be able to run here. Midshipmen are also not great defensively (32.7 ppg, 457 ypg) and can be exploited thru the air. Play the OVER 55! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UL-Lafayette +3½ -110

The Ragin' Cajuns (+3.5) are worth a look as a home dog against the Mountaineers in Tuesdays college football action. Huge Sun Belt matchup here and I think we are getting a gift with Lafayette catching more than a field goal at home. I'm not so sure they should be favored at all in this game. Mountaineers are a run first team and could be down their top back in Nate Noel, who has 511 yards and is averaging 6.4 yards/carry. They do got a good backup in Camerun Peoples, but it's just not the same when you don't have that 1-2 punch. Play the Ragin' Cajuns +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Oregon State vs Washington State over 58½ -110

The OVER (58.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Washington State and Oregon State. The Beavers have a top tier offense in 2021. They are averaging 230 ypg and 5.6 yards/carry on the ground. They also are throwing for more than 200 ypg with a strong 8.2 PYA. One of the reasons their offensive numbers are so good, they aren't very good on the defensive side of the ball. This should easily get into the 60's. Play the OVER 58.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Colorado State -2½ -110

Colorado State (-2.5) is worth a look as a slim home favorite against San Jose State in Saturday's college football action. I've liked what I've seen out of this Rams team. They beat Toledo on the road 22-6 and gave a really good Iowa team all they could handle in a 14-24 loss. Spartans are just 2-2 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games. Colorado State has huge edge off bye. Play the Rams -2.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Michigan State vs Rutgers over 51 -105

The OVER (51) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Rutgers and Michigan State. Sparty is scoring 37.8 ppg this year, over a TD per game than what their opponent is allowing. Rutgers is scoring 29.8 ppg and 39.7 ppg at home. Not the defensive matchup that a lot of people are anticipating. Play the OVER 51! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Stanford vs Arizona State over 51 -115

I'll take the OVER (51) is Friday's college football action between Stanford and Arizona State. Big let down spot for the Cardinal after their huge home win against Oregon and we have seen that Stanford defense give up some points. They certainly can't stop the run, giving up at least 185 on the ground in every game. ASU has got their offense going and while their defense is solid, the Cardinal should be able to do enough to cash this ticket. Play the OVER 51! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Toledo vs UMass over 55½ -110

The OVER (55.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Toledo and UMass. There's a good chance the Rockets put up 50 on their own in this game. The Minutemen have give up 51 to Pitt, 45 to BC, 42 to E Michigan and 53 to Coastal Carolina in the 4 games they have played. Key here is I think we can get a solid 14 to 21 from UMAss to push this well into the 60's. Play the OVER 55.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Western Michigan vs Buffalo over 59½ -110

The OVER (59.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Western Michigan and Buffalo. This should be a shootout between these two teams. Buffalo is scoring 33.0 ppg and we have seen the Broncos give up 40+ points in their two road games against Michigan and Pitt. We have also seen this Western Michigan team put up 44 on the road vs the Panthers. Buffalo is pretty average defensively. Play the OVER 59.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Texas vs TCU over 65 -110

The OVER (65) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between TCU and Texas. This is a no-brainer. Texas just lit up the scoreboard last week, putting 70 on the board against Texas Tech in a game that saw 105 combined points scored. TCU has scored at least 34 in all 3 of their games and in their two games against FBS opponents they have seen a combined score of at least 66. Play the OVER 65! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Tennessee vs Missouri over 65 -110

The OVER (65) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Missouri and Tennessee. This should be a shootout. Both of these teams are scoring points in bunches and are not great on the defensive side of the ball. Tennessee comes in at 35.5 ppg, scoring nearly a TD more than their opponents give up on average. Missouri is scoring 38.8 ppg, more than a TD than what their opponents are giving up. This has at least 70 points written all over it. Play the OVER 65! 

20* SHARP PLAY on BYU vs Utah State over 62½ -110

The OVER (62.5) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between Utah State and BYU. I'm expecting a lot of offense in this one. We know BYU is going to be able to move the football against this Aggies defense. I also think Utah State's offense will put up some big numbers. Don't be fooled by the Aggies low output last week in their 27-3 loss last week to Boise State. Utah State had over 440 yards of total offense. They just didn't finish off drives. Play the OVER 62.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Miami-FL -5 -110

The Hurricanes (-5) are worth a look as less than a touchdown favorite at home against Virginia in Thursday's college football action. I know Miami hasn't had the best start, but they have played a really tough schedule. Their two losses are against Alabama and Michigan State. They got a win over App St. Virginia started strong and has a great QB, but they got no defense. Cavaliers lost 39-59 at UNC two weeks ago and last Friday were embarrassed at home 17-37 by Wake Forest. Play Miami -5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Wyoming vs Connecticut under 54½ -110

The UNDER (54.5) is worth a look in Saturday's game between Wyoming and UConn. It's hard to take an UNDER with the Huskies because of how many points their defense gives up. Wyoming has a run-heavy offense. While they will score a lot, they are going to eat up some clock, especially in the 2nd half when they are just protecting a big lead. Play the UNDER 54.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas +5½ -110

The Razorbacks (+5.5) are worth a look as a dog against the Aggies in Saturday's big SEC showdown at Jerry's World. I'm buying stock in Arkansas head coach Sam Pittman and I'm not really sure this line shouldn't be closer to a pick'em. If we lived in a world where there was no offseason talk about these teams and we just evaluated them only on what we have seen for this season, there's no way the Aggies are +5.5 in this game. There was a ton of chatter that Texas A&M had the team to dethrone Alabama in the SEC West this year. They would be if they had any kind of talent at quarterback, but unfortunately for them they don't. At least not right now. Play Arkansas +5.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UTSA +3½ -110

The Roadrunners (+3.5) are worth a look catching a field goal with the hook at Memphis in Saturday's college football action. I think the Tigers are a bit overrated this year and even more so now that they just beat Mississippi State. The refs won them that game. They did really put up a fight against the Bulldogs, which in turns makes this a bit of a letdown spot. UTSA is also 3-0, but not a school a lot of people follow that closely. They haven't gotten near the exposure as Memphis. The Roadrunners are legit and I like them to win this game outright. Play UTSA +3.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on LSU vs Mississippi State over 55½ -117

The OVER (55.5) is worth a look in Saturday's SEC action between Mississippi State and LSU. Last year these two teams played a shootout, combining for 78 points with a total of just 57 (+21 margin). I don't understand how this year's total is lower. Both of these teams are strong offensively and so-so on the defensive end. I get LSU's defense has looked good in their last two games, but look who they have played. UCLA had over 200 yards rushing and 260 passing on that defense. Play the OVER 55.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UNLV vs Fresno State under 60 -110

The UNDER (60) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between UNLV and Fresno State. This is just too big of a total with a horrible offensive team like the Rebels. UNLV is averaging just 15.3 ppg and that's with them scoring 33 in their opener against a FCS team. Fresno State does come in averaging a healthy 43.0 ppg and are facing a UNLV defense that gives up 40.0 ppg, but this is a major flat spot for the Bulldogs off that huge upset win at UCLA. Play the UNDER 60! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Marshall vs Appalachian State under 60½ -110

The UNDER (60.5) is worth a look in Thursday's college football action between Marshall and Appalachian St. This just feels way too high. Sure these two teams are putting up crazy good offensive numbers, but look at who they have played. They really aren't doing anything special. It also has everyone overlooking how good these two teams are defensively. Last year's matchup between these two saw just 24 points with a total of 59.5. Play the UNDER 60.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on San Jose State vs Hawaii over 61 -110

The OVER (61) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between Hawaii and San Jose State. Hawaii's style of play is built for high-scoring games. The Rainbow Warriors want to sling it and they are averaging 28.7 ppg and 432 ypg. Not back given they have faced two Power 5 teams (UCLA, Oregon St). They are giving up 41.3 ppg and 476 ypg (6.9 yards/play). Both teams will be well into the 30's in this one. Last time they played in Hawaii their were 82 combined points scored. Play the OVER 61! 

15* SHARP PLAY on San Diego State +9 -110

The Aztecs (+9) are worth a look as a near double-digit home dog against the Utes. I think the public perception here is that Utah has to bounce back after that ugly loss to BYU last week. I'm sure the Utes will play better. The problem is they are facing a talented and well coached San Diego State team that is going to be jacked up for this game on their home field. Play the Aztecs +9! 

15* SHARP PLAY on East Carolina +10 -110

East Carolina (+10) is worth a look as a decently priced road dog against Marshall in Saturday's college football action. I know ECU had that crushing loss to South Carolina last week. I see that as a positive. It speaks volumes to just how much talent is on the Pirates team. I don't think they will have as much trouble as you might think getting back up for this game. I'm also not reading much into Marshall's 2-0 starts, as they have beat Navy and NC Central. Play East Carolina +10! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Arkansas State +17½ -110

Arkansas State (+17.5) is worth a look as a 3-score dog on the road against Washington in Saturday's college football action. Washington should not be laying this kind of number. The Huskies have went from playoff contender to completely out of it, just two games into the season. They could win out and they ain't getting in. They lost 7-13 to Montana at home and 10-31 at Michigan. They can't score. Play Arkansas State +17.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Buffalo +14 -110

Buffalo (+14) is worth a look as a two touchdown dog at home to Coastal Carolina. Make no mistakes this is a very good Coastal Carolina team. They just aren't flying under the radar anymore. The Chanticleers are ranked No. 16 in the country. They just destroyed KU at home 49-22. You are paying a tax with this team. Buffalo's not a great team, but they competed on the road last week with Nebraska. They will be up for this one. Play the Bulls +14! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Illinois +7½ -110

The Fighting Illini (+7.5) are worth a look here catching more than a TD at home against Maryland. I just don't think the Terps have done enough to warrant being this big a road favorite. It feels like to me that we are seeing a big overreaction with this line after Illinois' ugly loss last week to Virginia. They are getting back starting QB Brandon Peters for this game and you can't underestimate the edge of playing at home in these prime time weekday games. Wouldn't be shocked here at all if Illinois won this game. Play the Fighting Illini +7.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UL-Lafayette -20 -110

The Ragin' Cajuns (-20) are worth a look as a big home favorite against Ohio in Thursday's college football action. I think this is a good buy low spot on Lafayette, who has fallen out of the Top 25 and failed to cover their first two. They lost by 20 at Texas in a game they were only a 8.5-point dog and then barely beat Nicholls State 27-24 as a 25.5-point favorite. They are better than they have shown and should have a field day here against a really bad Ohio team. One that lost by 20 to a bad Syracuse team and lost outright as a 28.5-point favorite to Duquesne. Play the Ragin' Cajuns -20! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Iowa State -4 -110

Iowa State (-4) is worth a look as a short home favorite against the Iowa Hawkeyes. I think a lot of people are taking Iowa in this matchup simply cause they destroyed a ranked Indiana team in Week 1, while the Cyclones squeaked out a 16-10 win at home over UNI. I just have too much trust in Matt Campbell and the talent at ISU to think they are going to play anywhere close to that bad against the Hawkeyes. They haven't beat Iowa with Campbell. That changes today. Play ISU -4! 

15* SHARP PLAY on California vs TCU under 48 -110

The UNDER (48) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action between TCU and Cal. I just think we have two really good defenses facing off in this one. TCU has 8 starters back from a defense that gave up just 24.2 ppg in 2020. Cal also has 8 back and they only gave up 26.5 ppg last year. These two teams want to establish the run and win games with their defense. Unless we get a lot of turnovers that lead to quick scores, this thing won't sniff 50 points. Play the UNDER 48! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Wyoming -6½ -110

Wyoming (-6.5) is worth a look as a decently priced road favorite against Northern Illinois. The MAC is the worst FBS conference now a days and from what we have seen out of the MAC so far in 2021, their might be a sizable gap between them and the likes of C-USA and the Sun Belt. N Illinois was one of the few to look good, as they pulled off a shocking 22-21 upset on the road at Georgia Tech in Week 1. Wyoming on the other hand, only beat Montana State by a score of 19-16. It just has this line a lot lower than it should be. Play the Cowboys -6.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Army -5 -110

Army (-5) is worth a look as a small home favorite to WKU in Saturday's college football action. Not only do I think Army is the better team, but this is a really big game for the Black Knights with it being the 20th anniversary of 9/11. Even without that extra motivation, Army was in prime position here to win by at least a touchdown. WKU gave up over 200 rushing yards to Tenn-Martin. That's a really bad sign when facing a team like the Black Knights. Play Army -5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Louisville vs Ole Miss under 76 -110

The UNDER (76) is worth a look in Monday's college football action that has Louisville taking on Ole Miss. This total is out of control. I know Ole Miss has a great offense and a defense that couldn't stop anyone last year, but I expect some big improvements defensively for the Rebels. I also think this Louisville offense isn't going to be as good as people think. Cardinals get back their QB, but lost all their top playmakers. You also have to factor in Ole Miss playing this game without head coach Lane Kiffin. Big blow to the Rebels offense, as he also serves as the play caller. Play the UNDER 76! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Notre Dame vs Florida State under 55½ -110

The UNDER (55.5) is worth a look in Sunday's College Football matchup between Florida State and Notre Dame. I think people will want to bet the OVER here because of how bad the Seminoles defense was a year ago, but they are much improved. They added some talented transfers that will have this defense completely transformed, especially up front. As for the Irish, they are always stout defensively and should be again here. Play the UNDER 55.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on LSU -2½ -110

LSU (-2.5) is worth a look as a slim 2.5-point favorite on the road against UCLA. I think people we are seeing a bit of an overreaction here with the Bruins after last week's 44-10 thrashing of Hawaii. No question the Bruins are headed in the right direction under head coach Chip Kelly and could surprise in the Pac-12, but beating an SEC power like LSU is going to be really tough. The Tigers have something to prove and I'm not so sure having Max Johnson under center is a bad thing. I don't quite know if they are 2019 good, but they are closer to that than last year's 5-5 team. Play LSU -2.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Northern Illinois vs Georgia Tech under 57½ -110

The UNDER (57.5) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action that has Georgia Tech hosting Northern Illinois. The Yellow Jackets should be better offensively with 10 guys back, but I think their focus will be on the run game behind a talented offensive line. They shouldn't have any problem running it on the Huskies. On the other side, I have a hard time seeing this Northern Illinois offense doing much of anything in this game. They are outclassed in talent and speed while they bring back 9 starters, they got a new QB and only put up 24.8 ppg last year. Play the UNDER 57.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Stanford +3½ -110

Stanford (+3.5) is worth a look as a 3.5-point road dog against Kansas State. I got a lot of respect for K-State's head coach Chris Klieman, but I just think the Cardinal are just a better football team. I think people are sleeping on Stanford this year. They finally got the offensive line to execute that offense and this is as good as they have been defensively in a few years. No one is giving this team much of a shot in the Pac-12 this year and I think they come out looking to make a statement and put everyone on notice. Play the Cardinal +3.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Tulane vs Oklahoma under 69 -110

The UNDER (69) is worth a look in Saturday's college football action that has #2 Oklahoma taking on Tulane. I think that expectations are so high with the Sooners offense that it has the number inflated quite a bit in their opener. It can be a bit sloppy in the first game of the year and I don't see there being enough possessions to get to 70. Tulane is a run-first football team and there's no question they are going to come out trying to establish the run so they can eat up the clock and keep Spencer Rattler on the sideline. Oklahoma's D looks improved, but I don't think it's elite. Play the UNDER 69! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Duke vs Charlotte over 59½ -110

The OVER (59.5) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between Duke and Charlotte. I think there's more than enough offensive fire-power on these two teams to take advantage of the soft defenses they will be up against. Duke gave up 38.1 ppg and 445 ypg last year, while the 49ers allowed 32.5 ppg and 420 ypg. Duke only brings back 6 on that side of the ball, while Charlotte only returns 5. Look for these two offenses to go up and down the field. Play the OVER 59.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on East Carolina vs Appalachian State under 57 -110

The UNDER (57) is worth a look in Thursday's college football action that has Appalachian State taking on East Carolina in Charlotte. I know the Pirates didn't have a very good defense last year, but they should be improved with 10 starters back. You also have to factor in App State is a run first team. I also don't know that I'm buying in transfer QB Chase Brice. He's got to really be good to play up to last year's starter Zack Thomas. Defensively the Mountaineers are stout. Play the UNDER 57! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Hawaii vs UCLA under 68½ -110

The UNDER (68.5) is worth a look in Saturday's Week Zero college football action between UCLA and Hawaii. I just don't see this game getting anywhere close to 70 points. UCLA can put up points, but I don't see them running it up with their starters with LSU on deck. They are going to hold back if possible and just try and run it down the Warriors throats. I also think Hawaii's offense could have some problems here. UCLA should have their best defense under Chip Kelly and one of their strengths last year was getting to the QB. Worth noting, as Hawaii gave up a bunch of sacks last year. Add in all the time these two teams have had to prepare for this game and the slow starts that typically happen in Week 1. Play the UNDER 68.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Ohio State +9 -109

Ohio State (+9) is worth a shot as a big dog against Alabama in the National Championship Game tonight. Not saying the Crimson Tide shouldn't be favored, but no way should they be laying more than a touchdown in this one. Buckeyes showed just how good they are in their 49-28 thrashing of Clemson, while I think more was to be expected from Alabama in their game against Notre Dame. Buckeyes have also gone 21-7 ATS in their last 28 as a dog of 3.5 to 10 points. Play Ohio State +9! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Kentucky vs NC State under 49½ -110

The UNDER (49.5) is worth a look in Saturday's Gator Bowl matchup between NC State and Kentucky. I just don't see a lot of offense in this one. The Wildcats are a run-first team and should be able to establish the run. With that said, I think NC State can limit the explosive plays and force Kentucky to put together long drives to score. At the same time, I think the Wildcats defense is more than capable of slowing down this NC State offense, which has struggled to produce when up against a decent defense. UNDER is 11-1 in Kentucky's last 12 vs a team that averages 250 or more passing yards/game and 20-8 in the Wolfpack's last 28 vs a team that's won 25% to 40% of their games. Play the UNDER 49.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Cincinnati vs Georgia over 50 -110

The OVER (50) is worth a look in Friday's Peach Bowl matchup between Georgia and Cincinnati. Two decent defenses in this one, but I don't see either of these defenses being able to slow down the opposing offenses. Cincinnati averaged 39.3 ppg, 467 yapg and 6.9 yards/play. The Bulldogs were at 33.2 ppg, 412 ypg and 6.1 yards/play. Keep in mind with Georgia's numbers that they only played a few games with JT Daniels at quarterback at the end of the year. The offense was clearly better with him on the field. I just don't feel that 50 is anywhere close to enough for this one. Play the OVER 50! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Mississippi State vs Tulsa under 46½ -109

The UNDER (46.5) is worth a look here in Thursday's Armed Forces Bowl between Mississippi State and Tulsa. This had the makings of a low-scoring game from the start and even more so when you look at the conditions the game will be played in. There's going to be rain throughout the contest with winds close to 20mph. Both teams are going to have rely heavily on the run. I see both teams struggling to sustain drives and there's no guarantee on any distance of a field goal in these kind of conditions. Play the UNDER 46.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Florida vs Oklahoma under 70½ -105

The UNDER (70.5) is worth a look in Wednesday's Cotton Bowl matchup between Florida and Oklahoma. The Gators have had their 4 top receiving options opt out for this game and while they still have quarterback Kyle Trask, they just aren't going to be able to much offensively against an Oklahoma defense that has really played well down the stretch. The Sooners are likely to score a decent amount, but you really need both teams to be potent on offense to eclipse a total like this. Play the UNDER 70.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Miami-FL +2½ -105

The Hurricanes (+2.5) are worth a look here as a dog against the Cowboys. I know Miami has some key guys sitting out on defense, but the Hurricanes still have more than enough talent on that side of the ball to keep this Oklahoma State offense in check. Miami also has a massive edge at the most important position on the field with their quarterback D'Eriq King going up against the Cowboys Spencer Sanders. The wrong team is favored here. Play the Hurricanes +2.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Marshall +5½ -110

The Thundering Herd (+5.5) are worth a look here as a pretty big dog against the Bulls. Buffalo put up some crazy stats against a soft schedule in their 5 MAC games, but were a complete no show in the title game against Ball State. I just think people are forgetting how bad the MAC is. Marshall didn't look much better losing to UAB in the C-USA title game, but in terms of talent the Herd are the much stronger team and I like them to win this game outright. Play Marshall +5.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Hawaii +11 -113

Hawaii (+11) is worth a look as a double-digit underdog against Houston in the New Mexico Bowl on Christmas Eve. This is just too many points for the Cougars to be laying in this one. Houston is far from full strength going into this game. They are still down 12-16 players, including 3 key guys who opted out (WR Marquez Stevenson, LB Grant Stuard, DL Payton Turner). Hawaii went just 3-5 ATS in their 8 games this season, but dogs with a losing ATS record have quite a track record in bowl games. They are cashing at a 59% rate since 2006. Rainbow Warriors aren't just good enough to cover, they can win this game. Play Hawaii +11! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Tulane vs Nevada under 56½ -113

The UNDER (56.5) is worth a look in Tuesday's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, which has Tulane taking on Nevada. With close to 20 mph winds projected for this game, throwing the football will prove challenging for both teams. More running is always good for UNDERS, especially when you have two strong front sevens like we have here. Nevada is only giving up 3.8 yards/carry and Tulane is even better at 3.3 yards/carry. Points should be hard to come by. Play the UNDER 56.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on North Texas vs Appalachian State over 63 -115

The OVER (63) is worth a look in Monday's Myrtle Beach Bowl which has North Texas taking on Appalachian State. North Texas is a team that is built to play in high-scoring games. The Mean Green finished up this season scoring 35.1 ppg and allowing 41.3 ppg. While the Mountaineers are much more sound defensively, they averaged 31.8 ppg. I look for App State to easily score 40 points in this one and I'm confident the Mean Green can make up the rest to cash this ticket. Play the OVER 63! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Ole Miss vs LSU under 76½ -110

The UNDER (76.5) is worth a look in Saturday's SEC matchup between Ole Miss and LSU. Most are going to think high-scoring with these two teams, but the Rebels had their two best wide outs opt out for this game and this is an awful spot for LSU off that huge upset win over Florida. It wouldn't surprise me at all if the Tigers weren't interested at all in this game and I feel like they got to be interested for this thing to flirt with 80 combined points. Play the UNDER 76.5! 

20* SHARP PLAY on UAB vs Marshall over 41½ -113

The OVER (41.5) is worth a look in Friday's C-USA championship game between UAB and Marshall. These are two solid defensive teams and all, but the total here is just too low to pass up a play on the over. Both of these teams can score the football. UAB comes in averaging 29.3 ppg and Marshall is averaging 32.8 ppg. These two haven't played each other since 2014, so there's a clear lack of familiarity for both teams. I think this total should be at least 48 and my numbers show this game finishing at 50. Play the OVER 41.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Akron vs Buffalo under 59½ -109

The UNDER (59.5) is worth a look here in Saturday's MAC game between Buffalo and Akron. Most will look to take the OVER here, as you have a Buffalo team that is averaging 50.8 ppg facing a Zips defense that has allowed 46.5 ppg on the road. Thing is Akron will struggle to put any kind of offense together and you have to think Buffalo might not be all that interested in running up the score here, as they already have a spot locked up in next week's MAC title game that will be played on Friday. I would expect the coaches pull the starters early if this gets out of hand. Play the UNDER 59.5! 

15* SHARP PLAY on Georgia -13 -110

The Bulldogs (-13) are worth a look in Saturday's SEC East clash with Missouri. Georgia deserves a lot of props for continuing to play hard despite the fact that their No. 1 goal of winning the SEC East and making it back to the playoffs are out of reach. A big reason for that is the recent addition of starting quarterback J.T. Daniels to the lineup. Had he been there from day one, this probably would be a playoff team. The offense has really come to life under Daniels and should have a field day against a Missouri defense that has struggled against every good offense they have faced. Play Georgia -13! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Western Michigan vs Ball State under 68 -110

The UNDER (68) is worth a look in Saturday's MAC matchup between Ball State and Western Michigan. Most are going to look at the big time offensive numbers these two teams are putting up and want to take the OVER. Western Michigan on their own score 44.6 ppg and give up 35.0 ppg. Ball State comes in averaging 34.4 ppg. The key here is Mother Nature. There's expected to be a cross wind approaching 25 mph in this game. It's going to force both teams to run a lot more than they normally would and at the same time both defenses will be able to play the run, knowing they can't pass. Play the UNDER 68! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Arizona State vs Arizona over 55 -108

The OVER (55) is worth a look in Friday's Pac-12 in-state showdown between Arizona State and Arizona. Last time these two played on Arizona's home turf, the game finished with 81 points, going over the total by more than two touchdowns. Arizona does not have a good defense and while the offense has struggled some, they should be able to score enough to cash this ticket. Play the OVER 55! 

20* SHARP PLAY on Florida Atlantic vs Southern Miss over 42 -112

The OVER (42) is worth a look in Thursday's C-USA football action that has FAU visiting Southern Miss. The Golden Eagles are giving up 32.4 ppg and that's with the defensive numbers being greatly aided in their last 3 games against some sub-par offenses. I'm confident we get a minimum of 30 from FAU in this contest. As long as Southern Miss does something offensively, we should eclipse this total no problem. Play the OVER 42!